Warmest January on record indicates sweltering 2024 | DW News
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- Опубліковано 7 лют 2024
- The EU's climate change service says that for the first time, average global temperatures have been more than 1.5 degrees Celsius hotter than in the pre-industrial era, for an entire year. Limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees is a key aim of the 2015 Paris Agreement. Breaching that mark even temporarily shows how difficult it's becoming to achieve that goal.
The picture in Europe was mixed. While the Nordic countries were significantly cooler than the average for the reference period, it was significantly warmer in the south of the continent.
It was also warmer than average in eastern Canada, in Northwest Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia, while it was warmer than average in western Canada, the center of the USA and most of Siberia were colder than average. was colder than average.
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More on the latest temperature records: www.dw.com/en/did-humanity-just-break-the-paris-agreement-on-climate-change/a-68205623
You are governmental mouthpiece. NOT TO BE TRUSTED
@@voyd1507 What a strange comment. As America's founding fathers made clear in the Declaration of Independence, it is good government that is the ultimate defender of our rights and freedoms. The progress humans achieved over the last 200 years would have been impossible without good government. And which research has historically been most trustworthy--that funded by governments or by corporations? Corporate-funded research has a long-history of being deceptive in self-serving ways, but government-funded research has been more trustworthy by a country mile, and has formed much of the foundation of modern societies.
We already passed 1.5C , we don't need hopium anymore.
all
lies
The shortest answer is no. Mankind has achieved its target of mindlessly destroying everything in the name of profit.
British met office says that 2024 could be 1.6C or higher. So I don't think we are ever going back to below 1.5C. So you are 100% right, sir.
Para
Sites
You use the word "profit" as if it doesn't directly translate to living standard and flourishing.
The decision that led to this isn't some catastrophic and ignorant one, it's literally "im cold and hungry, let's burn coal and raise more cows"
The issue is gigantic and runs very deep, and it's only possible to fix if either humanity collectively decides to voluntarily lower their living standards, which they won't, or technological development that enable us to live comfortably and flourish without destroying the environment.
Either we find a way to "profit" without destroying our environment, or we voluntarily suffocate ourselves.
This is basically a malthusian catastrophy. A dish of yeast that starts eating itself because it faces a lack of resources, just that we have to do it voluntarily.
The other option is finding other resources.
@@carlpanzram7081 Profit doesn't benefit you. One of the most profitable company's on Earth. Deliberately makes worse(and intentionally bricks) products to force you to buy more.
Capital hasn't cared about your flourishing this entire century
As a kid in the 2000s I read about climate change and thought it was a serious issue and I saw all these great ideas how we could live more sustainable. Now, soon to be 20 years later, barely anything has been done and we are on a head on collision course.
A lot has been done actually.
I get why people would grow pessimistic, but that will not fix any issues.
Humanity will handle the temperature increase, it's going to be a rough ride, but so far we managed to solve all the problems we faced.
That we even made it this far is pretty amazing, and judging by our past accomplishments, we will continue to grow through this crysis as well.
We are stewards of thos planet, and we will be forced to carry that responsibility, and therefore we will carry that responsibility.
Maybe you don't see any way out of this, but for the last few hundreds of years we had plenty of problems to fail at, and yet we didn't.
Do you have u know how many famines and bottlenecks we had in our past?
The reality is simply that we had a easy ride for the last 100 years, so this kind of issue seems unusual. It's not.
We 100% have the ability to fix this, and therefore we will.
Well, as a guy in his 70's I remember when this all began in the 1960's. Headlines such as "The whole of the East Coast of Britain will be under 20 feet of water by 1980". Obviously, that never came to pass, and why just the East Coast? The tides haven't even encroached an inch, never mind a foot. I never believed it then and still don't now. Back then it was called the "Hot House Effect", now it's Climate Change. Obviously over time the climate changes as Scotland was once Tropical, geology doesn't lie! The whole thing began when Marxists thought they were scientists, but just sat in rooms thinking nonsense, and ways to instil fear and panic.
@@user-st7wb3yf3d go and take your conspiracy theory with you
Don't worry. Planet will take care of this problem one way or another. We are only bunch of fleas that it will shake off and continue floating peacefully in space.
@@user-st7wb3yf3d Not sure what school you went to in 60s-70s but in our school as kids we were guaranteed a new ice age and the planet was going to get very cold. Crazy times were living in [ eh ].
Its time to stop the optimism behind 1.5 degrees, James Hansen, who has forgotten more climate science than most of the scientists know, has said 1.5 is gone and 2 degrees is on track for the mid 2030s.
He also states that the increase is accelerating and if we start to hit the tipping points it can only get worse. 2 degrees by mid 2030s is best case scenario based on the inaction of the world.
What’s scary is that we’re probably beyond the point of no return. Global warming grows exponentially, not linearly. As the ice caps and permafrost melt, methane that has been trapped within the ice for hundreds of thousands of years is released into the atmosphere, which accelerates the greenhouse effect, which accelerates the ice cap melting more, etc. it may be a lost cause as of 10 or 20 years ago. It’s not a reason to stop trying…but we haven’t really even started trying yet, and it’s likely already too late.
There is no reason to suspect that the heating will end at two or three or four C. above. Self-reinforcing feedbacks are in play.
@@kimweaver1252 Agreed, if we start hitting the tippings points no one knows what will happen. No amount of climate modelling could predict the results of an amalgamation of numerous tipping points being reached.
@@homerisian We can predict the nature of the changes in the aggregate, but we currently lack the ability to be specific as to time, location, and extent. However, the large language models used for, and produced by, AI rsearch will allow us to closely estimate those results the way we now predict weather and we will be able to predict weather down to very small regions over longer periods.
@@kimweaver1252 Yup, I just tried to mention that climate change happens exponentially, but my comment has "magically" disappeared. As the ice caps and permafrost melt, methane is released. We may have already hit the point of no return, because if this ancient ice is melting on its own, the problem will continue to accelerate even if every nation on the planet goes 100% carbon neutral.
