The Strange Way China Got its Nukes...

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  • Опубліковано 8 гру 2023
  • Dive into the captivating saga of China's nuclear journey! From Soviet collaboration to independent innovation, witness the rise of a nuclear powerhouse. Explore technology, policies, and the future landscape.
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    Casual Criminalist: / thecasualcriminalist
    Decoding the Unknown: / @decodingtheunknown2373

КОМЕНТАРІ • 944

  • @havocgr1976
    @havocgr1976 5 місяців тому +115

    Your why question was oversimplified, after WW2 China wanted to take back Taiwan and it was stopped because the USA threatened to nuke em.That made it pretty clear that they d need nukes of their own.

    • @voidvector
      @voidvector 5 місяців тому +43

      Not just Taiwan, top Pentagon officials seriously considered it as an option during the Korean War, but it was opposed by civilian leadership. So much so it was one of the reasons that lead to firing of General MacArthur. (Ref: Wikipedia "Relief of Douglas MacArthur")

    • @hargydon
      @hargydon 5 місяців тому +17

      @@voidvector US also threatened to use nukes in Viet Nam too, but France (the formaer colonial power of that region) rejected the proposal.

    • @masterchinese28
      @masterchinese28 5 місяців тому +23

      @@voidvector Yep. McArthur famously asked for 50 of them, after which his retirement ceremony was hastily arranged.

    • @havocgr1976
      @havocgr1976 5 місяців тому +3

      Oh yes, MacArthur really wanted it.@@voidvector

    • @JinghisKhan
      @JinghisKhan 5 місяців тому +17

      @@havocgr1976 A lot of military folks back then just saw the atomic bomb as another weapon in the arsenal, albeit a big one that did a magnitude more damage in one go. The concept of MAD and the reluctance to use nukes in general didn't come till the mid to late 70s when both the US and the USSR had ICBM arsenals that would render a nuclear war moot in terms of winners and losers.

  • @dergon4796
    @dergon4796 5 місяців тому +92

    I’m incredibly happy that the audio normalization between videos has been fixed but the radio/tv segments really don’t work, especially for those of us that throw videos on in the background/primarily listen.

    • @matt3570
      @matt3570 4 місяці тому +1

      I'm pretty sure he's heard this complaint by now and is probably going to adjust, it's just that a lot of his content is also made months in advance. He likes to keep up a backlog of content, and this is one of the cons to that.

    • @dergon4796
      @dergon4796 4 місяці тому

      @@matt3570 I understand all of the videos are long lead times, but two things, first, this comment was 2 weeks ago, and second their editing style has not changed for their recent situation room episodes which do not have long lead ups.

    • @matt3570
      @matt3570 4 місяці тому +1

      @@dergon4796 1. You do realize months are longer than weeks right? I said most of these outside of situation room are filmed and edited a couple MONTHS in advance.
      2. Considering the last situation room was literally filmed in his hotel while on vacation and has never even used the stacked TV distorted audio effect in question, I think it's kinda hard to claim it has just the same style.

    • @jgs_gamestudio9096
      @jgs_gamestudio9096 4 місяці тому +2

      He needs to take breathes between sentences

  • @buckhorncortez
    @buckhorncortez 5 місяців тому +87

    “Diplomacy without arms is like music without instruments.” - Frederick the Great. This has been a fact for thousands of years. Hyskos' invasion of Eqypt in 1630 BCE is only one example.

    • @ConnorNolan
      @ConnorNolan 5 місяців тому +4

      So basically acapella

    • @jfbeam
      @jfbeam 4 місяці тому

      Have you ever gone mad _without_ power? It's boring. Nobody listens to you!

    • @billant2
      @billant2 2 місяці тому +2

      Another good one is "Trust but verify!". ;)

    • @krashd
      @krashd Місяць тому

      @@billant2 I wish more people did that nowadays, on the right especially the new motto seems to be "Trust everything and spread it across social media".

    • @billant2
      @billant2 Місяць тому

      @@krashd- Unfortunately it's both left and right nowadays.

  • @thehandsomemikey
    @thehandsomemikey 5 місяців тому +165

    I really love all of your channels/videos, I'm pretty sure I've seen them all at this point. My one complaint is this recent thing that's been added where sections of the videos switch to the wall of TVs and the audio gets really loud and harsh. It's hard to understand what's being said and it makes it VERY difficult to watch late at night while trying to relax in bed because of the spike in volume and harshness of the audio. Big fan of everything else though, thank you for all the amazing content.

    • @Ayenima
      @Ayenima 5 місяців тому +20

      Seriously I've seen so many complaints about that little effect and somehow it still persists in every freaking new video. Nobody likes it! The editor needs to be told to cut that crap out already.

    • @user-un8tv1pp8m
      @user-un8tv1pp8m 5 місяців тому +7

      Its not like "Simon Whistler" is more than a host-for-hire who reads scripts out into a camera and has no further impact on nearly all stuff published with his face in. Dude is not a youtuber but talking head youtube firms rent.
      But I guess the producers have some social media interaction folks who filter comment sections back to editing and marketing.

    • @Durp-E-Derp
      @Durp-E-Derp 5 місяців тому +6

      Fully agree, the old timey radio/tv bits are not only more difficult to understand (especially when im nearly deaf in one ear), but it is also somewhat quite shocking, and usually gets my dog going crazy, for some reason haha

    • @Ass_of_Amalek
      @Ass_of_Amalek 5 місяців тому

      @@user-un8tv1pp8m whistler's megaprojects channel thinks that hyperloop is real, his sideprojects channel thinks it's a scam...

    • @jaketheauroran
      @jaketheauroran 5 місяців тому +4

      came here just for that.
      I listen to this as audio-only a lot of the time, and it is SO annoying

  • @oorzuis1419
    @oorzuis1419 5 місяців тому +51

    Simon's last words are memorable 'No one stupid enough,
    as we watch over how the world's politics change.

    • @SkepticalTeacher
      @SkepticalTeacher 4 місяці тому +3

      Oh yeah. Some people take that as a challenge! 😂

    • @billant2
      @billant2 2 місяці тому

      I'm not so much afraid of "someone pushing the button" on purpose, as much as someone making a mistake. :(

  • @andyspoo2
    @andyspoo2 4 місяці тому +25

    The theory of making a nuclear bomb is pretty simple. Create a perfect sphere of a highly radio active material and surround it with a another sphere of explosive with numerous detonators. The hard bit is making that radioactive sphere free from contaminates and making the detonators explode at exactly the same time to compress the radioactive sphere.

    • @MaskOfMockery
      @MaskOfMockery 4 місяці тому +1

      Fat man design, right?

    • @samoak123
      @samoak123 4 місяці тому +6

      FBI, open up!

    • @uraniumcranium2613
      @uraniumcranium2613 2 місяці тому

      There is a bit more to it than that lol. Theory aside, even if you had the materials in front of you, I doubt you would get aything to work.

