Not to mention their ability to deal with emotional pain thresholds is likely much lower than previous generations ie the Sell push button is going to be very active at corrections greater than 15%
Amazing how close we are on this one Sven-my estimated calculation from Nov 2024 arrived at ~$106.17. Good work on the video and estimation. I began reducing my position into strength in Nov/Dec 2024. I still own 800 shares and I am obviously contemplating my strategy going forward with this position, purchased in 2016. All the best to you/everyone in 2025.
Acquiring stocks could appear simple, but choosing the right stock without a tested plan can be very difficult. My main barrier to growing my $210K portfolio, which I've been working on for a while, is the absence of well-defined entry and exit plans. Any guidance on this would be highly valued.
It's not just about having money to invest in stocks; it's about knowing the right strategies for profit and managing risk. That's why working with an investment advisor is important-they have insights not available to everyone.
I agree with you. As an early investor in NVDA, AVGO, ANSS, and LRCX, my financial advisor's advice was incredibly helpful. Over the past 7 years, she has helped me find stocks that did 10x multiple times. With her help, I've grown my portfolio to over a million dollars.
My CFA, Judith B.Richards, is a renowned figure in her field. I recommend researching her name online; you’ll find all her credentials and everything you need to work with a reliable professional. With many years of experience, she is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.
My calculated stock price was 105 USD, so we're pretty much at the same price Sven! Keep up the good work, I love these videos where you go back to the basics, ie. calculating the value of the business.
I already own shares of NVDA, PALANTIR, TSLA, and APPL as well. Sure, I don't mind having these equities sit around for a while, but I'd also like to appreciate short-term opportunities that could fetch $200,000
The strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
Opting for an inves-tment advisr is currently the optimal approach for navigating the market, particularly for those nearing retirement. I've been consulting with a coach for a while, and my portfolio has surged by 85% since 2023
regarding your intrinsic value dcf excel sheet. how do you make it to show the final predicted value of the stock in 10 years time? I'd like it to show the future value as well as present value. so i can judge more easily.
I think Tesla is even more pumped. Unless you believe the fever dreams of Robotaxis and Optimus coming within 1, 2 years, you can calculate the company's value as a decent EV maker using CAGR data estimates for the EV market etc and you can end up with a stock price of about 60-120 usd. Even in the best case just a fraction of what it's trading at currently. You can see the "brewing" in the background, as their long term put options are wicked expensive. I wanted to buy puts because shorting is too dangerous to me, but they are so expensive the company almost needs to default for them to have a positive npv, so I did not 😂
sven i like your videos a lot about value investing but apple is never going to 105$. Even during covid crash it never went there so i will not wait for that price to buy 150-180$ is a fair value to pay
Your objective as an investor is to earn a return, not to earn a return from Apple specifically. For some reason you everybody seems to have an obsession with the same dozen companies, as if there was nothing else in the planet. If you seek a 10% return, you expect Apple to grow its earnings with inflation, and you are not willing to speculate with market sentiment, then you need it around $100 (3% growth, plus a 5-6% buyback yield, plus a 1% dividend yield puts you at a 9-10% total). If the multiple expands, even better. If it doesn't, you are still good. At 150-180, you are RELYING on the multiple to expand and/or on the growth to reaccelerate, which is just a bet. If the bet fails, then you get a marginal return: simple math. What you or the market think is "fair" is irrelevant. The idea is to follow enough business so that, every now and then, some fall into a rational buying range where the business yield suffices to reach your goals. If Apple does, great. If it doesn't, something else will.
I would start to buy at $143 and if it doesn't get there then I'll find another good company valued better to buy. Economics are different now then 5 years ago during Covid.
Good one, I do agree with you on this one. They better do acquisition of something instead of overpriced buybacks. Not a nice stock. But nice sweater 👌
Haven't recalculated in a while but in line with my DCF value of roughly $94 in Sep 2024. Great company but definitely in the maturity phase of the business cycle.