Since any dissent from the official narrative of "it will be ok because capitalism, don't worry" is immediately and automatically silenced, most likely by an AI, we will never be carbon neutral. Human civilization will likely end because we didn't become carbon neutral in the 90's.
The words “too little, too late” spring to mind.
We need to wean ourselves away from both the car culture and low-density urban housing. (By the way -- most American suburbs are legitimately urban).
I used to live in the snowiest city in the USA.
It's 60ºF on February 9.
As a child, and for centuries (my family has been in the USA since the 1500s) the state would freeze in Oct/Nov. It would thaw in late March. The ground cover would be snow for months.
In 2000, I bought my family home. There's a journal in the gardener's shed about the lawn. Mowing always from May to September for almost 100 years according to that journal. Nothing out of the ordinary.
In 2007, I started mowing late into October. Then, in April. In 2013, into November. Now I mow in March. Last year, my neighbor mowed in December.
This is climate change. It's no longer the snowiest city.
Our mountainous region in PA has far less snow, far warmer temps. Only reason the ski slopes survive is because of snow-making machines. For the past 10 years we have had many where I shoveled snow 10 times or fewer. This year I think it has been about 5, and I was out biking in 60°F temps this weekend, will be out again this coming weekend.
Nice, your particular place (Buffalo, guess ?) is becoming better and better to live in. Where I live I still can't mow until May
No snow in Duluth, MN! Never seen anything even close to this
@@ericwiese7479 parents sent me pictures of people water-skiing in Minnesota on new years day. Never even heard of that in Minnesota
@@user-qr7ee2cp4y yep, it’s crazy, but certain people won’t entertain the idea that we are indeed changing the climate. Strongest El Niño I’ve ever seen
good reporting as always, but frankly we just need to be honest that the 1.5° limit is a pipe dream at this point. a soot-clogged, planet-choking pipe dream. we do need to be shouting louder about this, and holding accountable the few people responsible for the vast majority of emissions
edit: it is also worth noting that the world was, on average, at or above the 1.5° threshold for all of 2023, but iirc that's the only time this has happened so far in human history. while the temp is definitely still rising on average, this year may be 1.4° or 1.2° or something like that; we can't necessarily say the world is at/above the 1.5° threshold until annual global average temps break that threshold many times in the next several years. so, on an optimistic note, it's not like 2024 is the year the switch for the super disasters gets flipped. it will be a gradual increase, and we will have time to adapt, given enough will.
And your responsibility? Hmmmm?
@@StressRUs i'm a climate scientist so I reckon I'm doing my part.
You better not be driving a car, using electricity, bottled water, clothes etc., etc., etc.
@@Rodrigo-tk2fm i do in fact do all those, except drive. kind of hard to exist in the world today without. those things can be done without burning fossil fuels, we just have to change things to get there. the solution is not retreat into the woods and eat bugs, partly because at this rate the forest will just burn down in a decade. the solution is to innovate past fossil fuels, so that you can keep condescending people on a computer powered by something that doesn't boil the planet.
@@Rodrigo-tk2fmthe solution is not to retreat into the woods and eat bugs, partly because the forest will probably burn down if the biodiversity doesn't die out first. yes, i do, in fact, use electricity. yes, i do, in fact, enjoy drinking clean water. there are ways to do these things without killing the planet, and the point of moving past fossil fuels is so that you can continue to condescend people on a computer using power that doesn't boil the planet. my original comment is meant as a call to action to help the planet, not for you to dangle the world's greatest crisis in front of me like it's my fault. it's the fault of the systems we have built out of shortsighted greed, which humans built, and humans can change.
The worsening feedback loops are unaccounted for in the climate projections. Things are accelerating
Yes 2030 is the date
They can't include them in the models because we have no data to GUESS about those.
The scientists who make the models are very clear that their models leave out some very scary unknowns.
Not only that but the projections are wrong, the new climate model shows we are 100% accelerating to 5°C, absolutely guaranteed
@@turkizno If we assume that the human ego does not change dramatically, I would guess closer to 10-15 degree increase, at least.
No snow in the Swiss alps this winter where I live. Its t-shirt weather. Sad.
I daresay you didn't expect different?
The lady does not know that 2 degrees is already in the pipeline, maybe 3.
Literally in the pipeline with all the oil and gas projects still being developed. We should be capping wells, not drilling new ones.
Maybe 5. Because it seems we are evolving according to the worst case scenarios, and those scenarios point towards more than 5.0ºC
Maybe 6 or 7? 😅
5 to 7 degrees warmer actually, 5 is solidified which means we will see the genuine mass extinction of life in the ocean because of acidification. The extension of Sahara desert into Europe by 2050.
Mass droughts being annual events worldwide, heatwave up to 70 degrees Celsius which means large parts of earth near equator will be unliveable.
Complete agriculture failure, free market capitalism will be completely collapsed by end of this century.
Beautiful
I think she is just being diplomatic. Using words carefully and spoke as though it is still possible to reverse the 1.5C that we have possibly crossed.
This reporting is incredible! Even if we stopped heating apartments, driving cars, stopping industrial processes etc right away, we would still hit 2-2.5 °C above pre industrial temperature levels mid century, simply from the CO2 that is already in the atmosphere! WTF seriously!
The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is actually just 0,04% and it's all needed to keep photosynthesis going, so that we can have some oxygen to breathe. If you reduce it to 0,03%, photosynthesis will become extremely difficult, plants will die, agriculture will end, people will starve and soon after that, they'll start suffocating.
You know there are life forms that extract Co2 from the air.
