These Countries COULD BREAK UP, Here’s Why
Вставка
- Опубліковано 26 чер 2024
- 📣 Go to the link: imprintapp.com/General_Knowle... to get 20% off an annual membership
▶ In this video I speculate about some countries that could, and even might, balkanize in the near future. Understanding which these countries are and why they could effectively break up - or at least why that danger exists. From the separatist ethnic groups in Pakistan, to the internal conflicts of Yemen and Libya; not to mention the everlasting internal struggles of different peoples living within a single nation - such as Spain, Belgium or even the United Kingdom.
▶ TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 What Does 'Balkanization' Mean?
01:06 Pakistan
02:19 Libya
03:28 Spain
04:20 Belgium
05:01 Yemen
06:09 United Kingdom
07:06 Russia
07:58 Iraq
08:49 China
09:58 Patron Credits
10:23 Summary
10:48 Special Offer
▶ A special thank you to my Patrons: Richard Hartze, Yasin Chaykh, Stuart Tunstead, The Wanton Dogfish, Cesar Lopez II, Steve the Goat, Yeti , KR, Edward Pucci, Jan Krause, Jeffrey F., Juan Rodriguez, Kalvin Saccal, Kris Rizakis, Lastmatix, Robinhio84, Rogaine Ablar, Ryan Keith, Ryan McMurry, Sandro, Sebastian Karlo, Señor Valasco
▶ Follow me on Twitter: / gkonyoutube
▶ Join the Discord Server: / discord
▶ Business Contact: gilfamc@gmail.com
▶ Thanks for watching, remember to subscribe to catch future videos!
Ah yes
General Knowledge trying not to start a bloody regional conflct with his new video challenge
Difficulty: Impossible
Reason to Baluchistan : On the Independence of India and Pakistan all states and regions had the option of joining the 2 nations or stay independent. Baluchistan couldn't join India due to geographic issues so chose independence. But despite promises from Pakistan it was annexed by them within an year of independence. Hence the 70+ year long issue
Balochistan was forcefully annexed on gunpoint at Khan of Kalat's palace, from 11 August 47" to 27 March 48" they were independent with their independent flag and embassy in Karachi, it was all peaceful and insrument of accession not signed yet. But poor paxtani army arrived at his palace and he signed without his will and also without prior consultations from baloch tribal sardaars. Thats why there were 5 insurgencies took place since 1947 till 2023. And its on boil again paxtan continue to loose more soldiers and FC's than ever.
I don't understand why Balochistan couldn't join India due to geography but Bangladesh then known as East Pakistan was included with Pakistan.
I have 0 proof but also 0 doubts this guy gets off at the idea of Spain splitting apart.
Not our proudest fap
He's Portuguese.
@@jgr7487he really wants to get that Galicia
Wonder how he'd feel about an Iberian Union?
Spain has something many others lack, it has been historically strong military power and its also a major cultural power. I guess Catalonian independence movement and the one in Basque country have been strongly represented in the media, I've known about them since I was a child. Similarly like Israel and N. Ireland ...
There’s gotta be more countries, specifically in Africa because of the scramble for Africa
Yes, such was a Biafra case once and the Ambazonia now. I think even S. Africa may be a candidate.
@@ephraimbrener9143 I think the whole African continent is a candidate...
@@ccatarinajm7114 Ethiopia, Sudan and Somalia
@@ephraimbrener9143 No, we're not. Where do you get that silly idea from?
Yeah, the list of African countries at risk of fracturing is a long one. Somalia effectively already is fractured and Sudan is fighting a major civil war as we speak. Nigeria, Ethiopia, Cameroon, Mali, Niger, and DRC all have major internal divisions just to name a few.
Myanmar is currently at high risk. Right now a coalition of regional powers are on the verge of finally defeating the ruling junta. However, there's really no plan at the moment for what comes after the junta is gone and no indication that any one group would have the resources to seize power. Either they figure out a fair multi-ethnic democratic system or the country will splinter.
On the contrary, India would welcome those countries because there are already have multigenerational Sindis and Pashtun (Pathan) ethnicities living in India. PLUS, It would have open land routes to Afghanistan and Iran and cornering its archnemisis Pakistan in the process.
So you reckon India will welcome Sindh and Punjab despite the religious difference on account that these peoples already have large presence in India? What would the demarcation of the border be then, the mountains west of the Indus?
It doesn't matter, Punjab and Sindh is full of radicals. Remember most of Hindu conversion happens in Sindh
@@siddharthatalukdar4227 As you say, I have little to no knowledge about that region. Although I doubt that ALL Sindhi and Panjabi are radicals, there are quite a lot of them.
