95% Confidence Interval

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  • Опубліковано 5 жов 2024
  • How to calculate the 95% confidence interval and what it means.
    Watch my new 95% Confidence Interval video:
    • 95% Confidence Interval

КОМЕНТАРІ • 217

  • @MattDearing
    @MattDearing 8 років тому +136

    You explained in 9 minutes what my professor attempted to explain in 50. Thanks for the video, very helpful.

    • @jessicapeach3503
      @jessicapeach3503 7 років тому

      same! thank you SO MUCH

    • @hummttydoo6053
      @hummttydoo6053 2 роки тому

      Hope your prof doesn't see your comment 😂😂

    • @sneakyrifle5031
      @sneakyrifle5031 2 роки тому

      @@hummttydoo6053 been 5 years they don't care anymore XD

  • @polishhammer1992
    @polishhammer1992 11 років тому +200

    To answer everyone's question about the 1.96. If you go to a Z table and go to 1.96. The percentage is .975. Because the distribution graph is two tailed meaning there is a chunk of area filled in at BOTH ends of the bell curve we multiply the .025 difference by 2 to get 5% 100-5% is equal to 95%.
    Long Story short. The 1.96 is a z score for 95%

    • @KeitaroTime
      @KeitaroTime 10 років тому +39

      Thank you. Besides the teacher not explaining that this was a great tutorial. However missing that part in the explanation is big and WILL confuse people.

    • @pumaroyillty
      @pumaroyillty 6 років тому +3

      how do you know that 95% is 1.96? is there a rule or something telling us that 95%=1.96 on the CI?

    • @awindaphilip
      @awindaphilip 6 років тому +2

      Ryan Butuyan
      You have to check the z table!

    • @betinaaksoz6246
      @betinaaksoz6246 5 років тому +2

      seriously thank you

    • @seanlinehan8478
      @seanlinehan8478 4 роки тому

      Thanks lad!

  • @MrWafflesOfficial
    @MrWafflesOfficial 9 років тому +17

    I think you just saved my life. I have a stats exam tomorrow and this is exactly the kind of explanation i needed! Thank you!!

  • @dontebuchanan828
    @dontebuchanan828 9 років тому +53

    the 1.96 is the critical value of 95%.
    kind of like the 68-95-99.7 rule it goes
    if it was asking for say 90% this time it would be 1.645
    90%-1.645
    95%-1.960
    99%-2.576
    the percent is your confidence and the number following is the critical value or z* of your confidence.
    correct me or explain it better if I am wrong (I'm just learning this in my stats class) but thats to my best understanding!!!

    • @JAFFER3657
      @JAFFER3657 8 років тому +2

      +Donte Buchanan you are right but for those who can't understand or have problem in finding z score can just memorize these 3 intervals 90%,95% and 99% the exam problem will surely be based on these three intervals

    • @huntersikari
      @huntersikari 8 років тому +1

      +Jaffer Zaidi Hi Can you please tell what's up with 90 % and 99 % ?How do we calculate this one?

  • @Alkahlout
    @Alkahlout 9 років тому +5

    Explanation behind 1.96:
    The z chart(google it if you dont know what it is) has 1.96= .975. In a bell curve graph, there are two areas that need to be accounted for.
    These areas are called the critical region. The critical region begins at a certain point on the graph where it would not agree with the 95% confidence level.
    Since the population or sample mean is ALWAYS labelled on a bell graph as 1, So you subtract 1-.975= 0.025.
    Since the bell graph displays the mean at the center of the graph(which is 1), its going to stem off into two different directions, and you are going to be left with two numbers that will be equal to or less than a percentage that would make the confidence interval less than 95%. So when you get 0.025, you multiply it by 2 to get 0.05 or 5%.
    The reason he didn't explain himself is because hes probably at a level in math where that number isnt explained anymore and is taken for granted. I am watching this video to try and understand stats a little better, so bear with me if I left out any information related to the discovery of 1.96.

  • @lauralundberg5149
    @lauralundberg5149 9 років тому +9

    Thank you for posting this! It's helping me study for my stats test better than my notes or textbook can.

