he's still going live and trashing trump and gaslighting people and placing the blame on everything except himself and his own bias that caused him to blow this.
@@hadlee189 Usually I write in my vote because i usually dislike both candidates. But this year, we need someone that might actually do what they are promising to do. And I don’t believe it is Kamala.
@@aberrantalbino3537 because Trump is a criminal. I don’t know if you ever heard of the Storm of the Capitol on January 6th, but that alone should be a reason to vote for Harris and not for Trump. He is a traitor
You are correct. I have a wife, full time job, 2 kids, and elderly parents. I never answer polls. But, people like me vote because I care about the country. Harris/Walz 2024 gets my vote.
Half the time - if not more than half of the time - polls aren't even conducted by live human beings any more. It was much better in the days when live human beings had clipboards and could see the people whom they were interviewing.
@@lindamattice4323 That's because the obsessed are most likely to poll and no ones more obsessed then MAGA. Most sane people these days don't see the point in it.
I agree with them, Pollos don’t mean nothing is five of us in my house and we all vote for Kamala Harris and none of us answered a pollsters phone call email or text.
@@dyzmadamachus9842 trump is saying hat eful things about people and is a Fas cist. He has no policies. He is dividing the country. Harris is not. She has policies.
He forgot to factor in God and how he’s revealing the truth and strengthening believers to stand up for what is Divine. We love You and thank You and praise You, God Most High of this Universe!!!
no, even more hilarious. He claims his model was correct, but the electorate was "irrational". In other words, he was right it was THE ENTIRE VOTING ELECTORATE that was wrong. What a joke
we all knew Biden was going to win 4 years ago at this time because he had a 9 point lead and he barely won, so if trump and harris are tied now nationally or even if harris is up by 1 Trump wins easy
The problem is people were overreacting to too many small things about Drumpf that something worth reacting too is brushed off as the w0ke overreacting again.
He is dumb because current scenario, it is all about identity politics instead policy based politics. My prediction Trump is going to win the election.
Historians aren't good analysts. If we had Lichtman made key policy decisions like military based decisions with his "modeling" America would have been conquered by Russia, Iran and China by now.
@@madmethodmouselivestreams3598 Oh, only three. Right now? How do you know that? There's basically no evidence to back that up. There's lots of evidence to back up my assertions. It's common sense that the hidden Trump vote is greater than ever. Allan claims #13 is true because Trump has no crossover appeal. Really? He's seen no evidence of it? Really? Is he not aware of the gains being made among blacks, Hispanics, and Gen Z? Winning Hispanics, 30% with black Americans, and almost winning 18-29. The guy has more crossover appeal than Obama did in '08. He's seeing what he wants to see, and so are you.
If not for the 3000 votes in Boca Raton Florida in 2000. Gore would have won the 2000 election. Our country would have been very different today. Yes you did have 10/10 records
@@modhua4497 He still got it wrong. For goodness sakes. It proves he doesn’t always know what is going to happen. He hasn’t taken into account that Biden dropped out and handed it to someone a lot of do not favor even more than him. Don’t forget, he dropped out because of approval ratings. Johnson and Truman did the same thing. Also the assassination attempts have to be factored in. Both of those things he has not had to deal with in his predictions.
Gore won the popular vote. He conceded and the Dems didn't do a Jan 6 then or with Hillary when she won the popular vote. Yet Jan 6 with MAGA and GOP - and Dems are the problem? Sure. And this is from someone who votes Republican and Democrat but I can't support MAGA Congress Members who have passed no sensical laws that make things better for our citizens. Voted against the infrastructure bill and chips bill that benefits 80% more to Red states than Blue. But now that the money's coming they are showing up to the ribbon cutting and taking credit... They recently voted against funding more to FEMA (to spite California and its wild fires) and now the same MAGA idiots are asking for more FEMA funding. They vote on hate and vengeance. They voted against THE MOST CONSERVATIVE immigration bill that would have overhauled the asylum seeking and border crossings and fentanyl trafficking and sex trafficking. Anything that has happened since - deaths from immigrants, deaths from fentanyl are due to them. We all have to stand before the pearly gates one way or another.
I think Republicans sued to halt the Florida vote counting. Some people actually screwed up their own ballots by writing Al Gore on top of them. Those hanging chad things often made made it unclear who to the person actually voted for. So, people went the extra mile to write in Gore, because they didn't trust the GOP to count their vote correctly. All of those Gore ballots got thrown out. There were supposedly thousands of them down in Dade County alone.
@@BarrySmith70 president stepping down and replaced with vice president (it’s never happened for his keys) and the assassination attempts. Johnson and Truman were the other two democrats that dropped out. Republicans went on to win those two terms.
@DeusVolo Yes! My daughter is one, eligible to vote for the first time! We went together and both voted blue 🗳 here, in red Indiana! :) She has many friends who are too.
I'd say he's more of problem than anything else. His "prediction model" is a threat to democracy, as they will use it to program an AI to determine the POTUS, and that could potentially eliminate your right to vote, if they can decieve everyone into believeing there is no free will and that fate is predetermined by human impulses. Not cool IMO, polls shouldn't exist, and we should stop looking into these stupid crystal balls, and just vote.
