‘World turned upside down’: Pollsters react to Trump win

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  • Опубліковано 24 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 3,1 тис.

  • @BobBrand-z8s
    @BobBrand-z8s 18 днів тому +2395

    The fact that Lichtman credited Harris with a strong economy made him suspect right off the bat

    • @lukasfoo
      @lukasfoo 18 днів тому

      My thoughts exactly. He couldn’t admit that the Biden-Harris economy was in the toilet. He also couldn’t admit that the US was involved in a war. He overlooked our involvement in Ukraine and our influence in the Hamas-Israeli conflict.

    • @alphabeets
      @alphabeets 18 днів тому +174

      Exactly. Another professor that should not be teaching our young people.

    • @carlosnorris352
      @carlosnorris352 18 днів тому +132

      And successful foreign policy 😂. She doesn’t even know what’s foreign.

    • @gabemcbride108
      @gabemcbride108 18 днів тому +76

      Yes! You could tell he was biased, just by the way he described her.

    • @kristinahernandez564
      @kristinahernandez564 18 днів тому +52

      Yea, that’s what made me wonder if he was paid off for that prediction. It just didn’t make sense. Or maybe he was blinded by bias.

  • @nossenkanter
    @nossenkanter 18 днів тому +1811

    "The world wasn't upside down your heads were just buried in the sand."

    • @lusmas99
      @lusmas99 18 днів тому

      Close. His head is up his ass.

    • @dire7237
      @dire7237 18 днів тому +80

      yeah lichtman was an arrogant ass about his stupid keys

    • @thandiebrynard7462
      @thandiebrynard7462 18 днів тому +15

      @@dire7237bla bla bla ignorant cult sheep

    • @blaiseleblanc8091
      @blaiseleblanc8091 18 днів тому +18

      10-4, shows whos side he was on. Any university professor is on the safest hundred acres in any city. Thats why they are liberal. Live in a utopia

    • @marcd2743
      @marcd2743 18 днів тому +34

      @@thandiebrynard7462 huh? Dude was ridiculously wrong. You'd be the sheep here wouldn't you?

  • @janetblack4215
    @janetblack4215 18 днів тому +134

    The ability to manipulate polls has been highlighted by this election.

    • @rudolphpieters7918
      @rudolphpieters7918 17 днів тому

      And the propensity of those who are polled to lie to the pollsters.

    • @IndependentThinker74
      @IndependentThinker74 17 днів тому +1

      The polls were pretty close actually

    • @lisalu910
      @lisalu910 17 днів тому

      What about the 2016 election? Same exact thing. Clinton was predicted to win in a landslide - even going into election night as the returns came in, we were assured that she was favored to win. Clinton was just as shocked by the outcome as Harris and even behaved in a similar manner, disappearing from her election HQ when the race was called because she couldn't face her supporters.

    • @mattjewett4473
      @mattjewett4473 17 днів тому +1

      ​@jps101574 huh? Name one that OVER estimated Trump.

    • @janetblack4215
      @janetblack4215 17 днів тому +3

      @@IndependentThinker74 Actually they weren't. Trump's numbers were consistently predicted anywhere from one to three points lower than the actual results.

  • @JamesSultan-o3m
    @JamesSultan-o3m 18 днів тому +842

    Polymarket was a much better predictor than lichtman …. They hit it on almost everything

    • @paulhall170
      @paulhall170 18 днів тому +85

      'cos it was about real people playing with real money, they couldn't AFFORD to be wrong!

    • @benjaminblack91
      @benjaminblack91 18 днів тому +14

      Yeah, there are thousands of random professors making basically cointoss predictions. One of them will be right a few times in a row with high probability, doesn't mean they actually know anything.

    • @jzshen7383
      @jzshen7383 18 днів тому +5

      Except popular vote!

    • @kohl1999
      @kohl1999 18 днів тому +27

      @@benjaminblack91 Dude, look up the story about the French guy who put 40 mil on Trump winning. He actually dug very deeply into the polling and came to the conclusion the polls were wrong (again......).

    • @toddmarshall2726
      @toddmarshall2726 18 днів тому +2

      Yup, the house always wins.

  • @fordnut4914
    @fordnut4914 18 днів тому +858

    This guys a fn clown 😂😂😂 he swore up and down harris would win..

    • @runningjoke1637
      @runningjoke1637 18 днів тому +1

      I'm sure a lot of the kamala strategists were banking on him lol

    • @ec4221
      @ec4221 18 днів тому +3

      I’m ticked off!!!!

    • @SimplyJorgasmic
      @SimplyJorgasmic 18 днів тому +17

      He's a clown for not recognizing that millennials and younger generations can't be polled?

    • @eufrosniad994
      @eufrosniad994 18 днів тому +44

      @@SimplyJorgasmic If it was poll based, I would at least sympathize. Instead, he kept insisting on keys. According to him, if Joe had run and people knew he was cognitively impaired, Joe would still win because cognition is not one of his keys. He insisted that the result was sound because cognition had never been a factor before, when it should be obvious to anyone that just because it wasn't in the past, it would be today. The guy was just too full of himself.

    • @SimplyJorgasmic
      @SimplyJorgasmic 18 днів тому +14

      @eufrosniad994 true. I just looked further into it. He is a clown. Even nate silvers said the polls told him kamala but his gut told him trump

  • @Pitchithard
    @Pitchithard 17 днів тому +104

    His hate for Trump made him unable to think straight.

    • @tiggerthecat1
      @tiggerthecat1 17 днів тому +2

      That's an out. These people are just corrupt to the core.

    • @GB-gf3dm
      @GB-gf3dm 17 днів тому

      Exactly. Imagine hating so much that you become unaware of that hatred and it's self-corrupting power. 😮

    • @Salome-kq9ne
      @Salome-kq9ne 17 днів тому

      No he doesn't hate him. In fact, she did win. But Elon Musk and Putin happened as you will continue to see. He won fraudulently

    • @WarLord645
      @WarLord645 17 днів тому +4

      Yet he predicted Trump to win in 2016 but okay

    • @retardray5701
      @retardray5701 17 днів тому

      The prediction was based on same figures as before. His mistake was thinking that the American voter acts predictably enough to fit in such a simple model.

