Markets Weekly June 8, 2024
Вставка
- Опубліковано 2 лип 2024
- #federalreserve #marketsanalysis
Two Countries Join Global Rate Cut Cycle
Puzzling U.S. Labor Market
Elections Hit Emerging Markets
00:00 - Intro
1:10 - Two Countries Join Global Rate Cut Cycle
7:05 - Puzzling U.S. Labor Market
11:07 - Elections Hit Emerging Markets
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Just discovered your channel recently. I already know I will be watching your videos on the regular from now on. Amazing and very detailed!
Thank you very much for your always insightful comments! You slayed! $SPX 6000 sounds wonderful
The cutting cycle has really begun. Eyes up everyone!
Great updates, Joseph. Thanks!
Great info. Thanks Joseph.
Thank you for the updates!
Thank you Joseph
Thanks Joseph
Thank you
Gonna be a fun time for T-Mack & Co. trying to set monetary policy and deliver on their price stability mandate with the Canadazuelan Bolivar in circulation now
I appreciate your time and energy covering these topics. I was a little surprised by the market response Friday, but I tend to look further out not being a trader. I still expect that with unemployment continuing to rise after bottoming Q1 2023 will have the Fed leaning into the unemployment side of the dual mandate first before tackling any inflationary effects that wage growth might present in the future, especially if the YOY inflation rate doesn't surprise heavily to the upside this coming week. Not expecting a cut the next meeting, but anything can happen. What am I missing that would cause further flights to safety in the near term, aside from black swan events?
Thank you for your thoughtful analysis
🔥
King Joseph
You said 3 rates cuts see how that goes
nice
Thanks thank you for your wonderful insight Joseph
Tysm from Brazil, dear Joseph, for one more instrutive and informative video!!!
Thanks for news 📰 buddy! Love ya!
Thank you for the insight. Like the short format.
Thanks for the concise and useful video. I see the scammers have found your channel which can only mean you have increasing views 😆
Hi Joshep , so household survey is weak, earlier Jolts was lower and ADP employment was lower , strong NFP and market is convinced labor market is strong . The question is when will these different surveys converge ?
They are different surveys with different methodologies. They may never converge.
Great, thanks Joseph
Thank you Joseph!
So much signal as always. Can you imagine what happens to crypto if Trump gets reelected? Gonna be a wild year.
Any chance treasury issues 100 year bonds before our inevitable return to zero interest rate policy?
They changed the formula for jobs data confused still?
Really appreciate the calm and insightful comments as well as the format. Hope you continue with this format as it really stands out from the clickbait headlines and economic hysteria of some of the other pods 🙂
From my observation and historical market pattern, there might be a bit of turbulence in the market coming up, but here's the deal: Trying to guess what's going to happen next is less important than spreading your bets when trading and thinking long term. It's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady...managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 732k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Linda Wilburn, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
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I am confused how it is possible that unemployment was above expectations, while jobs created was also above expectations. If unemployment is above expectations (4.0 instead of 3.9) doesn't this necessarily imply that jobs created must be below expectations?
numbers are fake; only rationale explanation.
Job growth is from the establishment survey, while the unemployment rate is from the household survey. That two also have some methodology differences.
Household surveys have been especially unreliable in recent years. Although, certainly many people have multiple part-time jobs.
Hi Joseph, please kindly help us understand what will happen after June 9 2024 when the 50-years PetroDollar Agreement of Saudi Arabia and USA expires ? Does the mighty USD currency in the past 50-years period bring uncertainty if Saudi Arabia decides not to renew ?
First.
Great, as always
disliked because he didnt give guidance on wat the fed will do in response to NFP
"We have to be forward looking"
Vs
"Data dependent"
Really? Wow.
Lagarde is clearly psychotic... what the hell was that?
Well, Europe is bearing the high interest rate to fight the inflation. Except their economy doesn't hold up well as U.S. Now inflation is down with the oil price and recession is more fearful at the moment, so logically they cut rate.
overall good source
Thank you Joseph