I was literally just doing some calculations of Ukraine population and military age men. Minus the annexed regions, minus the recorded outgoing/ingoing border crossings, minus the disabled, minus women, children old men, minus the ones that fled the draft, minus an unknown amount that have gone to Hungary, Belarus and Russia, minus the 1 million that have already been mobilised for some kind of military capacity.... Ukraine could have at most 4 million military age males left and logic dictates that most of the ones less are unwilling, or they would have already volunteered. There is also a study by Austria that says Ukraine already, currently will never recover demographically from this conflict.
We know the only country in the world for which it is profitable to have this war in Europe. And this country across the Atlantic Ocean did its best to make it happen.
I think both will be forced to mobilize and it won't be just them after that. This conflict has a ripple effect on the rest of the world, and it's not going to be good news if the best we have is hard hitting media coverage from Europe, while getting excuses from their leaders, and Americans arguing over Taylor Swift, instead of stepping up and doing what they've done in the past, and we all know they can do again.
Actually, there has been quite a bit of calm there since 2017, but then Putin himself had to intervene because the separatists he supported since 2014 were no longer achieving success and had taken over too little land.
I always say: "Why not compromise on weapon deliveries? Whoever wants that can buy anything- with their own money. And he has to volunteer to fight at least 1 year in Ukraine."
No it's not. Russia relies on Western tech, obviously. The West invented all technology, owns the IP to it all... Russia can only copy what it can and import what it can't- which is still around 50% of the components it uses. There are aren't any microchip fabs - Russia just cannot do it. China can do some (setup by the West, of course) but not all, especially in nm RF, optics and sub 10 um microchips The one area Russia has true expertise in is aerodynamics and rocket engines... a legacy of the USSR
It is true. Advanced semiconductors are not produced by Russia or its allies. Even China struggles... and wants Taiwan to solve this problem. I mean... where are Russian's Himars?
@@simonlangevin-ouellet8539 the part you get wrong is that you don't need 7nm technology for military equipment. Also Russia does have equivalent to HIMARS, they have Tornados and they have their own GPS system called GLONAS. One example is an F22 used Pentium 90 which is like 250 NM and larger. To a newer chip of 90nm. China manufactures and has cpus down to 23nm at least.
@waltonsimons9082 Everything i said is a fact and easily verifiable. You're probably one of those people that just listens to the media and takes their word for it. Here's more technical details. The f22 use a Pentium 90 equivalent. Now you can go and easily find out what nanometer that cpu is and you can gladly come back and apologise.
you can proof that statement ? you can also argue "Russia is advancing coz the ukrainians lost their best troops already in bakhmut and other battles" or how about this.. "the only reason i lost the chess game is because i lost my queen and 2 bishops and 1 knight" you agree that its a bitchy argument, right ?@@kurtwinslow2670
@@alphazero6571 2 million people are dead?More then that die of old age per year, anyway it is tragic that Ukraine has suffered over 100,000 casualties.
Looks clear that now they realized the war is lost, the narrative is trying to sell this as a tie to force kiev to negotiate and then sell this like a victory😂😂😂
putin is not negotiating a damn thing unless his counteroffensive stalls...the time for ukraine to negotiate was when they had the russians in retreat....but zelensky got proud and wanted weapons for a "counteroffensive" instead of defensive weapons to keep russians were they were and suceed territory to them. the war would have been over at that time.
@@coldspirit9904Problem is that Russia would let them join Nato in exchange for territory. Without the rest of Ukraine in Nato it would have been a temporary ceasefire and then Russia would just attack again fir more territory in a few months or years.
@@reubenmcmurray4377 All that NATO- nonsens was the main reason of the war ! Putin wants Ukraine to be a buffer-state with Neutrality-Status. He said that again and again - but Ukraine and the West play deaf. Putin will never accept Ukraine to be a NATO-member (US military bases in U) !
None, Not one of the western media picked up on this but continue to push the story that the Ukrainians pushed the Russians back. They've completely drowned this.
If neither side made any real gains at the cost of too many lives it could create that precedent. However that would require at least a year or two more of "stalemate". Ukraine's biggest issue isn't manpower but rather running out of ammunition and money. Russia won't pull out because at the moment it's 5-1 ammunition advantage for Russia. With a front line this massive Russia will certainly be pushing hard and soon
Putin could freeze it if it seems like it will be unsustainable to occupy the territory due to civilian resistance. The number of troops and resources required to maintain a functioning state if the entire population of an area hates you is much higher than fighting a conflict.
Especially, it is hard for the world to really isolate Russia like NK... In 3-5 years probably the sanctions will be lifted regularly, I mean they are part of the G-20 (one of the biggest global economic powers)
Similar strength? Similar strength you said? How could you say that? The ONLY reason Ukraine can survive this long JUST BECAUSE they got military aid from the hypocrite west Even with their help, Ukraine still found it that it's really hard to hold Russian movement. Ukraine without western hypocrite support will lose the war in just 9 seconds ... Ukraine have similar power with Russia is laughable
No. Actually two scenarios. Scenario no. 1: Making peace with Russia and saving what's left of Ukraine. Scenario no. 2: Keep war with Russia going on which will result in the total collapse of the Ukraine.
See John Mearshimer for his excellent analysis and explanation of Ukraine-Russia conflict. His analysis is more authentic and more truthful than your description. Just saying
You mean little countries, joined to NATO, because they are afraid from Russia. Russia is the biggest country in the world, with several 1000 nuclear warheads. Threatened? You should use your brain...
If you encircle Russia you can control large parts of its trade and economic future. Use your brain. It is a threat without an army or nukes to Russia. It is like saying: is a Chinese base in Mexico/Cuba/Panama a threat to America.
@@expoliceman666 НАТО приближается к России. И средства ПВО, которые есть у НАТО могут перехватывать российское оружие. И оружие НАТО ядерное приближается к России. Подлетное время. Ты лжец
@expoliceman666 nice try… but these “little countries” easily invite Americans with missiles and other stuff. Russia couldn’t afford Crimea hosting American navy for example
If John McCain and Lindsay Graham ever come visiting, telling you what good fellows you are and that America is right behind you, you should know you're for it. The Angels of Death personified.
That meeting between Graham and Zelenski was one of the crepiest things I have ever seen. Graham was all smiles talking about this was the best investment the US has ever made. A great investment indeed. The US offloaded it’s old junk weapons and transferred taxpayer money to the MIC. The elites got their kick backs and Ukraine got destroyed to kill a few tens of thousands Russian. Many of whom where actually Ukrainian separatists, convicts, mercenaries and poor ethnic minorities.
Reading the comments here I'm thinking Damn! What a shame NATO and Ukraine don't have access to these brilliant minds because they seem to know so much more about governing and military operations than the upper echelons and the militaries of those 2 entities 😄
Hardly a surprise , I've dealt with military brass , they are largely conventional minded and quite dim in war there is a 50% chance than one will loose , usually the side which believe it know everything and underestimate the opposition
The thing is not that the commentators are smarter than the top brass, it is the assumption that the people who decided to go to war are just plain evil and worse beings than a good person on the street can even imagine. For Joe Biden and his cronies, the war went perfectly: For a fraction of their military budget, they bled Russia substantially. Lyndsey Graham even said so on the record.
@@juamu1132 Mobilization has never stopped. You might have not read it, but Putins decree never stated an upper boundary of 300 000. That was just the official estimate. Legally however, they can keep going. But most of their manpower are actually volunteers. As russia is a poor empire, many of its subjects live in poverty, especially in the vast eastern provinces. They are glad to take up a well paid job in the military.
russia is has the biggest economy in europe and all if its force a re volunteers with prior military experience. There are no conscripts in the conflict @@JG-xi4tu
Russia never said they could take Kyiv in three days... General Miley said this .. also he said "72 hours" not three days Russia does not have to take territory. It can fight from a fixed position while sucking Ukrainian forces in - bakhmut and Avdiivka, and wear the Ukrainians down with multiple time the artillery and men Then take territory as they want Its not if Ukraine looses.. it's now how much they will loose
its probably due something connected with rich ukrainian soil what make time in ukraine flow slower than in rest of the world, for example few hours of counter-terrorist operation declared by former president poroshenko already lasts for whole decade.
