North Korea's interest in getting its own nukes probably intensified even before Gaddafi's fall from power in 2011, when in 2003 it and the world watched as the US managed to invade and defeat Iraq, which at the time was considered to have one of the largest and most powerful army in the Middle East region. From North Korea's perspective they just watched another country invaded, its military defeated, its leader captured and later put on trial and executed, and perhaps concluded that that same fate could befall them if they didn't have nukes as a deterrence against a similar invasion.
Iraq had a measly army that couldn't threaten anyone after the U.S. supported it in an 8 year long war with Iran. And then followed by bone crushing sanctions from 1991 to 2003. That's pure propaganda. Free yourself.
And this was only reinforced recently when the Russians invaded Ukraine. A state that is not only non-nuclear, but voluntarily became non-nuclear after relinquishing the nuclear weapons it inherited from the USSR. From a smaller state's perspective, it's nearly impossible to deny that nuclear weapons are the only way to guarantee not only your security, but your very existence
>promise Gaddafi he can stay in power if he gets rid of his nukes >invade him later anyway due to what in hindsight was basically a social media outrage* >act surprised that North Korean regime will never willingly hand over its nuclear capability *Gaddafi did some genuine dictator things in response to "Arab Spring" (also fuelled by social media) but the political pressure within the West to intervene came largely from the general public who only became "experts" in Libya's geopolitical situation when it started trending on their feeds. At the time social media was still bit of a novelty, allowing it to have greater impact. Ever since Gaddafi regime fell, Europe's basically had a constant migrant crisis that occasionally flares up. Russia has weaponised these migrants by helping them cross the border suddenly en masse. People have become stuck long-term in the Polish-Belarusian border zone. Finland recently had to close its border with Russia.
Heiress presumptive to North Korean throne is Kim Jong-Un's sister, Kim Yo Jong. And if sources are correct he may be the more liberal and gentle of the two. Killing dictator/monarch always raises the question who will come in his/her place and then we have to think if it will advance our cause or not. :D
He already has swiss cheese and french wine worth millions, I don't think he'd want that junk. Also, according to North Korea, they invented the hamburger😂
This video is ignoring the consequences of one particular fact. North Korea is selling weapons to Russia. Russia needs all the ammunition it can get for its war in Ukraine, and the fact that North Korea doesn't need all that ammunition is actually a really good sign. It means that North Korea is not preparing to fight a war, because if it were, it would stockpiling those weapons, not selling them to Russia.
Doesn't the last part of the video kind of address these? NK is getting a lot of money and tech in exchange for cheap artillery shells, shells that they can always produce again. Remember, KJU is still young (assuming he keeps himself healthy), he can live for another 30 to 40 years. Whose to say he won't start a war 10 years from now when NK has a better army after getting the needed resources by selling things to Russia?
@@yuliakochenkova8516 Nah that's definitely possible, but honestly so many other problems are likely to arise within that time, that if a problem as small as a belligerent North Korea still merits this much attention and concern, then we should consider ourselves lucky.
North Korea will not attack today, in 5 years or even this decade. The most important factor is that South Korea is a demographic timebomb that’s rapidly losing young people and the North is the only East Asian country with a stable birthrate. The North will invade the South again when there simply aren’t any young South Koreans left to defend their country. Idk who will win this war but that seems the most likely scenario
Video is of suspense and downplayed conclusion. The title and first lines hold the premise of North Korea changing tactics and considered to be more dangerous - based on some military news journal. So called “experts” who are not intel officers. Then the narrator/creator drags on Kin Jong-Un’s political/military play to conclude, feebly, that there is new development in strategy. North Korea has re-initialized some exchange with Russia (ammunition for spy satellitery), would doubt they have intent to wage war. Re-watched the last few minutes and cannot see the point of this exposé. It is not the first time I’m duped in following PolyMatter only to have very little conclusive statement.
@@grantonator3884conclusion of this video clip scripts was prepared by Langley and MOSSTARD...their bossess in the nazionist war house and pantagon...😁
yeah one of gaddafi wrong move is give up his military advantage, dude might not be the nicest guy but in the region back then he is the best they could get
Shame, now look at Libya. They literally were so far ahead & a key player for the continent till the invasion. Now it's sadly a desolate land where one of few key industries is migrant trading/slave labour. The region is much less safer including the interests of the west....then again that seems to be the aim of a lot of these coups/overthrows.
20:11 Two experts. What is their background, what are their incentives, what are the counter arguments, what are the backgrounds and incentives of the counter arguing experts?
All I saw was one mention of a monument being destroyed and 10 years of fairly consistent missile tests barring one or two exceptions to support 2 single points of view.
Would North Korea pay him with coal briquettes or sea food or crystal meth or counterfeit $100 bills? North Korea has no real authentic US dollars and I can't think of anything else that North Korea exports to other countries besides coal briquettes, shellfish sea food (North Korea sells sea food to Japan) and North Korea sells meth and counterfeit $100 bills to Chinese triad gangs and Japanese Yakuza and Russian mafia according to the CIA web page
Harris is easily my least favorite UA-camr. Classic example of a person pretending to be knowledgeable when his only real skill is 3D map manipulation.
We may look at the past 20 years as a golden age. . . . what a terrifying insight. For the past years, i began to see that we are just reapeating early 19. . .
This is only for the west, and a few select countries elsewhere (primarily China and India). The west likes to imagine the world was all sunshine and rainbows with it in charge - that wasn't true of colonialism and it isn't true of this period either. There was plenty of war, it just didn't come home to them. A large chunk of that war came FROM them tho. But it only hurt other nations.
I thinks it’s a double edged sword. Russia has very few countries willing to sell it arms and ammunition, so it buys from NK out of necessity. On the other hand, Russia cannot afford to be fighting a 2 front war, and NK is inducing conflict with NATO allies right along its eastern border. So I guess the sanctions are to mitigate that scenario.
North Korea is best understood in terms of its own ideology which it has published at length in multiple languages on the internet and is available for download.
I mean, NK integrating itself into the world economy would do it well. It makes sense why giving up nuclear weapons is something to abstain from; look at Ukraine. Regardless, such an aggressive and rebellious nation having such power is scary, to say the least. In my own personal worries, I just want to be able to visit SK without fear of randomly getting nuked. I'm probably worrying too much, but still.
