You are on fire The Patient Investor. I watch more and more your channel. I see recently that you bring more and more energy into your presentation and it really great now.
i m buying JNJ, PEP and PG. And if they go down, no worries at all. I will keep adding shares. Getting the dividends and wait for the rebound in 1 or 2 years.
I sole JNJ some years ago at $140+. Was thinking it will never goes down to that price again. But here we are. Flat for many years, earnings are growing, stock price not, good buy. But I like PEP and defense stocks much more at current price. It is hard decision but I sold part or my $BTI shares to buy $PEP and $LHX today.
Great video. Since you mentioned the 10 year, I'd be interested to get your take on TLT and if you think it's a good cash proxy at the current price. Would love to hear about that if you can ever bring it up. Thanks.
Just don't miss to sell it again at 160$ :) Recession proof? You mean, it will definitely go down, so you will play on the short ups after a decline. :)
I agree the 10 yr has a large influence; another reason though is the concern about pending tariffs and the impact on these large multi-nationals like PEP or PG when other countries outside the USA retaliate, resulting in lower sales and lower earnings. Hopefully a short-term fear.
I sold them right around the election. Risk off , RFK with health crusade etc. Too many head winds. Same with pharma(jnj) but I was not convicted enough. I simply sold call options , when I should have sold it off.
Sorry - I do not mean to sound rude but I see this comment a lot. Like Pepsi is not acutely aware of their payout ratio. The decision to add at these levels (and hopefulyl lower, as someone adding) is a decision of: is this inflation/pricing pressure/rate risk here to stay or is this just a period of time we have to endure. These comments are up there with people who won't buy Pepsi because they prefer Coke (the drink) more, without taking into account Pepsi also means owning Gatorade, Mountain Dew, Lays, etc., etc. Pepsi is a massive staple to a lot of consumers, and it has pricing power. It will raise prices before the dividend is ever at risk, and people will just gobble it up. In my opinion, of course. If this payout ratio is concerning, I hope you don't own VOO or any ETF that also holds MO/PM or any REIT. These management teams are world class, and I trust them with my money. Adding Pepsi here and lower, with a 5-10 year horizon minimum.
PepsiCo’s recent quarterly results revealed challenges, with revenue declining 0.6% year-over-year and 2.3% quarter-on-quarter, falling short of expectations. Management highlighted ongoing issues in North American snacks and international headwinds, while profitability metrics, including gross profit, EBITDA, EBIT, and net income, trailed Coca-Cola. Operational efficiency metrics weakened, with receivables turnover slowing to 5.2x (vs. 5.8x y/y), inventory turnover declining to 4.1x (vs. 4.5x y/y), and increases in days of inventory on hand (89 days vs. 83 days y/y) and days of sales outstanding (37 days vs. 35 days y/y). The LTM inventory-to-sales ratio rose to 6.2x (from 5.8x in FY 2023), driving a 12.6% year-over-year drop in cash flow and complicating efforts to increase capital expenditures amid high interest rates, putting pressure on returns on invested capital. Dog with fleas until rates fall and we know what the tariff picture looks like.
PEP and coke is a moral dilemma. I have some, but these companies are essentially poisoning the population with processed and highly unhealthy food and beverage products - some of which I indulge in once in a while unfortunately.
ya exactly why im weary ... if sales never recover cause new generations drink redbull & monster arent you cooked ? Call the fallback on chips be enough to sustain back to 150-200$ & keep dividend intact.
@@TheBarelyScientist This is speculation - fact is - nobody knows it! But this is the fact - the Stock is too expensive, the company has high debt and almost no growth. Dividend is better then SP500, but less then US Treasuries, what is completely risk-free. So why risk more for less?
Hi Patient Investor. I'm mainly an ETF kind of guy, but I'd like to start approaching single stocks/companies. Do you have any videos (or could you make some?) on how to evaluate a stock in terms of its potential to outperform an index? Are there any tools for that? How do you approach it? Is there any way to calculate the upside potential for a stock? Cheers
@@Someone-lc6dc hi, I'm very sorry but I don't do this on youtube, I do it in my own group of 580 members, we buy stocks in real time & I have videos around this topic, if you're interested consider checking out the link in the description
Don’t worry about the comments here. There is a lot of stupidity on the internet. All these guys talking bad about you are too dumb to start a UA-cam channel, let alone have an original thought other than what CNBC tells them to think.
