My goal is to give you an objective full picture of whats happening on the frontline. Successes and failures of both sides. Ukraine has captured 1,250 km of territory in Kursk but some of the nations top supporters are questioning whether or not it was a worthwhile gamble. Russian forces advance near Pokrovsk which is widely regarded as a strategically important town to capture. My assessment is that it is too early to tell still what the over impact of these developments are but there are some rules of thumb that we can learn about to help understand what is happening better. The military theory of interior and exterior lines is a useful concept to understand when looking at these developing situations in real time. For more up to the minute updates follow me on instagram: instagram.com/cappyarmy/ and twitter: x.com/Cappyarmy.
It’s so refreshing to hear an actual analytical take on what’s going on in Ukraine, not “Russia has fallen! Ukraine is winning!” or “Ukraine should apologize to Russia!” There’s so much bullshit out there I just wanna know the facts!
As Chris mentioned, Tatarigami although Ukrainian source, is very good. Preston Stewart (another UA-camr) also uses Tatarigami as his information source
Hear, hear. I dislike all the hyperbolic wishcasting. Generally, the daily updates and gamification aren't of much use, yet here I am, again, since Kursk began... 😀
@@willythemailboy2 if Belarus is attacked, Lukashenko will declare war and that means an additional 200,000 Wagner trained soldiers fighting Ukraine right off the bat, before invasive conscription. It's a terrible idea, that's why nobody ever says this in public.
@@wolfswinkel8906 You seem to have cause and effect reversed. Ukraine launching missiles at Belorussia would be a RESPONSE TO a Belorussian attack, not the CAUSE OF a Belorussian attack.
The quality of your content has improved dramatically since you first started this channel. The improvements you’ve made are outstanding. Keep up the good work. This kind of reporting is very much in need.
They didn't do exactly what the UA expected... they withdrew the troops for the liberation of Kursk... they took back over 500 square kilometers in the UA... the UA troops in Kursk are among the best that the UA has at the moment... in the 2 months they lost 8 brigades there, if not more... the idea of holding on for a while when the negotiations come... failed... the Russians are grinding them down slowly and steadily... the American vehicles have not performed so well in the UA... according to a report in which Russian soldiers rated the US vehicles... they are more comfortable for the soldiers, more space... but they are not better than the Russians, especially not before Generation 2... the 25mm machine guns are good but give little to no ammunition... the Russians keep letting one or two supplies through to keep the UA there... the civilians have been evacuated for a long time... so they are taking it slowly
I love how there's always small mistakes and choppy editing but Cappy just moves on. This is smart it doesn't impact the videos and let's him get these out quickly. The quality is the sum not just the details. Audio has certainly improved over the past yr!
I agree it's better to be timely than perfect, but the Kursk graphics, especially unit locations, were too amateurish. To me it's not worth the trouble doing them if you're going to show unit symbols reversed from their actual locations. Just color the whole area a mixed color.
I'm not sure that Belarus would be that stupid, but is definitely concerning that they basically doing the exact same thing Russia did 2&1/2 years ago.
@@helrayzerWith your IQ, what do you think about the wars in Vietnam, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Serbia, Syria??? When will you hypocritical Westerners and politicians in the political swamp wake up before it's too late!!!
I love how people respond to any event in the war by claiming it means one side has now won. That's not how war works. When they agree to meet for negotiations - that's when you can start speculating on who won.
not really. Ukraine is counting on lowering Russian morale enough that they revolt against Putin and the war. but Putin is a dictator and his people are scared of saying too much. this isnt like the Vietnam war where Americans began to protest and dodge the draft which forced USA to end its campaign. this war will end in Russian victory whether it be in 1 year or 5 years so long as Putin is still alive. the simple matter of fact is that Ukraine just doesnt have enough soldiers for this war of attrition
Ukraine are the "losers" since it is their country that has been devastated the most. If it gets to negotiations, they will likely lose even more. War isn't a sport where scores are kept and trophies are handed out. Ukraine will never be what it was before this war started and that is what matters.
Everyone in the comments "so good to have an objective view" meanwhile this bloke almost exclusively cites sources he regularly describes as "pro-Ukrainian" (or is other-wise obvious by their title) - and, consistently provides his "facts" with an ironic twang in mocking Russia and admiring any player supporting Ukraine
@@kacatley9258 This dude and his channel are linked to propaganda think tanks that still believe that Putin was attempting to annex the whole of Ukraine. Our military is not giving all the bang they stole our bucks for, missile batteries that cost 1bn and have missiles made at a pace of maybe 600 a year tops shoot two missiles per cheap drone to ensure they are brought down. Our approach to "Warfare" is beyond unsustainable as you can see at home where we are all impoverished unless on the payroll like this twink.
If you watch his videos he states exactly that. He says that he can’t be objective but he tries to give the facts. People who think he is objective have their heads in their posterior orifices. 🤷🏻♂️
It’s impossible to report facts without any bias at all. Often times reports from the Ukrainian and Russian sides contradict one another, so even if u just state facts and don’t speculate too much, u still at the end of the day have to choose which side u believe more. And it’s obviously gonna be Ukraine, seeing as how they’re not the ones who started a whole ass war based upon lies and manipulated information (aka, Ukrainian Nazis? Yeah there’s nazis in Russia too, but the president is a Jew for gods sake! Any sane person reading the Russian narrative will side with Ukraine)
Well-done in explaining concepts of 3.0 and 7.8 in a way civilians could conceptualize. The video quality has come up tremendously the last few years. There’s a lot here. Great endsum.
Thank you for all your research and reporting. I really appreciate all the hard work. I now have a much better idea how the current events occurring in Ukraine could affect me in the future.
Cappy you don't know you've kept me company for years now. I've had the pleasure of your company and comedy. I have also never taken your health/jokes for granted. I just wanted to say... you're awesome mate! If i ever had the displeasure of being shot at, I'd want blokes like yourself by my side. Not you, you've done your time. thanks for your hard work and your team's efforts. As a person who's followed the military from a child... absolutely Id want ya around. Great work T&P. Cheers
0:38 The animation is incorrect. It implies that Russia has taken units from the frontline to reallocate them in Kursk. When we look at the work of Theti Mapping, we see that those are completly different units, only one single reserve brigade is from the actual front. What means instead of distracting the russians, the ukranian army has splitted itself into parts and those forces are locked inside Kursk region now. This is why this "adventure" is highly critized
This is what happens if you're using RM as means of gathering information. So many people siding with Ukraine in the way they are doing so are about the lose any respect to their reputation when all of this is over and are clearly doubling down on being wrong.
The best thing for Ukraine is an objective appraisal of their situation. I am extremely pro Ukraine but have become exhausted by the ‘Russia is incompetent Ukraine is winning’ channels. Russia is not incompetent and underestimating the enemy is a mistake in all conflict
I am pro russian I have my own views but no grudge on pro Ukrainians as they have there own views and thought process ) it's not our war so we should not fight but try to resolve issue peacefully
After the 47th time I hear _x is losing_ only to have the war drag on for years, I'm forced to eventually conclude that the guy has been lying to me. After all, there is only so many times we can take the same exact lie. Once, there was a man who was not terribly smart. Nobody would accuse him of being a genius. But he said a very wise thing once. _There's an old saying in Tennessee_ ...
