Anora is the New Oscar Frontrunner
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- Опубліковано 9 лют 2025
- Anora picked up some huge wins at the DGA, PGA and Critics Choice Awards this weekend. I break down its victories and where it stands now in the Oscar race.
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I loved Anora so much. It had the potential to do something really dark, but instead it decides to do something more grounded and actually hilarious in moments, and every character is truly endearing.
That’s super cool! I feel like I’m the only one who didn’t like it not just becuase it’s about a SW
4:12 What made Jon M. Chu’s joke even funnier is the fact that Orlando Bloom, the presenter of the category, said something like the last 7 directors to win the Critics Choice went on to also win the Oscar 😂
And with this, ANORA just gained a narrative and the timing couldn’t be any more perfect.
Absolutely PERFECT timing! 3 days before Oscar voting starts.
I was worried Emilia Perez was going to become the front runner. Thank God
What's the narrative?
I always thought Anora and/or The Brutalist were the front-runners this awards season. Glad the narrative is changing.
Anora was the first front-runner from the start with the critical acclaim and the love for Sean Baker. Emilia Perez took over once the Globes came out.
I wonder if Emilia Perez is the victim of astroturfing by Justin baldonis PR Crisis management team😂
Both deserving winners!
Yeah, I think the brutalist is better. But annora is also a worthy winner should that happen
As always, do people seriously think Wicked and Emilia Perez will win
Going into this year's awards season I was so sure Anora was going to be the big frontrunner to run the table. It's so good, it has such depth, and it's not as divisive or offputting as some of the other best movies of the year. But then everything was just Emilia Perez out of nowhere and it was just what is happening?
It feels like reality has corrected and nature has healed.
I just saw The Substance, and awards or no, that movie has legs-so to speak.
Awesome movie!
This is easily the best news we have heard all awards season. No matter what you think of Anora, at least we can all agree that it would be a much better winner than Emilia Pérez in the long run.
Yes at this point any movie winning against EP is a win for cinema 🎉
I could not agree more with that statement.
it's so sad we have to cheer for the least bad one lol
So you are saying Anora, The Substance, The Brutalist, Nickel Boys, and I’m Still Here are bad movies? You have literally no taste in cinema.
As it should be. Dune Part 2 would’ve won for Best Picture if it were me. But Anora would’ve been my second choice
"The Brutalist", "Sing Sing", and "Anora" were in my top five, so I'm happy with this.
I think Anora has a good narrative behind it. It's a low-budget, well-liked independent film and the first American film winner of the Palm D'Or since Tree of Life back in 2011. I think the Oscars might want to recognize that
So happy for Sean Baker and Samantha Quan. They are such a great filmmaking team. Love how they look at each other at 1:06. Thank you Dan for this video. Looking forward to Charts and anything else you post this week.
The Oscars are my Super Bowl!
Same 🎉
Mine too, I look forward to it every year!
Both are garbage.
Anora, Nosferatu and a Real Pain were the Oscar movies that were at the top of my favourite list of 2024. If any of these get a little something, I'll be happy. They are no nonsense, concise runtime and highly entertaining movies while also having the deeper emotional, historical, societal themes that makes one think, and assess the different layers of the flick.
A real pain. Decent but majorly overrated. 😊
So happy Anora is getting its flowers. Perhaps imo the best drama film since Moonlight. Sean Baker made some beautiful yet extremely entertaining. Not a flaw in that movie
I honestly love all of the best picture nominees besides Emilia Perez and am happy to see Sean Baker and Anora getting the love they deserve. However, I still cannot wrap my head around how bad A24 fumbled the bag with Sing Sing. If Sing Sing had gotten a proper marketing campaign, it could be a best picture favorite. Still my #1 film of 2024.
Not my personal pick for PGA and DGA but given that my top 5 award contenders are The Brutalist, Anora, The Substance, Conclave, and Dune Part Two (these are not in order), I'll definitely take whatever huge award these movies have been winning so far. Good luck to Anora for the Oscars 🙌
The substance 🤮give it me a break. The Brutalist is a boring movie
I just watched Anora and even though I prefer "the substance " as my #1 movie of 2024 (so far, I'm still watching the rest of the movies) , I think Anora wining would make a lot of sense. I think this is the 1st of Baker's movies I truly enjoyed.