@@orthodox-mp6hv The power in Sindh is controlled by landlords, so if Sindh becomes independent it will be again be too feudal and anti-India unless there is a mature democratic government
good thing the pak army has nukes.
Most of the countries in Africa. The borders were all drawn up without any consideration for the people who live in the land, often putting peoples that hate each other in the same country.
Would love to see him do a video on redrawing the African Borders to help improve the situation and to improve safety and bringing a more stable peace.
@@tannerwilson4843 Redrawing borders into larger units like the East African Federation will shift political focus away from small ethnic entities in the current individual countries and focus on the larger state. Though we all know balkanization favors local political elites interests than the people so its a more likely outcome.
Thats a nice way of putting it. Or you could just say there are a lot of corrupt governments that don't share or represent their people fairly. Heh, that too
If that happened you would increase the number of countries by 3 or 4 fold and those ethnic groups overlap each other. The amount of war and level of savagery would even appall the balkans.
Same idea for those that want a "one" "state" "solution" for Israel-Palestine. Look at all those glorious one-state solutions in action in Africa!
No. It will be a two-state solution.
My opinion from increasing chance to least likely but still possible:
Somalia, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea, Afghanistan, Libya, Sudan, Yemen, Iran, DRC, Mali, Iraq, UK, Russia, Uzbekistan, Nigeria, Pakistan, Lebanon, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Indonesia, Turkey, China, Spain.
Reording and categorizing your list to make more sense
Done Deal (almost split already): Somalia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Yemen
Chance: Myanmar, Libya, Belgium, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, UK, Sudan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Uzbekistan, DRC
No Chance (very unrealistic): Iran, Turkey, China, Indonesia, Lebanon, Russia, Spain
@@zamarokxl
Now on second thought upon considering your order:-
Myanmar is basically a done deal, the new states already functioning like countries and some even have talks with India, China and Thailand. PNG is also a done deal with a contract on when Bougainville at the very least separates. I would move Russia up to chance, because as much as I hate to admit it, the Russia Ukraine war has reduced Russia into a Chinese economic vassal state. Afghanistan I think is highly likely, because the North of the country is facing huge ISIS problem and relationship with Tajiks and Iran. Agree with Bosnia going up. I would add Moldova, Georgia also into the done deal.
@@xijinpig8982why Indonesia? I live here and these people are all crazy nationalistic. Except in Maluku and Papua, but those parts are colonized by Indonesia. Every resistance is faced with military force
@@Tr786hala
I put Indonesia very low on the list because I know its near impossible. I guess why I put it is due to owning regions like West Papua, and Timor Leste had gained independence previously due to western involvement. Historically Indonesia as we see today had never been united like this. Nevertheless I put it very low, near impossible.
@@xijinpig8982Yes its true western involvement contributed to it. But Timor gained independence mainly because of Asian 1997 financial crises which led to Indonesia instability period until 2004 where Aceh and Timor rebelled with many unrest accros the nation, we were labelled as failed state at that time, a pariah nation, predicted to be balkanized yet we endured.
2:19 as a Libyan and a Federalist I can tell you that if Libya will be split it in the future it will split in two not in three because the region of fezzan are very lean and similar to Tripolitania, and it's not just about the modern conflicts but there's a long history that divide the two regions, specially people here in Cyrenaica believe that they used to have Independence and they will seek to gain it again, not all Cyrenaicans but a big fraction of them
Do you believe dividing Lydia would improve the lives of people living there?
If the people are ethnically same arab, and same regional identity too as North African arab or Libyan identity, then why is there a seperatism? So is it a non-ethic political civil war?
As a Libyan I hope our country stays united and haftar is removed
@@MaskedSandman it's just history politics and economic and cultural aspects, if we go with your arguments then Austria and Germany should be unified Romania and Moldova should be unified, but that's not the case because there is difference history and a different culture, people in Cyrenaica believe that they used to have their independence and they want to gain it back
@@rahabsuliman757 these nonsense and mixed up arguments, those are the things that push our country back add push it forward to be divided
From 🇵🇰, Your Balochistan pronunciation is wrong its Balu CH is tan not Balu kis tan
Do you support independence?
@@shadow10198 the big Answer is NO and most Pakistanis don't support this because it will also led to instability in whole region, poverty some extremist exist but now they're not getting support from people it was a past thing when a lot of people wanted independence because of Race
Copy pasting my reply...
"You don't even know how to say the name of regions in Pakistan bro!😂
You think you are passing real knowledge? And ur line of "for whatever reason".
This must be an Indian making this through AI who spread this shit everyday last 75years. For this argument, even USA wanted to have 2 parts in civil war... stfu mate.
And u didn't even mention India with 7 regions with independence movements so you are biased like shit is shit."
