Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni
  • 149
  • 482 221
What Could Go Wrong & Right Up Ahead?
Ed and Eric look forward to the new year.
Переглядів: 5 914

Відео

2025 Outlook: What's Ahead?
Переглядів 10 тис.День тому
Ed and Eric look forward to the new year. 📈 Elevate Your Market Knowledge with Expert Insights After 40 years on Wall Street, I'm offering you a front-row seat to financial expertise. Get ahead with our analysis, charts, and exclusive commentary. ▶️ Grab a FREE month of premium insights: quicktak.es/Yt-0a Join our community for early webcast access, daily insights, and more. Start your journey ...
Inflation: The Good, The Bad & The Ugly
Переглядів 4,9 тис.14 днів тому
Lots of crosscurrents are converging to determine the course of inflation in 2025. So projecting that course takes seeing where those currents are headed, predicting with the aid of historical correlations how they’ll likely impact inflation, then overlaying potential economic scenarios to see how they change the narrative. The result: Dr Ed’s three inflation scenarios-the Good, the Bad, and th...
Roaring 2020s Tour Deep In The Heart Of Texas
Переглядів 4,1 тис.21 день тому
As Taylor Swift ends her Eras tour, Dr Ed starts his Roaring 2020s Tour to meet with our accounts. Last week in Texas, they shared their concerns about the “known unknowns,” as the new administration represents a significant policy regime change. On balance, Trump 2.0 should perpetuate our Roaring 2020s scenario. Fortunately, the US economy and financial markets are resilient and tend to outper...
Live Long & Prosper!
Переглядів 5 тис.Місяць тому
Today, Dr. Ed examines Baby Boomer economics. The Boomers are sitting on sizable nest eggs that continue to expand along with home prices and stock prices. They are starting to spend more of their net worth as they retire. Many Boomers are not empty nesters but have grown children living at home and are providing them with financial support. The population bulge that has had outsized effects on...
Is Trump 2.0 Bullish Or Bearish?
Переглядів 6 тис.Місяць тому
With economic growth robust and the stock market at a record high, we’re living the Roaring 2020s now. The economy’s resilience has been remarkable considering the headwinds it has faced. While the outlook under Trump 2.0 involves lots of moving parts, we don’t see the net effects of his policies jeopardizing the Roaring 2020s’ continuation. In this scenario (with our 55% subjective probability...
Trumped: What a Radical Policy Shift Means for Investors
Переглядів 8 тис.Місяць тому
The US Constitution was designed to promote gridlock. But the benefits of gridlock are undermined by lawmakers’ spending freely because the Constitution lacks a balanced budget requirement. … Gridlock is good for investing, but the stock market tends to do well no matter who is in the White House. Trump’s proposals-representing a radical change from Biden’s policies-are likely to materialize be...
The Fed: Neutral Or Bust? Risking Inflation, Market Meltup, and a Strong Economy
Переглядів 6 тис.Місяць тому
Something’s amiss with Fed Chair Powell’s explanation for lowering the federal fund rate a second time in two months despite an economy he admits is performing remarkably well. He tied the rationale for the move to the theoretical “neutral FFR,” implying that monetary policy needs to be less restrictive to reach that point, even though that point is intrinsically unknowable. Also implied was th...
Bond Vigilantes Are Fed Up
Переглядів 8 тис.Місяць тому
The bond market seems to be ignoring developments that usually halt rising yields in their track. Investors seem focused instead on the stimulus-both fiscal and monetary-that’s likely coming to an economy that doesn’t need it. The effective result: The bond market is tightening the economy itself. The Bond Vigilantes are back and threatening to take the 10-year Treasury bond yield up to the 5% ...
Valuation In A Resilient Economy
Переглядів 4,9 тис.2 місяці тому
