When would US run out of smart bombs in a total war?
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- Опубліковано 20 кві 2021
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This video explores the often asked question: Would the US run out of smart bombs in a total, world war? And when might that happen? Numbers of bombs procured, numbers of bombs used up, it's all tallied here. But let's all hope all those weapons will never really be needed.
Music by Matija Malatestinic www.malatestinic.com
Images used in thumbnail:
Air Force provides critical CAS during Operation Hammer Down II [Image 1 of 7], Courtesy Photo, 455th Air Expeditionary Wing Public Affairs / Public domain
Bombs and one missile, Photo by Senior Airman Edward Albietz / Public domain
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I don't know if we will run out of smart bombs, but we definitely ran out of smart politicians a long time ago.
Try to be a politician while being stupid. With respect
On the Ground Officer:' Ran out of smart bombing'
General: 'Ok change over to carpet bombing'
I mean, that's the real answer. Smart or guided munitions are expensive and "polite". Better used for peace time operations and insurgencies, etc. In a full blown war against a decent adversary that luxury wouldn't be possible. It would be smart and logical to revert to more dumb munitions when possible - simply through speed of production and cost.
it's really hard to kill armour that way.
@@appa609 - but very easy to destroy giant industry complexes and infrastructure (main rail links, highway intersections, power plants, air and seaports, gigafactories) this way. Today only a few bombs have to actually hit a microchip factory to take it out of the equation for months. Even dumb bombs in carpet bombing have to be expected to hit decently with today's computing accuracy.
@@appa609 are you sure about that? a whole armored column could probably be stopped by a single pass of a B-52
@@rrenkrieg7988 B-52 would never get anywhere near an armored column in the first place. It's a subsonic, giant target that even a non-state group would have a chance of destroying. B-52 today aren't bombers, they are missile carriers precisely for that reason.
Short Answer: Never
Long Answer: Once the Factories stop producing
Or they will start using dumb bombs from storage.
@@johnl.7754 very likely they would mix usage to maintain an arsenal of smart bombs.
Yeah but specialized weapons take a while to create
Also side answer: we should stop being in all over the world especially in places we shouldn't be
Electronics for smart bombs need rare metals, China dominate this market. More like that factories runout semiconductors and electronics components, due to no where to replenish stocks. Maybe Us will disassemble household appliances and computers, as an option.
"US Running out of bombs" USAF drops another 25,000 bombs. Running out they said 😂
😁😂😂
Enemy: don’t worry! They’re going to be running low any time now!
@@dchiznit209 what did you say!? I can't hear you over the sound of even more bombs falling on top of our heads!
I want to keep hearing about us-china-taiwan-japan, also keep up the great work binkov! Love seeing notifications that you posted! :D :D
taiwan & shanghi
toilet: both makes men's toilet small and few.
travel: both have women make bad attitude demands on men to carry their bags and drive them around.
economic strength: both house world renowned companies, of the strongest the ownership falls to foreign entities.
events and works: both try to mimic images of foreign origin.
towards foreigners: women took 'the same' for every rights imaginable, but state 'you should play by local rule' when you mention there's responsibility they should undertake.
women: both mask their discrimination against men '岐視男性' problems above, by repeating the discrimination against women '岐視女性' word.
men: both lowers their head in front of feminist (or whoever is overshadowing them at the moment); focus on money.
language: both speak dialogs of chinese origin.
history: shanghi was broken into concession areas in 1842; taiwan exchange hands from netherlands to japan to KMT to feminists.
one to one thinking pattern. one to one relationship.
@rise infinite hahaha, my reaction
A conventional war between 2 nuclear powers?
I think that would require at least one legitimately insane person in charge of either side.
(From UK) yes I 100% agree. I find it really interesting and feel that it’s really important to keep updated on China and how things are going down over there. Feel big time for my Aussie brothers and my Taiwanese friends.
@@parallel-knight Same :)
can you cover a potential scenario where this whole ukraine vs russia thing goes hot?
Very relevant and unfortunately possible. Would love to see it.
I think he already did
@@ieatlemons288 yeh but that was russia vs ukraine only and not really any allied involed as of right now many countries have expressed support for ukraine and some countries expressed support for russia to i think
pls don't involve europe, we already had our share of world war battlefields
@@TheMambojack unfortunately for you Europeans, you’re involved since your eastern fellows would be existentially threatened by this war.