  • @Ivna486
    @Ivna486 18 днів тому +1134

    Lictman was so wrong . I knew it . His own model she would lose . He is a democrat and really wanted to help her out .

    • @whatwhy1533
      @whatwhy1533 18 днів тому

      how does telling people she's gonna win help her win? another brainless magat. let me guess the government can make hurricanes also? hahaha

    • @cherryformentera2943
      @cherryformentera2943 18 днів тому +11

      We the people are smart ok? We have antenna, of a vibes of a person....

    • @Lawrenc139
      @Lawrenc139 18 днів тому

      Pls , if he wanted to help her, he would have said she'll lose,
      1) Lull trumps into lower efforts
      2) increase the work rate of the democrat assholes who lost to a buffoon

    • @AcCeSsDeNiEd65
      @AcCeSsDeNiEd65 18 днів тому

      If he predicted trump would win in 2016. He is has no allegiance except to politics and to the country.

    • @planesandbikes7353
      @planesandbikes7353 18 днів тому

      No, he predicted all the prior Republican wins. He is purely objective. But this election was won on very subjective criteria and a Dem candidate with absolutely zero charisma.

  • @dansullivan6481
    @dansullivan6481 18 днів тому +247

    Same people who said Joe Biden was as mentally shap as ever 🤣

    • @rolandledesma-de7qd
      @rolandledesma-de7qd 18 днів тому +6

      That was the first of many,many lies.

    • @ScooterOnHisWay2024
      @ScooterOnHisWay2024 18 днів тому +4

      Joe Scarborough, aka Waldo from 'Where's Waldo,' in fact insisted that we were seeing "the very best version of Joe Biden."
      I guess falling on stage and soiling one's drawers in plain sight is The 2 Joes' idea of 'best.'

    • @PinkPrincess705
      @PinkPrincess705 17 днів тому +2

      He is sharper than you ever hope to be. That's for sure

    • @dansullivan6481
      @dansullivan6481 17 днів тому +2

      @PinkPrincess705 that's a fact
      Joe knew before I did
      When he put on the MAGA hat and smiled it was loud and clear 🤣 who he was rooting for ✌️

    • @rolandledesma-de7qd
      @rolandledesma-de7qd 17 днів тому

      @@PinkPrincess705 Troll.

  • @darakdjian
    @darakdjian 18 днів тому +189

    Arrogant jerk, was insisting on being right. Time to call a locksmith, need new keys! What a clown!

    • @KK-111
      @KK-111 17 днів тому +2

      So true!!! He was so hard to listen to, when he was blathering on about his 'greatness! :/ Gross...

    • @MikeCee7
      @MikeCee7 17 днів тому +5

      I’m so glad that Lickman lost with his dopey 13 keys. I first learned about his dumb keys a couple of months ago, I thought they were BS. It’s only been one really close race and the past 11 races m, and that was Bush versus Gore, which he lost in that prediction. Other than that, all the other races were easy for anyone to predict. (except for him)😅

    • @Twilightfang196
      @Twilightfang196 17 днів тому +5

      @@darakdjian Rudeness and arrogance wont get you anywhere in life dude. Enjoy your orange clown president and higher taxes and expenses.

    • @obiwankenobi661
      @obiwankenobi661 17 днів тому +6

      the sad part is, the keys system isnt even bad. but it hinges on unbiased, dispassionate evaluation of the keys - which is why many people prefer percentages, because numbers dont lie. but lichtman was extremely biased, so thats what he got.

    • @Twilightfang196
      @Twilightfang196 17 днів тому +2

      @@obiwankenobi661 i will agree with you on lichtman being biased- hes a democrat. Its not really a surprise to me on that. However I strongly disagree that his prediction model is biased- so your description of his system is very accurate.

  • @4FlatTires
    @4FlatTires 18 днів тому +431

    Rasmussen polls were very accurate for months...

    • @skidmoda
      @skidmoda 18 днів тому +26

      yep, they got it pretty on the mark

    • @kenw5104
      @kenw5104 18 днів тому +25

      All 7 states except MI. Pretty accurate.

    • @sultanliumay
      @sultanliumay 18 днів тому +49

      Atlas intel was even more accurate like in 2020

    • @bsmithhammer
      @bsmithhammer 18 днів тому +23

      Which is why they were ignored by the mainstream media, who didn't want to hear it.

    • @reginaldcharles1133
      @reginaldcharles1133 18 днів тому +4

      Correct

  • @coqui1550
    @coqui1550 18 днів тому +652

    I'm glad Allan Lichtman's prediction was wrong, so he can stop his nonsense.

    • @cruzn4ever169
      @cruzn4ever169 18 днів тому +12

      He won a Pulitzer prize this year for his predictions

    • @pinupdoll97
      @pinupdoll97 18 днів тому +43

      Yep. He’s just a very arrogant and unlikable in so many ways

    • @rascal211
      @rascal211 18 днів тому +14

      @@pinupdoll97 Sounds like Trump

    • @Celtic_pagan0317
      @Celtic_pagan0317 18 днів тому +19

      @@cruzn4ever169and Obama got a Nobel peace prize, guess the awards ain’t all they’re cracked up to be, huh?

    • @sree4865
      @sree4865 18 днів тому +18

      Goodbye 👋 Alan Lickman 😂 fake predictions.

  • @lowellalia9876
    @lowellalia9876 18 днів тому +175

    Alan Lichtman’s arrogance about his prediction is abhorring. I’m glad he’s slapped with reality. Go to the bunker Alan.

    • @FreaksSpeaks
      @FreaksSpeaks 18 днів тому

      Boot lick man?