Total B S. Pu tin personally hasnt said that, but his closesr ally Lukashenko publicly said "3 or 4 days are the maximum needed". It is even without mentioning (highly contolled) hosts of political shows on state-owned TV channels, who constantly spoke about "several days and it is over".
Dear Deutsche Wokelle, you forgot the currently most likely Scenario no. 4: Total Ukrainian defeat. I do not care about your reasons for lying to your audience (as you do now and then when covering some particular topics), but you cannot be so delusional that you are unconsciously and unreflexively lying to your own pocket? Or... Can you?
@@monumentaltravel3745 I am not Russian nor pro-Russian... But fine then. Time will tell. I have no problem admitting that I was wrong would the future turn differently than expected.
Only two years into the war and Ukraine has shortages of frontline combat troops. You can't force a people to fight if they are not motivated to sacrifice. This is a huge country of 44 million they can easily create many battalions of light infantry and shock the russians with large wave attacks. If you fight on Russian terms and wait for a whole bunch of highly complex and expensive equipment trying to build a highly mechanized army to try to match that of Russia's then you will lose. Amount of equipment that you will never get in any case.
Exactly, they have more than enough people to create a force big enough to stop the Russians for a few months and then (after training) even getting some territories back. Let's not forget they're not poorly equipped considering all NATO weapons sent. Their problem is the people are a bunch of cowards willing to sacrifice their countrymen and a chunk of their territory
Except it can't because when you break down the demographics and numbers Ukraine has about 4-5 million military age males left, at MOST. Ukraine is about 35 million subtracting the areas that were annexed and Crimea. The recorded border crossings are at least -10 million. There's millions of unrecorded emigration to Hungary, Belarus and Russia. 3 million disabled Ukrainians who can't fight, 650,000 men who fled drafting, the age demographic of fighting males is about 16% of the end number, - 1 million who were already mobilised. It's about 4-5 million military age and those who remain are unwilling to fight, if they were they would have volunteered. This is exactly why Ukraine is currently having recruiting issues.
Ukraine no longer has 44 million People. Half the People left and are not willing to sacrifice for the maníac coke snorter of a president Ukr has. Zelensky by stepping away from the negotiation table effectively converted Ukraine into a small country. The sooner you come to terms with that, the better.
Sir, i remember watching a clip early in the war a Ukrainian officer said they cannot fight like in WW2 anymore, they simply dont have it in them. Another era and mindset. In essence you are correct, to break the Russians they need to do something totally different than what Russian's doing. But this will not happen for many reasons. Your experience might be from a previous war in another part of the world, culture, religion, mentality, etc are vastly different
The EU has no excuses for there limited production capacity for aid. It was obvious to everyone with an IQ higher than a doormat that they needed to go into a war economy two years ago irrelevant of the outcome in Ukraine. Its not that the EU cannot supply Ukraine its that they decided not to, America isn't doing much more but at least they can claim that its a far away problem so there tardiness is a little more understandable. It must be pretty embarrassing that North Korea is supplying over 3x in terms of artillery something so basic even the smaller nations could have been producing if they wanted.
Well said. The delay and refusal to increase military aid to Ukraine and to ramp up military industrial production of EU leaders is honestly criminal and will increase the risk for more war and escalation.
Rule no 1: Don't trust anything promised by the Brit govt. I quite understand the dilemma facing Zelenskyy, if he makes peace, he will be hunted by the western countries. Are you really sure the donation package is really "free"? No, it's a debt to be paid. But dreaming of defeating Russia doesn't make sense in my opinion either. It will be a "tired" moment for the people of Ukrainian.
You cannot reach a lasting peace agreement with the most evil man of our century. I didn't know Putin was so spectacularly evil, until I learned about Navalny and so many other people who have simply spoken out against Putin, and been ever so mysteriously killed. That Does Not Happen In The US. Russians, you were told that, weren't you?
É verdade 😂 Meio trilhões de dólares o ZELENSK vai deixando pro povo ucraniano pagar,entre mortos e mutilados tem aproximadamente 1milhão e as viúvas e os filhos das viúvas!? Capacho do USA que queria destruir a Rússia economicamente,OTAN e USA deixa Europa que subserviente com economia cada dia pior vendendo seu gás 5×mais do que o gás Rússia,USA com uma economia em decadência e perdidos no tabuleiro da geopolítica,sai Baden entra trump e nada vai mudar,vão continuar indo para o fundo poço. O BRICS+ vem ai..
Adiivka was evacuated to fast, I've watched video of those left behind, due to being injured. The Russians didn't take prisoners when they moved in, and some injured were left behind, we don't know how many.
How is the front line not moving when Russia has taken Avdiivika abd daily village after village falls to Russia. Literally every day since Avdiivika fell Russia had made gains .
Two villages have been captured for less than 24 hours, but this is not shown in the West. People will ask for a dollar that has been wasted, because they know how to count their pensions.
When I check the map, I can't see a difference without zooming far enough to see individual farmer's fields. One town like Bachmut or Avdiivka per year? Good luck conquering Donbass Putin.
@ Nick Connolly, It is an impossible task for the Zelensky regime to win this war against Russia, no matter how Ukraine is incentivised. What happened at the end of the war in South and North Vietnam, the US abandoned the poor South Vietnamese army.
@@techien6212 eeeuh, Afganistan, don 't you forgot Afganistan, or are you working for the FS B???? Hello, you failed your mission and Russia will fail also.
@@techien6212 thats why Ukraine already liberated Kharkiv and Kherson and thats why Russia couldnt take Kyiv even though they were directly in front of Kyiv, right? And thats why it took months of nonstop attacks against Avdiivka and literally tens of thousands of dead russian soldiers and hundreds of destroyed armoured vehicles combined with Ukraine having a current ammunition shortage for Russia to finally take Avdiivka, right? The only reason Ukraine hasnt already pushed Russia out is the delay and refusal of the west to get serious about helping Ukraine.
Oh man, this "expert" from King's College is painfully and embarrassingly bias and one-sided. The man is just humiliated in his indoctrination. This is the guy who whould say if Kiev and Lvov are taken tomorrow, he'll say "oh, these are not gains since Kiev and Lvov hold no strategic importance whatsoever". Just pathetic!!!
What makes you think North Korea is giving away those munitions for free, like the US and EU? With Russia apparently having a big demand they are unable to cover domestically, this is the perfect timing to sell warehouses full of materiel they've kept around for decades for a new war with the South that never happened.
The Russian Federation violated the UN charter agreements, the Geneva convention as well as the Budapest memorandum. If you are a person which thinks, law and order is something we should all value, you should re-think your comment please.
@VINLAND_777 If you're thinking I support the Russians, think again. Zelensky has squandered resources and money from the 🇺🇸 and its 🇪🇺 allies, then demands more without any significant progress; the West should re-think their commitment to 🇺🇦 even if 🇷🇺 was in the wrong.
Zelensky is trying not to be taken over by Putin's New SSR. Sending weapons for his desperate soldiers who are fighting for their lives to slaughter Putin's terrified soldiers who are too drunk to know they are fighting for nothing is actually pretty ridiculous, when we know the one man who is responsible for creating this war is Putin. War is dopey, absurd, and pathetic. Sending your own people to the slaughter in order to add destroyed territory to your totalitarian dictatorship is more evil than anything else in the world.
I closed the clip at "both shying away from full mobilization". In case of Russia which has 5 times more population, yes there was no "full" mobilization, but ukraine has had wave after wave of full mobilization since 2022 - get real DW, pfft
Ukraine should lose this war to give perfect lessons to Ukraine and any swaggering country like Ukraine. Russia would never be safe as long as NATO’s exists.
