My thoughts exactly. He couldn’t admit that the Biden-Harris economy was in the toilet. He also couldn’t admit that the US was involved in a war. He overlooked our involvement in Ukraine and our influence in the Hamas-Israeli conflict.
What about the 2016 election? Same exact thing. Clinton was predicted to win in a landslide - even going into election night as the returns came in, we were assured that she was favored to win. Clinton was just as shocked by the outcome as Harris and even behaved in a similar manner, disappearing from her election HQ when the race was called because she couldn't face her supporters.
@@IndependentThinker74 Actually they weren't. Trump's numbers were consistently predicted anywhere from one to three points lower than the actual results.
Yeah, there are thousands of random professors making basically cointoss predictions. One of them will be right a few times in a row with high probability, doesn't mean they actually know anything.
@@benjaminblack91 Dude, look up the story about the French guy who put 40 mil on Trump winning. He actually dug very deeply into the polling and came to the conclusion the polls were wrong (again......).
@@SimplyJorgasmic If it was poll based, I would at least sympathize. Instead, he kept insisting on keys. According to him, if Joe had run and people knew he was cognitively impaired, Joe would still win because cognition is not one of his keys. He insisted that the result was sound because cognition had never been a factor before, when it should be obvious to anyone that just because it wasn't in the past, it would be today. The guy was just too full of himself.
The prediction was based on same figures as before. His mistake was thinking that the American voter acts predictably enough to fit in such a simple model.
Pls , if he wanted to help her, he would have said she'll lose, 1) Lull trumps into lower efforts 2) increase the work rate of the democrat assholes who lost to a buffoon
No, he predicted all the prior Republican wins. He is purely objective. But this election was won on very subjective criteria and a Dem candidate with absolutely zero charisma.
Joe Scarborough, aka Waldo from 'Where's Waldo,' in fact insisted that we were seeing "the very best version of Joe Biden." I guess falling on stage and soiling one's drawers in plain sight is The 2 Joes' idea of 'best.'
I’m so glad that Lickman lost with his dopey 13 keys. I first learned about his dumb keys a couple of months ago, I thought they were BS. It’s only been one really close race and the past 11 races m, and that was Bush versus Gore, which he lost in that prediction. Other than that, all the other races were easy for anyone to predict. (except for him)😅
the sad part is, the keys system isnt even bad. but it hinges on unbiased, dispassionate evaluation of the keys - which is why many people prefer percentages, because numbers dont lie. but lichtman was extremely biased, so thats what he got.
@@obiwankenobi661 i will agree with you on lichtman being biased- hes a democrat. Its not really a surprise to me on that. However I strongly disagree that his prediction model is biased- so your description of his system is very accurate.
The whole model is bogus. Not only it's hard to take seriously a model for which the input data is so subjective, but aggregated polls alone would have predicted correctly almost all the predictions he is credited with predicting correctly himself. Then (and I was not even aware of this) he's twice changed after-the-fact what the model was supposed to predict when he seemingly got it wrong; in 2000 and in 2016, meaning that it should be considered at least controversial whether he got those results right. And now he's got 2024 wrong too. But to be honest, none of this can be surprising. I mean...who could possibly think that a model based on election results from 1860 to 1980 would work just as well for 2024? So wait, he thinks that TV has not changed how people vote? The Internet? Social media? COME ON....
I’m not surprised Lichtman was wrong. I tried to tell him that he can have 13 keys or 30, but when you’re predicting how elections will turn out, the most important factor is EMOTION. If voters don’t FEEL the economy is working for them and it clearly wasn’t because paying $4 for a dozen eggs when under Trump, it was $2.50, is REAL. Rents are skyrocketing is REAL, more folks not being able to afford to buy a house because of rising interest rates is REAL. Lichtman better dust off his keys, and add one more for the REAL economy vs the one on paper.
The economy is doing very well the problem is that he did not take wealth inequality, inflation, and wage stagnation into account. The US has the largest gap in wealth inequality of all advanced economies. Decades of neoliberal economic policies, starting with Reagan, and highlighted at its worst when Obama threw the public under the bus and bailed the banks out with corporate welfare have led to this. Neoliberal policies has led to a hollowing out of the lower, working, and middle classes and a lack of investment in communities. The Democrats are controlled by oligarchs and largely reject left-wing populism and while Trump is also in the pockets of oligarchs, he performs a form of fake populism that Democrats have no populist answer to counter it with.
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
@@TheMrPeteChannel The economy is FANTASTIC for big oil! You're just too poor to reap the rewards and you won't ever come close to the wealthy elite, especially now. Enjoy your Trump presidency! They played you all like a fiddle.
