Warren Buffett: A "Storm is Brewing" in the Stock Market (40% Stock Market Decline)
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- Опубліковано 27 вер 2024
- Download Buffett's SECRET Investment Checklist for Completely free: thecompounders...
Warren Buffett is prepping for a staggering 55 trillion dollar storm that has been brewing in the stock market for the last 15 years. Buffett’s favorite stock market indicator is flashing alarm bells, warning that a 40% decline in the stock market could happen any day now. For background, Buffet is by far the most closely followed investor in the entire world. Every move he makes is scrutinized to the very smallest detail. However, it’s not what Buffett IS doing now that has people worried. It’s actually the opposite. As weird as it may sound, it’s what Buffett ISN’T doing that has people incredibly nervous. Make sure to stick around to the end of this video to find out how you can protect yourself from what’s ahead. Here’s what Buffett had to say at the recent Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder’s meeting when asked why he had been selling stocks and piling up cash.
Warren Buffett is universally regarded as the greatest investor of all time. However, he has been eerily quiet as of late when it comes to buying stocks. In fact, Buffett has even been selling billions of dollars worth of Apple stock, a company just a couple years ago was considered one of his quote “forever” holdings. As a result, Buffett’s cash pile at Berkshire Hathaway has hit a staggering 189 billion dollars. Leaving many people to believe he is building up cash to prepare for an upcoming stock market crash. In gray here, we have the Berkshire Hathaway cash pile by quarter from the years 1996 to 2018. The orange line represents the price of the S&P 500 during that same time period. For reference, the S&P is an index consisting of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies listed in the United States. It is generally considered a proxy for the US stock market.
Buffett has repeatedly said in public venues that it is impossible to time the market. However, this may be an example of the old saying “do as I say, not as I do”. As we can see here, despite Buffett professing that he never tries to time the stock market, he surely does always seems to have a large amount of cash ready to buy stocks when the market crashes
Download Buffett's SECRET Investment Checklist for Completely free: thecompoundersclub.ck.page/0079dfc8f1
What percentage of your personal portfolio is in Berkshire Hathaway stock?
Your interpretation is wrong. The reason Mr. Buffett has tons of assets in cash position is because BRK is making money off of high interest treasury bonds. It is not that he is waiting for the market to crash. Just like how Mr Buffett loves dividend income. Today, treasury bonds are paying very high interest return. Just FYI, BRK purchased millions of more shares in OXY recently.
This is kind of fake news. Munger was commenting about commercial real estate
Did Buffett say anything about a storm? Or is this whole video just clickbait?
The Federal Reserve halted rate hikes, which is a very bold move by the Fed to stimulate economic expansion, ease financial conditions and address inflation concerns with potential benefits for consumers. The major concern for me and I believe every other investor is on opportunities present in the market to enhance overall portfolio performance
Not offering any particular advice, but I can assure you that most stocks still have growth potential. Re-distributing is not as hard as many people think it is. Ordinary investors lack the requisite level of diligence, so having a financial advisor on board is usually highly beneficial. In the market, this is how people generate enormous profits.
Absolutely! A skilled coach helped grow my investments from $321k to over $750k, primarily through stocks, ETFs, and bonds. I anticipate housing prices will stay stable until more homes become available.
impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now
Viviana Marisa Coelho is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
I feel investors should be focusing on small caps stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
Viviana Marisa Coelho is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Reach out to us for portfolio management and growth.
We Are in Unchartered Financial Waters! every day we encounter challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2024, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
Keeping some gold is usually a wise decision. You would be better off keeping away from equities for a bit or, even better, seeking advice from an expert given the current market conditions and everything that is at risk with the current economy.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst
Could you possibly recommend a CFA you've consulted with?
My CFA NICOLE ANASTASIA PLUMLEE a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further... She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market..
Thank you for saving me hours of back and forth investigation into the markets. I simply copied and pasted her full name into my browser, and her website came up first in search results. She looks flawless.
A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time!
You’re right! The current market might give opportunities to maximize profit, but in order to execute such effective transactions, you must be a skilled practitioner.
It's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.
truly appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to immeasurable progress, thus my desire for a reputable advisor... mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
Not to blow her trumpet, but '' Kristin Amy Rose '' is exceptional in navigating tough markets. She has been planner ever since we met in London global economy conference. she's verifiable , so you could just search her and book an apointment. good luck!
