Dr John Gentry, Former Senior CIA Analyst, Professor Georgetown U, on Strategic Warning Intelligence

Interview of Thursday, 28 Sep 2023 between Dr John A. Gentry, Former Senior CIA Analyst, Current Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University; and AFIO President James Hughes, a former senior CIA Operations Officer. They discuss John's book "Strategic Warning Intelligence: History, Challenges, and Prospects."
www.amazon.com/Strategic-Warn...
The interview runs 37 minutes and includes several Q&As.
Also see Dr. Gentry's recent book, Neutering the CIA: Why US Intelligence Versus Trump Has Long-Term Consequences (Armin Lear Press, 2023): www.amazon.com/Neutering-CIA-....
Key Moments:
00:00 - Intro
01:27 - What is the ‘paradox of warning’?
02:06 - You cite four historic case studies. What are those?
07:26 - What are some types of warning institutions?
10:16 - What has been the history of warning in the U.S.?
12:48 - Compare and contrast the U.S. system with the UK.
15:15 - What are some good warning methodologies?
22:23 - What is a good target timeframe for warning?
25:16 - What are some causes of failure in dealing with senior policy makers?
31:40 - What needs to done in the U.S. to revive and re-establish a healthy warning system and D&D?
BIOS: JOHN A. GENTRY is an adjunct professor with Georgetown University’s Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and also teaches for the Department of Defense and Strategic Studies, Missouri State University. He was for 12 years an intelligence analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency, where he worked mainly economic issues associated with the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact countries; for two of those years, he was senior analyst on the staff of the National Intelligence Officer for Warning. He is a retired U.S. Army Reserve officer, with most assignments in special operations and intelligence arenas. He was mobilized in 1996 and spent much of 1996 as a civil affairs officer in Bosnia. Dr. Gentry formerly taught at Columbia University, the College of International Security Affairs of National Defense University, and National Intelligence University. His research interests primarily are in intelligence and security studies. He has written or co-authored four books, edited or co-edited two other books, and written or co-authored about 40 articles and book chapters, mainly on intelligence subjects. He is a member of the Editorial Committee of the International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence. He received his Ph.D. in political science from The George Washington University
JAMES R. HUGHES currently serves as the 17th President of AFIO. His service began January 2015. He had a career of US Government service spanning 37 years in numerous foreign countries with a particular focus in the Middle East. He started in U.S. Military Intelligence in the late 1960s and then joined the CIA’s Clandestine Service. He served overseas as a Chief of Station several times, and at CIA Headquarters in a number of senior management positions, including as Chief of the Near East and South Asia Division, in the Directorate of Operations [today’s National Clandestine Service]. He was also named the Associate Deputy Director of Operations (ADDO) at the National Security Agency, 1998-99. Following his retirement from the government in 2005, he joined EDS in Herndon, VA, as the Client Industry Executive for the U.S. Intelligence Community. After the HP acquisition of EDS, he continued to serve in a similar capacity until his retirement in 2012. His parents were missionaries in Turkey in the 1950s, where Jim spent his formative years. He is fluent in Arabic.
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