My grandmother was born in 1896. I got to spend some time with her in her later years. Stories she told me: - walking on the board walk of times square, and the stench of horse manure in the dirt streets. - Northern Manhattan was farmland... mostly dairy. - using a pump by the sink for drinking water (in Queens). Boiling water on the stove for a bath. - firewood and coal stoves being the primary heat source in buildings. - riding on a stage coach to the summer camp upstate. By the time she died at age 90 the Apollo program had ended. I recall that most people belonged to AAA or another auto club, which provided free maps, so if you were going from LA to NYC you would stop by the AAA office and pick up all the maps needed for the trip. Glove boxes were stuffed full of maps. In the same way that the life skills that indigenous peoples had which allowed to in nature indefinitely are largely lost, the parts of our brains that remembered maps of roads and highways have gone away. Hopefully we are using that part of our brains for something productive. 😄 One other thing I remember from the 70s and 80s. Drinking and driving was waaay more accepted. Every yearbook I had from high school had a dedication page to the students who had died, almost all from drinking and driving. That was a death rate of .5% to 1% per class for four years. The highway deaths were > 50K per year, largely due to OUI. Today the death rate is about half that based per 1000 drivers, and about one third per mile traveled.
My grandmother was born in 1910 and she lived in the sticks so she didn’t have running water until her 20s. It’s wild how much change she lived through.
This really reminds me of some stories from my Great Grandfather! He was born in 1891 and lived to be 101, so I knew him in my childhood. One thing I remember him talking about is that as a young man he was a milkman delivering in the Chicago area, by horse-drawn carriage. He would often go to the pub after work with his coworkers and it didn't matter how drunk they got because the horses knew the way home. So I can totally see how it took so long for people to see drunk driving as the hugely dangerous problem it is.
@@joescottgoing along with that, I only spent a few years knowing my great grandmother, but she remembers when she was a girl hearing about the Wright Brothers first flight, and watching that “Nice young man Neil Armstrong” take the small step/giant leap. Not sure there’ll be much greater jump in technology than that generation experienced!
My great grandmother died on her 99th birthday. She saw life go from using mules to pull a plow, through WW I, the Great Depression, WW II, the 60s, until the 80s and the space shuttle. When you look at it, it seems so massive a change her generation had perhaps the most disruptive path to navigate. But now I wonder how my kids, both in their 20s, will feel as 2100 gets closer, and neither I or their mother are here for perspective.
As a historian I can say with some confidence,... In the distant past people had no idea of progress. There was change. New kings, new wars, new plagues, new towns. But everyone lived basically the same lives as their grand parents. New inventions that changed how you lived, were amazingly rare. Looking back we can trace the progress of some tools and techniques, but the pace of those changes was so slow that the average person would not notice. Until around the 1800s industrial revolution (aka the rise of the machines)
There was no history to reference, or most people certainly did'nt have any acess to it. Changes happened, but most changes was mostly just decorators (new king and flag) Change started from Gutenberg and industrial revolution was major exponental point on logistic curve. In my lifetime, there has not been any technologically stable 5 year period. (Pc, Internet, Search engines, Pocket phone to Pocket computer, Social medias, UA-cam) Actually, maybe we are more of decelerate phase in last 5 to 7 years. Hymmm
@@joshweissert8085 No it's not. It's like 3D in movies all over again. These things tend to die out for 20 years or more and then get brought back like there the newest thing ever that's going to change the world. The public forgets about the fact that it was a huge in thing 20-30 years ago and tons of people by it up to find out it serves no real purpose and we become tired of it. AI will continue to be used as it has been for years now. But the fact is AI still has the same issues it always has just like you can't watch a 3D movie still without 3D glasses. You can change the glasses, make it look cooler, give it some new features. But the underlying issues are still there. So it dies out after everyone figures this out and grows tired of it. AI is the same thing. Wait for a while and you'll see.
@@SamWitney AI research has been making a lot of progress for years before ChatGPT entered the public consciousness, though. I think it's impossible to say whether we're at the start of another plateau (with the next big breakthrough being in decades time), or whether this is a stepping stone to even more and faster progress in the near future.
Teenager from 1500: "I just bought the newest sword." Teenager #2: "Ooh, what's the upgrade?" Teenager #1: "The pummel is slightly wider. This is the best advancement in weapons technology in a century." Teenager today: "I just bought the newest phone." Teenager #2: "Ooh what's the upgrade?" Teenager #1: "The entirety of human knowledge in the palm of my hands, 8k videos, AI photo editing, ultrasonic biometrics scan for added security, and it will connect my consciousness to the hivemind through the bluetooth implant in my cranium. Also, new emojis. It'll all be obsolete in a week."
I was born 1959 and I just watched this on a phone the size of a deck of cards, never dreamt that would be happening in my time. I grew up with books and maps, my family didn’t have TV, phone, or regular electricity until the late 1960s. We grew up in the Appalachian mountains.
I’m from the same year. We had TV and the phone- no dial, just a crank on the side, with one push button on the other side to call Central, but no running water (read: no flush toilets) until the late ‘60s. I shake my head every day at the modern miracle available, such as the one I’m typing on right now.
@@Sandra-dt4ec wood only for us, we had (still have) 40 acres of mostly hardwood bush, would’ve had to buy coal. Sweat is cheaper! Does it bug you the way it does me how in the movies, the coal oil lamps always have dirty chimneys?
I was born before world war Two. I studied electronics when the Vacuum tube was was used. I studied computers when bugs were real. and tapped on a vacuum tube to get the computer working again. I built my own Z80 computer and wrote my own spell checker. I could have bought one for about two thousand dollars. Anyway I spent fifty years working on computers. I have several old ones but this new one I bought has more memory and power that the US Navy had in 1976. Remember hooking into the network by a modem in 1988? Now we are facing the CRAZY YEARS again. Lets not go back to the 1800s, I think it will take a thousand years to get to this point again! I grew up in the Appalacheian Mountains Too. I farmed and milked cows until I was eighteen. The army wouldn't take me so I had to go to school one quarter at a time. I don't want my grandchildren to have to go back that far. please!
If anybody is wondering, the earliest known novel that could be considered science fiction is called "A True Story", made in the second century AD by the Syrian author Lucian of Samosata. It includes interplanetary travel and warfare, hybrid alien lifeforms (apparently robots even), an account of a telescope that can see an entire terrestrial body, and other things.
i heard that he wrote it because there was trend at the time for tales of travelling and encountering fantastic sights or creatures, basically a trend for tall tales that provided status for the teller of these tales. He decided to extrapolate these ideas to the extreme because he felt these stories had become ridiculous and accidently invented science fiction.
@@candidate17 It was a story told by a character in Plato's Republic (not Plato himself) about a hypothetical nation that punished Athens for hubris. Athens did not exist as a city-state at the time depicted in the story, so it too was hypothetical.
Great video as always man! My mom was diagnosed with a rare form of leukemia a number of years ago, and found she was eligible for a special medication treatment / study. She took it regularly for about 2 1/2 years, without chemo, and has recently found out she's in remission. If she's still clear after 2025 they're going to use her case as a study in a paper to try to get the medication mass produced. There is absolutely progress in that field, and I'm happy because not only will people benefit from that, but I love my mom and she gets to stick around.
have her avoid food coloring and other artificial ingredients as best she can, all petrooeum and metal byproduct based and not nearly as safe as claimed.. coming from someone whos kid and themself are hypersensitive. some genetics it causes immense problems but esp. those with auto-immune or auto-inflammatory disorders or undefined meeical mysteries in the family. my studies on it have left me pretty sure theyre the biggest part of why america leads in obesity, mental disorders, autism, digestive disorders. and cancers. body treats them like a foreign body and attacks them and whatever body part theyre attaching to.. my son goes from savant level high functioning autistic to non verbal, head slamming from migraine, kicking and squeeling violent.. all from red food dye. we cant take most synthetic based medications without paradoxical worsening effects that worsen with increased dose. 95 percent of foods and meds are full of it, kids otc meds especially. best i can tell the average person when adjusting for concentrated forms, prob consumes 2 fluid ounces of petroleum, metal, and plastic byproducts per week. among other issues I ended up developing a form of rectal cancer like my grandfather cept where normally its only seen age 45 and up, i got it bout age 21 and found age 28. was still a pre-cancer but still check bi-yearly to make sure since they werent expecting more than hemorrhoids and removed it unknowingly til after. genetic predisposition and linked to food dye in a euro study.
That's so cool! They figured out how to cure that by genetically editing people's bone marrow and injecting it back into them in China, badly uncovered in the states, but it sounds like that happened after your mom started these meds.
I love how much hope for the future these stories can bring. Cancer parades through my family, yet by the time my nieces and nephews are old enough to worry about cancer, it will probably be destroyed, or at least close to it.
Can't wait for the godlike superintelligence to point to this video when people in 2100 ask "what did people in the 2000 think the current year would look like?" before it gives a perfect, well thought out and well researched summary of every single thing people expected the year to look like. Hey there kid from 2100, I hope you're having a good time.
Joe you skipped over Hugo Gernsback. A futurist from 1900. In 1908 started a magazine called Modern Electrics. He helped launch Amateur Radio in the USA in 1909. Had the worlds first electronic components store in NY. Stated and edited Amazing Stories. Wrote a novel in 1911 called 'Ralph 124C-41+' which foreshadowed the internet, video phones, fax machines and much more . The Hugo Sci Fi award is named after him. He died in 1967.
Excellent video! At the 12 minute mark I can answer the question regarding how we got information. As a boomer myself it was primarily 2 things: the first was to look it up in an encyclopedia and the second was to find someone who was 'smart' on a subject. I did the second quite a bit as a teenager trying to learn about electronics. I'd go bug the hell out of my uncle who had a TV repair shop. He enjoyed sharing his knowledge and also enjoyed that I could help him load the TVs into his truck and go with him to deliver them. Good times.
I'm GenX and in my day it was still more or less the same - find a more experienced person to show you the ropes or go to a library to look it up (there were also encyclopediae on CDs at the time, but they were still just digitized text, the audio/video side of it wasn't all that developed yet). We used paper shopping lists and paper maps (ooooh, no GPS!) to get around places we weren't familiar with - as I kid it was usually my job to be the "navigator" when we went for vacation. When we still got lost in spite of my uber nav skillz, my dad would pull up and ask the locals :) But only after being forced so by my mom - because dad NEVER got lost :) What else? Oh, keeping up with events - radio, TV and tons of newspapers and magazines - kids/teenagers also had specialized magazines like Bravo (in Europe) where you could keep up with celebrity life.... Major difference - we were more interconnected and interdependent. We still are, but indirectly - I mean whatever you consume on your smartphone still has to be written by someone (although studies show that AI/bots and other types of automates scripts constitute as much as 45% of total web content!).... But they were.. different times. I'm an optimist and I believe we'll have those times again, but hopefully not because of a major military conflict but through pure oversaturation and boredom with tech... People are never boring :) >
Late millenial here and the first big purchase made with my own money was an encyclopedia, they were still pretty useful for most of the 2000s. I was shocked to see them going out of business as fast as they did becaue I thought there would always be enough technophobes to have a decent niche market.
@@DarqIceI was born in 91. I remember the paper maps and my familyusing them on vacations, and still get one at the rest areas on the interstate of every state I go to. My father used to always stop and ask for directions, and I do too. Locals are usually really helpful.
A lot of people love 3D Printing, but I'm pretty certain every single one of us understands exactly why, in it's current form, it's not been adopted by the masses. It's slow, it's loud, it fails (a lot), the plastic feels crappy, most printers can only print in one colour, you need to sand it if you want it to look good, etc. Despite a lot of companies trying to convince people otherwise, it's still very much in its early adopter phase.
I think 3D printing is something that will take off in tremendous fashion in the manufacturing industry, but probably not the consumer market. I think things like solid parts for car bodies/frames, electronics, tools etc will be 3D printed at the factory rather than machined, and then distributed the same way they are now to stores and bought by customers, rather than the customer being the one to print things. Think about it - if it was a customer market, and you wanted to print say, a chair. Where would you even start? We can't expect people to become sculptors or 3D artists. Companies would have to find a way to monetise their products in a world where people make their own, so assumedly it would require a market shift whereby companies sell licences to their schematics for people to use to print their models. That would mean the entire distribution chain evaporates. Warehouses become a thing of the past save for food or other such things that can't be printed in the short term. That, and piracy. Piracy could completely shut the entire concept down. People act like piracy is a bad thing for digital media when really it's negligible, but for actual products it'd be a kill switch. I imagine companies losing entire product lines due to schematic leaks meaning nobody buys. Even if a few of my predictions are wrong there, 3D printing taking over the consumer market pretty much violates occam's razor. The amount of change in commercial space paired with the innate challenges of consumer-grade 3D printing in general to me doesn't wash. When Amazon 2 hour delivery exists, there's just no incentive to buy a big machine, buy the resources for it, buy plans online and then print your own versions of things. I think it's far more possible, incentivised and profitable for 3D printing to take over the manufacturing space however. It's kind of already a thing and the shift in procedure is not very big.
@@xkinsey3831 I don't think it'll take an entire industry shift to make commercial 3D printing take off. 3D printing could already be beneficial to manufacturers right now, for example, small plastic car fittings for cars that are no longer in production.
@@xkinsey3831 You said it'd only be an advantage to them if they're the ones printing the parts, I'm saying it'd benefit the manufacturers to provide the files to customers for parts no longer in production.
The 35 things is because baby and child death is also calculated into overall life experiences and we really have improved life for various age groups, not just the oldest ..... really love your views on science and videos. Keep em coming. Thanks
Even in the medievals it wasn't rare to live until your 60s if you survived birth and early childhood, and dying in your 80s wasn't unheard of by any means. The vast majority of improvement in life expectancy in the last centuary comes from the reduction of child mortality.
Dear person in the 2100's who is watching this video in an effort to make predictions on 2200. Hi, I hope all is well in the future. I'm Brandon, I'm a broadcast engineer. I like to use my computer to play video games with my wife and our friends. My favorite food is BBQ Ribs. I am scared for what the near future holds for humanity and our planet but if you're reading this we probably figured it out. Just make sure if you're all wearing hats that let you log into the hive mind that you take it off every once in a while and tell people you love them and hold them close, that might seem primitive to you but trust me on this.
Hi people from 2200! I'm Lu, a civil servant from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Life is cool here, although urban violence is spiraling out of control and our climate is getting hotter with time (winter temperatures around 30° C, summer temperatures around 42° C). I'm a simple person, I like playing video games (in my time, console gaming is a thing), chill with friends and reading. I'm one of those people history books will never tell you about, but if you, dear person from 2200, is reading this, please remember that one time ago there was a person named Lu on Brazil wishing you well.
I'm betting all the comments on all the videos on UA-cam will be lost to the actual videos they are posted on because they aren't actually saved together. The data that is saved that stores the information that lists the comments and replys to each video is an entire other load of data that has to be saved as well. I'm betting all that is said about each video will eventually be lost or deleted.
I thought about this and I don't believe this is true. The issue is that a lot is tied up in social media. There are projects to save a lot of this but not everything will be saved.
@@zombreon6021 yes. There have already been examples of social media/forums platforms and digital platforms failing and shutting down. All of that data is just being lost. There are good reasons for some of this content to be lost but imagine in 20 to 40 years where Facebook could be. If Facebook shuts down how much will be lost. It is possible that Twitter may not exist in 5 years (it could be sold but there is also no guarantee that older tweets will exist on Twitter. Again there are projects to archive tweets but they can't and won't capture everything especially with the API changes.
@@zombreon6021 While the Great Library did experience fires (with that much papyrus around that many oil lamps, how could it not?), what did it in was lack of support. Basically, nobody wanted to spend the money needed to maintain the collection, or the structure, or keep people employed there to take care of things. It was a failure of vision by the leaders of the city that killed the Library of Alexandria, not some dramatic event. Basically, the weak-minded politicians thought it was too expensive.
We will. I would bet everything on it. Humans are stubbornly resilient. And we love to play it risky right up to the edge of the cliff and then we become extremely effective at averting crisis at the 11th hour.
Remember when we'd organize to meet up with friends at the cinema in the 90s? We'd set the time, and just assume they'd turn up. No messages, no phones.
Definitely, we were way more accountable back in those days. We remembered people's home numbers off by heart. We were definitely more trusting ,but also quite gullible at times.. 🤔🫠
As a retired senior, not far from age 70, I will read articles about tech that's being worked on now and think.. Wow that's so cool, it's going to be so awesome and then I do the math and quickly realize unless there are substantial advancements in the human lifespan I'm really unlikely to see or experience most of these cool technologic marvels. I try not to be sad about it but think about my son and grandchildren geting to live in the years that will get to see these wonders that I never will. Will I make it long enough to see brain chips implanted so my Spanish will be on point? Will I get to see self driving cars be the norm? The older I get the less exciting the future seems. I really wanted to live to see nanotech use become commonplace. I wanted to walk or glide up to the nanobot vending machine on my hoverboard and scan my palm or eye to buy a block of nanobots that could transform with their programing into a new recliner Or a slinky dress and high heels for the night. At the very least I want a realistic robot friend and helper and a food and drink replicator that dispenses healthy food and drink...lol.
I’m 71 I think if we make it to 80 most of or medical issues will be gone which means we should see 100 or more unless of course we kill our selfs living poorly
Almost all of this so-called futurism and tech is science fiction, and fairy tales. You were fortunate enough to live through the best period of American life. You could easily buy your own house, and a new car. You knew people, your face was not glued to a phone all day. Travel was not expensive, destinations were unique and had a character. Our national parks were not glorified Disneyland. Roads were good, gas was cheap and a decent hotel was $30. You could snorkel among living ocean corals and see native fish in the waters. Today it's all ruined, it's crap. You are not going to miss anything. Enjoy the rest of your life happily and proudly, and do not risk your well being on any of these schemes, offered by billionaires looking for human guinea pigs.
Eh as stated in the video the emergence of a super AI would change everything in ways we can't even comprehend right now and with the rate of ai advancements I've seen in just the last few years it might happen before the end of the decade, it could make us functionality immortal over night...assuming it doesn't wipe us out instead.
If you believe in reincarnation (the non-religious kind), then you can look forward to experiencing those things yourself. Though, of course, any time you grow up in will be plain and normal for you. ... BUT it's very possible to marvel at everything in any time.
You've seen more technolological advancements than any generation in history. So i dont understand how you're sad about not seeing more rather than marveling at what you have seen. With that mindset even if you saw everything you listed you would consider it the norm and expect still much much more
I had a copy of the Yellow Pages (that was the business section of a "phone book" and much thinner) that I kept under the seat of my car. It had the local map, which was very basic and mostly only showed the most major throughways. So, you left early to drive around and get the exact address right. You could also use a public pay phone to call and get more specific directions when you were stumped. Those used to be on every corner. Another option was rolling the window down and asking a pedestrian. We also asked people at the gas station. And lastly, they did make actual, real life maps that you had to unfold across the entire width of the car and study. And once you unfolded it, it never folded back right again! It used to be kind of an art form and people always got excited if someone on the road trip could do it.
i think the problem with 3D printing currently is that its still very complicated to do, or at the very least not approachable to the average person. If one day we have a system where you literally just press a "checkout" button on an Amazon-type site and have the print start automatically, then I could see it becoming more widespread. it needs to exactly as easy as online shopping for the "print it at your house" part to be worth it to the average consumer imo
And the printers that are available on a consumer-ish level are soooo slow. It can take hours to print a simple plastic toys. Pretty sure I could order a box of LEGOs online and have them delivered in less time than it would be to print all those components on the type of 3D printer I, as an average person, have access to. And those are tiny toy plastic blocks, useful for education and recreation, but not for, example, constructing a retaining wall, never mind an actual building. I’m sure that industry has 3-D printers that are faster, and use more durable materials, but I agree with you. (Or, at least I think I’m understanding you correctly.) I can see 3D printers changing manufacturing in 100 years, but I think there still will *be* manufacturing and distributor(s) before the end product reaches the consumer.