I think Lichtman is tripping this time. Trump just keeps pulling ahead as the days go by. Lichtman keeps going on with his orange man bad pitch in most interviews, but that doesn't explain why Trump is pulling ahead. Nah, I think you're wrong this time Lichtman, sorry dude
It comes down to turnout. If anyone but Trump was on the Republican ballot. they GOP may win. Hayley would have won easily. Since Trump is on the ballot again, Harris will easily win. The vast majority of Americans despise Trump and will crawl over broken glass to vote against him.
@@EdwinSanchrz looking at post covid, global unrest, immigration disaster, I wouldn't bet on Americans thinking the same way. There's more rage than you realize. All models, including AI, have 1 limitation- they can't predict thoughts and feelings
@@MrB-ip4tcThe economy is actually doing real good right now plus and more importantly I dont think you truly understand how unpopular Trump is 46 percent will not vote for Trump no matter what 46 percent will not vote for kamala no matter what do u actually who do u think independents will break to on top of that Americans remember how disastrous Trumps presidency was
@@EdwinSanchrz case in point, people might vote on things like popularity, as you stated, which means lichtmans model is a relic of the past. It's based on the simple idea that America changes from democrat to republican every 4 or 8 years. It gets more credit than it actually deserves, and this time round, it could be wrong. Pa is a toss up at this point.
@@EdwinSanchrz and Harris is not an elected nominee and many can't vote for her too. Lots of frustrated folks will sit this election out, it will be decided by who has the largest remaining support. Low turnout tends to favour gop, remember that
Lol ya trump always plays the victim and grifts off of it ! Trump is a CONVICTED CRIMINAL running for the highest office ...how is that OK??? ...ITS NOT! SOME PPL NEED THEIR BRAINS EXAMINED!
The first time was not a letdown for him, but it was a letdown for Florida minority voters, whose votes were thrown out and allowed Jeb Bush to steal the election for his brother!
@romaneverett8320 so you would rather vote for a system that is corrupt and targets political opponents with bogus convictions? You hate America and want it over-ran by criminal migrants.
Allan Litman is making a lot of money out of this because of his historic accuracy. It's paid off now to lead him to this moment so he doesn't care if he gets it wrong this time. he's made a fortune. Good on you Allan
@@MJBfromWilloughby He was not famous then. The 2016 election was when he made a name for himself when he predicted trump against all odds so now he's been paid to gaslight people to think Kamala is going to win. anyway what's the point of being excited over a prediction. What matters is the actual result. Polling and predictions are for voters to feel good untill election day. There is also another possibilty that he could be paid by republicans to take the urgancy away from democrat voters so people who are lay to go out and vote or people who genrally don't vote much will think Kamala's got this in the bag and not show upto the polls
Lichtman talks about polling being wrong for both sides. He's coping here, because mid terms and main election years are completely different. And when it comes to Trump, even more so. Trump has historically outperformed the polls by a wide margin, and there's no reason to expect any difference here. He might win the popular vote.
@@MJBfromWilloughby prediction? Like there's twenty candidates to pick from. There's always two. Anyone with half a brain could at least hit 70% of the time, if you know anything about politics. I'm predicting Trump, we'll see n I'll come back to this.
That assumes that pollsters haven't changed their methodology to adjust for their Trump under sampling. If they have adjusted, then this really is an extremely close election
His keys are good but he got the result that he wanted by falsely answering his questions(Keys). Like false to a border crisis and false to is there inflation just to name a few.
@@iloveacheesesingle yes you are right when Obama left power theh economy and jobs were growing, Trump took office, lost 700,00 thousands jobs, increase the deficit by billons, Biden cleaned is mess., USA has the best economy in the world now, post covid inflation is down, please Factscheck before believing Trump lies.
Exactly, how was this not mentioned? Virtually no Federal support given to so many areas, and I'd imagine most swing voters see this abomination of a government response.
@@clayreacts The government is sending money and disaster relief, and Trump's awful lies about FEMA are horrible and completely unacceptable when people are dying. Also, if Trump were in office he would be throwing paper towels at people and call it aid.
@i0r-r-tjtkttl My apologies not Democrats but Trump hating Republicans. A newbie won over an incumbent Democrat, I feel because some thought well we'll vote for the gay republican, Jewish, and Latino. ✅✅✅
What's so interesting on this - I don't know anyone who takes part in polls. Not one single person. I have never had anyone telephone me, email me, or stop me on the street to ask me who I intend to vote for. So, who are the so called people who are taking polls???? A friend of mine, is involved in small town politics. I talked to her the other day and asked her about this. She told me that typically, the people who take part in polls are less intelligent, gullible and then, are the least likely to get off their butts and actually walk out the door on election day to vote. I think polls should be eliminated altogether. So ridiculous. Some of my friends told me recently that they drove 10 miles and counted more yard signs for 1 candidate than the other and they believe that is a solid indicator that person with the most signs will win!!! LOL! In my neighborhood, there are about 30 homes, 1 home has a sign out in their yard. I would never tell a single person, not even my spouse, who I'm voting for. I mind my own business and feel that others should do the same. I know who I'm voting for and I'm praying that I'm voting for the ultimate next POTUS. Crossing fingers!
