Aldo vs Bautista it'll be fun, here in Brazil Aldo is the underdog with +230. I got him to win this fight and i think he'll beat Bautista pretty easily after re-watch the fight between Bautista x Simon. Aldo basically was retired and came back to schooled Jonathan Martinez (who's in my opinion way better than Bautista) for 3 rounds. He's training his boxe with the Brazilian Navy team and you can see that his boxe is way more cleaner since then. I don't see Bautista winning here, because his striking is a bit sloopy, what about the takedowns? Well, Aldo has 92% of takedown defence, and he's in the UFC since 2010, Merab wasn't able to took him down so i don't think Bautista can either do this, the only way that he can probably win this fight is holding Aldo against the cage, like Merab did, but yeah, Aldo is gonna be my lock for this 307 card.
Unfortunately this Holland breakdown is leading me to think Roman is taking it for sure. This is too similar to the Sean/Merab breakdown for me to ignore the plus money. Might even look at Roman decision if it’s near +400 or so
@@stefanm2731 I agree and Merab wasn’t threatening with submissions at all, just laying on top of Sean was enough to get him the win sadly. I don’t want it to happen, but I can just see that being a viable path to victory
@@Bossdonolly Great underdog value. The days of. taller and more reach being a sure thing have been turned upside down by guys like DuPlessis. Taller fighters snipe from the outside, stalky powerhouses rush and work the takedown. There's just no assurances of anything. I really like Pereira, but this is all too much, way too soon. Also, think about how much Rountree WANTS it after his short, heart-stopping PED ban.
My picks for this fight from most confidence to least confidence are: Pereira, Harrison, Almeida, Buckley, Spann, T. Pennington, R. Pennington, Aldo, Dolidze, Hernandez, Means, Rodriguez. Good Luck Everyone!
I've seen a lot of MMA betting channels and Henry cejudo, Volk, Izzy, DJ, all of them pick Aldo so it feels like a really good lock. I'm gonna punch something if the judges fuck it up
Its easy to pick Pereira here but Rountree would be the one to put his lights out. I dont trust Alex’s chin at all, but I do much prefer straight shots over wild hooks 🤷🏻♂️
It's still a step up in competition for Roundtree.He never fought nobody of substance.He has a punchers chance s here.Alex has to get clipped by a shot he never sees coming.
@@hunterruzal Fair call. I suppose one can be an amazing top tier fighter, but still not be a great wrestler. It will be an interesting fight as it is Wonderboy 41 vs someone who wouldn't get a sniff at him if Wonderboy was 31.
AJ to be fair, Cesar almeida was showing kopylov levels in the standup and by damage scoring he should’ve won vs kopylov. Kopylov used his sambo and just laid and prayed ontop of Cesar to a split decision because Cesar was landing the better and more damaging strikes overall.
Ang...On the other video you Said Aldo Ko Uriah cause of legs Kicks... Well Aldo Beat Uriah at WEC 48 2010... Watched that fight.. Brutal leg kicks But at the end of Round 5... Aldo Won by UD...Uriah didn't give up or quit cause of kicks...
Hola, AJ. I tune in every week, but usually just write 'w' in the comments. I wouldn't spend my time doing that if I didn't think you were good, and entertaining, so let's say that goes without saying. I'm commenting now, as a fellow Holland fan, to say I only agree with three things you said about Holland: 1) He's the better striker; 2) he should be the underdog; and 3) the elevation is probably worse for Dolidze. That said, Dolidze won't be able to take him down? Or pass? I think he does both of those things with relative ease. I don't think he'll need to take him down, because Holland won't be able to get back up. 1 takedown wins a round. I don't think he finishes on the first one, but every takedown after the first might be the beginning of the end. They're NOT the same size, and even if they were, Dolidze would still have a huge strength advantage. I think if Dolidze can't get takedowns, Holland knocks him out, sure, but on that basis I'll also say I think Holland is KO or bust, and I think bust is way more likely.
