Aswath Damodaran: PRICELESS LECTURE About The Stock Market (Every Investor MUST WATCH)

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  • Опубліковано 16 гру 2023
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 300

  • @Raymondjohn2
    @Raymondjohn2 14 днів тому +1391

    Protecting your capital is much more important than making money. Basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much harder. ''Missing the train'' vs. ''losing your money''. There are a lot of trains, but if your money is gone, it's over.

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira 14 днів тому +3

      Wall Street pitched so-called quality stocks with high profitability and low debt, as a kind of insurance against whatever the economy might throw at you. Quality stocks have underperformed the S&P500 this year, My $200k portfolio is down by approximately 20 %, any recommendations to scale up my returns on investment

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 14 днів тому +5

      Nobody knows anything You need to create your own process, manage risk and stick to the plan, through thick or thin While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.

    • @kevinmarten
      @kevinmarten 14 днів тому +2

      Thats true, I've been getting assisted by a FA for almost a year now, I started out with less than $200K and I'm just $19,000 short of half a million in profit.

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira 14 днів тому +2

      Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?

    • @kevinmarten
      @kevinmarten 14 днів тому +2

      Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

  • @pankajkulkarni3189
    @pankajkulkarni3189 4 місяці тому +72

    Professor Damodaran is the gold standard of valuation. Lucky to listen to him free on YT :)

  • @TheHarveySpectre
    @TheHarveySpectre 6 місяців тому +131

    This is a gem of a lecture. Griping, riveting and insightful. I now understand why sir is called God of Valuation 👏🏼

    • @marcofumagalli8147
      @marcofumagalli8147 5 місяців тому +2

      very impressive lecture. Funny and serious at the same time. Remarkable

    • @RobertTheNerd1688
      @RobertTheNerd1688 5 місяців тому

      Op-😢

    • @PiSi-kc2ji
      @PiSi-kc2ji 13 днів тому

      People from India have a general cliché sycophantic link with the word “sir”. One hears it overall when one visits the country. They claim it has to do with “respect”, and such other noble words. That could be partly true. But as a witness, I can say with certainty a lot of it has to do with sycophancy in today’s times. Absolutely disgusting!

  • @MartB-tx5lb
    @MartB-tx5lb 6 місяців тому +28

    Damn, ten minutes in and I can tell this is gonna be great, thanks for posting!

  • @nicolaashanekom9615
    @nicolaashanekom9615 4 місяці тому +13

    Absolutely brilliant! Pure artistic expression. The man is a genius.

  • @naidugovind4264
    @naidugovind4264 4 місяці тому +3

    Probable, plausible, possible....that technique will stick in my mind forever

  • @lesmadhavji3164
    @lesmadhavji3164 6 місяців тому +7

    WOW / YOU ARE A GOOD TEACHER / YOU OPEN MY EYES /

  • @master_east
    @master_east 4 місяці тому +1

    that’s the best 1-hour investment/valuation lecture, covering different aspects with great explanations

  • @coastalhillbilly3419
    @coastalhillbilly3419 4 місяці тому +4

    So good!
    As a frugal simpleton always liked basic math to save money on budget, expenses and later the magic and power of getting compound interest vs paying interest and love hearing and telling a good yarn.
    Tried my hand at investing in individual companies did ok but too easy to get emotional about after tax money invested in individual companies. Did so much better (life changing for a small fish) with hammering pre-tax dollars into Vanguard accounts, especially the large cap ones that have the handful of the biggest companies that seem to make the majority of all the profits.
    Thank you for the content, truly enlightened

  • @rupertpupkin27
    @rupertpupkin27 6 місяців тому +39

    This is gold for investors and traders.....understanding probabilities is the the key to calculating risk and limiting your downside. Another valuable insight is looking at investments in terms of evolving narratives, instead of a fixed or finite reality.

