I Created a Transfer Rumor and It Blew Up
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- Опубліковано 6 лют 2023
- Sometimes I get an idea and just act on it and then it becomes way more than I thought it would, and a few days ago on deadline day I did just that. I started my stream by cooking up a transfer rumor that would end up shifting the betting odds by over 300% which is not something I thought was possible with so little effort.
I’m honestly a bit disturbed by how easy it was to shift the betting odds. I felt like those things should be more carefully considered but it doesn’t seem like there’s a real person in the whole process. It just goes to show, don’t trust rumor mill stuff without sources, especially when the deadline day rumor has a bunch of comments saying its fake.
Much Love,
The Zealand
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#Football #Soccer #Hashtags - Спорт
Z just altered the entire transfer day as a side quest
Zet
Z ☠️💀💀
W
I could absolutely see the Everton fans seeing the "news" and going "Wait yeah, that sounds like it would be a good move", and then someone on Everton's social media team saying "Wait, fans are saying this, and y'know, I agree", and then the guy in charge saying "Yeah, sounds good to me, let's see if we can make it happen"
When news broke out that they tried to sign Giroud on loan it was pretty clear that they were all out of ideas and just shooting out offers to see if any would stick. I can 100% see them going for Sarr based on random Twitter rumors lmao
Whenever false rumours come up on football manager I'll look at the player in question and they're quite good so sometimes I sign them
@@codygarland3246 same, i do it all the time because they are normally players that are actually good enough for the first team
Everton literally bid for him in the summer. Zealand did F all
@@wilks1878 Just killing the betting odds.
Someone at Everton management: GUYS! That FM wizkid who can save any save is telling us to get Sarr, MAKE IT HAPPEN!!!
Hmm... I find it hard to believe.... it wasn't a Llllllllllooooooaaaaannnnnnn!!!!!
@@temujanradari1105
It was a loan move with permanent transfer at the end of the season lol.
the drumbeats of a loan song started echoing 🤣🤣
Considering that other FM wizkid in Ligue 1 drew against PSG seems like listening to them is the right move
@@epmcgee hahaha
that dude is my favorite football story if the past 10 years (at least)
absolutely brilliant.
“I’m not gonna mess with Everton, that’s Reece’s team”
“Everton is interested”
Next time tell Zealand to do Mbappe or Haaland. You never know.
Everton is like me when fm linkes me with some random players ive never heard of during deadline day and im like "well it wont hurt to look at him"
25 failures, but that one 23 year old that requested a transfer for a hilariously low amount and would be your MVP immediately:
I don't know what part is more funny: the fact that fake rumours can be propagated so fast or that the fake rumour will become true.
the fun part is that the sheep believe in anything these days without checking for facts like AT ALL - same with wars going on today but just on TV etc
It almost became true because Everton is ran by a stupid old man who know nothing about football. No proper board
I worked as a sports journalist for nearly a decade for various major publications and was always shocked at how transfer rumours work. One of the first transfer stories I wrote was linking Adam Le Fondre to Liverpool because he was spotted shopping there.
Typically though, a random account/paper in Portugal or Spain would make a baseless claim. Then a more well-known site would pick it up for page views, which would always lead to the Mail, Sun, Mirror etc would print it but would use each other as the 'original source' so it started to sound less insane.
This is like on FM when there's a new article about my team allegedly interested in a player and I'm like "Who the F is that guy?" *right click* *scout for 1 week*
7:20 that was actually my theory too...
And I don't think Z undershot it by quoting "£25m incentives included", I'd say maybe Watford saw the tweet and decided to play hardball 😁 it was deadline day after all 😂
Zealand might not realize that not just transfer odds are weird, transfer processes are even weirder too, regardless of the stature of the clubs involved.
The stuff that goes behind the scenes is absolute bonkers.