    • @trawmmwart8149
      @trawmmwart8149 2 місяці тому +1

      easy to say, hard to implement. LOL

    • @Sergiblacklist
      @Sergiblacklist 2 місяці тому

      That's the difficult one the simple one is plutonium bullet method

  • @hernanifarias5356
    @hernanifarias5356 3 місяці тому +3

    simon thank you. this video is clear concise and well presented. See you can do proper informative videos

  • @HyBr1dRaNg3r
    @HyBr1dRaNg3r 5 місяців тому +109

    If the nuclear age was a gigantic appendage measuring contest, the use of “dong” in china’s devices is hilarious to me😂

    • @jakebak3008
      @jakebak3008 5 місяців тому +6

      This comment is gold

    • @YouTube_user3333
      @YouTube_user3333 5 місяців тому +16

      China’s first nuke was called “Long dong” 😂
      (Probably)

    • @Therea1Stig
      @Therea1Stig 5 місяців тому +8

      Release the dongs!

    • @Ass_of_Amalek
      @Ass_of_Amalek 5 місяців тому +6

      some north korean ones, too. probably the funniest is the relatively tiny 1500km range nodong.

    • @tomsewell2462
      @tomsewell2462 5 місяців тому +6

      "The Girls" I know in the Phippines have a joke about Xi-nese. They laugh saying; "Three minutes, three inches, Three thousand Pesos!

  • @user-em2pe3rf4h
    @user-em2pe3rf4h 5 місяців тому +85

    Someday they'll do an episode of Megaprojects about Simon's arsenal of UA-cam channels. So very dangerous... accidentally mix any...Megablaze.

  • @tylerwarner7837
    @tylerwarner7837 4 місяці тому +15

    I'm not sure it fits into the exact specifications of what you meant by nuclear disarmament but Canada had hundreds of nuclear warheads as well during the cold War era (Though as far as I know we didn't build any, they were from the states) but we by all definitions a nuclear capable and armed nation. We were largely involved in the process and even built one of the first nuclear capable jet planes (Avro Arrow) and then later disarmed.

    • @MegaSupernowa
      @MegaSupernowa 4 місяці тому

      I haven't found a single source confirming that Canada is nuclear capable

    • @_hotneutron_
      @_hotneutron_ 4 місяці тому

      Canada didn't build those nukes. Canada didn't have the launch codes in either peace time or war time. Just like Germany "has" some nukes on their lands, in US military bases, even today. Nobody calls Germany a "nuclear capable and armed nation". The "disarmament" is actually withdrawn deployment by the US.

    • @bassett_green
      @bassett_green 4 місяці тому +2

      That would mean you have to include Cuba, Turkey, Japan, Australia, Algeria, etc etc etc

    • @chaklatech
      @chaklatech 3 місяці тому

      Canada has no uranium enrichment facilities , by definition they are not nuclear capable; they just had nukes

    • @Kirovets7011
      @Kirovets7011 2 місяці тому +1

      Hello, someone from the Netherlands here.
      We also have nukes, (type B61), but they are in storage. And that's it.
      On one of our airforce bases we have a number of bunkers where they are stored.
      Every 3 months, a small group of engineers from the US Airforce, come here to inspect the condition of the nukes. And this is happening for decades, so we're used to it.

  • @kennethnielsen3864
    @kennethnielsen3864 5 місяців тому +1

    Thanks for sharing.

  • @ignitionfrn2223
    @ignitionfrn2223 5 місяців тому +81

    1:00 - Chapter 1 - Early years & soviet influence
    3:15 - Chapter 2 - Project 596
    4:50 - Chapter 3 - Evolution & expansion
    7:55 - Chapter 4 - Policy & doctrine
    9:20 - Chapter 5 - Technological advancements
    12:25 - Chapter 6 - Agreements & diplomacy

    • @bigchungus1513
      @bigchungus1513 5 місяців тому +3

      whats the name of the song that played at the start of the video? ive heard it in all these history videos but they never list it anywhere.

    • @KristiyanKuilikov
      @KristiyanKuilikov 5 місяців тому

      Yes, could somebody please tell.@@bigchungus1513

    • @DJP-ph7yj
      @DJP-ph7yj 5 місяців тому +1

      Chinese took over, version 2 of doctrine in effect....... your perspective is irrelevant

    • @Ass_of_Amalek
      @Ass_of_Amalek 5 місяців тому +2

      @@bigchungus1513 darude-sandstorm

    • @starraidz791
      @starraidz791 5 місяців тому +1

      Why do they not use the sorting that UA-cam offers? Can’t they set their own descriptions for the time stamps? Linus and a bunch of other yts small and big do it. I guess they just don’t?

  • @jaskaasi
    @jaskaasi 5 місяців тому +14

    ukraine and kazakstan didn't have launch codes or any tech to maintain them, they were paperweight and most likely not viable to fix

    • @neuropilot7310
      @neuropilot7310 5 місяців тому +5

      They could "potentially" have used their own trigger units, effectively bypassing the codes. This is not an easy, simple or cheap option.
      Ukraine (and Kazakhstan) needed western economic assistance after the fall of the Soviet Union, so had to give up their nukes.
      Personally, I think Ukraine should have the right to re-obtain tactical nukes, as part of any future security agreements.

    • @mwdouglas3794
      @mwdouglas3794 5 місяців тому +4

      ​@@neuropilot7310I agree with you about Ukraine being able to get some tactical nukes. After Russia broke the Budapest Memorandum, there is no reason they shouldn't be able to.

    • @robertpatrick3350
      @robertpatrick3350 5 місяців тому +3

      Irrelevant it wouldn’t have taken them long to remove those systems

    • @jaskaasi
      @jaskaasi 5 місяців тому +1

      @@mwdouglas3794 there are other threatys in place that blocks them of getting them, sure tgey could develop their own but not during these conditions

    • @vaughnmaycock4504
      @vaughnmaycock4504 5 місяців тому +5

      Ukraine was no backwards, technologically or industrially deprived nation. They had a well developed aerospace industry. Figuring out how to repurpose a bomb on one of their own existing missiles, would not have been that hard. They just never believed they had a need to waste money on that. They were wrong.

  • @williammurray1341
    @williammurray1341 5 місяців тому +3

    Living in extreme northern Japan in the early 70s found us staying indoors after the occasional open air testing.

  • @Chilled_Mackers
    @Chilled_Mackers 5 місяців тому +47

    That horrendous TV voice edit is horrendously high pitched and waaay louder than the rest of the video - mai gawd.

    • @dearthditch
      @dearthditch 5 місяців тому +2

      It hurts my ears. And then going back to normal is just jarring

  • @hikaruduthie6850
    @hikaruduthie6850 5 місяців тому +927

    Enjoying the video but can we stop the TV edit, it so bad

    • @sabadores
      @sabadores 5 місяців тому +78

      Bro it lasted like 45 seconds 😂

    • @alanhelton
      @alanhelton 5 місяців тому +57

      Yeah 5:05… please just don’t. It’s worse than David talking.

