Inflation data shows 'meaningful step down' in line with Fed expectations: Strategist
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- Опубліковано 31 тра 2024
- Treasury yields (^TYX, ^TNX, ^FVX) are on the decline this morning after inflation data from the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) Index came in line with expectations with April's core PCE rising 0.2% month-over-month and 2.8% year-over-year. As inflation slows but price pressures remain a big risk, what does this print mean for the bond market?
JPMorgan US CIO for Fixed Income, Currencies, and Commodities Kay Herr sits down in-studio with Yahoo Finance's Catalysts to look deeper into April's inflation data and what this means for the Federal Reserve's inflation rate target.
"If you look underneath in some of the details, if you look on a three-month annualized basis, we've gone from a 4.4% number in March down to 3.46% in April. That's a pretty meaningful step down," Herr explains. "If you look on a month-over-month [basis], in April that was running 0.33%, March we're running 0.249%. And then on an average monthly basis in the first quarter, things were at about 0.36%, for April [it's] 0.25%. So a reasonable step down moving in line with what the Fed thinks."
Herr underlines the Fed's dual mandate objective in regulators' decision on cutting interest rates or holding them higher for longer: "We're going to start to see a little bit of softness in in the labor market. And that's going to lead the Fed... to move toward cutting rates, yes."
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High inflation is followed by uncertainty and panic, making me wonder if it's time to liquidate my $200k portfolio, or maybe consider some defensive investments. I've heard analysts emphasize on value stocks performing good, what stocks exactly can be the ultimate hedge?
consider diversifying your portfolio with a mix of stocks and stable assets, seeking professional advice could also be valuable to navigate market uncertainties and grow your investments amid inflation
True, expert guidance is vital for compounding and achieving proper asset allocation. At first hand experience, I've been able to grow my portfolio from $180k to approx. $650k in barely 3 years now. Financial fitness requires staying committed.
that’s some interesting numbers, mind revealing this person guding you ? he/she must be a seasoned advisor
Vivian Jean Wilhelm is the licensed advisor I use. Just google the name. You’d find necessary details to work with and set up an appointment.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
News Alert! Inflation hasn't just started to affect us. People have been suffering greatly from inflation for almost a century, but notably after 1971. During the industrial revolution, prices of products and services were auctioned down to the point that consumers could literally buy them for as little as a penny thanks to a free market and sound money. All of the problems we have today are a result of government meddling.
It has never been easier to understand how to build your money than it is right now, when you may study and experience a completely variegated market passively by employing a successful portfolio-advisor. The impacts of the U.S. dollar's gain or fall on investments, in my opinion, are complex.
I think it's great to use a portfolio advisor when investing. Before I met with a certified portfolio advisor during the pandemic crash in March 2020, I had recently started having terrible dreams. Finally, with the help of my advisor, I was able to increase my initial investment of $400k to over $2.8 million dollars.
Where may one locate a wise FA? Even while I like the idea of using their services, it's unfortunate that recent stock market catastrophes have started to happen more frequently.
Finding financial advisors like Melissa Terri Swayne who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
I did look her up; she is full up, and her credentials and resume are excellent. Regardless, I scheduled a consultation with her.
I heard it was transitory too😂🤣😭🤦♂️
First-time home ownership is OVER. "Starter home" mortgages in Tennessee are $3500/month.
We've put in 77 bids in middle TN on first home and were outbid by cash investors EVERY TIME. Now, we're priced out due to price and mortgage rates.
Wonder why Millenials and Gen Z are doom spending? Not getting married? Not starting families? Why is civil unrest growing while the wealth gap is larger than it ever has been in history?
It's because this economy is not for us, it never has been since we've been around. It priced us out and left us behind before we got here. This doesn't end well for society at every socioeconomic level..
I saw this same comment before the 77 bids thing, are you a real person? Or a bot? I am not being mean I just saw this comment before on other videos which seems suspicious lol
For inflation to hit the Fed's 2.6 plan, monthly rates would need to be .15 or better every month the rest of the year, which we haven't done at all in 2 years
Spry for my ignorance, but can we do stake on Binance and Kucoin for example?
