Donald Trump’s big test in 2018
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- Опубліковано 25 тра 2024
- Donald Trump will face his biggest test as president in November 2018. A bad result in the mid-term elections could lead to his impeachment. Can Mr Trump unite and rally Republican voters?
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In November 2018 President Donald Trump will face his biggest political test yet - the mid term elections. The elections are a referendum on the president; his achievements, his ability to govern and the scandals engulfing him.
Donald Trump is possibly the most controversial American president of all time. He has antagonised world leaders and stoked racial tension at home and abroad. Mr Trump has redefined the term "public office".
What would once have been private White House discourse is now regularly broadcast to the world via his Twitter account.
Despite Republican control of Congress, he has failed to deliver on his promises. Mr Trump needs the support of his own party to push through his agenda but the last year has seen the president go after senior Republican members.
John Kasich, Republican Governor of Ohio, has seen the effect of Mr Trump's radical approach. Much lies at stake for his party in the 2018 mid-terms.
In the 2018 mid-term elections it's very possible the Republicans will be able to hold what they have and keep their majority in the House of Representatives, and in the Senate.
In the House, the numbers are stacked in the Republicans' favour, having secured a strong majority in 2016. In 2018 every member of the House is up for election. The Democrats need to hold on to all their seats as well as gaining an extra 24 to regain control.
In the Senate, the electoral map is also stacked in the Republicans' favour. If the Republicans hold or even increase their majority it will define the rest of Mr Trump's presidential term.
The Trump campaign's alleged dealings with Russia are being investigated and in 2018 the world will await the outcome of the inquiry.
History, however, is against him. One pattern has held true since the civil war. 92% of mid-terms have seen the president's party lose seats. Come November, Mr Trump will need to rally public favour. Traditionally presidents will approval ratings of 50% and below do badly in the mid-terms. With Mr Trump's ratings reaching as low as 34% the likelyhood for significant Republican losses next year is strong.
Dissatisfied voters could turn the House and the Senate blue. This would severely limit the president's ability to pass legislation and effect his change. A Democrat majority could even spark an attempt to bring down the president.
But this is unlikely. Two-thirds of the Senate must vote for impeachment and past attempts to impeach presidents have misfired. A wounded President Trump could see an ever more volatile administration.
The most likely outcome is that the Republicans will lose the House and just about cling to a Senate majority. This will cause political stalemate.
2018 may well be Donald Trump's last chance to make America great again.
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Sadly enough, many congress-members from both political partys are safe due to gerrymandering.
the audio editing of Kasich starting 1:57 is jolty, could be an accurate paraphrase of what he said but sounds patched together, vid coulda used more of him/his perspective as a mainstream, sane republican's assessment of his party's 2018 outlook.
"The most balancements
that benefits all".
why am I excited for legislative gridlock
It's soo werid watching old videos talking about what will happen in the future, and knowing what really happens
He has the best words.
confefe
Did they just call Kim a “world leader “ ?
It just means that he's the leader of a non-trivial sovereign state; it doesn't mean that he is leading the world. .
I can already see the tweets of those days
Intersting. I'm definetley going to be following the Economist since it seems there pretty objective about the whole thing.
"The Democrats are not wrong in their concerns,
but that also doesn't cancel
Republican concerns".
Balancement is the goal
value of the true American
envisionments.
The greatest deal maker couldn't make one fucking deal throughout the year.
#stopmakingshitup.
Donald Trump make me
Donald Trump Can you stop being a racist jackass.
Donald Trump says the guy with a Donald Trump's photo as a profile pic.
Donald Trump No he is just a egocentric fraud who made money by cheating people and most of which he inherited from his father and is the president because of stupid stupid and racist people like you.
Donald Trump yeah and how did you get these numbers when he has not disclose his taxes and where did this 30000 number come from as far as I know he lost the popular vote by 3 million freaking 3 million.
Stop being a stupid little white boy and look at the fucking truth dumb-ass
*been in office for 11 months*
Economist = "He's failed to deliver on his promises"
Colin Moisson Because till now he has.
Colin Moisson he promised to do a shit load of stuff on day one
Colin Moisson I think the media thinks his presidency is already over xD. Idiots!
will see
ane ndeq soolah !
