Why Tesla LEADS the Robot Revolution (Ep. 739)

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  • Опубліковано 30 вер 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 160

  • @TheSeattleRichardson
    @TheSeattleRichardson 10 місяців тому +44

    Always happy to see your videos Dave! Always wise and spot on with your analysis! Thank you.

  • @deani2431
    @deani2431 10 місяців тому +18

    After a long dry period without Dave, it’s so nice to have him back!!!

  • @philsmock4943
    @philsmock4943 10 місяців тому +58

    Glad to see you again Dave. Hope all is going well for you and your family.

  • @minuslr
    @minuslr 10 місяців тому +24

    Really strong analysis, a proper deep dive. One of my favourite UA-camrs

  • @Steph1
    @Steph1 10 місяців тому +43

    I hope your wife is doing alright. My partner has almost finished her chemotherapy, and the diagnosis was 3 days before your video. Give us an update on how that’s going🙂

  • @planetpq
    @planetpq 10 місяців тому +6

    DAVE YOU NEED TO PUT ON SOME SUNCREEEN!!! PROECT YOUR SKIN!!! YOUR HEALTH IS PRIOIRTY :)

  • @salty_berserker_channel
    @salty_berserker_channel 10 місяців тому +34

    Its hard to believe that we are now at a point where we see a future of humanoid robots in my lifetime.

    • @4literv6
      @4literv6 10 місяців тому +2

      It's Irobot bought to life after almost 2 decades, even the self driving evs so we can stop burning gas. That movie was prescient. 👍🏻😎

    • @tatata1543
      @tatata1543 10 місяців тому

      Are you two years old?

    • @salty_berserker_channel
      @salty_berserker_channel 10 місяців тому

      @@tatata1543 I'm old

    • @tatata1543
      @tatata1543 10 місяців тому

      @@salty_berserker_channel In that case, forget it, it ain’t happening.

    • @salty_berserker_channel
      @salty_berserker_channel 10 місяців тому +1

      @@tatata1543 5-10 years. Ill be alive. Even 15

  • @mahendrareddy6
    @mahendrareddy6 10 місяців тому +17

    Welcome back Dave. You were really missed!

  • @keilder8543
    @keilder8543 10 місяців тому +8

    Great to see you back. You've been missed. Hope all is well.

  • @RChamp116
    @RChamp116 10 місяців тому +9

    Great to see your posting. As always, informative interesting and to the point. Our best to you and your family.

  • @Nicola-bt7dc
    @Nicola-bt7dc 10 місяців тому +10

    Let’s goooooo Dave is back!!!!!!!!

  • @fractalelf7760
    @fractalelf7760 10 місяців тому +24

    Hang in there Dave we are pulling for your family…

  • @wesleysanders8570
    @wesleysanders8570 10 місяців тому +21

    I always like the fact that Dave focuses on stuff that many other youtubers don't

  • @305dreamhonda
    @305dreamhonda 10 місяців тому +12

    Spot on Dave! And Tesla has Elon who can and will make those difficult billion dollar decisions that are so important to move quickly, ie Grok. He understands the bottlenecks ( silicon then transformers) and moves incredibly fast, both capitol and talent. He promotes missions we all believe in and employees stand behind. Elon triumphs over hate every day and yet he still thrives. He’s not crazy but 10 steps ahead! Truth is with him and synergy is compounding.
    You are spot on Dave. I’m praying for you and your family!🙏

    • @dphuntsman
      @dphuntsman 10 місяців тому +1

      Well, first, Elon IS crazy as well….”but that isn’t important right now…”. It’s not just that Elon makes quick, major decisions; but that he doesn’t buy into the Sunk Cost Fallacy. If a major course correction on his previous decision needs to be made, he makes that just as quickly. That’s the real , almost in-human difference.

    • @mohindergill8829
      @mohindergill8829 10 місяців тому

      Dave, I hope your wife is doing well and thanks for the great, on the important subject video.

  • @teslamodelsplaid6074
    @teslamodelsplaid6074 10 місяців тому +25

    Hey Dave. Hope all is well. Keeping you and your family in my thoughts.

  • @andreamazzaferro5168
    @andreamazzaferro5168 10 місяців тому +18

    glad to see u back! we all miss you Dave. Hope family is ok

  • @paulm1303
    @paulm1303 10 місяців тому +5

    Hope things are going well for your family Dave.

