While I appreciate the Amish support, a very large percentage of Amish are *children* I expect Amish population to keep growing and in decades Pennsylvania and Ohio becoming very conservative
Throughout the last three weeks, whenever I felt disheartened by all the propaganda, I'd listen to Mr. Ginger's pods and he got me centered again. Thank you sir!!! 👍
Yea AtlasIntel is good and honest. Obviously their polling techniques are solid, but they aren't intentionally using suppression polling techniques to manufacture artificial momentum for the Democrat. Many American mainstream polsters do that. A few don't, and unsurprisingly, those are the most accurate, very similar to AtlasIntel. Like Rasmussen and Trafalgar.
Gotta give Rasmussen some credit too. When just about all the polling was showing Harris ahead of Trump a few months back, Rasmussen was saying uh uh. We think Trump is up.
Steve Deace knows her and said she is a great pollster, but said she had to have either gotten a fat paycheck for that poll or deliberately put it out there to gaslight. Either way, she flushed her reputation down the toilet.
@@btappan88the entire Kamala camapign was astroturf and gaslight. I knew I was right in my gut that she was a weak candidate and the incessant pro-Kamala bias in the media and polling shows. Goes to shoe you a lot of the so-called "good" pollsters the media like to tout around are just nothing more than scammers trying to drum up Democrat momentum and try to demoralize Republicans.
His keys were right but he applied them in an uber-biased way, namely that the economy is really crap but "looks good" due to CPI undercounting food and not counting rent. His interpretation of the economy keys didn't account the jump in unemployment in recent months. Rising unemployment indicates a job market without opportunities.
@@shlomomarkman6374 his keys were wrong as soon as he kept spouting that Biden would not step down. He got paid by the democrat party and does not want to admit it.
@@shlomomarkman6374 Not to mention the scandal key, social unrest key, Foreign policy victory key, and opponent charisma key. Trump has like 9/13 keys if you apply them fairly.
@davidgalinat4257 I think so, too. The only solid Democrat states will be California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Colorado, Maryland, Delaware, Massachusetts, and Vermont. New York, Connecticut, and Rhode Island will be swing states.
Hey Ginger, I'm going to give you a nice fat Donation for Christmas this year for all the hard work you put in helping us break down these polls and following the race as great as you did! Thank you Sir! My 70 year old father is also a huge fan of yours!
That Iowa poll was something else. Nearly 20 points off the final result? Lmao. That simply doesn't happen without trying to commit "fraud" as far as the ostensible purpose of polling.
Brazilian here, your coverage of the elections was great. At least for me who likes a lot of data, counting and such, exly what i was looking for. P.s: At least for 4 years + we wont see nukes flying around, such a relief.
Sleepy joe administration definitely dragged everyone in to two wars 😮 did not need to happen. Could have been avoided 😢 no one can tell me different. Trump would have had everyone playing nice
It’s amazing how many of the legitimate pollsters had Trump right around 312 electoral votes. Kudos to them for putting forth the effort to try and give the people an honest gauge on the election.
My question: why are there mail in ballot dumps at the very end of a ballot count? Shouldn't those already be counted? How was it reported that there were 76M mail in votes before the election?
Now! Let’s fix future elections. Where do we start? All paper ballots with water marks. I.D. Lawyers on site (unbiased) voting polls No more mail in votes Vote in person only
Trump has a golden opportunity in front of him, even bigger than the opportunity that Obama had in his first term. Let’s just hope Donald doesn’t fuck it up like Barrack did.
McCain'ites. It took about a decade for the Harry Reid machine to die off in Nevada. We may need to wait some more years for the McCain influence to go away.
Am I the only person on Earth that's actually looked at Trump's 2020 and 2024 vote totals?? He did about the same, just sucked.... Or they cheated like hell in 2020.
If you look at all the LV's the polls looked at since 2016, there's about 10% spread between men and women and people over 65 are disproportionately represented. They made no corrections.That is to say, a larger share of people who are answering polls are widowers, retired, and/or both. It's no wonder that polls are skewed toward Democrats.