Thanks for the video, Dan ❤ greetings from Colombia 🇨🇴
Couldn’t be happier for Anora, I think it’s almost a lock for Best Picture. Small correction Dan - as I understand it, BAFTA actually does have a significant membership overlap with the Academy
It does. Especially in recent years when they got more international membership. And we should be paying more attention to BAFTA this year since voting closes a couple days after BAFTA and BAFTA could influence the Oscar's which is why I'm not sleeping on Conclave. Although Anora is my second favorite movie of the year, I just really want Conclave to take it. But my top 3 are Conclave, Anora, and Dune Part 2 with potential for The Brutalist to be in there somewhere once I see it.
You know, it could've been worse if they pick Emilia Perez to win both DGA and PGA 😂
Let's be real...Denis Villenueve should swept
After Emilia Perez got 13 nominations, I’m just glad it’s dying off
I was generally positive about Anora, but there were other movies that resonated with me a little more. The Substance was my personal favorite, but it's not for everyone and it has a snowball's chance in hell of winning Best Picture, For the most part, The Brutalist has been my personal pick, but I worry it has too similar a vibe to Oppenheimer (large scale 3+ hour epic about one man's trials and tribulations building something monumental in the mid 20th century)... AI controversy notwithstanding. I'm still all in on Adrien Brody for Best Actor, but yeah, Anora's sudden victories are a huge curveball. Regardless, I'm tickled to see Anora emerge as the David to Emilia Perez's Goliath. Let's gooooooo!
I have not stopped thinking about Conclave since I first saw it.
Thanks for this update! I'm kind of glad the awards season is being unpredictable. It makes watching the Oscars more fun when you don't already know who's gonna win
Congratulations to The Wild Robot for winning 9 Annie Awards! That was an awesome movie!
YES! I wish it was Nickel Boys but it's crazy that Anora is *now* a contender. Getting passed over by Conclave.
Awesome news!
Fantastic flick, it has everything, humor, sincerity, character arc, top acting, great scenes, and an entertainment factor!
I hope it wins.
Flow was a far better movie than The Wild Robot and should have won Best Animated Feature.
I really hope Anora wins the oscar. The best movie I´ve seen so far
I knew it was going to be the frontrunner. I'm so happy people finally see it!
12:16 I love the Arrested Development reference Dan
RIP Carl Weathers
Well deserved for Anora. Probably my favorite movie of the year. Eh, maybe behind Dune 2.
That’s great! Anora deserves it
Anora is the film I’m rooting for.
*Blast Greatest Day at full volume I Prayed for this!!!!!
Emilia Perez, I honestly can't freaking understand why this movie has more Oscar nominations than Casablanca, Ben-Hur, The Lord of The Rings, Sleepless in Seattle, The Revenant, Chicago, The Goodbye Girl, The Color Purple (1985), Forrest Gump, Life is Beautiful (1997) and Schindler's List.
So, The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is sending a message to the world that this movie is outstanding and has a higher achievement in cinema than Casablanca, Life is Beautiful and Schindler's List... Why ? This is a sincere question to the members of the Academy... Why ?
The Academy’s response:
“because daaahling, wokisim and DEI is just SO Zeitgeist, and we LUV being associated with these populist ideas…it makes us feel like we’re at one with hoi polloi and showing them that “we get you”.
Also, a LOT of people in the movie making industry are gay, so this movie really speaks to us personally, so ergo, we want to fan the flames of our appreciation by over representing it with our attention.
That is all…you may now return to your menial existence”
Keep in mind that the majority of the films you listed weren't able to double dip and get a Foreign Film nomination. Also, "Emelia Perez" landed two song nominations. They nickeled and dimed their way to 13 nominations. Just be thankful Selena Gomez didn't get nominated.
Most latinos hate the movie and the internet is full of mocking for it. Also the Trans community has make it clear they dislike the movie. This Hollywood being an idiot like with green book.
I say this as someone who dislikes Emilia Pérez, but if that's the message you get from the 13 nominatios, that's kinda on you. You can't just compare nomination numbers from different Oscar years. Casablanca for example was qualified for nomination in fewer categories because those were different back then. Another year might have a very strong lineup that was hard to compete on, when this year is just okay. There might have been scandals that no one remembers now, or an aging star had a legacy nomination that pushed out the movies you named, or someone just wasn't well liked in the industry and the lack of a nomination is more about a person than the film. There are so many reasons that having nothing to do with quality why Emilia Pérez has 13 nominations.
