Happy Friday everyone! Use the following link to get a month free of NOA's premium membership: subscription.newsoveraudio.com/subscribe?offerId=plain_bagel_stdpx_1mt&UA-cam_Influencer&TPB&
See the November 2015 National Geographic magazine for crop yield decreases due to Climate Change. FREE movie on UA-cam "National Geographic Collapse" about the future (Peak Oil). The oil companies knew about Climate Change long before the general public, people aware of this crises are in a desperate struggle for money because of what the public doesn't yet know...Peak Oil is coming; How to survive the worldwide starvation crisis caused by Peak Oil; "What can I do"? According to the experts you should: 1A. Garden with sustainable agriculture techniques (less pesticides, herbicides and fertilizer (organic & permaculture)). B. Learn to preserve, and learn the spoil dates of different storage conditions, learn how to check for spoilage (give a little to one healthy person (not the elderly or a child) if they don't get sick...give more to another...if they don't get sick...you should be ok. 2. Buy food and manufactured goods made locally 3. Pay down debt 4. Learn skills that will be useful in the future and make friends that have useful skills you don't have (related to providing food, water, shelter, and medical care: A necessary skill is organic/permaculture gardening/farming). Very important: medicinal plant and medical skills are the best way to ensure your survival. All others will gladly sacrifice their life to protect your life, so you are around to use your medical knowledge to keep their families alive. 5. I recommend, if you can...to invest some money into technologies to increase the "carrying capacity" of the planet (high risk investments); A. decrease negative environmental impact, B. alternatives for our food system input to improve production, C. alternatives to our current living arrangements, D. alternatives to our plastics industry, E. alternatives to disaster capitalism/socialism/communism F. "Savior Technologies" (ie faster-than-light travel), "Game Changer" technologies (ie Cold Fusion Energy) & "Delaying Technologies" (ie deep sea drilling technologies). 6. I also recommend you inform and prepare your family, friends, and others. It is best to initially suggest people have an emergency kit... for any emergency such as flood, earthquake, tornado, hurricane, loss of electricity due to a winter storm. Then, if the friend or relative puts together a disaster kit, tell them about #7A/B/C 7A. THE community based organization to mitigate Climate Change and Peak Oil is: www.transitionus.org/ (For non USA; transitionnetwork.org/) 7B. The FREE movie "National Geographic Collapse" on UA-cam. 7C. Google "2052 free book download summary" www.2052.info - "A Global Forecast for the Next 40 Years". This website is a supplement to the book '2052-A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years', written by Jørgen Randers. 7D. "Plan C: Community Survival Strategies for Peak Oil and Climate Change" Pat Murphy 7E. www.goodreads.com Three of my Facebook pages were removed, "History Channel's Prophets of Doom Mike Ruppert" and my 2 pages on the "National Geographic Collapse movie" were removed. Never give up, your families lives are at stake! I anticipate worldwide deaths at 7 out of 8 (worldwide population of 8 billion people becoming 1 billion). The US is the number one military power, number 2 economy, and a net exporter of food. Thus, I anticipate 1 out 2 will die in the US. So you just need to be above average, easy to do if you know and accept Peak Oil. In the US I estimate all those that survive the collapse will endure severe psychological and/or physical trauma. If SHTF; the Appalachian and Rocky Mountains will probably have mountain passes and bridges closed. An expert in the field of Peak Oil (Liam Nelson) felt people would willingly go into FEMA camps vs. not having any food or water. I believe it is best to consider living between the Rocky and Appalachian Mountains well away from the southern coast and especially away from where Central and South Americans will travel into the US (roads will be made obstacles and the desert is a natural obstacle). Thus, consider the northern Midwest US whith access to water (and the locals will accept you). Avoid being near nuclear reactors since the government may not shut them down. Note; many rich in the US are stockpiling resources in New Zealand to flee there (verify with Google, using credible newspaper articles). Think of a return to the Middle Ages (but with trains) or the old Western US without horses. The leaders of Bug Out Locations will deter unrest by keeping some form of the US Constitution, at the minimum the Bill of Rights. Without a Bill of Rights, history will repeat- We will have a repeat of "Game of Thrones" where the leaders constantly face assassination and betrayal. Try Facebook pages; 1. Peak Oil 2. Increasing the Carrying Capacity of the Earth 3. Organized Effort to Maximize Peak Population - OE-MP 4. Platue/Peak Population 5. Peak Oil Loners United
How to colonise a country in the modern world: 1. Lend money to a failing country 2. (Optional: if it doesn’t fail) silently trigger their economic collapse 3. Become the big brother and say “it’s ok, you don’t have to pay me back, but this time lemme do the work” 4. Bring in your state-owned corporations to fill in their industry 5. Increase in economic productivity 6. Citizens gain your trust 7. Overthrow government
Exactly what happened in my Serbia, only economic collapse was not silent. you don't even have to be silent if you have the mass media to push the narrative
Obviously the country should just get a second job, deliver pizzas on the weekend, needs to have a garage sale, and just use the debt snowball method to pay off their debts and build the psychology of being fiscally responsible
actually, those methods (get a second job = raise taxes, fiscally responsible = cut military/welfare spending, snowball = pay off the highest rate loan first) all would be sound advice.
Not sure the Russian default would be a perfect example, as it was mainly due to sanctions by the western world more like a forced default. Whereas Sri Lankan default is more like a true default as it was a direct cause of the country's poor economic performance and management.
The Sri Lankan crisis was immediately precipitated by factors beyond their control, though (spike in food/fuel prices due to war). The Russians made their own bed, and now it sucks to lie in it. Sure, they thought it would go better for them: they'd roll over 🇺🇦 in 3 days, and it would all be fait accompli before any serious sanctions were imposed - but "they fought back too effectively! 😭" isn't a very compelling argument.
I think here sl govt was unprepared for uncertainty while russian govt being resource rich could still pay it off. Besides both countries were/are unhappy or unsatisfied with their government.
Why did they get the sanctions? Because they went to war. Did they know they will get sanctioned if they go to war? Hell yes. It was not forced, Russia knows being sanctioned and defaulting is where they're going to.
I was just going to say the same thing. The Russian default occurred because their funds were frozen due to sanctions. Not a true default, they had the money to pay.
0:26 You actually can. Russia did not default on its debt, it was not allowed to pay instead. Russia pushed a money transaction and it had enough money but the transaction was declined by the Western banking system. In order to pay back, Russia suggested that the borrowers get paid in Rubbles directly bypassing any artificial restriction. So, everybody who wanted their money back probably got them directly from Russia.
@@dannybeane2069 we are talking about institutional loans. Some foreign institutional investor bought Russian debt, they can get payments directly from Russia avoiding western infrastructure. There is no reason to go to Russia to accomplish it.
