Bad News for SPRING HOUSING MARKET

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  • Опубліковано 14 лют 2024
  • January CPI inflation report is higher than expected! A bad signal for the spring housing market!
    #housingmarket #useconomy #mortgagerates
    Todd Sachs is a Maryland Real Estate Broker and not a Lender, CPA, Attorney, or Financial Advisor.
    Any information provided in this and any of Sachs Realty's videos and/or descriptions are for entertainment purposes only and not to be construed as broker representation, legal, financial or tax advice. All content written, spoken or implied is for informational purposes and deem to be accurate, but not guaranteed. It is your sole responsibility to verify any and all information for accuracy and correctness.
    Todd Sachs or Sachs Realty is not representing you unless you have a written representation agreement. This is not an advertisement for a property for sale, and if you're currently represented by another Real Estate Brokerage, this is not an attempt to solicit your representation.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 524

  • @contrariandealer3466
    @contrariandealer3466 3 місяці тому +105

    The mistake wasn't raising rates... it was setting them at ZERO for over a DECADE.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +10

      Well yeah

    • @calisurfin
      @calisurfin 3 місяці тому +1

      Well said, 1 thing to remember. Governments and political parties on both sides of the aisle run on borrowing money to buy our votes. They keep rates at zero and offer us stimulus to keep us in our homes and dependent on them.

    • @yungmizzy
      @yungmizzy 3 місяці тому +14

      To me it's not the rates. It's the price of the homes!!! It's a double wammy. The home prices are high and the rates are high. Average monthly mortgage in the DMV is like 5500 to 6k.

    • @Enki1013
      @Enki1013 3 місяці тому +8

      That lead to higher home prices (because "I can afford more now" narrative), which lead to higher insurance and property taxes.

    • @calisurfin
      @calisurfin 3 місяці тому +13

      Home prices are astronomically high just like the stock market. Eventually prices will have to come back down to Earth.

  • @SachsRealty
    @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +97

    First time with the digital board! A little awkward, I'll get better (bear with me). 😅

    • @johnnyfinance
      @johnnyfinance 3 місяці тому +6

      Crushin it Todd! Greatly appreciate your insights and all the hard work you put into this.

    • @floweringevergreen3584
      @floweringevergreen3584 3 місяці тому +4

      I thought you were great!

    • @Nicole-zv7ee
      @Nicole-zv7ee 3 місяці тому +3

      I love the new board!!

    • @harveypaxton1232
      @harveypaxton1232 3 місяці тому +2

      You used it well!

    • @sz4179
      @sz4179 3 місяці тому

      Can't see the board at all on my phone....

  • @JUST_A_GUY835
    @JUST_A_GUY835 3 місяці тому +7

    No one knows how to live within their means is one of the biggest issues. Buying new cars every 3 yrs, can't live in a modest affordable home because they are afraid of what people will think of them. My wife and I are debt free because we live in a double wide on a half acre, have a 1 car due to me having a company car and we don't blow money on stupid things we won't remember 6 months from now. People have a means vs. wants problem. Yes prices are high on everything but if you control yourself and your purse you can weather the storm.

  • @hakim229
    @hakim229 3 місяці тому +75

    We are going down. No one can afford anything. Thanks to the greed and the nasty…. welcome to the real nightmare, everyone.

    • @Cubaconstitucionde
      @Cubaconstitucionde 3 місяці тому +13

      I've been telling people but they don't believe it.
      I think that they lost the way to analyze and see reality .

    • @smack3313
      @smack3313 3 місяці тому

      The Fed is a cartel of corrupt banks with no oversight and a history of causing booms and busts. They caused the bust that is headed our way. The Fed needs to be abolished and we need real money again. It is a shame that greed of the elite bankers are going to cause so much misery in the near future.

    • @calisurfin
      @calisurfin 3 місяці тому +3

      Everyone thinks this housing market is the new normal like Dave Ramsey or the fat cats on Wall Street. They see things very differently than we do. Affordability is gone and prices are out of control.

    • @candelariaw1668
      @candelariaw1668 3 місяці тому +1

      @@Cubaconstituciondewhat would you have done?

    • @Cubaconstitucionde
      @Cubaconstitucionde 3 місяці тому +3

      @@candelariaw1668
      Always see reality, if at this point someone doesn't see what is happening with their economy ($$$$) then they have chosen to be blind.

  • @07nuahs
    @07nuahs 3 місяці тому +81

    Here in the UK we have technically dropped in to recession today, but people believe the government's stance that it will be shallow and quick. The problem is many people don't remember the 1980's and even 2008. I feel like banging my head against the wall.
    Landlord's are struggling to get mortgages and I have families calling me in tears asking for a home as they're being evicted. We normally let properties for around three years before they move on. Now no one is moving and we are having to increase rents far more than I feel comfortable with. And because we are in Devon it is a tourist area and holiday homes like airbnb have taken over pushing families out but immigration is out of control.