Isn't there an old urban myth that Rangers almost went for Messi (coincidentally around the time he had a great World Youth Championship) because Alex McLeish's kid said he was class on ChampMan
@@dweebyllo8615 Southampton were in for Messi too
I’ve always thought this was the case. So many rumours and transfer gossip feels like they’ve just pulled a footballers name and a club from out of a hat. I must have seen Messi photoshopped into a Man City kit over 50 to 100 times in any named newspaper for the last decade 😂
True! The amount if times ive seen CR7 in a Bayern München kit is also astonishing (especially because in the past 5 years only Ronaldo, not Munich was interested.... :D)
@@gandalf_thegrey Ronaldo is still the owner of Bayern
As an Everton fan, it wouldn't surprise me at all to discover they saw your tweet and thought "yeah, he knows what he's doing more than we do, let's try it".
We had already bid for him. 🙄
@@godseye13k Thank goodness we failed.
Depending on the timelines you know that Everton was desperately trying to find who leaked that transfer rumor for those few hours.
This reminds me of fm when a reporter asks if I’m interested in a player I’m “linked” to even though I’m not but then have a look and actually go on to sign him😂
Z, that last thing you said is totally possible. Maradona's last job as a manager in Gimnasia came about just like that: a fan posted a joke tweet about the interest in hiring him, journalists citing sources from the club said it was false, but management finally went "hey, why not?", and went out and hired him. It was both hilarious and shocking how a joke misinformation tweet could influence actual decisions made by clubs.
This is genuinely hilarious! Shows how little work and research some of these websites/Twitter pages actually do!
its even worse for the press
I was there when he created the tweet. The fact that Everton did actually try to get the player was surprising.
Personally... I'd have done it with James Ward-Prowse
No reply?
This is what I do in FM, a reporter says I'm allegedly interested in signing someone and I go like hmmmm yes good idea thanks for the tip
Legit though, I found some good player because of that lmao.
I use the polls on the social media to decide if I sign someone or not 🤣
Z: We do a little trolling.
Its like the 3rd time this has happened lol, Spanish UA-camrs do It a lot. Like Marcelo to Lecester
I'm an everton fan and I love your editor instantly then! :) Give him a hug Zealand, he like me might need it by the end of the season lol
FORWARD MADISON!!!!! LETS GO!!! Love the kit man!
I was in that everton space when this happened. There were 9000 people in the space and it was all that they talked about for about 20 minutes
thats funny lol
Odds changed because people were backing it (need to reduce liability on the market), not necessarily the tweet on it's own. There would be a correlation though
yep
That's a pretty direct correlation tho
Next Level Genius.
Great work as always Z.
Great content. AND love that you've sorted your hair before, rather than on camera.
the gift of prophecy is not to be underestimated mister Zealand
Knowing Everton's ownership, it's probably quite likely that they saw the shitpost and thought it was a good idea
I like how adding a siren emoji along with club colors and a hastag makes it look so more official
Hey Z, I'm a sports trader for a big company in the UK and Australia and my specialty is football. Realistically from a bookies perspective we have to be aware and potentially move odds off something with little to no credibility. Otherwise bookmaking wouldn't be a profitable business. For example, I made the market for Ronaldo's next club by the end of the January window, when the rumours started coming through about him going to Saudi I ended up deciding to suspend the market as the rumours increased even though there was a time where all the rumours seemed to get shut down. I'd say there's no harm betting on transfers, just dont bet more than your reasonable limits and don't risk more than you can afford on something so fragile. Even if a transfer rumour was official they can fall through for a number of reasons last minute.
As for the absurdity of the transfer mill I cant comment on that, it is ridiculous.
We often also move odds depending on how much 'traffic' or how popular that selection is. The odds could have been moved not due to your tweet but due to a number of bettors choosing to bet on Everton as his next club and due to this they reduced the odds to save themselves money. The biggest source for bookmakers are their clients decisions
I think you made it perfectly because I'm pretty sure there were Sarr to Everton rumours last season
What really happened is someone at Everton saw the tweet and figured that it was actually a good idea and enquired to Watford and you will never convince me otherwise
Considering they tried to get him for like 3 transfer windows, unless Zeland is a time traveler, I doubt it.
