I imagine the reason for this is the projection system treats every team as the same, but teams like the Braves or Rays or Astros or Dodgers have good player development, so overperform relative to projections that expect Reds or Cubs, or Blue Jays level player development.
That nationals prediction is criminal, for a team that nearly went 500 in the second half and is trending in the right direction, I give them at least 70 wins, and if crews turns out to be that guy, maybe even 75
Their best players are CJ Abrams, a 90 wRC+ hitter with -8 OAA, and Lane Thomas, a 109 wRC+ right fielder with -3 OAA. Adding Jesse Winker and Joey Gallo does not make them better, they are as replacement level as replacement level gets.
@@roadkill989 Stolen bases aren't as valuable as you seem to think they are, and that number was 47, which is kind of low for a franchsie record anyways, Abrams was a 2.1 fWAR player last year. James Wood is projected to play 16 games, and Dylan Crews for 56 games, with 0.4 fWAR. If those are your best most noteworthy players, your team has serious problems literally everywhere.
@@alexisborden3191 i’m not saying we’re a playoff contender. we have young players who can breakout in a big way. for example, cj abrams oaa is only bad cause his arm strength isn’t good but he’s still growing into his body and putting on some weight and muscle
I'm not that shocked about the Yankees win projection, but the O's losing 15 more games than last season seems crazy to me. Adding a top 5 starter to that great young core just doesn't look right at all.
Its more or less saying they massively overperformed last year, which i dont think is a completely bad take. That rotation was a weakness entering last season and they did really well. Can they repeat the seasons they had last year, if not then i dont think third place at 86ish wins is a bad projection. Fun team, but im not completely surprised they're doubting them a little bit given how much that team outperformed their 2022 seasons.
@@lomakinalex If they didn't just add Burnes I'd be more willing to accept that, but he's a top 5 starter in baseball. Bradish's season wasn't a fluke if you look at his Baseball Savant page. He has the best breaking balls in baseball. GRod had his ups and downs, but once he figured out his pitch mix he was almost unhittable his last 12 starts of the season. Kremer as the 5 is solid. He has a 3.7 ERA over the last 2 seasons. Means is a bit of a question mark coming back from TJ, but he did get 4 starts in and had a 2.6 ERA, so he looked good. Even Tyler Wells, who I'm guessing is just going to get spot start work was really good. He was leading the majors in WHIP before an injury in July. They also have a guy in AAA named McDermott with absolutely filthy stuff. Batters hit just .167 off him last season in 120 innings between AA and AAA. He could kick Kremer out of the rotation early in the season.
I'm picking 1 Over/Under in each division. AL East: Orioles Over: Last year didn't seem like a fluke to me. They seem like a genuinely great team. AL Central: Guardians Over: This is probably favorite team bias, but honestly the AL Central ones look mostly reasonable to me and we have some promising debuts this year, and I think we have a somewhat solid foundation. AL West: Athletics Under: I think they'll be absolutely pathetic again. NL East: Nationals Over: I agree with you, it's hard to imagine them collapsing that much. NL Central: Reds Over: More of a gut feeling on this one, but I like them for next year. NL West: Padres Over: Last year was really flukey with a few uncharacteristic performances and awful clutch stats. I doubt that'll happen again.
@@DogerslLakersKingsRamsLA Maybe he's just salty, considering he IS a Mets fan. But I can sympathize with him, because I like the Mets, and my primary team has gone even longer since their last WS title than them, and both of their droughts have lasted longer than I've been alive. (I was born in 1993, seven years after the Mets last won the World Series.)
@@Supah_Penguin Maybe so, but there have been other shortened seasons before. Was the Dodgers' 1981 World Series title illegitimate because it came during a strike-shortened season?
Twins are still by far the favorite to the win the division. They didn’t need to add to get better they just need better health. A full season from Royce is big, and Correa being healthy is also massive. And if Buck is actually going to play the field. This team is amazing. I am sad they didn’t get a number 2 or 3 arm but the top 4 of this rotation is great. And people are sleeping on the bullpen. In my opinion it’s the best in all of baseball. And I like what the royals did but they are fighting for 3rd place.
I like almost all of this predictions but NL central i do not agree with the brewers finishing in first place they got some young talent that needs to prove themselves and Brandon woodruff is going to be missing time heck he may even miss the whole season. To me they will finish in 4th and the cubs win the division with the reds in second if they stay healthy.
@@generallukeproductions I agree those are good players with alot of potential but did you forget they have Javier baez on they're team SD well? That guy is horrible and will single handedly lose them games this season
@@DanCampbellGlazer, it’s not like I predicted them to win the World Series. Do you realize they won 78 games last year? 80 is not out of the realm of possibility.
What the hell are you talking about? The Dodgers won the championship in 2020. They can't help it that there was a shortened season. The playoffs were still a full schedule. I didn't realize that the Dodgers were the only team trying to win it that year. That's why they don't get credit. The Dodgers just can't win. It doesn't matter regular season, nobody cares. And then the one year they win the World Series in a full playoff season people say, "Oh no, that doesn't count make up your mind. You can't have it both ways.
As a Royals fan I feel like we will surprise some people, but the bullpen is weak even with some additions. The thing with the central is that we don’t know which team will have its players execute. We can agree with one thing and that most of the central teams have atrocious offenses.
@@samstephens378 no it doesn’t. In a sample size of 162 games, with a projected win percent of 80/162, the probability of getting 91 wins is about 5% (according to binomial distribution). That may sound small and may seem like it’s pointing to the system’s inaccuracy, but consider how many other teams you could have looked at where the system was only off a a few wins, which it is in general. I’m not trying to say the system is perfect at estimating teams’ chances of winning 90 games, but instead just testifying to its quality.
@@CJA-jf8db The difference between 80 and 90 is not 5% , it's more like 13%.. NOBODY IS PREDICTING THE NUMBER OF GAMES PLAYED.. HE'S PREDICTING THE NUMBER OF GAMES WON !! ° If a real estate agent told you he could get you a property that you desperately wanted at a 80k price... Then when you get to closing he then tells you... Oh, by the way.. the price has increased to 90k I'm sure you would have the exact same energy with the real estate agent... Oh... He's done a great job with so many of his past clients, I'll give him a pass on this deal. I DOESN'T MEAN HIS PROCESS IS FAULTY... IT'S JUST ONE OF THOSE UNPREDICTABLE THINGS THAT SOMETIMES HAPPEN 🥸🤡💩
@@CJA-jf8db No Sir... The difference between 80 and 90 is not 5% , it's 12% . He's not predicting the number of Games played, he's predicting the number of Wins. If a Real estate agent assured you that he could secure a property that you desperately wanted at a 80k price.. then when you get to closing he casually informed you... Oh By the way.. the price has increased to 90k I'm sure you'd have the exact same energy for that real estate agent. ° Oh Well, the guy is usually right .. this 10k discrepancy certainly does not mean that his process is faulty.. it's just one of those troublesome variables that sometimes happen in life 😂
1:56 made me draw a tear as an Orioles fan. Burnes-Bradish-Rodriguez-Means-Wells was looking like it could be one of the best rotations in baseball, but due to injuries, Burnes was the only one who made it to even August, let alone the only healthy by seasons end
Crazy they have the first place team from last year in last place this year and the last place team from last year in first place I understand brewers not being as good but last and what did the cards do to have a turnaround like that
@@B13-f9m they're expecting the star players on st. Louis to have bounce back seasons. The Cardinals on paper are not the last place team, they underperformed as a team
@Er059 162 game season vs a 60 game season, with no fans to fuel any competitive energy... the dodgers won a ring in 2020. But the FACT is that ring has a MASSIVE asterisk next to it. And if you disagree, you're the one in denial
there were fans in the NLCS and WS that year. Literally everyone had the same chance, just say you hate the Dodgers and move on from talking about a past championship. My God you guys have such a hard-on for bringing the past up. @@fullcircle8231
One Interesting Fact is that the twins were well below .500 in Sonny Gray starts. Obviously not his fault, run support was abysmal, but just saying that the 2024 team has a decent crack at matching or exceeding the success sonny gray brought them if the run support jumps back up to what you would expect. (the w-l in sonny starts was somewhere around 14-18). Beyond that, Sonny Gray is a prime regression candidate according to both the advanced predictive metrics and his age
Unfortunately Ray is going to be out half of the season on the IL. Definitely can still use another starter to shore things up until him and cobb recover
@@brandonsolis6911 yeah I know. We can stay in the hunt. We have enough bats. I think Bailey, Schmitt, Wilmer, Thairo, Soler and the rest of the guys will do their thing.
