For the most part I understand everything but sometimes the graphs and what they represent throw me off, you guys should breakdown the graphs and what we are looking at for the not so mathematically inclined folks like me
I was a big 3 QB guy last year, had 3 finals teams, crushed, I will say though, a lot success in that strat was how many QB injuries there were. There were so many dead 2 QB teams. Might not be the case this year. If the running dudes stay healthy, mid to late round guys could get dusted.
I disagree with Herz any time he brought up McCarthy. Jjeff is for unlocking GB Seattle and Chicago correlation, not figuring out which mid qb is starting 10 games and which is starting 7 in Minnesota.
Do you think cumulative-points best ball contests will overtake the tournaments where you have to guess about the scoring in the final weeks of the regular season?
Have a hard time picking Diontae Johnson this year. I think he is overvalued because they also have Bryce Young's bff Adam Thielen and the rookie as well.
Thanks for doing a draft where you guys actually talked out the picks. These other streams are quiet the whole time about their targets on the draft board and it makes it a worthless watch.
kincaid falls 20 spots passed adp and the guy doesnt want to take him because his purdy stack when purdy shouldn't be drafted for another 5 rounds? lol what
Great show! New to BB and season long in general so this is great information, and I appreciate it. I am an old as dirt NFL fan who plays nickel DFS for the past several years. As a nickel DFS player who hand builds a hundred nickel lineups every week in the Sunday Fanduel Main Slate (field size of 700,000) it is somewhat amusing to me to hear a field size of 441 being referred to as "large." But this is some great data... You have to be careful with data like this as you said - not all RB are the same. I remember a season Ekeler had a run where he was getting like 15 targets a game for a bit. You can't lump him in with Henry and expect the model to work. I have built these kind of models just to practice building models (I am an IT guy learning AI), but I would never use a model to actually play the games. What's the point? This is my hobby, no sense having a computer program do my hobby for me. Totally agree on correlation and a runback, those are staples for me as a hand builder.
Seems like the main actionable takeaway is to draft later and mostly ignore closing value. Reason for that is that CLV is harder to predict and is more easily gotten when you draft early. In your “kyren gets injured and Corrum takes over” example the teams drafted after that point would not be able to Capitalize on CLV of this event.
No matter what fellas, STACK. Even if it totally distracts you from the flow of the draft. Prioritize reaching 2+ rounds ahead of ADP to get your stacks. Lock those stacks up even if you hate those players and teams. Everybody just do the exact same thing. Lots of colorful charts with numbers on them that maybe mean something or be complete nonsense. Fuck it, who cares?! One lemming off the cliff after another. 😂😂😂. Cant wait to win all the money this year.
on your week 17 4 top games, is a divisional rivalry (e.g. rams cardinals) more valuable than non divisional (e.g. raiders-saints) because you will get that correlation twice per year versus just once? or is this benefit just too small over the course of a full season?
I would say this is more valuable in a contest like the marathon or weekly winners, not sure if it really provides any value unless 2 teams played each other twice in the playoff weeks but that’s just me
Im letting my first 3 or 4 picks dictate how I team stack and then add in week 17 correlation as I go. I'm w Leone on memorizing the week 17 matchups
For the most part I understand everything but sometimes the graphs and what they represent throw me off, you guys should breakdown the graphs and what we are looking at for the not so mathematically inclined folks like me
I was a big 3 QB guy last year, had 3 finals teams, crushed, I will say though, a lot success in that strat was how many QB injuries there were. There were so many dead 2 QB teams. Might not be the case this year. If the running dudes stay healthy, mid to late round guys could get dusted.
Yeah this a good point
I won 30k last year on Draftingkings. Had burrow, love, and baker. Lost burrow early & still won. Definitely do 3 qbs.
@@keitha9386 thats cool, how did you do on Draftkings tho? Also, nice sample size of 1 to try and prove a point lol
@@jcsmitty22 i finished top 30, 29th place in the big tournament .
Leone really needs to wear a Matt Damon costume from Good Will Hunting for Halloween now
haha
Burrow,chase brown,Jamar Chase,Tee Higgins, Jermaine Burton, and Mike Gesicki, stack 1, Lawrence, Etienne,engram stack 2, I think I'm good
I disagree with Herz any time he brought up McCarthy. Jjeff is for unlocking GB Seattle and Chicago correlation, not figuring out which mid qb is starting 10 games and which is starting 7 in Minnesota.
Is Leone from Buffalo?? Rockin the UB basketball shirt, I love it. GO BILLS!
Three double Week 17 game stacks with a bring back is the way (QB, WR, WR, opposing team RB/WR/TE)
definitely a good construction!
So 3 and 4 cancel each other out. Drafting in August had a great finals rate but getting the best closing value had the best rate.