Hey Sven I am checking your research platform and I stumbled upon this one here: Alibaba stock valuation step 1 Using total free cash flows also means that we must compare our intrinsic value to the market capitalization. I have a feeling Alibaba’s Chinese business could be worth at least one trillion USD down the road and the global business another trillion. Thus, a total of $2 trillion in value from a conservative perspective, therefore I prefer a total company metric compared to a per share metric. The case is different for Apple. You wrote this in 2021, Is your thesis still in line with this or you changed your mind? I am a bull on china but 2 trillion? that's massive FROM CONSERVATIVE perspective!
Biggest lesson i learnt in 2024 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
I don't have any apple products. I have never owned the stock. It is too expensive and represents no value and is a poor investment presently. Below your intrinsic value may be of interest. Thanks for the update Sven.
Hanky Panky Shanghai. We learned that as a kid in Holland. Always be weary of Hanky Panky. I agree with your analysis, there is not much value behind current stock price. Imagine if it goes sub $100 again and then (in hindsight) spending $100 billion/year in buybacks at more than double the share price today.
you're not that much off from my estimate: $128. with the EPV sitting at a nice $82. so anywhere within this range, i'd strongly consider buying apple.
Question; what do you think Buffett will do with his remaining shares of AAPL-will he hold his remaining 300 million shares or will he continue to sell until he is completely out of the position? Many thought he was done selling at 400 million shares, and then......
No question, Apple is extremely hyped, but is already in correction territory. Even now it is still extremely pricey. I don’t know where the price needs to go to buy in as a value investor
As always, a great analysis. Newcomers often wonder if it's too late to navigate the financial market, but the market is always unpredictable. Trading has more advantages than simply holding, so it's important to learn before diving in. Active trades are necessary to ride the market's waves. Thanks to Milton Harper insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings, managed to grow a nest egg of around 127k to a decent 532k. Kudos to the journey ahead!
I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience...
Milton's analyses delve deeper than surface-level trends, encompassing technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis to offer a comprehensive view of the market.
I’ve had majority of my holdings in tech stocks and irrespective of market changes, I’ve done pretty well especially with apple’s P/E(price to earnings ratio) gaining over 30% this past decade, now my questions is what stocks do you think will be the next apple in terms of growth for the next decade.
Because Apple has surpassed the competition, it may be difficult to locate the next Apple inside the tech stock industry. It is best to look beyond technology stocks.
Well things are different now, same market strategies applied over last decade wouldn’t apply to the current market, so to actually figure out how to outperform the market and stay afloat for the next decade, you should reach out to a financial advisor, that’s how I’ve managed to properly diversify across the right asset classes and gained over $450k in profit this past couple years.
Hey Sven, Could you do a video on Samsung please? It's stock price is currently over 50% down form its ATH in USD, and it's P/E ratio is in the 11-12 range. It seems that nobody is talking about it.
Hi Sven I did 10% growth followed by 6% growth with terminal multiple 30 (say market will give apple premium just as it does with other top quality companies), the intrinsic value is $201. This takes into account that potentially the AI leads to an iPhone super cycle next 5 years. Wall Street has been saying for 4 years next iPhone will be super cycle. Apple is a pass.
Apple has grown its revenue at a 7% cagr over the past decade. If you exclude the 30% surge in 2021 (fueled by the checks that the government put in people's pockets to "survive"), then it is down to a 5% cagr. How on earth is the business supposed to double its growth rate to 10% (7-8% if your 10% includes the 2-3% buyback yield), specially considering how large the business already is?
IMO, the new US administration policies are not good for Apple's outlook in the medium run (4+ years). I am certainly shopping for alternatives for many US products now.
Why the buybacks? To an American CEO all that matters is personal performance bonuses bases on the stock performance. The long term success or failure of the company is not really part of the consideration because most CEOs are not around for a lengthy tenure. The get in and want to cash out fast so the thinking is short term. Buybacks should only be during a recession when the stock has crashed deeply. Doing it now, is crazy.