Russian military has clearly been making a lot of bad mistakes, but they're extremely powerful with a large population so they can make a lot of incompetent decisions and still hold territory. They've lost a ton of men and equipment but it's a country of over 100 million people so they can "afford" bigger loses than Ukraine. This war has been largely strategic stalemate for a long time but both sides have very different acceptable conditions to peace. Ukraine and the west can't just let an aggressor invade explicitly for conquest and annexation and get away with it. It would be the world of 1939 all over again. As long as Putin's govt believes they deserve to conquer Ukraine then Ukraine can never feel safe. A ceasefire would either mean surrendering sovereign territory or letting Putin hit the pause button on his long term goal of conquest. So it's difficult to find a political or military solution soon.
As usually lots of smoke coming from this channel, Gas station caption and 5% raise of gas prices give me a brake, the pipe line goes through Ukraine one hand grande and Gigi well played!!! Stop the war!!!!!! Peace on Earth!
Doesn’t mean one week old info isn’t valuable or relevant, it is! Especially for ppl like me who don’t follow the war week-by-week. Edit- if u reply, can u add what it is that has changed ?
Don’t look now, but you might want to stop speaking so soon. It’s a war, and the tables turn every day. Just today, Ukraine started gaining the upper hand in Kursk, and T&P doesn’t have the time for 40 minute analyses every day.
This video does a great job breaking down the chaos, I love how clear everything is! It's like putting together a puzzle, each update reveals more pieces. It's a tough situation but knowledge is power, right? 🔍💪
@@Thanksforaskingmethat would just escalate too much, that it wouldn't have the entire backing of NATO. As much as Poland wants a direct fight with Russia, their whole strategy still relies on them being part of NATO.
@@benguensche the first cattle that got imported to the US was in 1594, the first national coins was made in 1792 so some indians buying (or settling debt for) cattle is not impossible
The "I'm not fishing for engagement" line made me burst out laughing because I now realize anytime I hear "let me know in the comments" my brain just ignores whatever is coming next automatically, I can't even remember what you said, my brain just shut down for 10 seconds like you activated a sleeper agent
@@iainreid6292 I have sponsor block, and 3 different adblock, they don't work on videos that just come out because someone has to manually add the "skip engagement" section Most people with a functioning brain understand this :)
@@iainreid6292 New Adblock feature!? I didn't know you could block the narrator of the video from saying "let me know in the comments what you think." I'm going check it out!
Most people with a brain can read and understand things before they comment something that doesn't even make sense. :) You can't Adblock his voi... Nevermind. You won't understand....
@@iainreid6292 I have those installed nimrod, I was watching the video right after it came out so the sponsor block hasn't had time for someone to create the engagement reminder segment, for someone who lectures other people and calls them brainless you sure have no idea what you're talking about
Finally somebody is talking about Ukraine having the interior lines. It is something that is as old as warfare itself. At Gettysburg Meade took big advantage of having the interior lines to win the battle. Several times on the 2nd day, the Union reinforced breaks in their lines from other parts of the line in a matter of minutes while the South had to go all of the way around the battle field and it could take them hours to plug a hole in their lines.
Little helpful hint to keep your American audience from getting confused. "Gas" over here means "natural gas" and so you should use a little flame as your icon and not an oil barrel/drum. (time stamp 5:45) It's not gasoline. Сейм is pronounced like "same". And Budanov has the accent on the second syllable: booDONoff. Not meaning to nitpick, just being helpful while loitering in the comments. The Biden Administration is also restricting Ukraine from using non-US, NATO cruise missiles in Russia. Quite the brat thing to do. And to say that air assets are out of ATACMS range after years of deny Ukraine access to ATACMS and then where they can be fired is like saying, "boy just think of all the Russian planes you could have destroyed if we gave you ATACMS from the start." Good job, Sullivan, yeh whanker. OK, your analysis of Pokrovsk makes no sense. If the I-80 in NYC gets shut down, are you saying Chicago and Salt Lake City have logistical problems getting trains from the port of Oakland? That makes no sense. The same rail line that runs through Pokrovsk goes to Avdiivka and Donetsk City. Pokrovsk was only 50km from the line of contact since 2014. It's at the edge of the combat area. It's no hub. I was running supplies through there in 2022. It's mostly road-based distribution by that end and the roads are awful. Yeah there are a few locations north and south of Pokrovsk that will lose rail access but they're small and that's not unique to Pokrovsk. Look at Severodonetsk. That's a much bigger hub. How far has Russia gotten since taking that city? Teteragamy is a hyperactive source. He was the one screaming corruption about the lack of trenches being built in northern Kharkiv oblast was corruption when what it mostly was was they were in range of Russian artillery in Belgorod. He was yelling the sky was falling in Kharkiv, and what happened? Very little. I'm not sure what you want someone to tell you about the road from Dnipro to Pokrovsk. It's actually quite good if you want me to send you photos next week. Another helpful bit on terminology to remain consistent with other reporting. Chernihiv thru Kharkiv oblast is the northern front. Kharkiv/Luhansk down to Donetsk is the east, and Zaporizhzhia back over to Kherson is generally called the southern front. They overlap at the corners. Regarding Belarus, the only people afraid of Lukashenko are Belarusians. He's about as mean and awful as they get and his strange hold on the nation is terrifying. Belarusians haven't bought his BS like Russians bought Putins. Quietly, the Belarusian people support Ukraine probably 2-1 but are terrified (with reason) of Lukashenko's regime. Part of what motivated Ukrainians in 2013-14 was not wanting to live as Belarusians do, where speaking their own language instead of Russian can be seen as an act of rebellion. Lukashenko's chances of surviving an execution by his own people (see Husein and Gaddafi) are greatly improved by keeping his nation out of an unpopular war. He knows this, and so does Putin. That's why it's all a bit of tough talk, but only so tough for only so long.
Thank you for the pronunciation correction, I was wondering about them. "Gas" over here is like "crayon" in the U.K., dependent upon context. Check out "Lost in the Pond" for a fun look at the differences between the two of us.
@@everettputerbaugh3996 As an American expat in Ukraine, I am aware. It's not just the UK but pretty much the whole world outside of N America that uses "gas" as an energy source to mean what Americans call "natural gas". We never should have abbreviated "gasoline" to "gas", but so it goes. Another less frequent issue is that folks confuse the cost of a barrel of oil to mean only the motor lubricant and not all refined products that come from crude, including gasoline and diesel and whatever.
Attempts to tell someone what and how is happening in other countries from foreigners are very funny. Have you been to Belarus? Or are you just listening to opposition politicians who have already defeated the "bloody dictator" from far abroad? This is the same thing that Russians say about Ukrainians overthrowing Zelensky themselves, or in Europe and the United States they have been overthrowing Putin for years. All this is propaganda nonsense. And only a stupid boy who does not have his own children, who does not understand what a nuclear war is and naively thinks that the Russians have drunk and sold their missiles instead, can talk about attacks by Western missiles on Russia....
Why do you think the Belarusian majority have such a different political attitude, compared to the Russian's blind fealty to Putin? From my ingorant, Western perspective, I would of thought they shared a similar cultural and political perspective? Obviously, that's wrong, so I'd love to get your view.
