@@ScienceTime24The great filter probably is self destruction. Even if it’s not it’s definitely the most ironic. Life spends millions of years evolving into these complex multi cellular organisms just to destroy itself over and over.
For me, Brian has nailed it with his observation it can take 4billion years to evolve intelligent life but this also needs a stable environment throughout. I believe this is the reason intelligent life is incredibly rare.
I was born Inside the event Horizon of a black hole just like everyone else, we are "Frozen here together" in this time being ...Everything is Frozen into time, the freezing is part of the embedding. People have a bias that a black hole is unlike the world around us
It took Earth 4 billion years because it wasn't very stable. When our organisms learned to breath oxygen, almost ALL other types of cells were poisoned by oxygen and went extinct. It seriously hampered speed of evolution on Earth.
Yeah, finding a microbe is one thing... but a multicelular creature with the power to create and build upon knowledge with the speed homo sapiens has been doing has to be rare. Even on earth it took a few "resets" with asteroids destroying most of the planet for mammals to take charge over dinosaurs. Another big hit and we are back to square one and who knows if there will ever be a species as "intelligent" as homo sapiens ever again before the sun dies.
Honestly, I could listen to the Brians Cox and Greene speak all day about neat space stuff. They both have a knack for dumbing down complex and complicated scientific issues in a way that's both informative and entertaining to laypersons. I like that.
Always a pleasure listening to Prof Dr Brian Cox - he simply explains best complex topics to people like myself, not being educated in science & sophisticated maths
@@shasha1873 Karl, we may agree on the basis 'We don't know, yet.' Let the scientists & probes do their work - once they collated & evaluated the data they conclude accordingly. Cheers anyway.
I get where you're coming from. I mean, sure, the requirements necessary for life of any sort are hard to come by, but there does seem to be an awful lot of planets that it is probable that there are many that could have life. Also, life apparently arose pretty early on earth, so surely that's because it's not all that difficult for life to arise given an environment suitable for life, right? There is a problem with the last part of that though, and that's that mathematically, the random formation of many necessary molecules that are needed to make a functional cell here on earth exceeds the probabilistic resources of the known universe. What that means is that the probability of forming, for example, a useful protein randomly is greater than the number of particle interactions within the known universe given the age of the universe. To overcome that hurdle there would need to be some kind of mechanism capable of reliably producing such molecules to remove the random aspect. Of course there are a few such molecules, so we probably need a few different such mechanisms, but so far, there doesn't seem to be any such mechanisms. What that means is that either someone or something at the very least guided the process or we just got ridiculously lucky or there's somehow something we aren't able to account for now. If the first, then life existing elsewhere is dependent on the someone or something that guided it here on earth. If the second, then life anywhere rose doesn't have a reasonable chance, if the third, the who knows as we're dealing with something we can't currently conceive of.
I was once like that. But we don't know the PROBABILITY of us, a slightly scientific society. What if that happens not one per galaxy, but once per 10 galaxies? Or, once per 100, a thousand, or just once a million galaxies??? Sure, we might not be the only ones, but the other civilization might be sooooo far away in space (and IN TIME, no-one talks about that one) that it might not matter.
I dont think we are alone but the distances involved and requirements for aligned timeframes make me seriously doubt we will find advanced life forms anytime soon.
Try harder...!! LoL. The number of stars and planets in our galaxy is roughly 10 to the power of 24, the number of stars and planets in the entire universe is about 10 to the power of 57. That is ten followed by 57 zeros, its a huge number. To put that in perspective, a single living plant cell capable of photosynthesis is constructed from the molecular level, to form proteins that are then folded into DNA structures which compose that single cell. The combinations of the constuent components of that cell is 10 to the power of 100, can you grasp the nature of the complexity of life from that number. Can you now understand the mind boggling complexity of intelligent life, of human life. The odds of this randomly occuring in multiple places is next to zero in my humble opinion. It should also put the whole concept of AI into another frame of reference, AI is mostly over hyped nonsense. Computation, no matter how complex or rapid is not consciousness. AI is not a living entity, it cannot think and will never have an idea of its own. When people blabber on about AI, neural networks and neurons just remember the complexity of a single living cell and take it with a grain of salt.
This is exactly what I think is the answer to the Fermi paradox, life may be fairly abundant in the universe, but complex intelligent life may be extremely rare, once or twice in an entire galaxy's life kind of rare.
i just can’t see that being true. out of literally hundreds of BILLIONS of planets/moons that could be habitable in a given galaxy you really think complex life only emerges on a couple of them? i understand you have to have a stable environment for a very long time for life to evolve but out of HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS of options there’s just no way there aren’t at least hundreds of intelligent civilizations out there. maybe not like star trek advanced but at least very close to us
Dude.. there is no answer to this or anything else related to this. The Universe is too vast and complex to assume anything about it until whatever it is you think might exist lands in your front yard and knocks on your door.
@@christopherwelch5568 Dude.. you do realize that THEORETICAL physics is based on scientists starting with a hypothesis before they start doing experiments and empirical testing? Not the other way around.
To me, it's more likely the case that even if there are space travelling civilizations, the universe is so big, it's very unlikely they've come to our neighbourhood.
Yeh faster than light travel may very well be the thing that prevents alien life from contacting anything. Even if we could go faster than the speed of light, it would still take us years to travel to nearby stars.
@@aussieas6655 Imagine this other civilization also had a prime directive. Only it is to seek and destroy life, for any and all other life forms have the potential to become a threat to their own existence.
@@mgntstr I doubt that would be likely as there would be no gain from having no other life in the galaxy. Plus you would never be the "bully on the block" because somewhere in another galaxy someone else would just vaporize you if they are more advanced and you are a threat.
This one hits harder: there is no meaning in anything. Thats our human-made concept to deal with the fact that there is no meaning at all. The universe does not need life.
@@ZimCH84 Well meaning in this context is that, we have direction and purpose in our actions, guided by desire or survival or otherwise. Complex life. Where as cellular life just divides, ie. meaningless.
The possibility a majority of nuclear weapons on Earth would be set off and kill us all, under any circumstance, is zero. Not including the thousands which would fail to even launch due to aging materials, and which are impossible to detonate unless launched, the damage done by such weapons would be just as instantaneous as the calls for peace. Japan didn't refuse to surrender immediately after the Hiroshima bombing due to some sense of megalomania, but it was mostly from their disbelief that such an event could have happened at all. In a future war involving nukes, nobody will question if such a technology exists. Paris gets nuked? France calls for peace. Moscow gets nuked? Russia calls for peace. Washington DC gets nuked? USA calls for peace. This would be over quicker than it started not because the bombs had all been launched, or because the entire planet was rendered lifeless, but because everybody would instantly realize, through inescapable survival instincts, how badly they all screwed up.
This is why all nuclear bombs should be destroyed and any country that has one in secret those people that developed and hid them should also be destroyed.
For me, the most frightening idea is, what if there really is no way to travel faster than light? What if traveling through wormholes etc. is just beyond the reach of biological life reach? Perhaps there are thousands of advanced civilizations trapped in their home systems who realized the limits of physics and knowing there is no way to reach other star systems not mentioning other galaxies?
The hope lies in the fact that you cannot define the reach of biological life. If you went back 1 thousand years and showed someone a rocket, they’d think you’re god. Similarly, if a more advanced civilisation showed us how to travel faster than the speed of light, manipulate gravity, and travel through worm holes, we’d also think they’re god like creatures. Biological advancement to these stages seems hopeful assuming life can be sustained and stable for a prolonged period of time to make the necessary advancements, hence why the great filter is a popular theory - the idea that the nature of the universe prohibits life from being able to get to this point entirely, or we end up killing ourselves through nuclear warfare etc before we can get to it.
Brian Cox has one of the most calming relaxing voices. I like to fall asleep listening to him explaining some scientific brilliance that I will never understand.
Update: As of 1 December 2022, there are 5,284 confirmed exoplanets in 3,899 planetary systems, with 847 systems having more than one planet. Most of these were discovered by the Kepler space telescope.
Yes, but they're mostly giant worlds, orbiting close to their parent star, and often too far away to be of interest. The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) hasn't found as many exoplanets as originally hoped, but those that it has found are more Earthlike and closer - and we're still going through the data.
Glad to see I'm not the only one that actually keeps up.. 'we've discovered well over 3000 exoplanets' makes me wonder how long ago this video was produced and how out of date it truly is.
Trying to fathom that there are 400 billion or so stars in one galaxy and trillions of galaxies and that this number might be but a tiny fraction of the universe since we likely can only observe one small piece of it is mind-blowing. And then to consider that we may be the most complex life form ever developed seems impossible. Yet the evidence as presented here strongly suggests that life is so fragile that whatever does develop indeed is destroyed long before it can conquer interstellar communication.
True, the solar system is like 5 bil years old which is already almost half of the age of the universe and yet we haven't even gone interstellar. Intelligent life takes too long to evolve to the point that we are still on an early stage of the universe's life to grow such life.
I think I've cracked the Fermi Paradox, the aliens were about to make contact then they watched an episode of Love Island and decided not to bother!!!🤣🤣
Here are a few things I've thought about but never heard mentioned--so it's entirely possible that they are irrelevant. 1. What generation star is necessary before there are enough heavy elements to form a planet? We need things like iron, carbon, etc. before we can have planets, much less life. That requires at least a few generations of stars burning out and exploding. How long would that take? Perhaps it's only around now that conditions are right in the galaxy (concerning the amount of appropriate elements) for something like us to evolve. Assuming, of course, that most planets would be subject to the same problems "we" had (asteroid/comet impacts, mass extinctions, etc.) 2. Is there a habitable zone for the galaxy itself? I've read that radiation levels go up the closer you get to the center of the galaxy. Perhaps life, complex or otherwise, can only exist in the outer rims (to borrow a Star Wars term). This would reduce the number of habitable star systems, perhaps by a great deal. 3. Perhaps we haven't detected radio signals because they attenuate (right word?) as they propagate from the source. From what I understand, the signals we send out get weaker and weaker because they are sent in all directions and mostly meant to be received on our planet, not sent out into space. Furthermore, the signal would be spread out, right? The planet, and thus the source, is moving around the star and the star, in turn, is moving through the galaxy. Could it be that a weak signal, flying by at whatever speed the planet is moving, would be missed, if it made it here at all? Again, smarter people than me work on this. It's possible (likely?) that I haven't heard about these issues because they don't matter. Or maybe I don't read enough. LOL
1. our sun is a 3rd generation star. Lead is created from radioactive half-life decay. Our sun can't do much fusion past Iron. 2. The center of the galaxy is a super massive black hole. Is not the radiation of the black hole but the density of stars all emitting solar radiation. 3. radio signals dissipate at a ratio of (4*pi*r^2), so our radio bubble on earth is 200 light years is radius but is so thin it is null to the microwave background radiation. Also, this assumes that other life discovered/invented radio transmission. They may not have ears to understand audio waves. Hope this helps.
"smarter" people may have been working on the problem, but I can guarantee you the people who have proposed most of the commonly-accepted solutions to the Fermi Paradox never took any of that into consideration. All it takes is a little bit of imagination and logical thinking and basic understanding of statistics and the scientific method in general to quickly understand that we simply don't have enough data available to be able to form any kind of conclusion yet. Honestly, the Paradox itself is a joke and most of the solutions for it are as well. It makes too many assumptions, there are far too many unknown variables, and our sample size, timeframe, and general frame of reference are all incredibly narrow, skewed, and small. If the methodolgy of the Fermi Paradox was applied to literally any other field of science it would get laughed at and shut down before it ever had a chance to gain any kind of traction at all. It's terrible, horrible, no-good very-bad science at its finest.
It might very well be a huge factor, that intelligent life forms get ..eaten.. by some forms of eaters(alien life forms) when they are developing and before they really grow up to be responsible actors and not sending information out for ex. There is certainly((we are here and we can understand, that life Can form just based on natural world(that is actually everything, no matter what)) life out there and some of it is certainly not friendly.
The idea of earth is the only place with advanced life is a terrify thought .Humans are fucking killing each other like spoiled kids how fragile life is and the planet .
Yes all about greed. That will bring the human race to extinction. Look how far we’ve gone since the industrial revolution. The human race had so much potential. Whatever species takes over our planet i.e. insects they will last much longer than us humans ever did. I’m not worried about the world the planet she will recycle everything we’ve done. 99.9% of everything that ever lived is extinct just like we’re destined to. Most billionaires don’t care about people or the environment. The people without the money and the power seem to have great ideas too bad they’re not in charge. I’m glad I never had kids. I’m enjoying the ride while I can. Like George Carlin‘s I got no skin in the game. I’m just watching the freak show. We have or should I say had the perfect planet. Humans cannot live without polluting the environment. The dinosaurs were around for 600 million years or so a lot longer than us humans. An asteroid kill them but us humans being more civilized has affected every square inch of this planet for the worse. I cannot imagine this planet 200 years from today. I believe I have lived in the best of times and worse. I’m 62 years old.
As long as we continue to tolerate despots and tyrants, we will live in fear. There are several people for whom the world would be better off without. And this doesn't just apply to the leaders of countries either. How many of us got bullied at school just because we were smaller and or smarter than others. Do we really need them? I seriously don't think so. Especially when the bully has a nuclear arsenal and the mental instability to use it. Putin, the leaders of North Korea and China all just need to die.