Goldman Sachs’ bold projection that the next 10 years may be a “lost decade” for stocks, with mere 3% annual returns, is unlikely in the extreme, says Dr Ed. It seems to rest on the assumption that valuations in the future will be lower than today’s. Even without expanding valuation multiples, earnings growth would likely boost the S&P 500 price index at a pace that’s at least twice Goldman’s p...
Bond Vigilantes Voting Early: Why Rising Treasury Yields Are a Warning to the Fed
Переглядів 16 тис.2 місяці тому
The US presidential and congressional elections aren't until November 5, but the Bond Vigilantes are voting early. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield has risen a whopping 63 basis points to 4.25% since the Fed's September 17-18 meeting (chart). In exit polls, the Bond Vigilantes are saying they are voting against Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish monetary policy because the economy is running ho...
Happy Second Birthday! The bull market turns two
Переглядів 3,4 тис.2 місяці тому
📈 Elevate Your Market Knowledge with Expert InsightsAfter 40 years on Wall Street, I'm offering you a front-row seat to financial expertise. Get ahead with our analysis, charts, and exclusive commentary.▶️ Grab a FREE month of premium insights: quicktak.es/Yt-0aJoin our community for early webcast access, daily insights, and more. Start your journey to smarter investing with us at yardeniquickt...
A Dozen Reasons For None-And-Done
Переглядів 4,3 тис.2 місяці тому
It takes a lot to kill an economic expansion, often a credit crisis during periods of Fed tightening that escalates into a credit crunch and a recession. The latest tightening has ended, and that didn’t happen. Now the latest batch of strong economic data should finally lay to rest the diehard hard-landers’ recession warnings. It should also cast doubt on whether the Fed needed to ease at all o...
No Hard Feelings -- Why the US Economy is Resilient & the Fed's Surprising Move
Переглядів 3,5 тис.2 місяці тому
No Hard Feelings Why the US Economy is Resilient & the Fed's Surprising Move
Fed’s Dream Economy Versus Ours
Переглядів 4,6 тис.3 місяці тому
Fed’s Dream Economy Versus Ours
50 Basis Points: Baked Or Half Baked?
Переглядів 2,8 тис.3 місяці тому
50 Basis Points: Baked Or Half Baked?
Another Growth Scare
Переглядів 4,9 тис.3 місяці тому
Another Growth Scare
Someday, There Will Be A Recession
Переглядів 8 тис.4 місяці тому
Someday, There Will Be A Recession
Powell’s Latest Pivot Won’t Be His Last
Переглядів 6 тис.4 місяці тому
Powell’s Latest Pivot Won’t Be His Last
Get Ready To Short Bonds?
Переглядів 9 тис.4 місяці тому
Get Ready To Short Bonds?
No Recession In Earnings Or In Disinverting Yield Curve
Переглядів 6 тис.4 місяці тому
No Recession In Earnings Or In Disinverting Yield Curve
Dueling Views: Market Uncertainty & Policy Shifts
Переглядів 5 тис.5 місяців тому
Dueling Views: Market Uncertainty & Policy Shifts
Immaculate Disinflation! Lowering of inflation without a recession
Переглядів 2,8 тис.5 місяців тому
Immaculate Disinflation! Lowering of inflation without a recession
It’s Still A Bull Market Until Further Notice
Переглядів 10 тис.5 місяців тому
It’s Still A Bull Market Until Further Notice
Inflation Heading Toward Soft Landing
Переглядів 3,5 тис.6 місяців тому
Inflation Heading Toward Soft Landing
Bull Tramples Even Wall Street’s Bulls: Are we in a stock market melt up?
Переглядів 3,7 тис.6 місяців тому
Bull Tramples Even Wall Street’s Bulls: Are we in a stock market melt up?
The Phillips Curve Ball: Looking at unemployment and inflation
Переглядів 4,1 тис.6 місяців тому
The Phillips Curve Ball: Looking at unemployment and inflation
To Tell The Truth: A dive into the labor market data
Переглядів 4,7 тис.6 місяців тому
To Tell The Truth: A dive into the labor market data
Earnings Tales: What Q1 earnings is showing us
Переглядів 5 тис.7 місяців тому
Earnings Tales: What Q1 earnings is showing us
Will There Be Peace In Our Time? Geopolitical events and the market.
Переглядів 3,6 тис.7 місяців тому
Will There Be Peace In Our Time? Geopolitical events and the market.

