2023's Weather is Extreme. Can we stop it getting worse?
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- Опубліковано 25 чер 2024
- Climate change is here. From heatwaves scorching across the world, to devastating flooding in New York, Libya and across the Mediterranean, extreme weather is dominating 2023. And time and time again scientists are showing how climate change is fundamentally linked to these extremes. But we're not helpless in the face of such extreme disasters. If we stop climate change much of this weather will stop worsening. And we can do far more than that to protect ourselves from catastrophe.
Thanks to climate scientist Fredi Otto for this vid idea and for her feedback on the script. Give her a follow here: / frediotto
Support ClimateAdam on patreon: / climateadam
#ClimateChange #climatecrisis #flood
twitter: / climateadam
facebook: / climateadam
instagram: / climate_adam
==MORE INFO==
Mediterranean flooding www.worldweatherattribution.o...
Hurricanes getting worse
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas...
Other info:
www.worldweatherattribution.o...
==THANKS==
Thanks to Tamara Beyrouti for demonstrating a downpour.
Weather radar by Mark Nissenbaum
Greek floods by Weather events
Heatwave by Kalinga TV
Wildfire by ALERTCalifornia
Libya flood from News18 Assam/Northeast
Hawaii fire from National Guard
Hurricane simulations by ScienceAtNASA
Future Earth simulation from NASA
Power plant demolition from Mountain Top News - Наука та технологія
Hey Adam! How do you fund such interesting, informative videos?? Great question! They're made entirely with the support of amazing patrons like Matt Cale and Rachel Goldeen. If you fancy being amazing like them, head here: www.patreon.com/ClimateAdam
Says: "Stop burning fossil fuels" Shows: Destruction of a cooling tower from a nuclear power plant
Bad editing
@@7GFDoogCooling towers are not exclusive to nuclear power plants. Many coal-fired plants have them as well.
Hi Adam, I’m new here and was happy to see how things went with you and Hank. I’m still trying to figure out which information to trust. Would you be willing to do a response to the book Unsettled by Steven Koonin? The criticisms I’ve heard are failing to directly address the evidence he puts forth. It’s causing confusion that I think you’re qualified to clear up.
@@davestagner I'm sorry. You are right. Ofcourse every steam turbine has cooling towers. Thanks for the insight.
Do you know @Thunderf00t? Philip E. Mason. He is experimenting with nebulized sodium combustion to create white clouds to block sunlight. "Sodium Flamethrower to combat global warming!"
Hello Adam. I'm new to your channel. Haven't yet subscribed. I have a question. Is there an OMERTA mentioning the carbon /toxicity footprint of the elephant in the room aka the military industrial complex? Looking forward to read your answer.
Hey! Everyone watching this video in the United States. We can do something real and tangible about this. The 'Energy innovation and Carbon Dividend Act of 2023' was just introduced in the House of Representatives last week. Please look up your three congress people (2 senators and 1 representative). Tell them to support and Cosponsor the bill. We need to put overwhelming pressure on Congress to do more to combat climate change.
I love that you posted a tangible action that we can do.
No we can't because of loss of aerosol masking effect and green energy having low EROEI also we are already past the arctic feedback loop tipping point it will be ice free in a few years maybe 2024 for the first time the heating from that is equivalent to 27.5 years of CO2 emmisons we if it happens in 2024 humans will be extinct before 2026
@@ujjalshill6442
Quick IQ test...
Solve: 4, 5, 14, 185, ...
@@ujjalshill6442Even if the Arctic sea ice would completely melt by September 2024, which is unlikely, the ocean would still freeze over the following winter. Ice free water loses more heat in winter, which is a negative feedback.
@@anderslvolljohansen1556 doesn't matter if it comes back once we lose sea ice in the arctic it's game over for us
I'm just starting to watch through your channel because of Hank, and it's really good seeing all of this info.
amazing - good to have you here!