Do you think cumulative-points best ball contests will overtake the tournaments where you have to guess about the scoring in the final weeks of the regular season?
Have a hard time picking Diontae Johnson this year. I think he is overvalued because they also have Bryce Young's bff Adam Thielen and the rookie as well.
If drafting later in the summer increases chances of having live players in Week 17, why do those %s tank in September?
58:30
They’ve said Likely has really impressed them and is making them look at a lot more double TE setups moving forward
I’m literally on the toilet drafting 8 teams at a time 👀
Thanks for doing a draft where you guys actually talked out the picks. These other streams are quiet the whole time about their targets on the draft board and it makes it a worthless watch.
they are probably avoiding getting sniped, which is understandable. We were lucky to pre record this draft.
kincaid falls 20 spots passed adp and the guy doesnt want to take him because his purdy stack when purdy shouldn't be drafted for another 5 rounds? lol what
It was super flex hermano
Love the best ball articles and awesome to get these videos touching back on those main concepts! 🔥
thank you!
Where can the average guy get this data
It’s good to be back, great summer content to get me in the mood. Nice job. 🎉
Really great info, thanks guys!
Well done, fellas!
Great show! New to BB and season long in general so this is great information, and I appreciate it. I am an old as dirt NFL fan who plays nickel DFS for the past several years. As a nickel DFS player who hand builds a hundred nickel lineups every week in the Sunday Fanduel Main Slate (field size of 700,000) it is somewhat amusing to me to hear a field size of 441 being referred to as "large." But this is some great data... You have to be careful with data like this as you said - not all RB are the same. I remember a season Ekeler had a run where he was getting like 15 targets a game for a bit. You can't lump him in with Henry and expect the model to work. I have built these kind of models just to practice building models (I am an IT guy learning AI), but I would never use a model to actually play the games. What's the point? This is my hobby, no sense having a computer program do my hobby for me. Totally agree on correlation and a runback, those are staples for me as a hand builder.
Seems like the main actionable takeaway is to draft later and mostly ignore closing value. Reason for that is that CLV is harder to predict and is more easily gotten when you draft early. In your “kyren gets injured and Corrum takes over” example the teams drafted after that point would not be able to Capitalize on CLV of this event.
Leode, this message is for you. I love you. 💪
Thanks Gentlemen! Great info
thanks for watching!
Question. Would it have been better to wait for Engram, set up the double and grab Dook or Allen?
Great stuff as usual. Random question. How is it that some of you guys don’t have badges on UD?
I absolutely love the fact that they included a look at health. I'd love to see it broken down by health of your 1st pick.
No matter what fellas, STACK. Even if it totally distracts you from the flow of the draft. Prioritize reaching 2+ rounds ahead of ADP to get your stacks. Lock those stacks up even if you hate those players and teams. Everybody just do the exact same thing. Lots of colorful charts with numbers on them that maybe mean something or be complete nonsense. Fuck it, who cares?! One lemming off the cliff after another. 😂😂😂. Cant wait to win all the money this year.
are you saying you aren't going to stack?
Secret to winning is drafting 150 lineups ✅ stacking ✅ correlation ✅ high upside risk ✅
Dropping $3750 on fantasy football is diabolical bro. Call the gambling hotline.
What is the difference in the Best Ball vs Draft Kit Pro? I'm only interested in DK Best Ball, so which one is tailored more for that?
best ball package
on your week 17 4 top games, is a divisional rivalry (e.g. rams cardinals) more valuable than non divisional (e.g. raiders-saints) because you will get that correlation twice per year versus just once? or is this benefit just too small over the course of a full season?
I would say this is more valuable in a contest like the marathon or weekly winners, not sure if it really provides any value unless 2 teams played each other twice in the playoff weeks but that’s just me
Really good summary of key BB tactics, guys.
Great content fellas👍🏿👍🏿
thank you!
Good stuff. Love the content.
How do stack 4-6 skill players without reaching?
Draft 200+ teams and find the value eventually lol 😊
@@GardenHood 90 BBMV so far an no luck :(
i will pick 8 rubbing back
Curious to hear why you guys have the raiders and saints as a tier one week 17 game
Dome
+ decent value In the late round players with these teams
why does levitan queue up the entire player pool when drafting
planning out the rest of the draft
...... do u draft bro? 😂
.
I can see a path for Friermuth as top 5 TE
Definitely Top 10
Russ likes his TEs!
@@EstablishTheRun
So does Fields
excellent video - learned a lot
Laurence,kirk,engram/Rodgers,hall,Williams,Conklin/Smith, dk, locket got that right before I watched this video
Love ETR but the vocal fry from Adam is hard to listen to.