Good example of the Brits interfering in our elections. Felt like I was watching a 6 minute infomercial for the DNC.
Trump had just retweeted 3 videos by a far-right wing British hate group, thereby giving them moral support. THAT's interfering in another country's politics.
I didn't say, "politics", I said "elections".
My money is on Teflon Trump
The only few questions that come with an inevitable economic crash under Donald Trump is how soon? and where it will come from? Like if it comes from the housing market, it will be devastating, it could come from loan debt or student debt and many more if not coming all at once like a house of cards or a slow devastating domino effect. 🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂☺️☺️☺️☺️☺️
I wish Trump was UK PM :(
So do I: then we'd be rid of him!
What time does WW3 start? Someone please tell me, I don't want to be late.
Links to stats please
If anything, it will be interesting to see if the polls are correct.
Going by previous trend, they're fake news along with the economist.
Nope, Mullah still going!
(I could flatter
and tickle fancies)
The Economist has no credibility. BE NEWS, BE REAL, STOP THE PARTISANSHIP!
If he doesn't make a better effort taking on crony capitalism (corporatism), he going to lose much of his support.
Wast of time to understand USA inmigrants culture, is multicultural complicated. The problem is politicians.
As a Canadian I hope they get Bernie in the White House
Why do we have a president like this??!
As the patriotic song acknowledged, God shed His grace on America. Out of a sense of fairness, He gave us the Donald to run/ruin the country.
ask the trailer trash that voted for him
Jaffrey H Because he's great!
valentin Roesler
Example A of the trailer trash that voted for the worst president in history
supererik man Are you a Clinton supporter?
Do a comparison between Trump and Obama in their first 6 months
@Bill - Just to put the comparison in perspective, the same day Trump fired Comey over the Russian probe, Hannity criticized Obama for putting spicy mustard on his sandwich. You can't make this stuff up.
Well, I am more interested in a big picture comparison, than some spicy mustard that has no real life effect on me.
It's an exemplification of the "big picture comparison." Obama was such a scrupulous and competent president, the main things critics could latch on to, day to day, were his use of spicy mustard. Meanwhile, Trump's criticized for obstructing justice and at risk of getting impeached.
History will adopt your "big picture comparison." Taking stock of day to day criticisms help to indicate what that comparison will entail.
liespeaker, Obama isn't getting critisized for eating mustard. That's just something you liberals tell yourself in order to feel good about yourself. Obama was the worst president in US history. He singlehandedly doubled the national debt, put over 10 000 000 people on food stamps, gave Iran nuclear weapons, set in motion several downright unconstitutional laws that people like you cheer on until they're killed by them.
Bill, you can't do that. A lot of those thigs that happened in the first six months were under the fiscal years of previous presidents, although Trump did skyrocket the stock market.
Who was make America great again vote for Trump he's our savior
I really want to understand why the ~35% of Americans who continue to approve Trump do so and what would make you stop supporting him?
_this is a dumpster fire_
#MenToo
yeah impeachment my ass
Might even stop some of his stupidity and bring some sanity to america.
Riiiiiiight.
Honestly I didn’t vote for him last time, but no change is better than bad change.
His biggest challenge might actually be all of the lawsuits against him
which are failing miserably?
The Russia investigation got two people arrested and Flynn just admitted to lying to the FBI... that doesn't sound like failing.
Da G yeah like sexual harassment lawsuits.
Thomas Fernandez that were ruled false?
+Da G
His biggest challenge is trying to shut up and avoid saying something.
Non-deal maker,deal faker.
Love Daddy.
nothing for the wise here only sheep talk
I'm not a fan of Trump by any means, but even I have to say this video is way off-base and sensationalized. There's a "hate-Trump" bandwagon that people are riding and anything negative (true or untrue) about Trump is welcome. When the accuracy of facts doesn't matter anymore to you, you should be worried about where you stand.
Colin M There is a hate Trump bandwagon because he is a shitty President.
Colin M you say "this video is way off-base and sensationalized" ..... what the hell does that mean. You are being critical of the Video with out defining your criticism. There was nothing untrue in the video therefore it was 'on base and not sensationalised ?'