Kristin appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
I'm a businessman so it's only right to profit from this crisis, i work with my FA to get the best out of the market crash by buying particular stocks at a low price then holding for a period of time (however long my FA suggests) then selling for quadruple the price. I believe this market crash would pay for my wife and i's next boat haha
Collapse is generous 1st time in our history with a full generation that wasn't taught financial literacy, civics, Google fixes their problems if their parents don't do it for them. Reckoning for participation trophies is incoming.
The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment. Credits to my FA Dianne Sarah Olson.
Good day. Please let me know how I might reach this CFA of yours.
I personally work with ‘’Dianne Sarah Olson’’ she covers things like investing, insurance, making sure retirement is well funded, going over tax benefits, ways to have a volatility buffer for investment risk
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search for her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
Acquiring shares can seem simple, but selecting the appropriate stock without a verified process might be difficult. I've been trying for a long time to grow my $210,000 portfolio, but the major hurdle is that I don't have a clear entry and exit strategy. Any feedback on this would be appreciated.
Investing in a variety of asset classes will reduce risk more than putting all of your money in one. If your financial understanding is lacking, see a financial consultant.
Absolutely, with the help of an investment advisor, I diversified my $400K portfolio across various markets. As a result, I’ve managed to achieve over $900K in net profit within a few months by investing in high dividend yield stocks, ETFs, and bonds.
That makes perfect sense; you appear to have the market figured out, unlike us. Who supervises you?
GISELLE BABILONIA CANTADA is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
came across her profile after searching for her entire name online, and I quickly sent her an email to set up a meeting so we could meet; I'm still waiting for a response.
Honestly, this concerns me and has left me uneasy. Especially this potential depression, no more a recession. I'm now thinking of ways to protect my portfolio worth of $800k from this bloodbath.
Knowledgeable Investors know where and how to put money during a crisis in order to reduce risk and maximize returns. See a market strategist with experience if you are unable to manage these market conditions.
Accurate asset allocation is crucial, I used hedging strategies to allocate part of my portfOlio to defensive assets for market downturns. Expert guidance is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay finan-cially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1 million in returns on invest-ments.
I could really use the expertise of this advsors
Her name is ‘Victoria Louisa Saylor’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up after scrolling a bit. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.
Its worse here, our economy is like a flailing fish, fighting for its life. The normal state of the U.S. economy is actually very bad. Because of this it goes into convulsive spasms fighting to grow any way it can out of desperation. Tricks, gimmicks, rule changes try to stimulate the economy and prevent it from falling but they only bring temporary relief to people since, when you factor in inflation we are declining.
People believe their currency has the worth it does because they have no other option. Even in a hyperinflationary environment, individuals must continue to use their hyperinflationary currency since they likely have minimal access to other currencies or gold/silver coins.
Inflation is gradually going to become part of us and due to that fact any money you keep in cash or in a low-interest account declines in value each year. Investing is the only way to make your money grow and unless you have an exceptionally high income, investing is the only way most people will ever have enough money to retire.
I've tried investing in the stock market several times but always got discouraged by fluctuations of stock value. I would be happy if you could advise me based on how you went about yours, as I am ready to go the passive income path.!!
Angela Lynn Schilling is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an email shortly.
Warren Buffett once said to treat investing in securities like real estate-you don't constantly check for gains. So, the recent bitcoin price drop doesn't bother me. I keep dollar-cost averaging and adding to my position, and I'm up 200% year-to-date because of this strategy.
Regretting missing out on earlier Bitcoin investments, I kept funds in a HYSA. Now, with $200k to invest, I aim to avoid FOMO and buying at the peak. What's the best approach for a newbie to navigate the market?
During bear markets, aim to 5x your portfolio by accumulating crypto and reinvesting dividends. Consult a financial advisor for help. Since 2020, my $1.2m portfolio has averaged 28% annually through restructuring with growth stocks, ETFs, mutual funds, and REITs.
Who is this person guiding you and how can i reach he/she?
I’m careful about giving specific advice since everyone’s situation is different. You might want to consider an independent financial advisor like Melissa Elise Robinson. I’ve worked with her for two years and highly recommend her. See if she fits your needs.