Last time I was this early Germany and the USSR were conducting “exercises” at the polish border.
"Polish?" You mean East Germany/West Russia of course?
@@alexanderwatson1980 Just a little bit of living space, nothing to be worried about.
@@allenz7688 when you hear FOR FATHERLAND !! From one side and FOR DADDY MARX from other side .
Nervous polish sweat
Now Russian Armed Forces are carrying "exercises" at the ukrainian border.
@@al_caponeh6185 Ukrainians have also broke their peace treaty and their president, having failed on every other promise , turned to sabre rattling and war, and skirmish, as all of his predecessors did, because he can't explain his failed economy.
Americans have obviously started pressuring other banana lands like Czech republic and others to start pressuring Russia (which also helps their politicians to divert their peoples' attention away from their own disasterous failure of epidemic response) while in the same time Ukrainians plan to reignite the war in Donbass after a quite long period of peace there.
Americans will fight until the last Ukrainian.
I have an idea: Turkey vs Egypt
Good idea
Turkey would easily win because Turkey has big defence industry and Egypt has nothing about of defence industry.
@@tegmenylmaz239 usa should've won Vietnam war according to your analogy but in reality it's different
@@tegmenylmaz239 Bigger doesn't mean better, Turkish tank crews are less than 40% the effectiveness of western crews in the same tank.
@@tegmenylmaz239 If it was worth anything, they would export it, Have you ever heard of Someone who ordered weapons made in Turkey?
I love logistical videos like this. These are the kinds of questions that are very seldom answered in detail yet extraordinarily important. Could you do a similar video on how much current reserves of food, fuel, and other types of munitions the US would have available in a similar scenario?
North America is self sufficient in everything . Name a Import resource America would need? There is a advantage in not being overpopulated .
@@Crashed131963 rare earth minerals?
@@Crashed131963 yes but America would lack the ability to manufacture cheap goods for a period of time, things like toys, consumer electronics, some office equipment, so if the US or north America were cut off people would survive it just won't be a great standard of living and the economy, well rip that.
@@awesomecomputers7076 They guy was talking a war situation. North America has steel , food ,oil wood you name it . Even if America was blockaded somehow it would not matter like it did to Britain, Germany and Japan in WW2.
@@awesomecomputers7076
Yeah, but consumer electronics and luxury items are not basic needs, if the war is an existential threat, people can live with that. The US was like that during World War 2, where extensive rationing is enforced. And the world is very reliant on each other, even electronics, the US produced a lot of components that were assembled somewhere else. My graphic card, for example, is "Made in China," but it was diffused in the US, so sanction against the US is very unlikely.
3:28 I love how the US gets away with dropping seven thousand bombs on a country and it still gets considered as a "little" participation.
Because it’s not really that much effort. That’s why some one had the bright idea long ago to take a large amount of explosives without the need to sacrifice a lot of it and drop it out a plane :)
Nice having the largest Navy and Airforce and located on Fortress North America with the Atlantic and Pacific as mots.
@@Crashed131963 dont forget that rural America is basically white Afghanistan and the inner cities are run by gangs. I dare a foreign power to step to that.
@@Bigweave74 The there is the ICBMs saying before we get invaded , nobody is going to win then and everyone is going down.
@@Crashed131963 MAD defeats the entire purpose of warfare: Take land, slaves and resources. Large scale use of nuclear weapons even if used by one side will eventually harm them with inevitable fallout as it rides the jet streams around the globe.
The U.S. orders about 40,000 JDAM kits every year. Not running out any time soon.
Exactly.
That's only a little bit more than what the US spent each year on average, if a larger war broke out, that's a different story, but production could be ramped up after a while.
And JDAMS WERE NOT USED TO WIN FALLUJAH NOR KIRKUT. You don't do battle street to street nor fight tanks or bunkers nor charging trucks with ordance
Who makes High explosive charge for JDAM who makes propellant you know the lead azite for the fuse ( sweden) how about the propellant? Try Israel because we have up our ability to manufacture. Hercules propellants closed the VA arsenal after selling out. Where do we purchase the thousands of acres of land that it takes to produce those ingredients. I am sure you do not want fixes being manufactured in your neighberhood.
