During the Medieval Warm Period 1,000 year ago, England produced wines that rivalled those produced in France. What killed wine production in England was a climatic period known as the Little Ice Age. Europe became a lot colder and so much so that wine production ceased in England altogether during the coldest periods of the Little Ice Age. The book ,'The Little Ice Age" by Brian Fagan actually uses historical records of the dates of grape harvests in France to showcase how the Little Ice Age affected the weather by showing how much later in the season grapes were harvested.
All agricultural produce shifted north > south. Rye replaced wheat, and spring vegges became summer veggies. Adaptation to circumstances took place during many centuries. Nothing new. But the speed in which it is happening now and where it will lead to, should be a reason to worry.
This time though, we have the slight benefit of warning, satellite imagery, computer modeling, and agricultural university research. A shift of crop as suitable growth zones migrate SHOULD go more smoothly, but human tradition and current economic structure will probably exact a significant misery tax.
@@sorinclenci1691 Those changes took place over centuries, we are dealing with a change in decades. And with this change we do not know where it will end. Major differences!
@@dutchman7623 And, the "Little Ice Age" appears not to have been global. Unlike the current warming, which is spareing none of the planet. With the possible exception of this little cold ocean anomaly just south of the tip of Greenland (or so the satellites report). My bet is on the "Little Ice Age" having been a hiccup in the North Atlantic ocean circulation that gives much of Northern Europe a climate WAY milder than most places at those latitudes experience.
As an agroecologist i have to put some things straight here and offer some outlook/perspective. We should not and dont have to just give up and be like well it got hotter here lets abandon ship and move our vineyards to england. It is not simply that the higher temperature makes growing wine in southern european regions impossible, it is more nuanced then that. The higher temperatures make growing wine in the current conventional way impossible. There are many ways to adapt vineyards and other agricultural systems to climate change which at the same time can help mitigate climate change. First up, instead of spraying herbicides we can implement cover crops which cover the ground. This will increase soil quality, increase water holding capacity of the soil and infiltration while reducing runoff and erosion. To be clear, these cover crops would transpire, but this extra transpiration may be offset by combination of a lower soil evaporation and a higher water holding capacity and reduced runoff. Furthermore strategically timed mowing or grazing (yes even grazing with sheep is possible, check out the regenerative agriculture podcast) can reduce water use when transpiration gets too high. I have read studies that even found better grape quality using cover crops compared to bare soil. Then, we can also introduce trees in vineyards and other croping systems, this is generally called agroforestry. These trees could provide shade which reduces heat stress, delays ripening and shelters the grapes from wind, which reduces transipration in summer and risk of freezing in winter. Having other tree species in vineyards goes back even beyond roman times, so it isnt really anything radical or new. Both these strategies would also increase biodiversity below and aboveground and could provide additional forage, timber or other fruits without by definition decreasing grape yield. Increasing biodiversity, in turn, increases robuustness in the face of shifting disease and pest cycles and occurences. It is no wonder a bacteria can wipe out an olive grove or a whole region if it never encounters any barrier. When we do move vineyards to more northern or southern locations we dont by definition have to move pesticide use with them as you imply. Organic vineyards exist and fine organic wines are more then possible to produce. Ecological consequences aside, there is actually even a link between pesticide use and vineyard abundance and the prevalence of parkinsons disease in France. Although i do think changing grape varieties will be a part of the solution we as consumers will just have to deal with (which can also be exiting), we have to start thinking differently about designing our agricultural systems on a systemic level. And although there will be a limit to these adaptive strategies (but that is also true for moving wine production northward), if we don't start implementing these or other systemic solutions on a large scale, these farming systems and their farmers are indeed doomed. But it doesnt have to be that way.
Thanks man, was looking for this comment, was a bit lazy about writing one myself lol Just hoping conventional agriculture lobbys will use their brain for once
Can you tell me what you think of the seemingly deliberate use of harmful pesticides? And the buying up of farmland worldwide by the likes of Bill Gates?
Hello fellow colleague! Also agroecologist, but mainly in biocontrol/pest managment, I vouch for this comment. All these technics are showing increasing effectiveness from temperature managment to pest and disease control. The far greater issue (that I thought would be the focus of the video), is soil depletion, as most of the farm land in europe, ameria and asia, is unable to support the popular crops without tons of artificial fertilizer. At the rate of change we are seeing, intensive agriculture will soon be impossible in most of the world. As you said, addaptation and inovation is a necessity, or many will starve before they notice the wine is different.
My grandfather planted red grape plants outside here in Latvia about 25 years ago. Since Latvia is too northern the grapes never really ripened. But last two years they were ripe.
Grand solar minimum my friend. Jets streams change to waves instead of straight. Some areas colder some hotter. Human induced climate change is a fraud, being used to destroy energy infrastructure in the free west. While china builds 80 coal fired plants. Enjoy the grapes
The record high temperatures occurred in the 1920s and 1930s and during the 60s until the 80s there was a cooling trend, in fact, at the time experts were saying that we were entering an ice age. Since the 80s and 90s there's been a warming trend but that stopped around 2012, now there's been a slight cooling trend since then.
If Europe's farmland is useless then what about other countries, like every country in Middle East, parts of Africa, parts of Asia, Australia. I'd say almost every land is useful for something, except maybe deserts
California's best farmland is mostly desert, but imported water allows it to be very productive. (now the Colorado River is drying up, so its agriculture is at risk)
From this video, it's not like Europe's farmland has a problem being generally productive... The problem is growing specific crops, and focusing on the wine industry as one that probably is resistant to different farming practices. So, for instance I don't see that warming weather or even a bit less rainfall should be an insurmountable problem for growing staples like grain. And, I would assume that well established orchards should adapt on their own without many changes although some minor changes might help the trees grow and produce more optimally. I suppose though that a long term perspective of agriculture is that there has always been a high amount of risk and uncertainty. Adapt or die.
France alone could produce enough wheat for France ,Iberia ,Benelux ,Switzerland ,Part of Germany west of the Rhine and 4 Italian region (Aoste ,Piedmont ,Liguria and Sardinia) . --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Edit :+ Andorra ,Monaco ,San Marino ,Vatican and Liechenstein of course --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- France has one of the best agricultural land (in term of soil quality) in Europe, equal to Ukraine and the Russian caucasus (So the very South of Russia near Georgia/Armenia/Azerbaijan) . But there are 3 thing that doesn't allow that . 1-EU agricultural law that favor German agriculture and hinder France's one (For example one of the thing it does is that is favor Monsanto product that the German already used before the law was created ,and it banned the product used by the French ,which were more natural and productive than those of Monsanto). 2-Company get more benefice by exporting their product to other continent than by selling it on the national market . Like on the 36 Million tonnes of wheat produced annually ,16 Million goes on the national market and the remaining 20 Million are exported . 3-Food that are wasted ,so worldwide it's 33.33% (1/3) of the production that is wasted so 20 Million become 13.33 Million ,and in France ,it's 18% that is wasted so 16 Million become 13.12 Million so out of 36 Million ,only 26.45 Million will be consumed . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Edit 2:In France ,there are things that reduce the amount of waste . For example the peremption date is a false one ,the real date is 3 days after what is written ,so you know you can still eat it 3 days after what is written (It may even be longer like 4/5 days for some product) . Another thing with peremption date ,reduction are applied when the product is 1 day before the peremption date (Usually the price is reduced by 50 to 80% ,but legally ,it's a minimum of 30% of reduction) So if you buy something on the 4th of December ,with a peremption date of 5th of December ,you bought it for only half the price ,and you can still consume it on the 8th of December In the EU ,Food waste are responsibles for 6% of the pollutions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corn or wheat are more sensitive to rains. Wineyards and orchards less because of deep roots. You have Shiraz wine variety in Iran, so no worry we will have grapes.
Comming from Australia we've had record cold weather and incredible rains..If you think grapes will be grown on Tasmania on mass you are absolutely fooling yourself..Like the commentary in thus clip..!!
@@johneverett6751 the increased cold & rainfall is the result of the El Niño and La Niña cycle ya numbnut, so just wait until the El Niño phase starts back up & it's back to grapes, so wtf are you even griping about!?
As a Frenchman, I am both terrified and appalled by the impact climate change will have on European agriculture. It might seem ridiculous and cliché but french culture is deeply linked with its local agricultural products and their disappearance would create a cultural void in my country I think. Something like an existential crisis...