Great video Dan!
I think the critics choice awards being delayed were supposed to be a huge indicator for the Oscars in the original nomination announcement timeline. Having an Anora win, Jon Chu win, and Challengers wins feels like they were intended to be a hint for what the Oscar nominations might be and a boost to get them but with them being pushed obviously that didn’t work out
I'm just glad Emilia Perez has died out and hopefully it will also lose the International Feature at the Oscars. Also glad it's Anora the one assuming the lead of the race and hopefully that means Mikey has a good chance of winning instead of Demi Moore who became the favorite on the back of a speech and a career narrative, both Mikey and Torres had much stronger performances IMO.
Hopefully Zoe Saldana wins best supporting actress. She honestly should be up for best actress
Anora would be my own pick for Best Picture, so I really like these developments. I am annoyed that Demi Moore might win even though I really liked The Substance; Mikey Madison deserves it so much more. Maybe these developments give Madison the boost she needs for the win. Hope so.
anora performed really well in the baftas and sag (in nominations), so I'm hoping mikey wins there. i feel like she gets bafta because they really don't care about narrative. she has a chance at sag too considering anora got an ensemble nomination and best supporting actor. maybe, just maybe, the actors will reward the better performance lol
Lol I am still upset about Brokeback Mountain not winning.
It's still wierd seeing Manscaped promoted by Dan in his Channel.
I really liked Anora. I've seen about half of the nominees. Anora is my favorite so far.
I LOVED Anora 🙌🏻🙌🏻
Movie Gods: We must save the Oscars from all that is wicked and unworthy.
Watch out for Conclave!!
🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻 PLEASE!!!
I love this Film and Sean Bakers work in general
I would have loved to see Flow win.
PGA and Critic's Choice will often go with the bigger film. Let's see what happens at BAFTA. If The Wild Doesn't wins there, it'll be over.
What a race what a season!
terrible season. weak year.
🤭
I hope the shitstorm swirling around Emilia Pérez doesn't hurt Zoe Saldana’s chances of winning an award. I feel like she has been in so many good films and deserves a fair shot at winning without having her chances ruined by two garbage people, lol.
I feel like Anora inherited the female voter demographic from Emilia Pérez. And I'm fine with that, looking forward to Sean Baker winning 4 Oscars in one night.
BTW one thing that is not often mentioned is how much closer modern Oscar voters pay attention to Cannes winners. Parasite swept the Oscars, The Triangle of Sadness (ew) and The Anatomy of a Fall were nominated for best pic. This is VERY indicative.
I'm pulling for Sean Baker and Anora.... While I still think The Florida Project is the film Sean Baker most deserved to win for, that's how the Oscars usually go. A director often wins for a movie they make after their best film.
For Sean Baker that would be Red Rocket though
Anora is my favorite movies in 2024
I want all the success for The Substance and Anora
The most heavy stat is that only TWO films have won Palme d'Or and placed top 3 at TIFF... Parasite, and now Anora. So I think it's a good sign for Anora winning Picture, just as Parasite did.
as a Brutalist hater and Anora lover, this is great news for me 😌 I was telling some friends last week that the only way I could take the Oscars seriously this year would be if Anora swept, and I think they might actually thread that needle now 🤞
I don't even care about the Oscars this year anymore...I'm just so happy for Moeka Hoshi, everything is OK now!❤
Conclave deserves best picture, it was astounding.
I really recommend A Real Pain,
Your content is always great. Thanks for all you do!
Love the backhanded love to the BAFTAS😂
I think the history books will show that Emilia Perez was the frontrunner before all the controversy, but I don’t buy it. I don’t think it would ever win Best picture. It isn’t a good movie and I trust Academy voters to have at least some real taste
It was going to be like boy hood with only 1 Oscar, but now they will say it was because they were "cancel"
What a wonderful turn of events, so happy for Sean Baker & Anora team.
Don't forget the Spirit Awards, please.
Ever since The Brutalist and the rise of Emilia Perez people have been saying Anora no longer has any chance, and would never win best picture or any of the big nominations. Glad this is being proven wrong, its a fantastic film, and thank god Perez has lost all steam
Dan... "is" is a verb. Verbs are always capitalized in titles.
man, i really really really really hope flow wins at the oscars.
DGA has beautiful looking awards
You the GOAT Dan.
Happy turn of events. Unfortunate Madison isn't more of a threat for best actress.
