"The Economy Is Now A Ponzi Scheme" - US Dollar Collapse, BlackRock & Market Crash | Arthur Hayes

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  • Опубліковано 25 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 3,4 тис.

  • @wholeness
    @wholeness 6 місяців тому +75

    One of the smartest black men alive. 👊🏿 @TomBilyeu keep it coming bro!
    00:00 - Warnings of an impending financial crisis
    02:16 - Governments addicted to money printing and debt
    06:13 - Energy and demographics driving the crisis
    09:14 - Geopolitical conflicts and resource nationalism
    16:11 - Inflation's impact on food and energy prices
    21:41 - Unsustainable debt and a strained financial system
    33:38 - Bond market distress and banking insolvency
    44:59 - Global economic red flags on the horizon
    46:39 - AI and crypto fueling the next market mania
    53:48 - Strategies for navigating the boom and bust cycle
    01:05:55 - Scenarios for how the crisis may unfold
    01:12:36 - Preparing investment portfolios for what's ahead
    01:19:57 - Bitcoin's role in opting out of the financial system
    01:28:21 - Mass adoption vs privacy in crypto's future path
    01:34:17 - Bold price predictions for the top of the bubble
    01:40:58 - Key factors that could prevent or trigger the crisis

    • @rolisreefranch
      @rolisreefranch 5 місяців тому

      If he was white, would you still say he's one of the smartest men alive? Why the racist qualifier?

    • @deanmcconnell4290
      @deanmcconnell4290 4 місяці тому +13

      One of the smartest men alive.

    • @SR-mv2mf
      @SR-mv2mf Місяць тому

      Thanks!
      Idk why this channel never posts timestamps

  • @davidaponte7521
    @davidaponte7521 Рік тому +34

    I’ve watched this video more than three times and I still don’t tire of it. It is a fascinating explanation of our plight.

  • @littvisuals
    @littvisuals Рік тому +387

    Thank you for allowing him to speak without interruptions. You've improved on that front Tom, well done

    • @laverne604
      @laverne604 Рік тому +25

      He doesn't know enough about this subject to constantly interrupt/interject.

    • @linkchalon520
      @linkchalon520 Рік тому +10

      @@laverne604 Truth that.

    • @normandolinic2044
      @normandolinic2044 Рік тому +1

      Talks a lot , but no bottom line.

    • @PorkRoll_F3
      @PorkRoll_F3 Рік тому +6

      @@normandolinic2044I heard numerous bottom lines 🤷🏻‍♂️

    • @user-z57h
      @user-z57h Рік тому +2

      He never interrupts, what are you talking about?

  • @daimu7971
    @daimu7971 7 місяців тому +9

    Let’s give Arthur Hayes a big applause great fn job one of the best interviewers I have watched on UA-cam hands down

  • @miwastamz1413
    @miwastamz1413 Рік тому +1666

    Love your work but you need time stamps with a video this long

    • @Itsallfun3000
      @Itsallfun3000 Рік тому +82

      I agree with you but Tom doesn't do listening

    • @camdoice
      @camdoice Рік тому +47

      for sure needs timestamping

    • @justo35
      @justo35 Рік тому +25

      Sure does

    • @cryptonomous888
      @cryptonomous888 Рік тому +47

      We’ve mentioned many times on multiple videos ….but still no time stamps 😢

    • @Moist._Robot
      @Moist._Robot Рік тому +26

      I rarely watch vids this long.

  • @MonicaMoveMIRealty
    @MonicaMoveMIRealty 3 місяці тому +2

    There is no one on this planet who conducts an interview better. Tom knows how people actually learn and truly desires to educate. He always slows down the information, to be better understood. Appreciate you, Tom. Thank-you I always come away smarter and more informed. Love your channel!

  • @forexstudent9084
    @forexstudent9084 Рік тому +540

    #ForexStudent
    17:55 the cause of inflation.
    24:30 Summary 1
    30:15 Bank Term Funding Program (“BTFP”).
    50:35 Summary 2 - American government bankrupted the American banking system.
    1:02:48 Issues the American markets already know about.
    1:09:57 China won’t be low cost manufacturer going forward.
    1:12:30 India
    1:21:51 Volatility 1
    1:32:27 Volatility 2
    1:34:11 Bond
    1:45:06 buy BTC, Ethereum and Foul Coin.

    • @cavejohnson4054
      @cavejohnson4054 Рік тому +32

      I think he said File Coin not foulcoin

    • @nightArbitrage
      @nightArbitrage Рік тому +26

      Thanks for the time stamps bro

    • @SamuelTheCoello
      @SamuelTheCoello Рік тому +24

      Tom better hire you to do his timestamps lol

    • @systemic_disclosure766
      @systemic_disclosure766 Рік тому +4

      YO VIP... you should dock your wardrobe advisor on this one! Reminds me of Vanilla Ice trying out for the WHITE BOYZ CANT JUMP MOVIE WITH WOODY H...;~xd
      Great interview though... very insightful!

    • @henrythegreatamerican8136
      @henrythegreatamerican8136 Рік тому +27

      Nowhere in this video did they discuss the underlying problem behind it all, especially the debt. Nearly 85%% of the wealth (this includes income and assets) in the USA are owned by approximately 20% of people. Obviously that's unfair and unsustainable. But the issue is how they got most of that wealth. Most of it was accumulated by reducing their taxes, reducing regulations, and most importantly.... the FED manipulating the money supply up and down in their favor. All of this results in more debt because those elites are using the money received from the manipulated money supply to buy up all our assets. And on top of this, the country is not collecting the proper taxes to pay for things. The government ends up borrowing money to pay for lower income people to afford the assets owned by the 20% of elites who can charge us whatever they want because they own everything. That is why everything is expensive.
      The solution? We need a wealth tax.... not just a tax on income. I'm talking an actual wealth tax on assets to bring the prices of those assets back under control. Do that, and the debt will vanish quickly. But of course you'll have a civil war because the elites won't go down without a big fight. And the only politicians who discussed this were Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Both are too old to run now so not sure who is picking up the mantle.
      Amazing how the main stream media refuses to discuss any of this. Actually, it's quite obvious. The main stream media is one of the assets owned by the top 20% and are not allowed to discuss it.

  • @StealthyNomadica
    @StealthyNomadica Рік тому +43

    Thank you for letting this man completely express his train of thought! His perspective is exceptionally insightful and expansive. Too many interviewers interrupt great thought leaders, breaking up the stream of consciousness and completely obliterate the orator’s ability to make critical points. Thanks for letting him build his case and explain all the variables. He is an exceptional thinker, so bravo!

  • @SashaHoneyGoddessLove
    @SashaHoneyGoddessLove Рік тому +19

    You are a Genius Arthur! From the daughter of a former Soviet you have hit it right on the nose. You spoke so clearly and precisely. Clearly you have done your home work. Thank you!!!!🇷🇺❤️🫶

  • @willybolt6397
    @willybolt6397 Рік тому +169

    Dude you got the elusive Arthur Hayes. He’s more than an entrepreneur and crypto investor inventor he also has a huge amount of knowledge in history and finance. Arthur speaks I absorb

    • @kevindega
      @kevindega Рік тому +3

      💯%

    • @theoptimist9605
      @theoptimist9605 Рік тому +3

      He truly is elusive. Great interview.

    • @davidarnold2718
      @davidarnold2718 Рік тому +2

      I'm glad as a young person. He has a sense of history but a true grasp. He is a looting and a few things are a little twisted overall though I applaud his effort and I would be glad to have a debate with him and have it fact checked out money on it.

    • @surfside75
      @surfside75 Рік тому

      Above and beyond🤙

    • @tobiasbrown8295
      @tobiasbrown8295 4 місяці тому

      How the hell did he get vitiligo?

  • @jrstsb1353
    @jrstsb1353 Рік тому +51

    Mr Hayes is brilliant, everyone should lean forward and listen closely, he's telling it exactly the way it is and will be. Thank you Sir.

  • @dawsondanny990
    @dawsondanny990 Рік тому +275

    The financial system has been artificially pumped for over a decade to ensure big pockets were lined; and now those same hands will make a fortune in the largest transfer of wealth in human history by shorting it on the way down. Inflation does have a roll, but that's to keep everyone panicked, and focused on their bills and expenses, rather than focus on the capital crimes of politicians and corporations,I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $338k stock portfolio, what’s the best way to take advantage of this market??