КОМЕНТАРІ

  • @crapphone7744
    @crapphone7744 4 години тому

    I can't say I'm surprised to find out that if you're willing to own foxconn, accompanied known for using child labor and slave-like working conditions, you can make a good return! I would prefer to avoid owning that stock no matter how much they make. But then I thought the Confederacy was wrong to fight in favor of slavery, so what do I know?

  • @daveschmarder-US1950
    @daveschmarder-US1950 5 годин тому

    Dude, you're getting a thousand Dells.

  • @alpaino-g9w
    @alpaino-g9w 5 годин тому

    These quick takes are Gold Mr. Yardeni thanks and keep them going, short and sweet.

  • @dgk8821
    @dgk8821 9 годин тому

    Enjoying your quick takes

  • @Lights_Darks
    @Lights_Darks 10 годин тому

    thanks for the quick update! Good trading!

  • @mrshemminger
    @mrshemminger 14 годин тому

    the zombie ratio of russel 2000 has been rising dramatically since 1990s. from 10 percent to over 45 percent! no wonder you dont advocate russel 2000. mag 7 is a cash cow

  • @mrshemminger
    @mrshemminger 14 годин тому

    thanks for the update. you nailed it on your call on russel 2000 and tech

  • @kp2718
    @kp2718 День тому

    These shorts def have potential:) But, as much as I love dr Ed, the background could get freshened up:)

  • @Francisco-y5j9t
    @Francisco-y5j9t День тому

    👍👍

  • @KenjiEspresso
    @KenjiEspresso День тому

    Bull market

  • @SteelyTheVan
    @SteelyTheVan 2 дні тому

    Your initial comment was to focus on what can go right vs the heard talking about what can go wrong. What would be favorable for the us to raise or exceed the debt ceiling?

  • @joshuaburns3167
    @joshuaburns3167 2 дні тому

    It has nothing to do with the fiscal spending. The economy is just organically strong 😂

  • @JacquelynnCheslie
    @JacquelynnCheslie 2 дні тому

    Thank you so much for this amazing video! A bit off-topic, but I wanted to ask: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?

  • @pch5938
    @pch5938 3 дні тому

    I wonder if Musk is going to find waste in EV credits?

    • @Rodviper88
      @Rodviper88 День тому

      He's always said there shouldn't be an ev tax credit.

  • @MrKanjidude
    @MrKanjidude 3 дні тому

    Good episode. I love that you brought up the term "creative destruction" - it might prove to be very useful now when Elon gets the opportunity to influence American politics... I'm bullish, but it is always prudent to keep potential risks in mind.

  • @sewnsew6770
    @sewnsew6770 3 дні тому

    End the income tax and federal reserve and government spending will drop Dramatically

  • @extrememike
    @extrememike 3 дні тому

    How do you subscribe to Ed’s QuickTakes?

  • @MonteRosa849
    @MonteRosa849 3 дні тому

    Your chart on interest on debt payments was very misleading! At this point it’s less than 4% of GDP. It was 5% in the 80’s and 90’!

  • @1ag18
    @1ag18 3 дні тому

    Happy New Year!

  • @WallaceRoseVincent
    @WallaceRoseVincent 3 дні тому

    I'd like to ask Max some questions. Is that possible?

    • @soundsnags2001
      @soundsnags2001 3 дні тому

      Type your question, homie

    • @pch5938
      @pch5938 3 дні тому

      I think you just did

    • @YardeniResearch
      @YardeniResearch День тому

      woof woof

    • @WallaceRoseVincent
      @WallaceRoseVincent День тому

      ​@@YardeniResearchMax, how do you type with those paws?!?! All you have to do is get rid of Ed and take over his channel. You'll be a star!

  • @manuvns
    @manuvns 3 дні тому

    You missed to discuss the fraud company in the markets like Carvana co.

  • @TheNoobTker
    @TheNoobTker 4 дні тому

    Happy New Year guys, thanks for providing this to us retail investors every week!

  • @kp2718
    @kp2718 5 днів тому

    BC the CCP doesn't really want the consumer to be robust or dominant in the economy and doesn't want to just copy western solutions.

  • @nicholasbailey6236
    @nicholasbailey6236 7 днів тому

    I really love Cavalier King Charles spaniels, they're such a friendly and beautiful breed.

  • @Mark-tm2zu
    @Mark-tm2zu 8 днів тому

    Good discussion Ed and Eric. I agree there is inflation risk ahead. Why did Trump win if inflation was such a risk? None of his policies are anti-inflation. DOGE will create chaos! I agree with Powell that there should be 2-3 rate cuts. If it was left to the market to decide rates, I think they would be higher based on the 2&10 year rate action. Tarot ffs are inflationary. Trump seems not understand them! Trump immigration policies will be very upsetting to the country. They are already talking about deporting families-not just criminals.

  • @Mark-tm2zu
    @Mark-tm2zu 8 днів тому

    Good discussion Ed and Eric. I agree there is inflation risk ahead. Why did Trump win if inflation was such a risk? None of his policies are anti-inflation. DOGE will create chaos! I agree with Powell that there should be 2-3 rate cuts. If it was left to the market to decide rates, I think they would be higher based on the 2&10 year rate action. Tarot ffs are inflationary. Trump seems not understand them!

  • @drwho5437
    @drwho5437 8 днів тому

    Insurance hasn't gone up because of Hurricanes!! Its gone up because of higher labor and materials costs. Rates didn't go thru the roof after Katrina or Hugo or Andrew. The rates have only started skyrocketing since Covid. Over priced houses will have to pay overpriced insurance. Its that simple.

