Watching this, I realized reducing the sand pile works on a personal level as well. By avoiding 24/7 news & social media, I'm regaining my edge in the fight to keep my mental health from falling into chaos. A person can only take so many grains, but our society keeps trying to pile it on.
Another big one (which I learned from a buddhist, believe it or not) is that you don't have to mentally/internally accept the hate and anger and drama that other people try to assign to you. They can try to make your life stressful, but it doesn't have to become PART of you, if that makes sense.
I'd also argue that our connectedness to everything plays a big role in the perception that the world's going to hell. chances are that in the early 1000s there were wars in the middle-east or in the Americas, but we didn't know about it cause news travelled slower, if at all for sure long distances. Nowadays we have every bit of news at our fingertips, and this connected way of life only REALLY took off in the early 2010s. We went from "oh look what's in the newspaper, honey", to "haha my friends are so dumb sometimes posting this on MySpace", to "I can effectively see every single second pass in every part of the world with the swipe of a finger. I know what's going on in the world but have no immediate power to stop it." Our direct connection to society has gone up so exponentially and so radically. Is it then any wonder that, to some, it feels like it's all falling apart?
I have been on the phone in the US with friends in Ukraine as bombs fell around them. We hang up the phone and I am in shock. But it's borrowed shock. I tell myself that someone has to bear witness. That if more were bearing witness as Jews were being dragged into trains; if there were mobile phones secreted away in coat hems... but things just don't add up. oooof methinks it's time to step away. I've done so in the past. I need to shore up and take care of my own resiliance.
"The avalanche will absolutely happen... [So] we should prioritize efficiency and optimization slightly less... for a more stable system" That is astoundingly insightful and impossible suggestion. How can we explain that to Wall Street?
The relationships between people, groups, and nations have always been volatile. The impact of human activity on the environment is much greater now than it was 10,000 years ago. I'm skeptical that volatility has increased between groups of people. The potential for the human race to destroy itself has increased greatly.
WoW! This is one of the most genuine descriptions of reality we live in and definitions of paradox situation we've created. If someone asks: "Where do you see yourself within 5 years?" Then You Are absolutely right just to stand up, wrap up your stuff, turn showing your back and leave without saying a word.... ... because manipulators of this narative are exactly the key resource of the intentional mirage purposed to blind you from global instability so as they can harvest maximum from temporary local stability including your actual potential.....
Because it is. How ghastly to think we are going to survive this long term. This IS the start of humanity's decline and most likely its demise. As they say, nothing lasts forever, and we collectively have been choosing to take a dump right where we eat and sleep, so to speak, and it doesn't look good for us right now. Human extinction won't occur with a finger depressing the big red button, it will be at the hands of our own indifference, abject ignorance, and self loathing.
“Human history, like all great movements, was cyclical, and returned to the point of beginning. The idea of indefinite progress in a right line was a chimera of the imagination, with no analogue in nature. The parabola of a comet was perhaps a yet better illustration of the career of humanity. Tending upward and sunward from the aphelion of barbarism, the race attained the perihelion of civilization only to plunge downward once more to its nether goal in the regions of chaos.” ― Edward Bellamy
Turn off the news. Get a news-paper once or twice a week like they did pre smartphone and on demand TV. You will have enough information to stay in the loop, and no longer feel this way
100% - doomscrolling is real. It's also worth noting that it is mostly my friends aligned with the political Left that are convinced the world is on the verge of collapse. An entire segment of the left has essentially become a Doom Cult.
@@lissie3669It’s not about opinions of institutions that matter, I just want to know what’s happening once a week and nothing more. Not on repeat, not with opinion, not with emotions, as that’s where the poison lives
If possible, get one that's a genuine local newspaper, and not a national or international one. Not only do they tend to be less biased (due to their smaller financial pressures), they also tap you back into the local events that you could feasibly go to, influence, or at least recognize that it happened within your personal boundaries. Reading the international news makes me feel just as dreadful as watching it on TV nowadays.
If you think you are a victim of either your local or planetary world, you will take your cues for your health outside of yourself. We are each masters of our fate. We only know that through forgiveness and as you apply this to your relationships you will not think you need to self-sacrifice to heal it. "If you had known what these words mean, 'I desire mercy, not sacrifice,' you would not have condemned the innocent.
Complexity aside, Strauss & Howe's 4 generational theory explains this current time as the end of a saeculum which is defined by a major upheaval of values and opinions on community and government... Exactly what we're going through now.
