WARGAME: China's plan to take Taiwan and how the US would stop Xi | Superpowers
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- Опубліковано 6 вер 2024
- China has laid out intentions to take Taiwan by the end of the decade but how could the PLA carry this out, how real is the threat, and how are the US and allies planning to counter Xi Jinping's ambitions?
On Superpowers with James Heappey; Prof. Professor of War & Strategy in East Asia at Department of War Studies, King’s College London and Professor Peter Roberts is a Senior Associate Fellow at RUSI and retired Naval Officer discuss and wargame how a conflict could play out.
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As a South Korean, it is fascinating that Europe is getting more and more "interested" in East Asia just as Japan and South Korea are more and more “interested” in Europe. Both sides are coming to the realization that what is happening ‘over there’ has enormous impacts ‘over here’ and vice versa
I would like to add some points.
1) South Korea is the dagger of the First Island Chain. So short strategic depth between Beijing and Seoul. The Chinese leadership cares more about 1,000 deaths in Zhongnanhai, than 100,000,000 deaths in Shenzhen. They starved to death 50~70 mil. people to prove that they cannot implement ideal, modernized communes. And the face of this mass starvation architect is printed on every Yuan bill.
2) The US is very cautious not to escalate the tension: none of F-35A’s, Tomahawks, LR Hypersonics, Jassm-ER’s and etc., in the US bases in South Korea. This prudent or rather timid approach is very ‘thoughtful’ from the US perspective.
3) Thus, SK has developed the most lethal, destructive non-nuke weapons indigenously. And as the STEM capability grows, these pieces are getting more and more sophisticated. SK may be the only Western country which has prepared itself for a life-or-death total warfare. I would not be surprised if they have stockpiled 1,000~2,000 of indigenous cruise (Korean version of Tomahawks, with the range greater than 1,500 km) and thousands of non-nuke ballistic missiles, many of which can even reach Xinjiang. How many is a top secret. How long the range is, is also a top secret. We know China knows we know China knows….
3) SK is playing a ‘let’s die together game’ with China. EVery Korean can be wiped out. However, 99.9% of Zhongnanhai will be too. The nukes and missiles of NK (I think China is the real owner) might not be as much threatening as they seem, if ever we could imagine NK would start a war of its own and by its own. SK is building up the most pophisticated indigenous multi-layered terminal phase MD systems (ballistics targeted on SK have very low trajectory. Every one is in termianl phase (under 150 km altitude) in adition to the US-made Patriots and THAAD's and SM-3's(ship-lauunched). I believe UK needs to put some good MD's soon on its soil and sea. Currently UK's MD is almost negligible.
4) When Japan becomes committed (Japan is now moving in this direction), the US-Japan-SK trilateral de facto alliance can cover Taiwan and the Northern Philippines(The Bashi Channel and Luzon).
5) As for the South China Sea, the US may need to organize another set of alliance. (the US-Japan-Australia-the Philippines) And develop Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia as trust-worthy partners, which is not an easy job.
6) This multiple, overlapping alliances/partnership will destroy China.
The problems are: Does each of us, as a nation, have the will? Can each of us overcome domestic political inertia? Will each of us maintain perseverance and consistency?
For South Korea, the existential circumstances are clear. Still its political culture is deeply polluted.
Our worst enemies are ourselves.
You are kidding us... with SK as ONLY a middle power trying to talk tough taking on China. Just NK alone is enough to cause an extreme headache to SK. Don't forget NK's artillery/rockets are within proximity strike distance of Seoul... it could turn into an inferno in days. Korea will always be the tragedy of Great powers competition, since historical times-Korea had been caught between Japan/China power struggles, Korean war, now US/China. ONLY a warm relationship between Korea/China/Japan would save Korea from an invitable tragedy. China does not need to fight the first shot....the US would just waltz away from East Asia in a few decades.
European here. I think, for informed people, latest since the Russian-Japanese war in 1904/05, which ended with a crushing russian defeat, this mutual dependency is evident. Also - informed people do not only remember Mercator projection maps, but might have seen an Earth globe and looked at it from the top (Arctic Sea area) - which makes mutual dependencies even more clear. And now, that the Chinese openly meddle in Russia and European politics, even the dumbest should open their eyes.
The population in Shenzhen is 12.59 million, where did you get 100000000 deaths? And It’s hilarious that you think SK is playing a “death together” game with China, as SK isn’t even qualified to be considered China’s adversary.
SK is not the same weight in this class of international power competition. 1st and foremost requirement to compete in this game is the country has to be a full fledged sovereign nation, and SK is not in that category.
