💲 Eurovision 2024 Odds UPDATE & ANALYSIS: 🇨🇭🇳🇱🇬🇷 climbing! | Eurovision 2024
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- Опубліковано 27 тра 2024
- I check out the latest odds for Eurovision 2024 and what has happened since my
As new countries enter the scoreboard, I take a look at how they affect the other countries as they come in, investigating the overlapping tastes between songs that could affect their results
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Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
0:34 Bottom 12
4:32 Middle 15
11:31 France
12:38 Sweden
14:27 Greece
15:57 Netherlands
17:43 Switzerland
19:05 Italy
19:54 Ukraine
20:43 Croatia
23:28 Eurovision Scoreboard
24:05 Upcoming Betting Markets
Check out my other videos:
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• My Top 37 - Eurovision...
Top 44 Countries in Eurovision:
• Top 44 Countries in Eu...
Eurovision 2023 Grand Final Analysis: Part 1:
• Eurovision 2023's plac...
Eurovision 2023 Grand Final Analysis: Part 1:
• The Ultimate Eurovisio...
Eurovision 2023 Grand Final Analysis: Part 3:
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Eurovision Hearts: Thanks to Smthngnw on Wikipedia
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Video Link: • MBB - Feel Good (Vlog No Copyright Music)
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Eurovision 2024 is so competitive! No matter the results, it's such a treat to see so many delegations giving ESC their best effort and dropping ultra quality songs 💖💖💖
yep, its so open this year, i love it. i hope it stays that way all the way to the end
Doesn't matter what happens. I haven't seen my country so united when it comes to Baby Lasagna since the world cup 2018 I think 😅
🤣🤣❤️❤️, ej ovaj cu komentar sacuvat. Mislim da je nekim drzavama ode puno vise stalo do pobjede nego nama prvenstveno jer su navikli uvik biti u vrhu, a budimo realni uvik su to iste drzave. I sad kad je na vrhu neko ka mi odma je linč. A ja ono uzivam u trenutku, nije me briga, za dva miseca nece niko vise pricat o ovome. Jedino sta ne volim uvrede, e tu se poludim. Znaju pretjerivat a Marko to nije zasluzija. Sorry sta pisem na hrv al sanjam na engleski i vise sam umorna 🤣👍🇭🇷.
Ma i meni je i dosta engleskog 😂 Decko djeluje toliko drag i skroman da stvarno ne razumijem te idiote. Ako ti se nesto ne sviđa, ides dalje i bok. U pravu si, sad kad smo mi prvi odmah su kladionice pretjerane, a prethodnih godina kad su druge zemlje koje obicno pobjeđuju prve onda su kladionice u pravu. Nema veze, mi smo navikli da nas se podcjenjuje jer smo mali. Meni nije bitno da pobijedi, naravno bilo bi super, al mi je stvarno drago da je televote na Dori pokazao da ima ogromnu podrsku doma, a to je najvaznije.
@@sucha0000 al zato je ziri italije pokaza sta misli 🤣🤦🏻♀️. S hejt komentarima se tesko nosim najvise zbog toga jer je on tako skroman i neiskusan u svemu ovome, i sta me najvise zivcira sta europa to ne razumi, on je u ovome sam. Znaci mi nemamo love za skupe stage dizajnere il sta vec, nema skupe kostime, ne iskace iz pastete niti se nameče puno, on ima svoj tim i svoju pismu koju nije produciralo pola europe. Spot mu je radila zarucnica, piva je dva puta uzivo u zivotu, bori se s panikom... znaci sa svim time bit medu favoritima je nesto posebno. I za nas sve on je vec pobjednik. Sve je to politika na kraju i natjecanje popularnosti. Neke zemlje da izbace brojalicu bile bi top 10. Raspisala sam ss sorry 🤣, al pratim ESC s prekidima vec 20 godina i znam kako stvari funkcioniraju, znam kako se boduje, znam ko prolazi, zato nema razocaranja kako proslo da proslo, jer ovakvog predstavnika nismo imali od Doris a niti cemo imati jos duze vrime. Amen 🤣👍❤️
Navijam iz Srbije 🎉 odlična pesma i sve
-How many times have you heard the Greek song "zari"?
