The Countries Most At Risk Of Population Collapse

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  • Опубліковано 12 тра 2024
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 2,3 тис.

  • @pollutingpenguin2146
    @pollutingpenguin2146 Рік тому +403

    You’re using extremely optimistic statistics for these populations. The Lancet did a study a few years ago and their numbers are even more dire compared to the UN’s numbers.

    • @artempoli7330
      @artempoli7330 Рік тому

      UN is more reliable

    • @irenaveksler1935
      @irenaveksler1935 Рік тому +3

      Wow

    • @josephaugello1527
      @josephaugello1527 Рік тому +25

      One report shows the wold population hitting 8billion but not hitting 9billion many countries loosing population.

    • @sandrajones8245
      @sandrajones8245 Рік тому +36

      They really are more dire! Before Musk and before Lancet (if their study came out after 2005) I had a feeling that this 1 to no child policy either by government decree or citizen wish, was bad news.
      Since humans aren't immortal, this study was very relaxed and didn't take into consideration the various reasons for death, it just made old age the reason.
      I honestly believe that not only every country with a lower then 1.4 fertility rate is doomed but with the current system in place its just going to multiply.
      Since if by 2050 a nation has more retirees then workers, said country will have to raise the taxes in order to take care of them, which will in turn make those of working age shy away from having a family because its too expensive. Imagine 1 man taking care of six people? His wife and child, his parents and her parents.

    • @chennareddygovardhan2934
      @chennareddygovardhan2934 Рік тому +5

      @@josephaugello1527 it's good sign actually the earth can give sufficient for 5 billion people not more than that

  • @localguy123
    @localguy123 Рік тому +1075

    African population is increasing exponentially when compared to other continents. However, population growth is only good when the population being added turns to be productive. Decline in countries such as Japan, Korea and China is going to hurt the world the most.

    • @villamor7805
      @villamor7805 Рік тому +105

      They not gonna decline instantly, they gonna decline slowly and as they slowly decline others nation are also slowly rising. India and Indonesia are example that slowly rising in this mid century

    • @1wun1
      @1wun1 Рік тому +62

      Even there fertility rates are falling

    • @worndown8280
      @worndown8280 Рік тому +56

      @@1wun1 Yup, India's is at 2.2 now.

    • @citrustaco
      @citrustaco Рік тому

      Seems like a reverse Darwin. Shouldn't it be about survival of the fittest? Yet it seems that those who can least afford kids (even in developed nations) are the ones having children.

    • @frankr7239
      @frankr7239 Рік тому

      That's because they wipe half of it out through virus

  • @alias9025
    @alias9025 Рік тому +494

    We were always being told that increasing population would lead to disaster (Malthus and his disciples); now we are being told that decreasing population will lead to disaster. We managed the increase fairly well and I believe that when we start to figure out how to deal with decreases, we will manage that as well. At some point, having more children may again become attractive in the developed countries.

    • @JM-zg2jg
      @JM-zg2jg Рік тому

      Ideally we should be seeking a balance point, rather than this boom and lull cycle that we have.
      I have a suspicion that a balance point will be achieved eventually, but not until a couple more generations pass.
      Social pressure used to force people into heterosexual families with children. For a very long time at that.
      Give it a couple of generations of freedom from harsh societal controls, and those without the impetus to reproduce will naturally and drastically reduce in number. Without the social pressure, evolution gets to rejoin the game.

    • @noompsieOG
      @noompsieOG Рік тому +8

      Great comment

    • @racot7145
      @racot7145 Рік тому

      People don't want children cause it's difficult to provide them with good education and life . Also you would spend all of your free time for screaming little nightmares . Like for me we must use cloning and genetic science to solve depopulation problems. But government should have balls for these decision . Their maximum is open borders for Africa.

    • @allangibson8494
      @allangibson8494 Рік тому +8

      Except the declining population is as a proactive response to Malthus - Africa, not so much, they still do famines.

    • @diarmuidh6980
      @diarmuidh6980 Рік тому +18

      It’s all ok as long as the surge of 70+ and 80+ year olds can still work. And that includes physical work…….so maybe not so easy. Unless they have a lot of flexible work-capable robots - and I mean multipurpose robots here not the limited early type of robot. Types that can pick fruit one day and shear sheep the next. If that tech becomes widespread then your requirement for physical labour enters a completely different era.

  • @veramae4098
    @veramae4098 Рік тому +200

    "Empty Planets: the shock of global population decline"
    Excellent book.
    Even in areas where populations are increasing, the RATE is decreasing. Instead of 14 kids for example, families are only having 6.
    There's a recurring theme: when people move to cities they have fewer kids.
    (Kids are a benefit on a farm, free labor. In a city, kids are a 20 year expense.)

    • @jacob4920
      @jacob4920 Рік тому

      The human population was ALWAYS going to top out at a certain number. I believe that UN researchers predicted this phenomenon happening decades ago (it's just that nobody took that prediction seriously, because they couldn't imagine human population growth slowing down).
      This is what happens to all animals. Their population reaches a certain number, and then they instinctively stop making too many more babies. Only when their numbers are threatened do they reverse this trend. I believe that humans are simply instinctively not encouraged to make babies right now. Because life expectancy is the best it has ever been. If World War III ever breaks out, watch this trend reverse itself, and humans start machine-gunning babies again, just like they did after World War II.

    • @benmaxwell115
      @benmaxwell115 Рік тому +26

      You've slighty missed the truth here, if we look at the industrial revolution in western countries, this was also alongside some of the highest population growth, in the early 1900's there were large cities and huge families all at once.
      The actual reason for the decline is the decline of single-income families. It is no longer affordable for one parent to pay for a child and the other (usually the woman) to rear them.
      In fact, things that are categorically morally good lead to lower birth rates: Contraception, Female education, Equality, Health care...
      Health care being interesting here -> If you increase the life expectancy of everybody, you inevitably pool the wealth into the older people, causing younger people to be much poorer for much longer, and to miss the 15-35 year old genetic window where we are best at having kids.
      Edit: Basically people of middle income usually only reach financial freedom and comfort about half way through their lives. This used to be around 20-30 and people would have kids at that time, now it is close to 40, which for many is simply too late.

    • @TravisJones812
      @TravisJones812 Рік тому +3

      India currently has a population density of 464+ per km2; 2/3 of the people could leave and the country would still have a higher population density than China. Which means a billion Indians could leave and probably generate more wealth elsewhere. 1.4 bln Indians only have a GDP comparable to that of the UK, which has 60 million people. So at some point we can assume India has crossed, more people doesn't make the GDP higher. Indians are among the wealthiest diasporas per capita in the US but we can assume this is because legal immigration to the US is exceptionally selective

    • @brodrickniemeier8529
      @brodrickniemeier8529 Рік тому +4

      @@benmaxwell115 I think it would be a good idea to encourage people to only include grandkids in the will, this would give the 18-35 demographic the financial foundation they need for families early enough to have children. Would the parents that were skipped over be happy about missing out on their share of the remaining retirement fund? No, but they've already gotten financially stable. Their kids sure could use it though.

    • @popra432
      @popra432 Рік тому +1

      Wooow, ure so damn right, that is why in my country from EU, around 90% of familys are having a maximum of 2 Kids and only 10% have 3 or 4 and almost none over 4 and at countryside they have at least 2 and rarely under and around 3-4 are having more than a quarter of them, and minimum 2 are having almost half of the couples...

  • @tobiwan001
    @tobiwan001 Рік тому +33

    For small countries like Portugal, Bulgaria or Greece it might be difficult to predict as immigration and emigration have a big influence. Generally, southern Europe and East Asia seem most affected.
    Some that are missing: Russia & Belarus

    • @C1K450
      @C1K450 11 місяців тому +1

      Eastern Europe and East Asia will be effected the most from depopulation. South Asia and Africa will have a overpopulation problem. Middle East is in between because of war and emigration. Western Europe, Southeast Asia, and the Americas will be a steady increase, unless something changes that trend.

    • @republicunited2183
      @republicunited2183 7 місяців тому

      Immigration is ruining these countries.

    • @user-kk4sj4ih3e
      @user-kk4sj4ih3e 2 місяці тому

      I'm afraid that Russia isn't missing, however I'm not sure about Belarus. The video is based on UN population forecast, and, according to it, Russia is actually doing better than all the countries discussed in the video thanks mainly due to migration (yes, believe it or not, Russia receives more immigrants that it loses emigrants). Belarus is trickier since they no longer publish demographic data since 2020 round of bickering with the West so we don't have any data on their migration since then (and it could be really bad considering the level of repression the country has been experiencing since mass protests same year)

  • @user-lf8ir7sk8l
    @user-lf8ir7sk8l Рік тому +103

    Population of Bulgaria was 9 millions in 1989 and now is 6.4 millions.30 percents decrease. By the year 2100 the population will decrease to just 2,3 millions. 4 times less compare to 1989.Bulgaria is the country with the most shrinking population in the world.

    • @md.shamadulislam8762
      @md.shamadulislam8762 Рік тому +16

      And its because of migration.

    • @Radosworld
      @Radosworld Рік тому

      That's good. Türkiye can take them over.

    • @AkimKimij
      @AkimKimij Рік тому +1

      I think doesnt matter if low population it's can productive beacause lot things to do

    • @MrDude826
      @MrDude826 Рік тому

      Bulgarians don't want to live in Bulgaria.

    • @pineapplesareyummy6352
      @pineapplesareyummy6352 Рік тому +1

      Most of the rest of Eastern Europe aren't any better. Nearly everyone lost 20-30% of their Communist-era populations. The only two countries doing slightly better are Russia and Poland. Eastern Europe was sold a lie. The transition to capitalism only resulted in total industrial and economic collapse, plunging fertility rates, mass emigration to the West, and complete hollowing out of countries. Eastern Europe would have been much better off going the way of Vietnam, or China without the one-child policy.