I'm not a fine of Pena's personality. At all. So I'll be rooting for Pennington. But, I don't think there is all that much of a skill difference anywhere, and Pena is the faster and more explosive, and almost certainly 'wants it more'. She's an opportunist, and this is her only chance to get the belt before Kayla takes it and defends it n-1 times (supposing they can even find challengers...), so she should be ultra motivated. I think Pennington is happy with her career, but also cognizant that she's not in any goat conversations, and that the outcome of a (probably) marginal win or loss vis-a-vis Pena doesn't have much effect on her 'legacy'. She's probably basically in it for the money at this point, and she'd probably be happy to jump ship to PFL if she loses this, but thinks she could win $$ there. So in a fight that I think will be quite close and go the cards to be judged by crap judges, I'll take the +140 on the hungrier, slightly younger, and less shop-worn woman.
Altitude is a big factor in salt lake AJ, really bad, McGhee lives and trains there, trains at the pit, MMA gym, he is used to the high altitude, it's normal to him, and I know fighters will go two weeks before to adjust, it's not the same, these cards in salt lake are always the same, people gas out, who normally have a good gas tank , unless Tim means gets it done early, i see McGhee as a good underdog aj
30:42 Roman has never been finished and has fought harder hitters. The smart, conservative bet on this one is Roman at +3.5 spread which should be about -110. That way if Kevin wins the split 28-29 you still cash. Not the payday of +160 ML, but the safer play. I don't see Kevin getting the KO, sub or UD. Agree the Roman should be the fav and the odds may shift that way this week.
Roman should not be the favorite at all, if Kevin comes in looking even close to his 2020 performances, he will crush Roman quick. He took Michal out in less than 2 minutes, meanwhile Roman's best win is Jack Hermansson.
@@Botmfeeder02 Possible, but I do believe we will see near a pick 'em before Saturday. Roman's odds went from +170 to +154 in the last 48 hours. IMO only Roman deserves to be only even or slight fav odds; will see ....... at +170 Roman was just a good value bet.
I honestly don't like either Julianna or Khali getting title shots. Khali flunked drug test and Julianna went missing for 2 year after losing the rematch badly on the feet against Amanda. Raquel vs Julianna thoughts:I would easily favor Julianna if both are athletic primes to be honest.Julianna has very good grappling skills(usually show good top position control on the mat from the fights I seen) imo and more likely to finish the fight.Julianna has a few thing against her to overcome.She hasn't fought in 2 years,usually when female fighters lose fights and get immediate title fight afterwards they usually lose. Altitude may be a problem for her(Raquel trains in Denver while Julianna trains in Chicago and Denver is much similar in attitude to Salt Lake City).I don't like picking fighters that coming from loses but Julianna is my pick due to being more aggressive(if she hasn't lost it yet). Alex vs Khali thoughts: Roundtree has a great record against kickboxers that fought in GLORY Kickboxing.He is a counter kickboxer but he leaves himself open for counters.Alex has shown massive variety in striking skills.From punches,kicks,knees and elbows. I think Alex should be favored but Roundtree is a knockout threat of his own right with his counter punches.
I'm sorry but Khalil is not going to win, because those last ones ok were against the lowest in the category and on the other hand Pereira fought with the best and they were more dangerous knockers and with a better streak
I’m going against you again Pennington is trash think back to the Amanda Fight Peña did better both times then Pennington did in her one time I crowned you king for UFC Paris, but let’s be honest your first pic in your last pic. We’re lucky as hell.