Giants are my sleeper pick. they also brought in Bob Melvin. I don't think they're going to win the division but I could definitely see them sneaking into the postseason
The Reds are so underrated. 4th? They had more wins last year, but added pitching and depth this offseason, with another year of the young guns under their belt. I see even as a minimum for this team. They could hit 90 wins.
Sucks being a Rockies fan right now. We have Nolan Jones and our young guys may get better this year. Rockies might be DECENT this year if everything works out
@Ryouski knowing the Rockies, it won't work out 😂, I have faith when our prospects develop we will be good again, having leaders like Charlie and KB help that as well
Yes I can agree, we were lucky to make it to the wild card last year but that doesn’t mean we can’t do it again this year we acquired a bunch of new players under our new GM Peter Bendix and even if we don’t have a full year of sandy im still sure we can win 80 games or even 85 games this season
As a Tigers fan I honestly think we will win more games than last year and we won 78 last year. I can see us going 81-81 or higher. Not even trying to be biased but I think we can win the division as well. I think this projection is poor. I don’t see how we would be projected to be worse than last year
Yankee fan here, I sincerely have the Orioles as my first place AL East team. They’re only getting better, more complete and more experienced. While I liked our offseason and we addressed how thin the outfield was, I just don’t think we have enough across the whole roster to outdo the Os.
I have the Brewers winning 82-85 games but still had them in third. I think they are a sleeper team with a lineup I think that can actually hit the ball but it came at the cost at our best pitchers. This will be an interesting year for us
Seems like they are high on the comeback from historically dominant teams like the Yankees and cardinals, and are really sleeping on up and comers like cubs reds and even the O’s who won 100 games lol, seems kinda odd
i think if the cubs add belly and snell they might be the team to beat coming from a cards fan, if not on paper i think the cardinals are probably more talented but let’s see if people stay healthy/don’t fall off a cliff again
@@sfcSpidey more talented 🤣🤣 cubs had 3 gold gloves last year, steele finished top 3 cy young, came second in the division after being projected 4th and 7 of the top 100 prospects in baseball. i could literally keep going what do you mean more talented 😭😭
@@airwicknem we all have our perspectives i can see why you feel that way…from my perspective we still have goldy and nado i think jordan walker will be a stud gorman if he stays healthy same donovan noot wilson it’s a long line up starting pitching i think cubs are better im hoping to see a game in wrigley this year…but good luck on the season
Yankees added Juan Soto, Cardinals added a starting rotation. Cubs have added Imanaga and haven't brought back Bellinger, the Reds were not that good, 77 pythag wins, and the Orioles weren't as good as 101 wins would suggest either, they had 94 pythag wins.
@@jackkrick6936 36 year old Craig Kimbrel is not an improvement over one of the best young relievers we'd ever seen. Yeah he's a hall of famer, that doesn't mean he's a team changing talent still. He's projected for a 4.42 ERA over 55 IP by ZIPS, which is 256th among Relief Pitchers.
The Reds won 82 games with the likes of Luke Weaver, Ben Livley, Brett Kennedy, Conor Overton, etc throwing a bunch of innings. I think the reds can be better than 78 wins with a healthy starting rotation
Reds have an insane offense especially with how young they are. Also a completely healthy rotation isn't even that bad. I'd definitely say we're in the running to win the division.
Lux is going to be LA's shortstop...and he's going to open eyes. Nice try throwing shade over the Dodgers' 2020 LEGITIMATE title. The Dodgers don't struggle in the regular season, they typically struggle in the playoffs and if memory serves me correct, the 2020 playoffs were NOT abbreviated. The Dodgers won just as many playoff games in 2020 as any other team since the expansion of the playoffs has had to win....and they had to do all of it on the road, so can it!
A lot of us were WAY off on the 2024 Astros, they are always first or second place though out the entire season. They had such a crap first 3-3/1/2 months, they were in last last behind the freaking A's for a while. Most people knew they would turn it around but in the last maybe 5-6 weeks they are now 3.5 games out of first place. (They are cheating again) Just kidding, they just are a good team and just got off to a really bad start this year. They are 1 game above 500 after having a record back 3-4 weeks ago like under 20 wins and like 30+ losses.
@@zacktheexception1198 That doesn't mean they're likely to hit that ceiling. They also have one of the lowest floors. The projections are just trying to guess the 50th percentile outcome.
Yeah as a Yankees fan I feel like were definitely gonna have a good season but it’s gonna really hard to take the division from them I think there the front runner as it stands right now
I think it’s more about the division evening out then the orioles necessarily getting worse. They have all the AL East teams finishing above 80 wins, which means it’s hard to have someone win over 95 games
1, projections are inherently conservative, its giving you a 50th percentile outcome and rookies are hard to project of which the Orioles are going to have a few. 2. The Orioles had 94 pythag wins, they weren't a 101 win talent team. 3. The AL East is fucking stacked, 87 is a lot when the bottom team is projected for 80 wins.
Don’t sleep on Milwaukee. Tampa Bay of the NL, they know what they’re doing over here. Some steps forward by last year’s rookies and this team could make some noise come Sept/Oct.
What’s the specific reasoning for the Astros having a “down year”? Solid lineup, with no players really declining. Outstanding back end of the bullpen. We have so many starters we don’t even know who will make the 5 or 6 man rotation. SP’s - Verlander Valdez Javier Brown Urquidy France McCullers (Mid season) Garcia (Mid season) The only question is middle relief, in which is still not terrible. Relievers- Seth Martinez Montero Bielak Dubin Sousa (Forrest Whitley most likely) Back end- Bryan Abreu Pressly Hader Just curious.
Dodger's actually won a WS in 2017 as well as 2020. 2020..... Same playoff format as any other year. The 60 game REGULAR season (?) yeah, Dodger's had best record in MLB, as well as best team on paper. So ...162 game season in 2020, would what(?) LA would not win the division? LMFAO. They ALWAYS win the division, decidedly!