Tarek701 what in this video is untrue? Trump is very unpopular, averaging 37% in polls.
i could not not react to this. i mean ofcourse there is a fking "hate-trump" bandwagon and it exists for exactly the reason you think. because people just believe what is easier for them to believe. and thats exactly the reason why trump is so popular because he tells people what they want to here even if it makes no sense at all. theyre just believers of his ideology while he rejects the most obvious and proven facts like global warming or even how many people went to his inauguration... i mean how can you not hate someone like that. even when people just try to observe basic facts about trump his supporters will say 'mainstream media lies, fake news'. just get over the fact he is not a good person, let alone a good president...
Dachampian ...... Trump is hated, because he invites hatred. He sees every disagreement of him as a personnel insult. Thus he reacts with even greater offence. That gives more people more reason to dislike him, it is self feeding. He will be down there with the most hated people in history eventually.
hes challenge is to #stopbeingracist
Still no reason given on why we should impeach him
Corbitt's Corner Do you think the media is intellectual? You ask for reasons they give you Kim Kardashian's new dog's name
I would guess it's because of his dishonesty and the hypocracy he expressing quite frequently. Dont come at me with pitchforks because there are very explicit examples of him doing so. Trump is not the best president but i dont want him in office anymore because i hate having to choose sides for a stupid political divide. Thats my opinion take it or leave it
Ive been out of work for a long time, so am hoping WW3 kicks off, so that I have a more interesting day.
Lock him up. Lock him up.
jiros00 jackass
keep crying and shoving yourself. your Clinton case is the way to be reopened, and she might be locked up.
jiros00 Shut thefuck up. Shut thefuck up.
Love Trump !!!! A great President.
want some loan?
The Economist is based on Economics, right? If he is so shite, how come the stock market is on fire and unemployment is continually going down?
Edit: lol don't mind me, I'm wrong
Maybe you should read about economics.
+Samuel
The unemployment rate is continuing to go down, as it had been doing for years under Obama - it's the continuation of a long lasting, pre-existing trend.
The stock market is booming largely in anticipation of the massive transfer of wealth from other tax payers to corporations as a result of the probable cut in their nominal tax rate from 34% to 20%. This (OTBE) will result in a substantial rise in earnings per share. At a given price/earnings ratio, that means stock prices should rise commensurately. P/Es should soften as the Fed gently increases interests rates, as it has been telling us for a long time already.
Is that clear, or do you require further explanation?.
Philip B Ngl, I have no idea what you wrote, but I'm assuming you know alot more than me. I just presumed that his believed incompotence should have negatively affected unemployment or the stock market, but it apparently hasn't. Or is most of this out of his control?
+Samuel
In a large developed economy such as the US, there are many factors which determine the health of the economy. Any president has a limited capacity under normal circumstances for causing rapid improvement, and somewhat more for causing rapid deterioration. Most of the tools available to a president will take time to work their effects through the economy.
BTW, here is a graph showing the changes in unemployment rate over the last few years. As you can see, it has been trending down for a long time, and the recent falls in unemployment are just part of the same trend.
data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
Philip B ahh thanks :)
MY B DAY
Civil war II
He did everything he promised we need jobs people watch Alex John's info wars
lotuspetal Fancy Whoops the mainstream media doesn't like that! Won't be reported! I mean look at those jobs! They are rising and rising!
Keep dreaming
Trump is nothing special,till now
2018...VOTE
REPUBLICONS OUT.
Quick question, what has he actually done?
No seriously.
I mean...law wise and everything else, he hasn’t done much. We stopped paying North Korea so we’re already saving money there.
What bad things have come about because of him?
We must remain vigilant not to be deceived by a trump l'oeil.
My county Malaysia have a najib also, compared to Donald trump?
dreamcatcher478 Other than Mugabe, Kim Jong Un and Maduro every world leader seems better than Trump.
Well at least he has stable mind, he knows where he is.
2:53 Oh sh*t not the Confederate States...
democrat propaganda
A vote for the Democrats is a volt for Higher Taxes
matt dennis A vote for Trump was a vote for lower taxes!
after trump.... us had increased gdp growth percent.... are Americans more concerned about pc culture or economy..... of u dont want economy..... plz deliver us.... and go to himalaya and become a saint monk....
p O l i T I c Z
P O Li tkz
Po likt tikkk
jaiio poliitt
it will be the worst year ever
Locas Martin 2017 was the best year ever with President Trump and 2018 will be even better!