    • @xyrt99
      @xyrt99 5 місяців тому +58

      It’s still annoying and bad

    • @PhreekPestilence
      @PhreekPestilence 5 місяців тому +27

      Agreed

    • @Ass_of_Amalek
      @Ass_of_Amalek 5 місяців тому +28

      simon not talking the way he does nowadays as opposed to his more normal speech in old videos would also be neat. I need to speed him up to at least 1.75x now to bear it. it's ridiculous, what does he think he is doing?

  • @Nathan-vt1jz
    @Nathan-vt1jz 5 місяців тому +36

    I have a different perspective on major world powers all having nukes. I think it prevents broader wars between the major powers. Instead we get proxy wars, not a good thing but definitely better than large wars between superpowers. So far it has been worth it, but that’s the kicker - if war does ever break out between nuclear powers it will be really really bad.

    • @jedaaa
      @jedaaa 5 місяців тому +4

      Border skirmishes aren't usually worth fighting over, the thing that really prevents major conflict is integrated economic interests and trade.

    • @Nathan-vt1jz
      @Nathan-vt1jz 5 місяців тому +8

      @@jedaaaI think they are both factors.

    • @jedaaa
      @jedaaa 5 місяців тому +2

      @@Nathan-vt1jz Well China almost never steps beyond its borders historically, same with Russia, Britain and France have a much worse track record for that, the only Border dispute india has is with Kashmir and Pakistan can be so unstable and fractured internally they're more likely to nuke themselves than anyone else . The US has 700+ military bases all over the world already and has so many nations in economic strangle holds they have little incentive to upset the status quo .

    • @Nathan-vt1jz
      @Nathan-vt1jz 5 місяців тому +5

      @@jedaaaI disagree with everything you said in that statement. I agree that economics is part of deterrence and am happy to agree to disagree agreeably about the value of nuclear deterrence.

    • @jedaaa
      @jedaaa 5 місяців тому +1

      @@Nathan-vt1jz Well modern history agrees with me, the only 2 counties to make nuclear threats recently are North Korea to Japan and the U.S to North Korea and neither threat was border related and were also obviously just posturing .

  • @richardm2661
    @richardm2661 5 місяців тому +17

    War….war never changes.

  • @DaveNarn
    @DaveNarn 5 місяців тому +36

    Someone once said.. "On the issue of peace, I am long past innocence and fast approaching apathy. It's all a game -- a paper fantasy of names and borders."

    • @bobdobbs6969
      @bobdobbs6969 5 місяців тому

      It's certainly a fantasy when we have 8 billion people and counting. The laws of chaos and large numbers apply. We are battling against natural limits which, we will succumb to, in one way or another.

    • @user-em2pe3rf4h
      @user-em2pe3rf4h 5 місяців тому +2

      Now that is weapons grade truth. That's why in 2024 I'm voting for the Gigantic Meteor/Massive Solar Flare ticket. Any vote is just a letter to Santa. There's really only 1 party, The Corporate Party. Now, please excuse me, I have to go back to my St. Vitus dance...

  • @jeffputman3504
    @jeffputman3504 4 місяці тому +26

    2 weeks after China's first nuke test in 1964, there was a snowfall in the USA. People were saying, "Don't eat the snow! It has fallout in it!" The actual level of radioactivity was too low to be measured.

    • @carbonized5114
      @carbonized5114 2 місяці тому

      ahah same thing in China when Japan released their filtered irradiated water. Men in black said it well, a person is smart but people, well people are panicky fools prone to believe whatever they are told.
      People used to believe Potatoes were poisonous, the reason was most likely idiots eating the stalk/leaves of the potato plant which is poisonous. So it took awhile for potatos to catch on in Europe.
      Crazy thing is I don't think China is a threat at all. There is a saying in China "If you can cheat, then cheat."
      It's ingrained in their culture, and shows in EVERY project they do, including military.
      Having a nuclear bomb doesn't matter much if you have no capability to make it land on another country.

    • @billant2
      @billant2 2 місяці тому +1

      It was a "puny" 20 kiloton fission device.

    • @krashd
      @krashd Місяць тому

      That's because Americans, primarily right wing Americans, are terrified of everything. Every time there's a nuclear accident somewhere they think the sky is going to fall in on them and they start throwing the word boycott around.

  • @andreypetrov4868
    @andreypetrov4868 5 місяців тому +17

    The way you present your video is amazing. I am not even talking about how accurate and unbiased information provided in this video is.

  • @studio326-
    @studio326- 5 місяців тому +3

    I did a video on Project 596 several months ago when I visited an old uranium mine in China...

    • @tofdao
      @tofdao 20 днів тому

      The mine? Where's it?

    • @studio326-
      @studio326- 20 днів тому

      @@tofdao take a look at the videos, in the first one there are some maps...

  • @ran0427
    @ran0427 5 місяців тому +2

    Little intense on the old timey TV effect around 5:00 guys, otherwise thanks for the video!

  • @therearenoshortcuts9868
    @therearenoshortcuts9868 4 місяці тому +4

    @3:30
    that horse-mask is Fire LOL

  • @DecanFrost
    @DecanFrost 5 місяців тому +3

    i wish the editor would stop the annoying sound distortion.
    we're trying to enjoy some story time here and you're interrupting it.
    5:05

  • @rjb10101
    @rjb10101 5 місяців тому +9

    their missiles aren't pointy enough

  • @strandedtimetraveler8435
    @strandedtimetraveler8435 3 місяці тому +2

    Simon, your editors are costing you likes with cheesey editing effects.

  • @jakedee4117
    @jakedee4117 5 місяців тому +25

    It's not a very strange way, is it?
    I thought you were going to do something about the Chinese scientists who worked in the USA including on the Manhattan project who wanted to return home after the revolution but were blocked from leaving. On version of that story I heard involved China trading American agents captured in Tibet for their release.

    • @lagrangewei
      @lagrangewei 5 місяців тому +5

      the english history whitewash these fact.... but the world remembers....

    • @peteford7258
      @peteford7258 5 місяців тому

      You mean, Qian Xuesen, who was detained as a possible spy and returned in exchange for US pilots from the Korean War being held by China in 1955. Looks like he was a Communist spy the whole time.

    • @feamsr00
      @feamsr00 5 місяців тому +1

      Yo @jakedee4117 you can't be sneaky about this. If you're not a troll drop the scientists names here or a project label and then @ the channel. Else you're stirring the pot for s&g.
      @lagrangewei the world remembers what it wants to remember. Figure out why that is. Then do something about it.

    • @pagelu-mt7rh
      @pagelu-mt7rh 5 місяців тому +8

      China exchanged Qian for 11 American agents who had been arrested in connection with the plane accident. Qian later invented the Qian Xuesen Ballistic, making China the owner of the most difficult hypersonic missile to intercept.

    • @user-dz7mf9jg3h
      @user-dz7mf9jg3h 5 місяців тому +2

      The version circulating in China is that China exchanged American soldiers captured during the Korean War for Chinese scientists to return home.