@@David-fj5lz that’s why Russia and China and many countries are ditching the dollar. They no longer want to be held responsible for the US poor financial decisions. They are introducing their reserve currency in august while the us will default on its debt in June (if they don’t raise the debt ceiling)
Hey Richard, just want to say thanks for all the genuine videos you have been sharing for the past! Appreciate the way you present the topics with your professionalism, not overcomplicated layman term, and with a sprinkle of bagel humor. Keep up the great work!
Pretty much comes down to it that the most you can do is to not lend anymore to that party ever again. You still lost your money and they can live happily ever after if they can manage without your cooperation.
The World Bank and the IMF both started from the Bretton Woods conference in the 40’s, which came about because the U.S dollar, as a result of war-fleeing European gold, had so many gold reserves backing it. Inevitably, however, inflationary Keynsian policies-which the Bretton Woods Agreement was founded on-plagued the U.S dollar and, much like Britain during WW1, the U.S defaulted on its gold IOUs and Nixon went off the gold standard in the 70’s. The IMF and the World Bank are essentially American and fully backed by dollars. So, when you control the global reserve currency-and with it, all these international funds/banks (e.g., IMF and the World Bank)-it begs the question: what happens when the biggest debtor of all defaults?
What's needed? Liquid cash. Everyone only has credit. If you have stacks of cash, you can capitalize on everyone's credit. A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying.
Cash can be king , but it depends on how much you have. I.E- if you have 300,000 cash when the house market crash occurs you will have a LOT more opportunities VS many others especially when people get foreclosed.
When the stock market rebounds, many investors may come to regret not investing in the red today. It's possible that this pricing will never be seen again. If you have a fantastic vision for it, there is always opportunity in the midst of chaos.
I'm sure the idea of a Investment -Adviser might sound controversial to a few, but a new study by investopedia found out that demand for Invstment-Managers sky-rocketed by over 41.8% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch. I've raised over CAD580k within 18months from an initially stagnant portfolio worth CAD150K which was devoid of dividend stocks. These are the high-volume traders.
As a finance guy I happened upon this thread to see if you were legit or full of ship. Your advice here is very solid. It’s actually the same playbook I’ve been using and have been telling my family to use. Nice work! Trying times are ahead, and good personal financial management will be very important to weather the storm. It would be very a innovative suggestion to look out for Financial Advisors like "Alysa Rebecca Reinoehl'' , who can help shape up your portfolio.
Can you do a follow up video on the implications to stocks and bonds held by investors (in both debtor and creditor nations) when a country defaults? Thumbs up if you'd like this too.
The answer to your question would depends on how the country plans to get out of the default. There are three major ways in which a country can do that: 1. Get bailed out by other countries, this is usually coupled with austerity measures and some debt negotiation with creditors (Greece for example) 2. Print out money to pay the debt (USA will likely resort to this if it comes to it) 3. Refuse to pay the debt and risk unable to sell any further bonds in the future (Russia is kinda doing this right now)
As for the consequences: 1. Stocks usually goes down due to lower government spending and higher taxes. Bonds prices goes down because most of them will not be paid back on their full face value. A lot of hedge funds actually made huge profits buying Greek bonds during the crisis and sell the bonds as the Greek economy starts to stabilise. 2. This would interesting one because money printing would lead to inflation. Which could either rocket boost stocks or make it goes down depends on the % of inflation. Bonds prices would go down because new bonds issued would have higher interest rates. 3. Stocks prices will depends on whether the economy is self-sufficient. If it’s not then stocks prices will collapse. If the economy is self-sufficient (little to no international trade), then stocks would likely remain the same. As for bond prices, the assumption would be that it is zero as government is not paying back debt and no one is willing to lend government money.
Russia had the money to pay its debts, but the money was frozen/stolen and the media declared that they "defaulted". Lender: Hey Russia! You owe us money! Russia: Yes. Please give me your wire instructions Lender: We don't do business with Russians! Absolute Clown World- brought to you by the Democrats
The story about unregistered swimming pools in Greece goes to illustrate how selfish the Greek population was and how incompetent the government was at collecting those taxes.
@@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket What if everyone starts to think like that? Then nobody wants to pay taxes, sales taxes, highway fees, etc. Just pay what you are supposed to instead of trying to trick the system. There is enough for everyone to go around if you aren’t so greedy.
@@Max-ve5tu This video create made a mistake here. In Greece,federal taxes pay for spending, the Greek govt does not have a central bank that creates Euros, and they have no power at all over ECB that does. That is completely different to the US, where FEDERAL taxea do not pay for govt spending. Think about it. It is VERY VERY different when a Govt borrows in a foreign currency it does not create, vs a currency it does create & their central bank cannot say no. Then its "borrowing money from yourself in a currency you create". See The Deficit Myth by Stephanie Kelton for more info
I 😓always wondered about the United States and the trillion dollar of debt it owes. The U.S. raised the debt ceiling to avoid a default. There is also the federal reserve which prints more money 💵 to lend out to the government which may be a Ponzi scheme at an international level🫡🧨. 🤔 there are other factors contributing to a countries default on 💸 debt.
@@jwdory "way out" implies we're in trouble. We're not. The national debt is just a stockpile of US treasuries so it could just as easily be called the national savings account. And it's nonsense to say the US is close to insolvency
I wouldn’t make a comparison between Russian “default” with the SriLankan one. Russia had the money however due to sanctions were not able to give the payment in US dollar.
@@josephhoward4697 who decided the default? rating agencies? how trustworthy are these historically, because i know at least 5 cases in which countries sent delegation with bribes in order to change their countries ratings... usually the rating only changes once the government is not aligned with US/UK warmongerers and color revolutionaries...
@@ThePlainBagel Yeah u said it correctly but graphics was reversed 😂 Anyways as always grt video. Keep up the good work. Thank you for breaking down complex economic topics.
@@ThePlainBagel Please make a video on capital flight from a country and explain how it effects their currency and effect on their economy. You briefly mentioned this hypothetical situation in the video but I think this is an interesting and important macro economics topic now that the dollar is strong and a lot of other currencies are down.
Point of Clarification: World Bank invests in projects. IMF does bail outs. The nature and purpose of the two are very different. Also, it is alleged that the two are basically US's version of leveraging up international funds - they voting/influence is directly tied to the funds contributed. And US remains the largest contributor. Due to this, they are hesitant to give Sri Lanka money if it is being used to pay back China.
I dont blame them for being hesitant, China is the single largest borrower from the IMF and World Bank. China is essentially borrowing from america to steal American customers and american tech so they can compete against America on the world stage, and this is after decades of american business investment in China
Russia didnt default beacuase it didnt have the money, Russia defaulted because it literally couldn't make its payments because of the sanctions you know.