  • @slytherben
    @slytherben 9 днів тому

    It wasn't Tom Lee. Ed & Dan Ives called 2024.

  • @ExpositionMedals
    @ExpositionMedals 9 днів тому

    Ed should retire to Mar-a-Lago and let Eric take over.

    • @YardeniResearch
      @YardeniResearch 7 днів тому

      Florida is too hot and crowded for me. I like the four seasons in NY.

    • @RobertsActiveRetirement
      @RobertsActiveRetirement 7 днів тому

      @@YardeniResearch Well no matter where you are, still appreciate your "financial" observations!

  • @LudwigShemika
    @LudwigShemika 10 днів тому

    Appreciate the detailed breakdown! I need some advice: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?

  • @MrKanjidude
    @MrKanjidude 10 днів тому

    I wish Dr Ed would refrain from being so obviously pro-Trump/pro-Musk. He's been in 7th heaven ever since the election. If I were American there's a high probability I would vote that way too, but I try to keep my stock market news stream as unpolitical and objective as possible. 🤔 It will be an interesting year, when expectations meet reality.

    • @davidallen4472
      @davidallen4472 9 днів тому

      I agree with your comment. Yardeni and most market pundits are pro-Trump for 2 reasons: 1) Tax cuts. 2) Regulation cuts. No one, not 1%, discusses the economic impact of deporting millions of essential low-pay hourly workers in agriculture, home building, hotels, etc., etc. Secondly, Trump's consistent campaign promises for Smoot-Hawley-type tariffs are either ignored or discounted as "negotiating tactics" by Yardeni and Co. It will be interesting to see how their narrative changes when the yield on the 10-year UST climbs above 5% due to the significant increase in inflation resulting from Trump's policies and the national debt continues on its current trajectory.

    • @scootertooter6874
      @scootertooter6874 7 днів тому

      I think it's less about Trump/Musk per se...than it is Ed's welcoming/embrace of an approaching set of pro-business, pro-market policies...which will contrast nicely with what we have been forced to endure for the last four years under Obama's third term...eh...uh...I mean under Joe....Yeah....that's the ticket....Joe...

  • @susiel.4738
    @susiel.4738 10 днів тому

    Thank you Ed and Eric 🥳

  • @sudhamagopalan3522
    @sudhamagopalan3522 10 днів тому

    Are you kidding me? A financial services insider like Ed Yardeni has an issue with the SF Fed doing climate change work? Have you seen how the property insurance has changed thanks to hurricanes etc? Wouldn't you want a thoughtful long term solution for the insurance industry that has seen reinsurers and most insurers exit markets like Florida? Adam Smith called himself a moral philosopher. Before math geeks took over, Economics was the Political Economy. The politicians in the country barely get one thing right in a thousand... Let the economists at the Fed do their thing. It's no different from the basic research at the NIH that makes the pharma companies rich at the expense of the people.

    • @evergreen9688
      @evergreen9688 10 днів тому

      What's morality have to do with economics or making money. Homelessness up 19% last year (no economic footprint metrics here). No way to make money on that.

  • @ashpatel2505
    @ashpatel2505 10 днів тому

    Just watch how Musk uses his de facto position to benefit his companies like Starlink, Spacex while helping to cut government spending, 60% plus of which is spent on American citizens to support Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security and other welfare programs! Americans will get another chance to elect a different government if this one doesn’t work out. No harm done! We are used to elect government that really hasn’t work for an average American. We have the history of electing government that doesn’t work,for average Americans! This government has twelve billionaires and they will fix the economy to benefit whom? Any guess?

  • @agentcontrast9784
    @agentcontrast9784 10 днів тому

    that dog in the background is the definition of chillin.

  • @evergreen9688
    @evergreen9688 10 днів тому

    Ed gives Trump talking points.

    • @YardeniResearch
      @YardeniResearch 10 днів тому

      I did the same for Biden. I've often observed that the economy and stock market do amazingly well despite the clowns in the DC circus!

    • @evergreen9688
      @evergreen9688 9 днів тому

      @@YardeniResearch Sir, I am sure you are, and have been, equal handed in your review of differing administrations. I have admired your work dating to your earliest Rukeyser appearances. My reply was touched regarding border and immigration comments that do not highlight an inherently politicized, unsolved issue by both sides. Human lives whether the impoverished on one side or another are worth considering. I hope as investors we all consider the real moral quandary of analysis of investment opportunities apart from the social good. Doing so might might make our caviar go down more smoothly.