Thanks for sharing. I searched her full name and found her website instantly. After reviewing her credentials and conducting due diligence, I reached out to her.
Investing does not need to be complicated. In fact, the simpler the better in my opinion. I'm retired and did so at age 42 with about $1.1M for two people. We had an advisor from Morgan Stanley in our corner. Maxed 401k for many years and then saved additional in index funds in taxable account. Our rate of return has been around 10% percent per year in the taxable account over the last 10 years.
Agreed. I have some fun money in RH but the big majority is managed by Morgan Stanley. I’m actually outperforming them this year but the value they’ve added in other ways over the last several is well worth it for me.
That's amazing congrats. I grew up in a cash only savings environment and a mother who has a small 401k saving. I’m just now learning about the stock market creeping towards 30 so I would appreciate more information about your advisor.
She goes by Nancy Magaret Delony I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
I just Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I'm going to send an email to her and let you know how it goes. Thanks for sharing
I use vanguard personal advisor services. They charge 0.3% a year.
I could tell you what he has me invested in, but AGE matters so much. I am 52 and retired. So I have stocks and bonds. Stocks are in "Vanguard total stock market fund", and some in "Vanguard international fund". There might be a third similar one.
I'd have to look at my bond fund. For you at age thirty, mostly stocks is advised.
My strategy is buy quality stocks, expect to hold no matter what, pay up but don't over pay, keep track, sell rarely, be ready to course correct.
A lot of people think they should always be buying and selling something. That's a mistake. 99% of successful investing is waiting, learning, awareness/experience and getting extremely lucky with the market
I totally agree, although coming into market I missed the experience part, but my current trading expert helped me. He turned my 50k loss, made me 70k in a month, if not for him, I can't even begin to imagine.. he actually does most of my trading to be honest
Risk management should always come first, the reason many traders lose money is not simply due to inexperience or a lack of knowledge of the market, but because of poor risk management
As a beginner what do I need to do? How can I invest, on which platform? If you know any please share
Timothy Eric Meek
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement of about $150k. I want to know: Do I keep contributing to my portfolio in these unstable markets, or do I look into alternative sectors?
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
I agree, having a brokerage advisor for investing is genius! Amidst the financial crisis in 2008, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $2m with the help of my advisor from an initial $350k investment.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one.
Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
Ah, the Oracle of Omaha says a storm is brewing, and here I am with my hard-earned $23k emergency fund, itching to dive into the stock market. I’ve been holding back for years, but if Buffett's worried, should I be jumping in or running for the hills? Anyone else think it’s time to stop sitting on the sidelines and start playing the game? Need a little nudge or a lightning bolt of wisdom here!
Honestly, sitting on the sidelines might be the safest play right now. But if you’re itching to get in the game, why not get some professional advice? I get the whole DIY investing vibe, but with $23k, it might be worth talking to an investment advisor who can help you navigate these choppy waters. Sometimes it’s better to have a captain when the storm’s brewing, ya know?
Totally hear you both! I’ve been in the same boat, watching my savings gather dust while waiting for the ‘perfect’ time to invest. But the whole ‘storm brewing’ thing has me second-guessing. I know I need an advisor, but where do you even start with finding a good one? Feels like there are a million options and no way to tell who’s legit. Any tips?
There are a handful of CFAs. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘' Linda Aretha Reeves” for some years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s known in her field, look her up.
Just looked up Linda Aretha Reeves after reading your comment, and she seems like exactly what I’ve been looking for! This might be the push I needed to finally get off the fence and start taking my financial future seriously. Thanks for the recommendation-excited to see where this takes me!
Watched Linda Aretha on Bloomberg finance summit 4 years ago and her presentation was terrific!
Stocks in the short term look more likely to move downward. I Just inherited $500k which I Look forward to invest. what stocks should I look into as a newbie to safely grow my money?
Find quality stocks that have long term potential, and ride with those stocks. I have found it takes someone who is very familiar with the market to make such good picks.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
AI stocks
GME
He’s not “timing the market”nor is he some sort of psychic.. he’s following his own value investing principles.. the market is wildly overvalued right now.. so he’s holding off waiting for the next war, pandemic, crypto/ other bubble burst that will freak out speculators and send the market into a tailspin. At that point he’ll unleash his cash reserves and pick up good companies at a bargain.