@@itsKhaleeque Balochistan belongs to Iran only 🇮🇷
@@Nigoto_SaituriBalochistan belongs to Pakistan only 🇵🇰
07:41 You have overlooked Chechnya, which is around 96% Chechen and has fought a war in independence in the past. All it would take is for Russia to lose in Ukraine for Kadyrov to seize on Russia's hour of weakness to try for independence again. After that it could embolden other republics where Russians are not the majority to follow suit, such as Dagestan and Kalmykia.
I suspect that if there is a negotiated settlement at the end of their war with Ukraine, Russia will be required to withdraw from some of the places that they have taken over recently (like Crimea, South Ossetia, Transnistria, Kaliningrad). Not sure if that qualifies as Balkanization, depends on how you define the term.
@@MyFiddlePlayer For what reason is Kaliningrad on your list?
Doesn’t look like Russia is failing in any way. Chechnya should be cool. The two wars fought there were savage!
@@rzeczpospolita508not even Germans asked for returning Kaliningrad. But would be interesting to make Kaliningrad some special territory of Russia like Portoriko is to USA
If I don’t see my country in this list, it will offend me A LOT
What is your country
@@user-pe5uq4ic3vhopefully the US
I think he's a martian @@user-pe5uq4ic3v
@@user-pe5uq4ic3vif i would guess it i would say Mexico
@user-pe5uq4ic3v probably new Zealand
As always, a really fascinating video. Continue your fantastic work.
Very interesting video as always. Keep up the good work.
I second that!
Thank you very much!
How about Georgia with several active independence movements?
It’s possible, tho I could just as easily see a situation where, were Russia to ‘Balkanize’, Ossetia would prefer to join South Ossetia and unify with Georgia rather than become an independent nation, given it would provide economic benefits. If could go either way.
The reality is these so-called independence movements are being driven almost wholly by Moscow as a way to undermine and put pressure on Georgia to not get closer to the West and/or join NATO nor the EU.
@@rebeccawinter472 yeah that's true, still a possibility
@@rebeccawinter472 You have some kind of logic problem.
Why should North Ossetia with a population of 700k join a country with a population of 250k?
Why would Ossetians suddenly join Georgians? Ossetians have not forgotten how Georgians killed them. I am partly Ossetian, and the statement that Ossetians want to return to Georgia is very idiotic.
Given the Middle Eastern factor Iran is the biggest candidate for a balkanization, it might become the 2nd Yugoslavia with Azerbaijanis, Balochs, Kurds, and Ahwaz Arabs getting independence from the Persian majority
Why would that be?
Countries that will not fail are those that have a fair share of distance between EU,US and them.And a massive military.So,China,North Korea,Iran,Russia out of the question.
Iran Is Not Federal State
Iran Is United
All ethnic groups have migrated in Iran, for example, many Kurds have migrated to the regions of Azerbaijan, many Persians are in Ahvaz, almost half of Baluchis in Iran are in Golestan province on the shores of the Caspian. Such a thing will not happen in Iran, and the majority of Iranians are neither racist nor religious. In Turkey, Iraq, Syria and even Lebanon, where there is a lot of racism and extreme religion, such things seem more realistic
some white guy from the other side of the world who has just googled Iran's ethnic group roleplays as political analysis.
Iran has a coherent national identity, it is called Iran and not Persia because it is the country of Iranian peoples
Balkane, Balkane, Balkane moj
Budi mi silan i dobro mi stoj!
What about Italy? It's a far more fragile state and has many ethnicities that want secession, like Venetia.
Suppose we could add the United states as a potential country that could balkanize. We already have some "states" acting counter to the federal government as opposed to in tandem like they're supposed to. Though it seems like its going the way Rome did, infrastructure gradually decaying as the centralized governments power wanes. Everything has a size at which it's no longer possible to maintain and must fall apart after all.
The USA. Have a look at what is going on. It’s usually number 2 listed after Belgium
Yes, they are countries And not Nations, That's why..!
Freedom for Catalonia! (once again)
I think Somalia and Ethiopia are likely candidates for balkanization as well as Afghanistan.
Nah not somalia definitely ethiopia though
I adore your videos. I have been obsessed with the study of countries since I was given an atlas when I was 6 years old. Can we come up with a word for the study of countries, nation states etc. Patriology? Matriology? Geography isn't specific enough. Khorology? I'm using ancient terms for the word country plus study of.
You forgot Canada or Indonesia
Quebec isn't going anywhere, no matter how loud and obnoxious they get. And smelly.
Look up the fragile states index. The USA is highly more likely to Balkanize than Canada.
@@groom_of_the_stool1Nor is Western Canada!
@@jimjimmers8571 I said that in another post.