    • @rannyorton
      @rannyorton Рік тому +4

      I don't have a full-time job; instead, I'm self-employed with a variety of sources of income. Regardless of how much money I generate each month, I maintain the same budget and adhere to my means-tested lifestyle.

    • @ivankagel9949
      @ivankagel9949 Рік тому +2

      This seems like the worst period.Even the markets are very unpredictable.started investing recently when the market prices were a bit high,today i am more than 60% down

    • @dawsondanny990
      @dawsondanny990 Рік тому +1

      Fantastic! can u share more details?

    • @dawsondanny990
      @dawsondanny990 Рік тому +1

      I'm definitely gonna check her out. Do yo have any idea if she manages family fund?

    • @Robertgriffinne
      @Robertgriffinne Рік тому

      I took a look at your advisor and she looks quite the part, I have always thought advisors overrated but taking a look at yours she gives off some confidence, might as well see what advice she has for me.

  • @brianfreland9065
    @brianfreland9065 Рік тому +60

    this is the first time ive heard of Arthur Hayes but he seems like a wealth of knowledge when it come to the economy! thank you for you time and your input and sharing your thoughts with us, sir! i apreciate your perspective and insight! its hard to find good perspectives that arent beholden to the narrative and moguls!

  • @michaelnash4002
    @michaelnash4002 Рік тому +78

    This young man is absolutely brilliant! I have never heard such a succinct and yet simple breakdown of what is going on in both the US and global economies

    • @bubbajones4522
      @bubbajones4522 Рік тому

      The "great" depression was just a reduction in the money supply which resulted in a massive wealth capture by the globalist bankers. This depression will be the end of the dollar currency ponzi scheme. They will just respond to public outcry and "save" us all by starting a new fiat currency ponzi scheme and the cycle will repeat and we remain enslaved by these people. A better solution would be to create a new type of currency that the globalists can't control or counterfeit. We have the technology today that we've never had in the past so this idea can be accomplished.

    • @willd.8040
      @willd.8040 Рік тому +5

      He really is. I had never seen him in an interview, but I've read a few of his essays and articles, so I knew who he was. I was really impressed by how intelligent and informed he is. He's working on another level compared to 99% of us, when it comes to finance. And he seems to be very knowledgeable in world history which is always important and relevant, as history repeats itself.

    • @WithScienceAsMySheperd
      @WithScienceAsMySheperd Рік тому +1

      in 2011 in a documentary called "Krash : the underkying details beneath the crisis(2008)" on Canada's CBC,
      PAUL MARTIN ,ex-Canadian Prime Minister (highest elected official in the confederation) and economist said :
      "The next crisis will make the 2008 krash look like a picnic with your family at the parl, it will seem like a fond memory..."

    • @flickwtchr
      @flickwtchr Рік тому +1

      His ego is already big enough.

    • @katemccrew
      @katemccrew Рік тому

      Is he the financial astrologer guy?

  • @AstaKristjan
    @AstaKristjan Рік тому +703

    The US economy is grappling with uncertainties, global fluctuations, and pandemic aftermath, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.

    • @AndrianWiener
      @AndrianWiener Рік тому +5

      Well I recommend you make a diversification plan because it's been harder to build a good stocksportfolio since COVID. My colleague suggested I hire a brokerage Adviser, and I've actually made over $150K with their help during last market upheavel. They used defensive strategies to protect my portfolio and make profits despite the ups and downs.

    • @veniceblackwood2931
      @veniceblackwood2931 Рік тому +1

      I have experienced significant losses, and I am holding on with the hope of recovering them. It is evident that I am in dire need of assistance. Could you please share the name of the investment adviser who guides you?

    • @AndrianWiener
      @AndrianWiener Рік тому +4

      My advisor is “Michelle Christine Parker”. She has since provide entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look her up online if you care for supervision. I basically follow her trade pattern and haven’t regretted doing so

    • @ZabavTubus
      @ZabavTubus Рік тому

      He's just so wrong about what is producing debt, preference for nuclear instead renewables, the reasons for the cost of healthcare, the geopolitical motivation of China etc.

    • @Stretesky
      @Stretesky Рік тому +1

      The problem is that global instability has been induced and premeditated, similar to the chaos in the USA.

  • @creativeguyty
    @creativeguyty Рік тому +42

    I love this guy I never understood any of this and now I feel like an expert. Thanks Tom for letting him ramble. Loved it.

    • @Fabulous2Me
      @Fabulous2Me Рік тому +3

      Right his real-time brainstorming was insightful

    • @ericwilson2632
      @ericwilson2632 10 місяців тому +1

      😂Ramling watch it a few more time, then you be able to keep on this master class in economics 😂
      Ramling that an insult 😂
      You just not advanced 😂

  • @terryschiefer7050
    @terryschiefer7050 Рік тому +99

    I really like this guy❤ Please include him in your future work

  • @tonysilke
    @tonysilke 11 місяців тому +516

    In spite of how everyone is frightened and calling the crash, there is already an excessive amount of demand waiting to absorb it, which is another reason it's less likely to happen that way. This forecast was not made in 2008, at least not by the general public, as I will explain below. The ownership rate peaked in 2004, according to the other comment. We reached a peak in the second quarter of 2020 and are currently at the median level. From 2008 to 2012, it fell by 3%, and in the second quarter of 2020, it dropped from 68 to 65. how can a young man with 200K survive?

    • @sattler96
      @sattler96 11 місяців тому +4

      Find stocks with yields that exceed the market and stocks that, at the very least, follow the long-term market trend. However, you should get guidance from a financial advisor if you want to create a successful long-term plan...

    • @PatrickLloyd-
      @PatrickLloyd- 11 місяців тому +2

      Yeah, financial advisors could make a lot of difference, particularly in a market such as this. Stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over 250k just in a matter of weeks/couple months, so I think there are a lot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you know where to look. I have been using an FA since 2019, and I return at least $121k ROI, and this does not include capital gain.

    • @mikeroper353
      @mikeroper353 11 місяців тому +3

      Mind if I ask you to recommend how to reach this particular coach you using their service? Seems you've figured it all out unlike the rest of us.

    • @PatrickLloyd-
      @PatrickLloyd- 11 місяців тому +2

      My Financial Consultant is Vivian Carol Gioia. I found her on a Kiyosaki interview where she was featured and reached out to her afterwards. She has since provided entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can run a quick online search with her name if you care for supervision. I basically follow her market moves and haven’t regretted doing so

    • @mikeroper353
      @mikeroper353 11 місяців тому +2

      Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

  • @ferreestudios
    @ferreestudios Рік тому +53

    This fellow Arthur Hayes is very impressive, I would say in my opinion, he is one of the very best guests I have seen so far on IT.. The conversation made total sense and presented in a very understandable layman’s style dialog. FANTASTIC! 🤓👍

    • @ttii9
      @ttii9 Рік тому +1

      So toms previous guests didn't make total sense eyh?

    • @RT300Z1
      @RT300Z1 3 місяці тому

      Absolutely agree.

    • @RT300Z1
      @RT300Z1 3 місяці тому

      ​@@ttii9~ made great sense. This episode however is critical.

  • @od33bn
    @od33bn Рік тому +60

    This is one of the best breakdowns of the financial macro economy!!! God bless you brothers and thank you for your wisdom 🙌🏽

  • @simonbad
    @simonbad Рік тому +216

    I've been considering the best ways to protect myself from inflation after hearing that a weak currency can be a precursor of an economic slump. As inflation is said to be a money-eater, I'm concerned about my $200k in savings.

    • @IrenaDolinsek
      @IrenaDolinsek Рік тому +6

      The stock market is a way to hedge against inflation. Most notably amidst recession, investors need to understand where and how to allocate funds to hedge against inflation and still make profits.

    • @MoniqueBauwens
      @MoniqueBauwens Рік тому +4

      In my opinion, the impact of the rise or fall of the U.S. dollar on investments is multifaceted but learning how to grow your money has never been easier than now that you can explore and experience a truly diverse marketplace passively by using a well-performing portfolio-advisor.

    • @MuradSamadov-n6i
      @MuradSamadov-n6i Рік тому +5

      I invest with Pamela Kay Regel a widely known consultant. You can make a quick internet research with her name mentioned where you can easily get in touch..

    • @MoniqueBauwens
      @MoniqueBauwens Рік тому +4

      My advisor is ''Pamela Kay Regel'' In terms of portfolio diversity, she's a guru. You can glance her name up on the internet and verify yourself.