As an American looking history in asia and all the conflicts , wars , genocides one thing is clear and that is all the different Asian ethnicities hate each other and tend to remember wars hundreds of years after the end in very bitter ways. Very hard to form a working coalition with that kinda baggage at the beginning . Are we really expecting every asian nation to functionally unite to cohesively fight China on land , sea and air ? Seems asia ( including china ) expects Americans to send blood and treasure to save the world again and again and again. Were getting tired of sending our sons to fight the worlds wars .
So many bad assumptions. No way to catch them all. First, China lacks the transport and logistical capability to invade Taiwan. Not even close. Second, China cannot launch a surprise attack. To mobilize their forces for a hypothetical invasion will be seen weeks or even months in advance. Reserves will be mobilized, mines deployed, targets hardened and allies will be on alert. Third, the mountainous terrain of the island has been described as Afghanistan with tree cover. Forth, the Chinese economy is heavily dependent on trade through the South China Sea and this will stop once it is a war zone. No cargo ships will get insurance contracts to go into a war zone.
I do not respect analysts who do not acknowledge these very obvious points.
I can't imagine how many little forts they have on those mountains. Sounds like a nightmare for anybody trying to land on that western coast
Taiwan relies on 2 ports for the vast majority of their imports of everything, from food to during wartime, weapons and supplies.
If the PLA would simply destroy the 2 ports, they can cut off the island entirely.
You cannot plan a war around the scenario where you cannot even restock your ammunitions.
It's not a reasoned debate. It is an analysis based on the public pronouncements and actions of Peking. Your arguments apply even more for north korea, and no one is reassured about them either
Taiwan is going to turn into rubble. I'm not only talking about the city but the mountains will turn into rubble. Anyone want to debate?
@@user-yw4rx6kb3r shut up, Chairman She. We know it's you! 😂
My dad and his family are in Taiwan. I’ve been scared for years
For god has not given us a spirit of fear. But of power, peace, love, & a sound mind (2Timothy1:7)
The one thing you should be scared of is the usual thing of the US pushing you into a war.
For those of the 880,000 subscribers who don’t know the geographical layout of London could your guests please use language which is better served in describing the measure of distance please? I find miles or kilometres rather useful in this area.
I think you've done reasonably well in terms of what may be considered conventional forces, but if the Ukraine War has shown us anything, it is that the pace of innovation, especially in regard to a seemingly endless variety of drones and drone watercraft, is if anything accelerating. Too numerous to easily target, and cheap enough that many of the local powers can afford to develop and field them in substantial numbers, I expect they are disregarded at one's peril.
It’s incredibly strange how much unearned credit this show is giving China. As if their plan will go unchecked and perfectly from day one.
lol the west cant stop china.
And all that ruSSian "military" hardware 😂😂
@@joelturley4847 slightly used!
Thought I was watching an episode of The Day Today.😬
THIS IS WAAAAAARRRRRRR!!!
Taiwan manufactures 80% of the world’s Tier 1 semiconductors every year. It takes 3 to 5 years and billions of dollars to build a foundry to make these chips. Every nation on the planet whose economy is based on high-tech industry would be affected by a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. And if I were China, I wouldn’t count on getting any help from Russia any time soon. The Kremlin has lost an estimated 500,000 Men, 3,000 Tanks and 5,000 APC/IFVs. In Tanks alone we’re talking 10 times the British Army’s 300 odd Challenger IIs or 60% of the US Army’s 5,000 Abrams. Half-a-million Men is 7 times the current size of the British Army and 100% of the US presence in Vietnam at the height of its involvement in 1968. Russias Soviet stockpiles of equipment are disappearing and NATO hasn’t fired a single shot. By the way, China has already been cut off from supplies of those Tier 1 semiconductors for over a year now by the Biden administration.
Russia will supply oil and gas to China making any attempted US blockade ineffective. BTW your loss figures are ridiculous Ukrainian propaganda
I agree Russia or other nations will not come to Chinas aid if a war did break out. China you are alone and should know your place in the world order...
Do you actually understand what devices actually use high end chips ? Do you know what is highend chip? High end chips are typically used in Apple made devices such as iPhones, Mac and iPad. When you talk about Russian losses in this war it is not Russia who is begging, their economy is thriving in this war, while all the nato countries are near economic ruin with higher energy prices and high inflation.
"By the way, China has already been cut off from supplies of those Tier 1 semiconductors for over a year now by the Biden administration."
...and is now producing them on their own. The fastest chip nowadays is made in China, something you do not hear in Western media. Also tanks won't be very useful in a pacific war anyways.
@@jliang70 Tier 1 semiconductors are used to make Graphics Cards, Servers, Supercomputers, Missile Defense Systems, etc… Didn’t Russia just go begging to North Korea, one of the poorest countries on the planet?!? Haven’t you seen the pictures of Russian troops riding into battle on motorcycles and Chinese ATVs lately?!?
