- 77
- 13 869
TheMuddleHeadedAnalyst
Приєднався 25 бер 2022
Australian analyst and supreme leader of the Combat-Wombat division. As you can probably tell, I do military stuff. subscribe for a rambling idiot and the finest of low quality content.
Labor is failing defence
#australiandefenceforce #adf #navy #airforce #military #militaryanalysis #war #australia #australianpolitics
Переглядів: 371
Відео
Russia is Losing in Ukraine
Переглядів 662 місяці тому
I'd like to thank @AnimarchyHistory for allowing me to use part of his video, and a friend, YodaRolo for letting me use a piece of his content for the meme sections. I also used the analysis by @andrewperpetua for estimates for the losses. #army #americanmilitary #defenseanalysis #defence #ukraine #ukrainerussianwar #russiaukraineconflict #russianarmy #ukraine #war #economy #armouredvehicle #nafo
Lethal Drones Are Running Out of Time
Переглядів 344 місяці тому
#military #australianarmy #adf #warmilitary #ukraine #ukrainerussianwar #americanmilitary #defence #defenseanalysis #defensecapabilities
Ukraine Destroys A SU-57
Переглядів 204 місяці тому
#russiaukrainewar #military #militaryequipment #russiaukraineconflict #su57 #atacms #drone #dronewarfare #russiaislosing #ukrainewar
Australia Must Prepare For War
Переглядів 395 місяців тому
#australianarmy #australiandefenceforce #australianmilitary #australiannavy #australianairforce #military #adf #australiangovernment #war #militaryanalysis
Equipment Australia Can Send To Ukraine
Переглядів 546 місяців тому
#ukraine #ukrainewar #russiaukrainewar #ukrainerussia #slavaukraini #australianarmy #australianmilitary #australiandefenceforce #military #adf #australiangovernment #militaryaid #militaryanalysis
Anzac Day Special
Переглядів 196 місяців тому
#australianarmy #australiannavy #australianairforce @AustralianArmyHQ @AusAirForce @AusAirForce@AusNavy #ww2 #ww1 #anzac #anzacday #australianmilitary
Richard Marles Announces new Spending Cuts and Australia to Sell 100 Boxer CRVs to Germany
Переглядів 576 місяців тому
@AustralianArmyHQ #rheinmetall #boxer #australianarmy #australiannavy #militaryanalysis #australianmilitary #australiandefenceforce
Australia Needs an Air Defence System
Переглядів 256 місяців тому
#australiangovernment #australiandefenceforce #australianmilitary #military #adf @AustralianArmyHQ #NASAMS #australianarmy
The T14 is an Expensive Failure
Переглядів 487 місяців тому
discord.gg/GdCyEzMD7F #t14armata #t14 #tanks #military #russianarmy
Has the Australian Navy's Surface Fleet Review Failed?
Переглядів 558 місяців тому
#australiandefenceforce @AusNavy #militaryanalysis #australiangovernment #australianmilitary #military #navy #warships #hunterclassfrigate #australiannavy #australiangovernment
Australia's Fleet to Double in size, New Arsenal Ships and 11 Frigates
Переглядів 1288 місяців тому
#australiandefenceforce @AusNavy #australianmilitary #militaryanalysis #reaction #military #ADF #australiangovernment #surfacefleetreview
The Arafura Class OPV is a Terrible Ship
Переглядів 3,6 тис.9 місяців тому
The Arafura Class OPV is a Terrible Ship
#ukrainian defensive lines in Chernihiv Oblast.
Переглядів 510 місяців тому
#ukrainian defensive lines in Chernihiv Oblast.