What about other businesses and future prospects in other business. They have rich cash flow and technology. They can invest in R&D and make Apple TV like Netflix or make some spyware or crowdstrike.
Value investing has nothing to do with imagining how glorious the future would be if if if... With marginal growth, a marginal buyback yield and an idiotik multiple, where do you expect your future return to come from? Your comment suggests that you are speculating with a potential growth reacceleration grounded on business avenues that aren't there. For some reason, when it comes to these large cap names, people seem to do nothing other than come up with excuses to hold on the shares no matter what, even when the fundamentals are not there.
@@mathewwilson9776 I agree that future returns need to be rooted in tangible fundamentals. However, when it comes to a company like Apple, it’s important to consider its unique position. Beyond its existing core businesses, Apple has the financial strength, innovative culture, and scale to explore new high-margin opportunities. For instance, its rich cash flow allows for significant R&D investment. Apple could expand into sectors like streaming (building on the success of Apple TV+ to rival Netflix) or cybersecurity (leveraging its brand trust to create solutions akin to CrowdStrike). The ecosystem they've built around hardware, software, and services gives them a competitive edge that many large caps lack. While speculative growth isn't guaranteed, companies with strong fundamentals and proven adaptability, like Apple, shouldn't be dismissed solely based on historical metrics. Their ability to pivot and innovate has been a consistent driver of value.
Hello Sven, you are the best! Thank you for your work :) Can you do alibaba and tencent? I am stuck with china investments for 3 years and do not know if i should sell because of opportunity cost
We have already paid the opportunity costs and it definitely it was a mistake to invest in BABA like I did in 2021 when Munger did the same. That doesn't mean they are bad buys now - although I prefer Alibaba to Tencent
I did just buy a new iPad and keyboard becuase it links with iPhone that I have to update in 3 months . And it has all my iTunes movie purchases on it 😣
Appreciate your transparency ! I'm still holding XAI633K just because of the institutional interest and use. Also, it's tried and tested... something that can't be overlooked.
there is a missinterpretation of Buffett in this video. Apple repurchases when the stock is cheap and when it's at premium; it's part of its own policy, but taken on a longer period, Apple is buying its own stock at an average historic price. It's like any investor buys the SP 500 each month regardless of how cheap or expensive it is. Well, it's the same!. Then, you intrinsic value of $105, sorry, but you are valuing Apple as if it were a regular company. Just to point your mistake; Buffett was buying the stock like crazy at $150!. So, it's clear that for Buffett the stock worth is waaay higher than $150 as Buffett likes to buy with a margin of safety. On the other hand, your DFC only takes the EPS...but there are other variables that the market value the most respect to Apple, like the consistent FCF, and share repurchases which are not included in your assessment. So, your analysis is overlooking important factors, and you even overlook the split policy that Apple applies each 5 or 6 years which even when theorically it should not affect the market value, it finally does in reality as more retailer investors are willing to buy Apple stock to keep it for many years ahead.
As an investment enthusiast, I often wonder how top-level investors are able to become millionaires through investing. I have a significant amount of capital to start with, but I'm unsure about the strategies and direction I should take to help me generate substantial profits like some people are this season.
I’m not in a position to offer financial advice, but given the significant amount of capital you're working with, it would be wise to consult a financial advisor who can guide you in developing a strategy tailored to your goals and risk tolerance.
The truth is, the role of an investment advisor can often be overlooked but should never be underestimated. After facing a significant portfolio loss in 2020 during the COVID pandemic while trying to manage my investments on my own, I decided to reach out to an investment advisor. At that time, I had about $126K left in my portfolio. Now, without having to lift a finger, I'm semi-retired, working only 7.5 hours a week, and I'm just 15% short of my $1 million retirement goal thanks to my subsequent investments.
My CFA is ASHLEY GARNER ABBOTT, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did
Thank you so much for the suggestion! I really needed it. I looked her up on Google and explored her website; she has an impressive background in investments. I've sent her an email, and I hope to hear back from her soon!