  • @bobbymainz1160
    @bobbymainz1160 8 місяців тому +831

    I recommend diversifying your investments by considering stocks alongside real estate. During a recession, there are potential buying opportunities in the stock market if approached cautiously. Additionally, market volatility can offer short-term buying and selling opportunities. However, please note that this is not financial advice. It's important to be proactive in investing as cash may not be the most advantageous option during these times.

    • @alexyoung3126
      @alexyoung3126 8 місяців тому +3

      You’re right! The current market might give opportunities to maximize profit within a short term, but in order to execute such strategy , you must be a skilled practitioner.

    • @williamyejun8508
      @williamyejun8508 8 місяців тому

      A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

    • @chris-pj7rk
      @chris-pj7rk 8 місяців тому +2

      I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?

    • @williamyejun8508
      @williamyejun8508 8 місяців тому +4

      She is Rachel Sarah Parrish. look her up

    • @chris-pj7rk
      @chris-pj7rk 8 місяців тому +1

      Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

  • @alytaylor8974
    @alytaylor8974 Рік тому +4

    I have been feeling and knowing that in my lifetime this will happen. I would be shocked if it doesn’t come to light. No words to share. I don’t have a solution. All I can do is be the best person to all out there. Kind, honest, and just put love out to all

  • @Eric_Dennis
    @Eric_Dennis Рік тому +1220

    Given the current global economic crisis, it's vital for individuals to prioritize investments in various income sources that are not dependent on the government. This involves exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic circumstances, it is still an opportune time to consider these investments.

    • @Steven-u2u
      @Steven-u2u Рік тому +6

      The pathway to substantial returns doesn't solely rely on stocks with significant movements. Instead, it revolves around effectively managing risk relative to reward. By appropriately sizing your positions and capitalizing on your advantage repeatedly, you can progressively work towards achieving your financial goals. This principle applies across various investment approaches, whether it be long-term investing or day trading.

    • @ben_dukeson
      @ben_dukeson Рік тому +5

      Even with the application of proper strategies and possession of the right assets, variations in investment returns among different investors can still occur. It's crucial to recognize that experience plays a pivotal role in investment success. Personally, I became aware of this importance and sought the guidance of a market adviser. This decision significantly contributed to growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing my profits just before the market correction, I am now capitalizing on buying opportunities once again.

    • @Agatha.wayne0
      @Agatha.wayne0 Рік тому +4

      I’ve actually been thinking of reaching a brokerage-adviser, my 401k and stocks been losing everything it's gained since 2019, please who's your Adviser

    • @ben_dukeson
      @ben_dukeson Рік тому +3

      Stacie Lynn Winson is my portfolio-coach, I found her on Bloomberg where she was featured, I looked up her name on the internet. Fortunately I came across her site and reached out to her, you can verify her yourself.

    • @ywestre
      @ywestre Рік тому

      Or create some real Worth together with someone building a company

  • @Benedictrud
    @Benedictrud 11 місяців тому +233

    As recession fears mount on Wall Street and inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, some of the top commentators in markets, business, and economics have been sounding off on just how bad they think the next downturn might be - and how far stocks may have to fall. I need ideas and advice on what investments to make to set myself up for retirement, my goal is to have a portfolio of at least $850k at the age of 60.

    • @Donald-George
      @Donald-George 11 місяців тому +2

      Find stocks with market-beating yields and shares that at least keep pace with the market for a long term. For a successful long-term strategy I recommend you seek the guidance a broker or financial advisor

    • @Owenra
      @Owenra 11 місяців тому +2

      Very true , I diversified my $400K portfolio across multiple market with the aid of an investment advisor, I have been able to generate over $900k in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and bonds in few months@@Donald-George

    • @victoriaabott
      @victoriaabott 11 місяців тому +2

      Mind if I ask you recommend this particular coach you use their service? I have trouble knowing when to buy or sell. @@Owenra

    • @Owenra
      @Owenra 11 місяців тому +1

      You can do your research and be on the lookout for one with intelligent strategies who'll help your portfolio maintain an unwavering and a progressive growth. Valerie Jean Zwosta is my FA. She has the Flexibility & Expertise to Meet Your Needs. Verify her yourself @@victoriaabott

    • @victoriaabott
      @victoriaabott 11 місяців тому

      Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call@@Owenra

  • @joshhushed5890
    @joshhushed5890 Рік тому +452

    Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. A trader made over $350k in this recession influenced market

    • @genavazquez2943
      @genavazquez2943 Рік тому

      Stocks are pretty unstable, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over 250k just in a matter of weeks|couple months, so I think there are alot of wealth transfer if you know where to look.

    • @Lincoln191
      @Lincoln191 Рік тому

      The best course of action is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance.
      Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic.💡

    • @Lincoln191
      @Lincoln191 Рік тому

      John Desmond Heppolette is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

    • @SofiaAnsari-wb7gn
      @SofiaAnsari-wb7gn Рік тому

      For individual investors, it is important to exercise caution in investment decisions and fully understand the balance between risk and reward

    • @peter.huemer
      @peter.huemer Рік тому

      Scam

  • @MarvishaN
    @MarvishaN Рік тому +241

    Why people see these market crash as being "trapped or bad news" is beyond me. It is supposed to be a chance to buy more, its like free money. Only fools sell, and their reason is probably because they bought shares in an unprofitable company. My work colleague accumulated over $1m during the 2008 crash and even pulled it off with ease in a bad economy.

    • @tommyers0
      @tommyers0 Рік тому +4

      While it's true that many people are making six-figure profits during this downturn, the majority of those who effectively employ these tactics have extensive market understanding.

    • @josephbush
      @josephbush Рік тому +2

      This is why I rely on an investment advisor for my daily decisions. Their expertise in long and short strategies, coupled with risk management and exclusive analysis, ensures substantial returns. Amid the pandemic, I've gained over $1.7 million through subsequent investments, benefiting from their approach.

    • @Senorzilchnzero
      @Senorzilchnzero Рік тому +3

      I dont think you understand the severity of whats to come.

    • @WithScienceAsMySheperd
      @WithScienceAsMySheperd Рік тому +1

      in 2011 in a documentary called "Krash : the underkying details beneath the crisis(2008)" on Canada's CBC,
      PAUL MARTIN ,ex-Canadian Prime Minister (highest elected official in the confederation) and economist said :
      "The next crisis will make the 2008 krash look like a picnic with your family at the parl, it will seem like a fond memory..."

    • @ricvanwinkle1665
      @ricvanwinkle1665 Рік тому

      Made over 5 million following this guy called Rick knows 😊

  • @vegas1854
    @vegas1854 Рік тому +49

    Arthur has the gift of explaining big economic ideas in easy understandable terms. It's a fantastic skill to have. It makes it much easier to lay out an protocol for the different options that may occur. I also love that he stressed patience over time when it comes to waiting for the economy to signal you before you invest.

    • @jackb7982
      @jackb7982 Рік тому +1

      Arthur Hayes that was amazing, historically and economically. Bless you Sir!❤

    • @klokokloko-kq1ss
      @klokokloko-kq1ss Рік тому +4

      disagree to agree, only if you have boat load of cash ,then "signal before invest might work", however us little folk with little money have to invest now even months before and dca. just my 0.02c

    • @vegas1854
      @vegas1854 Рік тому

      @@klokokloko-kq1ss I've been there. When I first started out I had this image of a guy screaming into a phone "Buy Buy Buy!" as if winning investing was a game of seconds. As I got older I realized it's more a game of long term gains over time. I've made some of my best decisions by deciding not to time the market or bottom tick a trade in quick fashion. Sitting on my hands, so to speak. Protection of the capital and the OBVIOUS have worked out well for me. It's an exciting time to be an investor riding the infancy of A.I. - Good luck to you.

  • @Humansunited
    @Humansunited Рік тому +60

    Wow. Every word out of this man’s mouth is the result of an objective, thorough, integrative analysis that covers history, politics, economics, and finance. A+++++ What a find! Instant fan right here.

    • @donmcdouglas5017
      @donmcdouglas5017 Рік тому

      did you mean "objective"?

    • @Humansunited
      @Humansunited Рік тому +2

      @@donmcdouglas5017 I definitely did

    • @christophercollins4040
      @christophercollins4040 Рік тому +2

      Yes! Arthur is a legend in the making.

    • @expatcrypto
      @expatcrypto Рік тому

      in the crypto world we've known about him for years. Glad you've found him now. Read his medium articles and they will blow you away.