Colonel Burton: The Man Who Tired to Kill The Bradley
Переглядів 16911 місяців тому
Colonel Burton: The Man Who Tired to Kill The Bradley
Australia's Military is Running out of time
Переглядів 2411 місяців тому
Australia's Military is Running out of time
Inside Australia's Amphibious Procurement Program (Land 8710)
Переглядів 10311 місяців тому
Inside Australia's Amphibious Procurement Program (Land 8710)
Australia's deployment to the Middle east
Переглядів 20Рік тому
Australia's deployment to the Middle east
Beautiful Weather for a Ukrainian Leopard 2 #counteroffensive
Переглядів 97Рік тому
Beautiful Weather for a Ukrainian Leopard 2 #counteroffensive
Shut Up about Ukraine's Destroyed Challenger 2
Переглядів 47Рік тому
Shut Up about Ukraine's Destroyed Challenger 2
You are Wrong about Ukraine's Counteroffensive
Переглядів 48Рік тому
You are Wrong about Ukraine's Counteroffensive
Labor working for their masters in China for a bottle of wine upgrade to the Christmas case!
The class has only one use that of drone anti mine warfare ship! The cranes are ideal for shipping the drones & the stern ramp ideal for naval clearance divers! Fitting the 30mm from the minesweepers could also be an option!
Uninformed commentary. Missile defence is a priority for this government. Project Air 6500 phase one is under way. Its focus is the joint air battle management system that will coordinate multiple weapons systems to shoot down missiles. Once this is in place appropriate weapons systems can be purchased to link in to it. Please keep putting out content as I enjoy content about our defence force, just do some research first.
The point is that we don't have an air defence system. It doesn't matter if they plan to get one. What matters is tangible results, and actual capability. Unless we have the missile defence capabilities and system relevant to protecting our nation, the second a war breaks out, any hostile nation with any kind of long range strike capability would be able to hit anywhere in Australia unimpeded. On top of that, we have no actual timeframe on how long it will take before either phase of this project is finished. And on top of that, this is at a time where such systems are in high demand, which means that even if it all works out perfectly, we still have the wait times for the air defence systems to be delivered. You must be feeling pretty brave to place your confidence in a non-existent system, that may not be delivered for over a decade.
@@TheMuddleHeadedAnalystYou make some valid points, but an implication that the government is ignoring a vital area of defence rather than it is being addressed but not yet in place are two different things. Nuance is important. I gather that the SM 6 missile and other missiles being purchased by the government can be used by the navy and airforce for missile defence in the interim.
Ok, so as has been pointed out in the comment section below, I made an error with my video. I had called the program which was cancelled the Global Hawk. In actuality the program's name is the Sky Guardian, which cost 1.3 billion dollars and was anticipated to deliver an initial 5 armed assets, before its cancellation at the hands of the Morrison government.
The global hawk and predator/reaper are completely separate airframes in completely separate weight classes. Bit more research needed buddy.
Ah, my bad. Just had my airframes mixed up. The one I was referring to is the Sky Guardian, which was worth 1.3 Billion dollars and would provide 5 armed drones.
@@TheMuddleHeadedAnalyst all good man. We all make mistakes. All in all I agree with you.
Thankyou!
At least the Labor govt. is emphasising "self reliance" as far as budgetary limitations,allow
Yeah. Its a good start, but the problem is that it doesn't go far enough, unfortunately.
Why get a new ship with no weapon? Just like the 2 carrier no aircraft 2 new supply ships both out of action and new patrol boat no weapon Australian Navy in a very weak state worst than pre WW2.
As they say "Fitted for but not with " typical.
Trust your leaders, mediocrity rules ok.
Good to hear about the issues. Footage of the relevant vessels and weaponry might enhance your video next time.
Interesting topics, funny how Labour worry about miss information yet them, media n opposition all carry on about submarine build. If people been watching defence news from Naval News n ADM, US was going start extra production line to build more submarines to meet targets n allow to older sub to commissioned into RAN service. Also these submarines will not need refilling of nuclear as there enough until decommissioned. All this been detailed for last couple of years. Just last week i noticed online about NH90, few people with half truths yet issue been well documented especially in defence magazines about history, other defence helicopters like Seasprite failure, i think Australians have given enough information on details, Labour needs come out n explain why NH90 was scrap especially buried like F111, future plan, lessons learnt.