Smaller countries stick together to be safe from bigger countries - what they have always done throughout history. After the cold war, Russia even had the chance to join NATO. Will Russia really be able to resist China in the next decades, with only 1/10 of their population?
correct remember the USA ordered UKraine to not honor the Minsk 2 peace agreement. THe USA wants a war in UKraine. The USA business model is start a war and then plunder the country
If the movement of the Russia fleet from Crimea has allowed the export of grain from Odessa.. then why are the Polish farmers blocking the grain trains and lines in Poland?? Zelenskyy and his goons pocketing the money while their troops don't have enough weapons .. and then they get rid of a respected general and put "the butcher" who wasted thousands of men in Bakhmut in charge DW alternative reporting here 😂😂😂
As an American, I say if we and our allies don't help Ukraine, the whole world should be afraid, and if Trump gets reelected, whether by the American people or with Russian help. Then god help us all! Slava Ukrainie 🇺🇦
and you think it is right to do a war to the country because of any events that internal to it? Because you do not like or do not think that certain government in that country is legitimate it is right to go to war with it ?
Ukraine is literally getting slaughtered with so much weapons and money supplied that is crippling the wests economies. You say this can continue forever? With what money?
Which economies are getting "crippled", other than the Russian one? During the Cold War, western countries put ~2-3 times as much %GDP into military procurement as they do now. In 2022 European countries invested $250bn into defense. 2023 it was $280bn. Projections for 2024 are $350bn. Why should this trend suddenly stop in 2025?
@@ddshiranuihellooo wake up are you living under a rock? These western countries are in a recession, but its being downplayed. Check your monthly bills and compare it to pre Russian war
We suffer a little inflation yes, but our economies are far from crippled. Germany just cleared another couple billion for Ukraine and promised to do so as long as needed. Rheinmetall is building new weapon factories as we speak and ammunition production is rising in the whole West. So what are you talking about?
@@wesleyerasmus539 "Stop being naive" said the guy who believes western economies are crippled, claimed that anyone said "this war could go on forever" and asks a european to compare their bills to the Trump era. Very amusing! Can you even point out Ukraine on a map?
Short term planning is the major weakness of Western military operations. It happened in Iraq and Afghanistan. Generals doing little 6 month projects and then rotating out, with no accountability when their plans went wrong, because by then the next general was busy trying to do their own 6 month projects. Putin recognised this and is banking on the same phenomenon happening in Ukraine. The West is good at 6 month projects, but after a few years, different people are in charge and there's no accountability for the broken promises.
Defending by attacking another country is something very special.... It means that every country can attack each other and call it defending..... I would call it Sodom and Gomorrah....
@@elenafayad3087 I wouldnt be writing comments on YT videos when my home will be destroyed but here we are. Was just a simple question because of that weird spelling of Russia. Its just a country name in the end.
As a progressive Hindu from India, my sympathy is with the people of Ukraine in their struggle for freedom and all the honest people in Russia who are against the Kremlin. Sadly, my country have overtaken China as the most populous country and having a lot of people comes with the lack of quality education. I apologise for the inconvenience caused by the Kremlin sympathisers from my country. Educated and morally sound person are quite rare in my country.
@@marvinjoelzavalalopez5721 There are a lot of transgender woman in my country. Most of them are successful entrepreneurs and doesn't use cheap smartphones made in China.
@@nkrishnanarasaiah3125 Thank God that our FM is not talking about the ongoing TRANS-NATIONAL conflict in the state of MANIPUR. It would have created a bad image for my India in the international platform
The problem in this war is not only caused by politicians, but also media... You can't always feeding people with some false hopes, make them can't act and think properly...
Losses on both sides are (easily) sustainable if there is popular backing - and for Ukraine the war is existential whereas for Russia its a war of choice which can be stopped at any point. It is likely that Russian support will vanish first. From a equipment viewpoint: Russia started the war after an extensive period (a decade) of heavy investments to upgrade its military capabilities - and they attacked a country with a tiny military which had seen small investment and very limited equipment. From that starting point Russia went into a "war economy" quickly after the start of war, strongly ramping production - this was not replicated in Ukraine or its allies. Ukraine has now started investigating heavily in military production and its allies are inching in the right direction. In other words, the advantage Russia has in equipment at this point is as large as it will ever get - from here on it will diminish, though the rate is yet to be seen.
Indeed, western economy will obviously have a much longer breath, even if it takes longer to "boot up". And in addition to industrial capacity, it should be noted that we've seen Russia pull more and more old Soviet stuff out of some depot. Those depots will be empty at some point. That the Kremlin resolves to buying North Korean munitions is already a sign.
Zelensky admitted that Ukraine had no intention to honor the Minsk agreements. Who didn't want peace? Who advised against the 2022 peace talks in April? Hint: someone visited Zelensky in Kiev at that time.
The initial incursion by Russia was never expected to turn into a full frontal assault. If you look at force deployments, you will see they expected to be welcomed. Those were young conscripts in those first vehicles that got annihilated. It was more of the same they expected when they went in during 2014. If in 2014 they had gone to Kiev, it would have caused a global panic... hence why it wasn't done.
Nope. Russia sure will use tactical nuclear weapons rather than face defeat, knowing full-well that any equivalent retaliation would risk a global nuclear war.
People must know that: in last 78 years America invaded 21+ country, not Russia or china, why invaded? to keep world order, and loot poor country or dominate on weak country (run weapons business and run Two bucket theory). Now this loot and dominance is going to end, ( china know that if today Russia lost war then next is china . And all country which is run by monarkis like UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Brunei, Azarbaizan and so on. (remember last one America invaded Syria by supporting terrorist group, and regim change!) it doesn't work. Afghanistan doesn't work. Now it is Russia, it never work and now you know it Russia loose then what will happen!
Russia is increasing the number of its army at a steady pace - 40 to 50k a month. Instead of mobilization recruiting people unwilling to fight they imposed a special tax on Gazprom. They use the money to pay volunteers who sign contracts with the army. They pay about equivalent 3 000 dollars a month or in case of death, the widow is to receive circa 200 000 dollars. For Russians, especially from remote East regions, it is a strong incentive. They have so many volunteers that they put harsher health requirements for new soldiers. Time is also favourable for Russians. They have enough time and resources to train and equip new troops very well. Russia's army is getting stronger and stronger. On the other side, the situation in Ukraine is steadily deteriorating. The West seems to have had enough of sending money and weapons to Ukraine. Now Ukraine seems to be doomed but if the USA decides to intervene directly it can change the situation. However, the outcome may be still unfavourable for the West. It may prolong the conflict but Russia will win anyway. When someone wants to try and predict what will happen in the future should take into account not only what has happened by now on the frontline but also what is happening far away from it.
Ukraine stop forcing men to go to the frontline againt their will. Any country worthy of benchmarking human rights would do this. Everyone should be entitled to the right to flee war. Please recognise the right of concientious objection!!
While Russia initially claimed a swift capture of Kyiv, this was likely a tactic to draw Ukrainian forces away from the Donbas region, not the sole objective of the war. Bringing that as a goal that Russia failed to achieve is misleading - I think.
Very one sided story. Ukraine has been in war with their own citizens in Eastern part more than a decade. Being most corrupted country in Europe, some people just had enough and asked Putin help for their struggle against robbers and criminals. Taking Kiev was fiasco for Putin, but people in Lugansk, Donetks, Zapazorje took their arms and welcomed Russian army to help them after they had struggled themselves to fight since 2014. And Russian parliament agreed with those people decisions to be Russian citizens and their homeland to be part of Russia. And then West woke, that maybe after their fiasco's in Middle East and Afganistan, maybe we could make a quick political victory? Seems, that this has not happened, so the only outcome is to respect local people will and draw new border! Otherwise, we will have next decades of instability, corruptions, etc in the world! And of course, the result is a collapse of European Union.
Most corrupted country in Europe. Bullsh… Hungary and Slovakia can teach Ukrainian government what does it mean “corruption”. Ukraine is just a baby in comparison with those monsters.
I understood that Russia was in reach of a peace agreement within a few days of the military operation and the it was the US, Britain and craven European count5ries that that chose to use the people of Ukraine as a way of keeping arms sales going. Could it be that someone on the other side of the world have a more accurate view of what is happening that someone who is a paid 'correspondent'?