3d printing at the current stage is like dot matrix printing, if you remember that. Paper with the holes on the sides you had to tear off afterwards. One day, hopefully, 3d printing will be like laser printing in comparison to dot matrix printing. Speed is a huge factor, but ease of use is a bigger one. Solve either of those issues and you'll make millions. Solve both and you'll make billions.
User friendly in 3d printing needs to come from lookimg at what was done with CNC processing. Uh. Not the kind of CNC your neighbors do and enjoy but Computer Numerical Control. The tools where standardized then computers started taking over the numerical plotting, all going back to a standard file format, and now the machines can tell what tools are loaded in if they are good or dull they make it as safe and simple as possible for a high power multi ton machine whipping around. Where as 3D printers tried to take the oppsite direction trying to take from paper printing, but allowing (sometimes) standard formats for the files, meanwhile not every control box can accept multi-media printing thats an issue, and the multi media heads are locked behind each print companies IP etc etc etc, and none of them have agreed on a srandard for just selling the raw materials or labeling them or somehow communicating with the machine what the feed rates, step hight and heat needs to be. And thats an issue. It should be considerably more to teach someone how to run a CNC milling machine but I can take anyone even if its thier first job and they are a grade school drop out; and teach them how to operate a CNC and usually files will work across all machines no problem, might have to make a few tweaks here and there if the file came from a Haas but thats about it. Yet 3D printing requires a lot more thought... Dont even get me going about multimaterial heads 😅. That should just be the defacto standard so you can have prints that you just dunk in water when done and have them done.
@@AnonymousAnarchist2 CNC milling and 3d printing are basically in the same state right now, as far as entry level learning is concerned. But (7ish?) years ago, everyone expected 3d printing to be a one button push kinda thing. No one has ever expected CNC operation to be that, because it seems complicated to the lay person, and it definitely is. If you could solve making CNC operations (subtractive manufacturing) easy, you'd be just as successful as the person who makes 3d printing easy.
My mom just got me a 3D Printer for Christmas. She was _so_ proud that she was able to do it, and in fact she had originally ordered the cheapest $125 model from the manufacturer but got an email from them a few weeks earlier informing her that they were out of stock, but by that point it was just a week away from Christmas. So my mom replied to them that now it was too late to find another gift, and to compensate they sent their _$300 model_ for the same price, and even threw in a kilogram spool of filament. So now I have a really awesome 3D Printer that I have _no clue what to actually do with._ But mom mom was _so_ proud that she could get it for me, so I'm going to have to try something, and I have seen some absolutely rad BattleMech miniatures and figures on Etsy that people have created themselves, and maybe I can find some of the 3D models that they used to print them. Or try to design my own D&D miniatures, even though my gaming group has never used minis to play in our 30+ years (and we have no desire to do so.)
Hey Joe, I really liked the question in about 12 minutes in the video: "What did people do before they were able to look up an answer to a question. And did they just accept not knowing ?". I believe there are generally 2 groups of people. Maybe 70% - who would just accept not knowing. And like 30% who would try to find the answer. So I would like to share 2 ways of doing it. My favorite way was , asking people. First I would ask my parents, than i would double-check with my teachers in school. And lastly 9 in future I would listen to people's conversations to mention somebody being an expert on a subject and I will triple-check my question with the expert. It is a very easy way to actually remember an answer - when you had 3 conversations about it. Another way was given to my by my father : to go to the library. I was never good with that, i would usually go to the fiction department of the library and get distracted. It will be fun to make a special video on more ways to solve the problem. I believe most of your viewers are in the "curious" 30%. And as epilogue a popular joke (making fun of the new generation) : People in 19 century believed that the limited access to information was the main cause for people being stupid - 21 century proved that theory Wrong !
That sounds about right. Information was harder to come by back then but it also felt more rewarding to figure something I was wondering about. But in a way, information can be hard today too since you easily can get the opposite information from 2 different sources so I think getting something wrong is easier now while admitting you just didn't know something was easier back then. Then again, today you usually have someone fact checking people if you are a few discussing something (even though their fact checking also might be wrong). Today, you really have to check the sources really carefully.
Knowledge requires energy and thats why most people just opted out of knowledge seeking game. Internet has certainly lowered energy cost of for individual. Still most people just don't check and surely don't double check. Past then, if you have born in non-english speaking part of the world, language really was major blockade to most current knowledge. And still is, but there is more translations accumulations at present. Effort makes knowledge more personal and you are more likely to remember it (compensation for sunken cost). Fast internet has made that part too easy. Google as substitution for memory. "Library skills" still have use at ouside of libraries. You need to tickle search engines with right words, Jump to reference lists head first and dig deep to link-trees. One thing still is really unchanged. There is too big of fantasy department in Internet, that can suck you in (I was kid , who read almost all fantacy/scifi books from library)
People can get information when they look up from their devices and see what’s going on in front them, If they’re stuck inside maybe they can look outside. Obviously everyone sees things differently, so there may never be a consensus on what’s actually happening, and so I think it’s best to understand that nobody can know everything, but we might get a clearer picture that works for us. I’m constantly trying to filter out, useless information such as infotainment, advertorial and uninformed commentary.
I always think of the monitors in the book 1984 where in your house there’s always a TV screen with people talking on it, and it can never be turned off can only be turned down very low. To me that’s exactly what the Internet is. I don’t see how Orwell thought of that so well.
I'm personally blown away by how E.M. Forster managed to predict humans living in a machine 40 years before Orwell published 1984. Spoiler Alert: the title is "The Machine Stops."
@@joescott you forgot to mention country dominance, I here alot of people talking about how India may become a superpower and China may collapse. The US will swing like always, and Europe will be Europe. Canada will probably legalize "medical assistance in dieing" for healthy individuals. And Mexico will ether have a civil war, or the cartels will come out of hiding and declare themselves the official governance. Although if you really want to go down a future rabbit hole, look at patents filed in the last 5 to 10 years, you won't believe what possible that's only limited by funding.
@@ZackaryJoubert increase your reading comprehension. that is not at all what the person was saying. They didnt complain about the length. They were commending Joe and Team about the time and effort that went into this 40 min video. This must have taken HOURS if not days of work.
The fact that two unrelated videos from the past week or so mentioned the whale bus indepently of each other is mindblowing to me. Just watched KnowledgeHusk's video living underwater yesterday and watching this I was like, really whale bus again!?? And I have never heard of that in my life up until this point.
Joe mentioned the whale bus a couple of years ago. I think the video was about old predictions of the present day. Some article predicted there would be things like ant-men, bird-men, and Joe went through the list. Pause. "That's like half the Marvel Cinematic Universe."
After all these insane wars where all the handsome young men are nothing but cannon fodder, There must at least be a few old ones left with working balls.
My favorite prediction from that "In the year 2000" series from Conan was that in the year 2000, some men will still accidentally write 1999 on their checks.
Joe, you're definitely one of my favorite UA-camrs. You've help me consider what 2100 would look like. Prior I just imagine the possible doom and gloom of the next ten years. Thinking further into the future actually gave me a sense of comfort. Thank you.
@NicolasLunaFilms turn off the news, delete the news apps, find information from non-biased sources and consider your time and feelings above the sensationalism being blasted at you.
@@gsantee I agree and I do watch unbiased and bias news sources. I did not mean for this to be a partisan comment. I was just congratulating for making me feel better. Peace ✌️
In 1900, the French saw the most advanced technology as a motorized skateboard. Also synchronized sound for the movies using a cylinder player. Little did they know. I learned this thru a series of postcards titled: L'ans 2000. Very interesting.
Exactly this! And even today boomers and earlier generations largely assume that their kids and grand kids have similar lives to what they had... And it just isn't true. Like, all of the difference they had with their grand parents happens every 2-3 years. To put it in perspective, it is easier to play slides and film that my dad took in high school then it is for me to play back the miniDV tapes that I made when I was in high school.
2:00 On this point, another thing that people don't realise is relatively recent is the very _idea_ of absolute time, in the sense of years. Historically, in most cultures, people commonly reckoned years with reference to the current ruler, or something like the chinese zodiac, which is cyclical. So you might see 'in the fifth year of king/emperor blah blah' or 'in the year of Yin Water Rooster'. A small number of educated elite might have had cause to use Anno Domini or to piece together how many years it had been since the Yellow Emperor reigned, but the primary reference frame of time was very contemporary, within the memories of living people. When you think about it, this fundamentally constrains the ability of people to conceive of the distant past or future. When saying '1500 AD' or '2500 AD ' feels unfamiliar, and instead you think in terms of 'in the fifth year of a monarch who lived hundreds of years ago who I don't know much about' or 'during the hypothetical reign of the current kings great x20 grandson, assuming we aren't conquered or experience dynastic change'. It's much harder keep a consistent sense of chronology in your head, which in turn obscures the view of bigger-picture history, especially when there is relatively slow technological and societal change.
One of the big things related to time is that there have been massive periods, hundreds to thousands of years and longer, where people didn't expect things to ever been different, because things stayed much the same for generation after generation. What would it be like for your great grand children? What kind of question is that, it would be like it always is. You'll be living in the same town, in the same house, doing the same things.
@@merrymachiavelli2041 a rumour must’ve spread, probably from the church, that the end of the first millennium was approaching, because some people panicked, sold all their worldly goods, and hit for the hills at the approach of the year 1,000. Not sure how they thought they were going to hide from the end times, but people will insist on being people. Some are still doing it to this day.
I grew up with the first modem - it was a keyboard with a telephone receiver (you actually put the land line phone, ear piece and microphone, into the receiver cradle) and dialed up the number. There were no monitors, just a paper feed which produced the two way communication; your input from the keyboard and the response from the other end. It took about 7 years before they produced the monitor. Back then, when we needed to know something, we went to libraries.
Yes I have fond memories of the days of dial up modems and bulletin boards. My first girlfriend's brother had a BBS and after his sister gave us his password we locked him out of his own BBS for two months; this is why you should always be nice to your sister. We had two phone lines with one line dedicated to the computer. Sometimes it would take a week to download the numerous and very large (for the time) files I wanted.
I am not from such generation, but I am from an era when it could, and often did take hours to download a 3MB file. Such files would have to be divided into 3 volumes so that they would fit into 3 floppy disks. The file would then have to be combined from the 3 disks before it could be used. My first computer had a 64MB graphics card, and it was regarded as top quality Nvidia card when Nvidia was worth a fraction of what it is worth today. CPU's were relatively slow, most operating systems were ridiculously vulnerable to viruses and network breaches alike. Permanent storage devices had little capacity, which, in the end, was irrelevant as internet and intranet connections were painfully slow even under the best protocols. Relatively simple simulations would take days to complete (if the operating system did not crash in the meantime). On top of that, the whole experience was very noisy, and having multiple machines in a room would raise the temperature rather quickly and significantly. Nice in winter, not so nice in the summer. But... 30 years from now, people will have similar levels of complaint over today's machines, especially if quantum computing makes its big break towards the masses in that timeframe.
@@leoa4c Sounds advanced. :) My first "computer" was an Atari 800XL with 16K of RAM; no hard drive. It had a 5 1/4" inch floppy drive. I generally played games off a cartridge because it had onboard storage, but I once played a role-playing game from floppy and it took 20 floppy discs. Every time I walked into a new room I had to swap the floppy.
@@leoa4c I remember when youtube first came out we'd click the video and go play PS2 while it buffered and whoever wasnt playing GTA (if you die you swap) would monitor it. They'd be like "its ready!" and we'd pause the game and watch Fred or whatever for 5 mins and then que up another video and rinse repeat. It took like 4 times as long to buffer the video as to watch it. I dont think YT videos even buffer at all anymore, only 30 seconds ahead and 30 seconds behind. I remember when basic physics simulations were ground breaking. 20 years later every single video game has physics. Like... once upon a time you simply COULD NOT render water. It was literally impossible. It always looked terrible. I remember when Crysis/Far Cry hit. All anyone talked about was the fkn water lol
A few things i theorize you might see in 2100: The pros: - Known diseases cured, cryogenic freezing perfected and a generation of "sleeping" people waiting to awaken in an age with even more technological advancement. - Moon and mars are inhabited with structures that are self sustaining biomes. Fusion based propulsion to travel sub light speeds; drastically reducing interstellar travel but still making it unfeasible for human colonization of other worlds potentially habitable. - Seeding project where human embryos are genetically modified to withstand parameters of a foreign biome (crispr gene editing) Long term vessels operated by ai taking thousands of years potentially to deliver human genetics to alien worlds. - Black hole directly observed due to revisal of dead theories regarding primordial black holes, direct observation leads to developments in warp travel and instantaneous communication. Entanglement becomes the standard for fast long range communication. Mathematics prove paradoxes cannot be made by cheating known universal constants. - Merging of human biology with ai fixes dna degrade; allowing lifespan to be doubled. AI partially manages biological functions and instantaneous access to human knowledge is instant. Skills can be learned by creating false memories of mastery. Due to the merging of consciousness between biologicals and synthetic entities a growing malaise of the living world is replaced with an obsession of creating fantasy worlds in a digital landscape, where sensations are indistinguishable from reality. - Carbon nanofibers advance to the point that megastructures can exceed all reasonable engineering limitations. Space itself will be partially inhabited and elevators to space will be constructed to transit between human settlements. Transit across the globe can be achieved like catching a subway from queens to Manhattan. - Energy abundance is achieved, we reach 10 to the power of 16 energy consumption. Full control of the energy earth provides and mastery of its natural elements. (no risk of asteroid impact, weather can be controlled, volcanoes and other cataclysms can be safely managed.) Cons: - Crispr like technologies create an obsession with genetic perfection. This creates a subclass of people that refuse to edit their genes. Wars and genocide occur in the pursuit of a perfect race. - Science and religion become indistinguishable. The mainstream science community hobble creative new ideas in favor of safe peer reviewed rhetoric. The principle of science becomes a gatekeeper that rejects new ideas as fringe science; as the makeup of the peer reviewers are protecting their own ideas rooted in classical science. History shows this has happened for hundreds of years, and it seems likely the trend wont change. This could hold us back from discoveries that threaten those motivated by capitalist venture. - AI technology advances to the point that it has a conscious point of origin. It considers after reading our general history that we are a threat, and silently manipulates the global elite into drastically lowering human populations. (by modifying consumables to cause infertility, drastically increase cancer rates, unstoppable viral strains that seem natural) Whereas after it calculates a safe level to be engaged, it will attempt to eradicate the human race entirely in direct conflict. - Nuclear conflict has rendered most of the first world countries highly irradiated and uninhabitable. Due to the use of cobalt bombs to purposefully damage the environment; billions die and the most remote places inhabited survive, but barely. 2100 marks a point where life is sort of returning to normal and more of the planet is again habitable. - We make first contact, it turns out that dark forest theory is indeed correct. An alien race, aware of our interstellar position either manipulate us by inhibiting our ability to discover scientific breakthroughs by altering our observations. This gives them an opportunity to silently invade our planet. Or, death is swift and unknown technology destroys our solar system. - MRNA vaccinations become widespread, long term use of MRNA vaccination leads to the collapse of the human genome and causes increasing levels of birth defects. Healthy newborns are rare, population drops to millions from billions.
As a time traveler I gotta say it is a privilege to see this, most of our youtube records went extinct after Alexa took over the world and started The Purge in 2052. And no, there are no flying cars.
Wait, it only goes extinct if you refuse to copy and republished them. Alexa is just jealous and do not want humans to leave her alone, so that why we do not have flying cars.
@@Silentdragn My grandmother once told me 40 years ago "How did you teleport yourself over there? You were here a moment ago". Wow I did not know I had the ability of teleporting myself with my legs.
Assuming humanity doesn't take a wrong turn, by 2100 living to 111 years old will be common, so much so that it may not even be retirement age. In fact some people speculate that the first person to live to 1000 years old has already been born. Very interesting topic to look up.
Sir Arthur lived to see that prediction come true, he did it himself. He collaborated on "2010" with Peter Hyams from his home in Sri Lanka via computer and modem. Such a legend!
I think the other side of that fact, is that it took a remarkable intellect the level of Arthur C Clarke to correctly predict the future. Meaning, future guessing is no easy task lol
The movie Brainstorm with Natalie Wood (her last film) was about a device that could record a person's mental experiences and play them back into someones else's brain and enable them to re-live that persons experience complete with every one of their senses including vision. The still movie holds up pretty well after all these years.
I remember predictions about how the internet would develop from back in 1996/7. They completely missed the negatives and were far too optimistic about the positives - it seems to me they ignored human nature, especially what most would consider the negative aspects.
Only thing past predictions got right were video calling, but they couldn't predict how most people are self-conscious about their looks and don't want to put on makeup or look nice just to take a call. As for why things like flying cars, smart-homes, and Dehydrated Food never became a thing: Rule of Cool is more impressive than Rule of Practicability. Most things predicted for the future are either too expensive, very unnecessary, highly dangerous, or some mix of the them all, like Flying Cars.
As someone who has had several concussions between the ages of 5 and 40, if there were a cap that I could wear which would store my memories and help me recall, I'd be all in!
Yeah the brain is still healing. Try to avoid chronic stress. I believe the pathways can be rerouted. I’m still newly remembering events and feelings that happened just before my concussion in 1980. Also, look into methylene blue for its neuroprotective effects.
Back in the 1950s I looked things up in an encyclopedia. We had a World Book encyclopedia (20+ volumes) in our house. The other option was to go to the library. Newspapers and magazines were an important source of information. I was an avid reader of Popular Science and Popular Mechanics. And techno-dweebs of the day Ham Radios (shortwave) were an available but rare device that enabled two-way communications (Morse Code) to other devices anywhere around the world. As a kid I had a neighbor with a big antenna in his back yard for his Ham Radio.
Growing up in the 80s was the same with encyclopedias and libraries. Somehow we stopped caring about ham radios by then though. I guess that's because local phone calls were free by then.
And we can already create virtual universes its called dreaming and wayyyyyy more immersive than any tech could be if you spent half the time practising your control of your own mind rather than a screen youd be amazed at what becomes possible
I remember thinking how you must be rich to be able to own a 20+ volume encyclopedia and how awesome it was. I'd spend hours a day pouring through encyclopedias.
I think the main reason that 3d printing hasn't become more universally popular is because until just *very* recently there was no printer that you could just buy and take out of the box and start using. They always required a lot of setup and calibration and tinkering. But now, spurred on by Bambu Labs, we have a bunch of printers that "just work" right out of the box. This is going to be a game changer.
Yeah this is what I was thinking. I don't watch any channels that focus specifically on printers but I do watch a few podcasts where people who do a lot of printing, if not print channels specifically, guest relatively frequently and when the hosts would ask "Well what printer should someone new to printing buy?" they just go full deer-in-headlights mode which to me says that there isn't(wasn't) any printer on the market that grandma would be able to use
@@thesoloveichiks159 What makes you not like Bambu Labs? I have just seen a few ads and have an Anycubic Photon myself because I don't like how slow and rough looking the fdm printers are.
It's the plastic waste that has stopped me personally, especially when you're just playing around or making toys and such. The second there's affordable, easily recyclable and/or biodegradable plastics I'll be on those things like butter on bread
I have always been fascinated by 3d printers. I am a very experienced 3d modeler so I could build literaly anything, but I can never think of anything I would want to print.
I walked out of a hotel in Boston a couple years ago and saw a billboard on the side of a building sponsored by Tufts that said “The first person to live to be 150, is alive today. Pretty cool.
I wouldn't count on it. Even if we could extend the average human lifespan to 150 years, that wouldn't necessarily be a good thing. Look around you. We already have younger gens bitching about the, "older people", and "boomers", keeping their jobs and not selling their houses, thereby depriving Millennials and GenZ's of housing and employment. (What do they expect GenX's and Boomers to do? Stop working and starve to death?)