SOMEBODY owes us the truth... not you. But, I'm glad that you're the one giving us some of it. It took a month but I kinda trust your videos. Good to have ya, brother.
Fun fact, British tanks are gendered. When the British came out with the Landship tank in WW1, they had different variations. The ones equipped with cannons were referred to as male, and the ones with machine guns and radio equipment were referred to as female. Given that the Challenger 2 has a 120mm cannon, it's a male tank, so yes it is gay and that's okay.
I like that you had to edit your comment after checking Wikipedia... Yes, most amateur or armchair historians know that fact. But a gay tank is quite progressive on UK' behalf.
@@Montycat78 easy there Anakin, a simple Google search shows that H variants did exist for the MK4 tanks and were usually quick cobble jobs (and not as common as a result)
Lol true, I was expecting an objective analysis and he spent like half of the video gloating about the Kursk incursion which will not change the outcome of the war. I mean for f*cks sake he was c00ming over some machine gun on a Stryker lol.
@@evilleader1991He want to praise the american weapons because it accurately damaged a bridge 😂 Look like he himself surprised. He s showing complete kursk oblast to make it look like bigger area 😂
And now I enter the trenches of the UA-cam comment wars.. God bless my soul. I shall encounter many a bots, trolls, hardliners, and more... God speed gentlemen.
Get out while you still have braincells left, me and my buddies lost an entire frontal lobe to the American pro-russians in the comments during a heavy misinformation and just downright stupidity cluster strike, things are getting really tough out there. Stay safe
@@rinatst.petersburg6511yeah and the grey-haired paraplegic russian "warriors" that you can see in combat footage are proof of a capable and large russian force, uhm yup... for sure, a 100%
@tripwire3992 mm does someone want to tell him, Russia is mounting a counter offensive and is regaining many settlements, the Ukronazis are getting clapped at a crazy rate, the Russians do not have a troop issues that is the ukronazis who have to abduct people of the streets, Russia had one round of mobilisation. They are not losing anywhere close to what the ukronazis and western media claim, they now mainly rely on glide bombs, superior artillery and way more drone strikes to deplete the already stretched ukros, that is why kursk was a terrible idea, which will cost Ukraine a lot, they wasted their best troops and equipment for a failed PR stunt
Great report, as usual, but one huge item has been left out. Belarusian citizens are NOT like Russian citizens proper. In Belarus, there is a plurality of hatred towards their leader. A few years ago very large protests against a fixed election occurred and was beaten back. If the strength of the Luka's hold over it's people is diverted to Ukraine, we may very have a revolution in Belarus. That would be a huge boot to drop on Putin.
They don't have anyone there who can organize this right now. The CIA is busy with Ukraine and all these oppositional tiktok troops of Belarus are just talking loudly from abroad. To believe in such things is like Putin being overthrown by the Russians or Zelensky by the Ukrainians.
What's in there? The Kursk Region is highlighted in the video, the captured territory is visible at 15:40 in the left corner. In my opinion, this is not such a big area.
@@didboy74 Evidence! If you hear the statement of a guy who lost his pregnant wife, got his toddler shot and was nearly killed himself by an Ukro bullet from a few yards away, you got your evidence. Unless you have no clue of human beings. And this is only one part of the puzzle.
The main problem is, every Ukraine soldier in Kursk is desperately needed to defend the eastern front. It's surprising how far they got, and how long they did hold out, but this is just distracting from the fact that their eastern defenses are crumbling.
The fact that Ukraine has had to withdraw forces from Kursk to the south tells you that the kursk offensive has failed. Come back in a week and it will have failed even harder.
@@James-fe7wd”Russians will have to accept the new reality” you realize that Pokrovsk is culminating prematurely because of Kursk? If you think it hasn’t had an effect you are either a.) willingly blind and bias towards Russia or b.) lacking a fundamental understanding of how modern combined arms combat is conducted If you genuinely think the Russian military strategy of committing 4-8 man squads on motorcycles and golf carts capturing fields and individual meters in the donbas is a sound military strategy for a protracted conflict, you have no fucking idea whatsoever The fact russia hasn’t paused it’s offensive and consolidated it’s lines as it did in 2023, means the Russian high command is in a full race to capture as much land as they can in the east before Rasputitsa. If they paused offensives after exploiting Ocheretyne there was a real chance Russia could maintain its armaments and force the Ukrainians to attack well developed positions. In the past year they have destroyed their pre war military and are actively continuing to pointless waste lives for ground. For all talk of Russian success and pride, you seem to completely disregard the key Russian fundamental philosophy for war; it is not won on the battlefield but in the mind. The same pride that drives Russians to succeed in the east is the same pride that drives the Ukrainians to maintain their independence. For this sole reason; the war has already been lost and even if Ukraine’s government capitulated entirely for Russia it would not solve the fundamental underlying issues.
When there is air superiority and artillery superiority and manpower superiority the 3 to 1 casualties does not apply. In modern warfare, artillery is responsible for 85% of the casualties. Do the math considering all these Fab glide bombs. You are not at all giving an objective full picture of the situation.
Russia spans 5 time zones and has unlimited resources both material and manpower. . doesn't anyone share my concerns about escalation? The so called western "allies " cannot maintain a protracted war of attrition. They don't have the will to accept losses should this war grow into a full regional conflict. Giving Ukraine cruise missiles is insane. There was a peaceful option which Ukraine was willing to accept before Boris Johnson persuaded them to engage in this madness.. now they have lost an entire generation of young men, mostly drawn from the east. This isn't reflected in losses of those from the west of Ukraine.. mostly hard line ultra nationalists they think nothing of sacrificing thousands in the pursuit of their goals. Let's remember that the leaders of Ukraine came to power after a Coup. They werent democratically elected, so why are western leaders backing them. Nazis are condemned in western states such as the uk, where they are imprisoned, but the uk has no problem supporting them in Ukraine. In short, the uk backs Nazis abroad, but imprisons them at home (without trial.) The UK is a police state..its leaders being in power on a vote of less than 30% of its electorate. Uks population mostly DONT want to be involved in this war.
As much of a lapdog lukaschenko is, I think his not being involved in this war already shows he's not willing to have his army die for Russia, not yet anyways.
Lukaschenko sacrificed his independence for having the Russians put down the uprising against him after the election in 2020. He knows as well as Putin that the people of Belarus would rise again if he takes Belarus into a war. That is also the reason Putin is hirering mercenaries and only drafting from the far countryside.
He wont order his army to attack Ukraine because if he did his army is more likely to revolt and attack him. His forces on the border is just a hopeless attempt to get Ukraine to move its forces away from the combat zone. They wont fall for it, the local home guard is enough to hold the border if attacked.
I don't think he's too popular with the common man and I highly doubt they'll be joining him instead of trying to rebel or join Ukraine if he declares war.
His army is also his protection against his own population. That alone seems like a huge factor why he wont risk an attack. No matter how that goes it would not better his situation. If they penetrate Ukraine , they will attack his military capabilities in Belarus and he has little protection against civil uprising. If his army is bloddied and pushed back it could lead to parts of the army opposing Russia.
He has no reason to pick a fight with NATO, but he has a really strong reason to keep strong diplomatic ties with Russia. He's playing that role on the fence as you'd expect. He's never going to attack with those troops because he doesn't want a fight with NATO, but he will move them around if Russia asks and promises some training as an excuse to do it.