  • @_c_y_p_3
    @_c_y_p_3 5 місяців тому +9

    Love you and your team’s work. No better way to finish off a Saturday night! Thanks!

  • @iitzfizz
    @iitzfizz 5 місяців тому +8

    Their first bomb was a uranium implosion weapon rather than a plutonium implosion weapon. I wonder why they didn't just go with the gun type since they were using Uranium . maybe because it's inefficient or it was important to get the technique down for the implosions since they would need the tech anyway.

    • @christycullen2355
      @christycullen2355 4 місяці тому +4

      Seeing how wildly inefficient the gun type was in terms of percentage of material to go super critical I'd say it had something to do with that

    • @keithammleter3824
      @keithammleter3824 2 місяці тому

      The Americans were the first - the pioneers. As such there was a lot of risk that any given type of bomb or type of fuel would not work, so they tried as many things as they could think of. Two different kinds of bomb with different fuels, and many different ways of making fuel (calutron separation, gas diffusion separation, pile reactors to make plutonium, etc).
      Later players such as the USSR knew the that US had shown all these methods work, but some work better than others.

    • @tofdao
      @tofdao 20 днів тому

      Choosing the hard way is always better.

  • @wolfiemuse
    @wolfiemuse 5 місяців тому +2

    Guys remember these videos are produced months in advance. They may not have had time to stop doing the TV effect yet

  • @murrayscott9546
    @murrayscott9546 5 місяців тому +1

    Right that wrong ! Keep on rockin' inda Free World.

  • @lolocemoipopo7537
    @lolocemoipopo7537 5 місяців тому +60

    It is more difficult to manufacture 3 nanometer chips than getting nuclear missiles.

    • @adamredwine774
      @adamredwine774 5 місяців тому +4

      And China would like to use its nuclear missiles to acquire all those 3 nanometer chip factories.

    • @lolocemoipopo7537
      @lolocemoipopo7537 5 місяців тому +11

      @@adamredwine774 in Huawei is the number one company for patents every year... Without using nukes. In fact the two occurrences where nukes were used purposely against human population were when the USA used them against Japan.

    • @adamredwine774
      @adamredwine774 5 місяців тому +10

      @@lolocemoipopo7537 The term "use" in English has broad meaning. China "uses" its nuclear weapons merely by having them. They provide a deterrence affect.

    • @lolocemoipopo7537
      @lolocemoipopo7537 5 місяців тому

      China is already producing 7 nm equivalent and with the new ssmb factory they will certainly attain at least 5nm scale.... Without using nukes.

    • @user-nw3bj4yh5u
      @user-nw3bj4yh5u 5 місяців тому +3

      Nuclear missiles need 500 nm chips. No need for 3nm. From A to B via beidou does not require many functions

  • @RR-us2kp
    @RR-us2kp 5 місяців тому +4

    Make a video about the South African nuclear program please

  • @brettatton
    @brettatton 4 місяці тому +1

    Correct me if I'm wrong but the first US hydrogen bomb was not a deliverable weapon. I assume that was the one called Ivy Mike?

  • @watb8689
    @watb8689 12 годин тому

    df-51 is already in service, though not mentioned to the public

  • @kayare4522
    @kayare4522 5 місяців тому +4

    Didn’t Libya also abandon their nuclear programme?

  • @MrAdamArce
    @MrAdamArce 5 місяців тому +8

    Please stop doing the "old-time TV broadcast" sound effect. It gets really loud on the high end and is just annoying.

  • @loquat44-40
    @loquat44-40 5 місяців тому +1

    Excellent

  • @mohammedsaysrashid3587
    @mohammedsaysrashid3587 5 місяців тому +1

    Informative episode about Chinese atomic Arsenals...

  • @slimdarcy9503
    @slimdarcy9503 5 місяців тому +12

    I'm curious as too when the U.S military laser weapon systems will make missiles obsolete. Seems like it can't happen fast enough and would love to see a video about it

    • @longhairdontcare122
      @longhairdontcare122 4 місяці тому +4

      When it's no longer possible or convenient to pretend they can't.

    • @alphadog9211
      @alphadog9211 4 місяці тому +4

      Bro they act like the energy weapons are so far away, it's probably been perfected years ago but they don't want others developing them

    • @warpigs9069
      @warpigs9069 4 місяці тому +2

      ​@@alphadog9211it's not perfected. But it's markedly better than the ones we made in the 80's which were produced with volatile chemical mixes. Lasers are currently great at shooting lower altitude stuff out of the sky (like drones) but range is the current limiter.

    • @JohnnyWednesday
      @JohnnyWednesday 4 місяці тому

      If the US can achieve a perfect first strike? the other powers would have no choice to attack before it was achieved - because they absolutely believe the US would destroy them.

    • @MaskOfMockery
      @MaskOfMockery 4 місяці тому +2

      If nuclear missiles become obsolete, what's the next WMD? Portable nuclear weapons that can be sneaked by a person? Anti-matter weapons?

  • @Philfluffer
    @Philfluffer 5 місяців тому +3

    What’s the point of signing a treaty when you have no intention of adhering to it? Also, after signing the treaty, the US did reduce the number of nuclear warheads in its arsenal.

    • @MinusMOD98
      @MinusMOD98 5 місяців тому +1

      It's just symbolic - but yeah, politics and diplomacy are weird.

  • @irwainnornossa4605
    @irwainnornossa4605 5 місяців тому +2

    24h time format!

  • @kylemaolinson9417
    @kylemaolinson9417 5 місяців тому +2

    can you do china's space program?

  • @Director_Orson_Krennic
    @Director_Orson_Krennic 5 місяців тому +4

    Fact Boy delivers again

    • @statementleaver8095
      @statementleaver8095 5 місяців тому

      UK 1st H = 0.9mt yield
      Bikini atol
      Lead scientist = Penny
      Windscale incident!!

  • @gariochsionnach2608
    @gariochsionnach2608 5 місяців тому +3

    Why left out Israel for the list of nuclear states?

    • @statementleaver8095
      @statementleaver8095 5 місяців тому

      Never been Weaponised
      Power use only
      Got the stockpile to Create but not the Technology to attack

    • @jakedee4117
      @jakedee4117 5 місяців тому

      Moredechi Vanunu revealed the existence of Israeli nuclear weapons in 1986. He worked in the weapons facility and provided both testimony and photographs to the press. He was abducted by Mossad, taken back to Israel and convicted of treason and espionage in a closed trial and served 18 years. That's pretty steep for spreading false information. @@statementleaver8095

    • @KonradvonHotzendorf
      @KonradvonHotzendorf 5 місяців тому +1

      ​@@statementleaver8095They have them

    • @statementleaver8095
      @statementleaver8095 5 місяців тому

      @@KonradvonHotzendorf No.....Just like IRAN They have "CORES" !!
      Fusion materials AKA Warheads from power stations

    • @JonMartinYXD
      @JonMartinYXD 5 місяців тому +1

      He didn't. Watch it again, he includes Israel.