Lichtman uses keys which he interprets himself. For instance, he says kamala more charismatic than Trump. That is seriously a strange key. Looks like that key is not going to open the door.
@thejaskr1 That's not true. I heard him say it on live TV himself. Incidentally I am not Maga either. Imo the USA has insidiously deteriorated since 1945.
I predict we won't know who won on November 6th yet. Not with GA counting by hand and all the bull that someone is pulling. And he will never owe anyone an apology, even if he is incorrect.
@@iloveacheesesingle It is. Alan literally stats that governing is all that counts, which means that (and that alone) should be enough to get re-elected.
If nothing Trump does matters and Harris will win either way. Why the hell is Harris still spending money on ads and doing interviews. Explain!!!! Harris actively campaigning proves 100% (!!) that it is not only about his 13 keys.
Because when Harris gets to Election Day, she wants to know that she did everything she could to win. By the same token, we must do everything we can to help her win so we can know we did what we could when Election Day arrives.
He was 17 points behind in summer. After the debate and uncharismatic campaigning from Dukakis, Bush took a healthy lead in the polls. So there wasnt any polling errors back then
Lichtman predicted both. He has been right almost every time, and the 2000 election would've gone to Al Gore if the supreme court hadn't stopped the recount.
the only thing deranged is the orange fraud and his cult. a national embarrassment of people completely ignorant to facts or decency. deny, delect, lie, project- it's the maga cult way!
@@saulgoodman4107 do you think it was laughable that Trump would send Professor Lichtman a note of congratulations saying “good call’ after he successfully predicted his victory in 2016?
@@MJBfromWilloughby Bro I won't be voting for Trump. I just think that Allan Lichtman's model of predicting the election is plagued with overfitting. You mentioned the 2016 election, well actually in 2016 Lichtman predicted that Trump would win the popular vote which we know turned out to be false. He is the kind of person who doesn't like being challenged and is condescending to people who disagree with him. I'll enjoy when his arrogant ass will be proven wrong.
So much for this clown’s so called prediction!
he's still going live and trashing trump and gaslighting people and placing the blame on everything except himself and his own bias that caused him to blow this.
Polls don't vote, people do. Go out & VOTE!
and if you vote, you might as well vote for Harris 🔵🔵🔵
@@hadlee189 Usually I write in my vote because i usually dislike both candidates. But this year, we need someone that might actually do what they are promising to do. And I don’t believe it is Kamala.
@@djeeeeeeeWhy are you voting for Harris?
I already did for Kamala, plus all the millions Puerto Rican
@@aberrantalbino3537 because Trump is a criminal. I don’t know if you ever heard of the Storm of the Capitol on January 6th, but that alone should be a reason to vote for Harris and not for Trump. He is a traitor
He's DEAD WRONG now.
he didn't account for the dementia and incompetence keys
edit: who's here after election results💀
He didn’t predict Biden would win this year but he did correctly all the winners.
Well that key goes defenetely to Donald J Trump. He is both in a mental and physical decline and his incompetence is well known
😂
@@elle6327 if Biden was running who knows what he would have predicted ?
@@MI-zt1wv how do you know Trump doesn’t have dementia?
Polls don't mean anything Most people don't poll
Exactly! Remember the “red wave”? Polls were predicting the red wave down to the final count.
You are correct. I have a wife, full time job, 2 kids, and elderly parents. I never answer polls. But, people like me vote because I care about the country. Harris/Walz 2024 gets my vote.
Half the time - if not more than half of the time - polls aren't even conducted by live human beings any more. It was much better in the days when live human beings had clipboards and could see the people whom they were interviewing.
@@lindamattice4323 That's because the obsessed are most likely to poll and no ones more obsessed then MAGA. Most sane people these days don't see the point in it.
Kamala Harris has the momentum and she will be the next president
Dont get complacent - vote !!!
You are so right
It is not over until it is over
Right on
@@fabianstohr1080 you are right about that!! ♥️♥️♥️
Please please kamala has to win!!
why are we even voting? shouldn't we just take his word for it! My 1 vote counts more than all of their opinions. GO VOTE!! Good Luck!!!
Exactly. Action > Empty words
If you are talking about the man against polls he had stated countless times to vote he is not agaisnt that.
Voter turnout is the key to win this election!
Which means Women will turn out. unfortunately. Men are less inclined
@@Knightfall182 we need all hands on deck in this election
@@modhua4497 Yep, I am voting 💙🌎🌎🌎🌎💙🌎💙🌎 blue down the ticket.
PLease everyone do whatever it takes to get voter turnout vote blue
Well if Women vote the Kamaltoe into office, they have no right to complain when things continue to get bad.
Prof Lichtman is truly a genius
Is he?? 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🫵🏾🤡AMERICANS ARE THE GENIUS
Appears Litchman's 15 minutes are up. It is so funny how the media had his prediction of a Harris win blasted everywhere on the internet , LOL LOL.