It's like throwing cash away for free.
I'd like to point out that the 2020 figures are very low because of covid. Working in the industry, we were affected too. Realistically you could add about 1/3 more to the production rate within 3 months. You just need time to fill the vacant positions and train people in the basics.
The ramp up of production would be way faster now compared to WW2, because of the high degree of automation in the modern economy.
but you would still have to convert the economy from a civilian to a total war time one, which still takes a huge ammount of time.
@@joaquinvonchong1506 That would also be way faster than before. Technological progress and automation really will make WW3 incredible, that is if we got a chance to experience a WW3 and didn't immediately escalate to nuclear armageddon.
One of the big differences between WW1 and WW2 is that most of the belligerents were able to persist on MUCH higher GDP % spending on military in WW2 compared to WW1. Most countries were 65-75% in WW2 compared to 35-50% in WW1, despite the fact that WW1 was arguably more desperate in many ways and included a France that was the main ally instead of an ally that fell quickly. Only 21 years elapsed between WW1 and WW2, now our economy is incredibly advanced, much of it is service econonomy, the ability of our economy to sustain our population at a widely accepted standard/quality of living at an even lower percentage of GDP would probably be outstanding. We could probably get away with 90% defence spending in a WW3 scenario.
@@adamanderson3042 Interesting Point of view, thanks for your input. That said, I was refering to the part time it would to take to convert said industry from a civilian oriented one, to a war oriented one. Interestingly enough, as war components get more complicated, so does their production chain, in the end, somebody must build said machines and retrofit said factories, and it cannot be the average joe. But I never actually considered the GDP POV, so thanks again for the input.
Joaquin Vonchong you wouldn‘t have to change the economy much. Jdams get produced at Boeing in St Charles, which has 905 employees. So if you want to double the output, you wouldn‘t even need a 1000 extra workers and only some maschinery.
@@joaquinvonchong1506 Yeah I think the speed at which machines and people would be repurposed would be much faster with digital information sharing. The war components thing and supply chains being more complicated only impacts you in modern war if you are expected to lose out on access to global supply chains and foriegn supply chains. Countries that are dependent on foreign supply chains for weapons manufacturing don't expect to lose access to that in WW3 and countries that would expect to lose those chains would probably take that into consideration when designing weapons systems, or are lucky enough to share land borders with their major component suppliers e.g. China-Russia.
Fascinating, never seen such a video ever, anywhere
Video Idea: Navy Seals Vs Russian Spetsnaz!
And marines vs VDV
Seals. It’s not a nationalism thing but a question of financing and training. Russian military spending is far below USA. This goes for spending and training on special forces as well.
Navy Seals are overrated Delta Force is better.
@@daemonofdecay Also different tactics, spetznas moves around A LOT during combat
@@daemonofdecay true
Damn man. Lots of research. Kudos and Best Regards!
Chips would be a major problem. Automobile factories are already showing problems with that the chip they are running out of is quite common too.
Good point, Fish&Rice wouldn't quite be the same.
@@tomaar5723 😂
Awesome video
Another excellent presentation!👍👍👍👍
I worked at General Dynamics Ordinance and Tactical Systems just the 500-2000lbs JDAM without giving exact numbers all I can say is we shipped 15k a month to McAlister, Tracy, Red River etc.
ASEAN VS CHINA
Feat. Myanmar Civil War
The US failures on stirring up HK, Thailand, Myanmar make the US position worst
@@PumpkinEater-dm1xx not in our jungles, there will be talking trees and stones. 😆
@@jinpark1092 occupation would be a nightmare for anyone, us and china included. but a actual battle without 3rd party interference, china win easily.
half of asean support china.
Asean are closer to China than to western country , Im from SE Asian.
United States, the king of logistics
I used to agree with this entirely. Now, I can't help but wonder what it takes to keep the Chinese industrial complex running
Great video and analysis.
the video that iwas waiting for thnx man
I'll admit I never thought US bomb stockpile were so massive. I'd have guessed that they'd run out by month 4 or 5 in an all out war. Then again they could see that running out of smart weapons in half a year is very bad and stockpile more to ensure that doesn't happen.