Zeldin came close in the last NY gubernatorial race. He helped the GOP pick up vital House seats in the Empire State. Outside the 10,000 lb. gorilla🦍known as NYC which controls/determines everything, and a few other urban enclaves, NY overall IS pretty red. Trump won nearly all upstate counties in 2016. But an upstate rural or semi-rural county with 80,000 people in it isn't outvoting Manhattan where 80,000 people is the population of like four city blocks. 🏢🏢🏢 That dynamic applies in plenty of other states as well, from Illinois to Oregon to California. As sci-fi/fantasy author Larry Correia wrote, and I might be paraphrasing, "there are no blue states, there are red states with stupid blue cities." Contrary to stereotypes, literally millions of Americans in the Northeast are FAR closer culturally to their "red state/heartland" compatriots than they are to the woke doctrinaire cultural Marxist adherents who often dwell right down the street. Maybe we can hope to see New York turn at least a light purple in our lifetimes. Trouble is, so many of the people who WOULD vote conservative in NY have long since bailed and don't live there anymore, and it's hard to blame them.
Just a fuct fact about the PA results. Every County in PA has been 98-99% counted expcept Camerbia county. It is a very pro trump county. For some reason only 58% of the vote is in there. Trump won there by 26,355 votes in 2020. Another 14,000-17,000 vote estimate should be expected to be given to Trump. That will increase Trump's 1.96 lead currenlty to around 2.1-2.2. Winning PA over 2 is very impressive.
I'm not a pollster or anything but I had Michigan and Wisconsin going to Harris with a +1.1 margin. Then trump winning the others by +3 others meaning PA, GA, NC, AZ and NV Michigan was a surprise for me. I really thought Michigan was gonna vote Harris. I knew Trump was going to dominate the other swing states. But I didn't think Harris was going to lose Wisconsin so badly and Michigan. JD Vance/Candace Owens 2028 !!
DG, your analysis of the polls during the election cycle was spot on… you’re very articulate and have a bright future ahead of you. I sub’d and look forward to seeing you advance in this space.
You did an amazing job with the poll numbers, instincts, and predicting this election results. Thank God in heaven for 4 more years of Trump, instead of this being the end of Trump's administration eight year term. Or worse, 4 more years of Democrats in the White house.
well it turns out when you cancel anyone who disagrees with you and march around with pitch forks, people are going to poll one direction and vote the other direction.
Mr. Ginger. If you can obtain the by-county vote totals for 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024, you will probably reveal where the 15 million excess votes came from.
I think the reason so many got Pennsylvania wrong is that the Amish don't answer phone polls. 😂
While I appreciate the Amish support, a very large percentage of Amish are *children* I expect Amish population to keep growing and in decades Pennsylvania and Ohio becoming very conservative
@@lucaslevinsky8802Only if we have very tough immigration laws and enforce them. This is why Trump winning is paramount to the future of this nation.
and atlas send mail in those communities, key reason they were on point
@@lucaslevinsky8802maybe, the Amish were active bc they were being threatened, they could get complacent.
@@greattribulation1388 True. You cant keep expecting them to continue voting in the future
2016: Overestimated Hillary by 1.1
2020: Overestimated Biden by 2.7
2024: Overestimated Harris by 3.4
It keeps getting worse! lol.
Interesting! What sources are you using?
They intentionally use suppression polling.
@@youpwned9015 did... did you not just watch the video you commented on? xD
They have to keep increasing their inaccuracies because data users keep adjusting poll numbers to compensate for pollsters historical errors.
Ginger your coverage of this election has truly been amazing, keep it up man. The livestream on election night was magical.
Yes. I was there as well. He didn't hold back the excitement. It felt like it did back in 2016.
@@whitworth5s248
The donations were coming in left and right 😂
Fr He was better than CNN / MSNBC / CBS etc
He's one of the most well respected independent polling analysts in the game
Throughout the last three weeks, whenever I felt disheartened by all the propaganda, I'd listen to Mr. Ginger's pods and he got me centered again. Thank you sir!!! 👍
Thank you, Patriots!!! We took our country back. 🇺🇸
Remember when Trump said "We have to save our country"? That was awesome.
@blazeron12 Yes I agree brother! This should of happened 4 years ago as well
Latino men helped huge with the win 👏🇺🇲
@kp5250 Absolutely agree!! Thank you brother 👊
@@kp5250y’all did for sure but black men were riding shotgun with y’all!!
Total Patriot Victory
Total Trump Dance
Yeah!!!🇺🇸🇺🇸
lets hope you're right. house results arent 100% in yet
@@BrassTheBarbarian They are at this point. You'll see!
Rasmussen did great
Pretty much just followed DG and Rasmussen and they were right on the money. Rasmussen even thought they were 1-2 low on Trump
Yep and Atlas also
Yep. Atlas and Rasmussen were excellent once again.
@@gggk135 atlas turned out excellent but I didn’t know where to follow them.