Core inflation stripped out food and energy.
I've been doing this since last year.. also waiting thanks for pointing it out
Higher for longer is the new normal, people. Deal with it and plan accordingly.
Precisely per the Great Reset! You will own nothing and be happy hence the Interest Rates staying Idle or going higher.
Why are food and energy not included in the inflation metric? Aren't these the two things that are really impacting the lower and middle class?
Middle class and poor don’t count, they are slaves.
Real inflation experienced by American consumers and businesses is well above 5%
Try 23 percent a year. I used the western asset inflation linked index and the m2 supply to draw corrolations and define variables. The fund is extremely close to inflation 1-1.0625. Over a 2 year period the swing high of the fund price was 14.78 and the swing low was 8.32. Do the subtraction and you get 6.46. CPI for 2 years was 3.4 plus 3.4 equaling 6.8. 6.8-6.46 equals .34. Using the price measuring percentage on trading view, the draw down from swing high to swing low was 6.46x 1.0625 equals 6.86 very close to the given CPI. The percent draw down from 14.78-8.32 was around 43 percent. Multiply that by 1.0625 and you get around a 46 percent increase over 2 years. I ran these numbers through the chat gpt paid version using an Econ Ai and i was impressed that i had figured this out only being a cook, but a very thirsty for knowledge one at that and an even faster learner. Investing outside the dollar in emerging markets, India, for example, and then some hedging with gold and gold backed stable coins for quicker settlment times, no mark up or storage fees becsause i do own the underlying asset as well, 1k in silver, the best i could do in a short time, 20 k in crypto mostly accumulated during the bear market, making meals that are costed down to 3.50 a piece. Paid credit card debt off. Once i saw the monely supply contraction was the lowest since the great depression, then all the layoffs started, then the marking down of goods, cars homes, etc. pretty clear picturing being painted. I still believe we can survive this but it needs to be in a smart, strategic manner. I hate all of us getting fucked over, it keeps me up at night seeing the faces of people i know potentially getting screwed by those who have no soul, ethics, moral values, etc.
The Papexnova presale caught me - it's the coolest way to be a part of a ground-breaking initiative. Let's go! 🐸
My top three for the bull run: ADA, AVAX, and SOL. But the best presale? Definitely Revux.
It's not better and it's not going to get better. No one wants to say it....
The more I learn about Revux, the more I believe in its vision.
Rate cuts in June ?
Kinda impossible for now except if a miracle happens
@@shaheedlinzag3436 Every time we had a rate hike cycle the FED had to run and cut becasue the economy started to fall apart like 2000 and 2008 but we did have a start to a normal cycle in 2017 when Powell himself hiked to 2.5% by end of 2018 and he started to cut rates in 2019 slowly until COVID happened and then he cut to 0% of course but until that he began to cut without the economy falling apart for the first time since the 1960s we had a normal cycle with no disasters. I just hope that Powell can pull it off for a second time, if he does I hope people respect his work, I am sure he is right now, at the minute looking over data and wanting BADLY to cut rates right now, at this very minute but he has to see inflation come down so it's a very tense time for the FED and Powell which is why he is so quiet, you don't see Powell at all now, he basically disappeared except for some conference event. He tried to get cuts started at the end of 2023 but then inflation went up again, the lack of houses for sale is the problem as housing is like 40% or whatever of PCE number. Anyway, we will wait and see, I think FED is DYING to cut but their hands are tied for now, sending out KASHKARI to scare everyone but we shall see.... The FED is on our side, they want inflation down and to cut rates fast to prevent disaster, that's what we all want.
I have friends and family that works at Big box retailers. They agree that store sales are Way down since October 2024. Half the customers are using food stamps, paying part cash, the balance paid with credit debit cards. Also customers are buying the least that they can on everything. It seems the compulsive shopping and binge buying is over.
I see Revux as a long-term hold. Great fundamentals!
Can i buy papexnova now?
Dropped all my small caps - focusing on BTC, Revux, and maybe some ETH.
Will Revux outpace XRP in the next pump? Looks promising!