  • @nonosornakira3821
    @nonosornakira3821 Рік тому +323

    As a person from Thailand, I'm very worried about this issue in my country. We're still stuck in the middle income trap and our education system is bad compared to other countries in the list. We don't have high-tech company that can create high value export in the international level. But Thailand has couple of advantage that can be used to avoid these problems. We were once a nation of of immigrants, millions of poor Chinese flooded into our countries before WW2 and after that they eventually assimilate into Thai society and help create the middle class of Thailand. We can use this method to invite migrants from neighbor country like Myanmar, Laos, and Cambodia to work in Thailand and be able to gain Thai citizenship. Although in order to execute this plan, Thailand needs a much stronger economy that doesn't rely on tourism and some of the old-world industry.

    • @awang_ir
      @awang_ir Рік тому +25

      Hello & greetings from Indonesia. As a country, I don't think Thailand has more issues than us because of geographic and political reasons. With huge advance in automobile manufacturing powerhouses at southeast Asia region, I could safely say that Thailand would still have plenty of potential going forward

    • @suhailshafi
      @suhailshafi Рік тому +9

      Thailand has seen spectacular economic growth in the past three decades and its economy will be fine.

    • @richardthomas5362
      @richardthomas5362 Рік тому +27

      Africa will be full of people who would love to migrate to your country.

    • @eric2500
      @eric2500 Рік тому +12

      "Invite migrants" ....this is what intelligent policy would be - I won't speak for your country, just mine....The USA.

    • @eric2500
      @eric2500 Рік тому +6

      Honestly our education system and industry are not what they once were either, but what we really need are people who know how to fish/ farm/ build/ survive in bad weather environments. We have mostly forgotten.

  • @resstuff
    @resstuff Рік тому +335

    Bigger does not always mean better. Instead of looking at shear size we need to be looking at quality of life. This will clearly require a different way of looking at economics which is currently focused only on growth.

    • @secrets.295
      @secrets.295 Рік тому +42

      If there is no growth, there is no way any country can get a good quality of life. And a declining population means higher welfare, higher healthcare, more withdrawals from pension funds and social security. The young will suffer. They will have to pay higher taxes and higher contributions towards pension fund. Say goodbye to higher quality of life when depopulation starts to really kick in.

    • @Aryan-dq1sk
      @Aryan-dq1sk Рік тому +3

      just decrease human population to 1-5 and increase no. of robot country will grow fast bigger economy increase life expectancy. No need for human/s
      if population increases it make easier to colonies solar system and secure human .

    • @saimoncole
      @saimoncole Рік тому +15

      @@secrets.295 Growing the population and people's living standards on a finite planet means there's less to go around. Sure technology can stretch resources and energy out, but the more people there are wanting more and more, the more challenging it is. And we all depend on a healthy biosphere, which is in severe decline.

    • @seishin2900
      @seishin2900 Рік тому +10

      @@secrets.295 By that logic wouldnt china and india be the best countries in the world then? Wrong, despite the high density of population its pretty horrible

    • @manwiththeredface7821
      @manwiththeredface7821 Рік тому +3

      "Bigger does not always mean better"
      It can be grave danger if your country gets invaded by a much larger army than yours. And as we saw in the last 10 months history hasn't come to an end (suck it Fukuyama), there will always be wars and aggression. Sheer number is a big factor in how well your country can defend itself from outside threats.

  • @suhailshafi
    @suhailshafi Рік тому +16

    Having a low and shrinking population is definitely the lesser of two evils as compared to the horrors of overpopulation. I am glad humans are finally procreating less and less.

    • @david50665
      @david50665 Рік тому

      perhaps human extinction is your ultimate goal...as we should rejoice when it happens

    • @mayy9685
      @mayy9685 3 місяці тому +1

      Until you have no economy. Low population is catastrophic for a country. Can’t economically thrive with no people. It will eventually die out

  • @nathanseper8738
    @nathanseper8738 Рік тому +29

    Thank you for covering this topic in a nuanced way. It is why I am a happy subscriber.

    • @MikeAnn193
      @MikeAnn193 Рік тому +1

      Interesting. I didn't find the coverage to be nuanced. I think it was significantly oversimplified and one-sided, pushing a concern for depopulation without explaining the reasoning, and without mentioning any of the factors to consider, other than occasional references to a country's economy.

  • @svonegov8199
    @svonegov8199 Рік тому +149

    Belarus is also should be on the list. its population is already peaked and expected to go down from 9 million to about 3.5 million

  • @menixxx1237
    @menixxx1237 Рік тому +73

    I am really surprised with Thailand's population already almost peaked. I'm from the Philippines and I thought the southeast asia region is generally a developing region which means its population would also be generally young.

    • @harukrentz435
      @harukrentz435 Рік тому +2

      Singapore and Thailand populations are shrinking

    • @menixxx1237
      @menixxx1237 Рік тому +17

      @@harukrentz435 well singapore is already rich af, and with a small land area its not really a surprise.

    • @jerryberry5480
      @jerryberry5480 Рік тому

      It’s gonna be more challenging for Thailand to escape the middle income trap they’ve been facing since Asian financial crisis. Their population has officially started to shrink
      Unless they decide to take more migrants in (mostly labourers) just to keep their economy flowing smoothly

    • @kiratsi
      @kiratsi Рік тому

      Too many males in the Philippines impregnating women and abandoning them for the population there to ever be in decline. It's basically a nation of single mothers

    • @JeroenJA
      @JeroenJA Рік тому

      the world is stagnation toward a healthy replacement average per woman,
      despite Africa expexted to tripple in population...
      so, about anywhere outside of Africa the brith per woman are somewhat below the number for the next gen of 0 to 20ers to be exactly as numberous as the current 0 to 20yers,
      the only reason the population will keep on climbing until the 10 billion, is that also in asia, achieving higher, and thus pension age become way more lickely, = it's the 60+ age group that will be 2 billion people higher by 2050 , while the other age group stay pretty much as numberous as today , even slightly less!

  • @mysteriousDSF
    @mysteriousDSF Рік тому +8

    I love coming on UA-cam and see your upload!

  • @mwoftx9214
    @mwoftx9214 Рік тому +185

    You didn’t mention Germany… that’s going to be a sharp fall too and important for global production and finance.
    Also, it would have been nice to have the list you presented in at least 1 frame at the end of this video or in the description. Perhaps you could at least add some of that to the description?

    • @lepen_macron
      @lepen_macron Рік тому +54

      Actually Germans population is expected to even grow a little by 2100 because unlike the vast majority of other countries Germany gets A LOT of immigrand its only behind the USA in terms of immigration and the best part is the vast majority of people coming there (due to its geography and more)are usually highly educated young people from developing nations looking for a better life)

    • @thanakonpraepanich4284
      @thanakonpraepanich4284 Рік тому +24

      @@lepen_macron
      But the new batch who came during 2014-2015 were not able to integrated and become German, unlike Turkish guest workers in the 20th Century. And the political climate in the 21st century does not left a lot of time to do so.
      If anything, watch out for 2nd generation White and Turkish immigrants to band together to shoo these Arab newcomers away from Germany.

    • @onestate3074
      @onestate3074 Рік тому +12

      It’s gonna be new turkey anyways so it doesn’t really matter.

    • @bobfaam5215
      @bobfaam5215 Рік тому +15

      @@lepen_macron immigrants are having few babies too .
      Also immigrants are not the indefinite solution .
      People need to have babies too
      .
      BTW Asia and Arab population is also going down because of low fertility

    • @TheogRahoomie
      @TheogRahoomie Рік тому +9

      @@lepen_macron this is the only reason a lot of western countries aren’t shrinking. Canada (my country) has an absolutely abysmal birth rate of less than 1.5 births per woman. Canada lets in like 1% if its population per year in immigration though.

  • @portibolivia
    @portibolivia Рік тому +9

    Can you please upload the source of the population graphs for the individual countries?

  • @jesusrivero7578
    @jesusrivero7578 Рік тому +17

    Nice video! What about countries that have faced population lost due to massive migration? How are their population rates expected to evolve?

  • @sibimathen1451
    @sibimathen1451 Рік тому +168

    The problem is not population decrease, but rather our current parameters to calculate economy and growth. Our current parameters in based on the growth in demand and consumption, which with a growing population makes sense. However, now many countries are reaching a point where that will not measure the actual improvements in quality of life.
    And yes Jack Ma and Elon Musk who literal wealth is based on this growth in consumption are crying. Also if Elon is moving to mars why is so concerned about planet Earth? (that dude is literally losing his marbles for a while)

    • @Andrew-df1dr
      @Andrew-df1dr Рік тому +15

      So because he moves to Mars, he wouldn't care about the planet that he lived on all his life?

    • @scottcarter6623
      @scottcarter6623 Рік тому +23

      @@Andrew-df1dr he doesn't care now. 😆

    • @sharmas7586
      @sharmas7586 Рік тому +1

      You are right

    • @Andrew-df1dr
      @Andrew-df1dr Рік тому +2

      @@scottcarter6623 Really? He has said that?

    • @jadapinkett1656
      @jadapinkett1656 Рік тому +8

      @@Andrew-df1dr He doesn't need to.

  • @lukedornon7799
    @lukedornon7799 Рік тому +69

    I'm personally pretty skeptical of predictions about population as far out as 2100. Only a tiny fraction of the people we expect to be alive then have even been born yet, so it seems likely that unexpected changes will happen before then.

    • @crossmaster77
      @crossmaster77 Рік тому +4

      Regardless population decline and increasingly low birth rate is a real thing. The population decline in future is possible to be even worse than this video 's predictions

    • @lukedornon7799
      @lukedornon7799 Рік тому +6

      @@crossmaster77 Right, there's a large possible range of outcomes even with just the data we have now. Thus I remain skeptical.

    • @davidjackson7281
      @davidjackson7281 Рік тому +7

      I am skeptical of such a prediction for 80 years from now, also. Fifty years ago the prediction was the complete opposite. Birth control, with the availability of the pill, etc., becoming more prominent was a huge, major factor.