You just said something nonsensical. Not when it comes to the idea, but you don't know the numbers mate. It's frankly embarassing to even touch the 'CO2 is plant food' thing (meaning that you are suggesting we can be CO2 empoverished) when the concept you are talking about never happened in the history of this planet @@jannevellamo
why don't you move to the former delda of the euphrates river and live there? there you can enjoy warmth already today (:@@naszadynastia
@@jannevellamo "The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is actually just 0,04% and it's all needed to keep photosynthesis going, so that we can have some oxygen to breathe. If you reduce it to 0,03%, photosynthesis will become extremely difficult, plants will die, agriculture will end"
NO. Earth was a lush paradise and likely the most biodiverse it ever has been with CO2 levels under 300 ppm for the last 800,000 years. CO2 has to get down to 180-190 for the effects your are describing to happen. All ecosystems NOW on earth are actually better adapted to CO2 levels UNDER 300 ppm.
Never been more glad I didnt have my own children... it's depressing enough teaching 6 year olds, knowing what's coming and I can't do anything to stop it. 😢
Quit your job.
Seriously - you'll feel like you're corrupt otherwise.
How long do you want to look at them like you're confident?
How long are you going to encourage them to study hard for a future they won't have?
Good luck
You can do something about it.
Everyone can.
We all burn fossil fuels, and we are all capable of choosing something else.
even if only 1/2 of 8 billion people did just one thing to reduce their emissions that would be a huge change.
Never feel that what you do doesn't matter.
It matters more than you or others think.
Remember everything we buy, or don't buy also makes a difference.
If companies can't make money selling things they stop selling them.
@jimthain8777 of course we can all do little things. I don't fly any more, for example, and I try to raise awareness. But at a larger scale, big decisions must be taken by those in governance, and that is what I am referring to when I say we are in denial about the seriousness of this.
@@jimthain8777 If the consumers stop consuming to a remarkable extend, the workers lose their jobs. The ensuing political-social disaster would blow up any G7 state.
Social benefits, health insurance, pension collapses. We are already seeing this - and consumption is still at a high level despite inflation and general uncertainty.
Climate Change is a perfect trap - Especially for highly developed industrial countries. At the moment, we rightly believe that the Global South will have to endure the worst consequences - if the first G7 state collapses, we will see it differently.
@@jimthain8777 The logic of 'every little bit helps' has a context and framework in which it is valid.
Climate Change is far out of that range.
A roughly estimated 4 billion people live out of poverty within ecological limits.
That hasn't stopped climate change.
good idea lets wait 20 years to get a proper average temp check. Makes sense... totally fine we got time no rush :) /s - she has no idea about the lag in the system and locked temperature increase. Incredible how someone like this can have time allotted on the channel.
The channel seems habitually to engage low-calibre 'experts'
To be fair she's only a journalist, but yes, the media do downplay the crisis, and the failure of our leaders to, well, lead.
Instead they have to be pushed.
So far we haven't pushed nearly hard enough.
Perhaps if we have protests in the millions, or billions of people the politicians will begin to sit up and take notice?
We need a world climate change protest day.
It should be in the spring, or fall, and it HAS to be global, every single country everywhere all at once.
Maybe then our "fearless" leaders will actually do something.
One can hope.
its their own reporter! lol. "environmentalist reporter" is how he introduced her.@@margin606
Mainstream media is a disaster when it comes to climate crisis reporting. There are infinitely better sources of information (e.g. the scientists themselves)
@@margin606agreed. utter insanity
All the coral reefs off Florida died last summer from the heat. The sea grass has died off because fertiliser runoff fuels algae that block the sun and now we have dead dolphins and manatees washing up on the riverbank because they starved. Florida waters are experiencing total ecosystem collapse, a paradise turned to desert.
Then they go and vote for the Republicans you watch
17°C in January now in my country. When I was a child, temps were like -10°C to -20°C and the snow was 2 meters high. 😅 And that was the case when reading old poetry about winter. From 1990 something changed dramatically. Winter has become like autumn and autumn like a summer extension. This summer we will have 45°C temps. Crops will fail to survive. Food prices will go higher. Poor people will have a hard time to survive. Things aren't looking good.
It seems we are already living a MASS EXTINCTION EVENT - widespread and rapid decrease in the biodiversity on Earth. Such an event is identified by a sharp fall in the diversity and abundance of multicellular organisms. There have been five mass extinctions in Earth's history. And I am not sure we humans can survive it with all the actual technology.
-20 here sorry
@@miba8303"Average" is not a complicated mathematical concept.
sounds good to me
@@vladnickul You mean this is about a democratic vote on emotional states..? I love my opinions too😁
"democratic vote on emotional states" What?! @@gehwissen3975
There's no going back amigos, we're all in!
Its not even a matter if we are screwed or not. But HOW screwed are we.
@@erick289777 the only question now is will we go extinct within 10 years or 20-30 years?
all in for a great future of abundant resources
@@erick289777not even a tiny bit, the only ones who are screwed are the poor nations. We will cry for them, but we cannot save them. People in the west will only get richer and live better, invest in stocks right now because it only goes up!
How can she say ‘we’ll have time to adapt’? Not only have we failed to adapt to avoid this predicament, but it’s also like a parabolic curve. The effects will only come faster and more pronounced as time goes on.
Doesn't planned obsolescence mean unnecessary manufacturing. Doesn't unnecessary manufacturing mean more CO2 into the atmosphere for no good reason?
When have you heard a climate scientist or an economist talk about planned obsolescence?
The ocean has absorbed enough heat to melt both poles. There is no going back.
So, how can both poles still be covered by ice? Satellite photos do not lie, there's ice all over the place.
South pole is on land and very high so it won't be so fast
@@jannevellamo are you for real? the OP is just saying that the melting of both poles is locked in. Just as it took a long, long time to create all that ice...it will take a while (circa 100 years) to melt all the ice.