  • @Premium_Water
    @Premium_Water 10 місяців тому +7

    Dave is Le back.

  • @AlansTheory
    @AlansTheory 10 місяців тому

    Dave, I haven't seen your videos in a while, for some reason UA-cam is not showing them to me. Just letting you know 🤷‍♂

  • @johnrosa5064
    @johnrosa5064 10 місяців тому +6

    Good to hear from you Dave. Take care

  • @JoachimLT
    @JoachimLT 10 місяців тому +2

    Glad to see you again! Always well worth insight and thoughts.

  • @frederickleung8811
    @frederickleung8811 10 місяців тому +4

    Thankks for your insightful comments regarding the importance of local inference and pointing out that Tesla is in the right place and right time! So good to see you and praying for your family!

  • @trcs3079
    @trcs3079 10 місяців тому +1

    Dave, you're not looking great. Take a break, look after your family. UA-cam will be here forever, but family won't.

  • @davidmcnamara8024
    @davidmcnamara8024 10 місяців тому +15

    Sounds like Musk is stitching together synergies of all these companies which will be linked and able to communicate.

    • @steviesdc-tv9013
      @steviesdc-tv9013 10 місяців тому +1

      It’s amazingly perfect when you think about it

    • @davidmcnamara8024
      @davidmcnamara8024 10 місяців тому

      @@steviesdc-tv9013 there is a binding brilliance within the symmetry of it.

  • @amyniemann9564
    @amyniemann9564 10 місяців тому +5

    Thank you Dave

  • @donkykon2094
    @donkykon2094 10 місяців тому +3

    hope everything is well with you and the family, Dave!

  • @colinkeizer7353
    @colinkeizer7353 10 місяців тому +3

    Yes. Take the concept of local inference to the roleplaying game environment. Put all the Dungeons and Dragons rules and creatures and monsters and plants and novels and player experiences available into a 'massive' collection of linked databases. On the one hand, what a great resource for writing new stories and adventure modules. On the other hand, can AI actually replace the Gamemaster? Should be all sorts of fun exploring the possibilities.

  • @leononymous2562
    @leononymous2562 10 місяців тому +3

    Love these breakdowns Dave!

  • @fanei90
    @fanei90 10 місяців тому +3

    Hey Dave great video thanks! I hope your wife is doing good 🙏

  • @sat7755
    @sat7755 10 місяців тому +10

    Welcome back David, we all missed you. You are looking better, but when you entered the core of your video you lighted up like a Christmas tree, and made me concentrate not to lose a single word of your very precious presentation, so well construed as to even make understand the extremely complex subject, to someone like me who has a problem in operating even his cell phone. I became a very strong God believer after a serious health problem, someone told me to have faith in God and do the very best I could with anyone that for any reason I came in contact with in my daily life. I took his advise and started to really believe in God supernatural power. Today after I went through every single page of the Holy Bible, and refreshing the reading in some of the most touching passages, as if by magic, my health problems have slowly simply totally disappeared without conventional medical help.( I am not suggesting to avoid conventional medicine) I can only assure you that God is real, powerful beyond your possible belief. He knows you as he knows every single soul on the planet, He has been aware of your health problem , He is willing to help you but you have to accept and believe in him. Do it and good luck. You are an exceptional very intelligent teacher. Thank you.

    • @jacka7211
      @jacka7211 10 місяців тому +1

      Agree 100% Blessings

  • @johnnybeaujean
    @johnnybeaujean 10 місяців тому +6

    Thanks David. How many bots can Tesla build in a yr. and in a smaller footprint. It will be exciting to see!

  • @err1127
    @err1127 10 місяців тому +10

    Dave Lee. The man, the myth, the LEGEND! So good to see you. Best wishes.

  • @Uofmdoc
    @Uofmdoc 10 місяців тому +2

    Dave, thanks so much for sharing your wisdom with us.