I agree with them, Pollos don’t mean nothing is five of us in my house and we all vote for Kamala Harris and none of us answered a pollsters phone call email or text.
@@jorgemaldonado2009 same with republicans though. It equals out.
Being an outsider let me ask: why Harris?
@@dyzmadamachus9842 trump is saying hat eful things about people and is a Fas cist. He has no policies. He is dividing the country. Harris is not. She has policies.
@@dyzmadamachus9842because TDS? 😂
A full house of ignorance😂
He forgot to factor in God and how he’s revealing the truth and strengthening believers to stand up for what is Divine. We love You and thank You and praise You, God Most High of this Universe!!!
This hasn't aged well, Professor.
What happened? Crystal ball malfunction?😢
no, even more hilarious. He claims his model was correct, but the electorate was "irrational". In other words, he was right it was THE ENTIRE VOTING ELECTORATE that was wrong. What a joke
@underwaterlevelz1947 I know, what an idiot. Lichtman should have his fortune-telling licence revoked on the grounds that he is a fraud and charlatan!
This guy said Biden was going to win
Did you listen? Government over campaigning. Both Biden and Harris are the “government”.
we all knew Biden was going to win 4 years ago at this time because he had a 9 point lead and he barely won, so if trump and harris are tied now nationally or even if harris is up by 1 Trump wins easy
He would have. America despises Trump. You lose American women, you lose American elections.
Biden did win in 2020
@@BarrySmith70 we are talking about 2024
The problem is that the bar is set so low for Trump. People don't hold him accountable for his actions.
What actions?
@@mh2774 Ha ha you are both right!
@@lazarus1016 I do
The problem is people were overreacting to too many small things about Drumpf that something worth reacting too is brushed off as the w0ke overreacting again.
@@tdestroyer4780 They all have "actions". Too many forget about Harris' "actions" and even non-actions.
Excellent research by this Prof.
He is correct! Historian!He is bright too!
According to what standards. Analyze his factors and you have no choice but reach the conclusion that all are against K
He is dumb because current scenario, it is all about identity politics instead policy based politics. My prediction Trump is going to win the election.
@@anaelena2104tell that to his formula which can be applied accurately to every election in history
Historians aren't good analysts. If we had Lichtman made key policy decisions like military based decisions with his "modeling" America would have been conquered by Russia, Iran and China by now.
@@anaelena2104 Explain how keys choose Trump?
Comma La ; Say her name! Say her name loud and proud
🤮🤮🤮
Kamala!!! Let’s go!!!!
Ick!!!
@@ESSHD 😂😂😂
@@kaizersose7437' Every knee will bow before the lion & the lamb - The Holy Bible
The polls in 1948 had Dewey ahead of Truman by 5% on the day of the election. Then Truman won by 2 million votes.
When have polls ever overestimated Trump's support?
@@Mark-kq6ch Right now. Plus, not many times trump has run for president. Just three, including now.
@@madmethodmouselivestreams3598 Oh, only three. Right now? How do you know that? There's basically no evidence to back that up. There's lots of evidence to back up my assertions. It's common sense that the hidden Trump vote is greater than ever. Allan claims #13 is true because Trump has no crossover appeal. Really? He's seen no evidence of it? Really? Is he not aware of the gains being made among blacks, Hispanics, and Gen Z? Winning Hispanics, 30% with black Americans, and almost winning 18-29. The guy has more crossover appeal than Obama did in '08. He's seeing what he wants to see, and so are you.
@@Mark-kq6ch They predicted a red wave in 2022 election and Trump-endorsed Republicans did poorly.
If not for the 3000 votes in Boca Raton Florida in 2000. Gore would have won the 2000 election.
Our country would have been very different today.
Yes you did have 10/10 records
@@modhua4497 He still got it wrong. For goodness sakes. It proves he doesn’t always know what is going to happen. He hasn’t taken into account that Biden dropped out and handed it to someone a lot of do not favor even more than him. Don’t forget, he dropped out because of approval ratings. Johnson and Truman did the same thing. Also the assassination attempts have to be factored in. Both of those things he has not had to deal with in his predictions.
Gore won the popular vote. He conceded and the Dems didn't do a Jan 6 then or with Hillary when she won the popular vote. Yet Jan 6 with MAGA and GOP - and Dems are the problem? Sure. And this is from someone who votes Republican and Democrat but I can't support MAGA Congress Members who have passed no sensical laws that make things better for our citizens. Voted against the infrastructure bill and chips bill that benefits 80% more to Red states than Blue. But now that the money's coming they are showing up to the ribbon cutting and taking credit... They recently voted against funding more to FEMA (to spite California and its wild fires) and now the same MAGA idiots are asking for more FEMA funding. They vote on hate and vengeance. They voted against THE MOST CONSERVATIVE immigration bill that would have overhauled the asylum seeking and border crossings and fentanyl trafficking and sex trafficking. Anything that has happened since - deaths from immigrants, deaths from fentanyl are due to them. We all have to stand before the pearly gates one way or another.
