Applying the central limit theorem to find probability example 1

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 3 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 87

  • @esfasdasasdasdas3888
    @esfasdasasdasdas3888 3 роки тому +28

    Thank you! By far this was the clearest explanation I could find.

  • @christian_uu
    @christian_uu 2 роки тому +11

    you have no idea how helpful this was, thank you so much!

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  2 роки тому +1

      I’m glad it was helpful!

  • @jocelyncamacho482
    @jocelyncamacho482 2 роки тому +3

    DUDE YOU JUST SAVED MY LIFE. THANK YOU!!!!!!!!!

  • @prettyone9883
    @prettyone9883 2 роки тому +10

    Wowwwwwwww😳😳😳😳a real professor indeed, my Lecturer only lecture us and rap at the same time so I couldn't get the concept well but per your explanation I've been able to figure it out well, Please Prof. Do more videos and make more examples for us pls 🥺🥺🥺 and if You've your private page that you do tutorials on all statistics topic and also all economics topic please kindly add me up 🥺🥺🥺🥺 am pleading 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  2 роки тому +1

      I have a website www.STATSprofessor.com. It’s free, and it makes finding the videos you need easier.

  • @davidmoretz5389
    @davidmoretz5389 2 роки тому +5

    One of the best explained examples--thank you!

  • @AndyIsHereBoi
    @AndyIsHereBoi 9 місяців тому +1

    this was the most helpful one that i have ever found

  • @dipankarbanerjee1130
    @dipankarbanerjee1130 3 місяці тому +1

    Thanks Prof.🙏 lots of love from India ❤❤

  • @rababshahzad
    @rababshahzad 2 роки тому +1

    THANKYOU SOOO MUCH, I COULDNT FIND ANY THING USEFUL BEFORE THIS!

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  2 роки тому

      That’s good to hear. I’m happy the video was helpful!

  • @sajimathew7798
    @sajimathew7798 2 роки тому +1

    thank you, sir !! with love from India

  • @coopermau4277
    @coopermau4277 4 місяці тому

    I wanna be this guys friend. Saving my stats grade on video at a time lets go!

  • @DaPower17
    @DaPower17 7 місяців тому +1

    God I wish literally any of my professors could teach this well

  • @stekichung
    @stekichung 3 роки тому +2

    great explanation, thank you so much for making this!

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  3 роки тому

      Thank you! I’m glad it was helpful.

    • @sanchitakanta1018
      @sanchitakanta1018 3 роки тому

      @@dmcguckian Can you please say when to use the formula
      z= X-mu/sigma
      And when to use
      z= X-mu/sigma÷sqrt(n)

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  3 роки тому

      @@sanchitakanta1018 if the problem asks for the probability that the mean for a sample is … vs the probability of an individual measurement being somewhere. Go to my website site and watch the STATS1, 6.2 videos: www.statsprofessor.com/chapters.php?id=5#ptop

  • @MrKingoverall
    @MrKingoverall Рік тому +3

    I LOVE YOU MAN !!

  • @epitomeapex
    @epitomeapex 2 роки тому +1

    Well done Teacher💯

  • @ksiddarthadshetty3334
    @ksiddarthadshetty3334 2 роки тому +1

    Great explanation , thanks 👍

  • @shazmeenshakeel751
    @shazmeenshakeel751 6 місяців тому

    thank you so much, this was very helpful

  • @baguls8084
    @baguls8084 2 роки тому +2

    amazing video

  • @randym1788
    @randym1788 2 роки тому +1

    Thanks for the wonderful explanation. It would be very helpful if you could elaborate how did you derive the standard deviation of the normal curve (for the average) to be 4/sqrt(n)

    • @vainbow4632
      @vainbow4632 Рік тому

      Calculate Var(sum(Xi)/n) using the properties of variance and assuming independence of the Xi's. The formula rolls out of that calculation.

  • @ahaha731
    @ahaha731 3 місяці тому

    It is very useful🎉

  • @aliteralnormalguy9046
    @aliteralnormalguy9046 2 роки тому +1

    Thank you so much sir! I thought I was a goner then I saw this video. Thanks again!