Me: Ta ta ta ta ta ta ta ta
I'm addicted to this song, the more i hear it the more it drives me crazy! I never get tired of it, while I'm already tired of the others.
Me: too many times😂, sorry! I very much appreciate Greece's entry and love the traditional elements but for me its too noisy and maybe for the casual viewers during final it might be less approachable than some other entries. Hope it does well though👍
The ‘ta’ sound sounds extremely close to the new Roblox death sound. I can’t get over it. 😂
@@esc1074 The noisy songs for me are from the Netherlands and Croatia. Netherland's song, I can't get it to listen to the whole thing. It's a gym song and those dap dap dap sounds annoy me. Also, the Dutch language is not melodious at all, sorry, but I don't like their language at all. Croatia's song now, it's not a radio song at all, it's not danced or sung, it's a song only for the Eurovision stage, it's not for clubs, not for parties, I don't like it at all. Also, I can't hear him sing, he has no voice at all. Finally, I like Italy, but I'm already tired of it, it doesn't stand out.
@@Maira-Ma.03. Ok fair enough. Different ppl different tastes. Who are your favourites?
@@SmolAliens Hahahahahaha, that's your opinion and it's respected. To me the Croatian sounds like a rested guitar 🎸😂
I'm really glad Marko (Baby Lasagna) will be at three pre-parties. I think what could be a deciding factor is nerves, and he needs the rehearsals to calm him down and give him the confidence he needs.
Don't think pre-parties are a deciding factor usually, but having the experience and seeing the love he's getting will do wonders for him.
Yea if you want experience and to try things out - preparties are amazing
he's also performing on an award show here in Croatia that's pretty soon from what ive seen! obviously, that is pretty small and very different compared to preparties and rehearsals, but I think starting off with a (in all grand scheme of things) "small" performance in his home country could be a pretty good stepping stone for getting into the performer mindset
@@lana_1310 and he did pretty well, considering he was alone, i didnt hear any backing vocals, the music was weird, but i loved the outfit ❤️. And he jumped like a lot 🤣👍. But he needs bigger stage for sure. This HRT events are 👎
@@ANA-il6js85 i agree, he seems to be improving with his vocals rather well! the sound design and the camera shots were... well, pretty bad. but that's the croatian broadcaster for you. when talking about things he could actually control i think that he's been showing clear signs of improvement and I can't wait to see it in a more polished state!! and I agree, the outfit was wonderful 🫶
@@lana_1310 HRT is... i dont have words for them, they should be banned for life to organise anything. His breathing is def better, with all that jumping he did well, he deserves a big stage for sure, not this, our summer festival has better production 🤣🤦🏻♀️
The Staging of the Netherlands is top secret, The only thing we know is they are working really hard on it, but that’s it…
I heard they might stage with an interpreter/dancer.
Tom, you are the go-to Eurovision info. guy. Great content. Enjoy the coffee.
Thank you 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
1.Croatia
2.Greece
3.Norway
I dont believe in odds until reherseals 🤣, 2021 was an example for me. But thats the beauty if this years contest, anyone can win. As a Croat its a constant battle between my heart and my brain 🤣.
I'm from Kosovo and I'm rooting for Croatia. I really hope Baby Lasagna wins!
@@lucywhite3229 ❤️❤️❤️ 😼😼😼
Remember Eleni being 25th in the odds, but when the rehearsals came out she jumped to 1st place
@@tony0930 yeah, she was my winner that year, and look at Malta in 2021, amazing vocals but the staging was off.
I am rooting for Croatia this year
Croatia is now at 21% in the odds 😯🥰
Portugal and Serbia are so underrated....
they're both in my personal top 10, but I worry about their qualifications chances in the televote-only semis. they both should do well with juries if they get that far.
Televote-only semis just brings extra risk for all slower, less showy songs. But Switzerland managed last year, let's keep our fingers crossed!
austria is in the 12th place...thats was for you? No more🤨...you don't like austria😔
@@alexandrab142 This is not his list
Serbia top ten
Lasagna had little time to prepare for his NF performance. And look how much he improved in 48 hours! He'll do amazing in May, I believe it!