As a brazilian, i'm really proud of Atlas Intel performance, way to go folks
Yea AtlasIntel is good and honest. Obviously their polling techniques are solid, but they aren't intentionally using suppression polling techniques to manufacture artificial momentum for the Democrat. Many American mainstream polsters do that. A few don't, and unsurprisingly, those are the most accurate, very similar to AtlasIntel. Like Rasmussen and Trafalgar.
Atlas Nailed it
NY Times/Siena is Total Fake,😂😂😂😂
Atlas Intel is IMPRESSIVE. Now I know what to look at in the future.
Gotta give Rasmussen some credit too. When just about all the polling was showing Harris ahead of Trump a few months back, Rasmussen was saying uh uh. We think Trump is up.
I'm from Brazil and you gave us the best coverage about this election. Your live at the decision night was amazing!
We did it bois!
“We did it Joe” - Kamala. Ancient history now.
Praise Kek 🐸
It feels good to win
What are Bois? Gay versions of boys?
@@hotcolors9455 sure
How did Democrats go from 80 million votes in 2020 to 68 million in 2024? Trump was 74 million in 2020 and 72 million in 2024.
Yep, there needs to be an investigation into how FJB got 81 million votes!!!!
I know. I saw that. I guess 12 million people just stayed home. Going out to vote? Naaaaa.
Cheated--Mail in ballots--no monitoring of polling stations--ballot stuffing
Hopefully we can find out the truth.
The Democrats weren't able to "fortify" anything this time
Yep you called 312 wayyyyy before anyone else!!
AtlasIntel should now be the gold standard
Along with Rasmussen and maybe Trafalgar.
Oh well the Selzer poll was 16 points off 😂
Steve Deace knows her and said she is a great pollster, but said she had to have either gotten a fat paycheck for that poll or deliberately put it out there to gaslight. Either way, she flushed her reputation down the toilet.
@@whome1299sound about right
@@whome1299gaslighting has been the policy of choice for the dems this entire election cycle , so would not surprise me at all.
@@btappan88the entire Kamala camapign was astroturf and gaslight. I knew I was right in my gut that she was a weak candidate and the incessant pro-Kamala bias in the media and polling shows. Goes to shoe you a lot of the so-called "good" pollsters the media like to tout around are just nothing more than scammers trying to drum up Democrat momentum and try to demoralize Republicans.
I commented on one of your other posts, Atlas Intel are the gold standard for the world in polling. They are very very, very, very good.
Atlas intel was good
Has anyone done a welfare check on Allen Litchman? Lol
His keys were right but he applied them in an uber-biased way, namely that the economy is really crap but "looks good" due to CPI undercounting food and not counting rent.
His interpretation of the economy keys didn't account the jump in unemployment in recent months. Rising unemployment indicates a job market without opportunities.
@@shlomomarkman6374 his keys were wrong as soon as he kept spouting that Biden would not step down. He got paid by the democrat party and does not want to admit it.
@@shlomomarkman6374 Not to mention the scandal key, social unrest key, Foreign policy victory key, and opponent charisma key. Trump has like 9/13 keys if you apply them fairly.
He has a 13 point system. 😂😂
EFF allan lichtman and his 13 keys. I bet he's laying low today.
Atlas Intel Hit the nail on the head
I was spamming the Atlas intel poll on CNN videos before the election was the only poll I cared about and how right it turned out to be !
Your disection of the polls was spot on.
"We did it, Joe! We handed the White House back to its rightful occupant."
Ahahaha 😂
Biden: I'm the only Trump conqueror.
@@lpr5269 LOL...note what happened this time when somebody was actually watching the ahem "counters"...
@@lpr5269 Actually, Trump beat two candidates in one election cycle.
I have been so curious about this very question! Thanks for the break down
The Republic has been saved
The question is how do we keep the momentum going when this term runs out and we have to pick a new guy to run for president
@@mikekeeler6362 Vance is looking good so far
In four years we take Virginia, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Maine, and Illinois.
I think in 4 years NY is going to be a swing state.
We’ll have a chance once we pass the SAVE Act with national voter ID law
@davidgalinat4257 I think so, too.
The only solid Democrat states will be California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Colorado, Maryland, Delaware, Massachusetts, and Vermont.
New York, Connecticut, and Rhode Island will be swing states.
In 4 years Pennsylvania will be a reliable red State like our neighbor Ohio.
Illinois might be a bit of a stretch there.
That selzer poll was a total joke lol
Your leadup to the election was spot on man. Great coverage.
You were perfect with your poll predictions. Great job
You might be called 'Depressing Ginger', but you have done a great deal to cheer me up in recent weeks.