Excellent period for gold 1999 was the low price of gold since 1979 and just and average period for berkshire Since 1979 gold is up 10× and s&p 500 or berkshire is up more 100×
I've been enjoying your videos! As a beginner investor with a limited budget of under $5,000, I'm excited to take the first step. Could you or anyone else offer guidance on a reliable investment strategy tailored for small-scale investors like myself?
Sorry but this DCF estimate is not of the intrinsic value of the business but of dividend payouts. Wrong approach. Apple has problems, but no one buy Apple for its dividends.
I think that 80% of the viewers here on UA-cam are
You are absolutely right on that.
Yes I have the same thought. Wonder how they will react when they fret over 2-3% drops. 2008-2009 was relentless and brutal.
Not to mention their ability to deal with emotional pain thresholds is likely much lower than previous generations ie the Sell push button is going to be very active at corrections greater than 15%
Buybacks at these prices are almost as stupid as companies going into debt to keep paying dividends
That’s the kind of video we needed to see! Thank you, Sven! And welcome back DCF calculation!
Amazing how close we are on this one Sven-my estimated calculation from Nov 2024 arrived at ~$106.17. Good work on the video and estimation. I began reducing my position into strength in Nov/Dec 2024. I still own 800 shares and I am obviously contemplating my strategy going forward with this position, purchased in 2016. All the best to you/everyone in 2025.
Good time to sell the rest:)
Hi Sven - another great video.
I would be really interested to see a valuation of Microsoft 🙂
Acquiring stocks could appear simple, but choosing the right stock without a tested plan can be very difficult. My main barrier to growing my $210K portfolio, which I've been working on for a while, is the absence of well-defined entry and exit plans. Any guidance on this would be highly valued.
It's not just about having money to invest in stocks; it's about knowing the right strategies for profit and managing risk. That's why working with an investment advisor is important-they have insights not available to everyone.
I agree with you. As an early investor in NVDA, AVGO, ANSS, and LRCX, my financial advisor's advice was incredibly helpful. Over the past 7 years, she has helped me find stocks that did 10x multiple times. With her help, I've grown my portfolio to over a million dollars.
This is incredible. Could you recommend who you work with? I really could use some help at this moment.
My CFA, Judith B.Richards, is a renowned figure in her field. I recommend researching her name online; you’ll find all her credentials and everything you need to work with a reliable professional. With many years of experience, she is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.
Danke!
My calculated stock price was 105 USD, so we're pretty much at the same price Sven! Keep up the good work, I love these videos where you go back to the basics, ie. calculating the value of the business.
I think that at 0:19 you're showing nectarines, not apples.
i know :)))))
I already own shares of NVDA, PALANTIR, TSLA, and APPL as well. Sure, I don't mind having these equities sit around for a while, but I'd also like to appreciate short-term opportunities that could fetch $200,000
The strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
Opting for an inves-tment advisr is currently the optimal approach for navigating the market, particularly for those nearing retirement. I've been consulting with a coach for a while, and my portfolio has surged by 85% since 2023
Impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you don't mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now.
"Zareen Grace Church" is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
I looked up her name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her. Thanks
And when I do Grahams valuation of the S&P it’s around 4300 - the market is insanely overpriced.
Many thanks Sven, excellent VALUE video as usual.
regarding your intrinsic value dcf excel sheet. how do you make it to show the final predicted value of the stock in 10 years time?
I'd like it to show the future value as well as present value. so i can judge more easily.
the present value is the sum of the dividends and the future value, you have it in the last column
No lie, since peaked at $130. People have been saying AAPL intrinsic value is around 95-100? How do you make sense of this? Exuberance?
It’s the indexers. Apple has high weight in QQQ and spy. Every time someone buys those 5% to 10% of their funds go directly to Apple shares.
Sven is very wrong on this one.
