How to Predict the Spread of Epidemics | Computational Social Networks
Вставка
- Опубліковано 5 чер 2024
- How to predict and model the spread of epidemics. Stay safe during this coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak everyone.
Subscribe to Up and Atom for physics, math and computer science videos!
/ upandatom
Follow me @upndatom
Up and Atom on Twitter: upndatom?lang=en
Up and Atom on Instagram: / upndatom
A big thank you to my AMAZING PATRONS!
Christopher Robert, Purple Penguin, George Xu, Rick DeWitt, Thomas Krause, Damien J, Gadi Shalom, Chris Flynn, Ofer Mustigman, Mikely Whiplash, Yana Chernobilsky, Lynn Shackelford, Richard Farrer, Adam Thornton, Dag-Erling Smørgrav, Andrew Pann, Anne Tan, Joe Court, Roger Johnson, Zhong Cheng Wang, Corey Sampson, Damien Holloway, Ayan Doss, Marcus Dentrey, John Lakeman, Jana Christine Saout, Michael Dean, Chris Amaris, Matt G, Broos Nemanic, John Satchell, John Shioli, Todd Loreman, Susan Jones, Sam Graf, Andrew, Mark, Tamara McDermott, Charles from USA, Peter Manger, John Klinkner, Lou, Hassan Sedaghat, Alan McNea, S, Daniel Eliassen, Sam Ross, Shawn, Kay, Peter Walsh, Osa and Beth Fitch, Garrett Chomka, Jeff Schwarz, Josh B, Zach Tinawi, Bernard Wei, Bobby Butler, Matt Harden, Rebecca Lashua, Pat Gunn, George Fletcher, Jasper Capel, Luc Ritchie, Elze Kool, Aditya Anantharaman, Frédéric Junod, Vincent Seguin, Paul Bryan, Michael Brunolli, Ken Takahashi, Jesse Clark, Steven Wheeler, Atila Pires dos Santos, Philip Freeman, KhAnubis, Jareth Arnold, Simon Tobar, Dennis Haupt, Renato Pereira, Simon Dargaville, and Magesh, 12tone, Israel Shirk.
If you'd like to consider supporting Up and Atom, head over to my Patreon page :)
/ upandatom
Creator
Jade Tan-Holmes
Animations
Tom Groenestyn
Music
Epidemic Sound
Further Reading and Sources
www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/sc...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemi...
arxiv.org/pdf/1111.4875.pdf
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_...
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/arti...
singularityhub.com/2010/09/21...
science.sciencemag.org/conten...
• Network Diffusion & Co...
• Video
• Network Structure - Наука та технологія
I'm a research computer scientist studying exactly this, and I just want to say you did a great job covering it!
@Emory Hufbauer
Wow, I’m so jealous you have the best job in the world!
@Emory Hufbauer
On the other hand, it must be a constant source of torture for you to have to watch incompetent politicians make mistakes that cost thousands of lives, because they FAIL SO HARD to incorporate your talents in their decision-making. 😫
I was self-isolating for decades before it became cool.
haha me too
kinpatu According to my wife, I was too. 😆
same unfortunately...
We're many 😁
Lol me too. Now everyone would get a taste of it
I like how you did not commence explaining what a graph is.
That is something most people like about her.
2 years later, and it's so sad to see how it all played out. At least in the US, it's so sad to see how much knowledge we had that was just ignored or refuted by people. All this knowledge, and we still failed. :( Thank you for doing what you do and continuing making videos this whole time!
Fascinating. John Snow would love this video 🙂
Not the one from Game of Thrones you clowns
You're a superstar these day Rohin! Can we get a round of applause for Rohin!! *audience applause*
@@upandatom *applauds*
You stay safe, too! This was actually the best video I've seen on how diseases spread. Most other illustrations just use moving dots to show how social distancing flattens the curve, and while I agree that it works, these illustrations always rubbed me the wrong way... Give me some Graph Theory and a Dijkstra algorithm!
Why isn't *Gematria* taught as part of the national education curriculum?...
🤔 💭... Buhdomtsss
@everyone
Gematrinator.com
Covid-19 = 26, Virus = 26, Viral = 26, China = 26, Chaos = 26 disease = 26 & Remember to sing 'Happy birthday'
On the 63rd day of the year (March 3rd.. 3/3 Corona = 33, police = 33, society = 33) Boris Johnson says 'when you wash you hands 👐 sing Happy birthday 2x'
Happy Birthday = 63, 153
Its 15wks 3days to Boris Johnson birthday.
