November 2024 I-Bond Rate Prediction | Buy I-Bonds Now Or In November?

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  • Опубліковано 9 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 81

  • @DiamondNestEgg
    @DiamondNestEgg  3 місяці тому +4

    💎Get our popular bond course bundle & save $80: www.diamondnestegg.com/home#_paa2isucf
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    SOURCES & REFERENCED VIDEOS:
    Why Are Long Bond Yields Up Despite Fed Rate Cut: ua-cam.com/video/cckNpVQtzVg/v-deo.html
    I-Bond Fixed Rate Calculation 1: ua-cam.com/video/g1mVtOxYEHE/v-deo.html
    I-Bond Fixed Rate Calculation 1: ua-cam.com/video/qYXMfQzYhgs/v-deo.html
    TIPS vs I-Bonds: ua-cam.com/video/uXPzbje1g2E/v-deo.html
    How To Buy Corporate Bonds on Fidelity: ua-cam.com/video/fMmF59tMPxk/v-deo.html
    How To Buy Corporate Bonds on Schwab: ua-cam.com/video/bKV2pHqtmiI/v-deo.html
    www.bea.gov/news/2024/personal-income-and-outlays-august-2024
    www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-pce-inflation-data-09-27-2024/card/fed-s-favorite-inflation-gauge-what-to-expect-from-august-pce-j3ZQOVO4Q6ZIpmocDNrt
    www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/cpi.pdf
    www.treasurydirect.gov/auctions/upcoming/
    www.fidelity.com/
    www.schwab.com
    www.vanguard.com
    www.treasurydirect.gov/savings-bonds/i-bonds/i-bonds-interest-rates/
    >>>>>>>>>>
    Here is the overview for Bond Beginners:
    1. Bond Basics
    What A Bond Is & How A Bond Works
    Why Invest In Bonds
    New Issue vs Secondary Market Bonds
    Interest Rates & Bond Prices
    Current Yield & Yield To Maturity
    Always Remember This!
    Buying At Par, Above Par & Below Par
    Different Types Of Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    2. The Risks Of Bond Investing
    Seven Key Bond Risks
    Credit Risk
    Interest Rate Risk
    Reinvestment Risk/Call Risk
    Inflation Risk
    Liquidity Risk
    Currency Risk & Country Risk
    Bond Risk Mitigation Strategies
    Wrap-Up
    3. US Treasuries Overview
    What Are US Treasuries
    Why Invest In Treasuries
    Where Can You Buy Treasuries
    How Are Treasuries Taxed
    Wrap-Up
    4. Treasury Bills
    What Are Treasury Bills (T-Bills)
    When Do T-Bill Auctions Happen
    Where Should You Buy At Auction
    Auto-Roll When Buying At Auction
    Where To Find Recent Auction Results
    High Rate vs Investment Rate
    Reopening Auctions
    Cash Management Bills (CMBs)
    Buying & Selling On Secondary Market
    Wrap-Up
    5. Treasury Notes & Bonds
    What Are Treasury Notes & Bonds
    When Do Auctions Happen
    Buying Treasury Notes & Bonds
    Auction High Yield vs Interest Rate
    Floating Rate Notes (FRNs)
    Treasury Zeros (STRIPS)
    Wrap-Up
    6. TIPS (Inflation-Protected)
    What Are TIPS
    When Do TIPS Auctions Happen
    Nominal vs Real Yields
    Negative Yields
    How Do You Adjust TIPS For Inflation
    Taxes On Phantom Income
    Secondary Market Liquidity
    Wrap-Up
    7. I-Bonds (Inflation-Protected)
    What Are I-Bonds
    How Does I-Bond Interest Work
    I-Bonds vs TIPS
    The Annual I-Bond Limit
    Wrap-Up
    8. Agency Bonds
    The Universe Of Bonds
    What Are Agency Bonds
    How Are Agency Bonds Taxed
    Treasuries vs Agencies
    Who Might Want To Consider Agencies
    Yield-To-Call & Yield-To-Worst
    Where Can You Buy Agency Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    9. Municipal Bonds
    Our Bond Universe Gets More Complex
    What Are Municipal Bonds
    How Safe Are Munis
    How Are Munis Taxed
    The De Minimis Rule
    Social Security & Medicare Premiums
    Treasuries, Agencies & Munis
    Who Might Want To Consider Munis
    Wrap-Up
    10. Corporate Bonds
    Our Bond Universe Is Complete
    What Are Corporate Bonds
    How Safe Are Corporates
    Corporate Bond Hierarchies
    Five Key Features Of Corporate Bonds
    How Are Corporates Taxed
    Treasuries vs Corporates, Etc.
    Who Might Want To Buy Corporates
    Wrap-Up
    >>>>>>>>>>
    Here is the overview for Bond Masters:
    1. Stocks vs Bonds
    Historical Performance
    Are Bonds Really Less Volatile
    Why Invest In Bonds
    Accumulation vs Decumulation
    Allocation of Stocks vs Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    2. Which Bonds Might Be Right For You
    Treasuries & Other Types of Bonds
    Nominal vs Real Yields
    Inflation vs Non-Inflation-Protected
    Taxable vs Tax-Advantaged Accounts
    Wrap-Up
    3. Bond Ladders & Other Bond Strategies
    Normal vs Inverted Yield Curve
    What Is A Bond Ladder
    5 Important Bond Laddering Questions
    Laddering When Rates Are Rising
    Laddering When Rates Are Falling
    Laddering When Rates Are Uncertain
    What Is A Bullet
    What Is A Barbell
    Wrap-Up
    4. Holding to Maturity vs Selling Early
    Why Hold to Maturity
    When To Sell Early Before Maturity
    Tax Implications Of Selling Early
    Wrap-Up
    5. Individual Bonds, Bond Funds, Etc.
    Why Buy Individual Bonds
    Why Buy Bond Funds
    Bond Fund Considerations
    Key Bond Fund Concepts
    CDs vs Treasuries
    Other High-Yield Investments
    Wrap-Up
    6. Our B.E.S.T. Model Portfolios By Age
    Our B.E.S.T Model Portfolios By Age
    Model Portfolios In The Industry
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolio Difference
    How Much Do You Need To Retire?
    How I Use The Rules of 100, 110, & 120
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (20s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (30s & 40s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (50s & 60s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (70s+)
    Wrap-Up
    7. The Decumulation Phase
    What Is The Decumulation Phase?
    Bear Markets & Recessions
    What Can You Do In Bad/Bear Markets
    Decumulation Tax Considerations
    The 4% Rule
    The Bucket Strategy
    The Flooring Approach
    Jen’s Bucket Strategy With A Twist
    Wrap-Up
    >>>>>>>>>>
    Thanks for visiting our personal finance channel! We hope this content will help fast-track your financial journey! Everyone's financial journey is different. Please note that:
    1) there are questions/ comments which I will not be able to answer without fully understanding your financial, personal & other circumstances
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  • @DavidLitman-ph9lu
    @DavidLitman-ph9lu 3 місяці тому +14