If I can't have Denis Villeneuve, I'll take Sean Baker for best director.
Hey Dan, you said that enthusiasm has cooled and was low in the room for Emilia Perez and I would say that in the general public it has. But, I listened very carefully every time Emilia Perez was called out in a category during the Critics Choice awards and there was a huge cheer from the audience. So I would say there is still a lot of support from Hollywood.
From what I read, and saw in video clips recorded from the room itself, the response was much more restrained than it appeared on TV. The microphones for the broadcast were at the front of the room, where the stars were and where the Emilia Perez table was. The critics are in the back (I can say that from experience).
I loved Anora!!!
It's been a while since I last disagreed with most people about a Best Picture frontrunner like this.
I appreciate Anora, but I'd put it far from being in the Oscars conversation.
Any reason why ?
FLOW > THE WILD ROBOT
Maybe it'll win in the other Oscar category....
Love the Demon slayer shirt! Can't wait for the movies! Btw Dan check out Attack on Titan, as a massive movie and anime fan, it is my favorite piece of media ever made!
Hope Zoe wins best supporting actress for Emilia Perez.
Well, you’ve got to consider one thing critics keep saying, the window for voting closed a while ago, before the Gascón drama. So we can’t say that Zoe wasn’t affected. We don’t actually know that yet, because critics voted BEFORE any of this exploded. Did SAG vote before or after the scandal?
I mentioned that the critics deadline had already passed in the video. SAG voting has been open for a while and is still open until 2/21.
Forget Emília Perez, the Wild Robot wins feels just right!
They announced "El Mal" as winner for Best Song. The audience sat on their hands. Critics put too much weight on the globes.
I will be very sad if Flow goes home empty handed at the Oscars. It's by far the most impressive achievement in filmmaking this year. As somebody who studies the biomechanics of animal movement and has extensive experience working in Blender, to do what they did in that program takes enormous talent. What a beautiful world and story, all told without dialogue. It's my favorite film in years. (I did watch A Wild Robot, and it was good but not my taste)
Sad day for us Brutal-Heads (us "The Brutalist" fans are still workshopping the name), but "Anora" was great so not too disappointed if the stats show it now has BP in the bag.
Not as much a fan of Anora but I see why it’s being awarded. Justice for The Brutalist though!
Eh Brutalist was ok.
My pick of the lot is I’m Still Here with Fernanda Torres. Soon as it starts streaming, it will pick up massive support. Our one art house showed it ONE day. BTW, Sarasota has closed all AMC and Regal theaters. (So can’t see Conclave till VOD puts it up. This week.)Building more condos. Can’t wait to get out of this miserable state.
Stoked for Anora, Sean Baker, and their whole team! Super deserving movie. Looking through the Critic’s Choice award wins, most of them make a lot of sense. Particularly Challengers winning editing and score. However, I can’t wrap my head around John M. Chu winning for director (Especially up against Baker, Villeneuve, Corbet, Fargeat, and Ross). A truly baffling win in my eyes. Stoked to see Demi Moore gain traction. She wasn’t my initial pick, but I would absolutely love to see her win big at the Oscar’s. Fantastic performance! A Real Pain and Deadpool+Wolverine tying for best comedy is hilarious to me.
You use the word "famously" when it's not justified.
Jon should have been nominated for an Academy Award. Wicked is AMAZING!! What a mistake on their part.
The Brutalist is still 2,000 votes ahead on Gold Derby. I frankly think it'll come down to what percentage of the Academy manages to squeeze in the time to actually watch The Brutalist.
Actually, the ranked choice voting may very well crown Anora. Combine first and second ranked voters, and it could be a juggernaut.
Ok, but the Gold Derby rankings are totally dependent on individual predictions and not everyone is going to race to update them right after these guild award announcements. I'd be shocked if The Brutalist is still ahead by the end of the week.
@@allenrubinstein3696 Yeah, but I still think Anora will get as many 9/10 as 1/2 whereas Conclave, the lowest it will go will be 3.
@@anthonyschroeder2770 I don't know why you think that. Anora has been lavished with praise by everyone. I don't think I've heard a single critical word against it. It's been a big indie financial success, and if the academy is in the mood to speak to the moment, I'd say the class politics and the reflection on Russian oligarchs works just fine. It's a great choice in a mediocre year.