The billions in "cash" are actually buying T-bills at 5.4% a return. Also mentioned at the latest meeting.
Yes - that’s why it’s cash and “cash equivalents”
Of course the market is overvalued. My 78 year old father in law thinks something is seriously wrong as his retirement pension just keeps going up while prices keep skyrocketing.
this is the reason it is increasing.
Inflation means that producers age getting more for the items they sell. If they control costs, their bottom line--the foundation for stock valuations--goes up. Stock price increases are self-fueled. It is only speculation and trading that results in a short-term roller coaster ride. And, up or down, its always, by definition, short term.
Just vor viewers interested for what I assume is original footage at: ua-cam.com/video/INztpkzUaDw/v-deo.html . Becky is reading the question from Johan Halen at 2:21:38, which is in the video presented by InvestorCenter at 00:01:10.
Going through the Transcript from the original footage, there is no "Storm is brewing" and no "40% Stock Market Decline". Going through the transcript of the video presented here a 40% decline is mentioned by InvestorCenter at 00:13:45, as a conclusion by InvestorCenter comparing the Buffet Indicator with current GDP figures respectively the current size of the US economy, which I find is reasonable to do.
At 14:55 there is the word "storm" used by InvestorCenter to promote another video by InvestorCenter with footage about how Warren Buffet sees the real estate market.
However - The title of this video: "Warren Buffett: A "Storm is Brewing" in the Stock Market (40% Stock Market Decline)" suggested to me it beeing an original quote of Warren Buffet, which seems to me now is not at all the case.
Now I can understand better why some viewers may consider this video clickbait intended.
I find this video beginning at around 11:50 instructive.
Biggest lesson i learnt in 2023 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and low a strategy with a long term edge.
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what about to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.
Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor's background and qualifications?
I started working with Iynne Marie Stella back in June, and my financial goals have never been clearer. It’s like having a strategic partner for my money with a solid track record. She was my hope during the 'bear summer' last year.
Thanks for sharing, i did a quick web search and was able to find her, i wrote her a mail and i hope she responds soon.
I feel we would have been better served if your graph of buffets cash pile vs sp500 was of his cash pile to portfolio size or brka market cap ratio
A lot the listed companies have significant international exposure now, so, is the GDP of the US the correct factor for the denominator?
But but but wait! Buffet has been telling us NOT to time the markets for all these decades, and now he is, YES, timing the market. That's what market timing is! You hoard cash because you think stocks are too expensive and not enough growth. So I tell you all, if Buffet is out, I'm out.
Buffet is never out of the market. His cash position has been building up over time. He has bought, but there is slim pickings right now. Also, 5% risk free means the stocks need to be that much more attractive.
Buffet is a bullshitter.
Who is buffet saving all the money for?
@@ak-yo4wo for the Gates foundation, this is fact
I guess the thing about not timing the market only applies to selling.
Its buy low sell high based on value, not based on time. Just so happens best value deals present themselves after. a crash.
and we are sitting on a historically record high economy, strong GDP growth, and record number of Americans working .. and massive rate cuts still to go...this market cycle is nowhere near the top yet.
@@KrustyKlown GDP based on gov spending not organic. illegal immigrants working and fudged and revised job numbers, no rate cuts in sight unless there is a disaster...but yet, maybe not top yet because its an election year so extend and pretend continues.
@@KrustyKlown Yes and no.
@@Cici1791 "No" .. why? .. do you think rates will never be cut, lol???
@@KrustyKlown No, of course I think they will be cut. But I also know it will be based on bullshit and fake numbers.
Basically what he is saying is sell your stocks now before it crashes and then rebuy stocks when it’s cheap…not hard to understand
Hard to time.
A lot easier said than done.
He's not saying that at all. He's saying that he has SO much money that he doesn't have to be fully invested at any given time, and in fact not even close to fully invested and never, ever needs to be. He runs an insurance company which is the biggest racket in the world, but most people NEED insurance so he has a bottomless pit of money that gets bigger by the day without hardly investing a dime.
How do a number of those in Congress outpace the stock market above the average 10% earnings? That’s the bigger question.
