McCain Conference 2017 Keynote - Dr. George Friedman
Вставка
- Опубліковано 21 чер 2017
- Dr. George Friedman - Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, former Chairman of Stratfor, and author of The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century -
I could listen to George for days.
Well done , George Friedman is one of the intellectuals able to explain complex situations with plain language
Professor George Fridman thank you for your brilliant presentation! I accompanied your speech sometimes a while and every time when I heard you I was impressed with your deep analysis of worldwide geopolitical situation.
41:35 "...but I'm not clear that those who argue for human rights are moral." That is an awesome way to view military conflict.
Unique clear understanding of the past and insightful far reaching view of the future. Friedman's perspectives should be listened to.
George is great professor that I liked. simple explanations plus reasons that focused affairs & history & future predictions. believe him or not is another subject.
All in all a likeable talk. Thanks George..
Eight years ago I read his book "The Next 100 Years", and scoffed at it, even gave it away. Now I have it back ... and see eerie prescience, especially regarding Russia and the EU. His big picture of largely impersonal forces on a historical canvas is a powerful paradigm.
"We got France, they got Bulgaria" -> Perfectly put, I have been saying the same thing since I was a child.
aw hell ya. who needs a gf when you have gf
You may disagree with Friedman because you disagree with his interests. But he derives at his conclusions because he leaves many facts out. That's what story telling is about. He's not hiding anything. He tells you who pays him. That's admirable.
I like George; his message is clear and understandable. What we do with his message and how we synthesize it is an entirely different matter.
His critics are clueless. He’s always right. Always.
“If you hear a "prominent" economist using the word 'equilibrium,' or
'normal distribution,' do not argue with him; just ignore him, or try to
put a rat down his shirt.”
―
Nassim Nicholas Taleb,
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
NA NA Explain?
George Friedman you are the most brilliant intellectual of the 21st century.
Omar Zafar I'd go with Joseph Campbell and Terrence Mckenna. George is brilliant too. Like to hear his take on the Golden Age
Joseph Butler Haha!
A clear analytical mind. Followed him for last 10 years. No regrets.
moron
V Penkov. The neocon Zionists had destroyed Western Christendom. Pray that Putin is not failing but is rising becos he is the last Hammer for the remaining Eastern Orthodox Christendom.
Colin Tan lol, Russia is allies with Iran and Turkey.
V Penkov was
@@meehanparast o shut up he is entertaining (self important ignorant maybe)
Friedman never ceases predicting Russia's imminent financial implosions due to low energy prices. He is relentless with this perma-prediction.
I have seen two talks by George today. I find him lucid, intelligent and well worth the calories cogitating on his musings. I might even buy his latest book !
i know im asking randomly but does any of you know a tool to get back into an instagram account..?
I stupidly lost the password. I would appreciate any tricks you can offer me!
@Stephen Brian instablaster =)
@Johnathan Victor Thanks so much for your reply. I found the site through google and im in the hacking process atm.
I see it takes a while so I will get back to you later when my account password hopefully is recovered.
@Johnathan Victor It did the trick and I finally got access to my account again. I'm so happy!
Thank you so much you really help me out !
@Stephen Brian You are welcome :D
Perhaps the best I know in this field!
We need a vision of the future, something worth working toward in common. Perhaps we need to review our mission, whatever that may be.
smart guy..... respect him
i can't hear the questions,please have better system
The American policy was established even from the beginning. President Jefferson sent the Marines "... to the shores of Tripoli".
04-23-2021. The movie is "Pork Chop Hill" released in 1959. (27:05).
Did anyone understand the name at 32.12 ?
Very interesting . Would something really dramatic such as the political/tribal union of the United States with the European common market countries create a more enduring super power so we could just get on with the fabulous world that we could then create?
He's right right 98%
PS: Next time George, speak a little about the tension between love and war, private man vs. citizen, and how the weight of both oscillate during the course of mans life, how you teach your children to favor the one over another. War has one purpose only: to cement the right of the victor in making and enforcing laws during the ensuing oeace.
Most people talking down on Friedman is a typical Russiafanboi mad that Russia isn't all that or the typical anti-American youtube conspiretard. If you want to understand geopolitics George Friedman is great refreshing view point to add to your knowledge base. Also makes me proud to be part of the greatest Empire ever, the United States of America!
US is not a empire .. -.-
no, british empire was larger, had more population and was stronger when compared to the great power at that time .. also they had bigger legacy then the US, US is a product of the british empire lol
Coming from a Frenchie do what you do best! Give up!