Exactly. The Dora semifinal was his first ever live performance as a singer, and the final was his second. Sure, he has work to do. But he learns quickly. If he gets good support in vocal and stage coaching, he can smash the ESC scene in May.
If he works hard in the next few weeks he’ll do great. Probably the best example of an inexperienced performer really putting their head down and grinding it out to get the best possible performance is Norway in 2014. In the MGP semis he was a nervous wreck, but by Eurovision he became a completely different performer. Because of that I always maintain that any Eurovision artist regardless of experience can improve on stage if they work hard enough.
I don't worry about Nemo being nervous, they've been on the big stage since they were little (doing musicals).
Maybe we will see the first live performance soon. 👀
I'm sorry to see Slovenia and Norway falling down the odds like that. They are still in my top five.
Slovenia is actually rising little by little
I still have them as my top two, though my top five is getting crowded & I'll likely shuffle it around soon.
Both are amazing songs...should be top 5 but hey...italy... I mean talk about average song...
Slovenia is in my top 3 with Croatia and Lithuania
Every year when Eurovision starts I search for Tom's uploads and content. In addition always commenting while remaining respectfull towards artists and entries
I will be so stoked if Croatia win, it’ll be such a fantastic underdog story that we missed out on with Käärijä last year. I think he’s got a lot of competition and Marko really needs to use the season to his advantage and get as much audience-facing experience as possible, but I’ll be so delighted if he does it, it’s my favourite this year. I’m kind of surprised about Greece being as high as it is, sonically I just don’t really get it, but it’s nice for Greece to have some success again. It’s also literally shocking to Iceland still so high in the odds, that’s a straight up non-qualifier imo so idk good luck to her I guess.
I think that Croatia has a winning story this year. From the song that was just a reserve for the national selection, through the production of the song, the video and the performance that were done by only him and his girlfriend, to the serious topic that the song brings. I think Croatia has the whole package!😊
Yep I totally agree. I just wonder if the commentators will talk about that though. Cos otherwise I don’t think people at home will know
I agree! But unfortunately, although the song is a bop, the live performance seems too messy and vocally unstable, and this might really affect his chances to win. A top 5 placement is secured tho
I don't see the whole package here...
@@alterego5824Baby Lasagna is, for now, going to preparties in Madrid, Amsterdam and London so he will have more experience in live performing the song in front of fans and I think the feedback from the crowd will boost his self-esteem and make him much more confident and relaxed on the big stage in Malmö!
none of these elements are giving winning story, it's only giving dark horse.
I still think that croatia has a big chance to win this year, and it has to be croatia cause we need a fresh breath for contest's future. This years contenders are mostly italy, the netherlands, ukraine, switzerland the three of these won the contest in 5 years, other reason it would be wonderful to see a country that never win before and a small balkan county would be even better. I dont see switzerland's winning because causal watchers wouldn't like this song as much as we eurofans did. I hope croatia and baby lasagna manage to win because i need, contest need to talk about other countries too. In this 5 years we see almost the same countries as a contenders or top10, we need to give chance to smaller countries too.
Well most boring would be Italy since that song are not on par with the other you mention. Im ok with any of the others. But I listen to them now and Mutti should be on the list also. He is a powerful singer.
@@hurmur9528 yeah definitely but i think his jury points will divide with slimane and he will not get enough televote points to win the contest thats why i didnt include him.
@@Unfortunatesoul00 Possible but I do not know. It is pretty damn good. Europapa grows on me as well. And I did not know his background until now and I did not catch that at all from the end of the song before. But I still understood it was something serious with him… it just felt like that. I have a hard time not supporting him now. Just everything from the artists charm, to the catchiness of the song (my three year old who heard some of the songs when I listened to some of the top rated songs when she played with her toys said papa can you play Europapa again) and the underlying message from him serious and fun at the same time, like we have it in Europe right now a bastion of freedom under threat.