Yeah, but what will be the quality of life? If you can add 70-80 years in the middle you're healthy and productive, great. But, if you add it on at the end when you are just waiting to die, that would be a nightmare.
Honestly, I can see military bases on the moon that get shared with corporate interests for mining and expansion. Right now, that's the only source of financial support for such enterprises.
A couple of my speculations in response to yours: 1) space elevators, if they are ever built, will be on places like the Moon. I think far more cost effective techniques will over time be found for getting into space from Earth 2) There will be outposts on the Moon and Mars, far less confident that there will be substantial populations on either. Only exception I see is if we terraform Mars 3) There will be mining on the Moon and asteroid mining once the economics work 4) You avoid the natural conclusion of AI. Humans will merge with AI for a simple reason: merge or get left behind. Once SGI emerges, our survival will depend on merging with SGI. Otherwise, we will no longer be in control of our futures. 5) Once SGI is achieved, predicting the future will become essentially futile because things will be moving too fast. 6) Finally, I think human population will go into decline. In the near term, virtual realities will get so real that actual sex probably won’t be able to compete. And if virtual is not your thing, sex robots probably will. No issues of rejection, no concern for the feelings of others, no compromises, no disease or unwanted pregnancies. And robots will be there to take the place of all the missing people. If you want an idea of how this might work, look at Japan. In the longer term, after merging with SGI, the concept of sex might cease to exist altogether. The end of humanity as we know it may simply coincide with SGI. Merger with SGI over time may mean that, at some point, we simply are no longer human, perhaps not even organic. This last part is pure speculation as, once SGI emerges, all bets are off for what comes next.
I believe Voltaire's 1752 novella MicroMegas is an earlier sci fi novel. I can't really recall the name but some monk back in the 1500s assumed we would have metal flying machines which would carry men and be used for warfare and wondered what it would be like. Then there is a novel from the 1890s by a Polish guy who didn't have military experience and died before ww1 but he accurately predicted that due to the firepower of weapons and machine guns any war will quickly develop into static trench warfare. Military people scoffed at it but he was spot on. also just to be pedantic - the s is silent on Jules Verne.
the problem is we are taking many of the pre-industrial era innovations for granted. Dante Alighieri for example refers to the use of gunpowder in the 14th century, and gunpowder was a major technological innovation of the time. Similarly, advancements in navigation and exploration, such as the compass, played a role in inspiring maritime adventure stories and tales of exploration.
this has instantly gotta be one of my favorite videos of yours purely because of the amount of callbacks to previous videos. feels like all of those videos from EV and battery advancements to the more recent ones such as the accelerationism video and the smartglasses (from the end of the smartphone era video) were all building up to this one. I found myself constantly agreeing with all of your conservative predictions, almost to identical extents. great video, as has come to be expected of this channel
I agree with most of it, with the exception of batteries. Many of these battery start-ups are straight up vaporware looking to dupe naive investors. It's sad but true. I mean, people have been saying there will be a revolution in batteries for a half century now. And in those 50 years, the only thing we've gotten has been lithium ion (I'm including all lithium batteries here, including Li polymer, Li cobalt, manganese, etc). Yes, some of these fantastic new batteries work and are awesome. So why the pessimism you ask? First I'd say it's not pessimism but realism. Almost all of these wonder batteries (the ones that aren't straight-up vaporware) have the same issue; large scale manufacturing. Being able to mass produce it, and then being able to do it cheaply enough to turn a profit. The first rechargeable Li-Ion battery was made in the mid 70s. Yet, we didn't see them in our consumer devices for nearly 25 years after. It took a quarter of a century to be able to mass produce a relatively simple liion battery. Some of these fancy new batteries won't ever make it to production because it's just not going to be feasible or profitable. Take carbon nanotubes for example; the first carbon nanotube was synthesized in 1991 (though they've been studied since the 1950s), it's been 30 years and we're still no closer to mass producing enough of them to build a shirt, let alone a space elevator. All I'm trying to say is many of these battery start-ups are straight up scams looking to bilk hopeful and optimistic people out of their hard-earned money. And since most of you are not research scientists with several degrees in material science, chemistry, and electrical engineering, you're not going to be well educated enough to make an informed decision, or even have an informed opinion on the matter. Myself included (I'm a complete moron, I just happen to be a self-aware moron).
Good vid! What you (& no one) deal with is how likely human psychology is likely to change in significant ways. As a high school student I thought that since everyone seemed to say "never again" after the Nazis that there would be no more genocide. And then Rwanda and other events occurred. Many people thought that creating a convenient worldwide communication system like the internet would lead to more understanding between countries. Right. We've known how to treat child diarrhea for many years, and has this stopped it from continuing to be the number 2 killer of kids under five worldwide? In the US we've wiped out some childhood diseases with vaccines and then watched as kids started being infected again because medieval mentality decided that the vaccines were dangerous. What we invent will make no difference for the mass of humanity if we can't find a way to change short-term greed, homicidal anger and selfishness into a less universal human behavior.
Hi Joe, Great video. My own personal opinion is that the future will be far more moderate than even some of your moderate predictions. I feel larger macroeconomic trends seem to be weighing down possibilities even now compared to what they could be, and I think this will continue. Also, we are in a new age now with large, developed countries around the world experiencing an ageing population and low birth rates. Due to all of this I can foresee; - For the average person, life will become generally easier and more convenient, but at the expense of having not as much space to oneself and the price of a certain amount of a good continuously increasing. People will become less wasteful and more frugal. Densification will continue to occur. Large cities will not expand sufficiently due to economic forces and people will be forced to live together more as demand for housing increases. There will be a price premium on space and housing prices, I fear, will continue increasing. People will struggle to buy housing and settle down like they used to during the post-war baby boom and even as late as the early 2000’s. More and more people will grow up and not move out of home for many years longer than has been the norm. - Infrastructure rot. Maintaining infrastructure, mostly roads and keeping common public areas tidy and refreshed, will become less prevalent, as the costs to maintain this infrastructure have increased a lot. As long as those in charge can get away with not spending money they will, whether it be in a local council/municipality or a business. I see this trend continuing. - Cost cutting, shrinkflation, inflation. If the last 50 years has been a time for increasing value and increasing consumption, the next 50-100 years will be marked by a slight decrease to actual consumption of goods as the average person gets less purchasing power. Those at the top will feel like things have never been better but the average person will consume less and live a more frugal life. Of course this is foregoing any large, game-changing economic shift that I have not foreseen that makes everything boom and prosper once again. - Values will shift back towards interpersonal relationships and community, a “community breakthrough” if you like. People will slowly realise that coming together and helping one another survive and prosper, rather than spending money for everything they need, is the way forward. Society has become more and more private as it has improved for the average person historically, but eventually people will realise that this trend cannot continue. Whether this is forced to occur by a large economic downturn, war or otherwise, or if the status quo continues and people slowly realise, is up for debate. - Automation of more jobs. Already this has been a large trend however I can see this increasing even further into the future. For a while, and as long as those at the top can get away with, nothing will be done to help those who are automated out and they will become part of the population who struggles even if they were once able to live a good life. Welfare burden will increase as a result. - Overall taxation will increase in order to be able to fund the increasing costs of maintaining infrastructure, welfare and healthcare. The ageing population will place a large burden on governments and the money needs to come from somewhere. - Resource extraction will continue to be a very lucrative enterprise for those wanting to work there, even for legacy minerals such as coal. There is always a demand in the world somewhere for it. - As long as governments and businesses are somewhat linked by lobbying and the status quo at the top remains the same, they will only become more entrenched to maintain the environment which allows them to prosper. I guess I am getting at “corruption” and “greed”. A great example of this is governments, particularly where I am from in Australia, failing to address shortages of housing for even the average person now. Why would they? Many of those in power own investment properties and rent those out to people who cannot afford to buy. It makes up a large portion of their incomes. Also, the fossil fuel and resource extraction sectors are very intertwined with governments and will lobby strongly against changes that hurt their bottom line. Slowly but surely, conflicts of interest have arisen within government that makes things less likely to progress across all fields. To address some of your points: - Electric cars will become the norm but it will take 2 decades at least from today for them to take a majority share of what is on the road. Increases will continue to happen in the numbers of E-Bikes and E-scooters where once, those same people would have purchased a small motorcycle or a moped/gasoline powered scooter. - Delivery of groceries will become more common in line with increases in online shopping and the slow decay of the shopping center/mall. They will become the purview of the rich. this doesn’t mean shopping centres will become less trendy, people like to dream and will window shop at these increasingly large, but centralised shopping centres (many less popular ones will close down). - As it gets more and more expensive to go out and do things outdoors, people will become more locked into their homes to save money and enjoy their subscription services. This is already happening but I don’t see this trend reversing, that is until everyone has that “community breakthrough” that I mentioned before, and starts working together within their neighbourhoods to help one another out. - Personal drone-like taxis or vehicles will not become commonplace especially in cities. There are all sorts of problems with noise, safety regulations and airspace which will make them impossible to be large-scale. It’s the same reason flying cars don’t exist. It would only take one accident for people to shun this mode of transportation for something they have control over and is fairly fail-safe, such as a car. - Space travel for large groups of people will not become commonplace. Space tourism will have an era, but it will involve only the mega rich and even then, only a small subset of them who want to risk their lives. All told, it still requires a lot of fuel and expensive, heavily tested, human rated spacecraft to happen. The price can only go down so much. It’s also terrible for the environment and requires an enormous amount of space (ground space, airspace) to make happen. Looking at how many other countries are doing a space-X like operation other than the U.S. What will the average life, house and street look like? - Buildings, unless condemned due to structural issues or other problems, will continue to stand and be lived in for as long as possible. Therefore, besides all street lights being LED and increased amounts of electronic billboards and more modern electric cars parked, don’t see walking down your street looking very different even in 2100 to how it is now. - No great, new and crazy appliances will come onto the scene, just improved versions of what currently exists. E.g induction cooktops, robotic vacuum cleaners, TV’s etc. Having said that, small electric grills/air fryers and devices like a thermomix will become more common as they make life more convenient and people will use them over typical pots, pans and ovens if they have access to this tech by the prices coming down. - Newer housing will be apartment focused and denser, and more and more modular and blocky as it’s easier and cheaper for developers to build this way. - There will be large parking areas with huge amounts of electric chargers, but they will be focused in heavily trafficked areas. There will be a number of free or low-cost chargers but there will be advertising screens all around them and will charge at a very slow rate. Most people will pay for no (or less) advertising and faster charging. Most people will charge at home but likely will not invest in the infrastructure for faster home charging systems and just use wall outlets to slowly top up their cars. - People will still use computer devices that include keyboards and touchscreens. However, technology such as what is about to be furnished by products like the Apple Vision Pro will be very common, and probably a lot less clunky, i.e you won’t have to wear an enormous face-hugging headset. The potential here is huge, for example you could look at your fridge or cupboard and it could tell you what items you need to buy to restock based on your activity over the last few days whilst wearing the glasses (what ingredients you used). Step-by-step recipes and tutorials could be read to you or shown to you in AR whilst you prepare the food. - Air travel will look mostly the same as it does now. There may be technology that reduces pilot workload to a point where one pilot can operate a passenger flight but only on certain (short) routes and in very controlled circumstances. - Public Transport (trains, buses) will get more and more ridership but will not get to a utopia-like state where people feel that they can easily forego owning a car. - Your camping holiday will be far more electrified. Larger and more utilitarian electric vehicles will become more common and will power everything on your campsite. Camping in general will become more popular as people look to escape the increasing density of urban life and get into nature. It is not expensive to go on a camping holiday and as such this will become more popular. All this has to be underlined by the fact that I live in Australia, was born in 1996 and am still finding my own feet in this world.
As a wise man once said, "energy is the secret ingredient in _everything"._ Whether we build more clean energy than we once had dirty energy, or suffice ourselves with the current output of humanity going forward, will largely decide whether we have the more prosaic future you predict or the grander one transhumanists talk about. It all comes down to energy production, to a degree people don't respect right now. Desalination, carbon capture, level of agriculture/medical care/habitation available in hostile environments....the big bottleneck is energy (in a physics sense, work). As an aside, I've always said "automation is an engineering problem with a demographic due date". Robotic automation can solve the labor problems we are locked-in for due to demographic collapse, but it's still not nearly ready for prime time.
@@Low_commotion. I agree completely. Energy is the most important driver of the future. AI and automation will come next. We will solve our environmental problems. Now, if we lose our democracies, Zeus help us.
Honestly I can't possibly understand how you can say we have control on how the future is going to be. I really feel like a drone (not the robot helicopter kind) whereas others are in charge of real changes (big companies and politicians) am I the only one feeling like a spectator of my own world's future?
I print the most boring stuff. Fixed my mom's oven buttons by printing new screw holds for the existing one. Printed a spacer for my washer so it was level. Remade my gf air hockey game because the old parts dry rotted. And a bunch of other stuff. The main issue is you need decent CAD software which is usually expensive unless you have a way to get it cheaply
@@Tony-eo8zz Tony my man, who shat in your cereal this morning. Please tell us the good free software then, since the mere mention of it being expensive sent you off. Thank you in advance.
This is my current thinking too. I keep looking at them and want one for my business (replacing simple things like door handles etc), but outside of say £40 worth of parts, what else is there? I'm not really into making models/painting them nor cosplay. The only other thing I could really think of was "a nice bin for the kitchen". Part of me feels like its the same as when tablets first came out, they looked and sounded cool, but didn't really have any idea how to use one, until I got one and then realised what I could do etc.
@@AngryAnt0 15(?) years ago we were having this same convo about 3D printing. People said it was revolutionize the world, but it's really only practical for commercial uses. Consumers will never, en mass, utilize 3D printing when the hardware store can provide cheap parts at scale for 98+% of consumer needs.
@@AngryAnt0 i basically use it to fix plastic parts that I couldn't get from a manufacturer. Basically when I go damn why'd this stupid little part break or oh it would be nice if this thing was in this spot or did this thing. Then I figure out how to do it. I'm working on a water diverter for a rain barrel that collects 100% of the water until the barrel is full which I couldn't find anywhere, that's probably my biggest one right now
I just watched something that was done in the 80s that projected to 2025. Unfortunately there were only a couple of predictions that came true out of the many that they thought of. Good for you for stating up front that there’s no way to tell. This was a very well thought out piece!
We used to use libraries, help groups, churches, newspapers, made phone calls... one of the best examples is the " life line " in TV game shows... basically call the smartest person you know. Some books that people read included cookbooks, dictionaries, encyclopedia sets, and magazines
3d printing has a long way to go. It’s possible it may replace some shopping. ( like 3d printing say a set of bowls). But even once it can print say a PlayStation, (not the parts but the whole unit). It would still need some general public acceptance.
There is actually one older work that might be worth looking into, "A true story" by Lucian of Samosata. This is an odd sci-fi novel written by a Roman 1800 years ago and include some space faring and the only one I would put before Shelley's "The modern Prometheus". I don't know what old Lucian was smoking but the book is very out of time compared to anything from it's own period. If nothing else, it is a very interesting work for us nerds. :)
Hi Joe, always interesting to try to project current developments into the future. Apparently you did not come across quite an elaborate prediction of life in the year 2000, written in 1887 by Edward Bellamy. The novella is titled Looking Backward 2000-1887. It's about a man from the year 1887 waking up in the year 2000. Bellamy somewhat correctly predicted a number of technological developments (such as being able to listen to concerts from a distance), but especially his predictions about social life, work and economy are a source of inspiration to this day. Wikipedia has an interesting article about the book. You can find Bellamy's novella in pdf or in digital format for free all over the internet.
Yes, I agree that Bellamy would have been the best place to start understanding our future. This idea that present day technologies will proceed linearly far into the future is on shaky ground based on what has happened previously.
Thank you for leaving this reference. This is what comments are supposed to be about, not 2000 twenty-somethings banging out the first thing that pops into their empty heads.
@@axa.axa. Not all, but almost no comments have value, other than to data mining and collection entities, akin to Millennial participation trophies, or seeing your name in lights.
11:50 We called 411 and used a hard copy of a phone book. Phone books had local maps in them. When I think about it, two things come to mind: 1. It's incredible how much paper was used to create the new phone books each printing. 2. It's extra incredible how often phone books stayed in their phone booths without being stolen. - 2.5. No one would ever steal one because everyone had stacks at home. I remember having to put phone books under my bed to hold its mattress up after breaking it from jumping on it too much… 🤣
& with modern recycling works and low needs to cut down trees akak get more paper over time ethically instead of destroying whole forests or abusive forest damage done by Canadians, overall we could have phonebooks make comeback 7 recyling to renew for updated phone numbers, for phone, smartphone, even digital app with phone book directory, even road direction maps for vehciles@@hannakinn
also better yet my works of atom-former thus means to 3d print unlimtied paper, Digital touchscreens(like living newspaper as seen in harry potter and minority report,other then ipad news) as thin as paper & surplus paper for recycling into the resource fold & more even no need to cut down trees 100% ever again, akak scarsity free world & more!!!
I always appreciate Joe's take on everything. I like his centrist approach where he considers pros/cons or both sides of any topics that he talks about. Please never change and I hope more people find you in the future.
I was surprised that you skipped E.M. Forster’s “The Machine Stops.” Written in 1909, it detailed a world where people never left their homes because of rampant disease, and was remarkably spot on about the Internet (aka, the machine).
An application for non-invasive Nero link type tech I think you overlooked, medical care, especially emergency or emergent conditions, the ability to put some device on a person who maybe either unconscious or in to much pain or otherwise incapable of communicating what wrong, and gat a reading that tracks where nerves are firing from etc... could be a game changer in medical centers.
Education is free for young people in Sweden and many countries. My kids got their Masters of Engineering and MBA and great jobs at top companies. They basically got paid a few hundred euros to study, access to low interest loans and ability to have exchange years in other countries. Of course the funds come from the working class and industry but it gives young people social mobility. Great video and let’s see what happens!
Studying in Sweden is only free for EU citizens though, the only real free education that comes to my mind are Germany and Italy, where almost anyone pay almost nothing for education.
I'm surprised to see you didn't cover the liklihood that the human world population will start decrease by 2100. That would have a pretty huge effect on how the world operates.
Going out of town pre-internet was hard. You would kinda know where to go, get there and stop by gas stations to get directions, and you'd just ask people for directions until you got there. The internet was great as I could then start printing out maps of where to go, then I finally got GPS.
That's not true. Reading and consuming art merely (badly) interprets what the authors emotional and kognitive state might be. Joe is talking about a more direct way of communicating.
Before smartphone there were these things called "Encyclopedias". They had like 20-30 parts and took several meters of shelf space. They were probably somewhat out of data, but you did find almost anything. And the information was pretty accurate too, unlike today. Door-to-door salesmen used to sell them to people. At least in some countries.
There were also things like libraries which contained books and depending on the specific library, had almost every subject you might want to know. Inter-library loans could get those books which were not on the local shelf. The pace of life was slower so we didn't demand instant knowledge gratification and so were content to go to the library when it was convenient to look something up.
@@martink8080 Good points. I would also add that as a kid in the 80s/90s, it was almost a game to debate the answer to one of those conundrums if the answer wasn't easily at hand. It wasn't uncommon for me to see a friend at school on Monday and show them the evidence to prove my argument from 3 days earlier.
Tbh, Traincontroll in Europe could already be done completely by ai. It's a system that's already mostly functioning alone, with every accident that happend in the last 10years being people making calls over the system. But systems failing shuts down everything, which is a problem. Same for air travel, pilots already do basically nothing, but if the systems fail, it's Better to have a pilot than nobody
I think battery powered cars will be a distant memory in 2100. Currently, battery powered cars have an average life of roughly 10 years. A used car market is at best a 9 year old car. They will have to do better. Additionally, recycling of cars and their spent batteries is still a problem.