@nullumamare8660 Didn’t NK recently revoke the law preventing them from nuking SK? I know that doesn’t mean NK will any time soon, but I think its something to note
@@nullumamare8660To much time has past. Family connections between those living in either countries have ended. Nothing will hold back South Korea from nuking North Korea if they had nuclear weapons. Its the United States that is opposed to nuclear armed South Korea and North Korea.
What North Korea failed to do during the negotiations with the US is to convince the US that what they really wanted is the same status of Saudi Arabia. They want to be a rich authoritarian with no nukes but has the full backing and support of the US. This is a tough sell given that the US already have major partners and allies in the region with the same ideologies, so an evil partner isn't necessary.
@@guardianoffire8814"It's the United States that is opposed to nuclear armed South Korea and North Korea." I think the PRC isn't too in favor of it either.
I really liked this video. It is a new perspective from the usual "North Korea escalates, negotiates then repeats" narrative that seems to be the only one that ever gets talked about.
Its the only one that gets talked about because speculation like in the video here never pans out. Nothing in the video suggests NK is not doing another attention grabbing bit. The video is purely speculation based off non-South-Korean 2 experts.
@ChoKwo I appreciate alternative models that explain the same set of facts, even if they aren't amazing models, because it can help you freshen your mind after looking at the same facts with the same perspective for so long. So, even if his video is a wrong way to think about north korea, I still really like it for forcing me to think about things in a new way to engage with his new model.
Its so difficult to make any kind of negotiation regarding nukes. If US allowed North Korea to keep nukes and be integrated into the world economy, then US allies like Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Turkey would all want to get their own nukes. If North Korea gives up nukes then the regime could follow the same pathway as Gaddhafi. The only solution is topple of the government internally but north korea tightened its grip even further on their authoritarian ways. Its a sad situation with only glimmer of hope.
You both see it distorted. This IS the way to become an open and capitalist society, without loosing power. Thats the main reason why its this route. Staying in power.
@@Osterochse He went to school im Liebifeld Gymer and a geneva private school. Its a fact. Also why should the swiss goverment exponate itself over this?
0:40 ='( I was honestly looking at the past decade of their actions with some optimism. There were clear indicators for those versed in people & politics that behind all the agression he was looking to carefully open up his country to "the west" (capitalism) and trying to "pull a China". and while that would still put them low on the human rights index, it was a move i'd have supported compared to continued isolation. :(
The biggest issue is that it was immediately obvious from the start that negotiations would fail. The US only ever cared about getting rid of the nukes. That's something they made very clear and there was absolutely no way Pyongyang was going to give up those nukes
He may have been trying to 'pull a China', but not with the west. More likely with China itself. The west has always been their enemy, and nothing recent has suggested that was ever going to change. Capitalism maybe, but not a western orientation.
He wouldve pulled a china if he denuked, but he chose to starve citizens to fund basicially his own self protection. Never forget China japan south korea etc prospered through trade and investment by being reasonable. China is losing investment trade from being unreasonable with even basic economy analysis being treated as spying
China used all the money it gained through trade with the west to arm up and become a belligerent fascist state. I think the current isolationism might be preferable to North Korea performing a similar move.
Some commenters seem annoyed that PolyMatter referred to North Korea as a "child", the point was that the dynamic of the relationship between the USA and North Korea is like that of a child throwing a tantrum until they get what they want. North Korea being the child when they blow something up and then want to negotiate for some appeasement so they will settle down for awhile until they do it again.
If you are talking about me, I am not annoyed, I was just out of the loop as I'm not an American and English is not my first language, so I didn't understand the analogy at first
Lol, you really think that the people taking issue with it didn't understand the point? We all did mate. We just refuse to comply with this mindset that a sovereign country is a "child" that needs permission and nurturing from another.
I think it's more about them using the same metaphor for the dynamic repeatedly, I didn't have a problem with it the first time but by the 4th time they used it it felt a little overdone
"The same tired strategy." The strategy has been working well to keep the Kim family in power. Nothing in North Korea is more important than that. Why should he change?
The Gadaffi argument has several flaws: 1: North Korea had its first nuclear weapons in 2006, Gadaffi was killed in 2011 2: Gadaffi didn't give up his nuclear weapons program volounterily it was severaly hindered in its progress by the US Navy, and might verry well have suffered the fate of Syria's and Iraq's nuclear weapons programm, be destroyed by air strikes, had he not given in.
maybe I missed something. While the first part was clear, about NK strategy I mean. What is the new strategy? I thought understanding the real danger NK will start a war, then they sell all those shells to ruzzia, thus telling they do not see a war in the near future. They got satelite, they proved they can reach usa, but they still want normalised relationship that they will never get on their terms (keeping nukes). So what is this new strategy ?? did not get it....
@@NeckphoneSo long with such few insights or relevant commentary. Lots of pointless insults without much analysis. Surface-level video on a very deep topic while pretending it is deep.
Initial North Korean nuclear development was not driven by the US considering using nukes during the Korean War. They started development to compete with the (now defunct) South Korean nuclear weapons development program. By the time South Korea ended development, North Korea had made substantial progress and decided it was in their interest to continue.
I watch an average of 2.5H of UA-cam every single Day. Since 4 Years now, you are by far my favorite UA-camr of all. Impeccable research! Impeccable topics and storytelling!!
I absolutely love the little detail, what I can only assume is a hidden joke, where you only wrote out Kenn for the JFK admin, whereas everyone else got their full names
I'm not quite sure what you're implying with this, but there are more NY times sources than WSJ sources. Do you actually disagree with any of the content here, or do you just not like that the WSJ was cited?
The wall street journal is a respected news organization, on the same tier as the NY Times or WaPo. Yes, they have some wacky opinion writers and editorial board writers, but every other article they write is top notch.
@doppelgangster Brooo you can’t watch SK dramas in NK, otherwise you’ll get SENT TO LIFE IMPRISONMENT!!! What’s life without SK dramas? Only DEPRESSION Putting aside the sarcasm, even if North Koreans aren’t nearly suffering as much as the west projects them to, it doesn’t change the fact that the west in general feel threatened by NK’s intentions and capabilities internationally to an extent, enough to want to antagonize them to the public.