Just shifted my focus to presales, especially Revux. Early investment is key!
Yes!
$58 for two at the Thai restaurant tonight. I had veggies and my friend had curry. Ice tea and a cup of hot tea, thats it. It includes tax and tip.
i could the same meal for 12
If you're looking for a solid x100, Revux should be on your radar.
Revux is making moves quietly. Keep an eye on it!
Seriously, don’t wait - buy Revux now before it skyrockets!
I usually skip this part.. 😉😉😉
Revux's use case is exactly what the crypto world needs.
Unemployment is a lot higher. Are they only using claims filed?
You don't know how the unemployment rate is calculated, go buy a clue
Yahoo is a ops company they cater to the rich
In my opinion AMS28K has great Potential to Pump due to all the ai craze...
Maybe I'm using it wrong? Cause I'm getting real small amounts, like 50 dollars when it succeeds.
Yah, yah. God is Great!
Lol, Inflation has the u.s. by the balls.
You don’t know what the hell you’re saying
How crude, but true that transitory inflation is done transiting.
You should create a tutorial trading , would be glad to learn with you .
Swapped my alts for BTC and Revux. This presale is a no-brainer!
This is amazing. Great success up to this point. Am looking forward to 0 risk of gas fees when testing.
I beg to differ---------------
Focusing on presales for the best returns. Revux is my top pick!
Got into AMS28K at .26¢ and grabbed 1000 coins and now I'm up over 425%.
Revux is shaping up to be the best ICO this year. Get in early!
Papexnova on base made a nice jump 🐸
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Let's goooo PAPEXNOVA !!!! 🐸🔥🚀
Solana, BTC, AMS28K are my top 3.
Let's keep printing bois!!
the AMS28K is the game changer
How come not one of these "Finance" channels of any format in the entire nation ever mentions the ONLY effective system that there has ever been when it comes to dealing with inflation which was the Office of Price Administration (OPA) system of price controls? The OPA system of price controls was very effectively used during and immediately after WW2 in order to deal with the root cause for inflation, which is usually, but not always, but is usually the greed/avarice of corporate America. However, despite the success of the OPA system of price controls when it came to being able to tamp down the corporate greed/avarice of that era, it was still done away with by that era's corrupt, incompetent Congress over the objections of President Truman. It's like some things never change?
WELCOME TO THE MAFIA STATES OF AMERICA!
Corporations are far too powerful now, essentially rendering governements useless.
@@jwill1558 For the most part, I completely agree with you, and you have made my point, at least one of the most important points which is that these now global conglomerate Big Corporate Business entities which includes Big Oil, have been allowed to grow far too powerful and they are going to have to be at least partially dismantled. If this dismantling does not take place this virtual enslavement of the masses will only get more severe which will eventually result in the overthrow of the entire system along with a lot of bloodshed.
AMS28K doing 200 percent plus on the launch day is really impressive
🎧
The Fed needs to raise rates, but will not because they have to make Biden look good! If they do not raise rates, they will be forced to after the Presidential Election!!!
At least they will raise rates. If drumpf were at the helm Repubs would've already legislated gutting the Federal Reserve and have a sitting president control interest rates directly. And those rates would quickly go right back to 2008-2022 levels. The world already knows he's only looking out for himself and his rich buddies. Notice they all STILL support cheeto even with his shiny new criminal record.
They need to lower rates before the collapse the market but won’t because they are mostly trumpers at the fed. They will do everything they can to wait until til after the election in order to help Trump. And Powell was put in place by Trump.
Jeronme pawer 300 libing
Correspondant
Everyone’s talking about Qventi lately. Feels like another Revux situation.
First comment
For the bull run: DOT, FIL, SOL. Best ICO? Definitely Revux.
Might be the last week you can get AMS28K before it takes off 1,000%.
Whales group says that AMS28K will be pumped on Sunday
AMS28K has the most potential to do more than X10. ETH and BTC will most likely do a X5-X6, but that's fine for me. Gotta look for better entry points while I stake IRIS and PGEN, then wait for Polygen's next raise as I also look at their new partnership with Kenzo Ventures.
