Great video as always man, I don't even want to think about how much time you invested into this video doing all the research on the last 100 events. Lots of interesting numbers in this video, I would have thought it would be the opposite for techs and single prize decks but apparently I was way of the mark lol. Keep up the phenomenal work man, this was an amazing watch.
welp, im gonna disregard everything in this video and go to Santiago with my super teched out lunatone solrock with 3 drapion and 2 thortons. Wish me luck.
The data you've collected is great! Some of those conclusions though... Take rogue decks as an example. You can't make the conclusion that, because they only win 30% of the time, you should avoid them. I would more easily be interpret that as being heavily in favor of rogue decks than against them. If only 5% of the room is playing rogue deck but they win 30% of the time, that means they have a much better conversion rate from playrate to tournament winrate than top meta decks. That conclusion is just as possible as yours, but we need much more data about playrates, who's piloting the decks, and other information about the metagame to draw accurate conclusions. For example, we could find that the metagame is super centralized 50% of the time, but when a rogue deck wins the metagame is centralized 90% of the time. From information like that, we could draw much better conclusions about when you should and shouldn't bring rogue decks to tournaments, and what kinds.
@@BurtsPTCG That's good advice for newer players, but I think the data shows the most experienced players do the best when they come up with and play rogue decks. (Or an interpretation could be that the best players only play rogue decks when they're super confident in them.)
@@BurtsPTCG That's fair, but in that case we probably shouldn't be looking at statistics for tournament winners. :) It'd be really cool to look at the statistics for first-time-day-two players.
It was much easier/faster to just analyse winners as a proof of concept to see if the video concept was received well, which it has! 🙌 Actually really like that idea i might run with it! 💪
I used to play YGO and I’m surprised that Mew players complain about Drapion, if your deck is so powerful and oppressive that people have to play a card specifically to counter it(Drapion V has a high energy cost for a relatively weak attack that doesn’t fit in with their deck, so it’s pretty much only there for Mew), and it’s still top tier despite that, then the deck is the problem. I feel like Mew players are kinda toxic, the ones I encountered always talk about how broken Drapion V is and how they would have won if ___ happened.
@@BurtsPTCG They are straight up enraged when I draw it lol, it’s kind of weird that people are hung up on counters since when YGO does it, people rejoice and love that card.
Ok so you're general point is still correct but the way you presented the statistics is somewhat misleading. Just because the BDIF wins an event x% of the time doesn't mean it's not the most likely. You need to consider win rate relative to play rate. I would guess that if you do that, the BDIF is on average more likely to win than anything else. Of course this gets a bit tricky when there are many A-S tier decks. Similarly with all the other stats you presented, its not the percent of time that something has won, it's "likelihood" of winning which matters- which can be found knowing play rate and win rate. Very tough to calculate, I know, but just don't want to mislead people.
Nice analysis! Always good to crunch the numbers and see how theories actually work out in results.
Appreciate your support my friend! 👌🙏
Great video as always man, I don't even want to think about how much time you invested into this video doing all the research on the last 100 events. Lots of interesting numbers in this video, I would have thought it would be the opposite for techs and single prize decks but apparently I was way of the mark lol. Keep up the phenomenal work man, this was an amazing watch.
Thank you so much! Yeah it took a while but super glad how it turned out 🙏🙌 Appreciate your support!
Solid content man, thank you for doing to the homework for us. I'm glad I'm running the deck that's in line with this analysis for a championship!
Love to hear it! Glad you liked it! :)
Solid vid! Appreciate you researching the numbers.
Thank you my friend! Glad you liked it 🙏
Earned a sub for this. Numbers don't lie. Phenomenal Video! :)
Absolute legend! Much appreciated 🙏🙏
Phenomenal video Shai!
Thank you so much! Means a lot my friend! ❤️❤️
Thanks heaps for your awesome analysis‼️
Thank you so much! Glad you liked it :)
welp, im gonna disregard everything in this video and go to Santiago with my super teched out lunatone solrock with 3 drapion and 2 thortons. Wish me luck.