Do MSTR
I think Tesla is even more pumped. Unless you believe the fever dreams of Robotaxis and Optimus coming within 1, 2 years, you can calculate the company's value as a decent EV maker using CAGR data estimates for the EV market etc and you can end up with a stock price of about 60-120 usd. Even in the best case just a fraction of what it's trading at currently. You can see the "brewing" in the background, as their long term put options are wicked expensive. I wanted to buy puts because shorting is too dangerous to me, but they are so expensive the company almost needs to default for them to have a positive npv, so I did not 😂
Tesla is a meme stock now due to its price detachment from even the most optimistic assumptions.
I sold all my Tesla last month. Cha chin!
Adaxum Defi and E-commerce combo is what sets it apart for me. Time to join the presale ASAP.
sven i like your videos a lot about value investing but apple is never going to 105$. Even during covid crash it never went there so i will not wait for that price to buy 150-180$ is a fair value to pay
Your objective as an investor is to earn a return, not to earn a return from Apple specifically. For some reason you everybody seems to have an obsession with the same dozen companies, as if there was nothing else in the planet.
If you seek a 10% return, you expect Apple to grow its earnings with inflation, and you are not willing to speculate with market sentiment, then you need it around $100 (3% growth, plus a 5-6% buyback yield, plus a 1% dividend yield puts you at a 9-10% total). If the multiple expands, even better. If it doesn't, you are still good.
At 150-180, you are RELYING on the multiple to expand and/or on the growth to reaccelerate, which is just a bet. If the bet fails, then you get a marginal return: simple math. What you or the market think is "fair" is irrelevant.
The idea is to follow enough business so that, every now and then, some fall into a rational buying range where the business yield suffices to reach your goals. If Apple does, great. If it doesn't, something else will.
I would start to buy at $143 and if it doesn't get there then I'll find another good company valued better to buy. Economics are different now then 5 years ago during Covid.
Famous last words. Business will never hit X value
Good one, I do agree with you on this one. They better do acquisition of something instead of overpriced buybacks. Not a nice stock. But nice sweater 👌
Those are peaches
Haven't recalculated in a while but in line with my DCF value of roughly $94 in Sep 2024. Great company but definitely in the maturity phase of the business cycle.
Adaxum presale is one of a kind. Not much groundbraking projects available to public this early.
1:30 anyone knows what website this is?
Seeking Alpha 😊
Hey Sven I am checking your research platform and I stumbled upon this one here:
Alibaba stock valuation step 1
Using total free cash flows also means that we must compare our intrinsic value
to the market capitalization. I have a feeling Alibaba’s Chinese business could be
worth at least one trillion USD down the road and the global business another
trillion. Thus, a total of $2 trillion in value from a conservative perspective,
therefore I prefer a total company metric compared to a per share metric. The
case is different for Apple.
You wrote this in 2021, Is your thesis still in line with this or you changed your mind?
I am a bull on china but 2 trillion? that's massive FROM CONSERVATIVE perspective!
you have the research platform for comments, please write there...
I am 92% up with my APPL stock...
Your point?
Biggest lesson i learnt in 2024 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
1:30 what website is this?
I don't have any apple products. I have never owned the stock. It is too expensive and represents no value and is a poor investment presently. Below your intrinsic value may be of interest. Thanks for the update Sven.
Hanky Panky Shanghai. We learned that as a kid in Holland. Always be weary of Hanky Panky. I agree with your analysis, there is not much value behind current stock price. Imagine if it goes sub $100 again and then (in hindsight) spending $100 billion/year in buybacks at more than double the share price today.
you're not that much off from my estimate: $128. with the EPV sitting at a nice $82. so anywhere within this range, i'd strongly consider buying apple.
Question; what do you think Buffett will do with his remaining shares of AAPL-will he hold his remaining 300 million shares or will he continue to sell until he is completely out of the position?
Many thought he was done selling at 400 million shares, and then......