Why can't a new government refuse to pay back the debts incurred by a prior government. Considering it was not them who took the loans but a prior government couldn't they claim they don't owe it back?
Define new government. France counts every administration as a government. And no one knows. For instance, Communist China claims to own everything formally belonging to the Republic of China except its debt. However, the Russian Federation accepted ownership of all debts of the USSR
The last time Russia defaulted on its debt, Khrushchev had to pay for his Pepsi addiction with obsolete naval vessels. For a few months Pepsico had the 6th largest navy in the world. The fact that Coca Cola still exists is remarkable.
no this is entirely wrong the deal never went through, the ships were not warships, but cargo ones, and even if the deal went through, at the time, it’d be around the 22nd-24th largest navy in terms of both tonnage and size
10:20 so less than 10% went to people, and majority of it was going to banks, to HELP them ? Well im sorry, but why arent banks suppoesd to lend money in such a way that wont ruin them if someone defaults ???
also point of clarification: Russian defaulted mostly because the payment was not receivable from the sanctions not because they are not capable of paying, whether they were NOT willing to pay however is another matter
@@dundun8640 so again, in my comment, i stated clearly, whether they have the willingness to pay is completely different matter, also ABSOLUTELY different matter is the political decision to invade or wage war, there are no correlation other than the resulting sanctions in my point, my scope is strictly from economical point of view, not from the point of any other countries being invaded, or the point of view and decision of a madman to wage a war even if they wanna pay, they can't and now the sanction is being turned upside down infact now you got to use their currency if you want gas, so, BUGGER LOL
it seems like almost every country is in debt. I pretty much never hear of countries that are in credit, historically governments lended money out to other ones, do they still?
There is no country that has benefited from IMF action unless there were drivers similar to Belgium. Biggest issue is that these saviours don't just drive sanitation of the country's organisation but force the sellout of expensive infrastructure that is usually of national interests. This is where the sovere6 principal is thrown out of the window. For example, Greece had to privatise all airports, some of them being military bases as well. Also the haircut was virtual. Practically the debt was moved in the future with some Troika creative economics. But I like your relative impartial approach in the topic. Probably you've already read it, but anyhow consider reading "the shock doctrine" for the IMF history.
I has happened a lot in past history , for centuries ! it end always the same , a serious bit of haggling about the size of the hair cut for the borrowers the bigger the country the smaller the hair cut
My uncle Joe gets asked a lot, as he is a banker, and we heard him say a hundred time .. What happens when a loan is in default ? Three possible outcomes .. You get all the money back, or you get none of your money back, or you get something in between ..
One thing that i find confusing is when it is said, that the country can't buy fuel or medicine. Are you saying the government is importing food and medicine then selling it? I always thought some company X bought the food and medicine and sold it. I thought governments only taxed/tarriffed the imports.
In Sri Lanka at least, all fuel importing companies are owned by the government. So yeah, the government is importing it and then selling it. I am pretty sure this is the same for medicine in SL but I could be wrong. I am not exactly sure how imports from normal companies work but I have heard that the government need foreign reserve to even make those imports happen.
One of the most invaluable historical methods to avoid debt was slavery. by engaging in slavery then a country could use the cheap labour (slaves are not technically free, they are just very cheap) and build infrastructure to recover from economic downturn and supply businesses with alternate options. When you see ancient civilizations you will notice those that avoid slavery for extended periods of time get more debt. In fact, countries could allevieate their debt to other nations by supplying slaves to them volluntarily. I am not advocating slavery, rather just pointing out that the modern world post industrial age is a new and crazy place.
Saying countries default because they are already in a bad financial situation without saying getting massively in debt IS the bad financial situation is misleading. The system of usury is not sustainable and is eating itself alive
well, it is even more tricky in the russian case (sri lanka is the classic case of country not being able to pay,) as they are not out of money, just the lender decided they do not accept the money russia has, and also the lender do not want to change the money they have, and not because it is valueless (like in the late soviet era), but because reasons. who is the fault, if one side cannot pay, because the other side prevent them. if i have a loan to a bank, and the bank literally do not accept my otherwise perfectly normal payment, than did i missed my loan payment, or is it the banks fault?
This is actually very close to what has happened. The greek government was forced to put all valuable land and public wealth (as the water supply service) to a big fund and then sell it to foreign corporations (mostly German) to pay out its debt.
@Babd Ah yes, let's not learn from our history. Never mind the fact that the "victors" plundered Germany's wealth after WWI (reparations), directly enabling the environment that enabled the 3R to come into power in the first place. Besides, it's not like the Greeks are any strangers to plunder. They were a world power once...
@@Lawrence330 Well, Germany kind of deserved it. That tends to happen when you miscalculated the posibility of you losing a war you voluntarily decided to participate in.
Golden Point - Next Time, When Anybody Brags about How Powerful their Army is......Politely Remind them that their Army was Too Chicken or Cowardly to Send 1 Soldier with Binoculars against Villagers with Knives, Swords etc...
Russia "defaulted" but they had the money but couldn't pay because their payment would be frozen by the West before it's used to pay the debt. Not quite the same thing.
They could always birth a private financial institution that would only loan to them, starting by loaning them 1.2 billion Sri Lankan dollars and just charge interest on those loans for the next 100 years, saving the Sri Lankan government from collapsing but driving up inflation on their currency as it takes out loans from money it's holders never had to begin with, like the United States of America did when it defaulted in 1911.
what happens? their currency goes from being one of its self to zero of its self. people start bargaining for 👖 and Jerry crawls all the way home because "it kept working."
It wasnt just the. It was the ill advise of the world bank and economists like stiglitz to go all organic. Always remember - in most events, the US or at least some of their elite - has a hand.
When a country default on its obligation to pay its debt like america it will be forfieted and looses all of its assets as payment or even looses the adminsration of the country for hundreds of years to the country they owes money too.😢😢😢😢
Causes (its never one.) Forex depletion : us raising rates hurt fdi , poor tourism 3rd largest forex source , Russia Ukraine war, Currency depreciation partly bcz of us raising rates and demand for dollars. from forex supply side and dependence -on increasingly expensive- for food (esp bcz switching to 100% organic farming decimated food production),energy increased the forex demand. Chinese projects mostly either unviable financially or vanity projects /political projects.
Thank you for all of your videos; they have taught me a lot. I'm looking for an explanation. Why are governments in debt in the first place? They have all the resources! I understand that printing more money to pay it off is not a viable option. but I cannot figure out how it works. Can you please elaborate on this, or do you have any specific videos that you can recommend? Thank you very much.