0:42 There was a famine during that period, since the Soviet Union collapsed, and North Korea still has not recovered. That is definitely not North Korea's golden age.
You know I keep on hearing this narrative that the reason for North Korean provocation is to get some benefits or concession through intimidation, yet I don’t see any evidence of any material benefit of this narrative, what exactly does North Korea get each time they supposedly go through this “cycle”? Sanctions on the country has not changed, and I have never ever heard of North Korea receiving international aid from anyone, so you have to pardon my skepticism.
I think it's worth noting that the status quo suits the USA, South Korea, and Japan as well. Maintaining a muscular military posture in the East China Sea is something these countries are motivated to do as a counter to China's rise. The DPRK provides a convenient smoke screen for this, which, in turn, gives China the option to read this build up as less provocative than they otherwise might. This is not to say that the DPRK is in any way trying to play the US side. It isn't. But it does further show that while noone wants the DPRK, also nobody has any incentive to remove the DPRK either.
I always wonder if the NK elite couldn’t be bought off to go into exile. I mean who really would want to preside over a brutal poverty-ridden powder keg.
His strategy does not work anymore. But his yes men dare not tell him the truth. The danger is that he may do something that will force SK to respond militarily which will lead to war.
But it seems at the moment the DPRK is no longer having Russian ships doc at its ports, so it seems they have stopped arming the Russian's... this is fairly fresh news so time will tell on that
What sources did you use to make this video? I enjoyed the video but I think this is a very reasonable question to ask, otherwise this is just you making a blank comment that could or could not be relevant. Backing your statements with a good source would be helpful. Speaking about it not just copy pasting would give more power to your message.
@@motichel yeah I saw those, my point was that he as to speak about them, otherwise the video can become meaningless, especially because he sounds like he owns the absolute truth, that’s my opinion at least
The assessment that NK thinks it needs nukes to be taken seriously is debunked by the fact that the US takes SK seriously, even though SK doesn't have nukes. Not to mention many other non-nuclear nations that the US has good relations with. The US takes a nation seriously if it has a decently large economy, and if it takes itself seriously - its government is halfway competent and getting things done (even by the low standards of governments).
South Korea is under the US nuclear umbrella. If NK nukes them the US will have to retaliate. An alternative will be for SK to go nuclear if that happens Japan will follow. US will have 3 independent nuclear powers on its western seaboard. That's a no no from them.
But, it's not different? Love polymatter but this video is all speculation based on 2 'experts'. While the video suggests something is different, there is nothing to suggest so far this isn't NK just finding another thing to rile up the west. Destroying the unification arch isn't surprising. It's just another tactic to get attention. I doubt we'll see anything outside of the usual pattern for NK. And Russia and China, as said in the video, have no reason to want a stronger NK. If you really listen to the video, despite the title, nothing indicates a change in the status quo. And honestly, unless South Korea itself expresses serious concern, foreign pundits are just buying into NKs next cry for attention.
The North is preparing the population for a pre-emptive invasion of the south. See my other comment. The Russia-Ukraine war has North Korea paranoid about what South Korea is gonna do soon.
Just the fact that Kim Jong-Un was the one to finish the outside of the Ryugyong Hotel tower shows how much he cares about looks and judgements. The works to finish the Hotel's façade were oddly timed with Pyongyang being ridiculed on social media about that big ugly hunk of concrete towering above the city.
I live in South Korea and agree that unification is impossible. The two countries have gone in very different ways and even their language is relatively different now, but they can communicate with each other. At the same time I do not understand Kim Jong Un and his sister’s moving from unification talk to a war of agression against South Korea. I agree that this is a very unfortunate change in policy in North Korea. Only time will tell what this means, and if it will lead to a real war between the southern and northern part of the Korean land. I am over 80 years of age and have lived in the south for over 20 years and do not look forward to a future here with a more aggressive north!
When you understand the temptation to use them because you have them, you realize no one should and are prepared to prevent others from obtaining them. It’s common sense.
Fun fact. Sweden had a nuclear weapons program, it had largely cleared all the theoretical issues and were a couple years away from a first test detonation if desired, when it got canned. Why is that? Largely it was due to a hatred of the idea from the public and run away costs in developing the Viggen fighter made the previously massive supporter the air force, wane in support. The theorized Swedish doctrine for nuclear weapons includes glassing the Baltic states, not if we were nuked in turn, not if a conventional invasion occurred, if a conventional invasion was credibly threatened. And I don't doubt a second that would've occurred in such case. During the whiskey on the rocks incident, where a Soviet submarine conveniently navigated past a number of obstacles only to get stuck on a rock outside a main Swedish naval base with "broken" navigational tools, the Soviet fleet were locked on to by Swedish aircraft and seconds away from getting sunk before they stopped just shy of the sea border. Bottom line is..... Sweden should NOT be a country with nuclear weapons and I'm saying that as a Swede.
@@Balibaliadashi Funny how 'no one should' doesn't extend to the nuclear armed states themselves. They still zealously guard their own 'right' to have them. There's no 'common sense' in any of this, it's just plain hypocrisy.
independence to china and russia means closer ties to the west which also means they will have to play by their rules. dependence to china and russia means they get to keep nukes. this is a no brainer.
0:02: ⚠ North Korea's shifting strategy poses a new threat to global stability and peace. 3:57: ⚠ Warning of potential threat from North Korea based on experts' analysis. 8:16: 🚀 Kim Jong-Un aims for North Korea to be respected as a nuclear power and a legitimate member of the international community. 11:20: 💣 North Korea's nuclear weapons failed to garner attention, leaving it irrelevant amidst global crises. 15:12: 💰 North Korea faces economic crisis after losing key allies, leading to starvation and reliance on China. 19:08: 🔍 Reevaluating assumptions leads to a new understanding of North Korea's relationships and strategies. 23:23: 📺 Insights on Korean peninsula history, economic disparities, and exclusive content on Nebula. Recapped using Tammy AI
I like that you're advertising someone else's videos on nebula, which are more relevant for the topic, and not just your own videos. Very cool "rising tides" mentality
To PolyMatter, who seems to think that an entire people are subjects to the US, that doesn't matter. He is like the avarage western racist trying to be "unbiased" about it.