  • @karoltakisobie6638
    @karoltakisobie6638 5 місяців тому +1

    In 70s there was a lot of talk about french helping out chinese with nukes.

  • @The_ZeroLine
    @The_ZeroLine 4 місяці тому

    BTW, zero chance the Donfeng-5 had a CEP of 100-200 meters (circular area of probability).

  • @huwzebediahthomas9193
    @huwzebediahthomas9193 5 місяців тому +9

    It's all in text books now.
    The tricky bit is building the various equipment, and try notting to irradiate yourself.

  • @Jayjay-qe6um
    @Jayjay-qe6um 5 місяців тому +17

    "Nuclear weapons offer us nothing but a balance of terror, and a balance of terror is still terror." -- George Wald

  • @JamesChenisKing
    @JamesChenisKing 4 місяці тому

    Why was italy and turkey highlighted? Do they allow them to based there or something?

  • @richardcontinijr9661
    @richardcontinijr9661 5 місяців тому +4

    Putting Kazakhstan and Ukraine in the same category as South Africa is dumb.
    Kazakhstan and Ukraine did not make their own nuclear weapons. They didn't maintain them. They didn't even control access to them.
    Those weapons were made by Russia and Russian troops controlled them. Kazakhstan and Ukraine didn't have the ability to maintain or deploy them. A nuclear weapon is not only useless but a tremendous liability if you don't have a capacity to maintain or use them.
    South Africa on the other hand made their own bombs. They had complete control of their bombs. South African troops were the ones who would deploy them. By giving up its nuclear weapons South Africa did what no other country has ever done.

    • @ProckerDark
      @ProckerDark 5 місяців тому

      The whites is south Africa didn't want the blacks to have nukes

  • @jmtradbr
    @jmtradbr 5 місяців тому +3

    Having nuclear weapons makes any current and future enemies think twice before trying anything.

    • @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988
      @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988 5 місяців тому +1

      as seen in israel huh?

    • @jmtradbr
      @jmtradbr 5 місяців тому +2

      @@nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988 nukes are good for enemies far away. it doesn't help when the enemy is too close. if you try to use you will hit yourself.

    • @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988
      @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988 5 місяців тому +1

      @@jmtradbr currently iran is israel's most dangerous enemy

  • @foxale08
    @foxale08 5 місяців тому +2

    Ukraine didn't have the codes to the (Russian) nukes they had custody of. Time and resources permitting I'm sure they could have eventually worked around that though. As I understand it the Russians were using some form of Permissive Action Link technology gifted from the US. Otherwise non-nuclear states can physically hold on to weapons but can't physically use them without authorization from their nuclear ally.

  • @willemstrydom6281
    @willemstrydom6281 5 місяців тому

    Don't hate on the TV switch over at 05:05 . I could be completely wrong, but It's the words that are said. When distorted it's more difficult to pick up. For example, try using Shazam in traffic. I assume its the word with the second letter in the alphabet that is the issue.

  • @jimc.goodfellas226
    @jimc.goodfellas226 5 місяців тому +13

    I love how ubiquitous this guys channels are...like, at this point the topics of the videos don't even have to match the name of the channel

    • @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988
      @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988 5 місяців тому +1

      aside from today "into the shadows" has become a shadow of its former self

    • @jedimindtrix2142
      @jedimindtrix2142 5 місяців тому +11

      Development of nuclear weapons definitely qualifies as a "mega project" my friend.

  • @tishasolomon6173
    @tishasolomon6173 5 місяців тому +11

    If the world was not trying to kill each other and just work together as a planet we would have been so far a head technically and solve world hunger and other issues 😊

    • @samanthajones4877
      @samanthajones4877 5 місяців тому

      The only way for that to happen is if there is one world leader controlling all pieces of land as one country.

    • @samanthajones4877
      @samanthajones4877 5 місяців тому

      Back in the day, china was always at war within itself until one emperor fought and won which United the country.

  • @jackson857
    @jackson857 4 місяці тому +1

    16:39 That's not very reassuring because as Albert Einstein said, “Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”

  • @jmesfoster6582
    @jmesfoster6582 Місяць тому

    Simon I've got to say i didn't like the cut the older television sets

  • @300ZCorradoVR6Z
    @300ZCorradoVR6Z 4 місяці тому +33

    Didn't the nuclear weapons in Ukraine actually belong to the old Soviet union and not to Ukraine itself?

    • @sfalhilsajd
      @sfalhilsajd 4 місяці тому +5

      I’m not pretty sure how to apply the term old Soviet Union to that but I’m sure that those nukes were fully controlled by Kremlin and also that their warheads were almost expired

    • @BCDC78
      @BCDC78 3 місяці тому +7

      I think you’re correct. Ukraine got independence on the condition it relinquish its nukes.

    • @LOTUG98
      @LOTUG98 3 місяці тому +5

      And Ukraine was the Soviet Union 🙄

    • @jordanhicken7812
      @jordanhicken7812 2 місяці тому +6

      Ukraine was *part of* of the Soviet Union but by 1991 it no longer existed. Who owned what was up for debate…

    • @Joe-ud6oi
      @Joe-ud6oi 2 місяці тому +1

      They belonged to Ukraine however

  • @edenko410
    @edenko410 5 місяців тому +193

    The government has really called things more difficult for its citizens, and we can't sit back and bear all the consequences of the bad governance. It's obvious we are headed for inflation,it is always the poor who take the hit.

    • @Woetzel
      @Woetzel 5 місяців тому +1

      The wisest thought that is in everyone's minds today is to invest in different income flows that do not depend on the government, especially with the current economic crisis around the world. This is still a good time to invest in gold, silver and digital currencies (BTC, ETH.... stock,silver and gold)

    • @CalderonStemper
      @CalderonStemper 5 місяців тому +1

      So much pain in my heart due to so many debts. How can I go about it!! would really appreciate it if you show me how to go about it. Please what crypto should I buy, how can I do it?

    • @WaltermireAragaki
      @WaltermireAragaki 5 місяців тому +1

      ​@@CalderonStemperAs a newbie you'll need to invest in a company that is working towards sustainability, like that of expert Tara Elizabeth, and her abilities in handling investments are top notch

    • @Merrigan469
      @Merrigan469 5 місяців тому

      I'm Canadian, how can I get in touch with Mrs Tara Elizabeth Stewart?

    • @user-le3vb1ck8m
      @user-le3vb1ck8m 5 місяців тому

      ​Yeah, Bitcoin. Ha.

  • @daijones5558
    @daijones5558 2 місяці тому

    Why is italy highlighted at the start?

  • @yakacm
    @yakacm 5 місяців тому +1

    South Africa is highlighted on the map of countries posses atomic weapons, but Simon didn't list them as a nuclear power. They have always denied they had a nuclear program. Israel are the same, they have never confirmed having nukes, and have never tested a nuclear bomb.