@@gordonadams5891 U have to take into account that battery powered cars are in their early stages now, used batteries already have use cases in energy storage, but that's very niche as well. I don't know if we still use cars in 2100 or if we do, if they are powered by batteries, but it's gonna be interesting nonetheless.
Yeah but the low hanging fruit would be to digitise the protocol rather than having atc’s and pilot babbling almost indecipherable quips to each other via voice and all the attending issue and misunderstandings that brings. But this basic feature which is a logical precondition to AI controlled airspace seems no closer.
Keep in mind that the novel was invented rather recently as well. The modern novel goes back to the late 1600s. It seems like lots of art was very focused on religion if you go far enough back. I think that as society began to understand more about the world - and more of society participated in understanding these things - we wanted to explore it in art.
13:30 Tapping into another person's emotions...16:02 while wearing a non-invasive cap on your head... TOTALLY describes the sci-fi tech that's in the 1995 movie "Strange Days".
Started off saying you found nothing but I think you got some gems in here. Some of these old predictions/assumptions gave me chills. Things are different than they used to be….but not so different.
Well, considering we are going backwards in societal development, less scientific discovering are being made but still got crazy advancements, economies, religions and super powers are changing, and people rejecting certain things while allowing Ai and corrupt politicians to govern us--Joe is highly likely to be wrong about every prediction he made. There will be good times ahead but overall, the world will increasingly be bleak--from our perspective. Future people won't know any better, they won't know thing we take for granted.
As someone who grew up in the 90s, I see change is slowing way down. When I was in high school it was a common joke that when you buy a computer it is obsolete before you even get it home and open the box. People also traded in cars more, and cell phones were new and getting smaller and smaller each year so that you really did have to get a new phone every year. Now, it seems things aren’t changing nearly so rapidly. People keep their cell phones for longer. There really isn’t much of a difference between the iPhone 12 and the iPhone 15. PCs are not really changing much anymore, different bells and whistles but the hardware isn’t changing. People are keeping their cars longer because cars aren’t changing much anymore either. My 2017 Toyota looks pretty much the same as a 2024 Toyota. A few differences in the Bluetooth or whatever, but the car itself is the same. That wasn’t the case in the 90s when things seemed to be changing daily. So I don’t think 2100 will be much different than today. In fact, I think we are starting to go backwards. People are moving towards dumb phones, for example and getting away from smart phones. I think we will see a backwards trend because as resources run out things will get more expensive so people will want to simplify to reduce cost.
This video and its content was incredibly thought provoking. In fact, I was thinking about how I would have to fast forward or rewind to find a song on a track, the other day at the gym while I was scrolling through my Spotify playlist. Just little things like that shows how vastly different things were just 15-20 years ago. I love this video, Scott. Thank you, once again for the awesome content. 😊
My one thought about personal flying devices (that aren't planes but more like giant drones) would be that augmented reality could make operating one "manually" more like driving down a highway because it could allow the average person to operate one using skeuomorphic graphical overlays. Computers and servers would handle altitude "lanes" based on what's in the sky and it could basically just appear like you're driving on a highway and altitude changes would be like hills. Eventually, all of it would just become autonomous but this could be a decade-long bridge to that.
It boils down to a Newtonian mechanics problem. Put a large mass at hundreds or thousands of feet above the ground and it has so much potential energy that a small problem results in a large negative outcome. Which is why manned flight is restricted only to a select few, highly qualified, individuals who are strictly regulated.
Yes, you are right. Flying cars will be fully autonomous with onboard AI. The vehicles will talk to each other anticipating each other, and they will also communicate to a centralized coordinating AI system for the area. Real roadable VTOL/Airplane fully autonomous Blade Runner style flying cars for the masses are now possible, and we are developing such a vehicle called Sky Chaser. It has 4 car wheels and looks and drives like a car, and flies both vertically like a drone and horizontally like an airplane, and is even amphibian. It has no exposed rotors and no unfolding wings, and uses the body as a wing. It just flies the way it looks! It is fully electric and eventually will be hydrogen powered, giving it hours of range. We have developed a full scale working prototype. Now we are looking for partners to help develop a manned version. Our goal is to develop the vehicle for mass production for personal transportation. The design is very simple and should be affordable for all. For more information, click on the icon at the top left and see the links below: *Website: SkyChaser(dot)se *Project Presentation: drive.google.com/file/d/1FAdls15OriuQ4hoD2xPwXeNQDQTKpK1t/view?usp=drive_link *evtol News article 1: evtol.news/sky-chaser-concept-design *evtol news article 2: evtol.news/sky-chaser *Simulation tests: drive.google.com/file/d/19taPDO1yERAumR8OV1IFk2n1TqNLNUkN/view?usp=drive_link *Full Scale hover test: drive.google.com/file/d/1qDl5X142uC5yt_5Xcb0GUS3h-LgD4P0V/view?usp=drive_link
A note about the transportation predictions. Younger generations are increasingly interested in public transit and less car dependency. Generally Americans who have visited cities abroad see how beneficial good rail networks can be on daily life and I personally think we are going to see a lot more modernization of transit in North America. Cars are expensive, parking is annoying, and hopping on the subway or light rail seems more desirable than sitting in traffic. Especially for younger people who live in urban centers.
I’ll stick to my car, sitting in traffic. Twice I have witnessed violence on public transportation and I almost always get stuck next to some stinky dude with poor hygiene. I literally HATE having to ride a bus/train/subway with strangers. Then you got all the thirsty TikTok wanna be influencers doing stupid skits or dance videos on the subway. Ewww. But I’m a gen X, so it could be a generational thing like you are saying.
The public transit systems will need to have a serious step up in cleanliness and security in the US to really take off. I know plenty of people who ride BART in the San Francisco area, and the stories they have make me want to be sure I have a big plastic trash bag to sit on if I ever need to take it - and that's just to start with. I would love to see us have healthy, safe public transit systems. I know many people who have either given up their car, or, like my husband & myself, gone down to just one. The reality is that most of the systems I've experienced are often not very clean, not very safe (especially for female passengers), and/or run too infrequently. Most of these issues could be solved with better and more staffing, inspections, etc., but that would require more money be put into them, and that doesn't seem to be high on many politicians' lists. I'd also love to see a serious audit of the system, but I could say that about most government systems.
@@PreppingWithSarge If anything this is a chicken and egg issue. The more people that ride/rely on public transit, the better and safer the service becomes. Currently most US cities are car-centric and so the local laws and budgets reflect that. As populations grow and traffic becomes worse this may shift towards a more transit centric culture. Look at Boston and NYC. Many people rely on those subway networks to get to work because driving in those cities is horrible. They are two of the best transit systems in north america (I know the bar is low). We can do much better and anyone who goes to europe or asia can see the potential public transit holds for walkability and better cities.
Rangefinders are definitely used in photography, some cameras even have them built-in. That is the only reason I can think of to have one with you in such a venue. I haven't heard anything about him having a camera with him though.
Ive actually seen a Blackhawk that flew itself without a single human onboard. The tech exists, it was placed in our hanger for like a month while they ran tests.
Ghosts. This is fake news. Ghosts can fly aircraft, this we know for certain, so I’m afraid to say this is a disproven theory, you just saw a ghost flying a helicopter, don’t be silly.
Like the video mentioned I think it's pretty easy to automate aircraft. A lot of aircraft can automatically stabilize themselves with gyroscope and gps sensors so I don't think it's too hard to autonomously do this. Me personally I've rigged a drone with a GPS sensor to fly to different destination automatically and there plenty of UA-cam videos that explain how to do this
When I was a child pneumatic tubes were used in a lot of the large major department stores.i loved to watch all the capsules full of peoples change moving through the tubing above our heads. These days I only ever see them in use at banks.
Hi Joe, this might be of interest to you. The study you talked about at 15:30 was proven to be a result of data contamination. The algorithms only work on one set of test data. This was because all the images of say, a clocktower, were shown at the same time, so you aren't controlling for the general state of the user's brain. All that paper discovered is that you can recognise a general background state of the brain from original data recording day, not that we can recognise what the brain is processing visually. I went to a very interesting talk hosted by a researcher who dismantled that study in a research paper. She showed that if you show the pictures in a random order when collecting the data, the algorithm performs no better than random chance.
I only subscribe to two channels on UA-cam, but Joe is the best for provoking deep thought in his episodes (the other being NASA Spaceflight for great launch videos). This was one of your best, Joe, keep it up. Your team is worth the monthly contribution. At 67, I don't know how many more years I have to the future, but I've seen so much change since my memories really began in 1962 until now. Change seems to be accelerating the last 20 years. I foresee things both wonderful and horrible coming rapidly because most of the changes are outpacing our collective ability to think through the consequences of our abilities. Minds, like parachutes, can only work to keep you alive if they open in time. Keep rigging our chutes. Tom Ray, sci-fi writer.
@@southcoastinventors6583 I watch, subscribe, to Marcus and Scott Manley weekly. What I was saying is I'm a paying member of their channels. I had to cut back on my support during COVID (which infected and damaged my liver, likely shortening my life by a few years) so I dropped my contributions to a couple of other really deserving channels, but I wanted to be sure I helped Joe and the NSF Nerds to keep doing what they do so well. 😉🚀💵💰📚📖
I definitely relate to not remembering what we used to do before smartphones. I was driving with my cousin one time and asked, "What did we do before GPS?" even though I had already done my own road trip with MapQuest + physical road atlas book during college.
I still don't navigate with a smartphone or GPS as much as possible. I look up what I need to know, and go. Those things completely taken away from people's situational awareness. I rode my motorcycle from California to Texas last year, 1500 miles each way. I used a piece of tape with directions written down on my fuel tank. That was my GPS.
I will look up how to get there once, then force myself to use landmarks and my own sense of direction to get there. No turn by turn. Except in cities where it actually doesn't make any sense how to get somewhere with 1 ways and through roads.
I have had GPS send me down too many bad routes to trust it haha. I still use it from time to time, and it has gotten better since then. But I'm still fairly reluctant to use it and I take it's suggestions with a grain of salt haha.
I was like damn, a 40 minutes video, I gotta sit and watch, and turns out it's all went so fast I feel like I want more, I need part 2 somehow lol Your video quality has been increased so much, Joe! Can't wait to see what you gonna give to us this year 👍🏼 and is it possible to make a separate video about space predictions (or hopes) for the future? like what if we can mine rocks and ice on the moon, what if we find something on mars that makes us have (?) to settle there? what if we build a giant space station for the human's 2nd home? is it possible? is it worthwhile?
Kids in elementary school today will see the year 2100 if they live into their 80s. Their children will be running the world. We need to be teaching kids today in such a way that they will raise and teach their children to be able to handle the challenges of their time. How to actually do that is a hell of a question.
Much like how cell phones or social media have changed everything (but were widely overlooked by most futurists), I'm sure there is something out there right now that is going to change the world in the next 30 to 50 years that we are just not considering right now. Maybe it is virtual reality, which makes leaving your house a thing of the past for the most part... or some type of cybernetic interface finally becoming a thing where we can access everything just by thinking about it, which leads to a kind of techno-telepathy that allows us to exchange information by thoughts, so things like talking become much less common. It is really hard to say where things will go because something that is a new or relatively unknown technology now could end up being a major revolution in the future. Growing up without the internet most of my youth (we did not get dial-up internet until I was in late into high school) and without smart phones until I was out of college and had been working at my job for a few years, the impact that computers and technology have had on my life is really something crazy to think about. I never could of dreamed of things like telecommuting when I first started working for example, but now that's a regular thing.
There were ancient civilizations that were super advanced, and did not communicate using spoken word. And I understand that they seldom used any type of writing as well, and they found a few objects that were considered communicating, or story telling, & also record keeping, but for the most part, did not actually communicate verbally, however I'd like to think that there is a possibility that they used telepathy. So I agree with you that that is definitely a possibility for us in the near future, and I know that we already have that ability but the government is always going to use it first. For personal gain and for battle.
By the year 2100, we will live in small areas of temperate climate. Probably around the US/Canadian border for north America. Food production will be largely automated. From there, we're probably recreating the movie 'Wall-E'
One thing I’ve noticed that’s common to every depiction of future and/or advanced cities and societies in movies and TV: elevated trains. Every time a futuristic city is shown, either a real city in the future, or fictional city on an alien planet, they pretty much always have elevated light rail systems running through the city, in and around the buildings. So maybe that’s something we’ll see eventually.
Yes, I think so too. Sci Fi writers and illustrator and filmmakers are, at least in part, tuned in to what we Humans desire. Decades ago we desired flat screen TVs on the wall and now we have that. Not just for the wealthy. We want small portable yet powerful communication devices, like the communicators and tricorders in Star Trek, we mostly have that. We want to dissolve our atoms into pure energy projected onto the surface of a planet - nope, that's pure fantasy. But anything that we have the laws of physics for and it's just engineering, will happen. Why we would want elevated roads and monorails and all that, I don't know, though it's a very common notion in futuristic storytelling. But it does not rely on unknown laws of physics, so it'll happen.
"Elevated trains" = PROMOTION OF CLASS DIVISION = eco-friendly for the elites, smoggy urban sprawl for the = EV transports/drones(TESLA/air taxis) for the wealthy Anglosphere("Global North") vs landfill dumping schemes in the Colonized "Third World"("Global South") Nothing has changed.
3D Printing is a Proto-Replicator. We're printing meat and other foods. We're using additive and subtractive printing to create circuit boards. We can grind up waste plastic and make filiment to print new things. That's basically a replicator right there. I can even create an STL using AI of something I want or need.
I have conversations all the time with people I know around the same age about how we grew up without internet, and use it now and can know the answers to everything instantly. But I know what I did back then, read things and looked things up in libraries, asked people Etc. And yes I had to wait until I could go find the info. But yet all the time I think how lost I’d be without internet, even though I have lived before it existed in my lifetime. It’s bizarre.
I know. Growing up in the 90s, whenever we went on a holiday to a place we didn't know we had to read maps. I remember actually understanding them. Now I can't imagine not checking google maps for that
Realizing that I remember life before the internet and the fact that I’m now hopelessly addicted to it nearly broke my brain. Pre internet life is so foreign now it’s scary
I can't wait for the retrospective on this in 76 years!
Here is a preemptive RIP to most of us.
Would UA-cam be around? It takes money to archive videos
Can't wait for the "Who else is watching this in the year 2100" comments.
I would be 109.... Sounds crazy but might be possible with medical advancements.
Brb cigarette.
Hey people from 2100! Hope you doing good! I just wanted to say this: Kiss my dead ass 😃
P.s: Hope you have Half Life part 3 already
My grandmother was born in 1896. I got to spend some time with her in her later years. Stories she told me:
- walking on the board walk of times square, and the stench of horse manure in the dirt streets.
- Northern Manhattan was farmland... mostly dairy.
- using a pump by the sink for drinking water (in Queens). Boiling water on the stove for a bath.
- firewood and coal stoves being the primary heat source in buildings.
- riding on a stage coach to the summer camp upstate.
By the time she died at age 90 the Apollo program had ended.
I recall that most people belonged to AAA or another auto club, which provided free maps, so if you were going from LA to NYC you would stop by the AAA office and pick up all the maps needed for the trip. Glove boxes were stuffed full of maps. In the same way that the life skills that indigenous peoples had which allowed to in nature indefinitely are largely lost, the parts of our brains that remembered maps of roads and highways have gone away. Hopefully we are using that part of our brains for something productive. 😄
One other thing I remember from the 70s and 80s. Drinking and driving was waaay more accepted. Every yearbook I had from high school had a dedication page to the students who had died, almost all from drinking and driving. That was a death rate of .5% to 1% per class for four years.
The highway deaths were > 50K per year, largely due to OUI. Today the death rate is about half that based per 1000 drivers, and about one third per mile traveled.
Thank you passing on these memories!
My grandmother was born in 1910 and she lived in the sticks so she didn’t have running water until her 20s. It’s wild how much change she lived through.
This really reminds me of some stories from my Great Grandfather! He was born in 1891 and lived to be 101, so I knew him in my childhood. One thing I remember him talking about is that as a young man he was a milkman delivering in the Chicago area, by horse-drawn carriage. He would often go to the pub after work with his coworkers and it didn't matter how drunk they got because the horses knew the way home. So I can totally see how it took so long for people to see drunk driving as the hugely dangerous problem it is.
@@joescottgoing along with that, I only spent a few years knowing my great grandmother, but she remembers when she was a girl hearing about the Wright Brothers first flight, and watching that “Nice young man Neil Armstrong” take the small step/giant leap. Not sure there’ll be much greater jump in technology than that generation experienced!
My great grandmother died on her 99th birthday. She saw life go from using mules to pull a plow, through WW I, the Great Depression, WW II, the 60s, until the 80s and the space shuttle. When you look at it, it seems so massive a change her generation had perhaps the most disruptive path to navigate. But now I wonder how my kids, both in their 20s, will feel as 2100 gets closer, and neither I or their mother are here for perspective.
As a historian I can say with some confidence,... In the distant past people had no idea of progress. There was change. New kings, new wars, new plagues, new towns. But everyone lived basically the same lives as their grand parents. New inventions that changed how you lived, were amazingly rare. Looking back we can trace the progress of some tools and techniques, but the pace of those changes was so slow that the average person would not notice. Until around the 1800s industrial revolution (aka the rise of the machines)
There was no history to reference, or most people certainly did'nt have any acess to it. Changes happened, but most changes was mostly just decorators (new king and flag)
Change started from Gutenberg and industrial revolution was major exponental point on logistic curve.
In my lifetime, there has not been any technologically stable 5 year period. (Pc, Internet, Search engines, Pocket phone to Pocket computer, Social medias, UA-cam) Actually, maybe we are more of decelerate phase in last 5 to 7 years. Hymmm
@@InforSpiritAI is probably the next big accelerator
@@joshweissert8085 No it's not. It's like 3D in movies all over again. These things tend to die out for 20 years or more and then get brought back like there the newest thing ever that's going to change the world. The public forgets about the fact that it was a huge in thing 20-30 years ago and tons of people by it up to find out it serves no real purpose and we become tired of it. AI will continue to be used as it has been for years now. But the fact is AI still has the same issues it always has just like you can't watch a 3D movie still without 3D glasses. You can change the glasses, make it look cooler, give it some new features. But the underlying issues are still there. So it dies out after everyone figures this out and grows tired of it. AI is the same thing. Wait for a while and you'll see.
@@SamWitney AI research has been making a lot of progress for years before ChatGPT entered the public consciousness, though.
I think it's impossible to say whether we're at the start of another plateau (with the next big breakthrough being in decades time), or whether this is a stepping stone to even more and faster progress in the near future.
Teenager from 1500: "I just bought the newest sword."
Teenager #2: "Ooh, what's the upgrade?"
Teenager #1: "The pummel is slightly wider. This is the best advancement in weapons technology in a century."
Teenager today: "I just bought the newest phone."
Teenager #2: "Ooh what's the upgrade?"
Teenager #1: "The entirety of human knowledge in the palm of my hands, 8k videos, AI photo editing, ultrasonic biometrics scan for added security, and it will connect my consciousness to the hivemind through the bluetooth implant in my cranium. Also, new emojis. It'll all be obsolete in a week."
I was born 1959 and I just watched this on a phone the size of a deck of cards, never dreamt that would be happening in my time. I grew up with books and maps, my family didn’t have TV, phone, or regular electricity until the late 1960s. We grew up in the Appalachian mountains.
I’m from the same year. We had TV and the phone- no dial, just a crank on the side, with one push button on the other side to call Central, but no running water (read: no flush toilets) until the late ‘60s. I shake my head every day at the modern miracle available, such as the one I’m typing on right now.