@@unknowninfinium4353 I'm not a specialist by any means but it seems to me that we (I'll talk only for france, and it already is out of my competence ^^') invested a lot of cultural focus in typical dishes. As an example we are a huge user of protected geographic labels, a champagne can only be from champagne region, comté cheese from Jura region, same thing with meats, honey, fruits, vegetables etc. Should these products become impossible to produce in their origin region, I feel that a big chunk of these local identities would encounter a crisis. After all local gastronomy is one (not the only one, agreed) of the main means of identification and differentiation of french local cultures. Local languages were eradicated long ago, our education system has little room for local particularism, and our political system has a hard time delegating power to regional institutions... so food is a refuge for identity...
As an owner of a small developing vineyard in Cyprus higher temperatures also means higher rainfall so we are also switching back to more traditional varieties and yes Cyprus is starting to produce good wines again after getting away from the more popular and less successful in our climates Riesling and other overrated and non traditional varieties of vine.
German whine regions around the rivers Rhine, Mosel and Saale are also benefiting from this development. It is a huge challenge, but it will also create interesting new products.
@madhurkumarchugh_0217 It doesn't make sense. If you like something that much, that everyone else had to die, because they didn't like it, how your mum lives right know? When you say, you see above her fails, you even take your own words in the garbage. If you want to live in this way, you solve no problems, you create, maybe greater problem what your children have to dig out. But hey, when your son did shit, I know your way to deal with it, garbage bin. But know you have killed some one, because he didn't like, blue, was it right and worth it?
While climate change is important, I can’t help but feel that this is such a frivolous example of French chauvinism, where deviation from culture is an unspeakable sin. Offer a solution and it is scoffed at because this is not how we do it Burgundy.
You know that to have particular names, grapes have to be grown in a particular way and a particuar region in France right ? You cant't just change things and expect the wine to stay the same.
Also it may be conected to lower forest areas/more (tree) monocultures maybe? Has they absorve less carbon, increase local temperatures and destabelize the water cycle
@@TheMops14 I think that’s the point he’s making. Holding on to that name until it no longer works isn’t gonna be as effective as accepting that changing variety to suit the climate
@@TheMops14 You just add -style and it's ok. Bordeaux-style wine. Perfectly ok in the US. People who can't afford the real thing get the same product for less.
Every farmer knows; sometimes you grow corn, sometimes you grow wheat. Sometimes you plant alfalfa. If these vineyard managers don’t know to quit growing Chardonnay and Pinot Noir for a few years and rotate in a crop more suited for the climate then it is the farmer who’s value is diminished. Chardonnay and Pinot climate will come back one day
That is not how wine growing works at all. Do you have any idea how long the vine needs to grow before it is considered to give high quality grapes for making wine?
@@ziiro91 I imagine a very long time. Do you know how climates work? They change. Any farmer is fortunate to get any degree of consistency. That’s why we must stay flexible.
@@alld47hidrohnilougue31 you need to realize it takes 4 years to fruit. So spend money planting new grape, and wait 4 years til first fruit? They’d all go bust
@@utubedude2842 yea, because they’re staying within the same confines of the grape “box”. All farmers are really in the real estate business.. and there’s so much more they can do with real estate than farm grapes
@@alld47hidrohnilougue31 I agree with you. But it is challenging to go away from what you know works. On top of that, a lot of the equipment for grapes may not work for different crop, so machinery costs add up to.
Dang.. I live pretty close to a pretty chalky area (Stevns) here in Denmark. Maybe it's time to buy up land while it's still cheap. Soon we will be making "champagne" here =)
You focus on wine and France/Italy, but there are other climates and crops. Poland is one of the biggest agriculture countries and might be open to crops which usually need a milder climate.
I planted a couple of grape vines in my (Scottish) garden 20 years ago, and they've only bothered to start producing grapes over the past 2 years. This year was pretty good with several bunches, impressing me enough to buy 3 more vines. Clearly, climate change is shifting Scotland's agricultural potential too. However, I grow these vines for the fruit, not for wine, and I think that buying up vast tracts of British agricultural land for raising plants merely for the 'booze' industry is a big mistake when it is food security we need. Remember that the West will still be expected to provide for regions of the world increasingly under climate change pressure (such as Kenya, Ethiopia), and unless we want to find ourselves faced with the problem of an absolutely massive migrant crisis that we simply cannot control and certainly cannot house at the expense of our agricultural land, we need to keep producing food to feed these parts of the world. I thought this video might have been more general with regard to crops, and might have made mention of the increasingly urgent problem of remaining soil depth and fertility in Europe (there are estimates that much European land is sufficient for 'around' another 30 harvests).
The West must put a stop to letting in migrants of any kind. It's destroying everything. The natives are becoming a minority in their own country. This is genocide. Tell everyone you know.
The West needs to look after their own populations before thinking of foreign aid. Food prices are expected to rise 400%. Since the 1970's, $40 Trillion has been sent in foreign aid and achieved nothing but generational dependence on the West. Many people in the West cannot even afford to eat.
The problem is actually much deeper and scarier than the lowering quality of high grade crops. I am a farmer in central Argentina, we work in different farms and in the last 10 years we have seen radical shifts in rain and frost patterns, to the point that some planting windows have moved, and others just disappeared. This year, in large parts of the country we lost the prime planting season for maize due to temperature of the soil being too low and the missing September rains.
Southern Germany is also on a massive limestone formation that would be suited to growing champagne grapes and has a cooler climate because it's higher altitude.
This video seems a bit odd, i don't know why you focused on Europe saying that Europe's land is going to be useless by 2100, 1) nobody can reliably predict what's going to happen in a century, by then we could of reversed climate change. 2) Europe is actually comparatively effected less than most of the world. You then said that wine making is going to disappear from parts of France due to global warming, and then showed that they are using heaters to protect the crop, as if it proved you point, when it actually prove the opposite, as clearly its the cold that is the issue not the heat. Its just wierd that you keep saying that Europe's agriculture will become worthless, when as you pointed out, if the worst happens it will just require different crops to be grown, its not like hot countries such as India or brazil can have agriculture.
Few Olive trees get already planted in my region, southern Austria... Fig trees also grow in house gardens. But in fact here could never be mediterranean conditions, because we have no sea in the very next which works as a puffer
Good information but let’s not forget that during the Roman occupation of U.K., vitro culture was also widespread. Ergo the temperature of plant has varied considerably
Climate Change folks want you to forget about it was warmer during the medieval warming period than today and people farming with sharpened sticks and barest of metal tools survived it. Now we are going back to the warming period with an entire computerized Ag industry. The only way we could starve is by the vile machinations of other humans.
Many of the problems described all started because how it’s farmed. Since it removed trees, uses pesticides, and covers almost all of Europe, all that can lead to the climate changes it is experiencing right now.
@@slin2903 Depends on many factors, like how much water can be safely stored in former coal quarries, how much water can be stored in renewed wetlands and regenerated soil and so. And it even depends on such things as various river diversions around the world.
true, you see more of them popping up. I wonder if you plant them near the coast, you could get a salty sea taste? ( I like weird food and drinks, leave me be please :D ) somewhat cool to think about. Same goes for some of the ricefields we have planted. A company was experimenting with it. could be epic. Thought's?
I have to say, this video felt different to others, you sounded very passionate about it and I liked it, it really shows that you cared about this video and it shows in the video, keep up the great work!
The Romans had vineyards in Britain 2000years ago,before climate change(unless perhaps climate has always changed).So vineyards in southern France can plant olive or citrus trees and probably get similar earnings from the land.
Also we are at the start / since end 2016 - 2053 a grand solar cycle what tend to happen approx every 350-400 years and we already seen global changes . last time year 1540 europe entered a drought lasting 11 months, half a million died, water shortages reports were already running dry by may and huge forest fires, same as over in the usa that time period 1500-1800's forest fires on average burned 145 million acres, compared to now only 10-14 million acres. looking at past events . we could of only just seem a glimpse of whats to come since 2016 , this time the difference not lasting as long what is forecast compared to the last time it happened but we will see changes. few examples magnetic field weakened, allowing more cosmic rays to enter our atmosphere, they can help to seed clouds for example even trigger lightning. or solar wind or lack of, that plays a huge role in the jet stream. even Noaa says All weather on Earth, from the surface of the planet out into space, begins with the Sun. Space weather and terrestrial weather (the weather we feel at the surface) are influenced by the small changes the Sun undergoes during its solar cycle.