26th triangle number is 351..
From mock/drill exercise EVENT201 via Bill and Melinda Gates foundation and World Health organisation etc on October 18th 2019 to June 19th 2020 is 35wks 1day (351/153) Buhdomtsss
In the same year from June 19th to October 18th is 121 days..
Coronavirus outbreak = 121
Bill and Melinda Gates foundation = 121
January 21st it went ultra mainstream news then the next day was the association with bat 🦇 soup etc.
So.. On the 22nd 🤔 💭....
Bat 🦇 = 22
Bat 🦇 Soup = 22.. 🤔 💭 Voilà
And the ps4 game 'Death Stranding' released Nov 8th.. 118. Death = 118 & 213
Nov 8th is the 312 day of the year leaving 53.
Covid-19 = 53
From Boris birthday June 19th to the release of 'Death Stranding' is 142 days
Coronavirus = 142 Buhdomtsss!!
Wuhan virus = 114
The 114th prime number is 619
(6/19... June 19th!)
Wuhan virus = 156
Chinese President Xi Jinping is born
15/6.. 15th June
#theMatrix #Coronavirus
coronavirus catch up theMatrix
ua-cam.com/play/PLg0E58YnmAVVVKNuzEia6aUgzhTNo9Tgb.html
CORONAVIRUS = EVENT201/BILL GATES
ua-cam.com/play/PL3BuSiv3-_7DHukxadHLx7SJ0J0qjU3lf.html
Space agencies = Stupism!!
ua-cam.com/play/PLg0E58YnmAVW7aFYiYhbTcFJLHFznh2HQ.html
📙 (pdf) Letters and numbers by Zachary K Hubbard
zacharyhubbard.selz.com/item/5c8d9302701f5d0dfcfef8b2
UA-cam -
Gematria Effect News
& Gematria Effect Sports
GematriaEffect.News
Freetofindtruth.blogspot.com
@@audioauracle-dsyswpwanl- because it's about as reliable as reading tea leaves
Same thing we use to track the spread of memes as they work almost functionally the same as a virus. Even on the streets when some fool says yeet they might as well have coughed in your face because a week later you started ironically saying yeet.
My god, Jade, you‘re on an absolute uploading spree!
(In all seriousness, I was wondering about what six degrees of separation would be like in this situation. Also stay safe out there, this goes for all of you)
i felt like this was a public service announcement!
@@upandatom much appreciated
I was introduced to this channel because of your Collab
@@upandatom
Why isn't *Gematria* taught as part of the national education curriculum?...
🤔 💭... Buhdomtsss
@everyone
Gematrinator.com
Covid-19 = 26, Virus = 26, Viral = 26, China = 26, Chaos = 26 disease = 26 & Remember to sing 'Happy birthday'
On the 63rd day of the year (March 3rd.. 3/3 Corona = 33, police = 33, society = 33) Boris Johnson says 'when you wash you hands 👐 sing Happy birthday 2x'
Happy Birthday = 63, 153
Its 15wks 3days to Boris Johnson birthday.
26th triangle number is 351..
From mock/drill exercise EVENT201 via Bill and Melinda Gates foundation and World Health organisation etc on October 18th 2019 to June 19th 2020 is 35wks 1day (351/153) Buhdomtsss
In the same year from June 19th to October 18th is 121 days..
Coronavirus outbreak = 121
Bill and Melinda Gates foundation = 121
January 21st it went ultra mainstream news then the next day was the association with bat 🦇 soup etc.
So.. On the 22nd 🤔 💭....
Bat 🦇 = 22
Bat 🦇 Soup = 22.. 🤔 💭 Voilà
And the ps4 game 'Death Stranding' released Nov 8th.. 118. Death = 118 & 213
Nov 8th is the 312 day of the year leaving 53.
Covid-19 = 53
From Boris birthday June 19th to the release of 'Death Stranding' is 142 days
Coronavirus = 142 Buhdomtsss!!
Wuhan virus = 114
The 114th prime number is 619
(6/19... June 19th!)