The amount of ice in the Antarctic alone would take thousands of years to melt, not 100. To melt it in 100 years, you'd have to physically move the Antarctic to the Equator and keep nuking it for a century. Let's also not ignore the fact that the Medieval Warm Period was much warmer than the present climate, it was warm enough for Britain to be a major wine producer and for Norway to produce surplus population enough to start the Viking Age. It was literally warm enough for Greenland to be actually green, but the Antarctic still didn't melt, the reindeers didn't become extinct, the polar bears didn't become extinct and neither did the penguins. Mankind actually thrived, the population was growing faster than ever since the fall of Rome. Today, Greenland is far from green, there are no vineyards in Britain, the Baltic Sea is currently frozen, the ice breakers are working 24/7, the landscape outside my window is covered in snow and we're getting some more snow, on top of the couple of inches we got yesterday. It's minus 6C outside, which is pretty normal in February, unlike the minus 30C, in which I went winter camping in February a couple of years ago. Do tell me more about how my country is heating up twice as fast as every other country. Do tell me more about how the snow outside is actually on fire. @@Cecil-yc6mc
@@jannevellamo so you are believing in inaccurate, historical texts when people couldn't even measure temperatures but don't believe in our modern technology? And fyi don't tell lies about something you don't even know about. As a European I can ensure you that there are still vineyards in the UK and the baltic sea is just frozen far up in the north. Which makes icecover about 10-20% from the whole sea surface of baltic sea. And that's just because Scandinavia has one of its coldest winters since 30 years, while more southern parts of Europe are heading to record warm february. Last time baltic sea was completely frozen was in 1963
govt wont get serious until food becomes scarcity.
Government doesnt exist anymore it got corrupted by capitalism.
That will be way too late. I think the USA will act when Washington DC goes underwater.
@@tristanridley1601 Famines lead to violent revolutions. No tchnological fix or medical miracle can undo hunger.
and we are only INCREASING our resources globally ya hack
It was late 5 years ago. Now, just prepare
14 years ago…
Was to late after the population bomb
24 years ago.
It was late 40 years ago.
it was late 25 years ago
There are better examples that explain how serious the problem is, extreme local weather, daily conditions in arctic areas, nearly ALL ice in the world in full retreat year around, for example!
This is what's making me question the intention of DW news. They've chosen someone who is doing an admittedly great job of manipulating stats to paint a picture of optimism on behalf of capitalist endeavours who profit off the status quo
@Silks- that someone is their own "environmental reporter". Not a scientist a scientist or anything.
@@Aedony Well 'their own environmental reporter' needs to be fired because she's not following the consensus of climate scientists and is purposefully giving falsely optimistic views. It's easy to do that, and if she comes on again I won't trust DW anymore, hopefully it's a one-off
i mean, those are better at explaining it to your average, clueless person. in scientific terms, they're far worse
@@cl8804 That's simply not true. She was explaining the exact same scientific methods, just manipulating the data so that our temperature difference between pre-industrial levels and now seems less severe. She changed it so she was working on a 20 year average lol that's just ridiculous. I believe 5 year average is the norm.
It’s now too late. Politicians won’t do anything so adopt, adapt and evolve.
No adapting to a dead planet
It’s not difficult to fix at all. The people who write your paycheck have made it unnecessarily difficult.
It's beginning to look, where I live (southern Michigan),like 2012: the year without a winter. We went from having a Dfa climate (cold winter, hot summer with no dry season) to having a year typical of a Csa climate (cool winter, hot summer, but summer drought). I saw in Michigan the sort of yellowed grass characteristic of California in the summer.
We have had some record warmth in February, the sort in which our area doesn't get the blizzards that supply and protect ground water for crops. Blizzards are not fun, but farmers depend upon them to ensure that fresh crops have critical water to feed them in the spring.
1:49 There is no “new normal” when the velocity of change is so high. We are now forced to relinquish any concept of “normal”. We are now simply trapped between a calamitous, accelerating history, and the calamitous, accelerating future it leads to.
The “new normal” will be a quickening thicket of shocks and surprises and grim omens, arriving at unpredictable times. The “new normal” is the utter lack of normality.
She is kidding herself. She is minimizing the situation. We are quickly heading for 2 degrees. Start panicking.
Actually passed 2c a few years back
The massive King crab fishing season has been canceled two years in a row because of dwindling numbers of crab. The water has gotten to warm to support them anymore. Lobster is next
Wasn't it snow crab?
Just broke a record for Toronto, Canada. Warmest February in 86 years.
coincidences is all you people have as "proof"...
@@milchkopf3881 the fact the you always say foolish things is technically just a correlation as well
Suspicious 🤨
@@milchkopf3881 what a coincedence breaking records in the hotter side of things is becoming more and more common whereas coldest is hardly changing at all!
@@milchkopf3881 "coincidences is all you people have as "proof"..." Record global warm temps are outpacing record global cold temps by a ratio of 2-to-1 and we are currently warming the planet ~18 times faster than it usually warms when coming out of an ice age. People are not talking about "coincidences," they are sharing symptoms of well-documented and disastrous man-made global warming and climate disruption.
Does anyone talks about reducing the consumption, as we consume in some countries like the resources will never end. Vlad Marcu, Environmental Engineer - Denmark
No, because that would mean telling the hard and unpleasant truth that the economic growth is causing the climate change and other forms of biosphere destruction, so we opt for the sweet lies like Green growth.
@@TuljalanExactly. We're pretending to be implementing changes, when in reality we'd like to live the same way we did. I mean for instance, does switching from plastic straws to paper ones actually change our situation? No. It's still emissions we could live without, yet somehow it's still around. And this is just a tiny example, but we have huge ones like cars in general and the switch to EVs that are in all likelihood as bad if not worse in emissions in their life cycle.
So to be fair? I feel sorry for my kids who are in their teens now. The world they know now will be a much harsher place in 30-40 years, let alone 50-60. And it is a bit selfish, but I'm kinda happy I most likely will not be around to see the world we know today crumble. Because it will crumble, we just can't predict how bad things might get.
We cannot reduce consumption. It is not possible in our economic system. When we are having zero growth, our economic system is already in the state of a crisis and people start to lose their jobs.
Reducing consumptions means a shrinking economy or a negative growth rate. The austerity policy they applied to Greece in the 2010s did cause exactly this. Unemployment in Greece did skyrocket over 20% and youth unemployment to 50%.