I think the odds can change quite a lot after the first rehearsals. I remember the hype about Malta in 2021 and after rehearsals they dropped massively…I think since there is not really a clear winner this year, a lot will depend on the staging and live vocals
And thats just another proof that its not all about vocals, because she had one of the best vocals that year, its the staging also, and i remember the hype even ESC channel was hyping her, and look what happened. Nothing is certain until the end.
The pace right now is insane, I don't get how you are staying on top of everything
Croatia ❤❤❤
I don't think Croatia is exaggerated. From the moment I first heard it I felt like it just had this "special sauce", in spite of its shortcomings. I believe that this will work in its favour and that it has a good chance of winning. Especially when he polishes his performance.
he's pretty self aware that he's not the best singer in the world and I would guess getting some vocal training (plus I think they are gonna tweak the staging). I'd be shocked if it ended up being a downgrade from Dora.
@@sarahenchantedyes, he doesn't have to be either for this type of song. He is still better than Kaarija, who actually did very little singing in UMK. BL said he will combine elements from both the Dora performance and the music video and amplify everything times ten. Can't wait to see!
Love these videos. Thanks Tom.
❤️
Crazy hard year, those lives are going to be key!
I’m totally rooting for Baby Lasagne! I would love to see him smash a win.
I’m going to Greece the week after Eurovision, we’ll probably hear Marina everywhere if she wins😂
Even if she doesn't win it will be everywhere ❤🔥
Great analysis again Tom! Thanks.
❤️
this year Greece is totally worth the 1st place. Marina is a unique artist ❣❣❣❣
I saw Nemo on several swiss festival live, when they were around 18/19years old. This kid is just born for the stage and rocked 20‘000 people effortlessly.
My faves! :
Norway
Croatia
Belgium
Netherlands
Some really interesting analysis in this, great job! And you make me excited for what Joost might come up with staging-wise... also because I placed an each-way bet on the Netherlands at 50/1 the day the song was released 😅
😅love your channel.
Thanks for all your hard work
Very good analysis, always enjoy watching your videos much ❤
🙏🏻
This year is gonna have some heartbreaking NQs for sure, the competition is soooooo fierce.
I’m a rock fan and yes baby lasagna has me and my votes 😂
Baby Lasagna for the win. Go Croatia. 🇭🇷
I don't think Italy and Greece will hurt each other so much as you think. In 2021 Italy and Finland had quite same genre but I don't think it hurted them. Also i'm predicting Croatia, Netherlands and Greece as top 3 in televote with Ukraine being close with the sympathy votes. This year live performances will be more than crucial!
i think the statement " sympathy votes" has to end, this degrades anything that Ukraine sends. As a Ukr, I am rooting for Croatia, so not a huge fan of Jerry and A+A. But "sympathy votes" sound kind of offensive.
@@healthytrout well, it is true that Ukraine and Israel get sympathy votes. Ukraine deserves them, Israel doesn't. First and foremost eurovision is geopolitical
Finland got 4th in the juries last year, which just makes me confident that a hardstyle song can actually do well with the juries if it’s really well and professionally produced, and professionally presented on stage. This is why I’m confident that the Netherlands can actually win, apart from the bias towards my home country😅
Croatia can also win since it's more like Cha Cha Cha! Also, juries will accommodate for the backlash last year
Netherland can’t win because Croatia have so far better and most powerful song!🐱🔥meow
Finland last year was another level, I will never forget his energy ❤️🇳🇱
I’m pretty sure it will be elevated big time with the live performance, I’ve seen clips of Joost live and he’s a really good hype man, I’m pretty sure people will love him
@@TheManInBlueFlames There is not that much backlash. Cha Cha Cha was hyped at the time. It did not age well. Still it got good grades from the jury. I would say beeing like Cha Cha Cha is a mistake for Croatia, I do not think it is… but if people start to think that I am rather sure it will be negative (like trying to copy).
I think Netherlands have a huge chance. I see the amount of views on his video. An my three year old said she wanted to hear Europapa again after hearing like 20 seconds of the song. It is extremely catchy.