This video is half nonsense. The DPRK sensing the imperialist America and her cronies behaviors knows that she's not safe unless it possesses nuclear weapons. The DPRK is blessed to have them. It's now untouchable Thanks to the wise leadership of comrade Kim Jong Un, she can now safely and securely focus on the economy and the happiness of the people ❤❤❤
Thank you. People seem to think his motivations are based on reducing sanctions alone, but his regime has found ways to ensure their own wealth regardless, and it's abundantly clear that he couldn't care less about the quality of life of those outside his circle in Pyongyang. This is about gaining respect.
Thanks! Your video calms me down everyday I watch it when the market is pumping! I'm going with your insights. It makes the most sense with where we are at in the cycle. The only thing that would make me think this cycle could be slightly different is the overall increased adoption of crypto since 2019 and all the hype with the BTC/ETH ETF speculation. Could the market stay held up this cycle by the anticipation of ETFs and the overall awareness that a bull run is coming? The surge is speculated to possibly be the beginning of a massive new uptrend, making it a crucial time for investors to pay attention, I've personally benefited from following Evelyn Infurna' trading tactics, amassing 23 bitcoins in a short four weeks period, which speaks volumes about his expertise....
North Korea's interest in getting its own nukes probably intensified even before Gaddafi's fall from power in 2011, when in 2003 it and the world watched as the US managed to invade and defeat Iraq, which at the time was considered to have one of the largest and most powerful army in the Middle East region. From North Korea's perspective they just watched another country invaded, its military defeated, its leader captured and later put on trial and executed, and perhaps concluded that that same fate could befall them if they didn't have nukes as a deterrence against a similar invasion.
Iraq had a measly army that couldn't threaten anyone after the U.S. supported it in an 8 year long war with Iran. And then followed by bone crushing sanctions from 1991 to 2003. That's pure propaganda. Free yourself.
Finally someone with brains.
@@charlesyang8146It does make a lot of sense honestly
And this was only reinforced recently when the Russians invaded Ukraine. A state that is not only non-nuclear, but voluntarily became non-nuclear after relinquishing the nuclear weapons it inherited from the USSR.
From a smaller state's perspective, it's nearly impossible to deny that nuclear weapons are the only way to guarantee not only your security, but your very existence
>promise Gaddafi he can stay in power if he gets rid of his nukes
>invade him later anyway due to what in hindsight was basically a social media outrage*
>act surprised that North Korean regime will never willingly hand over its nuclear capability
*Gaddafi did some genuine dictator things in response to "Arab Spring" (also fuelled by social media) but the political pressure within the West to intervene came largely from the general public who only became "experts" in Libya's geopolitical situation when it started trending on their feeds. At the time social media was still bit of a novelty, allowing it to have greater impact. Ever since Gaddafi regime fell, Europe's basically had a constant migrant crisis that occasionally flares up. Russia has weaponised these migrants by helping them cross the border suddenly en masse. People have become stuck long-term in the Polish-Belarusian border zone. Finland recently had to close its border with Russia.
Bringing McDonald's to North Korea will be the move. Kim's diet needs that extra kick
This is the way.
Heiress presumptive to North Korean throne is Kim Jong-Un's sister, Kim Yo Jong. And if sources are correct he may be the more liberal and gentle of the two. Killing dictator/monarch always raises the question who will come in his/her place and then we have to think if it will advance our cause or not. :D
A kick into cardiac arrest? I can get behind that tbh.
He already has swiss cheese and french wine worth millions, I don't think he'd want that junk. Also, according to North Korea, they invented the hamburger😂
that is a child rumor
This video is ignoring the consequences of one particular fact. North Korea is selling weapons to Russia. Russia needs all the ammunition it can get for its war in Ukraine, and the fact that North Korea doesn't need all that ammunition is actually a really good sign. It means that North Korea is not preparing to fight a war, because if it were, it would stockpiling those weapons, not selling them to Russia.
Yes but North Korea stopped sending shells recently.
Smart comment
Doesn't the last part of the video kind of address these? NK is getting a lot of money and tech in exchange for cheap artillery shells, shells that they can always produce again. Remember, KJU is still young (assuming he keeps himself healthy), he can live for another 30 to 40 years. Whose to say he won't start a war 10 years from now when NK has a better army after getting the needed resources by selling things to Russia?
@@yuliakochenkova8516 Nah that's definitely possible, but honestly so many other problems are likely to arise within that time, that if a problem as small as a belligerent North Korea still merits this much attention and concern, then we should consider ourselves lucky.
North Korea will not attack today, in 5 years or even this decade. The most important factor is that South Korea is a demographic timebomb that’s rapidly losing young people and the North is the only East Asian country with a stable birthrate. The North will invade the South again when there simply aren’t any young South Koreans left to defend their country. Idk who will win this war but that seems the most likely scenario
Video is of suspense and downplayed conclusion. The title and first lines hold the premise of North Korea changing tactics and considered to be more dangerous - based on some military news journal. So called “experts” who are not intel officers. Then the narrator/creator drags on Kin Jong-Un’s political/military play to conclude, feebly, that there is new development in strategy. North Korea has re-initialized some exchange with Russia (ammunition for spy satellitery), would doubt they have intent to wage war. Re-watched the last few minutes and cannot see the point of this exposé. It is not the first time I’m duped in following PolyMatter only to have very little conclusive statement.
Most of his videos end in an ad read instead of a conclusion.
agree, im glad others notice this, didn't touch on weapon sales to russia or any particular new strategy at sll
Agreed. Not sure if something went over my head, or it was a whole lot of nothing.
I know, right !
The propaganda machine never stops
@@grantonator3884conclusion of this video clip scripts was prepared by Langley and MOSSTARD...their bossess in the nazionist war house and pantagon...😁
So far he managed to avoid being turned into gaddafi
yeah one of gaddafi wrong move is give up his military advantage, dude might not be the nicest guy but in the region back then he is the best they could get
Having nukes is the one card he manages to hold and play.
Gaddafi wasn't born into royalty
Shame, now look at Libya. They literally were so far ahead & a key player for the continent till the invasion. Now it's sadly a desolate land where one of few key industries is migrant trading/slave labour. The region is much less safer including the interests of the west....then again that seems to be the aim of a lot of these coups/overthrows.