They will run out of ICBMs in the first hour , with no need for anymore weapon after that because WW3 will be over without a winner.
If you're paying for a stockpile the sales are essentially endless. Why stop, ever?
@@Crashed131963 "There'll be no one to save with the world in a grave"
Could you talk about an scenario where micro missile technology is available for counter-drone warfare?
Interesting
@@osamabinladen824 I know right? Wait a minute...
@@FIRE_STORMFOX-3692 What
@@osamabinladen824 D*mm it, we are given the enemy too much info. Or are we:)
The big problem there is probably cost. A little quad drone is one of the cheapest things that can actually fly. So making missiles to shoot them down may actually cost more than the targets without having a 100% kill probability (a drone can counter missiles in several ways, including hiding in ground clutter).
"Only real peace can bring us all together" - I always really appreciate that at the end.
You should have millions of sub bro wtf love you stuff
That's a good joke binkov 😂
It's America no weapons ever run out
merican logistics
@@phoenix1782 America
FUCK YEA!!!
Yesterday American high general said USA don't have enough on TV, hosted on Scandinavian TV, USA have 20+trillion in depth,
When the US runs out of ICBMs the world will glow green from radiation.
@@thebigone9781 And $28 trillion Debt wouldn't do damage to the US because if US economy collapses, so will the world economy, Dollar is still the primary money in the international trade. China currently owns $1 trillion Debt of the US but they can't use it as a weapon.
There's no way a world war would last 3+ years today with inter-continental strike capabilities of all nations involved
Great vid
I mean it also really depends on the type of mission sorties and the requirements of the conflict we are assuming that the use is steady over the months but it would fluctuate heavily dependent on the military planning
You did previously a what if the US navy went back in time, could the still win. What about a opposite, what if the current japanese navy went back in time, could they win the Pacific war
Day 12: we ran out of missiles, and they are still coming. We now have to fight the Iowa with our single 5” deck gun.
@@artruisjoew5473 Don’t you think something similar could happen as in the US scenario In that the fleets crew could teach the imperials how to create crude missiles? Or give them other technological advantages like radar, stealth, engine tech, and just general tech from the future?
@@theluftwaffle1 the tech we produce today cannot be replicated by a 1945 world, because entire industries were absent in 45 to produce the techs we have today.
while the US scenario would face less of a problem since japan did not have anywhere close to the near infinite industrial power the US possessed. in fact japan could not recover from the losses from midway, whereas US easily recovered from pearl harbor, corral sea, etc.
@@artruisjoew5473 Don't even have to worry about the Iowa's. Carrier planes will sink the ships before the BB can get in range.
@@artruisjoew5473,
Modern 5" deck guns have a longer effective range, faster rate of fire, and most importantly are much more accurate than any gun of that era. Whether they could do significant damage is another question though; AP shells for naval guns are understandably scarce today and probably especially so for the JMSDF, as they are still trying to delude themselves that they are a "Self-Defence Force."
As Einstein famously said "I don't know what weapons will be used in the next World War, but the one after that will be fought with sticks and stones."
Obviously paid off by the sticks and stones lobbyists.
Yes, but the logistics behind sticks and stones isn't nearly as complicated.
I like playing strategy games and it’s a common problem to have an acceptable amount of consumables when the war breaks out but then rapidly depleting that stockpile through encounters. The winning side is usually the one that has good allies that can step in briefly while those stockpiles are replenished.
Also discounting currently classified munitions and the lack of necessity for precision. In a total war scenario, MOAB and cluster dispersal systems would be needed for psychological impact and the need to inflict massive damage and casualties. Rail guns have been making great strides, as well as directed energy systems.
First great vid!
Can you do “could modern day Russia survive Operation Barbarossa”
1941's Wehrmacht would stand no chance against modern Russian weapons, communications and equipment, and modern German Armed Forces are too small to invade Russia on their own.
Lol, the 1941 russia survived, why do u think modern russia wont survive
The Soviet flag would be over Reichstag in two weeks.
Is destruction of weapons in storage or during transport a major factor during a near-peer conflict?
Crazy numbers. but I guess it's like that when a big country goes to all out war. Excellent research again!