    • @Humansunited
      @Humansunited Рік тому

      @@expatcrypto lol I am in the crypto world, and I don’t mean SHIB and NFTs ))

  • @belljoe
    @belljoe Рік тому +39

    What bothers me about this situation is the fact that the news and media are all going about a recession which is understandable due to the war and pandemic but still the same media still publish articles about folks in the same economy pulling off hefty 6figure profit(Averg. 200k in barely 8weeks) in this downtrend how is that possible?

    • @rannyorton
      @rannyorton Рік тому +3

      I've come to realize both bear and bull market provide opportunities to make high gains, I used to call bluff on folks that bragged about making a fortune from such down-markets until I happened to do so myself

    • @ivankagel9949
      @ivankagel9949 Рік тому +3

      I don't have a full-time job; instead, I'm self-employed with a variety of sources of income. Regardless of how much money I generate each month, I maintain the same budget and adhere to my means-tested lifestyle.

    • @belljoe
      @belljoe Рік тому +2

      well good for you buddy, your market knowledge paid off. I've actually been thinking of reaching a portfolio-adviser, my 401k and stocks been losing everything it's gained since 2019, mind if I looked-up this one coach you use?

    • @rannyorton
      @rannyorton Рік тому +4

      thanks, was guided tho... Betty Sue Blanchard walked me through the ropes majestically i'ts my ultimate pleasure.

    • @belljoe
      @belljoe Рік тому +2

      she’s a quite known advisor. I actually did look her up curiously and went through her credentials on her webbsite…Top-notch! I wrote her an email, hopefully she’s accepting new intakes.

  • @alanblakeguitarist
    @alanblakeguitarist Рік тому +7

    Arthur is such a bright guy! Really appreciate his insight. I hope the US government has stopped harassing him.

  • @jaredcrenshaw7665
    @jaredcrenshaw7665 Рік тому +44

    Tom, I applaud you for being such a student of the system and how it all works.
    You're learning right along with the rest of us.

  • @judynewsom1902
    @judynewsom1902 Рік тому +544

    I wonder if those who were there during the 2008 crash had it easier. My retirement prospects seem bleak since I am unable to increase my stagnated reserve, and my portfolio has lost more than $27,000.

    • @Theresaa12
      @Theresaa12 Рік тому +4

      You have an opportunity to rebalance thanks to volatility. In order to help you diversify your portfolio, you must hire a financial counselor or broker.

    • @BenTodd-fl8nv
      @BenTodd-fl8nv Рік тому +3

      I will advise you to develop a diversification plan, as it has become increasingly difficult to construct a sound financial portfolio since COVID-19. In this crash, I have gained over $120k thanks to my coach's help. She discovered defensive tactics to safeguard my investments and profit from this volatile market.

    • @EverlyndPerez
      @EverlyndPerez Рік тому +1

      I’m new to all this, heard it's a good time to buy and basically I've just got cash sitting duck in the bank and I’d really love to put it to good use seeing how inflation is at an all time-high, who is this coach that guides you, mind I look them up

    • @BenTodd-fl8nv
      @BenTodd-fl8nv Рік тому +3

      My advisor is Alicia Estela Cabouli she’s highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field.

    • @RickWatson-xu6gw
      @RickWatson-xu6gw Рік тому +1

      Found her online page by searching her full name, I wrote her an email and scheduled a call, hopefully she responds

  • @RunyCalmera
    @RunyCalmera Рік тому +28

    Arthur you rock!!!
    I have never heard anyone speak so eloquently about such a wide ramge of topics!!!
    Man as an economist I learned a lot!! Thanks❤❤❤❤

    • @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711
      @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711 Рік тому

      Boiling it down to (1)paying the bills and (2)hard asset for wealth protection is ..
      Brakes: (1) Have $1.000,000 at 5% APY = $50.000 a year to give you $4.166 for monthly expenses
      Acceleration: (2) EVERYTHING else in BTC
      Simply because all real estate, commodities, even companies and stocks can/will be nationalized to "subvention" housing and nutrition, by governing parties.
      FYI: Ethereum(ETH), Solana(SOL), (XRP) are private companies that can be Nationalized.
      Bitcoin stands ALONE as a safe heaven!!!!!!!!!
      If you can get a mortgage based on your monthly $4.166 passive income to buy farmland, and the "buy in" doesn't grind into the $1Mn principal, DO IT, get a plot of land to grow your own food and house loved ones.
      Jesus.. Good luck to us all.

  • @ginacardarella
    @ginacardarella Рік тому +41

    I wish you guys were on regular TV news.and in schools I know so many people especially older that don't understand anything. And they believe the regular TV. You both break it down and explain it simple

    • @perc-ai
      @perc-ai Рік тому

      cause they are more intelligent driven men thats why

    • @henrythegreatamerican8136
      @henrythegreatamerican8136 Рік тому +1

      Nowhere in this video did they discuss the underlying problem behind it all, especially the debt. Nearly 85%% of all the wealth (this includes income and other assets) in the USA is owned by approximately 20% of people. Obviously that's unfair and unsustainable. But the issue is how they got most of that wealth. Most of it was accumulated by reducing their taxes, reducing regulations, and most importantly.... the FED manipulating the money supply up and down in their favor. All of this results in more debt because those elites are using the money received from the manipulated money supply to buy up all our assets. And on top of this, the country is not collecting the proper taxes to pay for things. The government ends up borrowing money to pay for lower income people to afford the assets owned by the 20% of elites who can charge us whatever they want because they own everything. That is why everything is expensive.
      The solution? We need a wealth tax.... not just a tax on income. I'm talking an actual wealth tax on assets to bring the prices of those assets back under control. Do that, and the debt will vanish quickly. But of course you'll have a civil war because the elites won't go down without a big fight. And the only politicians who discussed this were Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Both are too old to run now so not sure who is picking up the mantle.

    • @linkchalon520
      @linkchalon520 Рік тому +4

      You do not mend weak hands by damaging strong hands.

    • @henrythegreatamerican8136
      @henrythegreatamerican8136 Рік тому +1

      @@linkchalon520 You do not solve problems with fortune cookie one line bumper sticker slogans.
      And your lame response ignores all of human history where "strong hands" have been continuously decimated to solve problems.

    • @chads2219
      @chads2219 Рік тому

      ​@@henrythegreatamerican8136 Those people you speak of came to where they are with assets because the politicians handcuffed the free markets and pushed them towards those elites you speak of (many of whom are politicians themselves).
      Your "wealth tax" will not work in any way, nor would those in power do anything to themselves or those that put money in their pockets and/or get them reelected.
      And to make matters worse you push people who support even MORE government overreach and control, which is the very thing that caused the problems you speak of. Stopping money printing and having a transaction or sales tax (not on food or rent) would be the best way to tax wealth. They will always buy assets with their money, and that is when you tax them (when they are purchasing those assets). But even that is pointless if the government keeps spending beyond control and money printing and inflation continue to go as they will.

  • @CliveBirse
    @CliveBirse Рік тому +917

    This is a government-induced crisis, the treasury have to sell bonds to cover trade and spending imbalances, prompting interest rate hikes. Long-term, low-risk AAA investments, including Treasury Bonds held by banks may lose value, with the next milestone anticipated when the government issues a new batch of bonds.

    • @JulietKellyy
      @JulietKellyy Рік тому +8

      Absolutely right! Economic downturns provide ample opportunities for individuals to build wealth from scratch. However, considering guidance from an investment planner may be essential for those seeking a more assertive return.

    • @mariaguerrero08
      @mariaguerrero08 Рік тому +6

      In finance, recessions present prime opportunities for wealth creation. After a substantial loss in my portfolio last April, enlisting a financial consultant's expertise not only helped me recover but also generated a profit of $250k, providing invaluable knowledge and skills for my journey towards financial success.

    • @mikegarvey17
      @mikegarvey17 Рік тому +5

      @@mariaguerrero08 I appreciate your recommendations. Given your success in investing, I'd appreciate it if you could share your investment advisor's information.

    • @mariaguerrero08
      @mariaguerrero08 Рік тому +4

      GERTRUDE MARGARET QUINTO maintains an online presence. just make a simple search for her name online.

    • @DanielMullins053
      @DanielMullins053 Рік тому +4

      Thanks for sharing this. I did my own little research, and your advisor looks advanced and experienced. I wrote her an email outlining my objectives and I also scheduled a phone call.