Figs, persimmons, olive trees,pistachios, kiwis are already planted and harvested successfully in small orchards in Hungary. Before 1990, everyone would have said, that this is insane. The reason is not only the climate,but the way,how people were thinking in the past.
Yall know back in the day English wine was awesome but then a temp shift during the middle ages killed it off, moral of the story shit happens and earth's Temps have never been constant
I think some of the people here are missing the point. A huge chunk of Europe's infrastructure/economy is built around certain crops. The cost to shift to new crops would be enormous and slow - Same for any part of the world.
Europe also has shifted entire shoe and textile industry to Asia or Turkey. Such changes in industry do happen. The dependency to other areas is a risk, but it does not cause any collapse by itself. I just checked the number for Germany. Share of Agriculture on GNP is 0.78%. It's not a "huge chunk".
Honestly many grape varieties grow in hot and warm climates like Australia, Chile, and California. I'm surprised sommeliers can taste differences in hillsides for example.
Fascinating! I have visited the areas of several of my favorite wines, the Moselle and Rhine valleys, Veneto, Jerez de la Frontera, Oporto and the Napa-Sonoma region in California. I also visited the Finger Lakes Region of New York early on in my discovery of wine. Strangely, you didn't mention the US, particularly California, as a major wine producer. If, having gotten your feet wet [an unintentional reference to traditional methods] in the heart of the European wine industry, you should look at the enormous and varied US wine scene, and you have barely mentioned the important Chile and Argentina wine area, and the expanding Australian industry. All of these areas call for more video attention. Thanks for this, and hopefully for more in the future.
The data about rainfall in Athens dating back to 1890s show no decrease in average long term rainfall and an actual small increasing trend since the 90s. Sadly there is no source list in the video description to find out where you found that rainfall in southern Europe has declined so I assume it's just fear mongering
So, they produced the best wine in history . . . and that's a problem? Increased CO2 is magnificent for plants. It has begun to bring back even parts of the Sahara desert. Greenhouse farmers pump into their houses 20X the amount of CO2 that's in the atmosphere.
I have farmed in the midsection of the US for 50 years. It was much warmer here in the 1930s, 1950s and 1980s, and 2000s than it is now. I realize that climate change effects some regions more quickly than others but weather or climate goes in cycles--some of the cycles are shorter duration of perhaps 11 to 22 years as the lunar maximum and minimum of 11 and 22 years do seem to come into play, but even then sometimes it may be 10 or 12 years, as weather does not actually follow on a human predicted schedule or calendar. . And we have La Niña and El Niño and the ENSO and so many other factors come into play. Then we have had mini ice ages in human recorded history and one led to the failure of the French wheat crop and most likely the French Revolution. As Yogi Berra said "making prediction is difficult, especially when it is about the future." Circa 12,000 years ago we had an event that melted the Mile thick glaciers in what if now North America, in a period of maybe 200 years. The oceans rose 400 feet. All of this is a gross generalization, but so far our lives in recorded history have been during a rather constant warm period that has allowed agriculture to feed 8 billion people.
Exactly, but long earth cycles are an inconvenient truth for the sheeple. They have enormous anxiety about glaciers receding but don't understand that they were only there because of ice ages.
looks like we are getting a rare 3 La Niña in a row, This is rare, but not unheard of. Triple La Niñas have also occurred in, for example, 1973-1976 and 1998-2001 going back to 1903. La Niña events have occurred on a regular basis during the early parts of both the 17th and 19th centuries. March 2022 Suriname flooding (attributed to La Niña) , 2021 New South Wales floods (severity fueled by La Niña, 2020 Atlantic hurricane season (unprecedented severity fueled by La Niña). also we at the beginning of a grand solar cycle what tend to come every 350-400 years, this grand cycle 2020-2053, from about the mid 20's to end of the 30's is forecast to be the worst of the cycle with the lowest solar activity so we just have to see, but events from the last time europe 11 month drought killed half million, or huge forest fires in the usa 10x more burn acreage through the 1500-1800. that same time period we did also go through a cooler period too
I remember reading Wealth of Nations in college, and Adam Smith talking about trading English wool with Portuguese wine is better for both countries, as Portugal is too hot for sheep to grow good wool, and England is too cold to grow good grapes. How the turn tables. XDDD
There is a community on the English Chanel named Faversham in Kent. If they grow grapes they could make Favershampaigne. Or they could torture people and give them Faversham pain.
There are streets in London that are named after wine and wine producing. There was a great migration in the middle ages because of cooling climates for the north. There are changes in climate everytime. They where (and are) not related to us!
Through time agriculture and produce have moved south north constantly. In the Middle Ages the north was warmer but it cooled down around 1500, and around 1600 experienced an 'ice age', which slowly turned around 1750 to normal again. Adaptation and switching is quite normal. But we have to do everything to make it slow in a way these adjustments can take place. Looking forward to pineapples and bananas from Spain, and Danish wine.
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People need to become more flexible in their thinking when it comes to agriculture. When I was growing up in western Washington more than a few years ago I lived on a subsistence farm. While we had an orchard most of what we raised were the animals while grandpa, who had farmed all his adult life did most of the actual farming. I remembered he would always work to grow watermelon and in spite of all his pampering he would only get a few small ones which he kept for him and grandma as a special treat. You didn't see others trying to grow watermelon because we just didn't have the weather for it. We would usually purchase a few in August that were trucked over from eastern Washington where they had much hotter summers. Now, you can grow watermelons in western Washington, partly due to development of new strains of watermelon but a contributor to this and other warm weather crops has been changing weather patterns. We need to be adjusting our thinking about what we are growing. A bit tougher when you are talking about perennials but still can be done and is better planned for when they are experiencing excellent conditions for their crops than waiting for the decline. They should start investing in this cheaper more northerly lands now while it is cheaper and spend the next few years developing the soil to be perfect for vineyards. Then they can start transferring their stock. The same with regular farms. How have conditions changed in your area? If you have been growing lots of greens, potatoes and corn, maybe you should start seeing how different squashes, okra and melons do. Or instead of growing one crop of something per year try getting 2 crops per year. What if your area seems to be getting cooler? Try including greater amounts of cool weather crops. And if you keep experiencing droughts? Start finding drought resistant crops to grow. While human activities may be affecting climate over the long haul it is useless to keep trying to expect the weather to adapt to our needs. We need to adjust to what we are provided by nature instead of losing everything because we don't want to change.
Some things will be more difficult to grow while other items will become easier to grow. It's called adapting to your environment. Climate change is ALSO a natural occurrence. Perspective and adaptation are important.
Another problem is soil degradation. We are not returning enough organic matter into the soil. The soil is dead, it has lost most of its insects and bacteria due to the use of pesticides, so it cannot decompose organic matter.
Of course you can sweeten wine! A number of decades ago, some wineries, probably lesser ones, mixed glycol into their wine. Certainly stirred things up when the news broke! ;) But then people have cheated on olive oil, too. And, of course, liquor. As in methanol instead of ethanol.
Grapes are one of the most adaptable food crops around the world. You can find grapes growing in incredibly cold regions to hot deserts. It is also possible to graft new varieties to established rootstocks in order to not lose the benefits that growing on mature vines gives. The disease issue is very real though.
Nope, grapes are very hard to grow on my latitude (59.3), it is almost possible if you do everything perfect, with wind protection and on the south side, and if the summer is warm. They do become very very small, wellcome to the "arctic"
@@andreaskampe9143 It is very possible. You just need the right varieties and siting. People grow grapes in Oslo (nearly 60 N latitude), Saskatchewan, and Alaska. There is a reason the Vikings called Labrador "Vinland".
@@andybarr6751 it is very windy where I live, 70m to the ocean. My Thai wife tried to grow a lot of crops here, she failed miserable the first 10 years. It can be done but it s not easy. No mercy for mistakes. Everything has to be optimum. In tropical southern Thailand, the climate is perfect, it rains almost every day and perfect temp. You can harvest 2 times a year. Everything grows like crazy, even if the soil is bad.
The climate always changes. The Roman’s grew grapes in England. As did the medieval residents of England. The little ice age of the 1700s put a stop to that. Adapt and overcome.