Hey Ginger, I'm going to give you a nice fat Donation for Christmas this year for all the hard work you put in helping us break down these polls and following the race as great as you did! Thank you Sir! My 70 year old father is also a huge fan of yours!
I see DG, I click.
I remember seeing liberals raging at Atlas Intel and Rasmussen for right wing bias but even these two polls are underestimating Trump lol
Atlas Intel is def the gold standard at this point. Even before the results, even 538 of all places had them a 3 star (out of 3 star) rated pollster.
Liberals are going to start calling Atlas Intel a Republican pollster
They oversampled childless cat ladies.
Trump actually did very well with the childless cat ladies. They wanted to prove Vance wrong. 😂😂😂
The greatest mistake of America is Barack Obama...we voting Trump since 2016 to 2024 from Bellevue Washington, thank you! Bro
Yup, Obama was when everything went wrong. If you don't love America you can't run America!
Great job on the predictions, Ginger.
If Trump has a good term, NYC is a swing state
We took our country back.
Rasmussen and atlas intel was on the money almost every time
It's going to be fun to see how the National Popular Vote Compact states wiggle out of their own laws.
That Iowa poll was something else. Nearly 20 points off the final result? Lmao. That simply doesn't happen without trying to commit "fraud" as far as the ostensible purpose of polling.
Top 5 pollsters this cycle:
1 Atlas Intel
2 Rasmussen
3 Trafalgar
4 Emerson
5 RMG
It’s sad AZ, NV, MI, and WI voters didn’t vote for Rep Senators like they did Trump. Between 60k~120k less votes where the candidates lost by 20k~40k.
In Texas,polls suggested Collin Allred might flip the Senate seat from incumbent Ted Cruz.Cruz win by almost ten percentage points.
I've learned that the three polsters I trust are:
Rasmussen
AtlasIntel
Trafalgar
Rasmussen is quite accurate.
Brazilian here, your coverage of the elections was great.
At least for me who likes a lot of data, counting and such, exly what i was looking for. P.s: At least for 4 years + we wont see nukes flying around, such a relief.
There's a lot of mutual love between American and Russian citizens. We made our voices loud and clear we want PEACE!
Sleepy joe administration definitely dragged everyone in to two wars 😮 did not need to happen. Could have been avoided 😢 no one can tell me different. Trump would have had everyone playing nice
Thanks to you Brazilians for Atlas Intel. Amazing work.
🤝
I wanted to say thank you to Depressed Ginger , your accuracy in your predictions was very helpful and calming for me.
President Trump is probably one of the most underestimated human being in history.
Remember when everyone said it was over after that Trump Kamala debate?
What turned the race around was JD Vance destroying Tampon Tim in their debate.
@@dougthompson5449 I agree. Shortly after is when Harris began to collapse in the polls
Its remarkable how good Atlas Intel is at polling swing states.
I’m just relieved … can chill for the next four years
Won trump -145 for $200 and Georgia-175 for $25
Alright ginger u earned my sub
Remember when they were saying that they improved polls now?
Thanks!
It’s amazing how many of the legitimate pollsters had Trump right around 312 electoral votes. Kudos to them for putting forth the effort to try and give the people an honest gauge on the election.
No Hollywood fundraiser for the people affected by Hurricane Helene.
The polls have been wrong in 2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024. The best predictor is the job approval rating and the party registration statistics.
My question: why are there mail in ballot dumps at the very end of a ballot count? Shouldn't those already be counted? How was it reported that there were 76M mail in votes before the election?
Georgia changed it so that all mail ins were counted in the days before the election. Made it harder for them to cheat.
Now! Let’s fix future elections. Where do we start?
All paper ballots with water marks.
I.D.
Lawyers on site (unbiased) voting polls
No more mail in votes
Vote in person only
Rasmussen was pretty accurate overall..
You killed it this election, man.
The polls were honestly not that bad (besides Selzer obviously), I believe that Atlas Intel was the most accurate this time around.
You covered this as good as I expected great work!
Polymarket > Pollsters 🇺🇸
I do like polls.You just have to figure out if the pollster is accurate, truthful and or pushing an agenda.🙄
I said say one Florida was trump 12 or more. This 7 was garbage
ATLAS INTEL STATE AFTER STATE. RIGHT ✅️ ON THE MONEY 💰. UNREAL HOW GOOD THEY ARE . THEY HAD TRUMP +20 MONTANA
Trump has a golden opportunity in front of him, even bigger than the opportunity that Obama had in his first term.