  • @Vickyboo27
    @Vickyboo27 6 років тому

    After so many other UA-cam videos, I finally understood it because of the way you explained it with no difficulties. Thank you!!

  • @tsheringgurung4077
    @tsheringgurung4077 12 років тому

    This steps are one of the longest step in finding the confidence interval. Simply use the formula, finding the z value i.e 1.96 . x-E

  • @dylanmerema7121
    @dylanmerema7121 3 роки тому

    this is ten years old to the day but was exactly what i needed. thank you

  • @kekeke4077
    @kekeke4077 3 роки тому

    Thanks for the video! Im struggling to find some videos like this because I cant follow what my teacher taught me. Happy to find your vid. Thanks!
    Edit: Oh my God! After watching this vid I try what you taught me and it work!!! Thank you so much! You save me for not having 0 on my test tomorrow! Thankssss!!!!

  • @idkweirdchic4960
    @idkweirdchic4960 9 років тому +1

    You sir are seriously a god. I happen to have a very good math teacher, but this shes terrible at explaining!!!! You have saved me so much time and effort

  • @FrankenBerry_BSC
    @FrankenBerry_BSC 8 років тому

    youtube tutors are so helpful. When I was doing my undergrad I spent hours and was clueless, now I take 5-10min and understand perfectly

  • @Pimpin0225
    @Pimpin0225 8 років тому +1

    you my friend get a thumbs up, i kept getting lost on the math break down you made it nice and simple!

  • @Mona-ue5uk
    @Mona-ue5uk 9 років тому +10

    Thank you thank you! Very well explained. Thanks for teaching it at a novice level. I definitely don't want become a staticitican. Just want to comphrend it.

  • @lorenzoceresa99
    @lorenzoceresa99 3 роки тому

    In my stats manual = "Perhaps the most common mistake is:" A 95% CI has a 95% probability of holding the true but unknown population parameter of interest" The term "confidence" does not refer to a single confidence interval, but to all confidence intervals that can be constructed from the same population, using the same calculation procedure. If you would calculate a mean and 95% CI for each sample, then 95% of those CIs would contain the true but unknown population mean."

  • @joekickass52
    @joekickass52 8 років тому +5

    Youre a real hero. I have an exam in 10 hours and have been stressed and trying to understand it all day. Thank you

    • @mathwithmrbarnes
      @mathwithmrbarnes  8 років тому

      +joekickass52 hope your exam went well! This is why I love making videos. I made this and posted it in 20 minutes and a lot of people have used it. Great stuff!

  • @bridgettwiley-davis970
    @bridgettwiley-davis970 2 роки тому

    You've given me Hope that I didn't have! Thank you so much🎊🎊🎉

  • @justionuble
    @justionuble 7 років тому +1

    Thanks for showing me the simple step I missed!

  • @crackmalta
    @crackmalta 11 років тому +2

    For those who are asking about the 1.96. To explain it as best I can, you need to draw a normal distribution curve. Now the area under that curve is 100% but here we have the confidence interval of 95%. 100-95 = 0.05 (take it in decimal form). Divide 0.05 by 2 to distribute it evenly on both result being 0.25. 0.5 - 0.025 =0.475. From your Table you will find that 0.475 = 1.96. Sorry if this explanation wasn't mathematical, i have a hard time with this subject as it is xD

  • @justinguan2307
    @justinguan2307 9 років тому +1

    That recording popout is covering some numbers, it gets kind of frustrating, but you explained it okay enough for me to get the gist of it.

  • @Annchene7
    @Annchene7 7 років тому

    A random sample of 49 lunch customers was taken at a restaurant. The average amount of time the customers in the sample stayed in the restaurant was 45 minutes with a standard deviation of 14 minutes. 1. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the true average amount of time customers spent in the restaurant? 2. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the true average amount of time customers spent in the restaurant? 3. Dscuss why the answers in Parts (1) and (2) are different? 4. With a .95 probability, how large of a sample would have to be taken to provide a margin of error of 2.5 minutes or less? Entire solution

  • @KaitlynxBabe
    @KaitlynxBabe 5 років тому

    helping me in 2018! thanks mr. barnes! ur funny and super informative! im gonna ace my exam!!!