Wuhan virus = 156
Chinese President Xi Jinping is born
15/6.. 15th June
#theMatrix #Coronavirus
coronavirus catch up theMatrix
ua-cam.com/play/PLg0E58YnmAVVVKNuzEia6aUgzhTNo9Tgb.html
CORONAVIRUS = EVENT201/BILL GATES
ua-cam.com/play/PL3BuSiv3-_7DHukxadHLx7SJ0J0qjU3lf.html
Space agencies = Stupism!!
ua-cam.com/play/PLg0E58YnmAVW7aFYiYhbTcFJLHFznh2HQ.html
📙 (pdf) Letters and numbers by Zachary K Hubbard
zacharyhubbard.selz.com/item/5c8d9302701f5d0dfcfef8b2
UA-cam -
Gematria Effect News
& Gematria Effect Sports
GematriaEffect.News
Freetofindtruth.blogspot.com
@@cerjmedia link?
I trust her over any politically appointed expert. This video is a perfect example of why that is. None of our American politically appointed health experts have ever produced a single PSA that explained the situation this well. No ideology here at all, just very well explained science. I am grateful.
good one Jade, I passed on this link to show how math works in our daily lives.
thank you for the support Bruce!
I read that in World of Warcraft there was interesting opportunity to observe an epidemic in simulated environment.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corrupted_Blood_incident
hmm this could make a cool video...
Moral of the Story:
"Stay HOME, Be Safe"
Ya well that was obviously going to be the moral but the information in the video about social networks was really intriguing.
@@manan-543 Truly it is . Floating a question like this paves way for curious people, and that's why I subscribed this channel :)
@@uzairmughal4976 yup same here :)
Plot twist: virus spreads in homes much greater than outdoors or in public accommodations. . . . So we stayed home for nothing! 🤬
Lovely to see your videos Jade. Stay safe!
Thanks Jade! I hope that you and yours are doing well during these times, and I look forward to when you're able to get back to "normal" existential crises again.
Jade (and her team) deserves 10 times as many subscribers...at least!!
Thank you Jade. I hope as many as possible see this. So grateful to you.
Woah, you've been insanely productive lately!
That look at the end-I felt that. Thanks for uploading Jade, and do please stay safe!
Thanks, Jade! You stay safe, too!
I'm new to your channel and I've only watched a couple of videos so far but omg each one's a master piece! Well done and stay safe
Thank you for the video. The graph visuals explain things clearly.
I really love how she explained concepts through visualization. Keep up the good work ^^
Dude, I^m really loving your vids. Keep the good work!
That's an excellent overview. Thank you
Timely, competent, calm, clear... Great. As always.
this is v good for visualizing/conceptualizing! ty
You do many brilliant vids Jade but that truly is one of your very best. Keep safe. x
Great information, Jade! And timely, too! I hope you and your family are staying safe.
Thank you for doing this.
I believe it was a good idea to cover this topic in an easy-to-understand way. Your presentation is great. ...and your eyes and smile are still unforgetable
Becoming my favorite speaker and I only really watched one video but was fully engaged and actually took away something. Not just nodding my head along for the ride to be amazed at the presenters own smarts. A wonderful curious mind at work dethroning some of my former favorites.
Great video Jade. I've been passing this around to as many as I can who don't understand about exponential growth and why social distancing is important.
This is exactly what I wanted to watch. Thank you.
Using a weighted graph with very small weights for events with less likelihood can help to take care of random events like family going to Disneyland!
That was a great explanation. It shows how important it is to follow all the protocols that are in place.
Very very thanks for making this precious Video
Interesting insights! Btw, Your video is just right on time for me. Guess what, I have Graph Theory as part of my "Data Structures & Algorithms" course in my ongoing semester. This video will be a good motivator to dive deeper into it while the isolation period is going on. So glad! Thanks!
Thanks. Stay safe Jade.
Hello Jade !
That is a really important explanation about how to predict this virus, and I'm very happy to had found your channel.
Shout out from Brazil and Keep it up.
Wow, young lady, you did a fantastic job of presenting a simple visual explanation. (as always)
Yes, but I think she would make interesting a two hour long video about the classification of dust bunnies.
That's a timely presentation. Thank you.
Excellent video, thank you!
This is an amazing video, well done, this video should be required viewing for the rest of the world.
You're doing important work. Thank you.
Great job Jade, well reasoned and explained :)
I find your explanation captures the essence and it helps a layman like me to understand the concepts well
Fantastic video Jade! Thanks a lot for making! It's super relevant! Thanks again! =)
Great work Jade!
I was doing my graph exercise when I saw your video... A graph can explain so much things
Very Informative. 🙃 Stay safe .and Thanks
Introvert: I was cool that most everyone is out while I'm at home... now that everyone is at home, I feel the ever increasing urge to go out the empty streets.
Excellent video!
Jade, you're a blinding light. Thanks a lot.
"Stay safe everyone!"