I think Republicans sued to halt the Florida vote counting. Some people actually screwed up their own ballots by writing Al Gore on top of them. Those hanging chad things often made made it unclear who to the person actually voted for. So, people went the extra mile to write in Gore, because they didn't trust the GOP to count their vote correctly. All of those Gore ballots got thrown out. There were supposedly thousands of them down in Dade County alone.
@@modhua4497 why is that? Just curious
@@RensinkRamblingsprobably climate change
I predict the professor is going to be wrong this year. There’s just so much that is different about this election.
Like what?
Wild card factor: USA never had open borders like this in any point of time.
@@BarrySmith70 president stepping down and replaced with vice president (it’s never happened for his keys) and the assassination attempts.
Johnson and Truman were the other two democrats that dropped out. Republicans went on to win those two terms.
@@jasontsang2232 Yes, this too.
There's people every time saying he'll be wrong. We'll just have to wait and see
Gen z is coming to save the day . A lot of new registrations break for that demographic
Hahaha Gen Z! That's a good one.
@DeusVolo Yes! My daughter is one, eligible to vote for the first time! We went together and both voted blue 🗳 here, in red Indiana! :) She has many friends who are too.
EXCELLENT POINT.
And they all listen to Taylor Swift. So that's good news.
@@MikeMattersTV Gen Z is smarter than you think . 😁
Man!! Allan is a genius!! He’s the man!! 💙💙💙💙🧢🧢🧢🧢
I'd say he's more of problem than anything else. His "prediction model" is a threat to democracy, as they will use it to program an AI to determine the POTUS, and that could potentially eliminate your right to vote, if they can decieve everyone into believeing there is no free will and that fate is predetermined by human impulses. Not cool IMO, polls shouldn't exist, and we should stop looking into these stupid crystal balls, and just vote.
I think Lichtman is tripping this time. Trump just keeps pulling ahead as the days go by. Lichtman keeps going on with his orange man bad pitch in most interviews, but that doesn't explain why Trump is pulling ahead. Nah, I think you're wrong this time Lichtman, sorry dude
No man on Earth is perfect. Sooner or later he will be wrong.
he made a wrong prediction before but still his method are near perfect.
At least , hope his prediction for this election is correct
Hes right again with Harris..
@@OCPARKWAYlol
@@goat7844 he got it wrong for bush v gore
We told you clowns Trump will win 🤣😂👏🙌👌👍👊
It comes down to turnout. If anyone but Trump was on the Republican ballot. they GOP may win. Hayley would have won easily. Since Trump is on the ballot again, Harris will easily win. The vast majority of Americans despise Trump and will crawl over broken glass to vote against him.
Did you see his turnout for his rally at MSG today? Most Americans don't hate him!!! TRUMP/VANCE 2024 🇺🇸🙏🇺🇸
You don’t know AMERICANS 🫵🏾🤡🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Good interview with great points. I missed Chris and I'm glad to see him in the presenter's seat.
Loveeeee Allan!!!
This didn’t age well. Garbage is the October surprise
However, you can’t be right all the time😅
but a model that has been proven correct 100 % of the time and much more accurate than any poll can be.
Well that didn't age well.
His system makes one shaky assumption, that americans always think the same way, everytime
they do though
@@EdwinSanchrz looking at post covid, global unrest, immigration disaster, I wouldn't bet on Americans thinking the same way. There's more rage than you realize. All models, including AI, have 1 limitation- they can't predict thoughts and feelings
@@MrB-ip4tcThe economy is actually doing real good right now plus and more importantly I dont think you truly understand how unpopular Trump is 46 percent will not vote for Trump no matter what 46 percent will not vote for kamala no matter what do u actually who do u think independents will break to on top of that Americans remember how disastrous Trumps presidency was
@@EdwinSanchrz case in point, people might vote on things like popularity, as you stated, which means lichtmans model is a relic of the past. It's based on the simple idea that America changes from democrat to republican every 4 or 8 years. It gets more credit than it actually deserves, and this time round, it could be wrong. Pa is a toss up at this point.
@@EdwinSanchrz and Harris is not an elected nominee and many can't vote for her too. Lots of frustrated folks will sit this election out, it will be decided by who has the largest remaining support. Low turnout tends to favour gop, remember that
Regardless of his keys, he refuses to acknowledge three assassination attempts on the challenger.
Did I miss an attempt? Three?
@@nathanieleasonbign81970 Three.
Lol ya trump always plays the victim and grifts off of it ! Trump is a CONVICTED CRIMINAL running for the highest office ...how is that OK??? ...ITS NOT! SOME PPL NEED THEIR BRAINS EXAMINED!
Or the fact that Kamala didn’t receive a single vote in the primaries back in 2019 & was coronated by the Dem’s in July.
I thought it was 8 ? Pinocchio DonOld will tell his cult that. and they'll believe it
Harris,Walz 2024💙💙💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
I trust Allan Lichtman's prediction. He's the keymaster.
However it doesn't matter unless we vote!!
He is going to be letdown for the second time.