CHINA! US! Every nation in the Name of Jesus Christ! Stop this madness, clean up your hearts and minds, forgive your brothers and sisters! We are all here not by choice but because God put us all here! Don’t waste our resources on evil! Instead do good! Help repair our broken world! Heal the nations! Guide one another to do better things. Don’t waste precious life on destruction and war and evil! ❤
No = we are Here because our parents had sex. You were here because your male and female parental units populated!!!! Period
The Workd was never Perfect and van never be perfect. Eventually the sun burns us up or all things on earth, ALL MATTER transforms to another state. Either parts liquid, gaseous, solid or plasma depending on the space-time conditions present at a c certain point in " TIME!
Maybe God should've developed species which needed to rely less on aggression to get the job done. God's fault there.
Excellent discussion, thanks gents.
The program is absolutely fascinating
Seriously this channel became my favourite one! Love all the content and experts they brought ❤
Man is trolling us with his jacket
Even so, Mr Smoking Jacket probably put more thought into his outlandish clobber than did Times Radio on its research and ridiculous conclusion.
Perhaps not everyone is aware of severe strategic weaknesses that the PRC suffers from?
The PRC relies on massive water engineering through dams and irrigation canals and these are obvious targets that will destroy cities, towns, and farm lands. Farm lands that are already insufficient to produce food for the population will be wrecked. Farm lands that require enormous input of fertilizer to produce the massive quantities of food required to feed its population. But fertilizer requires critical components such as petroleum that must be imported by sea.
US can interdict and blockade all see traffic inbound to the PRC carrying all sorts of critical supplies like oil, grain, and other food stuff. US can carry this out from the Indian Ocean, thousands of miles from the reach of the PLA.
How long before massive starvation becomes inevitable? Would the people of China remain passive in the face of a ruinous war started by their own leaders as they face starvation? I would wager that political stability comes into play when the masses are facing starvation. How long can the PRC sustain its war when its supply chain is wrecked, and its people are starving?
What a horrific tragedy for the free people of Taiwan and for the USA and her security and sovereignty. The world will likely change in unthinkable ways and no amount of “intellectualism” will cover over the horror that will come of this.
Yeah very scary times we live in at the moment
If there was to be a fight, this guy would tell us about it
China's Hainan island should be in red,Myanmar , Cambodia, Laos should also be in red
....strange, how people think the US cannot handle fishing boats....
India gonig to over Taiwan is not true India will never go to war over Taiwan 😅😅
I no there no allie of the west thats for sure!
India has other issues with China. An invasion of Taiwan by China may provide an opportunity to address some of these issues, like the border dispute.
Advanced missile technology has rendered US aircraft carriers ‘floating dart boards’.
More claptrap from the bots.
@@Waverlyduli
You think I’m a bot?
Ask me a question to test your theory.
Are you always this hard of thinking?
Why do you defend the western record?
Do you even know the record?
@@turbolevo8703 Needy bot.
@@Waverlyduli
You know you’re wrong.
You are too intellectually weak to take me on. Coward.
@@Waverlyduli lol dude is correct. carriers are big targets. look at yemen and the best AF/navy in the world
Currently, China is not an immigration country. Chinese household registration is the most difficult to obtain in the world, which is a huge challenge for many friends who want to immigrate to China. But I can tell you a super convenient way - immigrate to Taiwan first. Taiwan's immigration conditions are very loose. Then you don't have to do anything, just wait 3-5 years, and you can get Chinese nationality. Wish you good luck!
Smart people think the same, where are you from?
I don't want to move to the country that will be war zone 😫
"Don't poke the Bear" is used by ruzzia appeasers - anything similar for China? Such as "Don't poke the Panda" or "Don't poke the Poo-Bear"?
How about dont poke BRICS😂😅😂😅 Yankees go home
@danl5592 India already collaborates with US, Australia and Japan against China in the QUAD
Poke the dragon…. Find out, they out produce the west by far.
Don't light a match around a paper dragon
@@user-sm9jy2jm1ithese war games make America look weak militarily. America can't even take on the paper dragon by itself.
This is not a wargame. This is some speculators putting some cubes on a map.
excellent program...thank you for your work...
Delusion
China just forgot what happened to Germany and Japan during WW3 on the other hand U.S. and U.N. might win but with very high cost.
lol win wjhat? at losing?
Very interesting program on the most important strategy of any theatre on the planet. I would really like to know what Grant Newsome is up to right now, I have listened to him a few times and while not claiming he has the power of prophecy he is probably the guy with the greatest foresight and in depth understanding. Get him on please 😎
IF there was an attack on Taiwan and IF the USA would interfere and IF China would then fire rockets at the USA mainland... Would this cause NATO article 5 or not?