I think a big part is that government deficit spending is very popular now - look at the US. Governments only tend to balloon in size unless something drastic happens. When you can borrow money to an almost limitless degree, and getting re-elected depends on how much you can promise to spend, it’s no wonder they borrow insane amounts. If you look at the history of government budget deficits, this era of insane borrowing is really a recent thing. The US for example had a budget surplus as recently as 2000 (not zero debt, just not adding to the debt). Previously, massive budget deficits really only showed up around the world wars. Now Covid has resulting in a crazy amount of spending but it’s not just that, we’ve been running at a significant deficit for the last 20 years or so. I think government borrowing is attractive for the same reason personal borrowing is: you get the money now. And when your interest rate is super low and there’s not much your creditors can do if you default, plus almost anyone will lend you money because you have a “perfect” credit score (despite only ever borrowing more and more), it kind of makes sense. If you could borrow $10M right now at 1% and you pay it back in 200 years or whenever you want, and if you default your creditor has to come pick a fight with your entire town to get anything back… wouldn’t you do it??
@@ThomasVWorm yes makes sense but eventually you do have to do the "tax to pay back your debt" part 😁 you could still run a budget surplus doing this by just paying back your debt in the same year, or relatively quickly anyway. If you only ever borrow the debt will obviously just keep growing. And if you stretch it out over decades then a different generation of citizens end up paying the debt that the previous generation received a lot of the benefit for.
That country will have a hard time get a foreign loan again - that's why Srilanka's case is different than Russia's: Putin has no expectation of getting a foreign loan from the West so defaulting makes no difference. Also, they already have Russia's money in their hands.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but deficit spending got rolling in a small way during the Reagan administration (and then went berserk during subsequent administrations.) Like giving a teenager a credit card.
@@jhonatancock2302 I technically could but it doesn't have to given that it pays the debt in USD. If the USD gets too inflated and loses its world reserve currency status then the US could certainly default though.
Ah so delightfully banal. Debt restructuring and austerity measures. I was surprised to hear you mention nationalizing resources when usually the demand is the opposite. Privatization of formerly nationalized resources and frequently privatization of public sector services like utilities. Does Sun Tzu ever mention debt, or is it too devious a weapon? Good video, if a bit dry.
Do as the French do and just walk away from debts, it’s much easier than paying or going broke. When asked about why they don’t pay sovereign debt the French just offer abuse in reply. They have trillions in unpaid loans that haven’t had a penny paid on since 1931.
Happy Friday everyone! Use the following link to get a month free of NOA's premium membership: subscription.newsoveraudio.com/subscribe?offerId=plain_bagel_stdpx_1mt&UA-cam_Influencer&TPB&
Interesting. I always thought that debt collection is what Santa did the other 364 days of the year to pad his Christmas fund.
See the November 2015 National Geographic magazine for crop yield decreases due to Climate Change. FREE movie on UA-cam "National Geographic Collapse" about the future (Peak Oil). The oil companies knew about Climate Change long before the general public, people aware of this crises are in a desperate struggle for money because of what the public doesn't yet know...Peak Oil is coming; How to survive the worldwide starvation crisis caused by Peak Oil; "What can I do"? According to the experts you should: 1A. Garden with sustainable agriculture techniques (less pesticides, herbicides and fertilizer (organic & permaculture)). B. Learn to preserve, and learn the spoil dates of different storage conditions, learn how to check for spoilage (give a little to one healthy person (not the elderly or a child) if they don't get sick...give more to another...if they don't get sick...you should be ok. 2. Buy food and manufactured goods made locally 3. Pay down debt 4. Learn skills that will be useful in the future and make friends that have useful skills you don't have (related to providing food, water, shelter, and medical care: A necessary skill is organic/permaculture gardening/farming). Very important: medicinal plant and medical skills are the best way to ensure your survival. All others will gladly sacrifice their life to protect your life, so you are around to use your medical knowledge to keep their families alive. 5. I recommend, if you can...to invest some money into technologies to increase the "carrying capacity" of the planet (high risk investments); A. decrease negative environmental impact, B. alternatives for our food system input to improve production, C. alternatives to our current living arrangements, D. alternatives to our plastics industry, E. alternatives to disaster capitalism/socialism/communism F. "Savior Technologies" (ie faster-than-light travel), "Game Changer" technologies (ie Cold Fusion Energy) & "Delaying Technologies" (ie deep sea drilling technologies). 6. I also recommend you inform and prepare your family, friends, and others. It is best to initially suggest people have an emergency kit... for any emergency such as flood, earthquake, tornado, hurricane, loss of electricity due to a winter storm. Then, if the friend or relative puts together a disaster kit, tell them about #7A/B/C 7A. THE community based organization to mitigate Climate Change and Peak Oil is: www.transitionus.org/ (For non USA; transitionnetwork.org/) 7B. The FREE movie "National Geographic Collapse" on UA-cam. 7C. Google "2052 free book download summary" www.2052.info - "A Global Forecast for the Next 40 Years". This website is a supplement to the book '2052-A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years', written by Jørgen Randers. 7D. "Plan C: Community Survival Strategies for Peak Oil and Climate Change" Pat Murphy 7E. www.goodreads.com Three of my Facebook pages were removed, "History Channel's Prophets of Doom Mike Ruppert" and my 2 pages on the "National Geographic Collapse movie" were removed. Never give up, your families lives are at stake! I anticipate worldwide deaths at 7 out of 8 (worldwide population of 8 billion people becoming 1 billion). The US is the number one military power, number 2 economy, and a net exporter of food. Thus, I anticipate 1 out 2 will die in the US. So you just need to be above average, easy to do if you know and accept Peak Oil. In the US I estimate all those that survive the collapse will endure severe psychological and/or physical trauma. If SHTF; the Appalachian and Rocky Mountains will probably have mountain passes and bridges closed. An expert in the field of Peak Oil (Liam Nelson) felt people would willingly go into FEMA camps vs. not having any food or water. I believe it is best to consider living between the Rocky and Appalachian Mountains well away from the southern coast and especially away from where Central and South Americans will travel into the US (roads will be made obstacles and the desert is a natural obstacle). Thus, consider the northern Midwest US whith access to water (and the locals will accept you). Avoid being near nuclear reactors since the government may not shut them down. Note; many rich in the US are stockpiling resources in New Zealand to flee there (verify with Google, using credible newspaper articles). Think of a return to the Middle Ages (but with trains) or the old Western US without horses. The leaders of Bug Out Locations will deter unrest by keeping some form of the US Constitution, at the minimum the Bill of Rights. Without a Bill of Rights, history will repeat- We will have a repeat of "Game of Thrones" where the leaders constantly face assassination and betrayal. Try Facebook pages; 1. Peak Oil 2. Increasing the Carrying Capacity of the Earth 3. Organized Effort to Maximize Peak Population - OE-MP 4. Platue/Peak Population 5. Peak Oil Loners United
How to colonise a country in the modern world:
1. Lend money to a failing country
2. (Optional: if it doesn’t fail) silently trigger their economic collapse
3. Become the big brother and say “it’s ok, you don’t have to pay me back, but this time lemme do the work”
4. Bring in your state-owned corporations to fill in their industry
5. Increase in economic productivity
6. Citizens gain your trust
7. Overthrow government
8. Repeat
Exactly what happened in my Serbia, only economic collapse was not silent. you don't even have to be silent if you have the mass media to push the narrative
Hmm, sound like a certain country...
