🧮 Stock Valuation Model: www.buymeacoffee.com/dividendtalks/extras ☕️ Feel free to buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/DIVIDENDTALKS 📰 Join the FREE weekly Newsletter: dividendtalks.substack.com/subscribe Stock Tools I Use: 🚀 $30 OFF Seeking Alpha Premium: www.sahg6dtr.com/29N4DP9/R74QP 🚀 50% OFF TipRanks: www.tbg2jcftrk.com/262DXM/55M6S/ 💬 Join the community in our Discord: www.patreon.com/DividendTalks 👋 Follow me on X: www.x.com/DividendTalks Investing Platform I Use: 💰 Free shares up to £100 by joining Trading212: www.trading212.com/invite/Gux0x99S 🏆 Become a member to get access to to perks: ua-cam.com/channels/lLyc3C2K3C-RAh7eEJAwyg.htmljoin
I've had palantir for about 3 years, got in just under 15$. Sold 60% of my position on the way up at an average price of about 65$. I'm holding the rest for the long term, everyone relevant will be using Palantir in the near future
I don't think a 35% yoy FCF growth for the next 6-7 years is justified when in the last three years PLTR grew revenue less than 25% yoy. If anything, as PLTR grows, I expect growth rate to slow, not increase. Especially for a company so dependent on government contracts. For 2024, PLTR's revenue growth is 25% or so. It's a great rate, but this stock is priced for an even higher rate. In addition, your DCF model doesn't have share dilution built in and in the last 3 yrs PLTR had a mid single digit share dilution every year. So in 6-7 yrs, you should expect a 25-30% share dilution.
cash flow is increasing only because PLTR spends a ridiculous low amount in R&D, unlike most companies in AI. That's a major warning. To me it's simply looks like they're cashing in for shorter term gains. Despite the dip it's still the most expensive company in the s&p and I wouldn't touch it until it drops to around 35 per share
I might have to cash out here soon because of unexpected life circumstances. I don’t know if I should wait for earnings or sell before they hit. I have no clue what to do. Nobody seems to know what will happen
$PLTR was nice for the option traders, for the stockholders, its super risky,... and if anyone disagree with that, should lift their position to non diversified 20% portion, will feel the pain then... every position under 5% is literally not even worth a comment, I would never put 20% of portfolio to PLTR
🧮 Stock Valuation Model: www.buymeacoffee.com/dividendtalks/extras
☕️ Feel free to buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/DIVIDENDTALKS
📰 Join the FREE weekly Newsletter: dividendtalks.substack.com/subscribe
Stock Tools I Use:
🚀 $30 OFF Seeking Alpha Premium:
www.sahg6dtr.com/29N4DP9/R74QP
🚀 50% OFF TipRanks:
www.tbg2jcftrk.com/262DXM/55M6S/
💬 Join the community in our Discord: www.patreon.com/DividendTalks
👋 Follow me on X: www.x.com/DividendTalks
Investing Platform I Use:
💰 Free shares up to £100 by joining Trading212:
www.trading212.com/invite/Gux0x99S
🏆 Become a member to get access to to perks:
ua-cam.com/channels/lLyc3C2K3C-RAh7eEJAwyg.htmljoin
I've had palantir for about 3 years, got in just under 15$. Sold 60% of my position on the way up at an average price of about 65$. I'm holding the rest for the long term, everyone relevant will be using Palantir in the near future
I don't think a 35% yoy FCF growth for the next 6-7 years is justified when in the last three years PLTR grew revenue less than 25% yoy. If anything, as PLTR grows, I expect growth rate to slow, not increase. Especially for a company so dependent on government contracts. For 2024, PLTR's revenue growth is 25% or so. It's a great rate, but this stock is priced for an even higher rate. In addition, your DCF model doesn't have share dilution built in and in the last 3 yrs PLTR had a mid single digit share dilution every year. So in 6-7 yrs, you should expect a 25-30% share dilution.
You clearly have no idea what you are talking about
@@בןמאיר-ק9נ Explain
@@בןמאיר-ק9נ And you clearly have nothing smart to say...just an empty statement
Looks like a hold for now. Got it at $32/share. I think Palantir will continue to grow from the AI revolution in the next decade.
cash flow is increasing only because PLTR spends a ridiculous low amount in R&D, unlike most companies in AI. That's a major warning. To me it's simply looks like they're cashing in for shorter term gains. Despite the dip it's still the most expensive company in the s&p and I wouldn't touch it until it drops to around 35 per share
I might have to cash out here soon because of unexpected life circumstances. I don’t know if I should wait for earnings or sell before they hit. I have no clue what to do. Nobody seems to know what will happen
Do we really think it will drop to $59?
Really get a lot out of your analysis!!! Thank you.
My pleasure 😊
$PLTR was nice for the option traders, for the stockholders, its super risky,... and if anyone disagree with that, should lift their position to non diversified 20% portion, will feel the pain then... every position under 5% is literally not even worth a comment, I would never put 20% of portfolio to PLTR
I think I have 20% right now because I got out of a lot of stuff at the top
@ valid, hope its worth it for you and don’t let a down turn eat up your gains
Holding + moderate DCA and stop-loss at 60 USD
could diper more , dont buy before it s under 50
a short canididate? 😅
Excellent analysis!
Glad you enjoyed it my friend! 😊
Fantastic insight.
Glad you enjoyed it Chris! 😊
It's easily a bubble.