    • @jvjjjvvv9157
      @jvjjjvvv9157 17 днів тому +4

      The whole model is bogus. Not only it's hard to take seriously a model for which the input data is so subjective, but aggregated polls alone would have predicted correctly almost all the predictions he is credited with predicting correctly himself.
      Then (and I was not even aware of this) he's twice changed after-the-fact what the model was supposed to predict when he seemingly got it wrong; in 2000 and in 2016, meaning that it should be considered at least controversial whether he got those results right. And now he's got 2024 wrong too.
      But to be honest, none of this can be surprising. I mean...who could possibly think that a model based on election results from 1860 to 1980 would work just as well for 2024? So wait, he thinks that TV has not changed how people vote? The Internet? Social media? COME ON....

    • @annmargretable
      @annmargretable 17 днів тому

      I’m not surprised Lichtman was wrong. I tried to tell him that he can have 13 keys or 30, but when you’re predicting how elections will turn out, the most important factor is EMOTION. If voters don’t FEEL the economy is working for them and it clearly wasn’t because paying $4 for a dozen eggs when under Trump, it was $2.50, is REAL. Rents are skyrocketing is REAL, more folks not being able to afford to buy a house because of rising interest rates is REAL. Lichtman better dust off his keys, and add one more for the REAL economy vs the one on paper.

  • @bobanderson6656
    @bobanderson6656 18 днів тому +732

    Lictmann? Strong economy? Are you serious? In what world?

    • @Twikmelah
      @Twikmelah 18 днів тому +23

      Lick-man that's his name !!

    • @marcd2743
      @marcd2743 18 днів тому

      Well MSNBC and the Democratic backers who funded him told him so.

    • @BoiseLou
      @BoiseLou 18 днів тому +19

      The economy is doing very well the problem is that he did not take wealth inequality, inflation, and wage stagnation into account. The US has the largest gap in wealth inequality of all advanced economies. Decades of neoliberal economic policies, starting with Reagan, and highlighted at its worst when Obama threw the public under the bus and bailed the banks out with corporate welfare have led to this. Neoliberal policies has led to a hollowing out of the lower, working, and middle classes and a lack of investment in communities. The Democrats are controlled by oligarchs and largely reject left-wing populism and while Trump is also in the pockets of oligarchs, he performs a form of fake populism that Democrats have no populist answer to counter it with.

    • @jwdory
      @jwdory 18 днів тому

      If you listen to the Biden Harris propaganda everything is awesome and that warm yellow fluid running down your back isn't pi$$.

    • @josequiroga5283
      @josequiroga5283 18 днів тому +13

      THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .

  • @Jm-Gonz
    @Jm-Gonz 18 днів тому +436

    Alan lichman is an extreme left wing liberal professor and was extremely bias

    • @deyanzd
      @deyanzd 18 днів тому +27

      40 years wasted, this is one useless way to waste life

    • @TheMrPeteChannel
      @TheMrPeteChannel 18 днів тому +13

      $5.00 a gallon gasoline. Strong economy my foot.

    • @blacksesamecandies
      @blacksesamecandies 18 днів тому

      @@TheMrPeteChannel The economy is FANTASTIC for big oil! You're just too poor to reap the rewards and you won't ever come close to the wealthy elite, especially now. Enjoy your Trump presidency! They played you all like a fiddle.

    • @rpgmakerbloodytutorials9486
      @rpgmakerbloodytutorials9486 18 днів тому +1

      ​@@TheMrPeteChanneltechnically he is correct the higher the prices the better it is for the economy meaning the federal government however consumers are barely added to the equation

    • @glendalyman5579
      @glendalyman5579 18 днів тому +4

      Having a bad hair day also!!

  • @jordyb57
    @jordyb57 18 днів тому +49

    The problem was Lichtman wasn’t even following his own keys!!

    • @rowyourboat5361
      @rowyourboat5361 18 днів тому +4

      Lichtman didn't have a key for a criminal sociopath with charisma.

    • @Fidel-jodio-Cuba
      @Fidel-jodio-Cuba 17 днів тому +6

      Exactly . He altered his own keys because he suffers from TDS

    • @Juventinos
      @Juventinos 17 днів тому +1

      @@Fidel-jodio-Cuba 100% he's keys are bogus anyway, you can call them however you want

    • @obiwankenobi661
      @obiwankenobi661 17 днів тому

      yea the keys are actually quite good. i filled them out how i thought was correct and it predicted no 45.

  • @VelvetRiot-hz5mp
    @VelvetRiot-hz5mp 18 днів тому +387

    Lichtman was a victim of his own hubris. He's done. As they say in sports, your only good as your last result.

    • @josephcolacova7516
      @josephcolacova7516 18 днів тому +15

      Spot-on. Once you start believing in your own bullshit, you’re finished!

    • @xrrrismickey
      @xrrrismickey 18 днів тому +9

      Threw away his entire career

    • @josephcolacova7516
      @josephcolacova7516 18 днів тому +6

      @@xrrrismickey
      His credibility is shot

    • @rudolphpieters7918
      @rudolphpieters7918 18 днів тому +2

      In sports, there are comebacks, Baker Mayfield is an example .Jamies Winston is another

    • @Mike-sp7zv
      @Mike-sp7zv 18 днів тому +1

      ​@@rudolphpieters7918or Colin kapernick? lol

  • @imperiald3864
    @imperiald3864 18 днів тому +210

    Lichtman's model was correct, the problem was Lichtman's bias caused him to check boxes that shouldn't have been checked because of his on personal feelings and hate towards Trump. If u look at the keys that he talks about and then use a non bias approach u will see that his model still works.

    • @vacayooper4728
      @vacayooper4728 18 днів тому +33

      So he was wrong because he didn't follow the parameters of the polling strategy he designed? Interesting, he based it on feels vs. facts. So, the same strategy as democrats overall, good call. And he'll still be paid for it. That's awesome.

    • @LCTesla
      @LCTesla 18 днів тому +13

      I was most skeptical of his economic keys, which completely ignore the perception people have of the economy. 60% of people thought economy was in recession even though the official accounting doesn't say so.
      The economic keys are objectively defined, but in this situation that was a weakness instead of a strength.