Because it's all an insider scam...it's a big club and we aren't in it.
I took Charlotte Miller's advice, and as a result I'm now broke and live under a bridge. Thanks a lot Charlotte.
😂😂😂
What goes up always come down this time it went up so fast in such a short time it will eventually come down and go up again 😅 it doesn't hurt to sleep on some cash just in case
Only 40%? The stock price of S&P is 5x the book value. That's a bubble, and all bubbles pop eventually.
you must be all-in betting against the S&P 500 then? How much money do you have in the short position? Only looking at this one valuation metric..not very convincing
Rate Cuts haven't happened yet .. the Bubble will grow!! .. a lot.
😂😂😂😂 book values are not a reflection of true business value . As an investor you must focus on Operating Profits, growth, Cash flows, Net margins etc and PS ratios as well as balance sheet like total assets to total Liabilities. These are a few things I watch for investing in companies. To me book value matter but only if a company is crashing back to earth . If a company is growing its book value will follow the growth too so don’t focus too much on book value unless it’s a failing business .
@@Keepcalmgoing The way to play it is to buy out of the money puts each month on the index after the U.S. election is over this November. I see fair market value at least eighty percent lower. The safest bet is short the U.S. dollar and go long gold. The only positive for stocks is the falling U.S. dollar after the election. Long term stocks are just a ponzi like Bitcoin but at least Bitcoin is a bet against the U.S. dollar which is the right bet in the future.
@@Keepcalmgoingdo a DCF sometime and you’ll realize. Then do a DCF on 5 randomly chosen s&p companies. Please dude, 50+% of s&p is tech and all those tech companies are overvalued. You are just naive, be more open minded. People don’t understand what ai is and they are investing super heavily in tech because of a buzzword. If they rlly knew about ai, they would invest in electric
This video comes across as concocted! Something is really off here.
Agree
💯 AI garbage
It's sensationalized and operates on fallacy. But in the message is a kernel of wisdom.
Gaslighting by another name...
@@OingoBoingo-eg2cw its not sensationalized i assure you
Watching this video on Monday Agust 6th, 2024 and over the weekend and today the markets have crashed and many people have lost the shirt off their backs. There is a reason Warren Buffet is called the wisest investor ever. He called it to a 'T"
Stop with the clickbait titles. I used to love the unbiased videos on whats really going on in the market. Crash fatigue is showing with most folks. My $200,000 holdings are down 7% after selling some APPL. This video leaves me some serious concern.
Before making any investing decisions, it is advisable that you consult with a qualified financial counsellor. Just my two cents.
Like is full of positives and negatives....been around almost as long and nothing has been earthshattering
so what sence is there in having huge cash reserves when the u.s.dollar is NO LONGER the global reserve currency?
In what sense is it no longer the global reserve currency?
im sure youve seen many other vids explaining that saudi arabia no longer (as of june 9, 2024) accepts the american dollar as payment along with china, russia, india, brazil...and and and others theres over 40 other countries choosing to join up with the BRICs nations that are NOT accepting the american dollar any longer@@landerhendrickx3522
Well, if there is a 40% Decline, he doesn't lose money on the cash, then when the market is at fair value, he jumps in again.
The billions in "cash" are actually buying T-bills at 5.4% a return. Also mentioned at the latest meeting.
@@landerhendrickx3522in the sense that our daft Ukraine Proxy War has accelerated an alternative financial axis, which means that the global order is now bipolar.
I don't think infamous means what you think it means.
Buffett is being consistent with what he has said. He isn't trying to time the market. He has 189 billion in cash. When you have a cash pile that size, you aren't going to be chasing ten million dollar deals. That's what he is saying. When you have was much cash as Berkshire does, it becomes difficult to find worthwhile deals that would make a meaningful difference for Berkshire. In such situations, it is better to hold cash until an opportunity that could noticably move the needle.
Buffett selling AAPL isn't necessarily a red flag. He recently bought more shares in OXY and CHUBB.. so he's definitely still buying
I like to gain knowledge, just sorry I don't have the money to invest
haha yes many people earn money but only invest small amounts
You are so .....He never said that. He saves if he sees not so great opportunitys'. He is not saying it will sell off 40 %
Every comment on this video is from scammers, incredible 🤣
Omgoodness.. You're voice is so sweet and soothing...