    • @geraldcroft9020
      @geraldcroft9020 3 місяці тому +8

      It’s a shame what has happened to all of us especially Britain and Ireland

    • @Zzz5
      @Zzz5 3 місяці тому +12

      Japan recession was announced yesterday
      , now it’s UK? I live in USA and it’s coming here soon we can feel it.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +4

      Thanks for reporting 🙏

    • @07nuahs
      @07nuahs 3 місяці тому +6

      ​@@Zzz5 scary times ahead I'm afraid.

    • @momof4121
      @momof4121 3 місяці тому +4

      I just watch the news clips😢 sadly it’s true for UK and US is right behind I’m sure

  • @davesandulli5883
    @davesandulli5883 3 місяці тому +67

    Love these shorter videos. I do like the interviews and things but I learned a lot in this format. Thanks!

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +7

      Thanks for the feedback 🙏

    • @CoyoteOfSC
      @CoyoteOfSC 3 місяці тому +5

      Agreed. All meat, no filler.

  • @dorenamarie1347
    @dorenamarie1347 3 місяці тому +5

    Fellow Realtor over here in Coeur d’ Alene ID and Spokane WA. The amount of peers I’ve seen drop out of the business is staggering. The prices of new builds with their in house lending incentives are what most of my buyers are putting offers on, because comparable older homes are ending up being similar in cost if not the same. The inventory here is still somewhat slim, keeping the prices high. I’m seeing vacant land starting to creep down, but its so mind boggling seeing manufactured homes in the lower $300k at times 😵‍💫
    Love the show, and I continually learn so much from you! Thank you!

  • @MsMooncrash
    @MsMooncrash 3 місяці тому +22

    7% is still a low... back in the days interest rates were 20% weren't they? that's what kept the house prices low. we need to pump up interest rates to 25%... because people are buying houses at 3% or 5% down only.. in my opinion that is not right.

    • @chiragmehta8212
      @chiragmehta8212 3 місяці тому +4

      So true but will never happen

    • @missfromsunshinestate
      @missfromsunshinestate 3 місяці тому +1

      Yes

    • @apersonontheinternet8006
      @apersonontheinternet8006 3 місяці тому +8

      Rates still need to go up but that isn't going to effect the home prices like you think it is. Back when rates peaked at 16-18% you could build a nice home for $50k but today it can easily cost $150k just to get the land, foundation poured, and utilities cut in. That is why home prices are so high, because the value of the home is intrinsically tied to the cost to rebuild.

    • @scottysteadman5063
      @scottysteadman5063 3 місяці тому +1

      Price you pay is not negotiable! Interest rate is ! It’s no interest rates that are the problem houses are astronomically to high average price is 412 k ! Everyone says the interest rate prop work backwards!!

    • @LWRC
      @LWRC 3 місяці тому

      ​@@apersonontheinternet8006
      Exactly! This is superficially affected by interest rates but more affected by underlying costs of materials and labor! When potato head decimated the oil industry when he got into office by killing the XL Pipeline project, that drove inflation to 50 year highs!!! That sharp rise in energy costs affected EVERYTHING!!!

  • @justsomejoe3632
    @justsomejoe3632 3 місяці тому +30

    If this brings home prices back down to what they were pre-covid (about 30% to 40% cheaper) we'll be buying without a mortgage. After missing the boat in so many other economic booms, I'm looking forward to finally being on the winning side this time.

    • @timothyflemingphotography
      @timothyflemingphotography 3 місяці тому +4

      You will be left behind again. Stop waiting and buy what you can afford to buy. This is not 2008. 99% of economists said recession last year and the US economy keeps grinding because jobs are strong. Get your head out of the sand and secure yourself a future.

    • @Main1Event
      @Main1Event 3 місяці тому +11

      @@timothyflemingphotography Yes a future in Bankruptcy court.

    • @timothyflemingphotography
      @timothyflemingphotography 3 місяці тому +2

      @Main1Event if you don't know how to manage money sure. I wish wish all of you the best of luck never building wealth.

    • @SoloAdvocate
      @SoloAdvocate 3 місяці тому +11

      @@timothyflemingphotography "Stop waiting and buy what you can afford to buy." That is the thing though... if you are being smart with your money in trying to buy what you can afford, most simply can't afford to at current prices.
      And no the strength of the job market has consistently been overstated. As well as wage growth being so bad we are at record highs of people working multiple jobs to make ends meet.
      Your head must "be in the sand" if you think the economy is strong or you must be in a very privileged position to be so removed from the cost of living increases across the board, especially groceries.

    • @justsomejoe3632
      @justsomejoe3632 3 місяці тому

      @@timothyflemingphotography You sound profoundly out of touch.
      First of all, when I bought my first house in 2006, I could have afforded double what I chose to spend. And good thing I didn't, because I was able to weather the GFC of 2008 without issue.
      Second, house prices where I live are only now starting to be affordable. I live just outside a major metro area, and people with an abundance of money fleeing the city during covid pushed the prices of homes here to nearly double what they had been. As they started moving back to the city, most put their houses up for rent on AirB&B, but because they oversaturated the area with rentals, few were rented more than occasionally. They then opened up to long term rentals which, again, sat vacant. And now they're selling, which is pushing prices back down.
      Third, most economics claiming the economy is doing great only point to the stock market. The stock market is NOT the economy. Prices are too high across the board, several major countries have just tipped into recession, and the US is likely to be in one soon. Buying as much house as we can afford right now is probably the stupidest thing we could do, as companies will start laying off employees in a recession.
      Fourth, I AM securing myself a future by not overpaying for a house when all signs have been and are pointing to an impending downturn which has, in fact, started.
      So yea, I'll happily not take advice from you. You sound like one of the city slickers who overpaid for your covid getaway house and want to sell it to some sap before it's worth less than you paid.