@@TheMrPeteChanneltechnically he is correct the higher the prices the better it is for the economy meaning the federal government however consumers are barely added to the equation
Lichtman's model was correct, the problem was Lichtman's bias caused him to check boxes that shouldn't have been checked because of his on personal feelings and hate towards Trump. If u look at the keys that he talks about and then use a non bias approach u will see that his model still works.
So he was wrong because he didn't follow the parameters of the polling strategy he designed? Interesting, he based it on feels vs. facts. So, the same strategy as democrats overall, good call. And he'll still be paid for it. That's awesome.
I was most skeptical of his economic keys, which completely ignore the perception people have of the economy. 60% of people thought economy was in recession even though the official accounting doesn't say so. The economic keys are objectively defined, but in this situation that was a weakness instead of a strength.
100% true. Narcissists on the far left (with a very twisted worldview) often filter facts, empirical data, and statistical evidence through the prism of their own ideology; utterly divorced from reality.
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
He’s not a pollster & absolutely not a “Nostradomus”. He should be referred to as a “Fraudster - Grifter”. It was time to be knocked off his high horse. You are no longer believed, trusted & & source of any factual information. You deserve all of this. Especially since you tried to smear @stateofdaniel, a true patriot who exemplifies true journalism. Daniel’s courage guided, informed & supported all of us who didn’t know how to trust when realizing those like yourself had chosen to misguide, lie, cheat with the intention of destroying American & Americans. Your legacy is done along with so many other traitors with zero integrity & empathy.
I am a 77-year-old man, born and raised in NYC. I am NO ANT-Feminist but as far as I am concerned, we NARROLY avoided "BITINGTHE BULLET" TWICE. Once with Hillary and again with Kamala.
You are absolutely correct! I was born and raised in NYC. I would vote for Tulsi in a second! Maybe even Haley. Kameltoe was an awful candidate - should NOT have even been running for Head Dog Catcher, let alone president!!
There is no such thing as TDS. Trump is inxceedibally bad across the board, in every single attribute you could possibly think of. As for Lichtman, he is indeed a pseudoscientist, but _you_ don't actually know why.
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
Lichtman’s era of pseudo science and lucky witchcraft is kinda over. The one big thing we learned from the SWEEP is that we can replace all the time, money, effort, editorial, and BS of 90% of polling entirely with Polymarket. I’m fine with that.
The poll people return data that gets them paid. Just like scientists return climate data that get them paid. Both groups are self serving opportunistic wankers!
Bro would have guessed correctly if he had actually applied his keys without bias. But his methodology is still flawed because it does not account for X factors not seen before in previous elections, like immigration or abortion.
@@hellohi_____________4089 you are wrong the keys are not fake, he got too clouded to interpret them correctly... 2 Economic Keys, 2 Charisma Keys & 2 Foreign Policy Keys - all these should have favored Trump
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
@@josequiroga5283Agreed!!! This is the worst! I'm just so surprised and shocked and proud of our country for reelection Trump! We need to get this country back on track!!!
She either took a risk and go against the grain on purpose in the event a miracle happens and she's right then she be a bigger star or she got paid to taint the poll to favor the underdog. Either way, she is toasted now.
@@TheMrPeteChannel dam. It is $7 here and the restaurant just go empty. I mean it go from 3 to 7 in a few years. People are in shock. Most people probably just go back eat homemade sandwich .
Yeah, dummy. Poor economy short term and long term with this Admin. You said otherwise. You actually believed the fake stats and that people just need to KNOW they have it good? Gag. It’s the tired and true caution - don’t piss on my shoe and tell me it’s raining.
Wealthy Americans are bathing in your middle-class tears and will continue to squeeze every penny until you're a lifeless corpse to feed our capitalist machine. You just voted for the guy whose gonna make them even richer, enjoy!
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
If you voted for Trump, your probably 0 for 3, but you won't admit it five years from now when a Democrat has to come save the country yet again from people like you.
I know, right?😅He said "even though the economy is perceived to be bad it is good." If he went with how people feel, not how they are supposed to feel, he would have been close
Lichtman saying "Not possible!" reminded me of _The Princess Bride_ when the guy kept saying "Inconceivable!" (Inigo Montoya: "I do not think that word means what you think it means."😂)
The fact the ONLY thing she was offering is that women could get an abortion says it all. She had no policies, no solutions. She was only an option for the TDS voters.