  • @shawn199500
    @shawn199500 12 років тому

    This video is great, what a simple explanation all in under 9 minutes! Fantastic Thank you!

  • @kateulveling5121
    @kateulveling5121 7 років тому +1

    This was so helpful and easily explained! Thank you!

  • @LGseeker
    @LGseeker 10 років тому +1

    there is a simpler way to do this I think. First you need to find the SEaverage. SEaverage = StDv divided by the square root of the number of draws
    StDv = 1200
    Number of draws = 50
    sooo...The 95% C.I = 57,000 (+-) 340....which is (56660,57340) :) this is a rough estimate..

  • @heraNbUdDHikA
    @heraNbUdDHikA 10 років тому +22

    how to find 1.96 in table??

    • @heraNbUdDHikA
      @heraNbUdDHikA 9 років тому +3

      ***** Thanks to you. I passed this subject in my university.

    • @thatDamnAusWhoFan
      @thatDamnAusWhoFan 9 років тому +2

      +Nour Alawad Yes, thats what it says in my textbook as well, but HOW exactly do you get 1.96. I just want to know so I can figure it out for other percentages

    • @cheyannehatley9852
      @cheyannehatley9852 8 років тому

      +Shane Thompson There is a chart, usually. If not you can look one up.

  • @mckenzyjohnson589
    @mckenzyjohnson589 7 років тому +1

    thank you, this saved my life for my math final!

  • @straightjalabi
    @straightjalabi 12 років тому +1

    Mr. Burns? .... Excellent...

  • @davida6146
    @davida6146 7 років тому +1

    if the sample size is less than 30, you can use a t-table to approximate the CI

  • @aksbhavsar52
    @aksbhavsar52 9 років тому +1

    Thumbs up for you buddy
    You work hard with mouse 😅
    But it worth a lot for us
    Thanks man
    Keep it up

  • @jjhollier
    @jjhollier 10 років тому +21

    Confidence level of .95/2 = .4750 the corresponding z value is 1.96

    • @asharyaable
      @asharyaable 10 років тому

      you are so smart.... everyone else is commenting utter bs. *high five*

    • @tomthetitan101
      @tomthetitan101 6 років тому

      thank u bro

    • @Maps4346
      @Maps4346 5 років тому

      Thanks . You read my mind

  • @Yassin-Ghassan-Taha
    @Yassin-Ghassan-Taha 8 років тому +1

    Thank you for this useful explanation...

  • @maxmaccarthy1546
    @maxmaccarthy1546 7 років тому +1

    Well, this was super helpful. Looks like I'm not failing my statistics test.

  • @Snout007
    @Snout007 7 років тому +1

    good video. Explained way better than Khan academy

    • @Snout007
      @Snout007 7 років тому

      Honestly it's a breath of fresh air. All these videos explaining this in so much complexity and you just did it and I completely understand it now.

    • @mathwithmrbarnes
      @mathwithmrbarnes  7 років тому

      +benukysz Thanks!

  • @sarabovo2151
    @sarabovo2151 6 років тому +14

    It's not that you are 95% confident. You are 100% confident that in 95% of cases the mean will fall within the interval...

    • @elijahgreen7054
      @elijahgreen7054 6 років тому +10

      Sara Bovo incorrect, it's bad stats practice to ever say that you're 100% confident on anything

    • @colinminor1393
      @colinminor1393 6 років тому

      yikes

  • @newinfo77
    @newinfo77 9 років тому +1

    Thank you for this tutorial. I was struggling with this until I found your page.