Nah, people who are against Friedman aren't Russia fanboys, since he isn't much wrong about Russia(except that one time), he is usually wrong about China, and has made many mistakes. I like Ian Bremmer and Kaplan more.
P.S. USA is an empire, the largest the world has ever seen. You just have to observe it a bit differently. It doesn't annex territories like Russia, it has protectorates like the colonial empires do. For example, entire Europe, large areas of the ME, Australia, NZ, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, are all protectorates of the US, and entire Latin America is it's playground.
i`m not american , but i agree it`s obvious , your country is invulnerable .
30:30 and yet even though oil futures went negative in 2020, Russia’s central bank is holding a key interest rate at 6% and they run about 25% debt to GDP. meanwhile the USA is at 300% debt to GDP and Jerome Powell is struggling to taper without crashing the market.
Next time please get a mic on the audience questions.
Really good questionnaire but could not hear him well! Since USA is energy independent it looks like they will not be interested in any war except strategic competitor. Distinguish between those that defend or have same principles as USA constitution.
1 year leater and turkay dose not look so good dose it?
So he is saying that one foreign policy is using terrorism for confusion
You have no idea my friend
in many things
Anyone should go to the US to get a doctorate .
Where does he get the notion there are no NCO ranks in the Chinese military? Of course there are. The rank system is pretty much like ours. He's in a fantasy world.
you made me laugh when you describe movie as pork chop hill and it really was hamburger hill.
At 36 minutes I am wondering if he might mention India. Interesting. 2019 India has just become stretegic partner of USA. President Trump and Prime Minister Modi getting on well. USA and India were doing combine small scale training in East India Assam. I am quite surprised he has ignored 1.3 billion people massive young working population. Kosovo was result of Tony Blair convincing and pushing Clinton to defend Muslim Albanian of Kosovo not 100% convinced USA did it of its own leadership. But making me thing of geopolitics lots still liking lots of his talks
24:00 Confession about how the war in Yugoslavia was manufactured and than how Serbia was further fragmented through Kosovo. „we put in place a strategy.... that war created regime change, unrest and that was satisfactory to us.”. His bosses in CIA and Mossad must be so proud of his big mouth.
George Friedman is ignoring two factors, concerning anyone attacking the USA.
The USA has more weapons in it, than people, and those are weapons owned personally by the citizens of the USA. That does not count the weapons in the stores across the USA. That being said, only 1 of every 3 homes are armed. We are a family of four, we own 7 rifles, 4 pistols and about 10 archery bows.
That is a major deterrent for anyone thinking of ever invading the USA. The USA also has enough nukes, to wipe any nation off the planet, if it used a nuke against the USA. That pretty much means anyone thinking of attacking the USA, knows it is a, No Win Scenario.
I do not believe, Japan’s Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto said: "You cannot invade mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind each blade of grass." To my knowledge, there is no record of him saying that. Knowledgeable historians do not support that either.
Plain and simple, most every nation on earth likes selling to the USA. The only current people who detest the USA are Extreme Muslims and Kim the midget in North Korea. Other than those two threats, the worst enemy the USA has, is the political division of the U.S. Citizens themselves. A double minded man, is unstable in all of his ways.
The factual errors never end. China is no longer an export junkie. They export less than 20% of their GDP by now. And that number is going down all the time.
The Russian Army, despite its monumental sacrifices was marching west by June 1944, it was bled, but not to death as friedman so wrongfully claims.
@Nigel CamIf you are trying to describe the monumental loss of life and the tragic ramifications in the human sense, then you can use much more dramatic language. But, by saying "bled to death" the implication is that the Soviet Army had lost its combat effectiveness by the end of the war. In reality, the exact opposite was the case, the Soviet Army was crushing all before it in the final years of the war, it was the most formidable land force the world had ever seen.
That was the reason Truman had to demonstrate atomic bomb power in August 1945 to cool Russians down.
The Britons are faceing the abyss NOW. They were not facing the abyss in ww2.
Historical analysis without critical thinking. Not worth watching. Also no such thing as ethics in war. Look at legal ethics as a function of time and change, i.e., ethics are not absolute and hence, not worth worrying about.
"hezbollah has been chewed up in syria".
maybe.
Friedman was wrong about Japan in the past, and he is wrong now.
Japan in highly in debt and has a drastically aging population. Almost all new "hot" products are from other, "younger" , countries like South Korea, China, the US..
Why is a declining population a problem?