The answer is NOT, but that does not mean individual NATO members wouldn’t engage in support
there will be an attack. the only question is how to bring down the cost at it's lowest. the reason why china needed taiwan before is they dont have a strong navy, which means, they are locked in 1st island chain. but now, they are the second strongest navy in the world, they have the ability to go pass taiwan and solve other problems in 2nd island chain. therefore, taiwan is a matter of time, but when it happens, US will not get involved, its probably Japan will get involved but not by their own will. a hot war is unlikely to happen between the 2 strongest nations in the world, so, japan will be a sacrifice for the US not admitting they have lost the control for asia pacific ocean
Definitely not. Article 5 does not apply to US bases in Asia. NATO is geographically confined to the North Atlantic. Article 6 is clear about that.
Let's not forget about the arctic also.
I am currently in Puerto Princesa city, Palawan island, Philippines and a city is full of US marines
Does the program talk about ASW ? I mean crossing a 200 mile stretch of water would expose a lot of chinese ships....
What a bunch of clowns. They don't know Jack about this conflict.
Taiwan imports 57% of its food and 98% of its energy from abroad.
All China would have to do is do a blockade and they will run out of everything 2 weeks.
Fact, this is not the first time China had to invade Taiwan. The first time China invaded Taiwan was in 1630s and that war lasted 40 years, cost the lives of half a million people and took 11 amphibious invasions over 40 years.
They were relentless for 40 year and they never stopped coming back until they eventually succeeded.
Then the remenants of the Ming Dynasty lost the war in the Mainland to the upcoming Manchu led Qing Dynasty.
The remenats of the Ming Dynasty fled to Taiwan and set up their defenses there and the Qing Dynasty forces launched a 40 year war with 11 different amphibious invasion attempts until they eventually succeeded.
The United States does not have the man power, industrial manufacturing bases to take on China in that part of the world.
China manufacturers 200x more shipping tonnage than the United States, 12x more steels, graduates 7x to 8x more Stems than the United States.
China's industrial capacity is larger than the next 9 countries combined.
If you go to war against China it will not be a one or two engagements and battle war.
It will be a long protracted war of attrition for which the US does not have the industrial capacity, will power nor the man power to fight.
Chins will mobilize its entire industrial and manufacturing capacity into full scale war production just like Russia is doing now.
They will out manufacture the United States in warships, weapons and ammunition into oblivion.
They will also mobilize large portions of their population into the PLA.
We are talking about tens of millions of people
They will also get all sorts of additional military industrial capacity, weapons and ammunition, natural resources, food, energy from Russia
The United States does not have the ability to fight against such a giant colossus.
The United States would not be able to replace its sunk warships as quickly as China.
The United States would also have to cross an entire ocean and travel 8000 miles to get to Taiwan while Taiwan is right there 150 km away from China.
Chinese air defenses covers all of Taiwan air space.
Chinese artillery and rockets cns cover all of Taiwan.
The water between Taiwan and Mainland China is only 30 m deep. Too shallow for submarines.
Chinese missiles can sink American ships from 1500 km away.
US warships can fire all their ordnance towards China and the Chinese will always be able to keep more missiles and warplanes on the Chinese Mainland than the US can put on its ships.
It gets even worse because the Chinese have the capacity to hit US major cities and bases in the Mainland US if the US hits military bases and cities in Mainland China.
China has the ability to hit American satellites or jam their signals.
In every area you look the advantage is on China's side.
The US does not stand a chance.
The US military is already understaffed.
The US navy can't even take on the Houthis and prevent merchant ships form getting hit in the red sea
How are they going to take on the Chinese navy and military near Taiwan
TLDR
@@billsmith-hl8rkthen remain ignorant.
I don’t think China would necessarily target US assets directly in the opening phase. That would automatically trigger a host of allies to join in the effort against China.
This type of video is good enough for a 5 year old to listen
I hope the government of the Philippines they will put back the US Navy in Subic that would be great!
Okay, the whole world is a part of 🇨🇳
1) In 1894, Japan invaded China and Korea, the Qing govt was defeated and signed the [Treaty of Shimonoseki] to cede Taiwan Island to Japan.
2) During the WW2, at the Cairo Conference held in 1943, China asked the transfer of Taiwan's sovereignty back to China after the war. This content was included in the [Cairo Declaration] and later reiterated in the [Potsdam Proclamation] that it should be implemented.
3) In 14 Aug & 2 Sept 1945, the Emperor and govt of Japan issued the [End War Edict] and [Japanese Instrument of Surrender], Japan surrendered and accepted the [Potsdam Proclamation]. Japanese troops in Taiwan surrendered to KMT General CKS and Taiwan re-entered the territory of the Republic of China (ROC).
4) Soon after that China civil war broke out in between KMT and CCP, the KMT was defeated and fled to Taiwan. However, due to US intervention, the CCP without strong navy at that time has no ability to unify Taiwan. The CCP then established the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1949. The civil war continues.