1. Croatia 🇭🇷
2. Greece 🇬🇷
3. Italy 🇮🇹
4. The Netherlands 🇳🇱.
The televote will either be won by either Croatia 🇭🇷 or the Netherlands 🇳🇱 . The jury I am not sure what will happen, where I think France 🇫🇷 could well surprise us.
Televote will be won by The Netherlands
Your T-shirt is perfect!!! Where did you find/buy it?
another creator had it on their online shop but the shop got taken down for copyright
rooting for baby lasagna 🇭🇷❤️
Angelina mango Total🇮🇹
1. Belguim
2. Israel
3. Armenia
Even though I still think this is an open year, I’m feeling more confident that we might be going back to Rotterdam next year. I’ve seen clips of Joost live and he’s a really good hype man, so I’m expecting the live show to elevate the song big time. Also I have a theory that because we have so many songs that aren’t thee most jury friendly this year, they can’t rank all of them low so there’s every chance that one of them could slip through the cracks, and based on the information I have I would argue that the Dutch song is more jury friendly than Croatia purely bc it is more polished
Dear Tom,
Your stats and analysis vids are fantastic.
I'd love to see you make a video dedicated to the diaspora vote and the impact that has considering:
- which countries have a high diaspora in particular countries (E.g. about 6% of Iceland's population is counted as being of Polish origins) and
- what trends can be seen how Iceland voted in the past in consideration to that.
This might be a huge task, but if anyone can do it, it's you. 😁
I can't understand how they like Croatia's entry
I know right? It’s embarrassment for rock music and straight up copying cha cha cha from last year. But not even close to being so cool. How can people applaud this
1. GREECE 🇬🇷
2. ITALY 🇮🇹
3. FRANCE 🇫🇷
In my mind this is possibly one of the strongest years . I have downloaded and played almost all of the songs .
Hi Tom! I noticed you have checked out a few covers from Eurovision in the past. Did you ever watch Andre Rieu/Emma Kok singing Voila from Barbara Pravi? If not - worth doing a first time watch on the channel for ;)
ua-cam.com/video/KdIhq1tb8Co/v-deo.html
unfortunately im moving away from reaction videos right now
Really love your T Shirt 🎉🎉🎉
I have never been as egalitarian about who I want to win, there are so many good options. It would be nice if a country that hasn't won the last 5 years would win like Croatia, France, Greece or Switzerland.
My lasagna comes from Italy ❤❤❤
This year is so exciting! There are so many possible winners it is insane 🥳 I'm rooting for Baby Lasagna though 😸 It would really cap off this crazy year to have the alternate from Dora come and win the whole contest.
agree 100%
This might be Croatia's first win, depending on the staging.
I seriously just... don't get how RTTD is being seen as a potential Eurovision winning song/performance. It's giving real Italy 2017 energy at this stage in the game. But, would be fun to see how Croatia would host though 🤷♂
Interesting addition I want to make: betting is banned in the NL (except for some sports betting on a few selected platforms). This means that, in contrast to other countries, the Dutch valuation is fully based on non-Dutch sentiments. If you were to substract domestic betting from all the other countries, I'd think Joost would be close (if not) 3rd, considering the relatively small differences between 5-3. If he were indeed 3rd, this would add in an entire new dynamic going into the rehearsal weeks
Interesting point. I believe betting is banned in France too? Maybe there are more countries ?
If I understood it good, most of these bettings come from UK. I also doubt that in Croatia many people bet on Eurovision
@@Skodabura yeah, the betting market is probably the biggest in the UK, so it's likely not thousands of croatians betting on themselves. however, as eurovision fans we might forget that we are still relatively far removed from eurovision (ca. 7 weeks). the amount of money that has been put into the odds is relatively limited as of now. the 'big money' will likely start to poor in once rehearsals start. so in the current market, a couple of thousands here and there might give you a significant boost. that's why i do think it's relevant to mention, as i think it would definitely get Joost closer to 3rd place if dutch people were able to bet themselves
tom you are spoiling us with these analyses!!
where can I get a t-shirt like the one you're wearing in this video?