  • @HJ-fr6ku
    @HJ-fr6ku 4 місяці тому

    One of my favorite prof, he is rock star because he inspires by his level of engagement with his class. I wish him continued success and happiness

  • @ajaymamtani
    @ajaymamtani 5 місяців тому +3

    Wow. Simple, Lucid and Awesome.

  • @fathiyul
    @fathiyul 5 місяців тому +7

    Your story drives your valuation

  • @sahebvirmani5836
    @sahebvirmani5836 6 місяців тому +5

    Too good of a lecture❤❤

  • @basssinnathamb1950
    @basssinnathamb1950 5 місяців тому +11

    Absolutely enthralled by the organic wisdom shared by the lecturer - undeniably one of the greatest!

  • @subash15
    @subash15 5 місяців тому +3

    Great lecture .. very captivating!! Thanks you for the insights Sir !!

  • @chenlim2165
    @chenlim2165 6 місяців тому +3

    Wow, so many gems in this talk, especially the bit about capex at the end. Also LOL $MSFT undervalued as an "Old tech" company - great call in 2017.

  • @chucko31499
    @chucko31499 4 місяці тому

    Guided here by his Prof G podcast interviews - so eloquent and concise

  • @rramach9091
    @rramach9091 6 місяців тому +53

    Wow! This is one of those lectures which teaches uou something deep and basic about not just investing but also life in general. We pursue the desire to understand so we can control outcomes but luck plays a greater role in life than we want to admit.

    • @VolroxMelchors
      @VolroxMelchors Місяць тому +1

      Bro if u understood that much then plz ans-
      How to come up with a number to each part of our story?
      Like how the market is $100 B & not 80 or 120 B.
      How its margins are 40% and not 30 or 55
      How u say it will capture 10% market share and not 5% more or less?

  • @vijaykrishnan852
    @vijaykrishnan852 4 місяці тому

    He would have become a great salesman! I m not even interested in investing in stocks, but this lecture is so captivating that I watched the entire video. Now, I am going to do my research to invest in stocks. Kudos to you, sir.

  • @75blackviking
    @75blackviking 5 місяців тому +18

    I immediately liked this gentleman and his presentation. This kind of insight is worth its weight in gold.

    • @ParryM1991
      @ParryM1991 5 місяців тому +2

      He’s a legend! And it’s good that you also discovered him!

  • @mrityunjaypathak8792
    @mrityunjaypathak8792 5 місяців тому +1

    In fact, it is priceless knowledge transfer ! Hundred likes from my side !!

  • @Vidyasagarbb
    @Vidyasagarbb 6 місяців тому +6

    Wow. Brilliant and BEST master class on the Investing, Businesses & Valuation.,.

  • @mwesigwad7803
    @mwesigwad7803 5 місяців тому +2

    Amazing delivery by the Prof

  • @JustinCase-em6ql
    @JustinCase-em6ql 5 місяців тому +5

    Absolutey fantastic teaching.
    Thank you for posting this event.

  • @ucukaoma4551
    @ucukaoma4551 4 місяці тому +2

    I like this!!
    This a great marketing class…how to sell.
    This lecture validates: diversity is the spice of life!
    Love it!!👏🏾👏🏾

  • @bramueloyula8370
    @bramueloyula8370 Місяць тому +1

    I bought a certain stock in my country after seeing it rising, month after month. Just after I purchased the share pricing started falling untill I sold at loss. This lecture has really helped me. Thank you.

  • @slamwalk
    @slamwalk 5 місяців тому +4

    Thank you for sharing this!

  • @sunilmathew9680
    @sunilmathew9680 18 днів тому

    I like your class very much sir. You teach like in the IIM'S and the IVY LEAGUE institutions. God bless you.

  • @p.d.stanhope7088
    @p.d.stanhope7088 13 днів тому +4

    Stories are never written, but re-written.

  • @user-ti8yf3zz8c
    @user-ti8yf3zz8c 4 місяці тому

    It's a wow lecture...good examples with insightful stories...end of the day luck plays a big role...