  • @BrettFogle
    @BrettFogle Рік тому +4

    Thanks so much for having this interview. Arthur is a pioneer in the crypto space, but obviously has a much deeper depth of knowledge in the nuances of world economies. He’s well educated, well spoken, and one of the few people I listen to and a lucid thinker when comes to world markets. His crypto blog is also a great read that more people should check out!

  • @jordanwade8996
    @jordanwade8996 5 місяців тому +1

    This might be the best interview on the fundamental system I’ve ever heard someone articulate

  • @james.atkins88
    @james.atkins88 Рік тому +480

    People grappling with the difficulty of meeting essential expenses often encounter this situation due to inadequate savings during their working years. The decisions taken in readiness for retirement carry extensive consequences, as demonstrated within my own family dynamics. Differing investment approaches yielded disparate results. Guided by a financial advisor, I'm currently retired.

    • @Kim.beneteau
      @Kim.beneteau Рік тому +2

      Indeed, that's accurate. I'm currently in my mid-50s. My wife and I were on a similar path until a couple of years ago when I decided to shift my investments to her wealth manager. While I haven't quite caught up to her accumulated profits over the years, I'm at least earning more now. I'm generating income even before retirement, and my retirement fund has experienced remarkable growth compared to what it would have with just the 401(k). It's quite amusing.

    • @hunter-bourke21
      @hunter-bourke21 Рік тому +2

      It's regrettable that many individuals lack access to such insights. I understand why people might become anxious. Insufficient information can indeed pose significant challenges. Personally, I've been able to generate over $35k passively simply by investing through an advisor, and the best part is, I don't need to exert much effort. Regardless of economic fluctuations, skilled wealth managers consistently deliver returns.

    • @rebecca_burns14
      @rebecca_burns14 Рік тому +3

      @@hunter-bourke21 Could you guide me on how to get in touch with your advisor? My funds are being eroded by inflation, and I'm seeking a more lucrative investment strategy to effectively utilize them.

    • @hunter-bourke21
      @hunter-bourke21 Рік тому +1

      Camille Alicia Garcia, maintains an online presence. just make a simple search for her name online.

    • @andrew.alonzo
      @andrew.alonzo Рік тому +1

      I've taken the initiative to research *Camille Alicia Garcia* online and verify her credentials. I'm impressed with her expertise, and I've reached out to her to share my financial market goals in detail.

  • @trojan7933
    @trojan7933 Рік тому +39

    It's nice to see Tom not flex his ego every 5 min and actually let his guests speak and share their perspectives and experience

    • @polarisjustdothework2258
      @polarisjustdothework2258 Рік тому +1

      You sound like my ex. Is your name Jeff? Wait, he's not even smart enough to watch these types of productions 😂😂

    • @linkchalon520
      @linkchalon520 Рік тому +6

      ​@@polarisjustdothework2258 You sound like my ex, condescending and insulting.

    • @Andre-ef6iv
      @Andre-ef6iv Рік тому

      arthurs IQ is double of toms. he obv doesnt believe in any bs propaganda like climate change and green deal (like poor tom does), he is real g, tom knows floor would be wiped with him getting into argument with arthur

    • @ttii9
      @ttii9 Рік тому +4

      @@polarisjustdothework2258 My guess is most people listening to these lengthy talks are either unemployed or underemployed, hahaha. Correct?

  • @Tonyham198
    @Tonyham198 11 місяців тому +473

    We can't ignore the potential impact on portfolios. Bonds are often considered a safe haven, and if they crumble, investors like me might scramble. I’ve been investing for 11 yrs and my $1m portfolio has never been this depleted, how i do hedge this?

    • @brianwhitehawker1756
      @brianwhitehawker1756 11 місяців тому +1

      In fact, markets have incorrectly priced in such a pivot six times over the last two years, according to Deutsche Bank, which sounded cautious about this seventh time. Still showing us why pointers from market experts are essential

    • @yeslahykcim
      @yeslahykcim 11 місяців тому

      A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I needed a good boost to stay afloat, hence I engaged the services of a true market strategist to help rejuvenate my $700k portfolio and boost performance and returns by 40% in a little over four years.

    • @Jadechurch-ql3do
      @Jadechurch-ql3do 11 місяців тому

      @@yeslahykcim impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now

    • @yeslahykcim
      @yeslahykcim 11 місяців тому

      credits to LEILA SIMOES PINTO, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up

    • @codeblue11
      @codeblue11 11 місяців тому

      I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.

  • @adrianlapraik5826
    @adrianlapraik5826 Рік тому +36

    So refreshing to hear such an honest appraisal of what is really going on, on a platform of this size.
    Careful Tom, if you keep this level of guest up you might find yourself cancelled.

  • @cnce145
    @cnce145 Рік тому +57

    Wow , I realize how clueless I was with what's going on in the world. What a great interview/discussion. Keep it up .

    • @joseph2664
      @joseph2664 Рік тому +2

      you are not clueless . Mr Hayes has no concept of history. sounds like a child repeating Russian propaganda than he did not understand

    • @pog0777
      @pog0777 Рік тому

      ​@@joseph2664
      And you do please enlighten ytube with your expertise or knowledge then if you have any 😮😮😮😅😅😅😅

  • @Florida_Woman
    @Florida_Woman Рік тому +4

    This man is fantastic. What a great teacher. I loved this and it gave me more to think about. I already held many of these ideas, but this discussion was next level. Thank you! 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼

  • @jonathanx206
    @jonathanx206 Рік тому +57

    This is one of the best and most informative videos I've ever seen!!! Thanks guys!

  • @AliceinSilverland
    @AliceinSilverland 11 місяців тому +3

    This dude is SMART. WOW. Incredible interview.

  • @Wawadewa
    @Wawadewa 2 місяці тому +1

    When u realize that all the wealth and lifestyle we were allowed to experience is linked to public debt and dollar printing, u understand your existence is not even of yours or your parent's labour.
    Look at countries with no oil/gas and no debt. Extreme poverty level.
    What allowed us to be is what will get us in the end.

  • @stevensmiddlemass2072
    @stevensmiddlemass2072 Рік тому +386

    A flailing U.S. economy and elevated global tensions reduce the likelihood of prolonged inflation or higher long-term Treasury yields. All my focus right now is how to safeguard and improve my $2m portfolio from market changes based on the conflict in the middle east.

    • @Curbalnk
      @Curbalnk Рік тому +1

      After studying the trajectory of great assets like real estate, dividend paying stocks and gold, my conclusion is to buy and invest in what you can afford today! working with a financial advisor can certainly help

    • @velayuthman
      @velayuthman Рік тому

      Personally, I delegate my investing to an advisor, ever since suffering a major steep-down amid rona-outbreak in late 2019. As of today, I'm semi-retired working only 7.5 hours a week, with barely 25% short of my $1m retirement goal after subsequent investments.

    • @velayuthman
      @velayuthman Рік тому +1

      @TeresaBrickle: I take guidance from a California-based wealth advisor 'Monica Selena Park'..... you're most likely going to find her basic info on the internet, she's firmly established and well qualified

  • @FrancesRyan-b2p
    @FrancesRyan-b2p Рік тому +270

    If you are not in the financial market space right now, you are making a huge mistake. I understand that it could be due to ignorance, but if you want to make your money work for you, prevent inflation from eroding your savings, build generational wealth, and cultivate good habits and financial knowledge, you must be in the market.

    • @DeborahPearson-ng2cs
      @DeborahPearson-ng2cs Рік тому

      You are right.!

    • @DeborahPearson-ng2cs
      @DeborahPearson-ng2cs Рік тому

      That is why I had to start forex trading 2months ago and I now am making benefits from it..

    • @JacolienVos
      @JacolienVos Рік тому

      My first investment was with Shanita Creswell, it gave me profit of over $80,000 Us dollar...

    • @SandraPatterson-di6xh
      @SandraPatterson-di6xh Рік тому

      I'm glad I was introduced to forex trading and got the best teacher and mentor who helped me understand the financial market l'm grateful to Mrs Shanita 🙏🏻

    • @AlmedaKandemir
      @AlmedaKandemir Рік тому

      Trading with an expert is the best strategy for newbies and busy investors who have little or no time to monitor trade

  • @nunyabiznys5169
    @nunyabiznys5169 Рік тому +3

    He just taught me so much about history and got me thinking differently about those huge wars.

  • @Chris1000x
    @Chris1000x Рік тому +7

    Arthur Hayes is the goat. Hoping a lot of people start waking up.