I'm pretty sure that the US war economy might be able to produce more bombs than they can use them :D
Like WW2 companies that ust to make washing machines made land mines.
@@Crashed131963 Weapons these days are much more complicated than they were back then.
@@RDTheAwesome yep but given enough time it can still be achieved
@@RDTheAwesome So is everything else though.
In a world war scenario, we would see attacks on US infrastructure to a extreme extent compared to any previous war. Not only through direct attacks, which may inflict damage to American facilities in the coastal areas, but also through espionage and electronic warfare, destroying essential machinery necessary for the production of such high precision weapons.
US defense contractor: How many bombs would you like to order?
US armed forces: Yes
DoD accountants: No, we need that money for covering logistics.
U.S. industrial complex: We don't have the manpower to maintain productivity. The people are unwilling to work and have begun to protest in unions.
We actually do have a strategic reserve that we store, but can not use in case of peer warfare. There was a study from a couple of years ago that recommended drastic increases in stockpiling of certain types of ordinance that would run out too soon in total war. I do not know, but hope that it was acted upon. Of course I hope that there is no major war, but as the saying goes, hope for the best, but prepare for the worst.
They do have plenty of stockpiles in the Philippines' islands near SCS. All kinds except for nukes.
Gonna Seconded S. A's proposal, you should definitely cover a total war between Ukraine and Russia in 2021
He already did one: ua-cam.com/video/aMCqq-SoIAo/v-deo.html&ab_channel=Binkov%27sBattlegrounds
Binkov awesome very strong toad
Stronnnk stronk soviet toad
This guy is phenomenol. Outstanding commentary. On the title, smart bombs are complicated to make and expensive. War is pricey.
Don’t worry too much we can make additional ones quite fast.
Indonesia vs myanmar 2021!!
Hey do a video on this. The entire allied force in WWII is replaced by the entire modern US military. (No other countries, just the US military) similar to the video where the entire US pacific navy is replaced by a single modern aircraft carrier group.
It wouldnt even be close. Axis could literally not touch a single american soul
Yes well said at the end, let's hope there wont be any new wars to have to use them.
IF this type of aerial assault was to take place, by the time the 15 month mark has been reached the infrastructure of the opposing force would be so desemated that even sustaining a fighting for would be extremely difficult at best. This would allow the time for production to catch up and other factors, like naval and land assets, to come into play.
I'd love to see a U.S vs Canada and Mexico just to see how it would play out
Not even close to a fair fight. They would both need a juggernaut to help them. America could take Mexico in a month, split Canada in half by 2nd month and within the third month Ottawa would be singing the us natl anthem.
Canada is easier to take than Mexico in practical terms. Unless the government went balls to the wall and relocated to nunavut to keep fighting, every major city except Edmonton is within 100 miles of the border.
I don't think the 2 could make any lasting headway in a war honestly, depending on circumstances and victory conditions. Long borders on 2 completely different front, the allies might be able to make some initial gains if they caught the US off guard but is there any way they could actually hold off any determined counter attack?
That isn't to say I think the US could necessarily successfully invade either due to climate and terrain and such either. End of the day it would probably be a stalemate I think, or otherwise a very very long, grueling US victory if you ignore morale and public opinion and let them have 20 years to subjugate parts of frozen Canada for instance. I may be severally underestimating the Canadian and Mexican armies here tbf, I just don't know if its a fair fight, gun for gun
The sheer size difference between mexician and canadian vs us military is no contest. Combine active and reserves the Can mex alliance can bring a quarter of million troops roughly. Not bad, but US has 1.5 millions troops roughly. And mexico is making up the bulk of can mex alliance. They're troops aren't exactly know for their quality however.
And thus is before we get into the utter material advantage the us will enjoy. Plus the fact that the US will utterly control the skies. complete control of the seas. And has several times the artillery. Essentially the can mex alliance wouldn't last year.
Unless you are talking about occupation efforts?
US wins no question. The US would be able to occopy all the relevant areas of Canada and then push north while a decent chunk of Mexico will be a slogging match through mountains. But US wins, even if Mexico makes them pay for it with blood.
On the subject of running out, any plans for a second run of the Binkov plushie?