  • @MXB67
    @MXB67 10 днів тому

    Beef Wellington IS NOT haute French cuisine!

    • @soundsnags2001
      @soundsnags2001 10 днів тому

      Beef Wellington is just corndogs for rich folk

    • @YardeniResearch
      @YardeniResearch 10 днів тому

      It is when cooked by a French person.

  • @MonteRosa849
    @MonteRosa849 11 днів тому

    If you think Biden is a “mess” what do you think trump is?? A serial fraudster, conman and sexual predator who wants to add trillions upon trillions to the national debt??

  • @robharris5658
    @robharris5658 11 днів тому

    Is Ed angling for a job in the Trump admin?

  • @pch5938
    @pch5938 11 днів тому

    I wonder I Musk is going to find waste in the EV credits?

    • @drwho5437
      @drwho5437 8 днів тому

      Of course he will. He's the only company that doesn't need them. Turns out if you want a reliable electric vehicle, you buy a Tesla. Other car manufacturers are seeing that as we speak.

  • @kp2718
    @kp2718 12 днів тому

    Is the Buffet Ratio still that relevant as winner stocks are becoming larger and larger part of economy, counting so even if the valuation stayed averagish?

  • @kp2718
    @kp2718 12 днів тому

    The year end targets from YR are the most valuable, relatively inexpensive thing, an amateur investor can get online from any kind of analyst out there that is available.

  • @pauljcomp6621
    @pauljcomp6621 12 днів тому

    COOP!

  • @kp2718
    @kp2718 12 днів тому

    80 accounts live and that's half the usual crowd? Nice:))

  • @tajlee1
    @tajlee1 15 днів тому

    Excellent presentation. Thank you. This information should be all over mainstream media. I never thought I would live to see the day that the Fed eases into a melt-up again, just like in the 70s, and there may be an eventual "soft-landing" correction... low-income individuals and households, middle class, low-income renters, low income - "middle class" fixed-income earners, are all in for a rude awakening. The inflation is going to be brutal. Yields are going much, much higher. Unbelievable.

  • @jovianblue
    @jovianblue 16 днів тому

    Perhaps, the swings in corporate profit margins and productivity directly after 2008 represent entrenched businesses able to command higher pricing power but the disruptive technology cycle coinciding after the 2001 recession resulting in lower corporate profit margins. In 2020, perhaps the correlation is with businesses responding to the logistical challenge of COVID and the helicopter money driving the margins somewhat. If the logistics had not been able to solve the COVID problems, I think the margins would have been lower.

  • @jennetal.984
    @jennetal.984 17 днів тому

    Happy Holidays Yardeni and Co. Your optimism is much needed for some these days

  • @sewnsew6770
    @sewnsew6770 17 днів тому

    I find Dr Yardeni and Eric do awesome We live in a simulacra so have to go with the flow More productivity has meant junk loss of quality Example decline in build quality on homes Unhealthy food Etc Can say your life is better but your arteries are full of microplastics and you have diabetes or early onset diabetes And heart disease And your house will fall down in 20 years lol But Ed is great at predicting market trends Happy Holidays

  • @ssuwandi3240
    @ssuwandi3240 17 днів тому

    No good side of prolonged inflation. That wouldn't solve but has worsen the state of Gray economy and main participants. That's why China has been revolting for sake of cheapest energy on earth. Both sides are failed

  • @ufuksenol2005
    @ufuksenol2005 17 днів тому

    Don't simply retire from something; have something to retire to. Start saving, keep saving, and stick to investments. Everyone should have BTC in their portfolio.🌲

    • @PineHosting
      @PineHosting 17 днів тому

      It’s really heartbreaking to see how inflation and recession impact low-income families. The cost of living keeps rising, and many struggle just to meet basic needs, let alone save or invest. It’s a reminder of the importance of finding ways to create financial opportunities. You've helped me a lot sir Robert! Imagine i invested $50,000 and received $190,500 after 14 days

    • @grizbaseball
      @grizbaseball 17 днів тому

      Absolutely! Profits are possible, especially now, but complex transactions should be handled by experienced market professionals.

    • @FannyMontage-xu8id
      @FannyMontage-xu8id 17 днів тому

      Some persons think inves'tin is all about buying stocks; I think going into the stock market without a good experience is a big risk, that's why I'm lucky to have seen someone like mr Robert L Cox.

    • @amytuttle1621
      @amytuttle1621 17 днів тому

      Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things

    • @quantarrow
      @quantarrow 17 днів тому

      Cox demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit