Putin needs Xi to win the war in Ukraine | GZERO World with Ian Bremmer
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- Опубліковано 5 чер 2024
- David Sanger, Pulitzer Prize-winning New York Times journalist and author of "New Cold Wars," discusses the evolving relationship between China and Russia, highlighting its asymmetry and significance in today's geopolitical landscape.
Check the comments for more about Ian's insights, and let us know what you think!
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How the tables have turned. During the Cold War of the 20th Century, the Soviet Union was the dominant power when it came to its relationship with China. Decades later, it's clear that China holds the upper hand. "China holds more cards than the Russians do," David Sanger tells Ian Bremmer. Not only that, Russia's Vladimir Putin needs China's Xi Jinping by his side in order to prevail in his war with Ukraine. "He [Putin] needs that Chinese technology desperately... He does not have a choice except to deal with the Chinese on Chinese terms right now."
And what does that mean for China's interests when it comes to the United States? "If you're Xi," Sanger says, "the two best things that can happen to you is that the US is tied up in Ukraine or ripping itself apart about the aid and consumed again in the Middle East." And at least in that respect, Xi seems to be getting everything he wants.
Watch Ian Bremmer's full interview with David Sanger on GZERO World: • Are we on the brink of...
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What does a new Cold War look like? Are we in one already? Also, along with the US, who are the main protagonists? Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist David Sanger joins Ian Bremmer to discuss: ua-cam.com/video/bVbG4javLmE/v-deo.html
I didn't know that Xi was fighting the war in ukraine
No matter in which decade or century, few if any wars don't involve the leading powers of the day. If they're not between the leading powers themselves, even if they're civil wars, they end up being to some degree indirect wars between them anyway. One should be shocked if a leading power sits out a war entirely via genuine neutrality.
Lack of involvement is somewhat likely to shorten its leading-power tenure or, as in the case of China, delay its full efflorescence. So Xi was not going to pass up this chance to serve China's interests. Indeed it's my belief that he egged Putin on determinedly, if most likely in a low-key manner and or even with feigned reluctance. This war is chock full of goodies for him and China, one of which Sanger mentioned at the end.
Another is the chance of securing a more reliable supply of grain. China imports great quantities of it in order to put pork and chicken on its tables (it is mainly used as animal feed), but the supply is vulnerable to Western trade embargo or naval blockade. A reliable supply of tens of millions of tons of grain a year coming into the country overland by rail from Ukraine, besides strengthening national security in a general sense, would be an enormous boost to the odds of a successful war on Taiwan.
I remember the Cold War, and what we are in is not it. Not enough commitment by USA to conduct a cold war as in the late 1940s through the 1980s.
the US is tied up in Ukraine or ripping itself apart about the aid, and consumed again in the MIddle East.
No buddy, you Americans are the ones who need China for Ukraine to defeat Russia.
Otherwise Blinken would not be going to China trying to ask the Chinese to stop trading with Russia.
Without China Ukraine is finished.
By the way Ukraine's largest trading partner is China, not any country in the West.
Ukraine is overwhelmingly depending on Chinese drones to fight Russia.
Russia is self sufficient.
It pretty much produces everything it needs.
Ukraine is not.
China needs the US far more than the US needs China.
Nobody is getting in the way of China helping Ukraine defeat russia if thats what they are going to do
Nobody talks about it but Chinese DJI drones are critical to Ukraine’s defense.
Almost one or two good points in there, but in the end half-baked. At this point Russia is an obvious and indispensable security partner for China. The depth of the relationship may be discussed and debated but not the fact of it, nor its necessity.
Blinken may have asked Xi to stop supporting Russia, but we can be sure he did not entertain hopes of success. Unless he backed up the request with actionable and specific threats, or with a pledge of _quid pro quos,_ it was just part of the broader diplomatic dialogue; in other words, just to communicate frankly and to see what the exact substance of the reply was.