Out of all the planets in the universe, how many could be aware that we exist? Because of the limited speed of light, aliens that are too far would see the planets as it was 10000 years ago and might think it's not really interesting to visit...
I think that this topic is incomplete without discussion of the moon, seasons, and thier effect on the devopment of life. Just being in the goldilocks zone might not be enough.
@@ThiefOfNavarrewhy is it terrifying? If there is no life there is no one lamenting. That may sound cold but it’s simply logical. The universe has value because we exist. The universe is hostile and indifferent and we shouldn’t exist. In fact even the universe shouldn’t exist because the parameters of universal constants exist on the proverbial knife-edge. Were they only but a minuscule different, the Big Bang would have either imploded back into itself or would have expanded so rapidly no matter would have ever formed. So sentiment is nice but once intelligent life is extinct so sentiment will be also.
Beings like Putin can end an entire civilization once it advances to the level of nuclear weapons. No thought is given to whether we have the only life in the galaxy.
I really hate to think that we are the only planet in the galaxy where "intelligence" exists. I'm somewhat skeptical that it even does here, especially after I read a newspaper.
Brian Cox is just a biased atheist. Not really an objective scientist anymore 😞 I used to be a massive fan as well. It’s a shame that he has such strong biases, which prevents him from being objective.
The astronomical scale of space/time itself resolves the paradox in my mind. Given the distances involved and the extremely short time we humans have been around [and will likely be around], for all intents and purposes we are alone.
Once you accept some fundamental, physical realities, what Fermit postulated stops being a paradox. 1. moving or accelerating to c, let alone above c, is physically impossible. 2. interstallar distances are so unfathomably huge, that the ressources and time needed to bring human being to the next star using sub-ftl means of travel are simply too prohibitive. And not by a small margin, like "let's focus on space travel for a few hundred years" but very possibly by some orders of magnitude too hard. We do not even have concepts how manned interstellar travel could work. (and yes, I know all the proposed "solutions" ... once you start thinking about the problems they face, you very quickly realize, that they are probably not possible) As much as I would like to believe, humanity is destined to be a space faring race, I have very little to go on to truly believe it.
The simplest explanation of the Fermi paradox doesn't require machine intelligence or any other extreme reaches. Seems to me the obvious explanation is that for not yet known practical reasons, interstellar travel is functionally impossible. After all, in the last decade or two, we've learned that colonizing the Moon, much less traveling to Mars, are a hundred times more difficult than we used to believe. We don't even know what we don't know about interstellar travel.
Interstellar travel capability, of alien civilization, is not supposed to be needed for Earthlings to detect alien civilization. It is thought that Earthlings could detect alien civilization's electro-magnetic waves, e.g. radio or light. It is also thought that stellar mega-structures of more advanced alien civilizations should be detectable.
@@davidadiwego4608 he's right. Things are millions of generations away. Even if you bump things up from 78,000 of miles per hour spaceship speeds to light speed, and factor in the 10,000 aliens-ish planets predicted, good luck finding a signal from one in the Emptiness of space even if it started transmitting billions of years ago. Nothing is coming or going
@@rawroll1776 Despite the Arthur C Clarke quote, technology isn't magic. A few thousand years don't necessarily make a difference- the knife was invented 100,000 years ago, and we've never improved the basic design, only the materials it's made of- and even then "improvement" is a matter of definition- a flint edge can be sharper than a surgical scalpel.
@@bierce716 what is a knife? A: a cutting tool. Do we have cutting tools that massively out perform knives when extremely tough/delicate cuts are needed? A: yes, lasers. A flint may be sharper than a scalpel, but scalpels are far more practical. For one, a scalpel can be dropped without bits flying off of it.
@@shasha1873 Karly, you’re giving that drum a good seeing-to! Just to save me the bother of watching again, where is it he says they’ll find life on Mars?
Brian Cox's voice & style of narration is like a living Planetarium. Puts me right to sleep visualizing all those possibilities & probabilities. Celestial Cosmic Conversation ❤
What was not discussed is that distances between star systems are so vast, meaningful, interactive communication between civilizations (between stars) would be nearly impossible. Since faster-than-light travel is also impossible, visitations between stars is unlikely, unless crews were put into stasis. Even if we could travel at 0.5C, it would take ≈10 years to reach our nearest neighboring star.
@@rogermelly8260 I hate that we won’t get to experience it, but will settle for one living microorganism, for my great grandma it was reaching the moon. 😊
It is possible and has been figured out by a much more highly advanced form of life. I'm not sure how but they did. Maybe actually figured out how to bend space and time, worm holes, antimatter turbo thrust, or something. They've visited personally and while it was scary my family and I found it very interesting. They haven't visited in years so I guess they're tired of our race and probably found some other more intelligent and peaceful race to hang with and make friends with. I think they got what they wanted and they can tell we're beyond help and not worth it.
@Roger Melly Yes, a general problem is that we don’t know whether there is a technological barrier beyond which nobody can go. But even if we could somehow send a large ship at 0.5C at ease we can’t based on currently known physics, return or communicate back in a timely manner. E.g, we return from some star system in a couple of years but a few hundred years have passed on Earth. However, my hunch is, based on consideration of symmetry, intelligent life at least equivalent to ours must be abundant in some sense, even if we can never meet them. But bear in mind given circa hundreds of billions of galaxies that “abundance” could mean one intelligent civilisation only every ten galaxies. That would still be billions of civilisations.
My own theory is that we are alone. So many random things have to occur for life to emerge, and for it then to jump to complex life, and then further to intelligent life. We are not just rare but we’re unique.
It's not just your theory, it is more probable than not. The vast number of freak accidents and events that have happened, on earth, have led to intelligent life on this planet is almost unfathomable. Perhaps at best, one planet in an entire galaxy sustains intelligent life. Many people just don't get it, we are unique and alone. More reasons to look after each other and our planet.
I've always known about the Fermi Paradoxi, but learning that this question was asked while they were working on atomic weapons really recontextualizes it, especially when you take the Great Filter into account. Just hits hard.
We could be the first spacefarers in our galaxy, and civilisations in other galaxies are either too far away to detect or communicate in a way we don't recognise. It's highly unlikely that two civilizations would exist simultaneously over a 13.7bn year time frame. We won't last a million years, and the next civilization will think they're alone.
If I were a galactic explorer equipped with advanced technology and spent any time observing the activities of the inhabitants of this planet, in the interests of self preservation I'd be damn sure not to make my presence known.
@@wozm9924 no, you only think you know how you would behave in those circumstances. You don't really know for sure. We are all changed by the things we aquire, possess , control, know or experience. It's easy to assume that we will behave in a certain way if we have power be it financial or technological. But the truth is that someone who never seriously considered stealing could infact become a thief if he acquired the power of invisibility. Being able to travel from one galaxy to another and being able to observe and judge a entire race of inferior beings would definitely change you in some way. Maybe for the better, maybe not.
@@enadegheeghaghe6369 Not a Star Trek fan then? The prime directive? All jokes aside, you are stepping into the realm of moral judgements now. Bit of a minefield that. But I can confirm for you that if tomorrow I had the ability to become invisible it is unlikely I would become a thief. This is because of my sincere belief that in this life there's no such thing as a free lunch. Theres always a price. And I hate thieves. So, just because one has the power does not signify an automatic change in one's core belief in right and wrong. I understand your argument, but I'll make my point once again. If I travelled back in time 2000 years, equipped as I am with all the knowledge and technological advantages of a citizen living in a modern western society I am fairly certain that I would be making my presence as discrete as possible around the ignorant blood thirsty barbarians and the hordes of religious zealots of that epoch. Its just an extrapolation to assume a technologically advanced being from somewhere else would do the same around us during our stage of human technological adolescence and cognitive evolution.
@@wozm9924 nice write up. But you missed the point. If you had such advance tech and came from a different planet somewhere else in the universe to encounter or observe humans, that would make you an alien. You would not have had the same upbringing and experiences as a human growing up on earth. In fact you would be a completely different person (or creature) from what you are now. Like I said, you have no idea what you would think or do if you were an advanced alien observing earth and earthlings.
This stuff is always interesting... i enjoy it and sorta understand some of it... unlike some i admit its extremely hard to fathom and grasp all of it beyond a certain extent... so i just enjoy and go with it...
My own thoughts on the Fermi Paradox is that there may be other civilizations out there, but we are simply not recognizing them as such, so far. Imagine a group of primitives getting a glimpse of a distant city skyline. I think it most likely that they will think, "Wow, those are WEIRD mountains" rather than make the jump and figure that other people built and live in those things. A similar story with communications. ASSUMING that light-speed electromagnetic transmissions are the interstellar norm (and I have major reservations about that), we could be literally bombarded with signals and simply not recognize them as such. Imagine trying to use a 19th century Morse Code set to tap into and 'read' what is happening in a fibre-optic cable. Would the results from such an attempt even be comprehensible? I remember when I was a kid, pretty much all books talking about the Solar System would be basically, "Well, MAYBE" when talking about life elsewhere - specifically Mars, forget anywhere else. But our knowledge of just how tenacious life can be has expanded considerably, and our improved understanding of the rest of the Solar System has led to several other solid candidates making the list. As regards civilizations elsewhere, it really is far too early to tell, I think.
Not far too early if they come & visit us & make themselves known . Probably not what the governing bodies want , the theory was government was afraid that the people would panic , & i think really that if they can get here , then we are more vulnerable than they are & humans wouldn't be apex & that draws fear . There is no way our planet is the only 1 with life on it , only some years ago it was knowledge the universe was 4.5 billion years old , now our understanding has improved & its 13.5billion , its an uncomprehedable long time ⌛️ & as we've seen with ourselves- anything is possible as were here enjoying our - gift of life
I get what you're saying, but as they developed they will have progressed through radio technology, those radio waves are very slow and we would still be picking them up long after they stopped using them. Unless they pre date us so much that they've stopped using radio long before we started listening. Interesting for sure.
@@yanceyboyz Depends how long civilizations tend to use EM signals that we can actually recognize as such. We've been actively using them for less than a century and a half, and seriously listening out for them for considerably less time than that. By the timescales of (hypothetical) interstellar civilizations, that is arguably not very long at all. As one SF novel hypothesized, maybe the use of EM signals is typically a rather brief period in technological development. We really don't know, one way or another. I am also mindful o f assumptions based on minimal evidence. Looking at the 1970s, the prevalent school of scientific thought then was that life in our Solar System would be pretty much confined to Earth, with maybe a few micro-organisms here and there elsewhere. Now, with our improved knowledge of extremophiles and of various bodies, the odds of complex lifeforms existing elsewhere has improved markedly. We don't know. Until 'they' land outside the UN and call a media conference, we can only speculate. :).
I think there may be lots of life out there but very few technologically advanced enough to get here. It’s taken 4 billion years to get us on the moon and we are late developers. If an intelligent species had reached earth in the last 100 million years they would have probably colonised our planet and we wouldn’t be here. But here we are totally alone.
@@UA-camchannel-po8cz A young up-and-coming scientist named Carl Sagan once wrote an article seriously speculating about the possibility of aliens having visited Earth sometime in the past. Then along came Eric von Daniken and the nuttier elements of the UFO movement. Now, most serious scientists won't go anywhere NEAR that line of thought. Professional suicide, at best. Don't know about colonization by aliens long ago. It all depends on just how habitable the Earth was from the aliens' point of view. Plus, to speculate further, if Earth was usable / desirable to them, could have been reasons they chose not to - ethics, morals, practicality, religious, priorities. Who knows - speculation piled on speculation here.
Its crazy in our day to day life we do such trivial things. But when you really start thinking on grand scheme of universe. We are equally special and equally negligable and meaningless. Its crazy mind boggling.
I think that the missing factor re: "Why hasn't intelligent life populated the galaxy?" is that if a civilization truly "advances" over very long time periods, perhaps it figures out that perpetual growth means extinction. If we continue as we are now with continuous population growth commercialization wouldn't improve the majority of human lives. Overpopulation and resource exhaustion would more likely be the result. So maybe truly advanced intelligences would opt for social limitations for improved living conditions. So the inquisitive mind might not be the Magellan explorer but one that fascinates itself with its proximate existence. I dunno. Just hypothesizing.
I honestly don't quite comprehend this desire to populate the galaxy. When I walk in a forest, I sure as fuck do not think "This would be better with apartment blocks".
Perpetual growth within a limited area possibly means extinction. But when you have an entire galaxy to populate, then over that time frame the very concept of species integrity, never mind social integrity, starts to lose meaning.
I've often wondered if the big bang was started inside a sandbox type of setup by an advanced race observing the effects with the intent of creating something like an almost infinite power source, or maybe an advanced computer designed to perform some kind of insanely complex set of calculations. If that's the case though, we may well be nothing more than a ridiculously small and insignificant loss in power efficiency or a sticking point that makes a complex equation very slightly inaccurate.
Imagine our current state and existence is merely a test of how to create life that doesn't destroy itself once it has the means to do so. How to create self-sustaining life.
The universe keeps its inhabitants in check with distance. If a civilization has the intelligence to reach other civilizations that don't, it will also have the intelligence not to interact with it. Its a beautiful balance. We should use the intelligence we currently have to nurture ourselves and our planet to give us enough time to evolve into a civilization that can do the same. Then we may find that we don't need to find and reach them, but they may let us know that they have already found and reached us. The most valuable resource in the universe is time.