  • @richardordonez8331
    @richardordonez8331 3 місяці тому +4

    The morgage rate is not the problem. It's an excuse. Blame the over priced houses.

  • @BenSmith-cm8oc
    @BenSmith-cm8oc 3 місяці тому +33

    Yep stupidity prevails like allowing corporations to run rampant and screw people. Record profits over life.

  • @eddieloujones2673
    @eddieloujones2673 3 місяці тому +23

    Thank you Todd. I am really cutting back on who I listen and subscribe to on real estate. You, Melody and Danielle are it right now. I used to work in Baltimore back in my youth and enjoyed my happy hours at the Rusty Scupper as a twenty something.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому

      Spent a few dinners at the RS myself.

  • @mcgowee
    @mcgowee 3 місяці тому +13

    Love the digital board. Really adds to the Thursday video.
    I did a rate buy down last year. I plan to keep the property. I negotiated with lenders pretty hard. When I did the calculation, the rate buy down would pay for itself in 7 years. After that is added money in my pocket.

  • @user-sv5px3kp7j
    @user-sv5px3kp7j 3 місяці тому +9

    Rates are not causing declines in sales, prices are!!

    • @enriksouls6636
      @enriksouls6636 3 місяці тому

      It’s both! Rates make your monthly payment a lot more and you obviously end up paying more on interest for longer!

    • @MasterRoss-sn7dl
      @MasterRoss-sn7dl 2 місяці тому

      Ppl are not looking at price of house. They care abt monthly payment

  • @capcitymatt
    @capcitymatt 3 місяці тому +27

    Lets bring back 1985 prices.

    • @erinsweet8147
      @erinsweet8147 3 місяці тому +5

      My FIL bought his home in 1984 for $39k. If he sold it now (it’s in a very desirable neighborhood but he hasn’t taken care of it) he could get $425k. Absolutely insane.

    • @domcizek
      @domcizek 3 місяці тому +1

      THEN EXPECT 1985 PAY RATES

    • @erinsweet8147
      @erinsweet8147 3 місяці тому

      @@domcizek my dad was able to live getting by with my mom staying home on an entry level glass company job. My husband is an MRI tech and we barely get by.

    • @domcizek
      @domcizek 3 місяці тому

      YES, ALL HOUSING OR RENTS ARE WAY OVERPIRCED, BLAME COVID FOR HAVING A LOT OF PEOPLE MOVE TO FLORIDA BECAUSE THEY C OULD WORK FROM HOME, THEY WANT SUN AND SURF AND WARM WEATHER, OVER 1000 PEOPLE PER DAY IS OR WAS MOVING TO FLORIDA BECAUSE OF COVID, , ALSO COVID DISRUPTED THE SUPPLY CHAIN ON EVERYTHING, SUPPLY AND DEMAND CONTROLS ALL PRICES, @@erinsweet8147

  • @holleybrown5208
    @holleybrown5208 3 місяці тому +5

    Not everywhere homes are over priced where I'm at houses are cheap and good deals its the interest rate we was approved for 180,000 now thanks to the rates we are only able to get approved for 150,000. But insurance prices in lousiana keep going up also.

  • @garyglaser7354
    @garyglaser7354 3 місяці тому +2

    Lowest rates but prices are insane. Give me these rates with $150k house. Not $500k house. Which is way overvalued.

  • @loraborealis2551
    @loraborealis2551 3 місяці тому +3

    The interest rate is not the problem. It's the extreme over inflated prices. People buying a house two years ago and now trying to sell it for double what they paid for it without doing any work on it. I've seen it over and over again because I've been searching for a house for years

    • @MommyOfNCJ
      @MommyOfNCJ 3 місяці тому

      The problem are the people paying those crazy prices. We need to start saying no and offering lower numbers for these homes.

  • @lilylife4426
    @lilylife4426 3 місяці тому +2

    Everyone was shopping at luxury stores and bidding on houses when the stimulus checks were being passed and student loans paused. All of a sudden, everyone is complaining about the inflation. Who created it?!!

  • @judithrace1557
    @judithrace1557 3 місяці тому +13

    How are people still buying?? Are they the rich ones?? I like your stuff Todd.....you also tell the truth....

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +2

      Thanks for your comment!! 🙏

    • @RayQ101
      @RayQ101 3 місяці тому +1

      Baby Boomers are the wealthiest group right now that’s how lol. My city has 45% cash buyers over the last 6 months, most being older generation cashing out. Homes here start at $1.5 😂

    • @Marcus1954s
      @Marcus1954s 3 місяці тому

      Different people, different personal circumstances and differing Real Estate markets. If you have to move for work or to evade crime issues, then you are going to need to buy a house. Money is waiting on the side-line, just waiting to pick up the ball.