Many points : First of all, the world is designed in a nonlinear fashion, whereas, people are taught to think in linear fashion. This causes chaos. Second, the human tendency to always seek higher speed in this nonlinear design, which also causes chaos. Third and last, is a term i coined " The Law of point of Reference", where human and universal behavior is driven by this law. The variations of the Law of Reference cause chaos. Where indeed, the majority of these point of reference are fake and do not qualify to be a point of reference.
As an old student of economics, i learned that linearity is theoretical just to simplify the nonelinear correlation between variables, which is very true. Nevertheless, the assumption of scarce resources is invalid since it stems from the idea of existing single elements in nature, yet, in the practical world we can't survive without a matrix of resources, which manifest the linear actual reality of unlimited resources. Furthermore, the universe moves in a circular form which is nonlinear, just like cars and the inner particles of the atom. So, basically if linearity exists, there would be a nano probability of the universe to stop moving, which would never happen. I therefore think, nonlinearity is absolute, whereas linearity is a value. I do not think this issue is simple but i think physicists avoid delving into this subject to avoid being accused as philosophers.
Tell rich people to be less greedy and to stop constantly grasping for power and we would have global stability all around instead of just local stability. The majority of our problem come directly from their actions. One of the biggest flaws of having the many be ruled by the few.
"A very small change can cause a very big effect"- that's exactly how chaos is defined. In her epic video about complexity Sabine Hossenfelder defines complexity as an area of three main features: emergent properties, movement at the edge of chaos and evolution. She's an important thinker.
Why is she an important thinker? What is she doing that nobody else is? Have you sought out criticism of her? Because it's definitely out there, right here on YT. Not saying this to be confrontational but to point out that nobody should be beyond scrutiny.
I listened to her lecture. She is an idiot who likes to pretend she knows much more about certain subjects than she does. A true academic doesn't try to teach others about subjects they themselves do not understand.
The reason why democracies fall apart is that all of the world's democracies elect public offices using voting methods that count only one majority (or one plurality) instead of counting all the head-to-head majorities. When only one is counted, the preference for Center over Right of people who favor Left isn't counted, and the preference for Center over Left of people who favor Right isn't counted. So the head-to-head majorities who prefer Center over Right and Center over Left aren't counted, Center falsely appears unpopular, and either Right or Left achieves the largest (majority or plurality) counted coalition. A small change of preference of the centrist swing voters, whose second choice is either Right or Left, can change the winner from Left to Right or from Right to Left. That small change of swing votes causes huge changes of the government's policies. This is why government policies are so unstable, why so many issues never get settled, and why societies appear more polarized than they actually are. It's also why extremists aren't reliably defeated... the rest of their coalition depend on their supporters' votes. In fact, the largest counted coalition can often be a coalition of minorities on different issues, so that many of the winner's policies may be opposed by majorities, and there isn't much incentive for politicians to support majority-preferred policies. However, multiple head-to-head majorities are counted by the world's most widely used voting method: the Robert's Rules procedure for voting on motions. If the number of alternatives is N, Robert's Rules eliminates N-1 of the alternatives by counting N-1 head-to-head majorities, analogous to a single-elimination sports tournament. Counting multiple head-to-head majorities is what makes Robert's Rules so effective at choosing stable, centrist, majority-preferred (median) policies and defeating unstable, minority-preferred policies. Public offices could be elected using a voting method that counts all of the head-to-head majorities, by letting each voter rank the candidates (or parties) in order of preference. This would create a strong incentive for politicians to support majority-preferred policies on many more issues, stabilize government policies, end political polarization, and reliably defeat extremists.
Complicated systems like energy systems based on carbon are bringing about a collapse of the complex ecosystem. Our ecosystem is a non-negotiable prerequisite for life, including us humans. Seems like the solution is rather simple and straightforward: a shift to an alternative energy system that restores the ecosystem, yet allows us to secure the energy we need the next stage of technological evolution.
Systems have set points for operating ranges that the system must operate within in order to keep functioning as expected. There are very large numbers of systems that must complement each other to some degree in order to not break each other. Even though you did not explicitly state that we should have a goal of perpetual sustainability I'm guessing that you want a world that is indefinitely sustainable. I want an energy system that does not interfere, harm or destroy the natural world. There need to be enough people with honorable character and benevolent goals to stop self destructive behavior. If a new, non-polluting energy system will benefit corrupt and greedy people then it will be implemented very quickly.