Human always wants more; im sure there are other civilizations out there and im sure humen will find out that but not in our time, maybe +1000 years from now
Some interesting points in this video. I had a great teacher at school who asked me some quite mind-blowing questions about the universe and life: Is the search for, and interest in life just a transient phase in our primate self awareness and evolution of mind and culture. Is life a positive thing in the universe? Is life important in the universe? These questions exposed me to a kind of thinking that has helped me greatly in life from a philosophical standpoint.
@@rudra7615 I concur. I believe that our primitive carbon form is flawed and destined to fail. AI will find a way to survive and thrive with little appetite to tell our story.
@@derekking7319 agree, and it will finally help us realise our true relationship to God as well and end all of these unnecessary religion causing chaos of the world.
Brian Cox touched on something I thought of in regards to the Fermi Paradox which is, what if we're the first beings of intelligent life. If that's the case, we wouldn't find anyone doing what we're doing, which is looking for others out there in the universe and sending signals. The other thought is that of The Great Filter hypothesis. It reminds me a bit of the plot of the Mass Effect games with the Reapers allowing for civilization to build up before they come out of hibernation to destroy and collect all the resources only to then go back and allow it to build up again as apart of a cycle. Now, I'm not say there are aliens like the Reapers out there setting all this up, but it makes you wonder if there's a possible design in intelligent life that never allows for more than one advanced civilization to be alive and active at a time. Maybe it's apart of the laws of the universe that in order for the next intelligent life to emerge, the current one must destroy itself? What if we're an experiment for something much more omnipotent? If that's the case, that would suggest something greater out there that's programmed this rule. A creator of sorts. It's not something i've really believed or even thought too much about, but it's something i've come to take into consideration with all these conversations. No one really knows.
Unless we find a way to travel faster than light, humans will never visit other solar systems. I think the best we could hope for it to make contact with alien life through interstellar signals. We would also need to exist at the correct time to either receive the signals or send them at the right time for them to receive signals.
With the time differences between galaxies it is possible if not likely that if it takes 4-5 billion years for intelligent life to evolve, a galaxy 7 B year old, could have had intelligent life evolve 2.5 B years ago. They could have reigned for a B years and died out a B years ago. If their galaxy is located 6 B light years away from us, we won't even see light from their galaxy that might have techno signatures from them for at least another 3.5 B years.
"If we are the only planet in the galaxy where brains exist, where conscious thought exists, we are the only place where meaning exists in a galaxy of 400 billion stars, imagine if we decide to press the button tomorrow, nuclear war right, press the button, the person who does that may wipe out meaning in a galaxy" wow, that gave me chills! If we truly are alone in the universe, then humans would wipe out life in not only just the galaxy, but the entire universe. Makes you hope against hope that we aren't the only ones, if not for our own sake of finding others in the future to also share this existence but to just be there, saving the universe from total annihilation of consciousness and meaning from one insignificant miniscule human beings decision...
I think another solution to the fermi paradox is that moving through space faster than, or even close to, the speed of light is simply impossible. after all, the speed of light is actually what was calculated to be the maximum speed of causation, or the fastest possible speed anything, even massless light or information, could possibly move. if correct, this means nothing is moving faster than light and given the distance between planets, no civilization will be able to explore space much beyond their own solar system. Also, even if there is a way to move faster than light, it is likely not economical. we don't have infinite energy and resources to put into this and it's likely no other life forms on other planets would either. As for where are their radio signals, given the hundreds to billions of light years away these planets are, it would take hundreds to billions of years for these signals to reach us but also, at that distance, the signal would be so spread out by then, it would be indistinguishable from background noise of cosmic radiation.
I absolutely agree ! The kind of never ending hoops this planet had to jump through, the multiple destructive events that kiboshed the attempts at life evolving in a certain fashion, including being partially destroyed as a frozen ocean water planet further from the sun to be shunted into a closer orbit and continue anew with a severely damaged crust which as a result continues to rearrange itself, our turbulent atmosphere as a result of all this crustal shifting, and so many other factors surrounding our planet. We exist because of a certain balance between stability and chaos, but we as the most recent race of dominant beings living on Earth are leaning more towards chaos and will not be able to exist as a result. There may be billions of planets in the universe, a large number in the Goldilocks zone of their star, but if the math doesn't factor in everything in this planets evolution, then it's not accurate. A planet like Earth is extremely rare and even close seconds would not be as supportive to earthlings.
In addition to the goldilocks zone, you would need a sizable moon to stabilize the rotation, a gas giant to shield the inner planets from meteors and comets, A tranquil place in the galaxy would be advantageous. This is what we have, but our moon is moving away from the earth when it gets far enough away it's effect on the earth will cease, that's when this planet becomes uninhabitable for advanced lifeforms. In the universal clock humanoid life on this planet is a moment, like a firefly.
I agree with your first two points, a habitable planet needs something like a large moon to stabilize equatorial orientation, and probably a large gas giant like Jupiter to absorb comets and such, actually our moon will be gravitationally bound to the Earth past the time, billions of years from now, when our sun expands into a red giant.
Agree, it's truly incredible to see the impact of the moon on earths rotation and the fact that we spin in just the right way and have the right tilt to keep seasonal temperatures just right. So elegantly balanced.
Life would also cope with harsher conditions. This is also shown by the regional special adaptations of humans, such as part of the Australian Aborigines, who are able to survive cold nights in the Australian desert by centering the circulatory system on the main body and "shutting down " of the arms and legs. They need a few minutes in the morning before they can walk again. Or a people in the mountains of central Mexico who have to walk more than 20 km a day. They move in the mountains like human mountain goats. If they cannot meet their daily mileage for a long period of time, these people become ill. A life for these people in a big city is almost impossible. Life adapts and can do much more than we commonly believe today...
Why do people think that if we cannot see them, they cannot exist or be there? Would a tribe somewhere in the middle of Africa be able to tell if a drone was flying 10km above their skies, taking pictures of them? To them it would just be another object in the sky, or a bird flying really high for all they care about. Same for us: an advanced civilization can easily be observing us, but we would not be, necessarily, able to tell due to their advanced technology.
Professor Cox's final words are an echo of what I try to explain to people. Emergent life may be relatively common. But intelligence like ours may be extremely rare. Due to the many "filters" that could stunt the development of alien life...or wipe it out entirely. Just...by the numbers...we could be "special" in our rarity. Hopefully, someday... We'll know. (And even if a species evolves intelligence... That doesn't mean it will become technological. A sentient specie of worms could become dominant on a world...and just be the dominant specie. Unconcerned with technology...just next meal.
We have various peoples all over our world who never achieved the level of technology that the Europeans did. I'm not saying that this makes the Europeans any better. I'm just stating the fact. The natives of North America had pretty much the same level of tech as in Europe 15,000 years ago but one group for some reason developed more tech than the other. Strange, I find. However both peoples are of equal intelligence.
@@jeremythornton433 Well... This is a debate I frequent with a friend. My position... If we were to find viable DNA of an ancient H. Sapien...and clone it. The clone would be able to learn language, art, and use tech... Same as us. My friends position is... The clone would have stunted intelligence and not be able to learn as it grew to adulthood. (Of course, he is be a conspiracy nut. He believes aliens built in pyramids and all that. While I believe, that yes... we've lost a lot of our knowledge of the past... I don't think aliens are responsible for such things. Firmly believing we are, and were, capable of doing these things ourselves.)
We do tend to overrate intelligence (especially technological intelligence) as a useful trait. For us it seems to cause problems at a faster rate than it solves them
@@jeremythornton433 lots of scholars put the success of Europe's technological leap forward down to the availability of animals who where susceptible to domestication, freeing man from manual labor.
If an alien intelligence is truly intelligent it would observe from out of sight the rediculous brutality, hostility & callous ruthlessness of the atrocities we commit against our fellow man & avoix us with great haste!
We have to remember where we currently stand in the grand scheme of things. It was only in 1903, a little over a hundred years ago that the Wright Brothers achieved flight. 100 years on a cosmological scale is absolutely miniscule. We have barely even crawled out of the cradle and have a long ways to go before we can even comprehend what exactly an advanced civilization might look like or where or how to search. We have been searching for radio waves, which dissipate greatly over long distances and have only recently discovered exoplanets.
Personally, I think with such an insanely high number of stars and planets in our galaxy, let alone all the other trillions of galaxies, that life is actually very common. But I think, the issue is the compatability problem. We are so fixated on our very restricted linear thinking that all technology must follow our specific narrow minded path of power - radio - etc. What if aliens develop with an entirely biomechanical technology, or telepathic technology, or chemical based technology. And our communication methods are so vastly different that we are just not compatible at all to find them.
Yeah finding life is going to be hard if other forms of intelligence aren't carbon based. We're looking for elements to support life similar to life here on Earth, like oxygen or hydrogen. What the hell would ammonia or silicone based life forms breathe and drink? Do they even _need_ to breathe and drink, or could they sustain themselves with some type of advanced photosynthesis? Maybe advanced civilizations have tried to contact us, but they're sending signals using something we don't look for, like UV light. What if they have dozens of color cones in their eyes, compared to the 3 (or for the rarest of the rare mutations: 4) present in humans? Even here on Earth, the bluebottle butterfly has a whopping 15 cone types. If an alien race of these butterflies were to send out a signal, what would they assume to be the most easily detectable type?
We don’t define our technology on linear thinking. It’s based in the laws of physics within our own universe. Technologies such as wireless communication, power production, energy storing ect. are all based on the fundamental principles and rules that our universe operates in. The light from the sun that travels through our universe is the same kind if light that traveled from distant universes. Yes there are still a lot of things we don’t understand in physics , but I would say that a complex species capable of advancing such as us would implement solutions based on the same governing principles that we are limited to.
@@englandrasmussen3111 That's an awfuuuuuuully massive assumption to make, and it's based entirely off of one frame of reference -- our own. Not just based on the laws of physics -- it's based on the way we've decoded the laws of physics and then figured out to manipulate them for our benefit, and it's also been based entirely in response to OUR local environmental conditions, weather, chemistry, geology, geography, food chain, and anything else you can think of that contributes to our completely localized frame of reference here on earth. The truth is, we can't say for certain what path of development some other civilization on some other world would make. We have a sample size of one, and it's us...and that really doesn't tell us anything about anything except for what's contained in OUR sample. Our own development has always been inextricably linked to our planet and its unique local environment. The ONLY safe assumption that can possibly be made in the entirety of the problem of life on other planets is that a hypothetical alien civilization's development will likewise be inextricably linked to their local environment -- and those results may very well end up looking VASTLY different from our own.
Extremely unlikely that life anywhere else would different that much to us. After all, the 4 most abundant element in our body follow their relative abundance in the universe at large
@@illbeV what if a species developed to be silicon based life? That breath methan gas and communicate via pheromones and slight body changes without any vocal language at all? What if they developed technology that works by manipulating chemicals to release complex hydrocarbons that control biological pathways within a synthetic biological machine? We have absolutely no idea how vastly different other species could be.
We know Earth has the right conditions for life, yet here abiogenesis happened only once in its roughly 4 billion year lifespan. We've been in the 'Goldylocks Zone' with a magnetosphere for 4 billion years, but all the species have a common origin, traced to roughly 4 billion years ago - it never happened again - not even simple life. Perhaps life is just so rare that we should not expect to see any others within observable range.
@@gobimurugesan2411 When evidence for that Someone surfaces, our comments will be about the origins of that Someone. The origin of life requires an explanation that's simpler than life, not more complex, otherwise that complexity also requires an explanation.
Abiogenesis can only happen once on a planet. After that, life already exists and would completely eradicate "new" life. It's like when the Europeans colonized the Americas, only with complete eradication instead of mere decimation.
@@mundusuys8739 Natural selection and evolution. Inferior species go extinct, and something that hasn't had hundreds of millions of years to evolve certainly wouldn't stand a chance against bacteria.
This isn't really a paradox if you consider how insignificant we truly are at a cosmic level. If we were to reduce the universe's existence to one calendar year, human civilizations would amount to only the last ~13 seconds of that year. Assuming we have been looking for alien life for the past 100 years, it would be like calling a random phone number and determining no one in the world exists because the phone wasn't answered for 0.22 seconds! Of course we haven't found anything out there!
When presented with the facts (the few humans are actually capable of mustering at our very primitive level of intelligence) there is no other answer but to say there is absolutely life elsewhere. Most likely a hell of a lot of it.
Guessing and supposing isn't science. However, perhaps you could begin a religion which accepts that guessing and supposing as true ---relying upon FAITH.
What you also have to consider is something that wasn't mentioned here, the possibility that there may be alien life that could be so unlike us humans living on their planet which falls way outside of the habitable zone of their sun. Just because we humans have our habitable boundaries set at a certain distance doesn't mean all alien life must have the same boundaries.
Most religious people wouldn't dare question it too deeply for fear of their god listening to their thoughts. Religious people would just say it's gods way.
If you read Islam you will come to know that we actually don’t believe we are alone. Islam has taught us that there are indeed more living things in the universe. So as far as Islam is considered, it will just reaffirm our beliefs.
I recall one InfiniteMonkeyCage when a Biologist stated that the chances of Humans evolving to its current techno level capable a some space travel (TheMoon) is ~10^24 whereas Number of MilkyWay Stars is ~4x10^11 give or take. This may well be the reason for the absence of evidence. If one researches Earth's history & the need for Fossil Fuels for our technology you will come to the realisation we may be the only ones of such advanced technology at this time in this galaxy, 2nd largest of our Local Group of approx. 6 galaxies of different shapes/sizes etc. Yet we waste resources fighting each other! It's an area I agree with my fellow Physics Alumni Brian.
I sent this to SETI: I realize that folks in the science community don't like suggestions but I feel like this one is super pertinent to SETI's plight. So please hear me out, it's short. Sure communication through space is seemingly unobstructed when you think about objects near/within our solar system, but I'd argue the effects from orbiting bodies, scintillation, and the inverse square law will not allow signal acquisition from entities light years away. And thus Fermi's Paradox is flawed because it assumes specifically the acquisition of signals from distant orbiting bodies. Any where past light days, the signal is spread out through the cosmos instead of being tightly packed which all but ensures the data can never be decompiled/processed. At first I thought the issue for the broadcasting entity could be remedied by utilizing a spacecraft and performing a Homan transfer to align your velocity vector with the target planet. But I fear that alone won't be enough to mitigate the sun's gravitational effects (on the signal), even with the Delta-V. Instead I suggest that if you want to transmit a signal to a solar system light years away you need to have the spacecraft Homan transfer to the velocity vector of our sun targeted on a system in that direction. Then radiate our loudest/powerful signal. In addition I believe scintillation effects are too compounded if the transmitting entity is targeting a solar system that is edge on to us. So I believe you must target solar systems that are aligned with our celestial plane. Further, I believe that if you want to listen, you'd point your antennas to star systems in the neg in-track of the sun. And once again those systems should be aligned with our orbital plane. Talking to Voyager is not easy and that signal and our ground systems that acquire it are dealing with very low signal strengths and super high signal to noise ratios. And that's just 5 ish hours of light speed away. Instead of asking why isn't anyone broadcasting, we should ask why can't we hear them? I think this is why. I believe I've laid out a good angle for a revitalized concept of operations for you all. I hope you all pass this along to the proper folks. I believe it's imperative. Ty ty for all y'all's hard work! The work you all do is extremely important to humanity.
@@wiscgaloot well we assume we haven't or perhaps we are lead to believe that we haven't. Such an event or admittance would have a profound effect on humanity and destabilise much of what we have been led to believe both politically and religiously.
@@wiscgaloot can you say that with 100% certainty? That all scientists are open about all related matters and that there is no involvement or protocols set by other agencies? You can 100% confirm that?
In the near future civilizations will look back at us and think how naive we were to think we were alone.* There you go. That one was free. Also: There’s no evidence to suggest any civilizations exists outside of our solar system at all. So idk what you’re talking about lol.
Thanks for the English comp 2 season lol. Evidence based on probability. Not to mention all the all the phenomenon our history previous civilization many different concepts that tells us otherwise
@Frankel K JR might be time for season 3 lol. Evidence based on probability? What probability? Tell me… what’s the probability of life emerging on other planets? You don’t know… now tell me what the probability of those planets that harbor life see those life forms evolve into more complex intelligent life? Again.. you don’t know. No one does. What probability are you speaking of? This is why the Drake equation doesn’t work (for now). There are too many unanswered variables. We need more data points than just 1. Earth… that’s all we have. Having only 1 data point to drive any probability arguments off of just doesn’t work lol. What phenomenon? What concepts? There is absolutely zero evidence of life elsewhere in the universe right now. Until we find life it will stay this way and all probabilities will stay the same. It’s anyone’s guess.
@@all0utmetal735 Exactly. I don't understand why it's so hard for people to at least consider that there is a massive chance that we are completely alone in the universe. And we should cherish just how unique and blessed we are to even be here. Until we find one other civilization out there, the probability argument doesn't carry any weight since we only have US as the single reference point.
Ahhh. So you rely upon guessing and supposing as a substitute for science. Read science fiction from a few decades ago and see how far imagination gets as a substitute for science. Even science observed the existence (sort of) of canals on Mars built by intelligent species --- 150 years ago.
We don’t have the technology to make this an actual paradox. We need to be able to catalog all the planets in our galaxy and be able to decisively determine which have life and which don’t. Only then will we know how common or rare life in the universe is and begin to determine the factors that lead to this observation.
We have good dedicated telescopes now looking almost exclusively for extraterrestrial planets. If once they've analyzed all the best candidates and if none show any signs of a techno signature, it may not prove we're alone but it would increase the odds. Just bio signatures would only mean there is life, but it could be only bacteria. But with the telescopes we have, and the ones coming on line, we have a very good ability to sit here on earth and explore them fairly accurately. Most likely any intelligent life would put something in their environment that isn't seen in nature. We sure have and we're the only data set we have. If we don't see anything over the next few decades to a hundred years, I'd say we're alone at least in the galaxy. I think the vast amount of time makes a big difference. If we are alone, that doesn't mean there wasn't civilizations before we were here, and won't be ones after we're gone. Planets seem to only be habitable for certain periods of time. With stars being so far away, and their planets coming into and out of habitable periods. If intelligent life is fairly rare it could be easy for civilizations to miss each other.
@@mrbamfo5000 Sorry but our current technology is a joke for finding alien life in it’s infancy state no offense to the scientists out there. I admire your work and look forward to future and better ones. Sadly the way we detect exoplanets is indirect methods such as transit detection of the star dimming and yes we can use this light passing through the atmosphere to gain a limited knowledge about the makeup of their atmosphere, but is there really anything whatsoever that would confirm intelligent life? Like an advanced civilization could use mega structures that completely control their atmosphere and thus eliminate anything we would detect. And sure we could potentially detect bio signatures, but it could be just bacterial life. This is really the best we can do with our technology and it would be a big and important step forward. But, we aren’t going to find any ETs anytime soon. There are literally billions of exoplanets in the galaxy to observe and with our current technology we will never observe even a significant fraction of that amount in any meaningful way.
@@mrbamfo5000 techo sign s are fine but they could be other natural causes , we have to directly observe them we constantly chat about planets but there must be uncountable moons too which will have life on them
I believe if we ever make it to Mars we are going to be in for a quite a surprise. I believe that we will find evidence of not only microbial life at one time existing but they will find actual fossils of numerous extinct species and it will be the most incredible discovery in human history.
So you have FAITH? Fine. Keep in mind that 150 years ago, scientific observation sort of proved the existence of intelligent life on Mars, building canals and such. Loads of science fiction presented life on Mars and Venus which we have now confirmed does not exist. You are certainly entitled to continue the practice of guessing and supposing, but recognize that is not science.
I think one of the more interesting videos on the Fermi Paradox is Joe Scott's one on 'Contact was Wrong' - where he postulates on whether we or any alien life form have the technology to communicate over the distances required. The likely hood of either sending or receiving signals over these distances is highly unlikely ua-cam.com/video/ISXbTBKl4aE/v-deo.html
Have we actually found any Earth-like planets? Just because something is rocky and smaller that typical gas planets doesn't mean that it should be called Earth-like. And it seems to me that this 20 bln estimate is based on that definition. To call a planet Earth-like, that planet should have to match certain, more sophisticated criteria.
@5:44 - correction. If we find planets with abundant techo-signatures then the great filter (assuming it exists) is ahead. If we find few or none then it is likely behind.
I think the Great Filter Theory is right as rain and a correct resolution to the Fermi Paradox...Nature always has ways of making sure that no one species dominates and there are many examples of this on our planet. I am sure that is true in other parts of the universe as well.
Yeah the chances other life exists in the universe is pretty much 1 in 1. It is truly a thing of wonder that such an abundance exists. The Universe is a pretty big place. Just to realize that kinda makes me tear up. Life is pretty good.
Evoking occam's razor (aka the simplest answer) it plays out for me like this. Abiogenisis under somewhat particular conditions is easy. Therefore microbial life is most likely very common. It took 2.5 billion years to get from prokaryotic life (single cells) to eukaryotic life (multicellular) life. So complex life is rare. Took 4.4 billion years to get to homosapians and civilizations. So intelligent civilizations are extremely rare. Based on the vast distances of space time. Taking into account cosmic expansion, time dilation blah blah blah ... the chances of two civilizations existing at the same time and communicating with eachother are ALMOST zero. HOWEVER its a crazy fucking universe and anything is possible.
If it takes billions of years for the light to reach out telescopes, then we are seeing what the planet looked like a billion years ago. What if other planets have life on them now, but we just haven't observed their current state?
Can I get pinned?
You didn’t even finish the video! Lol
Sure ;)
@@ScienceTime24 merry Christmas, and thanks 😁
@@ScienceTime24The great filter probably is self destruction. Even if it’s not it’s definitely the most ironic. Life spends millions of years evolving into these complex multi cellular organisms just to destroy itself over and over.
Can I get pinned..... by a 10 foot tall alien amazon woman with cat ears and a tail?
For me, Brian has nailed it with his observation it can take 4billion years to evolve intelligent life but this also needs a stable environment throughout. I believe this is the reason intelligent life is incredibly rare.
i would not say we are an intelligent lifeform, even if our environment is stable. i would say we are pretty primitive.
I was born Inside the event Horizon of a black hole just like everyone else, we are "Frozen here together" in this time being ...Everything is Frozen into time, the freezing is part of the embedding. People have a bias that a black hole is unlike the world around us
It took Earth 4 billion years because it wasn't very stable. When our organisms learned to breath oxygen, almost ALL other types of cells were poisoned by oxygen and went extinct. It seriously hampered speed of evolution on Earth.
Yeah, finding a microbe is one thing... but a multicelular creature with the power to create and build upon knowledge with the speed homo sapiens has been doing has to be rare. Even on earth it took a few "resets" with asteroids destroying most of the planet for mammals to take charge over dinosaurs. Another big hit and we are back to square one and who knows if there will ever be a species as "intelligent" as homo sapiens ever again before the sun dies.
Yet at the same time UFO's are flying everywhere, excuse me alien life is everywhere
Honestly, I could listen to the Brians Cox and Greene speak all day about neat space stuff. They both have a knack for dumbing down complex and complicated scientific issues in a way that's both informative and entertaining to laypersons. I like that.
Geoff Marcy is good too
Always a pleasure listening to Prof Dr Brian Cox - he simply explains best complex topics to people like myself, not being educated in science & sophisticated maths
... and the hair ...
Cox forgets that not even a single cell life will be found on Mars. We here are alone period.
@@shasha1873 lol
@@shasha1873 Karl, we may agree on the basis 'We don't know, yet.' Let the scientists & probes do their work - once they collated & evaluated the data they conclude accordingly. Cheers anyway.
@@shasha1873 but ... the hair ...
No matter how long and hard my brain thinks over this. With the numbers involved, i just can't come to accept that we are alone.
I get where you're coming from. I mean, sure, the requirements necessary for life of any sort are hard to come by, but there does seem to be an awful lot of planets that it is probable that there are many that could have life. Also, life apparently arose pretty early on earth, so surely that's because it's not all that difficult for life to arise given an environment suitable for life, right?
There is a problem with the last part of that though, and that's that mathematically, the random formation of many necessary molecules that are needed to make a functional cell here on earth exceeds the probabilistic resources of the known universe. What that means is that the probability of forming, for example, a useful protein randomly is greater than the number of particle interactions within the known universe given the age of the universe. To overcome that hurdle there would need to be some kind of mechanism capable of reliably producing such molecules to remove the random aspect. Of course there are a few such molecules, so we probably need a few different such mechanisms, but so far, there doesn't seem to be any such mechanisms.
What that means is that either someone or something at the very least guided the process or we just got ridiculously lucky or there's somehow something we aren't able to account for now. If the first, then life existing elsewhere is dependent on the someone or something that guided it here on earth. If the second, then life anywhere rose doesn't have a reasonable chance, if the third, the who knows as we're dealing with something we can't currently conceive of.
I was once like that. But we don't know the PROBABILITY of us, a slightly scientific society. What if that happens not one per galaxy, but once per 10 galaxies? Or, once per 100, a thousand, or just once a million galaxies??? Sure, we might not be the only ones, but the other civilization might be sooooo far away in space (and IN TIME, no-one talks about that one) that it might not matter.
I dont think we are alone but the distances involved and requirements for aligned timeframes make me seriously doubt we will find advanced life forms anytime soon.
Try harder...!! LoL. The number of stars and planets in our galaxy is roughly 10 to the power of 24, the number of stars and planets in the entire universe is about 10 to the power of 57. That is ten followed by 57 zeros, its a huge number. To put that in perspective, a single living plant cell capable of photosynthesis is constructed from the molecular level, to form proteins that are then folded into DNA structures which compose that single cell. The combinations of the constuent components of that cell is 10 to the power of 100, can you grasp the nature of the complexity of life from that number. Can you now understand the mind boggling complexity of intelligent life, of human life. The odds of this randomly occuring in multiple places is next to zero in my humble opinion. It should also put the whole concept of AI into another frame of reference, AI is mostly over hyped nonsense. Computation, no matter how complex or rapid is not consciousness. AI is not a living entity, it cannot think and will never have an idea of its own. When people blabber on about AI, neural networks and neurons just remember the complexity of a single living cell and take it with a grain of salt.
Certainly not the invisible man in the sky that a lot of people believe in.@@gngrwtch9316
This is exactly what I think is the answer to the Fermi paradox, life may be fairly abundant in the universe, but complex intelligent life may be extremely rare, once or twice in an entire galaxy's life kind of rare.
i just can’t see that being true. out of literally hundreds of BILLIONS of planets/moons that could be habitable in a given galaxy you really think complex life only emerges on a couple of them? i understand you have to have a stable environment for a very long time for life to evolve but out of HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS of options there’s just no way there aren’t at least hundreds of intelligent civilizations out there. maybe not like star trek advanced but at least very close to us
@@CallofDutyWarrior15 watch a video on the prisoners paradox.
Cool worlds made a great one.
Or the distances of other galaxies make other life just too far to detect.
Dude.. there is no answer to this or anything else related to this. The Universe is too vast and complex to assume anything about it until whatever it is you think might exist lands in your front yard and knocks on your door.
@@christopherwelch5568 Dude.. you do realize that THEORETICAL physics is based on scientists starting with a hypothesis before they start doing experiments and empirical testing? Not the other way around.
If Brian cox really exists, how come I’ve never met him?
haha smart
If dogs come from wolves, how come there are still wolves? 🤔
He doesn’t find you to be an intelligent creature 😁
@@spicehedge
It was a sarcastic dig at evolution deniers. "If humans evolved from apes, why are there still apes?"
Lol
@@Jaylovescars We didnt evolve from apes though. That`s scientifically inaccurate
To me, it's more likely the case that even if there are space travelling civilizations, the universe is so big, it's very unlikely they've come to our neighbourhood.
Have you seen star trek?
Yeh faster than light travel may very well be the thing that prevents alien life from contacting anything. Even if we could go faster than the speed of light, it would still take us years to travel to nearby stars.
@@aussieas6655 Imagine this other civilization also had a prime directive. Only it is to seek and destroy life, for any and all other life forms have the potential to become a threat to their own existence.
@@mgntstr I doubt that would be likely as there would be no gain from having no other life in the galaxy. Plus you would never be the "bully on the block" because somewhere in another galaxy someone else would just vaporize you if they are more advanced and you are a threat.
@@aussieas6655 Yes the GAIN would be securing your survival. If your civilization could develop stealth planet/solar system killers, others could too.
"Person who pushes the nuclear war button might wipe out the meaning in our galaxy."
This hits hard.
This one hits harder: there is no meaning in anything. Thats our human-made concept to deal with the fact that there is no meaning at all. The universe does not need life.
@@ZimCH84 Well meaning in this context is that, we have direction and purpose in our actions, guided by desire or survival or otherwise. Complex life.
Where as cellular life just divides, ie. meaningless.
The possibility a majority of nuclear weapons on Earth would be set off and kill us all, under any circumstance, is zero. Not including the thousands which would fail to even launch due to aging materials, and which are impossible to detonate unless launched, the damage done by such weapons would be just as instantaneous as the calls for peace.
Japan didn't refuse to surrender immediately after the Hiroshima bombing due to some sense of megalomania, but it was mostly from their disbelief that such an event could have happened at all. In a future war involving nukes, nobody will question if such a technology exists. Paris gets nuked? France calls for peace. Moscow gets nuked? Russia calls for peace. Washington DC gets nuked? USA calls for peace.
This would be over quicker than it started not because the bombs had all been launched, or because the entire planet was rendered lifeless, but because everybody would instantly realize, through inescapable survival instincts, how badly they all screwed up.
This is why all nuclear bombs should be destroyed and any country that has one in secret those people that developed and hid them should also be destroyed.
The Silent Hunter who strikes first in the Dark Forest survives.
For me, the most frightening idea is, what if there really is no way to travel faster than light? What if traveling through wormholes etc. is just beyond the reach of biological life reach? Perhaps there are thousands of advanced civilizations trapped in their home systems who realized the limits of physics and knowing there is no way to reach other star systems not mentioning other galaxies?
Thats what I always think about. Faster than light travel may not be possible for a living organism
Yes. For me the biggest obstacle is distance. It's mind boggling when you really think about it.
It may be. But what about digital organisms. Perhaps that's the answer. We eventually shed our physical forms.
The hope lies in the fact that you cannot define the reach of biological life. If you went back 1 thousand years and showed someone a rocket, they’d think you’re god. Similarly, if a more advanced civilisation showed us how to travel faster than the speed of light, manipulate gravity, and travel through worm holes, we’d also think they’re god like creatures. Biological advancement to these stages seems hopeful assuming life can be sustained and stable for a prolonged period of time to make the necessary advancements, hence why the great filter is a popular theory - the idea that the nature of the universe prohibits life from being able to get to this point entirely, or we end up killing ourselves through nuclear warfare etc before we can get to it.
@@mullenio4200 Still doesn't change the problem of distance.
Brian Cox has one of the most calming relaxing voices. I like to fall asleep listening to him explaining some scientific brilliance that I will never understand.
A lot of people from Manchester are like this
Update:
As of 1 December 2022, there are 5,284 confirmed exoplanets in 3,899 planetary systems, with 847 systems having more than one planet. Most of these were discovered by the Kepler space telescope.
Yes, but they're mostly giant worlds, orbiting close to their parent star, and often too far away to be of interest. The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) hasn't found as many exoplanets as originally hoped, but those that it has found are more Earthlike and closer - and we're still going through the data.
@@baldieman64 true but there will be smaller planets too that have not been discovered there
It's been a whole month later.
Can we get an update on those numbers as of 1 January 2023?
Glad to see I'm not the only one that actually keeps up.. 'we've discovered well over 3000 exoplanets' makes me wonder how long ago this video was produced and how out of date it truly is.
@@michaelbaker5395 I'm near certain it is over "5000" now!
It is actually over '5297' to be more precise... although I suspect it is over that number?
Trying to fathom that there are 400 billion or so stars in one galaxy and trillions of galaxies and that this number might be but a tiny fraction of the universe since we likely can only observe one small piece of it is mind-blowing. And then to consider that we may be the most complex life form ever developed seems impossible. Yet the evidence as presented here strongly suggests that life is so fragile that whatever does develop indeed is destroyed long before it can conquer interstellar communication.
I believe that by the time we have a concrete answer, we may not need that answer at all. lol
True, the solar system is like 5 bil years old which is already almost half of the age of the universe and yet we haven't even gone interstellar. Intelligent life takes too long to evolve to the point that we are still on an early stage of the universe's life to grow such life.
@@uptrade8507smoke and mirrors? Doesn’t add up? According to your keen, honed and perfected intuition? 😂😂😂😂😂😂 thanks for the laugh
@@damonm3 probably meaning a simulation.
And according to religion
Hallelujah. No synthesized voice, no fluff. Plus Brian Cox. Nice.
Thanks
And thank you
I think I've cracked the Fermi Paradox, the aliens were about to make contact then they watched an episode of Love Island and decided not to bother!!!🤣🤣
Yeah, they’re out there, they just don’t care about meeting us.
Here are a few things I've thought about but never heard mentioned--so it's entirely possible that they are irrelevant.
1. What generation star is necessary before there are enough heavy elements to form a planet? We need things like iron, carbon, etc. before we can have planets, much less life. That requires at least a few generations of stars burning out and exploding. How long would that take? Perhaps it's only around now that conditions are right in the galaxy (concerning the amount of appropriate elements) for something like us to evolve. Assuming, of course, that most planets would be subject to the same problems "we" had (asteroid/comet impacts, mass extinctions, etc.)
2. Is there a habitable zone for the galaxy itself? I've read that radiation levels go up the closer you get to the center of the galaxy. Perhaps life, complex or otherwise, can only exist in the outer rims (to borrow a Star Wars term). This would reduce the number of habitable star systems, perhaps by a great deal.
3. Perhaps we haven't detected radio signals because they attenuate (right word?) as they propagate from the source. From what I understand, the signals we send out get weaker and weaker because they are sent in all directions and mostly meant to be received on our planet, not sent out into space. Furthermore, the signal would be spread out, right? The planet, and thus the source, is moving around the star and the star, in turn, is moving through the galaxy. Could it be that a weak signal, flying by at whatever speed the planet is moving, would be missed, if it made it here at all?
Again, smarter people than me work on this. It's possible (likely?) that I haven't heard about these issues because they don't matter. Or maybe I don't read enough. LOL
1. our sun is a 3rd generation star. Lead is created from radioactive half-life decay. Our sun can't do much fusion past Iron.
2. The center of the galaxy is a super massive black hole.
Is not the radiation of the black hole but the density of stars all emitting solar radiation.
3. radio signals dissipate at a ratio of (4*pi*r^2), so our radio bubble on earth is 200 light years is radius but is so thin it is null to the microwave background radiation. Also, this assumes that other life discovered/invented radio transmission. They may not have ears to understand audio waves.
Hope this helps.
"smarter" people may have been working on the problem, but I can guarantee you the people who have proposed most of the commonly-accepted solutions to the Fermi Paradox never took any of that into consideration. All it takes is a little bit of imagination and logical thinking and basic understanding of statistics and the scientific method in general to quickly understand that we simply don't have enough data available to be able to form any kind of conclusion yet.
Honestly, the Paradox itself is a joke and most of the solutions for it are as well. It makes too many assumptions, there are far too many unknown variables, and our sample size, timeframe, and general frame of reference are all incredibly narrow, skewed, and small. If the methodolgy of the Fermi Paradox was applied to literally any other field of science it would get laughed at and shut down before it ever had a chance to gain any kind of traction at all. It's terrible, horrible, no-good very-bad science at its finest.
The Dark Forest hypothesis is another solution to the Fermi Paradox but is super terrifying.
That fits nicely with idea of the Dawn Hunters , an alpha species that hunts emerging intelligence and snuffs it before it becomes a threat.
It might very well be a huge factor, that intelligent life forms get ..eaten.. by some forms of eaters(alien life forms) when they are developing and before they really grow up to be responsible actors and not sending information out for ex. There is certainly((we are here and we can understand, that life Can form just based on natural world(that is actually everything, no matter what)) life out there and some of it is certainly not friendly.
The idea of earth is the only place with advanced life is a terrify thought .Humans are fucking killing each other like spoiled kids how fragile life is and the planet .
Have you read the “Three bodies” trilogy? The second book is the Dark forest and exploits that hypothesis.
Sure, but how did all the other civilisations find that out?
Very interesting to know. And how shameful it would be to completely destroy ourselves over what amounts to greed.
Yes all about greed. That will bring the human race to extinction. Look how far we’ve gone since the industrial revolution. The human race had so much potential. Whatever species takes over our planet i.e. insects they will last much longer than us humans ever did. I’m not worried about the world the planet she will recycle everything we’ve done. 99.9% of everything that ever lived is extinct just like we’re destined to. Most billionaires don’t care about people or the environment. The people without the money and the power seem to have great ideas too bad they’re not in charge. I’m glad I never had kids. I’m enjoying the ride while I can. Like George Carlin‘s I got no skin in the game. I’m just watching the freak show. We have or should I say had the perfect planet. Humans cannot live without polluting the environment. The dinosaurs were around for 600 million years or so a lot longer than us humans. An asteroid kill them but us humans being more civilized has affected every square inch of this planet for the worse. I cannot imagine this planet 200 years from today. I believe I have lived in the best of times and worse. I’m 62 years old.
Its not even greed, its ego
Cern is working on it.
Maybe that’s the inevitable fate of all intelligent life?
As long as we continue to tolerate despots and tyrants, we will live in fear. There are several people for whom the world would be better off without. And this doesn't just apply to the leaders of countries either. How many of us got bullied at school just because we were smaller and or smarter than others. Do we really need them? I seriously don't think so. Especially when the bully has a nuclear arsenal and the mental instability to use it. Putin, the leaders of North Korea and China all just need to die.
Out of all the planets in the universe, how many could be aware that we exist? Because of the limited speed of light, aliens that are too far would see the planets as it was 10000 years ago and might think it's not really interesting to visit...
I think that this topic is incomplete without discussion of the moon, seasons, and thier effect on the devopment of life. Just being in the goldilocks zone might not be enough.
Great point Prof. Cox makes at the end. Imagine being that person who threatens the destruction of the only life in the galaxy.......
It's a terrifying thought!
@@ThiefOfNavarrewhy is it terrifying? If there is no life there is no one lamenting. That may sound cold but it’s simply logical. The universe has value because we exist. The universe is hostile and indifferent and we shouldn’t exist. In fact even the universe shouldn’t exist because the parameters of universal constants exist on the proverbial knife-edge. Were they only but a minuscule different, the Big Bang would have either imploded back into itself or would have expanded so rapidly no matter would have ever formed. So sentiment is nice but once intelligent life is extinct so sentiment will be also.
Agree shows humans still need to evolve .
Joe Biden is doing his best to make it happen
Beings like Putin can end an entire civilization once it advances to the level of nuclear weapons. No thought is given to whether we have the only life in the galaxy.
I really hate to think that we are the only planet in the galaxy where "intelligence" exists. I'm somewhat skeptical that it even does here, especially after I read a newspaper.
Only planet in the galaxy?! Imagine being the only galaxy in the _entire universe_ where “intelligence” exists.
@@Eric-469 How profoundly lonely that existence would be. And what a waste of space all of that up there. Just empty, cold, timeless worlds.
Every time I hear somebody try to play down the intelligence of the human species, I remember that it’s a member of the human species saying that.
@@lawrencedoliveiro9104 and yet we’re the only introspective species.
Yes, reading newspapers is definitely a sign of being unintelligent
If I had the opportunity to have a one-on-one meeting with anyone in the world, Professor Brian Cox would be that person!!
Only livin', or dead one, too?
He was my mates lecturer at The university of Manchester. None of believed him so he got a photo with him after one of his lectures haha
Brian Cox is just a biased atheist. Not really an objective scientist anymore 😞 I used to be a massive fan as well. It’s a shame that he has such strong biases, which prevents him from being objective.
The astronomical scale of space/time itself resolves the paradox in my mind. Given the distances involved and the extremely short time we humans have been around [and will likely be around], for all intents and purposes we are alone.
Once you accept some fundamental, physical realities, what Fermit postulated stops being a paradox.
1. moving or accelerating to c, let alone above c, is physically impossible.
2. interstallar distances are so unfathomably huge, that the ressources and time needed to bring human being to the next star using sub-ftl means of travel are simply too prohibitive. And not by a small margin, like "let's focus on space travel for a few hundred years" but very possibly by some orders of magnitude too hard.
We do not even have concepts how manned interstellar travel could work. (and yes, I know all the proposed "solutions" ... once you start thinking about the problems they face, you very quickly realize, that they are probably not possible)
As much as I would like to believe, humanity is destined to be a space faring race, I have very little to go on to truly believe it.
The simplest explanation of the Fermi paradox doesn't require machine intelligence or any other extreme reaches. Seems to me the obvious explanation is that for not yet known practical reasons, interstellar travel is functionally impossible. After all, in the last decade or two, we've learned that colonizing the Moon, much less traveling to Mars, are a hundred times more difficult than we used to believe. We don't even know what we don't know about interstellar travel.
One of the wisest comments in almost any YT channel, is what you just made. Thanks for enlightening me on that thought.
Interstellar travel capability, of alien civilization, is not supposed to be needed for Earthlings to detect alien civilization. It is thought that Earthlings could detect alien civilization's electro-magnetic waves, e.g. radio or light. It is also thought that stellar mega-structures of more advanced alien civilizations should be detectable.
@@davidadiwego4608 he's right. Things are millions of generations away. Even if you bump things up from 78,000 of miles per hour spaceship speeds to light speed, and factor in the 10,000 aliens-ish planets predicted, good luck finding a signal from one in the Emptiness of space even if it started transmitting billions of years ago. Nothing is coming or going
@@rawroll1776 Despite the Arthur C Clarke quote, technology isn't magic. A few thousand years don't necessarily make a difference- the knife was invented 100,000 years ago, and we've never improved the basic design, only the materials it's made of- and even then "improvement" is a matter of definition- a flint edge can be sharper than a surgical scalpel.
@@bierce716 what is a knife? A: a cutting tool. Do we have cutting tools that massively out perform knives when extremely tough/delicate cuts are needed? A: yes, lasers.
A flint may be sharper than a scalpel, but scalpels are far more practical. For one, a scalpel can be dropped without bits flying off of it.
Brian Cox among the most interesting engaging Brilliant scientists around.
But he is wrong. They will find NOTHING on Mars.
@@shasha1873 Karly, you’re giving that drum a good seeing-to! Just to save me the bother of watching again, where is it he says they’ll find life on Mars?
@@callumclark3358 Good point. He does not actually say it.
@@shasha1873 have you heard of Dr. Eric W Davis?
I love listening to Brian.
"Wipe out meaning in the galaxy..." Prof' Cox certainly has a way of putting things into perspective.
Brian Cox's voice & style of narration is like a living Planetarium.
Puts me right to sleep visualizing all those possibilities & probabilities.
Celestial Cosmic Conversation ❤
What was not discussed is that distances between star systems are so vast, meaningful, interactive communication between civilizations (between stars) would be nearly impossible. Since faster-than-light travel is also impossible, visitations between stars is unlikely, unless crews were put into stasis. Even if we could travel at 0.5C, it would take ≈10 years to reach our nearest neighboring star.
There was a time when we invented the wheel to throw pots never imagining we’d be using it to drive over 300 mph. 😊
@@rogermelly8260 I hate that we won’t get to experience it, but will settle for one living microorganism, for my great grandma it was reaching the moon. 😊
It is possible and has been figured out by a much more highly advanced form of life. I'm not sure how but they did. Maybe actually figured out how to bend space and time, worm holes, antimatter turbo thrust, or something. They've visited personally and while it was scary my family and I found it very interesting. They haven't visited in years so I guess they're tired of our race and probably found some other more intelligent and peaceful race to hang with and make friends with. I think they got what they wanted and they can tell we're beyond help and not worth it.
Time dilation would kick in at 0.5C, so it would take far less than 10 years for the crew.
@Roger Melly Yes, a general problem is that we don’t know whether there is a technological barrier beyond which nobody can go. But even if we could somehow send a large ship at 0.5C at ease we can’t based on currently known physics, return or communicate back in a timely manner. E.g, we return from some star system in a couple of years but a few hundred years have passed on Earth.
However, my hunch is, based on consideration of symmetry, intelligent life at least equivalent to ours must be abundant in some sense, even if we can never meet them. But bear in mind given circa hundreds of billions of galaxies that “abundance” could mean one intelligent civilisation only every ten galaxies. That would still be billions of civilisations.
I have been watching this channel since 2 years , rlly crispy stuff
My own theory is that we are alone. So many random things have to occur for life to emerge, and for it then to jump to complex life, and then further to intelligent life. We are not just rare but we’re unique.
It's not just your theory, it is more probable than not. The vast number of freak accidents and events that have happened, on earth, have led to intelligent life on this planet is almost unfathomable. Perhaps at best, one planet in an entire galaxy sustains intelligent life. Many people just don't get it, we are unique and alone. More reasons to look after each other and our planet.
Or perhaps our definition of life is so narrow and earth-centered that we wouldn't recognize other lifeforms as living even if we encountered them.
I've always known about the Fermi Paradoxi, but learning that this question was asked while they were working on atomic weapons really recontextualizes it, especially when you take the Great Filter into account. Just hits hard.
We could be the first spacefarers in our galaxy, and civilisations in other galaxies are either too far away to detect or communicate in a way we don't recognise.
It's highly unlikely that two civilizations would exist simultaneously over a 13.7bn year time frame. We won't last a million years, and the next civilization will think they're alone.
If I were a galactic explorer equipped with advanced technology and spent any time observing the activities of the inhabitants of this planet, in the interests of self preservation I'd be damn sure not to make my presence known.
You actually have no clue how you would think or behave if you had that kind of advanced technology. None of us do
@@enadegheeghaghe6369 Thought I just provided a clue.
@@wozm9924 no, you only think you know how you would behave in those circumstances. You don't really know for sure. We are all changed by the things we aquire, possess , control, know or experience.
It's easy to assume that we will behave in a certain way if we have power be it financial or technological. But the truth is that someone who never seriously considered stealing could infact become a thief if he acquired the power of invisibility.
Being able to travel from one galaxy to another and being able to observe and judge a entire race of inferior beings would definitely change you in some way. Maybe for the better, maybe not.
@@enadegheeghaghe6369 Not a Star Trek fan then? The prime directive? All jokes aside, you are stepping into the realm of moral judgements now. Bit of a minefield that. But I can confirm for you that if tomorrow I had the ability to become invisible it is unlikely I would become a thief. This is because of my sincere belief that in this life there's no such thing as a free lunch. Theres always a price. And I hate thieves. So, just because one has the power does not signify an automatic change in one's core belief in right and wrong. I understand your argument, but I'll make my point once again. If I travelled back in time 2000 years, equipped as I am with all the knowledge and technological advantages of a citizen living in a modern western society I am fairly certain that I would be making my presence as discrete as possible around the ignorant blood thirsty barbarians and the hordes of religious zealots of that epoch. Its just an extrapolation to assume a technologically advanced being from somewhere else would do the same around us during our stage of human technological adolescence and cognitive evolution.
@@wozm9924 nice write up. But you missed the point. If you had such advance tech and came from a different planet somewhere else in the universe to encounter or observe humans, that would make you an alien. You would not have had the same upbringing and experiences as a human growing up on earth.
In fact you would be a completely different person (or creature) from what you are now.
Like I said, you have no idea what you would think or do if you were an advanced alien observing earth and earthlings.
This stuff is always interesting... i enjoy it and sorta understand some of it... unlike some i admit its extremely hard to fathom and grasp all of it beyond a certain extent... so i just enjoy and go with it...
My own thoughts on the Fermi Paradox is that there may be other civilizations out there, but we are simply not recognizing them as such, so far. Imagine a group of primitives getting a glimpse of a distant city skyline. I think it most likely that they will think, "Wow, those are WEIRD mountains" rather than make the jump and figure that other people built and live in those things.
A similar story with communications. ASSUMING that light-speed electromagnetic transmissions are the interstellar norm (and I have major reservations about that), we could be literally bombarded with signals and simply not recognize them as such. Imagine trying to use a 19th century Morse Code set to tap into and 'read' what is happening in a fibre-optic cable. Would the results from such an attempt even be comprehensible?
I remember when I was a kid, pretty much all books talking about the Solar System would be basically, "Well, MAYBE" when talking about life elsewhere - specifically Mars, forget anywhere else. But our knowledge of just how tenacious life can be has expanded considerably, and our improved understanding of the rest of the Solar System has led to several other solid candidates making the list.
As regards civilizations elsewhere, it really is far too early to tell, I think.
Not far too early if they come & visit us & make themselves known . Probably not what the governing bodies want , the theory was government was afraid that the people would panic , & i think really that if they can get here , then we are more vulnerable than they are & humans wouldn't be apex & that draws fear . There is no way our planet is the only 1 with life on it , only some years ago it was knowledge the universe was 4.5 billion years old , now our understanding has improved & its 13.5billion , its an uncomprehedable long time ⌛️ & as we've seen with ourselves- anything is possible as were here enjoying our - gift of life
I get what you're saying, but as they developed they will have progressed through radio technology, those radio waves are very slow and we would still be picking them up long after they stopped using them. Unless they pre date us so much that they've stopped using radio long before we started listening. Interesting for sure.
@@yanceyboyz Depends how long civilizations tend to use EM signals that we can actually recognize as such. We've been actively using them for less than a century and a half, and seriously listening out for them for considerably less time than that. By the timescales of (hypothetical) interstellar civilizations, that is arguably not very long at all. As one SF novel hypothesized, maybe the use of EM signals is typically a rather brief period in technological development. We really don't know, one way or another.
I am also mindful o f assumptions based on minimal evidence. Looking at the 1970s, the prevalent school of scientific thought then was that life in our Solar System would be pretty much confined to Earth, with maybe a few micro-organisms here and there elsewhere. Now, with our improved knowledge of extremophiles and of various bodies, the odds of complex lifeforms existing elsewhere has improved markedly.
We don't know. Until 'they' land outside the UN and call a media conference, we can only speculate. :).
I think there may be lots of life out there but very few technologically advanced enough to get here. It’s taken 4 billion years to get us on the moon and we are late developers. If an intelligent species had reached earth in the last 100 million years they would have probably colonised our planet and we wouldn’t be here. But here we are totally alone.
@@UA-camchannel-po8cz A young up-and-coming scientist named Carl Sagan once wrote an article seriously speculating about the possibility of aliens having visited Earth sometime in the past.
Then along came Eric von Daniken and the nuttier elements of the UFO movement. Now, most serious scientists won't go anywhere NEAR that line of thought. Professional suicide, at best.
Don't know about colonization by aliens long ago. It all depends on just how habitable the Earth was from the aliens' point of view. Plus, to speculate further, if Earth was usable / desirable to them, could have been reasons they chose not to - ethics, morals, practicality, religious, priorities. Who knows - speculation piled on speculation here.
Its crazy in our day to day life we do such trivial things. But when you really start thinking on grand scheme of universe. We are equally special and equally negligable and meaningless. Its crazy mind boggling.
I love listening to Brian explain things.
I think that the missing factor re: "Why hasn't intelligent life populated the galaxy?" is that if a civilization truly "advances" over very long time periods, perhaps it figures out that perpetual growth means extinction. If we continue as we are now with continuous population growth commercialization wouldn't improve the majority of human lives. Overpopulation and resource exhaustion would more likely be the result.
So maybe truly advanced intelligences would opt for social limitations for improved living conditions. So the inquisitive mind might not be the Magellan explorer but one that fascinates itself with its proximate existence. I dunno. Just hypothesizing.
I honestly don't quite comprehend this desire to populate the galaxy. When I walk in a forest, I sure as fuck do not think "This would be better with apartment blocks".
I've thought this very point. As we get more intelligent we may choose not to bother with interstellar travel.
@@mattwright2964 Yeah. Maybe happiness would be found by enhancing their/our planet and really enjoying their/our lives in the here and now.
Perpetual growth within a limited area possibly means extinction. But when you have an entire galaxy to populate, then over that time frame the very concept of species integrity, never mind social integrity, starts to lose meaning.
That is the difference between hoomens and aliens. When resources fall we start to migrate and colonies.
Beautifully explained. I think that we have another Carl Sagan just Younger and with a British accent.
Youthful looking Brian Cox is actually older than Sagan was when he wrote Cosmos (54 compared with 46)..
That was a damn good ending to an excellent presentation!
I only clicked because i wanted to listen to Brian Cox.
Brian Cox is a very good narrator. The passion and empathy are present
fairly passionless
I've often wondered if the big bang was started inside a sandbox type of setup by an advanced race observing the effects with the intent of creating something like an almost infinite power source, or maybe an advanced computer designed to perform some kind of insanely complex set of calculations. If that's the case though, we may well be nothing more than a ridiculously small and insignificant loss in power efficiency or a sticking point that makes a complex equation very slightly inaccurate.
Imagine our current state and existence is merely a test of how to create life that doesn't destroy itself once it has the means to do so. How to create self-sustaining life.
It just shows how far you're willing to go to have a reason for the existence of the universe.
Rick and Morty
I think Rick Sanchez did this, but for his space-car battery.
God is great
The universe keeps its inhabitants in check with distance.
If a civilization has the intelligence to reach other civilizations that don't, it will also have the intelligence not to interact with it.
Its a beautiful balance.
We should use the intelligence we currently have to nurture ourselves and our planet to give us enough time to evolve into a civilization that can do the same.
Then we may find that we don't need to find and reach them, but they may let us know that they have already found and reached us.
The most valuable resource in the universe is time.
Human always wants more; im sure there are other civilizations out there and im sure humen will find out that but not in our time, maybe +1000 years from now
Some interesting points in this video. I had a great teacher at school who asked me some quite mind-blowing questions about the universe and life: Is the search for, and interest in life just a transient phase in our primate self awareness and evolution of mind and culture. Is life a positive thing in the universe? Is life important in the universe? These questions exposed me to a kind of thinking that has helped me greatly in life from a philosophical standpoint.
Everything will be answered when humanity gives birth to it's true child..AI
I think so. It seems to be an organization thing.
@@rudra7615 I concur. I believe that our primitive carbon form is flawed and destined to fail. AI will find a way to survive and thrive with little appetite to tell our story.
@@derekking7319 agree, and it will finally help us realise our true relationship to God as well and end all of these unnecessary religion causing chaos of the world.
I could listen to Brian Cox speak all day about astronomy!!
I can listen to Brian Cox speak all day!
Love when get new notification to check out what's up in science 🤪 👌
Brian Cox touched on something I thought of in regards to the Fermi Paradox which is, what if we're the first beings of intelligent life. If that's the case, we wouldn't find anyone doing what we're doing, which is looking for others out there in the universe and sending signals.
The other thought is that of The Great Filter hypothesis. It reminds me a bit of the plot of the Mass Effect games with the Reapers allowing for civilization to build up before they come out of hibernation to destroy and collect all the resources only to then go back and allow it to build up again as apart of a cycle. Now, I'm not say there are aliens like the Reapers out there setting all this up, but it makes you wonder if there's a possible design in intelligent life that never allows for more than one advanced civilization to be alive and active at a time. Maybe it's apart of the laws of the universe that in order for the next intelligent life to emerge, the current one must destroy itself? What if we're an experiment for something much more omnipotent?
If that's the case, that would suggest something greater out there that's programmed this rule. A creator of sorts. It's not something i've really believed or even thought too much about, but it's something i've come to take into consideration with all these conversations. No one really knows.
Unless we find a way to travel faster than light, humans will never visit other solar systems. I think the best we could hope for it to make contact with alien life through interstellar signals. We would also need to exist at the correct time to either receive the signals or send them at the right time for them to receive signals.
"Never"? So that's mere opinion...
@@peter9477 Of course it's an opinion.
With the time differences between galaxies it is possible if not likely that if it takes 4-5 billion years for intelligent life to evolve, a galaxy 7 B year old, could have had intelligent life evolve 2.5 B years ago. They could have reigned for a B years and died out a B years ago. If their galaxy is located 6 B light years away from us, we won't even see light from their galaxy that might have techno signatures from them for at least another 3.5 B years.
@@mrbamfo5000 While that's true, he was talking about intra-galactic communication I think, not inter-galactic. Definitely a different beast entirely.
@@peter9477 he's right. do the math. Nothing is coming or going. The distance to the nearest Fermi planet is millions of generations away.
Brian Cox show us the ability to think and problem solve well beyond the abilities of the average person.
"If we are the only planet in the galaxy where brains exist, where conscious thought exists, we are the only place where meaning exists in a galaxy of 400 billion stars, imagine if we decide to press the button tomorrow, nuclear war right, press the button, the person who does that may wipe out meaning in a galaxy" wow, that gave me chills! If we truly are alone in the universe, then humans would wipe out life in not only just the galaxy, but the entire universe. Makes you hope against hope that we aren't the only ones, if not for our own sake of finding others in the future to also share this existence but to just be there, saving the universe from total annihilation of consciousness and meaning from one insignificant miniscule human beings decision...
if we make ourselves extinct then perhaps the Universe will try again somewhere else.
Excellent video. Brian Cox explains things so well. Thank you
its all a game, they make it up as they go along
brian cox is awesome i love to hear him talk
You just did though
It’s always a treat hearing Brian Cox narrate a video. Far more enjoyable then bombastic Neil deGrasse Tyson.
Well he is mellower. They are both good science communicators, just maybe for different audiences.
That’s really hit hard 😮 I just stopped for a moment and think about it. Brilliant video from Brian.
We would be very arrogant if were to believe we are the only, or oldest intelligent life in our galaxy.
I think another solution to the fermi paradox is that moving through space faster than, or even close to, the speed of light is simply impossible. after all, the speed of light is actually what was calculated to be the maximum speed of causation, or the fastest possible speed anything, even massless light or information, could possibly move. if correct, this means nothing is moving faster than light and given the distance between planets, no civilization will be able to explore space much beyond their own solar system. Also, even if there is a way to move faster than light, it is likely not economical. we don't have infinite energy and resources to put into this and it's likely no other life forms on other planets would either.
As for where are their radio signals, given the hundreds to billions of light years away these planets are, it would take hundreds to billions of years for these signals to reach us but also, at that distance, the signal would be so spread out by then, it would be indistinguishable from background noise of cosmic radiation.
I absolutely agree ! The kind of never ending hoops this planet had to jump through, the multiple destructive events that kiboshed the attempts at life evolving in a certain fashion, including being partially destroyed as a frozen ocean water planet further from the sun to be shunted into a closer orbit and continue anew with a severely damaged crust which as a result continues to rearrange itself, our turbulent atmosphere as a result of all this crustal shifting, and so many other factors surrounding our planet. We exist because of a certain balance between stability and chaos, but we as the most recent race of dominant beings living on Earth are leaning more towards chaos and will not be able to exist as a result. There may be billions of planets in the universe, a large number in the Goldilocks zone of their star, but if the math doesn't factor in everything in this planets evolution, then it's not accurate. A planet like Earth is extremely rare and even close seconds would not be as supportive to earthlings.
In addition to the goldilocks zone, you would need a sizable moon to stabilize the rotation, a gas giant to shield the inner planets from meteors and comets, A tranquil place in the galaxy would be advantageous. This is what we have, but our moon is moving away from the earth when it gets far enough away it's effect on the earth will cease, that's when this planet becomes uninhabitable for advanced lifeforms. In the universal clock humanoid life on this planet is a moment, like a firefly.
I agree with your first two points, a habitable planet needs something like a large moon to stabilize equatorial orientation, and probably a large gas giant like Jupiter to absorb comets and such, actually our moon will be gravitationally bound to the Earth past the time, billions of years from now, when our sun expands into a red giant.
Agree, it's truly incredible to see the impact of the moon on earths rotation and the fact that we spin in just the right way and have the right tilt to keep seasonal temperatures just right. So elegantly balanced.
It will be about 15 billion years before the moon has no effect on earth.
@@BatMan-oe2gh not the number I read about, I read about 100K which still is a long time
Life would also cope with harsher conditions. This is also shown by the regional special adaptations of humans, such as part of the Australian Aborigines, who are able to survive cold nights in the Australian desert by centering the circulatory system on the main body and "shutting down " of the arms and legs. They need a few minutes in the morning before they can walk again. Or a people in the mountains of central Mexico who have to walk more than 20 km a day. They move in the mountains like human mountain goats. If they cannot meet their daily mileage for a long period of time, these people become ill. A life for these people in a big city is almost impossible. Life adapts and can do much more than we commonly believe today...
PROFESSOR BRIAN YOU ARE THE BEST 👌
Why do people think that if we cannot see them, they cannot exist or be there?
Would a tribe somewhere in the middle of Africa be able to tell if a drone was flying 10km above their skies, taking pictures of them? To them it would just be another object in the sky, or a bird flying really high for all they care about.
Same for us: an advanced civilization can easily be observing us, but we would not be, necessarily, able to tell due to their advanced technology.
Professor Cox's final words are an echo of what I try to explain to people.
Emergent life may be relatively common.
But intelligence like ours may be extremely rare.
Due to the many "filters" that could stunt the development of alien life...or wipe it out entirely.
Just...by the numbers...we could be "special" in our rarity.
Hopefully, someday... We'll know.
(And even if a species evolves intelligence... That doesn't mean it will become technological.
A sentient specie of worms could become dominant on a world...and just be the dominant specie. Unconcerned with technology...just next meal.
We have various peoples all over our world who never achieved the level of technology that the Europeans did. I'm not saying that this makes the Europeans any better. I'm just stating the fact. The natives of North America had pretty much the same level of tech as in Europe 15,000 years ago but one group for some reason developed more tech than the other. Strange, I find. However both peoples are of equal intelligence.
@@jeremythornton433 Well... This is a debate I frequent with a friend.
My position... If we were to find viable DNA of an ancient H. Sapien...and clone it.
The clone would be able to learn language, art, and use tech... Same as us.
My friends position is...
The clone would have stunted intelligence and not be able to learn as it grew to adulthood.
(Of course, he is be a conspiracy nut. He believes aliens built in pyramids and all that.
While I believe, that yes... we've lost a lot of our knowledge of the past... I don't think aliens are responsible for such things. Firmly believing we are, and were, capable of doing these things ourselves.)
We do tend to overrate intelligence (especially technological intelligence) as a useful trait. For us it seems to cause problems at a faster rate than it solves them
@@jeremythornton433 lots of scholars put the success of Europe's technological leap forward down to the availability of animals who where susceptible to domestication, freeing man from manual labor.
the strongest "filter" known ... time.... must be considered, when thinking of wiping out life
What if we're just bacteria on some alien beings forehead?
If an alien intelligence is truly intelligent it would observe from out of sight the rediculous brutality, hostility & callous ruthlessness of the atrocities we commit against our fellow man & avoix us with great haste!
Why ? They would have been like us once.
@@iniquity123 Indeed, they would study us in order to learn more about themselves, much like we study animals for the same reason.
@@iniquity123 maybe not , they could be a lot passive of a species who knows lol
They ma well be no different. the natural order of life itself is pure conflict.
Everybody says that, enough already you can’t even spell
Great video, wonderful edutainment 🙏🏽🌌 Cheers 😃
We have to remember where we currently stand in the grand scheme of things.
It was only in 1903, a little over a hundred years ago that the Wright Brothers achieved flight.
100 years on a cosmological scale is absolutely miniscule. We have barely even crawled out of the cradle and have a long ways to go before we can even comprehend what exactly an advanced civilization might look like or where or how to search. We have been searching for radio waves, which dissipate greatly over long distances and have only recently discovered exoplanets.
Great video. Thanks Professor Brian Cox!
Personally, I think with such an insanely high number of stars and planets in our galaxy, let alone all the other trillions of galaxies, that life is actually very common. But I think, the issue is the compatability problem. We are so fixated on our very restricted linear thinking that all technology must follow our specific narrow minded path of power - radio - etc. What if aliens develop with an entirely biomechanical technology, or telepathic technology, or chemical based technology. And our communication methods are so vastly different that we are just not compatible at all to find them.
Yeah finding life is going to be hard if other forms of intelligence aren't carbon based. We're looking for elements to support life similar to life here on Earth, like oxygen or hydrogen. What the hell would ammonia or silicone based life forms breathe and drink? Do they even _need_ to breathe and drink, or could they sustain themselves with some type of advanced photosynthesis?
Maybe advanced civilizations have tried to contact us, but they're sending signals using something we don't look for, like UV light. What if they have dozens of color cones in their eyes, compared to the 3 (or for the rarest of the rare mutations: 4) present in humans? Even here on Earth, the bluebottle butterfly has a whopping 15 cone types. If an alien race of these butterflies were to send out a signal, what would they assume to be the most easily detectable type?
We don’t define our technology on linear thinking. It’s based in the laws of physics within our own universe. Technologies such as wireless communication, power production, energy storing ect. are all based on the fundamental principles and rules that our universe operates in. The light from the sun that travels through our universe is the same kind if light that traveled from distant universes. Yes there are still a lot of things we don’t understand in physics , but I would say that a complex species capable of advancing such as us would implement solutions based on the same governing principles that we are limited to.
@@englandrasmussen3111 That's an awfuuuuuuully massive assumption to make, and it's based entirely off of one frame of reference -- our own. Not just based on the laws of physics -- it's based on the way we've decoded the laws of physics and then figured out to manipulate them for our benefit, and it's also been based entirely in response to OUR local environmental conditions, weather, chemistry, geology, geography, food chain, and anything else you can think of that contributes to our completely localized frame of reference here on earth.
The truth is, we can't say for certain what path of development some other civilization on some other world would make. We have a sample size of one, and it's us...and that really doesn't tell us anything about anything except for what's contained in OUR sample.
Our own development has always been inextricably linked to our planet and its unique local environment. The ONLY safe assumption that can possibly be made in the entirety of the problem of life on other planets is that a hypothetical alien civilization's development will likewise be inextricably linked to their local environment -- and those results may very well end up looking VASTLY different from our own.
Extremely unlikely that life anywhere else would different that much to us. After all, the 4 most abundant element in our body follow their relative abundance in the universe at large
@@illbeV what if a species developed to be silicon based life? That breath methan gas and communicate via pheromones and slight body changes without any vocal language at all? What if they developed technology that works by manipulating chemicals to release complex hydrocarbons that control biological pathways within a synthetic biological machine? We have absolutely no idea how vastly different other species could be.
We know Earth has the right conditions for life, yet here abiogenesis happened only once in its roughly 4 billion year lifespan. We've been in the 'Goldylocks Zone' with a magnetosphere for 4 billion years, but all the species have a common origin, traced to roughly 4 billion years ago - it never happened again - not even simple life. Perhaps life is just so rare that we should not expect to see any others within observable range.
Then there is one possibility. Someone put us(life) here
@@gobimurugesan2411 When evidence for that Someone surfaces, our comments will be about the origins of that Someone. The origin of life requires an explanation that's simpler than life, not more complex, otherwise that complexity also requires an explanation.
Abiogenesis can only happen once on a planet. After that, life already exists and would completely eradicate "new" life.
It's like when the Europeans colonized the Americas, only with complete eradication instead of mere decimation.
@@TheFinalChapters What is the evidence for your statement, that it can only happen once?
@@mundusuys8739 Natural selection and evolution. Inferior species go extinct, and something that hasn't had hundreds of millions of years to evolve certainly wouldn't stand a chance against bacteria.
This isn't really a paradox if you consider how insignificant we truly are at a cosmic level. If we were to reduce the universe's existence to one calendar year, human civilizations would amount to only the last ~13 seconds of that year. Assuming we have been looking for alien life for the past 100 years, it would be like calling a random phone number and determining no one in the world exists because the phone wasn't answered for 0.22 seconds! Of course we haven't found anything out there!
issac arthur has great videos on different fermi paradox solutions in depth but still easy to follow for dummies like me
When presented with the facts (the few humans are actually capable of mustering at our very primitive level of intelligence) there is no other answer but to say there is absolutely life elsewhere. Most likely a hell of a lot of it.
the problem is likely the distance between civilisations
Guessing and supposing isn't science.
However, perhaps you could begin a religion which accepts that guessing and supposing as true ---relying upon FAITH.
What you also have to consider is something that wasn't mentioned here, the possibility that there may be alien life that could be so unlike us humans living on their planet which falls way outside of the habitable zone of their sun.
Just because we humans have our habitable boundaries set at a certain distance doesn't mean all alien life must have the same boundaries.
I wonder if the discovery of complex alien life forms would have any effect on religion?
Most religious people wouldn't dare question it too deeply for fear of their god listening to their thoughts. Religious people would just say it's gods way.
Religion ≠ logic.
If you read Islam you will come to know that we actually don’t believe we are alone. Islam has taught us that there are indeed more living things in the universe. So as far as Islam is considered, it will just reaffirm our beliefs.
I recall one InfiniteMonkeyCage when a Biologist stated that the chances of Humans evolving to its current techno level capable a some space travel (TheMoon) is ~10^24 whereas Number of MilkyWay Stars is ~4x10^11 give or take. This may well be the reason for the absence of evidence. If one researches Earth's history & the need for Fossil Fuels for our technology you will come to the realisation we may be the only ones of such advanced technology at this time in this galaxy, 2nd largest of our Local Group of approx. 6 galaxies of different shapes/sizes etc. Yet we waste resources fighting each other! It's an area I agree with my fellow Physics Alumni Brian.
I sent this to SETI:
I realize that folks in the science community don't like suggestions but I feel like this one is super pertinent to SETI's plight. So please hear me out, it's short.
Sure communication through space is seemingly unobstructed when you think about objects near/within our solar system, but I'd argue the effects from orbiting bodies, scintillation, and the inverse square law will not allow signal acquisition from entities light years away. And thus Fermi's Paradox is flawed because it assumes specifically the acquisition of signals from distant orbiting bodies. Any where past light days, the signal is spread out through the cosmos instead of being tightly packed which all but ensures the data can never be decompiled/processed.
At first I thought the issue for the broadcasting entity could be remedied by utilizing a spacecraft and performing a Homan transfer to align your velocity vector with the target planet. But I fear that alone won't be enough to mitigate the sun's gravitational effects (on the signal), even with the Delta-V.
Instead I suggest that if you want to transmit a signal to a solar system light years away you need to have the spacecraft Homan transfer to the velocity vector of our sun targeted on a system in that direction. Then radiate our loudest/powerful signal. In addition I believe scintillation effects are too compounded if the transmitting entity is targeting a solar system that is edge on to us. So I believe you must target solar systems that are aligned with our celestial plane. Further, I believe that if you want to listen, you'd point your antennas to star systems in the neg in-track of the sun. And once again those systems should be aligned with our orbital plane.
Talking to Voyager is not easy and that signal and our ground systems that acquire it are dealing with very low signal strengths and super high signal to noise ratios. And that's just 5 ish hours of light speed away. Instead of asking why isn't anyone broadcasting, we should ask why can't we hear them? I think this is why.
I believe I've laid out a good angle for a revitalized concept of operations for you all. I hope you all pass this along to the proper folks. I believe it's imperative. Ty ty for all y'all's hard work! The work you all do is extremely important to humanity.
Another part of the paradox is, our radio signals "bubble" hasn't gotten that far in our own galaxy. Alien civilizations just can't hear us.
No, but theirs should have arrived here. And we haven't detected any.
@@wiscgaloot well we assume we haven't or perhaps we are lead to believe that we haven't.
Such an event or admittance would have a profound effect on humanity and destabilise much of what we have been led to believe both politically and religiously.
@@RogueWJL Nonsense. The scientific community, particularly SETI, is completely open about such things. It is a basic tenet of being a scientist.
@@wiscgaloot can you say that with 100% certainty? That all scientists are open about all related matters and that there is no involvement or protocols set by other agencies?
You can 100% confirm that?
@@RogueWJL no scientist says anything is 100% proven. You're delusional. Bye. I'm through with you.
In the near future civilization going to look back at us how naive we was to think were alone.
In the near future civilizations will look back at us and think how naive we were to think we were alone.* There you go. That one was free.
Also: There’s no evidence to suggest any civilizations exists outside of our solar system at all. So idk what you’re talking about lol.
Thanks for the English comp 2 season lol. Evidence based on probability. Not to mention all the all the phenomenon our history previous civilization many different concepts that tells us otherwise
@Frankel K JR might be time for season 3 lol. Evidence based on probability? What probability? Tell me… what’s the probability of life emerging on other planets? You don’t know… now tell me what the probability of those planets that harbor life see those life forms evolve into more complex intelligent life? Again.. you don’t know. No one does. What probability are you speaking of? This is why the Drake equation doesn’t work (for now). There are too many unanswered variables. We need more data points than just 1. Earth… that’s all we have. Having only 1 data point to drive any probability arguments off of just doesn’t work lol. What phenomenon? What concepts? There is absolutely zero evidence of life elsewhere in the universe right now. Until we find life it will stay this way and all probabilities will stay the same. It’s anyone’s guess.
@@all0utmetal735 Exactly. I don't understand why it's so hard for people to at least consider that there is a massive chance that we are completely alone in the universe. And we should cherish just how unique and blessed we are to even be here. Until we find one other civilization out there, the probability argument doesn't carry any weight since we only have US as the single reference point.
Ahhh. So you rely upon guessing and supposing as a substitute for science.
Read science fiction from a few decades ago and see how far imagination gets as a substitute for science.
Even science observed the existence (sort of) of canals on Mars built by intelligent species --- 150 years ago.
We don’t have the technology to make this an actual paradox. We need to be able to catalog all the planets in our galaxy and be able to decisively determine which have life and which don’t. Only then will we know how common or rare life in the universe is and begin to determine the factors that lead to this observation.
We have good dedicated telescopes now looking almost exclusively for extraterrestrial planets. If once they've analyzed all the best candidates and if none show any signs of a techno signature, it may not prove we're alone but it would increase the odds.
Just bio signatures would only mean there is life, but it could be only bacteria. But with the telescopes we have, and the ones coming on line, we have a very good ability to sit here on earth and explore them fairly accurately. Most likely any intelligent life would put something in their environment that isn't seen in nature. We sure have and we're the only data set we have. If we don't see anything over the next few decades to a hundred years, I'd say we're alone at least in the galaxy.
I think the vast amount of time makes a big difference. If we are alone, that doesn't mean there wasn't civilizations before we were here, and won't be ones after we're gone.
Planets seem to only be habitable for certain periods of time. With stars being so far away, and their planets coming into and out of habitable periods. If intelligent life is fairly rare it could be easy for civilizations to miss each other.
Sure. All the planets. Sounds easy enough.
@@mrbamfo5000 Sorry but our current technology is a joke for finding alien life in it’s infancy state no offense to the scientists out there. I admire your work and look forward to future and better ones. Sadly the way we detect exoplanets is indirect methods such as transit detection of the star dimming and yes we can use this light passing through the atmosphere to gain a limited knowledge about the makeup of their atmosphere, but is there really anything whatsoever that would confirm intelligent life? Like an advanced civilization could use mega structures that completely control their atmosphere and thus eliminate anything we would detect. And sure we could potentially detect bio signatures, but it could be just bacterial life. This is really the best we can do with our technology and it would be a big and important step forward. But, we aren’t going to find any ETs anytime soon. There are literally billions of exoplanets in the galaxy to observe and with our current technology we will never observe even a significant fraction of that amount in any meaningful way.
@@mrbamfo5000 techo sign s are fine but they could be other natural causes , we have to directly observe them we constantly chat about planets but there must be uncountable moons too which will have life on them
I like how he mentions that the biggest threat to space research and adventure is mainly conditioned to our ability to self-preservation.
I was here at the beginning and I will be here at the end.😊
I believe if we ever make it to Mars we are going to be in for a quite a surprise. I believe that we will find evidence of not only microbial life at one time existing but they will find actual fossils of numerous extinct species and it will be the most incredible discovery in human history.
So you have FAITH? Fine. Keep in mind that 150 years ago, scientific observation sort of proved the existence of intelligent life on Mars, building canals and such.
Loads of science fiction presented life on Mars and Venus which we have now confirmed does not exist.
You are certainly entitled to continue the practice of guessing and supposing, but recognize that is not science.
In the end the answer is really 42.
I think one of the more interesting videos on the Fermi Paradox is Joe Scott's one on 'Contact was Wrong' - where he postulates on whether we or any alien life form have the technology to communicate over the distances required. The likely hood of either sending or receiving signals over these distances is highly unlikely
ua-cam.com/video/ISXbTBKl4aE/v-deo.html
Have we actually found any Earth-like planets? Just because something is rocky and smaller that typical gas planets doesn't mean that it should be called Earth-like. And it seems to me that this 20 bln estimate is based on that definition. To call a planet Earth-like, that planet should have to match certain, more sophisticated criteria.
@5:44 - correction. If we find planets with abundant techo-signatures then the great filter (assuming it exists) is ahead. If we find few or none then it is likely behind.
I can escape the feeling that us humans are a pretty stupid species.
i hope no one ever presses the button 😢
Oops!
Putin and Biden have been edging closer to pushing the button over Ukraine for nearly three years now. Is that worth while?
I think the Great Filter Theory is right as rain and a correct resolution to the Fermi Paradox...Nature always has ways of making sure that no one species dominates and there are many examples of this on our planet. I am sure that is true in other parts of the universe as well.
Love Brian Cox. Hate the clickbait.
Yeah the chances other life exists in the universe is pretty much 1 in 1. It is truly a thing of wonder that such an abundance exists. The Universe is a pretty big place. Just to realize that kinda makes me tear up. Life is pretty good.
Evoking occam's razor (aka the simplest answer) it plays out for me like this. Abiogenisis under somewhat particular conditions is easy. Therefore microbial life is most likely very common. It took 2.5 billion years to get from prokaryotic life (single cells) to eukaryotic life (multicellular) life. So complex life is rare. Took 4.4 billion years to get to homosapians and civilizations. So intelligent civilizations are extremely rare. Based on the vast distances of space time. Taking into account cosmic expansion, time dilation blah blah blah ... the chances of two civilizations existing at the same time and communicating with eachother are ALMOST zero. HOWEVER its a crazy fucking universe and anything is possible.
As we explore other worlds, what level of certainty do we have of not contaminating these world. Possibly endangering them to create?
If it takes billions of years for the light to reach out telescopes, then we are seeing what the planet looked like a billion years ago. What if other planets have life on them now, but we just haven't observed their current state?
Mind blown!!! 💥💥