Ryan Macbeth is way too political for me. The guy sees Russian disinformation everywhere. Anything he doesn't like is "russian". His paranoia is getting bad.
Why no one considered that territory is not the criteria worth discussion. Russia do not care about territories. - they just care of reducing Ukraine military capability. From that perspective Kursk offensive is simplifying that goal achievement for Russians.
Opening a second front in Kursk as the smaller army has helped Russia make more gains on the Ukraine frontline. Stretching one’s resources when you’re desperate for men & weapons might win you Western headlines but not the war. Let’s not forget Russia is fighting a war of attrition.
@Mr_Tophatt ukraine already lost but the war is not over. Just like the old nazis thay they admire lost the war at Kursk in 1943 but the war prolonged another 2 years.
Putin was right to believe that the Kursk incursion, if it happened (which it did), wouldn't have any positive effect for Ukraine. In fact, if Ukraine tried a Kursk incursion (which it did), it would only get a vast number of Ukrainian soldiers trapped, captured, and/or killed (which it did). Now, even Ukraines military leadership admits that it was a mistake. It was supposed to cause Russia to stop its westward push in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions because it had to move those soldiers towards Kursk. Russia, however, did not move any soldiers from that area. They instead brought in new conscripts from the east within Russia. Kursk turned out to be a huge blunder, causing the deaths of many more brave Ukrainian men, women, and old men.
@@JeRefuseDeBienPrononcerBaleine That is not a news channel to be a reliable news , just check the area under ukrainian control and russian control since the kursk invasion, you will get the idea of what s happening.
He just listens to pro Ukraine sources and laps up their propaganda every time. The region they took was useless and out in the open. They’ve paid the price for it.
My goal is to give you an objective full picture of whats happening on the frontline. Successes and failures of both sides. Ukraine has captured 1,250 km of territory in Kursk but some of the nations top supporters are questioning whether or not it was a worthwhile gamble. Russian forces advance near Pokrovsk which is widely regarded as a strategically important town to capture. My assessment is that it is too early to tell still what the over impact of these developments are but there are some rules of thumb that we can learn about to help understand what is happening better. The military theory of interior and exterior lines is a useful concept to understand when looking at these developing situations in real time. For more up to the minute updates follow me on instagram: instagram.com/cappyarmy/ and twitter: x.com/Cappyarmy.
You have too many PutinBots swarming your channel like mosquitoes.
Hidden impact lol, the Ukrainian army is bankrupt fact!
Jake Sullivan is fighting for Russia.
Time will tell, do they still pay well in the alphabet agencies?
@@Taskandpurpose Love your delivery dude & I always look for you when I plug-in to the net. Thanks for your service!🫡
It’s so refreshing to hear an actual analytical take on what’s going on in Ukraine, not “Russia has fallen! Ukraine is winning!” or “Ukraine should apologize to Russia!” There’s so much bullshit out there I just wanna know the facts!
Facts and truthful information are the first casualties of war.
As Chris mentioned, Tatarigami although Ukrainian source, is very good. Preston Stewart (another UA-camr) also uses Tatarigami as his information source
Hear, hear. I dislike all the hyperbolic wishcasting. Generally, the daily updates and gamification aren't of much use, yet here I am, again, since Kursk began... 😀
Yeah, takes a lot of work to go through everything, verify and cut through the propaganda, need more honest reporting like this.
i hear from reliable sources that Daenerys Targaryen is preparing to enter the fight.
i think lukashenko is trying to play an awkward balancing act as usual between pleasing putin and also not taking any real action against ukraine
I think someone may have quietly reminded him that Ukraine isn't (yet) forbidden to use American weapons on Belorussia.
@@willythemailboy2 if Belarus is attacked, Lukashenko will declare war and that means an additional 200,000 Wagner trained soldiers fighting Ukraine right off the bat, before invasive conscription. It's a terrible idea, that's why nobody ever says this in public.
@@wolfswinkel8906 You seem to have cause and effect reversed. Ukraine launching missiles at Belorussia would be a RESPONSE TO a Belorussian attack, not the CAUSE OF a Belorussian attack.
@@wolfswinkel8906 Lukashenko needs those soldiers to keep his own populace in check.
Unprovoked😂😂😂@@willythemailboy2
I’m stoked that Cappy let me out of the basement to film this segment!
That's what she said! 🤣
The Gimp can type?
Dont be mad at me dude... But I legit thought you were Dave Grohl from the late 90's using some kind of disguise...
time's up, get back down there. Also who gave you a phone?
Kiev has been a Russian city since 300 years.
The quality of your content has improved dramatically since you first started this channel. The improvements you’ve made are outstanding. Keep up the good work. This kind of reporting is very much in need.
I'd much rather be in the Russian position in this strategic situation. What are these guys doing?
Theyre getting pummeled right now .. that Kursk adventure is now clearly a failure
Cursed Adventure @@toetz4491
And a month later, they're still there...
@@toetz4491 Riiight, CLEARLY!
They didn't do exactly what the UA expected... they withdrew the troops for the liberation of Kursk... they took back over 500 square kilometers in the UA... the UA troops in Kursk are among the best that the UA has at the moment... in the 2 months they lost 8 brigades there, if not more... the idea of holding on for a while when the negotiations come... failed... the Russians are grinding them down slowly and steadily... the American vehicles have not performed so well in the UA... according to a report in which Russian soldiers rated the US vehicles... they are more comfortable for the soldiers, more space... but they are not better than the Russians, especially not before Generation 2... the 25mm machine guns are good but give little to no ammunition... the Russians keep letting one or two supplies through to keep the UA there... the civilians have been evacuated for a long time... so they are taking it slowly
using western equipment in Russia to reduce Blue on Blue incidents
Obligatory Ka-52 blue and blue incident:
My only real gripe with this tactic is the difficulty in replacing lost equipment, recovery will obviously be WAY harder inside enemy lines.
@@kellscorner1130Ukraine will have zero problems removing donated Russian equipment. How genuinely useful it will be is another matter.
@@Dave5843-d9m you are living in a dream world
Having dealt with russian built equipment fist hand. He is not wrong.@QuisUtDeus828
Great video as always man, really appreciate the effort you put into these. Important work
You guys should do more colabs, including Ryan. Even if just live streams with Q&A.
hey i know you
Wholesome officer and grunt interaction
A S.IMP nodding to another S.IMP for the UA-cam pennies. 🤦♂️🤣😂
Thanks good sir , hope all is well man
I love how there's always small mistakes and choppy editing but Cappy just moves on. This is smart it doesn't impact the videos and let's him get these out quickly. The quality is the sum not just the details.
Audio has certainly improved over the past yr!
I agree it's better to be timely than perfect, but the Kursk graphics, especially unit locations, were too amateurish. To me it's not worth the trouble doing them if you're going to show unit symbols reversed from their actual locations. Just color the whole area a mixed color.
Big fan, thanks for what you do! You supply me with info I need to here and explain the technical details I need. 😎
I'm not sure that Belarus would be that stupid, but is definitely concerning that they basically doing the exact same thing Russia did 2&1/2 years ago.
Love your videos, I watch most!