5) In 1971, UN Resolution No. 2758 ruled that the PRC had obtained the representation rights and all legal rights originally owned by the ROC in the UN. That means the PRC is China’s only legal govt under international law and is recognized by 181 countries around the world, including the USA.
"The USA recognizes the Government of the PRC as the sole legal Government of China."
"The USA acknowledges the Chinese position that there is but one China and Taiwan is part of China."
Joint Cummunique on the Establishment of Diplomatic relations between the PRC and the USA in 1979.
Please refer to President Jimmy Carter's Speech on Relations with China.
6) Therefore, according to international law, international reality, and the wishes of the 1.4 billion Chinese people, Taiwan should return to PRC and the PRC have every rights to protect it's sovereign integrity.
U.N. resolutions are meaningless except as propaganda. By your logic, if the U.N. passed a resolution that said all of China now belonged to the ROC, the PRC would have to vacate and the ROC would be the government of China.
The U.S. acknowledged China's position, not it's right to any territory.
It's funny the PRC/China needs to depend on someone else to legitimize any claim it may or may not have on Taiwan.
For my simple mind, curing my fear by preparing and keep practicing. Stagnation is death in arms race of evolution.
Seriously you’re questioning India opposing china? China has been having skirmishes with India at the border for years. Quite frankly India might take the distraction as an opportunity to return the favor and take land.
India best achievements so far
India's Hunger index
2013: 63rd rank
2022: 107th rank
India's Happiness index.
2013: 111th rank
2022: 136th rank
India's press freedom rank
2013:79th
2022: 150the the fourth pillar of worlds largest
democracy is no more
India's unemployment rate
2013:4.9%
2023:7.5%
Unemployment rate never increase in growing
economy.. india is growing only on paper and by
loan
India's Debt
before 2014: ₹55 lakh crore
2023: ₹155 lakh crore
India's GDP from 2004 to 2014:
$709 billion to 2.04 trilion (almost triple)
India's GDP from 2014to 2024:
$2.04 trillion to 3.6 trilion (expected)...not even
double
Scary times, especially with the availability of nuclear weapons!
You're actually wrong. Nuclear weapons prevent nuclear war.
I couldn't disagree more. Most of the world's population is in some form of poverty it's rather only the middle classes and definitely the upper crust that should be scared of loss of anything. For everyone else it's just another day. As all politicians are little rich boys I seriously doubt they want to leave this world and as you can see from the current losses of young men and women in all major conflicts there all predominantly from lower class background. Dumbest hierarchy ever 😂
Why is Hainan blue on your map?
STOP with the intro!
hmmm seems pretty bleak. i would argue any sea invasion would be very difficult mind you
Billions of dollars worth of gear and possibly tens of thousands of loses on both sides, ultimately the US would win but they will pay a heavy price
I don't like how Heappey has become a showman!
This was a waste of time
true.
No it's not CCP bot
Fantastic quality discussion
Given China's imminent economic implosion the whole scenario seems unlikely.
China's economy is growing at more than 2x the US and almost 5x thst of Europe.
Stop believing in these guys propaganda.
The US navy can't even take on the Houthis and prevent merchant ships form getting hit in the red sea
How are they going to take on the Chinese navy and military near Taiwan
An external problem is a good way to distract potential dissidents from an internal problem.
lol china only imploding in western media.
hhhhhh😂
USA china and Taiwan needs each other and without each others help we will never know how much our species can succeed
China will merge with Taiwan, but I'd be surprised if I'm alive for it. Unless the US and China are so disconnected that they can endure the economic downside or so weak (or disinterested) that they wouldn't intervene.
It only need happen once in the next few centuries.
I was really disappointed by this video. It didn't take into account the complexity of mounting an invasion of Taiwan. Should Taiwan mount a tenacious defense like the Ukraine, then China would have to transport large numbers of troops and equipment to Taiwan i.e. a D Day style invasion. So they would have to capture Taipei in a rapid strike and install a government quickly. If they fail to do that?
Incompetent commentators, far below Times Radio usual standard. The depth of the analysis was more suited to a game of Risk. Utterly disappointed.
Of course I am desperate to see how the wargame plays out!
You made me excited and then cut it off. Naughty naughty!!!
Someone should tell china that cartoon wargame simulations don't hit back.
it you guy play wargame not cn?
It would definitely not be easy, but nobody in the world does logistics as good as the US
Naval blockade thats how
Cheap terrain-mapping cruise missiles: they can be intercepted by just about anything and only work in clear weather, but they cannot be jammed, and I'll bet China can produce them in far larger quantities and cheaper than the US and its allies can produce interceptors. Just imagine intermittent salvos of overwhelming numbers of missiles destroying infrastructure and flattening cities... now imagine it over 5, 7, 10 years... what is the plan to force China to stop?
