Chipotle ($CMG) DCF Valuation Model | Built By Former JP Morgan Banker!

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  • Опубліковано 24 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 44

  • @rareliquid
    @rareliquid  3 місяці тому

    ⬇ Download the Excel for FREE ⬇
    ► www.wallstreetprep.com/access/chipotle-dcf-model/
    ► Sign up to get emails notifications for my streams and when the excel models are available: forms.gle/jMUPmnSp5pvC9sQb6
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    ► Use code RARELIQUID to get $300 OFF!
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  • @yannbeko
    @yannbeko 3 місяці тому +8

    Literraly the best way that i practices and learn financial modeling during my Master's years.

    • @Ken-ul6ll
      @Ken-ul6ll 3 місяці тому

      The best way in your experience is to watch someone else build out a model like this? What is the alternative way of learning? Through textbooks?

  • @geoalmaraz9889
    @geoalmaraz9889 4 місяці тому +30

    Can you do a dcf model where you show your keyboard as well? I’m trying to practice the shortcuts that can help with time a lot. Thanks so much

  • @rareliquid
    @rareliquid  3 місяці тому +2

    ⏱Timestamps⏱
    0:00 - Introduction
    7:44 - Chipotle Situation Overview
    9:00 - Trading Comps
    13:00 - DCF Starts
    15:57 - Income Statement
    27:40 - Cash Flow Items
    34:20 - Projecting Free Cash Flow
    54:58 - Mid-Year Convention
    57:30 - Calculating Diluted Shares
    1:13:05 - WACC
    1:16:50 - Present Value of Free Cash Flow
    1:19:43 - Terminal Value
    1:22:25 - Implied Share Price
    1:35:49 - Price Discussion
    1:38:37 - Sensitivity Table

    • @mauricesjq
      @mauricesjq 3 місяці тому

      A question here, why is the CapEx at Cash Flow Item positive, whereas the data is negative?

  • @Zenster-b6o
    @Zenster-b6o 15 днів тому

    Hi...Thank you so much for this amazing content. Can you please guide me on where you get the historical and forecasted financial Statements from? Also, can you please make a video on how to make projected financial statements?

  • @GF-wf8rt
    @GF-wf8rt 2 місяці тому

    Oof I was worried that my DCF was seriously wrong, but happy to see that our implied share price is pretty similar (lots of downside)

  • @cristiansierra8382
    @cristiansierra8382 4 місяці тому +8

    Please we need a video about the shortcuts

  • @searlitfam4139
    @searlitfam4139 3 місяці тому +4

    Yo I love the videos but I have a question. How can I find the street estimates so I can make my own models? It’ll be a great help bro.

    • @rareliquid
      @rareliquid  3 місяці тому +1

      can't unless you pay up for something like factset or capiq. u may be able to get some cheaper options but they likely won't be super reliable. or if there are other sources i'm just not aware of them

  • @irinauspenskaya9671
    @irinauspenskaya9671 3 місяці тому +1

    Thank you for the DCF! I'm waiting for the link so I can get historical numbers and estimates and build the model.

  • @hrishikeshpuranik8656
    @hrishikeshpuranik8656 3 місяці тому

    Hi Ben! Amazing video. Question question as to how did you pick the Base (Street) revenue forecasts? Is there an independent source for it?

  • @andrewdunkin4632
    @andrewdunkin4632 3 місяці тому +2

    Ben - what is your end game with all of this? Purely to teach finance in a creative way? Or do you want to get back into the game so to speak at some point?

    • @rareliquid
      @rareliquid  3 місяці тому +2

      have different side products that i'm pretty excited about but for the next few years i still have a lot of content ideas. ideally never want to work in the corporate world again

  • @Aline-nn5fi
    @Aline-nn5fi 2 місяці тому

    @rareliquid That implied share price is very low. Did you add the sum of the PV of all FCF anywhere to determine the EV?

    • @GF-wf8rt
      @GF-wf8rt 2 місяці тому

      Yeah I think he knows to include stage 1 and 2 lol

  • @wf3607
    @wf3607 3 місяці тому

    Hello, can we also donwload the comparison sheet with different restaurants?

  • @fazerain7381
    @fazerain7381 3 місяці тому

    If you ever built a model for companies with their main operations in Europe, what terminal growth rate did you use for the base case?

  • @agustinammann5795
    @agustinammann5795 3 місяці тому

    Hey Ben, could you do a DCF of MELI?

  • @nickylooho
    @nickylooho 3 місяці тому +1

    bon apetit, ben!

  • @katrr117
    @katrr117 3 місяці тому

    Where did pull the forecast and statements from?

  • @xtxp5868
    @xtxp5868 3 місяці тому

    the year end at the top of the DCF model, is that the fiscal year end or the calendar year end? does it affect the valuation if the fiscal year end isnt 31 dec?

  • @Jibuu1
    @Jibuu1 4 місяці тому

    Hey, could you do a DCF about SMCI?

  • @xtxp5868
    @xtxp5868 3 місяці тому +1

    Why is EBIAT = Revenue - EBIT? I noticed you did that one calculation to find EBIAT towards the end but I still can't get it. Please help :)

    • @Daniel.P.Cole10
      @Daniel.P.Cole10 3 місяці тому

      Agreed, struggling here as well. I thought EBIAT should = EBIT - Taxes which is what what he had originally

    • @Daniel.P.Cole10
      @Daniel.P.Cole10 3 місяці тому

      Never mind he caught it

    • @xtxp5868
      @xtxp5868 3 місяці тому

      @@Daniel.P.Cole10 haha yea, commented too soon :)

  • @RadhikaAgarwal-q3e
    @RadhikaAgarwal-q3e 3 місяці тому

    Hey, are online degrees given equal reputation and status, while applying for mba?

  • @alegarcia2686
    @alegarcia2686 3 місяці тому

    how do i forecast revenue and stuff??

    • @spencer_gray
      @spencer_gray 3 місяці тому

      Would be interested in this as well

    • @Aline-nn5fi
      @Aline-nn5fi 2 місяці тому

      That’s one of the challenges with the DCF. You have to make assumptions. There are no right or wrong assumptions. You have to be able to logically prove the reason behind you assumptions. In a high level DCF, you can go with what analysts think revenue will be. This information can be found on Yahoo finance, if you don’t have access to equity research platforms. When I project numbers into the future, I use medians instead of averages. Medians take into account outliers. Some people prefer averages. You can use what works with your assumptions and model. I hope this helps.

  • @wenwei4725
    @wenwei4725 4 місяці тому

    where to Download the Excel?

    • @David-r7n1b
      @David-r7n1b 4 місяці тому +1

      in the description

    • @ksrini74
      @ksrini74 4 місяці тому

      It says link coming soon

    • @Jibuu1
      @Jibuu1 4 місяці тому +1

      @@ksrini74he said that a year ago 😂😂

    • @fazerain7381
      @fazerain7381 3 місяці тому

      You can download the earlier model from the previous Live videos descriptions

  • @LoisPrice-k4y
    @LoisPrice-k4y 3 місяці тому

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