@tomvi9279 no, u will b the one let down
@@tomvi9279 nah
The first time was not a letdown for him, but it was a letdown for Florida minority voters, whose votes were thrown out and allowed Jeb Bush to steal the election for his brother!
Hm not unless it ends up in courts liek AL.
Be ready for him to be wrong!
About what? Something that Trump gave a note of congratulations to Professor Lichtman for his model
😂😂😂😂😂 losing nig time
Never happen.
You wish buddy
Yep.
Kamala Harris 2024 🇺🇸
Nah, I’d rather have cheap gas, no wars overseas, and a president who has real world work experience.
@@JimfromBuffalo rather vote for prosecutor an not a felon or a liar an a clown 🤡
@romaneverett8320 so you would rather vote for a system that is corrupt and targets political opponents with bogus convictions? You hate America and want it over-ran by criminal migrants.
God forbid
@@romaneverett8320she is a liar
Allan Litman is making a lot of money out of this because of his historic accuracy. It's paid off now to lead him to this moment so he doesn't care if he gets it wrong this time.
he's made a fortune. Good on you Allan
@@andrewkeshan8649 do you think Professor Lichtman was getting paid to predict a Trump victory on FoxNews in 2016?
@@MJBfromWilloughby He was not famous then. The 2016 election was when he made a name for himself when he predicted trump against all odds so now he's been paid to gaslight people to think Kamala is going to win.
anyway what's the point of being excited over a prediction. What matters is the actual result.
Polling and predictions are for voters to feel good untill election day.
There is also another possibilty that he could be paid by republicans to take the urgancy away from democrat voters so people who are lay to go out and vote or people who genrally don't vote much will think Kamala's got this in the bag and not show upto the polls
@@andrewkeshan8649 that is so intrue
Lichtman talks about polling being wrong for both sides. He's coping here, because mid terms and main election years are completely different. And when it comes to Trump, even more so. Trump has historically outperformed the polls by a wide margin, and there's no reason to expect any difference here. He might win the popular vote.
Would that make Lichtman regret his 13 keys to the White House? He already proved how successful his predictions were 9 out 10 times
He won’t win the popular vote when Democrats win by huge margins in California, New York & Illinois.😂😂
Funniest thing I heard yet. 😂
@@MJBfromWilloughby prediction? Like there's twenty candidates to pick from. There's always two. Anyone with half a brain could at least hit 70% of the time, if you know anything about politics. I'm predicting Trump, we'll see n I'll come back to this.
That assumes that pollsters haven't changed their methodology to adjust for their Trump under sampling. If they have adjusted, then this really is an extremely close election
These guests are rock solid!
God/YHWH had a Mysterious Way to put to SHAME a Hateful and Proudly Boastful Person... ALLAN LICHTMAN... Praise be to God in Christ Jesus... Amen...
Good luck both of you
These people are still living under rock 8yrs later
Salgamos a votar 💙💙💙💙
Siii por favor latinos!!!!!! 💙💙💙💙💙
Latina blue 💙 florida 💙 😍
Good interview because candid, playfully respectful, focused on facts, data, history and professional judgment and experience. Worth watching!
Very important point Litchman made at the very end regarding Santos' seat.
Vote vote vote ❤❤❤❤
I’m going with Lichtman 👍🏽 save America 🇺🇸 and vote 🗳️ 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
Save America? From an open border? From record price increases? From war globally? Hope other Americans save you from yourself 🤦🏻♂️🤦🏻♂️
His keys are good but he got the result that he wanted by falsely answering his questions(Keys). Like false to a border crisis and false to is there inflation just to name a few.
😂😂😂😂 invert multiply …Trump landslide…Obama picked a pair of idiots…knowing they had no shot…2028 and retaining seats is only near term goal..
I voted yesterday in early voting. Harris.
@@barbarabrownhenry9065 save America from Kamala.
I wish with all my heart that there is a good God and that this good God listens to you
Watching from Haiti❤
I find it difficult to trust a guy with such a bad wig
Well what about Trump implant?
lol
I guess you'll have to let the record speak for itself eh
Hmmmmm
Orange dump boys is much much worse! 😅
@@iloveacheesesingle yes you are right when Obama left power theh economy and jobs were growing, Trump took office, lost 700,00 thousands jobs, increase the deficit by billons, Biden cleaned is mess., USA has the best economy in the world now, post covid inflation is down, please Factscheck before believing Trump lies.
Harris victory? Yeah Ok.
Yes indeed.
@@danasutton6769 God help us.
@@Russ-ex8so Better than Trump
@SoAaron_ Maybe for you, but not for me.
@@Russ-ex8so What about Trump do you like?
Reminder that in 2022, FiveThirtyEight forecasted that the Senate would go Republican; it didn't, LOL.
BUT that wasn't Lichtman dummie!
covid shenanigan's were still going on. Easy to make others look the other way
It actually did go republican and you will probably see that soon. In reality, republicans should have over 60 Senate seats right now.
He totally said Biden could NOT drop out
Did you listen to when he said WHY? go ahead, i'll wait. unless you didn't listen.
It's the Battle of the bad Toupees
lolol
SORRY CHRIS, BUT YOUR HORSE IS GOING TO LOOSE.