I'd also say that we constantly seek stability while I noticed in my life that whenever I had "local instability" I was the happiest. It seems stressful, but if there is lo live threat as it used to be behind it, it's i believe exactly what we need not to feel boredom and end up finding all kinds of stuff we have to do, to be happy. Life itself then is enough, where simple stuff gives you more pleasure than all the fancy stuff we have available today. And you have your own life to worry about without feeling the need or wish to know and stress about the rest of the world.
But rivers aren’t drying up … they’re being sucked dry by urbanization, development, and industrialization. Language matters and the language in this BT is misleading.
That perception the world is falling appart only applies to the west, as it's dominance is falling. In the ASEAN they are experience exorbitant hope for the future. Africa is getting major investments in infrastructure too
Hope is good and necessary. Unfortunately, Africa and Asia will be among the most impacted regions in the world due to climate change and corresponding lack of resources.
The average person in China lives on $35 a day, India it’s $10 a day. They make up the vast majority of Asia at 60%. This ‘hope’ they apparently feel for the future is based on them not having a voice at all, it’s incorrect. The west has had a higher standard of living for so long that any changes in that are felt and voiced much louder
@@TheUnchainedMind In the last 40 years, China surrounded a whole desert with a green, this reduced the sandstorms in major cities. The same is being done in African Sahel by the UN. Given resources and technology, it will be possible to mitigate climate change. Since the countries brics have more than 40% of the world population, 30% of land surface and almost half of oil, and mostly every comodity you can think of, once they invest in infrastructure they will have all tools needed.
A Black Swan event is an unforeseen event *which was unforseen from your perspective.* Others knew of it. That's the point of the term - Australian Aboriginals weren't shocked by the appearance of a black swan, their swans had always been black.
Not entirely true, ecosystems are failing and the industrial world is unraveling one thread at a time. While there is reorganizing going on, there are massive failures that can be seen more accurately as "falling apart."
Ideas spread quickly now due to the internet. Trends incorporate people way faster than before the internet. So when trends shift, the impact affects more people. Also, news spreads wider and covers more topics than ever due to social media. So the frequency feels greater.
Were early human societies also considered complex? If not, can this progression towards complexity be said to be inevitable; moving away from the giant "sandpile" goes against global trend and thus is gigantically difficult?
I like the vid, but the stability of authoritarianism is a rather bad example. Authoritarianism is objectively unstable because, demonstratively, over thousands of years, it's clear that absolute rulers are far more likely to be a disaster than they are to be Augustus reincarnated. As such, even if you have a great ruler, the system's flaw is that this person isn't immortal and a country cannot long survive the erratic peaks and valleys. Every valley cracks the foundation of even the greatest society until it eventually crumbles. Moreover, even if it takes more than a century for matters to completely deteriorate, the people living in such a country during much of this time will do so in utter misery.
Feels like Kurzweil's "Event Horizon" concept is more useful than a "Black Swan" approach to things, but either can help folks build some resilience to the rapid pace of change we experience these days. Title is a bit click-baitey for the actual context of the theories covered, but other than that, good talk.
so, for example, what might we see differently if we were looking at the world from the perspective of "opportunity youth", disconnected young people whose locality is by no means stable?
The Industrial way of living is a straight line between it's beginning and today. We never left the path or veered into a "wrong" direction. Think about it. We created the present in the past and we're creating the future now, in the present.
So, what you are saying is that the theories of the past don't hold in the present, therefore, we can assume that the theories presented today will be trashed in the future.
@kemowasabi551 I found I had to put great effort in sustaining my attention on a topic that would usually compel it. Perhaps I was just initially put off with the evolutionary explanation at the beginning.
BE A BUDDY, NOT A BULLY ? (School Poster) Simple words, like BUDDY and BULLY can wake people up, if repeated, over and over (TRUMP 2.0 plays with words to win, but DEMOCRATS ramble on, confusing voters) ========================================================== TNX MCH
PS: also thank you a lot for dropping logical nuke on idea of god gathering all key facts into clear definition proving that we are the only creators of our reality.👍
This is kind of hilarious... needlesly complicated to muddy up what I think was the most important point in the entire video. Stability for Amazon and Starbucks, and instability for Western Liberalism and Democracy. This is called CORPORATOCRACY! You can go to McDonald's in Bosnia and Hamas uses tunnels to smuggle KFC into Gaza, but all this violence and imperialism don't have much impact on the way people consume globally. 'Shareholders' don't care where the money is coming from as long as the bottom line is being met. No need to get lost in metaphors and semantics. If Starbucks and Amazon are doing fine yet free society is failing, then the problem is the system that's clearly favoring corporate greed over the common good. This video is a pretentious, roundabout way of avoiding a very simple problem - profit over people is killing us.