If you want to have an idea, what this will cause as an even worser consequence, look at the beginning of the 1930s. Here austerity policies in Germany and Japan did cause a strong economic downturn too (they always do), which caused a change in political powers and at the end world war number two. And they did not have nuclear weapons as we do have now.
Reducing consumption creates a collapse in distribution, poverty and a social catastrophy. So each time we will face this problem, politics will switch back to spur growth and by this climate change.
So we need to discuss about our economic system. But unfortunately economics is not a science at all but a esoteric doctrine of salvation. They only do know this system and everything else is heresy to them.
Which means: we are doomed.
@@ThomasVWorm another thing that we are likely to experience in the following decades, is that there isn't going to be enough energy available to humans for economic growth to continue. So it is going to be a choice between some kind of a socialism or the civilisation collapse.
@@Tuljalan how likely will some kind of socialism be? Not very likely when following the economic debate. It is like debating with the pope about having no or another god.
The climate does not care!
How humans respond to climate change is what matters.
A statistical fact is that the next warmest temperature is in the future.
👍It's called evolution. some species adapt, some species stay the same and disappear.
People rather choose not having kids than lowering their living standard. The Nature will bounce back.
@@SladkaPritomnost some people have indeed decided not to have children out of the belief that their kids will have no future in this new world. I know people who made this decision.
Humans do act in ways that benefit themselves.
1. Improved prosperity causes humans to have fewer children and anthropologist explain why.
2. Improved health services have caused people to have fewer children.
3. Improved education and public health services have caused people to have fewer children. Etc… generally people choose to have fewer children first rationally reasons based on their own logical conclusions … free will.
But climate alarmism causes people to be coerced by those who know better how you should live your life to have fewer children or have no children at all …. while they fly and “pollute” with gay abandon … because others can sacrifice.
@@blanckieificationEvolution? We are at a species-level crisis for Homo sapiens? So we are just skipping the part where civilization collapses.
Hard to say how much time will elapse between the end of the last civilization and the death of the last human. Any thoughts?
@@cswanson4476we can continue for many tens. of thousands of years without civilization- we've done it before we can do it again. Less complex cultures got us through severe conditions before and will again. Of course it won't be a population of billions but at most a few millions that will subsist. At the moment advances in agriculture keep the famines at bay but as the weather worsens crop failures will too until our advanced agriculture begins to fail to keep up. Then the famines will start to proliferate, wars will follow as nations fight for water, arable land. Mass migrations(some armed) will try to reach lands not yet as severely affected. Many, many will die. New and old plagues will blossom. Humanity will enter an age of "die-off" a term reserved for species that've reached the carrying capacity of their envionment.
James Hansen et al 2023 Global Warming in the Pipeline says 4.8C plus/minus 1.2 C by 2100. There is a masking effect by aerosols. If they disappeared we'd be well over 2C now. Hansen's paper is essential reading!!!
Yep the aerosol masking effect, AKA The McPherson Paradox, means, well, that we're screwed.
Again in Australia we have a cooler than average summer. It’s been like this for a few years now. You are being lied to.
Apparently it's roasting everywhere else. I wish it would heat up a bit in Ireland. Freezing today , roll on this global boiling 😊😊😅
I see that the news media is still ignoring the cow, the pig, the chicken and other farmed animals in the room!
Maybe we need to start experiencing the consequences or nobody will do anything about it.
We already are. And they're not. They're still pretending it's normal.
Unfortunately it's too late. The warming is baked in.
@charliegnu, You’re quite right. The central question is just how severe the impacts will have to get before enough people move to change the status quo.
The rich cause it and the closest they get to experience it is have a vacation delayed.
Stop using air conditioning in the summer
It would be helpful to provide links to the measuring stations and their historic data.
February 7,2024 CO2 levels were 425.6ppm, 6 ppm higher than February 7 2023
The average global temperature rise is accelerating and will keep rising until it reaches the equilibrium average global temperature for the global CO2 levels
What is the equilibrium temperature for 425ppm CO2, what is the equilibrium temperature if the AGGI at 585ppm is used
Iceage minimum CO2 was 280ppm and the average global temperature was 15c
Iceage maximum CO2 was 180ppm and the average global temperature was 7c
280ppm - 180ppm = 100ppm difference
15c - 7c = 8c difference
100ppm difference caused the average global temperature to change by 8c
8c/100ppm or 1c/12ppm
Do the math, the average global temperature will keep rising and accelerating until the global CO2 levels are reduced back down below 320ppm
😴😴😴
What is the source of this calculation? Also, reducing CO2 to below 320 ppm is impossible or close to impossible. We are being lied continuously and being convinced that direct air capture can help in capturing historic CO2 emissions and there are a ton of articles and resources online which debunk its effectiveness. God knows where humanity is headed.
@@SupriyaAN"My sheep's all come back in one row"
Your calculation is to simple....
But that doesn't matter - the biosphere can't tolerate the rate of change.
Whether we are 3 or 4 or 5 degrees above normal - our little friends will become extinct - just like us.
If we lose control - 440 nuclear power plants will explode.
After that, there is no more life on earth. Easy to think - hard to 'believe'
This "expert" is clearly giving the corporate/govt. line. Yes, we surpassed 1.5 degrees long ago and no, there's nothing to be done now. When, if ever, will the media allow the truth about the sudden, irreversible, global climate disaster and mass extinction of life on earth be acknowledged so we can get on with dealing with it?
why is she pretending that we didn't already breach 1.5C? This gaslighting is a huge part of the problem
Because of the el nino la nina phases. We are currently in the hotter phase. On the big avarage we are below 1.5 for now, but we will most likely exceed that and maybe even 2 degrees.
No. 1.5C refers to an average over many years. What we see are spikes breaching 1.5C.
The moment we touched 1,5 degrees first time, it was already to late. In just a few years, every year will be 1,5 or above. But it takes decades for it to work itself into the 30 years average.