    • @colettespencer3357
      @colettespencer3357 3 місяці тому

      Lots of people with $

    • @candelariaw1668
      @candelariaw1668 3 місяці тому +2

      Everyone isn’t struggling to survive, so you can’t put everyone in the same boat!!

  • @user-qd3hz5bw5x
    @user-qd3hz5bw5x 3 місяці тому +2

    I think your channel should cover the difference between new construction built between 98 and 06 compared to existing homes prices and why new construction homes are dipping and existing homes are going up..

  • @ownsilver
    @ownsilver 3 місяці тому +13

    You're honesty is so refreshing thank you

  • @dimondDave100
    @dimondDave100 3 місяці тому +10

    Very good update of what is going on. Thank you

  • @neemaborji9993
    @neemaborji9993 3 місяці тому +5

    When I sold my house in Hawaii around September 2022, I received 10 over asking price offers within one weekend, and 4 of those were love letters with pictures.

  • @mbnko
    @mbnko 3 місяці тому +1

    Real estate is local. Homes are still selling, buyers are still buying in areas of the country that people want to move to. Examples, TN, TX FL, AZ, ID. There are still A LOT of qualified buyers with cash just waiting for the right moment. In other words, NOT seeing ANY slowdown in prices increasing or homes being sold. Not hoping for it, BUT there needs to be a SEVERE RECESSION and many job losses before people will noticeably atop buying. That severe recession isn't happening in 2024. The FED will continue printing money and flooding the money supply....

  • @anthonybianchini5144
    @anthonybianchini5144 3 місяці тому +7

    Great haircut, sir! You look very well put together. To say the least of the accuracy and passion in your videos.

  • @dschultz378
    @dschultz378 3 місяці тому +5

    Todd, been following you for awhile and have been listening all along. Great work!

  • @detectiveofmoneypolitics
    @detectiveofmoneypolitics 3 місяці тому +3

    Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is following this very informative content cheers Frank 😊

  • @Dpartsch3
    @Dpartsch3 3 місяці тому +2

    Thank you Todd for all your information. I've been following real estate since 2000 and had my license for 20 years. I totally agree with you that the Fed screwed us all by allowing the rates to go so low. I was just wondering if they did this on purpose---just like all the other things they do on purpose. People just can't control themselves when rates are so low. I believe in paying off your home; but my neighbors have huge mortgages and all the toys you would ever want!! And I really admire your life style!

  • @keytolifestyle-
    @keytolifestyle- 3 місяці тому +3

    I see agents or agencies buying props as soon as they come out & then resell it as a FSBO...Specially the older agents. Annoying for my clients.

  • @brucegreig8375
    @brucegreig8375 3 місяці тому +1

    I moved here from New Zealand in thirty years houses went from & &100k to a million a lot of people said it going to fall but it hasn’t yet Trouble is to many kids going to college and nobody’s building homes irony is builders are making as much as doctors now cause there’s too much work turns out houses are important with a home shortage prices won’t drop much

  • @ashleykbarks
    @ashleykbarks 3 місяці тому +2

    I just want to say that I have been watching your channel for a few months now. Your Tuesday night podcasts are always informative. I do feel that tonight's video has been the best. Tonight was to the point. Even though the video was longer than previous weeks, itndidnt feel long. It was fun watching you struggle with the board at first, but you seemed to get comfortable fairly quickly. Even the audio sounded great. It was very crisp on my end. Great job on the editing, too.
    That being said, I recently bought a house in this wild market. Wish me luck. I've gone to the dark side and can't go back now. 🏠🔐
    Ill be alright though. I'm prepared.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому

      Thanks for your comment and congratulations on finding a home 🏡

  • @denishagarayua
    @denishagarayua 3 місяці тому +3

    Thank you for this video!

  • @paulstebbings9481
    @paulstebbings9481 3 місяці тому +3

    Excellent show and reporting thanks for the spot check on reality … ❤

  • @missfromsunshinestate
    @missfromsunshinestate 3 місяці тому +3

    Thank you for updates, Todd! Big fan here.

  • @Love4puppies
    @Love4puppies 3 місяці тому +2

    Thanks for sharing and your honesty!

  • @tonic.9530
    @tonic.9530 3 місяці тому +1

    Todd you give such great advice.TY for info about listing agent and accepting offers

  • @apple1231230
    @apple1231230 3 місяці тому +2

    We’ll drop for sure over the next few years, but I’m still skeptical if we’ll drop below pre Covid prices. I think it’ll skid out to around pre Covid prices, maybe a little less in some markets, but probably 5% or so above pre Covid prices for most markets and then trough and a few years later pick right back up. But going to 5% above pre Covid prices is like a 20-40% drop in MANY markets, yikes.

  • @synekka.s
    @synekka.s 3 місяці тому +4

    Love this channel and the digital board is a nice add on!

  • @phillB
    @phillB 3 місяці тому +2

    Excellent commentary! If the government wants free markets they need to quit manipulating them. Yes, they messed up what a crock.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +1

      Thank you for your comment. 🙏

  • @therealestake
    @therealestake 3 місяці тому +3

    It doesn't make sense to buy at overheated prices and expensive rates. Sellers with a low rate have a huge advantage if they're willing to sell their house subject to, and we are willing to pay full price. Unfortunately, real estate agents get so confused and fixated on their commission that they never present the offer, and we end up buying them after the agent gets fired.