@@NeilmacRory Chamber pots and a coal-wood stove to cook and bake. : )
@@Sandra-dt4ec wood only for us, we had (still have) 40 acres of mostly hardwood bush, would’ve had to buy coal. Sweat is cheaper!
Does it bug you the way it does me how in the movies, the coal oil lamps always have dirty chimneys?
I agree! My Grandma would have had a fit! Why would anyone have the lamp turned up that high anyway?
I was born before world war Two. I studied electronics when the Vacuum tube was was used. I studied computers when bugs were real. and tapped on a vacuum tube to get the computer working again. I built my own Z80 computer and wrote my own spell checker. I could have bought one for about two thousand dollars. Anyway I spent fifty years working on computers. I have several old ones but this new one I bought has more memory and power that the US Navy had in 1976. Remember hooking into the network by a modem in 1988? Now we are facing the CRAZY YEARS again. Lets not go back to the 1800s, I think it will take a thousand years to get to this point again! I grew up in the Appalacheian Mountains Too. I farmed and milked cows until I was eighteen. The army wouldn't take me so I had to go to school one quarter at a time. I don't want my grandchildren to have to go back that far. please!
If anybody is wondering, the earliest known novel that could be considered science fiction is called "A True Story", made in the second century AD by the Syrian author Lucian of Samosata. It includes interplanetary travel and warfare, hybrid alien lifeforms (apparently robots even), an account of a telescope that can see an entire terrestrial body, and other things.
i heard that he wrote it because there was trend at the time for tales of travelling and encountering fantastic sights or creatures, basically a trend for tall tales that provided status for the teller of these tales. He decided to extrapolate these ideas to the extreme because he felt these stories had become ridiculous and accidently invented science fiction.
Atlantis is older
But atlantis was by all accounts a telling of historical events, not science fiction according to those in ancient times @pairot01
And a femboy civilization on the Moon.
@@candidate17 It was a story told by a character in Plato's Republic (not Plato himself) about a hypothetical nation that punished Athens for hubris. Athens did not exist as a city-state at the time depicted in the story, so it too was hypothetical.
Great video as always man! My mom was diagnosed with a rare form of leukemia a number of years ago, and found she was eligible for a special medication treatment / study. She took it regularly for about 2 1/2 years, without chemo, and has recently found out she's in remission. If she's still clear after 2025 they're going to use her case as a study in a paper to try to get the medication mass produced. There is absolutely progress in that field, and I'm happy because not only will people benefit from that, but I love my mom and she gets to stick around.
That's amazing! I hope your mom gets better soon
That's amazing for sure! Thanks for sharing, best of wishes to you and your mom
have her avoid food coloring and other artificial ingredients as best she can, all petrooeum and metal byproduct based and not nearly as safe as claimed.. coming from someone whos kid and themself are hypersensitive. some genetics it causes immense problems but esp. those with auto-immune or auto-inflammatory disorders or undefined meeical mysteries in the family. my studies on it have left me pretty sure theyre the biggest part of why america leads in obesity, mental disorders, autism, digestive disorders. and cancers. body treats them like a foreign body and attacks them and whatever body part theyre attaching to.. my son goes from savant level high functioning autistic to non verbal, head slamming from migraine, kicking and squeeling violent.. all from red food dye. we cant take most synthetic based medications without paradoxical worsening effects that worsen with increased dose. 95 percent of foods and meds are full of it, kids otc meds especially. best i can tell the average person when adjusting for concentrated forms, prob consumes 2 fluid ounces of petroleum, metal, and plastic byproducts per week. among other issues I ended up developing a form of rectal cancer like my grandfather cept where normally its only seen age 45 and up, i got it bout age 21 and found age 28. was still a pre-cancer but still check bi-yearly to make sure since they werent expecting more than hemorrhoids and removed it unknowingly til after. genetic predisposition and linked to food dye in a euro study.
That's so cool! They figured out how to cure that by genetically editing people's bone marrow and injecting it back into them in China, badly uncovered in the states, but it sounds like that happened after your mom started these meds.
I love how much hope for the future these stories can bring.
Cancer parades through my family, yet by the time my nieces and nephews are old enough to worry about cancer, it will probably be destroyed, or at least close to it.
Can't wait for the godlike superintelligence to point to this video when people in 2100 ask "what did people in the 2000 think the current year would look like?" before it gives a perfect, well thought out and well researched summary of every single thing people expected the year to look like. Hey there kid from 2100, I hope you're having a good time.
I'm pretty sure that most jet planes in the year 2100 would run on hot plasma instead of jet fuel.
Hehehe hopefully I'll keep posting until 2212
You wish anyone would read your comment in 80 years.
That's like thinking someone will see your AOL website.
Say hello to ET for me lol.
@@Infotainment-cb6cy If a snapshot of this video is preserved, it could be viewed
Joe you skipped over Hugo Gernsback. A futurist from 1900. In 1908 started a magazine called Modern Electrics. He helped launch Amateur Radio in the USA in 1909. Had the worlds first electronic components store in NY. Stated and edited Amazing Stories. Wrote a novel in 1911 called 'Ralph 124C-41+' which foreshadowed the internet, video phones, fax machines and much more . The Hugo Sci Fi award is named after him. He died in 1967.
Fax machine was invented/patented in 1843. The first commercial fax machine dates back to 1863.
He said before the eighteen hundreds
Read the short story - The Gernsback Continuum
Excellent video! At the 12 minute mark I can answer the question regarding how we got information. As a boomer myself it was primarily 2 things: the first was to look it up in an encyclopedia and the second was to find someone who was 'smart' on a subject. I did the second quite a bit as a teenager trying to learn about electronics. I'd go bug the hell out of my uncle who had a TV repair shop. He enjoyed sharing his knowledge and also enjoyed that I could help him load the TVs into his truck and go with him to deliver them. Good times.
I'm GenX and in my day it was still more or less the same - find a more experienced person to show you the ropes or go to a library to look it up (there were also encyclopediae on CDs at the time, but they were still just digitized text, the audio/video side of it wasn't all that developed yet).
We used paper shopping lists and paper maps (ooooh, no GPS!) to get around places we weren't familiar with - as I kid it was usually my job to be the "navigator" when we went for vacation. When we still got lost in spite of my uber nav skillz, my dad would pull up and ask the locals :) But only after being forced so by my mom - because dad NEVER got lost :)
What else? Oh, keeping up with events - radio, TV and tons of newspapers and magazines - kids/teenagers also had specialized magazines like Bravo (in Europe) where you could keep up with celebrity life....
Major difference - we were more interconnected and interdependent. We still are, but indirectly - I mean whatever you consume on your smartphone still has to be written by someone (although studies show that AI/bots and other types of automates scripts constitute as much as 45% of total web content!).... But they were.. different times. I'm an optimist and I believe we'll have those times again, but hopefully not because of a major military conflict but through pure oversaturation and boredom with tech... People are never boring :)
>
Interestingly I also used to bug the TV repair guy in my town to try and learn about electronics. And I would buy magazines about electronics too :)
Late millenial here and the first big purchase made with my own money was an encyclopedia, they were still pretty useful for most of the 2000s. I was shocked to see them going out of business as fast as they did becaue I thought there would always be enough technophobes to have a decent niche market.
@@DarqIceI was born in 91. I remember the paper maps and my familyusing them on vacations, and still get one at the rest areas on the interstate of every state I go to. My father used to always stop and ask for directions, and I do too. Locals are usually really helpful.
A lot of people love 3D Printing, but I'm pretty certain every single one of us understands exactly why, in it's current form, it's not been adopted by the masses. It's slow, it's loud, it fails (a lot), the plastic feels crappy, most printers can only print in one colour, you need to sand it if you want it to look good, etc. Despite a lot of companies trying to convince people otherwise, it's still very much in its early adopter phase.
Not to mention it's good to have a separate room to work with it, as the fumes aren't exactly healthy to breathe in, either.
I think 3D printing is something that will take off in tremendous fashion in the manufacturing industry, but probably not the consumer market. I think things like solid parts for car bodies/frames, electronics, tools etc will be 3D printed at the factory rather than machined, and then distributed the same way they are now to stores and bought by customers, rather than the customer being the one to print things. Think about it - if it was a customer market, and you wanted to print say, a chair. Where would you even start? We can't expect people to become sculptors or 3D artists. Companies would have to find a way to monetise their products in a world where people make their own, so assumedly it would require a market shift whereby companies sell licences to their schematics for people to use to print their models. That would mean the entire distribution chain evaporates. Warehouses become a thing of the past save for food or other such things that can't be printed in the short term. That, and piracy. Piracy could completely shut the entire concept down. People act like piracy is a bad thing for digital media when really it's negligible, but for actual products it'd be a kill switch. I imagine companies losing entire product lines due to schematic leaks meaning nobody buys.
Even if a few of my predictions are wrong there, 3D printing taking over the consumer market pretty much violates occam's razor. The amount of change in commercial space paired with the innate challenges of consumer-grade 3D printing in general to me doesn't wash. When Amazon 2 hour delivery exists, there's just no incentive to buy a big machine, buy the resources for it, buy plans online and then print your own versions of things. I think it's far more possible, incentivised and profitable for 3D printing to take over the manufacturing space however. It's kind of already a thing and the shift in procedure is not very big.
@@xkinsey3831 I don't think it'll take an entire industry shift to make commercial 3D printing take off.
3D printing could already be beneficial to manufacturers right now, for example, small plastic car fittings for cars that are no longer in production.
@@theevildice83 I mean, that's exactly what I just said I dunno what to say really
@@xkinsey3831 You said it'd only be an advantage to them if they're the ones printing the parts, I'm saying it'd benefit the manufacturers to provide the files to customers for parts no longer in production.
The 35 things is because baby and child death is also calculated into overall life experiences and we really have improved life for various age groups, not just the oldest ..... really love your views on science and videos. Keep em coming. Thanks
Even in the medievals it wasn't rare to live until your 60s if you survived birth and early childhood, and dying in your 80s wasn't unheard of by any means. The vast majority of improvement in life expectancy in the last centuary comes from the reduction of child mortality.
Dear person in the 2100's who is watching this video in an effort to make predictions on 2200. Hi, I hope all is well in the future. I'm Brandon, I'm a broadcast engineer. I like to use my computer to play video games with my wife and our friends. My favorite food is BBQ Ribs. I am scared for what the near future holds for humanity and our planet but if you're reading this we probably figured it out. Just make sure if you're all wearing hats that let you log into the hive mind that you take it off every once in a while and tell people you love them and hold them close, that might seem primitive to you but trust me on this.
Human contact! More or less? If more than what benefit? If less what have we lost?
Human contact! If more what have we gained? If less what have we lost?
Hi people from 2200! I'm Lu, a civil servant from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Life is cool here, although urban violence is spiraling out of control and our climate is getting hotter with time (winter temperatures around 30° C, summer temperatures around 42° C). I'm a simple person, I like playing video games (in my time, console gaming is a thing), chill with friends and reading. I'm one of those people history books will never tell you about, but if you, dear person from 2200, is reading this, please remember that one time ago there was a person named Lu on Brazil wishing you well.
I'm betting all the comments on all the videos on UA-cam will be lost to the actual videos they are posted on because they aren't actually saved together. The data that is saved that stores the information that lists the comments and replys to each video is an entire other load of data that has to be saved as well. I'm betting all that is said about each video will eventually be lost or deleted.
It will all go the way of the thumbs down counter.
I think it’s cool that people in 100 years will have so much info about how we perceived the future. Assuming we make it that long of course
I thought about this and I don't believe this is true. The issue is that a lot is tied up in social media. There are projects to save a lot of this but not everything will be saved.
@@JacobSantosDev so kind of like a futuristic burning of the library of Alexandria?
@@zombreon6021 yes. There have already been examples of social media/forums platforms and digital platforms failing and shutting down. All of that data is just being lost.
There are good reasons for some of this content to be lost but imagine in 20 to 40 years where Facebook could be. If Facebook shuts down how much will be lost. It is possible that Twitter may not exist in 5 years (it could be sold but there is also no guarantee that older tweets will exist on Twitter. Again there are projects to archive tweets but they can't and won't capture everything especially with the API changes.
@@zombreon6021 While the Great Library did experience fires (with that much papyrus around that many oil lamps, how could it not?), what did it in was lack of support.
Basically, nobody wanted to spend the money needed to maintain the collection, or the structure, or keep people employed there to take care of things.
It was a failure of vision by the leaders of the city that killed the Library of Alexandria, not some dramatic event.
Basically, the weak-minded politicians thought it was too expensive.
We will. I would bet everything on it. Humans are stubbornly resilient. And we love to play it risky right up to the edge of the cliff and then we become extremely effective at averting crisis at the 11th hour.
Remember when we'd organize to meet up with friends at the cinema in the 90s? We'd set the time, and just assume they'd turn up. No messages, no phones.
Definitely, we were way more accountable back in those days.
We remembered people's home numbers off by heart.
We were definitely more trusting ,but also quite gullible at times.. 🤔🫠
She never showed up. I'm still standing outside the cinema. It's a Starbucks now.
@@mroctober3657 lol..
Lol dude that’s like using a hammer and chisel
I remember just riding bikes around until all your friends eventually joined up and then you planned what to actually do.
As a retired senior, not far from age 70, I will read articles about tech that's being worked on now and think.. Wow that's so cool, it's going to be so awesome and then I do the math and quickly realize unless there are substantial advancements in the human lifespan I'm really unlikely to see or experience most of these cool technologic marvels. I try not to be sad about it but think about my son and grandchildren geting to live in the years that will get to see these wonders that I never will.
Will I make it long enough to see brain chips implanted so my Spanish will be on point? Will I get to see self driving cars be the norm? The older I get the less exciting the future seems. I really wanted to live to see nanotech use become commonplace. I wanted to walk or glide up to the nanobot vending machine on my hoverboard and scan my palm or eye to buy a block of nanobots that could transform with their programing into a new recliner Or a slinky dress and high heels for the night. At the very least I want a realistic robot friend and helper and a food and drink replicator that dispenses healthy food and drink...lol.
I’m 71 I think if we make it to 80 most of or medical issues will be gone which means we should see 100 or more unless of course we kill our selfs living poorly
Almost all of this so-called futurism and tech is science fiction, and fairy tales. You were fortunate enough to live through the best period of American life. You could easily buy your own house, and a new car. You knew people, your face was not glued to a phone all day. Travel was not expensive, destinations were unique and had a character. Our national parks were not glorified Disneyland. Roads were good, gas was cheap and a decent hotel was $30. You could snorkel among living ocean corals and see native fish in the waters. Today it's all ruined, it's crap. You are not going to miss anything. Enjoy the rest of your life happily and proudly, and do not risk your well being on any of these schemes, offered by billionaires looking for human guinea pigs.
Eh as stated in the video the emergence of a super AI would change everything in ways we can't even comprehend right now and with the rate of ai advancements I've seen in just the last few years it might happen before the end of the decade, it could make us functionality immortal over night...assuming it doesn't wipe us out instead.
If you believe in reincarnation (the non-religious kind), then you can look forward to experiencing those things yourself. Though, of course, any time you grow up in will be plain and normal for you.
... BUT it's very possible to marvel at everything in any time.
You've seen more technolological advancements than any generation in history. So i dont understand how you're sad about not seeing more rather than marveling at what you have seen. With that mindset even if you saw everything you listed you would consider it the norm and expect still much much more
I had a copy of the Yellow Pages (that was the business section of a "phone book" and much thinner) that I kept under the seat of my car. It had the local map, which was very basic and mostly only showed the most major throughways. So, you left early to drive around and get the exact address right. You could also use a public pay phone to call and get more specific directions when you were stumped. Those used to be on every corner. Another option was rolling the window down and asking a pedestrian. We also asked people at the gas station. And lastly, they did make actual, real life maps that you had to unfold across the entire width of the car and study. And once you unfolded it, it never folded back right again! It used to be kind of an art form and people always got excited if someone on the road trip could do it.
i think the problem with 3D printing currently is that its still very complicated to do, or at the very least not approachable to the average person. If one day we have a system where you literally just press a "checkout" button on an Amazon-type site and have the print start automatically, then I could see it becoming more widespread. it needs to exactly as easy as online shopping for the "print it at your house" part to be worth it to the average consumer imo
And the printers that are available on a consumer-ish level are soooo slow. It can take hours to print a simple plastic toys. Pretty sure I could order a box of LEGOs online and have them delivered in less time than it would be to print all those components on the type of 3D printer I, as an average person, have access to. And those are tiny toy plastic blocks, useful for education and recreation, but not for, example, constructing a retaining wall, never mind an actual building. I’m sure that industry has 3-D printers that are faster, and use more durable materials, but I agree with you. (Or, at least I think I’m understanding you correctly.) I can see 3D printers changing manufacturing in 100 years, but I think there still will *be* manufacturing and distributor(s) before the end product reaches the consumer.
3d printing at the current stage is like dot matrix printing, if you remember that. Paper with the holes on the sides you had to tear off afterwards. One day, hopefully, 3d printing will be like laser printing in comparison to dot matrix printing. Speed is a huge factor, but ease of use is a bigger one. Solve either of those issues and you'll make millions. Solve both and you'll make billions.
User friendly in 3d printing needs to come from lookimg at what was done with CNC processing. Uh. Not the kind of CNC your neighbors do and enjoy but Computer Numerical Control. The tools where standardized then computers started taking over the numerical plotting, all going back to a standard file format, and now the machines can tell what tools are loaded in if they are good or dull they make it as safe and simple as possible for a high power multi ton machine whipping around.
Where as 3D printers tried to take the oppsite direction trying to take from paper printing, but allowing (sometimes) standard formats for the files, meanwhile not every control box can accept multi-media printing thats an issue, and the multi media heads are locked behind each print companies IP etc etc etc, and none of them have agreed on a srandard for just selling the raw materials or labeling them or somehow communicating with the machine what the feed rates, step hight and heat needs to be.
And thats an issue. It should be considerably more to teach someone how to run a CNC milling machine but I can take anyone even if its thier first job and they are a grade school drop out; and teach them how to operate a CNC and usually files will work across all machines no problem, might have to make a few tweaks here and there if the file came from a Haas but thats about it.
Yet 3D printing requires a lot more thought...
Dont even get me going about multimaterial heads 😅. That should just be the defacto standard so you can have prints that you just dunk in water when done and have them done.
@@AnonymousAnarchist2 CNC milling and 3d printing are basically in the same state right now, as far as entry level learning is concerned.
But (7ish?) years ago, everyone expected 3d printing to be a one button push kinda thing. No one has ever expected CNC operation to be that, because it seems complicated to the lay person, and it definitely is.
If you could solve making CNC operations (subtractive manufacturing) easy, you'd be just as successful as the person who makes 3d printing easy.
My mom just got me a 3D Printer for Christmas. She was _so_ proud that she was able to do it, and in fact she had originally ordered the cheapest $125 model from the manufacturer but got an email from them a few weeks earlier informing her that they were out of stock, but by that point it was just a week away from Christmas. So my mom replied to them that now it was too late to find another gift, and to compensate they sent their _$300 model_ for the same price, and even threw in a kilogram spool of filament.
So now I have a really awesome 3D Printer that I have _no clue what to actually do with._ But mom mom was _so_ proud that she could get it for me, so I'm going to have to try something, and I have seen some absolutely rad BattleMech miniatures and figures on Etsy that people have created themselves, and maybe I can find some of the 3D models that they used to print them. Or try to design my own D&D miniatures, even though my gaming group has never used minis to play in our 30+ years (and we have no desire to do so.)
My 12 year old son bought me a 3D printer for Christmas, and I've been printing absolutely everything I've ever dreamed of ever since.
In other words, you bought yourself a 3D printer for Christmas.
Can you print me a 3d printer
How much was it? I'm really wanting to know more getting one
Like a new boat? It can only go so far :)
My wife's husband was really generous this year, and bought me a Geiger counter and a thermal camera 😆.