And once it is at 1.5C it will not go down for at least 400 years
Yes! Even if it never goes below 1.5 again it'll be 14 years before the 30 year average goes above. People seem to forget that.
@@Tarquin2718 100 thousand years.
It Will warm between 3 to 5°C
@@vascomanteigas9433 if it goes +5°C then the clathrates will add so much methane that they will see our +5°C and raise it another +5°C. this has happened before in the Permian extinction.
Latest readings show 420 + PPMs in the atmosphere and temps just keep rising to unsustainable levels. Humans are going to burn every drop of oil, because it will be almost impossible to break the current economic system. There are too many players with too many conflicting interests. Rough times ahead.
It will sooner turn to a MadMax situation than that there will be consensus about preventive steps taken .
The Great Simplication has begun podcast by Nate Hagen with a fascinating and very helpful insight of our global changes 🕊🌏🙏🏼
Lower atm is at +1.7°C, high atm is >2°C. You're underestimating the dire situation.
Just for reference:
the fires in Canada and Siberia/Russia, are still burning under the snow.
You can observe this phenomenon by looking at the satellite images and seeing the smoke seeps escaping from the snow banks. It would appear that the entire Global Arctic edge of the Boreal forest is still currently burning.
Sooner or later the entire World will notice.
Summer2024@TheTundraFiresareLit!
that is crazy .. and scary
@@Aedony if you search Drought and canada you will also find that 2024 will be the year that Canadians in particular will find denying climate change and supporting te burning of Oil and gas increasingly difficult. Summer 2024 will be the Year of FIRE and all bets willl be off the Table.m
Canada is going to turn from frozen rain forest into a grassland savannah.
At which point Canada becomes a global superpower. Hopefully humanity is around for it.
How is it snowing With all these record high temperatures ?
@@praisebewibble "How is it snowing With all these record high temperatures ?" I assume you are joking: Most of the places its snowing are not the same places as those having record warm temps.
Everyone can contribute and it's so easy: consume less, travel by plane less often, if you drive car on highway - drive slower (instead of 120km/h do 100km/h). A small step for a single human could make large affect if others will join.
I don't even have a car. It doesn't matter if we all keep chasing GDP. With "we" I mean people in power. So maybe I should exclude myself, doesn't feel like I can really impact anything.
Nature can be wonderful if we treated fair. We have broken the cycle ,by dams on rivers all over the world ,this started long ago , rivers were meant as a cycle they feed nutrients and coolant to the oceans. There are seas that are dead now The fisheries all around the world are declining we’re just feeling the effects now . Every economy in the world is using fossil fuels, every individual is using fossil fuels, plastics for example , For the pandemic,I saw clear skies in Paris in less than a month of the shut down. It is possible but I don’t think any government would cooperate or shut down the economy. Governments caused this problem through the years, they were warned many many years ago and they still increase their economies, I heard today someone say ,any water that goes to the sea is wasted there’s so much ignorance in the world I Think it’s impossible. If everyone was to just stop using fossil fuels I’m sure that would help but I’m also sure no one will do that. Nature now Is trying to cool off this small hot planet with all the floods all around the world and releasing Icebergs .It’s that bad. This summer I can predict with confidence that it is gonna get hot .And governments should be preparing for that we should be preparing for that by creating more shade it’s too late for trees. Thanks for your video.
Don't know where you are but it has been relatively cold where I am.
Yep same here in Ireland. Freezing 🥶
What would the temperature be if they used a properly positioned Stevenson Shelter?
I'm still waiting for a report on the green production of heavy weapons and ammunition, on solar-powered tanks and fighter planes, on carbon-neutral military exercises, on carbon-neutral wars.😥
Most environmentalists are pacifists whereas all fossil fuels advocates are warmongers.
Tiny amount compared to our energy production, food production and general transport.
@@patrickstar686 Is there any data about how and to what extent the military sector, which tends to grow, affects emissions? I ask this because we mere mortals are also told which vacuum cleaners are allowed.🤣😂
You are not cynical enough. Such stuff is in development.
Radioactive ammunition containing plant seeds already exists.
The plants subsequently reabsorb the radioactivity. After a while, everything is green and healthy again.
Not a joke. 21st century
@@mimikrya8794 Common sense, right? Average people don't buy tanks. The military's emissions are peanuts compared to all those big planes and cars flying and driving around every day. The scale of things matter...
We might be able to make the climate good enough to stay alive, but only if we put an end to consumerism and, above all, capitalism
You don't make enough friends for that. Some like the money machine, others feel dependent - many don't understand what you mean at all.
Changing a culture at its core in 10 years....? "Hold my car😂"
The IRONY: got a temu ad at the end of this video. We're doomed! 😢
Shh your exposing the hidden agenda.
And this is exactly why we've had the coldest winter in decades. Because -30 Celsius is warming, right?
In Denmark we yesterday had 11 deg. C January and February used to be the coldest months with -5 deg. C, this is crazy. We even see big differences within a few hundred km. Like 10 deg. strange times indeed.
Same in France, February used to be the coldest month, and right now it's t-shirt weather
I love it. T shirt 👕 in February . Whats not to love 😎. Hopefully we'll have a scorching summer.
Anybody dying?
Here in Cleveland Ohio, we haven't had a normal winter for years, and I haven't used my snow shovel since 3 years ago. It should be highs in the mid 30s now (2 C) but instead we are getting a string of highs of 45-61 degree F (7-16 C). Among the many destructive effects of such mild winters and long summers is it allows for an explosion of the populations of tree-killing bark beetles. The hotter summer temps cause more evaporation of moisture from forest soils and foliage, and the combination of hotter temps, drier trees and soils, and more beetles is causing the great forests of the world to dry out, die, and burn down much faster than before. As a result, I got to breathe the smoke from Canadian wildfires for almost all of last summer. That's just one of the ways that man-made global warming and climate disruption will kill more and more people (of course, increasing crop failures) will be one of the most devastating effects).
@@karlwheatley1244 Sad. The insects are indeed a big problem.