@@anthonyschroeder2770 and Conclave is the very definition of middlebrow mediocrity. Which, come to think, makes it perfect for the Oscars, so I should probably stop talking.
Keep in mind SAG awards take place 5 days after Oscar voting is over
I am surprised. I thought that it would be possible that the producers would go to the movie that was popular with audiences in Wicked.
Oscars watch party live ?
Why does dune get no love?
Here is my pick for each oscar win
Best Picture- Dune Part Two
Best Director- Coralie Fargeat
Best Cinematography- Greig Fraser
Best Original Score- The Brutalist
Best Original Screenplay- The Brutalist
Best Adapted Screenplay- Conclave
Best Sound- Dune Part Two
Best Production Design- Wicked
Best Make up and Hairstyling- Wicked
Best Costume Design- Wicked
Best Editing- Anora
Best Actress- Mickey Madison
Best Supporting Actress- Ariana Grande
Best Actor- Adrien Brody
Best Supporting Actor- Guy Pearce
I wonder if the A.I scandal surrounding The Brutalist is not having some effect? A few weeks ago I would have pegged The Brutalist to take home Best Director and Best Film at the Academy Awards but since the A.I scandal broke around the film, and with Emelia Perez also mired in controversy, I predict Anora will surge ahead come Academy Awards (just based off the outcomes of DGA and PGA).
Zoe’s speech was so Cringe (and i hate that word) that I feel she lost that Oscar right there! If Ariana does not win I can see the Academy going for Rossellini as a career Oscar for those 3 minutes in Conclave
Felicity Jones has a better chance at BAFTA imo. She's the only previous Oscar nominee in the category and she's British.
@@GreenParadise05 Assuming they can make it to the end of The Brutalist. Lol.
Regardless of everything else, I have no idea how The Substance is constantly winning or even nominated for Best Screenplay awards. Even if you like the movie, the screenplay treats the audience like they can't retain a thought for more than 10 seconds. Baffling.
Honestly it needed to win Screenplay and Mikey Madison at Critic's Choice but yeah it's a frontrunner.
Anora really needs that package deal of acting and writing to go along with picture
Why? If it's getting director and maybe editing, that's a similar tally to a number of recent winners. _Spotlight_ even won nothing other than screenplay.
@ Baker needs to win BAFTA for me to go with him. Cause he's only won DGA which is HUGR but like bro didn't sweep. I'm not sure if Anora will win ediiting over Perez right now even though it's a great narrative and screenplay that could lose to The Substance. Like how do you win picture at Critics Choice but still lose screenplay to The Substance?
@@ColonelGreen Conclave is most likely winning Editing. But it would need more than Director to win. It either needs Editing or Screenplay but I have it second in both categories and I'm not convinced Mikey has a shot to win Actress.
@@zaiah9252 I think Berger's got BAFTA again. I don't think Anora or The Brutalist are winning big at BAFTA.
I’ve seen half the best picture nominees list and Anora is far and beyond my favorite movie on the list.
I would give Flow much more than a 10% chance of winning animated feature. I think it’s a similar situation to The Boy and the Heron vs Spider-man last year. The American critical darling vs the foreign independent contender. Sure Hayao Miyazaki is a much bigger name than the filmmakers behind Flow, but the precursors are similar and the Academy in recent years has leaned more independent in many categories (also, Flow won most critics groups if I’m not mistaken).
I m still here❤❤❤❤
The amount of people in the comments seemingly ignorant of I'm Still Here is saddening...
I'm Still Here was never winning Best Picture. It doesn't have Screenplay or Editing nominations.
@anthonyschroeder2770 And? That was never a guarantee for any movie before it.
@@Macaulyn_97 uh yeah, it was. To my knowledge, only Wings and Grand Hotel didn’t have both, but they existed before the Editing category. Of the last 25 years only Birdman and CODA didn’t have Editing nominations but they both had Screenplay, which they won. So yeah, I’d say that a movie needs Editing and Screenplay nominations yo win. But if a movie does not have Director, Editing, AND Screenplay, it’s dead in the water. A movie may still win without a Director nomination but without all 3, it doesn’t have a shot.
@anthonyschroeder2770 Good luck with that logic.
@ It's actual fact. Not to mention the fact that I'm Still Here getting nominated was a surprise.
You should consider that I’m still here was not stronger as now
I personally am all in on I'm Still Here, but I'm very biased and haven't see 3 of the nominees for Best Picture