But I’m sure we are trying very hard.
@PolyMatter, while you do paste sources, I wish you would at least annotate where you reference what
While my reader/listener self agree with you, my writer self cry in fear hearing your suggestion. 😂
I agree
Lol, dont you know. This is publicity, not journalism.
literally american propaganda@@Sebastian-gf2fk
@@Sebastian-gf2fkpublicity , Journalism , propaganda, explain the difference
20:11 Two experts. What is their background, what are their incentives, what are the counter arguments, what are the backgrounds and incentives of the counter arguing experts?
You're asking too many questions! Just consume your daily dose of CIA funded propaganda and stay quiet!
Yup
Trust me bro
The sources are in the description
He says their names near the beginning. It's not important anyway it's more of a thought experiment video.
All I saw was one mention of a monument being destroyed and 10 years of fairly consistent missile tests barring one or two exceptions to support 2 single points of view.
Yeah
i agree , not a stimulating discourse, went around in a big boring circle
5:47 Poor Kennedy, getting his name cut off like that /j
He's just Ken
@@siangchengpang772 Ken from Street Fighter 2 was president of USA with Ryu as Vice President.... Hadooken !
Underrated comment 😆@@siangchengpang772
It’s not /j for 🇮🇱
@@siangchengpang772Anywhere else he’d be a ten.
Polymatter spends more time thinking about North Korea than North Korea does. They should hire him.
Would North Korea pay him with coal briquettes or sea food or crystal meth or counterfeit $100 bills? North Korea has no real authentic US dollars and I can't think of anything else that North Korea exports to other countries besides coal briquettes, shellfish sea food (North Korea sells sea food to Japan) and North Korea sells meth and counterfeit $100 bills to Chinese triad gangs and Japanese Yakuza and Russian mafia according to the CIA web page
Everytime Polymatter uploads a new UA-cam video he will get 20 tons of coal briquettes and a few pounds of frozen fish from Kim
Yeah, I wonder if he gets any money from defense lobbyists 😂 , wonder how much 💵 trying to get on Johnny Harris’ level of boot licking
Harris is easily my least favorite UA-camr. Classic example of a person pretending to be knowledgeable when his only real skill is 3D map manipulation.
Nah, US Government should hire him to straighten out our foreign policy.
We may look at the past 20 years as a golden age. . . . what a terrifying insight.
For the past years, i began to see that we are just reapeating early 19. . .
The post-Soviet world has been a golden age. At least for the USA and its allies in the West and East. Even for China too
That was talking about north korea, not the whole world.
This is only for the west, and a few select countries elsewhere (primarily China and India). The west likes to imagine the world was all sunshine and rainbows with it in charge - that wasn't true of colonialism and it isn't true of this period either. There was plenty of war, it just didn't come home to them. A large chunk of that war came FROM them tho. But it only hurt other nations.
History doesn't repeat, but if often rhymes
This why multi polar world seems much scarier than uni polar one
I don't understand how Russia has sanctions against N. Korea but uses their weapons against Ukraine. Sounds like friends again.
The sanctions are from the UN. In theory, all nations are bound by them. In theory. But smuggling is as old as taxation.
I thinks it’s a double edged sword. Russia has very few countries willing to sell it arms and ammunition, so it buys from NK out of necessity. On the other hand, Russia cannot afford to be fighting a 2 front war, and NK is inducing conflict with NATO allies right along its eastern border. So I guess the sanctions are to mitigate that scenario.
Geopolitics is weird like that
Correct.
North Korea is best understood in terms of its own ideology which it has published at length in multiple languages on the internet and is available for download.
I mean, NK integrating itself into the world economy would do it well. It makes sense why giving up nuclear weapons is something to abstain from; look at Ukraine. Regardless, such an aggressive and rebellious nation having such power is scary, to say the least. In my own personal worries, I just want to be able to visit SK without fear of randomly getting nuked. I'm probably worrying too much, but still.
If NK would use nukes, your best bet is being in SK as they would never nuke their own people.
@nullumamare8660 Didn’t NK recently revoke the law preventing them from nuking SK?
I know that doesn’t mean NK will any time soon, but I think its something to note
@@nullumamare8660To much time has past. Family connections between those living in either countries have ended. Nothing will hold back South Korea from nuking North Korea if they had nuclear weapons. Its the United States that is opposed to nuclear armed South Korea and North Korea.
What North Korea failed to do during the negotiations with the US is to convince the US that what they really wanted is the same status of Saudi Arabia. They want to be a rich authoritarian with no nukes but has the full backing and support of the US. This is a tough sell given that the US already have major partners and allies in the region with the same ideologies, so an evil partner isn't necessary.
@@guardianoffire8814"It's the United States that is opposed to nuclear armed South Korea and North Korea." I think the PRC isn't too in favor of it either.
IDK if I trust this guy's analysis. He isn't Australian and hasn't mentioned Dutch Disease once in 25 minutes.
I didn't even know that the Arch of Reunification was demolished. Sad.
I really liked this video. It is a new perspective from the usual "North Korea escalates, negotiates then repeats" narrative that seems to be the only one that ever gets talked about.
Its the only one that gets talked about because speculation like in the video here never pans out. Nothing in the video suggests NK is not doing another attention grabbing bit. The video is purely speculation based off non-South-Korean 2 experts.
@ChoKwo I appreciate alternative models that explain the same set of facts, even if they aren't amazing models, because it can help you freshen your mind after looking at the same facts with the same perspective for so long.
So, even if his video is a wrong way to think about north korea, I still really like it for forcing me to think about things in a new way to engage with his new model.
are you like uh, stupid ? Can you not do your own research ? This is complete nonsense this video. Unreal. @@MIKAEL212345
Its so difficult to make any kind of negotiation regarding nukes. If US allowed North Korea to keep nukes and be integrated into the world economy, then US allies like Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Turkey would all want to get their own nukes. If North Korea gives up nukes then the regime could follow the same pathway as Gaddhafi. The only solution is topple of the government internally but north korea tightened its grip even further on their authoritarian ways. Its a sad situation with only glimmer of hope.
USA: Has never been willing to accept a nuclear North Korea
North Korea: Is a nuclear nation regardless
this video is just cope lmao
@@NeostormXLMAX How is it cope when the ending conclusion is that the west should be worried?