The power plant on these appear to pretty close to the USS Constellation Class ships but with the US ship has a GE Turbine with RR Diesels. and the AUS ship has RR Turbines and MTU Diesels. Timelines for both seem pretty long AUS 2034? really? I guess most of their equipment needs to be imported, not sure what kind of industrial engines are produced down under.
Does anyone feel that the current Government will make the proper decisions about these ship, let alone any other defence caacity? NO. They are led around by their own pathetic ideas. 12 Sept 24
Always enjoy your dialogue and agree with most of your opinions
Thankyou!
Some of the Sources used: The Defence Post: www.thedefensepost.com/2024/01/31/russia-tanks-replace-losses/#:~:text=EuropeLandWar-,Russia%20Can%20Build%20100%20Tanks%20a%20Month,Capacity%20to%20Replace%20Losses%3A%20Intel&text=Russia%20has%20retained%20the%20capacity,Ministry%20of%20Defence%20intelligence%20report. Oryx: www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html Kyiv independent: kyivindependent.com/as-russian-tank-losses-in-ukraine-continue-to-mount-heres-what-you-need-to-know/#:~:text=But%20Russia%20had%20thousands%20of,of%207%2C000%20tanks%20in%20storage. Newsweek: www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-war-isw-losses-1898791#:~:text=The%20British%20International%20Institute%20for,by%20reactivating%20vehicles%20from%20storage. European Council of the European Union: www.consilium.europa.eu/en/infographics/impact-sanctions-russian-economy/#:~:text=The%20Russian%20economy%20is%20shrinking&text=It%20is%20estimated%20that%20in,according%20to%20the%20World%20Bank. Business Insider: www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-business-elites-criticize-central-bank-interest-rate-hike-2024-7 The Moscow Times: www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/07/26/russias-central-bank-raises-rates-to-18-amid-inflation-woes-a85836 The Guardian: www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/07/26/russias-central-bank-raises-rates-to-18-amid-inflation-woes-a85836 Energy Economic times: energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/oil-and-gas/russian-pipeline-gas-exports-to-europe-reach-highest-this-year/112217325#:~:text=Gazprom%20incurred%20losses%20of%20almost,gas%20exports%20to%20Europe%20fell.
Hindsight is awesome but reality the Navy is behind because poor decisions over 50 year period, yes it takes longer to get warships into water, let lone other defence equipment. Stopping of building warships, bad defence budgets, political interference. If i was in charge i would have ordered not just one but 3 more batch II Hobarts destroyers extra VLS, lengthen hellopad like Hunter class. This give time to build n into service with Hunter class these frigates were right choice in what ADF was needed, these should been stretched more VLS n call future destroyers. RAN replacement frigates could have been OPV, corvette, DDL like basic AB destroyers or Hobart no hanger but large rear deck for cubes/containerised mission sets. These frigates would be escorts for the fleet n not full sub hunters.
Arafura should never been chosen as poor weapon layout, no hanger, flight deck can't support Seahawk. Years ago ADF was offering Malaysia OPV, 57mm gun, 8 cell VLS, hanger for Lynx or Seasprite weighing 2000t. This how s#$t kick off as ADF or RAN order 11 Seasprite helicopters these were go on new ANZAC frigates. Well Malaysia went with another offer, OPV was drop n instead dropping Seasprite n getting more Seahawks as RAN had already have Seahawks in service on Adelaide frigates it decided waste over $1 BILLION before dropping Seasprite. Years later instead of going with old design nar Arafura was going be multi purpose OVP, RAN couldn't explain why they drop 40mm gun.
Scrap it and sue Lursen
Cell count is the joke, along with the price and timeline.
How can this be? Can we ever get it right???? Always on the CHEAP!
Shouldnt build ships in Australia if the usuual failed companies and government are involved.
The ship is proven and a great designe, issue is Oz goverand Navy did their usual same with the Anzacs, they got involved and stuffed it up and u derarmed it. Why not just take the proven design, build and arm it how it was designed to be ?