They will probably do it while he divers about. Mind they both have less living years to lose than their people do, ..so maybe what the heck.💥
EXCELLENT
Imagine America try to take Hawaii abs China will stop that ... funny
لا حول ولا قوة إلا بالله
I'm Filipino and I more support China than my Country Philippines because my country is such a no mercy country si many corruption and is very poor country.
Morone
Did I miss something? Is there a more imminent threat now? More than the same conversation 3 years ago?
Pooh bear talks about it like every month
They are all the same threat.
CCP has stopped mentioning peaceful reunification as a possible solution. That has changed.
Several things have changed or are in the process of changing.
Pink jacket dude falsely claims that logistics played any role in Vietnam and Korea. That’s idiotic! One was a political tie and the other was a political lose. Logistics wasn’t an issue.
The uncertainty here is what will India do. Might see this as an opportunity to get some of its lost territory back. Making Poo-bear fight on two fronts. India through the Use of the Nicobar Islands dors control the entrance to the Malaca strait. They only need to Interdict one tanker, China imports all its energy and food making stuff. The crippling Maritime insurance would stop all shipping.
I'd imagine something is planned to occupy their time.
Guess who is India's largest trading partner?
China.
Why would India get into a war with a nuclear power.
Besides if India were to do thst Pakistan would open a second front ON India.
China still talking 😂
Why is china not allowed to talk
@@jacksmith-mu3ee they can freedom of speech but china and russia always testing America with there war games but the only people who ever attack America was terriest...not china or Russia
This is an important topic. But the people on this talk love hearing and watching themselves more than anything, and unfortunately the topic also falls under "anything". Next time, take people with more knowledge and a less evident NPD.
Bye bye TSMC, Asus, Gigabyte, Asrock, MSI = bye bye AMD, Nvidia, Apple
I'm Filipino and I more support China than my country.
I’m Chinese and love the Philippines and its people. So friendly and humble (also very good at basketball). It’s a shame the leaders are more interested in personal wealth than helping its people.
@@symphorosayee3118 I could wish I was born in China because is a Rich Country unlike my country Philippines is very poor nation.
@@TheMythicalCreatures-ud8ob I pray for a more prosperous future for the Filipino people. If only the Chinese and your government could cooperate to increase trade, tourism, build infrastructure and factories then this would create opportunities for all. Unfortunately your current administration is being used by the USA for ferment tensions in the South China Sea.
@@symphorosayee3118 yeah that's why former president duterte was doing everything to inlightten the minds of Filipino peoples to stop being a dog of the US because it will be a big disaster.
@@symphorosayee3118 someday I want to leave the Philippines, and I want to migrate in China and become a Chinese citizen because unfortunately I hate to be a Filipino I hope I can become a Chinese someday.
Maybe CCP should take care of the problems they created in the property sector before even thinking about attacking a free Country like Taiwan
Taiwan's own constitution states that Taiwan is a part of China. Taiwan's official name is not even Taiwan.
It's republic of China.
China's economy grew by 5%
The US navy can't even take on the Houthis and defend merchant ships form getting hit in the red sea
How are they going to take on the Chinese navy and military near Taiwan
CPC is already taking care of property problem , unlike the US . BTW , Taiwan is part of China .
@@danwelterweight4137 The US is not really trying to take on the Houthi, being very restrained. I presume they don't want the bad press of civilian casualties. If the political restraint is lifted, the USN could solve the Houthi issue very quickly and bloodily.
@@kenreckless2757 buddy, you are talking about places and people you don't know anything about.
There is a reason why Yemen is know as the Vietnam of the Middle East.
Many many nations have tried to invade, control and conquered Yemen and failed.
Yemeni fighters are the bravest, the most tenacious, and most difficult fighters to fight in the whole middle East.
The Saudis and their Gulf Arab Allies bought all the best weapons in the US and NATO inventory. From F - 15s, F-16, Tornadoes fighters, Abram tanks, Apache helicopters, sophisticated warships with all kinds of missiles and weapons.
For 11 years the Saudis and their Arab allies invaded and tried to control Yemen. They bombed everything in Yemen indiscriminately.
It was a total quagmire.
They tried everything and they still couldn't defeat the Houthis. They their butts handed to them.
When it comes to the US
If the US couldn't even defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan, how do you think the US is going to defeat Houthis in Yemen.
Yemen is highly mountainous rugged region. It's nightmare to fight in that region.
In the 1960s Egypt also tried to fight the Yemenis for 13 years there. Same thing happened them then. It was a total quagmire.
The Egyptians lost 36 000 soldiers and they couldn't defeat the Yemenis.
The Houthis have already been bombed by the Saudis and Emirati for almost a decade day and night and they still couldn't defeat them.
someone is watching too much western news channels.