Ben did this with JWP. Was funny as hell
All I’m seeing and hearing is that you sir are a visionary
Zealand this is the most amazing thing ever, bravo sir 👏👏👏
This is quite hilarious! But it is an excellent experiment video, a perfect display of how silly social media can be during transfer season. Brilliant experiment! 🤣
It's the Lord's work you're doing here Z!
Zealand accidentally figures out how fake news and content farm work in a live stream. Its great content love it
Stephen Howson did a few scout reports on his youtube channel, and immediately after he put them out, several clubs, sadly usually not Manchester United since Howson has a good eye for scouting, come in for the players.
I was a minute into this video before I realized that you were talking about reality and not FM23. You are a fucking madlad.
Lol I saw that tweet when you uploaded it and just thought "huh wierd why is Zeeland reporting everton news"
Watching this live was incredible
an everton board member saw your tweet as was like “Hamg on that’s a shout” 😂
Oh wow. I saw this tweet from an Everton account as I knew straight away it was fake as Ismailia Sarr has been very loyal since he’s come in and I didn’t see him going to a relegation struggling team. However in all fairness fair play to you for how it blew up so quickly 🤣👏🏿
This story was insane and I was incredibly surprised The Athletic picked that up. I always thought The Athletic was all about good sports journalism
The Athletic might actually picked that up from "real" source because the transfer structure they mentioned was different from what Z's tweeted.
@@Onigiricat So like what.. the "real" sources picked up Zealand's rumor and then The Athletic reported the news because they thought it was legit? Just trying to understand, because that was surprising to me.
@@zahreel3103 No, apparently there was an actual talk between the clubs for Sarr's loan deal to Everton, like, a real one
Oh I see, so it might have been a real thing. Thank you
@@zahreel3103 yeah at the end of this video Z said how funny it is that a couple hours after his tweet, Everton actually wanted Sarr
This is honestly your greatest ever video 🤣
Everton might be me on deadline day.
When I just saw a rumour on fm's deadline day and went "hey thats a great idea" xD
WE NEED MORE VIDS LIKE THIS
"Harsh, but fair!" :D
Fantastic!
Love the Forward Madison Jersey!!!
Spursito has also done this a couple times lol, and his Marcelo to Leicester rumor got huge.
Always fun to watch the "experts" take the bait
Feels feel though! Well executed
This is fantastic and ridiculous. Great job!
There is of course a chance that betting sites caught wind of the actual rumour somehow, but even then I imagine that your tweet, and its propagation by other sites would have definitely impacted the odds further.
Man, betting odds really are stupid
I'm an Everton fan and I saw this on an Everton fan page and got exited
7:49 spellcheck has done you dirty there
Sorry to burst your bubble Zealand but the only reason it was so hyped up by us Everton fans and it actually happened is because we are linked with him every season for the last 2-3 seasons. Great idea though, should try it again next time
still, aggregators just copy his tweets verbatim despite zealand not providing any source is kinda mad.
Give it 5yrs before this man is managing somewhere. Seems destined for it.
Sorry for pulling your leg Miles!
didnt need to see this experiment as Benteke to Liverpool back in the day was exactly this
it's that forward madison jersey doing workkkk
Only just seen this video. I remember the rumour going about on deadline day
This is crazy 😂 and they came in for him too. I feel sorry for you everton fans.
This is why I love silly season
To be honest that is exactly how Roma got Batistuta. They didnt have plan to sign him and some local Radio show in Rome said that Roma is intersted in Batistuta. All Rome went crazy and at the end AS Roma had to send the offer to Fiorentina and they got the player which won them last Scudetto.