@@ClimateAdamhi adam can you make a video about ocean acidification? I know its not your background but its one of the effect of climate change not many talk about
huge thanks to climate scientist, Fredi Otto, for the inspiration for this vid and the feedback on the script! give her a follow: twitter.com/FrediOtto
You make it sound like heating will stop as soon as we stop burning fossil fuels, but wouldn't heating continue for several more years due to the loss of aerosols? And besides, we can't just stop using fossil fuels as we depend on them for food and transport and countless other things. Our best hope is to phase out fossil fuels over several decades, but of course that would mean a lot more warming. Seems like any way you look at it, we're already screwed.
absolutely we're in for more warming (as we're not going to stop emitting overnight), but the question of how much (and how this links to when we stop emitting, what) is explicitly discussed in the video mentioned at the end:
ua-cam.com/video/Q3Gol-EK1uE/v-deo.html
I heard a scientist say if we were heating the planet because of the industrial revolution, the effects would take a thousand years to show.
Interesting how they was also more atmospheric carbon during ice ages too
I know you get this. Much respect for your site.
All efforts to mitigate human caused climate disruption will fail. Climate change is only a symptom of the root cause. Focus on climate change alone is a distraction.
Overpopulation/overconsumption + any economic system predicated on growth + leadership invested in BAU + an increasingly exhausted, poisoned, overheated, FINITE, Earth = Overshoot.
As various planetary boundaries are breached, the Earth’s carrying capacity is damaged, creating a vicious, nonlinear dynamic, continually degrading the Earth’s ability to support life.
William Rees, William Catton, Alice Friedemann, Tim Garrett, B. Sidney Smith, and others, all have publications and material on UA-cam.
There may or may not be paths forward. Your website touches on this very well.
Thanks.
In previous vids you talked about the need for solutions that pay off quickly, as opposed to something like a nuclear solution that wouldn't be ready in less than 20 years. But many popular solutions emit more CO2 at the front end, which then takes years to recoup with use. If we use front-end cost as a proxy for carbon emitted during production, then the economic pay-back time is probably a decent approximation of carbon pay-back. For example, residential rooftop solar PV where the estimate is 10 years to recapture installation costs. This looks to be the exact opposite of the desired front-loading of emission reduction.
.
It seems even worse for Chinese-produced PV and battery technology, where energy to produce these products is essentially 100% coal-generated at the margin. This on top of the additional coal used to extract oxygen from silicate in order to produce silicon panels. So basically we're burning coal to produce PV panels which are then used to reduce relatively clean natural gas generation. There may still be an eventual payback, but it could be longer than many believe. In the meantime we have more carbon in the atmosphere, not less.
.
For unequivocal carbon reduction in the near term, we can look first to conservation and elimination of legacy government policies that encourage wasteful energy use. In the U.S. that would be e.g. housing and tax policy, and CAFE standards that reward production of long-wheelbase truck chassis. I don't know about the current status in the UK and elsewhere.
At 4:40 slight correction. If we stop burning ff, the warming effect will shoot immediately followed by a gradual plateauing. This is due to masking effect of aerosols (pollution). Next time taking a flight from a big city notice that there is a thick haze above a certain altitude on windless day, that haze reflects the sunlight and cools the planet by 0.5C.
this really depends by what we stop doing, when. a gradual phase out would most likely also include a gradual phase out of methane emissions, effectively counteracting the heating bump we'd otherwise get from aerosols. as I say at the end, my recent video discusses all this in depth:
ua-cam.com/video/Q3Gol-EK1uE/v-deo.html
James Hansen's Study "Flying Blind" tells you more. It's public
You can't stop the natural cycles of earth no matter how much you try. Anyway, the ice age is ending. Rejoice....
Next time, don’t take a flight…
@@gmw3083What natural cycle?
I quit my fun, easy, well-paying job, went to community college, and just started graduate school for Environmental Policy at an R1 research institution, that's my contribution lol. A mountain of debt and hopefully some meaningful public service.
It is not a global change, is a local change made every where. Forest are the great weather mediator. It moderates wind by windbreaks, sunlight by giving shade, cold by having high heat capacity. This is easy to understand when you realize that a forest actually is a water lake, and is well know that water bodies moderate our climate. The local deforestation is causing the extreme weather. But deforestation is happening all over the world.
The weather for the foreseeable future: Worse than last year but not as bad as next year-good luck y’all ✌️
It was fun watching your tshirt slowly getting dry as the video goes on :)
On more serious note - it's easy for the rich countries not to change anything - worst thing your personal budget will shrink a little bit as the food and water will get more expensive, insurance will increase, etc.