If so many efforts are required to keeping alive a certain species, is it not logical to think if it’s the proper plant for such kind of environment? Just because it’s “historical” doesn’t necessarily means is the best. Unnumbered varieties has been developed, cultivated and changed just during the last century in order to adapt to different conditions (both environmental and social), so I’m personally quite confident that would be just another case to adapting to the new conditions and developing something able to thrive in this scenario. All history is continuous evolution and adaptation, complaining about a change doesn’t usually make that much of a difference and most definitely doesn’t make a land become “worthless” just because of that. resilience and creativity are usually a better and wiser solution. Most of the land not so long ago was considered inhospitable and completely purposeless, and now are some of the most productive areas of the entire planet. Once again not necessarily productivity mean good, nor bad...it will comes with pro and cons as well.. i have recently had a reminder about a recurring (around 100years or so) series of cyclical severe drought events (as the one affecting USA around the ‘30 and known as “dust bowl”). And I was fascinated by how everybody focus only on certain aspects of climate change (each person with his/her own point/opinion/reason behind), and usually mainstream news focus on desertification and temperature increase, but then almost nobody speak about many other recutting phenomena that punctually comes. It may be for sure impacted by thousands of reason (both human and not human made) but the spectrum of the news should be a little broader, in my humble opinion. Since nature wise, any change carry pro and cons, as it always did ever since....so maybe beside speculations and fear mongering it would be nice to have from time to time some reminders about the whole complexity of the system itself.
The climate always fluctuates. Why did you think the ice age ended, did the mammoths burn coal? The little ice age lasted from 1300 - 1859, Europeen farms suffered. During 1280 -1350, and 1460 - 1550 there was solar spot minimum, the glaciers in the alps grow, The river Thems in England froze. this caused starvation in northern Europe. During the viking age the temperature was warmer.
Europe farmland, according to author French horticulture. There is simply no Europe East and North of France. I bet Scandinavian and Baltic farmland has a much different story to tell.
Australia's Hunter Valley has started transitioning over to olive trees from wine grapes. All the boarder line too hot areas have. They can see the writing on the wall.
that's some big BS dude, if that was the case wines in Spain and Italy would be trash but not, they are pretty good, plus you have something similar to champagne in the catalan region in Spain (Cava) and those grapes are growing in a much, much warmer climate and still the result is excellent
Agriculture will be fine unless there is some catastrophic run off event, even if zones shift. So far yields have gone nothing but up at an unreal pace almost everywhere. I believe that we are only at the beginning of this technological revolution in agriculture, current yields are probably tiny compared to what will come.
Although England will become more suitable for wine, French climate will warm up to turn a little chiller than North Africa, which produce robust wine since antiquity. Algerian wine is often used to push up the degree of French wine. So with French knowledge no reason that Bordeaux or Bourgogne become unsuitable for wine. Also, Champaign is barely suitable for wine compared to Bordeaux and Bourgogne. It produce mainly light white wine. The genius idea was to control the natural process of "champagnisation", when sudden change of temperature creates the sparkling gas which makes the wine heady. So more effort will have to be put in British understanding of what makes a good wine.
@@N0Xa880iUL Chernozem is a combination of two words. "cherno" is from "chorniy" (letter i have a hard pronunciation) - the name of the black color in ukrainian/russian/etc and "zem" is from "zemlya" which is soil.
In the Spanish olive groves shown, the soil is void of plants. Probably a bad idea, repeated by tradition stemming from a cooler climate. Swiss scientists have found that the yield and quality of grapes grown on soil covered with herbs is at least as good as from 'desertic' soil. Decreases also heating up of soil in sunshine. And increases biological value of realm.
Wait a minute. France gets too hot to grow red grapes for high quality red wines? So how come Spain and Portugal produce such great red wine so much further south?
@@davidjoelsson4929 Except for the west coast of Tassie. Check the figures it rains for 300 days a year in much of west coast shire and I suspect it snows for the other 65.
crop rotation is a good idea for the soil, looks like that is what will happen, grow something else like food except the WEF may tell its better to eat bugs.
You can taste the sun and drought in a wine, and also the alcohol level increases if the botanical Variety stays unchanged. Climate change and also local and temporal weather makes that each year of a specific wine is different, and I think that in general France now is going down, except with pionneering people that have changed their variety and planted new ones.
Zzzzzzzzzz Climate change alarmism... We used to be afraid of DDT... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of nuclear bombs... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of of communists... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of immigration... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of nuclear power... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of overpopulation... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of global cooling... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of the hole in the ozone layer... but everything was OK. We used to be afraid of GMOs... but everything was OK. Trust me... everything will be fine.
Bordeaux as already been experimenting with different grape varieties to match the current taste of their wines, they have been aware of the problems for over twenty years , I would say farming in general is also aware of the ever decreasing water supply and it is very clear to see the difference in what is now grown compared to even just ten years ago in the South of France.
Alarmist nonsense. Not a single citation for the many questionable assertions here. Any one who analyses European climate from a starting point of 1960 is dishonest. The Romans grew grapes in close proximity to Hadrians Wall, Greenland was Green and not covered with ice up to the time of the Vikings.
During the Medieval Warm Period 1,000 year ago, England produced wines that rivalled those produced in France. What killed wine production in England was a climatic period known as the Little Ice Age. Europe became a lot colder and so much so that wine production ceased in England altogether during the coldest periods of the Little Ice Age. The book ,'The Little Ice Age" by Brian Fagan actually uses historical records of the dates of grape harvests in France to showcase how the Little Ice Age affected the weather by showing how much later in the season grapes were harvested.
All agricultural produce shifted north > south. Rye replaced wheat, and spring vegges became summer veggies.
Adaptation to circumstances took place during many centuries. Nothing new. But the speed in which it is happening now and where it will lead to, should be a reason to worry.
This time though, we have the slight benefit of warning, satellite imagery, computer modeling, and agricultural university research.
A shift of crop as suitable growth zones migrate SHOULD go more smoothly, but human tradition and current economic structure will probably exact a significant misery tax.
Whom can they blame for that major climate change 1000 years ago. I love how they blame the todays change ignoring the past. fear porn at its finest
@@sorinclenci1691 Those changes took place over centuries, we are dealing with a change in decades. And with this change we do not know where it will end.
Major differences!
@@dutchman7623 And, the "Little Ice Age" appears not to have been global. Unlike the current warming, which is spareing none of the planet. With the possible exception of this little cold ocean anomaly just south of the tip of Greenland (or so the satellites report).
My bet is on the "Little Ice Age" having been a hiccup in the North Atlantic ocean circulation that gives much of Northern Europe a climate WAY milder than most places at those latitudes experience.
As an agroecologist i have to put some things straight here and offer some outlook/perspective. We should not and dont have to just give up and be like well it got hotter here lets abandon ship and move our vineyards to england. It is not simply that the higher temperature makes growing wine in southern european regions impossible, it is more nuanced then that. The higher temperatures make growing wine in the current conventional way impossible.
There are many ways to adapt vineyards and other agricultural systems to climate change which at the same time can help mitigate climate change. First up, instead of spraying herbicides we can implement cover crops which cover the ground. This will increase soil quality, increase water holding capacity of the soil and infiltration while reducing runoff and erosion. To be clear, these cover crops would transpire, but this extra transpiration may be offset by combination of a lower soil evaporation and a higher water holding capacity and reduced runoff. Furthermore strategically timed mowing or grazing (yes even grazing with sheep is possible, check out the regenerative agriculture podcast) can reduce water use when transpiration gets too high. I have read studies that even found better grape quality using cover crops compared to bare soil.
Then, we can also introduce trees in vineyards and other croping systems, this is generally called agroforestry. These trees could provide shade which reduces heat stress, delays ripening and shelters the grapes from wind, which reduces transipration in summer and risk of freezing in winter. Having other tree species in vineyards goes back even beyond roman times, so it isnt really anything radical or new.
Both these strategies would also increase biodiversity below and aboveground and could provide additional forage, timber or other fruits without by definition decreasing grape yield. Increasing biodiversity, in turn, increases robuustness in the face of shifting disease and pest cycles and occurences. It is no wonder a bacteria can wipe out an olive grove or a whole region if it never encounters any barrier.
When we do move vineyards to more northern or southern locations we dont by definition have to move pesticide use with them as you imply. Organic vineyards exist and fine organic wines are more then possible to produce. Ecological consequences aside, there is actually even a link between pesticide use and vineyard abundance and the prevalence of parkinsons disease in France.
Although i do think changing grape varieties will be a part of the solution we as consumers will just have to deal with (which can also be exiting), we have to start thinking differently about designing our agricultural systems on a systemic level. And although there will be a limit to these adaptive strategies (but that is also true for moving wine production northward), if we don't start implementing these or other systemic solutions on a large scale, these farming systems and their farmers are indeed doomed. But it doesnt have to be that way.