38 year old bantamweight who lost his last fight in high elevation. With hometown disadvantage. Everybody is betting Aldo, if the fight is close they will rob him 100%
@@hunterruzal in aldo first fight back everyone said aldo is old he has been off 3 years he is not winning I put a paycheck on aldo because he is a former champion and champions can come back after long layoffs to win like Jon jones did so all those ppl who bet based on age lost money while I won big and in this fight I follow 50 analyst and all of a sudden everyone is on aldo I don't like betting with the public so because of that I don't think I can bet him since last week everyone was on frevola I don't like public underdogs I like betting on ppl they say are washed
@@daniellebrooks7510 Aldo, Dolidze, and Thompson are all public dogs this week. Rountree and OSP are not so I’m going to bet them. But if OSP loses, I’m going to stop betting on 40 year olds. They seem to lose a lot recently
@MMAEXPERTS dude osp has a much more in depth striking credential he has better kicks much better at countering strikes much more experienced definitely than spann who wins off of physicality most of the time
I’m going against you again Pennington is trash think back to the Amanda Fight Peña did better both times then Pennington did in her one time I crowned you king for UFC Paris, but let’s be honest your first pic in your last pic. We’re lucky as hell.
![Wolfram Physics Project: Working Session Tuesday, Aug. 4, 2020 [Empirical Physical Metamathematics]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/VlqerIL2kl8/mqdefault.jpg)
Good call on moicano and Chris Duncan last card. I was on bsd the whole way until I seen your video
🙏🏻🙏🏻
Favorite MMA UA-camr forsure, keep it up bro appreciate the hard work you do for us
Aldo vs Bautista it'll be fun, here in Brazil Aldo is the underdog with +230. I got him to win this fight and i think he'll beat Bautista pretty easily after re-watch the fight between Bautista x Simon. Aldo basically was retired and came back to schooled Jonathan Martinez (who's in my opinion way better than Bautista) for 3 rounds. He's training his boxe with the Brazilian Navy team and you can see that his boxe is way more cleaner since then. I don't see Bautista winning here, because his striking is a bit sloopy, what about the takedowns? Well, Aldo has 92% of takedown defence, and he's in the UFC since 2010, Merab wasn't able to took him down so i don't think Bautista can either do this, the only way that he can probably win this fight is holding Aldo against the cage, like Merab did, but yeah, Aldo is gonna be my lock for this 307 card.
Don’t bet Aldo he’s not winning this one
@@coldasfire7948 Let's see then. After the fight i'll be back here.
Martinez is NOT better than Bautista 💀. Bro literally only has leg kicks and defensive grappling
@@coldasfire7948aldo legendary takedown defence and high level striking.
Thanks for the information, showing your knowledge and your picks are HITTING. DWCS and other MMA events! Lets cash this weekend!
Jose is underdog because hes 45 years old. hes not 38
😂😂😂😂
What about aldos return he looked great
great card wonderboy, aldo and holland that’s like 3 of my top 5 favorites
Holland and Buckley winning
Unfortunately this Holland breakdown is leading me to think Roman is taking it for sure. This is too similar to the Sean/Merab breakdown for me to ignore the plus money. Might even look at Roman decision if it’s near +400 or so
Dolidze could win but don't you dare compare him to Merab 😂😂. Man couldn't take down a fly at middleweight
@@stefanm2731 I agree and Merab wasn’t threatening with submissions at all, just laying on top of Sean was enough to get him the win sadly. I don’t want it to happen, but I can just see that being a viable path to victory
Being THAT confident in Kevin Holland is worrisome in itself.
Roundtree has the same K.O output as Pereira so he has a punchers chance. If they have similar styles on the night, it could go 50/50
Sorry pal but pereira has a longer reach and better accuracy percentage lol that’s why he’s a -450 favorite
@@Bossdonolly Great underdog value. The days of. taller and more reach being a sure thing have been turned upside down by guys like DuPlessis. Taller fighters snipe from the outside, stalky powerhouses rush and work the takedown. There's just no assurances of anything. I really like Pereira, but this is all too much, way too soon. Also, think about how much Rountree WANTS it after his short, heart-stopping PED ban.