But expecting changes from poor nations is naive.
I decided to start from myself - limiting travel, getting EV, starting to bicycle whenever I can instead of driving and moving all our energy sources to electricity - self generated from solar and stored in batteries. Heating is done using heatpump and the house has certification for minimum energy usage. And we started to eat less meat, almost fully eliminating beef from the menu.
But I am lucky - both me and my wife had savings, are lucky to have lucrative jobs and are privileged enough to live in country where everything just works. That's why we decided to do as much as we can now, not wait until it will be mandatory or mainstream.
Thanks for the video, again, very informative.
No we can't because of loss of aerosol masking effect and green energy having low EROEI also we are already past the arctic feedback loop tipping point it will be ice free in a few years maybe 2024 for the first time the heating from that is equivalent to 27.5 years of CO2 emmisons we if it happens in 2024 humans will be extinct before 2026
@@ujjalshill6442 Not sure you wanted to reply to my comment, mate...
Well done. The next and most powerful step is to escape the straightjacket of individualism and take community-based action. Individual actions are necessary but not sufficient. The solutions are ultimately political.
I should probably just get therapy already, but sometimes, with my constant failure at getting a job, everything I hear about climate change just feels like it validates my thoughts that the world would be better off without me
You are not at all the problem. The problem is world governments and corporations actively making things worse.
NPR had an interesting story the other day about how Uraguay managed to rapidly swap their electricity grid over to 98% renewables.
I found it inspiring that we might be able to make similar gains in the US. Just need to cut through some of the political BS.
No we can't because of loss of aerosol masking effect and green energy having low EROEI also we are already past the arctic feedback loop tipping point it will be ice free in a few years maybe 2024 for the first time the heating from that is equivalent to 27.5 years of CO2 emmisons we if it happens in 2024 humans will be extinct before 2026
@@ujjalshill6442
Another one?
Don't listen to the defeatist. No matter what eventually happens, the time to give up is never.
Atmosphere doesn't "hold" water vapor, the sponge analogy is not accurate in terms of chemical behavior and state of these gases (that make up the air we call atmosphere). Water vapor just finds it's place near other gas molecules.
I see young Adam has been left unsupervised again!
Hey Adam. This isn’t quite related to the video, but I’ve been fretting and would appreciate your input.
I’m seeing articles and data suggesting that 2023 is a particulaly anamolous year, heat-wise, weather-wise, etc., and that, even, this year’s data suggests that the rate of global warming is actually increasing, contrary to some model determinations. Is this true? How concerned should I be about a “increasing rate” of warming?
Hi Andrew. 2023 is indeed a good chunk hotter, but it is also firmly within the variability we'd expect (given El Nino is also returning this year). So while 2023 is shocking, it's not surprising, and certainly not enough data to suggest an acceleration in warming rate. Thanks for asking!
Till 2010 - > 0.18K per decade. Now 0.36K per decade. Choose your emotional response.
"Assessing government climate agencies" Tony Heller (YT)
Nett Zero in a nutshell Ivor Cummins YT)
The best climate clip i've ever seen,also Ivor Cummins.
There are two sides to this issue,one filled with the propaganda narrative to scare you,and one from the links i've supplied.
Thank you for this reasoned response! Appreciate it.@@ClimateAdam
@@davidbarlow350 The 'propaganda' actually comes from the deceitful/deluded types like Tony Heller (aka Steve Goddard). No doubt there are over-alarmist sources but climate scientists like Dr Adam Levy Phd are not one of them
Brilliant bite sized video as always keeping everyone up to date!
Until people start driving less, consuming less, and working less, the issue of climate change will stay an issue. No one is willing to have less and do less and that is the problem. Society is still centered around endless growth, endless productivity, and endless consumption.
Thank you for putting this information out there!
thank you for watching!
Isn't the real question: WILL we stop extreme weather from getting worse?
There seems to be a lot of focus on education but is that the problem anymore? Despite a majority believing climate change is a problem the actions taken still aren't enough.
There was a time, not, long ago, people would think you are crazy for suggesting we can stop "extreme weather." they would be right!