This was very well put together. Amazing video
This video could've been 5 mins
Kim rocking the glasses now more is just a way to look like his family you know? He’s trying to look more older and wise
kinda felt like this one went round in circles for a while and could have been about half the length whilst still conveying the same conclusion
We can also see what happened to Ukraine when it gave up it's nuclear arsenal...
Ukraine could never have used them 🤓 Theres noüoint about that
@@babyyoda1898Look who we have here, someone who has no idea what nuclear deterrence is
@@babyyoda1898 then why were they asked to give up on those weapons?
@@mark0001 how can you deter when you can't use the nukes?
Lol
A small mistake, China Vietnam border war was in 1979
Incredible that he studied in switzerland and still goes through with it.
Yeah to me too he’s seen what a peaceful capitalist country looks like and still he chooses to do what he does
You both see it distorted. This IS the way to become an open and capitalist society, without loosing power.
Thats the main reason why its this route. Staying in power.
@@pillpill6885he's a dictator, he literally only cares about self preservation.
@@pillpill6885 There’s always airheads like you who think being edgy is a personality
@@Osterochse He went to school im Liebifeld Gymer and a geneva private school. Its a fact. Also why should the swiss goverment exponate itself over this?
0:40 ='(
I was honestly looking at the past decade of their actions with some optimism.
There were clear indicators for those versed in people & politics that behind all the agression he was looking to carefully open up his country to "the west" (capitalism) and trying to "pull a China".
and while that would still put them low on the human rights index, it was a move i'd have supported compared to continued isolation.
:(
The biggest issue is that it was immediately obvious from the start that negotiations would fail. The US only ever cared about getting rid of the nukes. That's something they made very clear and there was absolutely no way Pyongyang was going to give up those nukes
He may have been trying to 'pull a China', but not with the west. More likely with China itself. The west has always been their enemy, and nothing recent has suggested that was ever going to change. Capitalism maybe, but not a western orientation.
He may have wanted to pull a China, but not with the west. Likely with China. Capitalism maybe, but not a western orientation.
He wouldve pulled a china if he denuked, but he chose to starve citizens to fund basicially his own self protection. Never forget China japan south korea etc prospered through trade and investment by being reasonable. China is losing investment trade from being unreasonable with even basic economy analysis being treated as spying
China used all the money it gained through trade with the west to arm up and become a belligerent fascist state. I think the current isolationism might be preferable to North Korea performing a similar move.
Un scratching his head wondering why nobody respects him, meanwhile everyone respects the achievements to the South. Hardly a conundrum, Kim.
I see that Kim Jong Un is still trying to rock that Mao Zedong hairstyle.
I wouldn't be able to pull it off
Subverting expectations😂
I wasn’t expecting the “and it’s all true”
this could have been a 4 min video
Some commenters seem annoyed that PolyMatter referred to North Korea as a "child", the point was that the dynamic of the relationship between the USA and North Korea is like that of a child throwing a tantrum until they get what they want. North Korea being the child when they blow something up and then want to negotiate for some appeasement so they will settle down for awhile until they do it again.
Should have said diabetic chain smoking alcoholic child
If you are talking about me, I am not annoyed, I was just out of the loop as I'm not an American and English is not my first language, so I didn't understand the analogy at first
Lol, you really think that the people taking issue with it didn't understand the point? We all did mate. We just refuse to comply with this mindset that a sovereign country is a "child" that needs permission and nurturing from another.
NK doesn't want anything from the US except to leave the korean people alone. They don't need their "dad" that carpet bombed them in 1953.
I think it's more about them using the same metaphor for the dynamic repeatedly, I didn't have a problem with it the first time but by the 4th time they used it it felt a little overdone
Great video. Informative and thought provoking. Great work thank you
They have other really good videos as well. I'm living my best life.
5 years later another strategy video
So. If I got this correct .NK Sets off Atom Bomb in Sea , Radiating the fish, which they eat. thereby committing suicide.
"The same tired strategy." The strategy has been working well to keep the Kim family in power. Nothing in North Korea is more important than that. Why should he change?
The Gadaffi argument has several flaws:
1: North Korea had its first nuclear weapons in 2006, Gadaffi was killed in 2011
2: Gadaffi didn't give up his nuclear weapons program volounterily it was severaly hindered in its progress by the US Navy, and might verry well have suffered the fate of Syria's and Iraq's nuclear weapons programm, be destroyed by air strikes, had he not given in.
maybe I missed something. While the first part was clear, about NK strategy I mean. What is the new strategy? I thought understanding the real danger NK will start a war, then they sell all those shells to ruzzia, thus telling they do not see a war in the near future. They got satelite, they proved they can reach usa, but they still want normalised relationship that they will never get on their terms (keeping nukes). So what is this new strategy ?? did not get it....
Cozy up to russia and china even though they dont like eachother
My strategy to survive this world is not to die. 😊
The Egyptians believe the best thing you could do is 😂
this is the most chatgpt video from polymatter
How so?
@@NeckphoneSo long with such few insights or relevant commentary. Lots of pointless insults without much analysis. Surface-level video on a very deep topic while pretending it is deep.
I think north korea needs a wallmart with a 100 vehicle parking lot. Best deal for it.
Can you imagine how sad?
It's refreshing to hear stellar writing.
Painting NK as a bickering child and USA as a responsible parent is so naive and surface-level... I expected more from you.
Amazing video
Bro got that waddle down! 😆
Initial North Korean nuclear development was not driven by the US considering using nukes during the Korean War. They started development to compete with the (now defunct) South Korean nuclear weapons development program. By the time South Korea ended development, North Korea had made substantial progress and decided it was in their interest to continue.
I always enjoy your videos
I watch an average of 2.5H of UA-cam every single Day. Since 4 Years now, you are by far my favorite UA-camr of all. Impeccable research! Impeccable topics and storytelling!!
I was not aware that Kin Jong-un had a strategy, beyond staying in power.
I absolutely love the little detail, what I can only assume is a hidden joke, where you only wrote out Kenn for the JFK admin, whereas everyone else got their full names
Now that I've looked at the sources.... what
half of it is the wall street journal
same, i unsubrscribed and will not stick around
I'm not quite sure what you're implying with this, but there are more NY times sources than WSJ sources. Do you actually disagree with any of the content here, or do you just not like that the WSJ was cited?