  • @tribalypredisposed
    @tribalypredisposed 10 місяців тому +1

    Humanoid robots will also be the ultimate first mover advantage prize in human history. First mover ramps production and gets scale of production advantage, but also uses the robots to make robots, and those robots learn how to make robots faster and more efficiently, and then robots sold to the public also learn from experience, so having the first 50,000 robots in the hands of the public means your robots are simply way better at doing most things than the robots of anyone trying to follow you into the market. Data is king.
    Lots of companies trying to compete with Optimus, but none with the finances, manufacturing expertise, compute power, data, or existing neural net programming of Tesla.

  • @philippainchaud9866
    @philippainchaud9866 10 місяців тому +3

    Hey DAVE😀 missed you, glad to have you back❤

  • @johnvlg01
    @johnvlg01 10 місяців тому +1

    Sending goodvibes to u and ur family Dave. (Left a like)

  • @faramarzmokri9136
    @faramarzmokri9136 10 місяців тому +2

    I think Tesla will end up having 4 type of robots with 4 level of brain capacity. The first generation that they will market in 2025 will be used in their Gigafactories performing tasks that are routine and somewhat dangerous . The second generation will be able to do 10X more tasks than the first generation robots with more advanced hardware . The third generation robots will be able to perform in tasks in the real world outside of Gigafactories starting in fast food restaurants , hotels and security industries. The 4th generation of these robots will come in to homes and perform daily chores for people that the own them some time by the end of this decade a couple of years after tesla reaches FSD and start of their Robotaxi fleets in at least 5 states in the US. IMO

  • @antonio-urbanculture
    @antonio-urbanculture 10 місяців тому +4

    You're a great observer. Thanks 👍

  • @giovannig4369
    @giovannig4369 10 місяців тому +2

    Man, fsd hardware it’s not that hard to replicate, the other points are somewhat true, but you are missing the big one: even if it will play out like you predict, expect the first real humanoid robot with proper interaction with reality to be at least 15 years from now. Before we will have robots doing some specific task in factories similar to what it’s already out there.

  • @DavidD03820
    @DavidD03820 10 місяців тому +4

    Great talk and very interesting talk, really makes you think. but it seems like your leaving a few players out when you say "no has a robot like Tesla, one example is Boston Dynamics. They are even selling one robot (named stretch) that seams quicker when handling 50Lb boxes then Tesla bot and learns from its environment. Yes Tesla bot looks and interacts human like, but Boston Dynamics is quicker and is for sale to companies right now. HOW long will it take for Tesla bot be for sale to any big companies? and will it take as long as cyber truck because we are all still waiting on that truck...

    • @hermanparisius2828
      @hermanparisius2828 10 місяців тому

      Boston robots are programmed. Tesla bots are not.

  • @wburris2007
    @wburris2007 10 місяців тому +2

    I need a FSD equivalent inference engine in my desktop, laptop, tablet, and cellphone, or maybe I will just use grok.

  • @prmurray9501
    @prmurray9501 10 місяців тому +1

    Fantastic presentation, so informative. When do you think factory level Optimus bots will start being mass produced?

  • @richb2229
    @richb2229 10 місяців тому +1

    It appears that Optimus is being built from the ground up. The only thing they are “reusing” is the FSD system. Although, some modifications are required with it.

  • @youngtran5323
    @youngtran5323 10 місяців тому +42

    Dave great to see you back!!! we missed you so much!!

    • @DiseasedKodak
      @DiseasedKodak 10 місяців тому +1

      For real. Dave is the man, really miss his videos. I hope more podcasts come soon!

  • @SolvingTheMoneyProblem
    @SolvingTheMoneyProblem 10 місяців тому

    🎯🎯🎯

  • @wayofflow955
    @wayofflow955 10 місяців тому +2

    Welcome back, I think when tesla come out with a video where Optimus bake a cake successfully, Tesla stock would be at the moon!

  • @lanky8383
    @lanky8383 10 місяців тому +1

    What about Apple Silicon?

  • @horsegal3358
    @horsegal3358 10 місяців тому +1

    Would still love to see you interview Elon

  • @jkgeroso6057
    @jkgeroso6057 10 місяців тому +1

    Welcome back, Dave. Nice to see you posting again :)

  • @bobdyck8508
    @bobdyck8508 10 місяців тому +1

    Dave
    Love your presentation.