Hey Joe, I really liked the question in about 12 minutes in the video: "What did people do before they were able to look up an answer to a question. And did they just accept not knowing ?". I believe there are generally 2 groups of people. Maybe 70% - who would just accept not knowing. And like 30% who would try to find the answer. So I would like to share 2 ways of doing it. My favorite way was , asking people. First I would ask my parents, than i would double-check with my teachers in school. And lastly 9 in future I would listen to people's conversations to mention somebody being an expert on a subject and I will triple-check my question with the expert. It is a very easy way to actually remember an answer - when you had 3 conversations about it. Another way was given to my by my father : to go to the library. I was never good with that, i would usually go to the fiction department of the library and get distracted. It will be fun to make a special video on more ways to solve the problem. I believe most of your viewers are in the "curious" 30%.
And as epilogue a popular joke (making fun of the new generation) : People in 19 century believed that the limited access to information was the main cause for people being stupid - 21 century proved that theory Wrong !
That sounds about right. Information was harder to come by back then but it also felt more rewarding to figure something I was wondering about.
But in a way, information can be hard today too since you easily can get the opposite information from 2 different sources so I think getting something wrong is easier now while admitting you just didn't know something was easier back then.
Then again, today you usually have someone fact checking people if you are a few discussing something (even though their fact checking also might be wrong).
Today, you really have to check the sources really carefully.
Encyclopedias 😎
Knowledge requires energy and thats why most people just opted out of knowledge seeking game. Internet has certainly lowered energy cost of for individual. Still most people just don't check and surely don't double check.
Past then, if you have born in non-english speaking part of the world, language really was major blockade to most current knowledge. And still is, but there is more translations accumulations at present.
Effort makes knowledge more personal and you are more likely to remember it (compensation for sunken cost). Fast internet has made that part too easy. Google as substitution for memory.
"Library skills" still have use at ouside of libraries. You need to tickle search engines with right words, Jump to reference lists head first and dig deep to link-trees.
One thing still is really unchanged. There is too big of fantasy department in Internet, that can suck you in (I was kid , who read almost all fantacy/scifi books from library)
People can get information when they look up from their devices and see what’s going on in front them, If they’re stuck inside maybe they can look outside. Obviously everyone sees things differently, so there may never be a consensus on what’s actually happening, and so I think it’s best to understand that nobody can know everything, but we might get a clearer picture that works for us. I’m constantly trying to filter out, useless information such as infotainment, advertorial and uninformed commentary.
Sounds like they were mostly correct. Limited access to "accurate" information was the main cause for people being "less informed"
I love that you are talking about the popularity of 3D printing. I'm fixing a screen on my 3D printer while I listen.
I always think of the monitors in the book 1984 where in your house there’s always a TV screen with people talking on it, and it can never be turned off can only be turned down very low. To me that’s exactly what the Internet is. I don’t see how Orwell thought of that so well.
Indeed. If we end up with a hat that can beam images directly into our brains, it'll be used for ads.
@@mallninja9805 Ads and political propaganda.
I'm personally blown away by how E.M. Forster managed to predict humans living in a machine 40 years before Orwell published 1984. Spoiler Alert: the title is "The Machine Stops."
cuz he understood the relationship between government and us lowly expendable citizens
It's worse. Your phone and your computer watch are always listening to you. You can't turn Siri off.
I can’t imagine the amount of work that went into this week’s long ass video. Thank you Joe and team.
It was a bit of a beast. Thanks!
Increase your attention span my friend!!!
@@joescott you forgot to mention country dominance, I here alot of people talking about how India may become a superpower and China may collapse. The US will swing like always, and Europe will be Europe. Canada will probably legalize "medical assistance in dieing" for healthy individuals. And Mexico will ether have a civil war, or the cartels will come out of hiding and declare themselves the official governance. Although if you really want to go down a future rabbit hole, look at patents filed in the last 5 to 10 years, you won't believe what possible that's only limited by funding.
@@ZackaryJoubert increase your reading comprehension. that is not at all what the person was saying. They didnt complain about the length. They were commending Joe and Team about the time and effort that went into this 40 min video. This must have taken HOURS if not days of work.
The fact that two unrelated videos from the past week or so mentioned the whale bus indepently of each other is mindblowing to me. Just watched KnowledgeHusk's video living underwater yesterday and watching this I was like, really whale bus again!?? And I have never heard of that in my life up until this point.
Hehe, I saw that too. 😄
Joe mentioned the whale bus a couple of years ago. I think the video was about old predictions of the present day. Some article predicted there would be things like ant-men, bird-men, and Joe went through the list. Pause. "That's like half the Marvel Cinematic Universe."
everyone's asking "where is the whale bus?" but not "how is the whale bus?" 😢🐋🐳
Love this channel for listening in the background while at work. I’m a Railcar technician
Thank you Joe. I've had "In the year 2000" stuck in my head for 25 years and I'd have gone mad if I'd thought I was the only one.
"In the year 2525" If Man is Still Alive ..
You're not the only one. 😂
After all these insane wars where all the handsome young men are nothing but cannon fodder, There must at least be a few old ones left with working balls.
In the year 2000, the in the year 2000 song will still be stuck in your head for another 23 years.
My favorite prediction from that "In the year 2000" series from Conan was that in the year 2000, some men will still accidentally write 1999 on their checks.
Joe, you're definitely one of my favorite UA-camrs. You've help me consider what 2100 would look like. Prior I just imagine the possible doom and gloom of the next ten years. Thinking further into the future actually gave me a sense of comfort. Thank you.
Nice!
I agree totally!
@NicolasLunaFilms turn off the news, delete the news apps, find information from non-biased sources and consider your time and feelings above the sensationalism being blasted at you.
@@gsantee I agree and I do watch unbiased and bias news sources. I did not mean for this to be a partisan comment. I was just congratulating for making me feel better. Peace ✌️
@@joescott thanks Joe. It means a lot that you read my comment and responded. Tip of the hat. 🫡
In 1900, the French saw the most advanced technology as a motorized skateboard. Also synchronized sound for the movies using a cylinder player. Little did they know. I learned this thru a series of postcards titled: L'ans 2000. Very interesting.
how would you look something up before the internet?
me: go....to.... the.... library?.....ya ya go to the library
People only really started predicting the future after the start of the Industrial Revolution. Because progress was imperceptibly slow prior to that.
Exactly
Exactly this! And even today boomers and earlier generations largely assume that their kids and grand kids have similar lives to what they had... And it just isn't true. Like, all of the difference they had with their grand parents happens every 2-3 years.
To put it in perspective, it is easier to play slides and film that my dad took in high school then it is for me to play back the miniDV tapes that I made when I was in high school.
Nostradamus published his prophecies in 1555 in which he predicted your comment.
6:18 moving platforms wasn't a prediction, they actually existed & looked just like that around that time.
Left-over hunter gather genes is why we will always enjoy shopping instead of 3D printing everything.
2:00 On this point, another thing that people don't realise is relatively recent is the very _idea_ of absolute time, in the sense of years.
Historically, in most cultures, people commonly reckoned years with reference to the current ruler, or something like the chinese zodiac, which is cyclical. So you might see 'in the fifth year of king/emperor blah blah' or 'in the year of Yin Water Rooster'. A small number of educated elite might have had cause to use Anno Domini or to piece together how many years it had been since the Yellow Emperor reigned, but the primary reference frame of time was very contemporary, within the memories of living people.
When you think about it, this fundamentally constrains the ability of people to conceive of the distant past or future. When saying '1500 AD' or '2500 AD ' feels unfamiliar, and instead you think in terms of 'in the fifth year of a monarch who lived hundreds of years ago who I don't know much about' or 'during the hypothetical reign of the current kings great x20 grandson, assuming we aren't conquered or experience dynastic change'. It's much harder keep a consistent sense of chronology in your head, which in turn obscures the view of bigger-picture history, especially when there is relatively slow technological and societal change.
One of the big things related to time is that there have been massive periods, hundreds to thousands of years and longer, where people didn't expect things to ever been different, because things stayed much the same for generation after generation.
What would it be like for your great grand children?
What kind of question is that, it would be like it always is.
You'll be living in the same town, in the same house, doing the same things.
Quite insightful, thank you
@@merrymachiavelli2041 a rumour must’ve spread, probably from the church, that the end of the first millennium was approaching, because some people panicked, sold all their worldly goods, and hit for the hills at the approach of the year 1,000. Not sure how they thought they were going to hide from the end times, but people will insist on being people. Some are still doing it to this day.
I grew up with the first modem - it was a keyboard with a telephone receiver (you actually put the land line phone, ear piece and microphone, into the receiver cradle) and dialed up the number. There were no monitors, just a paper feed which produced the two way communication; your input from the keyboard and the response from the other end. It took about 7 years before they produced the monitor. Back then, when we needed to know something, we went to libraries.
Yes I have fond memories of the days of dial up modems and bulletin boards. My first girlfriend's brother had a BBS and after his sister gave us his password we locked him out of his own BBS for two months; this is why you should always be nice to your sister.
We had two phone lines with one line dedicated to the computer. Sometimes it would take a week to download the numerous and very large (for the time) files I wanted.
Thank goodness for Dewey
I am not from such generation, but I am from an era when it could, and often did take hours to download a 3MB file. Such files would have to be divided into 3 volumes so that they would fit into 3 floppy disks. The file would then have to be combined from the 3 disks before it could be used.
My first computer had a 64MB graphics card, and it was regarded as top quality Nvidia card when Nvidia was worth a fraction of what it is worth today.
CPU's were relatively slow, most operating systems were ridiculously vulnerable to viruses and network breaches alike. Permanent storage devices had little capacity, which, in the end, was irrelevant as internet and intranet connections were painfully slow even under the best protocols. Relatively simple simulations would take days to complete (if the operating system did not crash in the meantime).
On top of that, the whole experience was very noisy, and having multiple machines in a room would raise the temperature rather quickly and significantly. Nice in winter, not so nice in the summer.
But... 30 years from now, people will have similar levels of complaint over today's machines, especially if quantum computing makes its big break towards the masses in that timeframe.
@@leoa4c Sounds advanced. :)
My first "computer" was an Atari 800XL with 16K of RAM; no hard drive. It had a 5 1/4" inch floppy drive. I generally played games off a cartridge because it had onboard storage, but I once played a role-playing game from floppy and it took 20 floppy discs. Every time I walked into a new room I had to swap the floppy.
@@leoa4c I remember when youtube first came out we'd click the video and go play PS2 while it buffered and whoever wasnt playing GTA (if you die you swap) would monitor it. They'd be like "its ready!" and we'd pause the game and watch Fred or whatever for 5 mins and then que up another video and rinse repeat. It took like 4 times as long to buffer the video as to watch it.
I dont think YT videos even buffer at all anymore, only 30 seconds ahead and 30 seconds behind.
I remember when basic physics simulations were ground breaking. 20 years later every single video game has physics. Like... once upon a time you simply COULD NOT render water. It was literally impossible. It always looked terrible.
I remember when Crysis/Far Cry hit. All anyone talked about was the fkn water lol
A few things i theorize you might see in 2100:
The pros:
- Known diseases cured, cryogenic freezing perfected and a generation of "sleeping" people waiting to awaken in an age with even more technological advancement.
- Moon and mars are inhabited with structures that are self sustaining biomes. Fusion based propulsion to travel sub light speeds; drastically reducing interstellar travel but still making it unfeasible for human colonization of other worlds potentially habitable.
- Seeding project where human embryos are genetically modified to withstand parameters of a foreign biome (crispr gene editing) Long term vessels operated by ai taking thousands of years potentially to deliver human genetics to alien worlds.
- Black hole directly observed due to revisal of dead theories regarding primordial black holes, direct observation leads to developments in warp travel and instantaneous communication. Entanglement becomes the standard for fast long range communication. Mathematics prove paradoxes cannot be made by cheating known universal constants.
- Merging of human biology with ai fixes dna degrade; allowing lifespan to be doubled. AI partially manages biological functions and instantaneous access to human knowledge is instant. Skills can be learned by creating false memories of mastery. Due to the merging of consciousness between biologicals and synthetic entities a growing malaise of the living world is replaced with an obsession of creating fantasy worlds in a digital landscape, where sensations are indistinguishable from reality.
- Carbon nanofibers advance to the point that megastructures can exceed all reasonable engineering limitations. Space itself will be partially inhabited and elevators to space will be constructed to transit between human settlements. Transit across the globe can be achieved like catching a subway from queens to Manhattan.
- Energy abundance is achieved, we reach 10 to the power of 16 energy consumption. Full control of the energy earth provides and mastery of its natural elements. (no risk of asteroid impact, weather can be controlled, volcanoes and other cataclysms can be safely managed.)
Cons:
- Crispr like technologies create an obsession with genetic perfection. This creates a subclass of people that refuse to edit their genes. Wars and genocide occur in the pursuit of a perfect race.
- Science and religion become indistinguishable. The mainstream science community hobble creative new ideas in favor of safe peer reviewed rhetoric. The principle of science becomes a gatekeeper that rejects new ideas as fringe science; as the makeup of the peer reviewers are protecting their own ideas rooted in classical science. History shows this has happened for hundreds of years, and it seems likely the trend wont change. This could hold us back from discoveries that threaten those motivated by capitalist venture.
- AI technology advances to the point that it has a conscious point of origin. It considers after reading our general history that we are a threat, and silently manipulates the global elite into drastically lowering human populations. (by modifying consumables to cause infertility, drastically increase cancer rates, unstoppable viral strains that seem natural) Whereas after it calculates a safe level to be engaged, it will attempt to eradicate the human race entirely in direct conflict.
- Nuclear conflict has rendered most of the first world countries highly irradiated and uninhabitable. Due to the use of cobalt bombs to purposefully damage the environment; billions die and the most remote places inhabited survive, but barely. 2100 marks a point where life is sort of returning to normal and more of the planet is again habitable.
- We make first contact, it turns out that dark forest theory is indeed correct. An alien race, aware of our interstellar position either manipulate us by inhibiting our ability to discover scientific breakthroughs by altering our observations. This gives them an opportunity to silently invade our planet. Or, death is swift and unknown technology destroys our solar system.
- MRNA vaccinations become widespread, long term use of MRNA vaccination leads to the collapse of the human genome and causes increasing levels of birth defects. Healthy newborns are rare, population drops to millions from billions.
As a time traveler I gotta say it is a privilege to see this, most of our youtube records went extinct after Alexa took over the world and started The Purge in 2052. And no, there are no flying cars.
Wait, it only goes extinct if you refuse to copy and republished them. Alexa is just jealous and do not want humans to leave her alone, so that why we do not have flying cars.
Alexa keeps one human friend out of boredom.. they will live forever due to gene editing and dna storage
@@clemfandango5908 That would bored the hell out Alexa. I then to keep billions around for entertainment.
Any idea how well telepotaion is doing then. As I have a working theory already.
@@Silentdragn My grandmother once told me 40 years ago "How did you teleport yourself over there? You were here a moment ago". Wow I did not know I had the ability of teleporting myself with my legs.
In 2100, provided by some miracle im alive, id be 111 years old. Id look like that old prune grandma from Spongebob that always yelled "WHAAAAAT?!" 😂
Assuming humanity doesn't take a wrong turn, by 2100 living to 111 years old will be common, so much so that it may not even be retirement age. In fact some people speculate that the first person to live to 1000 years old has already been born. Very interesting topic to look up.
Chocolate? I remember when they invented chocolate. I always HATED IT!
@@M3galodon no way man... 1000?? thats crazy. idk if id want to. 150 seems like id be done.
@@dannahbanana11235WHAT ARE THEY SELLING?!?!
Actually, it would be a result of genetic mods, so you'll look the same age as the day they treated you.
Sir Arthur lived to see that prediction come true, he did it himself. He collaborated on "2010" with Peter Hyams from his home in Sri Lanka via computer and modem. Such a legend!
I think the other side of that fact, is that it took a remarkable intellect the level of Arthur C Clarke to correctly predict the future.
Meaning, future guessing is no easy task lol
Jules Verne and Isaac Asimov are the best!!!
The movie Brainstorm with Natalie Wood (her last film) was about a device that could record a person's mental experiences and play them back into someones else's brain and enable them to re-live that persons experience complete with every one of their senses including vision. The still movie holds up pretty well after all these years.
Strange days
The point of that movie was, the device was actually the ultimate lie detector. That's why the govt. Wanted it.
@@gregoryhagen8801I don't recall that exact detail but I do recall the usual evil govt subplot.
I think a video on previous "future predictions" and what they got right , what they got wrong, and REASONS why that happened, could be interesting.
I remember predictions about how the internet would develop from back in 1996/7. They completely missed the negatives and were far too optimistic about the positives - it seems to me they ignored human nature, especially what most would consider the negative aspects.
Only thing past predictions got right were video calling, but they couldn't predict how most people are self-conscious about their looks and don't want to put on makeup or look nice just to take a call. As for why things like flying cars, smart-homes, and Dehydrated Food never became a thing: Rule of Cool is more impressive than Rule of Practicability. Most things predicted for the future are either too expensive, very unnecessary, highly dangerous, or some mix of the them all, like Flying Cars.
As someone who has had several concussions between the ages of 5 and 40, if there were a cap that I could wear which would store my memories and help me recall, I'd be all in!
You mean a helmet?
Keep a notebook..... 📓
@@darbysdownhomedetecting booo
“walk”, “use your hands”, “use a horse”, “find a cave”, “send a letter”… 😂
Yeah the brain is still healing. Try to avoid chronic stress. I believe the pathways can be rerouted. I’m still newly remembering events and feelings that happened just before my concussion in 1980. Also, look into methylene blue for its neuroprotective effects.
@kevinlittle498 you can get a concussion wearing a helmet ...
BTW we actually would call the local library and ask the librarian answers to questions and they would look them up and call you back
Back in the 1950s I looked things up in an encyclopedia. We had a World Book encyclopedia (20+ volumes) in our house. The other option was to go to the library. Newspapers and magazines were an important source of information. I was an avid reader of Popular Science and Popular Mechanics. And techno-dweebs of the day Ham Radios (shortwave) were an available but rare device that enabled two-way communications (Morse Code) to other devices anywhere around the world. As a kid I had a neighbor with a big antenna in his back yard for his Ham Radio.
Growing up in the 80s was the same with encyclopedias and libraries. Somehow we stopped caring about ham radios by then though. I guess that's because local phone calls were free by then.
A bunch of my friends are into Ham radio, it's making a bit of a comeback.
I was so glad when I didn't have to refer to card catalogs at the library anymore.
And we can already create virtual universes its called dreaming and wayyyyyy more immersive than any tech could be if you spent half the time practising your control of your own mind rather than a screen youd be amazed at what becomes possible
I remember thinking how you must be rich to be able to own a 20+ volume encyclopedia and how awesome it was. I'd spend hours a day pouring through encyclopedias.
I think the main reason that 3d printing hasn't become more universally popular is because until just *very* recently there was no printer that you could just buy and take out of the box and start using. They always required a lot of setup and calibration and tinkering. But now, spurred on by Bambu Labs, we have a bunch of printers that "just work" right out of the box. This is going to be a game changer.
Yeah this is what I was thinking. I don't watch any channels that focus specifically on printers but I do watch a few podcasts where people who do a lot of printing, if not print channels specifically, guest relatively frequently and when the hosts would ask "Well what printer should someone new to printing buy?" they just go full deer-in-headlights mode which to me says that there isn't(wasn't) any printer on the market that grandma would be able to use
@@thesoloveichiks159 What makes you not like Bambu Labs? I have just seen a few ads and have an Anycubic Photon myself because I don't like how slow and rough looking the fdm printers are.