Netherland and Switzerland for the win🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
Thank you for explaining how odds work, I think a lot of people take it at face value too much and get upset over spilled milk when it's a lot more complex than what it seems.
I think a huge reason Croatia is sitting comfortably in first place right now is we have a general idea of the staging (it'll probably change in May but it's a first draft atm) while we don't know what Netherlands, Switzerland, Belgium, and Italy will be like (I know Italy's been performed alive but the staging will likely be different than Sanremo lol). However, Croatia is what's giving me the biggest winner vibe right now.
Personally, I'm not too confident about if Israel will even qualify (it's very 50/50 right now). Aside from everything going on, the song is very vanilla and Israel has always been hit or miss with the televote (plus they don't really have "friends" like Cyprus and Azerbaijan in there with them) so it's a huge gray area right now.
I wonder do countries where gambling is more popular tend to end up with more favourable odds as people are more likely to back their own country, driving the odds down? In particular I think Ireland and the UK are two of the countries where betting is most common.
That t-shirt is everything
Today 21.3.
Eurovision odds; 1.Croatia 21% winning chance,every day 1% more🎉
I dont understand why Luxemburg is so low?
Croatia 21% in the odds ❤️
Mark my words, next year we will go to the Netherlands.
Joost will blow us away on stage.
Do you think Finland and the Netherlands have some overlap, both being fun eurobeat songs?
Yep but I think Netherlands wins the battle in most of the cases
@@ESCTom it isn't important here, which one of them will win between the two, but whether they will cannibalise enough voters from the other, that neither of them will win the whole contest.
As for which one wins between the two, judging by the views of the videos, you are probably right, though let's not forget, that we haven't yet seen the live staging of the Dutch entry.
I'm surprised by Albania's jump, I think I haven't heard of a single person who prefers Titan to Zemren n Dore
i think it might actually have come before the song was released. also because theres so few bets being placed down the bottom, even something medium can jump someone up a lot
Mustii 😍😍😍😍
Estonias entry is something my parents would uncontrollably laugh to for the entire three minutes if we decide to watch the show this year
To be fair, even if I don't think Slimane will use the type of lightshow he uses for HIS TOUR and for his MV, but forcefully he keeps using it, it's part of his cupidon tour, the eurofans doing conclusions on everything as if his tour was Eurovision....moreover to be completely clear we have NEVER seen this type of show during the esc Grand Final, NEVER, and the general public doesn't care, they won't know about Vasil 4 years ago in one semi, and about Dotter in Melfest 5 years ago, 180 millions of people really won't know so....
I totally get how Albania's has been such a 'climber'. I hope Georgia qualifies. In the 'middle group', it surprised me to see Slovenia so far down the list. Austria outside of top ten? Belgium's comes across to me as overly 'melodramatic', particularly with its rather repetitive (and melodramatic) ending. I am not getting Ukraine's high ranking here even after several listens. (Perhaps it's because I'm not so fond of 'rap bridges' in a song ... which is also a minus for Switzerland's come to think of it).
France has often had really good, imaginative, staging - Barbara Pravi for example. It's disappointing that, for two consecutive years, they have resorted to imagery that has been used several times before - the long dress for La Zarra , the mirror vest for Slimane, It's a bit disappointing.
I’m hoping it’s not the final styling, but it does appear so
Bet tip:The best choice to bet right now is Greece. The staging of the song will be awesome and the odds will goes down after the staging reveal. Amazing price right now. Number one choice to bet 🇬🇷
The winner is Greece 🇬🇷 this year!!! I love this song!!!! 💓💓💓
after Croatia sorry
Finland winning change 2%. One prosent up
Of course its not winning
Still loving Finland 🎉
Finland is crowing, unique🔥🇫🇮
My favourites are Italy, France, Israel and Luxenberg.❤
Luxembourg
Netherlands, Switzerland and Croatia. My top 3.
Nice analysis. I disagree on Croatia mainly. I mean it's sitting there and I've seen the song a couple of times and there's just no song there. Pro move is to bank on Italy here. It has that Stromae sound that's a proven quantity all over Europe except for the Anglosphere and she performs it with similar gusto. Juries should like it if they aren't told to overrate boring radio pop like last year and the televote should be a given.