  • @NextGenEvs
    @NextGenEvs 10 місяців тому +3

    You’re the man, Dave

  • @t-lm
    @t-lm 10 місяців тому

    NVIDIA's ORIN is the current Tesla mini AI computer equivalent which is already used in some Chinese electric cars (until Biden ban the sale on this too) however it would be great if Tesla would sell its mini AI computer separately too. NVIDIA is monopoly and world needs competition. Such mini low power AI computer would have so many use cases!!! Tesla could be the "new" NVIDIA, if they brave enough to make this step.

  • @optimagroup11
    @optimagroup11 10 місяців тому

    Outstanding, Dave. Big picture view. Watched it twice! Thank you, SoCalFreddy

  • @brytonkalyi277
    @brytonkalyi277 10 місяців тому

    °♦ I believe we are meant to be like Jesus in our hearts and not in our flesh. But be careful of AI, for it is just our flesh and that is it. It knows only things of the flesh (our fleshly desires) and cannot comprehend things of the spirit such as peace of heart (which comes from obeying God's Word). Whereas we are a spirit and we have a soul but live in the body (in the flesh). When you go to bed it is your flesh that sleeps but your spirit never sleeps (otherwise you have died physically) that is why you have dreams. More so, true love that endures and last is a thing of the heart (when I say 'heart', I mean 'spirit'). But fake love, pretentious love, love with expectations, love for classic reasons, love for material reasons and love for selfish reasons that is a thing of our flesh. In the beginning God said let us make man in our own image, according to our likeness. Take note, God is Spirit and God is Love. As Love He is the source of it. We also know that God is Omnipotent, for He creates out of nothing and He has no beginning and has no end. That means, our love is but a shadow of God's Love. True love looks around to see who is in need of your help, your smile, your possessions, your money, your strength, your quality time. Love forgives and forgets. Love wants for others what it wants for itself. Take note, love works in conjunction with other spiritual forces such as faith and patience. We should let the Word of God be the standard of our lives not AI. If not, God will let us face AI on our own and it will cast the truth down to the ground, it will be the cause of so much destruction like never seen before, it will deceive many and take many captive in order to enslave them into worshipping it and abiding in lawlessness. We can only destroy ourselves but with God all things are possible. God knows us better because He is our Creater and He knows our beginning and our end. Our prove text is taken from the book of John 5:31-44, 2 Thessalonians 2:1-12, Daniel 7-9, Revelation 13-15, Matthew 24-25 and Luke 21. Let us watch and pray... God bless you as you share this message to others.

  • @pauldaggett6759
    @pauldaggett6759 10 місяців тому

    Great analysis Dave! To that I would add that Elon has a world-wide satellite communications network (Starlink) to provide the ability to cost-effectively connect the IE-driven robots for management and control purposes. Also I would add Elon may be one of the top 5 most intelligent people on the planet. And he can see the future better than almost anyone - just look at his EV foresight over the past 10 years. Finally, he is unmatched in his creative ability, problem-solving skills and instincts for building ultra-high performance organizations. Tesla is already years ahead of everyone in development of humanoid AI-driven robots. Clearly this lead is only going to expand.

  • @thunderthud5471
    @thunderthud5471 8 місяців тому

    Am new to Dave Lee’s channel. I’d like to know the best way to invest in Elon’s Ai Robots. Am very excited at the prospect! Is it by investing in Tesla directly? Or in another company he has or uses? Am not sure how to even word it. Any help would be appreciated! I will check back to see responses and thank you in advance!

  • @allogan7428
    @allogan7428 10 місяців тому +1

    Dave you are the Goat

  • @batchint
    @batchint 10 місяців тому +2

    do have a nice day…. dave…. 🎉

  • @DanielASchaeffer
    @DanielASchaeffer 10 місяців тому

    I agree with you that miniaturization of the inference hardware is going to be hugely valuable. I would love to see hardware 5B in a handheld configuration merge with a starlink cell phone so that we could put FSD onto any mobile platform.

  • @charleslewis4809
    @charleslewis4809 10 місяців тому

    One of Tesla's superpowers is its willingness to abandon one path to move to better one as soon as it makes sense. It threw out its coded FSD in favor of neural nets, it adapted in its manufacturing processes, it got rid of radar. Almost all other companies fall into the sunk cost fallacy and get stuck trying to make a poorly adapted technology work. I keep hearing about new and improved battery technologies that will be a Tesla killers. Nonsense. When an improved technology is ready for prime time, Tesla will be a first mover.