Send.in.the.debth.collector.
Just don't be a third world country managed by extremely corrupt kleptocrats
Obviously the country should just get a second job, deliver pizzas on the weekend, needs to have a garage sale, and just use the debt snowball method to pay off their debts and build the psychology of being fiscally responsible
Lol
Cancel netflix 😂
Cut down on that avocado toast
Countries these days have no work ethic. /s
actually, those methods (get a second job = raise taxes, fiscally responsible = cut military/welfare spending, snowball = pay off the highest rate loan first) all would be sound advice.
Not sure the Russian default would be a perfect example, as it was mainly due to sanctions by the western world more like a forced default. Whereas Sri Lankan default is more like a true default as it was a direct cause of the country's poor economic performance and management.
The Sri Lankan crisis was immediately precipitated by factors beyond their control, though (spike in food/fuel prices due to war).
The Russians made their own bed, and now it sucks to lie in it.
Sure, they thought it would go better for them: they'd roll over 🇺🇦 in 3 days, and it would all be fait accompli before any serious sanctions were imposed - but "they fought back too effectively! 😭" isn't a very compelling argument.
I think here sl govt was unprepared for uncertainty while russian govt being resource rich could still pay it off. Besides both countries were/are unhappy or unsatisfied with their government.
Why did they get the sanctions? Because they went to war. Did they know they will get sanctioned if they go to war? Hell yes. It was not forced, Russia knows being sanctioned and defaulting is where they're going to.
I was just going to say the same thing. The Russian default occurred because their funds were frozen due to sanctions. Not a true default, they had the money to pay.
it does not matter , they dont have the dollars to pay its on them
0:26 You actually can. Russia did not default on its debt, it was not allowed to pay instead. Russia pushed a money transaction and it had enough money but the transaction was declined by the Western banking system. In order to pay back, Russia suggested that the borrowers get paid in Rubbles directly bypassing any artificial restriction. So, everybody who wanted their money back probably got them directly from Russia.
Yeah just good luck going into Russia, getting your money, and then leaving the country with all of your limbs, fingers, and/or genitals.
@@dannybeane2069 we are talking about institutional loans. Some foreign institutional investor bought Russian debt, they can get payments directly from Russia avoiding western infrastructure. There is no reason to go to Russia to accomplish it.
But how does the Rubble equate to the dollar in the debt repayment?
@@David-fj5lz that’s why Russia and China and many countries are ditching the dollar. They no longer want to be held responsible for the US poor financial decisions. They are introducing their reserve currency in august while the us will default on its debt in June (if they don’t raise the debt ceiling)
But what use do rubles have outside of Russia?
Hey Richard, just want to say thanks for all the genuine videos you have been sharing for the past! Appreciate the way you present the topics with your professionalism, not overcomplicated layman term, and with a sprinkle of bagel humor. Keep up the great work!
Pretty much comes down to it that the most you can do is to not lend anymore to that party ever again. You still lost your money and they can live happily ever after if they can manage without your cooperation.
Thanks a lot! I would love a more in-depth video about this topic, like a history of government defaulting, why it happened, etc
The World Bank and the IMF both started from the Bretton Woods conference in the 40’s, which came about because the U.S dollar, as a result of war-fleeing European gold, had so many gold reserves backing it. Inevitably, however, inflationary Keynsian policies-which the Bretton Woods Agreement was founded on-plagued the U.S dollar and, much like Britain during WW1, the U.S defaulted on its gold IOUs and Nixon went off the gold standard in the 70’s.
The IMF and the World Bank are essentially American and fully backed by dollars. So, when you control the global reserve currency-and with it, all these international funds/banks (e.g., IMF and the World Bank)-it begs the question: what happens when the biggest debtor of all defaults?
worldwide recession
"oopsie woopsie we did a fucky wucky
also, we have like a million soldierd so chill the fuck out"
something like that I imagine
Financially, the waste hits the air mover.
@@got2kittys society will essentially get the FUBAR treatment
Fleeing european gold is one hell of a way to say looted German gold by Germany's opponents.
Russia one was a bit silly of an example, as their debt is in a limbo, they could pay it but the recipent doesn't want it.
This, Russia is willing and able, it's US shenanigans at play.
But it's climbing, shenanigan or not
@@dean_l33 What is?
They want to pay in the wrong currency lol. That doesn't count.
@@potatofuryy No they wanted to pay in original currency but it was frozen. THen they wanted to pay in rubles, they didn't want it neither
What's needed? Liquid cash. Everyone only has credit. If you have stacks of cash, you can capitalize on everyone's credit. A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying.
Cash can be king , but it depends on how much you have. I.E- if you have 300,000 cash when the house market crash occurs you will have a LOT more opportunities VS many others especially when people get foreclosed.
When the stock market rebounds, many investors may come to regret not investing in the red today. It's possible that this pricing will never be seen again. If you have a fantastic vision for it, there is always opportunity in the midst of chaos.
I'm sure the idea of a Investment -Adviser might sound controversial to a few, but a new study by investopedia found out that demand for Invstment-Managers sky-rocketed by over 41.8% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch. I've raised over CAD580k within 18months from an initially stagnant portfolio worth CAD150K which was devoid of dividend stocks. These are the high-volume traders.
As a finance guy I happened upon this thread to see if you were legit or full of ship. Your advice here is very solid. It’s actually the same playbook I’ve been using and have been telling my family to use. Nice work! Trying times are ahead, and good personal financial management will be very important to weather the storm. It would be very a innovative suggestion to look out for Financial Advisors like "Alysa Rebecca Reinoehl'' , who can help shape up your portfolio.
I just looked up Alysa Rebecca Reinoehl online and researched her accreditation. She seem very proficient, I wrote her detailing my Fin-market goals.
Can you do a follow up video on the implications to stocks and bonds held by investors (in both debtor and creditor nations) when a country defaults?
Thumbs up if you'd like this too.
I’d imagine the situation is a tough one 😂
That'd be pretty interesting.
I hope buddy or somebody for that matter covers the topic.