Marc, the ALC is not wide open. You bought into the media hype that the additions of Wacha, Lugo, and Renfroe are going to make the Royals a playoff team. They should win about 70 games. And as for the Twins, losing Sonny will hurt, yes, but we also should expect bounce backs from Correa and Buck, plus with a full year of Royce, Julien, and Wallner, our offense will be fine. Plus, Ryan and Ober looked good last year at times, and with Paddack as the 4th starter, we will be fine there. Our pen is going to be silly good, and even if our starters struggle, we have prospect capital to make a move at the deadline
@@bradyerker I think 70 is reasonable because you guys won 56 last year I believe. I just find it hard to believe that you guys think you will improve by 20 wins
@@bennettdean7555 we finished the year playing like an 80 win team over the least month or so, and our record is a bit deceiving. our base runs record was 66-96, so really we are improving by 10-15 wins. with a new pitching staff and breakout performances we could definitely be in that 80 win range
You destroyed your whole video by saying the Dodgers haven’t won a World Series since ‘88. That’s something a troll on Facebook would do, NOT someone who has a professionally done UA-cam channel like yours. Who won the 2020 World Series? Hint: An opinion isn’t part of that answer!
Hold tf up! You’re a Mets fan and you’re saying The Dodgers are chokers? 😂😂😂 the audacity! The Dodgers won in 2020 you know the same year your team failed to win. And let’s say for giggles haven’t won since 88, you guys last won in 86 and how many championships do the Mets have compared to The Dodgers? 😂. Last one there’s a reason why there’s a saying that goes “of course The Mets cause they’ll always find a way to be The Mets”. When the biggest take away over the last 40 years is Bobby Bonilla day you have to ask yourself what are you doing as a franchise? 😂
As a marlins fan, it triggered me. I know this team is tough to watch, even harder to be a fan… but damn! We still have good pitching Eury, Luzardo, Braxton, Cabrera, Rogers, Meyer, Sixto ** 😂
If we can go .500 this season, ill consider it a success. If our farm system can stay healthy and our star players can shine, I think 2025 we can at least be a Wild Card team. Our pitching is a big issue though. Wish we'd sign Trevor Bauer for cheap
@@Perfectly_Cromulent351 that’s because the only other 2 shortened seasons to have a World Series was in 1972 and 1981 which would you look at that 1981 was the Dodgers. The other one is the Athletics but they got their own problems right now.
“Dodgers haven’t won since 1988” … oh gawd give me a break .. I used to like your channel but that comment is just ridiculous. Every team had a chance to win . But since it was the dodgers , I guess it doesn’t count 🙄
As a Twins fan- we got worse. Our ownership group cut our payroll in anticipation for a TV deal that ended up not happening, and then they announced they still aren't spending the money on players. The Pohlads don't care about winning, just about building a good enough roster to still sell tickets.
my rankings sorry if i did math worng i did this all in my head AL EAST 1 yankeas 96-66 2 BAL 93-69 3 TOR 89-73 4 TB 84-78 5 BOS 80-82 AL CENTREL 1 twins 87-75 2 tigers 83-79 3 royals 77-85 4 GUA 75-87 5 chw 68-94 AL WEST 1 TEX 99-63 2 SEA 94-68 3 HOU 91-71 4 LAA 70-92 5 oak 57-105 NL EAST 1 ATL 104-58 2 PHI 100-62 3 NYM 82-80 4 miami 78-84 5 nats 76-86 NL CENTREL 1 reds 92-70 2 chc 85-77 3 STL 81-81 4 MIL 79-83 5 pit 76-86 NL WEST 1 LAD 108-54 2 SF 89-73 3 SD 84-78 4 AZ 83-79 5 col - 59-103
Don't see Seattle winning more than 90. The Astros are fully healthy and got better, one of the best teams in baseball on paper. Don't see philly winning 100 games with that mediocre lineup outside of the top four. Reds ain't winning 92 games with that rotation, adding crap pitchers doesn't make them better
That's not logical more like rational,logical thinkers gather as much information as possible and asses the facts, if u had done so u would admit that Overall the Dodgers have been regular season Beasts for quite a while and have been in the postseason every year for a decade since new owners and boast Nineteen Pennants 7 WS titles 8 if u count the one they were cheated out of in 2017 by the Houston 🗑️ trashcan bangers. 16:28 16:28
@@DogerslLakersKingsRamsLA Don’t cry. I don’t care how many times they’ve been to the postseason or what beasts they are during the regular season. It you want cry with the excuse that they were cheated one year. What about this decade of postseason failure. They choke every year and their billion dollar spending spree won’t change that. They haven’t won in 36 years.
Why do we still question how good the astros are??? Adding Yainer diaz as a starting catcher that alone gives us 10 more wins. Pitching struggled at the end of the season but theyll be back and rested and ready to go. Altuve wont be injured before the season. Yordan will do yordan things and hopefully be healthy the whole season. We now have one of the best closers in baseball to pack it up in the 9th. And theres more
As a cubs fan I think we can. We haven’t done ANYTHING Are you confident giving morel, madrigal and Busch consistent starting spots? Bring back belli and bring in Chapman and then we’re looking like a playoff team
As a Cardinals fan, I agree with the assessment of our rotation. Outside of Sonny Gray, a great signing, the rotation has an upside of mid and a HUGE DOWNSIDE. Myles Mikolas as your #2 is not a playoff rotation so even if you win the division you aren't going anywhere. The Lynn and Gibson signings were very weird because they both seem like guys that would have still been available now in February and they were signed almost immediately. That took up two rotation slots before you even knew what the pitching market was going to look like. They didn't have the flexibility to sign someone whose price was lower than expected or make a trade for someone who was available for a reasonable return. Marmol is not a top manager in the league, and I'm starting to have severe questions about the front office as well. They have made some great acquisitions in the past, but maybe the league has passed them by at this point. I'm a Cardinals optimist so I can see the team winning 90-95 games and the division if they get healthy seasons from their key players, but I could also see them as a third place team hovering around .500 if things don't work out for them. I don't see a repeat of last year's sub .500 season and if that happens they need to clean house in the front office, manager, coaches, and older players to rebuild with new leadership around the young core that they have been building.
Given the lack of market action, I'd be happy if the nats were around the same as last year...it's also the last year of that ridiculous corbin contract
Even as a Blue Jays fan, I gotta admit, I'm not too confident in them this year unless we sign some bats. Sure JT and IKF are nice to have as DH and Utility guy respectively, our pitching is in a good spot imo, but our offence needs some improvements
If you're gonna shit on the Dodgers at least get their roster right you forgot ab Teoscar Margot and Lux. The actual roster is as follows: Smith Barnes: catcher Freeman: 1B Betts: 2B Luz Rojas: SS 3B: Muncy Teoscar: LF Outman: CF Margot Heyward: RF with CT3 Vargas as depth SP: Yammamoto Glasnow Buehler Miller Sheehan Paxton Kershaw with Knack (late in the szn) Ryan Stone Grove as depth Bullpen Phillips Graterol Brasier Kelly Treinen JP Feyereisen Yarborough Gage Vesia Vanasco Hurt Varland Hudson (minor league contract)
Speaking as a lifelong Cardinals fan... yeah, I can't disagree -- Oli Marmol is honestly my biggest concern going into the season. The Cardinals start off with an insane schedule of 18 games in 20 days that includes two trips to the west coast and basically all against playoff teams. If the team starts off with some tough losses, it's not hard to imagine a third year in a row where Marmol's response is to insult his players openly by name to the media and immediately tanks any team chemistry or motivation.
“Last place and I wouldn’t have flinched.” 😂😂By your Pirates logic then the Brewers are as bad as the Nationals. 90+ wins and NL Central Champs to WORSE THAN THE PIRATES without a pitcher who is on the downswing. Come on dude.