That would be ideal, however, there are some major issues. The first being that its air defence is somewhat lackluster, particularly in the age of modern missiles and drones. The second is that the ship has been fundamentally changed from its original design, particularly regarding the helicopter deck, which is no longer rated to carry helicopters. All in all, its a good design, but it has been fiddled around with so much by bureucrats, that it really isn't the source material.
101 subs and climbing congrats, chief 🎉
Thankyou sir!
the sars 6
So, in short, from the initial specification, someone from the Royal Australian Navy decided to remove/modify the ship and in the end they declared it to be not seaworthy. At the same time, a Darussalam-class offshore patrol vessel has been in active service for more than 13 years.
Pretty much!
Great information young fella. Thanks
You are welcome, sir!
A welcome popup, hope your feeling better.
I am! I'll be getting started on that Ukraine vid, where I can use the little A team thingy you sent me.
The whole ADF is a joke.
Yep. One should never ever let their guard down and that is exactly what has been done since the Sydney and Melbourne carriers were decommissioned and never replaced. We should have at least 2 medium sized aircraft carriers in service and each with a cruiser escort.
In an uncertain World, there is no such thing as certainty
Hey the Arafura is a patrol boat the cape class are crap to short range Australia’s coast line is to big for crap like the cape class and Armidale class . The cape class are stop gaps nothing more Australia has needed a large long range ocean going patrol vessels for the last forty years if there is seaworthy issues with the Arafura class then the builder need to be questioned, Brunei has operated these vessels without major issues people want these vessels to be something they are not these ships are coast guard ships if you want warships buy warships.
So the ship is crap, because clueless public servants cut the guts out of it?
Pretty much, yeah. I mean, obviously, there is a little more to it, but, in a nutshell, that describes the problems quite well.
It is far superior to the Type 26 with extra VLS and AEGIS combat system and a far better radar system than the British or Canadian ships
Canada's type 26 has the spy 7 radar and that's as good as it gets ,I'm not a fan of type 26 due to lack of VLS and propulsion system but Canada's version has the best top and bottom sensor setup possible ,throw in aegis and CEC and it's best in class .
@@kannabis7999 The Australian CEAFAR radars are superior study up about it.
@@LeonAust I understand how cfar works ,but take your pick spy 6 or spy 7 is the best naval radar right now ,seafire by Thales is good as well that's your top 3 .I commend you guys for developing your own radar program and it works well ,it doesn't make sense for us to develop our own with the states right next to us.
@@kannabis7999 CEAFAR has 2 frequency AESA panels per face on 6 faces) and a separate FCR AESA radar per quarter. Compare that to SPY 7?
Not enough VLS for its size. Weighing nearly 9000 tons should have96 cells
I think we should be offering surplus equipment to NZ, Fiji, and other close allies in our own backyard
I agree with this, but most don't really want them. PNG, doesn't have a large military and can't really operate the vehicle, and NZ, seems happy with the assets they currently have. If NZ is going to replace their ASLAV's it would likely be in favour of the Boxer CRV. Fiji, would be similar to Papua New Guinea, although they do operate 24 Bushmasters. The issue is that, we just don't really have any allies that want these vehicles, or can properly operate them.
counter argument, China :D with China in the indo pacific becoming more and more aggressive, we see more and more need to hold older machines in reserve, the m1a1 aim, aslav, and m113s would be beneficial to hold onto incase of an all out war, the Hawkeye, we have reasons why we haven't sent it to Ukraine even though it would be an amazing testing grounds (its the breaks, they are faulty) Ukraine is a new ally but sits way on the other side of the world, while we got problems here in Australia's backyard, with a far more potent threat which is China, we cant afford to give away too much equipment like what Nato can, china has satellites and know alot about our army and capabilities, they send warships to moniter each year talismen sabre, if they see a weakness with australia, knowing we are one of the big contenders in the indo pacific, they could exploit that, giving away equipment might not be in our national interest, doing so could potentially leave us in dead water, with our new IFVs and Abrams years away from being on australian soil, aswell as our replacement attack helicopters, transport helicopters, new submarines, and any new capability we are trying to acquire still far away, giving away old stuff might bite us in the ass while we have large strategic gaps
We haven't used the M113 in Afghanistan because it was deemed under protected, and not well enough equipped for the environment. That was against terrorists driving jeeps with .50 cal mgs on the back, not a near-peer adversary, with modern tanks, IFVs and drone type systems. The ASLAV, will be replaced by the Boxer, which is mass produced here in Australia, and given the new interest from Germany, it seems that the production of it will be boosted significantly, which would allow us to replace it if any number are lost, and build more during a war. In fact, I was planning on doing a whole segment on discussing if we could outright sell or, give Boxers to Ukraine.