My picks for this fight from most confidence to least confidence are:
Pereira, Harrison, Almeida, Buckley, Spann, T. Pennington, R. Pennington, Aldo, Dolidze, Hernandez, Means, Rodriguez.
Good Luck Everyone!
make Jose the lock of the week odds make no sense to me either
Aldo won't lose
W
I've seen a lot of MMA betting channels and Henry cejudo, Volk, Izzy, DJ, all of them pick Aldo so it feels like a really good lock. I'm gonna punch something if the judges fuck it up
Great observation with the Torres vs Esparza fight AJ
Love these breakdown vids! Appreciate ya bro 💪🏽
Its easy to pick Pereira here but Rountree would be the one to put his lights out. I dont trust Alex’s chin at all, but I do much prefer straight shots over wild hooks 🤷🏻♂️
It's still a step up in competition for Roundtree.He never fought nobody of substance.He has a punchers chance s here.Alex has to get clipped by a shot he never sees coming.
Aye I wasn't going to bet on money Moicado after long debate, I watched ur video and jumped on it. Thanks, brotha!
🏆
Thompson pick is horrendous. Buckley all day.
Buckley easy money
Thompson might not last the whole fight.Buckley could ko him.
Yall trippin
Buckleys ego will get him finished by a head kick
I think is worthy to put 100$ on rountree
Im with you on Wonderboy. Shavkat is a different beast and Buckley aint Shavkat.
Shavkat had injured ankle and still took him down.
@@hunterruzal Yeah but it took him a long time. Standing for ages, it wasn't a swift charge, but a slow, strategic, staged process.
@@simonbanks3058 because he’s not a good wrestler. Only 5 takedowns in 4 years
@@hunterruzal Fair call. I suppose one can be an amazing top tier fighter, but still not be a great wrestler. It will be an interesting fight as it is Wonderboy 41 vs someone who wouldn't get a sniff at him if Wonderboy was 31.
AJ to be fair, Cesar almeida was showing kopylov levels in the standup and by damage scoring he should’ve won vs kopylov. Kopylov used his sambo and just laid and prayed ontop of Cesar to a split decision because Cesar was landing the better and more damaging strikes overall.
35:27 "there's a little little feeling in me". That's what my wife says. 😂😂😂😂😂
Merab being the fav when everyone picked Sean, got me paranoid why people would pick Mario over Aldo. Like some shit is fishy
im gonna bet buckley, aldo, dolidze and almeida by tko
Get ready for frustration as fighters gas and look like they are fighting under water
Good break down
Ang...On the other video you Said Aldo Ko Uriah cause of legs Kicks... Well Aldo Beat Uriah at WEC 48 2010... Watched that fight.. Brutal leg kicks But at the end of Round 5... Aldo Won by UD...Uriah didn't give up or quit cause of kicks...
Hola, AJ. I tune in every week, but usually just write 'w' in the comments. I wouldn't spend my time doing that if I didn't think you were good, and entertaining, so let's say that goes without saying. I'm commenting now, as a fellow Holland fan, to say I only agree with three things you said about Holland: 1) He's the better striker; 2) he should be the underdog; and 3) the elevation is probably worse for Dolidze. That said, Dolidze won't be able to take him down? Or pass? I think he does both of those things with relative ease. I don't think he'll need to take him down, because Holland won't be able to get back up. 1 takedown wins a round. I don't think he finishes on the first one, but every takedown after the first might be the beginning of the end. They're NOT the same size, and even if they were, Dolidze would still have a huge strength advantage. I think if Dolidze can't get takedowns, Holland knocks him out, sure, but on that basis I'll also say I think Holland is KO or bust, and I think bust is way more likely.