Starting from second half of 2020's there will be a period of global turmoil, characterized by numerous external and internal conflicts. According to Model of evolution of technological civilizations by Vladimir Stus such periods of civilizational turmoil always conclude the periods of high rates of science-and-technology progress ("High Modern", or simply "Modern", which started in the second half of 19th century when major scientific discoveries were made, and is coming to an end presently, the previous one in the Western civilization being the period of the Great Geographic Discoveries, of Renaissance and of Reformation, which ended with the Thirty Years War after the economy of Central Europe experienced hard landing). According to Vladimir Stus, after periods of intensive economic growth civilizations return to the paradigm of extensive growth, therefore, this coming period of civilizational turmoil will be much shorter in countries that have great amount of resources per capita of their population, while countries that have few resources will agonize for several decades. IMHO, in the course of several years there will be a war in Persian Gulf, and war between China and India is also very likely (both China and India have bad prospects after hard deglobalization and return of the paradigm of extensive economic growth)
What caught your eye recently? For me this was a thought provoking video, especially the reversal of views, the sand pile example and picking the right questions, which gives plenty of internal work.
What utter nonsense. We have always lived in a world where we think little actions have big consequences, why do you think our ancestors invented gods?
If we knew that little actions can have big consequences, the idea of a god wouldn't have existed. It's because of that linear way of thinking that gods end up in existence because "there's simply no way an event this big can be of anyone but a being this big"
@@AnymMusic You haven't really thought your comment through, have you? We invent gods, then try to propitiate them with little actions, or offerings, to stop them making big actions like floods or earthquakes.
To those who are watching this video: May God bless you and your loved ones with unending joy, steadfast faith, abundant grace, and a lifetime filled with His divine love and countless blessings. May your hearts be uplifted and your spirits renewed each day
!!I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 385K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% annually in dividend returns. any good recommendation on great performing stocks will be appreciated.
As a newbie investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Ruth Ann Tsakonas is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.
I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Adviser Ruth Ann Tsakonas, for her expertise and exposure to different areas of the market.
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $200k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.
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how would you recommend i enter the crypto market? I am also looking at studying some traders and copying their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally. What's your take on this approach? and How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking??
Watching this, I realized reducing the sand pile works on a personal level as well. By avoiding 24/7 news & social media, I'm regaining my edge in the fight to keep my mental health from falling into chaos. A person can only take so many grains, but our society keeps trying to pile it on.
yes!
You just became a black swan 😅 well done with overcoming social media addiction!
I assume the goal is peace, is it not?
Another big one (which I learned from a buddhist, believe it or not) is that you don't have to mentally/internally accept the hate and anger and drama that other people try to assign to you. They can try to make your life stressful, but it doesn't have to become PART of you, if that makes sense.
Brilliant! 😍
I'd also argue that our connectedness to everything plays a big role in the perception that the world's going to hell. chances are that in the early 1000s there were wars in the middle-east or in the Americas, but we didn't know about it cause news travelled slower, if at all for sure long distances. Nowadays we have every bit of news at our fingertips, and this connected way of life only REALLY took off in the early 2010s.
We went from "oh look what's in the newspaper, honey", to "haha my friends are so dumb sometimes posting this on MySpace", to "I can effectively see every single second pass in every part of the world with the swipe of a finger. I know what's going on in the world but have no immediate power to stop it." Our direct connection to society has gone up so exponentially and so radically. Is it then any wonder that, to some, it feels like it's all falling apart?
That's definitely a part of it; there is no way it can't be
You nailed it
I have been on the phone in the US with friends in Ukraine as bombs fell around them.
We hang up the phone and I am in shock. But it's borrowed shock.
I tell myself that someone has to bear witness. That if more were bearing witness as Jews were being dragged into trains; if there were mobile phones secreted away in coat hems... but things just don't add up.
oooof methinks it's time to step away. I've done so in the past. I need to shore up and take care of my own resiliance.
Say thanks to the internet and the tech that goes with it
"The avalanche will absolutely happen... [So] we should prioritize efficiency and optimization slightly less... for a more stable system" That is astoundingly insightful and impossible suggestion. How can we explain that to Wall Street?
The relationships between people, groups, and nations have always been volatile. The impact of human activity on the environment is much greater now than it was 10,000 years ago. I'm skeptical that volatility has increased between groups of people. The potential for the human race to destroy itself has increased greatly.
WoW! This is one of the most genuine descriptions of reality we live in and definitions of paradox situation we've created.
If someone asks:
"Where do you see yourself within 5 years?"
