Steve Smith Sr. was speaking truth when he called Jeudy a JAG. He predicted that Denver would move on from Jeudy ASAP too. Leave it to the Browns to give up too much to trade for him, then overpay him in a new contract.
@@branchtana315 He was used incorrectly in Denver and had inconsistent QB play. He will eat in Cleveland. They know what they are doing they're the most stacked team in the NFL besides the 49ers on both sides of the ball.
PIT tried to make Pickens a YAC guy with a bunch of short crossing routes and screens last year, and that failed miserably. To Pickens defense, he knew that wasn't his strength and it was a big part of the midseason drama with him. They started using Pickens correctly down the stretch, and his production jumped big. As the guys mentioned here, the concern is the Arthur Smith offense not affording him a lot of those opportunities. At least Russ and Fields are both mobile enough to extend plays.
I love MHJ, but I just can't make myself spend WR1 prices and take him around the 1-2 turn. If I'm drafting a top rookie WR, I'd rather pivot to Nabers. Obviously his situation is substantially worse on paper but I think he's going to get a massive target share, somewhere in the 140-150 range if he stays healthy. There's a lot more upside at his price, as he's being taken around WR25 at the 4th/5th turn.
Downs has about 4 weeks between his injury and the start of the season. So if he does miss time, hopefully it'll only be 1 or 2 games. I'm still high on Downs this year.
12 team league 1 QB , 2 RB , 3 WR , 1 flex , 1 TE . got Marv Har Jr (13) , Devonta Smith (36),Nabers (37)and Tee Higgins for flex in 6th rd pick 61. full ppr imop have to grab those 4 WR early in this set up. Jonathan Taylor (12) , Kyler Murray (60) , Zamir White (84) , Evan Engram (85) . I hated drawing pick 12 hope this squad clicks
@@WhosWatchingWhatwe'll see.... I'd be willing to take my chances but if the rest of your roster isn't strong enough to take a high ceiling swing on Kupp then that's on you.
They're going to be like Drew Brees and the Saints skill core in 2011 - 13, Brees was gold, but so many weapons that maybe 1 was a solid fantasy start Lol
If Rashee Rice doesn't get suspended, I think he should be given the opportunity to be a #1 WR, potential top 10 WR in fantasy. Hollywood has already been given opportunities and Kelce is aging. It's possible he dominates targets
Rice had almost 1k yards and 7 TD's as a Rookie... Kelce will so obviously have his reps managed throughout the regular season, Hollywood is always hurt. Worthy is nice deep-ball threat though. He's a smash pick at his current ADP
Thank you guys this was the most helpful video for me drafting at the 1.01 starting with cmc in full ppr redraft format. 100% have a better idea of what I’m doing great video
No they just fear aiyuk coming and taking targets, feiermuth is a horrible pass catcher they mainly just use him to block, if they got a #2 receiver onto the team he wouldn’t even get targets anymore
@@kylewade8704 they’ve heavily invested in the o-line in the recent two ish years. They had a young and improving o-line last season which is why I think he was asked to block more than we’d like. Smith used the most 2 TE sets in ATL, and they’re def using that with muth and darnell…with Darnell primarily blocking. Hard to imagine that one te won’t eat in PIT under smith, and Pat would be the one to do so. And with Diontae leaving, that opens up more targets for others as he was their #1 target earner last season. Would not be surprised if we see something more like year 2 of pat’s career this season (where he had 700 receiving yards…hard to believe he’s a horrible pass catcher when getting 700 rec yards as a second year te - which was 6th amongst TEs that year, and he had the 6th most receptions that year too)
That makes sense for the success by route, but for the route percentage chart, is it just relative to league averages? I.e green they run it more, red they run it less?
Yeah I'm very happy with Harrison at 2, McBride at 5 and Murray at 8. Love me some double stacks While the Bills may have lost Diggs, Davis was not a great WR. Keon Coleman and Curtis Samuel isnt that much of a downgrade from Diggs Davis particularly because Davis was meh. (Two WR2s vs a WR1 and a WR4)
Why would u get a stack where ur starting TE and receiver can’t both go off?😂u want to do that when u get the receiver early then te later like lamb and Ferguson or Adams and bowers. Has anyone even been successful in any way with the strategy u just listed?😂
@@kylewade8704 So your question is 'why do people do double and triple stacks?' I didnt reach for any of these guys, they all went in their normal round. There is no difference between 'Adams/Bowers' and 'Harrison/McBride'. Both are the number 1 receiver, both are the number one TE. Tell me the difference. Stacks can work either way, it raises your ceiling but also lowers your floor. Having a stack doesnt turn a late round TE into a better TE, Skippy. What you said was nonsense. Stacks have the same exact effect whether it's Amon-Ra and LaPorta or DJ Moore and Kmet. Feast or famine play.