I hope holland wins bro
could be a sneaky good card
Good stuff man
Don’t forget Stephan got out grappled by a slowing Tyrone twice 🤷🏼♂️
Thank you for your service
Much appreciated
W picks bro
I'm not a fine of Pena's personality. At all. So I'll be rooting for Pennington. But, I don't think there is all that much of a skill difference anywhere, and Pena is the faster and more explosive, and almost certainly 'wants it more'. She's an opportunist, and this is her only chance to get the belt before Kayla takes it and defends it n-1 times (supposing they can even find challengers...), so she should be ultra motivated. I think Pennington is happy with her career, but also cognizant that she's not in any goat conversations, and that the outcome of a (probably) marginal win or loss vis-a-vis Pena doesn't have much effect on her 'legacy'. She's probably basically in it for the money at this point, and she'd probably be happy to jump ship to PFL if she loses this, but thinks she could win $$ there. So in a fight that I think will be quite close and go the cards to be judged by crap judges, I'll take the +140 on the hungrier, slightly younger, and less shop-worn woman.
lets go gonna take dolidze might pull thru
You’ll be disappointed. Ever since the Imanov fight he’s on my fade list this week! He looked so bad in that fight I can’t get it out of my head
Awesome video 👍🏾👍🏾👍🏾💯🔥
Thanks 💯
Look forward to the worst case scenario video for this card
Altitude is a big factor in salt lake AJ, really bad, McGhee lives and trains there, trains at the pit, MMA gym, he is used to the high altitude, it's normal to him, and I know fighters will go two weeks before to adjust, it's not the same, these cards in salt lake are always the same, people gas out, who normally have a good gas tank , unless Tim means gets it done early, i see McGhee as a good underdog aj
The fact that you didn't mention romans , jits game is crazy. He's a problem forsure.
I got Aldo too
Is there something I’m missing😭
Hes old like Gilbert burns
@@hunterruzal Yeah but aldo just fought and looked great
I had Martinez and I was shocked
Carla should win by decision.Teccia is the striker and Carla the grappler here.Carla only loses to the best and Teccia isnt all that.
This new Buckley will beat Thompson
Pereirra , minus 455 means $100 will win $22 only
Potiera by kooo!!! As Conner would say .. “MAHHKK MYY WURRRDDZZZ!!! 😅
30:42 Roman has never been finished and has fought harder hitters. The smart, conservative bet on this one is Roman at +3.5 spread which should be about -110. That way if Kevin wins the split 28-29 you still cash. Not the payday of +160 ML, but the safer play. I don't see Kevin getting the KO, sub or UD. Agree the Roman should be the fav and the odds may shift that way this week.
Roman should not be the favorite at all, if Kevin comes in looking even close to his 2020 performances, he will crush Roman quick. He took Michal out in less than 2 minutes, meanwhile Roman's best win is Jack Hermansson.
@@Botmfeeder02 Possible, but I do believe we will see near a pick 'em before Saturday. Roman's odds went from +170 to +154 in the last 48 hours. IMO only Roman deserves to be only even or slight fav odds; will see ....... at +170 Roman was just a good value bet.
Also Buckley and dolidze parlay
jose aldi wins all day
Ricky Simon is really not good
aldo is a way higher level
What about UFC Royval vs taira predictions? ?
UFC Vegas 98 Predictions Royval vs Taira Full Card Betting Breakdown
ua-cam.com/video/C2e1Bur0vdM/v-deo.html
Come on now, no one is excited to watch Pennington and Pena fight
I’m more excited for the slag of at the press conference 🍿
I got pena and rountree upset time baby
Dolidze is the dog because casuals know Holland so Vegas can’t make him a dog in a fight that he honestly should win
Carla said this her retirement fight
Carla could win a Dec
I honestly don't like either Julianna or Khali getting title shots. Khali flunked drug test and Julianna went missing for 2 year after losing the rematch badly on the feet against Amanda.