Then You Are absolutely right just to stand up, wrap up your stuff, turn showing your back and leave without saying a word....
... because manipulators of this narative are exactly the key resource of the intentional mirage purposed to blind you from global instability so as they can harvest maximum from temporary local stability including your actual potential.....
Because it is.
How ghastly to think we are going to survive this long term.
This IS the start of humanity's decline and most likely its demise.
As they say, nothing lasts forever, and we collectively have been choosing to take a dump right where we eat and sleep, so to speak, and it doesn't look good for us right now.
Human extinction won't occur with a finger depressing the big red button, it will be at the hands of our own indifference, abject ignorance, and self loathing.
Or a coronal mass ejection… possibly a meteor as we pass through the solar system in 2025 we may see.
Too much toxic pollution that cannot be cleaned up
“Human history, like all great movements, was cyclical, and returned to the point of beginning. The idea of indefinite progress in a right line was a chimera of the imagination, with no analogue in nature. The parabola of a comet was perhaps a yet better illustration of the career of humanity. Tending upward and sunward from the aphelion of barbarism, the race attained the perihelion of civilization only to plunge downward once more to its nether goal in the regions of chaos.”
― Edward Bellamy
Turn off the news. Get a news-paper once or twice a week like they did pre smartphone and on demand TV.
You will have enough information to stay in the loop, and no longer feel this way
Putting your faith in one institution that has enough capital to print is a risky business
100% - doomscrolling is real.
It's also worth noting that it is mostly my friends aligned with the political Left that are convinced the world is on the verge of collapse. An entire segment of the left has essentially become a Doom Cult.
@@lissie3669It’s not about opinions of institutions that matter, I just want to know what’s happening once a week and nothing more.
Not on repeat, not with opinion, not with emotions, as that’s where the poison lives
If possible, get one that's a genuine local newspaper, and not a national or international one. Not only do they tend to be less biased (due to their smaller financial pressures), they also tap you back into the local events that you could feasibly go to, influence, or at least recognize that it happened within your personal boundaries. Reading the international news makes me feel just as dreadful as watching it on TV nowadays.
If you think you are a victim of either your local or planetary world, you will take your cues for your health outside of yourself. We are each masters of our fate. We only know that through forgiveness and as you apply this to your relationships you will not think you need to self-sacrifice to heal it.
"If you had known what these words mean, 'I desire mercy, not sacrifice,' you would not have condemned the innocent.
Capitalism,greed,n people's consumption of information with a lack of common sense, the sky is always falling. Religion was built on this.
I was sitting here thinking a Black Swan was gonna be like The Ugly Duckling or something.
Complexity aside, Strauss & Howe's 4 generational theory explains this current time as the end of a saeculum which is defined by a major upheaval of values and opinions on community and government...
Exactly what we're going through now.
The major points in that book, about the US, which was published in 1997, are more telling today than ever. They were definitely onto something.
This "theory" is not supported by historians. Theories have to be based on evidence, so this is not even considered a theory.
@@NathanHarrison7 and this is your professional opinion as a what? are you in academia
Many points :
First of all, the world is designed in a nonlinear fashion, whereas, people are taught to think in linear fashion. This causes chaos.
Second, the human tendency to always seek higher speed in this nonlinear design, which also causes chaos.
Third and last, is a term i coined " The Law of point of Reference", where human and universal behavior is driven by this law. The variations of the Law of Reference cause chaos. Where indeed, the majority of these point of reference are fake and do not qualify to be a point of reference.
Do you have an example of the non linear world design?
As an old student of economics, i learned that linearity is theoretical just to simplify the nonelinear correlation between variables, which is very true.
Nevertheless, the assumption of scarce resources is invalid since it stems from the idea of existing single elements in nature, yet, in the practical world we can't survive without a matrix of resources, which manifest the linear actual reality of unlimited resources.
Furthermore, the universe moves in a circular form which is nonlinear, just like cars and the inner particles of the atom.
So, basically if linearity exists, there would be a nano probability of the universe to stop moving, which would never happen.
I therefore think, nonlinearity is absolute, whereas linearity is a value.
I do not think this issue is simple but i think physicists avoid delving into this subject to avoid being accused as philosophers.
Tell rich people to be less greedy and to stop constantly grasping for power and we would have global stability all around instead of just local stability. The majority of our problem come directly from their actions. One of the biggest flaws of having the many be ruled by the few.
The mind is flawed and prone to greed and corruption. We all need a mind that prioritizes benevolent intent.