Waited to watch this just for the comment section to stack up, forgot my popcorn lol.
Smart Bombs are basicly
GPS Guided
Have support for RADAR, LIDAR and/or IR detection and Guidance!
Some new prototypes use AI to better target hostiles and minimize non-hostile causalities by adjusting angle of attack and adjusting explosion ceiling/proximity and even yield or even release smaller bombs/missiles closer to target but at much lower capacity!
Your English is beautiful! If only my Russian were as good :(..... I salute your hard work to achieve this level of proficiency Gospadin Commisar!
In war production mode I bet we can crank a million a year
military industrial complex: how many bombs?
usa + allies: *Y E S AND TAKE MY MONEY*
Good question.
Indonesia vs malaysia, brunei, philiphines
To me if there aren't many civilians around and the enemy's AA is minimal if it exists at all, use old dumb bombs.
LOL. Right after an Apache gunner does his weapon check in the „ armed „positions the „check“ while pointed at the Air Force ammo point
the same issue could be raised for any type of guided weapons, maybe except naval torpedoes carried by submarines.
Usa vs All of North and South America(Greenland to Chile)
USA wins, but couldn't possibly occupy all of it, so puppet governments are put in place.
US would win but it would be costly to hold everything together since there would be rebellions
no one would win
@@YahyaAhmed-yt7fg no? Same thing happens the US destroys the national governments and militaries of africa but can't occupy a whole freaking continent. The US can smash any military or government as long as they don't have nukes, but they are not capable of holding large territory, insurgency type of resistance is too hard to root out and can last forever. That's why today invasions are so rare you don't gain anything by conquest better to just bomb and smash your enemy and leave them damaged and devastated.
The US is North America.
Syria : *Exists*
America : And I took it personally
Can planes safely land with the bombs on board, or do they need to dump them before landing?
The pentulmate "smart bomb" is just a kit bolted onto a dumb bomb that turns it into a smart bomb (JDAM) You take a Mk 82 (500 lb) to Mk 84 (2000 lb) bomb, bolt a 10K dollar guidance kit onto it and viola, you have a smart bomb. Boeing has produced 430,000 of them and turns out about 130 kits in a day. That's just for JDAM's. Now you have the various LGB's (Laser Guided Bombs) Missiles, (Maverick, SLAM, SLAM-ER etc etc etc).. don't worry, we have plenty of guided munitions, and more being built every day!
"We're running out" doesn't actually mean we're running out, it means we want more and need an excuse to justify the spending.
Yes, and how many times must the cannonballs fly
Before they're forever banned?
The answer, my friend, is blowin' in the wind
The answer is blowin' in the wind
I wouldn't worry as much about guided bombs as more technically complex things. Could we ramp up production of something like F-35Bs to compensate for losses? What about carriers? What about modernized Abrams?
There is a distinct difference between conscripting a million civilians to rivet and weld steel like in a car factory and training a million civilians how to make a stealth multirole strike fighter.
Suggestion:Quad and Nato vs China Russia and North Korea and Iran
What about running out of silicon chips to control these weapons? given most are produced in Asia? Just look at current shortages?
@A dude with a flashlight switching economy type to "war economy" wont magically change anything, its not hoi4
The US has all the mineral deposits and mines to produce electronics, they keep those and rare earth mines mothballed, so not producing but given maintenance to make sure during a crisis they can produce their own for the military. Not to mention the US also has more than enough weapons to bomb and cripple other nations advanced industries and most important of all the US produces as much oil as it needs. Asian nations rely on the middle east for their oil, the only other large power as self sufficient as the US is Russia.
@@duitk They ,ay have the raw minerals but they don't have the chip fabrication plants which are in Asia, Mainly in Taiwan which is likely the first target of China. These fabrication plants take years to build and ramp up to speed..
@A dude with a flashlight
Yes it would as sea trade would be far too dangerous, the problem is land trade is just not as efficient as sea trade, and rail and roadways can be struck as well as their infrastructure. China has nukes though so if they feel like they are losing they can threaten to use them to get a cease fire going. No nation with nukes can truly lose a war as their opponents have to stop at some point before the nukes fly.