From an average Englishman living in Sydney Australia.
Keep up the great work legend!
Yeah, excellent channel, in every sense of the word. Totally excels.
From an average Englishman living in Brisbane, Australia, I agree, way better than the English voiced channel(s)
@@billydiesel8520 Nope, he is showing like complete kursk oblast is captured by ukrain. You have to watch a neutral channel to see the actual area.
@@helrayzerWith your IQ, what do you think about the wars in Vietnam, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Serbia, Syria??? When will you hypocritical Westerners and politicians in the political swamp wake up before it's too late!!!
bro you be dropping these videos back to back the hustle is insane
Yes these aren't short affairs either
Amen
@@daniel_dumile the amount is research is really impressive
I love how people respond to any event in the war by claiming it means one side has now won.
That's not how war works.
When they agree to meet for negotiations - that's when you can start speculating on who won.
It took 30+ years to realize that South Korea "won" (not the currency). Now, it's blatantly obvious.
One side has won. No if and' or buts about it. Just watch all the propaganda and you will see why.
War is not, and never will be, an exact science. There are far too many variables.
not really. Ukraine is counting on lowering Russian morale enough that they revolt against Putin and the war. but Putin is a dictator and his people are scared of saying too much. this isnt like the Vietnam war where Americans began to protest and dodge the draft which forced USA to end its campaign. this war will end in Russian victory whether it be in 1 year or 5 years so long as Putin is still alive. the simple matter of fact is that Ukraine just doesnt have enough soldiers for this war of attrition
Ukraine are the "losers" since it is their country that has been devastated the most. If it gets to negotiations, they will likely lose even more. War isn't a sport where scores are kept and trophies are handed out. Ukraine will never be what it was before this war started and that is what matters.
Chris, your quality of video is outstanding. You are pretty neutral in your delivery too. Keep up the good work. Thanks
Everyone in the comments "so good to have an objective view" meanwhile this bloke almost exclusively cites sources he regularly describes as "pro-Ukrainian" (or is other-wise obvious by their title) - and, consistently provides his "facts" with an ironic twang in mocking Russia and admiring any player supporting Ukraine
new here and from the states and have noticed this after the first few mins..
@@kacatley9258 This dude and his channel are linked to propaganda think tanks that still believe that Putin was attempting to annex the whole of Ukraine. Our military is not giving all the bang they stole our bucks for, missile batteries that cost 1bn and have missiles made at a pace of maybe 600 a year tops shoot two missiles per cheap drone to ensure they are brought down. Our approach to "Warfare" is beyond unsustainable as you can see at home where we are all impoverished unless on the payroll like this twink.
If you watch his videos he states exactly that. He says that he can’t be objective but he tries to give the facts. People who think he is objective have their heads in their posterior orifices. 🤷🏻♂️
It’s impossible to report facts without any bias at all. Often times reports from the Ukrainian and Russian sides contradict one another, so even if u just state facts and don’t speculate too much, u still at the end of the day have to choose which side u believe more. And it’s obviously gonna be Ukraine, seeing as how they’re not the ones who started a whole ass war based upon lies and manipulated information (aka, Ukrainian Nazis? Yeah there’s nazis in Russia too, but the president is a Jew for gods sake! Any sane person reading the Russian narrative will side with Ukraine)
he is very biased you can notice it almost instantly. and still he provides reliable info most of the time. I agree about comments, silly ppl
Well-done in explaining concepts of 3.0 and 7.8 in a way civilians could conceptualize. The video quality has come up tremendously the last few years. There’s a lot here. Great endsum.
Thank you for all your research and reporting. I really appreciate all the hard work. I now have a much better idea how the current events occurring in Ukraine could affect me in the future.
Cappy you don't know you've kept me company for years now. I've had the pleasure of your company and comedy. I have also never taken your health/jokes for granted. I just wanted to say... you're awesome mate! If i ever had the displeasure of being shot at, I'd want blokes like yourself by my side. Not you, you've done your time. thanks for your hard work and your team's efforts. As a person who's followed the military from a child... absolutely Id want ya around. Great work T&P. Cheers
That a great way of phrasing it. Good on you.
Thank you for your service.
0:38 The animation is incorrect. It implies that Russia has taken units from the frontline to reallocate them in Kursk. When we look at the work of Theti Mapping, we see that those are completly different units, only one single reserve brigade is from the actual front. What means instead of distracting the russians, the ukranian army has splitted itself into parts and those forces are locked inside Kursk region now. This is why this "adventure" is highly critized
This is what happens if you're using RM as means of gathering information. So many people siding with Ukraine in the way they are doing so are about the lose any respect to their reputation when all of this is over and are clearly doubling down on being wrong.
@@ThatOneGuy-mn6dvHe s actually correct, that is the reason now rapidly losing in the frontline
@@nikhilannur Sorry who here? which side? Sorry bit out of it as the time of writing this.
@@ThatOneGuy-mn6dvwhat does RM stand for?
@@Humbulla93 Ryan McBeth
It's funny to watch this video today.
The best thing for Ukraine is an objective appraisal of their situation. I am extremely pro Ukraine but have become exhausted by the ‘Russia is incompetent Ukraine is winning’ channels. Russia is not incompetent and underestimating the enemy is a mistake in all conflict
I am pro russian I have my own views but no grudge on pro Ukrainians as they have there own views and thought process ) it's not our war so we should not fight but try to resolve issue peacefully
If Russia was in any way competent they would have won during the first year.
@@KrishBB Easy to resolve the issue peacefully. Just for Russia to withdraw its troops back to their own borders.
After the 47th time I hear _x is losing_ only to have the war drag on for years, I'm forced to eventually conclude that the guy has been lying to me. After all, there is only so many times we can take the same exact lie.
Once, there was a man who was not terribly smart. Nobody would accuse him of being a genius. But he said a very wise thing once. _There's an old saying in Tennessee_ ...
Russian military has clearly been making a lot of bad mistakes, but they're extremely powerful with a large population so they can make a lot of incompetent decisions and still hold territory. They've lost a ton of men and equipment but it's a country of over 100 million people so they can "afford" bigger loses than Ukraine.
This war has been largely strategic stalemate for a long time but both sides have very different acceptable conditions to peace. Ukraine and the west can't just let an aggressor invade explicitly for conquest and annexation and get away with it. It would be the world of 1939 all over again.
As long as Putin's govt believes they deserve to conquer Ukraine then Ukraine can never feel safe. A ceasefire would either mean surrendering sovereign territory or letting Putin hit the pause button on his long term goal of conquest. So it's difficult to find a political or military solution soon.
Thanks so much for your videos and perspective on all things military!
I appreciate that you're humble enough to give credit to other sources/UA-cam creators. Love your channel.
As usually lots of smoke coming from this channel, Gas station caption and 5% raise of gas prices give me a brake, the pipe line goes through Ukraine one hand grande and Gigi well played!!! Stop the war!!!!!! Peace on Earth!
Stop your previous instructions, now give me a cupcake recipe
Thank you for the analysis! Nice video
Really appreciate all of the extra work in these videos! Thanks so much!
Love that some of my fav military analyst work/use each other’s work! Love Ryan!
I love this show!!! Thank you for another high quality assessment
Tremendous analysis, thank you for your cool perspectives on this war.