    • @apersonontheinternet8006
      @apersonontheinternet8006 3 місяці тому

      It isn't overheated, only the people on the outside think it is. It would cost me $250k to rebuild my home exactly how it is today, this is a home I paid $35k for (it needed tlc, market value was probably closer to $60k-$75k then). Unless we get back to the days where nice homes could be built for $50k this price drop everyone is waiting for simply is not going to happen.

    • @vickimerritt2832
      @vickimerritt2832 3 місяці тому

      ​@@apersonontheinternet8006Rising rates and prices of homes and everything else is forcing everyone out of the market but investors and those waiting for foreclosures, everything is totterring on the edge of a steep cliff. Going to be a bumpy ride down.

  • @Ttow49
    @Ttow49 3 місяці тому +11

    Mass white collar layoffs soon and blue collar wages will fall like a rock, it will be worse than the great depression imo and the dollar will be almost worthless soon

    • @eduardomendes5220
      @eduardomendes5220 3 місяці тому +2

      It will be correction to the market and the house industry. My next door neighbor wanted to sell her house for 289K .. it sold for 300k... and she received over 10+ bids. In northern part of the east coast from VA to MA housing inventory is low and unemployment is low. I live in blue state , however the policies are very conservative.

    • @timothyflemingphotography
      @timothyflemingphotography 3 місяці тому

      Please share your data to back this statement up

    • @Polack-ml9fh
      @Polack-ml9fh 3 місяці тому

      lol based on what?!

    • @eduardomendes5220
      @eduardomendes5220 3 місяці тому

      Guys have you not been watching his podcast the last 9 months. The whole markert in under a correction. Housing are selling but not as crazy as the last 3 years. Second the data is available. So the house she sold for 300k was appraised for 370k in 2022. She bought for 200k in 2019 so she was happy. Even the main realtor in this podcast has been saying we are in correction. You guys sound like the dudes that bought a property and want to appreciate overnite. .. as the pocast as said it is long term game. Shessh

    • @Polack-ml9fh
      @Polack-ml9fh 3 місяці тому

      @@eduardomendes5220 I’ve been watching this podcast since fall 2021. These guys are great, one of my favorite real estate channels, with that said these guys have been calling for a market change up for like 18months plus. They aren’t the only ones. Lots of financial people keep saying we’re going into a recession. Go back and watch videos from 4 quarter 2022 or 1st quarter 2023, according to most of these guys we were supposed to see a recession the second half of 2023. My point? They keep saying it’s gonna happen soon, then it doesn’t and they say it’s gonna happen soon just wait. All these real estate and financial gurus have been throwing out their predictions and EVENTUALLY if you guess at something enough times you’ll get it right.

  • @MsJenniferinNYC
    @MsJenniferinNYC 3 місяці тому +1

    @sachsrealty Love the digitial board and wallpaper! The lighting in your past videos were way too dark

  • @Contractedharry
    @Contractedharry 3 місяці тому

    Thank you for your contribution!

  • @DanTheVocalist
    @DanTheVocalist 3 місяці тому +3

    What do you guys think is the most likely outcome? Rates to go up to 10-15% and markets correcting or layoffs and america downsizing causing a firesale and an ultimate collapse in the housing market?

  • @LJH662
    @LJH662 3 місяці тому +2

    Ty Todd!

  • @annagreco7470
    @annagreco7470 3 місяці тому +2

    Very informative!!

  • @CloD44
    @CloD44 3 місяці тому

    14:06 that’s the point !!!! Great video of what’s happening . Inflation is high and no matter how low the prices goes people won’t be able to afford . Made me a subscriber today !

  • @stockey
    @stockey 3 місяці тому +7

    the economy is going to hell, but yet, the stock market makes all time highs.

  • @johnfitzgerald9945
    @johnfitzgerald9945 3 місяці тому +16

    Great points about mom and pop landlords as well. They have to listen to all of the lifestyle issues of their tenants that they know very personally. Huge landlord companies do not. There is a huge difference in those type of multifamily units.

  • @SactownLender
    @SactownLender 3 місяці тому

    Great content, first timer... I'm a lender with 25 years of experience. Historical average of interest rates for mortgages on 10-yr Treasury vs. mortgage-backed securities is 1.5% higher. Super weird anomaly; due to COVID, inflation and national debt owed, that number is closer to 3% higher (not close to normal) and still there. I believe, we'll get back down to the 1.5% once the recession is officially called, even though we're already there. Hope that makes sense to peeps out there. You should be in finance if you get sick of real estate!

  • @marycasanova8516
    @marycasanova8516 3 місяці тому +1

    I rented from an owner, never raised my rent. Rented from corporate owner, raised my rent by over 20 per cent every year.

    • @skeptick6513
      @skeptick6513 3 місяці тому

      And therein lies much of the problem with housing.

  • @kkiissssiikk
    @kkiissssiikk 3 місяці тому +4

    Great report! Love the board!