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Orioles finished 4th honestly, they are a very young team that over exceeded expectations last year, and only addressed Burnes to their pitching. I can definitely see them taking a step back. I hope they prove me wrong, but I’ve seen many young teams in all sports do that
Orioles definitely played above expectations last season but they addressed the weakest part of their roster now by adding Burnes and warming up G Rod. I think they are due for a bit of a regression lacking star power but not much. I still see them at the very least finishing 2nd as I see the Rays and Jays regressing. In 2023 the Rays rode so much on the momentum of that insane start but in the absence of that they’re a high 80s win team which is what I expect them to finish around.
As a blue jays fan, I do not believe we’re going to finish 2nd in out division. We’re gonna blow this year because management haven’t done anything to help improve the team
Pirates bouta surprise everyone. Oneil Cruz, Ke’Bryan Hayes, and Henry Davis are gonna take huge steps if they can stay healthy. I think pirates can make a wild card spot only problem would be our starting pitching, our bullpen is great and our offence I think is gonna be amazing
Yeah, they seem like a sub 500 team to me. But who knows? They have a lot of young players to look at and their pitching may be better than we think...then again, I might win the lottery without buying a ticket...LOL
13:05 If we can lose Freeland and Gomber quickly to season-ending injuries, then the Rockies can possibly challenge the A's for the best team in the MLB as far as losses are concerned.
I think people are underratting how important Monty was to the Rangers run. If they didn't have him in the rotation, imo they for sure don't make the WS, let alone win it.
I wanna believe the royals can win more than 70 games, they’ve done so much this offseason as a fan I’m excited but not overconfident on being competitive. Knowing how their schedule starts for April/may I wouldn’t be surprised if 2 10 game losing streaks happen before June and all the FA signed get traded away.
You guys will be a nuisance to a lot of teams for quite a while …. Yankee fan here btw …. Idc about that cheating shyt … you guys do have a lot of talent. I’m assuming you’re a Houston fan
Marc posting 2 videos in a week is unheard of
Us OG’s remember when this was the norm 😢
@@BKrispy1 fr
I’d say a lot of it is because the offseason has been slow the past few years
@@BKrispy1 real
🤣🤣🤣
Despite the Braves winning 6 consecutive division titles this is the first year it has projected them to win the title
I imagine the reason for this is the projection system treats every team as the same, but teams like the Braves or Rays or Astros or Dodgers have good player development, so overperform relative to projections that expect Reds or Cubs, or Blue Jays level player development.
@@alexisborden3191that makes sense those are three of the most analytic driven teams in baseball, so surprise the analytics favors those teams
@@maddog4269 No, my point is that it doesn't favor them, that's why they do better than the projections say.
One and done again?
They DID win the WS in 2021 though.
That nationals prediction is criminal, for a team that nearly went 500 in the second half and is trending in the right direction, I give them at least 70 wins, and if crews turns out to be that guy, maybe even 75
Their best players are CJ Abrams, a 90 wRC+ hitter with -8 OAA, and Lane Thomas, a 109 wRC+ right fielder with -3 OAA. Adding Jesse Winker and Joey Gallo does not make them better, they are as replacement level as replacement level gets.
NGL I see them as a sleeper but I feel like it will be a season of extremes either second in the NL east or last
@@alexisborden3191cj abram’s broke the franchise record for stolen bases in a single season and james wood and dylan crews are getting called up later
@@roadkill989 Stolen bases aren't as valuable as you seem to think they are, and that number was 47, which is kind of low for a franchsie record anyways, Abrams was a 2.1 fWAR player last year. James Wood is projected to play 16 games, and Dylan Crews for 56 games, with 0.4 fWAR. If those are your best most noteworthy players, your team has serious problems literally everywhere.
@@alexisborden3191 i’m not saying we’re a playoff contender. we have young players who
can breakout in a big way. for example, cj abrams oaa is only bad cause his arm strength isn’t good but he’s still growing into his body and putting on some weight and muscle
I'm not that shocked about the Yankees win projection, but the O's losing 15 more games than last season seems crazy to me. Adding a top 5 starter to that great young core just doesn't look right at all.
Yes I agree
I agree. Orioles are not going to get worse, especially with adding Corbin Burnes.
I think it's more about how tough the East is going to be this year and the teams are going to be beating up on one another.
Its more or less saying they massively overperformed last year, which i dont think is a completely bad take. That rotation was a weakness entering last season and they did really well. Can they repeat the seasons they had last year, if not then i dont think third place at 86ish wins is a bad projection. Fun team, but im not completely surprised they're doubting them a little bit given how much that team outperformed their 2022 seasons.
@@lomakinalex If they didn't just add Burnes I'd be more willing to accept that, but he's a top 5 starter in baseball. Bradish's season wasn't a fluke if you look at his Baseball Savant page. He has the best breaking balls in baseball. GRod had his ups and downs, but once he figured out his pitch mix he was almost unhittable his last 12 starts of the season. Kremer as the 5 is solid. He has a 3.7 ERA over the last 2 seasons. Means is a bit of a question mark coming back from TJ, but he did get 4 starts in and had a 2.6 ERA, so he looked good. Even Tyler Wells, who I'm guessing is just going to get spot start work was really good. He was leading the majors in WHIP before an injury in July. They also have a guy in AAA named McDermott with absolutely filthy stuff. Batters hit just .167 off him last season in 120 innings between AA and AAA. He could kick Kremer out of the rotation early in the season.
Question Marc, you doing Offseason grades this year?
I'm picking 1 Over/Under in each division.
AL East:
Orioles Over: Last year didn't seem like a fluke to me. They seem like a genuinely great team.
AL Central:
Guardians Over: This is probably favorite team bias, but honestly the AL Central ones look mostly reasonable to me and we have some promising debuts this year, and I think we have a somewhat solid foundation.
AL West:
Athletics Under: I think they'll be absolutely pathetic again.
NL East:
Nationals Over: I agree with you, it's hard to imagine them collapsing that much.
NL Central:
Reds Over: More of a gut feeling on this one, but I like them for next year.
NL West:
Padres Over: Last year was really flukey with a few uncharacteristic performances and awful clutch stats. I doubt that'll happen again.
The Dodgers actually DID win the World Series in 2020, so you're wrong when you say they haven't won it since 1988.
Yup, the year the sorry ass Mets couldn't make the playoffs with an expanded format 😅
@@DogerslLakersKingsRamsLA Maybe he's just salty, considering he IS a Mets fan. But I can sympathize with him, because I like the Mets, and my primary team has gone even longer since their last WS title than them, and both of their droughts have lasted longer than I've been alive. (I was born in 1993, seven years after the Mets last won the World Series.)
Not real. Couldn’t win a 162 game stretch World Series. Forever not a real world series
@@Supah_Penguin Maybe so, but there have been other shortened seasons before. Was the Dodgers' 1981 World Series title illegitimate because it came during a strike-shortened season?
@@Supah_Penguin clown 🤡
Twins are still by far the favorite to the win the division. They didn’t need to add to get better they just need better health. A full season from Royce is big, and Correa being healthy is also massive. And if Buck is actually going to play the field. This team is amazing. I am sad they didn’t get a number 2 or 3 arm but the top 4 of this rotation is great. And people are sleeping on the bullpen. In my opinion it’s the best in all of baseball. And I like what the royals did but they are fighting for 3rd place.
I wish the Twins ownership was in a position to add payroll. Jordan Montgomery or even Blake Snell would make that team so fun.
Cmon man. I’m no dodger fan but people gotta stop acting like 2020 was not a championship. Every team had a chance to win the same as the Dodgers did.