  • @tnelly6588
    @tnelly6588 10 місяців тому +5

    Please give your estimated time-line for Optimus completing meaningful, cost effective, complex tasks, like installing solar roofs....or even something like putting together an IKEA computer desk from just the instruction provided in the box.

  • @seveninspires
    @seveninspires 10 місяців тому

    Great and insightful update....I wonder if there will be a future update of the Tesla bot , where upon a request, the bot turns and says "I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I cannot do that...."? Hehe, a reference to Hal in 2001: A space Odyssey

  • @shaundubai8941
    @shaundubai8941 10 місяців тому

    Last Tesla Q call - how many robots will be deployed in the Tesla factories in 2024 - answer - it will do balet or something similar

  • @bobbybishop5662
    @bobbybishop5662 10 місяців тому

    Boston Dynamics is so far ahead of Tesla in robot technology they will never catch them. Elon also doesn't understand AI at all.

  • @macioluko9484
    @macioluko9484 10 місяців тому

    Thanks Dave! I’m sure you caught the Boston Dynamics CEO on Yahoo finance a few days ago… Let’s just say that there’s room for improvement…

  • @u-d-0-n
    @u-d-0-n 10 місяців тому +6

    It's nice to see you Dave! Wish you and your family the best 🥰

  • @szehui9841
    @szehui9841 10 місяців тому +1

    Nice analysis, love you Dave.

  • @huskydogg7536
    @huskydogg7536 10 місяців тому +4

    I've read that China is projecting humanoid robots by 2025 and is investing for same. Looks like just as with EV's its going to be a two player race.

  • @MarcoPolo-pz4ch
    @MarcoPolo-pz4ch 9 місяців тому

    great Dave's back to talk nonsense, I missed this guys absurd crazy rants

  • @deant007
    @deant007 10 місяців тому

    Thanks Too many “right” tie downs… can’t listen. Cheers

  • @pooglechen3251
    @pooglechen3251 10 місяців тому

    The winner for low cost NN hardware is Nvidia. It's either cuda cores or nothing at all

  • @heltok
    @heltok 10 місяців тому +1

    Imo don't sleep on Apple's M3, A16 etc. They can run hundreds of token per second of LLM.

  • @treva31
    @treva31 10 місяців тому

    Could they put a Dojo chip in a bot? Or a mini version. Would that be useful?

  • @reliesagerg
    @reliesagerg 10 місяців тому

    It makes me wonder if DOJO is soon(ish) to be obsolete?!?!

  • @AverageAngel
    @AverageAngel 7 місяців тому

    Optimus robots at scale is worth more than the EV car business

  • @vhoy7899
    @vhoy7899 10 місяців тому

    Good to see you Dave. Hope the family is doing well.

  • @bukurie6861
    @bukurie6861 10 місяців тому

    Thank you Dave for love and beautiful vi❤de🌏o🫠

  • @Bboreal88
    @Bboreal88 10 місяців тому

    Thanks for the amazing video, David, as always.
    6:37 You don't necessarily need it to run locally. Let's consider an environment inside the enterprise's headquarters. Equipped with the most advanced Wi-Fi speeds, a sleek humanoid robot can utilize thousands of GPUs in the cloud. It can also integrate basic processes on the go. By feeding a real-time camera to GPT-5 and providing some instructions, it becomes autonomous and capable of exploring the world around it. This is essentially AGI, and it's already happening today in these corporations. Imagine what next year will bring.

    • @summerbreeze5115
      @summerbreeze5115 4 місяці тому

      You mean Tesla can lose the Robotics race?

  • @RodMitchell-x5v
    @RodMitchell-x5v 10 місяців тому +1

    Thanks Dave ...we missed you

  • @mxbreed20
    @mxbreed20 10 місяців тому +1

    How is your wife's health? Hope all is going well.

  • @jasonberube2655
    @jasonberube2655 10 місяців тому +4

    Good to hear and see you back Dave. Hope everything is ok w you and your family. Always appreciate your content

  • @johnt5238
    @johnt5238 10 місяців тому

    Great to see you Dave! I hope all is going well for you and your wife first, and the kids too!