You have Croatia who is a banger from the first seconds you hear the song - you love it, on the other hand you have Netherlands who you hear for first time you skip it untill you hear it 100 times and then you like it, how can compere them if we know that people as you said will be hearing these songs for first time on semi finals - Croatia is 100% televote winner - juries will decide will he win or not in the end, I would like Croatia, Switzerlan or Netherlands to win
The more I hear Switzerland the more I think it could really stand out and win. Bound to be very successful with the jury votes, televote appeal is also going to be solid.
I think Croatia will win the televote but they need a good lead to win the title…
If Estonia shock NQ then I'll take everything I've said back about this being the best year😂
The contest isn’t necessary about winning, it’s about the songs
@@logi-a i know it was a joke, just shows what a competitive year it is
❤ JOOST ❤ 12 points to the Netherlands
I love The Netherlands
My number one
He will climbing very high
❤❤❤❤❤❤
this was the first i have seen about the odds and it seems my predictions was pretty far off(except for number one).
I still have some songs i havent heard yet and i havent seen any song more than once BUT to me it seemed like there was really only 2 possible winners this year, Croatia or Norway.
obviously it seems many agree on Croatia but im really surprised to see Norway that far down, and i feel like i can almost guarantee a better placement than 14, cant really see any chance that its not top 5 to be honest. Sweden is probably spot on, somewhere between 8-13, pretty good for such a bad song lol. Netherlands i suspect will be around 6-10, high but i cant see it top 5.
I totally agree.I just love Norway !
Love Norway, but no way it does great in the voting unfortunately. I have a feeling about Serbia though, I feel it will surprise everyone
Netherlands will be climbing more and will smash on staging performance!
Trust me, noone went to the odds and said Albania suddently can win, it was probably from Albania's team to bring awareness to the revamp.
Am Israel Hai!
I just need Estonia in the final, please guys!
I'm currently of the opinion that Croatia won't be winning because The Netherlands will put a big dent in their televote. I think it could be like 2019 with no one getting more than 300 in the televote because of how many televote friendly songs there are this year. Ukraine, Italy, Croatia and The Netherlands look like they could be the top 4 but Finland, Switzerland and Austria could also do very well drawing from the pool of televotes available.
Portugal ❤❤❤soo beautiful song ❤❤❤and Sérvia too ❤goo Iolanda ❤
Hi Tom loving your videos as per usual. Do think your judgement re netherlands televite is out however. I think there are 5/6 acts unlike last year which will attract excellent tele votes therefore this will be diluted somewhat. That coupled with a lowish jury score will almost certainly mean they will not be in the top 5. I personally see it as over hype for the country . Let's see what happens. Kind regards David. Leeds uk
Nice analyse netherlands for the win ❤
Uk in 11th isn’t that bad at all ;)
I wished Cyprus went Minus one in the odds
Angelina mango super fantastica total 🇮🇹
Croatia are now at 21% in the odds and are only increasing! In the poll on the same site, Croatia are winning at 13% even after all the Dutch, Israeli and Greek bots were dealt with! I really wouldn't underestimate the unity that Baby Lasagna brings! Juries might end up appreciating him! I've seen two reactions already from those who are more musically minded technically, with one being a vocal coach and they didnt bat an eye to the guy's vocals! This is a sign! Another thing about the juries: they will be more aware of the backlash after last year!
I really doubt the juries care about the backlash and it won't be the same people in the jury anyway. I don't think Croatia will completely flop the jury but I don't see it being top 5 which would pretty much tank its chances. There's also so many more televote magnets that might eat into his televote score. Last year Käärijä had pretty much zero competition in televote
Those Greeks, Dutch and Israelis who don't like Croat's song are bots?
Hahahahahahahaha. 😂🤣
Relax, why so much fanaticism...to prove to us that the Croatian is really the people's favorite? I'm sorry to tell you, but it's the bookers' favorite and what the bookers love, the juries love too. So keep calm, Croatia will win, they are promoting him well.😂🤣
By the way, people's favourite is the Netherlands song!