Reading the comments here the answer is no.
This is a great conversation , climate change is an alarming issue.
The fact that this problem is given this amount of attention is evidence enough for me that the problem will be solved.
I mean, name me a more iconic duo than humans and technological solutions to practical Problems.
We HAVE alternative sources of energy, tons of it, we HAVE the ability to manipulate the climate, clearly, and we HAVE the motivation to change and adapt.
Do people even know about the insane amount of catastrophic issues we already avoided in the past? This isn't our first rodeo
Due primarily to fear porn by elites, captured "scientists", and reporters who don't know which end of a thermometer is up.
Not for me. I love warmer climate😎👕
If the glaciers are not here and the oceans are 300 fet higher might it have warmed up sometime?
im in Michigan... Crazy how smokey it got here from the Canada fires.. Up north the smoke was like fog coming in across lake Huron, could only see a couple hundred yards..
I wonder when the water wars will start.
They already have e.g. fighting between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan in 2021.
Not before we run out of fossil fuel, we can use fossil fuel to distill sea water.
They've already started. Every government around the world uses cloud-seeding technology to attract more water to their region. China has been open doing this for years. The west is a lot quieter about it and usually call people conspiracy theorists for pointing it out...
They have already started. It's just that the first signs are not related to water but migration.
lol who deleted my comment? You guys are too much when it comes to deleting the truth!
it was 56 degrees Fahrenheit here in NYC in FEBURARY, the coldest month of winter
We hit over 60°F in the mountains of PA. I've shoveled snow maybe 5 times this winter so far. That used to be a weekly average.
Dew drops missing in winter atmosphere.
We are at 1.5 and passing it fast
Has anyone stopped and actually thought just how insanely bad things could potentially get?
300mph winds,temps up to 80°c or higher,the total collapse of life on this planet? Seems to me that the runaway process has begun and is accelerating rapidly
Science fiction.
It's funny because I was supposed to save money on gas bills but they almost doubled the price so I ended up spending much more.
Fossils are limited and every day harder and hardert to extract so it will be more and more expensive every year.
Check electricity prices
Excellent report...from five years ago! Aerosol masking effect?
Do you think this has anything to do with The Grand solar mini and maximum
Nope
it doesn't
NOPE--we know it's almost all due to our CO2 emissions.
We won't die from increased global temperatures don't panic. Its extreme cold we need to worry about.
Yes we most definitely will go extinct from rapid warming of the planet
ignorance is bliss huh
I like warmer weather. What's not to like. 😅
@@Jc-ms5vv No scientist with an ounce of credibility on the face of the Earth is claiming humans are going extinct. And yet you continue to make this post on every single climate site. "Most definitely" is an absurd pronouncement.
@@anthonymorris5084 its amazing you “watch” all these climate videos and still don’t have a clue about what’s happening
It has a lot to do with Earth Magnetosphere strength is down by 30% percent and getting hit with more intense CME'S from the Sun.
it really doesn't
No, the magnetosphere has nothing to do with global warming.
As James Hansen has said last year "1.5C is in the pipeline". The climate scientist in this video is wrong.
Los Ángeles oddly is having the longest historical cold streak of temps below 50 for the past 2 months. This is getting ridiculous for us. LA is suppose to be a warm paradise and even New York tourist are disappointed that they can’t wear short and sandals
are you ready for a never ending summer
Sounds so pathetic
That's why people were moving to Florida or Arizona which are swelling with population while places around Great Lakes where you need to heat in winter are stagnant. Seems people prefer hot summer with airconditioning to winter with a shovel.
I'll let you know once all this ice in my yard melts
As long as there are fortunes to made in the climate crisis, be it in carbon credits, green energy government subsidies, consulting etc, there will be a climate crisis. We will always be almost, but never completely out of time.
Funny how you mentioned carbon credits, green energy government subsidies, consulting but not... You know, oil...
@@patrickstar686 have you ever noticed how everything that is "eco friendly" has a much higher price slapped onto it. It is a money making machine. It is the only reason corporations are actually doing it.
You described the disgusts of a capitalist marketplace -
and you think you have refuted the greenhouse effect. Strong Thinker@@ArnoSnyman007
"No limits. Time is infinite" Do you even hear yourself..?
@@ArnoSnyman007The fact that there are people profiting out of it, doesnt mean the future generations are not screwed due to climate change.
why are you uploading videos at 25 fps?
Climate cut backs.
Agreement ??? I don’t think so.
When oil companies, tire companies etc can pay a fee and contonue their activity although its clear that they strongly pollute the air, water, soil.. you know its over 😂 Thank you to our leaders.
If the fee was equal to the costs of their pollution, we'd already be done the 'green revolution'.
HA, HA, HA! The temp on the thermometer is one thing, but what about the 1.2 trillion tons of melting heat absorbing global ice, or the 321 million cubic miles of ocean heating measurably, or the 1 trillion tons of water vapor evaporating from water on the planet, all of which register the heat being stored in "latent" form. Copernicus predits that 2/3rds of the global ice will have melted by 2,100, so this extrapolates to 2,138, or 115 yrs hence for ALL of the ice to have melted. Then what? Venus 2.0?
Great post !!!
Take into account that the ocean is the biggest CO2 sponge. And it becomes less and less efficient at it the more it warms up. Once it hits its limit the warming will be exponential.
Well, evolution will hit. That's what and presumably humans and a TON of other organisms won't me the cut. Then rinse and repeat. As long as some multi-celled organisms survive life will continu in one form or the other. Well until the sun implodes eventually.
Feel like I hear this every year
Thats what happens when things keep warming up
That should be more alarming
It was actually quite cold this January.
That only can say young person
It depends where you are. Hot and cold always counter balance.
This report is the Earth's average.
2nd law of thermodynamics shifts the intensity around.
You're an octopus
Im 40, I never had a january as warm as this year
@@JohnnyDrizzle suspicious
"Can the Climate Still Be Saved?" W/ headlines like this you lose all credibility right from the jump.