  • @zakarias86
    @zakarias86 Рік тому +1

    Thank you so much for the enlightening explanation!
    However, I still can not understand why you directly applied the CLT on the 32 women, while this theorem assumes the calculation of the mean of the sampling distribution. Here is an example:
    Maybe we need to observe the mean of n=5(or more) of the 32 women(with replacement), and we do it repeatedly 100 or 1000 times. Then we can apply the CLT. Otherwise, the sample age at first marriage of the 32 women might not be normally distributed.
    Plz, correct me if I am wrong🙏.

    • @vainbow4632
      @vainbow4632 Рік тому

      The sample mean, the one calculated value, is already a random variable that has a probability distribution. It's that distribution (or rather the standardized version of it) that the CLT is concerned with. You do not need very many sample means. That is often done just to show the CLT in action, but it's not necessary.

  • @tinodaisheganyani3935
    @tinodaisheganyani3935 2 роки тому +2

    Excellent

  • @sojsanjose2
    @sojsanjose2 Рік тому +1

    Very clear

  • @therice8024
    @therice8024 Рік тому

    Can you explain why standard deviation divide by square root of n?

  • @oumaimaelberdai05
    @oumaimaelberdai05 2 роки тому +1

    Thank u so much for that 🙏

  • @jamalelmazouni2738
    @jamalelmazouni2738 4 місяці тому

    Thanks
    It's clear

  • @bobmcbobface1602
    @bobmcbobface1602 8 місяців тому +2

    So we’re basically integrating a Gaussian?

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  8 місяців тому +2

      Correct, we are always finding an area under the curve when calculating these probabilities. The z table I'm using provides the areas obtained by integrating between 0 and the given z score.

  • @aitothechamp7263
    @aitothechamp7263 2 роки тому +1

    If we are trying to create our own problem, what situations would this apply to? This is only when we have the population mean and population st dev, correct? Like, what if I have all of the sample data, and want to find the probability that the sample data meets a certain criteria (xbar). So in this case I have the literal sample mean and literal sample st dev, but don't have the population mean or population st dev.

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  2 роки тому +1

      This is preparing you to test hypotheses and to create confidence intervals when you get into inference. For example, we might want to know the population mean, but we can’t often gather all of the data to calculate a population mean. A sample mean could be helpful in that case. We know the mean of the sample means is the population mean, so any sample mean is part of a distribution with a center equal to the population mean. This means the sample mean is likely near the true mean on the number line. One simple thing to do is to reach out and scoop up the values close to your sample mean. This set of values (an interval on the number line) is likely to contain the true mean, since the sample mean is usually nearby the population mean. How do we know this though? Well the Central Limit Theorem says that if n is large enough, samples of size n will have sample means that fall on a bell shaped curve. We don’t need to know the true mean, but knowing the true standard deviation is really helpful. Unfortunately, we usually can’t know that. However, we can estimate it using the sample data. If we assume s is close to the true sigma, we can find the standard deviation for the sample means. S/root(n).

  • @ilovejingle
    @ilovejingle 2 місяці тому

    That's so clear

  • @sthefanyguzman8209
    @sthefanyguzman8209 2 роки тому +1

    thank you so much

  • @sruthirajan1454
    @sruthirajan1454 Рік тому +1

    Thanks.

  • @audryk.7825
    @audryk.7825 2 роки тому +1

    Where does CLT come into play?

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  2 роки тому

      In the problem, they ask for the probability that the average of a sample is between two values. We need to know the distribution of the mean. That’s where the central limit theorem comes in. You cannot assume the bell curve applies without it. Without that, we could not use our normal probability table.

  • @garrettrains8997
    @garrettrains8997 2 роки тому

    How do you know how many rows to go over in the z table once you have the z scores?

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  2 роки тому

      If your looking up z=1.36, you use the left column in the table to find 1.3. Then in that row, you go over until you find the 0.06 position

  • @BolandianBolandian
    @BolandianBolandian 3 роки тому +1

    excellent!

  • @furkankocak3142
    @furkankocak3142 3 роки тому +1

    Thanks

  • @luisrodrigueziii7316
    @luisrodrigueziii7316 2 роки тому

    Hello my friend. Why did you divide the given standard deviation by the square root of 32?

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  2 роки тому +1

      In this problem, we are looking at the probability of x-bar being inside a given range of values for a sample of 32. X-bar, the sample mean for a random sample of 32 measurements, has a standard deviation of sigma divided by the square root of n (in this example, the square root of 32). If the problem asked about the probability of an individual measurement being in the given range, we would use the provided standard deviation. We would not divide by the root of n in that case.