Stop warmongering. 😱
This is so limited and random in its analysis it cannot reach any valid outcomes.
lol
ccp bot detected
@@cheesecake5236 sorry mate not a bot🤪
Taiwan is China's sovereign territory and it is China's internal problem. What right does America and its allies have to interfere? China has the right to take all actions, including force, to defend its sovereign territory from various threats, including America and its allies.
Nope.
The PRC has never governed Taiwan even for a single second. It has no claim to Taiwan other than that they want it.
Correct, Taiwan has independence from China since 1949
You don't have to dream. Taiwan is part of China's sovereignty and has been recognized internationally. The aim of propaganda by both America and its allies is only to divide and cause another civil war because various efforts to suppress China, which is growing very quickly, have resulted in America and its allies, who are very afraid of competition, carrying out various rotten propaganda. China is certainly aware of this and is ready to face anyone who tries to interfere with its sovereignty. The world has changed, there are no longer unipolar powers and it must be acknowledged that now there are multipolar powers
@@thorr18BEM yup
Whether Taiwan is an independent country
or not is already settled With UN resolution
2758! In 1979, 2758 ruled that PRC
mainland China is the only legitimate
representative of China As of now 2758
still valid and the only one that counts! It
has more than 1 80 countries J support
superseding any other treaties documents
& agreements! When 180+ countries speak, J
it is final: Taiwan belongs to PRC mainland
China. Abide by it!
If you or KMT/DDP can't accept 2758, leave
Taiwan & exile to other countries! You can
even exile to the moon, nobody will miss
you.
It is PRC mainland China's Taiwan, not
Taiwanese/KMT/DDP's Taiwan!
Who was sending troops as first ???
USA cant even beat the Houthys, the poorest nation in the world 🌎 😂😅😂😅
Are they trying to?
@@Mvpliberty yes badly
does hootie have navy and air force?
Massive advantage when one can field a sensor integrated force of aircraft and ships which will allow the carrier strike groups to operate from well over the horizon compared to the chinese who will have to massively expose themselves to even get close , as for the hard part for china , how do you build up your maritime force in a concentration area without being detected , and then at some point attempt to move en-mass across some 110 miles from the nearest point ? in waters littered with mines ? etc as for those sand castles , they won't last the first 24 hours of hostilities and even if they do , going to be real hard to reinforce them from the sea given the distance
Problem with this narrative. China according to most observers, have overtaken the US in space Sector. This negates that advantage. There is no way to sneak up a carrier group. China also went the Russian option, mainly focusing on long range missiles (in both air defense and attack. Their missiles antiship and air to outrange the US options.
@@plebius Observers ! really , its all smoke and mirrors when it comes to who has got what ! and note the hypersonic this and that argument , one should bone up on how one can actually detect. target and actually hit a small moving object in a vast ocean of water with course changes etc at long range ? note the chinese are all in with building carriers , but when it comes to how one moves and parks them up the USA and even its allies will have a major advantage with integrated sensor networking data linked assets
@@SNOWDONTRYFAN notice I did not mention hypersonic (overhyped in my opinion) or planes (as they are harder to spot). However they have to take off and land somewhere. You can't hide a carrier group anymore. It doesn't just rock up a couple of hundred miles away anymore. So if that's out of the question, then you have their other airbases in that area. They will be targeted pretty quickly, if not at the start. It's a roll of the dice at the moment. Both would suffer massively.
Is TimesRadio trying to do comedy ?
whole program is a waste. why would xi send troops when he could send missiles to force reunification?
Please check the Russia, human loss is not an issue, it's same with China.
lol whats ukraines losses?
😂😂😂😂
No wonder you guys no longer have an empire. Cheesey.
Poor video, so many areas not covered, but UA-cam keeps deleting my comments, so disappointing.
Hmm yesterday version of critical thinking. Ground defense and critical infrastructure defensive measures should be paramount then its a case of unmanned drones land, sea and space satellites for jamming. Ukraine has taught us 90s technology in terns of strike has the advantage. We could always give it full NATO status and be done with it... stronger together.
Yawn yawn yawn
The assumption that the stronger power always wins is a fallacy. If it was true, then the Chinese, French amd Americans wouldn't have lost in Vietnam.
The Russians wouldn't have lost to the Japanese navy and they wouldn't have struggled in their invasions of Afghanistan and Ukraine.
The Medes collapsed the Assyrian Empire, The Goths collapsed the Roman Empire and tiny Macedon and Mongol tribesmen collapsed and conquered the much larger Empires of their times.
Taiwan could be the straw that breaks the CCP.
Do you think China has achieved the war goal of counterattack against Vietnam?The victory of a war does not mean the occupation of the other side's territory.
