Dispelling Demographic Delusions with Dr. Jane O'Sullivan

Recently, the UN has been revising the peak world population downward despite revising recent growth upward. Other demographic groups project even lower peaks. All have been overestimating fertility decline and underestimating population growth so far this century. The delusion that the peak is already baked into the pie downplays the need for greater family planning efforts. Over-optimistic projections are in danger of becoming self-defeating prophesies, as complacency leads to even greater population overshoot.
Featured in our December 2023 magazine issue, Dr. O’Sullivan highlights her research and challenges the prevailing consensus on future fertility trends. Her research examines the realism of optimistic projections, particularly in high-fertility countries. Contrary to demographic expectations, recent trends indicate a departure from the anticipated decline in birth rates, defying the modeling applied to countries that were early adopters of family planning.
More Details Here: populationconnection.org/virt...

[@MadDragon75]

The projected world population on Jan. 1, 2024, is 8,019,876,189, an increase of 75,162,541 (0.95%) from New Year's Day 2023. During January 2024, 4.3 births and 2.0 deaths are expected worldwide every second.
The Census Bureau's Population Clock displays simulated real-time growth of the U.S. and world populations.
What's the maximum population the Earth can sustain?
7.7 billion people
A meta-analysis of 70 studies estimates the sustainable limit to the world population to 7.7 billion people. World population as of 2020: 7.8 billion.
AI generated analysis?
Based on the provided data and the estimate of the sustainable limit to the world population at 7.7 billion people, it seems Earth may already be overpopulated as of 2020, given that the population exceeded this estimate. However, sustainable population estimates can vary depending on factors like technological advancements, resource management, and environmental policies. Without specific data on these factors, it's challenging to determine the maximum population Earth can sustain accurately.

[@jackpotbear4559]

The countries that matter are all in decline. Africans don't feed themselves, thus we know what is going to happen. 100 million a year seems low.