In the old days the Franch and the English fought each other for 100 years. So long as the NATO keeps the full support, and the Ukrainians don't all get killed off, the war could go on for decades.
Great documentary Nick Connolly is an exceptional journalist, understated, calm and professional unlike those sensationalist reporters from Sky and the like.
Undignified and catastrophic retreat in avdivka, humiliating for the soldiers fighting on the front line and frustrating for those waiting for their turn. Ukraine has no way out, trapped by its leaders stubborn delusion of winning the war with a supposedly superior western military equipment and training. All of it has been proven as a fantasy. "Game changer" changes nothing. Now the word is "deadlock" which is also another fantasy. Russia has a lot more at its disposal than the whole of Europe, let alone Ukraine. So, what Ukraine needed right now is a level headed leader who can think like a reasonable man. Like mentally stable and rational man
I like your reporting. It gives me a better understanding of what is going on in Ukraine. I support Ukraine from the US. I'm disgusted with the Republican Party, here. I will vote accordingly, this fall. I have emailed my lawmakers to support Ukraine and let them know I will only vote for them if they support Ukraine. I think we must be bolder in supporting Ukraine.
yeah i think we might see a repeat of what happened to a certain failed artist in july 1944 in july 2024. the question is will zelensky be as lucky as the failed artist ?
Russia is not having the same manpower shortage that Ukraine has. Keeping up hope is one thing, but lying helps no one
I was literally just doing some calculations of Ukraine population and military age men. Minus the annexed regions, minus the recorded outgoing/ingoing border crossings, minus the disabled, minus women, children old men, minus the ones that fled the draft, minus an unknown amount that have gone to Hungary, Belarus and Russia, minus the 1 million that have already been mobilised for some kind of military capacity.... Ukraine could have at most 4 million military age males left and logic dictates that most of the ones less are unwilling, or they would have already volunteered.
There is also a study by Austria that says Ukraine already, currently will never recover demographically from this conflict.
expect nothing but lies from pro-western media
We know the only country in the world for which it is profitable to have this war in Europe. And this country across the Atlantic Ocean did its best to make it happen.
@@Writeous0ne same goes on russia. russian population is agin and lack of kids will be very bad for them.
I think both will be forced to mobilize and it won't be just them after that. This conflict has a ripple effect on the rest of the world, and it's not going to be good news if the best we have is hard hitting media coverage from Europe, while getting excuses from their leaders, and Americans arguing over Taylor Swift, instead of stepping up and doing what they've done in the past, and we all know they can do again.
I think by now we understand that the experts are very often wrong.
That's what MAGA and the Brexiteers always say....
Nice talking point.
You probably still believe Ukraine is winnng too
As you see the world “expert” you can be pretty sure they will be dead wrong.
I think the expert knew all along, it's just EU leaders think they know better 😂
As a European, I am infuriated by Europe‘s incompetence. How will we defend ourselves if we can’t do better than this?
Total lack of diplomacy skills, UE are only represented by corporative tools
Europe probably can’t. Consequence of wokeism.
Defend from what?!
Ur enemy is not Russia, it's from other side of the Atlantic...Whenever people realise that it will become easier.
@@mortvald Found the Russian Troll! 🤣
@@AlexanndreL 1d10t!
War is going on since 2014
Yes, since Russia violated all agreements and invaded and occupied Crimea and the Donbas.
The people of Donbass are happy for this, Slava Rossii from donbass@@VINLAND_777
@@RRRR0707What facts are being distorted?
@@TurkeySmashR Minks agreements
Actually, there has been quite a bit of calm there since 2017, but then Putin himself had to intervene because the separatists he supported since 2014 were no longer achieving success and had taken over too little land.
Boris Johnson should have been sent to the front lines, as well as Victoria Nuland.😂
I always say: "Why not compromise on weapon deliveries? Whoever wants that can buy anything- with their own money. And he has to volunteer to fight at least 1 year in Ukraine."
What have those poor souls on the front done to deserve such an afwul fate?
Victoria newland can't even change regime in Bangladesh.
🥱🥱🥱🥱
She did it in 2014 in Kyiv. @@ImtyazbhaiVohra
He still claims that Russia can't produce high tech things like missiles and aircraft because of sanctions. It's nonsense.
No it's not. Russia relies on Western tech, obviously. The West invented all technology, owns the IP to it all... Russia can only copy what it can and import what it can't- which is still around 50% of the components it uses.
There are aren't any microchip fabs - Russia just cannot do it. China can do some (setup by the West, of course) but not all, especially in nm RF, optics and sub 10 um microchips
The one area Russia has true expertise in is aerodynamics and rocket engines... a legacy of the USSR
It is true. Advanced semiconductors are not produced by Russia or its allies. Even China struggles... and wants Taiwan to solve this problem. I mean... where are Russian's Himars?
@@simonlangevin-ouellet8539 the part you get wrong is that you don't need 7nm technology for military equipment.
Also Russia does have equivalent to HIMARS, they have Tornados and they have their own GPS system called GLONAS.
One example is an F22 used Pentium 90 which is like 250 NM and larger. To a newer chip of 90nm.
China manufactures and has cpus down to 23nm at least.
@@simonlangevin-ouellet8539GLONAS exists and as long as they have access to a simple Garmin tech they can use gps systems 😊
@waltonsimons9082 Everything i said is a fact and easily verifiable. You're probably one of those people that just listens to the media and takes their word for it.
Here's more technical details. The f22 use a Pentium 90 equivalent. Now you can go and easily find out what nanometer that cpu is and you can gladly come back and apologise.
Russia never said they would take Kyiv and Ukraine in 3 days. This has been the most irritating thing about all this spin.
Unfortunately it was said many times on TV in Russia, by journalists and experts. It is a fact.
It has never been said by any journalistin the same sense@@EdReddish184
Russian trolls, all over internet
I would take No. 1 the "unprovoked war"
Yes multiple ruSSian officials made this claim and putin himself alluded to a 2 week timeline
Hint: Russians took complete control of Robotyne today…days after Avdiivka. There is no ‘stalemate’.
Hint: Russian troll. :)
Hint, Russia is advancing only after NATO is lowering its support level. NATO has the means but it's questionable if it has the will.
Nato dosnt have the means.. Grow up..
@@AlexanndreL cope nafo incel :)
you can proof that statement ? you can also argue "Russia is advancing coz the ukrainians lost their best troops already in bakhmut and other battles" or how about this.. "the only reason i lost the chess game is because i lost my queen and 2 bishops and 1 knight" you agree that its a bitchy argument, right ?@@kurtwinslow2670
9:28 'Ukrainian tactical retreats' The bias is embarrassing. 😂😂
So what do you call it, or what happened in Kherson?
@@maryanchabursky9148 Leaving weapons and wounded behind ain't TACTICAL chief XD
2 million people dead.. whats embarassing? humanity can do better
@@alphazero6571 2 million people are dead?More then that die of old age per year, anyway it is tragic that Ukraine has suffered over 100,000 casualties.
@@coldturkey5333 indeed that is why ruSSia is still the largest foreign arms supplier to Ukraine.
Frozen conflict isn’t viable or feasible when one side is clearly losing.
Indeed, the truth is catching up with us.
Shovels and dishwashers.
lol ,forgot the toilet paper ,also on the sanction list
That’s disinformation mate. Washing machines not dishwashers.
You copying and pasting that comment took as long as it takes for a Su-34 to stay in the air.
Too bad Boris and the Ghost of Kiev nowhere to be seen.
Looks clear that now they realized the war is lost, the narrative is trying to sell this as a tie to force kiev to negotiate and then sell this like a victory😂😂😂
putin is not negotiating a damn thing unless his counteroffensive stalls...the time for ukraine to negotiate was when they had the russians in retreat....but zelensky got proud and wanted weapons for a "counteroffensive" instead of defensive weapons to keep russians were they were and suceed territory to them. the war would have been over at that time.
@@coldspirit9904 agree
@@coldspirit9904Problem is that Russia would let them join Nato in exchange for territory.
Without the rest of Ukraine in Nato it would have been a temporary ceasefire and then Russia would just attack again fir more territory in a few months or years.