为了全歼残敌，彻底摧毁其工事，22日-23日，163师派工兵和喷火兵到达炮台，用12吨炸药和2吨汽油对该炮台实施大爆破，将其4个坑道口彻底炸毁。坑道内顽抗的越军全部被炸死，叫嚣要“打到友谊关吃早饭”,“打到南宁去过春节”的所谓英雄团也彻底被消灭。
1979年对越自卫反击战，中国军队在短短28天的战斗中，取得了显著的胜利。据中国方面统计，解放军牺牲7，814人，受伤23，586人，失踪955人，总计伤亡约32，355人。而越南方面直到2020年才正式公布了当年的伤亡人数，他们称当年的伤亡人数为105，627人。
The real question is would China preemptively attack US positions in SK, Japan, and Guam as part of this. If China thinks they can take out TW quickly then a strike on US military in region makes sense. If they think TW can hold out a bit then its a disaster as any strike would make US public very supportive of defending TW.
If china will invade Taiwan...its the same thing what will happen like iraq invaded Kuwait... nation will come together to aide Taiwan..
Nope . Taiwan is part of China
Whether Taiwan is an independent country
or not is already settled With UN resolution
2758! In 1979, 2758 ruled that PRC
mainland China is the only legitimate
representative of China As of now 2758
still valid and the only one that counts! It
has more than 1 80 countries J support
superseding any other treaties documents
& agreements! When 180+ countries speak, J
it is final: Taiwan belongs to PRC mainland
China. Abide by it!
If you or KMT/DDP can't accept 2758, leave
Taiwan & exile to other countries! You can
even exile to the moon, nobody will miss
you.
It is PRC mainland China's Taiwan, not
Taiwanese/KMT/DDP's Taiwan!
Taiwan does indeed belong to China, but this is none of your concern.
Go find a real job in China. Oh, there's no jobs. You can go swimming
Don't be naive.
The Taiwanese say this, or the Chinese?
As a American i truthfully dont care
Actually, according to history, the Chinese mainland Actually belongs to the Republic of China . Aka. TAIWAN
China won’t go for Taiwan…. It will go for Siberia
That would make much more sense, at least if you were more interested in the welfare and prosperity of China instead of one's personal political power, but Xi is mainly interested in the latter.
@@darrenmclaughlin1362 I believe Xi deep down wants China to get ahead, however, if Russia falls into a Civil War then that's when he will make his move.
The expert he has on the tele doesn't have a clue. There would be a ban on food and energy imports into China if an invasion occurs. If America doesn't do it, another country will. They are completely dependent on food and energy imports. Russia is not as it is a major exporter of both.
BINGO
Yes. Even with their stockpiling, the PRC cannot sustain themselves indefinitely. This is why they need a short, decisive campaign to take Taiwan rather than the blockade option.
Which world are you talking about ' is it Africa cause we are allies of china 'is it the middle East they allies of china ' is it latin america they are allies of china 'so which world are you talking about '
"Pacific"? Take the wargame to China's mainland. That's the source of the problem. Not the Pacific Ocean.
Dont panic china is more talkin g no doing That is their plan forever
Just a point of correction: Hawaii/Pearl Harbor are closer to the US and SE of the N in Pacific Ocean and roughly the same latitude as the tip of Baha California. They put Hawaii down near the Marshall Islands, way too close to Guam. So it is a much longer journey for the forces based in Pearl Harbor to reach the theater. Luckily far enough to avoid a 1st strike that will likely hit US military bases in Guam, the Philippines, Korea and Japan (Japan has made it a strong point that they will help defend Taiwan too and China might hit their bases). Any strikes on 3rd countries, even if only on US bases would undoubtedly turn those countries against China more than they already are and more eager to support the US mission to defend or retake Taiwan. IF India uses the conflict to push on disputed claims on their northern border with China with force, that could pull a significant chunk of Chinese air and ground forces to deal with that conflict. Getting Indian 'cooperation' would be a game changer (is it really cooperation if it's something they want and a goal of the Indian government, they are just looking for the right time, which this would be).
Does the dude on the video call seriously not know about China's lack of boats for an invasion, or think that Japan would just sit there and do nothing? That's some pretty short sighted analysis right there.
You speak British so you must be a lier
War Gamed. Is that anything like a global warming modle? Those have always been wrong.
proper preperations are always better than none
It's very likely these analysts are overestimating China. Just like all the war experts did about Russia before Ukraine. The corruption in the leadership and the military runs deep I would expect the same result with failures in leadership and military equipment
I feel that such media and comments are ridiculous! Never underestimate the military capabilities of the world's factory!
I am a citizen of Bangkok ... in this week a hot issue became a talk of the town... There is banner billboad display in China language in the middle of the city.. the ads said ..."Now sale a passport and the citizenship in many nationality for Chinese customer".
Propaganda for children under seven years
These story tellers make me feel sleepy yawn yawn yawn