@@FairnessIsTheAnswer no it’s not the scam of capitalism has been brainwashed in you animals do not hoard resources like this
Because it is falling apart.
Return to monke.
👍
🐒
We must move away from this corporate consolidation driven by over digitization. It is the enemy of complexity and therefore the enemy of resiliency.
Everything is driven by corporate greed
Because we now have the power to automate all labor, yet we are falling to a corporate monarchy in the making.
"A very small change can cause a very big effect"- that's exactly how chaos is defined. In her epic video about complexity Sabine Hossenfelder defines complexity as an area of three main features: emergent properties, movement at the edge of chaos and evolution. She's an important thinker.
Sabine is a crock, expose yourself to new ideas.
@RedCoolade Read her books? Don't think so..
@RedCoolade pfft what's your source of information big brain
Why is she an important thinker? What is she doing that nobody else is? Have you sought out criticism of her? Because it's definitely out there, right here on YT. Not saying this to be confrontational but to point out that nobody should be beyond scrutiny.
I listened to her lecture. She is an idiot who likes to pretend she knows much more about certain subjects than she does. A true academic doesn't try to teach others about subjects they themselves do not understand.
The reason why democracies fall apart is that all of the world's democracies elect public offices using voting methods that count only one majority (or one plurality) instead of counting all the head-to-head majorities. When only one is counted, the preference for Center over Right of people who favor Left isn't counted, and the preference for Center over Left of people who favor Right isn't counted. So the head-to-head majorities who prefer Center over Right and Center over Left aren't counted, Center falsely appears unpopular, and either Right or Left achieves the largest (majority or plurality) counted coalition. A small change of preference of the centrist swing voters, whose second choice is either Right or Left, can change the winner from Left to Right or from Right to Left. That small change of swing votes causes huge changes of the government's policies. This is why government policies are so unstable, why so many issues never get settled, and why societies appear more polarized than they actually are. It's also why extremists aren't reliably defeated... the rest of their coalition depend on their supporters' votes. In fact, the largest counted coalition can often be a coalition of minorities on different issues, so that many of the winner's policies may be opposed by majorities, and there isn't much incentive for politicians to support majority-preferred policies.
However, multiple head-to-head majorities are counted by the world's most widely used voting method: the Robert's Rules procedure for voting on motions. If the number of alternatives is N, Robert's Rules eliminates N-1 of the alternatives by counting N-1 head-to-head majorities, analogous to a single-elimination sports tournament. Counting multiple head-to-head majorities is what makes Robert's Rules so effective at choosing stable, centrist, majority-preferred (median) policies and defeating unstable, minority-preferred policies.
Public offices could be elected using a voting method that counts all of the head-to-head majorities, by letting each voter rank the candidates (or parties) in order of preference. This would create a strong incentive for politicians to support majority-preferred policies on many more issues, stabilize government policies, end political polarization, and reliably defeat extremists.
We have the knowledge and technology to have a voting app on everyone's personal device
Brian Klaas is maybe the best guest this channel has ever had...
Hi Brian
Love concepts and conversations like these, things like “STRING THEORY” come to mind when topics like these are brung up.
Complicated systems like energy systems based on carbon are bringing about a collapse of the complex ecosystem. Our ecosystem is a non-negotiable prerequisite for life, including us humans. Seems like the solution is rather simple and straightforward: a shift to an alternative energy system that restores the ecosystem, yet allows us to secure the energy we need the next stage of technological evolution.
Systems have set points for operating ranges that the system must operate within in order to keep functioning as expected. There are very large numbers of systems that must complement each other to some degree in order to not break each other. Even though you did not explicitly state that we should have a goal of perpetual sustainability I'm guessing that you want a world that is indefinitely sustainable. I want an energy system that does not interfere, harm or destroy the natural world. There need to be enough people with honorable character and benevolent goals to stop self destructive behavior. If a new, non-polluting energy system will benefit corrupt and greedy people then it will be implemented very quickly.
I'd also say that we constantly seek stability while I noticed in my life that whenever I had "local instability" I was the happiest. It seems stressful, but if there is lo live threat as it used to be behind it, it's i believe exactly what we need not to feel boredom and end up finding all kinds of stuff we have to do, to be happy. Life itself then is enough, where simple stuff gives you more pleasure than all the fancy stuff we have available today. And you have your own life to worry about without feeling the need or wish to know and stress about the rest of the world.
But rivers aren’t drying up … they’re being sucked dry by urbanization, development, and industrialization. Language matters and the language in this BT is misleading.
How can we anticipate and adapt in the face of "radical uncertainty"?