@@nf0999 Ah here! 🤣 clowns like you are easily fooled 🤡 I followed the election casually, and was certain Trump would win.. And that 🤡 with the wig is supposed to be an expert and with his fake 13 steps got it badly wrong 😭😭😭😭🤣 now go cry with kamala !! In the circus 🤹♂️ 🤣
Ann Seltzer has lost years of credibility. I didn't believe her but she created a lot of short-term attention for herself over the weekend. The worst polling error I can remember from someone with a good reputation. It was 16 points. she was also wrong about Iowa house elections
Also severely lacking in common sense. It has been my experience in life that the folks with all the letters after their names I,E,: PHD, Masters, etc., that are highly educated, are the last people on earth I would trust to have a valid opinion of the theater of reality.
Just because some people follow you for the wrong reasons does not make you wise 😂 it just means you are catering to their brand ! and therefore trump and you deserve each other 😂
It's totally believable unless you think the average American is a total retard. Republicans give Americans too much credit, because they expect them to focus on policy. The Democrats give them too little because they expect us to focus on feels. This time, the latter strategy was the loser. Very easy to understand.
The world was upside down ,but now it’s right side up..What the hell was that all about…Wasted days and wasted nights..and lots and lots of money…What did they accomplish??
2 days before election I breakdown facts according to Liechtman's 13 Keys , and it said Trump should be the Winner , His model is brilliant but he was biased
That’s the problem, his 13 Keys are, in large part, arbitrary. “Strong long term economy”, “strong short term economy”, “no social unrest”, “charismatic incumbent”, “Uncharismatic challenger”. Light man likely picked all of the wrong answers here, due to his leftist bias.
MSNBC is saying she lost because she is a minority!?!!! No,No she lost because she is a terrible candidate with a terrible running mate with terrible histories! Period...
I have to wonder though. Trump received roughly what he did in 2020. What happened to the 81 million voters who allegedly voted for Biden in 2020? Harris didn't come close to those remarkable numbers. Where'd they go?
That's what I'm wondering. You would expect a lower turnout during a pandemic when people weren't going anywhere. I wonder if the truth will ever come out.
The fact that Lichtman credited Harris with a strong economy made him suspect right off the bat
My thoughts exactly. He couldn’t admit that the Biden-Harris economy was in the toilet. He also couldn’t admit that the US was involved in a war. He overlooked our involvement in Ukraine and our influence in the Hamas-Israeli conflict.
Exactly. Another professor that should not be teaching our young people.
And successful foreign policy 😂. She doesn’t even know what’s foreign.
Yes! You could tell he was biased, just by the way he described her.
Yea, that’s what made me wonder if he was paid off for that prediction. It just didn’t make sense. Or maybe he was blinded by bias.
"The world wasn't upside down your heads were just buried in the sand."
Close. His head is up his ass.
yeah lichtman was an arrogant ass about his stupid keys
@@dire7237bla bla bla ignorant cult sheep
10-4, shows whos side he was on. Any university professor is on the safest hundred acres in any city. Thats why they are liberal. Live in a utopia
@@thandiebrynard7462 huh? Dude was ridiculously wrong. You'd be the sheep here wouldn't you?
The ability to manipulate polls has been highlighted by this election.
And the propensity of those who are polled to lie to the pollsters.
The polls were pretty close actually
What about the 2016 election? Same exact thing. Clinton was predicted to win in a landslide - even going into election night as the returns came in, we were assured that she was favored to win. Clinton was just as shocked by the outcome as Harris and even behaved in a similar manner, disappearing from her election HQ when the race was called because she couldn't face her supporters.
@jps101574 huh? Name one that OVER estimated Trump.
@@IndependentThinker74 Actually they weren't. Trump's numbers were consistently predicted anywhere from one to three points lower than the actual results.
Polymarket was a much better predictor than lichtman …. They hit it on almost everything
'cos it was about real people playing with real money, they couldn't AFFORD to be wrong!
Yeah, there are thousands of random professors making basically cointoss predictions. One of them will be right a few times in a row with high probability, doesn't mean they actually know anything.
Except popular vote!
@@benjaminblack91 Dude, look up the story about the French guy who put 40 mil on Trump winning. He actually dug very deeply into the polling and came to the conclusion the polls were wrong (again......).
Yup, the house always wins.
This guys a fn clown 😂😂😂 he swore up and down harris would win..
I'm sure a lot of the kamala strategists were banking on him lol
I’m ticked off!!!!
He's a clown for not recognizing that millennials and younger generations can't be polled?
@@SimplyJorgasmic If it was poll based, I would at least sympathize. Instead, he kept insisting on keys. According to him, if Joe had run and people knew he was cognitively impaired, Joe would still win because cognition is not one of his keys. He insisted that the result was sound because cognition had never been a factor before, when it should be obvious to anyone that just because it wasn't in the past, it would be today. The guy was just too full of himself.