Lmao both Countries are dark more stable than good ol USA
Is this something to do with a certain football tournament in Germany where a certain country has threatened to pull out because a certain country changed things about them?
Indonesia also could potentially split
How
No
I like how Ireland is under the No data category on Support for European monarchies. I think there's a fair bit of data about how we feel on that one.
The United States could easily break apart into approximately 5 regions. No idea why this was not mentioned.
I agree, check out the fragile states index for example 😭
No... it couild NOT easily break up... enough with this neoconfederate bullshit
The examples he chose all seem to be based on pre-existing ethnic divisions or national identities. Any balkanization of the U.S. would be based more on emerging political divisions, and then only after a long and bloody conflict where opposing ideologies vie for dominance over the whole country, but fail to achieve it once the fighting settles into a protracted stalemate. As polarized as the country is at the moment, I think the majority of people still want to avoid that outcome.
@@d.b.4671That is not how I see it. I feel the US is weak and overextended and that losing a war to China along with an economic collapse would result in the country breaking up like Russia did after it's collapse. America would be the core country but the "United States" concept would break apart.
From the time of its inception 80 years ago, Indonesia has always been predicted by everyone to break up at one point, to balkanize even long before Balkan balkanized. I mean everyone.. Academics, diplomats, foreign journos, it's neighbours, the west, the east, the communist, the liberals, even my Australian childhood penpal wrote to me about this potential.
Its somewhat comforting that it doesn't even featured in this video. That tells me that at least we can manage our mind boggling diversity quite successfully up to this point.
The improbable nation carries on.
In the UK part you forgot the Cornishin Cornwall, and the Dependency Countries.
The UKs nuclear submarine fleet is based in scotland, as is a lot of our early detection systems, Scotland might leave the UK, but the UK wont be leaving Scotland.
Do you have any video talking about those different ethnic groups in Russia ? If u do have not that's an video I'd like to see in the future, how they make the union what bound they together and what are those groups ethnic and culturally.
Thank you my friend I love your videos
You missed USA splitting.
Also Canada could see west and east split.
Another country which could split up is Vietnam. Basically the North, the Old Tonkin Kingdom is in control and that created a lot of resentment in the Centre and South
why dont you also put Indonesia ?
is it also likely to break up?
It's pretty stable compared to Myanmar and Philippines.
The separatists other than Papuans are relatively dormant, with local leaders sucking trillions of Rupiahs from the central government without proper accountability to keep them satisfied for the time being.
Just ask Aceh
@@General.Knowledge your linguistic map of china is very wrong. it overemphasis minority elements in an area and colours largely deserted no man's land as having a language eg the taklamakan, gobi, hoh xil and western Tibet etc inner Mongolia is majority han, most of the southern provinces are majority han, Xinjiang is almost 50% Han. but the map erroneously over emphasized minority areas, so for example if a region has 50% han and 35% uighur, 15% mongol, the map Colours the area as Uighur and colours it as mongol if the mongols had the 35% in that sinerio. wrong map? wrong interpretation.
Both Libya and Yemen seem the most likely to break up officially.
If the United States ISNT on here, I'd be beyond shocked.
You completely forgot the US, Canada, South Africa, Nigeria, Cameroon, & Indonesia
Part 2?
Yeah a part 2 might be needed. Nigeria is a good example, as well as Ethiopia, Afghanistan and maybe even the US.
@@joshuawells835 rather a "part continent" because there are so many he ought to make a series and split it up by continent
south africa ? not in my lifetime . worst cause scenario is a push for federalism but those dont even have the power to do so because they would need a 2 thirds majority to be able to pull that offer and guess what, none of the parties and the voting numbers to pull that off , for example the ff+(a white lead party) only has 1.5% of the vote no where near enough for a balkanization
Why the hell would we break up?
French v. British Canada?
Would Belgium balkanize into separate countries or would Wallonia join France and Flanders join the Netherlands (with that small bit going to Germany)?
Quebec has tried twice to leave, but aren’t getting anywhere with it. New Brunswick, the only other province with a significant French-speaking population, has never expressed interest in leaving. Even if Quebec did leave, it wouldn’t be balkanization, because only one new country would form
Flanders seems to just want to rid of Wallonia. They don’t want to join the Netherlands
Surprised India isnt on the list considering its states are truly divided based on shared language and culture of the regions
Ignorant Westerners should refrain from commenting on things like this without having any proper knowledge of the whole situation
Democratic Framework
1. Robust Democratic Institutions:
Regular Elections: India has held regular, free, and fair elections since independence, fostering a sense of participation and legitimacy among its citizens.
Independent Judiciary: The judiciary acts as a check on executive power, ensuring the rule of law.
Free Press: A vibrant and diverse media landscape helps in holding the government accountable and keeps the public informed.