Thanks for this fascinating comment, I'm not even watching the video if they ignored those solutions.
Farmers have always adapted!
Thanks man, was looking for this comment, was a bit lazy about writing one myself lol
Just hoping conventional agriculture lobbys will use their brain for once
Can you tell me what you think of the seemingly deliberate use of harmful pesticides? And the buying up of farmland worldwide by the likes of Bill Gates?
Hello fellow colleague! Also agroecologist, but mainly in biocontrol/pest managment, I vouch for this comment. All these technics are showing increasing effectiveness from temperature managment to pest and disease control. The far greater issue (that I thought would be the focus of the video), is soil depletion, as most of the farm land in europe, ameria and asia, is unable to support the popular crops without tons of artificial fertilizer. At the rate of change we are seeing, intensive agriculture will soon be impossible in most of the world. As you said, addaptation and inovation is a necessity, or many will starve before they notice the wine is different.
My grandfather planted red grape plants outside here in Latvia about 25 years ago. Since Latvia is too northern the grapes never really ripened. But last two years they were ripe.
Time to move to the beautifull country of Latvia !
Grand solar minimum my friend. Jets streams change to waves instead of straight. Some areas colder some hotter. Human induced climate change is a fraud, being used to destroy energy infrastructure in the free west. While china builds 80 coal fired plants. Enjoy the grapes
The record high temperatures occurred in the 1920s and 1930s and during the 60s until the 80s there was a cooling trend, in fact, at the time experts were saying that we were entering an ice age. Since the 80s and 90s there's been a warming trend but that stopped around 2012, now there's been a slight cooling trend since then.
@@lrn_news9171 That's a myth.
@@k.h.6991 Which part?
If Europe's farmland is useless then what about other countries, like every country in Middle East, parts of Africa, parts of Asia, Australia.
I'd say almost every land is useful for something, except maybe deserts
Exactly
Solar panels in deserts
It is simple if there is liquid water stuff can be grown , even in desert , hard + costly but can be done ...
even deserts: solar power.
California's best farmland is mostly desert, but imported water allows it to be very productive. (now the Colorado River is drying up, so its agriculture is at risk)
From this video, it's not like Europe's farmland has a problem being generally productive...
The problem is growing specific crops, and focusing on the wine industry as one that probably is resistant to different farming practices.
So, for instance I don't see that warming weather or even a bit less rainfall should be an insurmountable problem for growing staples like grain. And, I would assume that well established orchards should adapt on their own without many changes although some minor changes might help the trees grow and produce more optimally.
I suppose though that a long term perspective of agriculture is that there has always been a high amount of risk and uncertainty.
Adapt or die.
France alone could produce enough wheat for France ,Iberia ,Benelux ,Switzerland ,Part of Germany west of the Rhine and 4 Italian region (Aoste ,Piedmont ,Liguria and Sardinia) .
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Edit :+ Andorra ,Monaco ,San Marino ,Vatican and Liechenstein of course
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France has one of the best agricultural land (in term of soil quality) in Europe, equal to Ukraine and the Russian caucasus (So the very South of Russia near Georgia/Armenia/Azerbaijan) .
But there are 3 thing that doesn't allow that .
1-EU agricultural law that favor German agriculture and hinder France's one (For example one of the thing it does is that is favor Monsanto product that the German already used before the law was created ,and it banned the product used by the French ,which were more natural and productive than those of Monsanto).
2-Company get more benefice by exporting their product to other continent than by selling it on the national market .
Like on the 36 Million tonnes of wheat produced annually ,16 Million goes on the national market and the remaining 20 Million are exported .
3-Food that are wasted ,so worldwide it's 33.33% (1/3) of the production that is wasted so 20 Million become 13.33 Million ,and in France ,it's 18% that is wasted so 16 Million become 13.12 Million so out of 36 Million ,only 26.45 Million will be consumed .
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Edit 2:In France ,there are things that reduce the amount of waste . For example the peremption date is a false one ,the real date is 3 days after what is written ,so you know you can still eat it 3 days after what is written (It may even be longer like 4/5 days for some product) .
Another thing with peremption date ,reduction are applied when the product is 1 day before the peremption date (Usually the price is reduced by 50 to 80% ,but legally ,it's a minimum of 30% of reduction)
So if you buy something on the 4th of December ,with a peremption date of 5th of December ,you bought it for only half the price ,and you can still consume it on the 8th of December
In the EU ,Food waste are responsibles for 6% of the pollutions
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Corn or wheat are more sensitive to rains. Wineyards and orchards less because of deep roots. You have Shiraz wine variety in Iran, so no worry we will have grapes.
@@plumebrise4801 Ukraine alone can produce enough food for entire of Europe+ Russia.
Comming from Australia we've had record cold weather and incredible rains..If you think grapes will be grown on Tasmania on mass you are absolutely fooling yourself..Like the commentary in thus clip..!!
@@johneverett6751 the increased cold & rainfall is the result of the El Niño and La Niña cycle ya numbnut, so just wait until the El Niño phase starts back up & it's back to grapes, so wtf are you even griping about!?
As a Frenchman, I am both terrified and appalled by the impact climate change will have on European agriculture. It might seem ridiculous and cliché but french culture is deeply linked with its local agricultural products and their disappearance would create a cultural void in my country I think. Something like an existential crisis...
Hops as well
As a french person too, screw wine! We need food, not to get drunk to forget about global warming!
Care to elaborate on this?
This got me interested into culture linked to agriculture.
@@unknowninfinium4353 I'm not a specialist by any means but it seems to me that we (I'll talk only for france, and it already is out of my competence ^^') invested a lot of cultural focus in typical dishes. As an example we are a huge user of protected geographic labels, a champagne can only be from champagne region, comté cheese from Jura region, same thing with meats, honey, fruits, vegetables etc. Should these products become impossible to produce in their origin region, I feel that a big chunk of these local identities would encounter a crisis.
After all local gastronomy is one (not the only one, agreed) of the main means of identification and differentiation of french local cultures. Local languages were eradicated long ago, our education system has little room for local particularism, and our political system has a hard time delegating power to regional institutions... so food is a refuge for identity...
@@Leyfandir Thank you for explaining.
As an owner of a small developing vineyard in Cyprus higher temperatures also means higher rainfall so we are also switching back to more traditional varieties and yes Cyprus is starting to produce good wines again after getting away from the more popular and less successful in our climates Riesling and other overrated and non traditional varieties of vine.
Take back the North. No time for wine, drink afterwards to celebrate but not right now.
At least we are sure there is enough wine to forget about evil EU commissioners and other political and incompetent leaders
German whine regions around the rivers Rhine, Mosel and Saale are also benefiting from this development. It is a huge challenge, but it will also create interesting new products.
@Madhur Kumar Chugh_021 You're either trolling or trolling.
@madhurkumarchugh_0217 It doesn't make sense. If you like something that much, that everyone else had to die, because they didn't like it, how your mum lives right know? When you say, you see above her fails, you even take your own words in the garbage. If you want to live in this way, you solve no problems, you create, maybe greater problem what your children have to dig out.
But hey, when your son did shit, I know your way to deal with it, garbage bin. But know you have killed some one, because he didn't like, blue, was it right and worth it?
@Madhur Kumar Chugh_021 Better stop smoking weed...
@@richardfuller3566 he is speaking facts
True. And my parents who are hobby gardeners now having a great harvest of their zucchini, tomato's and other vegetables. I don't see a problem 😅
While climate change is important, I can’t help but feel that this is such a frivolous example of French chauvinism, where deviation from culture is an unspeakable sin. Offer a solution and it is scoffed at because this is not how we do it Burgundy.
Yh not willing to change might hurt france
You know that to have particular names, grapes have to be grown in a particular way and a particuar region in France right ? You cant't just change things and expect the wine to stay the same.
Also it may be conected to lower forest areas/more (tree) monocultures maybe? Has they absorve less carbon, increase local temperatures and destabelize the water cycle
@@TheMops14 I think that’s the point he’s making. Holding on to that name until it no longer works isn’t gonna be as effective as accepting that changing variety to suit the climate
@@TheMops14 You just add -style and it's ok. Bordeaux-style wine. Perfectly ok in the US. People who can't afford the real thing get the same product for less.