@eufrosniad994 true. I just looked further into it. He is a clown. Even nate silvers said the polls told him kamala but his gut told him trump
His hate for Trump made him unable to think straight.
That's an out. These people are just corrupt to the core.
Exactly. Imagine hating so much that you become unaware of that hatred and it's self-corrupting power. 😮
No he doesn't hate him. In fact, she did win. But Elon Musk and Putin happened as you will continue to see. He won fraudulently
Yet he predicted Trump to win in 2016 but okay
The prediction was based on same figures as before. His mistake was thinking that the American voter acts predictably enough to fit in such a simple model.
Lictman was so wrong . I knew it . His own model she would lose . He is a democrat and really wanted to help her out .
how does telling people she's gonna win help her win? another brainless magat. let me guess the government can make hurricanes also? hahaha
We the people are smart ok? We have antenna, of a vibes of a person....
Pls , if he wanted to help her, he would have said she'll lose,
1) Lull trumps into lower efforts
2) increase the work rate of the democrat assholes who lost to a buffoon
If he predicted trump would win in 2016. He is has no allegiance except to politics and to the country.
No, he predicted all the prior Republican wins. He is purely objective. But this election was won on very subjective criteria and a Dem candidate with absolutely zero charisma.
Same people who said Joe Biden was as mentally shap as ever 🤣
That was the first of many,many lies.
Joe Scarborough, aka Waldo from 'Where's Waldo,' in fact insisted that we were seeing "the very best version of Joe Biden."
I guess falling on stage and soiling one's drawers in plain sight is The 2 Joes' idea of 'best.'
He is sharper than you ever hope to be. That's for sure
@PinkPrincess705 that's a fact
Joe knew before I did
When he put on the MAGA hat and smiled it was loud and clear 🤣 who he was rooting for ✌️
@@PinkPrincess705 Troll.
Arrogant jerk, was insisting on being right. Time to call a locksmith, need new keys! What a clown!
So true!!! He was so hard to listen to, when he was blathering on about his 'greatness! :/ Gross...
I’m so glad that Lickman lost with his dopey 13 keys. I first learned about his dumb keys a couple of months ago, I thought they were BS. It’s only been one really close race and the past 11 races m, and that was Bush versus Gore, which he lost in that prediction. Other than that, all the other races were easy for anyone to predict. (except for him)😅
@@darakdjian Rudeness and arrogance wont get you anywhere in life dude. Enjoy your orange clown president and higher taxes and expenses.
the sad part is, the keys system isnt even bad. but it hinges on unbiased, dispassionate evaluation of the keys - which is why many people prefer percentages, because numbers dont lie. but lichtman was extremely biased, so thats what he got.
@@obiwankenobi661 i will agree with you on lichtman being biased- hes a democrat. Its not really a surprise to me on that. However I strongly disagree that his prediction model is biased- so your description of his system is very accurate.
Rasmussen polls were very accurate for months...
yep, they got it pretty on the mark
All 7 states except MI. Pretty accurate.
Atlas intel was even more accurate like in 2020
Which is why they were ignored by the mainstream media, who didn't want to hear it.
Correct
I'm glad Allan Lichtman's prediction was wrong, so he can stop his nonsense.
He won a Pulitzer prize this year for his predictions
Yep. He’s just a very arrogant and unlikable in so many ways
@@pinupdoll97 Sounds like Trump
@@cruzn4ever169and Obama got a Nobel peace prize, guess the awards ain’t all they’re cracked up to be, huh?
Goodbye 👋 Alan Lickman 😂 fake predictions.
Alan Lichtman’s arrogance about his prediction is abhorring. I’m glad he’s slapped with reality. Go to the bunker Alan.
Boot lick man?
The whole model is bogus. Not only it's hard to take seriously a model for which the input data is so subjective, but aggregated polls alone would have predicted correctly almost all the predictions he is credited with predicting correctly himself.
Then (and I was not even aware of this) he's twice changed after-the-fact what the model was supposed to predict when he seemingly got it wrong; in 2000 and in 2016, meaning that it should be considered at least controversial whether he got those results right. And now he's got 2024 wrong too.
But to be honest, none of this can be surprising. I mean...who could possibly think that a model based on election results from 1860 to 1980 would work just as well for 2024? So wait, he thinks that TV has not changed how people vote? The Internet? Social media? COME ON....