  • @ravi.annadurai
    @ravi.annadurai 5 місяців тому +22

    Fantastic lecture by Professor Aswath. While his content is great and I liked the way he has engaged with audience and carried the story. Thanks a lot

  • @emphyrio
    @emphyrio 4 місяці тому

    Great great presentation! Changing stories. Netflix up tp 500? Tesla >2mln per year. All evolving. I’m too old but would liked this great prof to be my teacher!!

  • @zacharylockhart4550
    @zacharylockhart4550 9 днів тому +1

    Masterpiece, offered by a Master.

  • @trevorndhlovu3381
    @trevorndhlovu3381 23 дні тому

    Your story drives the valuation -- Damodaraan

  • @mariostellino
    @mariostellino 4 місяці тому

    Brilliantly sincere ...my suggestion is learning technical analysis first ..as a self-defense instrument. If value and technical confim both ..then you are most probably in a very high probability scenario.

  • @mkarichu1
    @mkarichu1 5 місяців тому +2

    Wow, very authentic lecture

  • @sudiptodas6272
    @sudiptodas6272 5 місяців тому +1

    Amazing narrative to make a point, could have said it in a thousand different ways and did it in one of the best ways possible

  • @NancyHampton-cn8hh
    @NancyHampton-cn8hh 4 місяці тому

    This class is too good to be free!

  • @kte3847
    @kte3847 5 місяців тому

    Thanks for posting this.

  • @chilieu2621
    @chilieu2621 5 місяців тому

    I love this so much

  • @shanki_bks
    @shanki_bks 4 місяці тому

    Very informative, thought provoking.!!

  • @speedy0
    @speedy0 5 місяців тому

    Priceless 💯

  • @xushenxin
    @xushenxin 5 місяців тому

    Good lesson!

  • @Wooster77
    @Wooster77 5 місяців тому +1

    It would be nice if you’d mention the date on which each presentation you post took place.

  • @shankerpai5052
    @shankerpai5052 5 місяців тому

    Favourite book .." Money ball "..
    ...

  • @Gengingen
    @Gengingen 24 дні тому

    When the valuers are looking to other valuers in order to value such as with “Keynes beauty contest” vs the game-proper based upon Macro-Economic extrinsic factors such as excess liquidity due to loose Federal-reserve policies & excess fiscal stimulus, it is a whole another level 😊

  • @sureshravindran4064
    @sureshravindran4064 4 місяці тому

    Amazing. Mind boggling 😮

  • @DF-ss5ep
    @DF-ss5ep 5 місяців тому +1

    Now that, is a smart guy

  • @althafyoosuf7945
    @althafyoosuf7945 6 місяців тому +15

    I remember you correctly valued zomato and it reverted to mean and the price you projected... Amazing 🌷

    • @mx.j262
      @mx.j262 5 місяців тому +2

      I heard about him during the Adani enterprises crash but I think Adani did not go as low as he predicted

    • @amanraturi173
      @amanraturi173 4 дні тому

      @@mx.j262 and just look at adani now

  • @pro1427
    @pro1427 5 місяців тому

    Loved the explanation! Now I'm curious what are the 10 worst markets?

  • @pharmacistips860
    @pharmacistips860 4 місяці тому +1

    Excellent lecture

  • @saudjan9358
    @saudjan9358 6 місяців тому

    Gr8 lecture.

  • @burkedetailedpaintingcompany
    @burkedetailedpaintingcompany 2 дні тому +1

    Thank you.

  • @shankerpai5052
    @shankerpai5052 5 місяців тому

    My deginition of capex ASWATH DAMODARAN

  • @0xSLN
    @0xSLN 4 місяці тому

    Great lecture!

  • @community1854
    @community1854 6 місяців тому

    Very interesting..😊

  • @vivsiv
    @vivsiv 4 місяці тому

    Uber== ride match maker, fortunate to come across this narrative!!