How do you claim to have a scientific method and browbeat everyone to oblivion to believe your own opinion. What a hack.
Ooh! You're wanting an INTELLECTUAL Debate, to contest BROW BEATING....
Let's have at it.?😊
@@teawaruaedwards274 I’m referring to lichman.
Name or show a video of him browbeating? YOU have not even looked into it! He is a PHD, what amount of education do you have?
YOUR HILLARIOUS!
@laurieannbazinet4838 geez ! Yah coulda spelt Hilarious properly?
I'm not with the guy frank ,I'm with litchman and I don't feel this guy when he speak. I checked him out on cnn
Several time.
Just saying
he is arrogant
@@aficios59 you don't say 😲😲😁
You'll have to specify which arrogant one you're referring to 😂
@@Bnathanb1982lol🎯🎯🎯
He is...he's also been right 10 out of 10 elections. You could say he has a right to be arrogant at that point...
No he lost the 2000 election. He still claims he is right but last time I checked, Gore didnt win.😅
Thank you
This time you are wrong, remember in the later days false prophets will arise and you are one of them.
Oh shut up
@@gdesiree29Stay scared. 😂😂😂😂
I Agree...The Devil In Trump Is Deceitful And Good Will Win Again....Good Wins Over Evil.....
Yep stick with the bible and remain simply clueless because you hope and hope and have ZERO analytical grasp of what Lichtman is actually saying.
That's funny from someone following a cult leader. 😂
Theres an awful lot of people on the fence this time.
The back to back devastating hurricanes are the October surprise
And according to DonOLD Dump climate change isn't real lol
Exactly, how was this not mentioned? Virtually no Federal support given to so many areas, and I'd imagine most swing voters see this abomination of a government response.
@@clayreacts The government is sending money and disaster relief, and Trump's awful lies about FEMA are horrible and completely unacceptable when people are dying. Also, if Trump were in office he would be throwing paper towels at people and call it aid.
@@clayreactsthat is a blatant lie that trump is spreading, and using this horrible devastation for political gain! Stop spreading disinformation.
That's an interesting point.
Our God is a miracle working God. From India🇮🇳 💪👍🙏
Santos won because he was telling people EVERYTHING they wanted to hear.
@i0r-r-tjtkttl
My apologies not Democrats but Trump hating Republicans. A newbie won over an incumbent Democrat, I feel because some thought well we'll vote for the gay republican, Jewish, and Latino.
✅✅✅
@i0r-r-tjtkttl
Yes, Republicans except Never-Trumpers won't be voting for Kamala just because she owns a gun. Sorry.
Came here so I won’t shit my pants. Thanks, Alan.
We have been unburdened by what has been.
How would trump have a 8 point lead overall when he is trailing in a lot of swing states? Those numbers are wrong.
Nah. You're wrong.
@@chuckgary6291 You're the one who's wrong.
@@CJ-GoJacketsTHWG No you're the one whose wrong and can't face reality
I don't know who is wrong btn you, but what I know TRUMP will win, nothing is happening for no reason. He's the chosen one!!
@@CJ-GoJacketsTHWG the numbers probably come from some space cadets
What's so interesting on this - I don't know anyone who takes part in polls. Not one single person. I have never had anyone telephone me, email me, or stop me on the street to ask me who I intend to vote for. So, who are the so called people who are taking polls???? A friend of mine, is involved in small town politics. I talked to her the other day and asked her about this. She told me that typically, the people who take part in polls are less intelligent, gullible and then, are the least likely to get off their butts and actually walk out the door on election day to vote. I think polls should be eliminated altogether. So ridiculous. Some of my friends told me recently that they drove 10 miles and counted more yard signs for 1 candidate than the other and they believe that is a solid indicator that person with the most signs will win!!! LOL! In my neighborhood, there are about 30 homes, 1 home has a sign out in their yard. I would never tell a single person, not even my spouse, who I'm voting for. I mind my own business and feel that others should do the same. I know who I'm voting for and I'm praying that I'm voting for the ultimate next POTUS. Crossing fingers!
Lichtman uses keys which he interprets himself. For instance, he says kamala more charismatic than Trump. That is seriously a strange key. Looks like that key is not going to open the door.
His own keys predict Trump on every point 🙄
@TenTenJ Haha yes I see that.
Good try. He said neither is charismatic enough to use that key. He doesn't give it to Kamala. But I will wait for your MAGA tears 😁
@thejaskr1 That's not true. I heard him say it on live TV himself. Incidentally I am not Maga either. Imo the USA has insidiously deteriorated since 1945.
Yea only appeals to a narrow base a hack unlike Reagan who had democratic support
On November 6th this guy should have to go on every show and apologize
I predict we won't know who won on November 6th yet. Not with GA counting by hand and all the bull that someone is pulling. And he will never owe anyone an apology, even if he is incorrect.
He'll blame the Russians, or some nonsense like that. Just watch.
Just gonna leave this here in case of post-election results
When his election prediction bombs this Nov... Lichtman writes a new book and wins no matter who wins or losses. $$$
Alan is amazing!!!