I hope you're not a bot hehe
I'm not!
@@InvestorCenterReplied like a bot
Please repeat this video under different names on a weekly basis. Some day the market will crash and you can claim your credit of predicting it accurately and your channel will get more subscribers and viewers.
i feel a lot better when people worry about stocks...
He keeps all that cash in hand so he can be ready to buy everything at a very very cheap price while we're all scared and in doubt this guy is gonna do another great Coca-cola buy history repeats.
Soooo, are we thinking before October this year then? ;)
I'm by no means qualified in any way in this subject but I pay attention... So basically, instead of just blowing your wad and rolling the dice while things are humming along, making good short term gains, save money and when crashes inevitably happen, buy low and slay over the long term? I don't get what's so controversial or confusing about that, makes a lot of sense to me if you're working with the amount of resources Buffett has access to.
AT 14:45 I would have added you should have zero debt !!!!!
Why would Buffet tell us something that will help us? What he will do is tell us what to do that will profit Him.
He' s getting 5% for his cash at zero risk -many are doing this and that why there is so much cash on the sidelines.
me to why risk so much if you have a lot, if your young with years to go thats fine.
I'm confused. Didn't Ray Dalio say that "cash is trash"?
Surely the US government won't let me down, right? Full faith and credit! Too big too...ffffff.
CHARLIE MUNGER PASSED AWAY JUST ABOUT 1 YEAR AGO COME NOVEMBER 2024. THIS VIDEO WAS MADE WHEN??
Hopefully this insane valuation is going to bust. unfortunately central banks are working against corrections pumping vast amounts of cash into economies.
This video is from the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Conference and although it was posted seven (7) hours ago is actually more than two (2) months old and before Charlie Munger passed away.
Nope. Charlie munger passed away late 2023. This clip is from only around one month ago
@@InvestorCenter How can this video clip have been recorded approximately one (1) month ago which features Charlie Munger but he passed away November 2023..?
Could we be witnessing a self-fulfilling prophecy. When interviewing Buffet, we are always reminded that he is a POWERHOUSE INVESTOR with great experience and wisdom. When Buffet speaks, the market reacts. He's telling us what is coming because?
@@JohnKMazzieWarren mentioned Charlie twice on his conference.. even asked Charlie to speak but Charlie is gone. 😢 don’t hear this video listen to it.
@@JohnKMazzieYou clearly didn't watch the entire video, because it clearly stated that the clup with Charlie in it was from 2001. It was shown to show the difference in Warren's stance about saying things that might move the markwts.
Why does your chart of WB's cash position end in 2018?
The video is clipped together
If a 40% decline in the stock market occurs, it will be a wonderful flash sale !
So…I know nothing about investing. My tiny bit of money is in RRSP mutuel funds. How do I liquidate without taking the money on as income and pay taxes on it
Wonderful video. Excellent illustration
Thank you 😊
Just take a short position in the S&P 500 📉 and you should be fine. Once the crash 💥 occurs, secure that profit and take a long position the S&P 500. Just a basic move but it works.
The best way to play it is to buy deep out of the money puts each month on the index after the election is over this year. In the initial fall the markets or exchanges will close for 2 weeks to a month and reopen at least 50 percent lower. The foreign markets will still be open and U.S. stocks will drop 30 percent overnight in the initial crash like October 19th 1987.
Some people say he is that good in timing the market. I prefer to see the reality and it is clear that he has inside information. Which is not strange since he moves in those markets, but we need to understand that those moves are not done on a whim, it takes time to study and prepare those moves. He knows well ahead of time what is going to happen.
Interview video outdated. Apple is currently at $194.00 and not at $183. as mentioned in video posted today.
It takes a couple of weeks to produce this videos. That is why there is a difference
I'm maxing my roth IRA and some of my 401k, while Im also saving huge cash reserves for the coming decline. I want to win with both positions.
sad to hear his voice getting rougher. he is a genius and has so much knowledge to still share
Pay attention to Buffett. If he is moving into cash, the market is going down in a big way. I learned that lesson in the late 90s early 2000.
Every year since my high school days I was told the market is going to crash. When it happened, there were reasons we never expected (but for 2008, we knew that one).