I’m not surprised Lichtman was wrong. I tried to tell him that he can have 13 keys or 30, but when you’re predicting how elections will turn out, the most important factor is EMOTION. If voters don’t FEEL the economy is working for them and it clearly wasn’t because paying $4 for a dozen eggs when under Trump, it was $2.50, is REAL. Rents are skyrocketing is REAL, more folks not being able to afford to buy a house because of rising interest rates is REAL. Lichtman better dust off his keys, and add one more for the REAL economy vs the one on paper.
Lictmann? Strong economy? Are you serious? In what world?
Lick-man that's his name !!
Well MSNBC and the Democratic backers who funded him told him so.
The economy is doing very well the problem is that he did not take wealth inequality, inflation, and wage stagnation into account. The US has the largest gap in wealth inequality of all advanced economies. Decades of neoliberal economic policies, starting with Reagan, and highlighted at its worst when Obama threw the public under the bus and bailed the banks out with corporate welfare have led to this. Neoliberal policies has led to a hollowing out of the lower, working, and middle classes and a lack of investment in communities. The Democrats are controlled by oligarchs and largely reject left-wing populism and while Trump is also in the pockets of oligarchs, he performs a form of fake populism that Democrats have no populist answer to counter it with.
If you listen to the Biden Harris propaganda everything is awesome and that warm yellow fluid running down your back isn't pi$$.
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
Alan lichman is an extreme left wing liberal professor and was extremely bias
40 years wasted, this is one useless way to waste life
$5.00 a gallon gasoline. Strong economy my foot.
@@TheMrPeteChannel The economy is FANTASTIC for big oil! You're just too poor to reap the rewards and you won't ever come close to the wealthy elite, especially now. Enjoy your Trump presidency! They played you all like a fiddle.
@@TheMrPeteChanneltechnically he is correct the higher the prices the better it is for the economy meaning the federal government however consumers are barely added to the equation
Having a bad hair day also!!
The problem was Lichtman wasn’t even following his own keys!!
Lichtman didn't have a key for a criminal sociopath with charisma.
Exactly . He altered his own keys because he suffers from TDS
@@Fidel-jodio-Cuba 100% he's keys are bogus anyway, you can call them however you want
yea the keys are actually quite good. i filled them out how i thought was correct and it predicted no 45.
Lichtman was a victim of his own hubris. He's done. As they say in sports, your only good as your last result.
Spot-on. Once you start believing in your own bullshit, you’re finished!
Threw away his entire career
@@xrrrismickey
His credibility is shot
In sports, there are comebacks, Baker Mayfield is an example .Jamies Winston is another
@@rudolphpieters7918or Colin kapernick? lol
Lichtman's model was correct, the problem was Lichtman's bias caused him to check boxes that shouldn't have been checked because of his on personal feelings and hate towards Trump. If u look at the keys that he talks about and then use a non bias approach u will see that his model still works.
So he was wrong because he didn't follow the parameters of the polling strategy he designed? Interesting, he based it on feels vs. facts. So, the same strategy as democrats overall, good call. And he'll still be paid for it. That's awesome.
I was most skeptical of his economic keys, which completely ignore the perception people have of the economy. 60% of people thought economy was in recession even though the official accounting doesn't say so.
The economic keys are objectively defined, but in this situation that was a weakness instead of a strength.
Fraud! He’s a bloody fraud many pollsters had better records.
Well with his bias his prediction is Worthless
Nailed it
It's because they predicted their wishes not based on reality.😂😂
True
When your hate and jealousy lead your predictions.
100% true. Narcissists on the far left (with a very twisted worldview) often filter facts, empirical data, and statistical evidence through the prism of their own ideology; utterly divorced from reality.
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
Litchman's reputation is down the drain....
He wasnt predicting .he was hoping she would win ..he got so full of himself that he thought if he said it it would happen
Rasmussen nailed it. He wasn't trying to cook the polls.
Atlas too
@@carlosnorris352so true. Their final battlegrounds were so close.
He’s not a pollster & absolutely not a “Nostradomus”. He should be referred to as a “Fraudster - Grifter”. It was time to be knocked off his high horse. You are no longer believed, trusted & & source of any factual information. You deserve all of this. Especially since you tried to smear @stateofdaniel, a true patriot who exemplifies true journalism. Daniel’s courage guided, informed & supported all of us who didn’t know how to trust when realizing those like yourself had chosen to misguide, lie, cheat with the intention of destroying American & Americans. Your legacy is done along with so many other traitors with zero integrity & empathy.
No system can predict the future!
breathe
This Allen guy most likely already cashed out receiving millions! Nobody should ever listen him ever again! Including that BS Iowa poll guy.
Take it easy…wow
I watch Daniel and he is honest unlike this so called fake professor
I am a 77-year-old man, born and raised in NYC. I am NO ANT-Feminist but as far as I am concerned, we NARROLY avoided "BITINGTHE BULLET" TWICE. Once with Hillary and again with Kamala.