The answer to your question would depends on how the country plans to get out of the default. There are three major ways in which a country can do that:
1. Get bailed out by other countries, this is usually coupled with austerity measures and some debt negotiation with creditors (Greece for example)
2. Print out money to pay the debt (USA will likely resort to this if it comes to it)
3. Refuse to pay the debt and risk unable to sell any further bonds in the future (Russia is kinda doing this right now)
As for the consequences:
1. Stocks usually goes down due to lower government spending and higher taxes. Bonds prices goes down because most of them will not be paid back on their full face value. A lot of hedge funds actually made huge profits buying Greek bonds during the crisis and sell the bonds as the Greek economy starts to stabilise.
2. This would interesting one because money printing would lead to inflation. Which could either rocket boost stocks or make it goes down depends on the % of inflation. Bonds prices would go down because new bonds issued would have higher interest rates.
3. Stocks prices will depends on whether the economy is self-sufficient. If it’s not then stocks prices will collapse. If the economy is self-sufficient (little to no international trade), then stocks would likely remain the same. As for bond prices, the assumption would be that it is zero as government is not paying back debt and no one is willing to lend government money.
Russia was forced into default, Sri Lanka might be able to settle/restructure the debt with Japan.
Hello giving out 5-10eth be part of the 5 lucky persons
Russia had the money to pay its debts, but the money was frozen/stolen and the media declared that they "defaulted".
Lender: Hey Russia! You owe us money!
Russia: Yes. Please give me your wire instructions
Lender: We don't do business with Russians!
Absolute Clown World- brought to you by the Democrats
@@elonmusk8673 gimmw and dont ask for money 😂
The story about unregistered swimming pools in Greece goes to illustrate how selfish the Greek population was and how incompetent the government was at collecting those taxes.
Yeah, how dare they no give their hard worked money so the public machine could eat 30% of it and the absolutely rotten Greek politicians another 20%.
@@robertmusil1107 At least France paid for the machine learning software to identify them. Greece just spent all their time holding elections.
@@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket What if everyone starts to think like that? Then nobody wants to pay taxes, sales taxes, highway fees, etc. Just pay what you are supposed to instead of trying to trick the system. There is enough for everyone to go around if you aren’t so greedy.
@@Max-ve5tu
This video create made a mistake here.
In Greece,federal taxes pay for spending, the Greek govt does not have a central bank that creates Euros, and they have no power at all over ECB that does.
That is completely different to the US, where FEDERAL taxea do not pay for govt spending.
Think about it.
It is VERY VERY different when a Govt borrows in a foreign currency it does not create, vs a currency it does create & their central bank cannot say no. Then its "borrowing money from yourself in a currency you create".
See The Deficit Myth by Stephanie Kelton for more info
so they spent money to suck more money? Boy let me tell you
I have the best debts in the world!
Every single one of them is Outstanding!
🥁🥁⭐️
Haha!
The new delivery is, as always fresh and warm! Exactly the way I love my plain bangles!
From Srilanka, thank you for covering this,
Hope all of you will be alright, mate. Stay strong!
don't die
I was in Sri Lanka 2 years ago.. Beautiful place! I hope everything turns around for you guys..
Great video. Very informative. Keep up the good work.
Sri Lanka politicians are living cushy in America while the nation is in turmoil.
I am Greek and I approve this video.
GERMANYYYYY
Greece needs to get a second job and stop being poor
greece messed up when it abandoned its currency to join the Euro
@@grimaffiliations3671 i agree
Really surprised me when you used the rare 'денюжку' instead of 'деньги') almost nailed the pronunciation too! Great video as always
Really? I thought it was awful
@@timtrainage ye Im russian and I didn't understand what he said
I 😓always wondered about the United States and the trillion dollar of debt it owes. The U.S. raised the debt ceiling to avoid a default. There is also the federal reserve which prints more money 💵 to lend out to the government which may be a Ponzi scheme at an international level🫡🧨. 🤔 there are other factors contributing to a countries default on 💸 debt.
?
@@jwdory "way out" implies we're in trouble. We're not. The national debt is just a stockpile of US treasuries so it could just as easily be called the national savings account. And it's nonsense to say the US is close to insolvency
@@jwdory No we're not. Schweikert is a politician with little understanding of how the federal government operates as a currency issuer
Me, an Argentinian guy watching this: rookies
How is Javier Milei holding it down now?
IMF are financial sharks. The miracle is that countries are actually able to recover after getting IMF """help""".
I wouldn’t make a comparison between Russian “default” with the SriLankan one. Russia had the money however due to sanctions were not able to give the payment in US dollar.
True but Russia still didn’t pay so for the owners of the debt russia defaulted.
A default is a default.
@@kvikende not really. Most countries would disregard a default that's outside of a nation's control. Especially if they're an exporter. Like Russia
@@josephhoward4697 well, those are two different kinds of default: a technical one and an actual one
@@josephhoward4697 who decided the default? rating agencies? how trustworthy are these historically, because i know at least 5 cases in which countries sent delegation with bribes in order to change their countries ratings... usually the rating only changes once the government is not aligned with US/UK warmongerers and color revolutionaries...
The inflation example is backwards, you showed deflation. If .5 M= $1 then the debt would effectively be cut in half and only be 500 million
You're right, thanks for highlighting. Working on fixing it now.
@@ThePlainBagel Yeah u said it correctly but graphics was reversed 😂
Anyways as always grt video. Keep up the good work. Thank you for breaking down complex economic topics.
He's propaganda. Probably cia, bit who knows.
@@ThePlainBagel Please make a video on capital flight from a country and explain how it effects their currency and effect on their economy. You briefly mentioned this hypothetical situation in the video but I think this is an interesting and important macro economics topic now that the dollar is strong and a lot of other currencies are down.
i just thought he was referring to debt denominated in foreign currency like a lot of the world debt outside the US is denominated in USD.
He moves his hands and arms so much. He must be Italian
Point of Clarification: World Bank invests in projects. IMF does bail outs. The nature and purpose of the two are very different. Also, it is alleged that the two are basically US's version of leveraging up international funds - they voting/influence is directly tied to the funds contributed. And US remains the largest contributor. Due to this, they are hesitant to give Sri Lanka money if it is being used to pay back China.
Start using silver and gold as currency and break the shackles of being in debt to globalist banks
I dont blame them for being hesitant, China is the single largest borrower from the IMF and World Bank. China is essentially borrowing from america to steal American customers and american tech so they can compete against America on the world stage, and this is after decades of american business investment in China
Russia didnt default beacuase it didnt have the money, Russia defaulted because it literally couldn't make its payments because of the sanctions you know.
lol, "dingey, pojalsta" is more anglicized pronunciation of "money, please" in Russky
Good video. Actually informative and the ad really did not bother me at all. Well done. I actually learned something.