  • @glitch6437
    @glitch6437 Рік тому +4

    Thanks for introducing your guest, Arthur Hayes. He's spot on and conveys the message very well.

  • @JureMali
    @JureMali 11 місяців тому +2

    This knowledge should be mandatory in our school system.

  • @gucu4433
    @gucu4433 10 місяців тому +111

    I lost over $70K when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I find one source to recover my money, at least $9k profits weekly. Thanks so much Alex Gomez

    • @mariaclarke481
      @mariaclarke481 10 місяців тому +1

      I've always wanted to trade Crypto for a long time but the volatility in the price has been very confusing to me although I have watched a lot of UA-cam videos about it but I still find it hard to understand.

    • @pascualcaraballo1737
      @pascualcaraballo1737 10 місяців тому

      The process of trading can be complicated when you have limited knowledge. However, with the right strategy and setups, you can be successful. That's the whole point of investing.

    • @gucu4433
      @gucu4433 10 місяців тому

      It's not about wasting your time in UA-cam watching strategies on how to invest in crypto. You have to get more experience first, work with a professional on crypto to guide you step-by-step.

    • @gucu4433
      @gucu4433 10 місяців тому

      Alex Gomez is my mentor he's probably the best I've ever come across, he is well recommended for newbies and his technical analysis is one of the best out there any investor can engage with.

    • @violaristig3715
      @violaristig3715 10 місяців тому

      yeah 💯Alex was my hope during the 'bear summer' last year. I did so many mistakes but also learned so much from it, and of course from Alex Gomez. He is my number one source when it comes to crypto and TA.

  • @dorothyclemmer5099
    @dorothyclemmer5099 Рік тому +24

    I'm watching this two and three times! So very interesting! What perspective! Holy cow, this Arthur guy combines history, geopolitics and macroeconomics in a way I've never experienced! Keep educating us!!!

    • @guydaley
      @guydaley Рік тому

      Liar, it's 2 hours, 43 minutes long.

    • @dudewheresmyguitar21
      @dudewheresmyguitar21 Рік тому

      @@guydaleyif u watch it in 2x its 1 hr and 21 min long

    • @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711
      @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711 Рік тому

      Boiling it down to (1)paying the bills and (2)hard asset for wealth protection is ..
      Brakes: (1) Have $1.000,000 at 5% APY = $50.000 a year to give you $4.166 for monthly expenses
      Acceleration: (2) EVERYTHING else in BTC
      Simply because all real estate, commodities, even companies and stocks can/will be nationalized to "subvention" housing and nutrition, by governing parties.
      FYI: Ethereum(ETH), Solana(SOL), (XRP) are private companies that can be Nationalized.
      Bitcoin stands ALONE as a safe heaven!!!!!!!!!
      If you can get a mortgage based on your monthly $4.166 passive income to buy farmland, and the "buy in" doesn't grind into the $1Mn principal, DO IT, get a plot of land to grow your own food and house loved ones.
      Jesus.. Good luck to us all.

  • @wx2833
    @wx2833 9 місяців тому +1

    Thanks for the Excellent Content and Actionable Information; foray, every time I listen to Arthur Hayes, I learn something new, and more than I learned during any single university course that the military paid 100% for me to attend for over 25 years while in service.
    Peace

  • @andreattafabio
    @andreattafabio Рік тому +59

    Arthur is the real deal. One of your best episodes.

    • @ttii9
      @ttii9 Рік тому

      Don't put down previous episodes.

    • @Kektamusprime
      @Kektamusprime Рік тому

      thats not what he did you cry baby, stop twisting peoples words@@ttii9

    • @ricvanwinkle1665
      @ricvanwinkle1665 Рік тому

      Why are there so many scammers here?

  • @xavier_lucas
    @xavier_lucas Рік тому +174

    As we witness the current economic landscape, it's becoming increasingly clear that we're entering a recession. These times can pose significant financial challenges.

    • @AnkurYo
      @AnkurYo Рік тому +3

      Indeed, Recessions have a way of affecting people's financial stability and investment portfolios in profound ways.

    • @westgibbs
      @westgibbs Рік тому +4

      Speaking of financial stability, I've had the privilege of working closely with Loren Lena Walker, a highly experienced financial advisor. Her expertise has been pivotal in helping me navigate the complexities of economic downturns.

    • @Muller_Andr
      @Muller_Andr Рік тому +1

      That's intriguing, I've been on the lookout for a financial advisor who can provide sound guidance during these uncertain times. Could you elaborate on how Loren Lena Walker has assisted you?

    • @westgibbs
      @westgibbs Рік тому +6

      Certainly, Loren Lena Walker provided me with tailored financial strategies that not only protected my investments but also helped optimize them during periods of economic turbulence. Her insights were truly invaluable.

    • @AnkurYo
      @AnkurYo Рік тому +2

      It's heartening to hear about professionals like Loren Lena Walker who can offer expert guidance when it's needed most. I've been contemplating the importance of finding a trusted advisor myself.

  • @crsnow6158
    @crsnow6158 Рік тому +1

    Like that statement.” Getting the timing wrong is the same as being wrong’”

  • @Siegwre
    @Siegwre Рік тому +8

    Thank you Tom for all of the content you put out to help us in all that we do! This is another amazing broadcast!

  • @aureliobjm
    @aureliobjm Рік тому +150

    Its nomore a recession. Not even a great depression anymore. Its much worse, this is A CURRENCY COLLAPSE! And the world's slow response to America losing its status as the reserve currency is worrisome. Note that a weak dollar can signal an economic downturn, making me to wonder what the best possible ways to hedge against inflation. Overheard people say inflation is a money-eater. I worry about my entire $879k savings.!!! Can anyone relate?

    • @georgeh.5126
      @georgeh.5126 Рік тому +3

      @bezosjesss I totally agree, having a wealth manager for investing is genius! Not long ago amidst the pandemic crash in March 2020, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a licensed broker. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $839k with the help of my advisor from an initial $210k investment thus far.

    • @tommyers0
      @tommyers0 Рік тому +2

      @georgeh Wow ,that’s stirring! I've been thinking of going this route of using an advisor. Just never sure which firm to work with. My wife and i just moved to the UK. Do you mind connecting me to yours?

    • @georgeh.5126
      @georgeh.5126 Рік тому +3

      @tommymyershoffman I was just fortunate enough to have the guidance of a successful and highly knowledgeable wealth advisor, 'HEATHER LEE LARIONI'. That was a smart move since my portfolio has grown at a tremendous pace.. my account just mirrors what she trades and not just on some particular industries of my choosing

    • @tommyers0
      @tommyers0 Рік тому +1

      @georgeh I might have seen this name somewhere in reviews or so, can't really recall. We'll be following her up. Thank you so much for saving us hours of researching.

    • @mrwilliamwonder
      @mrwilliamwonder Рік тому +2

      No.

  • @JustJervon
    @JustJervon 11 місяців тому +1

    I knew it was happening, but to have all of my assumptions verified in a marathon is some scary shit. Instantly followed Bro on everything.

  • @waltzwalter
    @waltzwalter 4 місяці тому +5

    The economy is grappling with uncertainties, global fluctuations, and pandemic aftermath, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.

  • @lucasanderson8993
    @lucasanderson8993 11 місяців тому +783

    The stock market has been on a tear over the last month on hopes for a dovish pivot from the Fed, but investors like me have seen this movie before whereby i'm left pondering if to sell off 30% of my $450k portfolio which comprised of plummeting stocks or hold on.

    • @kaylawood9053
      @kaylawood9053 11 місяців тому +2

      Predicting short-term market movements is extremely difficult in reality. It requires the investor to be right twice: Essentially why individuals engage service of experts who provide proper strategies to navigate the markets

    • @legacymedia8468
      @legacymedia8468 11 місяців тому

      This is really impressive, hope you don't mind if I ask you to recommend this particular professional you use their service? I had quite a lot of difficulty sorting myself out in this downtime.

    • @selenajack2036
      @selenajack2036 11 місяців тому +1

      I just looked up her name and her website popped up immediately, interesting stuff so far, about to schedule a session with her. Thanks a lot man

    • @goywonder7341
      @goywonder7341 11 місяців тому

      Watch Greg mannarino

    • @colemancummings6692
      @colemancummings6692 6 місяців тому

      I'm a real good inventor. I'm using that as my pass time. While I invest in digital and my own products.