I think there's no one thing to focus on - and more information is one of many important actions when it comes to climate change.
I would say that one reason for inaction (though there are many) is a sense that we are powerless to do anything to protect ourselves - that we're doomed and there's no way out. it's important to spell out that our best scientific understanding indicates that is not the case.
While we’ve been able to shift more and more people towards understanding that we need to do something about climate change…there’s still a lot of conflicting opinions about what actions we should take.
For instance, the UPC in California is currently considering passing rules to make it harder for people to install solar panels on schools and farms. So we need more people who understand that we absolutely need more solar in these areas. Then we need those people to be extremely vocal so that decision makers hear them and change their course of action as a result.
@@SaveMoneySavethePlanet CO2 is plant food. The sun warms the earth. ghg's trap some heat from the sun, they do not produce heat. Besides water vapor is the greatest ghg by far.
More co2 has greened the planet significantly in the past 35 yrs according to a nasa study. I think we are being deceived. It is political.
@@SaveMoneySavethePlanet many scientists disagree
Do you have a link to a report that shows data on increasing trends in climate related disasters? i.e. are we seeing more events, or are we seeing more events that affect humans? The nuance has a huge effect on results. Because if the latter, could this be because more people in general, and more people living in those areas that are affected?
So if you have a report you coukd link to, showing there are more weather events (regardless of whether they effect humans or not), that would be great as I can't find one :)
City near me was just hit with a tornado, badly. Its just getting worse
95 percent of electric cars are still on the road. The other 5 percent made it home.
Unrelated to the topic but i have a question about a topic that i didn't find yet any answers on:
In permaculture there are a lot of rewilding projects and water table building using its methods (especially in india like the Pani foundation).
What i wonder is whether there's going to be a significant effect of the total earth albedo if enough "deserty" areas turn greener.
Not that this shoud discourage these projects but i wonder if there's a trade off.
(Obviously permaculture methods are also useful to increase resiliency of agriculture, cities and surrounding nature)
At 4:47 Adam says that sea levels will continue to rise for centuries even after we stop emitting CO2. Presumably, this is because the ice caps take awhile to melt at the elevated temperature. But what if we use Direct Air Capture (DAC) to reduce CO2? Won't this lower the temperature of the atmosphere and sea and stop the sea level rise? If so, DAC is critical technology and should be see as a way to stop sea level rise. Most people think of DAC as an excuse not to stop emitting CO2, but it sounds like it is critical to have even if we do. We shouldn't rely on its development to stop global warming, but we will need it to stop sea level rise.
Net negative emissions (where technologies to absorb emissions exceed any emissions) could indeed lower the planet's temperature, and this could substantially slow (but probably not stop) sea level rise. That said, all carbon dioxide removal at large scales is tough, but direct air capture is one of the toughest, given the huge challenge of getting CO2 out of air it's already mixed to. Ideas like reforestation and bioenergy with carbon capture & storage are generally viewed as more promising by researchers at this point.
The problem is direct air capture or carbon capture. Has never meet the targets that or has been have asserted to have met have been set for in the 40 plus years of trying. The 90% capture rate is a lie on avg the projects only capture 65%. Then when you start counting in the co2 released powering the carbon capture process it drop into the 30% range or lower, of net sequestered co2
@@ClimateAdam more videos on this!! 🙏😍
They start spraying them skies in the 80s I hear. But somewhere there was an article in Newark paper about a storm and for a few skies turning green in the 50s sometime.
we can stop it, but do we want to stop it?
It depends who the "we"s are in that sentence!
How are we going to cool the oceans and stop the glaciers/icecaps/ permafrost from rapidly melting?
thank you.
Wow, really great video. Thanks for "keeping it real" . Well said.
Hi Climate Adam, I think that due consideration of the other side of the equation is long overdue!. The equation I refer to is the one with what nature in the form of climate throws at us from whatever causes is on one side and what we choose to do to adapt to those conditions.
This adaptation comes in two main frames, one is what can we do to mitigate the problems the other is what can we do to modify our economies and lifestyles to reduce the impact.