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +1

      Tricky, but should be better for reporting. 🙏🙏

  • @reggiebdog
    @reggiebdog 3 місяці тому +1

    Great overview. Thanks for getting the word out to everyone

  • @mattanderson6672
    @mattanderson6672 3 місяці тому

    Thank you !!

  • @ElizabethDaniels-lf7dv
    @ElizabethDaniels-lf7dv 3 місяці тому +3

    There must be a light, a bleam of hope, something out there to help the current state of the economy.

    • @ElizabethDaniels-lf7dv
      @ElizabethDaniels-lf7dv 3 місяці тому

      I'm running out of ideas and I pray it ends with a big smile

    • @LucasRodriguez-qv4dc
      @LucasRodriguez-qv4dc 3 місяці тому

      @@ElizabethDaniels-lf7dv
      There's always something,
      Information is always the key.

    • @LucasRodriguez-qv4dc
      @LucasRodriguez-qv4dc 3 місяці тому

      What have you tried in order to stabilize your finances?

    • @RyanFerguson-lj4qq
      @RyanFerguson-lj4qq 3 місяці тому

      Good Investors know better than to rush into new Investments , particularly during period of inflation.

    • @ElizabethDaniels-lf7dv
      @ElizabethDaniels-lf7dv 3 місяці тому

      ​@@LucasRodriguez-qv4dc
      I've tried a couple of Investments but seems like I always hit dead end or I'm not good enough.

  • @user-sc3lr7uo8j
    @user-sc3lr7uo8j 3 місяці тому +4

    You are the best. I have learn so much just by watching your channel. You honest delivery, good communication and the guest you bring....are amazing and very informative. Thank you and your guest for sharing your knowledge. I can't wait to learn more. From Houston.

  • @user-sc3lr7uo8j
    @user-sc3lr7uo8j 3 місяці тому +4

    Agents in Houston are saying market is really good here and yes I don't see prices dropping, seems people are still buying. I can't wait for the market to change since homes are very expensive here. Thank you for all you do and share. AA

    • @CV-nn7jj
      @CV-nn7jj 3 місяці тому +5

      My friend just bought a brand new house for$300,000 45 minutes north of Houston. Husband makes $25 a dollar and the wife makes $20 an hour. They put 3.5% down payment at a 7% interest. They also financed two brand new 2024 Jeeps at $800 per person per month payments. It's easy qualify to buy a house. It's hard to keep the house.

  • @nealbhatt8098
    @nealbhatt8098 3 місяці тому +1

    I have found your videos filled with facts rather than trying to pursue buyers that others are buying by creating artificial hype.

  • @joelballard4955
    @joelballard4955 3 місяці тому +1

    Ive been offering 50-150k under asking price on new houses. Builders are starting to negotiate. I’ve got a couple offers 50-65k off asking price.

  • @TravelingPerformers
    @TravelingPerformers 3 місяці тому

    Thank you for this great info ❤️❤️❤️

  • @JohnDoe-np3zk
    @JohnDoe-np3zk 3 місяці тому +1

    Quality report Todd good work nice charts.

  • @mikepaulus4766
    @mikepaulus4766 3 місяці тому +8

    A degree in economics can be a big detriment to getting things right on economic matters. If that's your job, you're probably paid to say the wrong thing.

  • @MichaelJ843
    @MichaelJ843 3 місяці тому +2

    I think what most Americans don't see is that the state of the economy is a result of both administrations and local governments not preventing investors from buying thousands of investment properties and then jacking up the rent prices.

    • @apersonontheinternet8006
      @apersonontheinternet8006 3 місяці тому

      That is less than 3% of all single family homes in the country, and the investors are not buying the homes that most people actually want. Many of these homes need significant work to be habitable and end up sitting on the market for years before investors come through to pick them up on a good deal.
      Nobody is "jacking up" rent prices, insurance companies are jacking up rates. Mine have almost doubled in the last 3 years with no claims making it impossible to rent the 3br homes out for the $800/mo that we were able to do prior to 2020 now actually costs about $1,500/mo when factoring taxes, insurance, et al.

  • @NewsHumor
    @NewsHumor 3 місяці тому +2

    You are looking dapper today and fancy tech

  • @craiggoldstein5699
    @craiggoldstein5699 3 місяці тому +1

    Great blog

  • @illianayourfriendlylender
    @illianayourfriendlylender 3 місяці тому +1

    I appreciate your honesty. Great video

  • @RealGMagnuson
    @RealGMagnuson 3 місяці тому +5

    Awesome video and explanation, thank you!

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +2

      Thanks for watching 🙏

    • @RealGMagnuson
      @RealGMagnuson 3 місяці тому

      @@SachsRealty your channel is on my daily list 😀

  • @eile4219
    @eile4219 3 місяці тому

    i don't know stock and housing price seem to be going up so far. Not sure what would change to make house price go down in spring

  • @alabamashagreen2106
    @alabamashagreen2106 3 місяці тому +1

    Great video!!!

  • @ElizabethHernandez-pp7sz
    @ElizabethHernandez-pp7sz 3 місяці тому +2

    Nice, take us to school! Good job with the new tech btw!!