    • @shihtzu291
      @shihtzu291 5 місяців тому

      South Africa did test Nuclear weapons on an island with collaboration with Israel on an island in the Indian ocean but they were and the Ukraine the only countries to volunteer to abandon them. 🇬🇧

    • @geraldlekhowane8736
      @geraldlekhowane8736 5 місяців тому

      @@shihtzu291 There's no evidence whether they gave up all Nukes that's why Obama wanted South Africa give up their Program plant to the Atomic energy agency for further investigation..South Africa refused

  • @andrewdubose9968
    @andrewdubose9968 5 місяців тому +3

    Asianometry covered this topic way better

  • @kkloikok
    @kkloikok 5 місяців тому +47

    NFU isnt "no first use". It means "No, fuck U *launches nukes*"

    • @smalltime0
      @smalltime0 5 місяців тому +9

      Okay General Ripper

  • @witheringgaze1106
    @witheringgaze1106 3 місяці тому

    Oooooh yeah... PLEASE don't do that scratchy tv/radio thing again.
    Headphones +mild audio processing issues meant that cut like a knife. Actually painful and soured an otherwise great video.

  • @yanchan9711
    @yanchan9711 5 місяців тому +3

    Considering that the US Air Force deployed nuclear missiles in Taiwan since 1957, several years before the famous Cuban Missile Crisis
    Maybe Cuba is really attractive

  • @michelvondenhoff9673
    @michelvondenhoff9673 5 місяців тому +5

    Once you know on how to make one you can't unlearn...

    • @jakedee4117
      @jakedee4117 5 місяців тому

      Not actually true, check out the story of the nuclear weapon component codenamed "Fog Bank"

  • @PeculierOne
    @PeculierOne 4 місяці тому

    Whats up with the audio in this episode? Hard to listen to. And the inconsistent volume didnt help either.

  • @ponderin
    @ponderin 4 місяці тому

    Buddy they somehow sanded that paint too lol idk man. Id be spitting that thing all the way down the road.

  • @Raz.C
    @Raz.C 5 місяців тому +4

    Important Note:
    A nuclear reaction is NOT an "explosion." A nuclear reaction generates a LOT of light and heat. On earth, that heat gets absorbed by the atmosphere, superheating the air. Since cooler air is more dense and warmer air is less dense, superheated air is "explosively" less dense than air at standard temperatures and pressures. This outwards rush of superheated air and excess heat causes a shockwave in the atmosphere, which propagates outwards from the source of all that heat.
    Alternatively, in a vacuum, like space, a nuclear reaction has no air to heat up. It still generates all that light and heat, but with no atmosphere to absorb the heat, it doesn't travel very far. In fact, you could be just a few meters from a nuclear detonation in space and never notice it. Of course, you'd die soon enough from all the radiation, but there would be no explosion from a nuke in space. Conversely, since conventional explosives operate by combusting solid matter into gases, which then expand rapidly, conventional explosives are MORE effective in space, than they are on earth, while nukes are largely useless. It's because of this distinction, that I feel that it's misleading to call a nuclear reaction/ nuclear detonation an "explosion," since it's not a combustion reaction that produces expanding clouds of gases, but instead will heat any gases that are already present.
    Ps: It's possible that there are some Smart-Pantz-Clever-Heads among you, who are asking - "But Raz... Doesn't the bomb casing of a nuke-in-space vaporise, thereby becoming a gas?" And they'd be correct. A space-nuke will indeed vaporise all the solid components of the bomb/ missiles/ whatever and that vapour will absorb so much more energy, that it will ionise into a cloud of plasma. However, there will be so little of that plasma cloud and it will be so diffuse, that it cannot be made to do any useful work. So unfortunately, movies and tv shows that feature exchanges of nukes in space as well as the ill-conceived Project Orion, are nothing more than a comical misunderstanding of real-life science.

  • @MaxiTB
    @MaxiTB 5 місяців тому +18

    Israels path to become a nuclear power is way, way more interesting. All those hidden alliances, betrayals and intrigues - it's by far a more interesting story 🙂

    • @Primal-Weed
      @Primal-Weed 5 місяців тому +1

      No… China’s is better.

    • @entropy5431
      @entropy5431 5 місяців тому +1

      ​@@Primal-WeedSince ancient times.

    • @ProckerDark
      @ProckerDark 5 місяців тому

      America gave them the nukes, it can't get more simplar than that
      Israel is a permanent base of the U.S in the heart of the middle east

  • @the_beanzer
    @the_beanzer 5 місяців тому

    When can we get a megaprojectw video about the ABRAMS!!??

  • @thirteenthandy
    @thirteenthandy 5 місяців тому +4

    Woah. I never realized that Canada doesn't have any nukes. I always just assumed they did.

    • @vaughnmaycock4504
      @vaughnmaycock4504 5 місяців тому +2

      As a member of NATO , they can be there overnight. Canada just sees no scenario where an independent use of them is justified. Had the technology to do it, for 70 years.

    • @user-rh7wk9dj9b
      @user-rh7wk9dj9b 5 місяців тому

      @vaughnmaycock4504
      If the United States violates the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty,Let Canada have nuclear weapons.
      Russia and China can do the same thing.

    • @user-yt1pp7rl1v
      @user-yt1pp7rl1v 5 місяців тому

      Canada has technology and know how, if she wants Nuke she can make them.

  • @reggieziet
    @reggieziet 5 місяців тому +6

    The funniest thing about this video, is that Simons forehead skin forms like a nuclear explosion in the thumbnail XDXDXD
    Seriously, check it.

    • @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988
      @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988 5 місяців тому +1

      back in my day we just called baldies eggheads

    • @iancanty9875
      @iancanty9875 5 місяців тому +1

      @reggieziet Ha ha! You’re absolutely right, we’ll spotted. I can almost believe Simon did that on purpose. My mind is blown 🤯 🤣

    • @Kojivy
      @Kojivy 5 місяців тому +1

      His forehead has Chinese characters on it that say Ding Dong

  • @CaptainAwesome23
    @CaptainAwesome23 5 місяців тому

    video about mig 21 ? or Some BTR's or something like that ? :)

  • @RadekSuski
    @RadekSuski 5 місяців тому +1

    haven't you taught us that a "quantum jump" is actually extremely small jump? 5:00

  • @CosmicPotato17
    @CosmicPotato17 5 місяців тому +9

    Altought most of its arsenal was comprised of small, tactical nuclear bombs, and nuclear ground to air missiles, Canada also has gone fully back, and is now completely nuclear armement free

    • @rooknado
      @rooknado 5 місяців тому +2

      🦅

    • @rooknado
      @rooknado 5 місяців тому +2

      🇨🇦 🦅 👩‍👧🦅 🐟🦅 ☃️🦅 done fore

    • @JohnRedacted
      @JohnRedacted 5 місяців тому +8

      this is like bragging about raising a gay child

    • @carlsavage614
      @carlsavage614 5 місяців тому +1

      It easy to do that when your neighbor has the most advanced weapons and delivery systems ever fielded by a nation.

    • @jn1450
      @jn1450 5 місяців тому

      Cuks had nukes?