Stunning
Would like one more on the next deadline day
zealand playing save your save with everton irl
This is a certified hood classic!
casually changes the trajectory of a club and manipulates a betting market like a boss
Absolutely possible some media type at Everton saw the rumours, saw the reaction and thought, "we have to look we're making a play this to keep the fans happy". They don't need to have been serious, just have a discussion so people could (legitimately) say they had a discussion.
"this is unbelievable jeff" cit.
Scenes when sarr signes for everton in the summer, scores a last minute winner to keep them up on the final day, then breaks haalands premier league goal record as everton win the premier league title, fa cup and carabao cup the next season, and sarr stays at everton for another decade as they win 10 septuples (prem, fa, carabao, ucl, community shield, super cup, club world cup) in a row and ultimately goes on to become evertons leading all time goal scorer, all time premier league top goal scorer, 10 time ucl winner and 9 time ballon d'or.
There's a concept in philosophy called a Gettier case. This is a perfect example of it. Weirdly, this became a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Could you do this again for the summer window? Maybe something like Kane to Liverpool?
Please do that next year or next summer I mean every football transfer deadline day.
Life imitates Art far more than Art imitates Life
Z looks like the dwarf in “In Bruges”
I never laugh this much on one of your video 😂
Betting odds movement isn't much of an indicator in such a niche market as transfers happening. Especially when it's around a player like Sarr who is far from a household name. A very small bet would have a big effect on the market.
Could you make up a transfer rumour Haaland > Sunderland? With Everton and Sarr potential transfer happening because of a rumour you made up maybe we have a chance to sign Haaland 😁
If only it was true tbh, not sure how we're planning to score any goals except for corners
This is unreal! :D
As much as I like this guys content normally - what I believe is far more likely to have actually happened was that Zealand "made up" a very likely and plausible transfer rumour that had already been discussed and circulated in previous days on social media and in the papers.
Around the same time that people with inside info were dropping big money on bets, causing the betting companies to reduce the odds to protect them from losses, Zealand put out his tweet.
Lmao I can imagine people from Everton being so confused where you got the info from
And this is why I waited 12 hours for Chelsea's official club website to announce the Enzo signing before celebrating.
Watford fan here. Please Zealand... Please don't 😅
Now Sarr counts as a realistic signing for Everton!
Looking at Everton transfer policy there is a chance you made the move happen. If he does well, you should be proud
this is cool, though someone could really get in to trouble for this if they both create the rumor and bet on it. they could make a lot of money
odds will shift due to customer engagement as much as actual likelihood... Profit that betting companies make is dependent on the distribution of bets, rather than the odds of bets.
Odds are calculated to facilitate equal betting engagement. In an A vs B situation, this is so that people betting on either team/draw are approximately even, and whatever outcome, the house wins X%. Across the transfer market, it'll be spread like that across rumours so that people are avoiding a specific player unequally... making odds shorter reduces potential payout, makes it less attractive.
You naughty, naughty man.
That Forward Madison kit holy
Achievement unlocked - CERTIFIED INFLUENCER
This just proves you have a larger role to play in the soccer world. Use those scouting talents. xD
I think Sarr has been linked to everton for the last 2-3 years but still a great experiment.
Reminds me of the time that a /r/hockey user influenced a NHL team the Montreal Canadiens to acquire free agent, Paul Byron after a UA-cam video said reddit user made. Reddit user made a UA-cam video showing how adept he was into getting breakaway chances and his speed, unfortunately he was never able to convert those chances into goals.
The Montreal Canadiens' front office saw said video and actually reached out to Paul Byron and his agent to acquire his rights. Byron was signed to the Canadiens and received the proper coaching that he needed. He went from a five goal scoring defensive forward to a fifteen, twenty goal scoring forward capable of playing the two way game.
Frequent hip Injuries have plagued him recently, he is still currently employed by the Canadiens.
7:20 with our board that is 100% what happened
ayo legend
My favorite rumour was when a tv news station announced live on air that a fictional football player from a tv drama was going to be signed by a premier league club😂😂😂😂, they didn’t realise the player wasn’t real😮
Saving an Everton save IRL