My Predictions:
NL West
1. Dodgers- 109 (1 seed)
2. Diamondbacks- 87 (5 seed)
3. Giants- 83
4. Padres- 78
5. Rockies- 61
NL Central
1. Brewers- 87 (3 seed)
2. Cubs- 86 (6 seed)
3. Reds- 82
4. Cardinals- 79
5. Pirates- 76
NL East
1. Braves- 106 (2 seed)
2. Phillies- 91 (4 seed)
3. Mets- 80
4. Marlins- 77
5. Nationals- 73
AL West
1. Astros- 95 (2 seed)
2. Rangers- 94 (4 seed)
3. Mariners- 87
4. Angels- 67
5. A’s- 52
AL Central
1. Twins- 86 (3 seed)
2. Tigers- 80
3. Guardians- 76
4. Royals- 68
5. White Sox- 61
AL East
1. Orioles- 102 (1 seed)
2. Rays- 90 (5 seed)
3. Yankees- 89 (6 seed)
4 Blue Jays- 87
5 Red Sox- 79
- To note: Snell, Monty, Belli, Chapman, and JDM signings will change these.
- I didn’t just make up a number, I actually went through and used my own formula.
Saying the tigers win that many games is wild
@@DanCampbellGlazer, just wait. Torkelson, Greene, and Skubal are gonna ball out. Feel free to come back to this comment after the season
I like almost all of this predictions but NL central i do not agree with the brewers finishing in first place they got some young talent that needs to prove themselves and Brandon woodruff is going to be missing time heck he may even miss the whole season. To me they will finish in 4th and the cubs win the division with the reds in second if they stay healthy.
@@generallukeproductions I agree those are good players with alot of potential but did you forget they have Javier baez on they're team SD well? That guy is horrible and will single handedly lose them games this season
@@DanCampbellGlazer, it’s not like I predicted them to win the World Series. Do you realize they won 78 games last year? 80 is not out of the realm of possibility.
Reds are gonna win their division with about 90 wins. Bookmark this.
What the hell are you talking about? The Dodgers won the championship in 2020. They can't help it that there was a shortened season. The playoffs were still a full schedule. I didn't realize that the Dodgers were the only team trying to win it that year. That's why they don't get credit. The Dodgers just can't win. It doesn't matter regular season, nobody cares. And then the one year they win the World Series in a full playoff season people say, "Oh no, that doesn't count make up your mind. You can't have it both ways.
A longer and larger playoffs than we even have today!
Exactly! 💯
...oh and no home games
If the mets won in 2020. He would have jumping for joy...😂
The playoffs were even longer.
I feel like baseball has to be the hardest to predict
Follow the pitching
As a Royals fan I feel like we will surprise some people, but the bullpen is weak even with some additions. The thing with the central is that we don’t know which team will have its players execute. We can agree with one thing and that most of the central teams have atrocious offenses.
The guy we just got today is a dawg. He's no '15 wade davis by any means but hes an additional reliable arm for that pen
2023 pecota rankings had the world series winning rangers projected at 80 wins and 4th place lol
an unusual result does not mean a faulty projection system
@@YoshiClapz
Yeah, it kinda does mean exactly that.
@@samstephens378 no it doesn’t. In a sample size of 162 games, with a projected win percent of 80/162, the probability of getting 91 wins is about 5% (according to binomial distribution). That may sound small and may seem like it’s pointing to the system’s inaccuracy, but consider how many other teams you could have looked at where the system was only off a a few wins, which it is in general. I’m not trying to say the system is perfect at estimating teams’ chances of winning 90 games, but instead just testifying to its quality.
@@CJA-jf8db
The difference between 80 and 90 is not 5% , it's more like 13%.. NOBODY IS PREDICTING THE NUMBER OF GAMES PLAYED.. HE'S PREDICTING THE NUMBER OF GAMES WON !!
° If a real estate agent told you he could get you a property that you desperately wanted at a 80k price... Then when you get to closing he then tells you... Oh, by the way.. the price has increased to 90k I'm sure you would have the exact same energy with the real estate agent...
Oh... He's done a great job with so many of his past clients, I'll give him a pass on this deal.
I DOESN'T MEAN HIS PROCESS IS FAULTY... IT'S JUST ONE OF THOSE UNPREDICTABLE THINGS THAT SOMETIMES HAPPEN 🥸🤡💩
@@CJA-jf8db
No Sir... The difference between 80 and 90 is not 5% , it's 12% .
He's not predicting the number of Games played, he's predicting the number of Wins.
If a Real estate agent assured you that he could secure a property that you desperately wanted at a 80k price.. then when you get to closing he casually informed you... Oh By the way.. the price has increased to 90k I'm sure you'd have the exact same energy for that real estate agent.
° Oh Well, the guy is usually right .. this 10k discrepancy certainly does not mean that his process is faulty.. it's just one of those troublesome variables that sometimes happen in life 😂
1:56 made me draw a tear as an Orioles fan. Burnes-Bradish-Rodriguez-Means-Wells was looking like it could be one of the best rotations in baseball, but due to injuries, Burnes was the only one who made it to even August, let alone the only healthy by seasons end
No respect for the dodgers saying last time they won was 88 … 2020 was a ring no matter what people say
Nope
@@MNDPANTERA Was your team's failure real?
Brewers in the last place without batting an eye is INSANE!!
So much young talent the hitting will improve.
@@Jacob-hy7dowhat young talent?
Crazy they have the first place team from last year in last place this year and the last place team from last year in first place I understand brewers not being as good but last and what did the cards do to have a turnaround like that
@@B13-f9m they're expecting the star players on st. Louis to have bounce back seasons. The Cardinals on paper are not the last place team, they underperformed as a team
Did the dodgers not win the world series in 2020
I think he’s one of those “Mickey Mouse” denier trolls
@@Er059Definitely. You can bet if his Mets had won in 2020, he would be singing a different tune
@@BGV97aren’t the Mets the only team in that division that hasn’t won a World Series since the Berlin Wall came down
@Er059 162 game season vs a 60 game season, with no fans to fuel any competitive energy... the dodgers won a ring in 2020. But the FACT is that ring has a MASSIVE asterisk next to it. And if you disagree, you're the one in denial
there were fans in the NLCS and WS that year. Literally everyone had the same chance, just say you hate the Dodgers and move on from talking about a past championship. My God you guys have such a hard-on for bringing the past up. @@fullcircle8231
One Interesting Fact is that the twins were well below .500 in Sonny Gray starts. Obviously not his fault, run support was abysmal, but just saying that the 2024 team has a decent crack at matching or exceeding the success sonny gray brought them if the run support jumps back up to what you would expect. (the w-l in sonny starts was somewhere around 14-18). Beyond that, Sonny Gray is a prime regression candidate according to both the advanced predictive metrics and his age
The Giants added Jorge Soler, Robbie Ray, Jung Hoo Lee, and looking at Matt Chapman.
Unfortunately Ray is going to be out half of the season on the IL. Definitely can still use another starter to shore things up until him and cobb recover
@@brandonsolis6911 yeah I know. We can stay in the hunt. We have enough bats. I think Bailey, Schmitt, Wilmer, Thairo, Soler and the rest of the guys will do their thing.
@@mattdennis7511 yeah I agree about our offense. I feel good about it especially now that we’ve added some pop with Soler.
Giants are my sleeper pick. they also brought in Bob Melvin.
I don't think they're going to win the division but I could definitely see them sneaking into the postseason
The Reds have improved their pitching, mainly in the bullpen. I think Abe Vigoda would predict a better win rate for the Reds than PECOTA.
Fr they had 82 wins last year and got better over the offseason. I could easily see them snagging the wild card or possibly even the division.
The Reds are so underrated. 4th? They had more wins last year, but added pitching and depth this offseason, with another year of the young guns under their belt.