  • @steffenscheibler5849
    @steffenscheibler5849 5 місяців тому +12

    Ukraine never had it's own nuclear weapons. It had weapons designed and built under the Soviet Union stationed on what became it's territory. However the codes to launch and aim the missiles were in Moscow, which never had any intention of ever giving them those codes. Equally the codes could not be circumvented. The Ukrainians could have removed the fissile material from the warheads and engineered their own delivery systems, but they had no full infrastructure to make or maintain nuclear weapons. The same also applies to Kazakhstan. This and this alone is the main reason both of those countries relinquished the warheads to Russia, which was the only post-Soviet nation had all the infrastructure and facilities to maintain, operate and create additional nuclear weapons. The only country to have developed, built and created an infrastructure for nuclear weapons and then given it up is South Africa.

    • @yzy8638
      @yzy8638 5 місяців тому +1

      yaa, history. but too long for typical corporate media consumer.

    • @user-jn3sz8zo8g
      @user-jn3sz8zo8g 5 місяців тому +1

      I disagree I think knowing things is empowering. just because ur a tiktok user doesn’t mean everyone else has the mental maturity level of a 16 year old.

    • @KonradvonHotzendorf
      @KonradvonHotzendorf 5 місяців тому

      We where never gonna give the ANC nukes😂

    • @robertpatrick3350
      @robertpatrick3350 5 місяців тому

      By that argument Russia never had its own nuclear weapons…. The UN Security Council seat is still the USSR’s….. if Russia wants any legitimacy it should pay the history debts of the USSR and pre Soviet Russia.

  • @sydryi3086
    @sydryi3086 3 місяці тому

    I remember whilst learning about the cultural revolution in China during college that the red guards nearly got their hands on active Nuclear weapons, fortunately they never made to the bombs.

  • @ProfessorSprouts
    @ProfessorSprouts 4 місяці тому

    Well. I like the TV edit.

  • @an0mndr
    @an0mndr 5 місяців тому +2

    Not gonna lie, clicked the video immediately because of the oddly unique wrinkle shape on Simon's forehead in the thumbnail. I love those Simon faces

  • @Ass_of_Amalek
    @Ass_of_Amalek 5 місяців тому +12

    15:05 I guess whatever source your writer looked at didn't have belarus under "former nuclear weapons states" because it supposedly now hosts russian nukes, and the writer didn't bother to find a source that specifically refers to states disarming rather than currently disarmed states. but belarus was the fourth soviet republic left with a (comparatively very weak) arsenal of 81 single-warhead nuclear missiles after leaving the union, which it finished handing over to russia in 1996, thus becoming a fully nuclear-disarmed formerly nuclear-armed state.

  • @albin2232
    @albin2232 4 місяці тому +1

    China got its nukes from Ali Express.

  • @cristosl
    @cristosl 4 місяці тому

    Your map @ the beginning is confusing you have Turkey, Italy, Germany, Denmark, Belarus and the BENELUX nations coloured in dark blue. Ukraine Kazakhstan South Africa in green and India, Pakistan, N Korea in red. No colour marking out Israel.

  • @kitsunenoir87
    @kitsunenoir87 5 місяців тому +3

    America " let's call this test upshot knothole" china " this is nuke test 15 we will call it .... Test 15".

  • @cladinshadow
    @cladinshadow 5 місяців тому +7

    God help us if Fallout predicted China tossing nukes.

  • @andrewgnys6285
    @andrewgnys6285 5 місяців тому +2

    Can you do a show about South Africa"s "Bomb" program? I'm pretty sure that Israel gave them the secrets that they learnt of the French who learnt of the USA. The French owed us for what they did during Vichy.

    • @pieterveenders9793
      @pieterveenders9793 4 місяці тому

      The US owes the Europeans, without Europeans they would never have had the weapon. Literally everyone who knows about the Manhattan projects knows 80-90% of the senior scientists were European. So the French owe you nothing, you owe the French everything as without them and the Dutch you never would have existed as a country anyway.

  • @SailfishSoundSystem
    @SailfishSoundSystem 4 місяці тому

    Trinity and Beyond film footage.

  • @Therea1Stig
    @Therea1Stig 5 місяців тому +4

    China naming their Ballistic missile "Dong Fang" is hysterical

    • @silafaupaulmeredith7251
      @silafaupaulmeredith7251 5 місяців тому

      The DF 27 is hypersonic and speed between Mark 10 to 15 no one is for sure but tested recently No match in the west maybe Russia but smaller payload. Dong Fang I think means East or Eastern Wind in Manderin not quite sure

    • @dawuid1491
      @dawuid1491 5 місяців тому +5

      It's hysterical because you are only capable of perceiving other linguistic convention through English framework?

    • @williamlee7672
      @williamlee7672 5 місяців тому +3

      I assume can only speak one language. That’s hysterical.

    • @user-ub4pb6eu6i
      @user-ub4pb6eu6i 5 місяців тому +3

      not "Dong Fang".China named the missile "Dongfeng" because of a poem by Mao.The Chinese word "dongfeng" literally means "wind blowing from the east". Quite romantic, isn't it?

    • @user-bs9ep2nh7n
      @user-bs9ep2nh7n 5 місяців тому +2

      Haha foreigners speak weird, am I right

  • @temper44
    @temper44 5 місяців тому +7

    The most interesting thing about Chinas nukes is how few they have. They only have around 300 of them, that's even less than France.

    • @PalmelaHanderson
      @PalmelaHanderson 5 місяців тому +9

      To be fair, it's not like you even need that many.

    • @Ass_of_Amalek
      @Ass_of_Amalek 5 місяців тому +2

      I think that was thenumber before the expansion of the last 5-10 years, now they probably have twice as many.
      is it warheads though or weapons? I think they normally count warheads.
      fun facts: america has 18 ohio class nuclear submarines in service. each can carry 20 trident 2 missiles, which can each carry up to 12 or 14 thermonuclear warheads - that makes a maximum of 280 warheads per sub, 5040 warheads for the fleet of ohio class subs. the most firepower however is carried with warheads equippable at 12 per missile, a maximum of 4320 warheads for the ohio class fleet - at an adjustable maximum of 475kt per warhead, that's 2,052,000kt, 2 gt, or 40 tsar bombas configured as tested, or 20 tsar bombas with the planned uranium tamper that would have ensured the dea°hs of the crew of the b°mb-deploying plane. it is of course worth noting that just like cluster m°nitions, spreading out nukes over areas instead of having one central location of a big nuclear det°nation greatly increases total damage. oh, and that's 125,000 hiroshima little boys (16kt).

    • @jameswilson5165
      @jameswilson5165 5 місяців тому

      Not a great comparison to French Nukes apologize and surrenders.

    • @masterchinese28
      @masterchinese28 5 місяців тому

      Up to 400, if you hear what Simon said. That is up from 160 not so long ago. It is also important to keep in context that the US and Soviets agreed by treaty that a maximum of 1500 of their missiles could be ready to launch at any given time.