  • @va644
    @va644 5 місяців тому +1

    Who is this guy?? Omg l love listening to smart people like him. Time well spent. He is definitely an SME in finance....seriously s toys???regardless you are smart and should be teaching the fed about crypto since you are well versed in FIAT and crypto..Best of both in one person....

  • @rico8608
    @rico8608 5 місяців тому +3

    This guy is so underrated

  • @corycocoa
    @corycocoa Рік тому +7

    So informative, I really appreciated these insights from Mr. Hayes. Explained many issues that helped me understand more of what is going on in the world. What a wealth of knowledge. Thanks for having such an amazing guest. Subscribed

  • @80antonc
    @80antonc 5 місяців тому +1

    One of best pod video. I listen twice to get all the info .Thank you

  • @Lex_Fur
    @Lex_Fur Рік тому +16

    Holy shit, Tom. You can really keep up. Usually when I hear Arthur talk my brain skips beats. This time no exception. Guess I'll have to re-watch this one.

    • @Domzdream
      @Domzdream Рік тому +3

      Chunk it. Do 40 mins each time

    • @rickblozzer6929
      @rickblozzer6929 Рік тому +2

      This is one good video, thanks!

    • @linkchalon520
      @linkchalon520 Рік тому

      Listen at 2.5x speed. Your brain will absorb faster.

  • @selfmadedefi
    @selfmadedefi Рік тому +4

    30 mins in and these are the conversations that need to be had in every community in this country as well at every academic level. America should be producing some of the most intellectual people in the world unfortunately we have consented to being mediocre and the rest of the world is coming for what they’re owed.

  • @jenniferhoffman1973
    @jenniferhoffman1973 3 місяці тому +2

    Simple life
    Simple problems!!
    Change your expectations NOW!!

  • @rudijstar
    @rudijstar Рік тому +13

    Arthur Hayes, one of my fav big brains. Great interview. Thx.

  • @logicomega7
    @logicomega7 Рік тому +2

    Smart guy, he's right about nearly everything. I've been thinking about the same things for a LONG time.

  • @nickcosta7985
    @nickcosta7985 Рік тому +36

    something hit me when he said he's one of the largest shareholders in a US based sex doll company thats going public soon... and then laughed shamelessly about it. its all about self preservation and survival at this point, to many... this world is brutal. Prayers to you all.

    • @sirus312
      @sirus312 Рік тому +1

      We need a monster correction to wipe the slate clean

    • @terencec.7101
      @terencec.7101 Рік тому +9

      It show he actually does not have the expertise to make any of these claims. I listen to his entire shpiel and it's all bs. He basically went
      "1. Massive Debt
      2. Financial Collapse
      3. ??????
      4. Wolrd War 3"
      Most of what he has raised here are hasty generalizations based on mostly internet bs that's been regurgitated online.

    • @nickcosta7985
      @nickcosta7985 Рік тому +4

      @@terencec.7101 I wouldn’t go that far but it delegitimized him in a certain way… like why would u do that if you already have the money to move wherever u need to survive seems abusive and out of touch

    • @silkydee2009
      @silkydee2009 Рік тому

      @@terencec.7101 Ray dalios is better.

    • @nickcosta7985
      @nickcosta7985 Рік тому

      @penderyn8794 because ****very very rich and influential ppl make it so**** and then us peons submit and follow suit. We just need better leaders. Which is why I take my faith serious. I don’t have to idolize any of these flawed humans. I look above and that keeps me grounded.

  • @stephenthomas7298
    @stephenthomas7298 Рік тому +35

    Great work Tom & Arthur! This interview was incredibly insightful, and I learned a lot.

    • @davidarnold2718
      @davidarnold2718 Рік тому +1

      When it came to history and I'm glad a young person has a sense of it but it's a true grasp was definitely missing but I applaud his effort

  • @benriggan5267
    @benriggan5267 Рік тому +2

    Keeping what otherwise could be a really complicated topic simple...Arthur kills it

  • @walterblake1
    @walterblake1 Рік тому +8

    Arthur is one of the best in the industry.

  • @cari3157
    @cari3157 6 місяців тому +36

    Any financial conversation cannot exist without taking into account the depopulation agenda of the WEF.

    • @jordanwade8996
      @jordanwade8996 5 місяців тому +1

      It’s economics. A decreased quality of life does not produce financial burden

    • @jodyszymanski49
      @jodyszymanski49 4 місяці тому

      The depopulation agenda has been stopped. Grieve, heal, get educated and help rebuild.

    • @gordonbecker5055
      @gordonbecker5055 3 місяці тому

      If the Weffers get their way, 90% of us “useless eaters” are gone.
      The Weffers are the true “useless eaters”.

    • @imkindofabigdeal4308
      @imkindofabigdeal4308 3 місяці тому

      @@jodyszymanski49 You can't make more 18-year-olds. Demography is destiny and the wheels of population decline are in motion and accelerating.

    • @hannahkinnear7701
      @hannahkinnear7701 2 місяці тому

      Absolutely...the WHO, the WEF and the UN Agenda 2030, Big Pharma, the Banks and the IMF, the WMF....all the corruption and the deliberate destruction of the Wests economies

  • @gordonbecker5055
    @gordonbecker5055 3 місяці тому +2

    On a daily basis, I’m being fed, housed, entertained, clothed, heated, cooled, medicated, insured, transported, repaired, maintained, and the tax man satisfied by my bank interest yields.
    My Gold sits in a drawer and does nothing noticeable to sustain me in handling todays’ living expenses.
    I figure I have to worry most about today’s living needs.
    The lion share of mine is put to work earning interest yields.

  • @Dantursi1
    @Dantursi1 Рік тому +831

    It surprises me why everybody gets really worked up about recession and inflation data. Inflation has always existed, and people have been using investments to beat the inflation. The stock market return, for example, always beats inflation. I heard of someone who invested $121k last October, and has grown the portfolio by more than $400k. I need recommendations that can give me similar return.

    • @Rachadrian
      @Rachadrian Рік тому +5

      I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $21k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.

    • @Dannyholt33
      @Dannyholt33 Рік тому +3

      True. I first came across investing in the market in 2019. Already stashed about $80k in savings then, and the free money from the Government was pouring in, increasing inflation rate. I just got an advisor and kept the money there, just because I didn't want to keep the value of the money depreciating in the bank. Tbh, it's the best investment decision I've made since then.

    • @derrickholfman2
      @derrickholfman2 Рік тому +3

      @@Dannyholt33 I’ve been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now. Any help pointing me to who your advisor is?

    • @Dannyholt33
      @Dannyholt33 Рік тому +3

      I personally work with “Vivian Carol Gioia” she covers things like investing, insurance, making sure retirement is well funded, going over tax benefits, ways to have a volatility buffer for investment risk. many things like that. Just take a look at her full name on the internet. She is well known so it shouldn't be hard to find her.

    • @derrickholfman2
      @derrickholfman2 Рік тому +3

      Thank you. I just checked her out now and I've sent an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. I've been thinking of doing this for a long time now, and I've procrastinated enough already.

  • @michelletinalouie
    @michelletinalouie 11 місяців тому +1

    Hi Tom. Just wanted you to know that I must've rewatched this interview 5 times already. Was such a great dialogue between the 2 of you. Could you please please please do another interview with Arthur Hayes? And Michael Saylor too! Love the 3 of you!

  • @gingerkilkus
    @gingerkilkus Рік тому +477

    Since Biden took office, there seem to have been more unfavorable results in America. These results include effects on the markets, such as price declines and sharp increases in inflation, as well as bank failures. I wonder if the sudden increase in interest rates will help value investors or if it would be wiser to stay away from the stock and financial markets for the time being.

    • @TomD226
      @TomD226 Рік тому +3

      I truly enjoy having a portfolio coach to help me make market judgments on a daily basis. They possess a special combination of abilities that enable them to take both long and short positions, benefiting from the possibility of significant gains while also safeguarding against downward turns. Additionally, they have access to exclusive knowledge and research that virtually guarantees they will outperform. I've had a portfolio coach for more than two years, and throughout that time I've actually earned over $432k. It was a wonderful experience!

    • @lowcostfresh2266
      @lowcostfresh2266 Рік тому +3

      @@TomD226 This is exactly how i wish to get my finances coordinated ahead of retirement. Can I get access to your advisor?