@WanderMindChronicles nope. couldn't disagree more (gotta be greedy when there's fear in the air). that said, maybe i'll be eating my words in the future! cheers!
Americans tend to overreact, always. And it's happening here. No worries at all, buy the dip. RFK will do very little to the bottom line of junk food, and if he tries there will be years of litigation, and as the video stated, Pepsi and the others already have alternative formulas selling in Europe (and Canada). The company simply shifts production, no issue.
Pepsi has a great dividend but because of the debt, the FCF is lower than the dividend. They grow EPS at a nice rate, but the risk of a dividend cut is increasing if they have to refinance debt at high rates. I believe thats the reason. I haven’t done a complete calculation, since im not interested in owning shares.so I don’t know how big the risk actually is. Mr market is mostly wrong ;)
I saw that Pepsi changed the ingredients of pepsi cola and the surprise is that.. they are worst from health perspective. So I don't like this strategy, hoping it has not any effects on the company and its sales.. the new world is more careful about health. Anyway I had few shares of Pepsi
@@Temujin02 what did I say in the video? I said I didn't expect it to play out like that, -10% is a lot of money???? And 2-3 months isn't long enough for me to determine I was wrong, if it's a year or so maybe
Don't blame him, I don’t think he made a really bad call. Pepsi is still a blue chip company, not a risky or volatile stock where you would lose your investment. You still get a nice dividend while you wait. Just don’t put all your money in one stock, lol.
The fact remains that PEP is at the very bottom of the current valuation in the last 10 years or so, and as a long-term compounder, it is currently one of the best opportunities on the dividend stock market. If you can't handle a 10% drop in a couple of months, it's better for you not to invest in stocks.
Wake me up at 70 bucks, or even lower.......and it is very easy to understand, why all the BS is going down. The risk-free treasury rate is at 4,5%, while the risk-full investments in the stock market, like PepsiCo, P&G and Co. are giving you 3,5% dividend at best! :) Simple math! A lot more risk for a lot less return.....pass..next
I use IBKR to invest in international stocks: www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=pntinvY&url=%2Fen%2Fhome.php
You are on fire The Patient Investor. I watch more and more your channel. I see recently that you bring more and more energy into your presentation and it really great now.
Content in past 6 to 8 months has been straight up 🔥. Thanks for covering PEP and Vurdeooo 🙏
I subscribed and liked the video. Keep it up man great job.
the best time to buy is when everyone is saying they will buy 15% lower....
yes lot of dividend stocks are down PEP ADM NKE HSY...is there an ETF that include all these discount stocks?
Just posted about Pepsi on one of your older videos yesterday and we get an update today. I love all your videos your awesome!
Bought in a 160, will keep on buying every month until it reached 160 again :) It's my bottomline and it will bounce back.
Excellent education, thank you. The international view is appreciated.
i m buying JNJ, PEP and PG. And if they go down, no worries at all. I will keep adding shares. Getting the dividends and wait for the rebound in 1 or 2 years.
I sole JNJ some years ago at $140+. Was thinking it will never goes down to that price again. But here we are. Flat for many years, earnings are growing, stock price not, good buy. But I like PEP and defense stocks much more at current price. It is hard decision but I sold part or my $BTI shares to buy $PEP and $LHX today.
Thank you for your insight! Do you see an opportunity with ON right now? It’s at a 52 week low. Not sure why that is.
Nestle is looking good too
Great video. Since you mentioned the 10 year, I'd be interested to get your take on TLT and if you think it's a good cash proxy at the current price. Would love to hear about that if you can ever bring it up. Thanks.
bonds with 20+ year time durations should never be considered as cash proxy’s imo
Thanks for the update love it❤ im in and out too. But im buying for good at these levels.
Hi , appreciate your explanation for Pep, can you explain for Brown Forman too ?
I also did the same bought Pepsi at $160 and sold it around $181. Now I’m back in again. It’s a very good recession proof stock
Just don't miss to sell it again at 160$ :) Recession proof? You mean, it will definitely go down, so you will play on the short ups after a decline. :)
what do you think of Dow chemical?