@@FredsRandomFinds they have some chip fabrication plants, not too many though they are meant only to service specialist services like the military. The US spends so much on the military partly because it intends to sacrifice aircraft and missiles to take out those chip factories which are huge and there are not many of them, really only a couple and most are in Taiwan and south asia. The US can bomb the chinese ones even if it means sacrificing a few stealth bombers, and then no one can really produce chips for a few years. Really in a way no one wins those wars, infrastructure and factories are destroyed, people die, the economy goes down the drain. Nations should stop their ego contests as it is like have a knuckle fight when you are a child, even the winner ends up in pain.
"Out of smart bombs?"
"Don't worry, change to smart carpet bombing"
It's not like moder planes have GPS guidance and targeting computers making unguided drops not that much more inaccurate. Don't think Carpets will make a return.
Well I remember when someone's bombing some hospital whit 'smart bombs' accidentally.......
@@Deus1Vult America was always good at "accidentally" bombing neutral third parties. Greetings from Switzerland.
Not only "accidentally' some "casualties" and more "collateral damage"......
I would love to see a video about emp. For some reason nobody seems to care about the fact that a single nuke detonated high enough can ruin any electric device in area thousands of kilometres wide.
And there are some small scale emp weapons that can kill drones as effectively as spray kills mosquitos.
Why does anyone invest in drones and what are the defences against such attack? And why nobody seems to talk about it?
The follow up question is what kind of enemy is able to take that much bombing and still be fighting. This depends heavily on how deep into enemy territory B2 missions were able to be run.
This also doesn't discuss the arsenal of large bombs like the MOAB that the US has piled up, or other types of dumb bombs laying around.
We need Bangladesh vs Myanmar war. Please boss.i beg you.
I don't think bd vs mym war is likely to happen
@@twentyonesailors8122 why you Don't thinking
@@breakingdown245 It's because Big Daddy India is there to stop it. It could just occupy border areas between the two and prevent the war. And seeing as India has Investment in those countries, it would do just that.
@@youreminence2179 I do not agree with you. Because India gains after the war.
@@breakingdown245 Do Elaborate on how does India gains from the war.
militaries in the past: yes I lost 20 million people in a single war, why do you ask?
Modern militaries: uhhh, I lost my blomds my pnames are now useless.(
A war that you speak of in this example would bankrupt all involved. Not to mention that hi-tec weaponry breaks down quickly under the stresses of a conflict.
Sounds plausible, as always. Good video.
However, it assumes U.S. production capacity is unharmed.
In WW2 the U.S. was quite self-reliant on resources, but I don't think the same can be said today - even for weapons and their parts. Then there's potential bombing of factories. Even if bomb manufacturing isn't hit directly, resources might have to get shifted towards other industries that did get hit hard.
Last I was this early, the USA still had battleships in their fleet.
yes
Egypt& Sudan vs Ethiopia might enter a war soon ..
Need a Video ASAP
You can check the tension between the 2 sides
Production of bombs can be ramped up today as they were in 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s. Where there is a need, new opportunities exist to create capacity. It won't take years. Just the will. The headlines mentioned were technically a peacetime footing. Those were low intensity wars, not total war where the whole US production infrastructure is mobilized.
Who owns the companies that make the guidance systems on most smart bombs?
Does anyone know how many bomba the usa has currently? If so let me know
its beyond me how such a simple problem can be answered with a 15 minute long essay.
Agree with you, Binkov. Hope it doesn't come to that. But if it does, we still need to have a good cushion. Say, a couple of years cushion. :-)
Can you do a video on a potential WWIII? What would it look like? Maybe go into more depth than in your video "Top hotspots that could spark World War 3?
One thing you kind of mention, obliquely, but never directly, is the lag between the initiation of hostilities and the demand for guided bombs.
Any near peer adversary would have significant AA defense and fighter aircraft. Likely also, a significant naval threat to neutralize. The time it would take to push these threat back to the point that largescale bombing was possible would mean that the factories would be spooling up before usage even began in earnest.
Considering that we've been at war nonstop for over 20yrs now, the ability to increase production of munitions, vehicles and trained operators is higher than at any point in history. While I have nothing but disdain for the people who run the military industrial complex and their goal of forever war, what they have accomplished must be viewed with a horrible respect.