    • @noelginez4358
      @noelginez4358 6 років тому

      Zeely Stewart 至太克里特島國際小姐持負面

  • @rotichn4858
    @rotichn4858 11 років тому

    with excel, 1.96 is gotten by 95%=0.95;
    Now taking one halve of the standard table :) ,we have
    0.95/2=0.475; and
    0.5-0.475=0.025; finally,
    -1.96=NORM.S.INV(0.025)

  • @davia1013able
    @davia1013able 8 років тому +1

    Thanks so much! Really appreciate this video

    • @mathwithmrbarnes
      @mathwithmrbarnes  8 років тому

      +davia1013able thanks for watching! Best of luck in your studies!

  • @alainamiller1563
    @alainamiller1563 6 років тому

    thank you thank you thank you mr barnes, I understand now

  • @mathwithmrbarnes
    @mathwithmrbarnes  12 років тому

    @iVerbalMurder 95% of the area under the normal curve lies within about 1.96 standard deviations of the mean.

  • @elizabethvasquez1024
    @elizabethvasquez1024 3 роки тому

    That was cool,do another one

  • @heraNbUdDHikA
    @heraNbUdDHikA 10 років тому +1

    Loud and clear.Thank you.

  • @silverbullet831
    @silverbullet831 11 років тому +10

    why do you use 1.96 if we know our degres of freedom? wouldnt we look that up and see that use like 2.004 since df is 49? this statistic shit is so all over the place

  • @hejiahan7095
    @hejiahan7095 6 років тому

    Mr. Burn?..... excellent

  • @ramirez2378
    @ramirez2378 7 років тому

    thank you so much now I know the correct answer to the question I got wrong in my quiz

  • @xane1990
    @xane1990 12 років тому

    learnt something after 3months of just going to class and having no idea what was happening

  • @shhshh8917
    @shhshh8917 5 років тому

    Thanks for the video ... very helpful. But bruh ... the way you was saying X bar had me dyyyyinggggg lmaoooo

  • @bustaj.
    @bustaj. 4 роки тому

    Thank you! Clear and concise

  • @faceofheartfailure
    @faceofheartfailure 9 років тому +1

    This is a great help

  • @jonathancomputer
    @jonathancomputer 10 років тому

    Thanks. This was a big help!

  • @mathwithmrbarnes
    @mathwithmrbarnes  12 років тому

    @gadalaavinash The TI- Simulator is called WabbitEmu. Search WabbitEmu in google and you can find it. I use smart notebook for my recording. There is a built in feature called smart recorder. It is very easy to use. You can download a trial version. Search Smart Notebook download in google. I tried to post the links but it wouldn;t let me. Good luck.

  • @Epsilon1247
    @Epsilon1247 8 років тому +3

    Thank you so much!

  • @letsgotomars3702
    @letsgotomars3702 12 років тому

    This is very Helpful
    Thanks sir, you save my life :D

  • @XDrSchnugglesx
    @XDrSchnugglesx 9 років тому +1

    You're my hero

  • @ariannebatallones9188
    @ariannebatallones9188 8 років тому +22

    where did you get 1.96?

    • @ahmet9446
      @ahmet9446 8 років тому +11

      %95 Confidence Interval is 1.96;
      %90 Confidence Interval is 1.645;
      %99 Confidence Interval is 2.575;

    • @FrankenBerry_BSC
      @FrankenBerry_BSC 8 років тому

      Google z table. if doing 2 tail use alpha/2, if doing 1 tail use alpha.

    • @saifullahsulaiman3482
      @saifullahsulaiman3482 7 років тому +1

      do the numbers are fix?

    • @mukherjee22
      @mukherjee22 5 років тому

      @@saifullahsulaiman3482 yes

  • @Rscapeextreme447
    @Rscapeextreme447 6 років тому +3

    where does 1.96 come from?

  • @angelinec.f.2832
    @angelinec.f.2832 5 років тому

    Question about 95 confidence interval formula?
    -20 to 0 °C
    = Accuracy 2.5 °C
    0 to 500 °C
    =1.8 °C
    500 to 1750 °C
    = Accuracy 1.4 °C
    According to what I read the uncertainty of the standard would be the resolution is true? If I have 3 readings taken with the standard: 1000, 1500 and 2000 degrees farenheit and the resolution of the standard is 1 °F What would be the steps to do the math calculation and get the uncertainty?