The wall street journal is a respected news organization, on the same tier as the NY Times or WaPo. Yes, they have some wacky opinion writers and editorial board writers, but every other article they write is top notch.
@@MIKAEL212345 I was gonna say, WSJ articles are fine but are also severely distinct from WSJ opinion
@@MIKAEL212345 lol lmao
This video feels like polymatter has a personal beef with Kim Jong Un, with how he's insulting him
Are you butthurt ? @@tooltime9260
Sadly Kim Jong-Un's new strategy does not include freedom and respect for his people.
It's common to every politician lol
Shocked 😮
Like most politicians, his new strategy includes staying in power. Without that, nothing else matters.
What do you know about how his people live? Aside from what Western media feeds you
@doppelgangster Brooo you can’t watch SK dramas in NK, otherwise you’ll get SENT TO LIFE IMPRISONMENT!!!
What’s life without SK dramas? Only DEPRESSION
Putting aside the sarcasm, even if North Koreans aren’t nearly suffering as much as the west projects them to, it doesn’t change the fact that the west in general feel threatened by NK’s intentions and capabilities internationally to an extent, enough to want to antagonize them to the public.
Excellent as always 🍻
BS as always
0:42 There was a famine during that period, since the Soviet Union collapsed, and North Korea still has not recovered. That is definitely not North Korea's golden age.
There golden age was the 1950s when they where outperforming sk
You know I keep on hearing this narrative that the reason for North Korean provocation is to get some benefits or concession through intimidation, yet I don’t see any evidence of any material benefit of this narrative, what exactly does North Korea get each time they supposedly go through this “cycle”?
Sanctions on the country has not changed, and I have never ever heard of North Korea receiving international aid from anyone, so you have to pardon my skepticism.
is this a reupload? i've seen long ago...
I think it's worth noting that the status quo suits the USA, South Korea, and Japan as well.
Maintaining a muscular military posture in the East China Sea is something these countries are motivated to do as a counter to China's rise. The DPRK provides a convenient smoke screen for this, which, in turn, gives China the option to read this build up as less provocative than they otherwise might.
This is not to say that the DPRK is in any way trying to play the US side. It isn't. But it does further show that while noone wants the DPRK, also nobody has any incentive to remove the DPRK either.
I always wonder if the NK elite couldn’t be bought off to go into exile. I mean who really would want to preside over a brutal poverty-ridden powder keg.
Love this chanel
I mean this video is all in all well made, but it lacks a hell of a lot journalistic standards
No Russian sidekick at 22:00 reminds me of the Bond villain in "Dr No" played by Robert Shaw
Who made america the parents in this theory off yours?
Foster parents😅
His strategy does not work anymore. But his yes men dare not tell him the truth. The danger is that he may do something that will force SK to respond militarily which will lead to war.
But it seems at the moment the DPRK is no longer having Russian ships doc at its ports, so it seems they have stopped arming the Russian's... this is fairly fresh news so time will tell on that
Lolz
@@Larry-Lobster didn't age well did it
@@Alan_Watkin nope
What sources did you use to make this video? I enjoyed the video but I think this is a very reasonable question to ask, otherwise this is just you making a blank comment that could or could not be relevant. Backing your statements with a good source would be helpful. Speaking about it not just copy pasting would give more power to your message.
Sources are in description, seems to just be news articles
@@motichel yeah I saw those, my point was that he as to speak about them, otherwise the video can become meaningless, especially because he sounds like he owns the absolute truth, that’s my opinion at least
@@Zulu823 He does talk about and show the main source for the narrative at 0:18, idk what more you want.
The assessment that NK thinks it needs nukes to be taken seriously is debunked by the fact that the US takes SK seriously, even though SK doesn't have nukes. Not to mention many other non-nuclear nations that the US has good relations with.
The US takes a nation seriously if it has a decently large economy, and if it takes itself seriously - its government is halfway competent and getting things done (even by the low standards of governments).
SK is a US vassal state 😂
Fascinating country such a rich and vibrant culture
What's left of it.
Very sad.
ignoring tantrum-throwing children sometimes brings positive effects
It’s a great day when PolyMatter uploads
No matter how much terrifying this country is, the UA-cam channels will continue get the most trending topic until this country exists
“Classified” lmao okay
can't we just cut a deal. Kimmy walks away rich and off the hook. Korea reunites
This was an excellent video. Thanks
It's surprising to watch content on North Korea that barely mentions the role played by the South...
Not that surprising when it's a common propaganda of the US imperialists.
@@Disorder2312 ah yes common propaganda. Which of course North Korea is absolutely innocent of.
South Korea is under the US nuclear umbrella. If NK nukes them the US will have to retaliate. An alternative will be for SK to go nuclear if that happens Japan will follow. US will have 3 independent nuclear powers on its western seaboard. That's a no no from them.
Narrator: This time was no different.
DPRK can’t win a war and Kim is not likely to chance losing everything to gain nothing.
I said it on the first moment I saw they destroyed that arch. I knew it was different this time. Bless you polymatter.
But, it's not different? Love polymatter but this video is all speculation based on 2 'experts'. While the video suggests something is different, there is nothing to suggest so far this isn't NK just finding another thing to rile up the west. Destroying the unification arch isn't surprising. It's just another tactic to get attention. I doubt we'll see anything outside of the usual pattern for NK. And Russia and China, as said in the video, have no reason to want a stronger NK. If you really listen to the video, despite the title, nothing indicates a change in the status quo. And honestly, unless South Korea itself expresses serious concern, foreign pundits are just buying into NKs next cry for attention.
The North is preparing the population for a pre-emptive invasion of the south. See my other comment. The Russia-Ukraine war has North Korea paranoid about what South Korea is gonna do soon.
Just the fact that Kim Jong-Un was the one to finish the outside of the Ryugyong Hotel tower shows how much he cares about looks and judgements. The works to finish the Hotel's façade were oddly timed with Pyongyang being ridiculed on social media about that big ugly hunk of concrete towering above the city.
PolyMatter be talking as if his mother donated an egg to birth north Korea
Man this video is absolutely dripping in ideology.