    • @DawoodEnterprises
      @DawoodEnterprises 18 днів тому

      Fraud! He’s a bloody fraud many pollsters had better records.

    • @AmaliaMagenCohen
      @AmaliaMagenCohen 18 днів тому +12

      Well with his bias his prediction is Worthless

    • @dan13770
      @dan13770 18 днів тому +2

      Nailed it

  • @MrTabasamu
    @MrTabasamu 17 днів тому +13

    It's because they predicted their wishes not based on reality.😂😂

  • @Edwin-fb7my
    @Edwin-fb7my 18 днів тому +218

    When your hate and jealousy lead your predictions.

    • @PhuckYourExistence
      @PhuckYourExistence 18 днів тому

      100% true. Narcissists on the far left (with a very twisted worldview) often filter facts, empirical data, and statistical evidence through the prism of their own ideology; utterly divorced from reality.

    • @josequiroga5283
      @josequiroga5283 18 днів тому

      THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .

  • @1895i
    @1895i 18 днів тому +119

    Litchman's reputation is down the drain....

  • @JefferyBogue
    @JefferyBogue 17 днів тому +7

    He wasnt predicting .he was hoping she would win ..he got so full of himself that he thought if he said it it would happen

  • @7g7na7
    @7g7na7 18 днів тому +128

    Rasmussen nailed it. He wasn't trying to cook the polls.

    • @carlosnorris352
      @carlosnorris352 18 днів тому +16

      Atlas too

    • @bgorg1
      @bgorg1 18 днів тому +2

      @@carlosnorris352so true. Their final battlegrounds were so close.

  • @HOKUINHI
    @HOKUINHI 18 днів тому +217

    He’s not a pollster & absolutely not a “Nostradomus”. He should be referred to as a “Fraudster - Grifter”. It was time to be knocked off his high horse. You are no longer believed, trusted & & source of any factual information. You deserve all of this. Especially since you tried to smear @stateofdaniel, a true patriot who exemplifies true journalism. Daniel’s courage guided, informed & supported all of us who didn’t know how to trust when realizing those like yourself had chosen to misguide, lie, cheat with the intention of destroying American & Americans. Your legacy is done along with so many other traitors with zero integrity & empathy.

    • @marksilgram80
      @marksilgram80 18 днів тому +5

      No system can predict the future!

    • @TheJimbo1791
      @TheJimbo1791 18 днів тому +3

      breathe

    • @georgey-b6080
      @georgey-b6080 18 днів тому

      This Allen guy most likely already cashed out receiving millions! Nobody should ever listen him ever again! Including that BS Iowa poll guy.

    • @Jay-nq2jl
      @Jay-nq2jl 18 днів тому +4

      Take it easy…wow

    • @Lizzi31
      @Lizzi31 18 днів тому +3

      I watch Daniel and he is honest unlike this so called fake professor

  • @joepatriot363
    @joepatriot363 17 днів тому +16

    I am a 77-year-old man, born and raised in NYC. I am NO ANT-Feminist but as far as I am concerned, we NARROLY avoided "BITINGTHE BULLET" TWICE. Once with Hillary and again with Kamala.

    • @JonathonSwift-uj4fb
      @JonathonSwift-uj4fb 17 днів тому +1

      You are absolutely correct! I was born and raised in NYC. I would vote for Tulsi in a second! Maybe even Haley. Kameltoe was an awful candidate - should NOT have even been running for Head Dog Catcher, let alone president!!

  • @nicholasjolt6200
    @nicholasjolt6200 18 днів тому +297

    I never trusted Lichtman. His TDS was disturbing. I hope Lichtman gets immediate psychiatric care.

    • @teresewoltz8627
      @teresewoltz8627 18 днів тому +8

      me too, also Nate Silver and that other guy, Goldsmith with their 13 keys

    • @ravenbonanza1522
      @ravenbonanza1522 18 днів тому +1

      Kim Clement's prediction in 2007 about Trump was on point

    • @praful6890
      @praful6890 18 днів тому +1

      And a lobotomy !

    • @hadronoftheseus8829
      @hadronoftheseus8829 18 днів тому

      There is no such thing as TDS. Trump is inxceedibally bad across the board, in every single attribute you could possibly think of.
      As for Lichtman, he is indeed a pseudoscientist, but _you_ don't actually know why.

    • @PhilSean-k2o
      @PhilSean-k2o 18 днів тому

      I hope so too

  • @vivfisher2551
    @vivfisher2551 18 днів тому +63

    I knew this man was a scam

  • @derrickkissoon8891
    @derrickkissoon8891 18 днів тому +19

    The unbelievable arrogance in those pollsters is out of this world.

    • @jvjjjvvv9157
      @jvjjjvvv9157 17 днів тому

      You sound like someone who doesn't understand even what polling is.

  • @eddavis1832
    @eddavis1832 18 днів тому +172

    Nate Silver got it wrong and is officially now a “HAS BEEN!” Bye bye, loser!!!

    • @semperparatus3685
      @semperparatus3685 18 днів тому +4

      Agreed!

    • @jglee6721
      @jglee6721 18 днів тому +3

      He was doing suppression polls until the last minute then made the switch so he can do it again in the future.

    • @josequiroga5283
      @josequiroga5283 18 днів тому +2

      THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .

    • @hsew
      @hsew 18 днів тому +11

      Actually Nate got it right. He said his gut predicted Trump AND he predicted a sweep in the swing states.

    • @jglee6721
      @jglee6721 18 днів тому +1

      @@hsew lol. Isn't that talking from both sides of his mouth? You have to be pretty gullible to believe that $ hit.

  • @Judge247
    @Judge247 18 днів тому +146

    Lichtman’s era of pseudo science and lucky witchcraft is kinda over. The one big thing we learned from the SWEEP is that we can replace all the time, money, effort, editorial, and BS of 90% of polling entirely with Polymarket. I’m fine with that.