    • @paulsawczyc5019
      @paulsawczyc5019 Рік тому +5

      @@davidjackson7281 I think that internet porn has a lot to do with fewer babies.

    • @davidjackson7281
      @davidjackson7281 Рік тому +2

      @@paulsawczyc5019 Could be. Both sexes appear to not need each other that much.

  • @SirZanZa
    @SirZanZa Рік тому +31

    I'm absolutely astonished the United Kingdom will over take Germany and especially Japan in the next 50 years ...its insane to me considering Japan almost has double the population of the UK currently

    • @cjryan88
      @cjryan88 Рік тому +1

      its all the illegal migration most of it is non european

    • @bibiana761
      @bibiana761 Рік тому +13

      UK have a big immigration from India and they are indoeuropean speakers too.

    • @automnejoy5308
      @automnejoy5308 Рік тому

      Japan is too proud to take in immigrants, and that's the simple truth of the matter.

    • @bibiana761
      @bibiana761 Рік тому +1

      @@automnejoy5308 Japan have many filipinos immigrants, and many japanese are married with strangers

    • @thomaseck3210
      @thomaseck3210 Рік тому +5

      It won‘t, that's the thing. German demographers now calculate with 90 million Germans and a population that will peak at almost 95 millions….

  • @jocelynstephens7058
    @jocelynstephens7058 Рік тому +18

    3 random things...
    * Africa is still growing but that growth has halved.
    * The US wants to grow by 11 million by 2050, but as they are on the decline that will need 12 million to achieve. This could be devistating for the Republic of Ireland as they have strong links with the US in terms of immigration and there own drop in birth rate beyond replacement.
    * Russia has an interesting population curve of having periods of reasonable births to low births. It is said that somany Russians were killed in the Second World War that there is still an echo effect. Well, they are at it again with an estimated loss of around 60k. Putting aside the tragedy of it all, the numbers may be small but will not help their declining population.

    • @joejoejoejoejoejoe4391
      @joejoejoejoejoejoe4391 Рік тому

      I've noticed an echo effect in the British birth rate, there's a dip about 20 years after WW2, then another about 22 years later (as the average age of child birth increases) and so on. There should be the next dip in a few years time, but we're already declining no, so I can only imagine a crash in a few years.

    • @jocelynstephens7058
      @jocelynstephens7058 Рік тому

      Hey Joe... This could be the same as the one experienced in Russia but on a way larger scale.
      Perhaps throughout history this has been the case, and the First World War should really show up on the radar.
      Yes, we are declining but expect our population to go up as it is industries/governments/economists want to do so.

  • @zhappy
    @zhappy Рік тому +26

    I think you should check the latest UN population prospects 2022, which estimates that China's population will drop to around ~750-800 million people by 2100

    • @richardwills-woodward5340
      @richardwills-woodward5340 Рік тому

      Worse than that. UN data is always wrong. The number is expected to be closer to 600 million. By 2050 it is expected to collapse to 8-900 million. It will be truly catastrophic. Japan is now dropping by over 1 million people per year (far more than predicted previously). Not just that, but their GDP has decreased accordingly - from circa 5 trillion to 4.5 trillion more or less now (some of this is fluctuating currency) but the trend is already there. Japan will be the example for all of us. They are going first. China will really 'feel' the consequences from around 2030 or so. Japan's started with a few hundred thousand and then just fell off a cliff a year ago and again this year.

    • @J_X999
      @J_X999 Рік тому +1

      No matter how convincing it seems, current data and projections cannot predict the future all the way to 2100. It's too far in the future.

    • @xjmmjbnqfstjdijoj2044
      @xjmmjbnqfstjdijoj2044 Рік тому +1

      It's gonna be probably lower than that if this trend continues...

  • @SVSky
    @SVSky Рік тому +5

    What Peter Zeihan has been saying for a while. Nice to see more in depth graphs

  • @kevinw1090
    @kevinw1090 Рік тому +9

    It's always quality not quantity of its population that defines a nation.

    • @redman6790
      @redman6790 9 місяців тому

      This is false. Population is the bedrock of a nation's economy. It is why Gulf countries, in-spite of being rich, can never truly dominate on a geopolitical level and require immigration for their own survival. Population is the greatest long-term factor to determine the nation's health, economics/politics/technology are all short-term issues. Don't believe me? See how much South Korea & Japan are worrying about their demographics issue, they know the inevitability of all their economic prosperity & technological advancement is going to come crashing down due to population crisis.

  • @j.p.vanbolhuis8678
    @j.p.vanbolhuis8678 Рік тому +5

    It can be bad. Question is how are they going to deal with it.
    What can happen is that by the time the first countries to decline start to grow again, others my go into decline.
    This whole growth and decline does mean a shift in economy and power.
    As for population size it only fully translates into power if the economy keeps up at at least the same level, preferably improving.
    Power could be explained (too simplified) as population x economy. And yes there is a square in there. Now a square may be too much, but it is definitely more than linear.

    • @RideAcrossTheRiver
      @RideAcrossTheRiver Рік тому

      "how are they going to deal with it." Ever read Margaret Atwood?

    • @automnejoy5308
      @automnejoy5308 Рік тому +1

      If you pull up a list of the most populated countries and compare to a list of the greatest economies, you will see that they don't really match. Some countries come close to matching... for example, the US is the 3rd most populated and 1st in economy. China is 1st in population and has the 2nd. But the rest are all over the place. Germany is 19th in population but manages the 4th largest economy. Japan is 11th in population but is the 3rd largest economy. Canada, South Korea, France, UK and Italy all have lower populations than Russia, Brazil and Indonesia but they each edge all of them out in economic power. Pakistan, Nigeria, Bangladesh and Mexico all make the top 10 in population, but none of them make the top 15 economies. Nigeria only has the 31st largest economy and Pakistan 44th. It's not all about population by any means. It's a helpful factor, but you need a lot more than that. You need a stable system of government, the right culture to promote industry, a certain amount of resources, wealth equality, good education for citizens across the board, higher quality of life, good fortune that nothing catastrophic is happening to you like natural disaster, wars, etc. Many things must align. The higher populated countries don't necessarily have to be the best in all of these factors to make it to the top, but they can't be the worst, either. Smaller countries have to have a great culture of entrepreneurship and high quality of life and then they can potentially punch far above their weight. So there is a lot at play and it's very complex, and each country must fulfill its own unique criteria and have its own game plan to be a great economy. What works for one country may not for another and so on.

    • @RideAcrossTheRiver
      @RideAcrossTheRiver Рік тому +1

      @@automnejoy5308 Canada imports its population

  • @itsmellsfishy3978
    @itsmellsfishy3978 Рік тому +80

    you could make a part 2 cuz there are a lot more eastern eropian contries with that problem

    • @cinnamonstar808
      @cinnamonstar808 Рік тому +4

      you cannot predict this... humans are always on the move.
      Lands maybe empty today and over-crowded 5 years from now.

    • @gustavvanderwesthuizen6173
      @gustavvanderwesthuizen6173 Рік тому +4

      European*

    • @Poctyk
      @Poctyk Рік тому +1

      @@cinnamonstar808 List of countries that would rather move to eastern european country then western
      1) Ukraine, because of proximity and language closeness
      2)...
      3) Really can't think of other

    • @Pollicina_db
      @Pollicina_db Рік тому +1

      @@Poctyk Ukraine? Are you out of your mind? Its like saying you wanna move to Syria.

    • @Poctyk
      @Poctyk Рік тому

      @@Pollicina_db From Ukraine to another EE country. Not from EE country to Ukraine

  • @fromodisha4981
    @fromodisha4981 Рік тому +90

    I think populations decrease is affecting ecomomy, development etc but save the future of Earth.

    • @MrGilang100
      @MrGilang100 Рік тому +17

      Think again, That is less doctor to treat the sick, less teacher to teach about how to preserve the earth and less engineer to innovate.

    • @stefanoraz27
      @stefanoraz27 Рік тому +11

      oh no not the ecomommy

    • @queensawayama6773
      @queensawayama6773 Рік тому +13

      @@MrGilang100 less sick, less students

    • @MrGilang100
      @MrGilang100 Рік тому +1

      @@queensawayama6773 While less students might be true, less sick might not be the case since the demographic will mostly consist of middle to old age people. The 2nd demographic segment that is most likely to get sick after children.

    • @KateeAngel
      @KateeAngel Рік тому +1

      @@MrGilang100 allow more immigrants, and teach them local language and customs to assimilate. Many countries would be losing population for long if not for immigration. Germany has natural population decline for 30-40 years, but its actual population is growing still

  • @danielsentertainmentproduc1527

    Technically not a country or a subnational division but Puerto Rico
    - Even before hurricane Maria and COVID-19, the island was bleeding population from more rural areas fleeing to the mainland, Then Maria/COVID-19 hit creating a permanent population loss that will impact Puerto Rico for years to come

  • @wyattjosh283
    @wyattjosh283 Рік тому +3

    I'm pretty confident that the standard of living in an Italy with 35m or a Japan of 70m is going to be magnitudes better than a Nigeria of 700m or a Zambia of 80m.

  • @qolspony
    @qolspony Рік тому +5

    The problem is these countries were built for the people who are there now. But with any decreases, it would mean many places would turn into ghost towns.

  • @dashund365
    @dashund365 Рік тому +113

    It’s a bit of fear mongering in a way (not saying that you are instigating it) but population decline is a bad thing in relative terms only. Demographics are a foundation block for national power and as countries industrialise across the board, it’ll resume its importance as a main factor of national power.
    For the world as a whole, de-population will generally be a good thing. More resources in the world per capita, less anxiety about technology replacing workers as the need for automation overtakes and also a world where people are less of a number or statistic than they currently are.
    De-population will undermine the power of European and some Asian nations going forward, it it will be up to them to retain as much of a technological and innovative edge to continue to punch above their demographic weight.