Every farmer knows; sometimes you grow corn, sometimes you grow wheat. Sometimes you plant alfalfa. If these vineyard managers don’t know to quit growing Chardonnay and Pinot Noir for a few years and rotate in a crop more suited for the climate then it is the farmer who’s value is diminished. Chardonnay and Pinot climate will come back one day
That is not how wine growing works at all. Do you have any idea how long the vine needs to grow before it is considered to give high quality grapes for making wine?
@@ziiro91 I imagine a very long time. Do you know how climates work? They change. Any farmer is fortunate to get any degree of consistency. That’s why we must stay flexible.
@@alld47hidrohnilougue31 you need to realize it takes 4 years to fruit. So spend money planting new grape, and wait 4 years til first fruit? They’d all go bust
@@utubedude2842 yea, because they’re staying within the same confines of the grape “box”. All farmers are really in the real estate business.. and there’s so much more they can do with real estate than farm grapes
@@alld47hidrohnilougue31 I agree with you. But it is challenging to go away from what you know works. On top of that, a lot of the equipment for grapes may not work for different crop, so machinery costs add up to.
Dang.. I live pretty close to a pretty chalky area (Stevns) here in Denmark. Maybe it's time to buy up land while it's still cheap. Soon we will be making "champagne" here =)
Just wait until you hear from the USA, South Africa, New Zealand and whatsoever.
Farmland in Denmark isn't cheap.
Stoissdik
Going a Campaign (Viking).
Stick to bacon 😂
As a Norwegian I would love to drink Scandinavian wine.
You focus on wine and France/Italy, but there are other climates and crops. Poland is one of the biggest agriculture countries and might be open to crops which usually need a milder climate.
Good to see obf improving, I couldn't find a similar video to this one on youtube.
Yet, not yet at least
He should pin this lol
Hahahahaha
Good going obf keep rising above!
As a Northern European, I agree that thumbnail's area is indeed useless.
completely opposite
I planted a couple of grape vines in my (Scottish) garden 20 years ago, and they've only bothered to start producing grapes over the past 2 years. This year was pretty good with several bunches, impressing me enough to buy 3 more vines.
Clearly, climate change is shifting Scotland's agricultural potential too.
However, I grow these vines for the fruit, not for wine, and I think that buying up vast tracts of British agricultural land for raising plants merely for the 'booze' industry is a big mistake when it is food security we need.
Remember that the West will still be expected to provide for regions of the world increasingly under climate change pressure (such as Kenya, Ethiopia), and unless we want to find ourselves faced with the problem of an absolutely massive migrant crisis that we simply cannot control and certainly cannot house at the expense of our agricultural land, we need to keep producing food to feed these parts of the world.
I thought this video might have been more general with regard to crops, and might have made mention of the increasingly urgent problem of remaining soil depth and fertility in Europe (there are estimates that much European land is sufficient for 'around' another 30 harvests).
The West must put a stop to letting in migrants of any kind. It's destroying everything. The natives are becoming a minority in their own country. This is genocide. Tell everyone you know.
The West needs to look after their own populations before thinking of foreign aid. Food prices are expected to rise 400%. Since the 1970's, $40 Trillion has been sent in foreign aid and achieved nothing but generational dependence on the West. Many people in the West cannot even afford to eat.
The problem is actually much deeper and scarier than the lowering quality of high grade crops.
I am a farmer in central Argentina, we work in different farms and in the last 10 years we have seen radical shifts in rain and frost patterns, to the point that some planting windows have moved, and others just disappeared. This year, in large parts of the country we lost the prime planting season for maize due to temperature of the soil being too low and the missing September rains.
Southern Germany is also on a massive limestone formation that would be suited to growing champagne grapes and has a cooler climate because it's higher altitude.
This video seems a bit odd, i don't know why you focused on Europe saying that Europe's land is going to be useless by 2100, 1) nobody can reliably predict what's going to happen in a century, by then we could of reversed climate change. 2) Europe is actually comparatively effected less than most of the world. You then said that wine making is going to disappear from parts of France due to global warming, and then showed that they are using heaters to protect the crop, as if it proved you point, when it actually prove the opposite, as clearly its the cold that is the issue not the heat. Its just wierd that you keep saying that Europe's agriculture will become worthless, when as you pointed out, if the worst happens it will just require different crops to be grown, its not like hot countries such as India or brazil can have agriculture.
Few Olive trees get already planted in my region, southern Austria... Fig trees also grow in house gardens. But in fact here could never be mediterranean conditions, because we have no sea in the very next which works as a puffer
So, grow them by the Baltic :).
Good information but let’s not forget that during the Roman occupation of U.K., vitro culture was also widespread. Ergo the temperature of plant has varied considerably
Climate Change folks want you to forget about it was warmer during the medieval warming period than today and people farming with sharpened sticks and barest of metal tools survived it.
Now we are going back to the warming period with an entire computerized Ag industry.
The only way we could starve is by the vile machinations of other humans.
Many of the problems described all started because how it’s farmed. Since it removed trees, uses pesticides, and covers almost all of Europe, all that can lead to the climate changes it is experiencing right now.
Rest of the world: Climate change will literally sink most of the coastal cities
Europeans: But what about my vineyards 😢
You know how much of europe will flood? The whole flatland for example I.e. where I live
@@slin2903 but you know this video talks about a much more serious issue than that
@@11andy Wine is for kids and the things you need for Korn grow everywhere
@@slin2903 Depends on many factors, like how much water can be safely stored in former coal quarries, how much water can be stored in renewed wetlands and regenerated soil and so. And it even depends on such things as various river diversions around the world.
Adding sugar/acid to balance the other component is far from unthinkable in Burgundy, actually. It's just a well-kept dirty little secret...
We don't need wine, we need food
More and more wine is being produced in The Netherlands. So yes, you might be right.
true, you see more of them popping up. I wonder if you plant them near the coast, you could get a salty sea taste? ( I like weird food and drinks, leave me be please :D ) somewhat cool to think about.
Same goes for some of the ricefields we have planted. A company was experimenting with it. could be epic. Thought's?
Same in the south coast of England
Netherlands gets everything cool 🥲
@@edwardevans9162 yeah we have them all over Kent now
Soon it'll be Kentpagne
Why are we worried about wine production? We should be worried about food crops, and not wine production.
This Indeed!
Talking about one issue doesn't exclude they other. What a silly argument!
I have to say, this video felt different to others, you sounded very passionate about it and I liked it, it really shows that you cared about this video and it shows in the video, keep up the great work!
⬆️
Northern people will feed the world as the weather improves.
The thumbnail : European farmland will be useless!
The video : a couple wines will taste different...
indeed, in roman times, britain was reknowned as a great wine producer.a shame the romans considered vinegar a 'great wine'..
Vinegar is great wine tho.
apparently they thought vinegar was such a good wine they gave Jesus some
Some wines are great vinegars.
The Romans had vineyards in Britain 2000years ago,before climate change(unless perhaps climate has always changed).So vineyards in southern France can plant olive or citrus trees and probably get similar earnings from the land.
Also we are at the start / since end 2016 - 2053 a grand solar cycle what tend to happen approx every 350-400 years and we already seen global changes . last time year 1540 europe entered a drought lasting 11 months, half a million died, water shortages reports were already running dry by may and huge forest fires, same as over in the usa that time period 1500-1800's forest fires on average burned 145 million acres, compared to now only 10-14 million acres. looking at past events . we could of only just seem a glimpse of whats to come since 2016 , this time the difference not lasting as long what is forecast compared to the last time it happened but we will see changes. few examples magnetic field weakened, allowing more cosmic rays to enter our atmosphere, they can help to seed clouds for example even trigger lightning. or solar wind or lack of, that plays a huge role in the jet stream. even Noaa says All weather on Earth, from the surface of the planet out into space, begins with the Sun. Space weather and terrestrial weather (the weather we feel at the surface) are influenced by the small changes the Sun undergoes during its solar cycle.
The person at the very end trying to hit the drone with a stone
This video is actually pretty fun, lot less doomer than I'm used to when the subject is climate change
Huge problem not being able to produce exactly the same wine in the future? Maybe they can grow somthing that actually feed people.
Figs, persimmons, olive trees,pistachios, kiwis are already planted and harvested successfully in small orchards in Hungary. Before 1990, everyone would have said, that this is insane. The reason is not only the climate,but the way,how people were thinking in the past.
They obviously forgot all about the Medieval Warm Period.