    • @luisrodrigueziii7316
      @luisrodrigueziii7316 2 роки тому +1

      @@dmcguckian that makes perfect sense. Thank you for taking the time to reply sir.

  • @sanchitakanta1018
    @sanchitakanta1018 3 роки тому +1

    The average for a normal distribution lies at the middle with a z value of 0.
    Isn't it?
    How can it lie between 26 and 27.

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  3 роки тому +2

      The average of a standard normal distribution is zero. There are an infinite number of normal distributions. The standard normal curve has mean zero and standard deviation 1, but heights for males in the USA could have a normal distribution with a mean of 69 inches and sd of 2.8 inches. There is no limit to the number of normal curves possible.

    • @sanchitakanta1018
      @sanchitakanta1018 3 роки тому

      @@dmcguckian yes got it.
      Thank you so much!

  • @Diego_Rangel
    @Diego_Rangel 2 роки тому

    Thank you

  • @inthemidwest3514
    @inthemidwest3514 11 днів тому

    how every guy calculates his odds at the club.

  • @besochiqvanaia9668
    @besochiqvanaia9668 8 місяців тому

    blessed!

  • @pijararity7207
    @pijararity7207 Рік тому +1

    hello why most z score tables i googled state that 1.41 is 0.9207

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  Рік тому +1

      There are many z tables not just one. A z table provides areas between two limits under the standard normal curve. You have to make sure the table your using is for the same region. The one you’re talking about is providing the area from 1.41 to negative infinity. It actually doesn’t matter what table you’re using. The task is the same. You must compare the area provided by the table to the area you are looking for. If they are not the same, you have to figure out how to find what you need. This will involve either subtracting or adding the value from the table to 1 or 1/2 or another value from the table. The table I am using shows the area it provides at the top. All tables have a drawing at the top that shows the area it provides. The table you are finding is very common now because a couple of best selling textbooks have switched to that design. They use two tables actually (a neg and a positive one) to do the work I do with just one table.

    • @100nitishyadav8
      @100nitishyadav8 Рік тому

      @@dmcguckian thank you

  • @tanjonzou9840
    @tanjonzou9840 Рік тому

    ok so i calculated: 26-25 which would be the numerator and (4/sq.rt.32) i got 2 but you got 1.4. i don't understand

    • @quakewakey
      @quakewakey Рік тому

      (26-25) = 1 is the numerator, and the denominator should be (4 / sqrt32) just like you said. sqrt32 = roughly 5.66, and dividing 4 by 5.66 gives you roughly 0.71. That would leave you with 1 / 0.71 = his 1.41. I'm not sure where exactly you went wrong, but perhaps you simply miss-clicked the numbers on your calculator or otherwise you must've accidentally done some mistake in the order of which you calculated it...

  • @clairemarie-i3r
    @clairemarie-i3r Рік тому

    it should be 0.4207-0.4977 isn't it? the answer would be - 0.077

    • @vainbow4632
      @vainbow4632 Рік тому

      If you get a negative probability as an answer, some alarm bells should go off.

  • @shanicenbarnes4339
    @shanicenbarnes4339 Рік тому

    Your z scores are incorrect

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  Рік тому

      I assure you they are correct. This problem is one of my university students’ homework examples. Literally thousands of students have solved this problem over the years, but I’m happy to help you understand if you have a question.

  • @Dawgmawm_to2
    @Dawgmawm_to2 7 місяців тому +1

    I’d like to just say you have given me hope that I can keep my 4.0. I’m studying for my statistics cumulative final and could not for the life of me remember CLT. I was getting so frustrated trying to work it out on my own and here this video popped up and by the end of the video I can confidently say I remember the application! Thank you so much for making videos like this and explaining so clearly without being condescending 🤍 p.s the way you write your fives had me entranced 😂

    • @dmcguckian
      @dmcguckian  7 місяців тому

      😂 I never realized I wrote my 5s differently than everyone until pretty recently. Thanks for watching!

  • @temwanitamil_
    @temwanitamil_ Рік тому +1

    thank you

  • @Snaggletooth44
    @Snaggletooth44 Рік тому

    Thank you