Let’s just hope Donald doesn’t fuck it up like Barrack did.
HOW IS LAKE LOSEING AZ then?????? she should not be running 5 points behind trump???
People don’t like her as much
McCain'ites. It took about a decade for the Harry Reid machine to die off in Nevada. We may need to wait some more years for the McCain influence to go away.
The guy running against her has more votes than Trump or Harris. Did a Senate race get more votes than the presidential race? Highly unlikely.
We won in a landslide this year, hopefully we can upkeep that momentum every single year going into the next election cycle.
These polls have the same hit rate as Sweet Baby Inc video game: 0%
Am I the only person on Earth that's actually looked at Trump's 2020 and 2024 vote totals?? He did about the same, just sucked.... Or they cheated like hell in 2020.
Congratulations everybody.
If you look at all the LV's the polls looked at since 2016, there's about 10% spread between men and women and people over 65 are disproportionately represented. They made no corrections.That is to say, a larger share of people who are answering polls are widowers, retired, and/or both. It's no wonder that polls are skewed toward Democrats.
Zeldin came close in the last NY gubernatorial race. He helped the GOP pick up vital House seats in the Empire State. Outside the 10,000 lb. gorilla🦍known as NYC which controls/determines everything, and a few other urban enclaves, NY overall IS pretty red. Trump won nearly all upstate counties in 2016. But an upstate rural or semi-rural county with 80,000 people in it isn't outvoting Manhattan where 80,000 people is the population of like four city blocks. 🏢🏢🏢 That dynamic applies in plenty of other states as well, from Illinois to Oregon to California. As sci-fi/fantasy author Larry Correia wrote, and I might be paraphrasing, "there are no blue states, there are red states with stupid blue cities." Contrary to stereotypes, literally millions of Americans in the Northeast are FAR closer culturally to their "red state/heartland" compatriots than they are to the woke doctrinaire cultural Marxist adherents who often dwell right down the street. Maybe we can hope to see New York turn at least a light purple in our lifetimes. Trouble is, so many of the people who WOULD vote conservative in NY have long since bailed and don't live there anymore, and it's hard to blame them.
that was the easiest betting money I have ever made.
Your predictions were fantastic, well done.
I live in Pennsylvania they Just Called the Senate Seat for McCormick
🇺🇲❤🤍💙👍🏻🎉
Just a fuct fact about the PA results. Every County in PA has been 98-99% counted expcept Camerbia county. It is a very pro trump county. For some reason only 58% of the vote is in there. Trump won there by 26,355 votes in 2020. Another 14,000-17,000 vote estimate should be expected to be given to Trump. That will increase Trump's 1.96 lead currenlty to around 2.1-2.2. Winning PA over 2 is very impressive.
Bye Bye Selzer and Lichtman and happy retirement to you. AtlasIntel is the new gold standard !
I'm not a pollster or anything but I had Michigan and Wisconsin going to Harris with a +1.1 margin. Then trump winning the others by +3 others meaning PA, GA, NC, AZ and NV Michigan was a surprise for me. I really thought Michigan was gonna vote Harris. I knew Trump was going to dominate the other swing states. But I didn't think Harris was going to lose Wisconsin so badly and Michigan. JD Vance/Candace Owens 2028 !!
This site kept me sane. Thanks for all your work.
Rich barris-people’s pundit was right on
In short atlas intel looks like the gold standard for 3 elections straight
Rasmussen was the most accurate in 2016, and AtlasIntel the most accurate in 2020. Both always have similar numbers, including this year.
NH, NJ, MN and VA have all become battlegrounds.
So interesting thanks!!!
1: AtlasIntel was super accurate
2: Bullshit Iowa poll where are you?
DG, your analysis of the polls during the election cycle was spot on… you’re very articulate and have a bright future ahead of you. I sub’d and look forward to seeing you advance in this space.
I remember when Kamala first started running and a Michigan poll had Harris as +16 ahead in the first poll😂.
You called it! 312.
You did an amazing job with the poll numbers, instincts, and predicting this election results. Thank God in heaven for 4 more years of Trump, instead of this being the end of Trump's administration eight year term. Or worse, 4 more years of Democrats in the White house.
well it turns out when you cancel anyone who disagrees with you and march around with pitch forks, people are going to poll one direction and vote the other direction.
atlas intel was spot on
You nailed it and were consistent
The AP said they still will not call Nevada and Arizona
Mr. Ginger. If you can obtain the by-county vote totals for 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024, you will probably reveal where the 15 million excess votes came from.