Don't trust either the US or Germany or DW. Germany just does what the US tells it to.
@@reubenmcmurray4377 All that NATO- nonsens was the main reason of the war ! Putin wants Ukraine to be a buffer-state with Neutrality-Status. He said that again and again - but Ukraine and the West play deaf. Putin will never accept Ukraine to be a NATO-member (US military bases in U) !
nick.. how do u mean the russians was kicked out ?? i thought they made a deal.. that's why the withdrew.. i must have my history wrong i guess
None, Not one of the western media picked up on this but continue to push the story that the Ukrainians pushed the Russians back. They've completely drowned this.
😂😂😂 cope harder. There logistics were unable to hold up so they were pushed out. “Gesture of good will” is a hilarious excuse for military failure.
Have heard similar view that russia withdrew
@@maryanchabursky9148 Stop doing drugs. The withdrew of RU troops at Kiev was negotiated in Istanbul.
@@roljavi prove it (what treaty). You must have brain damage if you actually buy that. Not only is there no evidence but it makes no sense.
Frozen conflict happens when both sides are more or less similar in strength …..is it true in this case ?
If neither side made any real gains at the cost of too many lives it could create that precedent. However that would require at least a year or two more of "stalemate".
Ukraine's biggest issue isn't manpower but rather running out of ammunition and money.
Russia won't pull out because at the moment it's 5-1 ammunition advantage for Russia. With a front line this massive Russia will certainly be pushing hard and soon
Putin could freeze it if it seems like it will be unsustainable to occupy the territory due to civilian resistance. The number of troops and resources required to maintain a functioning state if the entire population of an area hates you is much higher than fighting a conflict.
@coldpotatoes2556 Russia has also been advancing over a kilometer a day out of Advika for last 2 days
Especially, it is hard for the world to really isolate Russia like NK... In 3-5 years probably the sanctions will be lifted regularly, I mean they are part of the G-20 (one of the biggest global economic powers)
Similar strength?
Similar strength you said?
How could you say that?
The ONLY reason Ukraine can survive this long JUST BECAUSE they got military aid from the hypocrite west
Even with their help, Ukraine still found it that it's really hard to hold Russian movement.
Ukraine without western hypocrite support will lose the war in just 9 seconds ... Ukraine have similar power with Russia is laughable
No. Actually two scenarios.
Scenario no. 1: Making peace with Russia and saving what's left of Ukraine.
Scenario no. 2: Keep war with Russia going on which will result in the total collapse of the Ukraine.
making peace with russia is pointless, since russia would never keep their end of any agreement.
Russia is going bankrupt from this war,they've already lost.
But Ukraine would?@@thegreatdane3627
neither nato nor nato's single countries, at the top of it UK and Poland @@thegreatdane3627
для украины ответ очевиден 2 дружно все сдохнут за чужие интересы а кто не захочет того насильно притащат в окопы как сейчас и делают
The three scenarios:
1. Lose quickly
2. Lose slowly
3. Negotiation=lose territory
Pick one
😅😅😅😅
Well,if they want to keep the rest of thdir people alive they should negotiate
Agreed
like in 3 days?
@@RRCRDA777-55
Day ONE MILLION.
And Russia STILL in Ukraine!!!
And ya laughing.
Lol
See John Mearshimer for his excellent analysis and explanation of Ukraine-Russia conflict. His analysis is more authentic and more truthful than your description. Just saying
And his predictions and warnings have been accurate
Get a life! Botniks!
Mearshimer just keeps parroting the Kremlin's narratives.
@@BRUCE_the_MOOSE_ seems the NAFO logic is that any one that accepts reality is a Putin stooge and mouthpiece for the kremlin
0:15 He's also anti- Israel. Enjoys his notoriety. Follows slavishly the model of historicity he has chosen.@@BRUCE_the_MOOSE_
Is this war part of nato encirclement of Russia which made Russia feel threatened?
You mean little countries, joined to NATO, because they are afraid from Russia. Russia is the biggest country in the world, with several 1000 nuclear warheads. Threatened? You should use your brain...
If you encircle Russia you can control large parts of its trade and economic future. Use your brain. It is a threat without an army or nukes to Russia.
It is like saying: is a Chinese base in Mexico/Cuba/Panama a threat to America.
Encircled RuZZia?--Too much vodka there Comrade!
@@expoliceman666 НАТО приближается к России. И средства ПВО, которые есть у НАТО могут перехватывать российское оружие. И оружие НАТО ядерное приближается к России. Подлетное время. Ты лжец
@expoliceman666 nice try… but these “little countries” easily invite Americans with missiles and other stuff. Russia couldn’t afford Crimea hosting American navy for example
Depends on your definition of winning or losing. there is no plausible scenario where Russia does not gain control of land to the Dnipr.
If John McCain and Lindsay Graham ever come visiting, telling you what good fellows you are and that America is right behind you, you should know you're for it. The Angels of Death personified.
You do know that the war hero John McCain is dead don;t you .
@@michaelrowsell1160 Of course. But his ghost lives on.
John McCain died years ago troll.
That meeting between Graham and Zelenski was one of the crepiest things I have ever seen.
Graham was all smiles talking about this was the best investment the US has ever made.
A great investment indeed. The US offloaded it’s old junk weapons and transferred taxpayer money to the MIC. The elites got their kick backs and Ukraine got destroyed to kill a few tens of thousands Russian. Many of whom where actually Ukrainian separatists, convicts, mercenaries and poor ethnic minorities.
Why boris Johnson keep mute 🔇
Reading the comments here I'm thinking Damn! What a shame NATO and Ukraine don't have access to these brilliant minds because they seem to know so much more about governing and military operations than the upper echelons and the militaries of those 2 entities 😄
UA-cam has a Russian bot problem, it's sad to see
Haha, true
@@ikt123 I'm thinking it's more of a problem for the rest of the world than it is for Russia...
Hardly a surprise , I've dealt with military brass , they are largely conventional minded and quite dim
in war there is a 50% chance than one will loose ,
usually the side which believe it know everything and underestimate the opposition
The thing is not that the commentators are smarter than the top brass, it is the assumption that the people who decided to go to war are just plain evil and worse beings than a good person on the street can even imagine.
For Joe Biden and his cronies, the war went perfectly: For a fraction of their military budget, they bled Russia substantially. Lyndsey Graham even said so on the record.
you say ukraine has only suffered 70k casualties... then why they need to mobilize 500k men lol
Because the soldiers are tired. You don't need to be a genius to understand that.
@@JG-xi4tu lol and russia barely even made any mobilization after 2022.
@@juamu1132 Mobilization has never stopped. You might have not read it, but Putins decree never stated an upper boundary of 300 000. That was just the official estimate. Legally however, they can keep going.
But most of their manpower are actually volunteers. As russia is a poor empire, many of its subjects live in poverty, especially in the vast eastern provinces. They are glad to take up a well paid job in the military.
russia is has the biggest economy in europe and all if its force a re volunteers with prior military experience. There are no conscripts in the conflict @@JG-xi4tu
@@JG-xi4tu lol so got voluteers while ukraine is forcing people to fight hahahah cope harder.
You are asking "it can't go on like this forever, can it?" Man you should ask that question in syirian conflict, Libya conflict and Yemen conflict
Russia never said they could take Kyiv in three days... General Miley said this .. also he said "72 hours" not three days
Russia does not have to take territory. It can fight from a fixed position while sucking Ukrainian forces in - bakhmut and Avdiivka, and wear the Ukrainians down with multiple time the artillery and men
Then take territory as they want
Its not if Ukraine looses.. it's now how much they will loose
its probably due something connected with rich ukrainian soil what make time in ukraine flow slower than in rest of the world, for example few hours of counter-terrorist operation declared by former president poroshenko already lasts for whole decade.
Total B S. Pu tin personally hasnt said that, but his closesr ally Lukashenko publicly said "3 or 4 days are the maximum needed".
It is even without mentioning (highly contolled) hosts of political shows on state-owned TV channels, who constantly spoke about "several days and it is over".