Drake "NO YAC" London in the 2nd Round ? I don't think so. Better pray he catches 130 ish balls and 10-12 "IN" the end zone... cause he's not running them in. regards
He's NOT Justin Jefferson, the Atlanta offense will schematically be at least moderately different than Kevin O'Connells is in Minnesota ( Atlanta will continue to be more run heavy, imo.)
I think Matt's wrong on Watson. I think Matt highly favors small route runners and not as much as rhe elite athletes. Put the ball in Watson's hands and he will flash on the defense.
the Lions should pass less this year, if anything, if we believe defense and O-line and RB health is improved over last year. if Jameson is productive at all, that bumps SunGod and SamLaporta down a round or two of fantasy value doesn't it? more lopsided games this year running the clock out I think. along with Miami, I'm a stay away this year, after riding the wave the last couple seasons. better to cut bait too soon than fish from stale waters.
How do u get away with calling out mconkeys skin color? Who cares if hes white? Cupp had best yr by wr EVER!!! kelce or gronk are best te EVER. Mcaffrey is best rb the last 5 yrs. Brady best qb EVER!!! Do you call out blacks for wonderlich test scores???? Hmmmm
With all due respect Pickens is the epitome of how Reception Perception is flawed in my opinion. Pickens excels in areas other than route running that are not captured by the Reception Perception process. Things like athleticism, timing, body position, and his ability to fully extend his arms, high point the ball, and catch it with his hands. These traits are all very evident when you watch him play. So, I don't think it's fair to say Player A is "better" than Pickens because he has a higher success rate on his routes.
QBs dont like to throw a bunch of contested routes. If youre open, you get more chances. Chances = points. Is Pickens a good WR? Aboslutely. Does that mean hes a a great fantasy play? Meh, depends where he falls.
It's not flawed, it shows exactly what it's supposed to, the guys who SUCCEED on routes, it's your job to factor in other components with that data to form your own opinion.
@@anthonywest7423it’s not flawed? I guess I should just draft receivers based solely on these stats and I’ll never lose a league again….dawg go read the book how to lie with statistics
@@anthonywest7423that’s not how people look at these stats. Matt Harmon is a huge dork that has cute stats. He’s not a sports bettor and I bet he doesn’t win much
in nobody's vernacular is a generation ever supposed to be as long as a lifetime. it's technically a reproductive cycle, like 15-30 years long in terms of people and history. In sports it used to always mean a decade or so, the length of careers. Now those stretch and yet the game and crop of talent changes faster and faster shrinking a sports generation under a decade now. To be generational, be like Wemby, not like the also awesome Paolo or Chet. Mahomes and Caleb might both be generational. Allen, Lamar, etc aren't also so unless they pile up some rings too like Caleb has mere potential now to do so. The good thing for Caleb is he has no obstacle to become the best Bears QB in history his first season or two. Even if he busts. His ceiling is elite it would seem. Could be bigger and tougher, sure, but he's magic in part because he doesn't sit there and absorb hits like a stoic. Yay football.
Matt’s never wrong he’s just early
always
I'm a huge fan of Matt Harmon but he hasn't hit on his Jahan Dotson fandom ... yet, maybe.
@@timfarney5165 yeah but Dotson looks good on film so far in the NFL he’s just been in a horrible offensive environment
Being a year early is a fancy way of saying you're wrong. In redraft leagues timing is everything.
My justification each year for my fantasy team 🤣
Jerry Jeudy: Shouldn't suck. He just does.
Steve Smith Sr. was speaking truth when he called Jeudy a JAG. He predicted that Denver would move on from Jeudy ASAP too. Leave it to the Browns to give up too much to trade for him, then overpay him in a new contract.
@@branchtana315 He was used incorrectly in Denver and had inconsistent QB play. He will eat in Cleveland. They know what they are doing they're the most stacked team in the NFL besides the 49ers on both sides of the ball.
@@Nerve18 Not going to happen. Jeudy won't even have a 1k yard season.
@@Nerve18no
I’m out on Jeudy following last season
Everyone needs to draft Jerry Jeudy, hopefully that catches on in my league as well
I’d take him ahead of mccafrey fer suuure
Harmon and ETR is such an elite duo.. simping aside, they carry such a different perspective that the dialogue encompasses so much useful information!
Amazing discussion today. Well rounded points on each segment. 💪👍😎
TY!