Girl go touch some grass.
@Ton-Maio-tha-ginei-ths-Satti to be fair, the wiwibloggs poll (the only one where I've seen that joost is winning, correct me if im wrong) isn't the most reliable poll, as joost explicitly went out of his way to tell his fans to vote for him. which, I don't mind, I think it's funny. but nah that poll is not really reliable for the "people's favourite", especially since you can vote multiple times. on the eurovision world poll (where they dont allow you to vote for your own country) BL is winning as of right now tho
It won’t flop but it needs more identity to win, the English lyrics make the chances of winning smaller, and it is too obvious he was inspired byRammstein. Besides this he needs to improve his vocals and elevate the live performance 😢
I think Australia will all come down to Staging and Live performance, like we usually do. The lyric clip doesnt give us much and Electric Fields are amazing live performers. I think they may do well with juries if they qualify.
I found out at the My Eurovision Scoreboard app an interesting theory about the winner!
Since 2016 when the televoting was introduced for the first time, every country who won the Eurovision since 2016 until now (according to the My Eurovision Scoreboard App) was number 1, 2 or number 6!
So that probably means that Croatia probably won’t win this year. And if you look at the countries which are number 1, 2 or number 6 then it’s Italy, Switzerland or Lithuania who could win this year.
If you look deeper to countries which are placed at number 3 in the app (which is Croatia this year) then it means that the best scenario that it will become 2nd in the grand final or lower!
Like France did in 2021 when they came 3rd at the My Eurovision Scoreboard App but ended 2nd in the Grand Final!
But still some spots could be changed in the top 10 of the My Eurovision Scoreboard App!
Switzerland or Lithuania, no problem with that. Go Silvester🥳
Normally who is number one DOESNT win though. Normally it's the 2nd or third placer but Croatia could easily go 2nd with it's close result.
@TheManInBlueFlames, I never said the Number One always wins. Just read the description one more time please!
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
The big expert💩
“Italy Switzerland or Lithuania”
Manifesting that you are correct, manifesting that this happens, considering selling my soul to get this result (especially Lithuania I need them to get their best ever result this year)
If we don't involve politics like everyone likes then Israel's song is definitely one of the most beautiful and powerful ballads this year. The singer is amazing and of course Israel's ability to succeed and surprise on stage will prove itself as always!
Good analysis, but I don't agree that Croatia is overrated, but that's exactly what I think about the Netherlands. Ok, that's my taste because I don't children's counters like songs . As for the voice itself, Joost didn't perform very well live,maybe it will be polished more. Actually, the song is not too demanding, so he should be able to do it.
.I think Italy is great, Albania is underrated, Belgium ,Norway too. Austria with its infectious 90s rhythm is great and will definitely make a show in Malmo .
Honestly question how did he (Joost) not perform well live? He sounded the same to me as in his music video so i’m kinda confused
Exactly, she doesn't know what she's even saying. Joost is a born artist, he's charismatic and creates amazing shows. The reactions of his live video are either hype or people actually doubting if it'a "really live" or not. Which, it is. So yeah, that just goes to show how good he is live.
@@DoomcakeOfEllinia I know very well what I'm writing ,not saying . I'm not deaf either. I don't need you or people like you to tell me what's good and what's not. I don't like the song and that's it. I think there are at least a dozen of them far ahead. I also do not sympathize with a performer who underestimates others and begs for votes for himself.Neverthelast I wish him the best.
@@inesxyq You don't have to like it, to each his taste and that is absolutely fine. The reason I said you're deaf is because you said his live performance was bad, and that's just factually wrong.
I don't see how or where he underestimates others? And the "begging" is just a funny joke. Like I said, he's charismatic as hell and incredibly funny. If you don't share his humor or just don't find him funny that's fine. But he's just simply trying to win people over with his charisma.
@@DoomcakeOfEllinia .I didn't say that he performed badly, but that he wasn't very good. After all, he's not the only one, and that's why I think he'll improve. I'm not a fan of that kind of music, but I still wish him the best. That's it.