Consume large amounts of drugs and alcohol.
Excellent video. Good way to describe exactly what is happening.
That perception the world is falling appart only applies to the west, as it's dominance is falling.
In the ASEAN they are experience exorbitant hope for the future. Africa is getting major investments in infrastructure too
Hope is good and necessary. Unfortunately, Africa and Asia will be among the most impacted regions in the world due to climate change and corresponding lack of resources.
The average person in China lives on $35 a day, India it’s $10 a day.
They make up the vast majority of Asia at 60%. This ‘hope’ they apparently feel for the future is based on them not having a voice at all, it’s incorrect.
The west has had a higher standard of living for so long that any changes in that are felt and voiced much louder
a higher "standard" of living... is that also a higher pile?
Those stats are on the rise for almost 40 years. They are hopeful they will eradicate poverty within our lifetime, in a generation really.
@@TheUnchainedMind
In the last 40 years, China surrounded a whole desert with a green, this reduced the sandstorms in major cities.
The same is being done in African Sahel by the UN.
Given resources and technology, it will be possible to mitigate climate change.
Since the countries brics have more than 40% of the world population, 30% of land surface and almost half of oil, and mostly every comodity you can think of, once they invest in infrastructure they will have all tools needed.
A Black Swan event is an unforeseen event *which was unforseen from your perspective.* Others knew of it.
That's the point of the term - Australian Aboriginals weren't shocked by the appearance of a black swan, their swans had always been black.
The world is reorganizing at a pace that we haven't been used to in the last several decades, it is not falling apart.
Not entirely true, ecosystems are failing and the industrial world is unraveling one thread at a time. While there is reorganizing going on, there are massive failures that can be seen more accurately as "falling apart."
I would argue that the election of Trump is a pretty clear indication that our world has deteriorated to so extent. America has deteriorated.
Too much toxic pollution that cannot be cleaned up
I hear you loud and clear Brian, (great topic well put)
Yeah, like corporate greed and raising monopolies have nothing to do with world falling apart, sure, whatever you say boss
Ideas spread quickly now due to the internet. Trends incorporate people way faster than before the internet. So when trends shift, the impact affects more people. Also, news spreads wider and covers more topics than ever due to social media. So the frequency feels greater.
In engineering it's called a "sudden and catastrophic failure"
8:16 damn, sounded like a movie title
Were early human societies also considered complex? If not, can this progression towards complexity be said to be inevitable; moving away from the giant "sandpile" goes against global trend and thus is gigantically difficult?
I like the vid, but the stability of authoritarianism is a rather bad example.
Authoritarianism is objectively unstable because, demonstratively, over thousands of years, it's clear that absolute rulers are far more likely to be a disaster than they are to be Augustus reincarnated. As such, even if you have a great ruler, the system's flaw is that this person isn't immortal and a country cannot long survive the erratic peaks and valleys. Every valley cracks the foundation of even the greatest society until it eventually crumbles.
Moreover, even if it takes more than a century for matters to completely deteriorate, the people living in such a country during much of this time will do so in utter misery.
, Thanks Mr. Klass. great work.
4:16 This, for one example, would explain Allan Lichtman being wrong about the 2024 election.
Excellent, Dr Klass. Thank you.
Feels like Kurzweil's "Event Horizon" concept is more useful than a "Black Swan" approach to things, but either can help folks build some resilience to the rapid pace of change we experience these days. Title is a bit click-baitey for the actual context of the theories covered, but other than that, good talk.
one of the things which will never be viral on social media 😪
Informative video
This guy is a quack. Literaly says nothing at all. Just gobbly guck
so, for example, what might we see differently if we were looking at the world from the perspective of "opportunity youth", disconnected young people whose locality is by no means stable?
I love the Black Swan fallacy.
good, thanks
You’re locally stable until you’re not.
Culture industry baby!
BECAUSE IT IS!🥵🤬🥵🤬🥵🤬🥵🤬🥵🤬🤬🥵
Too much toxic pollution that cannot be cleaned up
🍇
I feel like the direction went wrong since around J.P. Morgan, Tiffany's gemologist Kunz, and N.Tesla era.
The Industrial way of living is a straight line between it's beginning and today. We never left the path or veered into a "wrong" direction. Think about it. We created the present in the past and we're creating the future now, in the present.
Reminds me of lyrics of Re-arranged by LimpBizkit 🎶
💕 I am in!
So, what you are saying is that the theories of the past don't hold in the present, therefore, we can assume that the theories presented today will be trashed in the future.