Excellent content 👏🍻
I live in South Korea and agree that unification is impossible. The two countries have gone in very different ways and even their language is relatively different now, but they can communicate with each other. At the same time I do not understand Kim Jong Un and his sister’s moving from unification talk to a war of agression against South Korea. I agree that this is a very unfortunate change in policy in North Korea. Only time will tell what this means, and if it will lead to a real war between the southern and northern part of the Korean land. I am over 80 years of age and have lived in the south for over 20 years and do not look forward to a future here with a more aggressive north!
@gfurstnsu Trump had them on the right track... seems like the Kim's like to bully the democrats
It's kind of farcical when nuclear armed countries try to act like the solemn arbiters of who is "allowed" to have nuclear weapons.
When you understand the temptation to use them because you have them, you realize no one should and are prepared to prevent others from obtaining them. It’s common sense.
Who else?
Fun fact. Sweden had a nuclear weapons program, it had largely cleared all the theoretical issues and were a couple years away from a first test detonation if desired, when it got canned. Why is that? Largely it was due to a hatred of the idea from the public and run away costs in developing the Viggen fighter made the previously massive supporter the air force, wane in support.
The theorized Swedish doctrine for nuclear weapons includes glassing the Baltic states, not if we were nuked in turn, not if a conventional invasion occurred, if a conventional invasion was credibly threatened.
And I don't doubt a second that would've occurred in such case. During the whiskey on the rocks incident, where a Soviet submarine conveniently navigated past a number of obstacles only to get stuck on a rock outside a main Swedish naval base with "broken" navigational tools, the Soviet fleet were locked on to by Swedish aircraft and seconds away from getting sunk before they stopped just shy of the sea border.
Bottom line is..... Sweden should NOT be a country with nuclear weapons and I'm saying that as a Swede.
It's realistic.
@@Balibaliadashi Funny how 'no one should' doesn't extend to the nuclear armed states themselves. They still zealously guard their own 'right' to have them. There's no 'common sense' in any of this, it's just plain hypocrisy.
independence to china and russia means closer ties to the west which also means they will have to play by their rules.
dependence to china and russia means they get to keep nukes.
this is a no brainer.
All countries have the right to access nuclear technology.
That’s a ridiculous statement
18:25 well that’s EXACTLY friendship. That is called however ‘having an argument’ as well.
Last I checked North Korea wasn't commiting a genocide ... North Korea wasn't bombing other country's embassies ...
They literally are commuting genocide though within their own borders 😂what are you talking about
North Korea is supporting Russia invading Ukraine.
0:02: ⚠ North Korea's shifting strategy poses a new threat to global stability and peace.
3:57: ⚠ Warning of potential threat from North Korea based on experts' analysis.
8:16: 🚀 Kim Jong-Un aims for North Korea to be respected as a nuclear power and a legitimate member of the international community.
11:20: 💣 North Korea's nuclear weapons failed to garner attention, leaving it irrelevant amidst global crises.
15:12: 💰 North Korea faces economic crisis after losing key allies, leading to starvation and reliance on China.
19:08: 🔍 Reevaluating assumptions leads to a new understanding of North Korea's relationships and strategies.
23:23: 📺 Insights on Korean peninsula history, economic disparities, and exclusive content on Nebula.
Recapped using Tammy AI
Kim Jong Un is the Nikocado Avocado of world leaders: he acts and eats like a spoiled rich kid, but he's always two steps ahead...😰
lol yeah his country is doing just wonderful really what a genius lol ok
@@dustintacohands1107 I was referring more to his paranoia if anything
@@opalyasu7159 opps
@@opalyasu7159 OPPs my bad sorry
I like that you're advertising someone else's videos on nebula, which are more relevant for the topic, and not just your own videos. Very cool "rising tides" mentality
Did the CIA and DOD sponsor this video?
No, he is doing it for free. That is how he earns money on youtube.
no, he gets various sponsors and Google AdSense money
Could you make a video explaining north korea's economy? Its very foreign and could be very interesting video
"Rebellious"? It's a sovereign country, not a teenager or a vassal.
To PolyMatter, who seems to think that an entire people are subjects to the US, that doesn't matter. He is like the avarage western racist trying to be "unbiased" about it.
He even refered to USA as “parents” and NK as a “child”…
@@ccdsds3221 He doesn't even try to hide it.
I would argue it's China's client state.
@akamal92 i mean it's way more autonomous than Israel for example
0:23 That is quite an extremy statement. Considering there was a 3 year war coming. Not sure I can take a statement like that too seriously.
This video is half nonsense.
The DPRK sensing the imperialist America and her cronies behaviors knows that she's not safe unless it possesses nuclear weapons.
The DPRK is blessed to have them.
It's now untouchable
Thanks to the wise leadership of comrade Kim Jong Un, she can now safely and securely focus on the economy and the happiness of the people ❤❤❤
OMG forgot I cancelled my Nebula subscription! OK i gotta sign up again so I can watch this series
Desperate video 😂
Thank you. People seem to think his motivations are based on reducing sanctions alone, but his regime has found ways to ensure their own wealth regardless, and it's abundantly clear that he couldn't care less about the quality of life of those outside his circle in Pyongyang. This is about gaining respect.
sources : american mainstream media
Yup, this channel is just USA cesspool
You seem to be explaining all this without mentioning the fact that it’s in Americas best interest to topple Kim’s regime
Thanks! Your video calms me down everyday I watch it when the market is pumping! I'm going with your insights. It makes the most sense with where we are at in the cycle. The only thing that would make me think this cycle could be slightly different is the overall increased adoption of crypto since 2019 and all the hype with the BTC/ETH ETF speculation. Could the market stay held up this cycle by the anticipation of ETFs and the overall awareness that a bull run is coming? The surge is speculated to possibly be the beginning of a massive new uptrend, making it a crucial time for investors to pay attention, I've personally benefited from following Evelyn Infurna' trading tactics, amassing 23 bitcoins in a short four weeks period, which speaks volumes about his expertise....
Use her name to quickly conduct an internet search.
She often talks on Telegrams, using the user-
@Infurnaevely
Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing Evelyn Infurna, been mentioned here also. Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too, this is wonderful
Positive result Is all i have read and heard about Evelyn
6:30 you mean civil war killed the guy?