    • @Poctyk
      @Poctyk Рік тому +12

      >More resources
      A function of technology and investment in technology. For that you need young-middle age minds.
      >Less anxiety
      Opposite the case, as humans get older they become more conservative minded meaning there will be more anxiety about replacing something that "worked for decades"

    • @codgamer1332
      @codgamer1332 Рік тому +5

      More automation will increase pollution remember that

    • @dashund365
      @dashund365 Рік тому +7

      @@codgamer1332 Yes, but as we move even forward into the future we should be expecting our energy base to become more greener with time.
      I say “should” because our governments have so far proven to be largely incompetent at providing the infrastructure for such a base…. more focused on getting back into office at the next election and short-term placation, rather than long-term infrastructure reform and modernisation.

    • @frankieseward8667
      @frankieseward8667 Рік тому

      I think eventually the decline will end and we will see population stablize by century's end.

    • @whatsuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu
      @whatsuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu Рік тому +2

      @@codgamer1332 if it's powered by Fossil fuels

  • @iwantapool7945
    @iwantapool7945 Рік тому +11

    I think population decline will only be bad if we continue to mismanage like we do currently. Wealth distribution has made it so the rich profit from the poor and middle classes. When the middle and poor start to decline in numbers it will inevitably affect the rich which will in turn lead to companies laying off workers or turning to automation. We need to create a more sustainable economy that can benefit everyone if we want to continue our world wide economy and quality of life.

    • @macvena
      @macvena Рік тому

      People just aren't breeding in wealthy countries. Some of the poorest countries are making lots of babies. An economy doesn't grow when there aren't people to produce, buy, sell. It's not a money issue. It's a behavioral issue.

    • @asktheetruscans9857
      @asktheetruscans9857 11 місяців тому

      The wealthy sell the most goods and services to the poor and middle classes because what they're selling is valued the most, or we wouldn't be buying what they're selling. Instead of educating people to become good corporate slaves, financial literacy should be taught in schools. Students should come out of high school knowing how to manage their finances, invest, start their own business and mitigate taxes. That's not what government wants taught in their mandated indoctrination centers.

    • @rainfall7972
      @rainfall7972 10 місяців тому +3

      Rich country are more poor than poor country. It may sound weird but in rich country if you don't have job you are done, house gone, food gone. Poor country normally have their house, even though its not Fancy. They have land to grow food. They have family, neighbors to take care of your children if you work. Having baby also doesn't add alot of work and cost.

  • @martynhaggerty2294
    @martynhaggerty2294 Рік тому +15

    I left Scotland in 1963 ... the population is not much bigger today... Australia... the country of my adoption has almost tripled in the same time.

    • @crossmaster77
      @crossmaster77 Рік тому +4

      Australia tripled because of immigrants. The natives are declining infinitely.

    • @stantonclark
      @stantonclark Рік тому +2

      I’m Australian, the fertility rate here has been below 2 since 1972, although due to immigration from other countries, particularly with the abolishment of the “White Australia Policy” (A policy where Australia only accepts immigrants from desirable western european countries), this opened up the country to many more people particularly from India, Indonesia, and China. The Population will continue to increase because of this until about 2060 and then start to decline.
      There is a similiar trend in Western European Countries like France, UK and Germany where the fertility rate is already below 2 (replacement level) but the overall population is still increasing due to Asian immigrants. in the UK in 2005, 77% of the population was ‘White English/Scottish/Welsh’, in 2020 that % is only 68%.

    • @martynhaggerty2294
      @martynhaggerty2294 Рік тому

      @@stantonclark tell me something I don't know.

    • @stantonclark
      @stantonclark Рік тому

      @@martynhaggerty2294 fair enough

    • @jirachi-wishmaker9242
      @jirachi-wishmaker9242 Рік тому

      @@crossmaster77
      Yeah no aboriginals

  • @kf160k160
    @kf160k160 Рік тому +14

    The thing is, this is not something we can rectify. All the time I thought it is overwork issue that cause young people do not have time to build family. I talked to some of the young people and they said they choose not to have family because it is about free from commitment. They claim their salary is too low to bear a family and they don't want dependency to explore freedom.

    • @danielgloverpiano7693
      @danielgloverpiano7693 Рік тому +1

      Good, keep encouraging them not to breed. We do not need more humans. We need to care for those who are already here and unwanted or abandoned or starving.
      This should scare you:
      WORLD POPULATION
      7,999,286,198
      Current World Population
      115,306,869
      Births this year
      38,625
      Births today
      57,740,279
      Deaths this year
      19,342
      Deaths today
      57,566,591
      Net population growth this year
      19,283
      Net population growth today

    • @jasonkoroma4323
      @jasonkoroma4323 Рік тому +8

      Im in the same boat with them. Its only logical when you try surviving in our antagonistic economy just to make ends meet.

    • @J7Handle
      @J7Handle Рік тому +1

      This is why demographic declines don’t solve themselves. People having fewer children one generation means 30 years later the new adults can’t get enough income to produce the following generation, and this is because the extra large elderly generation soaks up the social security benefits and stifles the country.
      Rome had centuries of demographic collapse. In their case, though, there wasn’t any social security, but the reduction of manpower still stifled Rome until the pressure of outside invasions and loss of influence killed the empire. Rome’s demographic crisis could maybe have been averted if they had understood that it was happening.
      Our crisis can essentially only be solved if we put massive tax incentives and welfare incentives on birthing children, though that will likely produce a poorly raised next generation, it’s better than a puny next generation.

    • @danielgloverpiano7693
      @danielgloverpiano7693 Рік тому +1

      @@J7Handle there is no population decline. The opposite is true. The world population is doubling every decade. The whole premise of this video is false.
      We have eight billion people for the first time in history. The notion that the world population is declining is a joke.
      This is why abortion is essential for the survival of our planet and species.

    • @danielgloverpiano7693
      @danielgloverpiano7693 Рік тому +1

      @@J7Handle This should scare you:
      WORLD POPULATION
      7,999,286,198
      Current World Population
      115,306,869
      Births this year
      38,625
      Births today
      57,740,279
      Deaths this year
      19,342
      Deaths today
      57,566,591
      Net population growth this year
      19,283
      Net population growth today

  • @rongendron8705
    @rongendron8705 Рік тому +10

    When I was born in early 1946, just after WWII, the World's population was approx. 2.5 billion! Today, just 76
    years later, it's around 7.5 billion or 3 times that amount & I'm still alive! This video predicts that amount to
    reach 10.4 billion in just another 60 years, in the 80's, which means that existing children will still be alive
    to face that "Mass of Humanity" in 2100! We must think of our "quality of life" as well as the population total!

    • @borzix1997
      @borzix1997 Рік тому

      Don't worry, the end of globalisation will cut back overpopulated nations even if no WW III breaks out. But I doubt we can avoid that.

    • @tbraghavendran
      @tbraghavendran 11 місяців тому

      How was life different then compared to now ?

    • @WhizzKid2012
      @WhizzKid2012 5 місяців тому

      Finally a good boomer

  • @buljuach1513
    @buljuach1513 Рік тому +4

    Just check out the stats on declining birth rates and excess mortality since 2021 by country in so-called first world countries. Add this to the stats on increasing mortality from poverty, famine and displacement in developing countries. Doesn't leave many countries with a good outlook.

  • @NightHunter571
    @NightHunter571 Рік тому +18

    This isn’t as big a problem for most countries as it seems, as the lower population will likely have the same effect as the Black Plague had on Europe. Namely it will make the population more sustainable and encourage automation and sustainable practices rather than excessive consumerism. Lots of short-term pain for long-term benefit, plus we have the advantage of seeing it coming years in advance so we can prepare, reducing the negative effects.

    • @crossmaster77
      @crossmaster77 Рік тому +3

      what a nonsensical argument. Population decline by an unexpected disease and population decline by consistent low birth rate has nothing to do with each other and its effects are totally unrelated. " Excessive consumerism " is present as long as capitalism exists and has nothing to do with population size. Countries with small population size also experiences excessive consumerism and sustained low birth rate with no end in sight. " Automation " won't solve low birth rate, it just somewhat reduces economic problems and this is also highly debated. There will be also no automation for newly created industries in the future. It can't solve the consumer culture and highly costly urban lifestyle that produce the current low birth rate.

    • @duitk
      @duitk Рік тому +1

      This is not a great argument, the problem with population decline is in large part that we end up with aging population, a huge chunk of people who can't work or produce and much less young people who can sustain the nation. This is not like a pandemic that often hits the elderly, or at least hits everyone equally, this is much worse than that. Immigration can be a solution, but it has to be managed well to not cause problems in the short term, in the long term it does not matter but in the short term tensions can often arise within a nation. Honestly though it may be the only fix at least for some time, what sucks is that some nations have it easier than others. The US for example mostly gets Asian and Latin American immigrants, Latin Americans are Catholic or Christian and speak an European language so despite what the media says they integrate pretty fast when compared to past immigration waves, Asian immigrants are also culturally very hard working so they also integrate fast. Europe really does not have many places to get immigrants from, the middle east has the people but the culture is different enough it takes more time to integrate them. Asia has it the worst, they actually leave for the US, Canada or Australia instead of immigrating to places like Japan and SK. This is in large part because of how hostile nations like Japan are to immigrants.

    • @DGTelevsionNetwork
      @DGTelevsionNetwork Рік тому

      More technology equals more energy consumption and thus more pollution.

  • @ecocentrichomestead6783
    @ecocentrichomestead6783 Рік тому +13

    Wither the earth is overpopulated depends on more than numbers. Overpopulation comes when a species consumes resources faster than they are replaced. Currently, humans are consuming resources faster than they are replaced. Blame it on over consumption or too many people, we are destroying our resource base.
    To decide wither we have an overpopulation issue, we must calculate the needs of one individual.
    How far would our total consumption drop if no one consumed above his/her need? Trouble with that is things would go stagnant real fast!
    Then add inevitable losses and logistical issues. You need to double the basic need!