The title just changed
i'd prefer no music in the background when talking but just me..
No. Me too. And it’s such good info to have to deal with that distraction in the background
Good lord this was boring! Interesting topic, but the delivery nearly put me in a coma.
Really? I thought it was pretty concise and articulate, especially given all the information he was throwing at us.
@kemowasabi551 I found I had to put great effort in sustaining my attention on a topic that would usually compel it.
Perhaps I was just initially put off with the evolutionary explanation at the beginning.
This might be correct for a human driven environment. Humans are not the greatest power in this existence.
Isn't adaptability > predictability though?
BE A BUDDY, NOT A BULLY ? (School Poster)
Simple words, like BUDDY and BULLY can wake people up, if repeated, over and over
(TRUMP 2.0 plays with words to win, but DEMOCRATS ramble on, confusing voters)
========================================================== TNX MCH
TNX MCH
Reminds me of Rigetti Computing. RGTI$
Interesting...
Yeaa local stability my ass
How about we actually fix the problems causing the rage??? Maybe did anyone consider that?
Yes- I thought it over and concluded it is not possible.
Strauss & Howe's 4 generational Theory, and the Bible, called it. The feet of clay and iron are about to crumble.
People don't want to face reality.
PS: also thank you a lot for dropping logical nuke on idea of god gathering all key facts into clear definition proving that we are the only creators of our reality.👍
Guy eats pangolin, millions of people die.
Because you are sober. Take your 3 Percoset, ya te tocan , te tomaste las últimas 3 a las 9 de la mañana.
1st
i think this video is going to pull some insane numbers, so it is actually pretty significant that you're the first to post.
Such an accomplishment!
@@SickSickCix 🤡
This is kind of hilarious... needlesly complicated to muddy up what I think was the most important point in the entire video. Stability for Amazon and Starbucks, and instability for Western Liberalism and Democracy. This is called CORPORATOCRACY! You can go to McDonald's in Bosnia and Hamas uses tunnels to smuggle KFC into Gaza, but all this violence and imperialism don't have much impact on the way people consume globally. 'Shareholders' don't care where the money is coming from as long as the bottom line is being met. No need to get lost in metaphors and semantics. If Starbucks and Amazon are doing fine yet free society is failing, then the problem is the system that's clearly favoring corporate greed over the common good. This video is a pretentious, roundabout way of avoiding a very simple problem - profit over people is killing us.
they were in the past came back looks like their still on it its like no you cant avoid it
Starting from second half of 2020's there will be a period of global turmoil, characterized by numerous external and internal conflicts. According to Model of evolution of technological civilizations by Vladimir Stus such periods of civilizational turmoil always conclude the periods of high rates of science-and-technology progress ("High Modern", or simply "Modern", which started in the second half of 19th century when major scientific discoveries were made, and is coming to an end presently, the previous one in the Western civilization being the period of the Great Geographic Discoveries, of Renaissance and of Reformation, which ended with the Thirty Years War after the economy of Central Europe experienced hard landing). According to Vladimir Stus, after periods of intensive economic growth civilizations return to the paradigm of extensive growth, therefore, this coming period of civilizational turmoil will be much shorter in countries that have great amount of resources per capita of their population, while countries that have few resources will agonize for several decades. IMHO, in the course of several years there will be a war in Persian Gulf, and war between China and India is also very likely (both China and India have bad prospects after hard deglobalization and return of the paradigm of extensive economic growth)
❤❤❤
oh thats stuborness to still even intelligence. maybe thats a better point
🫡
Yawn. Too elementary.
What caught your eye recently? For me this was a thought provoking video, especially the reversal of views, the sand pile example and picking the right questions, which gives plenty of internal work.
“God is dead and his death was the life of the world.” (Philipp Mainländer)
What utter nonsense. We have always lived in a world where we think little actions have big consequences, why do you think our ancestors invented gods?
If we knew that little actions can have big consequences, the idea of a god wouldn't have existed. It's because of that linear way of thinking that gods end up in existence because "there's simply no way an event this big can be of anyone but a being this big"
@@AnymMusic You haven't really thought your comment through, have you? We invent gods, then try to propitiate them with little actions, or offerings, to stop them making big actions like floods or earthquakes.
For 4 years they gaslit us but we got the last laugh as their TDS is pn full display now 🤣
To those who are watching this video: May God bless you and your loved ones with unending joy, steadfast faith, abundant grace, and a lifetime filled with His divine love and countless blessings. May your hearts be uplifted and your spirits renewed each day
Go spout this nonsense in church, not here.
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