Yall know back in the day English wine was awesome but then a temp shift during the middle ages killed it off, moral of the story shit happens and earth's Temps have never been constant
I think some of the people here are missing the point. A huge chunk of Europe's infrastructure/economy is built around certain crops. The cost to shift to new crops would be enormous and slow - Same for any part of the world.
Europe also has shifted entire shoe and textile industry to Asia or Turkey. Such changes in industry do happen. The dependency to other areas is a risk, but it does not cause any collapse by itself. I just checked the number for Germany. Share of Agriculture on GNP is 0.78%. It's not a "huge chunk".
Honestly many grape varieties grow in hot and warm climates like Australia, Chile, and California. I'm surprised sommeliers can taste differences in hillsides for example.
Fascinating! I have visited the areas of several of my favorite wines, the Moselle and Rhine valleys, Veneto, Jerez de la Frontera, Oporto and the Napa-Sonoma region in California. I also visited the Finger Lakes Region of New York early on in my discovery of wine. Strangely, you didn't mention the US, particularly California, as a major wine producer. If, having gotten your feet wet [an unintentional reference to traditional methods] in the heart of the European wine industry, you should look at the enormous and varied US wine scene, and you have barely mentioned the important Chile and Argentina wine area, and the expanding Australian industry. All of these areas call for more video attention. Thanks for this, and hopefully for more in the future.
The data about rainfall in Athens dating back to 1890s show no decrease in average long term rainfall and an actual small increasing trend since the 90s. Sadly there is no source list in the video description to find out where you found that rainfall in southern Europe has declined so I assume it's just fear mongering
I have linked to the full script with sources in the description.
So, they produced the best wine in history . . . and that's a problem? Increased CO2 is magnificent for plants. It has begun to bring back even parts of the Sahara desert. Greenhouse farmers pump into their houses 20X the amount of CO2 that's in the atmosphere.
I have farmed in the midsection of the US for 50 years. It was much warmer here in the 1930s, 1950s and 1980s, and 2000s than it is now. I realize that climate change effects some regions more quickly than others but weather or climate goes in cycles--some of the cycles are shorter duration of perhaps 11 to 22 years as the lunar maximum and minimum of 11 and 22 years do seem to come into play, but even then sometimes it may be 10 or 12 years, as weather does not actually follow on a human predicted schedule or calendar. . And we have La Niña and El Niño and the ENSO and so many other factors come into play. Then we have had mini ice ages in human recorded history and one led to the failure of the French wheat crop and most likely the French Revolution. As Yogi Berra said "making prediction is difficult, especially when it is about the future." Circa 12,000 years ago we had an event that melted the Mile thick glaciers in what if now North America, in a period of maybe 200 years. The oceans rose 400 feet. All of this is a gross generalization, but so far our lives in recorded history have been during a rather constant warm period that has allowed agriculture to feed 8 billion people.
Exactly, but long earth cycles are an inconvenient truth for the sheeple. They have enormous anxiety about glaciers receding but don't understand that they were only there because of ice ages.
looks like we are getting a rare 3 La Niña in a row, This is rare, but not unheard of. Triple La Niñas have also occurred in, for example, 1973-1976 and 1998-2001 going back to 1903. La Niña events have occurred on a regular basis during the early parts of both the 17th and 19th centuries. March 2022 Suriname flooding (attributed to La Niña) , 2021 New South Wales floods (severity fueled by La Niña, 2020 Atlantic hurricane season (unprecedented severity fueled by La Niña). also we at the beginning of a grand solar cycle what tend to come every 350-400 years, this grand cycle 2020-2053, from about the mid 20's to end of the 30's is forecast to be the worst of the cycle with the lowest solar activity so we just have to see, but events from the last time europe 11 month drought killed half million, or huge forest fires in the usa 10x more burn acreage through the 1500-1800. that same time period we did also go through a cooler period too
Europe has one of best quality farmland especially Pannonia valley and east Ukraine.
hey thanks. from Hungary.
Hungary, Romania, Ukraine and Belarus have one of the best soil and farmland in the world.
@@dacian_1346 Romania and Belarus I don't know. For Hungary and Ukraine I am sure.
@@snokehusk223 romania i know has good quality soil
@@davidjoelsson4929 Ok, if you say so.
Same in Portugal, the harvest is getting noticeable earlier and earlier each year.
And then, the french lost their wine; and the english laughed, and laughed, and laughed...
Until the French comes to england with near religious fervor to get it anyway.
Where the wine goes the french follows
Love the existential climate dread, followed up by some hip techno tune 💃
I remember reading Wealth of Nations in college, and Adam Smith talking about trading English wool with Portuguese wine is better for both countries, as Portugal is too hot for sheep to grow good wool, and England is too cold to grow good grapes. How the turn tables. XDDD
There is a community on the English Chanel named Faversham in Kent. If they grow grapes they could make Favershampaigne. Or they could torture people and give them Faversham pain.
There are streets in London that are named after wine and wine producing. There was a great migration in the middle ages because of cooling climates for the north. There are changes in climate everytime. They where (and are) not related to us!
Through time agriculture and produce have moved south north constantly. In the Middle Ages the north was warmer but it cooled down around 1500, and around 1600 experienced an 'ice age', which slowly turned around 1750 to normal again.
Adaptation and switching is quite normal. But we have to do everything to make it slow in a way these adjustments can take place.
Looking forward to pineapples and bananas from Spain, and Danish wine.
This video should be called why europes wineland has a huge problem, because the video does not go into farmland in general very much at all.
Inflation hits people a lot harder than a crashing
stock or housing market as it directly affects
people's cost of living that people immediately feel
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If Australia with its 40 degree summers can produce great wines I don't see the problem.
Forest being chopped down in Alaska for farmland. The faster we warm, the faster we get to the next Ice Age.
French emperor Napoleon ordered the removal of AL wine yards in Hageland(Flanders region of Belgium) in order to avoid competition with French wines. So we invented STELLA Artois, premium lager...
By this logic all the farmland in the world will be useless once Earth is hot enough.
People need to become more flexible in their thinking when it comes to agriculture.
When I was growing up in western Washington more than a few years ago I lived on a subsistence farm. While we had an orchard most of what we raised were the animals while grandpa, who had farmed all his adult life did most of the actual farming.
I remembered he would always work to grow watermelon and in spite of all his pampering he would only get a few small ones which he kept for him and grandma as a special treat. You didn't see others trying to grow watermelon because we just didn't have the weather for it. We would usually purchase a few in August that were trucked over from eastern Washington where they had much hotter summers.
Now, you can grow watermelons in western Washington, partly due to development of new strains of watermelon but a contributor to this and other warm weather crops has been changing weather patterns.
We need to be adjusting our thinking about what we are growing. A bit tougher when you are talking about perennials but still can be done and is better planned for when they are experiencing excellent conditions for their crops than waiting for the decline.
They should start investing in this cheaper more northerly lands now while it is cheaper and spend the next few years developing the soil to be perfect for vineyards. Then they can start transferring their stock.
The same with regular farms. How have conditions changed in your area? If you have been growing lots of greens, potatoes and corn, maybe you should start seeing how different squashes, okra and melons do. Or instead of growing one crop of something per year try getting 2 crops per year. What if your area seems to be getting cooler? Try including greater amounts of cool weather crops. And if you keep experiencing droughts? Start finding drought resistant crops to grow.
While human activities may be affecting climate over the long haul it is useless to keep trying to expect the weather to adapt to our needs. We need to adjust to what we are provided by nature instead of losing everything because we don't want to change.
Dutch people hearing we can take french baguette, and now make french wine:
G E K O L O N I S E E R D
Some things will be more difficult to grow while other items will become easier to grow. It's called adapting to your environment.
Climate change is ALSO a natural occurrence. Perspective and adaptation are important.
Another problem is soil degradation. We are not returning enough organic matter into the soil. The soil is dead, it has lost most of its insects and bacteria due to the use of pesticides, so it cannot decompose organic matter.
Of course you can sweeten wine! A number of decades ago, some wineries, probably lesser ones, mixed glycol into their wine. Certainly stirred things up when the news broke! ;) But then people have cheated on olive oil, too. And, of course, liquor. As in methanol instead of ethanol.
to add sugar to wine in France is illegal, and vintners heavily punished
@@charleshart2664 Yup, they are.! But that didn't stop some from trying... ;)
Grapes are one of the most adaptable food crops around the world. You can find grapes growing in incredibly cold regions to hot deserts. It is also possible to graft new varieties to established rootstocks in order to not lose the benefits that growing on mature vines gives.
The disease issue is very real though.