    • @semperparatus3685
      @semperparatus3685 18 днів тому

      The poll people return data that gets them paid. Just like scientists return climate data that get them paid. Both groups are self serving opportunistic wankers!

    • @jglee6721
      @jglee6721 18 днів тому +5

      I sure hope his career ended with this one. Let's see if he shows his face again in the next election.

    • @AEARArg
      @AEARArg 18 днів тому +1

      Nailed it

    • @RetNavyChiefBTC
      @RetNavyChiefBTC 18 днів тому +1

      You forgot to mention, he’s also a little twerp!

    • @wakandaforever2401
      @wakandaforever2401 18 днів тому +3

      Bro would have guessed correctly if he had actually applied his keys without bias.
      But his methodology is still flawed because it does not account for X factors not seen before in previous elections, like immigration or abortion.

  • @emanriquez685
    @emanriquez685 18 днів тому +4

    We the People have spoken loud and clear

  • @hadronoftheseus8829
    @hadronoftheseus8829 18 днів тому +126

    We really don't need to hear from Alan Lichtman ever again.

  • @curly208
    @curly208 18 днів тому +114

    Trump to Lichtman, "YOU'RE FIRED."

    • @hellohi_____________4089
      @hellohi_____________4089 18 днів тому +5

      With his 13 fake keys 😂😂😂

    • @MyNameIsSatoruGojo
      @MyNameIsSatoruGojo 18 днів тому

      His keys work if you apply them fairly. It predicted trump win if you apply 13 keys fairly.

    • @Twilightfang196
      @Twilightfang196 17 днів тому

      @@curly208 81 million people fired trump in 2020. Lichtman is more reliable than trump will ever be.

    • @kelvvoster5875
      @kelvvoster5875 17 днів тому

      @@hellohi_____________4089 you are wrong the keys are not fake, he got too clouded to interpret them correctly... 2 Economic Keys, 2 Charisma Keys & 2 Foreign Policy Keys - all these should have favored Trump

  • @wkim22
    @wkim22 16 днів тому +2

    Lichtman, Nate Silver and Ann Selzer are the most reliable pollsters in the Marvel Universe.

    • @lejcs
      @lejcs 15 днів тому

      What they will do now man.

  • @OpaingMaiddy
    @OpaingMaiddy 18 днів тому +298

    Litchman go bed. You are fired!

    • @josequiroga5283
      @josequiroga5283 18 днів тому +7

      THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .

    • @mikecosculluela8493
      @mikecosculluela8493 18 днів тому +1

      Partisan hack

    • @realresident1890
      @realresident1890 18 днів тому +4

      Everyone is getting fired😂😂

    • @thomasjmitchell2306
      @thomasjmitchell2306 18 днів тому

      ​@@josequiroga5283Agreed!!! This is the worst! I'm just so surprised and shocked and proud of our country for reelection Trump! We need to get this country back on track!!!

    • @RealityCheck-A7
      @RealityCheck-A7 18 днів тому

      😂😂😂

  • @jianjungou8965
    @jianjungou8965 18 днів тому +102

    You’re fired! Fool!

  • @chrislecatsas8595
    @chrislecatsas8595 18 днів тому +5

    Do you pollsters all like coffee served with your CROW PIE ?????

  • @ProudCapitalist-ko9ff
    @ProudCapitalist-ko9ff 18 днів тому +74

    Seltzer destroyed her entire career based on hopium.

    • @ck3908
      @ck3908 18 днів тому +6

      She either took a risk and go against the grain on purpose in the event a miracle happens and she's right then she be a bigger star or she got paid to taint the poll to favor the underdog. Either way, she is toasted now.

    • @davidcox3076
      @davidcox3076 18 днів тому +3

      Hopium and Changium. It's all just smoke and mirrors.

    • @JonathonSwift-uj4fb
      @JonathonSwift-uj4fb 17 днів тому

      Anyone with a brain knew she WAS WRONG! DUMMY1

  • @dakotaslim
    @dakotaslim 18 днів тому +110

    Lichtman's data said we have a strong economy? God I've had my fill of intellectuals.

    • @jenniferwood3643
      @jenniferwood3643 18 днів тому +8

      Yeah that’s what got me rolling my eyes. Lichtman may be able to afford the high prices but the economy is bad.

    • @blacksesamecandies
      @blacksesamecandies 18 днів тому

      Oh its great for the billionaires and mega-cooperations. You're just not in the same tax-bracket as them.
      It's called late-stage capitalism.

    • @davidgonzalez2115
      @davidgonzalez2115 18 днів тому +10

      Dude is so removed from reality. Strong economy my ass

    • @TheMrPeteChannel
      @TheMrPeteChannel 18 днів тому +8

      I have to now pay $10.00 for a hamburger. Strong economy my eye.

    • @AnhNguyen-hn9vj
      @AnhNguyen-hn9vj 18 днів тому +1

      ​@@TheMrPeteChannel dam. It is $7 here and the restaurant just go empty. I mean it go from 3 to 7 in a few years. People are in shock. Most people probably just go back eat homemade sandwich .

  • @johndesmond9403
    @johndesmond9403 17 днів тому +5

    Polls can be manipulated, and this is proof!

  • @benfrogy
    @benfrogy 18 днів тому +55

    YOU'RE PREMISE WAS WRONG. THE ECONOMY IS NOT STRONG

    • @carly4513
      @carly4513 18 днів тому +4

      Garbage in, garbage out. You nailed it.

    • @Charm65-65
      @Charm65-65 18 днів тому

      Yeah, dummy. Poor economy short term and long term with this Admin. You said otherwise. You actually believed the fake stats and that people just need to KNOW they have it good? Gag. It’s the tired and true caution - don’t piss on my shoe and tell me it’s raining.

    • @blacksesamecandies
      @blacksesamecandies 18 днів тому

      Wealthy Americans are bathing in your middle-class tears and will continue to squeeze every penny until you're a lifeless corpse to feed our capitalist machine. You just voted for the guy whose gonna make them even richer, enjoy!