    Deficits and debt don't seem matter anymore - - until they do. And they will! I consider my I-bonds to be more of an insurance policy than an investment. So maxing out on annual contributions is more important than if the rate is 0 or 1%. Together with real estate and GLD, I'll be ready for the debt crisis when the day of reckoning arises.

  • @ScooterOnHisWay2024
    @ScooterOnHisWay2024 3 місяці тому +26

    Nobody on YT does this better than Jennifer does here.

  • @freeroamer9146
    @freeroamer9146 3 місяці тому +15

    I like the fixed rate on the IBond. It's good for the life of the bond and at 4.8 combined, is right in line with other notes and bonds currently.

    • @pubcheese5045
      @pubcheese5045 2 місяці тому

      The interest rate on a Series I savings bond changes every 6 months, based on inflation. The rate can go up. The rate can go down.

  • @MikeNie1
    @MikeNie1 3 місяці тому +5

    A comment on T-Bills regarding their rates this week: I am thinking about stopping my continuing ladder, not because I think they are a bad investment, but to make a point. The treasury is pushing down rates that they control at the short end. I usually buy the 26-week. The 6-month is now down .89% from the beginning of the year. We just had a .5% rate cut. Even if they go another .25% next time, rates have still fallen more than that. The treasury continues to push the rates down and they are getting free money. The only way that will stop is if the demand goes down. I know my little bit will not even be a blip on their radar, but if people start talking about it, eventually it might achieve critical mass. I get it, rates are going to go down, but they are pushing them down faster than they should go, based on their fiscal policy, just because they can.