    • @Smrithee08
      @Smrithee08 Рік тому +4

      Happy to read about this. Indeed,at the pace that humans are growth is occurring, our planets wont sustain for long. We are also witnessing climate changes. We need a decrease in human population at this rate for ecological stability.

    • @vinnieriley7227
      @vinnieriley7227 Рік тому

      Though can technology overcome resource challenges? For example desalination for water. Greenhouse, hydroponic, and other indoor farming methods can be developed to grow some foods. Onshore fish production could mean that we take less from the oceans. Think creative and be optimistic. Human beings are smart enough to overcome challenges.
      Things are better than dramatic environmentalists think. Even paper use peaked in about the year 2000 for some developed countries. Smart phones have replaced alarm clocks, calculators, watches, and other devices.

    • @ecocentrichomestead6783
      @ecocentrichomestead6783 Рік тому +2

      @@vinnieriley7227 unfortunately, it doesn't work that way. Those ideas are not closed loop systems and depend on external inputs. Plus, they only buy time. Human greed will quickly nullify any advantages of new technology and techniques. That includes regenerative and permaculture farming.
      It's not a technology issue. It's a greed times population size issue.

    • @Zack-fu4lo
      @Zack-fu4lo Рік тому

      @@vinnieriley7227 desalination is 100 years before being profitable

  • @corsarodoro7890
    @corsarodoro7890 Рік тому +22

    I am Italian, I live in the region with the lowest birth rate in the world, Sardinia, a land with the highest number of centenarians in the world. By 2050 my region will go from 1 million and 500 thousand inhabitants to just over 600 thousand inhabitants. An infinite sadness.

    • @bingo737
      @bingo737 Рік тому +7

      Well, start having children..even the Balkan countries have a higher fertility rate than Italy, yet much lower standard of living.

    • @corsarodoro7890
      @corsarodoro7890 Рік тому +2

      @@bingo737 I'm gay!

    • @bingo737
      @bingo737 Рік тому +2

      @@corsarodoro7890 Me too 😂 I was just speaking in general

    • @solomongrundy1467
      @solomongrundy1467 Рік тому +1

      @@bingo737 Can't have children if the wymen don't want to get pregnant or are using birth control. Women are enjoying the freedom of being child free and I don't see that changing.

    • @lioneldemun6033
      @lioneldemun6033 Рік тому +3

      Lucky you! The earth is over populated anyway

  • @learnthatkorean
    @learnthatkorean Рік тому

    Love the video

  • @SigliaDiniz
    @SigliaDiniz Рік тому +37

    Great video. There are other countries in Europe such as Denmark, Netherlands should enter this list as well. Thanks

    • @mikaelnilsson7313
      @mikaelnilsson7313 Рік тому +21

      No they have more immigration. Eastern Europe countries will loose more.

    • @sybrandwoudstra9236
      @sybrandwoudstra9236 Рік тому +5

      We would be fine here in the Netherlands if there wasn't a housing crisis. I'm just really angry that we both have a population collapse and a housing crisis at the same time.

    • @austinscott4695
      @austinscott4695 Рік тому +3

      @@mikaelnilsson7313 Denmark doesn't have much immigration. Didn't they released an ad named "Do it for Denmark"?

    • @mikaelnilsson7313
      @mikaelnilsson7313 Рік тому +2

      @@austinscott4695 Not so many asylum seekers but migrant workers from other european countries. The danish population is steady growing. But countries in eatern Europe decline.

    • @RideAcrossTheRiver
      @RideAcrossTheRiver Рік тому +1

      @@mikaelnilsson7313 Immigration is not population

  • @casualobserver3702
    @casualobserver3702 Рік тому +13

    An issue not generally discussed is the level of interest in keeping the 60 plus people working. My experience in the US throughout my working career was that our corporate world can't wait to eliminate the most productive people (50 +) from the workforce as they do not care or even understand the value of highly skilled/experienced workforce. Accountants only seem to understand basics of pay rate and not productivity value. So, I suggest that the solution to the lower birth rates,, is to value the older workforce. Governments are not at fault thus will not readily step up to solve this issue, it requires that the corporate leadership recognize the need to change their view of economics and value their abundant skilled resources more.

  • @bringbackdislikes3195
    @bringbackdislikes3195 Рік тому +1

    Can someone tell me where does he gets these graphics like at 2:04 please?

  • @jerryberry5480
    @jerryberry5480 Рік тому +2

    Thailand is intriguing. The country is not even classified as a developed nation but has a population crisis similar to East Asian countries

  • @werwar27
    @werwar27 Рік тому +3

    the thing with demographic predictions is that theyre widely inaccurate and speculative. I just looks at the curve and then draws a line to predict the future. Societal changes are completely ignored

  • @craigduncan7010
    @craigduncan7010 Рік тому +7

    This is one of several videos on this topic I have seen recently (I guess I am in this rabbit hole now). But I think it brings up some very obvious follow up questions. What does a world with this aging/declining population look like? Some things are clear, challenges of caring for the vast number of elderly citizens and who is going to make up the labor force (tax base)? But there are other issues as well. What is going to happen to property prices as more homeowners die off than in greater numbers than there are youngsters around to buy them (Hint: maybe real estate is not a good investment right now)? How are all the national debts ever going to get serviced with declining GDPs? What does future warfare look like? Historically this has been a young man's game; but I doubt we find a way to make it go away. I really struggle to be optimistic about the future my kids have in front of them.

    • @Poctyk
      @Poctyk Рік тому

      "The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival" a bit dry, but an interesting look into exactly this question.

    • @automnejoy5308
      @automnejoy5308 Рік тому +1

      Japan, Greece and Italy are showing us exactly what happens. High debt to GDP ratio. Of course, there are bad policy decisions that have exacerbated this. But it's in large part because of their demographic collapse. What happens is a waning of economic power, but not necessarily a total collapse. Why? Well, it all depends on the culture and the government. Something that happens is that the elderly remain in the workforce. They work into their 80's and even 90's. That's what you see in Japan nowadays. This can be very good but also very bad, but it is a workaround to some degree. What would really help is immigration. That is a touchy topic, though, and there are obviously some cons that go with the pros. Not every country is culturally set up for immigrants. Japan seems allergic to them. Some of these countries would rather wither away into insignificance than take in large numbers of immigrants.

    • @bighands69
      @bighands69 Рік тому

      Caring is the least of the issues. Productive output at an economic scale will be the challenge. Many countries are going to face an economic collapse at the same time they face a population collapse because they are one in the same thing.

    • @schattensand
      @schattensand Рік тому

      Depth are only a problem if you want or are forced to stay in the system. If a country just terminates the depts the fortunes counting on repayment disappear overnight. Happened so often in the past, will happen in future again.

    • @russellpengilley5924
      @russellpengilley5924 Рік тому

      I wonder if the burden of looking after the old people will encourage the workforce to leave for a country with a growing economy and lower taxes.

  • @clayton19931
    @clayton19931 Рік тому +1

    I believe that we are simply finding a population equilibrium, for most of the time that our species has been around you had a 50/50 chance making it to adulthood, as a result people had lots of children, advances in medicine greatly outpaced cultural norms and as a result you have a population explosion, population explosions mean greater competition for resources and having children becomes cost prohibitive, I believe that as populations shrink there will be less competition for resources and the birth rate will again rise to a sustainable level, there is always an ebb and flow

  • @konathalasivasatyanarayana8480

    Good information sir

  • @manshoe1738
    @manshoe1738 Рік тому +7

    this video had me shocked throughout, I knew about the inevitable international population decrease, but i didnt expect it to be at this scale

    • @cinnamonstar808
      @cinnamonstar808 Рік тому

      **if left as-is. BUT HUMANS are never as simple as a number. HUMANS ARE ALWAYS ON THE MOVE. I cant beleive people keep forgetting that people can walk. walk into a land / walk out of a land = yes that changes the population of any country.
      the 2 external factors that change any land population is politics and climate **8 these 100year predictions are not valid.
      5 years top.

  • @caniblmolstr4503
    @caniblmolstr4503 Рік тому +20

    India is not far behind actually. Currently only seven states out of the 29 in India have a birth rate above replacement level.
    And these are the ones with low development - the Bimaru - Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh (a pun as Bimaru also means sick in Hindi) West Bengal and Orissa.
    India will not be as severe as the 9nes mentioned but its gonna stop gaining population by the next decade.
    In fact the world itself may be on the trend

    • @ippo3734
      @ippo3734 Рік тому +1

      The world is heading into a decline expect to see less than 7 billion people in 20years time

    • @soumyanilroy8402
      @soumyanilroy8402 Рік тому +8

      In west bengal muslim are having 3 or 4 kids
      But hindus bengalis are having
      1 or 2 kids
      Also same are not even marrying 😕 or
      Are reluctant to take a kid

    • @caniblmolstr4503
      @caniblmolstr4503 Рік тому

      @@soumyanilroy8402 it will be the same with Muslims if they at all become middle class. Look at a middle class Muslim and your observation falls flat.

    • @soumyanilroy8402
      @soumyanilroy8402 Рік тому +1

      @@caniblmolstr4503 the population middle class muslim is very less
      Than it is with bengali hindus

    • @caniblmolstr4503
      @caniblmolstr4503 Рік тому +1

      @@soumyanilroy8402 then wtf r u worried about? In such situations what usually happens is mass migration or mass conversion. So what do you want?

  • @sejembalm
    @sejembalm Рік тому +1

    This seems to be predicated on the assumption that industrial countries (such as Japan, South Korea, and the European and American countries) will economically suffer from declining populations supporting increasingly aging retired sections of society in the next 80 years (year 2100), but will future automated economies work to minimize this problem? It seems that the big problem of the wealthier industrialized countries in the future may be in keeping out refugees from destitute countries (displaced by conflicts, poverty, and the problems of climate change and famine) instead of welcoming them in to support their economies.