Dear Deutsche Wokelle, you forgot the currently most likely Scenario no. 4: Total Ukrainian defeat. I do not care about your reasons for lying to your audience (as you do now and then when covering some particular topics), but you cannot be so delusional that you are unconsciously and unreflexively lying to your own pocket? Or... Can you?
@@monumentaltravel3745 I am not Russian nor pro-Russian... But fine then. Time will tell. I have no problem admitting that I was wrong would the future turn differently than expected.
Only two years into the war and Ukraine has shortages of frontline combat troops. You can't force a people to fight if they are not motivated to sacrifice. This is a huge country of 44 million they can easily create many battalions of light infantry and shock the russians with large wave attacks. If you fight on Russian terms and wait for a whole bunch of highly complex and expensive equipment trying to build a highly mechanized army to try to match that of Russia's then you will lose. Amount of equipment that you will never get in any case.
Exactly, they have more than enough people to create a force big enough to stop the Russians for a few months and then (after training) even getting some territories back. Let's not forget they're not poorly equipped considering all NATO weapons sent.
Their problem is the people are a bunch of cowards willing to sacrifice their countrymen and a chunk of their territory
44 million? Ludicrous, probably more like 25 million. Why do you think they send old men to the front? The average age is 43!
Except it can't because when you break down the demographics and numbers Ukraine has about 4-5 million military age males left, at MOST.
Ukraine is about 35 million subtracting the areas that were annexed and Crimea. The recorded border crossings are at least -10 million. There's millions of unrecorded emigration to Hungary, Belarus and Russia. 3 million disabled Ukrainians who can't fight, 650,000 men who fled drafting, the age demographic of fighting males is about 16% of the end number, - 1 million who were already mobilised.
It's about 4-5 million military age and those who remain are unwilling to fight, if they were they would have volunteered. This is exactly why Ukraine is currently having recruiting issues.
Ukraine no longer has 44 million People. Half the People left and are not willing to sacrifice for the maníac coke snorter of a president Ukr has. Zelensky by stepping away from the negotiation table effectively converted Ukraine into a small country. The sooner you come to terms with that, the better.
Sir, i remember watching a clip early in the war a Ukrainian officer said they cannot fight like in WW2 anymore, they simply dont have it in them. Another era and mindset. In essence you are correct, to break the Russians they need to do something totally different than what Russian's doing. But this will not happen for many reasons. Your experience might be from a previous war in another part of the world, culture, religion, mentality, etc are vastly different
The EU has no excuses for there limited production capacity for aid. It was obvious to everyone with an IQ higher than a doormat that they needed to go into a war economy two years ago irrelevant of the outcome in Ukraine. Its not that the EU cannot supply Ukraine its that they decided not to, America isn't doing much more but at least they can claim that its a far away problem so there tardiness is a little more understandable. It must be pretty embarrassing that North Korea is supplying over 3x in terms of artillery something so basic even the smaller nations could have been producing if they wanted.
Well said. The delay and refusal to increase military aid to Ukraine and to ramp up military industrial production of EU leaders is honestly criminal and will increase the risk for more war and escalation.
Rule no 1: Don't trust anything promised by the Brit govt. I quite understand the dilemma facing Zelenskyy, if he makes peace, he will be hunted by the western countries. Are you really sure the donation package is really "free"? No, it's a debt to be paid. But dreaming of defeating Russia doesn't make sense in my opinion either. It will be a "tired" moment for the people of Ukrainian.
You cannot reach a lasting peace agreement with the most evil man of our century. I didn't know Putin was so spectacularly evil, until I learned about Navalny and so many other people who have simply spoken out against Putin, and been ever so mysteriously killed. That Does Not Happen In The US. Russians, you were told that, weren't you?
É verdade 😂
Meio trilhões de dólares o ZELENSK vai deixando pro povo ucraniano pagar,entre mortos e mutilados tem aproximadamente 1milhão e as viúvas e os filhos das viúvas!?
Capacho do USA que queria destruir a Rússia economicamente,OTAN e USA deixa Europa que subserviente com economia cada dia pior vendendo seu gás 5×mais do que o gás Rússia,USA com uma economia em decadência e perdidos no tabuleiro da geopolítica,sai Baden entra trump e nada vai mudar,vão continuar indo para o fundo poço.
O BRICS+ vem ai..
Adiivka was evacuated to fast, I've watched video of those left behind, due to being injured. The Russians didn't take prisoners when they moved in, and some injured were left behind, we don't know how many.
How is the front line not moving when Russia has taken Avdiivika abd daily village after village falls to Russia. Literally every day since Avdiivika fell Russia had made gains .
Two villages have been captured for less than 24 hours, but this is not shown in the West. People will ask for a dollar that has been wasted, because they know how to count their pensions.
When I check the map, I can't see a difference without zooming far enough to see individual farmer's fields.
One town like Bachmut or Avdiivka per year? Good luck conquering Donbass Putin.
@@JG-xi4tu lol pobjeda is already conqured hahahaha
@@JG-xi4tu
O k I guess none of Ukraine is strategically important 🤷🏾♂️even Kharkov and Kiev.
@@markward3981 Kherson was😉😘
@ Nick Connolly, It is an impossible task for the Zelensky regime to win this war against Russia, no matter how Ukraine is incentivised. What happened at the end of the war in South and North Vietnam, the US abandoned the poor South Vietnamese army.
Mathew Bollinger is a much more competent reporter than biased Nick Connoly..
Yes. Russia cannot be defeated on battlefield
@@techien6212 eeeuh, Afganistan, don 't you forgot Afganistan, or are you working for the FS B???? Hello, you failed your mission and Russia will fail also.
@@techien6212 thats why Ukraine already liberated Kharkiv and Kherson and thats why Russia couldnt take Kyiv even though they were directly in front of Kyiv, right? And thats why it took months of nonstop attacks against Avdiivka and literally tens of thousands of dead russian soldiers and hundreds of destroyed armoured vehicles combined with Ukraine having a current ammunition shortage for Russia to finally take Avdiivka, right?
The only reason Ukraine hasnt already pushed Russia out is the delay and refusal of the west to get serious about helping Ukraine.
Oh man, this "expert" from King's College is painfully and embarrassingly bias and one-sided. The man is just humiliated in his indoctrination. This is the guy who whould say if Kiev and Lvov are taken tomorrow, he'll say "oh, these are not gains since Kiev and Lvov hold no strategic importance whatsoever". Just pathetic!!!
Russia cannot be defeated... Germany tried and failed, Nepolian failed..
Nato.. 😂😂
Nepolian?
@@anatole2478 yes Napoleon in1812
7:47 when N.Korea is a more trusted ally than EU and US combined..
What makes you think North Korea is giving away those munitions for free, like the US and EU? With Russia apparently having a big demand they are unable to cover domestically, this is the perfect timing to sell warehouses full of materiel they've kept around for decades for a new war with the South that never happened.
Zelensky's incompetence shows throughout this ordeal as almost 200 billion dollars are wasted on his languished efforts.
The Russian Federation violated the UN charter agreements, the Geneva convention as well as the Budapest memorandum.
If you are a person which thinks, law and order is something we should all value, you should re-think your comment please.
@VINLAND_777 If you're thinking I support the Russians, think again. Zelensky has squandered resources and money from the 🇺🇸 and its 🇪🇺 allies, then demands more without any significant progress; the West should re-think their commitment to 🇺🇦 even if 🇷🇺 was in the wrong.
He is a president, not a monarch
Zelensky is trying not to be taken over by Putin's New SSR. Sending weapons for his desperate soldiers who are fighting for their lives to slaughter Putin's terrified soldiers who are too drunk to know they are fighting for nothing is actually pretty ridiculous, when we know the one man who is responsible for creating this war is Putin. War is dopey, absurd, and pathetic. Sending your own people to the slaughter in order to add destroyed territory to your totalitarian dictatorship is more evil than anything else in the world.
@@VINLAND_777 but USA bombing of my country serbia and taking kosovo is ok... same for israel. double standards
I closed the clip at "both shying away from full mobilization". In case of Russia which has 5 times more population, yes there was no "full" mobilization, but ukraine has had wave after wave of full mobilization since 2022 - get real DW, pfft
Ukraine should lose this war to give perfect lessons to Ukraine and any swaggering country like Ukraine. Russia would never be safe as long as NATO’s exists.