The Economist missed the fact that America economy is booming under Trump's administration. Republican will win big in 2018 mid-term elections.
Snow Attitudes Jobs are booming and the economy is booming! I love this president!
weird that the cool music comes with impeachment and democratic take over
I'll tell you the result now: FAIL
The Economist completely disappointed me for their anti-Trump Macron position, almost a Jewish Banker Internationale. I read Economist a lot when I study EU now it is complete shit.
Someone needs to remind Trump that he is the President of ALL Americans, not just those who voted Republican. At present he is more than happy to blow his own trumpet and widen the gulf in a deeply divided US.
I wouldn't support people like Trump, but:
He won't get tested.
Americans love him.
Shoulders of Giants obviously you're not American if you think Americans love him. Or you live under a rock.
Man Manburger americans do not love him
His approval rating is around 40% retards
+Praise
Many Americans - a plural is appropriate here - do love him; most don't. Even the Rasmussen polls (which skew to the right) put his popularity only in the 40% range, and put his disapprovals are over 50%
Philip B hello I changed my comment after your needs
The US has an insane, orange, clown president....lol
Leopoldo Buenaventura i know right his tax reforms have increased the gdp hes opened up more than 200 000 jobs blacks hispanics and minorities have had the lowest rate of unemploynent ever recorded the economy is booming under his presidency
I used to honour the Economists as the honest, reliable, and trustworthy news outlet.. But after seeing this video, I'm no longer regarding it as such.. Why? Read other people comments.. They've described it very well on why I abhore the Economists now..
So very unlucky for you the Economists.. You've lost 1 subscriber, which is me.. And I predict that soon you'll loose even more subscribers who still value true journalism..
You mean by people who still value "true" journalism, as long as it supports Trump?
Lucas Dillon Not necessarily.. What I mean is as long as they ditch out personal interpretations of an event.. The Economists pour in and mix the fact with their own personal interpretations and predicitions which are complete bias and taboo in true journalism..
Such a pity for the Economists...
Trump 2020!
Hell yea!
Unsubscribed
thank good
Dios me libre de hombre de un libro.
Nathan X, bye Nathan! Don’t let the door hit you on the way out!
what Trump said about America is right, but I don't think he has the ability to fix it.
I only listen to The Economist because I considered it one of the few serious media outlet that isnt producing nonsense, I would expect something more like an assessment of Trumps economic policies not all this #nevertrump propaganda.
Unfortunately, The Economist has an extreme liberal bias.
there was nothing "never trump" aboout this. It was a detailed explanation of what lies ahead for him, with either outcome being explained
Did you watch the video,all it said was mid terms are gonna make or break trumps ability to lead,that's true
TRUMP YOUR THE BEST~
AKBAAR This sounds about right.
'Your' is not a contraction of "you are"
Correction "You're the best". Sums up the uneducated masses who vote for Trump. They can't even spell
+Daniel
Your rite 8^)
was thinking the same lmao
Fake news. Dream on, Economist readers. Grow up!
What the Economist doesn't understand is that even if Trump's base turned on him, they would still not be in favour of democrats. They see this situation either as "you're a Trump supporter" or "you're a democrat"
+Patrick Fleischer
This can not be "fake news" because it is not news of any kind: it's analysis. If you want to argue that it's "fake analysis", go ahead - you'll just look stupid.
+Jan Bakarić
Trump won the electoral college by taking PA, MI, WI by less than 1% each - these states had voted D in the past 6 elections. It would be foolhardy to assert that Trump will win those states again.
Patrick Fleischer Actually it's Economist watchers. I'm pretty sure people don't read videos.
The Economist readers are often Highly educated and tend to be quite well off on the financial spectrum. They tend to vote right wing and to be very pro free market. So, Mr Patrick. I doubt you'd ever find a better news source. Just because you do not agree with something does not mean it's a lie.
Fake liberal news at his best 😂😂
Can all you Liberals/Democrats/Socialists and other Communists finally move somewhere else as you all promised? Forever?
It's Nazis like you who must leave
Dear Economist,
You don't get to impeach someone because they have a low approval rating. They need to be implicated in a crime.
Sincerely,
Non-Partisan Rationality