2. Federal Structure:
Decentralization: The Constitution provides significant autonomy to states, allowing them to address local issues effectively.
Power Sharing: Central and state governments share power, which helps in accommodating regional diversities and aspirations.
Economic Reforms and Development
1. Economic Liberalization:
1991 Reforms: Economic liberalization policies initiated in 1991 opened up the economy, spurring growth and reducing poverty.
Sectoral Growth: Information Technology, services, and manufacturing sectors have seen significant growth, diversifying the economic base.
2. Social Welfare Programs:
MGNREGA: The Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act provides employment opportunities and social security to rural populations.
Direct Benefit Transfer: Implementation of DBT schemes has reduced leakages and improved the efficiency of welfare programs.
Cultural and Social Cohesion
1. Cultural Syncretism:
Shared Heritage: India’s long history of cultural assimilation promotes unity in diversity. Festivals, traditions, and cultural practices are often shared across communities.
National Identity: Despite regional diversities, a strong sense of Indian identity is promoted through education, media, and state institutions.
2. Civil Society and NGOs:
Active Engagement: Civil society organizations play a crucial role in addressing social issues, advocating for human rights, and ensuring accountability.
Community Initiatives: Numerous grassroots initiatives work towards social development, bridging gaps between different communities.
Strategic Defense and Security Policies
1. Defense Capabilities:
Modernization: Continuous modernization of the military ensures readiness to address external threats.
Counter-terrorism: Robust counter-terrorism strategies have been implemented to combat insurgencies and terrorist activities.
2. Internal Security:
Intelligence Networks: Effective intelligence gathering and coordination between agencies have been pivotal in maintaining internal security.
Community Policing: Programs aimed at building trust between police and communities help in maintaining law and order.
Technological and Infrastructural Advancements
1. Digital Revolution:
Digital India Initiative: This initiative aims to enhance digital infrastructure, promote digital literacy, and ensure digital delivery of services.
Aadhar System: The unique identification system has streamlined access to government services and subsidies.
2. Infrastructure Development:
Transportation: Significant investments in road, rail, and air connectivity have improved accessibility and economic integration.
Urban Development: Smart city projects and urban renewal missions aim to enhance the livability of cities.
Social and Educational Initiatives
1. Educational Reforms:
Right to Education: The Right to Education Act mandates free and compulsory education for children up to 14 years of age.
Higher Education: Expansion of higher education institutions has increased access to quality education.
2. Health Initiatives:
Ayushman Bharat: This health insurance scheme aims to provide affordable healthcare to the poor and vulnerable.
Public Health Campaigns: Initiatives like Swachh Bharat (Clean India) campaign promote public health and hygiene.
International Relations and Diplomacy
1. Strategic Alliances:
Global Partnerships: India has developed strategic partnerships with major global powers, enhancing its economic and security prospects.
Regional Cooperation: Active participation in regional organizations like SAARC and ASEAN fosters regional stability and cooperation.
2. Diaspora Influence:
Remittances: The Indian diaspora contributes significantly to the economy through remittances.
Soft Power: Cultural diplomacy and the global influence of the Indian diaspora strengthen India’s international standing.
Challenges and Future Outlook
1. Persistent Issues:
Economic Disparities: Addressing income inequality and ensuring inclusive growth remain critical challenges.
Corruption: Continued efforts are needed to combat corruption and improve governance.
Environmental Sustainability: Balancing development with environmental conservation is essential for sustainable growth.
2. Opportunities:
Youth Demographics: Harnessing the potential of a young population through education and employment opportunities can drive future growth.
Technological Innovation: Emphasizing innovation and digital transformation can propel India towards becoming a knowledge-based economy.
Conclusion
India’s ability to maintain its unity and stability despite its complexities can be attributed to its robust democratic institutions, economic reforms, social cohesion, strategic defense policies, technological advancements, and effective international relations. While challenges persist, the country's adaptive strategies and resilience continue to drive its progress. The Indian experience underscores the importance of inclusive governance, cultural integration, and strategic foresight in sustaining a diverse and dynamic nation.
India recognizes her diversity and states are free to pursue her policies. More diversity is in North-East where laws are different to accommodate local cultures. For example, Sangma MLA seat in Sikkim is reserved for Buddhist monks
7:40 What's that little country between Mongolia and Russia?
It is Tuva (Now a federal subject in Russia)
Your map of the UK had Isle of Man as part of Ireland, it's part of the UK.
My Manx friend said that is a heinous crime against his people as we are not ginger.
(jk it's just because the map he used shows the main 4 parts of the UK and not the Crown Dependencies and everything else is marked in the same colour.)
However if you called a Manxman Irish he'd either laugh at you or punch you in the face depending on the person.