Nope, grapes are very hard to grow on my latitude (59.3), it is almost possible if you do everything perfect, with wind protection and on the south side, and if the summer is warm.
They do become very very small, wellcome to the "arctic"
@@andreaskampe9143 It is very possible. You just need the right varieties and siting. People grow grapes in Oslo (nearly 60 N latitude), Saskatchewan, and Alaska. There is a reason the Vikings called Labrador "Vinland".
@@andybarr6751 it is very windy where I live, 70m to the ocean.
My Thai wife tried to grow a lot of crops here, she failed miserable the first 10 years.
It can be done but it s not easy. No mercy for mistakes. Everything has to be optimum.
In tropical southern Thailand, the climate is perfect, it rains almost every day and perfect temp.
You can harvest 2 times a year. Everything grows like crazy, even if the soil is bad.
The climate always changes. The Roman’s grew grapes in England.
As did the medieval residents of England. The little ice age of the 1700s put a stop to that.
Adapt and overcome.
If so many efforts are required to keeping alive a certain species, is it not logical to think if it’s the proper plant for such kind of environment? Just because it’s “historical” doesn’t necessarily means is the best. Unnumbered varieties has been developed, cultivated and changed just during the last century in order to adapt to different conditions (both environmental and social), so I’m personally quite confident that would be just another case to adapting to the new conditions and developing something able to thrive in this scenario. All history is continuous evolution and adaptation, complaining about a change doesn’t usually make that much of a difference and most definitely doesn’t make a land become “worthless” just because of that. resilience and creativity are usually a better and wiser solution.
Most of the land not so long ago was considered inhospitable and completely purposeless, and now are some of the most productive areas of the entire planet. Once again not necessarily productivity mean good, nor bad...it will comes with pro and cons as well.. i have recently had a reminder about a recurring (around 100years or so) series of cyclical severe drought events (as the one affecting USA around the ‘30 and known as “dust bowl”). And I was fascinated by how everybody focus only on certain aspects of climate change (each person with his/her own point/opinion/reason behind), and usually mainstream news focus on desertification and temperature increase, but then almost nobody speak about many other recutting phenomena that punctually comes. It may be for sure impacted by thousands of reason (both human and not human made) but the spectrum of the news should be a little broader, in my humble opinion. Since nature wise, any change carry pro and cons, as it always did ever since....so maybe beside speculations and fear mongering it would be nice to have from time to time some reminders about the whole complexity of the system itself.
The climate always fluctuates.
Why did you think the ice age ended, did the mammoths burn coal?
The little ice age lasted from 1300 - 1859, Europeen farms suffered.
During 1280 -1350, and 1460 - 1550 there was solar spot minimum, the glaciers in the alps grow, The river Thems in England froze. this caused starvation in northern Europe.
During the viking age the temperature was warmer.
Europe farmland, according to author French horticulture. There is simply no Europe East and North of France.
I bet Scandinavian and Baltic farmland has a much different story to tell.
Australia's Hunter Valley has started transitioning over to olive trees from wine grapes. All the boarder line too hot areas have. They can see the writing on the wall.
Who did the voice over? :) It's perfect. Also...your Patreon link is not working....ERROR message!
Good video but strange no mention of wine in title.
that's some big BS dude, if that was the case wines in Spain and Italy would be trash but not, they are pretty good, plus you have something similar to champagne in the catalan region in Spain (Cava) and those grapes are growing in a much, much warmer climate and still the result is excellent
@Wilhelm Eley It definitely is, the taste changes a lot depending on climate. Doesn't mean that the new taste is bad, just different.
Agriculture will be fine unless there is some catastrophic run off event, even if zones shift. So far yields have gone nothing but up at an unreal pace almost everywhere. I believe that we are only at the beginning of this technological revolution in agriculture, current yields are probably tiny compared to what will come.
This is scary
I know that in the UK we are starting to look at vertical farming but they only grow veg and fruit
You can put chicken in an apartment building.
Finally a video informing people of the impact of climate change on agriculture. Without food there is no civilization.
Although England will become more suitable for wine, French climate will warm up to turn a little chiller than North Africa, which produce robust wine since antiquity. Algerian wine is often used to push up the degree of French wine.
So with French knowledge no reason that Bordeaux or Bourgogne become unsuitable for wine.
Also, Champaign is barely suitable for wine compared to Bordeaux and Bourgogne. It produce mainly light white wine. The genius idea was to control the natural process of "champagnisation", when sudden change of temperature creates the sparkling gas which makes the wine heady.
So more effort will have to be put in British understanding of what makes a good wine.
Screw wine! We need food, not to get drunk to forget about global warming!
Almost all of Ukraine is Chernozem (Black soil), so Europe has excellent land, we just need to kick off Russia.
Why does it have a name like that. "Cherno"byl?
@@N0Xa880iUL Chernozem is a combination of two words. "cherno" is from "chorniy" (letter i have a hard pronunciation) - the name of the black color in ukrainian/russian/etc and "zem" is from "zemlya" which is soil.
As climate change continues Russias land gains value
@@Crag_Hack Thanks!
Sounds like a fertile land for a great general plan in the east
yoo suddenly hearing scars super fast build mode song was epic, couldve been a lot longer though
In the Spanish olive groves shown, the soil is void of plants. Probably a bad idea, repeated by tradition stemming from a cooler climate. Swiss scientists have found that the yield and quality of grapes grown on soil covered with herbs is at least as good as from 'desertic' soil. Decreases also heating up of soil in sunshine. And increases biological value of realm.
Wait a minute. France gets too hot to grow red grapes for high quality red wines? So how come Spain and Portugal produce such great red wine so much further south?
I clicked the video expecting this to be a talk on EU agricultural subsidies.
Grapes are high water content crops, which needs lots of water like a tomato.
Grow something people can eat , not make booze from.
it's time to start investing in vineyards on Svalbard
He said they are already growing grapes in frosty Tasmania, so perhaps Svalbard may be a future wine producer.
@@Dave_Sisson Tasmania is near Antarctica right
@@mysteriousDSF not really
@@Dave_Sisson tasmania has a cool temperate climate.
@@davidjoelsson4929 Except for the west coast of Tassie. Check the figures it rains for 300 days a year in much of west coast shire and I suspect it snows for the other 65.
Yeah the French has to grow Ocra instead, and Germany will be good wine growers instead.
What's the big deal
crop rotation is a good idea for the soil, looks like that is what will happen, grow something else like food
except the WEF may tell its better to eat bugs.
00:20 I've been buying Chinese wines from German supermarkets for decades, it doesn't sound ridiculous to me.
"IF" the earth continues to warm southern regions will suffer , northern regions will gain . " IF"! As a Canadian I'm routing for warming .
Soon, olives will grow in Denmark.
You can taste the sun and drought in a wine, and also the alcohol level increases if the botanical Variety stays unchanged. Climate change and also local and temporal weather makes that each year of a specific wine is different, and I think that in general France now is going down, except with pionneering people that have changed their variety and planted new ones.
But not every summer is just as hot, the harvesting time also varies year to year!
The greatest threat to European farmland is European politicians...actually the greatest threat to ALL farmland is ALL politicians!
and that's not all. the AMOC is slowing, which means colder winters and warmer, drier summers in whole europe. not the best for the grape.
Zzzzzzzzzz Climate change alarmism...
We used to be afraid of DDT... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of nuclear bombs... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of of communists... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of immigration... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of nuclear power... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of overpopulation... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of global cooling... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of the hole in the ozone layer... but everything was OK.
We used to be afraid of GMOs... but everything was OK.
Trust me... everything will be fine.
That should be good for the grapes and the wine makers, just make more booze and export it.
Bordeaux as already been experimenting with different grape varieties to match the current taste of their wines, they have been aware of the problems for over twenty years , I would say farming in general is also aware of the ever decreasing water supply and it is very clear to see the difference in what is now grown compared to even just ten years ago in the South of France.
south america could be very interesting place to study this too
Last seconds of the video you see a guy about to throw a rock at the drone.. LOL
Forgot to include Denmark in the "worthless" area. / A Swede
Alarmist nonsense. Not a single citation for the many questionable assertions here. Any one who analyses European climate from a starting point of 1960 is dishonest. The Romans grew grapes in close proximity to Hadrians Wall, Greenland was Green and not covered with ice up to the time of the Vikings.
What mapping software do you use bc its just wow
I use After Effects as the animation software and I use a plugin called Geolayers 3 for the map animations.