  • @patrickbaguley
    @patrickbaguley 12 років тому +1

    90% is 1.645
    95% is 1.960 actually
    99% is 2.575

  • @menelick007
    @menelick007 9 років тому +7

    I wonder where he got the 1.96 at the 2:25 minute

    • @JAFFER3657
      @JAFFER3657 8 років тому +6

      +menelick bowizzy 95% CI means we have to get 5% which is 0.05 and i know he just skipped the formula i can not write the same expressions on keyboard but you try to read it and formulate it:x bar + or - z(divide Remaining CI by 2) multiply by standard deviation/root of n.
      www.google.com.pk/imgres?imgurl=s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/a0/3c/65/a03c650ea3ae2f6ccccfba82ba6ef5bd.jpg&imgrefurl=www.pinterest.com/pin/454089574900344619/&h=120&w=289&tbnid=QEeNmR-JsllhDM:&docid=wFdujU3UfV6fUM&ei=fSSvVsqWL8GIaOehiOAN&tbm=isch&ved=0ahUKEwiKycC0n9bKAhVBBBoKHecQAtwQMwg0KAUwBQ
      By splitting 0.05 i.e 0.05/2=0.025 now you will have to either memorize it or try to find it by doing(1-0.025=0.975 now look it in the body/bottom of table the closest you get will be on the 1.96 intersection.

    • @mrmushroom8760
      @mrmushroom8760 6 років тому

      menelick bowizzy z table

  • @ALBANIAN4FREDOM
    @ALBANIAN4FREDOM 9 років тому

    Online Books A Consumer Reports Research Center survey of 427 women showed that 29.0%of them purchase books online.a. Among the 427 women who were surveyed, what is the number of women who said that they purchase books online?
    b. Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of all women who purchase books online.
    c. Can we safely conclude that less than 50% of all women purchase books online? Why or why not?
    d. Can we safely conclude that at least 25% of all women purchase books online? Why or why no
    e. What do the results tell us about the percentage of men who purchase books online?

  • @Chris_living
    @Chris_living 10 місяців тому

    Nice video.

  • @aleemzaman5280
    @aleemzaman5280 4 роки тому

    cheers man really helped

  • @kelliepebbles2608
    @kelliepebbles2608 6 років тому +1

    Where did the 1.96 come from?

  • @mathwithmrbarnes
    @mathwithmrbarnes  8 років тому +4

    Hey Everyone! Check out my new 95% Confidence Interval Video:
    ua-cam.com/video/que_YzwzqGo/v-deo.html

    • @stevelee897
      @stevelee897 3 роки тому

      idk why i was expecting a rick roll but thx

  • @evansmutalala5039
    @evansmutalala5039 9 років тому

    Well explained

  • @adriansaenz1817
    @adriansaenz1817 5 років тому

    amazing help thanks man

  • @zohaa.3798
    @zohaa.3798 11 років тому

    Please please can you make a quick video to find the z score of 98% significance level. It will be much appreciated.

  • @عبدالرحمنحسين-ج7ض
    @عبدالرحمنحسين-ج7ض 10 років тому

    thank you

  • @leeyan4950
    @leeyan4950 10 років тому +1

    actually...how to use z table?

  • @milenasoto4517
    @milenasoto4517 7 років тому

    Your answer is wrong. In the calculator you plugged in 1,200 instead of 12,000

  • @adamdasilva1132
    @adamdasilva1132 3 роки тому

    dude the virtual ti83 is sick. can you teach me how to do that?

  • @luthonduvane5644
    @luthonduvane5644 7 років тому

    can you help with the following problem:Assume that the annual return (in %) of a certain asset is normally distributed, with a known standard deviation of 5.3%. When a sample of 15 such returns is collected the sample standard deviation is found to be 5.5% and the mean return was found to be 11.2%. Construct a 98% confidence interval for the mean annual return of the asset

  • @mytazmohol
    @mytazmohol 12 років тому

    How did he get 1.96??
    Ans: (0.5*(1-95/100))=(1/40)*100=2.5
    now look at the Table 5 on NCST which is 2.5 is 1.9600
    Hope that helps... :)

  • @athena9357
    @athena9357 5 років тому

    Thank you sir!!!