I see even as a minimum for this team. They could hit 90 wins.
As a Rockies fan it’s a tough world we live in.
We beat the Mets and we have Nolan Jones
Sucks being a Rockies fan right now. We have Nolan Jones and our young guys may get better this year. Rockies might be DECENT this year if everything works out
@Ryouski knowing the Rockies, it won't work out 😂, I have faith when our prospects develop we will be good again, having leaders like Charlie and KB help that as well
You got the Nuggets and Avalanche so it’s not that bad if the Rockies are cheeks 😅
@@geeseoul it kinda sucks when the broncos are as well
The Marlins hate is crazy
Not really. Your team was very lucky in 2023 and they lost some key pieces to injury and FA.
Yes I can agree, we were lucky to make it to the wild card last year but that doesn’t mean we can’t do it again this year we acquired a bunch of new players under our new GM Peter Bendix and even if we don’t have a full year of sandy im still sure we can win 80 games or even 85 games this season
There's no way they have the same crazy record they had in 1 run games like last year. They could easily have a much worse record than last year.
@@Fly-The-W this
As a Tigers fan I honestly think we will win more games than last year and we won 78 last year. I can see us going 81-81 or higher. Not even trying to be biased but I think we can win the division as well. I think this projection is poor. I don’t see how we would be projected to be worse than last year
Yankee fan here, I sincerely have the Orioles as my first place AL East team. They’re only getting better, more complete and more experienced. While I liked our offseason and we addressed how thin the outfield was, I just don’t think we have enough across the whole roster to outdo the Os.
How are they more experienced than the Yankees dumbass?
Lol Yankees fan here get ready for good pitching and dominant hitting. This will be the Yankees best season in a while.
@@TonyMontana-is6qd I have a feeling too. The lineup is LONG, and we can finally have alternating righties and lefties again
I have the Brewers winning 82-85 games but still had them in third. I think they are a sleeper team with a lineup I think that can actually hit the ball but it came at the cost at our best pitchers. This will be an interesting year for us
Let me guess
Your picks are this
3. Brewers
4/5 Pirates, Cubs
1/2 Reds, Cardinals
1. Reds
2. Cardinals
3. Brewers
4. Pirates
5. Cubs
@@jonathanfrimerman8855 Nah
1. Cubs
2.Cardinals
3.Brewers
4.Reds
5. Pirates
@@jonathanfrimerman8855how are the cubs 5, there defensive cieling and pitching depth alone makes them at least top 3
Seems like they are high on the comeback from historically dominant teams like the Yankees and cardinals, and are really sleeping on up and comers like cubs reds and even the O’s who won 100 games lol, seems kinda odd
The Cubs are a 3rd place team imo. Them and the Giants are mid to the core.
i think if the cubs add belly and snell they might be the team to beat coming from a cards fan, if not on paper i think the cardinals are probably more talented but let’s see if people stay healthy/don’t fall off a cliff again
@@sfcSpidey more talented 🤣🤣 cubs had 3 gold gloves last year, steele finished top 3 cy young, came second in the division after being projected 4th and 7 of the top 100 prospects in baseball. i could literally keep going what do you mean more talented 😭😭
@@airwicknem we all have our perspectives i can see why you feel that way…from my perspective we still have goldy and nado i think jordan walker will be a stud gorman if he stays healthy same donovan noot wilson it’s a long line up starting pitching i think cubs are better im hoping to see a game in wrigley this year…but good luck on the season
Yankees added Juan Soto, Cardinals added a starting rotation. Cubs have added Imanaga and haven't brought back Bellinger, the Reds were not that good, 77 pythag wins, and the Orioles weren't as good as 101 wins would suggest either, they had 94 pythag wins.
O’s might win closer to 110 this year. How does a team adding Corbin and Holliday go backwards from 101?
They have Craig Kimbrel instead of Felix is pretty bad
@@xXx_MakeAmericaGr8Again_xXxKimberly is an improvement. Not to mention, he is also a future Hall of Famer.
Yeah, I know Baltimore would go toe to toe with my Bravos as one of the better lineups in the League….putting them 3rd in the AL East is comical.
if u get good craig ur fine@@xXx_MakeAmericaGr8Again_xXx
@@jackkrick6936 36 year old Craig Kimbrel is not an improvement over one of the best young relievers we'd ever seen. Yeah he's a hall of famer, that doesn't mean he's a team changing talent still. He's projected for a 4.42 ERA over 55 IP by ZIPS, which is 256th among Relief Pitchers.
The Reds won 82 games with the likes of Luke Weaver, Ben Livley, Brett Kennedy, Conor Overton, etc throwing a bunch of innings. I think the reds can be better than 78 wins with a healthy starting rotation
I agree
Reds have an insane offense especially with how young they are. Also a completely healthy rotation isn't even that bad. I'd definitely say we're in the running to win the division.
@@noahverhoff6203Agree I think we might be able to win it with about 88 wins
Lux is going to be LA's shortstop...and he's going to open eyes. Nice try throwing shade over the Dodgers' 2020 LEGITIMATE title. The Dodgers don't struggle in the regular season, they typically struggle in the playoffs and if memory serves me correct, the 2020 playoffs were NOT abbreviated. The Dodgers won just as many playoff games in 2020 as any other team since the expansion of the playoffs has had to win....and they had to do all of it on the road, so can it!
A lot of us were WAY off on the 2024 Astros, they are always first or second place though out the entire season. They had such a crap first 3-3/1/2 months, they were in last last behind the freaking A's for a while. Most people knew they would turn it around but in the last maybe 5-6 weeks they are now 3.5 games out of first place. (They are cheating again) Just kidding, they just are a good team and just got off to a really bad start this year. They are 1 game above 500 after having a record back 3-4 weeks ago like under 20 wins and like 30+ losses.
I can agree it’s a good time to be a braves fan
Im a dodger fan, but phillies 84?!!!! Wins. 94-99
Reds 4th in the central is absolutely insane
No kidding. The way I see it they undoubtably have the highest ceiling in the NL Central
@@zacktheexception1198 That doesn't mean they're likely to hit that ceiling. They also have one of the lowest floors. The projections are just trying to guess the 50th percentile outcome.
There floor was probably closer to last year unless all there pitching is injured again they where 28th best n pitching
They lost me when the Orioles went from 101 wins to 87 after getting better
Yeah as a Yankees fan I feel like were definitely gonna have a good season but it’s gonna really hard to take the division from them I think there the front runner as it stands right now
Probably expecting a sophomore slump I guess
I think it’s more about the division evening out then the orioles necessarily getting worse. They have all the AL East teams finishing above 80 wins, which means it’s hard to have someone win over 95 games
their offense is average, they got so lucky last year, they won so many close games
1, projections are inherently conservative, its giving you a 50th percentile outcome and rookies are hard to project of which the Orioles are going to have a few. 2. The Orioles had 94 pythag wins, they weren't a 101 win talent team. 3. The AL East is fucking stacked, 87 is a lot when the bottom team is projected for 80 wins.
Don’t sleep on Milwaukee. Tampa Bay of the NL, they know what they’re doing over here. Some steps forward by last year’s rookies and this team could make some noise come Sept/Oct.
8:03 that’s a stretch but I agree the Nationals will be better but if they finish in 4th the Mets will be last lol not the Marlins
Lol Dodgers haven't won since 88. Guess you forgot getting cheated out of 2017 and the covid season. Guess it's better than 86. 😅
You seem to ignore the fact that the Dodgers won the 2020.