    • @alphabeets
      @alphabeets 18 днів тому +4

      Gas is up 100% since Trump left office four years ago. Food up as well. Inflation is horrible. This “professor” doesn’t even know that.

    • @josequiroga5283
      @josequiroga5283 18 днів тому

      THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .

  • @Hdbdj-qt9hv
    @Hdbdj-qt9hv 18 днів тому +115

    lol epic fail by Lichtman! The Iowa poll was insane too!

    • @henrysolar3866
      @henrysolar3866 17 днів тому

      they were all bought by the 1 billion money that kamala threw around

  • @mpl62189
    @mpl62189 17 днів тому +5

    Litchman's book "Keys to the White House" now on special at Good Will Store's Bargain book shelf for 25 cents each. 😂

  • @rolloman667
    @rolloman667 18 днів тому +97

    Allan Lichtman. Your FIRED! 😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮

    • @phoenixgamer1565
      @phoenixgamer1565 18 днів тому +7

      *You're

    • @brucetelfeyan
      @brucetelfeyan 18 днів тому +2

      He needed another Key. That would have been "is the candidate unable to communicate in an interview?"

  • @Neville-o4z
    @Neville-o4z 18 днів тому +81

    Silver got it wrong and is a sham...good riddance

    • @kylerobinson8336
      @kylerobinson8336 18 днів тому +3

      To Nate’s credit leading up to the election he said his gut was saying Trump despite the polling model

    • @lunapalmer5513
      @lunapalmer5513 18 днів тому

      Amen to that 💪💪💪

    • @josequiroga5283
      @josequiroga5283 18 днів тому +1

      THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .

    • @thelimey351
      @thelimey351 18 днів тому

      @@kylerobinson8336 Basically he was hedging his bets because he had no idea !

    • @kansiiimebrian5254
      @kansiiimebrian5254 18 днів тому +1

      @@Neville-o4z Lichtman was high on drugs, his 13 keys opened wrong boxes

  • @michaelgomez3044
    @michaelgomez3044 3 дні тому +1

    That Lichtman dude is a buffoon. He didn't use his own model correctly.

  • @rsn66125
    @rsn66125 18 днів тому +38

    Why did this so called unbiased report not include who was right? Rasmussen nailed it! Where’s your reporting on that?

  • @TheJoseMedina
    @TheJoseMedina 18 днів тому +66

    9 out of 11 ,
    Go away now

    • @dougmarkham6791
      @dougmarkham6791 18 днів тому

      If you voted for Trump, your probably 0 for 3, but you won't admit it five years from now when a Democrat has to come save the country yet again from people like you.

    • @-._.-What-Is-Up-._.-
      @-._.-What-Is-Up-._.- 18 днів тому +2

      he was wrong in 2000 and 2016 too, so 7 out of 11

  • @Bees-are-awsome
    @Bees-are-awsome 17 днів тому +4

    Life lesson for me: “never trust ‘predictors’. They’re always right until they’re wrong.”

  • @FlyFederalist
    @FlyFederalist 18 днів тому +72

    The funny thing is that the 'Keys' didn't fail Lichtman, Lichtman failed the 'Keys'.

    • @freed4700
      @freed4700 18 днів тому +4

      I know, right?😅He said "even though the economy is perceived to be bad it is good." If he went with how people feel, not how they are supposed to feel, he would have been close

    • @adnaansheikh1
      @adnaansheikh1 18 днів тому

      Either that, or he needs to get new keys made 🤣

    • @noah1322
      @noah1322 17 днів тому +3

      You're right. His keys stood true if you evaluated them from an average American's POV. He just gave Kamala too much credit this time around.

  • @dixonpinfold2582
    @dixonpinfold2582 18 днів тому +65

    Lichtman saying "Not possible!" reminded me of _The Princess Bride_ when the guy kept saying "Inconceivable!"
    (Inigo Montoya: "I do not think that word means what you think it means."😂)

    • @bobross1829
      @bobross1829 18 днів тому +8

      All latinos actually vote not as a block on how we tell them to vote? Inconceivable!

    • @emoz1186
      @emoz1186 18 днів тому +2

      @@bobross1829 Los latinos apoyamos a Trump!

  • @KelsJune
    @KelsJune 17 днів тому +8

    His model is good but he let his preference cloud his judgement. Any objective person could tell she would lose based on the model

    • @hart3254
      @hart3254 17 днів тому

      The fact the ONLY thing she was offering is that women could get an abortion says it all. She had no policies, no solutions. She was only an option for the TDS voters.

  • @contracostaexpert
    @contracostaexpert 18 днів тому +127

    Lichtmanns process was right, he couldn't see past establishment group think

    • @mikefowler301
      @mikefowler301 18 днів тому +6

      Strong economy?

    • @Ari77442
      @Ari77442 18 днів тому +11

      Litchman is a 🤡🤡

    • @bananajesus667
      @bananajesus667 18 днів тому +9

      What an idiot, giving her the economy keys was just unbelievably stupid and tone-deaf

    • @tbc9096
      @tbc9096 18 днів тому +4

      Or…could it be he is a liberal clown? 🤡

    • @dauferm
      @dauferm 18 днів тому +5

      I agree. The keys are one thing and another is how they get interpreted. He interpreted them wrongly.

  • @ronaldpinard6285
    @ronaldpinard6285 18 днів тому +36

    Litchman is not God. Miserably failed.

  • @tonyhust1
    @tonyhust1 17 днів тому +6

    A bunch of liars

  • @semperparatus3685
    @semperparatus3685 18 днів тому +26

    So much for "Razor thin margin with the race too close to call." Trump didn't have to bus in rally attendees which is all you needed to know!

  • @philliprobertlawman2232
    @philliprobertlawman2232 18 днів тому +37

    Gotta love lichtmans wig, feel like getting my weedwaker out 😂🤣😅

  • @mahmoudghoneim8004
    @mahmoudghoneim8004 18 днів тому +2

    Please media get this guy live we need to see him.