No question, Apple is extremely hyped, but is already in correction territory. Even now it is still extremely pricey. I don’t know where the price needs to go to buy in as a value investor
Hey sven thanks for the video what do you think of PAX
As always, a great analysis. Newcomers often wonder if it's too late to navigate the financial market, but the market is always unpredictable. Trading has more advantages than simply holding, so it's important to learn before diving in. Active trades are necessary to ride the market's waves. Thanks to Milton Harper insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings, managed to grow a nest egg of around 127k to a decent 532k. Kudos to the journey ahead!
He's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name.
@MiltonHarper
I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience...
Thanks for keeping it light and real at the same time. Much needed for us traders in times like these!
Milton's analyses delve deeper than surface-level trends, encompassing technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis to offer a comprehensive view of the market.
People are scared of China (BABA), but hold AAPL.
BTW, are those apples or peaches at 0:20??
Baba = Amazon
I bought AAPL in 2016 too :)
When you fill in a 'growth rate' is that including expected inflation? I expect that most stocks will double the next 10 yrs just on inflation.
I’ve had majority of my holdings in tech stocks and irrespective of market changes, I’ve done pretty well especially with apple’s P/E(price to earnings ratio) gaining over 30% this past decade, now my questions is what stocks do you think will be the next apple in terms of growth for the next decade.
Because Apple has surpassed the competition, it may be difficult to locate the next Apple inside the tech stock industry. It is best to look beyond technology stocks.
Well things are different now, same market strategies applied over last decade wouldn’t apply to the current market, so to actually figure out how to outperform the market and stay afloat for the next decade, you should reach out to a financial advisor, that’s how I’ve managed to properly diversify across the right asset classes and gained over $450k in profit this past couple years.
That’s impressive, have you always had a financial advisor?
Google Jessica Dawn Walters and do your own research. She has portfolio management down to a science
She seems to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search for her name and came across his website; thank you for sharing.
The fact that you don’t know peaches from apples really is indicative that you don’t now what you’re talking about
thanks for sharing!
Funny how the market is only pricing the best case scenario:))
Is Realty Income a buy?
I have some O, still underpriced but a bit too risky model. I think Sven has discussed O in some video.
Hey Sven, Could you do a video on Samsung please? It's stock price is currently over 50% down form its ATH in USD, and it's P/E ratio is in the 11-12 range. It seems that nobody is talking about it.
Hi Sven I did 10% growth followed by 6% growth with terminal multiple 30 (say market will give apple premium just as it does with other top quality companies), the intrinsic value is $201. This takes into account that potentially the AI leads to an iPhone super cycle next 5 years. Wall Street has been saying for 4 years next iPhone will be super cycle.
Apple is a pass.
Terminal multiple 30 seems high.
Apple has grown its revenue at a 7% cagr over the past decade. If you exclude the 30% surge in 2021 (fueled by the checks that the government put in people's pockets to "survive"), then it is down to a 5% cagr. How on earth is the business supposed to double its growth rate to 10% (7-8% if your 10% includes the 2-3% buyback yield), specially considering how large the business already is?
@@mathewwilson9776 100% agreed so even then my math is wild and apple is way overpriced
Good day Sven! Would love your thoughts on Disney.
IMO, the new US administration policies are not good for Apple's outlook in the medium run (4+ years). I am certainly shopping for alternatives for many US products now.
Thank you for the analysis, can you please analyze Kinder Morgan (KMI) ?
What are 10 good business 50% drop buys for the next 10 years ?
Why the buybacks? To an American CEO all that matters is personal performance bonuses bases on the stock performance.
The long term success or failure of the company is not really part of the consideration because most CEOs are not around for a lengthy tenure. The get in and want to cash out fast so the thinking is short term. Buybacks should only be during a recession when the stock has crashed deeply. Doing it now, is crazy.
Sven this is different than the past in China.
Is it too late to buy XAI633K at $0.90?
Go back in the history and bring out Nokia "fantastic" buyback decisions and think how much it hurts the stock owners when they look back at it now.