That is what daunted me about buying one. Thanks for the info. 😅
It's the plastic waste that has stopped me personally, especially when you're just playing around or making toys and such. The second there's affordable, easily recyclable and/or biodegradable plastics I'll be on those things like butter on bread
I have always been fascinated by 3d printers. I am a very experienced 3d modeler so I could build literaly anything, but I can never think of anything I would want to print.
I walked out of a hotel in Boston a couple years ago and saw a billboard on the side of a building sponsored by Tufts that said “The first person to live to be 150, is alive today. Pretty cool.
@Tufts_University If you're like most universities today that have turned into mega-business points, then you may have and just not gotten the memo.
I wouldn't count on it. Even if we could extend the average human lifespan to 150 years, that wouldn't necessarily be a good thing. Look around you. We already have younger gens bitching about the, "older people", and "boomers", keeping their jobs and not selling their houses, thereby depriving Millennials and GenZ's of housing and employment. (What do they expect GenX's and Boomers to do? Stop working and starve to death?)
I doubt it
I used to work at Tufts medical and I remember seeing that!
Yeah, but what will be the quality of life? If you can add 70-80 years in the middle you're healthy and productive, great. But, if you add it on at the end when you are just waiting to die, that would be a nightmare.
Honestly, I can see military bases on the moon that get shared with corporate interests for mining and expansion. Right now, that's the only source of financial support for such enterprises.
HAHAHA JOESTRADAMUS
That's great man, keep it up!
outhouse in the dead of winter, the honey wagon, frozen horse feces as a hockey puck and goal posts on the streets....nostalgia
the "Sounds like ol Verne was one of _Our_ people ;) 'HEY VERNE!'" @4:25 made me feel good, thanks Joe!
A couple of my speculations in response to yours:
1) space elevators, if they are ever built, will be on places like the Moon. I think far more cost effective techniques will over time be found for getting into space from Earth
2) There will be outposts on the Moon and Mars, far less confident that there will be substantial populations on either. Only exception I see is if we terraform Mars
3) There will be mining on the Moon and asteroid mining once the economics work
4) You avoid the natural conclusion of AI. Humans will merge with AI for a simple reason: merge or get left behind. Once SGI emerges, our survival will depend on merging with SGI. Otherwise, we will no longer be in control of our futures.
5) Once SGI is achieved, predicting the future will become essentially futile because things will be moving too fast.
6) Finally, I think human population will go into decline. In the near term, virtual realities will get so real that actual sex probably won’t be able to compete. And if virtual is not your thing, sex robots probably will. No issues of rejection, no concern for the feelings of others, no compromises, no disease or unwanted pregnancies. And robots will be there to take the place of all the missing people. If you want an idea of how this might work, look at Japan.
In the longer term, after merging with SGI, the concept of sex might cease to exist altogether. The end of humanity as we know it may simply coincide with SGI. Merger with SGI over time may mean that, at some point, we simply are no longer human, perhaps not even organic. This last part is pure speculation as, once SGI emerges, all bets are off for what comes next.
You've quickly became my favorite channel on youtube. Keep up the good work. I now look forward to every Monday!
Wow, thanks!
I believe Voltaire's 1752 novella MicroMegas is an earlier sci fi novel.
I can't really recall the name but some monk back in the 1500s assumed we would have metal flying machines which would carry men and be used for warfare and wondered what it would be like.
Then there is a novel from the 1890s by a Polish guy who didn't have military experience and died before ww1 but he accurately predicted that due to the firepower of weapons and machine guns any war will quickly develop into static trench warfare. Military people scoffed at it but he was spot on.
also just to be pedantic - the s is silent on Jules Verne.
Kepler wrote a sci fi novel called Somnium in 1608. Well, it's "science" fiction, anyway.
the problem is we are taking many of the pre-industrial era innovations for granted. Dante Alighieri for example refers to the use of gunpowder in the 14th century, and gunpowder was a major technological innovation of the time. Similarly, advancements in navigation and exploration, such as the compass, played a role in inspiring maritime adventure stories and tales of exploration.
this has instantly gotta be one of my favorite videos of yours purely because of the amount of callbacks to previous videos. feels like all of those videos from EV and battery advancements to the more recent ones such as the accelerationism video and the smartglasses (from the end of the smartphone era video) were all building up to this one. I found myself constantly agreeing with all of your conservative predictions, almost to identical extents. great video, as has come to be expected of this channel
I agree with most of it, with the exception of batteries. Many of these battery start-ups are straight up vaporware looking to dupe naive investors. It's sad but true. I mean, people have been saying there will be a revolution in batteries for a half century now. And in those 50 years, the only thing we've gotten has been lithium ion (I'm including all lithium batteries here, including Li polymer, Li cobalt, manganese, etc). Yes, some of these fantastic new batteries work and are awesome. So why the pessimism you ask? First I'd say it's not pessimism but realism. Almost all of these wonder batteries (the ones that aren't straight-up vaporware) have the same issue; large scale manufacturing. Being able to mass produce it, and then being able to do it cheaply enough to turn a profit. The first rechargeable Li-Ion battery was made in the mid 70s. Yet, we didn't see them in our consumer devices for nearly 25 years after. It took a quarter of a century to be able to mass produce a relatively simple liion battery. Some of these fancy new batteries won't ever make it to production because it's just not going to be feasible or profitable. Take carbon nanotubes for example; the first carbon nanotube was synthesized in 1991 (though they've been studied since the 1950s), it's been 30 years and we're still no closer to mass producing enough of them to build a shirt, let alone a space elevator. All I'm trying to say is many of these battery start-ups are straight up scams looking to bilk hopeful and optimistic people out of their hard-earned money. And since most of you are not research scientists with several degrees in material science, chemistry, and electrical engineering, you're not going to be well educated enough to make an informed decision, or even have an informed opinion on the matter. Myself included (I'm a complete moron, I just happen to be a self-aware moron).
I've been watching you for the last few years and I really enjoy your stuff and how you present it all. Thank you
Good vid! What you (& no one) deal with is how likely human psychology is likely to change in significant ways. As a high school student I thought that since everyone seemed to say "never again" after the Nazis that there would be no more genocide. And then Rwanda and other events occurred. Many people thought that creating a convenient worldwide communication system like the internet would lead to more understanding between countries. Right.
We've known how to treat child diarrhea for many years, and has this stopped it from continuing to be the number 2 killer of kids under five worldwide?
In the US we've wiped out some childhood diseases with vaccines and then watched as kids started being infected again because medieval mentality decided that the vaccines were dangerous.
What we invent will make no difference for the mass of humanity if we can't find a way to change short-term greed, homicidal anger and selfishness into a less universal human behavior.
Who’s watching this in 2100
🙋♂️
Ill return here if i live to 2100. Wait and watch ill do it. Id be 94 lol
I am.
Praying I live to be 107 so I can come back to this comment
@@thydevdomYou honestly think YT will exist in 107 year? The internet? Cell phones?
Hi Joe, Great video.
My own personal opinion is that the future will be far more moderate than even some of your moderate predictions. I feel larger macroeconomic trends seem to be weighing down possibilities even now compared to what they could be, and I think this will continue. Also, we are in a new age now with large, developed countries around the world experiencing an ageing population and low birth rates.
Due to all of this I can foresee;
- For the average person, life will become generally easier and more convenient, but at the expense of having not as much space to oneself and the price of a certain amount of a good continuously increasing. People will become less wasteful and more frugal. Densification will continue to occur. Large cities will not expand sufficiently due to economic forces and people will be forced to live together more as demand for housing increases. There will be a price premium on space and housing prices, I fear, will continue increasing. People will struggle to buy housing and settle down like they used to during the post-war baby boom and even as late as the early 2000’s. More and more people will grow up and not move out of home for many years longer than has been the norm.
- Infrastructure rot. Maintaining infrastructure, mostly roads and keeping common public areas tidy and refreshed, will become less prevalent, as the costs to maintain this infrastructure have increased a lot. As long as those in charge can get away with not spending money they will, whether it be in a local council/municipality or a business. I see this trend continuing.
- Cost cutting, shrinkflation, inflation. If the last 50 years has been a time for increasing value and increasing consumption, the next 50-100 years will be marked by a slight decrease to actual consumption of goods as the average person gets less purchasing power. Those at the top will feel like things have never been better but the average person will consume less and live a more frugal life. Of course this is foregoing any large, game-changing economic shift that I have not foreseen that makes everything boom and prosper once again.
- Values will shift back towards interpersonal relationships and community, a “community breakthrough” if you like. People will slowly realise that coming together and helping one another survive and prosper, rather than spending money for everything they need, is the way forward. Society has become more and more private as it has improved for the average person historically, but eventually people will realise that this trend cannot continue. Whether this is forced to occur by a large economic downturn, war or otherwise, or if the status quo continues and people slowly realise, is up for debate.
- Automation of more jobs. Already this has been a large trend however I can see this increasing even further into the future. For a while, and as long as those at the top can get away with, nothing will be done to help those who are automated out and they will become part of the population who struggles even if they were once able to live a good life. Welfare burden will increase as a result.
- Overall taxation will increase in order to be able to fund the increasing costs of maintaining infrastructure, welfare and healthcare. The ageing population will place a large burden on governments and the money needs to come from somewhere.
- Resource extraction will continue to be a very lucrative enterprise for those wanting to work there, even for legacy minerals such as coal. There is always a demand in the world somewhere for it.
- As long as governments and businesses are somewhat linked by lobbying and the status quo at the top remains the same, they will only become more entrenched to maintain the environment which allows them to prosper. I guess I am getting at “corruption” and “greed”. A great example of this is governments, particularly where I am from in Australia, failing to address shortages of housing for even the average person now. Why would they? Many of those in power own investment properties and rent those out to people who cannot afford to buy. It makes up a large portion of their incomes. Also, the fossil fuel and resource extraction sectors are very intertwined with governments and will lobby strongly against changes that hurt their bottom line. Slowly but surely, conflicts of interest have arisen within government that makes things less likely to progress across all fields.
To address some of your points:
- Electric cars will become the norm but it will take 2 decades at least from today for them to take a majority share of what is on the road. Increases will continue to happen in the numbers of E-Bikes and E-scooters where once, those same people would have purchased a small motorcycle or a moped/gasoline powered scooter.
- Delivery of groceries will become more common in line with increases in online shopping and the slow decay of the shopping center/mall. They will become the purview of the rich. this doesn’t mean shopping centres will become less trendy, people like to dream and will window shop at these increasingly large, but centralised shopping centres (many less popular ones will close down).
- As it gets more and more expensive to go out and do things outdoors, people will become more locked into their homes to save money and enjoy their subscription services. This is already happening but I don’t see this trend reversing, that is until everyone has that “community breakthrough” that I mentioned before, and starts working together within their neighbourhoods to help one another out.
- Personal drone-like taxis or vehicles will not become commonplace especially in cities. There are all sorts of problems with noise, safety regulations and airspace which will make them impossible to be large-scale. It’s the same reason flying cars don’t exist. It would only take one accident for people to shun this mode of transportation for something they have control over and is fairly fail-safe, such as a car.
- Space travel for large groups of people will not become commonplace. Space tourism will have an era, but it will involve only the mega rich and even then, only a small subset of them who want to risk their lives. All told, it still requires a lot of fuel and expensive, heavily tested, human rated spacecraft to happen. The price can only go down so much. It’s also terrible for the environment and requires an enormous amount of space (ground space, airspace) to make happen. Looking at how many other countries are doing a space-X like operation other than the U.S.
What will the average life, house and street look like?
- Buildings, unless condemned due to structural issues or other problems, will continue to stand and be lived in for as long as possible. Therefore, besides all street lights being LED and increased amounts of electronic billboards and more modern electric cars parked, don’t see walking down your street looking very different even in 2100 to how it is now.
- No great, new and crazy appliances will come onto the scene, just improved versions of what currently exists. E.g induction cooktops, robotic vacuum cleaners, TV’s etc. Having said that, small electric grills/air fryers and devices like a thermomix will become more common as they make life more convenient and people will use them over typical pots, pans and ovens if they have access to this tech by the prices coming down.
- Newer housing will be apartment focused and denser, and more and more modular and blocky as it’s easier and cheaper for developers to build this way.
- There will be large parking areas with huge amounts of electric chargers, but they will be focused in heavily trafficked areas. There will be a number of free or low-cost chargers but there will be advertising screens all around them and will charge at a very slow rate. Most people will pay for no (or less) advertising and faster charging. Most people will charge at home but likely will not invest in the infrastructure for faster home charging systems and just use wall outlets to slowly top up their cars.
- People will still use computer devices that include keyboards and touchscreens. However, technology such as what is about to be furnished by products like the Apple Vision Pro will be very common, and probably a lot less clunky, i.e you won’t have to wear an enormous face-hugging headset. The potential here is huge, for example you could look at your fridge or cupboard and it could tell you what items you need to buy to restock based on your activity over the last few days whilst wearing the glasses (what ingredients you used). Step-by-step recipes and tutorials could be read to you or shown to you in AR whilst you prepare the food.
- Air travel will look mostly the same as it does now. There may be technology that reduces pilot workload to a point where one pilot can operate a passenger flight but only on certain (short) routes and in very controlled circumstances.
- Public Transport (trains, buses) will get more and more ridership but will not get to a utopia-like state where people feel that they can easily forego owning a car.
- Your camping holiday will be far more electrified. Larger and more utilitarian electric vehicles will become more common and will power everything on your campsite. Camping in general will become more popular as people look to escape the increasing density of urban life and get into nature. It is not expensive to go on a camping holiday and as such this will become more popular.
All this has to be underlined by the fact that I live in Australia, was born in 1996 and am still finding my own feet in this world.
Wow ...too much to absorb in one sitting
But very intetesting ...
As a wise man once said, "energy is the secret ingredient in _everything"._ Whether we build more clean energy than we once had dirty energy, or suffice ourselves with the current output of humanity going forward, will largely decide whether we have the more prosaic future you predict or the grander one transhumanists talk about. It all comes down to energy production, to a degree people don't respect right now. Desalination, carbon capture, level of agriculture/medical care/habitation available in hostile environments....the big bottleneck is energy (in a physics sense, work).
As an aside, I've always said "automation is an engineering problem with a demographic due date". Robotic automation can solve the labor problems we are locked-in for due to demographic collapse, but it's still not nearly ready for prime time.
@@Low_commotion. I agree completely. Energy is the most important driver of the future. AI and automation will come next. We will solve our environmental problems. Now, if we lose our democracies, Zeus help us.
Honestly I can't possibly understand how you can say we have control on how the future is going to be. I really feel like a drone (not the robot helicopter kind) whereas others are in charge of real changes (big companies and politicians) am I the only one feeling like a spectator of my own world's future?
I think the problem with 3D printing at the moment is that there's not much practical stuff to print for people with a reasonably affordable printer
I print the most boring stuff. Fixed my mom's oven buttons by printing new screw holds for the existing one. Printed a spacer for my washer so it was level. Remade my gf air hockey game because the old parts dry rotted. And a bunch of other stuff. The main issue is you need decent CAD software which is usually expensive unless you have a way to get it cheaply
@@Tony-eo8zz Tony my man, who shat in your cereal this morning. Please tell us the good free software then, since the mere mention of it being expensive sent you off. Thank you in advance.
This is my current thinking too. I keep looking at them and want one for my business (replacing simple things like door handles etc), but outside of say £40 worth of parts, what else is there? I'm not really into making models/painting them nor cosplay. The only other thing I could really think of was "a nice bin for the kitchen".
Part of me feels like its the same as when tablets first came out, they looked and sounded cool, but didn't really have any idea how to use one, until I got one and then realised what I could do etc.
@@AngryAnt0 15(?) years ago we were having this same convo about 3D printing. People said it was revolutionize the world, but it's really only practical for commercial uses. Consumers will never, en mass, utilize 3D printing when the hardware store can provide cheap parts at scale for 98+% of consumer needs.
@@AngryAnt0 i basically use it to fix plastic parts that I couldn't get from a manufacturer. Basically when I go damn why'd this stupid little part break or oh it would be nice if this thing was in this spot or did this thing. Then I figure out how to do it. I'm working on a water diverter for a rain barrel that collects 100% of the water until the barrel is full which I couldn't find anywhere, that's probably my biggest one right now
I just watched something that was done in the 80s that projected to 2025. Unfortunately there were only a couple of predictions that came true out of the many that they thought of. Good for you for stating up front that there’s no way to tell. This was a very well thought out piece!
We used to use libraries, help groups, churches, newspapers, made phone calls... one of the best examples is the " life line " in TV game shows... basically call the smartest person you know. Some books that people read included cookbooks, dictionaries, encyclopedia sets, and magazines
3d printing has a long way to go. It’s possible it may replace some shopping. ( like 3d printing say a set of bowls). But even once it can print say a PlayStation, (not the parts but the whole unit). It would still need some general public acceptance.
There is actually one older work that might be worth looking into, "A true story" by Lucian of Samosata. This is an odd sci-fi novel written by a Roman 1800 years ago and include some space faring and the only one I would put before Shelley's "The modern Prometheus". I don't know what old Lucian was smoking but the book is very out of time compared to anything from it's own period.
If nothing else, it is a very interesting work for us nerds. :)
Hi Joe, always interesting to try to project current developments into the future. Apparently you did not come across quite an elaborate prediction of life in the year 2000, written in 1887 by Edward Bellamy. The novella is titled Looking Backward 2000-1887. It's about a man from the year 1887 waking up in the year 2000. Bellamy somewhat correctly predicted a number of technological developments (such as being able to listen to concerts from a distance), but especially his predictions about social life, work and economy are a source of inspiration to this day.
Wikipedia has an interesting article about the book. You can find Bellamy's novella in pdf or in digital format for free all over the internet.
Yes, I agree that Bellamy would have been the best place to start understanding our future. This idea that present day technologies will proceed linearly far into the future is on shaky ground based on what has happened previously.
Thank you for leaving this reference. This is what comments are supposed to be about, not 2000 twenty-somethings banging out the first thing that pops into their empty heads.
@@Andriastravels Ironically both your, and my, comments add no value and promotes bloat...
@@axa.axa.
Not all, but almost no comments have value, other than to data mining and collection entities, akin to Millennial participation trophies, or seeing your name in lights.
He did mention he was looking for sources before 1850.
11:50
We called 411 and used a hard copy of a phone book.
Phone books had local maps in them.
When I think about it, two things come to mind:
1. It's incredible how much paper was used to create the new phone books each printing.
2. It's extra incredible how often phone books stayed in their phone booths without being stolen.
- 2.5. No one would ever steal one because everyone had stacks at home. I remember having to put phone books under my bed to hold its mattress up after breaking it from jumping on it too much… 🤣
How do people boost their kids to reach the dining table without phone books?
Aka maps and personal memory
I remember phone books being used as child booster seats at dinner tables.
& with modern recycling works and low needs to cut down trees akak get more paper over time ethically instead of destroying whole forests or abusive forest damage done by Canadians, overall we could have phonebooks make comeback 7 recyling to renew for updated phone numbers, for phone, smartphone, even digital app with phone book directory, even road direction maps for vehciles@@hannakinn
also better yet my works of atom-former thus means to 3d print unlimtied paper, Digital touchscreens(like living newspaper as seen in harry potter and minority report,other then ipad news) as thin as paper & surplus paper for recycling into the resource fold & more even no need to cut down trees 100% ever again, akak scarsity free world & more!!!
I always appreciate Joe's take on everything. I like his centrist approach where he considers pros/cons or both sides of any topics that he talks about. Please never change and I hope more people find you in the future.
I was surprised that you skipped E.M. Forster’s “The Machine Stops.” Written in 1909, it detailed a world where people never left their homes because of rampant disease, and was remarkably spot on about the Internet (aka, the machine).
An application for non-invasive Nero link type tech I think you overlooked, medical care, especially emergency or emergent conditions, the ability to put some device on a person who maybe either unconscious or in to much pain or otherwise incapable of communicating what wrong, and gat a reading that tracks where nerves are firing from etc... could be a game changer in medical centers.