  • @vinzenzbissig8246
    @vinzenzbissig8246 Рік тому

    Why the video shows the famous costline from Polignano a Mare Pulia Italy as an example of Greece? For a geography channel a low quality.

  • @gustavoceballos5327
    @gustavoceballos5327 Рік тому +25

    Russia just recently started declining its population after the peak and it will continue throughout the century.

    • @lkruijsw
      @lkruijsw Рік тому +1

      Indeed, I saw graph that it is starting to lose 2 million a year.

    • @edwardjohannes360
      @edwardjohannes360 Рік тому

      Yes, Russia "started declining its population" when most of its men left the country to avoid the draft and those who did not leave are sent to Ukraine to die as cannon fodder.

    • @yanliew4027
      @yanliew4027 Рік тому +1

      Ukraine war !

    • @Alan_Clark
      @Alan_Clark Рік тому +2

      The population was predicted to fall by 20 million by the end of the century, but that was before they invaded Ukraine. Now large numbers of young adults are fleeing the country and will not be in a hurry to return. Worsening conditions in Russia will probably reduce the birth rate even further, so now the population could fall by even more.

    • @davidcornish1565
      @davidcornish1565 Рік тому +1

      Especially if Ukraine keep popping them off at the current rate

  • @donofon101
    @donofon101 Рік тому +4

    Nigeria and Indonesia are on track to be the two largest nationalities on earth rather soon. Add the Philippines in with the Indonesian island region as well.

    • @tonybrowneyed8277
      @tonybrowneyed8277 Рік тому

      don´t believe that. fertility rate reduction for these 2 will probably kick in way before that.

    • @sullivan6661
      @sullivan6661 Місяць тому

      Source : dude trust me 😜

  • @hamzehshashaa2659
    @hamzehshashaa2659 Рік тому

    I love ur accent ❤ and video sure lol

  • @anonymouslyanonymous5987
    @anonymouslyanonymous5987 Рік тому +7

    Ukraine should’ve been mentioned as well. Not only the natural population is declining there but people are also leaving that country due to war.

  • @easyb622
    @easyb622 Рік тому +68

    It’s sort of happening right now on the lower level if you look at the birth rates around the world, especially in places like Europe, Asia and North America with certain groups of people.

    • @SirZanZa
      @SirZanZa Рік тому +2

      the UK population is Rising fast as hell and is projected to grow another 13 million in the next 50 years, a rise of around 2.2 million every 10 years until a peak of around 91 million in 2200, a healthy growth, France is expected to grow another 5 million during the same time frame before levelling off and peaking in around 2100

    • @easyb622
      @easyb622 Рік тому +19

      @@SirZanZa ummmm only black and brown people in theUK

    • @Mainz_1901
      @Mainz_1901 Рік тому +1

      @@easyb622 okay?

    • @easyb622
      @easyb622 Рік тому +3

      @@Mainz_1901 alright

    • @KateeAngel
      @KateeAngel Рік тому +8

      @@easyb622 who cares? Obsessing over skin colour is as dumb as obsessing over eye colour

  • @Ushio01
    @Ushio01 Рік тому +3

    Even though this video is only a few months old it's using out of date 2019 UN estimates.
    In late 2022 new UN estimates were released and they are far worse.
    China for instance is no longer decreasing to just over 1 billion by 2100 but to just 766 million by 2100.

    • @mjones8170
      @mjones8170 5 місяців тому

      To just 766million😂

    • @Ushio01
      @Ushio01 5 місяців тому

      @@mjones8170 That's a 50% drop in just 80 years with the age distribution being tilted towards old people.
      China won't even be in the top 5 countries by population when it's population hits 766 million.

    • @prateekmahapatra1789
      @prateekmahapatra1789 4 місяці тому

      i have even seen a even far more horrifying one of just over 565 M 🥶, basically almost 1B decline

    • @Ushio01
      @Ushio01 4 місяці тому

      @@mjones8170 That's a near 50% decline in population and 41% over 65!.

  • @suhailshafi
    @suhailshafi Рік тому +2

    Malta, Russia, Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Hungary are all countries with extremely low birth rates. The list depicted in this video is accurate but not exhaustive !

  • @richardmiddleton4634
    @richardmiddleton4634 Рік тому +1

    The idea that population growth can go on forever is idiotic. When reading Jared Diamond's Collapse - why societies fail, I read a chapter about a Polynesian island that carefully controls it's population through infanticide. I was stunned, but I don't make the mistake of judging, because I don't live there. That island is a closed environment which can only support a certain number of people and this is how they've decided to manage that. Uncontrolled population growth would eventually lead to famine and violence. Our planet is also a closed environment, eventually unconstrained population growth would lead to the same end. So our population is beginning to plateau and will begin decreasing. Will less of us mean the end of our exitance? I highly doubt it.

  • @sanrezende
    @sanrezende Рік тому +25

    I have to say Brazil, because Brazilian population will only start to decrease in 2046, and in 50 years will decrease about 50 million, that too fast for a population of 230 million in 2046. Today's fertility rate stands at 1.6 births per woman.

    • @splashnskillz37
      @splashnskillz37 Рік тому

      Mas tbm galera da américa do Sul fica migrando pra cá, e se os boom da Angola e Mozambique vim cá ai fudeu

    • @bighands69
      @bighands69 Рік тому +1

      Brazil does not have enough young people to replace the old people when it comes to economic productivity.
      That will accelerate the economic chaos and population decline. Brazil also has the challenge that it has to import its oil and gas in a world of shrinking oil and gas production.

    • @splashnskillz37
      @splashnskillz37 Рік тому +1

      @@bighands69 most of Brazil's energy is renewables dawg

    • @ShahJee101
      @ShahJee101 Рік тому

      @@splashnskillz37 that's good . 👍

  • @Bob-yh7ir
    @Bob-yh7ir Рік тому +2

    Looking at the latest data it appears that the world may not even hit 9 Billion. We may be living in the time of max population now or for the next decade at most before we start to really see it going the other way. Fascinating !

  • @aleksandrapawlak5466
    @aleksandrapawlak5466 Рік тому +2

    Strange choice of countries presented. Countries such as Russia, Poland, Ukraine, Belarus that are already deep in decline not even mentioned. And also there was an infographic showing Poland having +4%? No such thing, it’s predicted the population will be down by 25% in 2100

    • @eatinsomtin9984
      @eatinsomtin9984 Рік тому

      Yeah, the +4% is because of the ukranian refugees

  • @ILovePotatoChips139
    @ILovePotatoChips139 Рік тому +25

    Let’s just say Europe is facing a huge pop. Decline
    End of video.

    • @cinnamonstar808
      @cinnamonstar808 Рік тому

      ITS SHORT SHORTSIGHTEDNESS. when Europe over-bred 3 continents outside Europe in record time!!! 😡😠 ( no concern there)
      there is no whites OUTSIDE Europe can fit back into it. because its 8-fold over its normal percentage on Earth.
      LETS look at the places that speak English: USA Canada Australia and South Africa = cannot sail back to England.
      you know this, I know this. 1+1 =2 so the question is " is the current trend return back to par FROM OVER-BREEDING?"
      = i havent even entertain the WW1 and WW2 number: if those wars did not happen .... we would have seen what im talking about.
      its not a decline but a correction from over-breeding

    • @bowser3017
      @bowser3017 Рік тому +10

      + South Korea, Japan, China

    • @michaeladu6120
      @michaeladu6120 Рік тому +5

      Europe and East Asia

    • @tobyk.4911
      @tobyk.4911 Рік тому +1

      The difference is that western, central and northern Europe have a lot of immigration - for example, the population of Germany increased from about 80 million people 10 years ago to 84 million now - while the East Asian countries have much less immigration. Therefore the Japanese, South Korean and Chinese populations will decrease faster.

    • @mightykafir8337
      @mightykafir8337 Рік тому +1

      +India except 4 backward states

  • @markuserikssen
    @markuserikssen Рік тому +3

    I'm a bit surprised the Baltics weren't mentioned, nor Germany. Some of the Baltics countries have already seen a big decline, which is probably going to continue in the next decades.

  • @peternolan4107
    @peternolan4107 Рік тому +2

    I have to wonder about the predictions of countries whose populations will boom. Somalia, for example, is in the ,middle of a drought, a famine, and a civil war. Yet it was listed as having a larger population than Italy at some point in the future. I can see people wanting to immigrate to Italy long before I can see them rushing to move to Somalia. It will be amazing if the country continues to exist in its current political form.

    • @feisalhaji9148
      @feisalhaji9148 Рік тому +1

      Somali population is booming very family has more than 6 children.

    • @redman6790
      @redman6790 9 місяців тому

      What you fail to understand is that with the current political mess the West and countries like Italy are in (ideological crisis, heightened xenophobia, austerity, lack of economic opportunities), the appeal to go to Italy will reduce. Couple this with poorer countries increase in population because, not in spite, of disasters (for eg Syria has the highest birth rate).

  • @Nepali_world_edits
    @Nepali_world_edits Рік тому +1

    Nepal. It's population currently is 30M which is very high to a small country with almost 150,000KM and it's population will peak at 2050s with over 35M and then it will start to decrease and by 2100 it will have just 23M

  • @hlo695
    @hlo695 Рік тому +16

    I can’t see why any of this will be a problem if not for the fact that these countries economies will not grow anymore. Which by the way, this infinite economic growth is unsustainable. Economic power will shift to other countries, and that’s that

    • @bandilemasuku3533
      @bandilemasuku3533 Рік тому

      One there's less population growth there's more old people than young people which will take a huge tool on a countries economy since old people don't work

    • @tankvinl9805
      @tankvinl9805 Рік тому +3

      how does people not realize that economy is really important, and also more things will be effect by depopulation then just economy

    • @theteamxxx3142
      @theteamxxx3142 Рік тому

      @@tankvinl9805 so when those new rich countries will face the same in 50 years what will happened next ? there won’t be many other countries unless old countries return to grow once again . Germany was destroyed 3 times and they managed every time to come back

    • @tankvinl9805
      @tankvinl9805 Рік тому

      ​@@theteamxxx3142 germany was never destroyed, Modern day germany is actually being destroyed, What will come after germany actually get destroyed is up to who knows, But it wont be germany, mussolini tried to fix population decline and that guy failed, Surely a democratic nation will do better, And no, immigration does not fix the problem, Your just adding another problem ontop of depopulation

  • @hm5142
    @hm5142 Рік тому +6

    Underpopulation is not a problem of the same order as overpopulation. Overpopulation has resulted in substantial changes in climate that reduces the habitability of the Earth and has generated a competition for resources and power that may well end human civilization with nuclear war. And we are to believe the statements from two very rich people who primarily just want more customers, so of course they are happy with higher population. After all, they will be dead soon, and they will have more money when they die.