The video topic is very insteresting and well made, but it would have been awesome if you covered more previous examples of countries defaulting
HAHAH hearing you speak Russian at 0:29 деньги пожалуйста was amazing thank you so much for that lmao
Why can't a new government refuse to pay back the debts incurred by a prior government. Considering it was not them who took the loans but a prior government couldn't they claim they don't owe it back?
Define new government. France counts every administration as a government.
And no one knows. For instance, Communist China claims to own everything formally belonging to the Republic of China except its debt. However, the Russian Federation accepted ownership of all debts of the USSR
That Russian needs a bit more practice.
The last time Russia defaulted on its debt, Khrushchev had to pay for his Pepsi addiction with obsolete naval vessels. For a few months Pepsico had the 6th largest navy in the world. The fact that Coca Cola still exists is remarkable.
no
this is entirely wrong
the deal never went through, the ships were not warships, but cargo ones, and even if the deal went through, at the time, it’d be around the 22nd-24th largest navy in terms of both tonnage and size
Thats wrong on so many different levels
DEPENDS! Is THAT country the 'reserve currency'? Well then, we're SCREWED!
10:20 so less than 10% went to people, and majority of it was going to banks, to HELP them ? Well im sorry, but why arent banks suppoesd to lend money in such a way that wont ruin them if someone defaults ???
Thanks for covering this situation. Highly appreciate the new delivery method too 👏
also point of clarification: Russian defaulted mostly because the payment was not receivable from the sanctions not because they are not capable of paying, whether they were NOT willing to pay however is another matter
Dude, they invade countries because they want to, i'm pretty sure they won't pay if given the chance.
@@dundun8640 so again, in my comment, i stated clearly, whether they have the willingness to pay is completely different matter, also ABSOLUTELY different matter is the political decision to invade or wage war, there are no correlation other than the resulting sanctions in my point,
my scope is strictly from economical point of view, not from the point of any other countries being invaded, or the point of view and decision of a madman to wage a war
even if they wanna pay, they can't and now the sanction is being turned upside down infact now you got to use their currency if you want gas, so, BUGGER LOL
3:27 the country version of *ah long* from Malaysia and Singapore
it seems like almost every country is in debt. I pretty much never hear of countries that are in credit, historically governments lended money out to other ones, do they still?
Didn't the Russians default because it wasn't possible to pay after being kicked out of swift? That's technically a default....but what happens?
Lending rates go up, as people see the investment as riskier. This makes loans harder to access.
True, Russia has the money to pay, but the US just blocks all transactions.
Yes, regardless of the reasons that lead to non payment, lending becomes riskier and therefore more expensive.
I think it has more to do with freezing Russia owned currency reserves outside of Russia. I think most of Russias currency reserves are outside Russia
Russia will borrow less from the west and more from China, pushing them further towards China therefore long term strengthening China.
The way you said that russian phrase, doood that was so bad, like literally the worst but in a way, kinda holds itself up there
The video was the perfect length of time for me to wash dishes and learning something new.
Another great video as always. I've learned so much from you. Top 5 favorite youtuber easy!
Nice video Richard! Hope all is well
There is no country that has benefited from IMF action unless there were drivers similar to Belgium.
Biggest issue is that these saviours don't just drive sanitation of the country's organisation but force the sellout of expensive infrastructure that is usually of national interests. This is where the sovere6 principal is thrown out of the window.
For example, Greece had to privatise all airports, some of them being military bases as well. Also the haircut was virtual. Practically the debt was moved in the future with some Troika creative economics.
But I like your relative impartial approach in the topic. Probably you've already read it, but anyhow consider reading "the shock doctrine" for the IMF history.
I has happened a lot in past history , for centuries !
it end always the same , a serious bit of haggling about the size of the hair cut for the borrowers
the bigger the country the smaller the hair cut
My uncle Joe gets asked a lot, as he is a banker, and we heard him say a hundred time .. What happens when a loan is in default ? Three possible outcomes .. You get all the money back, or you get none of your money back, or you get something in between ..
love the delivery
Great vid. easy to digest. Cheers!
I'm so much in debt, I can't afford to pay my electric bill...
These are the darkest days of my life..
"Let there be light!.....until you pay your electricity bill"
- Jesus , that book every keeps quoting [21:8]
Do not worry. The sun will shine again.
You did pay your sun bill, right?
Dear sir, if a country get defaulted then what would happen to investors money in stock exchange market and bank savings accounts?
@10:33
Greece: Hey guys, I have an idea!
One thing that i find confusing is when it is said, that the country can't buy fuel or medicine.
Are you saying the government is importing food and medicine then selling it? I always thought some company X bought the food and medicine and sold it. I thought governments only taxed/tarriffed the imports.
In Sri Lanka at least, all fuel importing companies are owned by the government. So yeah, the government is importing it and then selling it. I am pretty sure this is the same for medicine in SL but I could be wrong.
I am not exactly sure how imports from normal companies work but I have heard that the government need foreign reserve to even make those imports happen.
One of the most invaluable historical methods to avoid debt was slavery. by engaging in slavery then a country could use the cheap labour (slaves are not technically free, they are just very cheap) and build infrastructure to recover from economic downturn and supply businesses with alternate options. When you see ancient civilizations you will notice those that avoid slavery for extended periods of time get more debt.
In fact, countries could allevieate their debt to other nations by supplying slaves to them volluntarily.
I am not advocating slavery, rather just pointing out that the modern world post industrial age is a new and crazy place.
Saying countries default because they are already in a bad financial situation without saying getting massively in debt IS the bad financial situation is misleading. The system of usury is not sustainable and is eating itself alive
Which is the book he is referencing @4:03 ?
Love the new format, mr bagel! The information was very digestible, yet concise. The only fault was, as others noticed, this.
ua-cam.com/video/sIlNIVXpIns/v-deo.html
well, it is even more tricky in the russian case (sri lanka is the classic case of country not being able to pay,) as they are not out of money, just the lender decided they do not accept the money russia has, and also the lender do not want to change the money they have, and not because it is valueless (like in the late soviet era), but because reasons.
who is the fault, if one side cannot pay, because the other side prevent them. if i have a loan to a bank, and the bank literally do not accept my otherwise perfectly normal payment, than did i missed my loan payment, or is it the banks fault?
1:04 to amass a lot of GME shares as a country, obviously
In Greece we had to fid out all that information the hard way a few years ago...
I was listening while driving and that car horn when you did the Canada thing scared me. I thought someone's blowing horn at me!
Get home safe lol
Same !!! Unpleasant lmao
I always thought that Greece could at least pay back some of it's debt with clay. I'm sure the Germans would like some Aegean holiday islands.