It's why we have NATO. Because of Russia. Needed now more than ever
Did you ask yourself why so many Russia's neighbours joined Nato? Because they were not safe outside of Nato.
Smaller countries stick together to be safe from bigger countries - what they have always done throughout history.
After the cold war, Russia even had the chance to join NATO. Will Russia really be able to resist China in the next decades, with only 1/10 of their population?
Чем больше вы англосаксы тяните с переговорами чем меньше земли остаётся у Украины.
Ukraine has no chance. Russia cannot afford to lose, it will now be satisfied only with Zelensky's unconditional surrender.
correct remember the USA ordered UKraine to not honor the Minsk 2 peace agreement. THe USA wants a war in UKraine. The USA business model is start a war and then plunder the country
If the movement of the Russia fleet from Crimea has allowed the export of grain from Odessa.. then why are the Polish farmers blocking the grain trains and lines in Poland??
Zelenskyy and his goons pocketing the money while their troops don't have enough weapons .. and then they get rid of a respected general and put "the butcher" who wasted thousands of men in Bakhmut in charge
DW alternative reporting here 😂😂😂
Do you believe anything Ukraine said, like when they said Russians were shelling a nuclear power plant that Russian troops were already occupying.
The reason we get such BS reporting is that there is no one to challenge his BS narative.
We have been here before with the press pretending that Russia is shelling it's own soldiers in a nuclear power plant. Just nonsense.
DW channel is a phoney
As an American, I say if we and our allies don't help Ukraine, the whole world should be afraid, and if Trump gets reelected, whether by the American people or with Russian help. Then god help us all! Slava Ukrainie 🇺🇦
World afraid NATO offensive and expansion.
Russia is not a threat..but the america and NATO..they keep expanding..
@@Thraun24 Their actions say otherwise
@@jonjahr3403 hahaha..who triggered that action...tell the correct answer
Vote republican
Actually, the war started with the Maidan Coup.
and you think it is right to do a war to the country because of any events that internal to it? Because you do not like or do not think that certain government in that country is legitimate it is right to go to war with it ?
Ukraine is literally getting slaughtered with so much weapons and money supplied that is crippling the wests economies. You say this can continue forever? With what money?
Which economies are getting "crippled", other than the Russian one? During the Cold War, western countries put ~2-3 times as much %GDP into military procurement as they do now. In 2022 European countries invested $250bn into defense. 2023 it was $280bn. Projections for 2024 are $350bn. Why should this trend suddenly stop in 2025?
@@ddshiranuihellooo wake up are you living under a rock? These western countries are in a recession, but its being downplayed. Check your monthly bills and compare it to pre Russian war
We suffer a little inflation yes, but our economies are far from crippled.
Germany just cleared another couple billion for Ukraine and promised to do so as long as needed.
Rheinmetall is building new weapon factories as we speak and ammunition production is rising in the whole West.
So what are you talking about?
@burnedcash You sound like a politician. Compare your bills to the Trump era? Thats how you know. Stop being naive
@@wesleyerasmus539 "Stop being naive" said the guy who believes western economies are crippled, claimed that anyone said "this war could go on forever" and asks a european to compare their bills to the Trump era. Very amusing! Can you even point out Ukraine on a map?
Short term planning is the major weakness of Western military operations. It happened in Iraq and Afghanistan. Generals doing little 6 month projects and then rotating out, with no accountability when their plans went wrong, because by then the next general was busy trying to do their own 6 month projects. Putin recognised this and is banking on the same phenomenon happening in Ukraine. The West is good at 6 month projects, but after a few years, different people are in charge and there's no accountability for the broken promises.
Russia has right to defend itself.
Defending by attacking another country is something very special.... It means that every country can attack each other and call it defending..... I would call it Sodom and Gomorrah....
And who invaded Ruzzia?
@@elenafayad3087Whats up with you people writing Russia that way? Just curious.
@@Garoslol I believe as soon as someone occupies your country and your home will be destroyed you won’t ask these kind of questions, will you?
@@elenafayad3087 I wouldnt be writing comments on YT videos when my home will be destroyed but here we are.
Was just a simple question because of that weird spelling of Russia. Its just a country name in the end.
There is only ONE scenario - the negotiating table....
On Putins terms? Never. We don't want to become authoritarian Russia.
As a progressive Hindu from India, my sympathy is with the people of Ukraine in their struggle for freedom and all the honest people in Russia who are against the Kremlin. Sadly, my country have overtaken China as the most populous country and having a lot of people comes with the lack of quality education. I apologise for the inconvenience caused by the Kremlin sympathisers from my country. Educated and morally sound person are quite rare in my country.
With the word progressive you mean "gay"???
You Read The Statement be Of Indian Foreign Minister Who Are You To Contradict Indian Foreign Minister
@@marvinjoelzavalalopez5721 It looks like you are planning a date. Grow up and think for yourself.
@@marvinjoelzavalalopez5721 There are a lot of transgender woman in my country. Most of them are successful entrepreneurs and doesn't use cheap smartphones made in China.
@@nkrishnanarasaiah3125 Thank God that our FM is not talking about the ongoing TRANS-NATIONAL conflict in the state of MANIPUR. It would have created a bad image for my India in the international platform
The problem in this war is not only caused by politicians, but also media... You can't always feeding people with some false hopes, make them can't act and think properly...
Exactly. Now go and post this comment on RT news and the other Russian state media channels. ;)
Losses on both sides are (easily) sustainable if there is popular backing - and for Ukraine the war is existential whereas for Russia its a war of choice which can be stopped at any point. It is likely that Russian support will vanish first.
From a equipment viewpoint: Russia started the war after an extensive period (a decade) of heavy investments to upgrade its military capabilities - and they attacked a country with a tiny military which had seen small investment and very limited equipment.
From that starting point Russia went into a "war economy" quickly after the start of war, strongly ramping production - this was not replicated in Ukraine or its allies. Ukraine has now started investigating heavily in military production and its allies are inching in the right direction. In other words, the advantage Russia has in equipment at this point is as large as it will ever get - from here on it will diminish, though the rate is yet to be seen.
I cannot believe that I'm reading a sensible comment here among all the Z-bits with "Russia stronk" bull...
For Russia, this is a war of existence, not choice... That is why they will not back down... West made it that way...
@HrvojeBan I also had a feeling all the comments were very negative / uninformed, thanks for your feedback!
Indeed, western economy will obviously have a much longer breath, even if it takes longer to "boot up". And in addition to industrial capacity, it should be noted that we've seen Russia pull more and more old Soviet stuff out of some depot. Those depots will be empty at some point. That the Kremlin resolves to buying North Korean munitions is already a sign.
@@ddshiranui Very good point, lots of Russian equipment isn't "produced", it's "restored"!
Dear Western civilisation, if you think this is Ukraine's problem, think again.
russia has all the right to defend itself 🤍💙❤
And who invaded Ruzzia?
Zelensky admitted that Ukraine had no intention to honor the Minsk agreements. Who didn't want peace? Who advised against the 2022 peace talks in April?
Hint: someone visited Zelensky in Kiev at that time.
Aga. Vojna idet na territorii rozzii potomu chto ukraina vo grave s krovozhadnym zelenskim ne nee napala. Da?
DW has 3 scenarios thoughts, I guess there will be the 4th and 5th scenarios by understand EU borders evolved.
Or eu dissolves. The British started it
@@2Munchy4UFeel free to dream. 🌜
@@no_more_spamplease5121 like nigel farage said it once. You all laughed about me. Now you dont laugh anymore
Russian forces have lost 120k soldiers and Ukraine only 70k? Are you kidding 😂😂😂
He will lose his job if he said the truth. Lying and making up stories are western media trademark.
Ghost of Kiev killed 50k
The initial incursion by Russia was never expected to turn into a full frontal assault. If you look at force deployments, you will see they expected to be welcomed. Those were young conscripts in those first vehicles that got annihilated. It was more of the same they expected when they went in during 2014.