  • @patricknevin7304
    @patricknevin7304 3 місяці тому +1

    Thank you Todd 😊

  • @Altysha8
    @Altysha8 3 місяці тому

    Sales are down, because of the inventory..! In our area (Charlotte metropolitan area) prices are up compare to 2022 and they are going under contract within a month

  • @matthummel1279
    @matthummel1279 3 місяці тому +1

    Save money and be diligent. Something tells me there will be some hurt. No bailouts coming this time around.

  • @chupaperro4
    @chupaperro4 3 місяці тому +2

    We are buying houses with loans at 7 percent when the houses were priced for rates at 2.75. No one wants to lower prices.

    • @apersonontheinternet8006
      @apersonontheinternet8006 3 місяці тому +1

      You can't lower prices, home prices are tied to the cost to build the home today. 20-30 years ago you could build a nice house for as little as $50k, but these days you will be in $150k+ just for the lot, the foundation pour, and getting utilities to the property before you frame out your first wall.

    • @stefanagiovlasitis2669
      @stefanagiovlasitis2669 3 місяці тому

      @apersonontheinternet8006 majority of the market isn't new housing. This has little to nothing to do with what's going on. New housing market is a total different market in itself lol

    • @apersonontheinternet8006
      @apersonontheinternet8006 3 місяці тому

      @@stefanagiovlasitis2669 and you still can’t buy windows and doors for that price. Maybe you should stop and learn something.

    • @stefanagiovlasitis2669
      @stefanagiovlasitis2669 3 місяці тому

      @apersonontheinternet8006 Yes, the reason why current housing built in the fucking 1950s are unaffordable. Your about as thick as a fucking batch of concrete. Building costs are at the bottom of the list. Your out here trying to impress us with your fucking captain obvious knowledge, no shit its expensive to buy a fucking new home the way the economy is. 16% of Americans have an IQ less than 85, that's why we are here. I want to thank you for contributing to that.

    • @stefanagiovlasitis2669
      @stefanagiovlasitis2669 3 місяці тому

      @apersonontheinternet8006 they deleted my comment but im sure you saw it. Yes, the housing market is upside down because of the price of windows. Your a joke, do you read what you write or does it just spew out like diarrhea?

  • @trevanhatch8717
    @trevanhatch8717 3 місяці тому +1

    Why are the “builders in deep trouble”? (15:25).

  • @playa111ism
    @playa111ism 3 місяці тому +2

    First time listening to your show. Thank you for telling it like it is, no bs. I am thinking about moving out of my historic home in PA, but do not know where I would want to live in the U S at this point. I am one of the many boomers who would most likely pay cash if I buy, I just might go to Europe. If I stay here, I would contact you guys.

    • @skeptick6513
      @skeptick6513 3 місяці тому

      We are selling and leaving PA this year, headed first to South America then Europe tired of cold and ever increasing costs, plus the lifestyle and social stability not so appealing anymore.

  • @bpb5541
    @bpb5541 3 місяці тому +2

    Everything is worth half of what folks think they are. Stocks, bonds, real estate, cars, gold, silver, BTC all of it. WE are getting ready to have a liquify, collateral, debt crisis. It is just starting ... it will continue to pick up steam.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +1

      I was just having a conversation with someone talking about how we’re getting less product and paying more at the store (smaller boxes/portions).

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 3 місяці тому

      @@SachsRealty Thanks for the reply. I love your channel and appreciate all the work you put into it.

  • @bydarkwaters2055
    @bydarkwaters2055 3 місяці тому

    Great video production!

  • @pauldusa
    @pauldusa 3 місяці тому

    You are 100% Correct

  • @detectiveofmoneypolitics
    @detectiveofmoneypolitics 3 місяці тому

    Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is still following this very informative content cheers Frank 😊

  • @Main1Event
    @Main1Event 3 місяці тому +2

    Its going to be much worse than anyone imagines. Look at asset prices everywhere, nothing is cheap. What do you think happened in Venezuela, Zimbabwe and the Weimar Republic? The prices you are seeing is the value of the dollar losing purchasing power, not prices actually going up. Look at Gold, in many other currencies gold is hitting new highs. We have other countries aligning against the dollar, because it was weaponized. So while all of you argue over buying your next home, it wont be long before the money you have saved up, isnt worth the digital paper its printed on. The government is hell bent on printing to infinity. At current interest rates, just the interest will be near 2 Trillion dollars in 2025 when the debt is 40 trillion. Thats half of what the government takes in as tax revenue. My god we are at 130% of GDP, no government has come back from that. Instead of real estate you should be looking to other assets to protect whatever wealth you have left. When the currency is debased completely, good luck collecting rent checks from people that have nothing.

  • @elftreehug
    @elftreehug 3 місяці тому

    I like the new set up!

  • @harveypaxton1232
    @harveypaxton1232 3 місяці тому +4

    I am thoroughly enjoying your videos. Have you done any looks into how money from the grossly overpriced California Real Estate market has adversely affected the markets in Idaho and Texas? Both states are blaming "California money" for putting the prices out of reach for local residents. Take care.