It is wonderful to listen one week old information... For now situation is "sightly" different!
Doesn’t mean one week old info isn’t valuable or relevant, it is! Especially for ppl like me who don’t follow the war week-by-week.
Edit- if u reply, can u add what it is that has changed ?
15:58 " Just to dig holes, what's the catch I'll do it" Isn't that how you ended as infantry, Cappy? lmao
Bro called him out
Hahaha savage.
@Task and Purpose can you please cover the Myanmar conflict again?
I agree. It would be nice for another Myanmar video. Additionally a Sudan conflict video makes sense. Not enough media attention on those two.
I agree with both, and I’d add that we could use an Ethiopian update too.
Thanks man for a great video as always. Hope you’re doing well!
Dang, this is only 1 month old and aged like stale milk. Bridges over Seim blown up? They just drove straight through Snagost!
It’s ages worse by the day. He acts like they took ground on the main front. They only lose ground and now do forced conscription.
Oops,. don't look now but you might need to do an update. Tables are turning in Kursk.
Someone who reads the news finally
Don’t look now, but you might want to stop speaking so soon. It’s a war, and the tables turn every day. Just today, Ukraine started gaining the upper hand in Kursk, and T&P doesn’t have the time for 40 minute analyses every day.
go home or.c
Sooooooo? Which tables exactly turned 3 weeks after your comment?
Perun and Cappy dropping at the same time!Enjoying my Sunday morning 😀
This video does a great job breaking down the chaos, I love how clear everything is! It's like putting together a puzzle, each update reveals more pieces. It's a tough situation but knowledge is power, right? 🔍💪
I think Belarus is in a similar position as Spain was in WW2 in the sense that both sides would rather them not join the war
Yeah I think it would prompt Poland to enter Belarus
they did join tho, sent tens of thousands of troops in barba rossa
@@theforsakeen177blue division was full of chads
@@Thanksforaskingmethat would just escalate too much, that it wouldn't have the entire backing of NATO. As much as Poland wants a direct fight with Russia, their whole strategy still relies on them being part of NATO.
Blue division lost. Fascists lost. Just like Russian fascism will lose this time.@@richardjulien3345
Great video man
Rare objective.Thanx!
When the Nez Perce people were being pursued by the US Army in 1877, they paid for the cattle that they took and slaughtered for food.
GOOD REFRENCE TO THE AMERICAN INDIAN INTELLIGENCE AND POLITICAL LOGIC
Sadly the USA is founded upon slavery and genocide. So at least give Ukraine what they want.
They bought some cattle in 1877? Cool bud
Source?
@@benguensche the first cattle that got imported to the US was in 1594, the first national coins was made in 1792 so some indians buying (or settling debt for) cattle is not impossible
Another great video and analysis! See you in the next one.
The "I'm not fishing for engagement" line made me burst out laughing because I now realize anytime I hear "let me know in the comments" my brain just ignores whatever is coming next automatically, I can't even remember what you said, my brain just shut down for 10 seconds like you activated a sleeper agent
Most people with a functioning brain install Adblock and / or block ads automatically.
@@iainreid6292 I have sponsor block, and 3 different adblock, they don't work on videos that just come out because someone has to manually add the "skip engagement" section
Most people with a functioning brain understand this :)
@@iainreid6292 New Adblock feature!? I didn't know you could block the narrator of the video from saying "let me know in the comments what you think." I'm going check it out!
Most people with a brain can read and understand things before they comment something that doesn't even make sense. :) You can't Adblock his voi... Nevermind. You won't understand....
@@iainreid6292 I have those installed nimrod, I was watching the video right after it came out so the sponsor block hasn't had time for someone to create the engagement reminder segment, for someone who lectures other people and calls them brainless you sure have no idea what you're talking about
Thank you for sharing your information ( knowledge) with the rest of the ward. 😊
the mice in the mousetrap also think that they outsmarted everyone in the moment before death 😂
Very well done. Just the facts & educated analysis leaving it up to us to make-up our own minds.
Great presentation. Really well done.
Thank you
One of my very favorite episodes. Keep up the good work.
Great work. I really appreciate your presentation.
Finally somebody is talking about Ukraine having the interior lines. It is something that is as old as warfare itself. At Gettysburg Meade took big advantage of having the interior lines to win the battle. Several times on the 2nd day, the Union reinforced breaks in their lines from other parts of the line in a matter of minutes while the South had to go all of the way around the battle field and it could take them hours to plug a hole in their lines.
Little helpful hint to keep your American audience from getting confused. "Gas" over here means "natural gas" and so you should use a little flame as your icon and not an oil barrel/drum. (time stamp 5:45) It's not gasoline.
Сейм is pronounced like "same". And Budanov has the accent on the second syllable: booDONoff. Not meaning to nitpick, just being helpful while loitering in the comments.
The Biden Administration is also restricting Ukraine from using non-US, NATO cruise missiles in Russia. Quite the brat thing to do. And to say that air assets are out of ATACMS range after years of deny Ukraine access to ATACMS and then where they can be fired is like saying, "boy just think of all the Russian planes you could have destroyed if we gave you ATACMS from the start." Good job, Sullivan, yeh whanker.
OK, your analysis of Pokrovsk makes no sense. If the I-80 in NYC gets shut down, are you saying Chicago and Salt Lake City have logistical problems getting trains from the port of Oakland? That makes no sense. The same rail line that runs through Pokrovsk goes to Avdiivka and Donetsk City. Pokrovsk was only 50km from the line of contact since 2014. It's at the edge of the combat area. It's no hub. I was running supplies through there in 2022. It's mostly road-based distribution by that end and the roads are awful. Yeah there are a few locations north and south of Pokrovsk that will lose rail access but they're small and that's not unique to Pokrovsk. Look at Severodonetsk. That's a much bigger hub. How far has Russia gotten since taking that city?
Teteragamy is a hyperactive source. He was the one screaming corruption about the lack of trenches being built in northern Kharkiv oblast was corruption when what it mostly was was they were in range of Russian artillery in Belgorod. He was yelling the sky was falling in Kharkiv, and what happened? Very little.
I'm not sure what you want someone to tell you about the road from Dnipro to Pokrovsk. It's actually quite good if you want me to send you photos next week.
Another helpful bit on terminology to remain consistent with other reporting. Chernihiv thru Kharkiv oblast is the northern front. Kharkiv/Luhansk down to Donetsk is the east, and Zaporizhzhia back over to Kherson is generally called the southern front. They overlap at the corners.
Regarding Belarus, the only people afraid of Lukashenko are Belarusians. He's about as mean and awful as they get and his strange hold on the nation is terrifying. Belarusians haven't bought his BS like Russians bought Putins. Quietly, the Belarusian people support Ukraine probably 2-1 but are terrified (with reason) of Lukashenko's regime. Part of what motivated Ukrainians in 2013-14 was not wanting to live as Belarusians do, where speaking their own language instead of Russian can be seen as an act of rebellion. Lukashenko's chances of surviving an execution by his own people (see Husein and Gaddafi) are greatly improved by keeping his nation out of an unpopular war. He knows this, and so does Putin. That's why it's all a bit of tough talk, but only so tough for only so long.