  • @piyushminat1577
    @piyushminat1577 5 днів тому

    Prof damodaran is so crisp, fluent and quick with his English and content that I have to tune playback speed to 0.75X from normal - as I kept rewinding multiple times 😅

  • @bradsalz4084
    @bradsalz4084 6 місяців тому +7

    When was this class recorded? How do you select lectures that are generic enough and important enough to archive?

  • @ptpt5662
    @ptpt5662 5 місяців тому +1

    ..so soporific

  • @londonbali4334
    @londonbali4334 4 місяці тому

    Thnx

  • @islandcactus1508
    @islandcactus1508 5 місяців тому +5

    Great teacher! Had him in 03 and we used to called him Apu! He laughed and we all laughed

  • @josephdirnfeld3593
    @josephdirnfeld3593 5 місяців тому

    Like the way you structure the task.
    With tesla , you failed because you are not aware
    Of the evolving story. It takes effort to keep up
    With the evolution.

  • @noblesinghraina
    @noblesinghraina 2 місяці тому

    Excellent

  • @chandracoomaraswamy3272
    @chandracoomaraswamy3272 5 місяців тому

    Is it possible to download the slide set you used during your lecture?

  • @adityabhadauria4892
    @adityabhadauria4892 2 дні тому

    Lucky to be here

  • @AntagonisticAsian
    @AntagonisticAsian 2 місяці тому +405

    While this provide an actual strategy on investing and how to value stocks. After buying stocks for just over 3 years, i'm struggling to make gains. How do i adjust or revamp my 250k portfolio? Should i consider some defensive investments?

    • @sommersalt88
      @sommersalt88 2 місяці тому +1

      In this current unstable markets, It is advisable to diversify while retaining 70-80% in secure investments. looking at the worth of your portfolio, you should consider financial advisory

    • @Curbalnk
      @Curbalnk 2 місяці тому +2

      Agreed, my portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% from early last year to date. All thanks to my advisr. We are currently working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take another year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.

    • @blaquopaque
      @blaquopaque 2 місяці тому

      great gains there! mind sharing details of your advisor pleas? i've started gaining more cash flow with my employment and looking at putting money into stocks and alternative assets that can help build wealth over time

    • @Curbalnk
      @Curbalnk 2 місяці тому +5

      She goes by ‘’Jennifer Leigh Hickman’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.

    • @greekbarrios
      @greekbarrios 2 місяці тому

      Thank you for sharing, I must say, Jennifer appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call

  • @IWarsi123
    @IWarsi123 8 годин тому

    valuation legend

  • @rhatid
    @rhatid 6 місяців тому +2

    I listened to the whole lecture and it further reinforce my decision to buy etfs and index funds to boot! I am not interested enough to go that route even though I am an econometrician, or perhaps it ''s because I'm an econometrician. I am not curious about those stories perhaps also because I focus on macroeconomics which is specious enough for me. Entertaining lecture though.

    • @donchristie420
      @donchristie420 5 місяців тому +1

      Yes, and just put money in every month-easy

    • @rhatid
      @rhatid 5 місяців тому

      @@donchristie420 Indeed! In fact what happened in my case. I gave my son £800 for passing 8 GCSE subjects (UK) at age 16 and he asked me to save it for him; I dumped in into an index etf (the FTSE 100 in fact) and left it for some year and later moved it to another fund that looked like an index fund, walks like an index fund, and quacks like an index fund, although it is not defined as an index fund nor marketed as an index fund (it is an active fund) - I won’t say the name because I don’t want to start a debate about Fundsmith. Anyway, it showed a better rate of return and thought I recognised that animal and it looks fast, so I put it there and left it. Now 20 years later, his £800 is worth £16,354.69, = 20.44337 times more - I checked it on 27 November, Oh a month ago today! I haven’t lost a nanosecond of sleep and I’m sure there were years where I didn’t even bother to check it because it would pretty much take the collapse of the Western financial system to lose his saving in such an ‘index’ fund. My son, at least that one, is not a spendthrift and I have thought for a while that I really should give him back his money - but he has always refused to take it when I have offered it, though I tell him “go on take it and you can replace your 25 year old Toyota with a second-hand pre-pubescent Tesla, or even perhaps a new BYD if you’re prepared to pay on installments”. Hmmm, I think it’s a Civic … that would mean it has to be a Honda. … hmmm… Nowadays, I'm attracted to a Global Index Fund because, among other things, that quacking animal cost too much (over 1%!) so I am thinking Vanguard or such low cost GIF. Hmmm… low cost index, yum!