Strictly speaking it isn't part of the UK, it's a Crown Dependency. So sort of a territory of the UK, but not technically part of it.
IoM is not part of the UK, it wasn't part of the EU either.
Countries in general are much less likely to break up than they used to be as the most powerful international organizations prefer sheer status quo over any liberation or unification movements,
Whatever the world's borders are at present most organizations are trying to prevent them from changing as much as possible to reduce overall chaos and unpredictability
Even when perhaps a natural collapse should be permitted for a reorganization
This isn't to say it never happens at all in fact borders do change all the time but there active resources and groups trying to prevent it especially on larger scales.
If smaller wars get support and backing it is in the name of preventing larger wars
Add Canada to that list
Look up the fragile states index, NOTHING is happening to Canada 💀
no i don't believe Pakistan could not be break up as punjab and sindh are more developed and integrated parts in terms of economy and military same can be say for KPK as it is more close Islamabad and big politicians and military generals due to this KPK is also very developed but FATA and Baluchistan were neglected and all attacks are only these two places
Pakistan is in least stable countries list bro.
Philippines. Mindanao ( or at least Davao) allegedly wants to break away
I’m almost certain that Russia will Balkanize in the near future. ESPECIALLY in the north Caucasuses and the far east.
Why?
There's NO WAY Russia or China are going to break up because they still have strong central powers and a militairy who would interfere immidiately, if one region even thinks about indipendece. Just remember Tibet and Grosny...
Ethiopia is the biggest candidate for balkanization
For northern Ireland i have heard that because of the rise in the RC pop that it could become part of Ireland in the 2050's -But if that isso?- whyso long?, Also how would it happan?-would a vote be done by the people of Northern Ireland to leave the UK?-Would the Goernments of the UK&Ireland have a say or role?-what would happan if northern Ireland was over 50% RC and still voted to remain in the UK?
The last part of your question is where the big conundrum is because even if the Catholic population became greater people don't actually realise that a sizeable minority of the Catholic population also want to remain part of the UK and would vote as such in a referendum. Many tend to forget that the whole of Ireland had previously been part of the UK for several centuries, a lot longer than it has ever been an independent unified sovereign country in any form. The British and Irish would both respect the result of any referendum. If it did become a unified nation, it wouldn't solve the issues there, it would simply pass the massive security costs associated with that to the ROI and EU instead. I think the only time the UK would ever get involved is if the unionist population was being attacked by IRA terrorists as was the case during the troubles. I suspect we will likely see a referendum in the next 15 years however the result will not go the way many expect.
Under the Good Friday Agreement, the UK government is obliged to call a referendum if it looks likely a majority want to unify with the rest of the Ireland. But deciding exactly what conditions trigger that is left up to the UK government.
Some people would argue if Catholics became a majority that should count. But the government would probably point towards polls showing that many Catholic don't necessarily want to join Ireland and say that it's not time for a referendum yet. If they went ahead and had a referendum anyway, and they voted to remain in the UK, then they would remain in the UK. I'm sure nationalists would then keep arguing there should be another referendum.
Ireland would probably also have a referendum on unification. Both would have to pass for it to happen. It seems unlikely Ireland would vote against it, but there's a chance they would reject it if the cost of supporting Northern Ireland was too high.
It’s pronounced baloch like the ch used in Charmander
Man, the world is more fucked up than at least I have been taught in school
What we now call Yemen was once ruled by Ethiopia
Well, regarding the Russian policy of russification being successful, it's true, but there are still regions there where Russians are minority. Tyva is a good example, and it was also an independent state once.
Tyva is a very poor republic within Russia, so there is no chance of its separation
Dont forget Chukchi autonomous okrug, Yakutia, Karelia, Dagestan, Chechnya, Mari EL, Bashkortostan & Tatarstan!
@@psy-lionOnly 5 percent of population of Karelia are Karelian.
The most of the population are Russian.
Many years ago, western countries had tried to balcanize Russia......
And they kept trying, again and again, to this day@@diegojavierroaeslava5821
Just going to ignore the elephant in the room-- the USA?
It would have made a lot more sense if at partition the British had also created a nation for the Sikhs to live in, a Sikh Kingdom, and put it as a buffer zone between Hindustan and Pakistan.
That's the thing. Earlier and now also Sikhism, budhdhism, janism and many more are considered hindu only during border divide. So it was not possible.
@@Happy_Himalayan_Hill-hp1vfall of them are not considered hindu, the border divide was not between hindu & muslim it was between muslim and non muslim as jinnah requested
@@Abhisheksharma-ez6vfwrong. The muslim wanted muslim state. The devision was done between hindu and muslim in mind. The result maybe muslim and non muslim devision. Also if it were to be muslim and non muslim the Chittagong part were to be given to india then as it as indigenous religious majority back then.