If in 2014 they had gone to Kiev, it would have caused a global panic... hence why it wasn't done.
Putin invaded a peaceful neighbor. We must help them stop the invader.
Why lie
Scenario 1 : begging for arms scenario 2: begging for money scenario 3 : begging for money and ammunition 😂😂🎉🎉
Keep up the spirits Ukrainians....you are fighting rightfully...
To Ukraine and Democracy
Will the West condemn the British for occupatiin of Malvina/Falkland island or the West will carry on with its hypocrisy.
Enlighten us on how they are being occupied. Especially the Falkland Islands
Zelensky is getting richer...
Variations on a theme by Putin.
1. Ukraine loses.
2. Ukraine loses.
3. Ukraine loses.
Lol how delusional are these reporters ... 😂
Attacking Russia and they think it will deter them rather than escalate
Absolutely nobody in Russia said anything about 3 days... do these researchers even do research before reporting?
Well, the Sun reported about leaked emails by the Russian FSB - on 23 Feb 2023, updated 23 Feb 2023.
So we are assuming the nuclear option is off the table?
Nuking a country you want to claim?
It never was .. just a scare tactic.
@@therealdreyG why not put troops in Ukraine and find out? call his bluff.
Nope. Russia sure will use tactical nuclear weapons rather than face defeat, knowing full-well that any equivalent retaliation would risk a global nuclear war.
People must know that: in last 78 years America invaded 21+ country, not Russia or china, why invaded? to keep world order, and loot poor country or dominate on weak country (run weapons business and run Two bucket theory).
Now this loot and dominance is going to end, ( china know that if today Russia lost war then next is china . And all country which is run by monarkis like UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Brunei, Azarbaizan and so on. (remember last one America invaded Syria by supporting terrorist group, and regim change!) it doesn't work. Afghanistan doesn't work.
Now it is Russia, it never work and now you know it Russia loose then what will happen!
Since 1776 The United States of America has fought 119 wars....
@@merijnhugens USA war machine must run to keep $ dominance, and Power
4th scenario - Stop fuelling the fire with foreign weapon supplies and force Ukraine to negotiate with Russia.
Russia lost 120k and Ukraine 70k? What are you people smoking at DW? 😂😂😂
Russia is increasing the number of its army at a steady pace - 40 to 50k a month. Instead of mobilization recruiting people unwilling to fight they imposed a special tax on Gazprom. They use the money to pay volunteers who sign contracts with the army. They pay about equivalent 3 000 dollars a month or in case of death, the widow is to receive circa 200 000 dollars.
For Russians, especially from remote East regions, it is a strong incentive. They have so many volunteers that they put harsher health requirements for new soldiers.
Time is also favourable for Russians. They have enough time and resources to train and equip new troops very well. Russia's army is getting stronger and stronger.
On the other side, the situation in Ukraine is steadily deteriorating. The West seems to have had enough of sending money and weapons to Ukraine.
Now Ukraine seems to be doomed but if the USA decides to intervene directly it can change the situation.
However, the outcome may be still unfavourable for the West. It may prolong the conflict but Russia will win anyway.
When someone wants to try and predict what will happen in the future should take into account not only what has happened by now on the frontline but also what is happening far away from it.
Even if Ukraine gets everything, it will badly lose. Its best chance is negotiation.
Ukraine stop forcing men to go to the frontline againt their will. Any country worthy of benchmarking human rights would do this. Everyone should be entitled to the right to flee war. Please recognise the right of concientious objection!!
While Russia initially claimed a swift capture of Kyiv, this was likely a tactic to draw Ukrainian forces away from the Donbas region, not the sole objective of the war. Bringing that as a goal that Russia failed to achieve is misleading - I think.
1) Losing 2) Losing 3) Or Losing
lmao
Next time it is United Kingdom 😅
They wouldn't last a month 😂
Think "the Minsk Accord" as the only reasonable option
peaceful coexistence is the only long term solution
я так смотрю сценарий "победим Россию " уже не рассматривается . 2 года понадобилось ,чтобы понять .
Ну они следуют старой доброй традиции.. Раз в сто лет самоубиться об Россию. Не мешайте истории повториться
Very one sided story. Ukraine has been in war with their own citizens in Eastern part more than a decade. Being most corrupted country in Europe, some people just had enough and asked Putin help for their struggle against robbers and criminals. Taking Kiev was fiasco for Putin, but people in Lugansk, Donetks, Zapazorje took their arms and welcomed Russian army to help them after they had struggled themselves to fight since 2014. And Russian parliament agreed with those people decisions to be Russian citizens and their homeland to be part of Russia. And then West woke, that maybe after their fiasco's in Middle East and Afganistan, maybe we could make a quick political victory? Seems, that this has not happened, so the only outcome is to respect local people will and draw new border! Otherwise, we will have next decades of instability, corruptions, etc in the world! And of course, the result is a collapse of European Union.
On god? fr?
Most corrupted country in Europe. Bullsh… Hungary and Slovakia can teach Ukrainian government what does it mean “corruption”. Ukraine is just a baby in comparison with those monsters.
I understood that Russia was in reach of a peace agreement within a few days of the military operation and the it was the US, Britain and craven European count5ries that that chose to use the people of Ukraine as a way of keeping arms sales going. Could it be that someone on the other side of the world have a more accurate view of what is happening that someone who is a paid 'correspondent'?
Lying helps no one bro.only one thing is certain. Russia can not be defeated.
It's time to negotiate a peace deal
In the old days the Franch and the English fought each other for 100 years. So long as the NATO keeps the full support, and the Ukrainians don't all get killed off, the war could go on for decades.
That was a different time in history, they were fighting with swords and arrows back then
Special military operations.. Russia is on a mission.. 😂😂😂😂😂
Assume the war is frozen and Russia keeps the territories it has captured,20 per cent of Ukraine.What is the value of that territory?😮😮
Give Ukraine what they need to protect their people!
Nick as always with another amazing report!
Great documentary Nick Connolly is an exceptional journalist, understated, calm and professional unlike those sensationalist reporters from Sky and the like.
Please tell me that you are joking with your statement.
Russia recruited 53,000 in the first two months of 2024, VOLUNTEERS
Ukraine should of singed the deal President Putin told Tucker Carlson about
No.
Undignified and catastrophic retreat in avdivka, humiliating for the soldiers fighting on the front line and frustrating for those waiting for their turn. Ukraine has no way out, trapped by its leaders stubborn delusion of winning the war with a supposedly superior western military equipment and training. All of it has been proven as a fantasy. "Game changer" changes nothing. Now the word is "deadlock" which is also another fantasy. Russia has a lot more at its disposal than the whole of Europe, let alone Ukraine. So, what Ukraine needed right now is a level headed leader who can think like a reasonable man. Like mentally stable and rational man
Nice analysis. Too bad ppl in Europe can't figure it out yet.
and sign capitulation? Or do what?
Thank you Nick for your work.
Western media being delusional and living in denial as usual..
I like your reporting. It gives me a better understanding of what is going on in Ukraine. I support Ukraine from the US. I'm disgusted with the Republican Party, here. I will vote accordingly, this fall. I have emailed my lawmakers to support Ukraine and let them know I will only vote for them if they support Ukraine. I think we must be bolder in supporting Ukraine.
As a european Im thankful that you support Ukraine. Together we will win.
Ukraine needs to unite and throw out Zelenskyy, the puppet thug.
**Looks at map**
Yeah....
I think since Zelensky sacrificed the Azov brigade his days are numbered.
yeah i think we might see a repeat of what happened to a certain failed artist in july 1944 in july 2024. the question is will zelensky be as lucky as the failed artist ?
@@stayhungry1503 I think he will have a secure ticket booked to the US. Putin has said more than once he will not kill Zelensky.
i didnt say putin would do it, read what i wrote again.@@Didigetitwrong
@@stayhungry1503 I did read your post.
Ukraine is failing back as usual Russia play well in second half
Some people make a career out of lying!
No matter how you try and spin it and lie..... Ukraine is losing this war 😊