ever since i started checking ground data and buoys where the storms track, i found all storms at least in the past 5 years have been inaccurately forecasted and highly exaggerated. there wasn't 1 sustained wind close to hurricane status on the ground let alone 100 mph. forecasts should reflect what people will experience on the ground
He is calling out the odd jump to Cat.2 on landfall. One reading that was probably not accurate made the storm into a Cat.2. For whatever reason, they want to hype the storm.
No, let me tell you I’ve had positions gambling basically stock positions on a New Orleans category one hurricane since June and the day before yesterday I double down actually I quadruple down on my position because I was told by these people it was expected to be a category two at landfall so I thought no doubt in my mind Louisiana will get category one wins sustained but now they lied about the whole thing the whole way they downplayed it and downplayed it and downplayed it and then I sold 3/4 of my position and then like 10 minutes later they’re talking about wow what a surprise. It’s mysteriously surprisingly jumps to a category two just before landfall so I rebought my position then they started downplaying it again saying it’s not going to New Orleans and that’s exactly where it went. The whole way you could see it going right towards New Orleans and they kept saying it was gonna go north.
Actually what most likely happened was the result of an error by the nhc. According to recon data from about 2-3 hours before it would have definitely supported a cat 2 100mph with a pressure of 972mb. When it came ashore it probably was a 90mph cat 1. They will investigate it after the year but really the nhc did a horrible job tracking Francine overall.
@Weather1224 We got messed over by the Beryl modeling and NHC watches and warnings that would have come too late for a larger storm. In 5 days, the lines went from Mexico to Brownsville to Corpus to between Corpus and the bay to the east. Saturday afternoon before landfall they adjusted the track to make landfall SW of Houston. Thankfully, we topped off oir supplies on Saturday. Most people were not prepared and people died that may have had the chance to evacuate.
@Weather1224 no data on the ground supported a hurricane let alone a cat 2. If they want to hype storms up they can do that and disclose that it was in the sky where its happening but it was not a CAT 2 on the ground period and we should thank this meteorologist for keeping it real. It doesn't have to be exaggerated because it still was a mess but true CAT 2s are no joke
@@je1947 the problem with this is that the flight level winds supported c2, until the very last point up until landfall, but when convection collapses, winds don't mix down as well from the upper levels as they normally should with storms blowing up convection. since that convective burst occurred at the core at landfall, the nhc had reasonable merit to know that the convective burst at landfall successfully mixed those stronger winds reaching near to or at 100mph, and upgraded based on that data. you never get the strongest winds of a hurricane on land due to the frictional forces at play, which explains why inland parishes didn't see nearly what the coast saw, plus buoys are very small and never sample the strongest winds, the buoy that recorded the strongest winds recorded sustained winds around 80-85, with a gust of 101, and another one recorded sustained winds of 92 and a gust to 112.
@thevictors6724 thats not it. ive been through several hurricanes, many of which were strengthening storms on landfall. inland and ground level winds almost never support the ratings they give the storms at least as of past 5 or so years. so we just have to take their word for it... well not me i knew it was going to be weaker because i watched the buoy data before landfall
You did an awesome job keeping us updated and informed. Thank you!
ever since i started checking ground data and buoys where the storms track, i found all storms at least in the past 5 years have been inaccurately forecasted and highly exaggerated. there wasn't 1 sustained wind close to hurricane status on the ground let alone 100 mph. forecasts should reflect what people will experience on the ground
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
He is calling out the odd jump to Cat.2 on landfall. One reading that was probably not accurate made the storm into a Cat.2.
For whatever reason, they want to hype the storm.
No, let me tell you I’ve had positions gambling basically stock positions on a New Orleans category one hurricane since June and the day before yesterday I double down actually I quadruple down on my position because I was told by these people it was expected to be a category two at landfall so I thought no doubt in my mind Louisiana will get category one wins sustained but now they lied about the whole thing the whole way they downplayed it and downplayed it and downplayed it and then I sold 3/4 of my position and then like 10 minutes later they’re talking about wow what a surprise. It’s mysteriously surprisingly jumps to a category two just before landfall so I rebought my position then they started downplaying it again saying it’s not going to New Orleans and that’s exactly where it went. The whole way you could see it going right towards New Orleans and they kept saying it was gonna go north.
Actually what most likely happened was the result of an error by the nhc. According to recon data from about 2-3 hours before it would have definitely supported a cat 2 100mph with a pressure of 972mb. When it came ashore it probably was a 90mph cat 1. They will investigate it after the year but really the nhc did a horrible job tracking Francine overall.
@Weather1224 We got messed over by the Beryl modeling and NHC watches and warnings that would have come too late for a larger storm. In 5 days, the lines went from Mexico to Brownsville to Corpus to between Corpus and the bay to the east. Saturday afternoon before landfall they adjusted the track to make landfall SW of Houston. Thankfully, we topped off oir supplies on Saturday. Most people were not prepared and people died that may have had the chance to evacuate.
@Weather1224 no data on the ground supported a hurricane let alone a cat 2. If they want to hype storms up they can do that and disclose that it was in the sky where its happening but it was not a CAT 2 on the ground period and we should thank this meteorologist for keeping it real. It doesn't have to be exaggerated because it still was a mess but true CAT 2s are no joke
@@Weather1224 that includes buoys offshore prior to landfall in the eye wall where there is no land interaction to mess with data
Bazinga! It's Leonard!
Haha that's a good one
Thank God the storm played out the way it did. Unfortunately for the flooding🙏🙏🙏
You were wrong this was going to Mexico then it ended up here then 100mph or more
No power here
no sustained wind was measured close to 100 on the ground
Get an r.v. When hurricanes, landslides, and fires come, drive away. This will happen again next year. This is the solution.
Who is forcing you to lie about the hurricane data?
just look at the buoy data where it made landfall. it was barely a hurricane on the surface. couldn't find any sustained wind readings over 70
@@je1947people don’t have time to peel the onion back, so they believe everything the media feeds them.
@@je1947 the problem with this is that the flight level winds supported c2, until the very last point up until landfall, but when convection collapses, winds don't mix down as well from the upper levels as they normally should with storms blowing up convection. since that convective burst occurred at the core at landfall, the nhc had reasonable merit to know that the convective burst at landfall successfully mixed those stronger winds reaching near to or at 100mph, and upgraded based on that data. you never get the strongest winds of a hurricane on land due to the frictional forces at play, which explains why inland parishes didn't see nearly what the coast saw, plus buoys are very small and never sample the strongest winds, the buoy that recorded the strongest winds recorded sustained winds around 80-85, with a gust of 101, and another one recorded sustained winds of 92 and a gust to 112.
@thevictors6724 thats not it. ive been through several hurricanes, many of which were strengthening storms on landfall. inland and ground level winds almost never support the ratings they give the storms at least as of past 5 or so years. so we just have to take their word for it... well not me i knew it was going to be weaker because i watched the buoy data before landfall
Stop being pissy Chris.