Kupp was hurt and still wr 9 w puka out there and ton of redzone stuff I'll draft him a ton
Pickens at WR 38 and Jameson Williams at WR 42 for Silva is actually insane
You gotta say which guys he should be ahead of in his rankings then?
Excellent production value gents
thank you!
@@EstablishTheRun y'all had to show out for Matt
second this
well this is Phenomenal for free, thank you.
thanks for watching!
Really great video/analysis gentlemen
TY!
PIT tried to make Pickens a YAC guy with a bunch of short crossing routes and screens last year, and that failed miserably.
To Pickens defense, he knew that wasn't his strength and it was a big part of the midseason drama with him. They started using Pickens correctly down the stretch, and his production jumped big. As the guys mentioned here, the concern is the Arthur Smith offense not affording him a lot of those opportunities. At least Russ and Fields are both mobile enough to extend plays.
I love MHJ, but I just can't make myself spend WR1 prices and take him around the 1-2 turn.
If I'm drafting a top rookie WR, I'd rather pivot to Nabers. Obviously his situation is substantially worse on paper but I think he's going to get a massive target share, somewhere in the 140-150 range if he stays healthy. There's a lot more upside at his price, as he's being taken around WR25 at the 4th/5th turn.
"Greg Dorth, he's like 5'7" in high heels" lmao
Olave is drafted at almost the same spot. In the same scenario with carr and coaching. So what are we doing here?
Olave goes in the second group of receivers or the teams who went rb back2back, sorta the wr line in the sand draft wise
The coaching ain’t the same tho
D. Wicks seems like the most talked about sleeper wr this year.
Like Houston, i also have a leaky back end
tough times don't last, tough people do
RIP Josh Downs’ ankle
High ankle, ooof
I hope not, even so wheels up AD
@@RazorRamon24I'm a big fan of both AD and Downs. Would love to see that entire IND offense stay healthy this year.
Downs has about 4 weeks between his injury and the start of the season. So if he does miss time, hopefully it'll only be 1 or 2 games. I'm still high on Downs this year.
Brian Thomas Jr.
Kupp’s so back and going to absolutely smash, got him in the 4th 😊
That episode was incredible
thank you!
Christian Watson also had a muscle imbalance in his legs that he corrected in the offseason
Shout out to the video team. Sick one!
Generation = 20-ish years
I always figured a generation in football terms is like 10-ish years. Basically the length of a great player’s career give or take.
Agreed. Between 20-30, because that's the general age people usually have kids, which starts a new "generation".
12 team league 1 QB , 2 RB , 3 WR , 1 flex , 1 TE . got Marv Har Jr (13) , Devonta Smith (36),Nabers (37)and Tee Higgins for flex in 6th rd pick 61. full ppr imop have to grab those 4 WR early in this set up. Jonathan Taylor (12) , Kyler Murray (60) , Zamir White (84) , Evan Engram (85) . I hated drawing pick 12 hope this squad clicks
Kupp is a route runner, it’s never been about speed.
He’s gonna run a route, the best route to the IR again this year
@@WhosWatchingWhatwe'll see.... I'd be willing to take my chances but if the rest of your roster isn't strong enough to take a high ceiling swing on Kupp then that's on you.
Ball going all over the field with the Chiefs. They are loaded and have 3 pass catching TEs now also.
They're going to be like Drew Brees and the Saints skill core in 2011 - 13, Brees was gold, but so many weapons that maybe 1 was a solid fantasy start Lol
If Rashee Rice doesn't get suspended, I think he should be given the opportunity to be a #1 WR, potential top 10 WR in fantasy. Hollywood has already been given opportunities and Kelce is aging. It's possible he dominates targets
@@blessedbetit665rice averaged like 8 yards a catch😂he’s not a #1 he’s a screen catcher and slant runner
@@kylewade8704 Although he runs a lot of short routes, he still averaged 12 yards per catch.
Rice had almost 1k yards and 7 TD's as a Rookie... Kelce will so obviously have his reps managed throughout the regular season, Hollywood is always hurt. Worthy is nice deep-ball threat though. He's a smash pick at his current ADP
Kupp being second fiddle when him and Puka had nearly the same targets per game when he came back from injury?🤔 looks more like 1a 1b
Insightful!
TY!
Great video...could u do a video on the teams who have the most plays per game..and the worst..?
there is a pace video that we do every year.
really enjoyed this episode football is back baby lfg
Had to get a like starting with Drake.
❤🔥
How can I apply for the fantasy analyst position?
Ridley actually only dropped 6 pass total all season last year. Its only being made such a big deal because half the drops were touchdowns.
