How Wishful Thinking Leads to Blunders: Avoid This Calculation Mistake!
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- Опубліковано 27 чер 2024
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00:00 Position 1
05:55 Position 2
09:19 Position 3
11:22 Ding - Nepo (2023)
This video talks about a common calculation thought process error: missing the opponent's candidate moves. When we are calculating, it is a good idea to give ourselves choices by generating several candidate moves. However, the same process must also occur while searching for our opponent's moves. Many players - including super grandmasters - fail at this very process of actively generating several candidate moves for their opponents.
There are also several cognitive biases that make this process more difficult. Confirmation bias is one such bias. We are generally seeking information from the world that confirms our existing beliefs instead of seeking counterevidence. This translates into wishful thinking on the chess board. You wish your opponent will react in a certain way against your move, and you are neglecting their other choices. Often times we miss deadly quiet moves for the opponent, probably also because of overreliance on tactical puzzle books which reinforces forcing solutions. - Розваги
Dr Can's calculation course on chessable....A++
I plan to buy one of his Chessable courses, have you any recommendations?
Thank you so much for your kind feedback 😊
A very useful lesson on blunder checking, really enjoy your tutorials and how your breaking down the thought process into manageable pieces, Ive surprised myself here as I managed to find the initial response to each position quite easily but I think this is in part because of your previous lesson.
You have shown me a way of thinking initially by making me now ask 1, what would they play again if the opponent had another move 2, what's changed in the position and 3, what's the threat (I found it difficult to remember so came up with ACT in my mind AGAIN, CHANGED & THREAT so that's now easy for me to put into practice now lol) choosing my candidate moves come second now and now by adding the opponents candidate moves to the process this quickly showed me the blunders in the examples you provided, thank you Dr. Can, I really feel like I've finally got past the beginner level and that's down to your tuition, looking forward to the next episode, your a superb teacher of the game.
I love your comment, thanks for sharing! Can you please tell me the difference between A and T in your acronym? To me, what would they play again implies seeing their THREAT.
I think how I've looked at it is, If I take the first position for example in my mind Rf2+ was blacks previous move so here I am given no choice but to move the king to the g file, then I asked myself what would black play again after the position had changed for both Kg3 and Kg5, in both resulting positions I see that the f file has opened up and has enabled the pawn to be pushed, but to me it only became a threat with Kg5, with Kg3 I couldn't see a threat from black as i would be protecting the g2 pawn whilst attacking the rook on f2, so it made me calculate the Kg5 line to its conclusion. So by using that process and then adding both the candidate moves in for both sides it highlighted the blunders for me, to be honest if you hadn't told us the initial move in the positions I probably wouldnt have been able to find the blunders but once the initial move was played that process worked for me and indeed enabled me to see the threats, Im not the best at trying to explain my thought processes but I hope it's helped my initial explanation, whatever the case you have certainly helped me
@@GaryWalters-tk2lp Thank you! You basically described a blunder-check process (can my opponent defeat my move?) We must END our calculations with this blunder check process.
Thanks for another excellent video.
These are the blunders that happen after 2 hours of staring at the board and fatigue has set in.
Thanks! You are right, chess is a very tough game that requires constant focus and concentration.
Thanks! New favorite channel
So humbled by your generous support 😊🙏 Thank you 🙏
Excellent and very instructive. Thanks!
Thank you so much! 🙏
You are a great teacher. Keep up the excellent work!
I am so happy to hear your motivating thoughts. Energized to go further!
Great 👌 viedo really enjoyed the tactics and dept of thou,ght,it's the subtle things so enjoyable when the opponent didn't see you coming 🎉😅💯👏
Glad you enjoyed it! ☺️🙏
I tend to ask "what would I play" or "what's the scariest thing he could play", but missing key candidate moves is still a big weakness at 1500 rapid. Thanks for your advice, it's helping at least one player.
That is not easy even for Super GM's, so don't be too harsh on yourself. Thank you for your kind feedback 😊
Great video as always, but you've shown the second position before
Thanks. I know. It was a retrieval practice.
Good stuff!
Glad you enjoyed it!
Hey Dr. Can.. i just want to know 2 things.. how to find brilliant moves in position and how to avoid opening traps thats the worst thing. Please make a video on this topic
Hey, please check this one on how to find the strongest chess moves: ua-cam.com/video/vDL9lsgI9Jk/v-deo.html
Reinforcing solid calculation and strategic thinking is very solid chess training. Thanks for the solid reminder. Edit: I did succeed at the examples but the hardest was the multi-move tactic on the 3rd example. Not sure I would have been confident about it OTB.
Thank you!
Dear Dr Can - I need your help finding a video that you published some time ago that I found incredibly instructive and would like to rewatch, but I can't seem to find it. In it, you showed us positions usually about how to recapture, and in a lot of the positions, it was the "unnatural" pawn recapture where we would double our own pawns purposefully but in exchange we would get open lines or create weaknesses or backward pawns in our opponents position. If you could tell me what video this was I would be grateful!
This is the video you are looking for: ua-cam.com/video/DSSliMnoKdw/v-deo.html
@@Dr.CansClinic Yes it is!! Thank you so much!
Personally I find pawn breaks, like c5 in the first position, to be loud rather than quiet. I'd say they're small moves, but with big consequences.
I feel the main reason I overlook moves is not confirmation bias, but some sort of mental block. I can find the key idea and not the right move order, but more often the right move or idea doesn't occur to me at all. No amount of effort, no attempt to refute my own analysis, makes a difference. For some unconscious reason, I'm just randomly blind to what I should see. I think the solution has to be some way to address this, which to me seems very different from avoiding confirmation bias.
I hear you. I think you are right. Wishful thinking assumes you saw a promising idea - often an established chess pattern that you know - but you did not try to verify it. Blindness implies lacking sufficient chess patterns in our long-term memories. Keep on learning and immersing yourself with the game, and eventually those eyes will be opened!
@@Dr.CansClinic I'm actually missing moves based on patterns and themes that I know well. For instance c5 was an obvious idea to me in the first puzzle and featured in my calculations, but somehow I overlooked Black playing it on the first move. This was after quite a bit of hard work. Maybe my type of blindness is not a common problem and doesn't have a set solution, but I think your point about too many puzzles with big dramatic moves might be part of it. I need something else.
i think the saying goes "don't prove yourself right in chess, but rather prove yourself wrong"
So well said! Can you cite the source? :)
@@Dr.CansClinic thanks, but i can't be a 100% sure who said it. it mightve been another chess youtuber. it's just in the back of my mind while playing to really check if i'm not blundering anything by playing an "easy" move
@@LounoirRecords Well said!
In the Ding Nepo game at 15:50 wouldnt blacks move h4 or g4 allow Ne7+, picking up the queen or am I missing something? also at 14:48 isn't en passent nice as well with the same ideas of creating a queen?
Absolutely! I was just showing the padlock pawn formation there so please ignore the queen being on e4 😊
@@Dr.CansClinic No worries, the padlock is more instructive than a simple tactic anyway:))
@@mikkelhansen3714 Absolutely!
Hi Dr. Can ! I really hope Ding can play like that at the World Championships, then we can see Gukesh sweat a little bit 😂😂. All the best and thanks for another incredible, memorable video
Absolutely, I hope Ding will have a strong comeback! Thank you so much 😊
Is it wishful thinking if I haven't seen the move after looking at the position for 5 minutes? 😅
No, that is a bigger issue 😊
9:20 who thought gods can bleed😂
Then watch the very end to see even Super GMs bleed... 😅