Elaborate.
She says even though we just hit 1.5C (above pre-industrial) we're still at 1.2C. Hmm, so even if I gain weight and have to get slacks with a 38" waist I'm still a 36"? My wife will be happy to hear that.
2023 was 1.5 degrees C above pre-industrial temperatures, but individual years are often warmer or colder than the long term average. When you look at the last several years and average them, it's around 1.2 degrees C.
We should have water splitting as a source of energy.
Between war and greed, we lost we knew this was coming since the 90's ..We lost, the fight because of greed...
Human ego defeats consciousness. The only solution is for consciousness to come to life in people.
Its so sad, many of the actions taken have been completely contraproductive. The new mass-consumtion of cars (EV’s) etc etc.
Until adults no longer need to pay for their cell phone, electrical, water, heating, bills, taxes, housing, transportation expenses; this problem will only get worse. Lot's of controversial information out there, keep an eye on the yearly CO2 levels. Adios everyone.
🫡
Boy, it's getting hotter and the air is unbreathably warm indoors.
Was this segment available in Mandarin?
stop buying stuff from China then
Broadly speaking China is an economically poor country , consequently carbon emissions per capita are way lower than the west. Additionally don't forget they are manufacturing the goods for the west to frivolously dispose of . Also, the green infrastructure in China is way ahead of most Western nations. I trust that this info will help you with your view point :)
@herokindon per capita doesn't matter, total production matters.
Well I'd say that everything matters, but that aside the majority of the production is for Western markets , so any emissions are tied to the ' sale point of the products' . ✌️
Capitalism or civilization, you can’t have both. I choose civilization and a new economic system. But which kind? One that is democratically planned to produce the goods and services society needs and is not concerned with maximizing company profit, a fictive number which is anyway meaningless.
People need a certain amount of goods per year, not endlessly increasing stock lines.
It’s socialism or barbary at this point.
History has repeatedly shown that socialism doesn't work
Prepare for a very dark age.
Would add that it's time to jettison the barbaric policies of the bloodiest century in human history. Global spending on idiotic military adventures exceed $7 trillion annually. Old men playing tin soldier politics cannot resist the urge to use these foolish destructive antique models to justify violence against other nations. We're now 8 billion precious humans and every year another 80 million net new precious humans join us. In 13 years we will be 9 billion precious humans. At birth each human makes a 30,000 day claim (avg lifespan) on fossil fuels water food etc etc.
@@jimthain8777 It’s best to be prepared, but we need to get involved with the people around us as well. No one is gonna make it alone, we need each other.
There are seven sociopathic pillars of capitalism.
Don't listen to these Doomers, this is the best time ever to be alive.
It won't be for your grandkids and beyond. Enjoy it while it lasts, it's temporary, and that's the point, moreso than ever.
Until everything around us is dying
@@Jc-ms5vv The earth is actually gotten 15% "greener" in the last decades, as C02 is used by plantes, it's a win win.
@@jasonraymond7907 the climate is changing abruptly, that’s about to end
"Don't listen to these Doomers, this is the best time ever to be alive." It's the best time to be alive if you are one of the richest 2 billion people on Earth and focused on material possessions, but the poorest 6 billion are not doing so well, nor are the 5+ million other species on Earth, whose numbers are declining and whose ecosystems are steadily unraveling. Almost all the critical trends for the long-term wellbeing of the web of life are heading the wrong way: Unless we transform modern civilization to fit Earth's limits and the laws of nature, or worsening ecological and societal unraveling is inevitable. That's just how the laws of nature work, and the unraveling of ecosystems has been underway in earnest for 50 years, and the unraveling of societies underway for roughly 20 years, depending on what metrics you use.
Great news, Lovely warm weather. I love it. Cant wait for a great warmer summer 🌞🌞🌞😊
Mean global temperature was 58.96F (14.98°C) in 2023. Whether that is sweltering or not is a matter of opinion.
The climate is fine. We have to adapt. Let’s not destroy civilization to (maybe) change the temperature by 1 degree.
Perhaps you are in denial
A global average of +1 is A LOT
Climate is far from fine, guess you can connect the dots when we can’t grow crops at scale
It is freaking cold in NC😂😂😂
Used to be colder.
Min point is average YEAR temp. In my area in EU, Croatia it should be 11.2C but 2023 was 13.8C.
Presently averaging 1.2 degrees centigrade. I don't think so my dear.
"The last 12-month average is more than 1.5 degrees, so of course we can still avoid 1.5 degrees." Tell that to the boiled fish in the sea. And to the growing number of people and animals dying from heatstroke.
Billions of people means more energy, food, water and other resources are required, which will make climate change worse. Unfortunately, territorial, cultural and racial conflicts have been encouraging population growth race
Summer all time
Good if you live in a cold country. Disastrous for western Europe and Africa
Not so nice if you already live in a hot country
More like summer in winter, new hellish season in summer.
You misspelled draught.
Not a good thing and not something that’s supposed to happen
Its snowing at my house today Mar first 2024. death valley hit 134 degrees in 1913
😂😂😂
And January was 3 degrees cooler than January 1955 and 6 degrees cooler than January 1937!
No
We are at the top of the 89-year Gleissberg cycle of sun activity, so, yes, it has warmed up. The last top was in 1936. It was hot and the wind blew topsoil eastward from Alberta. The last bottom was around 1980-81 and winters were cold. The next bottom will be around 2069.
Should read 1936.
I'll go with this.
We are affecting the climate with greenhouse gases such as co2 and methane.
plausibility doesn't count..?@@mark.e.p
We are on a minimum solar cycle, and it's proven that the increase in temperature is due to the highest heat capacity of our lower atmosphere, not because of increased solar activity.
People really think there is a way out of this eh?
there is, but people don't care.
Mrs Osbourne from the environment unit needs to update her facts. Staying below 1.5° is no longer possible.
For society to take appropriate action, the media has to paint the full pictrure.