  • @rhondaweiss1951
    @rhondaweiss1951 18 днів тому +57

    I KNEW HE WAS WRONG

    • @lawandawhite8469
      @lawandawhite8469 18 днів тому

      Me to

    • @hart3254
      @hart3254 17 днів тому

      I knew he was wrong too. It was obvious she would lose imo.

  • @kathyhaemmerle2638
    @kathyhaemmerle2638 18 днів тому +12

    The people now have spoken. You pollsters better start telling the truth.

  • @grad_student
    @grad_student 18 днів тому +5

    Its just that Trump is beyond pollls

  • @rsp690
    @rsp690 18 днів тому +36

    Allan Lichtman is not infallible...thank GOD. Now go away Al.

  • @Punk_On_Demand
    @Punk_On_Demand 18 днів тому +26

    I think this guy dropped his 13 keys while standing over a storm drain.

    • @mpl62189
      @mpl62189 18 днів тому +1

      I think the 13 keys are now up his butt! 😄

  • @Justin-xe3di
    @Justin-xe3di 14 днів тому +1

    His keys work he just gave the keys to the wrong person due to his own personal biased

  • @LeroyandMargyHill
    @LeroyandMargyHill 18 днів тому +20

    What about Atlas and Rasmussen? Both correctly predicted this outcome. Your program would have been better if it had included them.

  • @COMEBACKINGA
    @COMEBACKINGA 18 днів тому +38

    Lickman is a 🤡

    • @JamesBurdon-gu5yu
      @JamesBurdon-gu5yu 18 днів тому +2

      @@nf0999 He swore up and down Kamila had a good economy, that's called being a clown that ignores basic data while claiming to be a nostradum

    • @COMEBACKINGA
      @COMEBACKINGA 18 днів тому

      @@nf0999 He's a 🤡

    • @COMEBACKINGA
      @COMEBACKINGA 18 днів тому

      @@JamesBurdon-gu5yu He just wanted her to win, he's a 🤡

    • @COMEBACKINGA
      @COMEBACKINGA 18 днів тому

      @@nf0999 Ah here! 🤣 clowns like you are easily fooled 🤡 I followed the election casually, and was certain Trump would win.. And that 🤡 with the wig is supposed to be an expert and with his fake 13 steps got it badly wrong 😭😭😭😭🤣 now go cry with kamala !! In the circus 🤹‍♂️ 🤣

  • @5jjt
    @5jjt 18 днів тому

    This is what not seeing your own bias looks like.

  • @igorlobkovenko9480
    @igorlobkovenko9480 18 днів тому +24

    Ann Seltzer has lost years of credibility. I didn't believe her but she created a lot of short-term attention for herself over the weekend. The worst polling error I can remember from someone with a good reputation. It was 16 points. she was also wrong about Iowa house elections

    • @RobertFrost-n5y
      @RobertFrost-n5y 18 днів тому

      It wasn't an error. It was done to influence the election.

    • @dlhuo9366
      @dlhuo9366 18 днів тому

      Ann Seltzer is a political operator & a clown trying to influence this most important election! Glad she failed & was exposed!!

  • @frankmcmahan8655
    @frankmcmahan8655 18 днів тому +28

    How is it that the smartest people in the room are always the people lacking wisdom?

    • @vitolazlo5767
      @vitolazlo5767 18 днів тому

      Dumb luck make them wise.

    • @AnneSwiss-m
      @AnneSwiss-m 18 днів тому +3

      Pride I guess. Wisdom demands humility•_•

    • @wagonmaster1974
      @wagonmaster1974 18 днів тому +2

      Also severely lacking in common sense. It has been my experience in life that the folks with all the letters after their names I,E,: PHD, Masters, etc., that are highly educated, are the last people on earth I would trust to have a valid opinion of the theater of reality.

    • @gomatimahadevan3265
      @gomatimahadevan3265 18 днів тому +1

      Just because some people follow you for the wrong reasons does not make you wise 😂 it just means you are catering to their brand ! and therefore trump and you deserve each other 😂

    • @gomatimahadevan3265
      @gomatimahadevan3265 18 днів тому

      With all this buildup let’s see what Grump does with the US economy 😂

  • @AdelaniMakinde
    @AdelaniMakinde 17 днів тому +2

    Don't mind that pollster
    Very bias
    Just pretending to be neutral.

  • @janetedley4331
    @janetedley4331 18 днів тому +31

    What Lichtman didn't figure in as one of his "keys" was all the prayers for the election.

  • @Superman_305
    @Superman_305 18 днів тому +32

    The red wave has cometh 😁 THE RETURN OF THE DON.

  • @dstorm7752
    @dstorm7752 17 днів тому +2

    How did that "expert" dodge the Vietnam draft?

  • @LifeIsGood-qg3xv
    @LifeIsGood-qg3xv 18 днів тому +19

    Him winning the popular vote is unbelievable

    • @jw6588
      @jw6588 18 днів тому

      It's totally believable unless you think the average American is a total retard.
      Republicans give Americans too much credit, because they expect them to focus on policy.
      The Democrats give them too little because they expect us to focus on feels.
      This time, the latter strategy was the loser.
      Very easy to understand.

  • @markushornung7835
    @markushornung7835 18 днів тому +33

    These are the Professors of our time. Competence IS Not Something that IS required

    • @dlhuo9366
      @dlhuo9366 18 днів тому

      Only loyalty to Democrat is required.

  • @springrain304
    @springrain304 17 днів тому +1

    The world was upside down ,but now it’s right side up..What the hell was that all about…Wasted days and wasted nights..and lots and lots of money…What did they accomplish??