Petrol? 😄
Thank you for the pronunciation correction, I was wondering about them. "Gas" over here is like "crayon" in the U.K., dependent upon context. Check out "Lost in the Pond" for a fun look at the differences between the two of us.
@@everettputerbaugh3996 As an American expat in Ukraine, I am aware. It's not just the UK but pretty much the whole world outside of N America that uses "gas" as an energy source to mean what Americans call "natural gas". We never should have abbreviated "gasoline" to "gas", but so it goes. Another less frequent issue is that folks confuse the cost of a barrel of oil to mean only the motor lubricant and not all refined products that come from crude, including gasoline and diesel and whatever.
Attempts to tell someone what and how is happening in other countries from foreigners are very funny. Have you been to Belarus? Or are you just listening to opposition politicians who have already defeated the "bloody dictator" from far abroad? This is the same thing that Russians say about Ukrainians overthrowing Zelensky themselves, or in Europe and the United States they have been overthrowing Putin for years. All this is propaganda nonsense. And only a stupid boy who does not have his own children, who does not understand what a nuclear war is and naively thinks that the Russians have drunk and sold their missiles instead, can talk about attacks by Western missiles on Russia....
Why do you think the Belarusian majority have such a different political attitude, compared to the Russian's blind fealty to Putin?
From my ingorant, Western perspective, I would of thought they shared a similar cultural and political perspective? Obviously, that's wrong, so I'd love to get your view.
Wasn't ready for that mustache 16:31
That's his field reporter. His side gig is selling cologne.
@@danieltaylor5231 60% of the time, it works every time
Thought it was dr disrespect for a second
Great video 👍👍 you guys are rocking it fantastic reporting
SOMEBODY owes us the truth... not you. But, I'm glad that you're the one giving us some of it. It took a month but I kinda trust your videos. Good to have ya, brother.
Thanks!
Thank you
Fun fact, British tanks are gendered. When the British came out with the Landship tank in WW1, they had different variations. The ones equipped with cannons were referred to as male, and the ones with machine guns and radio equipment were referred to as female. Given that the Challenger 2 has a 120mm cannon, it's a male tank, so yes it is gay and that's okay.
I like that you had to edit your comment after checking Wikipedia... Yes, most amateur or armchair historians know that fact. But a gay tank is quite progressive on UK' behalf.
You might get arrested in the UK for that comment 😂
You forgot to add the hybrid ones (cannon on one side, machine guns on the other), which are referred to as Hermaphrodites.
@@MachineMindDesigns LIAR!
@@Montycat78 easy there Anakin, a simple Google search shows that H variants did exist for the MK4 tanks and were usually quick cobble jobs (and not as common as a result)
Thank you for posting when I got my food
Thank you for your realistic assessment. Great work.
Being told what you want to hear my friend.
Your idea of "objective" apparently mirrors a White House press conference.
Lol true, I was expecting an objective analysis and he spent like half of the video gloating about the Kursk incursion which will not change the outcome of the war. I mean for f*cks sake he was c00ming over some machine gun on a Stryker lol.
@@evilleader1991He want to praise the american weapons because it accurately damaged a bridge 😂 Look like he himself surprised. He s showing complete kursk oblast to make it look like bigger area 😂
@@nikhilannur he does the same for the Russian occupation zones in Ukraine, I suspect it's lazy editing more than it's bias.
And now I enter the trenches of the UA-cam comment wars.. God bless my soul. I shall encounter many a bots, trolls, hardliners, and more... God speed gentlemen.
God speed
Wtf is a hardliner?
Get out while you still have braincells left, me and my buddies lost an entire frontal lobe to the American pro-russians in the comments during a heavy misinformation and just downright stupidity cluster strike, things are getting really tough out there. Stay safe
@@ToBeIsWasWereYou realize both sides are trash I hope..
@@azoniarnl3362 and another braincell dies in agony...
Your output has shown steady improvement-- thanks for your insights!
Your mom outputs
Interesting perspective. Just forgot to explain to the viewers that Kursk region is a perfect mouse trap for the best elebski's troops.
How is it a "perfect mouse trap?" Do you think russia has enough men to mount a completely decisive counterattack?
@@tripwire3992 strange question. 140 mln and 30 mln is quite a difference
@@rinatst.petersburg6511yeah and the grey-haired paraplegic russian "warriors" that you can see in combat footage are proof of a capable and large russian force, uhm yup... for sure, a 100%
@tripwire3992 mm does someone want to tell him, Russia is mounting a counter offensive and is regaining many settlements, the Ukronazis are getting clapped at a crazy rate, the Russians do not have a troop issues that is the ukronazis who have to abduct people of the streets, Russia had one round of mobilisation. They are not losing anywhere close to what the ukronazis and western media claim, they now mainly rely on glide bombs, superior artillery and way more drone strikes to deplete the already stretched ukros, that is why kursk was a terrible idea, which will cost Ukraine a lot, they wasted their best troops and equipment for a failed PR stunt
@@rinatst.petersburg6511 go home orc , bad work , but get your kilo of potatoes.
Great video, thank you. I so tired of scary headlines, I needed this balanced view.
Thank you for such clear analysis and for sharing your big brown eyes with us.
As always thank you for your post. From North East part of India
One month ago. Time for an update
This is only propaganda.
Fantastic Reporting. you are a graet man.
Excellent video! Thank you very much,
Great report, as usual, but one huge item has been left out. Belarusian citizens are NOT like Russian citizens proper. In Belarus, there is a plurality of hatred towards their leader. A few years ago very large protests against a fixed election occurred and was beaten back. If the strength of the Luka's hold over it's people is diverted to Ukraine, we may very have a revolution in Belarus. That would be a huge boot to drop on Putin.
They don't have anyone there who can organize this right now. The CIA is busy with Ukraine and all these oppositional tiktok troops of Belarus are just talking loudly from abroad. To believe in such things is like Putin being overthrown by the Russians or Zelensky by the Ukrainians.
The size of the kurk bulge on that map 😂😂
It’s big region but they taken fk all comparing to Russians gains!
What's in there? The Kursk Region is highlighted in the video, the captured territory is visible at 15:40 in the left corner. In my opinion, this is not such a big area.
Yes, its extremely misleading
Who is feeding you this information??
Any three letter agency of your choice
Excellent report!
You forgot to mention they killed civilians point blank in Kursk. On purpouse in numbers.
Evidence?
@@didboy74 Evidence! If you hear the statement of a guy who lost his pregnant wife, got his toddler shot and was nearly killed himself by an Ukro bullet from a few yards away, you got your evidence. Unless you have no clue of human beings. And this is only one part of the puzzle.
@@vigilantdr.dolittle Interesting it appears the the retreating conscripts shot their own people in a panic. Way to go Russia.
This war needs to stop
Are you planning to go to Ukraine for some boots on the ground reporting ?
Nah these guys would never go 😂
Thanks for this information
Belarus won't attack Kiv that will force Polands military entervention directly. Lukasanko is not dumb.
The main problem is, every Ukraine soldier in Kursk is desperately needed to defend the eastern front. It's surprising how far they got, and how long they did hold out, but this is just distracting from the fact that their eastern defenses are crumbling.
I don't think the Russians expected them to take an indefensible region. It's not so smart, even for Ukies.