What do you think of the Giants adding Jorge Soler? Do you think that will help bump them above the .500 season?
What’s the specific reasoning for the Astros having a “down year”?
Solid lineup, with no players really declining. Outstanding back end of the bullpen. We have so many starters we don’t even know who will make the 5 or 6 man rotation.
SP’s -
Verlander
Valdez
Javier
Brown
Urquidy
France
McCullers (Mid season)
Garcia (Mid season)
The only question is middle relief, in which is still not terrible.
Relievers-
Seth Martinez
Montero
Bielak
Dubin
Sousa
(Forrest Whitley most likely)
Back end-
Bryan Abreu
Pressly
Hader
Just curious.
Good argument tbh. I agree with you
2023 was a down year.
@@myitbos1335 Astros won the division (which this video is about) and went 7 games in the ALCS.
Not winning the AL is a “down year?” 😆
@@Nicholas-HTX Didn't win 100 games. Didn't go to the Series. Yep. That's a down year.
@@myitbos1335 pretty good problem to have when your team’s “down year” is making it to final 4 teams.
assuming something killing the padres is not having outfielders at all when they will likely add an upgrade
we defo won a chip in 2020 mark, c’mon give us some credit!! and we winning this chip this year. go dodgers!
Lol, the Braves hate 😂😂😂. Last season, getting punked by the Phillies hopefully pushes them over the edge. Winning the World Series.
Dodgers won a World Series a few years ago
Covid, doesn't count
“Degrom’s not gonna pitch”
Literally threw yesterday
😂
I think they’re saying August, barring any setbacks.
Dodger's actually won a WS in 2017 as well as 2020. 2020..... Same playoff format as any other year. The 60 game REGULAR season (?) yeah, Dodger's had best record in MLB, as well as best team on paper. So ...162 game season in 2020, would what(?) LA would not win the division? LMFAO. They ALWAYS win the division, decidedly!
Your making me love baseball Marc!
Such a great sport
Marc, the ALC is not wide open. You bought into the media hype that the additions of Wacha, Lugo, and Renfroe are going to make the Royals a playoff team. They should win about 70 games. And as for the Twins, losing Sonny will hurt, yes, but we also should expect bounce backs from Correa and Buck, plus with a full year of Royce, Julien, and Wallner, our offense will be fine. Plus, Ryan and Ober looked good last year at times, and with Paddack as the 4th starter, we will be fine there. Our pen is going to be silly good, and even if our starters struggle, we have prospect capital to make a move at the deadline
as a royals fan i agree the twins are still locks to win the div but i do believe we can win at least 75-80 games
@@bradyerker I think 70 is reasonable because you guys won 56 last year I believe. I just find it hard to believe that you guys think you will improve by 20 wins
@@bennettdean7555 we finished the year playing like an 80 win team over the least month or so, and our record is a bit deceiving. our base runs record was 66-96, so really we are improving by 10-15 wins. with a new pitching staff and breakout performances we could definitely be in that 80 win range
You destroyed your whole video by saying the Dodgers haven’t won a World Series since ‘88.
That’s something a troll on Facebook would do, NOT someone who has a professionally done UA-cam channel like yours.
Who won the 2020 World Series?
Hint: An opinion isn’t part of that answer!
Hold tf up! You’re a Mets fan and you’re saying The Dodgers are chokers? 😂😂😂 the audacity! The Dodgers won in 2020 you know the same year your team failed to win. And let’s say for giggles haven’t won since 88, you guys last won in 86 and how many championships do the Mets have compared to The Dodgers? 😂. Last one there’s a reason why there’s a saying that goes “of course The Mets cause they’ll always find a way to be The Mets”. When the biggest take away over the last 40 years is Bobby Bonilla day you have to ask yourself what are you doing as a franchise? 😂
Marc out here randomly hating the Marlins LOL I do love the content though
As a marlins fan, it triggered me. I know this team is tough to watch, even harder to be a fan… but damn!
We still have good pitching Eury, Luzardo, Braxton, Cabrera, Rogers, Meyer, Sixto ** 😂
@@Tony97548exactly. Lets go Marlins
As a nats fan, I am currently crying in my corner
There’s no way we’re worse than oakland
If we can go .500 this season, ill consider it a success. If our farm system can stay healthy and our star players can shine, I think 2025 we can at least be a Wild Card team. Our pitching is a big issue though. Wish we'd sign Trevor Bauer for cheap
At least yall got a World Series recently. The farm system is looking great too.
Srry dude
@@ravenclawnatsfan exactly, much better than the white sox too
The Dodgers haven't won since 88? 2020? 🤔
Stay mad 😂
You said the Dodgers haven't won the World Series since 1988 but they won it 2020
Mickey Mouse world series in a 60 game season
@@DumbTigerthat’s funny, what were the other teams’ excuses?
@@Perfectly_Cromulent351 I don’t know but I do know they haven’t won one in a 162 game season since 1988 🤷♂️
@@DumbTiger funny how no one holds that against all the other shortened season World Series winners.
@@Perfectly_Cromulent351 that’s because the only other 2 shortened seasons to have a World Series was in 1972 and 1981 which would you look at that 1981 was the Dodgers. The other one is the Athletics but they got their own problems right now.
lol I love the hate that Mark has for the Braves. It feels good. Go Braves! 😎
“Dodgers haven’t won since 1988” … oh gawd give me a break .. I used to like your channel but that comment is just ridiculous. Every team had a chance to win . But since it was the dodgers , I guess it doesn’t count 🙄
shortened season win doesn’t really count
As a Twins fan- we got worse. Our ownership group cut our payroll in anticipation for a TV deal that ended up not happening, and then they announced they still aren't spending the money on players. The Pohlads don't care about winning, just about building a good enough roster to still sell tickets.
my rankings
sorry if i did math worng i did this all in my head
AL EAST
1 yankeas 96-66
2 BAL 93-69
3 TOR 89-73
4 TB 84-78
5 BOS 80-82
AL CENTREL
1 twins 87-75
2 tigers 83-79
3 royals 77-85
4 GUA 75-87
5 chw 68-94
AL WEST
1 TEX 99-63
2 SEA 94-68
3 HOU 91-71
4 LAA 70-92
5 oak 57-105
NL EAST
1 ATL 104-58
2 PHI 100-62
3 NYM 82-80
4 miami 78-84
5 nats 76-86
NL CENTREL
1 reds 92-70
2 chc 85-77
3 STL 81-81
4 MIL 79-83
5 pit 76-86
NL WEST
1 LAD 108-54
2 SF 89-73
3 SD 84-78
4 AZ 83-79
5 col - 59-103
Don't see Seattle winning more than 90. The Astros are fully healthy and got better, one of the best teams in baseball on paper. Don't see philly winning 100 games with that mediocre lineup outside of the top four. Reds ain't winning 92 games with that rotation, adding crap pitchers doesn't make them better
Mariners slept on
“Phillies bullpen is ok” they had a top 5 bullpen last year and didn’t lose anyone but go off Mark
The Dodgers haven’t won since 88. Mets haven’t won since 86. What’s the problem with the Mets Marc?
@gregdiamond6023 they suck... just like the dodgers. Pretty easy logic to follow I think
That's not logical more like rational,logical thinkers gather as much information as possible and asses the facts, if u had done so u would admit that Overall the Dodgers have been regular season Beasts for quite a while and have been in the postseason every year for a decade since new owners and boast Nineteen Pennants 7 WS titles 8 if u count the one they were cheated out of in 2017 by the Houston 🗑️ trashcan bangers. 16:28 16:28
@@DogerslLakersKingsRamsLA Don’t cry. I don’t care how many times they’ve been to the postseason or what beasts they are during the regular season. It you want cry with the excuse that they were cheated one year. What about this decade of postseason failure. They choke every year and their billion dollar spending spree won’t change that. They haven’t won in 36 years.