Also then there will not be a dispute for Andaman and nicobar as it was clearly non muslim (also non hindu)
What about Myanmar ??
I think you are not right about Russia. The most southern regions of Russia, the northen Caucasus, has a really little Russian population and there was strong independence movements in recent times in Dagestan and especially Chechmia, which was in fact independent from the collaps of USSR to 1999.
India, United States?
Belgium might be split into 4 countries if they split.
8:51 -99999999999999999999 social credits☠☠☠
you could have included Québec and Canada in this video
One province seceding wouldn’t count as Balkanization, and Canada is still higher than most countries on the fragile states index
@@jimjimmers8571 A party in Alberta also wants out
1st time I watched a GK video since he dissed Idaho and the legitimate concerns of Eastern Oregonians.
It's so obvious this guy wants Galicia to join Portugal, that it hurts.
Why isnt Ethiopia here?
Ukraine, Turkey, USA, India, Myanmar, Syria, Italy and Germany are a long shot but possible.
The only factor in Turkey's case are the Kurds. The Turks "dealt" with all the other ethnic groups a long time ago.
@@AVV_Beats Yes and Kurds have huge demographic growth while Turks are falling strongly especially in Istanbul and Ankara, which is normal. I predict that Kurds will follow suit in time, but now they've been for decade or two according to Turks 15 % and to Kurds 20-25 % of population while having 3-5 Kids per woman and Turks bellow 2. They are probably even higher in terms of percentage.
Why did you use the old flag of occupied Afghanistan?
Sudan? They are in the process rn.
Surprising lack of African nations, South Africa would be quite notable.
Why not India?
India is in category of most stable countries list. I am Indian and I don't see any major independence movement here.
Centre is too strong
Bcz…
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
India is not Pakistan😂
Are Southeast Asian countries that stable that they were not featured on this video despite having so many ethnic groups with large populations?
Other than Burma, pretty stable atm
There is a growing Sarawak independent movement in Malaysias, as they got screwed when it came to original independence.
@saisamsuri but Indonesia have west Papua right?
@@archstanton6102 Indonesia West Papua and Aceh?
👍👍👍👍👍
Put Greenland
The detail with Greenland is that it would only separate from Denmark, for me Balkanizing implies that the original country disappears and several reemerge
@@segiraldovi I reckon Trump will put in another offer during his second term and it will be accepted.
@@johnmknox I don't think Denmark will accept it, the only way would be if the Greenlanders themselves wanted it and at this moment America has too many problems that I doubt they want to get into that problem.
Maybe in a future where America stabilizes, maybe the EU collapses and Denmark needs the money.
No mention of Biafra?
You're not serious
Just imagine how many people would be offended by a video like this one.
Where's usa?
Weirdly, the Netherlands. Frisia wants to go it alone, the "Bible Belt" (Drenthe, Gelderland) hates the western provinces, the Southern (Roman Catholic) provinces might like to go it alone or join Flanders, and Zeelanders just. Want. To. Be. Left. Alone.
After the last elections, it appears the belgian split has become even less likely, as the elected flemish and walloon governments became much more politically aligned.
True & informative video but I don’t think Russia will break up in future 😂
Meanwhile Syria smiling in the corner: "you can't balkanize me"
as Russian, there are not enough ethnicities no break this country into as many pieces as you want to. Unless you again invent some ethnicity like "Uraliks" or "Siberians" like you did with SouthWest Rus.
Under 'Tito' Yugoslavia seemed to be united, after it splitted. Because US killed Saddam and Gaddafi Iraq and Libya are going to break.
As long as there is the strong communiste party, there will no break of China. Similar with Russia: as long as Putin or a close strong man rules the country it will stay.
Pakistan has the same problem as Israel: England made too many promises worth nothing and rises powers that could strike in the future. 😢
Poland should be also devided to 2 countries, our politicians only polarize people and we are also geographically very divided. So why leave in bigger country where half of people has different options it only generates conflicts, lost of countries has similar situation like USA democrats and republicans. Gap between ideologies only increase....
So you'll gonna have your own ukraina too?
About Russia. Caucas is not that rusified. So they can break. Tatarstan can break. Some north regions or part of them like Taymir has more indigenous people than russians even combine with ukrainians and belorussians.
Its pronounced as बलुचिसतान not बालुकिसतान ।. People are called बलोच not बलूक . Ch is pronounced as ch in chair not as ch in choir.
Indonesia!!!!!!
Relatively stable
finally, there is big channel that include western countries into the list of potentially countries that could break up 🎉🎉🎉
and surprisingly they finally understand that indonesia is stable country 😅😅😅
You forgot Québec and Canada!