  • @Mathhead2000
    @Mathhead2000 5 місяців тому +1

    When was this lecture given and where?

  • @binkding
    @binkding 4 місяці тому +1

    1:20:40 here's my definition of faith. When you're 85 on death bed, you made 8.1% by active investing, spending few hours every week the last 60 years, if you put in SPY you would have made 8.2% - are you ok with that? If no, then don't play, just put in SPY. If yes, need to enjoy the process.
    1:22:30 how can you tell your analysis was correct/did a good job (resulting)? LUCK is the dominant paradigm in this business.

  • @thelayman6189
    @thelayman6189 5 місяців тому +4

    Let me admit, this was the first time I saw him talk pure subject, pure domain knowledge... Yes it was impressive. Till now all his videos I have seen in one way or other were scornful or mocking the decisions and govt. of his country of origin which made it uncomfortable for me to appreciate his mastery (most expats do that) ... Even this video I had opened reluctantly and was pleasantly surprised !!
    Edit: I find the story telling beautiful and impressive..... though not exactly a technical lesson on valuation !!

  • @drewtalks
    @drewtalks 5 місяців тому +2

    Not a very lively xommebt section but great lecture

  • @Bledi838
    @Bledi838 Місяць тому +4

    The Stock Market Doesn't work anymore on Valuation....but on Bubblation.

  • @sgbckup
    @sgbckup 5 місяців тому +6

    Dear Prof Aswath, I'm one of the 100s of 1000s who are very impressed with your lectures. I'm curious to know: Isn't it a good idea to value countries exactly following the same model as you use to value companies? The purpose may be to invest in the country, either in primary market or secondary market, or even as the promoter of a company. If yes, won't it be a better alternative to info provided by rating agencies? Why are there no such agencies rating countries? Thanks

    • @ehknrajkumar1
      @ehknrajkumar1 5 місяців тому +1

      I like the thought. In my opinion, getting numbers is far easier than getting the stories right... Eg: If it's a democratic country, you never know who'll come to power next and how they would change the growth story, and how much foreign investors would be sold on the revised story.

    • @weizinho6312
      @weizinho6312 5 місяців тому +1

      Hello Sir, i hope I understood the question correctly but there is some difficulty related to this question. Countries don't provide Cashflow Statements, their GDP Growth i highly related to the currencies and to the businesses they have: Let's take one example to illustrate the dificulty: Russia's GDP growth / decline is highly related to the oil and its price they sell to other countries and how strong their own currency is. It is also a country without democracy. As summary: In valuation all these country factors (inflation, political risks, currency risk, etc.) go into the equation of a country-risk-premium which can be achieved in different ways (it depends a lot how good a country can be tracked). Often it can be calculated as a difference between the bond rate of the country minus a riskfree rate. At the moment an investment in Russia should lead to a higher return to compensate for the higher risk one takes. A country risk should always be implemented in company valuation.

  • @ChristopherRyan84
    @ChristopherRyan84 6 місяців тому

    the oompa loompas im dying. this guy is gold

  • @Shubham0811
    @Shubham0811 5 місяців тому

    Underappreciated book acc to Prof Ashwat is Money ball.

  • @jakal1591
    @jakal1591 4 місяці тому

    The only lesson i got from this is that you can go wrong even if youre an expert

  • @Skaahn
    @Skaahn Місяць тому +1

    2:18 Hidden meaning in the book. There are lots of hidden meanings in financial statements

  • @MrMehrd
    @MrMehrd 5 місяців тому +1

    33:30 possible plausible probable ?