  • @marisaperson4592
    @marisaperson4592 2 роки тому

    Awesome!

  • @shanewalsh362
    @shanewalsh362 9 років тому +1

    For the confidence level is it not N-1?

  • @gomolemokekana8727
    @gomolemokekana8727 6 років тому

    But your supposed to use a T-Distribution. Due to the fact you don't have stigma. so your t is 2.010. Why did you use z? Since we can only use z when sigma is known.

  • @iamberkcan
    @iamberkcan 9 років тому +1

    good

  • @Kalifa_TriniMom
    @Kalifa_TriniMom 11 років тому +4

    i am still confused on how u got 1.96, is there a way you can show how exactly like a calculation

  • @tarokreme12
    @tarokreme12 10 років тому +1

    THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR YOUR VIDEO, I JUST FRIGGIN ACED MY STATS HW! HALLELUJAH! *screams and jumps

  • @andrewhales9771
    @andrewhales9771 5 років тому

    Thank You!

  • @steenharsted
    @steenharsted 8 років тому

    Thank you for this explanation. Its very helpfull, but can I ask a question? What extra information did you get from calculating the 95%CI - wasnt it obvious that from looking at the 57000 hours and a standard deviation of 1200 hours that the claim from the company was not supported?

  • @laurac9119
    @laurac9119 6 років тому +1

    You lost me at 1.96! :(

  • @remusomega
    @remusomega 10 років тому +5

    Are you from Newfoundland?

    • @mathwithmrbarnes
      @mathwithmrbarnes  10 років тому

      remusomega I am. From Benoit's Cove on the West Coast currently living in St. Anthony.

    • @remusomega
      @remusomega 10 років тому +1

      *****
      Awesome! I'm currently in BC myself.
      Thanks for the videos btw, this helped during my stats class.

  • @josephineenoch6655
    @josephineenoch6655 6 років тому +1

    Sir,
    Where does the 1.96 came from?

  • @AlchemistxBankai
    @AlchemistxBankai 12 років тому

    Thanks!

  • @TheeExpendables
    @TheeExpendables 10 років тому

    I done this step and the second question for me is..
    Find the probability that a titration has a value greater than 8.13ml.
    It was done 9 times, my final answer was (7.91,8.43), mean = 8.17ml and the standard deviation = 0.04ml. Can anyone help me? Thanks.

  • @eleongo
    @eleongo 12 років тому

    but what i see from t-table is from n=40 skipped to n=60 without showing n=40

  • @gluv2008
    @gluv2008 12 років тому

    thank you sooo much!!!!

  • @malakrabhi1706
    @malakrabhi1706 7 років тому

    THANKS A LOT

  • @ZeenatZakiya
    @ZeenatZakiya 12 років тому

    wwwoooo!!
    thnqq soo much..Finally i understand this :)

  • @dimaal8477
    @dimaal8477 6 років тому

    Bless you.

  • @dororo9983
    @dororo9983 9 років тому

    thanks a lot.

  • @Kaskuseer
    @Kaskuseer 11 років тому

    wtf this is do helpful! thks

  • @latesq1
    @latesq1 9 років тому

    Is a 99% confidence level a more rigorous estimate of where a parameter is, than a 95%confidence level? Explain

  • @Joske369
    @Joske369 12 років тому

    i don't understand why sometimes n is replaced by n-1, it has something to do with the degrees of freedom but when do you have to do that?

  • @farzanapia7640
    @farzanapia7640 8 років тому +1

    how did you get 1.96?

  • @theskeptic8489
    @theskeptic8489 5 років тому

    Where is the 1.96 coming from

  • @MrStarhands
    @MrStarhands 12 років тому

    I still don't understand how to work out the Ta/2 formula?

  • @rexthebruce
    @rexthebruce 8 років тому +1

    I feel like Kelso trying to understand this...