Matt does god's work
Randy Moss was similar to Harrison as a rookie, often taken in first five picks.
Drake London looks like a land mine slow no separation no yac wtf am I missing
Do you guys happen to have the results from 2023 compared to your rankings?
i drafted 700 teams on underdog last summer. lost about 1k of the 6k invested. feel like a million dollars having drafted zero this year.
plan on drafting any at all?
if you don't mind me asking what were some of your biggest mistakes that you made?
Looking at it wrong. Paid 1k for 700 dopamine rushes. I've lost more on hookers and blow in a weekend. Get back on the horse.
@@EstablishTheRun too far behind now. totally out of the loop. likely out forever also as knowledge compounds, so out of the loop next year etc.
@@C-H23 not having enough pickens and amari cooper
Thank you guys this was the most helpful video for me drafting at the 1.01 starting with cmc in full ppr redraft format. 100% have a better idea of what I’m doing great video
happy to hear it! good luck
Given the hesitancy towards Pickens, do you think PIT’s new OC favors muth more than Pickens?
No they just fear aiyuk coming and taking targets, feiermuth is a horrible pass catcher they mainly just use him to block, if they got a #2 receiver onto the team he wouldn’t even get targets anymore
@@kylewade8704 they’ve heavily invested in the o-line in the recent two ish years. They had a young and improving o-line last season which is why I think he was asked to block more than we’d like. Smith used the most 2 TE sets in ATL, and they’re def using that with muth and darnell…with Darnell primarily blocking. Hard to imagine that one te won’t eat in PIT under smith, and Pat would be the one to do so. And with Diontae leaving, that opens up more targets for others as he was their #1 target earner last season. Would not be surprised if we see something more like year 2 of pat’s career this season (where he had 700 receiving yards…hard to believe he’s a horrible pass catcher when getting 700 rec yards as a second year te - which was 6th amongst TEs that year, and he had the 6th most receptions that year too)
If aiyuk goes to PIT than pat’s role would change, but he wouldn’t be a primary blocking guy
kupp will be better value than nacua
If hes healthy i agree
“Jmo needs waymo”
Drake London. Can someone talk about the Kirk Cousins stimulus? They didn’t even touch on that
??
They did
No wrs attached to Arthur Smith for me lol all over the Rbs and tes thi
What do the colors mean on the Route Percentage chart?
green is good, yellow average, red underperform
That makes sense for the success by route, but for the route percentage chart, is it just relative to league averages? I.e green they run it more, red they run it less?
i think if packers run game is improved/successful it will help Christian Watson the most...
I just took nico and diggs also jsn and metcalf so even if wrong I win
Drake London is this generation’s Mike Evans.
Generation is 20 years
Christian Kirk or Kupp in Dynasty?
Kupp.
Matt once encouraged the drafting of Philip Dorset. Just saying
6522 Tevin Camp
Herbert foot injury sounds like the burrow injury from last season if I’m not mistaken
Burrow had a calf
@@jdogagt ah, you’re right, my b
The idea of it potentially being a lingering injury is more comparable ig
@@user-fi9hk9tj8v I think it does affect him how much not sure.
I love London
I searched high and low for Chris Olive in my draft. Couldn't find him.
Perhaps because it's spelled Olave
Yeah I'm very happy with Harrison at 2, McBride at 5 and Murray at 8. Love me some double stacks
While the Bills may have lost Diggs, Davis was not a great WR. Keon Coleman and Curtis Samuel isnt that much of a downgrade from Diggs Davis particularly because Davis was meh. (Two WR2s vs a WR1 and a WR4)
Why would u get a stack where ur starting TE and receiver can’t both go off?😂u want to do that when u get the receiver early then te later like lamb and Ferguson or Adams and bowers. Has anyone even been successful in any way with the strategy u just listed?😂
@@kylewade8704 So your question is 'why do people do double and triple stacks?' I didnt reach for any of these guys, they all went in their normal round. There is no difference between 'Adams/Bowers' and 'Harrison/McBride'. Both are the number 1 receiver, both are the number one TE. Tell me the difference. Stacks can work either way, it raises your ceiling but also lowers your floor. Having a stack doesnt turn a late round TE into a better TE, Skippy. What you said was nonsense. Stacks have the same exact effect whether it's Amon-Ra and LaPorta or DJ Moore and Kmet. Feast or famine play.
matt harmon should be working in a front office somewhere
Theres a reason Jerry Jeudy rhymes with Very Booty!!
in case nobody's told you before, you're one of the greatest living minds
Where are you guys get the wide receiver zone and man coverage numbers from? I want to add that into my algorithm
Drake "NO YAC" London in the 2nd Round ? I don't think so.