Now you got me intrigued. Is there so much tension there that they might want to split up?
@@ccatarinajm7114 Nope. They had a referendum for Independence already. I believe it was in 1980. The people of Quebec voted no and said they wished to remain a part of Canada. Ironically the rest of Canada also got to vote in the referendum and they said they wanted to get rid of Quebec and let them have independence! However, that part of the vote was not binding.
@@johnmknox This is incorrect information. The latest referendum was held in 1995, where only residents of quebec got to vote. Quebec voted to remain as a province of canada by 50.6% of the vote
@@illusion1472 Still, that was 30 years ago, times change, so maybe they ought to check again
@@ccatarinajm7114They have gotten 2 referendums already. That is enough. The people has spoken, no need to have another one - just a waste of money and undemocratic to not accept the will of the people in the last referendum.
Funny you didn't mention Ethiopia
East and West Yemen seems better than North and South Yemen.
UK seems the most realistic. Maybe Spain too.
China somehow seems the least realistic but interesting to speculate
To be honest, I am from the UK.
Northern Ireland is the most likely to leave.
Scotland especially in its current position probably won't as they'd be extremely poor and still heavily reliant on England to survive while not being allowed to join the EU.
Me being Welsh however can tell you that Wales will probably never leave.
Wales is actually a net loss to the UK as all the money the government puts into Wales is less than its output.
Wales cannot survive on its own at all.
The independence movements will probably never surface except in Northern Ireland and will gradually subside.
I mean the SNP is down the gutter now so it'll hold independence back for a long time.
@@thesuperintendent4290 That is kinda true but judging from polling, the fall of the SNP has had pretty much 0 impact on how many Scots want independence. It is still essentially 50/50 for and against +/-a few points.
Maybe the
I'm suprised you put down Pakistan but did not put down INDIA!!
Same thing for the USA especially with the large Latino vs Anglo split
You are displaying your ignorance here ,dear westerner
Fr? Tell me which separatist group other than naxal and islamist in kashmir is causing india trouble? Even these two are now under control to an extent.
I balkanized
It's very surprising (and sweet) that my country Indonesia won't get Balkanized (atleast in the near future).
A country that's as big as the US and Continental Europe with 280 Million people mostly Muslims. Not only that, the 5 big islands are separated by the ocean and each of them contains their own cultures and languages. We're talking about a country that's like combining every single European country into one and didn't dissolve like Yugoslavia did.
The fact that back in 1998, the Western world was preparing for us to get Balkanized after massive instability and protest but we never did, in fact we're getting stronger and stronger each year and managed to be in the G20 and a regional power that will become a major player in Asia and the world soon.
Indonesia is not perfect but we strive to become one, Go Indonesia 🇮🇩
Russia is super close to collapse, there is growing movements for independence to own regions
Where did you hear about this?
I know for sure that Kalmykia, Tuva, Dagestan, ingushetia, kabardino-balkar, karachay-cherkess, sakha, Tatarstan, and Chechnya will become independent in sometime in the future. As they all have non-Russian majorities and have their own national identities.
Komi and the other idel-ural and far eastern republics are less likely due to Russian majorities and demographic collapse, but I could still see a united idel-ural state giving autonomy to the Russian parts.
Too bad those movements only exist on western MSM
I think 🇪🇹Ethiopia 🇲🇲 Myanmar and 🇾🇪Yemen, will be split next years.
Bro is from India that's why he forgets India but mentiioned China, Pakistan also forgets Iran and others. In India (Khalistan,Kashmir,Nagaland, Manipur) whole north east want independence, In iran most of the part of the country wants independence.
Wtf you smoking? All these you mentioned is not active at all. Nagaland, Manipur ? Where did you got the information? Can you give one major independence movement in India which happened recently?
Yeah everyone who talks bad about my country is from India 🤓🤓🤓
I never heard about Nagaland, manipur independence in india😂
Neither I’ve seen any voice for independence in Punjab. Only seen them in Canada😂 bcz of the obvious fact that khalistan has become a full time business for people. So Kashmir issue already solved with 370 abrogation. Remaining is the occupied part of Kashmir, military will do the job there too soon.😂
We’re sorted✌🏼😂🔥
@@Arunh9-pw7lp seems like daydream has become ur indeliable part of ur life..which not only made u blind but also superficial illeterate..... I think this must be side effect of Cowdung
Pretty sure he isn't from India... He's talked about his home country in other videos.
Where’s the US? They keep having race riots every year.
You have no clue about Spain. Cantabria, Asturias, Aragon, and Andalucia are NOT separatist regions. They are fiercely Spanish. Also in Galicia the independence movement is a very small percentage. You are Portuguese, right? You always have bias against Spain every time you mention it. Research your information better please.