This very much confuses two different things. Guided bombs are add-on systems to standard dumb bombs. Precision standoff munitions are a much different. These guided missiles allow for suppression and destruction of air defense systems without having to enter their engagement basket. These systems are much more complex, have much longer times for development and production ramp up. Worse they are held in much smaller stockpiles and have a much longer time requirements to begin and increase production.
The risk is very limited for JDAMs and LGBs, these are add on packages to standard dumb bombs. Standoff precision munitions, like you need to suppress and destroy air defenses, these are in very limited supply, very limited production, and not quickly produced.
I think we should just use legos.
As instead of cluster munitions to deny infantry an area, we can use LEGOs to deny the enemy the same area with less deadly effects compared to a more than lethal munition.
There might be one factor to consider. Before WWII fully started, there was something called the Phony War, where both sides never really started fighting but more or less aggressively posturing. In the Gulf War, the first 6 months were mainly moving troops in place in preparation for the impending war. If we were to go to war with China or Russia, there would be a similar situation going on where the US would be positioning its Air Force in position around the first island chain. While that’s going on, there would be some smart bomb expenditure, but mostly anti-ship missiles shot from ships, naval strike planes, and bombers. During that time, the US would rapidly expand its production capacity and would employ the Defense Production Act and authorize trillions of dollars in spending to expand production capacity to unseen levels as many production facilities would be modified and created to build weapons and aircraft of all kinds, including strike aircraft and smart bombs.
currently the US has such a massive budget because it knows that unfortunatley China is capable of outproducing the US the only advantage is that innovation is a more rapid prosess there meaning that China would produce far more and the US would have to attempt to counter this with rapid modernisation to avoid beiing overrun
@@enricocarrara4741 well the high budget is to handle any threat as it should come. The US would be capable of producing more stuff. It lets China do it because they can do it cheaper. I’d recommend America finding alternatives
The reality is either side with nuclear weapons will use them when defeat is imminent regardless of how it got to that point of losing.
I only think that they would go nuke if their country was invaded, I think a war between Russia or China vs the US would involve any land invasions, just missile and bomb strikes, air to air combat and naval action
Yes
You forgot counter strikes taking out aircraft & bombs when most vulnerable, on the ground, or via sabotage to the production facilities.
Smart bombs great video. Can we now have one numbers and types of hypersonic missiles advanced anti aircraft missiles and other hi tech systems . Because many people think these weapons are everywhere. 💁🏿♂️
Did you account for lack of rare earth domestic or allied production ?
Using all the old bombs means that they get replaced by modern ones, keeping the arsenal comprised of modern weapons. We had a huge stockpile of very old bombs from the Vietnam era that were finally used up in the Iraq war. They all got replaced by bombs that were decades more modern and taught this lesson. So, of course, running out of any type of ammunition during an all out war is always a problem for any nation, during "peacetime" using up all of the old stuff is a good thing for the military because it gets replaced by brand new stuff.
Back in '96 we had one harpoon missile that we slyly designated non-ordinance or it would have been fired at someone. That missile we shared around the entire Mayport basin, some twenty ships, so we could keep our training certifications up to date. Clinton loved shooting smart weapons at BS targets to make headlines and refused to authorize more production until we actually ran out and Congress forced the purchase of more. That's the thing - production. The plant that manufactures them operates only part time until a large order comes in. Then they hire a lot of people (good wages too) to fill out shifts until the order is filled and then fire them again. A lot of US ordinance manufacture works this way.
Production capacities can be roughly doubled almost overnight.
But you couldn't maintain that level of production at existing facilities indefinitely. You'd need additional plants to be opened up.
Your analysis has some wrong numbers in it, but a key factor you're not considering at all, is that if even half of the guided bombs hit their targets, you'll run into diminishing target supply pretty quickly. Ultimately it's easier to make bombs than it is to make targets.
My small city in south Serbia was hit by 250 bombs, and still there are alot of old military bases or buildings that are abandoned and were not even hit. Overal 1000 military buildings were bombed in entire country and still alot of them were not. Communists went crazy with building those structures in 60s and 70s, alot are empty today.. You wonder if NATO would have even started the bombing if there weren't so many targets in every city.. also around 80 bridges were bombed, which is insane for a small country.