@@TheMuddleHeadedAnalyst firstly, yes, m1113 wasnt used in afghanistan, because they was deemed inadequate to even low intensity combat areas, that why we heavily relied on aslavs in afghanistan...but in a fullout war with china we would use them heavily like ukraine has, as ambulances, m113s arent fit for front line fighting but rear line work they still perform well, and in an all out war with china id prefer to be in a m113 over a ute in rear line duties secondly the aslav, yes, we are starting to produce boxers here in australia, even selling them to germany, about 100 of them, but... that being said, its never a bad idea to keep older vehicles around, boxers are suburb, amazing even, but, in an all out war against China we cant afford to give away ifv and apc (you will see i heavily rely on the china argument) and there is no guarantee that we can build boxers faster than we can replace them in a critical scenario, especially considering how china is learning about fpv drones and making more anti armor weapons, learning alot from the war in ukraine. btw please do old friend, i think a whole video on selling or gifting boxers to ukraine would be interesting + more jobs created in australia to produce and maintain a factory to produce the boxer
@@Jungle_Studio I definitely will do a video on that. I think it would be an interesting video to work on...
Europe has had this same issue for decades. Only now are we investing in reasonable numbers of layered defence systems. The israle F35s shooting down cruse missiles was a nice suprise tho. I would imagine Auz would need datalinked aircraft + some energy weapons to cover such a vast area or you could just hand out stingers to the dropbears 😂
without them our cities are practically defenceless
We should have gotten the Austal OPV based on the enhanced Cape Class. In the long term we need to transfer the Cape Class from the RAN to Border Force and leave border control and constabulary work to Border Force. The RAN should get corvettes, frigates, destroyers and LHD’s plus specialist vessels like mine hunters and focus on war fighting. Also nuclear subs was a stupid idea as we need subs now: we should immediately get German Type 216S diesel that are being used by Singapore and are special forces capable.
I completely agree with you. Although, id probably ask for the new South Korean Submarines, which can carry ballistic and cruise missiles, which is quite helpful, given our acquisition of Tomahawks.
So where are you getting all the crew for all these ships? We can barely put one collins out to sea at the moment. HMAS Sydney has been stuck at Garden Island for 18 months now for some reason. Some of the anzacs are stuck because we don't have enough crew to operate them. The LHD's take alot of resources and even though we have these new cape classes none of them have a main gun because nobody has thought to take the 25mm cannons off the armidales to put on the new boats. Even the 2 arafura's could have the DS30b's from the Huons seconded on to them. Not sure why nobody has thought to put the old 76mm guns from the old adelaides on to the hobarts to give them some upgraded countrer drone capabilities or even a second phalanx on the back of them as well.
nice video lad
Thankyou!
greetings old friend. love the video 10/10, really are improving ! firstly Russia has created 20? Armatas(a test batch) anyways, besides that one thing id expect knowing the conflict in Ukraine has drastically changed how we all view armored combat, i wouldn't be surprised to see the t14 go back to the drawing board and incorporate lessons learned from the Ukrainian conflict. but as we know right now. its better to buy t90ms for the conflict in Ukraine over the t14, just too much at risk for the kremlin to lose. btw, my mans congrats on the sub mile mark, cant wait for you to hit 100 then eventually 1000 :)
Yeah, Ukrainian intelligence claims that 20 of the vehicles have been produced, which is pretty close to the estimates that I've found on the internet. Also thanks for the support! Hopefully I'll be able to reach 80 by the end of the month....