  • @FranciscoDelValle180
    @FranciscoDelValle180 3 місяці тому +7

    Curious about Tennessee Valley bonds after this hurricane. Did i see that a dam failed or did it hold?

  • @LogoTimeClark
    @LogoTimeClark 3 місяці тому +9

    I'm lazy. I'll continue to limp along with returns on my money market funds at Vanguard. If you invested and reinvested in bond funds, they are still below water. If you believe inflation is tamed, they might be worth the risk.

    • @CharlesZdobinski
      @CharlesZdobinski 3 місяці тому

      @@LogoTimeClark
      I use I bonds as part of my emergency fund
      That 1.3 percent base rate is it a great deal considering you get the inflation rate on top of it
      4 years ago the 10-year treasury was paying a half a percent
      I will continue to add to them every month until the base rate goes away

  • @paulj2948
    @paulj2948 3 місяці тому +23

    I'm going to use spare cash this year to pay taxes on a roth conversion and take advantage of the lower rate brackets still in effect. By maxing out my bracket I'm in but not spill over to next one. So much uncertainty with the next 10 years and taxes and so forth. I have so many varied investments in ibonds, taxable brokerage, HSA, 401k, and roth ira. I think a conversion this year is in order.

    • @mamalovesthebeach437
      @mamalovesthebeach437 3 місяці тому

      Good plan.👍🏻

    • @gstlb
      @gstlb 3 місяці тому +1

      Do what makes sense to you but in my 73 years I’ve made very few good decisions based on fear, and I don’t think the future is more uncertain than it always is.

    • @paulj2948
      @paulj2948 3 місяці тому +4

      @@gstlb it's not fear it's that the 22% tax bracket won't be more generous than it is now. Once I get social security in 5 years everything will be in the 24% bracket assuming they don't tighten. It's a strategy to minimize taxes and grow tax free. Then maybe only half my millions will be subject to RMD in my 70s.

    • @raymondjenkins4332
      @raymondjenkins4332 3 місяці тому

      @@mamalovesthebeach437

  • @2023gainer
    @2023gainer 3 місяці тому +3

    Buying Small Caps now .EV sector.. seeing Double -digit gains. Hopefully interest rate cuts and China Stimulus continues to help. Thumbs Up video/ comments. Thanks.

    • @DavidLitman-ph9lu
      @DavidLitman-ph9lu 3 місяці тому +1

      EV and "green" energy sector is out of favor and losing support rapidly, even among democrats. Nuclear powered data centers is in with CJJ, CEG and VST poised to outperform!

    • @2023gainer
      @2023gainer 3 місяці тому +1

      @@DavidLitman-ph9lu Green Semi tractors should lead with Govt emission regulations globally, EV vehicle sales should pick up by summer.

  • @SLICK-GLN
    @SLICK-GLN 3 місяці тому +3

    I'm going to buy some more I Bonds and take your advice

  • @samh6761
    @samh6761 3 місяці тому +3

    The only reason I don't wait until the very last week to buy: something happens to the TD website during that time that prevents me from submitting the order and I miss that opportunity. Small chance, but it's happened before.

    • @freeroamer9146
      @freeroamer9146 3 місяці тому +1

      Jennifer has mentioned in past videos the importance of giving yourself a window for the unexpected! 👍

  • @b.coxemba6799
    @b.coxemba6799 3 місяці тому +3

    I can't buy any I Savings Bonds for personal gratification as I maximize my purchase in January. I cash zero fixed Bonds. I'll most likely purchase 10k for my LLC in new money in October. Cash out and upgrade personal account Bonds again in January. Sadly disappointed we can't buy I savings bond with federal income taxes anymore. I over estimate my contributions to grab extra 5k in bond.

    • @o4ktr33123
      @o4ktr33123 3 місяці тому

      Though you can't buy paper I-bonds with income tax refunds anymore, you can still buy electronic/digital I-bonds.