  • @slim11shock
    @slim11shock 10 місяців тому

    Dave, you are out of your mind. Tesla leading the robot revolution??? Have you seen Boston robotics??

    • @capitalistdingo
      @capitalistdingo 10 місяців тому

      Atlas isn’t designed to be a mass produced product. It’s demonstration only. They haven’t even begun to do design it’s parts for mass production. Spot is better and combining it with an LLM with speech makes it seem cool but in the end Boston Dynamics robots movements and behaviours are programmed by engineers who know what tasks they want it to do and in what order. If Tesla really is using video in/action out training it is a big step though talk about AI is still overblown since LLM neural nets are still simulated intelligence not real intelligence-still better than scripted though.

  • @ThinkyParts
    @ThinkyParts 10 місяців тому

    You really can’t be sure of that.

  • @lemmykoopah
    @lemmykoopah 10 місяців тому

    But the stock keeps tanking.

  • @jlvandat69
    @jlvandat69 10 місяців тому

    The post-mortem on Musks businesses will likely say that he failed financially by choosing to pursue technologies with enormous market potential but that required far more development costs than most people expected. Two notable examples are self-driving cars and AI-assisted personal robots. These are both technologies sure to be accepted in the mainstream at some future point, but both are proving to have many mare safety challenges than expected. The 'last mile' in these technologies is becoming the last 500 miles. Unless Musk can find some source of revenue (possibly from the profitable companies he owns?), we'll probably see a string of bankruptcies beginning with "X" which will fail for reasons other than excessive technology development time frames.

  • @robbiero368
    @robbiero368 10 місяців тому

    Check out Nvidia Orin chips they are competing on specs.
    Although I agree Teslas vertical integration will give them an incredible advantage

  • @andrewsaint6581
    @andrewsaint6581 10 місяців тому

    Thank you for the incisive, yet simple breakdown of the future of AI around us.
    Take care Dave and best wishes from my family.

  • @peacec9876
    @peacec9876 10 місяців тому +1

    Thanks! Great to see you.

  • @IamFallingFeathers
    @IamFallingFeathers 10 місяців тому

    Oh i missed you Dave!

  • @tyrem
    @tyrem 10 місяців тому +1

    LOL.. Tesla is leading the robot revolution? Now that is a good joke. 🤣

    • @summerbreeze5115
      @summerbreeze5115 4 місяці тому

      Your qualifications?

    • @tyrem
      @tyrem 4 місяці тому

      @@summerbreeze5115 A working brain.

    • @summerbreeze5115
      @summerbreeze5115 4 місяці тому

      @@tyrem we're not braindead either

    • @tyrem
      @tyrem 4 місяці тому

      @@summerbreeze5115 Depends if you still think that Musk tells the truth.

    • @summerbreeze5115
      @summerbreeze5115 4 місяці тому

      @@tyrem what he said that is false?

  • @Foremangrill
    @Foremangrill 10 місяців тому

    Hey Dave, are you sure the local inference chip is the fundamental differentiator? From what I understand, a GPU off the shelf can do the same thing. Yes, the power consumption and cost might be higher, but if your model is better, or your manufacturing is cheaper, I think the chip doesn’t matter as much, especially if the cost of energy drops dramatically

  • @janfm8670
    @janfm8670 10 місяців тому

    Good to see you. Thx. ❤

  • @switzerland
    @switzerland 10 місяців тому

    Wait, will it be Apple?

  • @kstaxman2
    @kstaxman2 10 місяців тому

    A very overlooked point. Energy conservation is an after thought for most of the robotics companies.

  • @cyruslupercal9493
    @cyruslupercal9493 10 місяців тому

    Ha ha, Tesla is a joke.

  • @importon
    @importon 10 місяців тому

    you're assuming that we will continue to need massive amounts of data to train in the future. you're also assuming that we'll need specialized expensive silicon to run these models in the future. those twp beliefs could prove to be foolish.

  • @iagorodriguezcervino3677
    @iagorodriguezcervino3677 10 місяців тому

    Thank you for your light and kindness from Spain!!

  • @krimdelko
    @krimdelko 10 місяців тому

    Compute per Watt is a metric most people aren't looking at. It is crucial for robots.

  • @chatjibpt
    @chatjibpt 10 місяців тому

    Thanks Dave