Getting down to practicalities what I have been observing in and around the environment where I have been living for the last seven decades is exactly the same consequences of poor land management and drainage infrastructure. The direct and observable result of industrialised agriculture, now to be called 'brutaculture' is the almost instant flooding of farmland now that the soils have become so degraded that rainfall cannot soak in, this is clearly the major cause of most flooding although the additional rapid increases i unwanted water from badly managed surface water contributes. Both of these issues could and I think should be properly addressed!, they will of course have no material impact on the total amounts of rainfall or rises in sea levels but they are issues now beyond our direct influence. Other significant matters on this side of the equation are of course all the complex land-ownership and management issues that must be dealt with if populations are going to be able to ,move to higher ground. In some ways these to factors can be linked, I might suggest for example that a co-ordinated international effort to get all land treated with due respect, call it 'land rights' in a manner similar to what has been established generally for animal life so that all 'owners' of land have a legal duty of care to ensure that no part of their 'property' becomes degraded, this could at least establish a level playing field that could result in long term sustainability for all life on the planet.
Cheers, Richard.
"we know how to do that"
I am afraid we don't - we don't have technology to reduce emissions to zero today and even solutions which exist (and could help to a great degree) are not being implemented at the scale needed.
Another year - emissions are increasing...
Is there not a considerable time lag, of up to ten years, between the time you stop emitting CO2 and any tangible effect on the climate?
so if we stop emitting CO2, our best understanding is that warming also stops. there are lots of other factors (like what happens to other emissions), but that's the headline. for more, check my recent vid:
ua-cam.com/video/Q3Gol-EK1uE/v-deo.html
Thank you for your work on this channel.
Jordan Peterson is still at it again, with his twitter simply citing a paper written by John K. Dagsvik and Sigmund H. Moen called "To what extent are temperature levels changing due to greenhouse gas emissions?"
This paper essentially casts doubt on human involvement using statistical analysis, and concludes "...these studies raise serious doubts about whether the Global climate models are able to distinguish natural variations in temperatures from variations caused by man-made emissions of CO2."
I don't know why JP is like this, but do you have a response?
Thank you for your work 😊
thank you so much! means a huge amount that you value what I'm doing.
I'm new to this channel; could you also do videos on any action/progress in combating climate change?
yes! I've made some before, but it's been a minute, and it'd be lovely to share some happy stories.
alsooooo welcome to the channel!
There isn't any,because there isn't a climate emergency,and never was.
Hasn't 70 years of wrong climate predictions taught you anything?
@@davidbarlow350 no more acid rain and no more tear in the ozone layer is a good example of progress in the past ig
Are you a climate scientist btw?
@apollodavis4090 'Climate Adam' - Dr Adam Levy - has a Phd in climate science from Oxford University
Great video, thank you!
I'm just wondering the effects of say, something happened to keep people indoors for a while, say a pandemic perhaps. Not for an extended period but long enough to have some effect. Would anything change and how long would it take both to change and to revert back ?
How hot the world gets depends on how much CO2 there is in the atmosphere, and co2 builds up in the atmosphere like water filling a (slightly leaky) bathtub. While something like lockdown slows the flow a bit, the bathtub was still filling up all the time, just a bit slower. To stop heating we need to stop that flow.
I live in Indonesia, the largest archipelago, this month alone we already reach a 40°C feel-like temperature, we have longer dry season, please help
oof thanks so much for sharing. everywhere is impacted by climate change, but not everywhere is impacted equally. hope you're holding up ok in Indonesia 💚
Another great video Adam. Do you have a reaction to Bill Gates latest statement on tree planting. Like I feel I understand our situation quite well. To me enough trees will not only sequester carbon but leaves will reflect sunlight. This less heat energy. Not to mention all the other positive effects of reforestation. Of course scale my be an issue and I may be totally missing something. As a professional what is your opinion of such a bras statement.
I have watched all of your videos, Often link them to people who seem to be climate skeptics to help enlighten them. Also Simon Clarks videos are excellent. Cool that you teamed up with Hank too.
Hi @ClimateAdam… since you tackled geoengineering… I don’t think you’ve done a video exclusively about carbon removal. The same criticisms about it being an excuse to keep polluting aside… it’s a tech that doesn’t have much muster yet. But does it have potential? (Ala Stripe initiative or others). It covers both biological and chemical technologies which are quite different so imagine there is a lot to talk about in contrasting tech. There’s also the conversation about how much sequestration is really possible in plants and soils….
it's a great topic and one I'd love to come to in detail! thanks for the suggestion!