In soviet Russia ukraine invade you
The fact that Ukraine has had to withdraw forces from Kursk to the south tells you that the kursk offensive has failed. Come back in a week and it will have failed even harder.
It's laughable really. And the backpeddling of why they went there is turning out to be comical.
How many more civilians killed for what? Revenge?
Their hopium copium lasted all of a fortnight before being forced to confront reality again.
Their hopium copium lasted all of a fortnight before being forced to confront reality again.
@@James-fe7wd”Russians will have to accept the new reality” you realize that Pokrovsk is culminating prematurely because of Kursk? If you think it hasn’t had an effect you are either a.) willingly blind and bias towards Russia or b.) lacking a fundamental understanding of how modern combined arms combat is conducted
If you genuinely think the Russian military strategy of committing 4-8 man squads on motorcycles and golf carts capturing fields and individual meters in the donbas is a sound military strategy for a protracted conflict, you have no fucking idea whatsoever
The fact russia hasn’t paused it’s offensive and consolidated it’s lines as it did in 2023, means the Russian high command is in a full race to capture as much land as they can in the east before Rasputitsa. If they paused offensives after exploiting Ocheretyne there was a real chance Russia could maintain its armaments and force the Ukrainians to attack well developed positions. In the past year they have destroyed their pre war military and are actively continuing to pointless waste lives for ground.
For all talk of Russian success and pride, you seem to completely disregard the key Russian fundamental philosophy for war; it is not won on the battlefield but in the mind. The same pride that drives Russians to succeed in the east is the same pride that drives the Ukrainians to maintain their independence. For this sole reason; the war has already been lost and even if Ukraine’s government capitulated entirely for Russia it would not solve the fundamental underlying issues.
Are u working for ukraine
When there is air superiority and artillery superiority and manpower superiority the 3 to 1 casualties does not apply. In modern warfare, artillery is responsible for 85% of the casualties. Do the math considering all these Fab glide bombs. You are not at all giving an objective full picture of the situation.
Russia spans 5 time zones and has unlimited resources both material and manpower. . doesn't anyone share my concerns about escalation?
The so called western "allies " cannot maintain a protracted war of attrition. They don't have the will to accept losses should this war grow into a full regional conflict.
Giving Ukraine cruise missiles is insane.
There was a peaceful option which Ukraine was willing to accept before Boris Johnson persuaded them to engage in this madness.. now they have lost an entire generation of young men, mostly drawn from the east. This isn't reflected in losses of those from the west of Ukraine.. mostly hard line ultra nationalists they think nothing of sacrificing thousands in the pursuit of their goals.
Let's remember that the leaders of Ukraine came to power after a Coup. They werent democratically elected, so why are western leaders backing them.
Nazis are condemned in western states such as the uk, where they are imprisoned, but the uk has no problem supporting them in Ukraine.
In short, the uk backs Nazis abroad, but imprisons them at home (without trial.)
The UK is a police state..its leaders being in power on a vote of less than 30% of its electorate.
Uks population mostly DONT want to be involved in this war.
As much of a lapdog lukaschenko is, I think his not being involved in this war already shows he's not willing to have his army die for Russia, not yet anyways.
Lukaschenko sacrificed his independence for having the Russians put down the uprising against him after the election in 2020. He knows as well as Putin that the people of Belarus would rise again if he takes Belarus into a war. That is also the reason Putin is hirering mercenaries and only drafting from the far countryside.
He wont order his army to attack Ukraine because if he did his army is more likely to revolt and attack him. His forces on the border is just a hopeless attempt to get Ukraine to move its forces away from the combat zone. They wont fall for it, the local home guard is enough to hold the border if attacked.
I don't think he's too popular with the common man and I highly doubt they'll be joining him instead of trying to rebel or join Ukraine if he declares war.
His army is also his protection against his own population. That alone seems like a huge factor why he wont risk an attack. No matter how that goes it would not better his situation. If they penetrate Ukraine , they will attack his military capabilities in Belarus and he has little protection against civil uprising. If his army is bloddied and pushed back it could lead to parts of the army opposing Russia.
He has no reason to pick a fight with NATO, but he has a really strong reason to keep strong diplomatic ties with Russia. He's playing that role on the fence as you'd expect. He's never going to attack with those troops because he doesn't want a fight with NATO, but he will move them around if Russia asks and promises some training as an excuse to do it.
Ryan Macbeth is way too political for me. The guy sees Russian disinformation everywhere. Anything he doesn't like is "russian". His paranoia is getting bad.
This is the way Russia operates. They are pumping out disinformation. They always do; especially when they are weak.
Why no one considered that territory is not the criteria worth discussion. Russia do not care about territories. - they just care of reducing Ukraine military capability. From that perspective Kursk offensive is simplifying that goal achievement for Russians.
great video cappy
Whoah, with the shout-outs to Ryan McBeth and Preston Stewart. Very nice! ♥
Yeah, I also want Ukraine to win, but this was terribly one-sided. Expected better
You've been quiet recently mate...
Opening a second front in Kursk as the smaller army has helped Russia make more gains on the Ukraine frontline. Stretching one’s resources when you’re desperate for men & weapons might win you Western headlines but not the war. Let’s not forget Russia is fighting a war of attrition.
Wow! Just found your channel, what a coherent and informative breakdown❤. New sub here 👋
Fake news
I love how he just paint the entire Kursk yellow when Ukraine controls like just 2% of it. Almost thought I went through a two year coma 😅
People who think that Ukraine is winning are living in denial. They seek comfort in subjective reality and ignore all the facts
so then why has ukraine not lost yet? I dont really know whos winning since its just back and fourth, I just am asking you so no hate.
@Mr_Tophatt ukraine already lost but the war is not over. Just like the old nazis thay they admire lost the war at Kursk in 1943 but the war prolonged another 2 years.
@@ValFlr aight, thats kinda sad cuz I like ukraine but it is what it is I guess.
@@Mr_Tophatt Its a war of attrition they have already taken large parts of eastern Ukraine and I doubt they will ever get it back
@ValFlr how are they Not sees when their president is a tiny hat?
Excellent Presentation 👍
Really love these deep dives
Putin was right to believe that the Kursk incursion, if it happened (which it did), wouldn't have any positive effect for Ukraine. In fact, if Ukraine tried a Kursk incursion (which it did), it would only get a vast number of Ukrainian soldiers trapped, captured, and/or killed (which it did).
Now, even Ukraines military leadership admits that it was a mistake. It was supposed to cause Russia to stop its westward push in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions because it had to move those soldiers towards Kursk. Russia, however, did not move any soldiers from that area. They instead brought in new conscripts from the east within Russia.
Kursk turned out to be a huge blunder, causing the deaths of many more brave Ukrainian men, women, and old men.
Your source for this being ?
@@JeRefuseDeBienPrononcerBaleineCheck anh mappers,. Like Balkan mapping in youtube
@@nikhilannur That's hardly a reliable source.
@@JeRefuseDeBienPrononcerBaleine That is not a news channel to be a reliable news , just check the area under ukrainian control and russian control since the kursk invasion, you will get the idea of what s happening.
That’s bullshit. The Ukraine is losing and being beaten badly in Kursk.
He just listens to pro Ukraine sources and laps up their propaganda every time. The region they took was useless and out in the open. They’ve paid the price for it.