    • @TomD226
      @TomD226 Рік тому +1

      ​ @lowcostfresh2266 In fact, I'm not sure whether I'm permitted to say this, but I'd suggest searching for Laurel Dell Sroufe as she gained a lot of attention in 2020. She is both my coach and the manager of my portfolio.

    • @leojack9090
      @leojack9090 Рік тому +1

      @@TomD226 Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her résumé.

    • @robertacheson5976
      @robertacheson5976 Рік тому

      @@TomD226You’re fortunate. I knew a lot of older people who portfolio coaches either didn’t know what the H was going on, or didn’t want to lose their AUM fees by telling people to pull their funds out. My guess is on the latter

  • @irenemwathi6948
    @irenemwathi6948 Рік тому +16

    I love this interview and how Arthur explains all the issues so effortlessly. I’ll look him up when I go to Hong Kong and hope to learn more. Fantastic job Tom!

    • @EatMyOats
      @EatMyOats Рік тому

      1980 method GDP is flat not > 5%. During Depression, Democrat President default twice on Bonds (to save banks). Tax revenues are trending down. Foreigners are selling Bonds. Foreign Central Banks are buying Gold at record rates. 😮

  • @Ivftinianvs
    @Ivftinianvs Рік тому +1

    Tom, the technical line between gambling and speculation is that gambling has a negative expected value and speculation has a positive expected value.

  • @KS-xz2rq
    @KS-xz2rq Рік тому +37

    Extremely logical and thoughtful discussion.

  • @alicetaylor6452
    @alicetaylor6452 Рік тому +9

    Love this podcast. Often I find this subject hard to get my simple mind around but this was explained so simply I actually learned so much. Thank you.

    • @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711
      @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711 Рік тому

      Boiling it down to (1)paying the bills and (2)hard asset for wealth protection is ..
      Brakes: (1) Have $1.000,000 at 5% APY = $50.000 a year to give you $4.166 for monthly expenses
      Acceleration: (2) EVERYTHING else in BTC
      Simply because all real estate, commodities, even companies and stocks can/will be nationalized to "subvention" housing and nutrition, by governing parties.
      FYI: Ethereum(ETH), Solana(SOL), (XRP) are private companies that can be Nationalized.
      Bitcoin stands ALONE as a safe heaven!!!!!!!!!
      If you can get a mortgage based on your monthly $4.166 passive income to buy farmland, and the "buy in" doesn't grind into the $1Mn principal, DO IT, get a plot of land to grow your own food and house loved ones.
      Jesus.. Good luck to us all.

  • @markippolito3620
    @markippolito3620 10 місяців тому +2

    Arthur Hayes is an amazing and intelligent guy...

  • @LivaHolst
    @LivaHolst 11 місяців тому +4

    I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.

    • @LarsBergstrom-uh2eu
      @LarsBergstrom-uh2eu 11 місяців тому +1

      Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown

    • @tommychestnut5335
      @tommychestnut5335 11 місяців тому +1

      Agreed, It's essential to diversify your portfolio. While quality stocks are a solid foundation, you should also consider other assets to spread risk. Thankfully, I can attest to the success of this approach aided by professional guidance seeing my portfolio of $330k grow by 15% this year alone... maybe you should do the same.

  • @DelveSideways
    @DelveSideways Рік тому +3

    Jeez, this is one of the greatest and longggest podcasts I have listened to…now maybe 3-4 times. SOOO MUCH HERE with this guy…and you, Tom with your easy-to-digest breakdowns of the various points - SO HELPFUL…THANKS, both of you!

  • @EdwintheMagicEngineer
    @EdwintheMagicEngineer Рік тому +2

    Arthur was so great when describing the state of the world and giving investment perspective.
    Then he jumped the shark SO BADLY when it came to Bitcoin. His whole thesis can be summed up as “Smart people like it, and t has not failed yet despite all the issues and scandals”. Which literally ONLY proves people keep believing in it. Not that it is actually good.

  • @melissaradaker1128
    @melissaradaker1128 Рік тому +14

    What a fantastic communicator!

  • @SuperLkelley
    @SuperLkelley Рік тому +5

    Arthur Hayes - what a dude. "i wanna be able to make money when shit gets all fucked up". I salute you.

  • @greggapowell67
    @greggapowell67 Рік тому +4

    This guy is like the Thomas Sowell of the Financial World. Appreciate you getting him on the show.

    • @economicdevelopmentplannin8715
      @economicdevelopmentplannin8715 Рік тому

      Tom is lost. Has been for decades. Arthur is fairly level headed with his investment thesis.

    • @pierresmith5145
      @pierresmith5145 Рік тому

      Omg!!! Sowell is a BOOT LICKER. Hopefully you not believing that stuff man from Sowell.

  • @elsavelaz
    @elsavelaz Рік тому +25

    Wow thank you for explaining Tom’s excellent question so clearly about why gold over bonds , that’s the kind of mind candy and valuable nuggets I log into this channel for .

  • @blakejohnson8639
    @blakejohnson8639 Рік тому +6

    Doomsday scenarios sell to listeners. Biggest issue is people lose out on gains from not being in the markets. Dollar cost averaging may sound boring, but it’s the best advice you’ll ever get.

  • @djshoalsjr2724
    @djshoalsjr2724 10 місяців тому +5

    We been in a financial crisis for 5 years. Have you seen all the homeless people!! 🤦🏽‍♂️🤦🏽‍♂️🤦🏽‍♂️🤦🏽‍♂️

    • @onlypostthebest6104
      @onlypostthebest6104 10 місяців тому +1

      Exactly they are everywhere and mental health is on a major decline… we are screwed… the only people that will win are those investing

    • @Sarahdebois-w7i
      @Sarahdebois-w7i 3 дні тому

      Families need to re-join and share resources, take care of each other. I hear of families that live all over the world and rarely see each other. Sad state of affairs I think.

  • @davepelletier708
    @davepelletier708 Рік тому +5

    Tom, great discussion with this gentleman. I've heard this discussion several times, but no one has been as detailed as he is here or has stuck their neck out with respect to predicting poyential responses as things worsen. Even if he's wrong I appreciate his bravery and expertise.

    • @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711
      @gaeldesmontagnesnoires1711 Рік тому

      Boiling it down to (1)paying the bills and (2)hard asset for wealth protection is ..
      Brakes: (1) Have $1.000,000 at 5% APY = $50.000 a year to give you $4.166 for monthly expenses
      Acceleration: (2) EVERYTHING else in BTC
      Simply because all real estate, commodities, even companies and stocks can/will be nationalized to "subvention" housing and nutrition, by governing parties.
      FYI: Ethereum(ETH), Solana(SOL), (XRP) are private companies that can be Nationalized.
      Bitcoin stands ALONE as a safe heaven!!!!!!!!!
      If you can get a mortgage based on your monthly $4.166 passive income to buy farmland, and the "buy in" doesn't grind into the $1Mn principal, DO IT, get a plot of land to grow your own food and house loved ones.
      Jesus.. Good luck to us all.

  • @streetdawg679
    @streetdawg679 11 місяців тому +3

    Wow Author Hayes made a great point on mortgages and interest rates got to follow this guy ❤💯

  • @albacus2400BC
    @albacus2400BC 11 місяців тому +182

    The potential recession and the Fed's talk of increasing interest rates have investors on edge. Unsure about my $600,000 portfolio's strategy, as a recession might not happen, and even if the Fed is hawkish, interest rates may not rise significantly.

    • @AddilynTuffin
      @AddilynTuffin 11 місяців тому +4

      Consider exploring alternative investments that may thrive in the current market conditions driven by liquidity. Alternatively, it would be advisable to seek guidance from an expert to tailor your portfolio effectively.

    • @sting_grayl
      @sting_grayl 11 місяців тому +4

      I always preach about the importance of having an advisor.This helped me stay afloat and improve my portfolio 0f $450k by 48% in just 3 months.They have strategies that are specifically suited to your long-term objectives and financial aspirations irrespective of market trend.

    • @PotBellyPete69
      @PotBellyPete69 11 місяців тому +4

      Pls who is this coach that guides you? I’m in dire need of one, my stock portfolio is still down even though santa came early this year.

    • @sting_grayl
      @sting_grayl 11 місяців тому +4

      Credits to *Sharon Louise Count* one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should check her out.

    • @judynewsom1902
      @judynewsom1902 11 місяців тому +3

      I looked up her full name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her; hopefully, she gets back to me.

  • @JohnDaniels
    @JohnDaniels Рік тому +8

    The more I learn about our financial system, the more disgusted I get.