This is actually very close to what has happened. The greek government was forced to put all valuable land and public wealth (as the water supply service) to a big fund and then sell it to foreign corporations (mostly German) to pay out its debt.
@Babd lmao
@Babd Ah yes, let's not learn from our history. Never mind the fact that the "victors" plundered Germany's wealth after WWI (reparations), directly enabling the environment that enabled the 3R to come into power in the first place.
Besides, it's not like the Greeks are any strangers to plunder. They were a world power once...
@@Lawrence330 Return the Great star of Africa while you're at it.
@@Lawrence330 Well, Germany kind of deserved it. That tends to happen when you miscalculated the posibility of you losing a war you voluntarily decided to participate in.
Technically, Russia hasnt defaulted, it has resources to pay dept, just no one allows it to do so.
See? We make the countries accountable. We need to make individuals accountable as well.
Great shirt.
Golden Point - Next Time, When Anybody Brags about How Powerful their Army is......Politely Remind them that their Army was Too Chicken or Cowardly to Send 1 Soldier with Binoculars against Villagers with Knives, Swords etc...
you should do a video about "simply wall st", I want to know what you think about it, do you think its reliable or just ya know, not reliable
Russia "defaulted" but they had the money but couldn't pay because their payment would be frozen by the West before it's used to pay the debt. Not quite the same thing.
Making it difficult to borrow money in the future is a positive side-effect, not a negative!
Good video
They could always birth a private financial institution that would only loan to them, starting by loaning them 1.2 billion Sri Lankan dollars and just charge interest on those loans for the next 100 years, saving the Sri Lankan government from collapsing but driving up inflation on their currency as it takes out loans from money it's holders never had to begin with, like the United States of America did when it defaulted in 1911.
Whats your opinion on the case of Ethiopia which joined the list in the past week?!
what happens? their currency goes from being one of its self to zero of its self. people start bargaining for 👖 and Jerry crawls all the way home because "it kept working."
So… what’s your thoughts about t-rowes emerging Europe market fund? Think it will recover once the war is over? Will sanctions lift?
Sri Lanka government defaulted,,
the culprit dynasty still enjoying life like usual
It wasnt just the. It was the ill advise of the world bank and economists like stiglitz to go all organic. Always remember - in most events, the US or at least some of their elite - has a hand.
The dynasty actually tried to avoid a default. There were many NGOs funded by George Soros, that spoke infavor of a default.
When a country default on its obligation to pay its debt like america it will be forfieted and looses all of its assets as payment or even looses the adminsration of the country for hundreds of years to the country they owes money too.😢😢😢😢
very informative. always wondered about this issue.
Causes (its never one.)
Forex depletion : us raising rates hurt fdi ,
poor tourism 3rd largest forex source ,
Russia Ukraine war,
Currency depreciation partly bcz of us raising rates and demand for dollars.
from forex supply side and
dependence -on increasingly expensive- for food (esp bcz switching to 100% organic farming decimated food production),energy
increased the forex demand.
Chinese projects mostly either unviable financially or vanity projects /political projects.
Thank you for all of your videos; they have taught me a lot. I'm looking for an explanation. Why are governments in debt in the first place? They have all the resources! I understand that printing more money to pay it off is not a viable option. but I cannot figure out how it works.
Can you please elaborate on this, or do you have any specific videos that you can recommend?
Thank you very much.
Based on my limited understanding, It is because getting a loan is much easier and faster than collecting taxes.
I think a big part is that government deficit spending is very popular now - look at the US. Governments only tend to balloon in size unless something drastic happens. When you can borrow money to an almost limitless degree, and getting re-elected depends on how much you can promise to spend, it’s no wonder they borrow insane amounts.
If you look at the history of government budget deficits, this era of insane borrowing is really a recent thing. The US for example had a budget surplus as recently as 2000 (not zero debt, just not adding to the debt). Previously, massive budget deficits really only showed up around the world wars. Now Covid has resulting in a crazy amount of spending but it’s not just that, we’ve been running at a significant deficit for the last 20 years or so.
I think government borrowing is attractive for the same reason personal borrowing is: you get the money now. And when your interest rate is super low and there’s not much your creditors can do if you default, plus almost anyone will lend you money because you have a “perfect” credit score (despite only ever borrowing more and more), it kind of makes sense. If you could borrow $10M right now at 1% and you pay it back in 200 years or whenever you want, and if you default your creditor has to come pick a fight with your entire town to get anything back… wouldn’t you do it??
@@ThomasVWorm Make sense.Thanks for explanation, :)
@@ThomasVWorm yes makes sense but eventually you do have to do the "tax to pay back your debt" part 😁 you could still run a budget surplus doing this by just paying back your debt in the same year, or relatively quickly anyway. If you only ever borrow the debt will obviously just keep growing. And if you stretch it out over decades then a different generation of citizens end up paying the debt that the previous generation received a lot of the benefit for.
0:27 i mean… you could try?
A country that borrows in its own currency can’t be made to go insolvent.
If the currency goes worthless it's the same thing
0:30 денюжку пожалуйста 👍👍👍
Mostly algorithm comment, but also format is good 👍
Why didn't they take out insurance?
That would be very expensive for poor countries, and for good reason.
Interesting video!
Nice new setup!
cool post!
💪
Very interesting video
Very good video.
That country will have a hard time get a foreign loan again - that's why Srilanka's case is different than Russia's: Putin has no expectation of getting a foreign loan from the West so defaulting makes no difference. Also, they already have Russia's money in their hands.
Commenting from the defaulted economy :D
They give in exchange land
Like mexico gave almost half of the U.S.A like. California new Mexico Mississili wyohmin etc
Bond is an unregistered security. Also, if everything is cake then cake is unregistered security.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but deficit spending got rolling in a small way during the Reagan administration (and then went berserk during subsequent administrations.) Like giving a teenager a credit card.
US cannot default.
@@jhonatancock2302 Technically, it can, but it would cause a financial disaster on the scale of The Bronze Age Collapse.
The Petro dollar is dead. The us will default
@@jhonatancock2302 I technically could but it doesn't have to given that it pays the debt in USD. If the USD gets too inflated and loses its world reserve currency status then the US could certainly default though.
Ah so delightfully banal. Debt restructuring and austerity measures. I was surprised to hear you mention nationalizing resources when usually the demand is the opposite. Privatization of formerly nationalized resources and frequently privatization of public sector services like utilities. Does Sun Tzu ever mention debt, or is it too devious a weapon?
Good video, if a bit dry.
Just found you....like your content
Do as the French do and just walk away from debts, it’s much easier than paying or going broke. When asked about why they don’t pay sovereign debt the French just offer abuse in reply. They have trillions in unpaid loans that haven’t had a penny paid on since 1931.
The only problem is they are a major global power but honestly just America's main embassy to Europe