3 drapions?! I hope u match 9 mews 😂😂
Another banger, good work
Thank you so much! Means a lot ❤️🙏
Great video!!
Cheers buddy! :)
Understandable, I am packing up my Darkrai Vstar deck for Santiago Regionals hahahahah
Aha! Well this data was only for the champion so 👀 lots of room in top 4 and final ;)
hopefully i dont have to play against you with my lunatone solrock deck
The data you've collected is great! Some of those conclusions though...
Take rogue decks as an example. You can't make the conclusion that, because they only win 30% of the time, you should avoid them. I would more easily be interpret that as being heavily in favor of rogue decks than against them. If only 5% of the room is playing rogue deck but they win 30% of the time, that means they have a much better conversion rate from playrate to tournament winrate than top meta decks.
That conclusion is just as possible as yours, but we need much more data about playrates, who's piloting the decks, and other information about the metagame to draw accurate conclusions. For example, we could find that the metagame is super centralized 50% of the time, but when a rogue deck wins the metagame is centralized 90% of the time. From information like that, we could draw much better conclusions about when you should and shouldn't bring rogue decks to tournaments, and what kinds.
Just play a top 3 deck and everything will be fine 😂😉
@@BurtsPTCG That's good advice for newer players, but I think the data shows the most experienced players do the best when they come up with and play rogue decks. (Or an interpretation could be that the best players only play rogue decks when they're super confident in them.)
Perhaps but this video is definitely geared towards newer players
@@BurtsPTCG That's fair, but in that case we probably shouldn't be looking at statistics for tournament winners. :)
It'd be really cool to look at the statistics for first-time-day-two players.
It was much easier/faster to just analyse winners as a proof of concept to see if the video concept was received well, which it has! 🙌 Actually really like that idea i might run with it! 💪
I used to play YGO and I’m surprised that Mew players complain about Drapion, if your deck is so powerful and oppressive that people have to play a card specifically to counter it(Drapion V has a high energy cost for a relatively weak attack that doesn’t fit in with their deck, so it’s pretty much only there for Mew), and it’s still top tier despite that, then the deck is the problem. I feel like Mew players are kinda toxic, the ones I encountered always talk about how broken Drapion V is and how they would have won if ___ happened.
I think cause pokemon very rarely has such on the nose counters 😂 so it's a bit triggering for some people!
@@BurtsPTCG They are straight up enraged when I draw it lol, it’s kind of weird that people are hung up on counters since when YGO does it, people rejoice and love that card.
I welcome Drapion, I'll happily sack my Mew so I can use Roxanne + Path
Ok so you're general point is still correct but the way you presented the statistics is somewhat misleading. Just because the BDIF wins an event x% of the time doesn't mean it's not the most likely. You need to consider win rate relative to play rate. I would guess that if you do that, the BDIF is on average more likely to win than anything else. Of course this gets a bit tricky when there are many A-S tier decks. Similarly with all the other stats you presented, its not the percent of time that something has won, it's "likelihood" of winning which matters- which can be found knowing play rate and win rate. Very tough to calculate, I know, but just don't want to mislead people.
Just play a top 3 deck & hope good things happen 😂🙏im not great with numbers as u can tell 😂
There are two more stats I'd be interested in:
Of the winning matches:
How many cards were searched from the deck?
How many cards were drawn?
That would be cool but there is absolutely zero way of getting that data 😂😭
@@BurtsPTCG I mean... there definitely is, but it involves watching the matches... 😅
@@Chaosghoul oh I thought you meant of someone whole event run not just the streamed games haha
@@BurtsPTCG jeah no like last set of matches, top 2 or top 4 players or something. Or just the winning player in their last (set of) match(es)
@@BurtsPTCG For data like "the winning player tutored an average of x times and drew at least y cards"