In my option the brewer or pirates will win the NL central
Why do we still question how good the astros are??? Adding Yainer diaz as a starting catcher that alone gives us 10 more wins. Pitching struggled at the end of the season but theyll be back and rested and ready to go. Altuve wont be injured before the season. Yordan will do yordan things and hopefully be healthy the whole season. We now have one of the best closers in baseball to pack it up in the 9th. And theres more
As a cubs fan there’s no way we go under .500
As a cubs fan I think we can. We haven’t done ANYTHING
Are you confident giving morel, madrigal and Busch consistent starting spots? Bring back belli and bring in Chapman and then we’re looking like a playoff team
“Dodgers haven’t won since ‘88” 😅
The Mets last one 1986 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@Mr1stcatthat’s what I said lmao
It’s true!!! A real World Series at least
@@braves4life25 hope yall have same energy for astros. If not more
And the Astros didnt win in 2017.
Maybe one day I'll be mature enough to hear you say "nice" to 69, and not giggle.
As a Cardinals fan, I agree with the assessment of our rotation. Outside of Sonny Gray, a great signing, the rotation has an upside of mid and a HUGE DOWNSIDE. Myles Mikolas as your #2 is not a playoff rotation so even if you win the division you aren't going anywhere.
The Lynn and Gibson signings were very weird because they both seem like guys that would have still been available now in February and they were signed almost immediately. That took up two rotation slots before you even knew what the pitching market was going to look like. They didn't have the flexibility to sign someone whose price was lower than expected or make a trade for someone who was available for a reasonable return.
Marmol is not a top manager in the league, and I'm starting to have severe questions about the front office as well. They have made some great acquisitions in the past, but maybe the league has passed them by at this point.
I'm a Cardinals optimist so I can see the team winning 90-95 games and the division if they get healthy seasons from their key players, but I could also see them as a third place team hovering around .500 if things don't work out for them.
I don't see a repeat of last year's sub .500 season and if that happens they need to clean house in the front office, manager, coaches, and older players to rebuild with new leadership around the young core that they have been building.
Given the lack of market action, I'd be happy if the nats were around the same as last year...it's also the last year of that ridiculous corbin contract
Even as a Blue Jays fan, I gotta admit, I'm not too confident in them this year unless we sign some bats. Sure JT and IKF are nice to have as DH and Utility guy respectively, our pitching is in a good spot imo, but our offence needs some improvements
If you're gonna shit on the Dodgers at least get their roster right you forgot ab Teoscar Margot and Lux. The actual roster is as follows:
Smith Barnes: catcher
Freeman: 1B
Betts: 2B
Luz Rojas: SS
3B: Muncy
Teoscar: LF
Outman: CF
Margot Heyward: RF
with CT3 Vargas as depth
SP:
Yammamoto
Glasnow
Buehler
Miller
Sheehan
Paxton
Kershaw
with Knack (late in the szn) Ryan Stone Grove as depth
Bullpen
Phillips
Graterol
Brasier
Kelly
Treinen
JP Feyereisen
Yarborough
Gage
Vesia
Vanasco
Hurt
Varland
Hudson (minor league contract)
This guy is a mets homer LMFAO 🤣 you can't expect him to be an iota of serious they're just as bad as annoying Padres fans
Speaking as a lifelong Cardinals fan... yeah, I can't disagree -- Oli Marmol is honestly my biggest concern going into the season. The Cardinals start off with an insane schedule of 18 games in 20 days that includes two trips to the west coast and basically all against playoff teams. If the team starts off with some tough losses, it's not hard to imagine a third year in a row where Marmol's response is to insult his players openly by name to the media and immediately tanks any team chemistry or motivation.
Yes, it's true.
They haven't won since 88.
Mickey Mouse rings don't count.
Gavin Lux will be the dodgers shortstop
Padres are slept on still a playoff of team
Dodgers won a few years ago before 88
Lol cardinals prediction is insane
Makes me really wonder what the formula is. Years of experience? Lol
@@eberlchl bounce back seasons from Nolan and Goldy I guess?
“Last place and I wouldn’t have flinched.” 😂😂By your Pirates logic then the Brewers are as bad as the Nationals. 90+ wins and NL Central Champs to WORSE THAN THE PIRATES without a pitcher who is on the downswing. Come on dude.
Marc, I can’t tell you this with confidence, the Astros will not be having a down year
even as a Jays fan, I'd swap our wins with their wins, hell the Orioles might even win another 90+
the "alec bohm stinks" aged like milk. maybe it's just a hotstreak but a .358 doesn't seem that bad
No 2020 love for the Dodgers lmao
You’ve said it’s gonna be a down year for the Astros for like 5 years straight 😂😂😂 see you in the ALCS
11:10 they had pitching it just kept getting injured last season
Bro thinks the brewers could get 5th place in the central💀
As a jays fan, we’ve had a shit off season, I’m very disappointed in them.
HAW HAW
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Orioles finished 4th honestly, they are a very young team that over exceeded expectations last year, and only addressed Burnes to their pitching. I can definitely see them taking a step back. I hope they prove me wrong, but I’ve seen many young teams in all sports do that
Orioles definitely played above expectations last season but they addressed the weakest part of their roster now by adding Burnes and warming up G Rod. I think they are due for a bit of a regression lacking star power but not much. I still see them at the very least finishing 2nd as I see the Rays and Jays regressing. In 2023 the Rays rode so much on the momentum of that insane start but in the absence of that they’re a high 80s win team which is what I expect them to finish around.
As a blue jays fan, I do not believe we’re going to finish 2nd in out division. We’re gonna blow this year because management haven’t done anything to help improve the team
With reds young pitching coming back this year I really think that they missed on the reds. Definitely going to be a team to keep an eye on
Pirates bouta surprise everyone. Oneil Cruz, Ke’Bryan Hayes, and Henry Davis are gonna take huge steps if they can stay healthy. I think pirates can make a wild card spot only problem would be our starting pitching, our bullpen is great and our offence I think is gonna be amazing
Feels like the cardinals are projected towards their ceiling. With the pitching, they’re gonna have to out hit people a lot
Yeah, they seem like a sub 500 team to me. But who knows? They have a lot of young players to look at and their pitching may be better than we think...then again, I might win the lottery without buying a ticket...LOL
Justice for Washington fans
You know these predictions are terrible when the Mets aren’t even in first place
Marc when the season starts up again I really loved when you did 3 games in 24 hours
More or those type videos PLEASE
13:05 If we can lose Freeland and Gomber quickly to season-ending injuries, then the Rockies can possibly challenge the A's for the best team in the MLB as far as losses are concerned.
I think people are underratting how important Monty was to the Rangers run. If they didn't have him in the rotation, imo they for sure don't make the WS, let alone win it.
I wanna believe the royals can win more than 70 games, they’ve done so much this offseason as a fan I’m excited but not overconfident on being competitive. Knowing how their schedule starts for April/may I wouldn’t be surprised if 2 10 game losing streaks happen before June and all the FA signed get traded away.
Houston has the nasiest bullpen in the league now
You guys will be a nuisance to a lot of teams for quite a while …. Yankee fan here btw …. Idc about that cheating shyt … you guys do have a lot of talent. I’m assuming you’re a Houston fan