Thanks Jade! Though you do look slightly worried when you said this. But we're all in this together! And we can do it! 💪
Mind blown! Subbed
Great work!
very informative. amazing video.
you also stay safe jade! By the way, a very nice video. The math was really awesome!
Nicely explained!
Hi
Your videos are very helpful and instructive. Just wondering if you could make a video about Tensors.
Let's make your video viral to prevent the actual virus!
Great video, everything is very well explained ! Thank you :)
Why isn't *Gematria* taught as part of the national education curriculum?...
🤔 💭... Buhdomtsss
@everyone
Gematrinator.com
Covid-19 = 26, Virus = 26, Viral = 26, China = 26, Chaos = 26 disease = 26 & Remember to sing 'Happy birthday'
On the 63rd day of the year (March 3rd.. 3/3 Corona = 33, police = 33, society = 33) Boris Johnson says 'when you wash you hands 👐 sing Happy birthday 2x'
Happy Birthday = 63, 153
Its 15wks 3days to Boris Johnson birthday.
26th triangle number is 351..
From mock/drill exercise EVENT201 via Bill and Melinda Gates foundation and World Health organisation etc on October 18th 2019 to June 19th 2020 is 35wks 1day (351/153) Buhdomtsss
In the same year from June 19th to October 18th is 121 days..
Coronavirus outbreak = 121
Bill and Melinda Gates foundation = 121
January 21st it went ultra mainstream news then the next day was the association with bat 🦇 soup etc.
So.. On the 22nd 🤔 💭....
Bat 🦇 = 22
Bat 🦇 Soup = 22.. 🤔 💭 Voilà
And the ps4 game 'Death Stranding' released Nov 8th.. 118. Death = 118 & 213
Nov 8th is the 312 day of the year leaving 53.
Covid-19 = 53
From Boris birthday June 19th to the release of 'Death Stranding' is 142 days
Coronavirus = 142 Buhdomtsss!!
Wuhan virus = 114
The 114th prime number is 619
(6/19... June 19th!)
Wuhan virus = 156
Chinese President Xi Jinping is born
15/6.. 15th June
#theMatrix #Coronavirus
coronavirus catch up theMatrix
ua-cam.com/play/PLg0E58YnmAVVVKNuzEia6aUgzhTNo9Tgb.html
CORONAVIRUS = EVENT201/BILL GATES
ua-cam.com/play/PL3BuSiv3-_7DHukxadHLx7SJ0J0qjU3lf.html
Space agencies = Stupism!!
ua-cam.com/play/PLg0E58YnmAVW7aFYiYhbTcFJLHFznh2HQ.html
📙 (pdf) Letters and numbers by Zachary K Hubbard
zacharyhubbard.selz.com/item/5c8d9302701f5d0dfcfef8b2
UA-cam -
Gematria Effect News
& Gematria Effect Sports
GematriaEffect.News
Freetofindtruth.blogspot.com
Hi, Jade! This is the best explanation I've seen on how an epidemic spreads through the population. Many years ago when in college I revised something called "theory of places" by Walter Christaller. It's basically graph theory applied to systems of urban spaces. You explained with elegance and clarity what took me weeks at the time 😂🤣
This is so straightforward and.. I want to say "sterile", which is only off-putting because there's usually a more enthusiastic character in your videos. Great presentation. I'm definitely sharing it. Looking forward to more Up and Atom.
I agree, it's almost eerie to see how deadfaced serious she is at the end when she says "Stay safe everyone."
Washing our hands with soap frequently and self isolation are the two important points to be followed
Also don't touch your face unnecessarily
Stay safe , please don't be under the false impression that nothing will happen to me . Take care of yourself and your family
You have really interesting content. Thanks for sharing your knowledge :)
Thank you jade. You keep safe too x
A valuable tool very aptly explained!
Here, in Singapore, the Government is conducting rigorous contact tracing for every case, which I reckon employs some of this theory. It has proven very useful to check the spread of COVID-19 in this country.
And stay safe, Jade!
Excellent video and explanation! This is something the average joe and jane need to understand.
My playlist now consists of songs like, _Yesterday_ by The Beatles, _End of the World_ by REM and of course the ever popular _You're Gonna Die in a Coronavirus Pandemic_ by the Black Eyed Peas.
Nice video.. Everyone please stay safe and prevent the virus from taking any more lives.😊
Quality content !,!!!!!!
Nice job, stay safe because I would like to see more videos from you :)
Thanks Jade!
Nice. Stay safe too.