What about other businesses and future prospects in other business. They have rich cash flow and technology. They can invest in R&D and make Apple TV like Netflix or make some spyware or crowdstrike.
Value investing has nothing to do with imagining how glorious the future would be if if if...
With marginal growth, a marginal buyback yield and an idiotik multiple, where do you expect your future return to come from?
Your comment suggests that you are speculating with a potential growth reacceleration grounded on business avenues that aren't there.
For some reason, when it comes to these large cap names, people seem to do nothing other than come up with excuses to hold on the shares no matter what, even when the fundamentals are not there.
@@mathewwilson9776 I agree that future returns need to be rooted in tangible fundamentals. However, when it comes to a company like Apple, it’s important to consider its unique position. Beyond its existing core businesses, Apple has the financial strength, innovative culture, and scale to explore new high-margin opportunities.
For instance, its rich cash flow allows for significant R&D investment. Apple could expand into sectors like streaming (building on the success of Apple TV+ to rival Netflix) or cybersecurity (leveraging its brand trust to create solutions akin to CrowdStrike). The ecosystem they've built around hardware, software, and services gives them a competitive edge that many large caps lack.
While speculative growth isn't guaranteed, companies with strong fundamentals and proven adaptability, like Apple, shouldn't be dismissed solely based on historical metrics. Their ability to pivot and innovate has been a consistent driver of value.
Hello Sven, you are the best!
Thank you for your work :) Can you do alibaba and tencent?
I am stuck with china investments for 3 years and do not know if i should sell because of opportunity cost
We have already paid the opportunity costs and it definitely it was a mistake to invest in BABA like I did in 2021 when Munger did the same. That doesn't mean they are bad buys now - although I prefer Alibaba to Tencent
Peaches!🤣
I did just buy a new iPad and keyboard becuase it links with iPhone that I have to update in 3 months . And it has all my iTunes movie purchases on it 😣
Thanks for the XAI633K update! I am loving my XAI633K!
Thank you for all the free content Sven!! It would be possible to have an analisys of IBERDROLA? Thank you 🙂
thanks for suggesting!
E-commerce giants like Amazon will push Adaxum to unimaginable hights after the launch. You want to have ADX tokens in your portfolio, believe me.
It looks XAI633K is in right position.
I hold XAI633K and I'm WAY up!😊
Apple is Luxury electronics. For me it is like looking at Rolex stock. I wish them good future. Maybe in 5 years they will change.
7:19 ... no China Hanky Panky. 🤣
Appreciate your transparency ! I'm still holding XAI633K just because of the institutional interest and use. Also, it's tried and tested... something that can't be overlooked.
XAI633K is going to be in the blue sky territory soon. Going to surpass Solana Market cap.
there is a missinterpretation of Buffett in this video. Apple repurchases when the stock is cheap and when it's at premium; it's part of its own policy, but taken on a longer period, Apple is buying its own stock at an average historic price. It's like any investor buys the SP 500 each month regardless of how cheap or expensive it is. Well, it's the same!. Then, you intrinsic value of $105, sorry, but you are valuing Apple as if it were a regular company. Just to point your mistake; Buffett was buying the stock like crazy at $150!. So, it's clear that for Buffett the stock worth is waaay higher than $150 as Buffett likes to buy with a margin of safety. On the other hand, your DFC only takes the EPS...but there are other variables that the market value the most respect to Apple, like the consistent FCF, and share repurchases which are not included in your assessment. So, your analysis is overlooking important factors, and you even overlook the split policy that Apple applies each 5 or 6 years which even when theorically it should not affect the market value, it finally does in reality as more retailer investors are willing to buy Apple stock to keep it for many years ahead.
you should check for stock splits and Buffett's purchases.
As an investment enthusiast, I often wonder how top-level investors are able to become millionaires through investing. I have a significant amount of capital to start with, but I'm unsure about the strategies and direction I should take to help me generate substantial profits like some people are this season.