Ben Graham in ‘The Intelligent Investor’ says timing the market is a fools game. He also said that he & Dodd were convinced a person could time AND price the market (Chapter 8 I think).
This is normal. Buy the indexes or ETFs at a discount. Next!
"could happen any day now"...
Still waiting (to sell short)
He doesn't mean that he is waiting for a crash - He has a criteria that a company needs to pass for him to buy. He is in no rush to make money
Buffet indicator is great, but there are about 20 OTHER indicators saying "CRASH WARNING"!! The Schiller index, credit-card and car-payment late payments, unemployment rates, producer indexes and much more. Markets are often IRRATIONAL though, until the rubber-band breaks!
Suite one I need to buy back in
I just invest into BERK and let the smart guys do the rest. Also been into the magnificent 7 for a few years and recently sold half of those.
Is Warren Buffett ok? Throat sounds bad. Sending well wishes. He is a great American
The "Big Short" Movie. (Required viewing.) Selling Put Options! (For we people like me.) UA-cam tutorial videos. Thank you.
I came to the conclusion today that holding cash is the best position, and therefore eventually found this video. I'm banking on cash and metals, including goldbacks in the gold portfolio.
Not nothing like going straight in to the 🌪 i will see the ⚡️🌞
This video has an unreal number of ads which pop up.
Buffet did mention the 5% return on cash. That's five percent risk-free, so he can't find something with a better return that pays above and beyond risk-free
If the fed will print more money, is keep cash smart?
He knows the good days are over.He invested years ago( 60 years)when a person could make millions in the stock market but nowadays it's virtually impossible it's overpriced and world volatility is just insane.
He did buy Chubb.
40% decline? Not unless interest rates go a whole lot higher. The 10 year Treasury, now at 4.24%, would need to depreciate enough to have a yield of about 6.6%. Today, SPX trades at 23x forward earnings, a 40% decline would put the index at 3268 vs 5447 today. With higher interest rates the SPX multiple would decline to around 15x earnings. Does Warren think that TNX will trade at 6.6%? Warren is having a tough time finding bargains because interest rates are low versus where they were in the 1970's.
Seems like id just want to put my money into Berkshire stocks!
One huge flaw in this analysis: your graph goes back to 1950, when the earnings of US companies came largely from the US. In 2024, fully half of the S&P500 earnings come from the rest of the world. Therefore, US GDP only applies as a measure of the US stockmarket as to half of what it did in 1950. If you factor in half of the world GDP, that changes everything. Then the market isn't overvalued by that measure. It may be for other reasons, but not by the US GDP formula. That's globalisation at work.
The market is grinding higher, a 41% decline tomorrow gets to the same level as a 40% decline today, so do you want to be short or long?
He recommends buying the sp index but not for him. He prefers to keep it in cash
I'm glad your voice is back.
Companies milked consumers during the pandemic. Now the milk has run dry. No more cow milk. Now layoffs are coming. Returns can get soft.
its not impossible to time the market..its done every single day
Personally I've sold out 95 percent of my 20 million portfolio... There are those who say there are undervalued pockets in the smaller caps. But we know from experience that all stocks get dragged down in a crash.
98% of my investments are not in stocks.the 2% that is in stocks I was up by 10% but I lost that 10% Friday-Monday.fortunately all of my stocks are high yield stocks,so I should be fine.
Hey Warren. You’ve hated Bitcoin. How’s that working out?
Warren Buffett does not say that he thinks the stock market's gonna crash.He's just not sure what's gonna happen.And is sticking to cash right now.
That’s enough for me to think a big correction might be near.
Just have to ride it out.
Build up cash because when the market corrects and it will at some point then that's the time to buy back in. Common sense. Sell high, buy low.
Warren you have always been in front of the curve. Hats off to you. W.H. STEINER
Buy and hold. Itll eventually go up
He is trying to time that market -
Since value acquisitions are not available he hordes cash but since they are not available the system is effectively running a bubble and about to pop. So not time the market but effectively showing the cause of the implosions
All one has to do is look at any chart of any equity market over the last 10 years and see the parabolic rise in value that does not correlate to a rise in underlying goods and services or profits. Sure inflation is in there, but the overall market increase far surpasses that of inflation.