  • @azducatiramirez5470
    @azducatiramirez5470 4 місяці тому

    ok, but what are the returns on his personal portfolio?

  • @chesterchambers9643
    @chesterchambers9643 4 місяці тому

    A price is a number from today multiplied by a story about tomorrow.

  • @gauravlboro
    @gauravlboro 5 місяців тому

    When is this lecture circa from?

  • @daveyvane9431
    @daveyvane9431 6 місяців тому +1

    Ferrari earings up 48% Y/Y. Stock 2017 about $95, now it is $327

    • @ChristopherRyan84
      @ChristopherRyan84 6 місяців тому

      they went public, and jumped onto the hybrid wagon, and the smaller engine but use turbos because theyre more environmentally conscious now, that helped them

  • @rarora2195
    @rarora2195 6 місяців тому +48

    Turns out the bit about number crunchers never really becoming good story tellers is not really true. Look at Mr Damodaran's transformation to agreat story teller !!

    • @bigbubba4314
      @bigbubba4314 5 місяців тому +1

      Your post is the perfect example about his comment regarding his mother-in law and the VW. You are using a single anecdote, him, as your proof that number crunchers have an easy time telling stories. Well done!

    • @williamharter1142
      @williamharter1142 4 місяці тому

      Q

    • @suyashmisra394
      @suyashmisra394 2 місяці тому

      Him not being a storyteller is a story he tells so that his more numbers oriented students can dare to venture into storytelling

  • @chetananand2026
    @chetananand2026 5 місяців тому +1

    Watching this episode in middle of new year party

  • @G_Singh1313
    @G_Singh1313 5 місяців тому +2

    All I can say is he is a really good story teller........Up to you,you believe it as a fiction , fantasy or autobiography

    • @jamaroo1881
      @jamaroo1881 5 місяців тому

      Everybody is. Some via a lousy comment some via a genuine lecture

  • @charanraghunandan29
    @charanraghunandan29 28 днів тому

    At US market cap of 55 tn plus, how much of over valuation is this?

  • @VolroxMelchors
    @VolroxMelchors Місяць тому

    How to come up with a number to each part of our story?
    Like how the market is $100 B & not 80 or 120 B.
    How its margins are 40% and not 30 or 55

  • @user-gb8qo1nz5v
    @user-gb8qo1nz5v 4 місяці тому

    Modern design financial system is totally dependent on 5000 years ago.

  • @tushanbenz6314
    @tushanbenz6314 14 днів тому

    nice

  • @MrMehrd
    @MrMehrd 5 місяців тому

    Have story to back your numbers, he mentioned Uber&Ferrari story.

  • @user-fb8jb5yi6g
    @user-fb8jb5yi6g 5 місяців тому +1

    This must be from prior to 2012? He's not infected with the mind virus. He's exuding joy and love for his craft.

  • @jfk5402
    @jfk5402 5 місяців тому

    Uber closed at last day of this year $126.7B valuation.... But still, extremely good lecture, really enjoyed it.

    • @petermaag9622
      @petermaag9622 5 місяців тому

      Netflix. Only revenues of 30bn, but still at 5 hundo and actually thats after a 7to1 split in 2015.

    • @BR-ef8nl
      @BR-ef8nl 5 місяців тому

      And Tesla produced 1.8 mln cars in 2023. x3 more than in the evaluation. The lecture is good, but you have to use your own evaluation for the lecture as well 🤓

  • @gorallogaia
    @gorallogaia 5 місяців тому

    I like the story of Karoooo

  • @Husain_bohra
    @Husain_bohra 8 днів тому

    in which year was the lecture recorded?

  • @shankerpai5052
    @shankerpai5052 5 місяців тому

    " old tech "
    " Middle age tec "
    " new tech '
    ..SCIENCE OF SUCCESS ....

  • @WasteSecond
    @WasteSecond 6 днів тому

    possible, plausible, probable

  • @yas46
    @yas46 4 місяці тому

    I wanna know where did Tesla find all the Umpalumpa