@@theweeklyjoke can't value
I agree the 10 yr has a large influence; another reason though is the concern about pending tariffs and the impact on these large multi-nationals like PEP or PG when other countries outside the USA retaliate, resulting in lower sales and lower earnings. Hopefully a short-term fear.
lots of buyers in the upper 130s...thats my next buy since I already have some at ~150
Best time to buy the most realiable dividend stocks.
Good analysis 👍 but which country are you from?
EASY BUY
@@The_WolfPack_Alpha too expensive still
@WanderMindChronicles damn, you want it at 15 FWD PE? I mean you never know! I'm all up for more downside always
Stocks go up n down is part of the markets ....pep is a great investment n long-term....
Can you cover sblk please
Just sold puts on this one. Didn't think this one would drop so low.
it will fall lower much much lower
Salt n Vinegar mate?
The fact Ko is dropping too is I smell yum yum.
Thank you!
I’m planning to start a position at 143 and buy a lot more if it hits 130
Bro, bird construction is also down alot recently, could you cover it? thanks
Ask trump
Can you cover Johnson& Johnson?
@@Jarda-iu9js not yet
maybe check out JNJ too?
Jnj pep hsy mdlz
I’ve been wanting to buy JNJ but I dk why they slowed down the pace of share buybacks this year
I buy some today. 10 Years so high. Thats Problem of Divi stocks.
Same downtrend with SPYD.
@thepatientinvestor Do you think PEP dividend is safe?
@@wojaksformula9157 1000%
They should cut prices to increase sales
PEP dividend payout ratio is 79%. Very high. I have $PEP stock but I bought them 15 years ago
I sold them right around the election. Risk off , RFK with health crusade etc. Too many head winds. Same with pharma(jnj) but I was not convicted enough. I simply sold call options , when I should have sold it off.
Sorry - I do not mean to sound rude but I see this comment a lot. Like Pepsi is not acutely aware of their payout ratio. The decision to add at these levels (and hopefulyl lower, as someone adding) is a decision of: is this inflation/pricing pressure/rate risk here to stay or is this just a period of time we have to endure. These comments are up there with people who won't buy Pepsi because they prefer Coke (the drink) more, without taking into account Pepsi also means owning Gatorade, Mountain Dew, Lays, etc., etc.
Pepsi is a massive staple to a lot of consumers, and it has pricing power. It will raise prices before the dividend is ever at risk, and people will just gobble it up. In my opinion, of course.
If this payout ratio is concerning, I hope you don't own VOO or any ETF that also holds MO/PM or any REIT. These management teams are world class, and I trust them with my money.
Adding Pepsi here and lower, with a 5-10 year horizon minimum.
PepsiCo’s recent quarterly results revealed challenges, with revenue declining 0.6% year-over-year and 2.3% quarter-on-quarter, falling short of expectations. Management highlighted ongoing issues in North American snacks and international headwinds, while profitability metrics, including gross profit, EBITDA, EBIT, and net income, trailed Coca-Cola. Operational efficiency metrics weakened, with receivables turnover slowing to 5.2x (vs. 5.8x y/y), inventory turnover declining to 4.1x (vs. 4.5x y/y), and increases in days of inventory on hand (89 days vs. 83 days y/y) and days of sales outstanding (37 days vs. 35 days y/y). The LTM inventory-to-sales ratio rose to 6.2x (from 5.8x in FY 2023), driving a 12.6% year-over-year drop in cash flow and complicating efforts to increase capital expenditures amid high interest rates, putting pressure on returns on invested capital. Dog with fleas until rates fall and we know what the tariff picture looks like.
Go over AMD
PEP and coke is a moral dilemma. I have some, but these companies are essentially poisoning the population with processed and highly unhealthy food and beverage products - some of which I indulge in once in a while unfortunately.
A dividend King - 52 years of increasing dividends - a easy value play - a consumer stable long term buy - a nobrainer !
It is not VALUE at historical highs! :)
@@christianh.riiser2807 In the past.
ya exactly why im weary ... if sales never recover cause new generations drink redbull & monster arent you cooked ? Call the fallback on chips be enough to sustain back to 150-200$ & keep dividend intact.
@@TheBarelyScientist This is speculation - fact is - nobody knows it! But this is the fact - the Stock is too expensive, the company has high debt and almost no growth. Dividend is better then SP500, but less then US Treasuries, what is completely risk-free. So why risk more for less?
The best time to buy a dividend king was 50 years ago.