:)))
Their population is declining, but their use of automation is increasing. The GDP growth rate of Japan is positive, albeit small. As the population declines, the GDP per capita increases. Everyone is getting a bigger share of the pie now, and their overall happiness is on the rise. They’re the only developed economy to not be experiencing ultra right-wing activity right now.
is this an author pitching his fairy tale? Does he really think nobody watching this ever read a history book?
Utter nonsense from beginning to end. I hardly know where to start. If China's growth rate has fallen from 8% a year to 6.5% a year, this does not mean 'China is constantly weakening'. It means China is growing stronger at a slightly slower rate.
Lol china is about to collapse. Everything they've been doing is OVERCREDITED, OVEREXTENDED, COMPLETELY INEFFICIENT and needs US cooperation to be successful. Were picking up our ball and going home economically. China will fracture with successful Areas or stay united but poor and trapped in poverty or middle income
Lopsided analysis
The Guy talks nonsense. Take his considerations about Germany: the weakness of Germany is its dependence on export, almost 50% of German GDP is export. He misses the point, that more than 50% of German exports are in EU countries When you take EU as single economical subject (like USA), this part is no export at all. Besides, for a such relative small country as Germany (compared to USA, Russia, China, ...) being an big exporter is a boon and prove of competitiveness of the economy. And why at all should we see countries that export much as more vulnerable than other countries? They depend on customer-countries, but in the same way customer-countries depend on suppliers. When a country do not export much, the local producers sells they goods and services inside their own country, but in the end they depend on customers as well - internal customers. Are they less vulnerable to an economical crisis? When we look back into 2007, we see the opposite: the last biggest crisis started in USA, a country less dependent on exports, and spread out in the whole world. His speech is full of such silly statements.
You forgot that the last 400 years the wars were for MARKET expandining. This is the nature of the current system, bro!!
The US, Britain and China account for a ginormous share of German exports. The EU may account for 1/2 of all export trades but in terms of value it's far less than 1/2.
The issue for Germany is they're falling off a demographic cliff while China, South Korea and the US are snapping up their export markets outside of the EU.
www.destatis.de/EN/FactsFigures/NationalEconomyEnvironment/ForeignTrade/Tables/OrderRankGermanyTradingPartners.pdf;jsessionid=93012447C78F9861DEFFFEAFECF4BD09.InternetLive1?__blob=publicationFile
Nonsense. The baby boomer generation's retirements could easily be financed if Germany wasn't so keen spending billions on financing its ideological bogus programs like the Energiewende or playing poorhouse for the middle east and eastern europe.
@Alexander Andrushenko
The high reliance on exports makes Germany vulnerable to US interventions... Like the US initiated trade embargo towards Russia, which exists only to hurt the Russian and German economies.
D. L. Or tariffs. Gives the US a much bigger stick to negotiate with. The irony of tariffs is that they hurt the countries that are most protectionist and using tariffs disproportionately (China, Germany).
Europe threatening to "retaliate" doesnt carry much weight when they already tariff the shit out of us, it has diminishing returns.
Everybody starting war should be instantly killed by extraterrestials.
Mr Friedman should do some homework before he makes statements.
he knows what he says, even when he is wrong.
SO? He is misleading his audiants?
never experienced that? do you believe everything your hear or see?
No but you must check facts.
exactly what I did and exposed. Didn't you read?
If only this man knew a bit about real engineering, soldering, generalship and economy...
He really needs to improve his knowledge base on... well everything. Most of these intel if from 1990s.
You are dirty unbealiever servant of Satan God will judge you komentators and politicians without God are very evil and totally stupid arogant people God will burn your evil liars mouth in hell.
cant hear jack shit speak up please
His statements sound impressive with great wisdoms initially, but upon scrutiny are almost random disjoint fleeing thoughts, hardly coherent or logically connected.
Which statements? Perhaps you didn’t understand the reference? Here to help.
Mc Cain 6x traitor to the USA received what he deserved. All warmongers should be instantly killed by extraterrestrials or Almighty God.The same way as in WW2 when two UFOs killed German tanks at KURSK and Russian won Russians will win always against any invador because they have weapons from Pleyadians and also God is with Slavic nations.
I also smoke pot occasionally.
Russia is weak. Nice joke :D
Russian's strenght is in the Cosmos
russia didn't invade ukraine, its a proxy war ..
point was that is not ment to conquer kiev lol .. its was ment to destabilize ukraine so that she cant jon EU and NATO in a log run ...