    • @b.coxemba6799
      @b.coxemba6799 3 місяці тому

      @@o4ktr33123 you totally missed my point. I over paid taxes to get the extra 5k in paper bond. Now I'm limited to the 10k electronic which was also planned for. After checking, I don't have any zero fixed bond.

    • @TheLucasFamily4
      @TheLucasFamily4 3 місяці тому

      If married, you could buy for your spouse and/or vice versa and hold in the gift box until 2025. Just don't take it out ahead of January and you can't buy more in 2025 (unless you redo the gift box strategy for future years).

  • @johngrasing1715
    @johngrasing1715 3 місяці тому

    Can you please do a video on quantitative easing and tightening? How does this impact the bond markets?

  • @LULINGYU-g4y
    @LULINGYU-g4y 3 місяці тому

    a quick question. you have mentioned the current fixed rate of I BOND is lower than the real rate of TIPs of 5, 10 and 30 yrs. what about 7 and 20 yrs TIPs, then? thanks!

  • @sueh6287
    @sueh6287 3 місяці тому +3

    Hubby and I will purchase gift I-bonds in Oct. I'm sooo disappointed the option to purchase an additional $5,000 paper bond with a tax refund will no longer be available as of Jan 1, 2025!

    • @o4ktr33123
      @o4ktr33123 3 місяці тому +3

      Though you can't buy paper I-bonds with income tax refunds anymore, you can still buy electronic/digital I-bonds. I guess if you were wanting to present a paper I-bond as a gift, a digital one would be a letdown, but they're just as valuable.

    • @RickRorose
      @RickRorose 3 місяці тому

      @@o4ktr33123no. You can max out the digital and still be allowed to get more i bonds in the same year only by getting paper bonds via the tax refund. This sucks they stopped it

  • @nunuvyurbiz123
    @nunuvyurbiz123 3 місяці тому +7

    Based on the data so far, I'm projecting a fixed rate of 1.2% in November. I've already bought for 2024, and come January I will be buying more, to replace 0% I bonds.

    • @mamalovesthebeach437
      @mamalovesthebeach437 3 місяці тому

      Are you selling your 0% and repurchasing? I considered this, but you’d also have to consider the length of time you’ve had the bond and if it increases your tax bracket.

    • @nunuvyurbiz123
      @nunuvyurbiz123 3 місяці тому +2

      @@mamalovesthebeach437 No, i'll sell the 0% later.

    • @debrabullion3766
      @debrabullion3766 3 місяці тому +3

      We bought in 2024 also, but am considering gifting each other to lock in the rate before November.

    • @RickRorose
      @RickRorose 3 місяці тому

      I’m doing the same thing! That’s fun when I read your comment

  • @pinkorganichorse
    @pinkorganichorse Місяць тому

    What will I get if I buy the ibond now?

  • @Gwinter452
    @Gwinter452 3 місяці тому

    Hi Jennifer, what's the difference between the "Daily Par Yield Rates" (that you show us) and the "Daily Treasury Bill Rates" page? These numbers don't match on the Treasury website and I'm wondering which one to follow. Thanks

  • @davidhawkins5061
    @davidhawkins5061 3 місяці тому

    When is the next live video going to be done? I have some ideas on content you could offer in the future.

  • @CharlesZdobinski
    @CharlesZdobinski 3 місяці тому +1

    How do you buy corporate bonds on vanguard?

  • @Dusan4666
    @Dusan4666 3 місяці тому

    Thank you so much for video. Mu questions is can bonds be sold and how to do that step by step ? Thank you.

    • @2Frostykids
      @2Frostykids 3 місяці тому +1

      If you look back at the videos from around 2022 you will find one about everything ibond.
      You can cash them in after 1yr with a penalty or after 5yrs without penalty.

  • @myhd-f3k
    @myhd-f3k 3 місяці тому +1

    For I bonds issued May 1, 2024 to October 31, 2024. Fixed at 1.30% . My Q is if I buy last week of Oct. My rate is locked in at 1.30% Or in november it will change to the lower fixed rate?