I am looking at MRK as a better dividend play than PEP, also near 52week low
Hi Patient Investor. I'm mainly an ETF kind of guy, but I'd like to start approaching single stocks/companies. Do you have any videos (or could you make some?) on how to evaluate a stock in terms of its potential to outperform an index? Are there any tools for that? How do you approach it? Is there any way to calculate the upside potential for a stock? Cheers
@@Someone-lc6dc hi, I'm very sorry but I don't do this on youtube, I do it in my own group of 580 members, we buy stocks in real time & I have videos around this topic, if you're interested consider checking out the link in the description
Don’t worry about the comments here. There is a lot of stupidity on the internet. All these guys talking bad about you are too dumb to start a UA-cam channel, let alone have an original thought other than what CNBC tells them to think.
It's selling off because of the new health minister who is a health conscious guy 🎉
i think it IS a generational buying opportunity! gonna continue to scoop up shares even if it keeps dropping, PEP will weather the storm.
I would wait Trump might be disaster for pep
@WanderMindChronicles nope. couldn't disagree more (gotta be greedy when there's fear in the air). that said, maybe i'll be eating my words in the future! cheers!
i think the stock will fall down to 130 ~
@@XanderDDS no fear, just facts ;)
@@dnt000 wow a guy with FACTS! enjoy your billions my friend, you've earned them!
GET IN. HERSHEY OR NESTLE.
$LHX, $NOC, $LMT, $GD all are falling every day. It is hard to decide which is better buy, like all large defense especially $LHX and $NOC
Pep is a good buy right now
too early
@@dnt000you were right
Americans tend to overreact, always. And it's happening here. No worries at all, buy the dip. RFK will do very little to the bottom line of junk food, and if he tries there will be years of litigation, and as the video stated, Pepsi and the others already have alternative formulas selling in Europe (and Canada). The company simply shifts production, no issue.
crypto and btc is also eating it.
You should reflect on pepsi for mentioning too often at too high a price.
@@Doit_24 I don't understand
Fantastic buying opportunity at a bargain price
falling knife, i would patiently wait.
@@dnt000 How many times are you going to post this comment. Us grown folks are buying the opportunity.
Pepsi has a great dividend but because of the debt, the FCF is lower than the dividend. They grow EPS at a nice rate, but the risk of a dividend cut is increasing if they have to refinance debt at high rates. I believe thats the reason. I haven’t done a complete calculation, since im not interested in owning shares.so I don’t know how big the risk actually is. Mr market is mostly wrong ;)
No... Pepsi junk food and sugar drinks.
It's about to 35% this week don't miss out
I saw that Pepsi changed the ingredients of pepsi cola and the surprise is that.. they are worst from health perspective. So I don't like this strategy, hoping it has not any effects on the company and its sales.. the new world is more careful about health.
Anyway I had few shares of Pepsi
Why is it so hard to admit you have been COMPLETELY WRONG about this one??? Followers lost A LOT OF MONEY ON PEPSI!!!!!
@@Temujin02 what did I say in the video? I said I didn't expect it to play out like that, -10% is a lot of money???? And 2-3 months isn't long enough for me to determine I was wrong, if it's a year or so maybe
Don't blame him, I don’t think he made a really bad call. Pepsi is still a blue chip company, not a risky or volatile stock where you would lose your investment. You still get a nice dividend while you wait. Just don’t put all your money in one stock, lol.
The fact remains that PEP is at the very bottom of the current valuation in the last 10 years or so, and as a long-term compounder, it is currently one of the best opportunities on the dividend stock market. If you can't handle a 10% drop in a couple of months, it's better for you not to invest in stocks.
No, he is right and follower investors have not lost any money. This is a long play stock, not a trading stock. Just buy and wait patiently
The growth of Pepsi is so slow if I'm gonna buy it I want it below 20 PE ratio
Forward PE is already at 17.
Wake me up at 70 bucks, or even lower.......and it is very easy to understand, why all the BS is going down. The risk-free treasury rate is at 4,5%, while the risk-full investments in the stock market, like PepsiCo, P&G and Co. are giving you 3,5% dividend at best! :) Simple math! A lot more risk for a lot less return.....pass..next
You must be a day trader
@PieterDaniell I thought the same about you. I am long-term investor.
Thank you ! 🤗