You are absolutely correct! I was born and raised in NYC. I would vote for Tulsi in a second! Maybe even Haley. Kameltoe was an awful candidate - should NOT have even been running for Head Dog Catcher, let alone president!!
I never trusted Lichtman. His TDS was disturbing. I hope Lichtman gets immediate psychiatric care.
me too, also Nate Silver and that other guy, Goldsmith with their 13 keys
Kim Clement's prediction in 2007 about Trump was on point
And a lobotomy !
There is no such thing as TDS. Trump is inxceedibally bad across the board, in every single attribute you could possibly think of.
As for Lichtman, he is indeed a pseudoscientist, but _you_ don't actually know why.
I hope so too
I knew this man was a scam
They all are.
You spelled scum wrong.
@@Sureshots. OY VEY
The unbelievable arrogance in those pollsters is out of this world.
You sound like someone who doesn't understand even what polling is.
Nate Silver got it wrong and is officially now a “HAS BEEN!” Bye bye, loser!!!
Agreed!
He was doing suppression polls until the last minute then made the switch so he can do it again in the future.
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
Actually Nate got it right. He said his gut predicted Trump AND he predicted a sweep in the swing states.
@@hsew lol. Isn't that talking from both sides of his mouth? You have to be pretty gullible to believe that $ hit.
Lichtman’s era of pseudo science and lucky witchcraft is kinda over. The one big thing we learned from the SWEEP is that we can replace all the time, money, effort, editorial, and BS of 90% of polling entirely with Polymarket. I’m fine with that.
The poll people return data that gets them paid. Just like scientists return climate data that get them paid. Both groups are self serving opportunistic wankers!
I sure hope his career ended with this one. Let's see if he shows his face again in the next election.
Nailed it
You forgot to mention, he’s also a little twerp!
Bro would have guessed correctly if he had actually applied his keys without bias.
But his methodology is still flawed because it does not account for X factors not seen before in previous elections, like immigration or abortion.
We the People have spoken loud and clear
We really don't need to hear from Alan Lichtman ever again.
never again
😂
I second that!
Trump to Lichtman, "YOU'RE FIRED."
With his 13 fake keys 😂😂😂
His keys work if you apply them fairly. It predicted trump win if you apply 13 keys fairly.
@@curly208 81 million people fired trump in 2020. Lichtman is more reliable than trump will ever be.
@@hellohi_____________4089 you are wrong the keys are not fake, he got too clouded to interpret them correctly... 2 Economic Keys, 2 Charisma Keys & 2 Foreign Policy Keys - all these should have favored Trump
Lichtman, Nate Silver and Ann Selzer are the most reliable pollsters in the Marvel Universe.
What they will do now man.
Litchman go bed. You are fired!
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
Partisan hack
Everyone is getting fired😂😂
@@josequiroga5283Agreed!!! This is the worst! I'm just so surprised and shocked and proud of our country for reelection Trump! We need to get this country back on track!!!
😂😂😂
You’re fired! Fool!
😂😂😂
Do you pollsters all like coffee served with your CROW PIE ?????
Seltzer destroyed her entire career based on hopium.
She either took a risk and go against the grain on purpose in the event a miracle happens and she's right then she be a bigger star or she got paid to taint the poll to favor the underdog. Either way, she is toasted now.
Hopium and Changium. It's all just smoke and mirrors.
Anyone with a brain knew she WAS WRONG! DUMMY1
Lichtman's data said we have a strong economy? God I've had my fill of intellectuals.
Yeah that’s what got me rolling my eyes. Lichtman may be able to afford the high prices but the economy is bad.
Oh its great for the billionaires and mega-cooperations. You're just not in the same tax-bracket as them.
It's called late-stage capitalism.
Dude is so removed from reality. Strong economy my ass
I have to now pay $10.00 for a hamburger. Strong economy my eye.
@@TheMrPeteChannel dam. It is $7 here and the restaurant just go empty. I mean it go from 3 to 7 in a few years. People are in shock. Most people probably just go back eat homemade sandwich .
Polls can be manipulated, and this is proof!
YOU'RE PREMISE WAS WRONG. THE ECONOMY IS NOT STRONG
Garbage in, garbage out. You nailed it.
Yeah, dummy. Poor economy short term and long term with this Admin. You said otherwise. You actually believed the fake stats and that people just need to KNOW they have it good? Gag. It’s the tired and true caution - don’t piss on my shoe and tell me it’s raining.