I’m not in a position to offer financial advice, but given the significant amount of capital you're working with, it would be wise to consult a financial advisor who can guide you in developing a strategy tailored to your goals and risk tolerance.
The truth is, the role of an investment advisor can often be overlooked but should never be underestimated. After facing a significant portfolio loss in 2020 during the COVID pandemic while trying to manage my investments on my own, I decided to reach out to an investment advisor. At that time, I had about $126K left in my portfolio. Now, without having to lift a finger, I'm semi-retired, working only 7.5 hours a week, and I'm just 15% short of my $1 million retirement goal thanks to my subsequent investments.
This is incredible. Could you recommend who you work with? I really could use some help at this moment.
My CFA is ASHLEY GARNER ABBOTT, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did
Thank you so much for the suggestion! I really needed it. I looked her up on Google and explored her website; she has an impressive background in investments. I've sent her an email, and I hope to hear back from her soon!
Berkshire Hathaway is up 10x since 1999. Gold is up 10X since 1999. Why does Warren hate gold? Same return. Equal. LOL.
Excellent period for gold 1999 was the low price of gold since 1979 and just and average period for berkshire
Since 1979 gold is up 10× and s&p 500 or berkshire is up more 100×
I've been enjoying your videos! As a beginner investor with a limited budget of under $5,000, I'm excited to take the first step. Could you or anyone else offer guidance on a reliable investment strategy tailored for small-scale investors like myself?
I dumped all my shares at 255. Would buy back in the low 60s
Lows 60s? What u been smoking bud? Better check your mental health.
Yh no its not even going to be close to 60$, I highly doubt it will be below 200$
These coins are like carnival tokens
Our real needs are cheap. Our imaginary wants are very expensive. Seek the middle path.
Sorry but this DCF estimate is not of the intrinsic value of the business but of dividend payouts. Wrong approach. Apple has problems, but no one buy Apple for its dividends.
US can’t afford a recession. That’s why passive investing outperforms value
1980, the future will be awesome. 2025, I want to go back to 1980. Have we created a dystopia?
The analysts must have seen watched video lol
I think this Thubnail will do well :D 👍
With Elon and Trump now working with XAI633K is going to absolutely blow up
Many companies with high exposure to china will have to adjust to the new normal.
I agree, AAPL is overvalued without a doubt.
80% TURBO 14% XAI633K 2% FLOKI 2%BONK 2%PEPE 🎉
The importance of community governance in XAI633K cannot be overstated.
are fundamentals still relevant? I mean billions going into trump coin and other cryptos which has 0 value whatsoever
XAI633K will at least 30X! I love that project!!
Who's right Sven, you or the market?
I love sven but svens philosophy is a dinosaur
@@tohigherhighsall these comments about being wrong, value is death, etc are, at least, yellow flags.
@@MiguelMartinezmtzzz To the moon 🚀🚀🚀 😂
Mr Market prices based on emotions. 😂
If Mr Market is right, stock prices will be fixed.
Steve is seeking opportunities when Mr Market is wrong.
@@Neddie2kDo so at your peril.
Granny is putting XAI633K in her portfolio.
Adaxum is gearing up to be the next big thing in DeFi and E-commerce! I'm already in the presale, are you?
Always interesting analysis. But I am DCAing into my XAI633K alts anyway
I put 100k on XAI633K, thoughts?
What is price prediction of $XAI633K
This $XAI633K thing is going bananas 🚀
SUI and XAI633K are my top performers. 🚀
Being bullish on XAI633K even during extreme FUD period.
Adaxum Network is on the radar of major crypto players. E-commerce narrative will explode this alt run!
The most advanced technology out is a XAI633K
My XAI633K is still pumping...thank you
XAI633K is massively undervalued
Thinking of swapping my USDT for XAI633K$. I believe XAI633K$ is the future
Ive stared buying $XAI633K ,and staked them.
The next big thing in crypto is Adaxum! Now is the last chance to get ADX tokens at presale price.
Even in the volatility, I still see XAI633K coming out strong 🚀