    • @2Frostykids
      @2Frostykids 3 місяці тому +1

      You get 6 months at each rate. So the October rate would be for the first 6 months, then it would be the November rate for 6 months, then it would be the rate from next May for 6months, etc.

    • @hey_casey
      @hey_casey 3 місяці тому +1

      If you buy the I bond in the last week of October, the fixed rate will be 1.30% for the life of the bond. It will not change in the future. The inflation rate of the I bond will change every 6 months. The TreasuryDirect site confirms this.

    • @myhd-f3k
      @myhd-f3k 3 місяці тому

      @@hey_casey thanks. 1.30% "life" of the bond is great!!! Ok, I'll buy some last week of October. Thank you.

  • @FreakyLynx
    @FreakyLynx 2 місяці тому

    I bought my 10k at the 1.3% fixed rate, what I do in 2025 will determine whether I convert my 10k at a .4% fixed rate into new iBonds or if I consider finding 10k in cash to buy.

  • @tammyphillips6840
    @tammyphillips6840 3 місяці тому +4

    How can the inflattion rate only be 1.58perc? Everything else I've been reading states 2-2.5perc.

  • @juanzamudii9936
    @juanzamudii9936 3 місяці тому

    So I have been buying some ibonds every year since 2021 so my question is if I want to cash them out I have to wait 5 years since my first purchase on 2021? Or on every purchase is 5 years from that date?

    • @2Frostykids
      @2Frostykids 3 місяці тому +1

      On every purchase it is 5years from that date.

    • @Warp99
      @Warp99 2 місяці тому +1

      With iBonds, you can cash them out 1 year after issue, but you will lose the last 3 months of interested if the are less then 5 years old. Depending on your circumstances, losing the last 3 months of interest is a small price to pay for the liquidity and/or for the ability to put the funds into an investment with a higher expected return (e.g. possibly even back into iBonds with a better yield).

  • @MikeyV-xz1lf
    @MikeyV-xz1lf 3 місяці тому

    I'm Thinking of Cashing in my 02-01-2023 3.37% I-Bond and Buying Vangaurds VUSXX Money Market Fund. Does this make sense?

  • @debrabullion3766
    @debrabullion3766 3 місяці тому +4

    Thanks for the update Jennifer! We’ll be gifting each other the last week of Oct to lock in those rates. Thanks for the reminder! Do you have the video handy on how to do the gift buying on TD?
    Also concerning the Verizon corporate bond. Is it local & state tax exempt? Can’t remember off hand. I’m not sure about the 30 year duration though.
    Thank again!!❤💎🪺🥚

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  3 місяці тому +1

      Hi Debra! Is this the I-Bond gifting video you're looking for: ua-cam.com/video/bSoZJJypSAQ/v-deo.html
      Interest earned on corporate bonds is generally taxable on local, state & federal levels when purchased in a taxable brokerage account.

    • @debrabullion3766
      @debrabullion3766 3 місяці тому

      @@DiamondNestEgg thank you so much!

  • @robertdilaura9695
    @robertdilaura9695 3 місяці тому

    News this morning on Schwab’s CEO Walt Bettinger retirement at EOY may mean changes on the horizon into 2025. Thoughts?

  • @rickb2537
    @rickb2537 3 місяці тому

    Is Canadian bond interest taxed by Canada? Or, does the tax treaty preclude that? If it is taxed I assume we can claim a tax credit on our tax return.

    • @erniedacho5913
      @erniedacho5913 3 місяці тому +1

      For US residents purchasing CDN bonds in US brokerage accounts, bond interest is not taxed/withheld by Canada Revenue Agency (CRA)

    • @rickb2537
      @rickb2537 2 місяці тому

      @@erniedacho5913 Thanks

  • @jmcmob608
    @jmcmob608 3 місяці тому

    Thank you very much...

  • @enudretheinsult
    @enudretheinsult 3 місяці тому +1

    Fantastic presentation!

  • @joanie5812
    @joanie5812 3 місяці тому +1

    Staying away from government issued securities because money markets and HY saving accounts have better rates. VMFXX and SPAXX will do for now and I will use Social Security as my inflation protection.

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  3 місяці тому

      Thanks for sharing Joanie - hope you are well!