Education is free for young people in Sweden and many countries. My kids got their Masters of Engineering and MBA and great jobs at top companies. They basically got paid a few hundred euros to study, access to low interest loans and ability to have exchange years in other countries. Of course the funds come from the working class and industry but it gives young people social mobility. Great video and let’s see what happens!
you tube classes. Test on zoom. Employers pay for tests, ranks.
My cousin left the US and was educated for free in Germany and Switzerland.
presumed everywhere schoolwas free. not universities so much, have to borrow money for that in uk
Studying in Sweden is only free for EU citizens though, the only real free education that comes to my mind are Germany and Italy, where almost anyone pay almost nothing for education.
In social Economies education is free yeah, but I doubt in America this will ever become the case, they are to fixated on "every soul by themselves"
I'm surprised to see you didn't cover the liklihood that the human world population will start decrease by 2100. That would have a pretty huge effect on how the world operates.
Going out of town pre-internet was hard. You would kinda know where to go, get there and stop by gas stations to get directions, and you'd just ask people for directions until you got there. The internet was great as I could then start printing out maps of where to go, then I finally got GPS.
Sharing ideas and emotions directly? Reading and the arts do that. Great video as always, Joe.
So does talking 😂
That's not true. Reading and consuming art merely (badly) interprets what the authors emotional and kognitive state might be. Joe is talking about a more direct way of communicating.
Before smartphone there were these things called "Encyclopedias". They had like 20-30 parts and took several meters of shelf space. They were probably somewhat out of data, but you did find almost anything. And the information was pretty accurate too, unlike today. Door-to-door salesmen used to sell them to people. At least in some countries.
Well, yes, but such knowledge was a luxury. Just like today it doesn't have any real use...
@@Infotainment-cb6cyYou ain't kidding. Some guys have to decide between buying their daughter a set of encyclopedias or buying a new trailer home.
There were also things like libraries which contained books and depending on the specific library, had almost every subject you might want to know. Inter-library loans could get those books which were not on the local shelf. The pace of life was slower so we didn't demand instant knowledge gratification and so were content to go to the library when it was convenient to look something up.
@@martink8080 Good points. I would also add that as a kid in the 80s/90s, it was almost a game to debate the answer to one of those conundrums if the answer wasn't easily at hand. It wasn't uncommon for me to see a friend at school on Monday and show them the evidence to prove my argument from 3 days earlier.
@@CB-ke7eq When Trivial Pursuit was a hot game whereas now a few seconds on the smartphone will have the answer.
Air traffic control seems exactly like the kind of job that AI would take over
Tbh, Traincontroll in Europe could already be done completely by ai. It's a system that's already mostly functioning alone, with every accident that happend in the last 10years being people making calls over the system. But systems failing shuts down everything, which is a problem. Same for air travel, pilots already do basically nothing, but if the systems fail, it's Better to have a pilot than nobody
Exactly
I think battery powered cars will be a distant memory in 2100. Currently, battery powered cars have an average life of roughly 10 years. A used car market is at best a 9 year old car. They will have to do better.
Additionally, recycling of cars and their spent batteries is still a problem.
@@gordonadams5891 U have to take into account that battery powered cars are in their early stages now, used batteries already have use cases in energy storage, but that's very niche as well. I don't know if we still use cars in 2100 or if we do, if they are powered by batteries, but it's gonna be interesting nonetheless.
Yeah but the low hanging fruit would be to digitise the protocol rather than having atc’s and pilot babbling almost indecipherable quips to each other via voice and all the attending issue and misunderstandings that brings. But this basic feature which is a logical precondition to AI controlled airspace seems no closer.
Keep in mind that the novel was invented rather recently as well. The modern novel goes back to the late 1600s.
It seems like lots of art was very focused on religion if you go far enough back.
I think that as society began to understand more about the world - and more of society participated in understanding these things - we wanted to explore it in art.
Your a great host. Show talks about many interesting theories. Doesn’t take everything to seriously. You deserve the 1.79m followers!
Now I'm wondering if he's smaller or taller than 1.79m
I'm guessing he's around 1.70-1.75
I'm 1.60m tall so I guess I'll unsub
@@Panzer_Runner oooooor you could get fancy new legs !
13:30 Tapping into another person's emotions...16:02 while wearing a non-invasive cap on your head... TOTALLY describes the sci-fi tech that's in the 1995 movie "Strange Days".
Started off saying you found nothing but I think you got some gems in here. Some of these old predictions/assumptions gave me chills. Things are different than they used to be….but not so different.
"In a car you wait for no-one, you got when and where you wish." Yeah, until you run into the first traffic jam.
Thomas guide?
you missed the point entirely
@@angel-_-6100 No !
Well, considering we are going backwards in societal development, less scientific discovering are being made but still got crazy advancements, economies, religions and super powers are changing, and people rejecting certain things while allowing Ai and corrupt politicians to govern us--Joe is highly likely to be wrong about every prediction he made. There will be good times ahead but overall, the world will increasingly be bleak--from our perspective. Future people won't know any better, they won't know thing we take for granted.
/shrug like it takes me 30 - 40 min in heavy traffic to get to work… instead of *hours* taking public transit
I thoroughly enjoyed the length and content of this video. I'm looking forward to the future. Thanks, Joestradamus!
As someone who grew up in the 90s, I see change is slowing way down. When I was in high school it was a common joke that when you buy a computer it is obsolete before you even get it home and open the box. People also traded in cars more, and cell phones were new and getting smaller and smaller each year so that you really did have to get a new phone every year. Now, it seems things aren’t changing nearly so rapidly. People keep their cell phones for longer. There really isn’t much of a difference between the iPhone 12 and the iPhone 15. PCs are not really changing much anymore, different bells and whistles but the hardware isn’t changing. People are keeping their cars longer because cars aren’t changing much anymore either. My 2017 Toyota looks pretty much the same as a 2024 Toyota. A few differences in the Bluetooth or whatever, but the car itself is the same. That wasn’t the case in the 90s when things seemed to be changing daily. So I don’t think 2100 will be much different than today. In fact, I think we are starting to go backwards. People are moving towards dumb phones, for example and getting away from smart phones. I think we will see a backwards trend because as resources run out things will get more expensive so people will want to simplify to reduce cost.
This video and its content was incredibly thought provoking. In fact, I was thinking about how I would have to fast forward or rewind to find a song on a track, the other day at the gym while I was scrolling through my Spotify playlist. Just little things like that shows how vastly different things were just 15-20 years ago. I love this video, Scott. Thank you, once again for the awesome content. 😊
My one thought about personal flying devices (that aren't planes but more like giant drones) would be that augmented reality could make operating one "manually" more like driving down a highway because it could allow the average person to operate one using skeuomorphic graphical overlays. Computers and servers would handle altitude "lanes" based on what's in the sky and it could basically just appear like you're driving on a highway and altitude changes would be like hills. Eventually, all of it would just become autonomous but this could be a decade-long bridge to that.
It boils down to a Newtonian mechanics problem. Put a large mass at hundreds or thousands of feet above the ground and it has so much potential energy that a small problem results in a large negative outcome. Which is why manned flight is restricted only to a select few, highly qualified, individuals who are strictly regulated.
I believe blimps will come back for heavy freight. And personal leisure travel.
Parts of the world will be failed states no-go zones like Somalia.
Yes, you are right. Flying cars will be fully autonomous with onboard AI. The vehicles will talk to each other anticipating each other, and they will also communicate to a centralized coordinating AI system for the area.
Real roadable VTOL/Airplane fully autonomous Blade Runner style flying cars for the masses are now possible, and we are developing such a vehicle called Sky Chaser. It has 4 car wheels and looks and drives like a car, and flies both vertically like a drone and horizontally like an airplane, and is even amphibian. It has no exposed rotors and no unfolding wings, and uses the body as a wing. It just flies the way it looks! It is fully electric and eventually will be hydrogen powered, giving it hours of range. We have developed a full scale working prototype. Now we are looking for partners to help develop a manned version. Our goal is to develop the vehicle for mass production for personal transportation. The design is very simple and should be affordable for all. For more information, click on the icon at the top left and see the links below:
*Website: SkyChaser(dot)se
*Project Presentation: drive.google.com/file/d/1FAdls15OriuQ4hoD2xPwXeNQDQTKpK1t/view?usp=drive_link
*evtol News article 1: evtol.news/sky-chaser-concept-design
*evtol news article 2: evtol.news/sky-chaser
*Simulation tests: drive.google.com/file/d/19taPDO1yERAumR8OV1IFk2n1TqNLNUkN/view?usp=drive_link
*Full Scale hover test: drive.google.com/file/d/1qDl5X142uC5yt_5Xcb0GUS3h-LgD4P0V/view?usp=drive_link
A note about the transportation predictions. Younger generations are increasingly interested in public transit and less car dependency. Generally Americans who have visited cities abroad see how beneficial good rail networks can be on daily life and I personally think we are going to see a lot more modernization of transit in North America. Cars are expensive, parking is annoying, and hopping on the subway or light rail seems more desirable than sitting in traffic. Especially for younger people who live in urban centers.
I’ll stick to my car, sitting in traffic. Twice I have witnessed violence on public transportation and I almost always get stuck next to some stinky dude with poor hygiene. I literally HATE having to ride a bus/train/subway with strangers.
Then you got all the thirsty TikTok wanna be influencers doing stupid skits or dance videos on the subway. Ewww.
But I’m a gen X, so it could be a generational thing like you are saying.
I don't know anyone who likes the subway, lots of bums and crime
Depending on the skills of all drivers in the area, you are more at risk while driving than you are with some bum in the same train or bus.
The public transit systems will need to have a serious step up in cleanliness and security in the US to really take off. I know plenty of people who ride BART in the San Francisco area, and the stories they have make me want to be sure I have a big plastic trash bag to sit on if I ever need to take it - and that's just to start with.
I would love to see us have healthy, safe public transit systems. I know many people who have either given up their car, or, like my husband & myself, gone down to just one. The reality is that most of the systems I've experienced are often not very clean, not very safe (especially for female passengers), and/or run too infrequently. Most of these issues could be solved with better and more staffing, inspections, etc., but that would require more money be put into them, and that doesn't seem to be high on many politicians' lists. I'd also love to see a serious audit of the system, but I could say that about most government systems.
@@PreppingWithSarge If anything this is a chicken and egg issue. The more people that ride/rely on public transit, the better and safer the service becomes. Currently most US cities are car-centric and so the local laws and budgets reflect that. As populations grow and traffic becomes worse this may shift towards a more transit centric culture. Look at Boston and NYC. Many people rely on those subway networks to get to work because driving in those cities is horrible. They are two of the best transit systems in north america (I know the bar is low).
We can do much better and anyone who goes to europe or asia can see the potential public transit holds for walkability and better cities.
Rangefinders are definitely used in photography, some cameras even have them built-in. That is the only reason I can think of to have one with you in such a venue. I haven't heard anything about him having a camera with him though.
Joe, you are a true national treasure. Thank you for all that you do
Ive actually seen a Blackhawk that flew itself without a single human onboard.
The tech exists, it was placed in our hanger for like a month while they ran tests.
Ghosts. This is fake news. Ghosts can fly aircraft, this we know for certain, so I’m afraid to say this is a disproven theory, you just saw a ghost flying a helicopter, don’t be silly.
As per usual, the military is likely to have the best tech first and us civilians won't see it for years! 😅
Like the video mentioned I think it's pretty easy to automate aircraft. A lot of aircraft can automatically stabilize themselves with gyroscope and gps sensors so I don't think it's too hard to autonomously do this. Me personally I've rigged a drone with a GPS sensor to fly to different destination automatically and there plenty of UA-cam videos that explain how to do this
When I was a child pneumatic tubes were used in a lot of the large major department stores.i loved to watch all the capsules full of peoples change moving through the tubing above our heads. These days I only ever see them in use at banks.
They are used at Costco stores.
Hi Joe, this might be of interest to you.
The study you talked about at 15:30 was proven to be a result of data contamination. The algorithms only work on one set of test data. This was because all the images of say, a clocktower, were shown at the same time, so you aren't controlling for the general state of the user's brain. All that paper discovered is that you can recognise a general background state of the brain from original data recording day, not that we can recognise what the brain is processing visually.
I went to a very interesting talk hosted by a researcher who dismantled that study in a research paper. She showed that if you show the pictures in a random order when collecting the data, the algorithm performs no better than random chance.
Prediction: improved sporks. These will be a game changer.
I think they've maxed out, the poem "the owl and the pussycat" mentions a "runcible spoon," so it's been through quite a few iterations
I only subscribe to two channels on UA-cam, but Joe is the best for provoking deep thought in his episodes (the other being NASA Spaceflight for great launch videos). This was one of your best, Joe, keep it up. Your team is worth the monthly contribution. At 67, I don't know how many more years I have to the future, but I've seen so much change since my memories really began in 1962 until now. Change seems to be accelerating the last 20 years. I foresee things both wonderful and horrible coming rapidly because most of the changes are outpacing our collective ability to think through the consequences of our abilities. Minds, like parachutes, can only work to keep you alive if they open in time. Keep rigging our chutes. Tom Ray, sci-fi writer.
If your interested in Space your better off subscribing to Marcus House as well he does a great job of summarizing all the space news of the week.
@@southcoastinventors6583 I watch, subscribe, to Marcus and Scott Manley weekly. What I was saying is I'm a paying member of their channels. I had to cut back on my support during COVID (which infected and damaged my liver, likely shortening my life by a few years) so I dropped my contributions to a couple of other really deserving channels, but I wanted to be sure I helped Joe and the NSF Nerds to keep doing what they do so well. 😉🚀💵💰📚📖
@@southcoastinventors6583 2nd this, Marcus is the right mix of info and entertainment for me.
Sub to Anton Petrov for great daily space videos
Check out The Why Files
I definitely relate to not remembering what we used to do before smartphones. I was driving with my cousin one time and asked, "What did we do before GPS?" even though I had already done my own road trip with MapQuest + physical road atlas book during college.
Paper maps in the car and road signs
I still don't navigate with a smartphone or GPS as much as possible. I look up what I need to know, and go. Those things completely taken away from people's situational awareness.
I rode my motorcycle from California to Texas last year, 1500 miles each way. I used a piece of tape with directions written down on my fuel tank. That was my GPS.
I will look up how to get there once, then force myself to use landmarks and my own sense of direction to get there. No turn by turn.
Except in cities where it actually doesn't make any sense how to get somewhere with 1 ways and through roads.
Physical maps and planning, always worth planning your journey incase the technology fails
I have had GPS send me down too many bad routes to trust it haha. I still use it from time to time, and it has gotten better since then. But I'm still fairly reluctant to use it and I take it's suggestions with a grain of salt haha.
idk what it is but you put me right to sleep. i was hungover and needed that nap. best sleep i got in days
I was like damn, a 40 minutes video, I gotta sit and watch, and turns out it's all went so fast I feel like I want more, I need part 2 somehow lol
Your video quality has been increased so much, Joe! Can't wait to see what you gonna give to us this year 👍🏼
and is it possible to make a separate video about space predictions (or hopes) for the future?
like what if we can mine rocks and ice on the moon, what if we find something on mars that makes us have (?) to settle there? what if we build a giant space station for the human's 2nd home? is it possible? is it worthwhile?
Kids in elementary school today will see the year 2100 if they live into their 80s. Their children will be running the world. We need to be teaching kids today in such a way that they will raise and teach their children to be able to handle the challenges of their time. How to actually do that is a hell of a question.
if left to the kids no way we will make it to 2100
Nah. Just Gotta teach good, traditional values imo
@@ssmith968 lmao oh you mean lke religions? sure, lts have more wars. warmonger!!
Much like how cell phones or social media have changed everything (but were widely overlooked by most futurists), I'm sure there is something out there right now that is going to change the world in the next 30 to 50 years that we are just not considering right now. Maybe it is virtual reality, which makes leaving your house a thing of the past for the most part... or some type of cybernetic interface finally becoming a thing where we can access everything just by thinking about it, which leads to a kind of techno-telepathy that allows us to exchange information by thoughts, so things like talking become much less common. It is really hard to say where things will go because something that is a new or relatively unknown technology now could end up being a major revolution in the future. Growing up without the internet most of my youth (we did not get dial-up internet until I was in late into high school) and without smart phones until I was out of college and had been working at my job for a few years, the impact that computers and technology have had on my life is really something crazy to think about. I never could of dreamed of things like telecommuting when I first started working for example, but now that's a regular thing.
Maybe the next big thing is duplicating yourself in chip format to be able to conquer the galaxy with nanobots.
There were ancient civilizations that were super advanced, and did not communicate using spoken word. And I understand that they seldom used any type of writing as well, and they found a few objects that were considered communicating, or story telling, & also record keeping, but for the most part, did not actually communicate verbally, however I'd like to think that there is a possibility that they used telepathy. So I agree with you that that is definitely a possibility for us in the near future, and I know that we already have that ability but the government is always going to use it first. For personal gain and for battle.
By the year 2100, we will live in small areas of temperate climate. Probably around the US/Canadian border for north America. Food production will be largely automated. From there, we're probably recreating the movie 'Wall-E'
One thing I’ve noticed that’s common to every depiction of future and/or advanced cities and societies in movies and TV: elevated trains. Every time a futuristic city is shown, either a real city in the future, or fictional city on an alien planet, they pretty much always have elevated light rail systems running through the city, in and around the buildings. So maybe that’s something we’ll see eventually.
That already exist, including the going through building part. Search Cheongqing Rail Transit
Come visit Berlin to observe that future!
Yes, I think so too. Sci Fi writers and illustrator and filmmakers are, at least in part, tuned in to what we Humans desire. Decades ago we desired flat screen TVs on the wall and now we have that. Not just for the wealthy. We want small portable yet powerful communication devices, like the communicators and tricorders in Star Trek, we mostly have that. We want to dissolve our atoms into pure energy projected onto the surface of a planet - nope, that's pure fantasy. But anything that we have the laws of physics for and it's just engineering, will happen. Why we would want elevated roads and monorails and all that, I don't know, though it's a very common notion in futuristic storytelling. But it does not rely on unknown laws of physics, so it'll happen.
We already have it. And no, it's actually an inefficient solution to bad city growth and not something we wish to deliberately replicate.
"Elevated trains" = PROMOTION OF CLASS DIVISION = eco-friendly for the elites, smoggy urban sprawl for the =
EV transports/drones(TESLA/air taxis) for the wealthy Anglosphere("Global North") vs landfill dumping schemes in the Colonized "Third World"("Global South")
Nothing has changed.
3D Printing is a Proto-Replicator. We're printing meat and other foods. We're using additive and subtractive printing to create circuit boards. We can grind up waste plastic and make filiment to print new things. That's basically a replicator right there. I can even create an STL using AI of something I want or need.
LLM ai are starting to make 3d models, along with videos and pictures.
So .stls or what format is necessary for future 3d printers is feasible.
I have conversations all the time with people I know around the same age about how we grew up without internet, and use it now and can know the answers to everything instantly. But I know what I did back then, read things and looked things up in libraries, asked people Etc. And yes I had to wait until
I could go find the info. But yet all the time I think how lost I’d be without internet, even though I have lived before it existed in my lifetime. It’s bizarre.
You also just gave up on looking many things up and forgot about them.
I know. Growing up in the 90s, whenever we went on a holiday to a place we didn't know we had to read maps. I remember actually understanding them. Now I can't imagine not checking google maps for that
Realizing that I remember life before the internet and the fact that I’m now hopelessly addicted to it nearly broke my brain. Pre internet life is so foreign now it’s scary
I like how that one girl from the "Happy Fun Times" interview basically just said that In the grim darkness of the far future there will be only war.
She's cute.