I think you've done a great job here. Things explained here, if taken into consideration by governments, will help plan their next steps effectively.
I LOVE this video. Your explanation of networks and how the nodes affect the viral spread was really very intuitive and easy to understand.
If you haven't already, you should check out Hannah Frye's stuff. It's really closely related to this, except in a more purely mathematical sense.
Thank you. Can you get the Prime Minister to look at it please. Your points sre well explained so I hope he can understand it
share it with him!
@@upandatomwill try Facebook. He doesn't have a DM on Tweetville. I tried
@@upandatom just sent Prime Minister a DM on Instagram. First ever.
Nice tool.. Very nicely explained. ..
I had a career as an engineer working in water resources, hydraulic modelling, water and waste water treatment and so on. During this career I developed an interest in turbulence, chaos, mixing and the like. I did look around fairly diligently for work in this area and found little. Like say you have two fluids, pure water and salty. You pour them into a container and stir it. What is the minimum amount of stirring needed to end up with a uniform solution? Or you have a cake batter that you throw a handful of raisins into. What is the minimum amount of stirring needed to distribute the raisins evenly in the batter? What is the minimum paths of the raisins through the batter to achieve even distribution? How does that compare to actual paths when your stir with a spoon? And why given widely different initial conditions, raisins in a clump or thin layer at the top or bottom or off to one side, if we stir enough we eventually end up with the same uniform distribution? I know the math of entropy in thermodynamics and it has some application here but there's much more to it than that. I'm still very curious about all the mysteries in this area.
I've asked this of other UA-cam math channels before with little comment so far. Could you maybe do a vid on what you know or can find out in this area?
I have interesting tidbits for you from all the years in hydrology that hint at some strong ordering principals to be found in turbulent flow of liquids.
- Rivers meander like a snake across the landscape. Surprisingly the average size of the meanders is independent of the material the river flows through and correlates to the size of the average flood.
- River meanders have this pattern of deep slow flowing sections and shallow faster sections everywhere we find them on the planet. The straight sections are the shallow faster flow and the curves are the deeper slower flow.
- You can raise the bottom of the river in the faster flowing sections by putting in small barriers, rocks, sticks, spoilers that ruin hydraulic efficiency and cause the water to drop it's suspended sediments. Curiously the river responds to this by deepening the deep pool on either the downstream or upstream end of the shallow section.
- Rivers that are actively cutting into the landscape always have only a single channel while rivers that are actively depositing sediments on the landscape have multiple so called braided channels.
- The total length of a river's curving meandering centerline is Pi (3.14159...) times the straight line distance the river covers across the landscape.
These are just observations we've made in the field with no real good explanations of why rivers are so. I have some idea why such morphologies arise from a turbulent liquid flow but it's all a little fuzzy and mostly hand waving arguments.
Great Video👍☺️
This is so beautiful 😍, the math of course not the virus 🦠 >.>
The math is great, but politicians are known to take actions that will make them look good and get re-elected, not what some computer model says. The only way they listen to computer models is if people understand them and the actions they recommend.
Well, both the math and the presenter are beautiful. Both engaging and distracting at the same time. Oy, my head is spinning! :-)
Very interesting!
I just loved the way that you are creating awareness among people in a scientific way,great keep it up
And I one thing I wanted to know how you make such great animations ,l am sure you will answer my question ,dear sis
Does this video remind any of the 4 color theorem video?
Very insightful👍👏👍 stay at home, stay safe.
Hi!! can I ask you what app do you use for making your videos??
Very informative video. Thank you for sharing. 🤔🤨😲😃👍
And so for this reason Google would like to have access to all your information
Nah, Google already has that.
👁
Very informative...Pls make some videos on graph theory...
is this how the R0 is calculated? and if not could you upload a video about the models behind the calculations?
Hey Jade, how about a video on Model Predictive Control?
There is no end for the applications of graph theory right?
Beautiful :)
Fun fact: humidity has an effect on this airborne virus spread. The higher the humidity the slower the spread. So the moral of the story is to stay out of air-conditioned rooms and hope the weather is warm and humid. There is scientific links available, but I cannot find them at this instance because other things to do.
The best way is to watch the financial actions of your politicians. This stuff doesn't get released by accident.
Excelente
This is really good Jade. You're really cool. And sorry for the roast. I obviously didn't mean it seriously :)
this is really Beautiful in my country we became aware even before it reach us what about yours Jade?
Math is super, while I'm hunkered down. Thnx God bless. Take care.