  • @lauraallisonn
    @lauraallisonn 3 місяці тому +2

    Buying Vangaurds VUSXX Money Market Fund. Does this make sense? Now my question is which is best to buy at this time, despite fluctuations in capital market. I really need to diversify.

  • @petrao8669
    @petrao8669 3 місяці тому

    Bought me some of the Goldman Sachs Corp Bond to complete my long-term bond portfolio. Keeping the rest of my cash in SPAXX for now. Will invest in the market when it drops.

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  3 місяці тому

      I have another one I will be posting later which maybe of interest to some of our members - so stay tuned.

  • @rogerhofford7676
    @rogerhofford7676 3 місяці тому +4

    I would not recommend buying iBonds at this time if you are leaving it to a beneficiary. Treasury Direct is 6 months behind in processing claims if you are inheriting an iBond.

    • @freeroamer9146
      @freeroamer9146 3 місяці тому +3

      Not bad for gov't work! 🥴

    • @kevinscholl6673
      @kevinscholl6673 3 місяці тому +1

      They're behind AT LEAST 6 months, meaning it can take even longer, i.e., 9 months, 12 months, etc. until they get your paperwork completed. I'm now at 7 months and counting for the paper pushers to get my documents processed.

    • @anthonyhaynes9417
      @anthonyhaynes9417 3 місяці тому

      Also IRS is about 2 years behind on deceased personal income tax returns

  • @hewdogg01
    @hewdogg01 3 місяці тому +1

    Thinking about tax free withdraws for Ibonds as college savings alternative. My son is 5 yrs old, so 1.3% fixed rate for next 13 yrs growing tax free if used for education sounds like a good idea.

    • @DavidLitman-ph9lu
      @DavidLitman-ph9lu 3 місяці тому +2

      I-bonds are state tax free, but you still pay federal tax on your earnings. You should consider a "529" college savings account. The earnings are both federal and state tax free, as long as the money is spent on college . After he graduates, if there are still funds available, as of this year, you can use the new Secure 2.0 act to transfer unused funds into a Roth IRA for yourself or your beneficiaries (subject to limitations).

  • @BorisLikesBonds
    @BorisLikesBonds 3 місяці тому +3

    Ahh, the I-Bond rate video! 🥳 I've been waiting for you to pull out your crystal ball, Jen! 👍
    I've been looking at all the inflation figures over the past few months with the I-Bond rate in mind. Inflation has been coming down and I figured the I-Bond rate will go down with it. I have been pulling in my planned I-Bond purchases to take advantage of the current rate. My goal is to get as much pulled in before the announcement. I have a savings goal in mind with I-Bonds and I'll probably fall a few hundred dollars short of it at the current rate. We do what we can, right? 🙂
    I also noticed the corporate bond offers on Fidelity suddenly drying up. 🥺 I'm going to watch your "10 Year T-Note at 6%" next. Gotta get to the bottom of this! 🧐
    Verizon's debt load always scares me. They have just as much debt as is their market capitalization. It's really high! Perhaps Verizon has enough pricing power and guaranteed revenue streams to support the debt load. 🤷‍♂

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  3 місяці тому +1

      Thanks for sharing Boris - we haven’t heard from you in a while!

    • @BorisLikesBonds
      @BorisLikesBonds 3 місяці тому

      @@DiamondNestEgg Thanks for the reply, Jen! All is well here. 🙂 I continue to quietly catch up on a small backlog of your videos as I calmly and gently dollar cost average into a mix of fixed income instruments and equities. 👍

  • @7SideWays
    @7SideWays 3 місяці тому +1

    Ibond yields not attractive now, especially if not in a state with income tax.

  • @jabuvduvatel
    @jabuvduvatel 3 місяці тому +2

    2.8%? No thanks, I will stay with 4 weeks bills. Idk who is going to buy I-bonds with 2.8%. And remember, you have to wait 6 month before u get any dividends

    • @pauls-finds
      @pauls-finds 3 місяці тому +1

      3 months

    • @greghill7948
      @greghill7948 3 місяці тому +1

      Probably not many right away. Those of us who like ibonds will probably try to load up as much as possible in October and then sit out buying again until the new year. Once March or April rolls around, we’ll start making plans for buying again.