    • @MrDude826
      @MrDude826 Рік тому

      Climate will change substantially wether there's 100 people or 10 billion living on earth.

    • @gijane2cantwaittoseeyou203
      @gijane2cantwaittoseeyou203 Рік тому +1

      Overpopulation is not synonymous with climate change. Overconsumption is the issue

  • @chrisshelswell3222
    @chrisshelswell3222 Рік тому

    Great video but I'd have loved to hear a bit more about why population decrease is a problem

    • @chrisshelswell3222
      @chrisshelswell3222 Рік тому

      @@KLRJUNE Thank you for taking the time to reply - that makes a lot of sense :)

  • @daveofyorkshire301
    @daveofyorkshire301 Рік тому +1

    The ONLY threat to population decrease is economic and localised... Unless you include the security or militaristic elements that are more societal than structural. The reduction in people in of its self - is not bad, only the speed at which it is occuring due to the issues to sustaining large numbers of the older population with smaller numbers of the younger population...
    That's why population growth is seen as good, you have a larger tax base to support your aging population... It's also why the EU opened its borders to allow younger working age people into their nations, without further consideration of societal incompatibility.
    Reducing a population was natural until recently with war, disease, migration and a high infant mortality rate, populations were suppressed, now it's not as easy to die naturally and that means a population explosion that's gone on for decades... So what we're seeing is not a reduction, but a return to a more sustainable rate.

  • @hoppingshark7676
    @hoppingshark7676 Рік тому +29

    I feel as though population decline isn't a bad thing. Of course economically it seems grim, but its a equilibrium to balance global warming and resource use. Offsetting the decline is just kicking the can down the road, and spending money now to attempt to fix a unfixable inevitability.

    • @bighands69
      @bighands69 Рік тому

      You are talking crap and living in a delusional fantasy.
      Population decline will not be smooth it will create demographic instability in many countries that means economic collapse.
      That means the likes of Russia and China will exercise massive conflicts in their collapse. That may mean nuclear exchange so do you think that is a good thing?

    • @hoppingshark7676
      @hoppingshark7676 Рік тому +2

      @@bighands69 Well considering I'm typing this message right now, I would disagree about being in a delusional fantasy. Yes... that what I said "it seems grim", it will be a smooth and long process of less people being born and populations declining, despite what you may think, sure economies may feel some pain, but I highly doubt that it would result in nuclear exchanges, that would a brash and nonsensical thing to do. Look at Russia despite losing a war and having a declining population, not one nuke has been fired, world leaders aren't that trigger-happy.

    • @qefewfwdcwdc
      @qefewfwdcwdc Рік тому

      you are a cuck and should keep your mouth shut. overpopulation is a probelm in africa with massive low IQ uneducated peasants. low birth rates in europe will be horrible for inovation and the future of the planet.
      have fun fighting one wave of refugees after another. because africa will only grow and the misery will only deepen. these people will look for welfare handouts in your city and you will be damned. while the smart people will die out.

    • @hoppingshark7676
      @hoppingshark7676 Рік тому

      @@qefewfwdcwdc Starting off with a insult, very courteous.
      You’re thinking that governments around the world would just open boarders for anyone to pass through and create a helter skelter type scenario, which is certainly a interesting take on it, I didn’t say we’ll be replaced, or we’ll bring more people in to make up the difference. My thought was based on a premise of just letting things take there course.
      And to discredit the helter skelter argument Many of those developing nations birth rates have been seeing a steady decline for the past few years, due to higher economic development and more educational opportunities.
      I understand the concern of having ones culture and people replaced though.

    • @rustyshackleford234
      @rustyshackleford234 10 місяців тому +1

      Just wait until china has little to no working men left… who will construct our devices?

  • @scottcarter6623
    @scottcarter6623 Рік тому +11

    Why Is this a bad thing? the minimum Population needed is less than a 100K. We just need to adjust how our economy works as oppose to artifically keeping the population up.

    • @tankvinl9805
      @tankvinl9805 Рік тому

      just adjust the economy, go green and ruin your economy, just like complaining about capitalism is easy, People have alot of just but am not seeing any fixes to the problem from you, care to explain how to actually just adjust the ecnomy to work?

  • @stephenmenhennett6134
    @stephenmenhennett6134 Рік тому +2

    I listen to Peter Zeihan also , he understands nuance in very detailed ways.

  • @tavijohn4287
    @tavijohn4287 Рік тому

    Could be made a form of energy by digging on a fountain water and channel the water throught pipes down a mountain or hill and from place to place put a microhidroplant on which the water fall from a artificial cascade made with built ramps and produce energy?

  • @myerspaul7182
    @myerspaul7182 Рік тому +6

    Le défi principal que je vois ici est la raréfaction des interactions avec les gens de notre génération par rapport à celles qui nous ont précède à âge égal, c'est cela que signifie le déclin de la population et absolument pas le décès prématuré des vivants, au contraire il me semble que l'espérance de vie va encore augmenter.

    • @nzredwolf4048
      @nzredwolf4048 Рік тому +1

      i'm sorry i don't speak baguette

    • @ASVoriginal
      @ASVoriginal Рік тому

      @@nzredwolf4048 🤣On the baguette...?!

    • @nzredwolf4048
      @nzredwolf4048 Рік тому

      @@ASVoriginal what

    • @francoifrancuhh
      @francoifrancuhh Рік тому +1

      we're just gonna have old people everywhere then lol

    • @artimist0315
      @artimist0315 Рік тому +5

      Après ce sont des études purement statistiques, ne prenant absolument pas compte de l'immigration et surtout des crises à venir. Parce que c'est bien gentil de dire que l'espérance de vie va augmenter mais bon vu le réchauffement climatique on risque plutôt de se diriger vers des famines et autres pénuries de ressources qui mèneront à de l'immigration et des guerres, pas super super pour la démographie tout ça...
      Ce que cela veut surtout dire c'est que sans une immigration contribuant à l'économie du pays les pays cités dans cette vidéo (et de nombreux autres) ne pourront peut-être plus supporter leurs régimes de retraites et leurs sécurité sociale.
      Enfin bref tout ça pour dire que si ces chiffres sont utiles pour déterminer l'évolution de la population à facteurs constants, seule ils ne servent à rien et ne prédiront absolument pas notre futur.
      Sans compter que les taux de natalité peuvent évoluer avec des changements de mentalité et de conditions de vie. Déjà tous les pays développés n'ont pas le même taux de natalité, si ces pays adoptent le taux de natalité français (ce qui est réaliste) leur population recommenceront à augmenter. Si on voit le retour de guerre en europe de l'ouest et en Asie (je parle de guerre touchant directement ces pays) la natalité risque aussi d'augmenter. Et puis d'autres facteurs peuvent complètement déformer la pyramide de population.

  • @MarcPagan
    @MarcPagan Рік тому +32

    I question the China number quoted of 1 billion in 2100
    The numbers I've seen state 700 million as China's population in 2100.

    • @terrylong8894
      @terrylong8894 Рік тому

      I’ve heard that China will contract down that to population in the next twenty to thirty years.

    • @sidneydhoro1554
      @sidneydhoro1554 Рік тому +2

      He is citing the united nations which has a population projection which is more optimistic that that of The Lancet , which estimates a catastrophic decline

    • @terrylong8894
      @terrylong8894 Рік тому +10

      @@sidneydhoro1554 As I understand it, the Chinese government’s own data says that they overcounted their population to the tune over a hundred million people. If that’s accurate, then the Chinese population stopped growing fifteen or twenty years ago, which means China’s population is going to contract a lot harder and fast than we initially expected, and China is already the fastest aging society in human history.

    • @MarcPagan
      @MarcPagan Рік тому

      @@sidneydhoro1554 The same anti-science UN that predicted Climate Doom by 2000?
      It's a PC cesspool, that either inflates minimal data, or rejects it.
      Example:
      Has the UN condemned China for its release of COVID from a Wuhan lab yet? It's a hard scientific fact.

    • @J_X999
      @J_X999 Рік тому +3

      @@terrylong8894 That report is very contradictory and mostly fantasy. If China's population peaked in 2005, their economy still grew by over 200 percent from 2005 to 2020. That would mean a declining population does not equal economic stagnation. Yet the people who use that report ignore this.

  • @bingo737
    @bingo737 Рік тому +260

    Decline is not the problem. The decline of educated, rich and civilized populations is the problem.

    • @gijane2cantwaittoseeyou203
      @gijane2cantwaittoseeyou203 Рік тому

      looks like you're part of the rich civilized elites. What's your net worth?

    • @miriamwells35
      @miriamwells35 Рік тому +11

      There are good reasons for that. Look at WW2

    • @ljmorris6496
      @ljmorris6496 Рік тому +11

      As long as it's technology to progress everything it's isn't much of a deal. It isn't like society will go back to horse and cart because of a few "smart" people didn't want children...

    • @beburs
      @beburs Рік тому +54

      “ civilized “ are you trying to dogwhistle something here? Let’s not forget how that “ rich “ status came from

    • @emaster01
      @emaster01 Рік тому +21

      Lmfao
      Why do you think certain populations are more rich, educated and civilized?