Wealthy Americans are bathing in your middle-class tears and will continue to squeeze every penny until you're a lifeless corpse to feed our capitalist machine. You just voted for the guy whose gonna make them even richer, enjoy!
Gas is up 100% since Trump left office four years ago. Food up as well. Inflation is horrible. This “professor” doesn’t even know that.
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
lol epic fail by Lichtman! The Iowa poll was insane too!
they were all bought by the 1 billion money that kamala threw around
Litchman's book "Keys to the White House" now on special at Good Will Store's Bargain book shelf for 25 cents each. 😂
Allan Lichtman. Your FIRED! 😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮
*You're
He needed another Key. That would have been "is the candidate unable to communicate in an interview?"
Silver got it wrong and is a sham...good riddance
To Nate’s credit leading up to the election he said his gut was saying Trump despite the polling model
Amen to that 💪💪💪
THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!! STRONG ECONOMY? EGG DOZEN $6 A GALLON OF MILK $6 THAT MAN IS CRAZY!!!!!! IN ALL YEARS I HAVE LIVED IN AMERICA. THIS IS THE WORST ECONMY .
@@kylerobinson8336 Basically he was hedging his bets because he had no idea !
@@Neville-o4z Lichtman was high on drugs, his 13 keys opened wrong boxes
That Lichtman dude is a buffoon. He didn't use his own model correctly.
Why did this so called unbiased report not include who was right? Rasmussen nailed it! Where’s your reporting on that?
9 out of 11 ,
Go away now
If you voted for Trump, your probably 0 for 3, but you won't admit it five years from now when a Democrat has to come save the country yet again from people like you.
he was wrong in 2000 and 2016 too, so 7 out of 11
Life lesson for me: “never trust ‘predictors’. They’re always right until they’re wrong.”
The funny thing is that the 'Keys' didn't fail Lichtman, Lichtman failed the 'Keys'.
I know, right?😅He said "even though the economy is perceived to be bad it is good." If he went with how people feel, not how they are supposed to feel, he would have been close
Either that, or he needs to get new keys made 🤣
You're right. His keys stood true if you evaluated them from an average American's POV. He just gave Kamala too much credit this time around.
Lichtman saying "Not possible!" reminded me of _The Princess Bride_ when the guy kept saying "Inconceivable!"
(Inigo Montoya: "I do not think that word means what you think it means."😂)
All latinos actually vote not as a block on how we tell them to vote? Inconceivable!
@@bobross1829 Los latinos apoyamos a Trump!
His model is good but he let his preference cloud his judgement. Any objective person could tell she would lose based on the model
The fact the ONLY thing she was offering is that women could get an abortion says it all. She had no policies, no solutions. She was only an option for the TDS voters.
Lichtmanns process was right, he couldn't see past establishment group think
Strong economy?
Litchman is a 🤡🤡
What an idiot, giving her the economy keys was just unbelievably stupid and tone-deaf
Or…could it be he is a liberal clown? 🤡
I agree. The keys are one thing and another is how they get interpreted. He interpreted them wrongly.
Litchman is not God. Miserably failed.
👍 he sure does think he is! So arrogant
A bunch of liars
So much for "Razor thin margin with the race too close to call." Trump didn't have to bus in rally attendees which is all you needed to know!
Gotta love lichtmans wig, feel like getting my weedwaker out 😂🤣😅
Please media get this guy live we need to see him.
I KNEW HE WAS WRONG
Me to
I knew he was wrong too. It was obvious she would lose imo.
The people now have spoken. You pollsters better start telling the truth.
Its just that Trump is beyond pollls
Allan Lichtman is not infallible...thank GOD. Now go away Al.
I think this guy dropped his 13 keys while standing over a storm drain.
I think the 13 keys are now up his butt! 😄
His keys work he just gave the keys to the wrong person due to his own personal biased
What about Atlas and Rasmussen? Both correctly predicted this outcome. Your program would have been better if it had included them.
Lickman is a 🤡
@@nf0999 He swore up and down Kamila had a good economy, that's called being a clown that ignores basic data while claiming to be a nostradum
@@nf0999 He's a 🤡
@@JamesBurdon-gu5yu He just wanted her to win, he's a 🤡
@@nf0999 Ah here! 🤣 clowns like you are easily fooled 🤡 I followed the election casually, and was certain Trump would win.. And that 🤡 with the wig is supposed to be an expert and with his fake 13 steps got it badly wrong 😭😭😭😭🤣 now go cry with kamala !! In the circus 🤹♂️ 🤣
This is what not seeing your own bias looks like.
Ann Seltzer has lost years of credibility. I didn't believe her but she created a lot of short-term attention for herself over the weekend. The worst polling error I can remember from someone with a good reputation. It was 16 points. she was also wrong about Iowa house elections
It wasn't an error. It was done to influence the election.