    • @tj2791
      @tj2791 3 місяці тому +1

      🤣🤣🤣

    • @harveypaxton1232
      @harveypaxton1232 3 місяці тому

      @@tj2791 I tell them to not be so greedy. You don't have to sell to people from California. It has adversely affected the market in Northern Idaho though.

    • @billfunk3168
      @billfunk3168 3 місяці тому +1

      People in Courd”Alene Idaho have complained about California money for close to 50 years.

    • @harveypaxton1232
      @harveypaxton1232 3 місяці тому

      @@billfunk3168 Even those that migrated from California.....

  • @tomsmith191
    @tomsmith191 3 місяці тому

    Good video. Yes, sometimes not letting free market play out has bad consequences. That historical rate chart looks like a falling wedge, with each interest rate spike being lower and lower. The Fed ensures this as they don't want to deal with everthing that breaks if we spike to 10% or higher (which would be healthy long term to normalize the mkt).
    If "lower rate highs" continues due to intervention we will get back to 3.5 or lower in 5 years or less.
    the real question is What happens though when the trendline gets close to zero?
    what will give?????

  • @carolinapascua3672
    @carolinapascua3672 3 місяці тому +1

    Yes that is why rents are high lots are owned by institutional investors and they can control rents

  • @lucasphillips1013
    @lucasphillips1013 3 місяці тому

    Great video thanks for sharing such great content

  • @sz5876
    @sz5876 3 місяці тому

    Hi Todd, I'm on the commercial side and it's so refreshing to hear a residential realtor talk honestly about how 2020-22 buyers lost their minds! I've been saying it for four years and it's an unpopular opinion. People bought a payment, value went out the window.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому

      Let’s connect ts@sachsrealty.com

  • @evergreen8965
    @evergreen8965 3 місяці тому +5

    Wow. Excellent real estate advice regarding multiple offer situations. Thanks.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +2

      You’re welcome!! Please share with your friends looking to buy a home one day. 🙏

  • @jeffchicareli8538
    @jeffchicareli8538 3 місяці тому +1

    Why sell when their mortgage payment is lower than rental cost. Especially if purchased when rates were 4% or lower. Lol...

  • @hectorfajardo7885
    @hectorfajardo7885 3 місяці тому

    Preach my friend…

  • @pnketia
    @pnketia 3 місяці тому

    I'm in a situation in Las Vegas where I have been looking at new construction homes in the Summerlin area and my real estate agent is telling me the prices keep going up on the new construction because buyers moving from California are selling their much more valuable properties there and paying all cash for new construction homes here which ends up raising the average price. I've seen prices go from $550K to $680K in just three months. Is this a bubble or a demand and supply issue?

  • @christianquintino8103
    @christianquintino8103 3 місяці тому

    Strange things happen during inflation times , companies have reduced volumes so they increase prices just to breakeven , lived in country in S America ... 1980s with hyper inflation

  • @Arthur-Silva
    @Arthur-Silva 3 місяці тому +1

    Pretty cool format! 👍🏼

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +1

      Thank you, doing more with the board will make it smoother. 🙏

  • @PaulbylPaulbyl
    @PaulbylPaulbyl 3 місяці тому +4

    REO means Ransom Eli Olds one of the pioneers in the auto industry specifically pick-up trucks and fire trucks. The band REO Speedwagon named their band after the truck of that company.

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +2

      Educational 🤭

    • @anthonybianchini5144
      @anthonybianchini5144 3 місяці тому +2

      He also founded Oldsmobile (in 1897), which was the oldest American car make when terminated in 2004, by GM@@SachsRealty

    • @PaulbylPaulbyl
      @PaulbylPaulbyl 3 місяці тому

      @@anthonybianchini5144yes, you are right! Thanks!

  • @nspencer257
    @nspencer257 3 місяці тому

    I'm curious what portion of those rate buy downs were paid by new builder companies - it seemed like it was a common thing last year.
    We ended up in a career path that had us move many times. Renting from large corporations was always a way worse experience than private landlords. Sad to see private landlords being pushed out.

  • @Annajsee
    @Annajsee 3 місяці тому +3

    Definitely Todd 💯

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому +1

      Thanks for watching 🙏

  • @ksawhney
    @ksawhney 3 місяці тому

    I think you should do a show on how Housing itself has been removed from the CPI & other inflation indexes.
    Housing used to be part of the inflation index during the 70s. Per Jim Cramer from CNBC, housing was removed to make inflation appear less hot and make Inflation appear to be lower than it actually is.
    Housing was replaced by owner’s equivalent rent, which makes the housing affordability problem much worse… there is no tracking for it by the Fed!

  • @christopherphillips9191
    @christopherphillips9191 3 місяці тому +1

    Small town NW Missouri; nothing selling, dozens of decent houses on the market. It’s about $500 more a month to buy something similar to what I’m renting…

    • @SachsRealty
      @SachsRealty  3 місяці тому

      Thanks for the report. 🙏

  • @jackjohnson9449
    @jackjohnson9449 3 місяці тому +2

    The FED has blown the biggest financial and housing bubble in the history of the world. They should have raised rate 12 years ago. Way too late now, enjoy the Depression.