Great video, Cheers.
Thatnkyou!
I hope the Indians "express a interest" to get their hands on one, then we will know just how bad they are. Like when they were partners in the SU57 until they saw flight + radar return data.
An actual photo of the Arafura would have been of great assistance to actually know what you are talking about. There are some videos of the unidentified thing out there, as well.
The thumbnail is literally a picture of the Arafura class.
Rather your opinion, than any comment on SKY,
Thankyou! Honestly, they do have some rather intelligent people who know what they are talking about, but the political games they play are rather tiring.
The review should have taken place before the hunter class commitment, however, the AUKUS agreement has changed everything. I’m a little suspicious of it, unsure, how Australia is going to remain ‘sovereign’ with nuclear subs without the local know how and expertise.
I completely understand that point. To be honest, I have been rather challenged by AUKUS, with my opinion on it being much more negative than before. Regarding your concern, we should be able to operate it as we do have a nuclear industry, however it is extremely underdeveloped and will need huge amounts of investment to get it to work. My biggest concern regarding AUKUS, is the timeframe for the weapons being delivered and if we will actually get them on time. @@RayRay79
@@TheMuddleHeadedAnalyst just to clarify our nuclear expertise is re to medicine only, not nuclear power! Also concerned about how we are going to maintain the Virginia Class subs.
Amphibious vessels with three F-35b each vessel would be the way to go, surface vessel that isn't a aircraft carrier would be defeated by a vessel you could cycle F-35b off the deck to intercept an destroy vessels as a hunting vessel of surface vessel in a war situation
It would be an extremely interesting decision. The main issue with this, would be the required expansion of both our F35 fleets and the procurement of a new vessel that can hold F35s.
Been down this path already. Heck no. Those LHD's are already crew intensive enough without adding F35's to the mix.
I think the best kind of OPV should be in style of the Damen modular OPV, in peace time u need solod gun to blast the pirates and smuglers, and in war time it would be easy to switch modules to other duties like mine laying or anti submarine torpedo pod ex. There fore it wouldt be so expensive and intimidating to foren powers in peace time amd wery usefull in war time
It is a warship which was never meant to go to war
Pretty much. However, the overall design doesn't even manage to make it to that classification. Its so much bigger than the ships its replacing, it just loses any possible use case.
No it's an offshore patrol vessel that is not meant to go to war.
@@carisi2k11 Thats right, it should neve have been classed as a "warship"
The greatest threat to Australia is not China, it's the idiots that make decisions on our future Navy
"Horses for courses"
Could be worse pal, do you guys have any more sailors the Royal navy can "borrow" ours keep retiring before their ship is built.
Nope. We will keep them😁
There is only one gas turbine for high speed travel, operational speed is provided by the four diesel engines / electric drive. The sonar system is superior because of the silent nature of the electric drive, something the Arafura and Hobart don’t have. The change to a high vls model is because the government thinks nuclear submarines will increase asw capability and so they can reduce the number of asw frigates, but the proposed model won’t have a sonar so its essentially going to be a v2 Hobart. The new model will be cheaper than the asw model, so maybe Labour is all about saving money, not military capability.
Thanks for the info! I would say that the newer model would provide a greater capability instead of the old one. The ASW role can be carried out by other assets, and as I did say before, the new model will only be introduced after the 4th ship has been built, providing four vessels optimised for Anti Submarine Warfare. This in turn can be supported by other assets to boost their capacity. Also, I haven't seen any information that points towards your claim that the ship would have no Sonar, which has been standard on almost all Australian vessels of this size. I would greatly appreciate it if you could show me a source for that one.
Those 30mm cannons are probably going to be for drone defence.
fair enough! I was initially confused by their use because of the presence of the CIWS, but that makes sense.