  • @Don-px1fe
    @Don-px1fe 18 днів тому +16

    2 days before election I breakdown facts according to Liechtman's 13 Keys , and it said Trump should be the Winner , His model is brilliant but he was biased

    • @JT-gi8rx
      @JT-gi8rx 17 днів тому

      That’s the problem, his 13 Keys are, in large part, arbitrary. “Strong long term economy”, “strong short term economy”, “no social unrest”, “charismatic incumbent”, “Uncharismatic challenger”. Light man likely picked all of the wrong answers here, due to his leftist bias.

  • @melregissings
    @melregissings 18 днів тому +10

    Allan almost scratched that wig off his head 😂

    • @toutainafe1153
      @toutainafe1153 18 днів тому +3

      And the wig move side way from his head mean his brain side way to

    • @pistolpete8231
      @pistolpete8231 18 днів тому

      😂😂😂😂😂😂

  • @jb3326
    @jb3326 18 днів тому

    This proves to me I will never trust them again

  • @kansiiimebrian5254
    @kansiiimebrian5254 18 днів тому +20

    That man was a gun for hire

  • @johnc2438
    @johnc2438 18 днів тому +20

    03:16: No shit, Sherlock! I know why the pollster was wrong: She was suffering from a case of Trump Derangement Syndrome.

    • @BKPrice42
      @BKPrice42 18 днів тому

      MSNBC is saying she lost because she is a minority!?!!! No,No she lost because she is a terrible candidate with a terrible running mate with terrible histories! Period...

  • @jeanghiberti9944
    @jeanghiberti9944 18 днів тому +1

    Oh…. WHAT A GLORIOUS MORNING!!!! Stirs my heart to know we actually have a real President coming in
    January!!!!!!! ❤️❤️❤️❤️🎉🎉🎉🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🥰🥰

  • @Onehitwonder828
    @Onehitwonder828 18 днів тому +14

    I have to wonder though. Trump received roughly what he did in 2020. What happened to the 81 million voters who allegedly voted for Biden in 2020? Harris didn't come close to those remarkable numbers. Where'd they go?

    • @carly4513
      @carly4513 18 днів тому +4

      That's what I'm wondering. You would expect a lower turnout during a pandemic when people weren't going anywhere. I wonder if the truth will ever come out.

    • @Sureshots.
      @Sureshots. 18 днів тому +5

      You know. Everyone knows.

    • @Revert2017
      @Revert2017 18 днів тому

      The dead demographic and the fake ballot demographic didn’t turn out this time.

    • @-._.-What-Is-Up-._.-
      @-._.-What-Is-Up-._.- 18 днів тому

      Every knows
      Trump is the first guy to win US President election 3rd time in raw

  • @emoz1186
    @emoz1186 18 днів тому +22

    Never voted for someone because of their race or gender, and never will.

    • @jacksontan4073
      @jacksontan4073 18 днів тому

      But she was 3Fs - fake, fraud, freak so everyone can see thru her !

  • @feomancd
    @feomancd 14 днів тому +1

    Based on "Strong Economy"; in what world is he living? hahaha... what a forecaster!

    • @Windsong-58
      @Windsong-58 14 днів тому

      What a narcissistic moron.

  • @juliansebastian5722
    @juliansebastian5722 18 днів тому +31

    Allan Lichtman needs to retire his brain CANT think straight.

    • @BOlek-j6q
      @BOlek-j6q 18 днів тому

      Isn’t that rug glue poisoning his brain cells

  • @dona1590
    @dona1590 18 днів тому +16

    Who is he who speaks and it comes to pass, when the Lord has not commanded it?"

    • @LWNightmareSheriff
      @LWNightmareSheriff 18 днів тому +2

      Allan Lichtman needs to repent for being a false prophet

  • @Dean-z4w
    @Dean-z4w 18 днів тому +1

    No one will ever take this guy serious again ever😂😂😂

  • @davidmyhra4931
    @davidmyhra4931 18 днів тому +13

    Rasmussen got it right, again

  • @fistonnembalemba2351
    @fistonnembalemba2351 18 днів тому +14

    God proved the so called Nostradamus of elections wrong 😂😂😂😂😂😂

    • @AnneSwiss-m
      @AnneSwiss-m 18 днів тому

      🤣🤣🤣•_•🤭🤭

    • @AnonymousC-lm6tc
      @AnonymousC-lm6tc 18 днів тому

      God had nothing to do with Trump being elected.

  • @user-ov5lb2nl7s
    @user-ov5lb2nl7s 15 днів тому +1

    He's such a joke😂😂😂

  • @x-men69-96
    @x-men69-96 18 днів тому +11

    This is another woke guy. He is clueless

  • @antelopebuster5432
    @antelopebuster5432 18 днів тому +13

    What a clown

  • @patrickjohnson8719
    @patrickjohnson8719 18 днів тому +4

    Lichtman let his emotion cloud his judgement if you used his keys properly him probably would have predicted Trump.

  • @baraxor
    @baraxor 18 днів тому +5

    Alan Lichtman, Ann Seltzer, Nate Silver, you're all FIRED! Get outta here, there's a cab waiting.

  • @Wonderwall36
    @Wonderwall36 18 днів тому +26

    Well, so much for Ann Selzer! These people should be held accountable for their mistakes, whether accidental or deliberate.

  • @manueldelacruz1959
    @manueldelacruz1959 17 днів тому +2

    What a bunch of losers!

  • @peterkennedey9869
    @peterkennedey9869 18 днів тому +6

    The world is gonna get its shit together now since Trump is in Office! Peace and Prosperity!

  • @SonofSamClemens
    @SonofSamClemens 18 днів тому +15

    😂 im so happy lichtman was wrong. He was so cocky. He flew too close to the sun.

    • @AmaliaMagenCohen
      @AmaliaMagenCohen 18 днів тому

      Yeah disgusting. Never even had the courtesy to say he was wrong in 2016 when he predicted Hillary win

  • @lowellalia9876
    @lowellalia9876 18 днів тому +4

    Lichtman the world didn’t turn upside down. You’re the one that’s upside down.

  • @tinadiesman5442
    @tinadiesman5442 18 днів тому +16

    The gamblers were more accurate!