Better pray he catches 130 ish balls and 10-12 "IN" the end zone... cause he's not running them in.
regards
He's NOT Justin Jefferson, the Atlanta offense will schematically be at least moderately different than Kevin O'Connells is in Minnesota ( Atlanta will continue to be more run heavy, imo.)
Pitts is the guy to own in that offense
It's weird how many pts saints scored tho, a lot of it was garbage time pts I assume
How is it weird? They were a good offense all year
Ugh. Only problem with Establish the Run is having to listen to Levitan
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
London is a Bust
I think Matt's wrong on Watson. I think Matt highly favors small route runners and not as much as rhe elite athletes. Put the ball in Watson's hands and he will flash on the defense.
i don't respect much of what he says. reception perception is bunk. useless.
the Lions should pass less this year, if anything, if we believe defense and O-line and RB health is improved over last year. if Jameson is productive at all, that bumps SunGod and SamLaporta down a round or two of fantasy value doesn't it? more lopsided games this year running the clock out I think. along with Miami, I'm a stay away this year, after riding the wave the last couple seasons. better to cut bait too soon than fish from stale waters.
Y'all want to figure this out? Make it confusing
Free JAMO
did Matt call Puka last year ?
@@cb5528 No, at least not to my recollection.
Not hating but I don’t see Matt high in the WR accuracy rankings
I dont pay min to his rankings but the film study he does along with the charting has been valuable to me for a few years now.
Klint Kubiak not Gary lol
one season from Puka and you call Kupp "Second Fiddle"?! He was not 100% , you guys gotta chill.
Chris Olive?
that's nothing, you should see all the "Karen Williams" that have slipped through the cracks
He’s expecting to make a full recovery
How do u get away with calling out mconkeys skin color? Who cares if hes white? Cupp had best yr by wr EVER!!! kelce or gronk are best te EVER. Mcaffrey is best rb the last 5 yrs. Brady best qb EVER!!! Do you call out blacks for wonderlich test scores???? Hmmmm
London will be the Z receiver.
So… Jameson Williams is just Xavier Worthy in a much worse situation with a much worse QB?
No
chris "olive"?
notes app autocorrect ftw again
Has anyone seen Adam Levitan and Marshall Mathers in the same room? 🤔
Generation is 20-30 years
The check down is carrs heroin ur saying lol
The don’t call him big play Pickens for nothing
Advanced age? Lmao 🤣
Generational: the term everyone uses, but no one understands.
generational comment
With all due respect Pickens is the epitome of how Reception Perception is flawed in my opinion. Pickens excels in areas other than route running that are not captured by the Reception Perception process. Things like athleticism, timing, body position, and his ability to fully extend his arms, high point the ball, and catch it with his hands. These traits are all very evident when you watch him play. So, I don't think it's fair to say Player A is "better" than Pickens because he has a higher success rate on his routes.
QBs dont like to throw a bunch of contested routes. If youre open, you get more chances. Chances = points. Is Pickens a good WR? Aboslutely. Does that mean hes a a great fantasy play? Meh, depends where he falls.
It's not flawed, it shows exactly what it's supposed to, the guys who SUCCEED on routes, it's your job to factor in other components with that data to form your own opinion.
Read the book “how to lie with statistics”. Reception Perception is cute but it’s basically like reading horoscopes
@@anthonywest7423it’s not flawed? I guess I should just draft receivers based solely on these stats and I’ll never lose a league again….dawg go read the book how to lie with statistics
@@anthonywest7423that’s not how people look at these stats. Matt Harmon is a huge dork that has cute stats. He’s not a sports bettor and I bet he doesn’t win much
Rondale moore
First
in nobody's vernacular is a generation ever supposed to be as long as a lifetime. it's technically a reproductive cycle, like 15-30 years long in terms of people and history. In sports it used to always mean a decade or so, the length of careers. Now those stretch and yet the game and crop of talent changes faster and faster shrinking a sports generation under a decade now. To be generational, be like Wemby, not like the also awesome Paolo or Chet. Mahomes and Caleb might both be generational. Allen, Lamar, etc aren't also so unless they pile up some rings too like Caleb has mere potential now to do so. The good thing for Caleb is he has no obstacle to become the best Bears QB in history his first season or two. Even if he busts. His ceiling is elite it would seem. Could be bigger and tougher, sure, but he's magic in part because he doesn't sit there and absorb hits like a stoic. Yay football.
Drake London is nowhere near as good as Pickens. lmfao. this segment was pathetic.