Ann Seltzer is a political operator & a clown trying to influence this most important election! Glad she failed & was exposed!!
How is it that the smartest people in the room are always the people lacking wisdom?
Dumb luck make them wise.
Pride I guess. Wisdom demands humility•_•
Also severely lacking in common sense. It has been my experience in life that the folks with all the letters after their names I,E,: PHD, Masters, etc., that are highly educated, are the last people on earth I would trust to have a valid opinion of the theater of reality.
Just because some people follow you for the wrong reasons does not make you wise 😂 it just means you are catering to their brand ! and therefore trump and you deserve each other 😂
With all this buildup let’s see what Grump does with the US economy 😂
Don't mind that pollster
Very bias
Just pretending to be neutral.
What Lichtman didn't figure in as one of his "keys" was all the prayers for the election.
The red wave has cometh 😁 THE RETURN OF THE DON.
How did that "expert" dodge the Vietnam draft?
Him winning the popular vote is unbelievable
It's totally believable unless you think the average American is a total retard.
Republicans give Americans too much credit, because they expect them to focus on policy.
The Democrats give them too little because they expect us to focus on feels.
This time, the latter strategy was the loser.
Very easy to understand.
These are the Professors of our time. Competence IS Not Something that IS required
Only loyalty to Democrat is required.
The world was upside down ,but now it’s right side up..What the hell was that all about…Wasted days and wasted nights..and lots and lots of money…What did they accomplish??
2 days before election I breakdown facts according to Liechtman's 13 Keys , and it said Trump should be the Winner , His model is brilliant but he was biased
That’s the problem, his 13 Keys are, in large part, arbitrary. “Strong long term economy”, “strong short term economy”, “no social unrest”, “charismatic incumbent”, “Uncharismatic challenger”. Light man likely picked all of the wrong answers here, due to his leftist bias.
Allan almost scratched that wig off his head 😂
And the wig move side way from his head mean his brain side way to
😂😂😂😂😂😂
This proves to me I will never trust them again
That man was a gun for hire
03:16: No shit, Sherlock! I know why the pollster was wrong: She was suffering from a case of Trump Derangement Syndrome.
MSNBC is saying she lost because she is a minority!?!!! No,No she lost because she is a terrible candidate with a terrible running mate with terrible histories! Period...
Oh…. WHAT A GLORIOUS MORNING!!!! Stirs my heart to know we actually have a real President coming in
January!!!!!!! ❤️❤️❤️❤️🎉🎉🎉🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🥰🥰
I have to wonder though. Trump received roughly what he did in 2020. What happened to the 81 million voters who allegedly voted for Biden in 2020? Harris didn't come close to those remarkable numbers. Where'd they go?
That's what I'm wondering. You would expect a lower turnout during a pandemic when people weren't going anywhere. I wonder if the truth will ever come out.
You know. Everyone knows.
The dead demographic and the fake ballot demographic didn’t turn out this time.
Every knows
Trump is the first guy to win US President election 3rd time in raw
Never voted for someone because of their race or gender, and never will.
But she was 3Fs - fake, fraud, freak so everyone can see thru her !
Based on "Strong Economy"; in what world is he living? hahaha... what a forecaster!
What a narcissistic moron.
Allan Lichtman needs to retire his brain CANT think straight.
Isn’t that rug glue poisoning his brain cells
Who is he who speaks and it comes to pass, when the Lord has not commanded it?"
Allan Lichtman needs to repent for being a false prophet
No one will ever take this guy serious again ever😂😂😂
Rasmussen got it right, again
God proved the so called Nostradamus of elections wrong 😂😂😂😂😂😂
🤣🤣🤣•_•🤭🤭
God had nothing to do with Trump being elected.
He's such a joke😂😂😂
This is another woke guy. He is clueless
What a clown
Lichtman let his emotion cloud his judgement if you used his keys properly him probably would have predicted Trump.
Alan Lichtman, Ann Seltzer, Nate Silver, you're all FIRED! Get outta here, there's a cab waiting.
Well, so much for Ann Selzer! These people should be held accountable for their mistakes, whether accidental or deliberate.
What a bunch of losers!
The world is gonna get its shit together now since Trump is in Office! Peace and Prosperity!
😂 im so happy lichtman was wrong. He was so cocky. He flew too close to the sun.
Yeah disgusting. Never even had the courtesy to say he was wrong in 2016 when he predicted Hillary win
Lichtman the world didn’t turn upside down. You’re the one that’s upside down.
The gamblers were more accurate!
Spot On