Nuclear power isn't a fossil fuel, though.. I notice a lot of presenters use stock clips of cooling towers when referring to fossil fuels when the emissions from those towers consist of water vapor only.
Those cooling towers are from a coal plant tho...
❤❤❤❤❤
💚🎉💚
Reparations and a total acquisution of the oil, coal, deforestation and investor industries.
And a Nuremberg trial for the ecocidalists
That we need to stop burning fossil fuels is very obvious at this point and has been for a while. The real questions are 1. How to make governments take genuine action. 2. How to stop fossil fuel companies from extracting ever more 3. How to get people to change their patterns of consumption. These are the things that need to change but they are not happening and in some cases getting worse. Eg. the amount of subsidy given to fossil fuel companies is actually increasing. Our governments are still paying them to drill for oil.
I will say this, that unusually long La niña we just had was Nature being like: Ok guys, I'm making things easier for a bit so you can fix things more easily. Got it? No, don't approve another pipeline!
NOVEMBER 2023 is happening, first Mexico, then Europe... what''s next?
No, no we can’t stop it! And next year will be much worse as El Nino really kicks in.
Mass starvation anyone!
The majority should have paid attention.
Yes. If we just recycle, can stop weather.
Sometimes I wonder if there is intelligent life on UA-cam.
The headline of an article at BNN Bloomberg was "We are burning more oil today than at any time in our history". Two weeks ago. This was good news according to the author.
Go, Adam, Go!
You were recommended by Sabine? Mystery...
Weather is NOT climate...
No.
As someone who used to teach meteorology you are correct.
But climate scientist need to acknowledge, the Earth's natural heating and cooling of the planet, as well, and actually try to come up with a realistic answer to the heating of our planet.
Climate scientist just start sounding jaded and boring after a life's time about being told that driving my car is bad for the enviro.
We need to get away from fossil fuels but nothing ever really is good
The earth absorbs heat from the sun and emits long wave radiation to space. Is that what you mean by natural heating and cooling? That's taught in high school, so is of course banal to climate scientists.
@@anderslvolljohansen1556 well lol for goodness sakes yes the earth as you know does absorb the sun's energy, but when it comes to the debates the ice ages never get m
Mentioned.
1 how did we get into the ice ages ?
2 how did we get out of the ice ages ?
Maybe if we stopped squabbling, and telling the people the same thing over and over the same thing year after year, and started to look at the earth history , particularly question 1 we could come up with an answer.
What was put in the atmosphere to block the sun ?
Maybe we could use Earth's history to our benefit.
And this would mean some honesty from both sides , as I strongly suspect it might be volcanic ash or dust from a meteor hit.
But as long as 2 sides are so I grossed in their own ideals, nothing is going to happen.
I, also, am sick of climate change STILL being a bad thing. Its been so many years. Why cant climate scientists make it a GOOD thing for once? Isnt that their job?
@@darkhelmet12e47 Why can't meteorologists make better weather? Isn't that their job? (Just an attempt at more overt sarcasm. Your is a bit subtle.)
In 50 - 70 Years... Endtime 😒
At this point i would rather listen to someone who says they studied at the University of life...
If you ain't God the answer is no. But with the crap man does you sure can wreck havc. So it's easy do I let the sun shine thru or do I keep spraying them skies. Or is it already so screwed up ya all hiding something.
STOP HAARP
GET HELP.
We can stop it all. By paying some taxes!!!!
2024 will likely be worse
Can't stop burning fossil fuels, why our economy depends on it. Millions of jobs will be lost and as push comes to shove, all of our products are made from oil in one form or another . So we are trapped in a world of own making. We got addicted to oil, and there is no reasonable substitute.
But... you are just plain wrong. You cannot name a single oil product that cannot be replaced.
omg stop geoengineering going on in front of your noses
were doomed
I think you are causing climate change ya hot spunk 😂
PROPAGANDA
You don't..., I'm expecting an (A) for that answer, and nothing but!
2023 Fossil Fuel not be @byronbaybarrels