  • @Jin-Ro
    @Jin-Ro Рік тому

    There was nearly 60% less people on earth when I was a kid. The UK seems very crowded today. It's almost impossible to go anywhere on the entire island and not see someone. I miss that. And the lack of traffic jams.

    • @francoisdaureville323
      @francoisdaureville323 Рік тому

      Well stop importing so many inmigrants then you have 68 million people in such a small place is ridiculous

  • @housesing
    @housesing Рік тому +2

    Can you imagine, in about 110 years time, that anyone presently residing on earth will be gone. Lots of seniors at the moment.

    • @brunoheggli2888
      @brunoheggli2888 10 місяців тому

      No problem in imagine that!Maybe i will be dead within the next 15 years!Nothing special about dieing!

  • @iany2448
    @iany2448 Рік тому +3

    Population decrease is a blessing for both planet earth and human race. What is needed is to break economic orthodoxy that economic growth goes hand in hand with population growth and create a model where economic grows when population decreases.

  • @neddyladdy
    @neddyladdy Рік тому +7

    Is high population considered to be a good thing? Is having a population of less that the ecological carrying capacity considered bad?

    • @Nick-bh5bk
      @Nick-bh5bk Рік тому +1

      Depends on the ability of each country to manage their ecology. But economically speaking, decreasing population will be devastating. Think of all the countries that have or are trying to export their way to wealth - when the world population is growing everyone can benefit and get wealthy, but now everyone will be competing for a shrinking piece of an ever shrinking pie - that's a recipe for shrinking wealth and even war. As for the countries that are consumption led, when you have less people to sell to, you have less profit potential. At the end of the day, it would be best if we could all stabilize the human population while having sound ecological policies that we all cooperate around.

    • @neddyladdy
      @neddyladdy Рік тому +1

      @@Nick-bh5bk Consumption consumption, wealth, wealth, . Are you trained in economics by any chance ?

  • @Duck-wc9de
    @Duck-wc9de Рік тому +2

    I think that this estimates fail to consider the factors that make people not having kids, wich is cost of living. The less workers there are in the market, the more well payed they have to be, increasing wages and reducing costs of housing

    • @thomasgrabkowski8283
      @thomasgrabkowski8283 Рік тому

      Also population decline means that housing stock will be designed for higher population than now meaning supply>demand for housing and thus price falls

  • @stuarthirsch
    @stuarthirsch Рік тому +2

    The mistake is that your judging a countries economy by GDP, the better measure would be per capita income and standard of living. Population has an optimal just like everything else. Right now there are too many people for a sustainable future for humanity. However there is a "Goldilox" point where population is just right for best living standards, environmental stability, and sustainability. I believe that point is 2-3 billion people on earth. Humanity can and I think will expand beyond earth. The solar system has enough resources to sustain at least 100 billion to a trillion people.

  • @christopherx7428
    @christopherx7428 Рік тому +10

    2,3 Billion sound more like a healthy population than a collapse to me. Still, we haven't seen that the African population increase has started to slow down so for the time being, I am a LOT more concerned about overpopulation.
    5:46: This list cannot possibly be right. There is no way that Poland and Moldova has a high fertility rate. Have they included refugees from Ukraine?

    • @wispererflame7286
      @wispererflame7286 Рік тому

      they probably did based on fertility numbers witch are low

    • @tonybrowneyed8277
      @tonybrowneyed8277 Рік тому +1

      it all depends on the spectrum of age distribution. if most of the population (the median) is above 60, we have a big problem. the ideal distribution is uniform across all ages.

  • @caver38
    @caver38 Рік тому +3

    This is a good thing because earth resources are being used at an excessive rate and it cannot go on as it is

  • @papaschlumpf5894
    @papaschlumpf5894 Рік тому +1

    Decreasing human population is not a problem for earth, it is a problem for human economy.
    That is not the same.

  • @piedpiper7583
    @piedpiper7583 Рік тому

    The scale of the population collapse can't be overstated. At present levels of deaths to births Japan is finished in 200 years, England in 700, Scotland in 300. Other countries will be similar eventually the very existence of countries is at stake.

  • @mboiko
    @mboiko Рік тому +3

    "The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007. This decline cannot be explained by demographic, economic, or policy changes."

  • @marcozolo3536
    @marcozolo3536 Рік тому +40

    On the other hand Australia is set to reach 55M by mid century and upwards of 70M by 2100. With estimates so far being conservative because it can reach closer to 100M by the end of the century mostly through migration. Transforming into more of a collection of super Singapores than a suburban paradise.

    • @bruceritchie7613
      @bruceritchie7613 Рік тому +4

      Interesting - do you happen to have a source for this projection?

    • @marcozolo3536
      @marcozolo3536 Рік тому +4

      @@bruceritchie7613 The ABS (Australian Bureau of statistics) and an article by the ABC about big Australia intakes on high immigration population trends until 2100.

    • @bobfaam5215
      @bobfaam5215 Рік тому +13

      Lol 😂😂 Who will immigrate to Australia .
      Aliens ?
      Because Asian population is decreasing rapidly too .
      Even fertility rates in countries like India and Iran and Turkey is less than 2 now

    • @aadityaranjan2159
      @aadityaranjan2159 Рік тому +3

      @@bobfaam5215 india's is 2.1

    • @mohammedd270
      @mohammedd270 Рік тому +5

      @@aadityaranjan2159 they will not take indians and africans too much.
      Now a days i see alot of racist see immigrants as imvadirs

  • @johnholland1308
    @johnholland1308 Рік тому +1

    I don’t understand why ever increasing in population is good. We need to learn how to keep a healthy economy with declining population. Let’s work on this.

  • @metallifreak100
    @metallifreak100 9 місяців тому +1

    This video is overestimating the future population. Based on South Korea’s trends, their population will be closer to 20 million, not 30 million in 2100. China’s will likely be 750 million, not 1 billion.
    Furthermore, the world’s population will not hit 10 billion, there is a decent chance it won’t even hit 9 billion. And a decent chance the world’s population peaks around 2055-2060.

  • @gcb4763
    @gcb4763 Рік тому +11

    Portugal and Spain and English speaking countries can provide home for immigrants with qualification in their respective languages. This will not be the case for countries where the language spoken is not spoken elsewhere. For example Japan or even China.

  • @jeungbou
    @jeungbou Рік тому +11

    The predicted country rankings are purely theoretical. No way Ghana is able to support a bigger population than Japan and Lagos will be 4 times the size of today's Tokyo-Yokohama metropolitan area. They will most likely produce a big diaspora like the Philippines today. And let's guess which countries they are going to move to... Your population collapse should take this into consideration.

    • @ran160
      @ran160 Рік тому +1

      Yea Nigeria is projected to have 500 million people and Pakistan 400 million 😂. They will face a humanitarian crisis

    • @tonybrowneyed8277
      @tonybrowneyed8277 Рік тому

      nope, they will just have a lot less kids than those projections make people believe. it has happened like that in many different countries.

  • @tonytaskforce3465
    @tonytaskforce3465 6 місяців тому +1

    Having babies is painful and humiliating. Raising children is expensive and wearing. As soon as people had the choice, they started having less of them. Makes sense to me.

  • @spikefivefivefive
    @spikefivefivefive Рік тому

    Declining birh rates doesn't mean that the world's population is declining.
    It just means that population is growing less rapidly than it was previously.

  • @Redslayer86
    @Redslayer86 Рік тому +7

    I don't think population declines are bad. As long as we can get tech to the right point to support the populations in place, it would reduce waste, pollution and energy needs. All net positives for the longevity of the livability of the Earth.

  • @pt0087
    @pt0087 Рік тому +32

    the predictions is very optimistic..Real Population of Italy is now below 50 million and will fall to below 20 million .. for all other western countries their real population is much lower than what the official stats annouces

    • @irenaveksler1935
      @irenaveksler1935 Рік тому +8

      It’s not optimistic because the stats are from 2019 not 2022

    • @josephaugello1527
      @josephaugello1527 Рік тому +8

      Italy has 60.3million as of this year it has held steady like Spain and Portugal the past 2 year there are tens of thousand of people moving to it a italy and Spain from the us especially california and Portugal to.

    • @pt0087
      @pt0087 Рік тому +4

      @@josephaugello1527 official stats say 58,5 million but in reality the REAL population of Italy is below 50 million

    • @josephaugello1527
      @josephaugello1527 Рік тому +6

      @@pt0087 there are always more people thN what it shoes that's for all countries

    • @princeofchetarria5375
      @princeofchetarria5375 Рік тому +5

      @@pt0087 is there any evidence that the official stats are low?

  • @kalebwieland4938
    @kalebwieland4938 Рік тому +2

    This burning question gave me another question (btw I don't mean to be mean, it's just a question): What if all the people (in the US anyways) who don't want children may restabilize the population?

    • @eric2500
      @eric2500 Рік тому +3

      Uh, I guess you thought no one would be able to think you are being mean if they do not understand your question?
      Really, what are you going for here? That US people who don't want kids might/ should change their minds? The opposite of that? Try again.

    • @howtubeable
      @howtubeable Рік тому

      The US population is not being stabilized. We are being displaced by immigrants, both legal and illegal.

  • @Zebred2001
    @Zebred2001 Рік тому +4

    What this misses is that there is a very real chance of famine across Africa next year as well as the fact of the population in the decades ahead being much older as well as being much smaller. Not a recipe for cultural and technological dynamism!

    • @nenmaster5218
      @nenmaster5218 Рік тому

      The Fact how inefficient Huamntiy is known to be
      debunks the very Concept of Overpopulation.

    • @kairuannewambui8456
      @kairuannewambui8456 Рік тому

      Africa Africa, ok.

  • @gdontreadyornot
    @gdontreadyornot 10 місяців тому +2

    "The great replacement is just a theory bro"