In all my years, I've never been polled, or ever known anyone who's been polled
Correction: 73.6 MILLION VOTES
If all that mattered were his 13 keys, people would vote based solely on these keys, and would not need any extra motivation to vote.
I don't think that's the order of operations...
@@iloveacheesesingle It is. Alan literally stats that governing is all that counts, which means that (and that alone) should be enough to get re-elected.
@@weirdwordcomboIt is a bit more compelxed he shorten it due to time constraints but he has stated campinging is important as well as voting.
@@weirdwordcombo No, my point is that your comment makes it sound like people vote based on the keys. I doubt many people factor that in.
If nothing Trump does matters and Harris will win either way. Why the hell is Harris still spending money on ads and doing interviews. Explain!!!! Harris actively campaigning proves 100% (!!) that it is not only about his 13 keys.
political industrial complex
Are you 12?
@@weirdwordcombo hope not.
Because when Harris gets to Election Day, she wants to know that she did everything she could to win. By the same token, we must do everything we can to help her win so we can know we did what we could when Election Day arrives.
@@weirdwordcombo he said people still have to vote. Did you listen?
We don't care.its fixed.
Well HW Bush won in 88 despite this “17 points behind.” He did however lose to Clinton in 1992. A misquote I can’t say
He was 17 points behind in summer. After the debate and uncharismatic campaigning from Dukakis, Bush took a healthy lead in the polls. So there wasnt any polling errors back then
Lichtman predicted both. He has been right almost every time, and the 2000 election would've gone to Al Gore if the supreme court hadn't stopped the recount.
Professor you forgot the 14 key jiji, not cheating this time
💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙HARRIS WINS! Make America Safe Again!
Safe? By openinv the border? Why are you democrats so clueless??
You’re kidding, right? Open your eyes😳
yeah, our boarders are so so safe
Betting markets are probably the best predictors and at this very moment Trump is favored.
✨💙✨BLUE POWER💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
You said 9/10
Lichtman will be wrong for second time. He’s due.
Not gonna happen
Get ur kleenex out.
@@danasutton6769she is losing you need to get the kleenex
@@danasutton6769 He was neve4 wrong. Unlike 2020 2000 was truly a stolen election.
Actually he was not that wrong that 1 time either. It was a tie.
You're committing the gambler's fallacy. There's no such thing as being "due".
He also predicted the Astros would win the World Series 😢😢😢
It will be a Poetic Justice when SHE wins
I lose so much sleep worrying The Dictator Trump will be back😱
Yes! I will pop my 2012 vintage champagne bottle can’t wait!
Hows that going for ya???
Gezz! I feel the TDS is strong with these ones!!
the only thing deranged is the orange fraud and his cult. a national embarrassment of people completely ignorant to facts or decency. deny, delect, lie, project- it's the maga cult way!
It's very strong. Look at his keys and you will see that at least 7 have fallen (1,3,9-13).
MAGA IN THE COMMENTS UPSET ABOUT LITCHMAN THE 🐐 FACTS 😂🔵
Nah bro his arrogance is laughable
Sure is.. 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴
Caps ? Insecure.
@@saulgoodman4107 do you think it was laughable that Trump would send Professor Lichtman a note of congratulations saying “good call’ after he successfully predicted his victory in 2016?
@@MJBfromWilloughby Bro I won't be voting for Trump. I just think that Allan Lichtman's model of predicting the election is plagued with overfitting. You mentioned the 2016 election, well actually in 2016 Lichtman predicted that Trump would win the popular vote which we know turned out to be false. He is the kind of person who doesn't like being challenged and is condescending to people who disagree with him. I'll enjoy when his arrogant ass will be proven wrong.
Jehovah rebuke Allan, for wishing Americans and the world disaster!
What was his prediction in 2000?
Al gore lol
@@TheLunatrick which he was corrrect
@@narda1072 Nope, questioning results is forbidden now. That's the price you pay to stop Drumpf.
@@narda1072 Yes, he was, and the election was stolen from Gore in Florida.
Sorry Lickman..you are wrong.
@@sree4865 get ur kleenex out
In 70 years, he has only been wrong once. He is correct and Trump is going downtown to jail where he belongs so we can be safe again.
Well... that settles it I guess.
GUYS, NO NEED TO VOTE!
@@iloveacheesesingle There is every reason to vote and vote early 💙💙💙💙💙
@@jessicamoore3143 I'm just being a silly goose.
I can't vote regardless, not American. But God Bless.
LOL. 😂 I hope this guy comes on after the elections.
And wow, he predicted Obama's victory. Amazing. 😂😂😂😂
Total genius. I'm sure everyone was predicting McCain and Palin were gonna win.
We all know that you are not going to come up if the election doesnt go your way!
Twice!
Just like beating the casino...can't be done😂
The flashed map at 3 minutes or so in does not match the polls. Nevada is harris currently, as is michigan and Wisconsin.
Polls mean NOTHING!
VOTE!!!
What's the point of all this if it's the electoral college who chooses who wins?
One factor of God's intervention divine.