    • @smalltime0
      @smalltime0 5 місяців тому

      @@Ass_of_Amalek The US doesn't have enough nuclear warheads to fit to Trident missiles to fill all the tubes, it barely has enough of the missiles - they need constant maintenance and replacement. Its called strategic ambiguity, you don't know if a deployed Ohio has a full compliment or just a couple of warheads.
      Even in regular deployment the current MIRV doctrine is that some of the warheads coming down are dummy warheads - its to clog up any sort of strategic defence with false targets

  • @GrievousReborn
    @GrievousReborn 3 місяці тому +1

    I hope you'll make videos on how the other nuclear armed nations got their nukes

  • @rhondasisco-cleveland2665
    @rhondasisco-cleveland2665 3 місяці тому +1

    Wouldn’t it be wonderful if we all treated each other with respect and kindness? We wouldn’t need, or want, horrible weapons to hurt each other with.

  • @paulceglinski7172
    @paulceglinski7172 5 місяців тому +3

    They got them from the Lizard Overlords. Cheers

  • @23strawbale
    @23strawbale 5 місяців тому +12

    Next do "The strange way Israel got its Nuclear weapons" hint the US and France.

    • @PalmelaHanderson
      @PalmelaHanderson 5 місяців тому +4

      Didn't South Africa have something to do with it, too? I might be mixing up my nuclear origin stories.

    • @Phansikhongolza
      @Phansikhongolza 5 місяців тому

      ​​@@PalmelaHandersonIsrael assisted South Africa in gaining French technology.
      Israel being used as a backdoor. The French obviously being aware of this.

  • @bobdobbs6969
    @bobdobbs6969 5 місяців тому +1

    Yeah, unfortunately, anybody that studies probability understands that as long as these weapons are being produced, there is an INCREASING likelihood that they will be used. In fact, simply because they haven't been used in 78 years means there's a greater probability of their use today. Nuclear weapon proliferation will likely continue until they are used in conflict.
    Yes, we could potentially change this trajectory, but the fact that we haven't as of yet, does not bode well for the future.

    • @bsadewitz
      @bsadewitz 5 місяців тому

      No.
      "The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, is the incorrect belief that if a particular event occurs more frequently than normal during the past, it is less likely to happen in the future (or vice versa), when it has otherwise been established that the probability of such events does not depend on what has happened in the past. Such events, having the quality of historical independence, are referred to as statistically independent. The fallacy is commonly associated with gambling, where it may be believed, for example, that the next dice roll is more than usually likely to be six because there have recently been fewer than the expected number of sixes."
      en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

    • @bsadewitz
      @bsadewitz 5 місяців тому +2

      South Africa, Belarus, Khazakstan, and Ukraine all once had nuclear weapons but gave them up. The latter three had inherited them from the Soviets, but South Africa had a long-running program. South African president F.W. de Klerk had wanted to get rid of them for years.
      "South African forces feared the threat of a "domino effect" in favour of communism, represented in southern Africa by Cuban forces in Angola, aiding Angolan Marxist-Leninist revolutionary groups against rivals supported by South African forces, and threatening Namibia. In 1988, South Africa signed the Tripartite Accord with Cuba and Angola, which led to the withdrawal of South African and Cuban troops from Angola and independence for Namibia. The pre-emptive elimination of nuclear weapons was expected to make a significant contribution toward regional stability and peace, and also to help restore South Africa's credibility in regional and international politics. F.W. de Klerk saw the presence of nuclear weapons in South Africa as a problem. F. W. de Klerk disclosed the information about his weapons to the United States in an effort to get the weapons removed.[41]"

    • @bsadewitz
      @bsadewitz 5 місяців тому

      I'm not saying that the status quo is acceptable, but your reasoning is faulty. Moreover, IMHO there is reason to believe that North Korea will eventually collapse. When that happens, its weapons will likely be taken by China and/or destroyed.

    • @buckhorncortez
      @buckhorncortez 5 місяців тому +5

      "In fact, simply because they haven't been used in 78 years means there's a greater probability of their use today." That's not how statistics work. The longer something doesn't happen won't make it more likely to happen.

    • @bobdobbs6969
      @bobdobbs6969 5 місяців тому

      @@buckhorncortez War can be modeled as a Poisson process, so the likelihood that a weapon will be used in war is modeled the same way. The time between events is a decaying exponential function.
      "The Poisson process is one of the most widely-used counting processes. It is usually used in scenarios where we are counting the occurrences of certain events that appear to happen at a certain rate, but completely at random (without a certain structure). In practice, the Poisson process or its extensions have been used to model
      − the outbreak of wars;
      "Let’s use statistics and parts of the Poisson distribution formula to see if our intuition is correct. I won’t go into the derivation (it comes from the probability mass function equation), but the time we can expect to wait between events is a decaying exponential. The probability of waiting a given amount of time between successive events decreases exponentially as time increases."
      builtin.com/data-science/poisson-process

  • @Mehffort
    @Mehffort 17 днів тому

    PRC and CCCP/RF overstate their capabilities, without fail; the US understates them

  • @DazedandInsane
    @DazedandInsane 5 місяців тому +4

    It's amazing how short-sighted russia was in lifting up China. Truly insane

    • @ihmpall
      @ihmpall 5 місяців тому +1

      lol us did it not Russia.

    • @shaun469
      @shaun469 5 місяців тому +1

      Up until 15 years ago the us was chinas bff

  • @dennisstorie4604
    @dennisstorie4604 5 місяців тому +9

    I imagine that China will use a container ship to slip into American waters and launch cruise missle before we knew what happened.

    • @user-em2pe3rf4h
      @user-em2pe3rf4h 5 місяців тому +4

      I'm fairly certain that a certain hunter would know. Some say that he's the smartest person they've ever known....

    • @vivecald-vehk6978
      @vivecald-vehk6978 5 місяців тому

      ​@@user-em2pe3rf4hhur durr dur hur hur hunter Biden laptop bad Trump 2024 good durr hur hur

    • @jameswilson5165
      @jameswilson5165 5 місяців тому +2

      And who would they sell all their crap products to?

    • @tomte47
      @tomte47 5 місяців тому +1

      Why would they need to use a container ship ? That is the sort of thing terrorist groups or tiny backwards countries would use because they have no other option. An ICBM launched from China will take 30 min to reach mainland USA, They reach 15,000 miles per hour making them very hard to shoot down. The Nuclear game have since the 60s been about deterrence and mutually assured destruction. There is no real way to defend against an all out attack so both sides developed a second strike capability to deter the opponent from launching in the first place.

    • @user-em2pe3rf4h
      @user-em2pe3rf4h 5 місяців тому +1

      @@jameswilson5165 The post apocalyptic mutant cockroaches,who/what else? Surely you don't want them to do without iPhones built by the finest child labor communism can enslave... I mean provide... I mean buy. Besides, our future mutant roach overlords aren't savages...

  • @nihad6727
    @nihad6727 5 місяців тому +1

    5:00 MY EARS GOT NUKED