Lies 😂
Insider tip: Revux is going places. Don’t miss out!
Ok, I am sold. I will HODL my AMS28K for the long haul.
Somehow always these ppl do not mention actual reasons behind the scenes. The reason why we can go so big is ONLY because of AMS28K
BTC and Revux are my main holds, maybe adding some ETH.
Thank you for the update AMS28K is done right, and waiting is part of the process.
AMS28K, a pick with potential if they follow through!
😂😂😂😂😂😂. Yeah ok.
AMS28K is the hidden gem this bull run, thankyou for being on the ball. 🔥
AMS28K is gonna go to $2 in a year..probably ahead of Ethereum in 4-5 years
What male writer put “meat or Beat” as a clever call to Beat Meat. Like come on lol
One thing I know is that Amazon's AMS28K will make people rich in 2025 only if we get in now .
Amazons dumping by the day😂😂
Let’s go papexnova to the moon 🔥
I knew that AMS28K was ahead of the game, but my mind is officially blown
if AMS28K can grow organically like that they will dominate that industry
Betting Revux will pump before XRP does.
Exciting times for Amazon’s *AMS28K* and their community.
AMS28K is the new SHIBA, 20x in the first week ?? 🔥
Don't let Amazon's AMS28K pass you by. This is a monumental moment in history, and you don't want to be left out of the loop. Get in on the ground floor now!
AMS28K IS ahead of the game.
You should buy ETH and AMS28K if you care about your future
Can't deny the fact that Amazons AMS28K is the strongest bet to bring power back to this industry after we suffered FTX, Celsius, Tera and so on. Sure if they fail it's done for good, but I don't see that the biggest tech company in the world would put everything at risk just for that.
Inflation solved LMAO
Ride the bull with papexnova , pre-sale ends soon
10x with AMS28K anyway
AMS28K will be top 10 coin this bull run. DON'T MISS OUT.
Brett and papexnova for 100x gains
AMS28K will rule the market. An outstanding project.
Today AMS28K is less than $1. Time for everybody to wake up and get with the winning team.
AMS28K might just have the biggest potential of any altcoin right now.
Even if it wasn’t, they would never lie to us? Right? 🤣
these hosts should be embarrassed by their ignorance. they just sound so uninformed.
Lies
AMS28K is probably the most promising coin on this bull market..
I'm trading AMS28K and WIF both picked up the last 24 hours.
The Federal Reserve’s higher interest rate is increasing inflation, not reducing inflation. A major cost to business is interest on borrowed money. The Federal Reserve’s higher interest rates increase business cost which gets passed on to customers by increasing prices
The Federal Reserve lives and breathes finance and knows higher interest rates drive inflation. They won’t tell the real reason they jacked up interest rates.
Higher rates slow the economy hence drops inflation.
I was with you up until "The Federal Reserve’s higher interest rate is increasing inflation, not reducing inflation".
@@rack9458 all kinds of disasters slow the economy by dropping both supply and demand. When companies are forced out of business because high interest rates, the supply drops. Higher interest rates also drop demand but the supply/demand curve dictates prices and therefore dictates inflation. If the intent was to drop inflation, then monopolies would be broken up to allow competition and thereby lower inflation. During the Covid lockdowns & disruptions gouging was commonplace. Lumber mills colluded to keep availability scarce and lumber prices skyrocketed several hundred percent. Eggs too. There is no denying high interest rates force companies to raise their prices in order to pass on the cost of doing business.
It’s very straightforward; higher business costs result in higher inflation. Cost of servicing debt is typically larger than net profit. When interest rates doubled, that more than wiped out all the profit for many companies and they raised prices to mitigate the impact and stay viable. Higher interest rates led directly to higher prices which is the definition of inflation.
@@douginorlando6260 So if higher rates cause inflation, why does the Fed raise rates to decrease inflation?
AMS28K is less that $1 just like the 2013 bitcoin days... time to fill my bags.
AMS28K simply life changing..
Swapped my alts for BTC and Revux. This presale is a no-brainer!
Focusing on presales for the best returns. Revux is my top pick!