Raquel vs Julianna thoughts:I would easily favor Julianna if both are athletic primes to be honest.Julianna has very good grappling skills(usually show good top position control on the mat from the fights I seen) imo and more likely to finish the fight.Julianna has a few thing against her to overcome.She hasn't fought in 2 years,usually when female fighters lose fights and get immediate title fight afterwards they usually lose. Altitude may be a problem for her(Raquel trains in Denver while Julianna trains in Chicago and Denver is much similar in attitude to Salt Lake City).I don't like picking fighters that coming from loses but Julianna is my pick due to being more aggressive(if she hasn't lost it yet).
Alex vs Khali thoughts: Roundtree has a great record against kickboxers that fought in GLORY Kickboxing.He is a counter kickboxer but he leaves himself open for counters.Alex has shown massive variety in striking skills.From punches,kicks,knees and elbows. I think Alex should be favored but Roundtree is a knockout threat of his own right with his counter punches.
I'm sorry but Khalil is not going to win, because those last ones ok were against the lowest in the category and on the other hand Pereira fought with the best and they were more dangerous knockers and with a better streak
Let’s go!
fade bros pick this week, this dude gonna have yall using yall credit cards to pay rent 😂
Post your picks
Dude for real
If your betting with your rent money then stop doing parlays lol
I said the same thing!! Idk what he’s tweaking on.
Talking crap online…. Your a winner for sure
Holland and wonder boy winning = L take
a -170 ain't a chalky line
Pennington parlay
It blows my mind people are taking Pendleton over Pena no fuckimg way Raquel's boring ass is going to win
U basically explained why shes gonna win lol, shes gonna lame her out to a decision win
Lol
parlay picks, rountree + jose + kayla + Wonderboy LFG!!
rountree by tko
This must be the oldest fight card ever!
Carla espaza will destroy Pennington espaza is a former champ
I’m going against you again Pennington is trash think back to the Amanda Fight Peña did better both times then Pennington did in her one time I crowned you king for UFC Paris, but let’s be honest your first pic in your last pic. We’re lucky as hell.
W
thanks for the picks AJ. lets get this cash. UFC 307 bets on my latest video if anyone's interested
Like the Aldo dog pick
38 year old bantamweight who lost his last fight in high elevation. With hometown disadvantage. Everybody is betting Aldo, if the fight is close they will rob him 100%
@@hunterruzal in aldo first fight back everyone said aldo is old he has been off 3 years he is not winning I put a paycheck on aldo because he is a former champion and champions can come back after long layoffs to win like Jon jones did so all those ppl who bet based on age lost money while I won big and in this fight I follow 50 analyst and all of a sudden everyone is on aldo I don't like betting with the public so because of that I don't think I can bet him since last week everyone was on frevola I don't like public underdogs I like betting on ppl they say are washed
@@hunterruzal bruh exactly lmao people are so corny. Anytime 90% or the community is on a dog they always lose 🤣 Mario a lock, Aldo retires
@@daniellebrooks7510 Aldo, Dolidze, and Thompson are all public dogs this week. Rountree and OSP are not so I’m going to bet them. But if OSP loses, I’m going to stop betting on 40 year olds. They seem to lose a lot recently
@@rosendogavilan8193100%. The bookmakers aren’t dumb
Chama 🗿
Helllllllllllllllllllllll noooooooooooo she has no chance on Peña. Hell no
Too much talking
Ryan spann is not a "cleaner" striker than osp lmao, you do not do your research do you?
Yes he is bro wym. Osp is unorthodox and awkward stop it
@MMAEXPERTS dude osp has a much more in depth striking credential he has better kicks much better at countering strikes much more experienced definitely than spann who wins off of physicality most of the time
Dude wonderboy is going down 41 years old he is done it is time to retire
lol
Straight here from the stream cos you know I had to catch that shit first 🫡
Big W 👊🤌
I’m going against you again Pennington is trash think back to the Amanda Fight Peña did better both times then Pennington did in her one time I crowned you king for UFC Paris, but let’s be honest your first pic in your last pic. We’re lucky as hell.
W
W
W
W
W